Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 8 Gambling Preview
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I am Chad Nolman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
- 0:19Speaker 1: You know we do it all here, folks. We provide
- 0:22Speaker 1: the best in sports betting data, insights, analysis across the board,
- 0:28Speaker 1: across our award winning app, across our award winning website,
- 0:31Speaker 1: across all the shows we do on at Action Network HQ,
- 0:35Speaker 1: our Twitter handle, and on this podcast right now, the
- 0:40Speaker 1: Favorites with my bff, my companion, MIKEA Padre, professional beattar,
- 0:44Speaker 1: Simon Hunter whill Chat chat Chat. I wanted a five
- 0:50Speaker 1: a week, so bad, so bad. No, it's all, It's
- 0:55Speaker 1: all me. I would I wouldn't love the blame Chad.
- 0:58Speaker 1: The minute he took the Eagles and screwed for Lette.
- 1:01Speaker 1: I said what I always said, Chad, if you're new
- 1:03Speaker 1: to the show, chat is slightly cursed. And as soon
- 1:05Speaker 1: as you said the Eagles, we know, we knew, when
- 1:07Speaker 1: we knew that that was doomed. But I walked into
- 1:10Speaker 1: the firepit whether and I took it anyway, And that's
- 1:12Speaker 1: on me. So it is my faults. Uh. To remind
- 1:17Speaker 1: people this is how the show works. Tuesday's Simon and
- 1:21Speaker 1: I go through the entire NFL slate. We talked about
- 1:25Speaker 1: our leans, what we're thinking about Thursday, we narrow it
- 1:28Speaker 1: down and we try to come up with our five
- 1:32Speaker 1: favorite picks that we will put on on Sunday. Along
- 1:36Speaker 1: the way, you will get the Simon says, which means
- 1:40Speaker 1: you've got to pick this game right away. Last week,
- 1:45Speaker 1: Simon says, Cincinnati Bengals. Didn't matter that it was plus
- 1:48Speaker 1: six and a half, didn't matter, it was plus six.
- 1:50Speaker 1: We love the Bengals. Um, it worked out pretty well.
- 1:54Speaker 1: You're also referring to our final five picks. We went
- 1:59Speaker 1: three and two. We ended taking the Broncos plus three
- 2:01Speaker 1: and a half on Thursday night. We love the Bengals
- 2:05Speaker 1: at plus six and a half. We who else did
- 2:08Speaker 1: we take? Already? Find? What was that? Titans? We love
- 2:12Speaker 1: the Titans. So we started off three and now early
- 2:15Speaker 1: games we were three and now we took the Eagles.
- 2:18Speaker 1: We love the Eagles, and we never wavered off the Eagles. Okay,
- 2:22Speaker 1: don't make this a chat thing. We did not waver up.
- 2:25Speaker 1: I'm saying that's why I blamed myself. I should have
- 2:26Speaker 1: known better. You should have known better. We also do
- 2:29Speaker 1: Scooch Roulette in honor of Simon's predecessor, Bob Scucci, the
- 2:33Speaker 1: great bookmaker from the Stardust and Boyd Gaming, who was
- 2:38Speaker 1: the original co host of this show. Um. He and
- 2:42Speaker 1: I used to go ahead to head every week. He
- 2:44Speaker 1: would choose the game, I would choose a game. This
- 2:46Speaker 1: past week, Simon chose the Packers. I chose the Eagles.
- 2:48Speaker 1: He won. We got so much to unpack. We're going
- 2:51Speaker 1: to go through the entire slate. Um. We ended up
- 2:53Speaker 1: losing on the Eagles and the Niners. Um. That's one
- 2:56Speaker 1: of the things I want to talk about, the Packers
- 2:58Speaker 1: and the Niners. So, uh, we do the show on Tuesday,
- 3:04Speaker 1: you talk about how much you love the Packers. You
- 3:05Speaker 1: didn't care what the line was, you love the Packers.
- 3:09Speaker 1: Every Thursday we do a segment called Sharp Calls, because
- 3:12Speaker 1: between Tuesday and Thursday, you will get calls from your
- 3:14Speaker 1: buddies who are professional betters, critiquing what we discussed. Sometimes
- 3:19Speaker 1: they're with you, sometimes they are against you. This week
- 3:22Speaker 1: they hated the Packers, they loved the Washington football team,
- 3:26Speaker 1: but they also called you about the Niners, saying they
- 3:29Speaker 1: like the Niners when we had said we liked the Colts.
- 3:32Speaker 1: We stuck to our guns on the packers. We turned
- 3:35Speaker 1: our back on our principles on the Colts and chose
- 3:40Speaker 1: the Niners. Tell me what happened? Why did we stick
- 3:43Speaker 1: with one and that's stick with the other. Do this
- 3:46Speaker 1: while I sip my decaf English breakfast tea on a damp,
- 3:52Speaker 1: cold day with a just a splash of vanilla soy creamery.
- 3:58Speaker 1: Uh So, I try to be as humble as I
- 4:02Speaker 1: can on this show, Chad. It's hard. It's hard to
- 4:04Speaker 1: be the humble when you're this bad looking. Um, How
- 4:10Speaker 1: can I say this? So? I say at the time,
- 4:12Speaker 1: there are maybe fifty guys and all of America that
- 4:15Speaker 1: do this for real, that bet on NFL with a
- 4:18Speaker 1: betting syndicate or they bet with a firm. They're legit. Okay,
- 4:22Speaker 1: I know Twitter makes you think there's hundreds of us
- 4:24Speaker 1: grown out of trees. There isn't. I'm telling you there's
- 4:26Speaker 1: a very small group of it. I can tell you
- 4:29Speaker 1: I'm the only guy I knew that got hired at
- 4:31Speaker 1: this position in my twenties. Okay, now I'm in my
- 4:33Speaker 1: thirties so it doesn't sound as cool. But in my
- 4:35Speaker 1: twenties it was a big deal. Okay, A lot of
- 4:37Speaker 1: these guys will get the job I have until late thirties,
- 4:39Speaker 1: early forties. So I know I'm young, and I know
- 4:44Speaker 1: that a lot of the guys that listen to the
- 4:46Speaker 1: show that are pros that work for these other groups.
- 4:48Speaker 1: They're always gonna have opinions. So when a guy like
- 4:50Speaker 1: Hank calls me up and he's giving me a ship
- 4:52Speaker 1: about my Green Bay pick, that's not a big deal. Okay,
- 4:55Speaker 1: Like that's pros are gonna be on different sides. We
- 4:57Speaker 1: screw with each other at the time. That's why I
- 4:58Speaker 1: wasn't so staunch and switching that green Baby pick like
- 5:01Speaker 1: I like that pick. I felt good about it. The
- 5:03Speaker 1: Colts one again, there might be fifty people out there
- 5:08Speaker 1: to do what I do. One of these groups something
- 5:12Speaker 1: I'm not close with at all. They apparently hit a
- 5:15Speaker 1: book in Vegas, they hit a book in Colorado, and
- 5:17Speaker 1: they hit a bunch of books in New Jersey, all
- 5:19Speaker 1: in the forty niners. Okay, so this was obviously one
- 5:21Speaker 1: of these group's biggest bets of the year. I might
- 5:25Speaker 1: love my number, but one of the biggest things I
- 5:27Speaker 1: learned in life is you got to be open to
- 5:29Speaker 1: other people. You can't be a know it all, especially
- 5:31Speaker 1: in this business. Okay, There's always gonna be people that
- 5:33Speaker 1: know more than you. It doesn't matter how good your
- 5:35Speaker 1: system is, how how much you're on fire. I need
- 5:37Speaker 1: to if if another group this is their biggest bet
- 5:40Speaker 1: of the year and I know they're legit, I'm gonna
- 5:43Speaker 1: take that every time. Okay, And yeah, I feel like
- 5:46Speaker 1: an idiot. Okay, I was spot on my love for
- 5:48Speaker 1: the Colts. It was a good number. Everything I thought
- 5:50Speaker 1: was right. I think Jimmy G's a fraud. He was
- 5:53Speaker 1: a fraud in that game. But when a group like
- 5:55Speaker 1: that is coming in so heavy and they're hitting out
- 5:57Speaker 1: multiple books and multiple states, who the hell am I
- 6:00Speaker 1: to say, No, these guys are wrong. They will never
- 6:03Speaker 1: be the case. I'm always gonna go with that group
- 6:05Speaker 1: if I know it's one of the biggest bets of
- 6:06Speaker 1: the year. So I stepped in it. That was a
- 6:08Speaker 1: really stupid play by me where I should trust my number.
- 6:11Speaker 1: But it's just because I just know it is. These
- 6:14Speaker 1: guys know more than me, So I have to be
- 6:16Speaker 1: open to these things. Even though I think I'm really
- 6:18Speaker 1: good and I know I'm really good at what I do.
- 6:20Speaker 1: I always have to pay respect to these guys who've
- 6:22Speaker 1: come before me. I've done this for a long time,
- 6:24Speaker 1: so I hate that I did a chat, but I
- 6:26Speaker 1: wouldn't change it. I would have to do it again
- 6:28Speaker 1: because that's that's how I'm gonna make money long term,
- 6:30Speaker 1: is listening to these other guys. You know how you
- 6:33Speaker 1: stay great, Simon Wow, stay humble, keep grinding, Recognize there's
- 6:42Speaker 1: always a potentially new, interesting, different, better way to do
- 6:47Speaker 1: the job. What you're doing today isn't necessarily going to
- 6:51Speaker 1: work tomorrow, by the way. That's how we do it
- 6:53Speaker 1: every single day, every single day. But we thought work
- 6:56Speaker 1: last week is probably not gonna work the week after.
- 6:58Speaker 1: That's actually what the fun part is. You get to
- 7:00Speaker 1: be invented every single time. Yeah, Like you're always updating,
- 7:03Speaker 1: Like you'll never see going my way to talk bad
- 7:06Speaker 1: about other sports betters. Like I'm never going on Twitter
- 7:08Speaker 1: and seek out someone saying you're doing this wrong or whatever,
- 7:11Speaker 1: because it's just a waste. I don't really know pros
- 7:13Speaker 1: that do that. You always need to be updating, look
- 7:15Speaker 1: at things different, Like I got nothing against Wong teasers.
- 7:18Speaker 1: Long teasers clearly work that he wrote that book like
- 7:21Speaker 1: ten years ago. How much is the NFL changed in
- 7:24Speaker 1: ten years? So yeah, I I do want teasers. Other
- 7:27Speaker 1: times I go against the rules just because how is
- 7:30Speaker 1: anything the same it was ten years ago in the NFL.
- 7:32Speaker 1: It's just not key numbers have changed dramatically. We've talked
- 7:35Speaker 1: about it. Six has become one of the most key
- 7:37Speaker 1: numbers in all football. It's lying in at a higher
- 7:40Speaker 1: rate than seven is. That's a big deal. So always
- 7:43Speaker 1: be updating. Um, that's my biggest thing to people. It's
- 7:46Speaker 1: like I look at things differently, Like remember last year
- 7:49Speaker 1: the super Bowl. We talked about at the time. I
- 7:51Speaker 1: try to explain to people in in the super Bowl, Okay,
- 7:54Speaker 1: billions of dollars are being bet, so a plus three
- 7:57Speaker 1: in the super Bowl is much different than a plus
- 8:00Speaker 1: three in Week six. And if you view them as
- 8:02Speaker 1: the same thing, you're already way behind the gauge. Okay,
- 8:05Speaker 1: there is nothing comparable about a plus three in the
- 8:08Speaker 1: super Bowl and a plus three in Week six. Even
- 8:10Speaker 1: if the math works out to you that it is,
- 8:12Speaker 1: they're very different. They should be treated differently. Again, billions
- 8:15Speaker 1: of dollars of me and bet on the super Bowl,
- 8:17Speaker 1: maybe a couple of million if they're lucky, Like, who's
- 8:20Speaker 1: bet on the Giants Carolina Panthers plus three game? Nobody?
- 8:23Speaker 1: That's a different thing in the Super Bowl plus three.
- 8:25Speaker 1: So that's my whole thing is I just want people
- 8:27Speaker 1: to think different, and that's what I feel like. People
- 8:30Speaker 1: like the show we're trying to get people look at
- 8:32Speaker 1: football differently. You're the Steve Jobs Sports betting think different. Listen,
- 8:39Speaker 1: speaking of plus six, let's get to the games, right.
- 8:42Speaker 1: We got a full slate Thursday night football. Green Bay
- 8:46Speaker 1: Packers at Arizona Cardinals game open to three. Davante Adams,
- 8:52Speaker 1: now unlikely to play star receiver for the Packers on
- 8:55Speaker 1: the COVID nineteen reserve list. Obviously he's He's Aaron rodgers
- 9:01Speaker 1: biggest weapon. The Cardinals have continued to defy what we
- 9:05Speaker 1: thought they were. The Packers have played better the past
- 9:07Speaker 1: two weeks against admittedly two really bad teams. What do
- 9:12Speaker 1: we make of this? I look at this at minus six.
- 9:14Speaker 1: I see how well the Cardinals are playing. I see
- 9:17Speaker 1: the way Kyler Murray is making plays. I see the
- 9:19Speaker 1: way Aaron Rodgers is when he's under pressure, and know
- 9:22Speaker 1: that he's without his best receiver, I still like it.
- 9:26Speaker 1: At minus six. I know this is this is such
- 9:29Speaker 1: a hard game, because you know it is. I love
- 9:31Speaker 1: taking dogs. You're getting Aaron Rodgers is a big dog
- 9:34Speaker 1: here against you know, Arizona. Yeah, everything you just said
- 9:38Speaker 1: just true. It's it's crazy how well they're playing. And again,
- 9:45Speaker 1: the Adams movement, to me, it was a big deal.
- 9:48Speaker 1: I have him and Chases my highest two greader wide
- 9:50Speaker 1: receivers this season. For me to move at a point
- 9:53Speaker 1: and a half for a wide receiver is incredibly rare.
- 9:57Speaker 1: That's that's how much Adams means this team. So I did.
- 10:00Speaker 1: I liked that three. I thought that was a good number.
- 10:02Speaker 1: I moved to four and a half. Now that's at six.
- 10:04Speaker 1: That means to me, I'm gonna put a half value
- 10:06Speaker 1: on green Bay. Yeah, I leaned towards green Bay. But
- 10:10Speaker 1: I don't feel like you're getting that much crazy value
- 10:12Speaker 1: here because everything you just said so true. I don't
- 10:14Speaker 1: know how Ray and Rodgers is gonna do on third down.
- 10:15Speaker 1: He doesn't have a safety blanket Adams. It's there's a
- 10:18Speaker 1: lot of unknown there where Arizona. It kind of feels
- 10:21Speaker 1: like we know what they are. They're a legit team.
- 10:23Speaker 1: And Kyler Murray is just the ultimate difference maker. This
- 10:26Speaker 1: guy is so slippery, so smart. It doesn't matter their
- 10:30Speaker 1: coach might be an idiot. It's it's all working for
- 10:32Speaker 1: Arizona right now. I mean they literally have not lost
- 10:35Speaker 1: this season, So, um, we can be on opposite side chairs.
- 10:38Speaker 1: I'm not gonna force you take Green Bay, but to me,
- 10:40Speaker 1: that's where the value is in this line. It's plus
- 10:42Speaker 1: six with them. This is not like Look the last
- 10:45Speaker 1: couple of weeks, we've taken teams on Thursday nights as
- 10:48Speaker 1: part of our best five, and um, I don't see
- 10:52Speaker 1: this being one of them. The thing that I worry
- 10:55Speaker 1: about what the Packers is they're starting to get more
- 10:59Speaker 1: and more love from the market because of what they
- 11:02Speaker 1: did at the Bears and because of what they did
- 11:05Speaker 1: to the Washington football team, and before that, they had
- 11:08Speaker 1: barely beaten the Bengals, and before that they had looked
- 11:12Speaker 1: like a team that was struggling mightily in the first
- 11:15Speaker 1: three games of the year, including losing in the first game.
- 11:17Speaker 1: So uh, Aaron Rodgers is getting pressured like crazy. I
- 11:20Speaker 1: watched a lot of this game this past week. He
- 11:23Speaker 1: was constantly getting pushed out of the pocket and not
- 11:26Speaker 1: looking good doing it. I I was nervous about that
- 11:29Speaker 1: cover most of the game. Um so yeah, I'm comfortable
- 11:35Speaker 1: with the Cardinals at minus six. And like people talked
- 11:38Speaker 1: about how lucky green Bay got, we talked about they
- 11:42Speaker 1: were the worst red zone team. They had given up
- 11:44Speaker 1: the most touchdowns on football. They're not that bad. It
- 11:46Speaker 1: was gonna come down to a medium and that's what
- 11:48Speaker 1: happened in that game. Like this, the the Washington football
- 11:52Speaker 1: team coudn't score the red zone. That's why green Bay cover.
- 11:54Speaker 1: That's pretty simple. But yeah, that's that's a fair statement.
- 11:57Speaker 1: They're they're probably a little overvalued right now, just because
- 11:59Speaker 1: what they've done last two weeks. A good tea. I
- 12:04Speaker 1: did my own little version of of a TikTok meme.
- 12:07Speaker 1: There are you on the TikTok? I'm not. I'm a
- 12:11Speaker 1: guy in my mid thirties that you know, doesn't doesn't
- 12:14Speaker 1: care to check out what teenagers are doing chat mhm,
- 12:18Speaker 1: what's funny you think of it that way? I, as
- 12:19Speaker 1: a media professional, think about it as the new frontier.
- 12:22Speaker 1: Here's an interesting game, Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns. If
- 12:28Speaker 1: you go to Action Network right now, there's a story
- 12:30Speaker 1: the week eight games we bet right away. There were
- 12:34Speaker 1: two games listed. We're gonna get to both of them.
- 12:36Speaker 1: The first one the Steelers as underdogs. They were actually
- 12:40Speaker 1: listed as three and a half point underdogs. Uh that
- 12:43Speaker 1: there was concerned people wanted to bet them right away
- 12:45Speaker 1: because they were afraid wise guys would come in and
- 12:47Speaker 1: take the Steelers and you lose the hook. Steelers a
- 12:50Speaker 1: plus three and a half plus four some places getting
- 12:54Speaker 1: almost all the bets right now. There's reason to believe
- 12:58Speaker 1: the Steelers in the right side here. Yeah, but it's again,
- 13:03Speaker 1: it's it's a game where if Baker is playing actually
- 13:05Speaker 1: really like the Steelers because he's rushing back, that's not good.
- 13:09Speaker 1: That's not good for them. So if this is Baker,
- 13:12Speaker 1: I got no issues taking the Steelers here. It's case Keenum.
- 13:14Speaker 1: I'm not as much in love with it he had.
- 13:16Speaker 1: He's had more time now. They played last week on Thursday,
- 13:20Speaker 1: so he's more time to kind of get used to
- 13:21Speaker 1: being the number one. I like that. For Cleveland. It
- 13:24Speaker 1: feels like the whole public's gonna coming really heavy on
- 13:27Speaker 1: Pittsburgh just because Cleveland looked that great last Weekend's Denver,
- 13:31Speaker 1: But to me, this is Uh, this is one of
- 13:33Speaker 1: these all wait and see. If it's Baker, I got
- 13:36Speaker 1: no issue taking Pittsburgh, but if it's not, I would
- 13:38Speaker 1: stay away. Are you telling me right now that you
- 13:41Speaker 1: have the Browns power rated better with Case Keenum than
- 13:46Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield and injured and injured Baker Mayfield? So last
- 13:51Speaker 1: week I had it at three and a half when
- 13:52Speaker 1: Baker was the starter, they moved the two and a half.
- 13:55Speaker 1: I moved it just by a point to case Keenum
- 13:57Speaker 1: just because Baker has not been playing well, but frantas
- 14:00Speaker 1: to Baker, he's been hurt. So I do think Baker
- 14:02Speaker 1: is valued more, but for this, now that he's had
- 14:05Speaker 1: time underneath his belt to get reps. Yeah, I think
- 14:08Speaker 1: they're pretty much the same exact quarterback right now because
- 14:10Speaker 1: Baker is hurt and it's like he's hurting his team.
- 14:13Speaker 1: He's literally a hit away at any point to be
- 14:15Speaker 1: out of the game, like he's he barely got hit
- 14:18Speaker 1: that hard. He just landed on his shoulder last game
- 14:20Speaker 1: he was out, So it's two nerve wracking really back Baker,
- 14:24Speaker 1: do you see anything in the Steelers having some time
- 14:27Speaker 1: off that makes you think this team is getting better? Uh?
- 14:31Speaker 1: They're running the ball a little bit better. Uh, there
- 14:34Speaker 1: is value on them in an underdog spot A ra
- 14:38Speaker 1: ra Mike Tomlin spot, what ra ra Mike Tomlin spot?
- 14:44Speaker 1: We win the game with this cool bodies right here
- 14:47Speaker 1: to day, the game to day. I mean, I like
- 14:52Speaker 1: him with the points if it's Baker again, because I
- 14:54Speaker 1: just think it's a good matchup for them defensively, like
- 14:56Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to get after him. That's that's
- 14:58Speaker 1: that's all the key right there, Like you can get
- 15:01Speaker 1: walk and pressure. Pittsburgh seems like they can win. But
- 15:04Speaker 1: Roethlisberger is so bad. I mean, it was a running
- 15:06Speaker 1: joke with us last week. You were like, I like
- 15:08Speaker 1: big Ben playing against a backup. I kept saying you,
- 15:10Speaker 1: big Ben is a backup. This guy is not a
- 15:12Speaker 1: starter in this league. So I don't really feel confident
- 15:15Speaker 1: back to them. But if I am back to them,
- 15:16Speaker 1: it's just because of that defense. There was a moment
- 15:19Speaker 1: of clarity. I remember that comment. It's really good, all right,
- 15:22Speaker 1: So this is not one that we're going to give
- 15:24Speaker 1: heavy consideration to. Last week, you told me that there
- 15:28Speaker 1: were two ugly, ugly dogs that we had to play,
- 15:31Speaker 1: and I refused to commit the Miami Dolphins at plus
- 15:35Speaker 1: two and a half and the New Year Football Giants
- 15:37Speaker 1: a plus three lo and behold, you were right about both. Actually,
- 15:41Speaker 1: I liked the Dolphins in the beginning to and for
- 15:43Speaker 1: some reason we walked away from them, and I can't
- 15:45Speaker 1: remember why. But the Dolphins are now on the road
- 15:48Speaker 1: at Matt Mitchell's Buffalo Bills. Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills.
- 15:55Speaker 1: The Bills so yo hey, and something south he making
- 16:04Speaker 1: it happen. Now the Bills are fourteen point favorites on
- 16:09Speaker 1: the road. I kind of feel like this is the past.
- 16:11Speaker 1: I know you're gonna bet every game and you're gonna
- 16:13Speaker 1: have an opinion on every game, but this doesn't feel
- 16:16Speaker 1: like I'm seeing a huge opportunity. Like again, I'd like
- 16:18Speaker 1: it better for it was that thirteen year thirteen and
- 16:20Speaker 1: a half of Buffalo coming off of by coming off
- 16:22Speaker 1: a loss. This is just a great spot for the
- 16:25Speaker 1: Bills just to dominate a team that's not that good.
- 16:27Speaker 1: But it's a little nerve wracking. Where I thought to
- 16:30Speaker 1: have played exactly how I expected to to play last week.
- 16:32Speaker 1: He played well at three yards passing four touchdowns against
- 16:35Speaker 1: the bad Atlanta defense. The Bills ain't that bad. And
- 16:40Speaker 1: at home, you know the weather inch isn't gonna be
- 16:42Speaker 1: great up there and in uh, Northern New York in
- 16:45Speaker 1: November or late late October. So yeah, that's fair. We
- 16:49Speaker 1: can pass on it. I do lean towards the Bills.
- 16:51Speaker 1: This is when the truck here plays out like this week.
- 16:54Speaker 1: You like the Bills. What do you haven't rated at thirteen?
- 16:59Speaker 1: So Inkle, you are getting value right now with Miami.
- 17:02Speaker 1: But I'm hoping pros will just come in and bet
- 17:04Speaker 1: this summer down so I can get maybe thirteen and
- 17:05Speaker 1: a half thirteen, uh with the Bills. What do you
- 17:10Speaker 1: like about two? I keep watching him and know you're
- 17:12Speaker 1: saying this. I feel like he's getting junkyards and junk touchdowns.
- 17:16Speaker 1: I don't look at him and think there's a guy
- 17:18Speaker 1: I want to build my team around. He's got no
- 17:21Speaker 1: wire receivers and his old lines terrible. That's what I
- 17:25Speaker 1: don't want to get on chat too hard here, but
- 17:27Speaker 1: I'm sick. I can't take everyone in the league after
- 17:30Speaker 1: eight games or nine games of a guy being like, yeah, bust,
- 17:33Speaker 1: Like that guy's washed up, by the way, who I
- 17:35Speaker 1: would say he was a bust? Yeah, I'm just saying.
- 17:38Speaker 1: It's really like people all of a sudden are being like, uh,
- 17:43Speaker 1: Mac Jones, Yeah he's legit. You see him beat the
- 17:45Speaker 1: Jets twice? Wow? Mac Jones, Yeah, he's incredible. He he
- 17:49Speaker 1: played hard against the Cowboys and the Buccaneers. It's just
- 17:52Speaker 1: too much like we're too high, too low on these
- 17:54Speaker 1: kids when they come in so quick, like you need
- 17:57Speaker 1: you need, Like Josh Owen, Josh own at two three years,
- 17:59Speaker 1: I figure out what the hell was? We know he's legit.
- 18:01Speaker 1: Daniel Jones he sucked now for two three years. We
- 18:04Speaker 1: know what he is. He's terrible. So I feel like
- 18:06Speaker 1: I need more time with these quarterbacks. But you're fair
- 18:09Speaker 1: to say too has not been good. He hasn't been,
- 18:11Speaker 1: but you also have to look at the pieces around him.
- 18:13Speaker 1: He has no real help. He's got a terrible old
- 18:14Speaker 1: line and terrible wide receivers. You know who turns out
- 18:18Speaker 1: was amazing the backup quarterback for the Buffalo Bills, Mitchell Troubinsky.
- 18:25Speaker 1: I don't know. We can talk about the Bears and
- 18:27Speaker 1: if you want. People are hating on them too hard.
- 18:29Speaker 1: Haven't they beaten the rate Las Vegas Raiders and the Bengals.
- 18:32Speaker 1: Two teams are leading their divisions. I get a lot
- 18:36Speaker 1: of hate. We're not talking about the Bears yet, we
- 18:38Speaker 1: haven't got into the game. I know. I'm just saying
- 18:40Speaker 1: the Bears are getting crushed, and I feel like people
- 18:41Speaker 1: are underestimating how the Bears are good and bad. You
- 18:45Speaker 1: can't underestimate them both ways. They're either good. They're They're
- 18:49Speaker 1: either bad and we overestimated what they were, or they're
- 18:55Speaker 1: good and we're not giving them enough credit. I happen
- 18:58Speaker 1: to be on the side of I'm saying week the week,
- 19:00Speaker 1: people won't be like they're terrible the next week when
- 19:03Speaker 1: they beat a team like the Las Vegas Raiders, like
- 19:05Speaker 1: they're really good. I'm saying it's too much. But that
- 19:08Speaker 1: was a smash spot for the Bears. That was a
- 19:11Speaker 1: smashed spot for the Bears against the Raiders. Everyone in
- 19:15Speaker 1: the world knew they were going to win that game. Everybody.
- 19:21Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons, This all of a sudden
- 19:25Speaker 1: became a very interesting game. The Falcons are three point favorites.
- 19:30Speaker 1: They've won a couple of games. Now they've got I
- 19:32Speaker 1: think there're three and three on the year. Last second
- 19:35Speaker 1: win against Miami bad loss against Washington before that, they
- 19:39Speaker 1: beat the Jets before that. The Panthers are reeling. Man,
- 19:43Speaker 1: Sam Donald is just terrible and got benched, and we
- 19:47Speaker 1: love this team in the beginning of the year. This
- 19:50Speaker 1: is gonna be a pros Joe's game. Right now. The
- 19:53Speaker 1: money's coming in on the Panthers and the bets are
- 19:56Speaker 1: coming in on the Falcons. Yeah, you got no faith,
- 20:00Speaker 1: Like this is one of the few games I might
- 20:01Speaker 1: end up passing her. I'll just bet the Panthers because
- 20:04Speaker 1: I have to, because it's a good number. But he
- 20:07Speaker 1: looks lost, Sam Donald, Like he literally looks lost. He's
- 20:10Speaker 1: just throwing picks in a double coverage. It's just bad
- 20:13Speaker 1: and the same reason we like Miami last week, we
- 20:16Speaker 1: like to fade Matt Ryan. As soon as people started
- 20:18Speaker 1: believing in Matt Ryan, that's when we fade him, and
- 20:20Speaker 1: it worked out for us last week. I guess I'll
- 20:22Speaker 1: do it again this week. But now it's like this
- 20:25Speaker 1: probably wouldn'ta make my top ten bets. I I just
- 20:28Speaker 1: I hate it. It's ugly, ugly, ugly game where we
- 20:31Speaker 1: don't know what quarterback we're getting Sam Donald's, So how
- 20:33Speaker 1: can I really bet this and know what I'm getting.
- 20:36Speaker 1: And the scary thing is you bet on the Falcons
- 20:38Speaker 1: and it's very possible that Sam Donald's backup comes in right,
- 20:42Speaker 1: and who actually, you know, could be better than Sam Donald.
- 20:46Speaker 1: I'm reading Man Mitchell's thing. I can't multitask what did
- 20:49Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell say? He's it's actually a good a really
- 20:52Speaker 1: good point. A team favored by the touchdowner more this
- 20:55Speaker 1: season is undefeated. They have not lost, which is the
- 20:58Speaker 1: longest streak since I leave, like two thousand and five,
- 21:01Speaker 1: two thousand six, So basically this year, if you're just
- 21:05Speaker 1: some Joe Schmo and you've just been betting favorites money
- 21:07Speaker 1: lines and money line parlays, you're killing it. I mean,
- 21:10Speaker 1: this is the longest active streaks since two thousand and
- 21:12Speaker 1: five that a favorite seven or more points hasn't lost
- 21:15Speaker 1: straight up. So something to keep your eyeing. People out
- 21:18Speaker 1: there were way overdue for one of these big dogs
- 21:20Speaker 1: that went out right. Also, Matt Mitchell in our Slack
- 21:23Speaker 1: message to us both reminded us that everyone is left
- 21:26Speaker 1: in survivor pools, including us, because we took the Patriots
- 21:30Speaker 1: this past week and we will pick our new survivor
- 21:33Speaker 1: pool entrant on Thursday and we got lucky. Though a
- 21:37Speaker 1: couple of idiots took Carolina in ours. So a couple
- 21:40Speaker 1: of people try to be too smart and they got burned.
- 21:43Speaker 1: How many people are left in the survivor pool that
- 21:45Speaker 1: you and I are in? I want to say four k? Wow?
- 21:48Speaker 1: That many? Yeah? I mean we started with eight k though,
- 21:53Speaker 1: So even though it's been really chalky, half been knocked out.
- 21:57Speaker 1: And that's again people forget and they forget to put
- 21:59Speaker 1: their picks. You know. Oh boy, this, I don't know
- 22:04Speaker 1: how we do it. Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets.
- 22:09Speaker 1: Here's something really interesting. The look aheadline on this. I
- 22:14Speaker 1: don't know when this number is from. I don't know
- 22:15Speaker 1: if it's from preseason or whatever. Last week, Jets as
- 22:19Speaker 1: one point favorites at home and they are now ten
- 22:22Speaker 1: point underdogs. It's a perfect line because this was a
- 22:25Speaker 1: trap spot, and if Zach Wilson was playing in this game,
- 22:29Speaker 1: we would be all in on the Jets to win outright,
- 22:32Speaker 1: to cover everything. I got no idea what to do
- 22:35Speaker 1: with this number. I got no idea what to do
- 22:37Speaker 1: with this quarterback, some white guy. I think his last
- 22:39Speaker 1: name is white. So I love saying that joke. Uh,
- 22:42Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what to do there.
- 22:44Speaker 1: The Jets are They're terrible, the same reason we like
- 22:48Speaker 1: to them against Tennessee. It was just a complete spot
- 22:51Speaker 1: and they that's the only game they've covered in one
- 22:54Speaker 1: this year was that Jetskins Tennessee at home. So man
- 22:57Speaker 1: that I love this as a trap spot for this
- 22:59Speaker 1: banging team, but it's hard to do it now. Like
- 23:02Speaker 1: I'm gonna be on the nine and a half, whatever
- 23:04Speaker 1: the number is, I'm gonna betting it because it's the
- 23:07Speaker 1: Bengals are really good. But are there the top three,
- 23:11Speaker 1: top four team in all the NFL? Probably not, so
- 23:14Speaker 1: them blowing out the Jets was unlikely. But now the Jets,
- 23:17Speaker 1: I don't know if they're gonna be able to score.
- 23:18Speaker 1: So it's gonna be pretty easy for the Bengals to
- 23:20Speaker 1: beat them by a lot of points. So I don't know.
- 23:24Speaker 1: I'm not gonna make it. Do it, Chad, but I'll
- 23:26Speaker 1: be betting the Jets. Unfortunately with a backup quarterback I
- 23:28Speaker 1: know nothing about it. Does it does present an interesting dilemma.
- 23:37Speaker 1: Right blindly you bet this number, you just do it,
- 23:41Speaker 1: Like Bangos are coming off the bet of the franchise
- 23:44Speaker 1: in the last what four or five years, that's the
- 23:46Speaker 1: biggest when the franchise the last four or five years. Yeah,
- 23:51Speaker 1: you almost have to bet the Jets here so gross.
- 23:55Speaker 1: I wish we make it one of where like Foxhold
- 23:57Speaker 1: bets or something. It's just something gross. I don't know
- 23:58Speaker 1: if we would call it. This is like, to me,
- 24:01Speaker 1: this is the grossest bet we've made this year. We've
- 24:03Speaker 1: had gross bets, but this, this is the grossest. It's
- 24:08Speaker 1: honestly irresponsible to ask people to commit to this. I
- 24:13Speaker 1: think you and I can think about it for Thursday,
- 24:16Speaker 1: and on Thursday, if we still think it's a Simon
- 24:19Speaker 1: says or a big balls or a hornet's nest, we
- 24:21Speaker 1: can layer it in there. But I'm hoping that over
- 24:24Speaker 1: the next seven eight games we find something that feels
- 24:28Speaker 1: a little bit more actionable for our listeners than bet
- 24:33Speaker 1: the fucking Jets. Now we have great lines as we
- 24:35Speaker 1: don't worry. We're not gonna force this one in because
- 24:38Speaker 1: right now we haven't found any game that we'd like.
- 24:40Speaker 1: We haven't every game we talked about. We want to pass.
- 24:43Speaker 1: That's true, that's true. We're getting there, though, don't worry.
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- 26:46Speaker 1: to the show. Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts. Titans are
- 26:52Speaker 1: one or a half point favorites on the road at
- 26:55Speaker 1: Indie Simon says. Simon says, policy this podcast, pull your
- 27:13Speaker 1: car over. Bet on the Colts they will be and
- 27:16Speaker 1: all of my bets. Like again, I I joke all
- 27:18Speaker 1: the time my bets of the year, this might not
- 27:20Speaker 1: be one of those big bets. As soon as I
- 27:22Speaker 1: saw this line, I loved it. It's the perfect spot.
- 27:25Speaker 1: I love it so much. The Colts always beat Tennessee,
- 27:29Speaker 1: and they always beat them, especially at home, even when
- 27:31Speaker 1: even when Peyton left, even with Andrew luck and whatever
- 27:34Speaker 1: first set the next year, they always beat Tennessee at home.
- 27:37Speaker 1: Matchup wise, this is the dream. This is literally the dream.
- 27:41Speaker 1: The Colts run game is one of the best in football.
- 27:44Speaker 1: Tennessee has one of the worst run defenses. Their secondary
- 27:46Speaker 1: is still incredibly banged up. Everything that happened last week
- 27:50Speaker 1: with Kansas City, it wasn't about the Tennessee Titans, it
- 27:53Speaker 1: was about the Kansas City Chiefs. That was a Kansas
- 27:55Speaker 1: City Chiefs and meltdown. Uh that I watched that whole
- 27:58Speaker 1: game because I had a lot of ride on that
- 28:00Speaker 1: money line parlay we did with them in the Bengals,
- 28:02Speaker 1: and I needed I needed one of them to win
- 28:04Speaker 1: out right. Um and luckily they both came through, but
- 28:07Speaker 1: it's this is such a typical line when they hung this.
- 28:11Speaker 1: As soon as I saw this, I knew what they
- 28:13Speaker 1: were doing there. Like I love the books because they
- 28:16Speaker 1: lay these traps and they've been getting smacked around these
- 28:19Speaker 1: sports books last four to five weeks. We're gonna talk
- 28:22Speaker 1: about there's a bunch of games that are get right
- 28:24Speaker 1: games for the sports books. Put this to the top
- 28:26Speaker 1: of the list. This is my favorite get right games
- 28:28Speaker 1: for the sports books. So you're gonna plus dog at
- 28:31Speaker 1: Home in the Colts, which, again, this is one of
- 28:35Speaker 1: these games where, like we told you last week, you
- 28:37Speaker 1: bet the Bengals to win the division like we like
- 28:40Speaker 1: we did, this is not one of those You're gonna
- 28:42Speaker 1: bet the Colts with us this week. You have to
- 28:44Speaker 1: bet the Colts win the division because this is one
- 28:45Speaker 1: of these games I could flip the division. So I
- 28:48Speaker 1: love the Colts at this number. Yeah. But by the way,
- 28:51Speaker 1: that's the mistake I made last week, is I remember
- 28:53Speaker 1: you saying that very clearly, and I bet the Bengals
- 28:57Speaker 1: right away, and I forgot to bet them to win
- 29:00Speaker 1: the division. You didn't get a tend to one, so
- 29:02Speaker 1: I didn't get it oh God. And like as the
- 29:07Speaker 1: game was kicking off, I'm like, oh ship, and I
- 29:10Speaker 1: go to log in and I couldn't bet it. Yeah
- 29:12Speaker 1: they took it down. Yeah it's down a three to one,
- 29:15Speaker 1: two to one in certain books. Yeah, I know that
- 29:18Speaker 1: that's a miss buddy. Damn it. Well, I'll tell you
- 29:21Speaker 1: right now. You know what I did just do while
- 29:23Speaker 1: you were prattling away. I did go on to the
- 29:26Speaker 1: fandue lapse s where to God? And um, I bet
- 29:30Speaker 1: on the Colts plus one and a half, my man,
- 29:33Speaker 1: and you gotta sprinkle a little bit on the division,
- 29:35Speaker 1: little bit, little sprinkle of a taste, a little bit
- 29:38Speaker 1: of salt, a little bit of sesame seeds. You know,
- 29:41Speaker 1: you can do your little loan uh, your little um
- 29:44Speaker 1: you know everything bagel seasoning on this on this game.
- 29:47Speaker 1: I love it. So I'm guaranteeing people always go you guys,
- 29:50Speaker 1: switch your picks. I don't care if the greatest prone
- 29:52Speaker 1: the world calls me up like whoever and they say, no,
- 29:56Speaker 1: you have to take Tennessee not doing it. Love love,
- 29:58Speaker 1: love the cults. This week. The next thing, I know
- 30:02Speaker 1: you're gonna tell me you want to bet the Bears
- 30:04Speaker 1: plus three and a half at home against the Niners,
- 30:08Speaker 1: and I would do it. You know, why, do you know? Why?
- 30:12Speaker 1: Tell me Matt NIGGI has COVID. That's terrible San Francisco.
- 30:17Speaker 1: Forty Niners at Chicago Bears, no Bears at home? Baby,
- 30:22Speaker 1: We love the Bears at home. Maybe you guys will
- 30:24Speaker 1: reach out to me and say that we're walking to
- 30:26Speaker 1: a sharp trap here, but I don't care. I love
- 30:28Speaker 1: this number. I bet it when I opened at three
- 30:30Speaker 1: and a half. Four, I'll bet it again as long
- 30:32Speaker 1: as it stays above three. It's just a good, smart number.
- 30:36Speaker 1: The Bears here aren't as bad as they looked against Tampa.
- 30:38Speaker 1: That was just the worst possible matchup they could have.
- 30:43Speaker 1: And um, I mean what we said is so right.
- 30:45Speaker 1: Like we we were off the fort and Company of
- 30:47Speaker 1: the year. We bet they're under a season win totals.
- 30:49Speaker 1: We just didn't trust this Fort Anders team and we've
- 30:52Speaker 1: seen it. Like Jimmy g there's a reason they drafted
- 30:54Speaker 1: a QB third the third pick overall. He just ain't it.
- 30:58Speaker 1: So if it's Jimmy is a start. I got no
- 31:01Speaker 1: issue taking the Bears here plus three and a half.
- 31:05Speaker 1: All right? Well, um, I thought the Bears looked pretty heartless,
- 31:13Speaker 1: um and confused, and their defense is social distancing as
- 31:19Speaker 1: if it's April of and they can't seem to defend
- 31:25Speaker 1: anyone beyond five yards, and they were throwing punches and
- 31:29Speaker 1: really looks completely out of sorts. I don't even know
- 31:32Speaker 1: if Allen Robinson is still on the team, Like, honestly,
- 31:35Speaker 1: that's how ineffective he's been as a fan. It's so
- 31:39Speaker 1: disheartening to see. Now it's really bad. I'm not gonna
- 31:44Speaker 1: deny that it is really bad, but you have to
- 31:46Speaker 1: take this number. This is such a good bounce back
- 31:48Speaker 1: spot for this team. Okay, as here, I'm sure where
- 31:54Speaker 1: the Bears are, go the dogs, but don't coulm them up.
- 31:56Speaker 1: You know, it's absurd really that we would even have
- 31:59Speaker 1: to waste time comparing ourselves with that crime written red hole.
- 32:04Speaker 1: But give me what it's rated at for you three.
- 32:07Speaker 1: That's why if it got the two and a half, Like,
- 32:09Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be taking Bears moneyline, I'm not gonna
- 32:11Speaker 1: be taking the two and a half just because everything
- 32:13Speaker 1: you just said, this team they straight up gave up
- 32:17Speaker 1: last week. It was bad. I can't fall through there.
- 32:19Speaker 1: But just as a professional, I have to bet a
- 32:21Speaker 1: home dog in this position playing a four ninary scene
- 32:24Speaker 1: that's still getting so much public love even though they
- 32:26Speaker 1: have not done anything to earn it. This year. I mean,
- 32:29Speaker 1: I saw some stances like Shanahan's career winning winning percentages
- 32:32Speaker 1: fourty three, like the Yeah, so I might think he's
- 32:38Speaker 1: a genius and he's some great offensive coordinator, he's never
- 32:42Speaker 1: done it. And I got people's excuse for him. He's
- 32:44Speaker 1: never had a quarterback like he got Jimmy g to
- 32:46Speaker 1: the super Bowl. That's all that is fair. I get
- 32:49Speaker 1: that argument. But at some point you have to start
- 32:51Speaker 1: putting this on to Kyle Shanahan. And at this point
- 32:53Speaker 1: I gotta do that. So I gotta know, is you're
- 32:55Speaker 1: taking this number, you are hating on Kyle Shanahan, who's
- 32:58Speaker 1: like the like the analytics geeks. God, both of us
- 33:05Speaker 1: would give up. I mean, I you checked wouldn't give
- 33:07Speaker 1: up a child. I'd give up a lot of things
- 33:09Speaker 1: that are important to me to have him as my
- 33:10Speaker 1: head coach. So I'm kind of talking on both sides
- 33:12Speaker 1: of my mouth hating on the guy. But to me,
- 33:15Speaker 1: he's a million times better than Nick Sirianni. So I
- 33:17Speaker 1: would love to have him as my head coach. All right,
- 33:20Speaker 1: then we're gonna put him in the list. I am
- 33:23Speaker 1: happy to do it. I'm happy to root for the Bears.
- 33:25Speaker 1: Find reasons to root for the Bears. Give me the
- 33:27Speaker 1: Bears plus three and a half. We're putting them in
- 33:31Speaker 1: Baboo Eagles. However, Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions. We were
- 33:37Speaker 1: spot on about this Lions game last week. We said,
- 33:41Speaker 1: if we're gonna have to bet any one of these
- 33:42Speaker 1: teams that were double digit underdogs, we were going with
- 33:45Speaker 1: the Lions because, as you pointed out, this team does
- 33:48Speaker 1: not give up. They were down thirty four to three
- 33:55Speaker 1: two weeks ago, went for the two point conversion after
- 33:59Speaker 1: scoring a touchdown, then went for the onside kick. They
- 34:02Speaker 1: were calling time outs until the end and then long behold.
- 34:05Speaker 1: That's exactly what they did against the Rams, score first
- 34:09Speaker 1: on side kick, fake punt, steel possessions. It was like,
- 34:15Speaker 1: you know, Jared Goff interception by Jalen Ramsey, which to
- 34:19Speaker 1: me felt like the worst way for them to lose.
- 34:23Speaker 1: It was golf, like that's just you know, you root
- 34:26Speaker 1: so hard for the guy they have, like the such
- 34:30Speaker 1: a good player who probably thinks golf is such an
- 34:32Speaker 1: idiot do that at the end of the game that
- 34:35Speaker 1: hurt the last seem just not stop now, and they
- 34:39Speaker 1: deserve I think it comes our way though, for keeping
- 34:41Speaker 1: golf and not taking fields or mac Jones like we
- 34:44Speaker 1: know golf was. Um, there is no sicker feeling than
- 34:48Speaker 1: having the choice money line that first half and you're
- 34:51Speaker 1: up ten nothing and you still felt like you're gonna
- 34:53Speaker 1: lose that bet because it's Jared Golf and it's third
- 34:57Speaker 1: and three, and it feels like it's third and fifty,
- 34:59Speaker 1: Like I can't of the ball four yards sometimes. So man,
- 35:02Speaker 1: I hate Detroit. Um, there's such a ce saw team.
- 35:07Speaker 1: One week they'll play good, they'll come back, they'll play amazing.
- 35:10Speaker 1: The next week they will completely fall apart and do nothing.
- 35:13Speaker 1: It looks like a team that is oh and six.
- 35:15Speaker 1: So if we're going by that metric, this is a
- 35:18Speaker 1: down week for Detroit. For some reason. They cover and
- 35:21Speaker 1: then they don't cover. They cover them, they don't cover.
- 35:23Speaker 1: So I coming into this, I wanted to take Detroit. Like.
- 35:26Speaker 1: The Eagles suck. The Eagles defense is terrible. The Oakland,
- 35:30Speaker 1: I mean Las Vegas creators didn't have Darren Waller or Jacobs,
- 35:34Speaker 1: and to me, that was like, again, that's why I
- 35:37Speaker 1: couldn't fault you for a lot of love and Eagles.
- 35:39Speaker 1: That was such a smart number to take a team's
- 35:41Speaker 1: missing their two best offensive weapons. Eagles defense couldn't stop them.
- 35:45Speaker 1: They literally could not stop them that whole game. So yeah,
- 35:48Speaker 1: I look at this number. My first instincts is to
- 35:51Speaker 1: the fade the lines here and take the Eagles, who
- 35:53Speaker 1: are just a little bit not as terrible. But I mean,
- 35:57Speaker 1: this is just a good number. It's plus three, that's
- 35:59Speaker 1: what I had it as, don't have any crazy value.
- 36:01Speaker 1: But we'll see as the week goes on here. I
- 36:04Speaker 1: can't see this being one of our five. The Eagles
- 36:06Speaker 1: are such an interesting team. They come out and play
- 36:08Speaker 1: great in the first series every single week, and then
- 36:12Speaker 1: it's like they can't make a single adjustment off of
- 36:15Speaker 1: the adjustments that the defenses make. They just don't know
- 36:18Speaker 1: what to do. And then at the end of the game,
- 36:19Speaker 1: when it's sort of a free for all and the
- 36:21Speaker 1: other team has let up the gas a little bit,
- 36:23Speaker 1: that's when they can finally come back and play. That's
- 36:25Speaker 1: how you know that that whoever is calling the place,
- 36:28Speaker 1: and I think it is Sirianni doesn't know what the
- 36:30Speaker 1: funk he's doing. No, And there's something to this, like
- 36:34Speaker 1: I don't want to be an agis in person. I
- 36:36Speaker 1: hate saying like older guys should have these kind of jobs.
- 36:39Speaker 1: This feels like such a typical situation for this Eagles team,
- 36:42Speaker 1: where they got a young DC, they got a young
- 36:45Speaker 1: head coach. All the guys in this coaching group, we're
- 36:47Speaker 1: all a bunch of young guys. They completely seem like
- 36:49Speaker 1: they're out of their element here, like they just they're
- 36:51Speaker 1: just not into it. Where you see these other teams
- 36:53Speaker 1: they hire these guys who've been around the block. Yeah,
- 36:56Speaker 1: they might do some stupid old timey stuff, but they
- 36:58Speaker 1: just get it. They get football, they get certain things
- 37:01Speaker 1: and different schemes you need to run. So I do
- 37:03Speaker 1: look at this Egos team that that they might be
- 37:05Speaker 1: a one and done. This coaching staff. I love that
- 37:09Speaker 1: you're willing to support the old people. I'm all about
- 37:13Speaker 1: old people, man, I I I've learned. I've learned, especially
- 37:16Speaker 1: in the sports betting world, age truly is wisdom. There.
- 37:19Speaker 1: They might say some stuff you disagree with, you think
- 37:21Speaker 1: they're stupid, but if you just shut up, and listen.
- 37:24Speaker 1: You'll learn these guys usually know what they're talking about.
- 37:27Speaker 1: That's why they've been in this industry so long. So
- 37:29Speaker 1: that is definitely something I try to pass along to people,
- 37:31Speaker 1: is that you might think you have all the answers,
- 37:33Speaker 1: and you might think you know what you're talking about,
- 37:36Speaker 1: you probably don't. I am more confident and less in
- 37:44Speaker 1: the need to prove it at fifty than I ever
- 37:48Speaker 1: was at thirty. That's fact. I'm always trying even even
- 37:52Speaker 1: when I made it, I'm still trying to prove it.
- 37:54Speaker 1: So it's definitely a different mindset. It is. It totally
- 37:57Speaker 1: is Los Angeles Rams at Houston Texans. The Texas are
- 38:02Speaker 1: fourteen and a half point dogs. They gave it a
- 38:04Speaker 1: go against the Cardinals. That was a game where in
- 38:07Speaker 1: the first half they tried so hard they really did.
- 38:11Speaker 1: Do we think to Rod Taylor is going to play
- 38:13Speaker 1: this week because that changes the calculus on this handicap
- 38:17Speaker 1: for sure. If he's playing, people guarantee you this is one.
- 38:20Speaker 1: I mean Chad's five. We you have to go look
- 38:24Speaker 1: back at the earlier year his splits with this team.
- 38:27Speaker 1: I think they have one more touchdown. He played only
- 38:29Speaker 1: a game and a half. They've only scored one more
- 38:31Speaker 1: touchdown in the six weeks he's been out. Then the
- 38:35Speaker 1: game and a half he played, he he he made
- 38:38Speaker 1: this offense go. And I would love for him to
- 38:41Speaker 1: come back because that sparks some life into this team.
- 38:44Speaker 1: I love it if it stays at four team, when
- 38:46Speaker 1: he comes back in our contest or one of our five,
- 38:49Speaker 1: I love, love, love Houston in this position. But if not,
- 38:55Speaker 1: then we pass. Even though it's a massive, massive home underdog.
- 39:00Speaker 1: I'm done lighting money off fire for Davis Mills. I can't.
- 39:02Speaker 1: I can't do it anymore. Hey, at least you got
- 39:04Speaker 1: his name right. Yeah, there we go, Like he he
- 39:07Speaker 1: paid me out for that Patriots game. He should have
- 39:09Speaker 1: won that game. I would forever been in love with
- 39:11Speaker 1: the guy. He didn't. I should have learned right then
- 39:13Speaker 1: and there. This guy is a complete joke. But no
- 39:17Speaker 1: can I will not be betting him as a big
- 39:18Speaker 1: dog again this week. Well tell me why speaking to
- 39:23Speaker 1: the Patriots because I don't want to spend too much
- 39:25Speaker 1: time on the Texas in the Rams. It's so weird though,
- 39:30Speaker 1: like a couple of years ago, we wouldn't have even
- 39:32Speaker 1: hesitated on a lot of these games. As dogs, the
- 39:36Speaker 1: Lions at three and a half um, the Taxans at
- 39:39Speaker 1: fourteen and a half, Like it wouldn't even have been
- 39:43Speaker 1: a conversation the Jets, you know, say, what was Zach
- 39:47Speaker 1: Wilson like not even hesitating on some of these huge
- 39:50Speaker 1: home dogs. The calculus and all this has changed the
- 39:53Speaker 1: past few years a little bit. I mean I still
- 39:56Speaker 1: skew towards home dogs, but I've been trying to go
- 40:01Speaker 1: with the times here, Like the public is dominating, so
- 40:03Speaker 1: there's sometimes where it's like I'm getting crazy value I
- 40:05Speaker 1: but I need to take a step back and think
- 40:07Speaker 1: to myself, Man, they're just not covering. And that's what's
- 40:11Speaker 1: been happening this year. These these dogs just aren't covering
- 40:13Speaker 1: against these really chalk favorites. You're revolving. I adjust with
- 40:17Speaker 1: the times, whatever has happened. I try to adjust with
- 40:19Speaker 1: what's happening. That's how you stay modern and relevant. I
- 40:23Speaker 1: learned that on TikTok, New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers.
- 40:28Speaker 1: The Chargers five and a half point favorites. They're off
- 40:31Speaker 1: of by they got slacked the last time we saw them,
- 40:34Speaker 1: which was a totally smashed spot for the Rabits. I
- 40:37Speaker 1: think we you and I were aligned on that from
- 40:40Speaker 1: the second. No, we weren't. Actually I loved it. You
- 40:43Speaker 1: were afraid of it because you're a coward, and you're young,
- 40:45Speaker 1: and you don't have the confidence and wisdom of age.
- 40:48Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, professional coward. I take the Chargers all day here.
- 40:54Speaker 1: Of course, of course we love the Chargers here. Mac
- 40:58Speaker 1: Jones on the road after big fifty point when at
- 41:01Speaker 1: home against the Jets. I love the faded position here.
- 41:04Speaker 1: We take the Chargers not just because they're off of
- 41:07Speaker 1: bye but because this is probably peak peak value um
- 41:12Speaker 1: where everyone's just the public is just feeling great about
- 41:15Speaker 1: this Patriots team. So as long as it stays under
- 41:18Speaker 1: six six and a half, again we talked about that's
- 41:20Speaker 1: such a key number. We got no issue taking the
- 41:23Speaker 1: Chargers team. The only fear is the fourth down regression man.
- 41:27Speaker 1: That was bad against the Ravens last time they played.
- 41:29Speaker 1: They could not get picked up a fourth down. So
- 41:32Speaker 1: it's always a little scary with back on the Chargers team.
- 41:34Speaker 1: But after a bye week and I get right spot
- 41:37Speaker 1: this because this is one of these we're probably betting
- 41:40Speaker 1: on comes Sunday. Yeah, I don't know why. Why wouldn't
- 41:45Speaker 1: everybody see this, Like, how is this not one of
- 41:48Speaker 1: those things that everyone is is gonna notice? Do you
- 41:51Speaker 1: know what I mean? It's it's a team that was
- 41:53Speaker 1: pretty public and people were pretty excited about before they
- 41:57Speaker 1: lost to the Ravens. We we recognize what was happening. Um,
- 42:02Speaker 1: the bets on the Chargers of the money, it feels
- 42:07Speaker 1: like the bookmakers made a bad line. That's it's a
- 42:11Speaker 1: good line. It's honestly, it's because the Patriots can run
- 42:14Speaker 1: the ball, and we've seen it with this Chargers team.
- 42:15Speaker 1: They can be rain on. So I get why they
- 42:18Speaker 1: hung it. I can see, Like again, I watched the
- 42:21Speaker 1: money come in on it. It seems a couple of
- 42:22Speaker 1: pros have hit this with the Patriots. But I just again,
- 42:27Speaker 1: I think they're thinking themselves. You know what, The public's
- 42:29Speaker 1: gon overvalue the Chargers team because, like you just said it,
- 42:31Speaker 1: for that Ravens team, there are people's favorite team to
- 42:34Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. People are really hyping them up.
- 42:36Speaker 1: So um, it's it's a fair number to me, as
- 42:40Speaker 1: long as it's below six. Again, that's that's such a
- 42:42Speaker 1: key number nowadays, six is a key number. More games
- 42:45Speaker 1: landing on sixth and seven. It's the new six? Is
- 42:47Speaker 1: the new seven? It really is. The Jaguars finally won
- 42:51Speaker 1: a game. Uh. They are now on the road at
- 42:53Speaker 1: the reeling free losses in a row Seattle Seahawks. Jacksonville
- 42:58Speaker 1: Jaguars at Seattle Seahawks. Gino Smith. I saw us stat
- 43:03Speaker 1: following at Action Network gags Q six and one against
- 43:06Speaker 1: the spread and primetime games in his career, which is
- 43:09Speaker 1: amazing because I can't believe he's played seven primetime games.
- 43:12Speaker 1: Um uh, since he hasn't played a game in eight
- 43:16Speaker 1: years until this past year, until these past few weeks.
- 43:19Speaker 1: Three and a half points Seahawks at home? Oh, Gino
- 43:23Speaker 1: Smith the greatest West Virginia quarterback ever? Uh yeah, guys,
- 43:28Speaker 1: unbelievable against the spread? Hate this number? I hate. I
- 43:31Speaker 1: have to take the Jacks. Why are they doing this
- 43:32Speaker 1: to me? Chat? Why? Uh? Coming off a bye week,
- 43:40Speaker 1: Urbans had his time with the bar with that blonde girl. Okay,
- 43:43Speaker 1: they've had their downtime. Now they're getting right this week.
- 43:47Speaker 1: I don't know what to do, Like, it's three and
- 43:50Speaker 1: a half too horrible teams? How do I not take
- 43:52Speaker 1: the ugly three and a half dog? The public will
- 43:56Speaker 1: be coming in heavy on Seahawks. Everyone hates the Jaguars,
- 44:00Speaker 1: hate that I have to bet the Jaguars. So I'm
- 44:03Speaker 1: not gonna make it anywhere like Foxhill any of that stuff,
- 44:05Speaker 1: because I can't do it anymore with the fans of
- 44:07Speaker 1: the show. But yes, Jags three and a half, Jags
- 44:11Speaker 1: money line, I'll be bet in all of it. We're
- 44:13Speaker 1: gonna have to go into the Foxhill with somebody, buddy, Oh,
- 44:16Speaker 1: it's coming up by far. The Jack Seahawks is the
- 44:21Speaker 1: corner TV game. Like I I thought there were no
- 44:24Speaker 1: bets on this Carolina Falcons game. Forget it, this Jack
- 44:28Speaker 1: Seahawks game. Nobody wants a piece of it. You're messing out.
- 44:32Speaker 1: I I really do think Jack a good spot here.
- 44:37Speaker 1: That's the most disgusting thing you've ever said to me,
- 44:39Speaker 1: and off the air you have said some pretty disgusting
- 44:41Speaker 1: things to me. I think this game might go higher.
- 44:46Speaker 1: Do you think it'll go above three and a half?
- 44:48Speaker 1: It could because like public is gonna come in, so
- 44:50Speaker 1: have you. Like, no one likes bend the Jaguars again.
- 44:53Speaker 1: Every time we take them. It's literally a hundred mentions
- 44:56Speaker 1: each time, people yelling at me because they just hate
- 44:58Speaker 1: betting the Jaguars. I get it, they're awful, but this
- 45:02Speaker 1: numbers over valued. We've seen the Seahawks team has yet
- 45:06Speaker 1: to win without Russell Wilson. So you're giving me three
- 45:08Speaker 1: and a half with an ugly dog. I gotta take it.
- 45:12Speaker 1: Buccaneers qb QT, Tom Terrific, Tom loves Tuddies visiting the Saints.
- 45:21Speaker 1: Saints are five point underdogs at home. This is a
- 45:26Speaker 1: dreadful team. Really, like you're you're seeing what a brilliant
- 45:32Speaker 1: coach Sean Payton is. Difference between Sean Payton and Kyle Shanahan.
- 45:35Speaker 1: Sean Payton, you're getting shitty quarterbacks. He's still finding ways
- 45:38Speaker 1: to win. Kyle Shannahan, you're getting shretty quarterbacks. He's getting
- 45:41Speaker 1: credit for his team looking good but not actually winning.
- 45:44Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints. If I've learned
- 45:49Speaker 1: anything in my life, this is the kind of time
- 45:52Speaker 1: you get everybody named Chat and you're hopping a foxhel
- 45:54Speaker 1: and you bet the Saints. Let's clide down into the foxhole.
- 46:03Speaker 1: We gotta bet this, buddy. Come on, you cannot be
- 46:06Speaker 1: telling me we're jumping into the foxhole with Tom Hanks
- 46:10Speaker 1: and everybody else, and we're gonna try to save Jameis
- 46:13Speaker 1: Winston and the New Orleans Saints as home underdogs in
- 46:17Speaker 1: this spot. You've allowed no time for analysis or decision making.
- 46:21Speaker 1: Can we get serious now? Saints look absolutely horrible last night.
- 46:25Speaker 1: They couldn't do anything right. Tampa Bay just won by
- 46:28Speaker 1: thirty odd points. They've never looked better. Tom's never looked better.
- 46:32Speaker 1: They're getting guys back this week. They're getting they should
- 46:35Speaker 1: be getting a b back. Maybe Gronk will be back. Man.
- 46:38Speaker 1: The public is going to love, love, love, love love.
- 46:42Speaker 1: Tampa had this number three and a half. I saw
- 46:45Speaker 1: it open. I think a four or four and a half.
- 46:47Speaker 1: Who sports books are gonna be getting hammered on this
- 46:51Speaker 1: Tampa line, So I get it. People. You've you've been
- 46:55Speaker 1: killing it the last three or four weeks, just absolutely
- 46:57Speaker 1: killing the sports books. This screams trap. Everything about this
- 47:01Speaker 1: line is a trap. Everyone's gonna have this in their
- 47:03Speaker 1: money line, parlay all third in their teasers across the zero.
- 47:06Speaker 1: They didn't care. Everyone's been Tampa this week. Chad, you
- 47:11Speaker 1: gotta just hold your nose and bet New Orleans here.
- 47:13Speaker 1: You gotta trust this number Tampa if they win this game.
- 47:16Speaker 1: They winning by a field goal. They're not blowing the
- 47:18Speaker 1: Saints team out. The Saints last year they matched up
- 47:21Speaker 1: so well both times against the Buccaneers. So everything that
- 47:25Speaker 1: the Saints do well in defense, it counteracts what this
- 47:28Speaker 1: Tampa Bay team does well on offense. So love, love
- 47:31Speaker 1: this number. As long as stays above four, I'm happy
- 47:34Speaker 1: to take it. Well, that's what I was gonna say, Like,
- 47:37Speaker 1: the Buccaneers have not played a defense like this so
- 47:43Speaker 1: far this year. The Eagles, they were pretty much dominating
- 47:47Speaker 1: that game. The Dolphins are terrible. The Patriots are the
- 47:51Speaker 1: one team where they had a struggle. They didn't they
- 47:53Speaker 1: didn't cover the motion on the road though, That's what
- 47:55Speaker 1: we're about to go through it. It's on the road
- 47:57Speaker 1: is where we're seeing Tampa have trouble. They lost to
- 48:00Speaker 1: the Rams on the road. Uh, I think you're right. No,
- 48:06Speaker 1: it is like I've had multiple people reach out to
- 48:08Speaker 1: me about that, and that was why I was so
- 48:10Speaker 1: heavy on Tampa last week. Now, it was just because
- 48:11Speaker 1: of the Baron matchup. They've just played really well at
- 48:14Speaker 1: home and on the road they play close, stinky games,
- 48:18Speaker 1: ugly games. I mean, we just talked about Eagles are
- 48:20Speaker 1: horrible Eagles back door tough. So it's I don't think
- 48:24Speaker 1: the Saints are as terrible as the Eagles, so I
- 48:27Speaker 1: do again, I think you're getting a good number here people.
- 48:29Speaker 1: It's I I understand. It's That's why I try to
- 48:31Speaker 1: tell people the less you watch a football the easier
- 48:34Speaker 1: it is that bet this, because after watching that game
- 48:36Speaker 1: last night, it's really hard to convince people you have
- 48:39Speaker 1: to bet the Saints here, but you do. This is
- 48:42Speaker 1: a perfect spot to take this team. I love your courage.
- 48:46Speaker 1: I'm going in where the foxhol cover me, cover me.
- 48:52Speaker 1: Washington football team at Denver Broncos. The Washington football team
- 48:57Speaker 1: three point dogs. Gross, so gross. I don't know, like
- 49:03Speaker 1: made this line three or I think I'm at a
- 49:05Speaker 1: two and a half. So I guess I could say
- 49:08Speaker 1: the values on the Washington football team. But I hate
- 49:11Speaker 1: this nine. Like if I'm gonna bet Teddy, I went
- 49:13Speaker 1: Teddy being underdog and I want to be a favorite
- 49:14Speaker 1: at home. And I feel like that was that there
- 49:18Speaker 1: gave everything Washington last week with the Green Bay they
- 49:21Speaker 1: couldn't even cover I mean bad, just a bad team.
- 49:25Speaker 1: So no no real feeling on this game. I'd probably
- 49:27Speaker 1: just stay away the other game that we wrote about
- 49:31Speaker 1: an Action network dot com. I wrote, I said, in
- 49:33Speaker 1: the beginning, we had two games from weekend that we
- 49:36Speaker 1: were betting right away. The Steelers against the Browns was one,
- 49:41Speaker 1: and we like the Steelers. The Cowboys at the Vikings
- 49:45Speaker 1: is the other, and we bet the Cowboys. What say you,
- 49:49Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings, You fools? Of course I
- 49:56Speaker 1: love the Vikings Vikings at Home as an underdog. You
- 50:00Speaker 1: bet this every time, people. I believe in Zimmer's career,
- 50:02Speaker 1: it's hitting it over sixty seven front sixty seven percent.
- 50:05Speaker 1: Clip Vikings at Home as a dog every prime time.
- 50:09Speaker 1: They're getting less than ten percent of the bet less
- 50:11Speaker 1: ten percent of the money. Love love, love, love love again.
- 50:15Speaker 1: I'm telling you people, this is the trap week. They're
- 50:18Speaker 1: they're getting all their money back this week Las Vegas.
- 50:21Speaker 1: They've they've been given it away to you in jobs.
- 50:24Speaker 1: This is a get right week for them. Everyone of
- 50:26Speaker 1: their grandma is gonna have their parley tied to this
- 50:28Speaker 1: bet on Sunday and night. Everyone's gonna end their night
- 50:30Speaker 1: with cowboys money line cowboys that cover this number. God,
- 50:34Speaker 1: I hate doing it. Um. If it wasn't for the Colts.
- 50:37Speaker 1: This would be my biggest bet of the week. I
- 50:38Speaker 1: I love the Vikings. You're kidding me? Yeah, and again
- 50:43Speaker 1: the Cowboys are undefeated a t S two. It's everything
- 50:46Speaker 1: just points to you. Take Minnesota here. Like again, I
- 50:50Speaker 1: bet Cowboys went Super Bowl. I think they're a great team.
- 50:52Speaker 1: Trap spot. This is a classic trap spot. They're gonna
- 50:55Speaker 1: be getting all the love and a prime time matchup here.
- 50:59Speaker 1: So I can't tell you how much I do love
- 51:01Speaker 1: this Minnesota matchup. But is there other than this situation.
- 51:06Speaker 1: It's a great situation. Outside of the situation, you gotta
- 51:09Speaker 1: look at the analysis. Is there anything in the analysis
- 51:11Speaker 1: that says, oh yeah, this makes sense the Vikings like
- 51:15Speaker 1: takeaway any success the Cowboys had. Look at the bad
- 51:18Speaker 1: luck the Vikings have had a little bit of that. No,
- 51:22Speaker 1: they're a little bit of that. I mean the number
- 51:23Speaker 1: is if you want to get into it, it's honestly
- 51:25Speaker 1: about the run metrics with you know, Dalvi McCook at
- 51:28Speaker 1: home and this run style against this Cowboys team, which
- 51:31Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to run it on. Also the Cowboys,
- 51:34Speaker 1: it's regression, like their turnover rate, it's absurd, like digs
- 51:39Speaker 1: every other game is how to pick six. That's just
- 51:41Speaker 1: not sustainable. We've never seen anything like that NFL history. Doc.
- 51:45Speaker 1: I know he's playing out of his mind. That's the
- 51:47Speaker 1: only fear in this matchup where all the stats point
- 51:50Speaker 1: towards Doc like he's in an MVP season. His team's
- 51:53Speaker 1: down by a touch inner two, you really don't have
- 51:55Speaker 1: any fear because Dack's gonna come back. Like they have
- 51:57Speaker 1: arguably the three best receivers on football. So if you're
- 52:00Speaker 1: just looking at the math on paper, it's a good line.
- 52:03Speaker 1: I had this line of two. It's two and a half. Now,
- 52:05Speaker 1: that's that's a good number by the books, but man,
- 52:09Speaker 1: it's it just screams trap. Everything I look at on
- 52:12Speaker 1: paper that's just screams a trap. So I have to
- 52:14Speaker 1: trust my sticks here and take this Minnesota team at home. Well,
- 52:19Speaker 1: do you know, if for no other reason, I love
- 52:21Speaker 1: when we take the Minnesota Vikings so I can sing
- 52:27Speaker 1: We've got the Minnesota Vikings. I know it's our Thursday show,
- 52:33Speaker 1: but I'll save it for Thursday. I'll save it. Chat
- 52:37Speaker 1: is a heart out. I got a heart out. Dude.
- 52:41Speaker 1: You're so media. Listen to you, You're so media. All
- 52:44Speaker 1: of a sudden. Last game on the board the Monday
- 52:46Speaker 1: night game New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs. The
- 53:00Speaker 1: Giants are ten point underdogs against the get right Kansas
- 53:06Speaker 1: City Chiefs. Every fiber in my body wants to fade
- 53:09Speaker 1: the Giants, like after a big win at home, not
- 53:12Speaker 1: even a close one they blew out Carolina. But we
- 53:16Speaker 1: can't do it, Chad, how do we keep how do
- 53:18Speaker 1: we how do we make money? Here? All we do
- 53:20Speaker 1: is bet against the Chiefs. It's been serving us so
- 53:22Speaker 1: well the last two years. We can't stop doing it. Yeah,
- 53:25Speaker 1: there's nothing about me that wants to bet against that
- 53:27Speaker 1: wants to bet against the Giants here. It feels like
- 53:30Speaker 1: Daniel Jones obviously last week at home. There's always that story.
- 53:34Speaker 1: Bet him on the road, bet against him at home.
- 53:37Speaker 1: I'm never like a huge believer in those systems. I
- 53:40Speaker 1: don't find there's anything tangible there um, But I do
- 53:44Speaker 1: think this is the right spot for the Giants, Like
- 53:45Speaker 1: they're just not They shouldn't be ten point underdogs. This
- 53:48Speaker 1: Chiefs team that just isn't very good right now. That's
- 53:50Speaker 1: the biggest thing that goes Who who the hell are
- 53:52Speaker 1: the Chiefs to be fair by that many points. Um. Again,
- 53:56Speaker 1: we could get unlucky and they could have them melt
- 53:57Speaker 1: down the Giants in the second half, just like Washington didn't.
- 54:00Speaker 1: Washington did at home against his chief's team. But you
- 54:03Speaker 1: can't bet on that kind of stuff. You have to
- 54:04Speaker 1: bet on what you're looking at. If you're just looking
- 54:06Speaker 1: at pure numbers and value, this number at most should
- 54:09Speaker 1: be six. You're getting three and a half points of
- 54:11Speaker 1: value with the Giants here. So yeah, I love the Giants.
- 54:16Speaker 1: That's just the fear, like you just talked about. It's
- 54:19Speaker 1: a stupid saying, but the numbers prove it out. He's
- 54:22Speaker 1: terrible at home. He's good on the road, Daniel Jones.
- 54:24Speaker 1: So if I wasn't looking at those splits, i'd have
- 54:27Speaker 1: no issues betterness. But you have to look at the
- 54:29Speaker 1: data and he's just not good at home. So I
- 54:32Speaker 1: do love this number, but it's not gonna be one
- 54:33Speaker 1: of my bigger belts. All right. Well, we've narrowed down
- 54:37Speaker 1: the board quite a bit. We got a bunch of
- 54:38Speaker 1: games that we're gonna be looking at um as we
- 54:42Speaker 1: head into Thursday. We're gonna keep an eye on the
- 54:45Speaker 1: Steelers and the Cleveland Browns. We are gonna keep an
- 54:51Speaker 1: eye maybe on uh, the Bengals and the Jets. Um
- 54:58Speaker 1: we love, Simon said, is go bet the Colts plus
- 55:01Speaker 1: one and a half. I've already done that on FanDuel
- 55:03Speaker 1: on my app while we recorded the show. We're gonna
- 55:08Speaker 1: do the Bears plus three and a half. You know,
- 55:11Speaker 1: that's just what we're gonna doing. We still like the
- 55:15Speaker 1: Chargers minus five and a half. We're on the fence
- 55:18Speaker 1: about the Eagles and Lines. I'm sure we'll pick that
- 55:20Speaker 1: one up. You're trying to convince me the jack to
- 55:22Speaker 1: the right side. We both love the Saints against the
- 55:25Speaker 1: Bucks at home, the Vikes plus two against Dallas, and
- 55:28Speaker 1: the Giants plus ten. It's gonna be harder to narrow
- 55:30Speaker 1: this down than we think. Like you just reading off
- 55:33Speaker 1: the list, it feels like a really good sharp week.
- 55:36Speaker 1: Like man, the public has had an incredible run your
- 55:38Speaker 1: last three or four weeks. The books know what they're doing.
- 55:41Speaker 1: They're laying traps. So I love the games you just
- 55:43Speaker 1: read off Weligh in some traps, what's our scooch roulette? Pick?
- 55:49Speaker 1: Time to take down the Hops? When all hope is lost,
- 55:54Speaker 1: all this left is relief. Well, let's play Scott. You
- 56:02Speaker 1: won last week. You had the packers eye of the Eagles,
- 56:05Speaker 1: so you get to make your choice. I mean I
- 56:10Speaker 1: like giving out layups. If people want to lay up,
- 56:12Speaker 1: take the Colts. It feels like the easiest bet on
- 56:14Speaker 1: the board. This week. I'm gonna show some courage. I
- 56:19Speaker 1: am gonna go with the New Orleans Saints. Wow. I
- 56:24Speaker 1: love it. As we discussed it, I loved it, loved it,
- 56:28Speaker 1: loved it, loved it. You're taking the Colts plus one
- 56:31Speaker 1: and a half against the Titans. I'm taking the Saints
- 56:34Speaker 1: plus five against the Bucks. Let's road in Monds and
- 56:38Speaker 1: play some Scooch Roulette. That's what we're doing. On Thursday.
- 56:42Speaker 1: We will narrow down the slate even further, talk about
- 56:45Speaker 1: the games that we liked that I just listed. We
- 56:47Speaker 1: will give out our big balls better the week we
- 56:49Speaker 1: did not do that we gave out Simon says. We'll
- 56:51Speaker 1: talk about our money line round Robin Parlay. We will
- 56:54Speaker 1: talk about survivor can't Wait. We'll talk about your lacrosse
- 56:58Speaker 1: career at West Virginia University for Simon Hunter. Hi m
- 57:03Speaker 1: Chad Millman. This has been the favorite podcast from the
- 57:07Speaker 1: Volume podcast Network. Download it from Apple podcasts from Spotify,
- 57:11Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts until Thursday. I Love you