Latest / What the Flux / David Jones gets a revamp | The $150 billion aftermath of Trump & Musk's break up| Hermès Australia bags a profitable year
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux. I'm Brett and.
- 0:07Speaker 2: I'm just in as Monday, the ninth of June.
- 0:09Speaker 1: No rest for us today, Juzzy boy. Now get this one.
- 0:12Speaker 1: Australia is officially back in a per capita recession. While
- 0:15Speaker 1: GDP increased in the March quarter by zero point two percent,
- 0:19Speaker 1: it dropped by zero point two percent per person or
- 0:22Speaker 1: per capita in that quarter. And while this sounds bad,
- 0:25Speaker 1: it's just a technical measure and it might actually be
- 0:27Speaker 1: helpful for the RBA if it wants to justify another.
- 0:30Speaker 2: Drop thingers crossby Man. Speaking of the RBA dropping cash rates, now,
- 0:33Speaker 2: we know that when the cash rate drops, all lenders
- 0:36Speaker 2: start clamoring your business once again, which is why it
- 0:38Speaker 2: is such a good time to look at refinancing your homelan.
- 0:41Speaker 2: We cover it all in the Flux app, including script
- 0:44Speaker 2: for negotiating your homelan. Make sure it download the Flux
- 0:46Speaker 2: app and check it out.
- 0:47Speaker 1: Three highly informative stories today, Juzzy boy, let's do it
- 0:50Speaker 1: for our first. David Jones is in the red again,
- 0:54Speaker 1: but its private equity owners are going all in with
- 0:56Speaker 1: a one hundred and ninety million dollar debt boost.
- 0:59Speaker 2: A modern gloves for a very old name, b Man,
- 1:01Speaker 2: So tell me more.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Well, David Jones was founded in eighteen thirty eight and
- 1:05Speaker 1: is the oldest department store in Australia.
- 1:06Speaker 2: Now you might remember it was acquired by Woolworth's Holdings,
- 1:09Speaker 2: a South African retailer, back in twenty fourteen for two
- 1:12Speaker 2: point one billion dollars.
- 1:13Speaker 1: Not the Woolworth's in Australia.
- 1:15Speaker 2: But be Man, it's fair to say Wooworth's Holdings, the
- 1:18Speaker 2: South African company, took it from coture to end of
- 1:21Speaker 2: season clearance racks. Yeah.
- 1:22Speaker 1: Then in twenty twenty two it was acquired by the
- 1:25Speaker 1: private equity company Anchorage Capital for one hundred million dollars.
- 1:28Speaker 2: And now David Jones is a private company, it doesn't
- 1:30Speaker 2: need to publicize its accounts anymore.
- 1:32Speaker 1: But filings with ACIK show that David Jones just slid
- 1:35Speaker 1: to a seventy four point four million dollar loss in
- 1:38Speaker 1: the twelve months to June twenty twenty.
- 1:40Speaker 2: Three, despite turning a two hundred and eighty nine million
- 1:43Speaker 2: dollar profit in the five months prior.
- 1:45Speaker 1: But Jaziboy Anchorage is not given up.
- 1:48Speaker 2: In fact, it's doubling down. Be Man, It's investing sixty
- 1:50Speaker 2: five million dollars into tech upgrades for David.
- 1:53Speaker 1: Jones on top of a one hundred ninety million dollar
- 1:55Speaker 1: debt facility.
- 1:56Speaker 2: And that is a lot of money going into a
- 1:58Speaker 2: company in a declining set of retail.
- 2:01Speaker 1: Yeah, so what is the key learning here?
- 2:02Speaker 2: The department store business model ain't what she used to be.
- 2:05Speaker 1: In fact, Juzzy Boy, over the last two decades, the
- 2:08Speaker 1: entire segment has been in structural decline.
- 2:10Speaker 2: Department stores once the crown jewels of retail.
- 2:14Speaker 1: For Juzzy Boy. Another example in the US, Barney's New
- 2:16Speaker 1: York shut down in twenty nineteen after nearly a century
- 2:20Speaker 1: of selling luxury clothes.
- 2:21Speaker 2: Then there was Lord and Taylor, another department store in
- 2:24Speaker 2: the US, the shutdown after one hundred and ninety five years.
- 2:26Speaker 1: And Hudson's Bay, one of the oldest department stores in
- 2:28Speaker 1: the world, closed ninety six stores just last week.
- 2:31Speaker 2: Then we've got Macy's in Nordstroam. They've both shrunked their
- 2:34Speaker 2: store footprint and pivoted heavily to e commerce.
- 2:36Speaker 1: So David Jones isn't just facing a bad quarter. It's
- 2:39Speaker 1: up against a global shift in how people shop, and.
- 2:42Speaker 2: The man history suggests that not everyone makes it through.
- 2:45Speaker 1: For our second story, Tesla saw one hundred and fifty
- 2:48Speaker 1: billion US dollars wiped from its value a late last
- 2:51Speaker 1: week after Elon Musk and Donald Trump's bromance was officially over.
- 2:56Speaker 2: This could be bigger than Chris Rock and Will Smith
- 2:58Speaker 2: be Man. He's potentially more bruisy, So tell me more.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Well, juzzy boy. We know that Elon is the founder
- 3:03Speaker 1: of Tesla and part time internet troll YEP.
- 3:05Speaker 2: He's been a key part of Tesla's two hundred and
- 3:07Speaker 2: twenty x growth since it listed on the Nasdaq in
- 3:10Speaker 2: twenty ten, and late last year, when President Donald Trump
- 3:13Speaker 2: was re elected as the forty seventh president, Tesla investors
- 3:16Speaker 2: were frothened. That was because Trump and Musk were in
- 3:19Speaker 2: full bromance mode.
- 3:20Speaker 1: But as basically we all predicted, this brotherhood has come
- 3:24Speaker 1: to a very swift ending. After Musk criticized Trump's new Big, Bad,
- 3:28Speaker 1: Beautiful Bill yep.
- 3:29Speaker 2: Musk claimed it undid all of his doge government spending carts.
- 3:33Speaker 1: Then Trump tweeted back that Musk had Trump derangement syndrome,
- 3:37Speaker 1: and then.
- 3:38Speaker 2: There was a live tweeting match between the two of them, or.
- 3:40Speaker 1: As we like to call it insult Tennis.
- 3:42Speaker 2: Next minute, Tesla's share price filled fourteen percent.
- 3:45Speaker 1: And Juzzy boy. The worry isn't just brused egos here,
- 3:48Speaker 1: there's fear for what this may mean for Tesla.
- 3:51Speaker 2: Yeah. Trump even signaled he may terminate government contracts with
- 3:54Speaker 2: all of Musk's companies.
- 3:56Speaker 1: So it's no surprise that Tesla had its biggest one
- 3:58Speaker 1: day fall ever.
- 4:00Speaker 2: So what is the key leading here?
- 4:01Speaker 1: When you're trying to build the future of any industry,
- 4:03Speaker 1: it does pay to stay friendly with the current government.
- 4:06Speaker 2: Aka the people writing the laws.
- 4:09Speaker 1: For example, Jazi Boyd, Tesla has been heavily fueled by
- 4:11Speaker 1: government love over the years.
- 4:13Speaker 2: Electric vehicle buyers received subsidies which help drive sales for
- 4:16Speaker 2: Tesla cars.
- 4:17Speaker 1: There were favorable conditions for Tesla as Trump pushed tariffs
- 4:20Speaker 1: on European and Chinese electric vehicle makers.
- 4:23Speaker 2: And then there have been big procurement deals like Tesla's
- 4:26Speaker 2: supplying government fleets.
- 4:27Speaker 1: They're on top of that, Tesla investors were hoping for
- 4:30Speaker 1: more loose regulation around self driving technology, and.
- 4:33Speaker 2: That's why Tesla's share price jumped nearly fifteen percent when
- 4:35Speaker 2: Trump was first elected.
- 4:37Speaker 1: And Tesla's share price jumped sixty two percent in the
- 4:40Speaker 1: thirty days after the election.
- 4:41Speaker 2: But all of this can go in an instant when
- 4:43Speaker 2: the bromance breaks.
- 4:44Speaker 1: Up, and if Trump creates more difficult conditions for Tesla,
- 4:47Speaker 1: it could chip away at Tesla's future revenue and market share.
- 4:50Speaker 1: For our third and final Storymez Australia is defying the
- 4:55Speaker 1: rise in cost of living after records says in Australia
- 4:58Speaker 1: because many people just can't stop buying damn Burken bags.
- 5:01Speaker 2: While some people are cutting back on brunch, be men.
- 5:03Speaker 2: Ermez customers are splashing four thousand dollars on a phone case.
- 5:06Speaker 2: So what is going on here?
- 5:07Speaker 1: Well? Ermez was founded in eighteen thirty seven in Paris
- 5:11Speaker 1: and is known for its ultra luxury handbags, silk scarves
- 5:14Speaker 1: and its leather goods justin Boy.
- 5:15Speaker 2: And of course the famously unattainable Burken bag.
- 5:19Speaker 1: We'd be talking ranging from thirty thousand dollars to five
- 5:23Speaker 1: hundred thousand US dollars.
- 5:24Speaker 2: And be man who said cost of living crisis because
- 5:26Speaker 2: it certainly wasn't Umez customers.
- 5:28Speaker 1: We'll get this one. Ermez Australia racked up five hundred
- 5:31Speaker 1: and seventy eight million dollars in revenue in twenty twenty four,
- 5:34Speaker 1: and that.
- 5:34Speaker 2: Was a jump of twenty one percent from twenty twenty three.
- 5:37Speaker 1: Doll made one hundred and four point five million dollars
- 5:39Speaker 1: per Rofferini.
- 5:40Speaker 2: And b Man. Ermez has more than doubled its revenue
- 5:42Speaker 2: in Australia in just the last four years.
- 5:44Speaker 1: While other luxury brands are slowing down globally, Ermez continues
- 5:48Speaker 1: to ride high because.
- 5:48Speaker 2: Luxury isn't dead. It's just very very exclusive.
- 5:52Speaker 1: Interesting call. So what would you say is the key
- 5:54Speaker 1: learning here?
- 5:55Speaker 2: Most products get less desirable the more expensive they are,
- 5:58Speaker 2: but some luxury goods operate in.
- 5:59Speaker 1: A different world, into the concept of a veblen good,
- 6:03Speaker 1: a type of product where demand actually increases as the
- 6:06Speaker 1: price increases.
- 6:07Speaker 2: The more exclusive and price it is, the more people
- 6:09Speaker 2: want it. In fact, the man Ames controls supply so
- 6:12Speaker 2: tightly the buyers often have to build up a purchase
- 6:15Speaker 2: history just to be offered a bag.
- 6:17Speaker 1: And not only are Ome's bags a status symbol, but
- 6:20Speaker 1: supposedly they're also a good investment as well.
- 6:22Speaker 2: Amezz's burken bags had an average annual increase in value
- 6:25Speaker 2: of fourteen point two percent between nineteen eighty and twenty fifteen.
- 6:29Speaker 1: That outperformed the S and P five hundred, which returned
- 6:31Speaker 1: an average of ten percent. So not only do Burke
- 6:33Speaker 1: and buyers get to sling a little bit of luxury
- 6:36Speaker 1: on their shoulder, but they get to sell it for
- 6:38Speaker 1: a great return.
- 6:39Speaker 2: If they ever take it off. Yep, Flex Am refinance
- 6:42Speaker 2: your homeland can say thousands of dollars every single year,
- 6:45Speaker 2: but the biggest thing we hear from the flexdam is
- 6:46Speaker 2: how do I even do it? That's why we've broken
- 6:48Speaker 2: it down in the Flux app. Make sure to check
- 6:50Speaker 2: it out in the Flex app to renegotiate your homeland.
- 6:52Speaker 1: Thanks for listening and we'll see you on Wednesday.