Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 3622 Here’s What REALLY Happened in the NY, NJ, and VA ELECTIONS!!!

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Ep. 3622 Here’s What REALLY Happened in the NY, NJ, and VA ELECTIONS!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: Ouch!
• 0:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean!
• 0:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: Ouch, that freaking hurt what happened yesterday was a gut punch, no question.
• 0:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: It was brutal.
• 0:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: I ain't got a sugar coat this and I just want to dive right in here gang because we could see the problem as clear as day.
• 0:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's the good news.
• 0:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: We actually know what happened yesterday.
• 0:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's absolutely clear all the data points in one direction.
• 0:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to show it to you.
• 0:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: we can most certainly fix this in time for the midterms, but we need to make sure we really understand what really happened yesterday.
• 1:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thank god it happened now, and not in 2026, it was a godson that we were given this election yesterday to show us exactly where we need to put our house in order.
• 1:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, seriously can you imagine if we were caught that off guard in the midterms?
• 1:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean,
• 1:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: So talk about a blessing in disguise.
• 1:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Let's start by putting all of this in context, all right?
• 1:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: What happened yesterday and what?
• 1:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: And what we cannot lose sight of?
• 1:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: was that four solid blue states, New York, New Jersey, Virginia, and California.
• 1:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: And I would even include Connecticut in that, Connecticut, and that my old stomping grounds, Connecticut at a several local races yesterday.
• 1:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: So five solid blue states that all voted for Kamala in 2024 continued to double down on their left wing absurdities.
• 1:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: Okay, don't lose sight of that.
• 2:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's exactly what Stephen Cruiser of at PJ Media pointed out this morning.
• 2:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: Yes, it was a brutal defeat for the GOP, but my stomach ain't gonna be twisted in the knots because people who voted to send the country down the leftist toilet last year are continuing to do so.
• 2:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Woke progressive liberal states are going to fulfill their job description.
• 2:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: By contrast, Texas had an election yesterday as well.
• 2:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: Nobody seemed to be noticing this.
• 2:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: Texas had an election.
• 2:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: It was a ballot initiative on a constitutional amendment requiring proof of citizenship for all voters gang it passed overwhelmingly.
• 2:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: While at the same time, over in Democrat infested Maine, they actually rejected voter ID requirements.
• 2:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: So again, big picture here, red states are gonna do red.
• 2:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: Blue states are gonna do blue.
• 2:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: There's no way around our nation has become a polarized red blue standoff and the good news is that there's more red states than blue states.
• 3:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's why for four years, they were trying desperately to import millions of new voters in the Southern border.
• 3:13
  [SPEAKER_00]: They know they are in the minority at a national level.
• 3:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: They know that.
• 3:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: So that's the big picture, the aerial view as it were of what happened yesterday.
• 3:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: Blue states went all in on their blueness and then some.
• 3:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: But if we look more closely at the data, we can see how Republican weakness in blue states actually extended and almost collateral damage like fashion into purple states like Pennsylvania
• 3:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: all three of their liberal judges on the Supreme Court, but Democrats flipped to Georgia Public Service Commission seats for the first time in decades.
• 3:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's an office that's specific to Georgia, and it's been dominated by Republicans for two decades.
• 4:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: So we actually, we saw the fallout from yesterday extend beyond the borders of blue states.
• 4:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: And, and this was the big one as well.
• 4:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: We'll need to be talking about this in the coming weeks.
• 4:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: The polls once again blew it.
• 4:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: The polls blew and we're talking even some of the best pollsters out there.
• 4:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: And then ironically, they blew it in favor of the Republicans.
• 4:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's definitely something you don't normally see.
• 4:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: The New Jersey governor's race, which we've been very closely tracking.
• 4:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: We've been getting on the ground data from
• 4:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: all the polling showed that the race was a dead heat.
• 4:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: It was well within the margin of error.
• 4:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: We're talking trafog or we're talking atlas intel, quantum insights, they all predicted that this was going to go down to the wire.
• 4:54
  [SPEAKER_00]: And when it was all over, Democrat Mikey Cheryl trounced Jack by 13 points.
• 5:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: Jack should have really, of course, by 13 points.
• 5:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, it was a blood and Virginia, who's even worse, the Democrat, Spanberger, ultimately won by a whopping 15 points.
• 5:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: And ironically, ironically, that is precise will provide the data and the key demographics for understanding what really happened yesterday.
• 5:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, this
• 5:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: This was a godsend, in terms of us realizing this now so we can prepare for the mid-terms and crush the Democrats one year from now.
• 5:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: What we saw particularly in New Jersey.
• 5:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: was almost an exact replica, an exact replay of what happened in that Wisconsin Supreme Court race that took place several months back.
• 5:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: You remember this is the one that Elon got really involved in.
• 6:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: And if it was a race, you have to get elected to their state Supreme Court, and it was a race with Republican Brad Schimmel, and he got massive turnout.
• 6:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: He actually got more votes than the Democrat candidate got back in their previous Supreme Court election a year earlier when the Democrat beat the Republican by 11 points.
• 6:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: So we knew we had 11 point deficit going into that race and Brad Schimmel, the Republican overcame that 11 point deficit.
• 6:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: in the same way, Jack should really actually got more votes than the Democrat film Murphy got back in 2021, the last time Jack ran.
• 6:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: So Jack crushed it with Republican trying, he did exactly what he needed to do, just like Schimmel in Wisconsin.
• 6:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: Crushed it with Republican turnout, did exactly what he needed to do.
• 6:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: So what happened?
• 6:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: What's the problem?
• 7:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: Well, the problem, like we saw in Wisconsin, the Democrats came out just as much.
• 7:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: They met the Republicans vote for vote.
• 7:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: But then here's the key.
• 7:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: They were able to turn out left-leaning independence.
• 7:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: If it was just Democrat turnout versus Republican turnout, Republicans would have probably what?
• 7:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: They would have pulled it off.
• 7:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: But Democrats amassed a coalition with left-leaning independence to give the Democrat an extra 10 points in Wisconsin.
• 7:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: So while Jack got 100,000 more votes, then the Democrat Phil Murphy got back in 2021, Mikey Cheryl, the Democrat got 400,000 more votes.
• 7:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: If the Democrats have been able to exploit left-leaning independence, the question is, here are there right-leaning independence that can enable the Republicans to do the same thing?
• 8:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: And the answer to that is, yes, absolutely, in fact, they're even bigger and more formidable than left-leaning independence.
• 8:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: Where were they?
• 8:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: Why didn't they show up?
• 8:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: Well, we know.
• 8:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: And that's exactly what we're gonna find out.
• 8:41
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• 9:11
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• 9:22
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• 10:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now gang in a word, the problem for the GOP in off
• 10:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: year elections.
• 10:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's one of the key patterns here.
• 10:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: So we're talking, you know, midterms, we're talking state elections like we saw yesterday.
• 10:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: The problem with the GOP, like we saw in Wisconsin, Jersey, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and the like is in a word, turn out.
• 10:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: That remains the fundamental problem with the GOP.
• 11:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: They have a turnout problem.
• 11:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: non-in terms of turning out Republicans, that's the good news, okay?
• 11:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're coming out more than ever, that's the good news.
• 11:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: The problem is that Republicans alone, like Democrats alone, can no longer win elections, particularly in contested swing states like Georgia and Pennsylvania.
• 11:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, we saw this, of course, in the midterms, when all the polls show that the GOP was
• 11:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: But the Democrats held that off.
• 11:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: They still lost, but they certainly didn't lose by much.
• 11:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: And they did that by bringing out their left leaning independence.
• 11:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: And of course we saw it play out in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race last year.
• 11:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: And we saw it in the off-year election yesterday.
• 11:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: I'll be it again in predominantly blue state states that voted for Kamala.
• 11:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: But it's all showing the same problem.
• 11:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: The problem is fundamentally turnout, and it's turnout among right leaning independence when Trump is not on the ballot.
• 12:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's the key.
• 12:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: So this is this off-year and mid-term problem and fairness and fairness.
• 12:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is exactly what our good friend Rich Barris of the People's Pundit has been warning about like the Canary in the coal mine for the last several months.
• 12:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: He has been polling these low-propensity right leaning independence from months now and he has sensed danger.
• 12:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: Okay, so low-propensity meaning they don't often come out to vote.
• 12:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: They are all America first, hardcore populace.
• 12:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: They despise the establishment, they hate it, they hate foreign wars,
• 12:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: They hate the establishment that seems far more interested in their own values and concerns than those of the little guy, the average American.
• 13:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: They despise the establishment Republicans every bit as much as establishment Democrats.
• 13:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: You have to get that.
• 13:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're not coming out to vote for Democrats.
• 13:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: But they're equally not coming out to vote for Republicans.
• 13:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: Remember, this is not a horizontal divide, left versus right.
• 13:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is a vertical divide.
• 13:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: the people versus the permanent political class.
• 13:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: These are the ones who came out in mass and put Trump over the top.
• 13:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: They gave Trump the biggest landslide win for a public and in two decades when Republicans come out in force and then when the right leaning independence come out in equal force, we are an unstoppable coalition.
• 13:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: but they despise Republicans.
• 13:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: Seriously now, Republicans have been in power for almost a year, just ask yourself, what precisely have congressional Republican or the Republican Party as a whole done for these voters?
• 14:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: What precisely has the Republican Party done for them?
• 14:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: Zippo, I mean, for honest, nothing, and this is what concerns Rich Barris so much.
• 14:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: Trump himself hasn't helped in this matter.
• 14:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: Yes, he shut down the border, and there's the mass deportations.
• 14:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: They love that, but, you know.
• 14:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: Okay, but what do I do with my cost of living crisis that I'm facing?
• 14:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: Inflation is still too high, food prices are still too high, affordability is still a major problem.
• 14:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: And the establishment is seen as completely and totally aloof and dismissive of those concerns because you crane!
• 14:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: Because of the Middle East!
• 14:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: Did you see this?
• 14:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: Here's all you need to know, this is fascinating.
• 15:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: This will summarize, I think, for you though, fundamental problem of what happened yesterday.
• 15:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: There is a thing, there is such a thing as a Trump-Mamdonny voter.
• 15:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: It came out yesterday in the data.
• 15:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is absolutely essential for us to get, especially in terms of who it is.
• 15:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: There were voters yesterday who voted for Trump back in November of last year, and then overwhelmingly, those in the city turned around and voted for Mandoni.
• 15:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: Case in point, look at that stat, Mandoni won with an astonishing 40 plus points with young men.
• 15:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: I should say buy an astonishing 40 plus points with young men under 30.
• 15:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: You heard that right, that's the Charlie Kirk demographic, and they flipped from Trump to Mamdoni in numbers comparable to how they flipped from Biden to Trump by 40 point swings.
• 15:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: And Robert Barnes explains why, quote, a wake-up alarm bell, if anybody in the White House of the GOP is actually listening, if you fail to deliver on right-wing populism, you will
• 16:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: If you fail to deliver on right-wing populism, you will get left-wing populism, because populism doesn't care about left-right.
• 16:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's not horizontal.
• 16:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's vertical.
• 16:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's the people versus the eloof political class.
• 16:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: And they will go with the populist leader.
• 16:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: They believe it's going to most effectively take on that class.
• 16:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: we actually just saw something very similar across the pond happening in the Netherlands election just days back where the pop the population basically shifted from the right wing populist to the left wing populist.
• 16:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: We see this all the time in Europe.
• 16:53
  [SPEAKER_00]: The establishment is dead.
• 16:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: There is simply no way around us.
• 17:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Neocon Neoliberal Establishment, both Democrat and Republican is dead.
• 17:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now we've talked about this ad nauseam on this channel.
• 17:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's literally dead everywhere.
• 17:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: All throughout Europe, it's increasingly dead in Latin America.
• 17:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: We just saw it in Japan where they now have their most, not just their first female prime minister.
• 17:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: No, they have their most right-wing populist government ever since World War II.
• 17:23
  [SPEAKER_00]: Everywhere we look, the old liberal globalist establishment is dead in the hearts and minds of voters.
• 17:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: And now the only question that remains is if the national and state Republican apparatus, particularly the donor class and the advisor class, that's still overwhelmingly populated by Romney Ryan Republicans.
• 17:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: The only question is if they can finally, and decisively, be kicked the hell out of our party.
• 17:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't
• 18:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: out of the apparatus.
• 18:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: They should not be in control of freaking anything.
• 18:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: That is the only way we can finally get our party to adapt to the changing conditions now of this new populist era.
• 18:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's not 1998 anymore.
• 18:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's not 2008 anymore.
• 18:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Republican Party structure, it's network has to get totally revamped to come and to align with and adapt to this new populist era.
• 18:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: And again, fortunately, we know where that starts and it all starts with Trump.
• 18:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: It all started, again, here's Robert Barnes's assessment on that.
• 18:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: Tonight's results need to be a wake-up call to the White House and the GOP.
• 18:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: Stop focusing on foreign affairs.
• 18:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: Stop entangling us in endless conflicts, and focus at home on bread and butter issues for working people.
• 19:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: Bottom line, everything Trump and the Republicans do from this day forward.
• 19:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: must focus on making the lives of these anti-establishment, right-leaning populist independence, both white and non-white working-class voters, Latinos, and Gen Z, particularly Gen Z men, better!
• 19:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: everything they do must make the lives of these right-leaning pockles independence better not the Middle East sorry not Nigeria not the White House ballroom white to nonwhite working class Latino and Gen Z citizens you focus on them you make their lies better you combine that
• 19:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: with the get-out, the vote infrastructure that's already turning out Republican vote in mass.
• 20:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: And you're going to have elections like 2024 repeated over and over again.
• 20:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: That is the secret sauce.
• 20:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: It starts with Trump and is crackdown on an establishment GOP network that has lost touch
• 20:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: the disaffected populace independence that have given Trump the single greatest landslide victory for a public in a generation.
• 20:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: We fix that, 2026.
• 20:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: is in the bag.
• 20:46
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• 20:57
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• 21:02
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• 21:05
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• 21:09
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• 21:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening this episode of the turly talks podcast.
• 21:21
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• 21:26
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• 21:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.