Latest / What the Flux / ACCC investigates petrol cartel | Meta moves on from the $80 billion metaverse | OpenAI, Microsoft and Amazon in a throuple?!
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux.
- 0:06Speaker 2: I'm Brett and I'm Justin and it's Friday, the twentieth
- 0:09Speaker 2: of March. Boy.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Hold on to your little coffee mug over there, my friend,
- 0:11Speaker 1: because it's becoming a luxury ATAM. One of Australia's mokes
- 0:14Speaker 1: for renowned chefs, Neil Perry reckons we could be coughing
- 0:17Speaker 1: up twelve bucks for a single coffee within the next
- 0:20Speaker 1: five years. Oh, he said. With indust rays rising and
- 0:22Speaker 1: Bristol wages climbing, the humble morning coffee is turning into
- 0:26Speaker 1: a premium experience.
- 0:27Speaker 2: You got to take out a morgage for the coffee.
- 0:29Speaker 2: Flex Am. We are officially back today with quick Sticks.
- 0:33Speaker 2: That is a weekly quiz on three business and finance
- 0:36Speaker 2: questions where you can win fifty bucks if you're the
- 0:38Speaker 2: first person to get all three questions right. It'll drop
- 0:41Speaker 2: at a random time today to make sure you've downloaded
- 0:43Speaker 2: the Flux app and have your notifications turned on.
- 0:45Speaker 1: Three exciting stories today, Jussie boy, let's do it for
- 0:47Speaker 1: our first. The AHBLEC has launched a public investigation into
- 0:51Speaker 1: weather major fuel suppliers have been committing anti competitive conduct
- 0:55Speaker 1: in regional Australia, but.
- 0:56Speaker 2: A funny business happening in the regions, v Man. What
- 0:59Speaker 2: is going on here?
- 1:00Speaker 1: We know that since the war in the Middle East
- 1:02Speaker 1: kicked off, the price of oil per barrel has jumped
- 1:04Speaker 1: more than sixty five percent.
- 1:05Speaker 2: And that often flows into our petrol bowsers in the
- 1:07Speaker 2: short term and the price of products in the medium term.
- 1:10Speaker 1: But now there is another possible reason fuel prices could
- 1:13Speaker 1: be feeling extra cooked. Go on. The ahrible c ie
- 1:16Speaker 1: Australia's competition COP is investigating allegations of anti competitive conduct
- 1:21Speaker 1: in the petrol industry.
- 1:22Speaker 2: More specifically in the supply of diesel across regional and
- 1:25Speaker 2: rural Australia.
- 1:26Speaker 1: And this isn't some small corner of the market either.
- 1:29Speaker 2: Nope, the companies in the firing line include Ampole, BP, Australia,
- 1:32Speaker 2: Mobile Oil and Viva Energy, aka the big dogs at
- 1:36Speaker 2: the bowsers.
- 1:37Speaker 1: Now, the a trible c announced that it has heard
- 1:39Speaker 1: whispers that the big dog petrol suppliers have been limiting
- 1:42Speaker 1: access of diesel to smaller regional petrol stations. The really
- 1:45Speaker 1: unusual bit, though, is that the hriablec has publicly announced
- 1:48Speaker 1: the investigation before reaching any conclusions, and.
- 1:50Speaker 2: The ATRIBLEC says that there are concerns around fuel pricing
- 1:53Speaker 2: and supply that are especially heightened by the Middle East conflicts, and.
- 1:56Speaker 1: Does a boy when there is market concentration by a
- 1:58Speaker 1: few players, the arible c is extra sensitive to anti
- 2:01Speaker 1: competitive conduct.
- 2:02Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here?
- 2:04Speaker 1: Market concentration is a way of describing how much of
- 2:06Speaker 1: a market is controlled by a small number of companies.
- 2:09Speaker 2: The fuel plays in the market, the quicker things can
- 2:11Speaker 2: go from competitive to cartelli.
- 2:13Speaker 1: And that doesn't automatically mean anything improper is happening, but
- 2:17Speaker 1: it does mean regulators pay closer attention.
- 2:19Speaker 2: For example, we man in the twenty twenty four financial year,
- 2:22Speaker 2: four major petrol companies supplied around eighty eight percent of
- 2:25Speaker 2: petrol in Australia.
- 2:26Speaker 1: Ampoles, your vps, your xon mobiles, your viv energies.
- 2:28Speaker 2: And that means if they decide to actively or even
- 2:31Speaker 2: passively work together, they can materially change the supply and
- 2:34Speaker 2: pricing in the petrol market.
- 2:35Speaker 1: That is why concentration can become risky in essential sectors
- 2:39Speaker 1: like fuel.
- 2:40Speaker 2: And that is why the atripleceeds flag this investigation much
- 2:43Speaker 2: earlier than normal.
- 2:44Speaker 1: For our second story, Meta is pulling horizon Worlds off
- 2:48Speaker 1: its VR headsets as it shifts further and further away
- 2:51Speaker 1: from its expensive metaverse dream metaverse.
- 2:54Speaker 2: So what's that We only care about AI now, So
- 2:56Speaker 2: what's going on here?
- 2:57Speaker 1: So Meta formally known as Facebook, rebranded in twenty two
- 3:00Speaker 1: one to go all in on the metaverse.
- 3:02Speaker 2: They were so committed to the vision they changed the
- 3:04Speaker 2: entire company name for it.
- 3:06Speaker 1: At the time, the part man part robot zuk called
- 3:09Speaker 1: it the next frontier.
- 3:10Speaker 2: And the man the crown jewel of that frontier was
- 3:13Speaker 2: Horizon world It.
- 3:14Speaker 1: Was meant to be metas virtual social playground where people
- 3:17Speaker 1: could work, or shop or hang out as cartoon avatars, and.
- 3:20Speaker 2: It didn't have the best of starts. Remember when Meta
- 3:22Speaker 2: proudly showed off Horizon avatars that didn't have legs.
- 3:25Speaker 1: I do in hindsight, this is a pretty decent metaphor
- 3:27Speaker 1: for the whole strategy.
- 3:28Speaker 2: But now Metas announced it will pull Horizon Worlds off
- 3:31Speaker 2: its VR app store called Quest.
- 3:33Speaker 1: In June this year because apparently at its peak, Horizon
- 3:35Speaker 1: Worlds only attracted a couple of one hundred thousand monthly active users.
- 3:39Speaker 2: Which is microscopic compared to the billions using metas core apps,
- 3:42Speaker 2: and finally it's become even too much for Meta to handle.
- 3:45Speaker 2: So what is the key leading here?
- 3:47Speaker 1: Markets will back a big, bold vision, but not forever.
- 3:49Speaker 2: In twenty twenty one, the Zark had a ten year
- 3:52Speaker 2: plan for one billion people in the Metaverse and hundreds
- 3:54Speaker 2: of billions of dollars in digital commerce.
- 3:56Speaker 1: The five years after this bold vision, there are only
- 3:59Speaker 1: a couple one hundred thousand people on the platform.
- 4:02Speaker 2: And the Reality Labs division which houses met As Betaverse Push,
- 4:05Speaker 2: has wracked up nearly eighty billion US dollars in operating
- 4:08Speaker 2: losses and Jaseboy.
- 4:09Speaker 1: At some point, companies need to prove that massive investment
- 4:12Speaker 1: is turning into real users and real revenue and will returns.
- 4:15Speaker 2: Otherwise even the boldest next frontier starts to look like
- 4:18Speaker 2: a very costly distraction.
- 4:20Speaker 1: For our third and final story, Microsoft is threatening legal
- 4:24Speaker 1: action against its partner open Ai after a fifty billion
- 4:27Speaker 1: US dollar Amazon deal, risks turning an exclusive partnership into
- 4:31Speaker 1: a very awkward cloud.
- 4:33Speaker 2: Thraple, notwhing, says strategic partnership Quite like preparing the legal team,
- 4:38Speaker 2: So tell me what's going on here.
- 4:39Speaker 1: So Microsoft and open Ai have basically been the tech
- 4:41Speaker 1: world's ultimate power couple for the last few years.
- 4:43Speaker 2: Especially when it comes to cloud infrastructure and access to
- 4:46Speaker 2: open as models.
- 4:47Speaker 1: Microsoft first backed open Ai with a one billion dollar
- 4:50Speaker 1: investment in twenty nineteen.
- 4:52Speaker 2: Then it followed up with another ten billion dollar investment
- 4:54Speaker 2: in early twenty twenty three.
- 4:55Speaker 1: And part of that relationship gave Microsoft's Azure platform a
- 4:58Speaker 1: very important seat at the.
- 5:00Speaker 2: They became the exclusive cloud provider for key open AI services.
- 5:04Speaker 1: Which is a pretty nice perk when your partner happens
- 5:06Speaker 1: to be making the hottest AI models on the planet.
- 5:09Speaker 2: But now be man. Amazon has apparently rocked up with flowers,
- 5:12Speaker 2: a bottle of wine, and a fifty billion US dollar check.
- 5:15Speaker 1: As part of this new relationship, open Ai has made
- 5:17Speaker 1: Amazon Web Services their exclusive third party cloud provider for
- 5:21Speaker 1: one of their specific tools named Frontier.
- 5:23Speaker 2: That's their enterprise platform for building and running AI agents.
- 5:26Speaker 1: And as you can imagine, juzzy boy, Microsoft is not
- 5:28Speaker 1: exactly thrilled when AWS suddenly squeezing onto this very type cout,
- 5:33Speaker 1: and Microsoft.
- 5:33Speaker 2: Believes this new deal could clash with the exclusivity it
- 5:37Speaker 2: already has with open Ai.
- 5:38Speaker 1: So now the three companies are apparently trying to work
- 5:41Speaker 1: out whether this relationship can survive as a cloud based
- 5:43Speaker 1: th upple, but if it fails, Microsoft is pulling out
- 5:46Speaker 1: the legal action, So what's okay learning here?
- 5:48Speaker 2: Strategic dependency is when one company becomes so important to
- 5:51Speaker 2: another The relationship creates significant upside opportunity, but a lot
- 5:55Speaker 2: of downside risk as well, and Microsoft and open Ai
- 5:57Speaker 2: are a classic example. Yeah, Microsoft poured billions into open ai.
- 6:01Speaker 1: And without capital It has also used that relationship to
- 6:04Speaker 1: strengthen its cloud service Azure and build out its AI
- 6:07Speaker 1: chatbot Copilot.
- 6:08Speaker 2: And open Ai relied on Microsoft for its mula as
- 6:11Speaker 2: well as its enterprise reach to scale quickly.
- 6:13Speaker 1: But it also becomes fragile when incentives start to shift.
- 6:16Speaker 2: For example, open Ai now wants more flexibility with more partners.
- 6:19Speaker 1: Like Amazon, who committed to investing fifty billion US dollars
- 6:22Speaker 1: into open Ai in their latest capital rays.
- 6:24Speaker 2: Whereas Microsoft they want to protect the value of the
- 6:27Speaker 2: advantage that they've paid for.
- 6:28Speaker 1: So jaziboyit. The closer these two companies become, the more
- 6:31Speaker 1: damage can be done when goals no longer perfectly match.
- 6:34Speaker 2: Flex sam If you want to win fifty bucks before
- 6:36Speaker 2: this weekend, make sure you download the Flux out and
- 6:39Speaker 2: ready and waiting for the quick six notification to come through.
- 6:41Speaker 2: First Place to answer three business or finance questions correctly,
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- 6:46Speaker 2: to win this week.
- 6:47Speaker 1: Thanks for listening and we'll see you on Monday.