Latest / Uncomfortable Conversations with Josh Szeps / Just Josh: Why Can't Politicians Answer A Question?
Transcript
- 0:03G'day humans!
- 0:04Welcome to the safe space for dangerous ideas.
- 0:07And the dangerous idea today
- 0:09is that if politicians don't get better at having uncomfortable conversations in public
- 0:14with citizens, with journalists, then all the rest of us are screwed because voters are going
- 0:20to go for candidates who seem more authentic, more unfiltered and more willing to answer
- 0:26questions directly.
- 0:28In the United States, we've seen the rise of some truly toxic political
- 0:32candidates, mainly on the right, I must say.
- 0:35There's this James Fishback character who is a
- 0:39Florida congressional wannabe who is overtly basically racist and anti-Semitic and is getting
- 0:46a lot of cred from the online right because he just tells it like it is.
- 0:49He's not going to be
- 0:50censored by anybody.
- 0:52We've seen the damage that the Trump administration has done to the discourse,
- 0:55largely because Donald Trump presented himself, especially during his first run for the White
- 1:00House, as being someone who wasn't going to be cowed by political correctness and was going to
- 1:03tell people what he thought, regardless of whether or not they liked it or whether it was the proper
- 1:08thing to say.
- 1:09And here in Australia, One Nation, the far-right, certainly anti-immigrant party,
- 1:15is more popular than it's ever been.
- 1:17The only thing that stands between us and a thumping win
- 1:20by One Nation at the next election, not that they would take government, but significantly control
- 1:24the House and or the Senate, is the opposition leader, who is the head of the centre-right party,
- 1:31Angus Taylor.
- 1:32Now, what I want to do today is something a little bit different.
- 1:35I want to play
- 1:36you a media interview between Angus Taylor and the country's preeminent current affairs show,
- 1:41which is called 7.30, used to be called the 7.30 Report, on the National Public Broadcaster.
- 1:47As an example, as just a little chiming in, at the risk of taking potshots from the sidelines,
- 1:53I think I have a pretty good idea of how to have uncomfortable conversations, of how politicians might do better at having uncomfortable conversations and seeming fair dinkum, seeming free from bullshit without putting their foot in it in a way that's going to give them massive pain in our crazy 24-hour news cycle and social media cacophony.
- 2:14So I humbly submit myself to the opposition leader, Angus Taylor, with this analysis of his performance on the current affairs show, 7.30, in a spirit of constructive analysis.
- 2:28And I hope that in looking at this, you can take away ideas about how political candidates can do better in media interviews in your own country, in your own jurisdiction.
- 2:40And certainly, if you're ever going to be a political candidate yourself or if you know any people who are running for political office, it might be worth letting them tune in, just sharing this with them and giving them an assessment of the opinion of somebody who spends a lot of time having very careful conversations.
- 2:58about how politicians can do better at being genuinely authentic and free from artifice
- 3:04without stumbling.
- 3:06So let's just have a listen.
- 3:07And if you're outside of Australia,
- 3:09it's worth just remembering, especially if you're American, that the opposition leader
- 3:13is the leader of a kind of permanent government in waiting in a parliamentary democracy,
- 3:19where they're the leader of the party that has the second largest number of seats in the House
- 3:24of representatives, and they are supposed to provide an alternative vision for the country.
- 3:29It's really like you've got the alternative president who's already sitting there and is
- 3:34supposed to articulate a strong and bold vision for the direction that they would take the country
- 3:40in.
- 3:40Now, the background that you need here is, as you will be familiar with if you've been listening
- 3:45to the show recently, Australia just had its budget, which is the government's big fanfare,
- 3:49sort of State of the Union night, where it delivers its ideas about what it's going to do
- 3:53to the country, for the country, with the country in the next 12 months.
- 3:57This was a biggie.
- 3:58It had
- 3:59major reforms, including sort of massively raising the taxation of assets, taxes on property and
- 4:07shares, with a view to someday potentially perhaps lowering tax rates for salary workers and for
- 4:15wages.
- 4:16The response from the opposition was to say, we're not going to do any of that.
- 4:20If we
- 4:20get into government, we're going to roll the whole thing back.
- 4:21We're going to cancel it all.
- 4:23And instead, we're going to index the tax rates, which means that they would always creep up with
- 4:28inflation and you wouldn't accidentally sort of find yourself being taxed more simply because
- 4:32inflation was pushing you into a higher tax bracket.
- 4:34And we'll do all of these other wonderful
- 4:36things, but we're not necessarily going to cost them yet because it's not an election year yet.
- 4:41So we don't have to be too specific, but we're going to be as big and audacious as the government
- 4:45was, but in the opposite direction in terms of saying no.
- 4:48So let's have a look at this interview
- 4:50and I will pause it throughout and I will make constructive suggestions as to what the opposition
- 4:56leader, Mr. Angus Taylor, may have done differently if he really wanted to stanch the bloodshed
- 5:04of voters fleeing his party for more authentic seeming populist anti-immigrant parties of the
- 5:11right.
- 5:12Angus Taylor, congratulations on your budget in reply.
- 5:15There is, as we know, a one
- 5:17nation wave sweeping through Liberal held electorates, extinction level according to the
- 5:23polls.
- 5:24Are you laying out your plan tonight to stop their momentum?
- 5:28No, Sarah, and thank you for
- 5:29having me.
- 5:30I'm laying out our plan for Australia, for our nation, at a time when the standard of
- 5:35living is going backwards.
- 5:36People are deeply worried.
- 5:38Okay, okay, okay, okay.
- 5:40Does your
- 5:40bullshit detector already go off that he's just starting to recite the thing that his media
- 5:45advisor told him to say in response to the first question, regardless of what the first question
- 5:49was.
- 5:50If you are asked, are you releasing this budget in reply in order to take wind out of the
- 5:59sails of One Nation, which is stealing your voters from the right?
- 6:04And if everybody basically knows
- 6:06that that is your biggest problem at the moment, don't come out of the gate by saying no.
- 6:12Firstly,
- 6:12nobody believes it.
- 6:13Secondly, what you're about to launch into sounds canned.
- 6:16The correct thing
- 6:17to say if the interviewer asks you, are you trying to defeat one nation, is to shrug and say a bit,
- 6:25yeah, yeah, that is part of it.
- 6:27We can see that Australians are dissatisfied and we can see that
- 6:30both political parties historically haven't been offering them what they need and what they deserve.
- 6:36And the answer is not to go and vote for some populist party that's full of hot air but has no real solutions for Australia.
- 6:43And the answer certainly isn't to vote again for the government, which has just delivered the worst budget in Australian history.
- 6:49We are committed to rebuilding this party and delivering on the dream for real Australians.
- 6:56So absolutely, we're concerned about One Nation and their rise just shows how poorly the government has been delivering for real Australians and we're here to change that.
- 7:06Or something like that.
- 7:07You don't have to lie straight out of the gate because you're afraid that there's going to be a headline saying, oh, the leader of the opposition admits that he's partly motivated by losing voters to One Nation.
- 7:20Yeah, I mean, it's a fact.
- 7:22So what?
- 7:22I mean, if you can't admit to that, then don't be surprised when people like the leader of One Nation, Pauline Hanson, who would admit to her credit, she would admit to something that was patently true about her motivations and her campaigning and her strategy.
- 7:38Don't be surprised if she gets more votes.
- 7:40About the direction of the country.
- 7:43They're deeply worried about their own incomes
- 7:47and their families and their future.
- 7:49And so that's why we've laid out a pathway
- 7:51for a fairer, freer, better Australia,
- 7:54one with lower taxes,
- 7:56one that's not got an assault on aspiration,
- 7:59like we see under Labor,
- 8:00but supports aspiration with significant tax cuts,
- 8:05not just getting rid of Labor's toxic taxes,
- 8:08but I think the very worst tax of all,
- 8:10which is the one that goes up every single year
- 8:13because of inflation,
- 8:15and that is a big impost on Australians.
- 8:18It's holding them back and we will get rid of it.
- 8:21We'll also align immigration with housing,
- 8:24get housing supply up,
- 8:26but make sure immigration...
- 8:28OK, he's going way ahead of himself here.
- 8:30You don't have to give the entire portfolio of policies
- 8:34in your first answer.
- 8:35I know that media advisers think,
- 8:37you've got to come out of the gate strong.
- 8:39You've got to really list all of the things that you want to get across
- 8:41because you never know the interviewer might not get to them.
- 8:44Look, if the interviewer doesn't get to everything,
- 8:46then at some point before the end of the interview,
- 8:48you can say, I also just want to add,
- 8:50since you're obviously obfuscating this important fact
- 8:54about the budget and reply, and then you can go into your thing.
- 8:56You don't have to lay it all out up front
- 8:58so that you sound like you're just reciting something
- 9:00which you obviously learned five minutes before going on the air.
- 9:03...numbers are such that we can support them with housing.
- 9:07and we'll make sure that we've got affordable, abundant energy
- 9:09and we put Australians first.
- 9:11That's the focus.
- 9:12Alright.
- 9:13Clearly, two twin key concerns here.
- 9:16Tax, which we'll come to, on immigration first of all,
- 9:19because we are having this conversation
- 9:21with that cloud of One Nation hanging over the Liberal Party.
- 9:25Why the attack on permanent residents in this speech
- 9:29who work and pay tax the same as citizens?
- 9:32Well, it's about putting Australian citizens first
- 9:35and that's the duty of a government to put Australian citizens first.
- 9:40That's not a bad response.
- 9:41Just to clarify what it is that the interviewer, Sarah Ferguson, is talking about there,
- 9:46part of the opposition's plan is that you would only be eligible for welfare payments
- 9:51and for certain social services if you're a citizen,
- 9:53removing permanent residents from eligibility for certain welfare.
- 10:00I think you already have to have been in the country for three years or four years or something
- 10:04to get on to certain, to access certain social services.
- 10:07This is not including healthcare.
- 10:08They would still get free healthcare,
- 10:10but part of the opposition's proposal,
- 10:11should they be elected into government,
- 10:12would be to strip welfare benefits
- 10:14from people who are not citizens.
- 10:17So that's a legitimate question
- 10:18and it's a legitimate answer
- 10:19that the opposition leader has given,
- 10:21saying we're just reshifting the focus to citizens.
- 10:23All right, bravo.
- 10:25And I think it's extraordinary that at a time like this,
- 10:30the government has cut support
- 10:32for older Australians' private health insurance
- 10:35and yet there is welfare for non-Australian citizens.
- 10:39Sarah, they...
- 10:40Just to be clear, these are permanent residents who pay tax
- 10:44and in many cases are waiting to become citizens.
- 10:47So why focus on them?
- 10:49Well, citizenship is a privilege
- 10:52and it's something we want people to get something from.
- 10:56You know, if you contribute to this country,
- 10:58we want to contribute back
- 11:00and that's what citizenship is all about.
- 11:03But when you have a situation where someone can come and get all the benefits without that, it becomes meaningless, Sarah.
- 11:10And the truth is, if you ask Australians whether people can get access to welfare programs without being citizens, they'd say they can't.
- 11:19But they actually are.
- 11:20And it's costing the country a great deal.
- 11:23So this is 17 different programs.
- 11:25There's appropriate exemptions in compassionate circumstances.
- 11:29Okay, okay.
- 11:29I'm already sort of nodding off.
- 11:31I think the correct answer when the interviewer says, why are we focusing on this set of people is not to start waffling about citizenship and citizenship comes with this and citizenship comes with that, but to pivot back to the fact that you're a responsible government that takes spending seriously.
- 11:45I mean, you know, in an ideal world, this is what I would say, in an ideal world, we'd have, you know, milk and honey flowing for everybody and we'd all have an infinite amount of welfare that we could get from the government.
- 11:55If Australia wants to be competitive in the 21st century, we have to have a competitive economy, we have to constrain spending.
- 11:59This government is one of the highest spending governments on a consistent basis in Australian history.
- 12:04They're one of the highest taxing governments.
- 12:06governments.
- 12:07If you want responsible people to be looking after the country's finances,
- 12:09then we do have to find areas where regrettably we have to shave off a little bit of spending.
- 12:14And it doesn't make a lot of sense to us for people who aren't even Australians to be getting
- 12:18money from Australian taxpayers.
- 12:21That to me, framing it in fiscal terms in order to dodge
- 12:25the claim that you're sort of dog whistling to racists, but shifting the conversation back to,
- 12:30we have a finite amount of money, we have to spend it on something that we'd rather spend it on
- 12:34Australians than spend it on non-Australians.
- 12:36It's not really that complicated, right?
- 12:38I mean,
- 12:38you're pretending you don't understand it, Sarah, but you do get it.
- 12:42Like, you know,
- 12:43we've got money, we've got a certain amount of money to spend.
- 12:45I'd rather it went to Australians
- 12:46than non-Australians.
- 12:48But importantly, it's saying that we're going to put Australian citizens first,
- 12:52not rip money out of private health insurance for older Australians or veterans.
- 12:57These measures for migrants, as you say, they are about focusing on the idea of citizenship,
- 13:05pushing people, if you like, towards citizenship.
- 13:08However, for some countries, particularly people from China and India,
- 13:12in order to become Australian citizens, they have to renounce their Indian or Chinese citizenship.
- 13:18And there are grave concerns amongst people in that community that they would lose assets.
- 13:24Now, what's your message to the very large Indian and Chinese diaspora this evening,
- 13:30listening to you saying that you will force them to give up their citizenship
- 13:34if they want to receive any of these welfare benefits?
- 13:37You want them to give up those citizenships and potentially lose their assets.
- 13:41What's your message to them?
- 13:42We're not forcing anyone to give up anything, Sarah.
- 13:44We're saying that if you want access to the privileges,
- 13:47which we believe should be privileges of citizenship,
- 13:50you need to become a citizen.
- 13:51So you need to make a choice.
- 13:53It's very simple.
- 13:54And the idea that someone should arrive and the moment they arrive here, get access to family tax benefit, for instance.
- 14:02I think for Australians, that's just not on at a time like this when we're really struggling.
- 14:07We were approaching a trillion dollars of debt under Labor.
- 14:11Australians are struggling with their own household budgets.
- 14:14OK, look, it was not a bad start to the answer.
- 14:18But one thing that politicians and political candidates need to take seriously is the possibility of brevity and having a conversational conversation.
- 14:27In other words, the kind of conversation that you might have at the pub instead of the kind of conversation that you would have if you were delivering a policy address.
- 14:34If the interviewer says, what is your message to the Chinese Australians and Indian Australians who may suffer penalties from their home countries if they become Australian citizens and who you're trying to take benefits away from, then you don't have to start waffling about the trillion dollars here and all of these.
- 14:57You could just briefly say, my message to them is, if you want to be Australian, we'd love to have you.
- 15:05that's all you really need if you want to become australians then become australians we're a
- 15:10generous and welcoming country we'd love to have you as australian citizens apply that's it you
- 15:16don't need more than that that's what a person who was defending a position that they held at a
- 15:21barbecue or you know in normal conversation would say they wouldn't go off on this huge policy
- 15:27tangent it's not necessary we're seeing cutbacks extra taxes being imposed on housing i was asking
- 15:32I was asking you to address your answer to that specific group of people, the Chinese
- 15:36and the Indian diasporas, because obviously at the last election the Liberal Party suffered
- 15:43significant losses in those communities.
- 15:45They felt there had been intemperate attacks on
- 15:49them.
- 15:49So it makes me wonder how bad the threat must feel from One Nation to risk angering
- 15:54those communities again.
- 15:56Sarah, I welcome those communities who come to this country and want to build businesses
- 16:01and build careers and do things in our country
- 16:04and become Australians.
- 16:06That's the pathway.
- 16:07I mean, I grew up in one of the great immigrant towns
- 16:09of Australia, not far south of here,
- 16:10where we saw thousands of people come to that town, Cooma,
- 16:16after the Second World War,
- 16:18and it was an extraordinary place to grow up.
- 16:20But what made it so extraordinary
- 16:23was the people who came wanted to be part of our country.
- 16:26They wanted to become Australians.
- 16:28That's the model of immigration and citizenship that I want to see.
- 16:31The group of people that you're talking about, as I said,
- 16:34these are taxpaying permanent residents,
- 16:36many of whom are waiting to become citizens.
- 16:40They already face a two- or four-year...
- 16:43This is where I would interrupt the interviewer
- 16:45because she's just banging on about the same thing,
- 16:47which he's basically answered already.
- 16:49And she's saying they're waiting, and I would just interrupt and say,
- 16:54and as soon as they become citizens,
- 16:55they'll be eligible for all the benefits of citizenship.
- 16:57It's as simple as that.
- 16:58As soon as they become citizens,
- 17:00they'll be eligible for all the benefits of citizenship
- 17:02and we'll be delighted to have them.
- 17:04Period.
- 17:05Waiting period for welfare as things stand.
- 17:08Why do you want to further penalise that group
- 17:11by restricting access to welfare completely?
- 17:13Sarah, access to citizenship comes after four years of being here
- 17:18and only one year of permanent residency.
- 17:20This is not a high threshold.
- 17:22So the real issue is this.
- 17:24It's true.
- 17:25But you are proposing to take welfare away from people in that group at that time, in a period of...
- 17:31That's not a bad answer, what the opposition leader's answer to Sarah there was.
- 17:34But again, I would just keep things much more on point and much tighter and much freer from waffle.
- 17:41As we'll see subsequently in this interview, he does have a tendency to get himself tangled up in long answers to things that obfuscate what everyone can tell he is or isn't actually saying.
- 17:52So, I mean, if she's saying that, why are you trying to punish people?
- 17:55Honestly, by the time she's saying it for a third time, I think that's a time to just laugh at her a little bit and be like, Sarah, I know I see what you're trying to do here.
- 18:05I know you're trying to say that we're punishing people.
- 18:09The reality is there's a certain amount of money to go around and we don't spend an infinite amount of money on an infinite number of people.
- 18:16So we have to make calls somewhere.
- 18:17And this is a call that we've made.
- 18:19Citizens get benefits from being citizens.
- 18:21That's the end of the story.
- 18:23And if she keeps on at it, then you just laugh and you say, she looks ridiculous.
- 18:28She keeps, you know, it's not that complicated a thing to explain if you just explain it in the context of, we think that there are good reasons to be an Australian.
- 18:37And if people want to be Australians, then they can become Australians.
- 18:41That's all you need.
- 18:42Global competition for skilled migrants.
- 18:45Have you muddled how many skilled migrants might leave Australia because of the conditions you want to create?
- 18:51Well, Sarah, there's always a long queue of people wanting to come to this country.
- 18:54It's because it's, I believe, the greatest country on earth.
- 18:58That's a good answer.
- 18:58But if people come to this country in order to receive welfare in the first couple of years of being here, perhaps that's not an appropriate circumstance.
- 19:08When you say in order to, are you suggesting they come here to get the welfare?
- 19:11But at the end of the day, Sarah, it's appropriate that people come here, spend some time.
- 19:19Yeah, see, she just did a gotcha question and he didn't call her out on it.
- 19:22The thing is, if you're in an interview and the other person is being disingenuous and you don't respond, then you're the one who seems wooden.
- 19:29That's the sort of unfair thing about the dynamic in interviews.
- 19:32If one person is being prosecutorial and you decline to take the bait, then you're the one who seems shifty, when in fact you could just call them out for being inappropriately adversarial about a matter that is important.
- 19:47If she's saying, are you implying that people are coming here just in order to get welfare benefits, then you can just say, you were just asking me to estimate the number of people who won't come here as a result of not being able to get welfare.
- 20:03I think that's a ridiculous insinuation.
- 20:06people who want to come to Australia because they're highly skilled and they want to make a
- 20:10go of it are not going to care about whether or not they get handouts from the government
- 20:13if people did care massively about how many handouts they get within the first few years
- 20:17of being here before they even become Australians then okay they're not the type of people people we
- 20:23want I mean that is both ballsier and riskier but also speaks directly to the point without
- 20:32any fear or favour.
- 20:34I mean, there's no reason why you can't say things like that.
- 20:37The alternative is to just come across as so cautious
- 20:39and so terrified of losing your job by upsetting anybody
- 20:42that you're a deflating blancmange for everybody else,
- 20:46totally inoffensive and, as a result, totally unappealing.
- 20:49And become a citizen over time and then they get access
- 20:52to the privileges of citizenship.
- 20:54That's how most countries in the world work.
- 20:57It's completely appropriate that we should do the same.
- 21:00And this is, look, the extraordinary thing about this is how many Australians have said to me in recent weeks, as I've been talking to people about this, I had no idea that non-citizens could get access to 17 of these welfare programs soon after they arrive in the country.
- 21:20Now, we have a very generous welfare system in this country, a very generous safety net, social safety net.
- 21:27And that's appropriate.
- 21:28but it's also appropriate to take it away from people who are planning lives careers families
- 21:36in australia contributing to we are not taking anything away from anyone sarah this will be
- 21:40grandfathered we've been very clear about that so that's actually incorrect uh that's a good point
- 21:46a point of clarification when they say something but you know he could have been more firm on that
- 21:51he could have said you know as well as i do i assume that you're aware that anyone who currently
- 21:56receives benefits will continue to receive the benefits.
- 21:58This isn't going to affect the benefits
- 22:00of anyone who is currently receiving them.
- 22:01This is about setting up our priorities for the future
- 22:04of Australia and where we want our resources to go and where we don't.
- 22:08It is grandfathered
- 22:10and once you become a citizen you get full access to those programs.
- 22:15You promised one of the biggest
- 22:16cuts to immigration in Australia's history was the language that you used.
- 22:19A statement as bold
- 22:20as that demands a number.
- 22:22Sure.
- 22:22What's your number?
- 22:23Well what you will see from our number is
- 22:26is a cut of more than 70% since Labor's, the peak under Labor.
- 22:31That's 100%.
- 22:32More than 40%.
- 22:33That's 150,000.
- 22:34Is that your number?
- 22:37Can I answer the question?
- 22:38Please.
- 22:39I'm trying.
- 22:4140% on the current level.
- 22:44OK, you can already see this going sideways, right?
- 22:46She's asking for a number.
- 22:47She said, you've said that this is going to be a big cut to immigration.
- 22:52What's the number?
- 22:53She's asking that question, and he knows she's asking that question because they haven't announced a specific number.
- 22:59They don't have to announce a specific number yet.
- 23:01This is a reply to a budget where they set out their priorities about what they would do if they were in government, which they're not going to have a chance to be for at least another two years.
- 23:11so it's completely legitimate for him to answer the question about what is the number
- 23:16by saying we're not releasing a number yet and then go on to talk about his plan which is
- 23:21essentially that we're not going to bring in more people than there are houses to put them in
- 23:25because the biggest priority is to make sure that house prices can be stabilized so that young
- 23:30Australians can afford a home he can bang on about that all he wants but instead he's becoming
- 23:35defensive because he's saying that oh can I just answer your question she's saying well I'd love
- 23:40to answer my question because she knows that he's not going to answer the question.
- 23:42And as soon as
- 23:43he declines to answer the question by putting an actual figure, numerical figure on it, whilst
- 23:49insisting that he is answering the question, she can smell blood in the water and what is about to
- 23:53happen becomes inevitable.
- 23:56And the truth is the right number will depend on how many houses get
- 23:59built.
- 24:00I mean, this is the whole problem.
- 24:01This government thought that they could pick the right
- 24:04number without knowing how many houses that were going to get built.
- 24:07And the truth is,
- 24:09not enough houses have been built for the numbers they said.
- 24:12We're talking about a statement that you made in your speech tonight.
- 24:15And I say that,
- 24:16having asked you a couple of questions about One Nation.
- 24:19One of the biggest cuts to immigration
- 24:20in Australia's history, as I said, a statement as bold as that requires a number to be put next
- 24:26to it.
- 24:27Otherwise, it's a slogan.
- 24:29Your maths on the numbers you just referred to is 150,000.
- 24:33Is that your planned net overseas migration number?
- 24:36Sarah, I've given you those numbers,
- 24:38and I don't think...
- 24:38I don't know who's done those calculations for you.
- 24:42But the truth is... Are you saying that's wrong?
- 24:43The truth is that we had immigration
- 24:46at 550,000 under this government.
- 24:49550,000.
- 24:51Before that.
- 24:51The peak after COVID.
- 24:52That's where it peaked.
- 24:55And so we need to get down to a number...
- 24:56With settings.
- 24:57We've discussed this before.
- 24:58Those were settings put in place by your government.
- 25:00This is the sort of nonsense this government...
- 25:02This is a question about numbers.
- 25:04I'd really like to finish, Sarah.
- 25:05Yes.
- 25:05This is nonsense.
- 25:07I'd like you to answer the question about numbers.
- 25:08Well, I will, and I'm answering the question,
- 25:10but you've just got to give me a go to answer it.
- 25:12Okay, this is hostility with no purpose.
- 25:16It's perfectly fine to have an adversarial exchange
- 25:19if there's substance to it.
- 25:20If there's no substance to it, people just roll their eyes
- 25:23and go, bloody politicians and bloody journalists
- 25:25just engaged in this muckraking exercise
- 25:28where none of us are any the wiser.
- 25:29What is the point of this exchange?
- 25:31why is the interviewer going in so hard for this particular number when she knows that he doesn't
- 25:36have it why is he being so evasive about the fact that they don't have a number yet when they're
- 25:40under no obligation to have a number yet he has tacitly accepted her framing of the issue when she
- 25:46says uh an an assertion like the biggest cut to australian immigration you know in a generation
- 25:53or whatever he said in his speech requires a number otherwise it's just a slogan i mean he
- 25:58should have nipped it in the bud before she even got to that.
- 26:00But if she gets to that point and he
- 26:02doesn't say anything, then it suggests that he agrees with her, that it needs a number.
- 26:06Otherwise,
- 26:07it's just a slogan.
- 26:08He has to push back instantaneously, just as you would if a friend
- 26:11said that to you at the pub.
- 26:13I mean, if you said, I'm setting my sights really, really high,
- 26:20and in 2029, I want to be making more money than I ever have.
- 26:24And your friend said exactly how much?
- 26:27and you were like, well, more than I ever had.
- 26:30And they were like, well, unless you can tell me
- 26:32the precise number that you're going to earn
- 26:33in the 2029 to 2030 fiscal year,
- 26:36then that's just a slogan.
- 26:38You wouldn't be like, you wouldn't accept that
- 26:41and then say, well, I'm trying to answer your question.
- 26:43I am answering your question
- 26:44if you'll just give me a chance to answer your question.
- 26:45This whole kabuki theater that we go through
- 26:48in political interviews and debates is totally alienating.
- 26:52This is why populist parties are on the rise
- 26:54and why sane politicians don't get ahead anymore.
- 26:59You would say, hey, fair crack of the whip.
- 27:02We're talking about something that's not going to happen for years.
- 27:05I'm talking about an aspiration.
- 27:07I'm talking about an intention.
- 27:09I'm talking about setting priorities and setting goals.
- 27:13You can go off on whatever tangents you want to with your abacus
- 27:16and care about the minutiae of the particular details.
- 27:21I'm under no obligation here to you to put a precise figure forward we're about aligning
- 27:27our priorities with the priorities of Australians but you know that we don't have a number there's
- 27:31no number yet why would there be a number we're we're years away from an election and we have no
- 27:35idea what the future is going to hold we have no idea how many houses are going to be built we have
- 27:39no idea what the immigration rates that the government's the government sets is going to be
- 27:44over the next couple of years I mean as soon as she as soon as it became clear that she was trying
- 27:50to hunt for a number and call him essentially a paper tiger or a hypocrite or a charlatan
- 27:58for not having a precise number, he should have shot that down immediately because that's what
- 28:02a human being would do if you were being authentic.
- 28:04He would just be like, well, I don't have one.
- 28:06I
- 28:06mean, I don't have a number.
- 28:08There's no number.
- 28:10I'm articulating a set of priorities here.
- 28:13And the best that she would be able to do would be like, well, if you're going to make a big claim,
- 28:16like the biggest cut to immigration, then you should have a number.
- 28:19And then you can go,
- 28:20Well, we don't.
- 28:22Next question.
- 28:24I mean, so what?
- 28:26The reality is you don't have a number.
- 28:27You only
- 28:28have two choices.
- 28:29Either you have a number or you admit that you don't have a number.
- 28:33This third way
- 28:34of not having a number but pretending that you do have a number and that you actually are answering
- 28:38the question while you're not answering the question.
- 28:39Oh my goodness, please.
- 28:42This is complete
- 28:43nonsense you hear from this government.
- 28:44Absolute utter nonsense.
- 28:47They were the government and the
- 28:49peak got to 550,000 people.
- 28:52There is no way in this country that houses could support that number.
- 28:58The two numbers have to be linked.
- 29:00So what we're proposing is each year the Housing Minister would
- 29:03say we've got this many houses available and so the right number or the cap should be an appropriate
- 29:11number to suit that.
- 29:12Now we know already based on what we are seeing that that number is likely to
- 29:17be 70% down from the peak, roughly 40% down from where we are now.
- 29:22And I said, we've got some
- 29:24catch up to do too, because frankly, what's happened is Labor has failed so miserably on
- 29:30their housing targets and been so far above their immigration targets that we've got to get catch
- 29:35up.
- 29:35This will allow young Australians to get into a home, Sarah, and that is the most important
- 29:40objective we have here.
- 29:41I'd like to note... That's a good way to wrap the answer, to link it back to
- 29:44housing.
- 29:44You've made a big statement in your speech.
- 29:46You're not prepared to back it up with
- 29:48numbers, even though you know...
- 29:49I've just given you the numbers.
- 29:50Well, you haven't given me the
- 29:51final... Well, Sarah, I've said what the number will be.
- 29:54It will be based on the number of houses
- 29:56that are built.
- 29:57Now, I'll ask you, if I may, how many houses will Labor build in a couple of years
- 30:05time?
- 30:05If I was to guess... You can put those questions to Labor.
- 30:07Let me ask you a different
- 30:08question.
- 30:09Let's move on.
- 30:10If you're going to make a very... No, if you're going to go in for the
- 30:13kill, you've got to go in for the kill.
- 30:14If you're going to ask her a question, then you have to
- 30:16follow it up.
- 30:16If you're going to play that game and be like, let me ask you, how many houses is
- 30:19Labor going to build?
- 30:20And she says, well, you can put that question to Labor.
- 30:22Then you don't just
- 30:23sigh and look defeated.
- 30:26Either go in for the fight or don't go in for the fight.
- 30:29Once she says,
- 30:31well, you can put that question to Labor, you can say, Labor's not the ones who are going to tell
- 30:36me.
- 30:36You're the one who seems to be claiming that I need a precise number.
- 30:38You're the one who wants
- 30:39the exact number.
- 30:40You tell me what the exact number is.
- 30:41You give me the number of houses,
- 30:42I'll give you the number of migrants deal yeah either this is just the this is not rocket science
- 30:50folks this is the way that Angus Taylor the opposition leader presumably talks when he's
- 30:56in private with his colleagues sitting around a table trying to hash out what policies they're
- 31:01going to have someone shoots brings up an idea and if they really like each other if they actually
- 31:05have respect for each other they probably feel free to go in on each other from time to time
- 31:10and if you're not going to go in on the interviewer in a situation like this then you have to just
- 31:15politely point out that you're not answering the question for reasons x y and z which might be
- 31:20totally legitimate reasons and in this case they are legitimate but it sounds like he's waffling
- 31:24it sounds like he's evasive it sounds like he hasn't done his homework sounds like he's hiding
- 31:28something because he's claiming to have given her a number that we can all hear he hasn't given her
- 31:33it would be much better if he just said we don't we don't haven't there is no number instead of
- 31:37saying, well, I've given you the number, it's 40%, just say, but there is no number yet.
- 31:41We're
- 31:41talking about a policy that's going to be dictated by future numbers.
- 31:45Very substantial cut, which you
- 31:46have signalled very clearly in your speech tonight.
- 31:49And on the numbers that you have given me, we're
- 31:51calculating that at about 150,000 as your total number.
- 31:54So you only have a small number of levers
- 31:57available to you to cut the net overseas migration number.
- 32:02Cutting international students, working
- 32:04holiday visas, which the Nationals oppose, and New Zealanders.
- 32:08So which of those levers
- 32:09are you going to pull to make a massive cut in immigration?
- 32:13Well, Sarah, as I said, we'll give a number in the lead up to the next election.
- 32:17This is about the visas.
- 32:18I've given the principle, well, if I can finish, I've given you a very clear principle.
- 32:23It
- 32:24will be a very substantial reduction because there is no way that the government is going
- 32:28to get their housing completions up to a level that's going to give a bigger number than that.
- 32:33Okay, he's not even answering the question remotely.
- 32:36She's given him three ways to cut immigration.
- 32:39He has said he's going to cut immigration.
- 32:41Even though he doesn't have a specific number,
- 32:43he said it's going to be a massive cut.
- 32:45She's given him three categories in which you can do that.
- 32:49Student visas, working holiday visas, and New Zealanders.
- 32:54And he's gone back to saying, well, as I've said before,
- 32:57by the way, if you're a politician,
- 32:59or if you're ever giving an interview to the media,
- 33:01don't use phrases like, as I've said before,
- 33:03or as we've already unveiled, or as I've stated repeatedly.
- 33:07I know that you feel like you've said
- 33:08it a lot of times before, because you're constantly giving interviews like this,
- 33:11and you're feeling frustrated with the interviewer.
- 33:13But the audience needs you to say it three times
- 33:15before they can hear it anyway, and it just comes across as condescending and smug.
- 33:19So if she gives you three different categories, then actually wrestle with those categories.
- 33:23And the true answer is that he doesn't know yet how he's going to cut immigration,
- 33:28because they've just seen a budget.
- 33:30They're just spitballing what their response to the
- 33:32budget should be.
- 33:33They're still formulating exactly what it'll look like.
- 33:35They haven't
- 33:36dotted all of the I's.
- 33:36They haven't crossed all of the T's.
- 33:37It's not their job to do so.
- 33:39They're not in government.
- 33:39They're in opposition.
- 33:40They're a long way away from an election campaign.
- 33:42They're just creating an alternative proposal to what the government wants to do in order to set
- 33:47their priorities apart.
- 33:48That's a perfectly legitimate thing to do at this stage of the cycle.
- 33:52And he can just say that.
- 33:55When she says, which of those three things will you be looking at?
- 33:59you can say we're looking at all of them or we haven't arrived at any decision yet.
- 34:03We're looking at all of them.
- 34:04We don't know.
- 34:06We'll look at it.
- 34:06We'll look at it before the
- 34:07next election.
- 34:08It will be, if I can, if I have my answer, it will be below 200,000.
- 34:12There's no
- 34:14doubt about that.
- 34:15And then the right mix will depend on the circumstances at the time.
- 34:20What
- 34:21is clear, what is clear is that the number of students in this country has been at record
- 34:26levels this government lost control of that situation.
- 34:29So you will be targeting international
- 34:31students?
- 34:32Well I'm just saying that that's one area that is obvious for us to look at there's
- 34:35no question.
- 34:36Will you exclude working holiday visas?
- 34:38Well as I say that the number of temporary
- 34:40visas has increased dramatically under this government and that's been part of the housing
- 34:45crisis.
- 34:45So working holiday visas are also on the table?
- 34:49I'm saying temporary visas obviously is a
- 34:52big part of the explosion does that include why is this so hard why is that why is everything so
- 34:58waffly and combative and like trying to it's like you know trying to squeeze a bar of soap that
- 35:03keeps slipping out of your hand or trying to pin down a an ice cube that keeps shimmying across
- 35:08the table it's like she says are you she says are you ruling out uh working holiday visas you just
- 35:14say nothing's ruled out at this stage that's it nothing's ruled out it's all everything everything's
- 35:19in, we're committed to significantly cutting immigration and everything's on the table.
- 35:24That's all you need.
- 35:24Good working holiday.
- 35:25Well, as I say, Sarah, we will lay out the individual visa numbers as we get close to
- 35:31the election.
- 35:31The process we have laid out is that as we see the housing completions, we'll set a cap
- 35:37and then the visa numbers will fit within that cap.
- 35:40How do you put a hard cap on that overseas migration when it includes Australian citizens
- 35:44who are free to come and go?
- 35:45Well, you can make reasonable predictions about what those things are going to be, Sarah.
- 35:49So if you can forecast...
- 35:52That's a pretty good answer.
- 35:53Yes, just a simple answer.
- 35:54You can make pretty good predictions about what that's going to be.
- 35:57Then full stop.
- 35:57Then you probably already have in your head some idea
- 36:00of how those numbers are going to break down.
- 36:02Well, Sarah, what we don't know is how many houses we're going to get.
- 36:06And what I do know about this government
- 36:08is they've completely failed to reach their housing targets
- 36:12time and time again.
- 36:14That's a pretty good answer.
- 36:15So we will see what they deliver on that.
- 36:17They're sitting on around 170,000 now.
- 36:21That's well below the numbers that we saw when we were in government.
- 36:24They have completely failed to meet their own housing targets.
- 36:28We're on about 70,000 houses a year less than they should be getting to
- 36:33on their own targets, and we'll see how that plays out
- 36:35over the next couple of years.
- 36:36But I'll tell you one thing I'm not going to do.
- 36:38I am not going to allow the net overseas migration get to a number
- 36:44which is beyond the housing we have in this country.
- 36:47I want to move on to tax indexation, noting that we don't have any numbers from you after that bold statement, but on tax indexation.
- 36:55So she's just slipped the knife in as she leaves that subject.
- 36:58She says, I'm going to move on to another subject, tax indexation, noting that we haven't received any numbers from you on that bold statement.
- 37:07I think if she goes back in for that, then you have to jump back in for the kill as well and say, Sarah, I appreciate that you're completely obsessed with the minutiae of this particular policy.
- 37:16and I'm delighted that you're such a fan of the policy
- 37:18that you want to see how every I is dotted
- 37:20and every T is crossed
- 37:22when we're still two or three years out
- 37:24from forming government.
- 37:26At this stage, we're setting out our priorities
- 37:28and nobody thinks it's incumbent upon us
- 37:32to predict the future with a crystal ball
- 37:34and tell you exactly what the number's going to be right now.
- 37:37So nice try at the gotcha, but no dice.
- 37:40This is a big move.
- 37:41This is something that tax experts around the country
- 37:44have wanted for a very long time,
- 37:46No side of politics has wanted to do this.
- 37:48You've decided to do it.
- 37:50So what will it cost the budget, the budget's bottom line over those four years?
- 37:54Well, the biggest thing is what it's going to cost hardworking Australians.
- 37:58So I do want to start here because this is important.
- 38:01What you will...
- 38:02Okay, we're back into slogans again.
- 38:04As soon as you hear the word hardworking Australians or hardworking Americans,
- 38:08your eyes just sort of glaze over, don't they?
- 38:10It's like, here comes the speech.
- 38:12Here comes the bit he's rehearsed with his media advisor.
- 38:14Well, you know, the number that we should be focusing on is the number of hardworking Australians, the amount of tax that they're paying.
- 38:22Again, it's an opportunity to go back to the question of what she's actually saying.
- 38:26And if she's fishing for something, if you've just had a disastrous moment where she's been fishing for a precise number, you've squirmed all over the place trying to pretend that you have a number when you don't actually have a number and trying to pretend that you have been saying a number that you have not in fact been saying.
- 38:45instead of just saying we don't have it.
- 38:47And now she comes at you again and says you're going to index
- 38:50the tax brackets to get rid of bracket creep.
- 38:55And she says, what is that going to cost?
- 39:00Instead of being fair dinkum about it and open about it and saying,
- 39:04well, I don't know if they've actually costed this or not.
- 39:08This is Josh speaking now, not the opposition leader.
- 39:10So there are various ways he could answer this question.
- 39:13either if he doesn't want to answer, if he doesn't want to give a number, but he actually does have a
- 39:17number, then he's going to have to be savvy in some way about concealing that.
- 39:22But he has to also
- 39:23be open about the fact that he's concealing that and say, we've got numbers, we're putting them
- 39:27through a costings process and we'll get them out before the next election, but I'm not going to
- 39:30tell them to you now.
- 39:32Or he has to say that there's some uncertainty about the numbers in a way that
- 39:36is plausible.
- 39:38I don't know how many predictions they're able to make about what the costing
- 39:41would actually be.
- 39:42It's also worth noting that this particular policy is one that economists
- 39:46from both sides of the aisle have long advocated for.
- 39:49This is widely regarded as being good policy.
- 39:51Journalists, academics, and economists from both left and right recognize that it is bad for
- 39:58everybody to be getting an automatic tax increase every single year simply as a result of inflation,
- 40:04and he should be applauded for doing this.
- 40:07So if you did want to dodge the question when the
- 40:09question first comes, then instead of pivoting to some canned remark about hardworking Australians,
- 40:15I would opt for the bigger picture, which is to say, you know, as well as I do, this is a reform
- 40:22that economists from left and right have been arguing for, for decades and decades.
- 40:27And the
- 40:27fact that the government didn't take this on and insist on taxing salary earners more and more
- 40:34every single year is shameful, frankly.
- 40:37If they want to do something big, then they should have
- 40:38done the obvious big thing that would put more money in the pockets of Australian workers.
- 40:44That would be the correct response.
- 40:46I think it would probably go down a little bit better than
- 40:49immediately reading off a crib sheet about hardworking Australians, but let's see.
- 40:54What you will see from bracket creep is in the first year, $250 at the target inflation rate,
- 41:01to a half percent.
- 41:02No, hang on.
- 41:02No, wait, just on that, are you going to,
- 41:05would you repeal the WETO, the new tax that the government's brought in?
- 41:08Well, we've said we'll support that initiative.
- 41:13Again, don't say we've said.
- 41:14Nobody cares what you've said.
- 41:16It doesn't matter.
- 41:17Just say, no, we'll keep it.
- 41:19That's all you need to say.
- 41:20No, we'll keep.
- 41:21Everyone will still get their $250.
- 41:24The fact of the matter is it goes from $250 for a typical learner,
- 41:27someone on about $70,000, $500, $750, $1,000.
- 41:34This is the thief in the night, Sarah.
- 41:36What's he saying?
- 41:37Do you understand that?
- 41:38I don't understand that.
- 41:40$50, $1,000, $7,000.
- 41:40He's just stating numbers.
- 41:46Sell the picture.
- 41:47There's an old slogan in advertising and in pitching that you want to
- 41:52sell the sizzle, not the bacon.
- 41:54People buy the sizzle, not the bacon.
- 41:57He's selling us bacon
- 41:58here with all these numbers.
- 42:00You've got to make their skin prickle just a little bit and get them
- 42:06a little bit excited about something.
- 42:08Like every single year, you get an automatic pay cut.
- 42:13I mean,
- 42:13you get an automatic tax cut.
- 42:14We don't have to come out with enormous fanfare and shower you
- 42:17with tax cuts before every election cycle or during some big budget fanfare.
- 42:23We are legislating
- 42:25a tax cut every single year that you will always do better off.
- 42:29This is a reform that economists
- 42:30have been arguing for for ages.
- 42:33And this is going to, you know,
- 42:34this is going to put the power back in the hands
- 42:37of people who actually have salaries and wages in Australia
- 42:41instead of fat cats or whatever.
- 42:43However you want to phrase it,
- 42:44phrase it in a way that is actually going to resonate
- 42:46with people's emotional experience
- 42:49of living through a cost of living crisis
- 42:51instead of reciting a bunch of numbers
- 42:53where nobody knows what you're talking about.
- 42:55This is actually how Labor generates revenues.
- 42:59it raises taxes on people
- 43:01and the higher inflation goes
- 43:02the higher the number.
- 43:04Those numbers
- 43:04double if inflation is sitting at
- 43:06the current level at 5%.
- 43:08So it is true that there is a cost
- 43:11to that.
- 43:11That's absolutely right.
- 43:12And what is that cost?
- 43:13Well, you know, it will
- 43:15depend on the inflation rate.
- 43:17And here
- 43:17we go into the same problem.
- 43:20What do you forecast?
- 43:21You can give me a figure with
- 43:24some plus and minus
- 43:25in it.
- 43:26What do you forecast
- 43:27that number to be?
- 43:28Well, the inflation rate right now is running at double the target inflation rate.
- 43:33What will it be running in a couple of years?
- 43:35Let's see.
- 43:35But I'll tell you where the savings
- 43:37are going to come from.
- 43:37Hold on.
- 43:38Just give me a number for how much indexing.
- 43:41If you're not going
- 43:42to give her the number, tell her you're not going to give her the number.
- 43:46Don't try to change the
- 43:46subject and think she won't notice.
- 43:48She's Sarah Ferguson, one of the most decorated journalists
- 43:51in Australia.
- 43:52She's going to notice when you're not answering a question and she's going to be
- 43:55a dog with a bone, she's going to smell blood in the water, she's going to want to come after you.
- 43:59If she says, I just want you to give me a number, and you're not going to give her a number,
- 44:04there's a very simple answer, Mr. Taylor.
- 44:07You just say, I'm not going to give you a number.
- 44:10That's it.
- 44:11I'm not going to give you a number.
- 44:13End of story.
- 44:15What's she going to do?
- 44:16Well,
- 44:16I'm very upset.
- 44:17I think it's ridiculous that you're not giving me a number.
- 44:19You think it's
- 44:19ridiculous?
- 44:20Okay, that's fine.
- 44:21We don't know what inflation is going to be.
- 44:23We don't know
- 44:24what the overall tax burden is going to be.
- 44:25We haven't seen what this government is going to be
- 44:27putting out in their next budget, which might involve some tax cuts of their own.
- 44:30They're
- 44:30presumably going to go to the next election with a new tax package.
- 44:33It is 2026, Sarah, I would say.
- 44:38The election's not till 2028.
- 44:39I love the fact that you think that I'm imminently going to become
- 44:43the Australian Prime Minister on the basis of this one speech, but I'm sorry to shatter your
- 44:48illusions.
- 44:48I'm actually just setting out a bunch of priorities for our party as an alternative for
- 44:53Australians to vote for, to set an agenda that is more pro-growth and that involves tax cuts
- 45:00for everybody, for salary earners and wage earners.
- 45:04So there is no number yet.
- 45:06I mean,
- 45:07what's she going to do?
- 45:08Whereas when she senses you squirming, when she senses you being inauthentic,
- 45:11when she senses you dodging a question, she's going to go in for the kill.
- 45:15Tax will cost the budget bottom line.
- 45:17Well, it'll be what is necessary to alleviate those numbers that I just described to you,
- 45:22How do you restore your economic credentials
- 45:25if you won't put a number on the massive new policy
- 45:28that you're presenting to Australian people tonight?
- 45:29The number will depend on the inflation rates we see
- 45:32closer to the election.
- 45:33And we will put our costings closer to the election.
- 45:35But I'll tell you one thing, Sarah.
- 45:37Well, we've done some rough calculations on that.
- 45:40Well, if you want to give me advice on the numbers going around here...
- 45:42No, they're not my advice,
- 45:43but I'm asking you to confirm that this is correct.
- 45:47The number we've come up with is $20.5 billion over four years,
- 45:51growing very fast in the fourth year, $11.8 billion.
- 45:56So $11.8 billion by 2030, a cost
- 45:59of $22.5 billion.
- 46:00Is that right?
- 46:01So why did you need to ask me the question?
- 46:03I wanted to know what number you came up with.
- 46:05So we can argue about this all day.
- 46:07Okay.
- 46:09Getting snarky when you don't have anything to bring to the table is not great.
- 46:14I mean,
- 46:14I understand the instinct that she's being hostile, so you want to be hostile in return.
- 46:18But there's a way of being hostile where you're actually just calling someone on their
- 46:21on their bullshit and there's a way of being hostile that just leaves you looking petty
- 46:25and unfortunately in this interview i feel like the opposition leader is mostly doing the latter
- 46:30looking petty instead of looking like he's actually bringing the fight um you know she's
- 46:34talking about the all these numbers and so on you for a start you should have already said that
- 46:38you're not going to give her a number secondly uh you can say look that's that's the ballpark
- 46:43and the reality is that undoing labor's automatic tax increases is expensive uh you know but the but
- 46:49if the but if australia is going to be competitive if we're going to have productivity growth and
- 46:52wage growth and low inflation then you know something's got to give you can't just keep
- 46:57spending like a drunken sailor and taking more and more and more money away from australian
- 47:01workers uh you know so you just shift you can you can you can sort of cauterize the question
- 47:07by just putting a button on it and admitting that you're not answering the question instead
- 47:11of constantly pretending that you are and then talk about the big picture you want you want the
- 47:16narrative to feel robust and you want your uh when you decline to actually answer a specific question
- 47:23you want to be up front about that so it doesn't sound like you're uh you're sneaky we might have
- 47:27different we might have we might have different numbers i think what matters is whether there are
- 47:32savings there to pay for it that's the question well and how much it is matters well that's good
- 47:37he that that's a good thing to say yes once you've said if he'd sold the dream of like we are going
- 47:43to permanently ensure that Australians keep more of their money
- 47:47and don't receive a big tax increase every year by stealth
- 47:52because of inflation, then if he had done that,
- 47:55he would be able to pivot there to the question is not how much it costs.
- 47:58The question is whether or not it adds any debt to Australia.
- 48:02And, you know, if you can pay for it, you can do anything
- 48:05if you pay for it, right?
- 48:06I mean, he could just say that.
- 48:08You can do anything if you can pay for it,
- 48:10and here's how we're going to pay for it.
- 48:11It's true, but it will depend on the numbers you use and the inflation.
- 48:15You are coming to the Australian people tonight to re-establish your position as the leader of a would-be government.
- 48:22Central to that are your economic credentials.
- 48:24That is the person that you have put forward tonight.
- 48:27So you can tell us how much it's going to be and how you're going to pay for it.
- 48:30And I've told you again, it will depend on...
- 48:33No, no.
- 48:34Don't pretend that you've told her something that you haven't told her and don't seem like you're squirrelly.
- 48:40If she says you've come to the Australian people and you're trying to sell yourself as having economic credentials, then you are totally free again to pull back.
- 48:50She's inviting you to pull back essentially and tell a big picture story about what your party represents in contrast to the government.
- 48:59and there is a free kick.
- 49:01I mean, she gave you a free kick there
- 49:02by saying that you're presenting yourself
- 49:04as the party of economic responsibility.
- 49:06You can pull back and you can say,
- 49:08ever since the era of Sir Robert Menzies in the 1950s,
- 49:12the Liberal Party of Australia
- 49:14has been the party of economic and fiscal responsibility
- 49:17and that is not going to die on my watch.
- 49:18You know, if you want me to spout out specific numbers
- 49:23to the 10th decimal place so that you can, you know,
- 49:26you can pull a gotcha when those numbers turn out
- 49:28to be slightly inaccurate in a couple of years' time, go for it.
- 49:32I know that's the game that you
- 49:33play.
- 49:34That's the game that you've always played.
- 49:35You've always been hostile to a low-tax agenda.
- 49:37But the reality is that we're continuing, we're carrying the flame on behalf of Australians who
- 49:42don't want to see a huge taxing and spending government that's running out of control.
- 49:46When we get to the next election and we actually have to submit detailed proposals for what we're
- 49:51going to do, then you will see the detail.
- 49:54To dance around now as if you've somehow cornered
- 49:57me and got me because two or three years out from an election, I don't have the fine print of every
- 50:02single detail, but instead I'm talking about the vision that the Liberal Party has for Australia.
- 50:07I'm sorry, it's just not going to fly.
- 50:09That's what you say.
- 50:11On the inflation rate at the time.
- 50:13I don't know how many times I can say that to you.
- 50:14It's a question of trust.
- 50:15And then the question is this.
- 50:18And then the question is this.
- 50:20How do you pay for it?
- 50:21And there's four areas we've been very clear about and I was very clear about today.
- 50:25And
- 50:25And this is the crucial point, ending the corporate welfare that Labor has been pursuing.
- 50:32We've seen endless amounts of this with the National Reconstruction Fund, the so-called
- 50:36Future Made in Australia that's sending industry offshore, ending the housing bureaucracy,
- 50:42the Housing Australia Future Fund, ending the net zero bureaucracy, the climate bureaucracy
- 50:48that this government has created.
- 50:50I have to say, you laid out all these elements in the speech tonight.
- 50:53We're at the time where we have to wrap.
- 50:57I know we don't have your numbers,
- 50:59but you've made some bold statements in your speech tonight.
- 51:03If she says you've laid out all of these things in your speech tonight
- 51:07but we're out of time, then you can say, well, isn't it convenient
- 51:11that just when we talk about funding the proposals that I've advocated,
- 51:15you run out of time?
- 51:16It would have been nice if we'd spoken about, well,
- 51:18I suppose you might sound a bit snarky if you said it would have been nice
- 51:20if we'd spoken about those proposals earlier.
- 51:22but if he'd been more succinct in his answers up front then he would have had the opportunity for
- 51:27her to get to the ways in which he's going to pay for his proposals for her to then say well we've
- 51:32heard you know for her to grill him about the lack of numbers and then when he gets to the point at
- 51:37which he's going to he's talking he's trying to talk about how he's going to pay for the proposals
- 51:42that she seems to be implying are uncosted and unpaid for for her to then say well we're out of
- 51:48out of time, it does reflect poorly on his ability to race through some of these subjects so that he
- 51:55can get to the things that he really wants to talk about.
- 51:57If the problem is that he lacks economic
- 51:59credibility because he's throwing out these big plans about how much he's going to cut immigration
- 52:05and how much he's going to cut taxes by indexing the tax brackets, and he wants to sort of bolster
- 52:13his economic credibility by saying, yeah, but we're going to cut in four areas and allow me to
- 52:18list them, then he has to make sure that he has time to talk about those four areas, not by
- 52:22squeezing them in where they don't belong, but by being peppy as he gets through the earlier parts
- 52:28of the conversation.
- 52:30If she asks a question, you know, do you have numbers?
- 52:32You say, nope, we don't.
- 52:33She says, you know, are you doing this in part because you're afraid of One Nation?
- 52:37You go,
- 52:38yeah, a little bit.
- 52:38You know, we don't want voters to go over to a dead-end minor party.
- 52:43We want them
- 52:43stay here inside the Liberal tent.
- 52:45There are all kinds of ways that you can move the conversation
- 52:48along and allow her the time to give you the opportunity to talk about things that you want
- 52:53to talk about without having to make it sound like you're reading off a script.
- 52:57There'll be
- 52:58much discussion.
- 52:59I look forward to having you confirm.
- 53:00You will get our numbers closer to the
- 53:02election and that is the convention and you know it.
- 53:05Angus Taylor, thank you very much.
- 53:06Good to be
- 53:06with you.
- 53:07He finally said the thing that he should have said 20 minutes ago.
- 53:11You will get the numbers
- 53:12close to the election, that is the convention, and you know it.
- 53:15I mean, he could have said,
- 53:17the convention, as you know it, is to provide numbers close to the election.
- 53:21He could have
- 53:21said that at the beginning of the interview, and he could have said it every time she was pushing
- 53:26him for numbers.
- 53:27The fact that she knew that he wouldn't say it, and that she knew that she could
- 53:30make him look dodgy by trying to pin him down, and that he wouldn't just fess up to the fact that he
- 53:36didn't have specificity yet, is telling.
- 53:40It's telling about the way that professional journalists
- 53:43know that politicians are going to react.
- 53:46It's telling about how much politicians have to fear
- 53:49or feel they have to fear from people jumping on some line, like, you know, if he'd said,
- 53:56I don't have the numbers, then is there going to be a headline in the left-wing press, in the
- 54:00Guardian or the ABC saying, you know, Taylor admits he has no clue.
- 54:06Maybe.
- 54:07So what?
- 54:09How many
- 54:09bad headlines has Pauline Hanson had?
- 54:12How many bad headlines did Donald Trump get?
- 54:14How many bad
- 54:15headlines does Nigel Farage put up with?
- 54:18You just got to at some point put up with the bad headlines
- 54:21and trust that what people really crave is a sense that you're a legitimate person who doesn't take
- 54:26any bullshit, who can speak like a human being, who can wrestle with the best of them, who isn't
- 54:32going to get cornered and get anxious and seem evasive, but seems like a real human being.
- 54:39That
- 54:39is the currency of the 21st century, for better or worse.
- 54:43Maybe it was better when politicians
- 54:45were all orators and they could all speak professorially and it was an era of Martin
- 54:51Luther King and JFK.
- 54:53But that era ended with Barack Obama.
- 54:56The reality is nowadays politicians
- 54:58have to be likable.
- 54:59They have to be normal seeming.
- 55:01They have to be willing to trigger
- 55:04some tripwires and tread on some eggshells, as I often say of our conversations on this show.
- 55:09And if they're not, then they can't blame other people if voters flee to minor parties with
- 55:17unpolished politicians who are willing to take on the mantle of saying things as they are.
- 55:24The number of people who you can talk to who are flirting with a vote for minor parties,
- 55:31who will say, I may not agree with everything they believe in, I may not agree with all their
- 55:35policies, I may not agree with everything they say, but at least you know they believe it.
- 55:40At least you know they're speaking a truth that they believe in.
- 55:45They're not just doing a poll
- 55:46tested, boring, kind of politically safe angle.
- 55:53They're willing to put themselves out there and
- 55:56live or die on the basis of their own claims.
- 55:59That's what people want these days.
- 56:01And if you
- 56:02think, well, hindsight's 20-20, and of course, Josh can be a Monday morning quarterback, but
- 56:07if he was there in the studio with Sarah Ferguson, well, maybe he wouldn't have done any better than
- 56:10angus taylor listen i haven't poured over this interview and uh made taken notes about it this
- 56:18is me winging it i saw that interview once when it went to air last week and now i'm just making
- 56:23it up on the fly so there's no reason if angus taylor is not capable of making it up on the fly
- 56:29in a way where he's treating the journalist as if the journalist was uh you know a disagreeable
- 56:35mate at the pub who is talking to him and who he wants to level with, then he cannot expect
- 56:41to retain the votes of Australians who are interested in authenticity and a sense that
- 56:49there's a real human being who believes in real things and is willing to call bullshit on bullshit
- 56:54when he has to.
- 56:55Incidentally, I spoke to Angus Taylor before the last election.
- 56:59He joined me
- 57:00in our studios in Melbourne.
- 57:01We sat down and had a great chat.
- 57:03If you go back and listen to that,
- 57:04Just search for Angus Taylor in the Uncomfortable Conversations podcast feed.
- 57:08You will see he's a very personable, very likable guy.
- 57:13I'm not picking him out because I think that he's a woeful politician.
- 57:16I'm picking him out because I think that he's behaving exactly as mainstream politicians
- 57:21unfortunately these days do, which in part explains why so few people vote for mainstream
- 57:26political parties at the moment.
- 57:28But go back and listen to that episode and you'll see that he and I have a really interesting
- 57:32and casual and relaxed chat.
- 57:33If he could somehow rekindle that part of his personality and bring that into the public sphere a little bit more aggressively, then the fates of the Liberal Party could certainly change.
- 57:45So those are my thoughts.
- 57:47I hope this is in some way useful.
- 57:49The only reason why I do this is because I do feel like if politicians don't get better, mainstream politicians don't get better at having uncomfortable conversations with their interlocutors, then we will end up with far left or far right populists who at least have the advantage of seeming unfiltered and authentic.
- 58:07Thanks for your time.
- 58:09I will see you next time.