Latest / Uncensored Objection / The Midterms Will Change Everything. Here’s What To Expect On January Third.
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_01: The ten changes that could rewrite your future.
- 0:02SPEAKER_01: Why three seats change everything.
- 0:05SPEAKER_01: Listen, let me ask you a question.
- 0:07SPEAKER_01: What if I told you the exact return on investment on your vote?
- 0:11SPEAKER_00: And we are not talking about, like, abstract civic duty today.
- 0:14SPEAKER_01: No, exactly.
- 0:15SPEAKER_01: I mean, I'm not talking about feeling good because you got an I voted sticker.
- 0:18SPEAKER_01: I'm talking about leverage.
- 0:20SPEAKER_01: Cold, hard, mathematical leverage.
- 0:23SPEAKER_00: Which is what the author of our source text really zeroes in on.
- 0:26SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 0:27SPEAKER_01: What if I told you that changing just three specific seats in the House
- 0:31SPEAKER_01: and four seats in the Senate could fundamentally rewrite the script of your life
- 0:35SPEAKER_01: by January 2027?
- 0:38SPEAKER_01: You'd want to know exactly how that math works, wouldn't you?
- 0:41SPEAKER_00: I know I would.
- 0:42SPEAKER_01: So today we are doing a deep dive into this highly specific,
- 0:46SPEAKER_01: very heavily debated document titled The Midterms Change Everything.
- 0:51SPEAKER_01: And it outlines 10 precise policy changes the author claims will absolutely happen
- 0:55SPEAKER_01: if Democrats win majority control in the upcoming midterms.
- 0:58SPEAKER_00: Yeah, and our mission for this deep dive is to act as an analytical lens for you.
- 1:03SPEAKER_00: We are going to decode the complex legal
- 1:06SPEAKER_00: and congressional mechanisms this essay relies on and really explore
- 1:10SPEAKER_00: the author's case for why you should be motivated to show up at the ballot box.
- 1:14SPEAKER_01: And I should say up front, the source text is highly partisan.
- 1:17SPEAKER_01: So our goal here isn't to take sides or endorse these viewpoints.
- 1:21SPEAKER_01: We're just here to impartially report on the architecture of the author's argument.
- 1:25SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 1:25SPEAKER_00: We're just laying out the structural realities of the U.S. government that they present.
- 1:29SPEAKER_01: Okay, let's unpack this because before we even get to those 10 specific changes,
- 1:34SPEAKER_01: the author insists we have to look under the hood at the math of the midterms.
- 1:38SPEAKER_00: Yeah, the foundational math.
- 1:39SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 1:40SPEAKER_01: And they claim we need to fundamentally rethink how Congress actually wields power.
- 1:45SPEAKER_01: So what are the actual margins we're talking about here?
- 1:48SPEAKER_00: Well, the margins presented in the text are just razor thin.
- 1:52SPEAKER_00: Coming out of 2024, the text notes Democrats won 215 House seats.
- 1:57SPEAKER_01: And the majority threshold is 218, right?
- 1:59SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 2:00SPEAKER_00: So that means they need a net gain of just three seats to take the gavel.
- 2:05SPEAKER_00: And over in the Senate, Republicans hold 53 seats.
- 2:08SPEAKER_01: Okay.
- 2:08SPEAKER_00: So for a 51-seat majority, Democrats need a net gain of four.
- 2:13SPEAKER_00: That is the entire mathematical distance between the Congress operating today and
- 2:18SPEAKER_00: the one the author is arguing for.
- 2:20SPEAKER_01: Three in the House, four in the Senate.
- 2:21SPEAKER_01: I mean, when you put it like that, it sounds incredibly close.
- 2:25SPEAKER_01: But the text contrasts those tiny margins with some pretty alarming turnout statistics.
- 2:31SPEAKER_00: Yeah, it really does.
- 2:33SPEAKER_00: During the 2022 midterms,
- 2:35SPEAKER_00: the text states only 45.1% of the voting eligible population actually cast a ballot
- 2:40SPEAKER_00: in House races.
- 2:41SPEAKER_01: Wow, not even half.
- 2:42SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 2:43SPEAKER_00: And for Americans age 18 to 29, that number plummeted to just 23%.
- 2:48SPEAKER_01: That's, wow.
- 2:49SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 2:50SPEAKER_00: The author uses these numbers to illustrate a stark reality about leverage.
- 2:54SPEAKER_00: You know, you might feel like your single vote just disappears into an ocean.
- 2:58SPEAKER_00: But when more than half the country stays home,
- 3:00SPEAKER_00: the people who do show up wield massively disproportionate power.
- 3:04SPEAKER_01: So the math is tight,
- 3:05SPEAKER_01: but the mechanism of how that power is used, that's where the author really focuses.
- 3:10SPEAKER_01: The writer mentions they spent 40 years in courtrooms,
- 3:13SPEAKER_01: and they compare congressional power directly to a legal proceeding.
- 3:17SPEAKER_00: Which is a fascinating analogy.
- 3:19SPEAKER_01: They argue that passing laws is really only a fraction of the job.
- 3:23SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 3:23SPEAKER_00: They outline this four-part mechanism.
- 3:25SPEAKER_01: First, the subpoena is discovery.
- 3:28SPEAKER_01: Second, oversight is the deposition.
- 3:31SPEAKER_01: Third, the purse is the leverage.
- 3:33SPEAKER_01: And fourth, the separation of powers makes Congress the judge.
- 3:36SPEAKER_01: Let's break down that first one.
- 3:38SPEAKER_01: How does the author define a congressional subpoena compared to what's happening right now?
- 3:43SPEAKER_00: Well, the author draws a very sharp line between asking for information
- 3:47SPEAKER_00: and actually compelling it.
- 3:49SPEAKER_00: Right now,
- 3:49SPEAKER_00: a Congress aligned with the president's party might just ask
- 3:53SPEAKER_00: an executive branch agency for documents.
- 3:56SPEAKER_00: But asking doesn't really mean much.
- 3:57SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 3:58SPEAKER_00: Asking has no legal teeth.
- 4:00SPEAKER_00: A subpoena, which is entirely controlled by the majority party, has a hard return date.
- 4:05SPEAKER_00: Defying it goes on the public record and creates an immediate legal confrontation.
- 4:10SPEAKER_01: Let me make sure I understand this.
- 4:11SPEAKER_01: It's basically the difference between asking your roommate to please do
- 4:14SPEAKER_01: the dishes versus having a legally binding contract that says they pay
- 4:18SPEAKER_01: a huge financial penalty if the dishes aren't done by 5 p.m.
- 4:22SPEAKER_00: Yeah, that's a perfect translation of the text's argument.
- 4:25SPEAKER_00: A polite letter just goes in a drawer, but service of legal process starts a clock.
- 4:29SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 4:30SPEAKER_00: And then there is the second pillar, which is oversight.
- 4:33SPEAKER_00: The author likens this to a deposition.
- 4:36SPEAKER_00: Currently,
- 4:36SPEAKER_00: the text notes that House oversight Republicans have been replacing formal hearings
- 4:41SPEAKER_00: with these informal roundtables.
- 4:44SPEAKER_01: And what's the difference there?
- 4:46SPEAKER_00: In a roundtable setting,
- 4:47SPEAKER_00: witnesses are not placed under oath,
- 4:49SPEAKER_00: and nobody has the authority to move for contempt.
- 4:52SPEAKER_00: The author argues this whole architecture of avoidance collapses the moment
- 4:55SPEAKER_00: a new majority takes the gavel and can force executive branch witnesses to swear
- 4:59SPEAKER_00: an oath on camera.
- 5:01SPEAKER_01: Okay, that makes sense.
- 5:02SPEAKER_01: And next is the third pillar, the purse, which acts as the leverage.
- 5:06SPEAKER_01: The text cites Article 1,
- 5:08SPEAKER_01: Section 9 of the Constitution,
- 5:09SPEAKER_01: which says no money leaves the Treasury without an appropriation by law.
- 5:13SPEAKER_00: Meaning every single dollar spent on a federal agency or a military action or
- 5:18SPEAKER_00: a private contractor,
- 5:19SPEAKER_00: it all has to pass through a bill that the House of Representatives has
- 5:22SPEAKER_00: to write first.
- 5:23SPEAKER_01: And whoever holds the majority gets to attach conditions to that money.
- 5:27SPEAKER_00: Which leads to the final pillar, separation of powers as the judge.
- 5:31SPEAKER_01: Right,
- 5:31SPEAKER_01: because the author emphasizes that federal courts take years to rule on disputes and
- 5:35SPEAKER_01: the press, you know, they can't issue subpoenas.
- 5:38SPEAKER_01: Congress is literally the only body designed to check the executive branch at scale.
- 5:43SPEAKER_00: Which perfectly sets the stage for how this translates to literal dollars and cents.
- 5:47SPEAKER_00: If we move from the abstract power of the gavel to the actual impact on your wallet,
- 5:52SPEAKER_00: the author's first major policy change focuses on a massive health care cliff.
- 5:57SPEAKER_01: Yeah, this is change number one in the text, your health insurance bill.
- 6:00SPEAKER_01: The source lays out a pretty grim timeline regarding the Affordable Care Act or the ACA.
- 6:05SPEAKER_01: What exactly expired and what's the dollar impact they're citing?
- 6:09SPEAKER_00: Well, the enhanced ACA premium tax credits officially expired on December 31, 2025.
- 6:15SPEAKER_00: Because those subsidies vanished,
- 6:17SPEAKER_00: the text notes that average subsidized enrollees saw their premiums jump by 114%.
- 6:21SPEAKER_00: A 114% jump?
- 6:26SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 6:27SPEAKER_00: In real dollars, that is an increase of about $1,016 a year.
- 6:32SPEAKER_00: And on top of that,
- 6:33SPEAKER_00: under a 2025 reconciliation law,
- 6:36SPEAKER_00: states are required to put Medicaid work reporting requirements in place
- 6:40SPEAKER_00: by December 31, 2026.
- 6:42SPEAKER_01: $1,000 a year is a massive hit for a working family.
- 6:46SPEAKER_01: What does the text say happens if those Medicaid work requirements go into effect?
- 6:50SPEAKER_00: Well, the downstream effects are severe.
- 6:52SPEAKER_00: The text cites a Congressional Budget Office estimate
- 6:55SPEAKER_00: that 11.8 million people could lose their Medicaid coverage.
- 6:59SPEAKER_01: Almost 12 million people?
- 7:02SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 7:02SPEAKER_00: Furthermore,
- 7:04SPEAKER_00: Chartist's 2026 Rural Health Report found
- 7:06SPEAKER_00: that 417 rural hospitals are now vulnerable to closure,
- 7:11SPEAKER_00: facing a projected $140 billion in Medicaid-related losses.
- 7:15SPEAKER_01: That's devastating.
- 7:18SPEAKER_00: So the author's argument is that on January 3rd, 2027,
- 7:22SPEAKER_00: a new house majority could immediately pass an extension of those tax credits,
- 7:27SPEAKER_00: delay the work requirements, and force a highly public floor vote.
- 7:30SPEAKER_01: We just talked about using the purse strings to fund health care,
- 7:33SPEAKER_01: but the author argues that same exact financial leverage can be aimed
- 7:37SPEAKER_01: at consumer goods, which brings us to change number nine in the text.
- 7:40SPEAKER_01: Grocery bills and the economy.
- 7:42SPEAKER_01: The source cites Bureau
- 7:44SPEAKER_01: of Labor Statistics data showing electricity is up 8.1 percent in the Midwest
- 7:49SPEAKER_01: and groceries are up 2.7 percent.
- 7:51SPEAKER_01: But wait,
- 7:52SPEAKER_01: if the White House is held by the opposing party,
- 7:54SPEAKER_01: how does the author argue a congressional majority can actually fix the price
- 7:58SPEAKER_01: of groceries or keep a rural hospital open?
- 8:01SPEAKER_01: I mean, the president could just ignore them.
- 8:03SPEAKER_00: What's fascinating here is how the author bypasses the need
- 8:05SPEAKER_00: for executive cooperation by focusing entirely on statutory
- 8:09SPEAKER_00: and appropriations powers.
- 8:10SPEAKER_01: Okay, unpack that.
- 8:12SPEAKER_00: The text points out that tariff authority,
- 8:14SPEAKER_00: which directly impacts the cost of consumer goods,
- 8:16SPEAKER_00: is originally a congressional power.
- 8:19SPEAKER_00: Congress just previously delegated it to the executive branch.
- 8:22SPEAKER_00: Energy permitting is statutory, meaning it's written into the law.
- 8:26SPEAKER_00: Grid investment is handled through appropriations.
- 8:28SPEAKER_01: So they don't even need a subpoena for this.
- 8:30SPEAKER_00: Exactly.
- 8:31SPEAKER_00: You don't need a subpoena.
- 8:32SPEAKER_00: You just need a working majority to put bills on the floor and leverage
- 8:36SPEAKER_00: the federal budget to force the executive's hand.
- 8:38SPEAKER_01: So they control the checkbook, and that is their ultimate leverage.
- 8:41SPEAKER_01: But the source argues Congress is also the ultimate check on life or death executive overreach.
- 8:46SPEAKER_01: This brings us to a cluster of changes,
- 8:48SPEAKER_01: 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6, dealing with war, civil liberties, and science.
- 8:53SPEAKER_01: Let's start with war powers, change number two.
- 8:55SPEAKER_00: Yeah, the text states an unauthorized war with Iran began on February 28, 2026.
- 8:59SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 9:00SPEAKER_00: And as of August of that year,
- 9:03SPEAKER_00: the author notes this conflict resulted in 687 wounded American service members.
- 9:08SPEAKER_00: The legal fight underneath this is incredibly dense, but it's vital.
- 9:12SPEAKER_00: Both chambers of Congress have tried to stop the conflict using what is called
- 9:16SPEAKER_00: a concurrent resolution.
- 9:17SPEAKER_01: Let's define that for a second for the listener.
- 9:19SPEAKER_01: A concurrent resolution is basically a statement passed by both the House and the Senate, right?
- 9:24SPEAKER_01: But it never actually goes to the president's desk for a signature.
- 9:27SPEAKER_00: Correct.
- 9:28SPEAKER_00: So Representative Gregory Meeks argues this resolution binds the president under
- 9:32SPEAKER_00: the War Powers Resolution.
- 9:34SPEAKER_00: But the White House basically dismissed the vote entirely, saying it has no legal significance.
- 9:39SPEAKER_00: Yeah, this dispute ties back to INS v. Chadha,
- 9:42SPEAKER_00: which is a landmark 1983 Supreme Court case that struck down the legislative veto,
- 9:48SPEAKER_00: meaning Congress cannot bypass the president's signature to alter executive actions.
- 9:52SPEAKER_01: So how does the author say they fix it?
- 9:54SPEAKER_00: They argue that a new majority fixes this by passing a binding joint resolution,
- 9:59SPEAKER_00: which legally forces the president to either sign it or issue
- 10:03SPEAKER_00: a highly unpopular veto.
- 10:05SPEAKER_00: They also argue Congress can just write funding limits directly into
- 10:08SPEAKER_00: the Defense Appropriations Bill.
- 10:10SPEAKER_01: A literal line item to cut off funding for the war.
- 10:13SPEAKER_01: Okay, moving from foreign conflict to domestic issues,
- 10:18SPEAKER_01: the text pivots to Immigration and Customs Enforcement,
- 10:21SPEAKER_01: or ICE, and And due process in changes three and four.
- 10:25SPEAKER_01: And I have to admit,
- 10:26SPEAKER_01: I was genuinely shocked reading the statistics on how easily
- 10:30SPEAKER_01: an oversight office can be dismantled.
- 10:33SPEAKER_01: What exactly happened to the Ombudsman office?
- 10:36SPEAKER_00: So the Office of Immigration Detention Ombudsman went from over 100 staff members at
- 10:41SPEAKER_00: the start of 2025 down to just five at the start of 2026.
- 10:46SPEAKER_01: Wait, from 100 down to 5?
- 10:49SPEAKER_01: Just imagine the real-world impact of having essentially zero oversight on an agency
- 10:54SPEAKER_01: that, the text notes, just received its largest enforcement budget in history.
- 10:58SPEAKER_01: How did that even happen without a massive public debate?
- 11:02SPEAKER_00: Well, it illustrates the author's point perfectly.
- 11:05SPEAKER_00: Watchdogs die without anyone casting a single vote to kill them.
- 11:08SPEAKER_00: They are dismantled simply through defunding and quiet attrition.
- 11:12SPEAKER_01: And the human cost cited in the text is just tragic.
- 11:15SPEAKER_01: The essay details the killings of two U.S.
- 11:17SPEAKER_01: citizens,
- 11:18SPEAKER_01: Renee Good and Alex Preddy,
- 11:20SPEAKER_01: by federal immigration officers in Minneapolis in early 2026.
- 11:23SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 11:24SPEAKER_00: And when state prosecutors tried to investigate that,
- 11:27SPEAKER_00: the federal government locked them out of the body camera footage and reports
- 11:30SPEAKER_00: for six months.
- 11:31SPEAKER_01: The text mentions Minnesota literally had to sue just to get the evidence.
- 11:36SPEAKER_01: The author's solution here relies entirely on that power of the purse we talked about, right?
- 11:40SPEAKER_00: Yes.
- 11:41SPEAKER_00: They want to use the gavel to mandate a staffing floor for the ombudsman,
- 11:45SPEAKER_00: condition detention dollars on unannounced congressional access,
- 11:49SPEAKER_00: and demand body cameras.
- 11:51SPEAKER_00: They argue that from the majority, every one of those demands isn't a suggestion.
- 11:55SPEAKER_00: It's a mandatory line item in a bill the House writes first.
- 11:59SPEAKER_01: Which raises an important question about domestic military deployment as well.
- 12:03SPEAKER_01: Change number five focuses on getting soldiers off the streets,
- 12:06SPEAKER_01: referencing the 1807 Insurrection Act and the 1878 Posse Comitatus Act.
- 12:12SPEAKER_00: Yeah, the author notes that the Insurrection Act hasn't had a meaningful update in
- 12:16SPEAKER_00: over 150 years.
- 12:18SPEAKER_00: A new majority,
- 12:19SPEAKER_00: the text argues,
- 12:20SPEAKER_00: could reform it to require specific evidentiary findings,
- 12:23SPEAKER_00: hard time limits, and mandatory public reporting on every single deployment.
- 12:27SPEAKER_01: And then change number six takes us back to the science.
- 12:30SPEAKER_01: In February 2026,
- 12:32SPEAKER_01: the Environmental Protection Agency,
- 12:34SPEAKER_01: the EPA, rescinded the 2009 endangerment finding.
- 12:38SPEAKER_00: Which is basically the legal foundation for all federal climate regulation.
- 12:41SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 12:42SPEAKER_01: Administrator Zeldin called rescinding it the largest deregulatory action
- 12:46SPEAKER_01: in history, claiming it saves $1.3 trillion.
- 12:50SPEAKER_01: But rather than wait years for a circuit court to fight this deregulation,
- 12:54SPEAKER_01: the author suggests a much faster route.
- 12:57SPEAKER_00: Yeah, the author argues a new Congress could just amend the Clean Air Act to codify
- 13:01SPEAKER_00: the endangerment finding directly into the law.
- 13:04SPEAKER_00: Notice the pattern here?
- 13:06SPEAKER_00: The author is methodically showing how the power of
- 13:09SPEAKER_00: the gavel can bypass agency discretion and executive stonewalling by just rewriting
- 13:14SPEAKER_00: the underlying statutes themselves.
- 13:16SPEAKER_01: Here's where it gets really interesting, though.
- 13:19SPEAKER_01: If Congress reclaims its power over agencies,
- 13:22SPEAKER_01: the final frontier the author tackles is power over the presidency itself.
- 13:27SPEAKER_01: Change number seven is about the Impoundment Control Act of 1974.
- 13:31SPEAKER_01: The author says this is the one piece of legislation lawyers should care about most.
- 13:36SPEAKER_01: What is the executive branch doing here?
- 13:38SPEAKER_00: They are utilizing what is known as the pocket rescission loophole.
- 13:42SPEAKER_00: So the Office of Management and Budget,
- 13:44SPEAKER_00: or OMB, Is the agency that oversees the federal budget for the president.
- 13:48SPEAKER_01: Okay.
- 13:49SPEAKER_00: The act says if a president proposes to rescind or cancel appropriated funds
- 13:55SPEAKER_00: and Congress doesn't act within 45 days, the money must be released to be spent.
- 14:00SPEAKER_00: But OMB Director Russ Vought advanced a legal theory where the administration sends
- 14:04SPEAKER_00: the cancellation request so close to the expiration date that the funds simply die
- 14:09SPEAKER_00: before Congress can even hold a vote.
- 14:11SPEAKER_01: Let me make sure I understand the mechanics of this.
- 14:14SPEAKER_01: It's like giving someone a gift card that expires at midnight,
- 14:17SPEAKER_01: but you don't hand it to them until 11.59 p.m.
- 14:20SPEAKER_01: By the time they figure out what to buy, the money is completely void.
- 14:23SPEAKER_01: The author is saying the executive branch is doing that with billions of taxpayer dollars?
- 14:28SPEAKER_00: That is exactly the mechanism.
- 14:30SPEAKER_00: The text notes the administration used this exact loophole to let $4.9 billion
- 14:35SPEAKER_00: in aid funds expire.
- 14:37SPEAKER_01: Unbelievable.
- 14:38SPEAKER_00: If the executive branch can just cancel spending that Congress already enacted,
- 14:42SPEAKER_00: your vote for your representative basically means nothing.
- 14:46SPEAKER_00: The author argues a majority can fix the fiscal year mechanics
- 14:49SPEAKER_00: that allow this loophole to exist in the first place.
- 14:52SPEAKER_01: From the federal budget, the author moves to the personal finances of the executive branch.
- 14:56SPEAKER_01: Change number eight tackles oversight of self-dealing.
- 14:59SPEAKER_01: The document outlines a massive crypto venture called World Liberty Financial.
- 15:04SPEAKER_01: What are the specific allegations the author is raising here?
- 15:06SPEAKER_00: Well, four days before the 2025 inauguration,
- 15:10SPEAKER_00: the text alleges that representatives for the UAE National Security Advisor signed
- 15:15SPEAKER_00: a contract putting $500 million into this crypto venture in exchange for 49% equity.
- 15:22SPEAKER_01: Wow.
- 15:22SPEAKER_01: Half a billion dollars.
- 15:23SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 15:24SPEAKER_00: And shortly after,
- 15:26SPEAKER_00: the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency,
- 15:27SPEAKER_00: which is the federal bank regulator,
- 15:30SPEAKER_00: granted a conditional bank charter to a company that is 38% owned by
- 15:34SPEAKER_00: an entity affiliated with the president's family.
- 15:37SPEAKER_01: The author points out the White House defends this by saying the assets are in
- 15:40SPEAKER_01: a trust managed by his children.
- 15:42SPEAKER_01: But as the author sharply notes, a trust your sons manage isn't a blind trust.
- 15:48SPEAKER_01: It's a family business with a different letterhead.
- 15:51SPEAKER_00: If we connect this to the bigger picture,
- 15:53SPEAKER_00: this is where the author brings back the deposition analogy.
- 15:56SPEAKER_00: They clarify they aren't making criminal charges here.
- 15:59SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 15:59SPEAKER_00: But they argue that a bank regulator approving a charter for
- 16:03SPEAKER_00: a president's family business is exactly the kind of decision
- 16:06SPEAKER_00: that should be examined under oath in a working system.
- 16:09SPEAKER_00: And that examination simply hasn't happened without a majority to enforce a subpoena.
- 16:15SPEAKER_01: Which brings us to the tenth and final change, the political temperature.
- 16:19SPEAKER_01: The text highlights some extreme violent rhetoric,
- 16:22SPEAKER_01: noting the president posted that six Democratic members of Congress were guilty of,
- 16:27SPEAKER_01: quote, seditious behavior, punishable by death.
- 16:30SPEAKER_01: In another speech, Democrats were called hardcore godless communists.
- 16:35SPEAKER_01: How on earth does a congressional majority fix the way politicians talk?
- 16:39SPEAKER_00: The author's thesis on fixing this is actually incredibly pragmatic.
- 16:43SPEAKER_00: You don't lower the temperature with a symbolic resolution complaining about the language.
- 16:47SPEAKER_00: You lower it by forcing a divided government to actually govern,
- 16:51SPEAKER_00: by forcing negotiation on C-SPAN.
- 16:54SPEAKER_01: Oh, I see.
- 16:55SPEAKER_00: The argument is that when people
- 16:56SPEAKER_00: who publicly called each other traitors are legally forced to sit in
- 17:00SPEAKER_00: a committee room and produce a budget bill with both their names on it,
- 17:03SPEAKER_00: that structural friction is what cools the rhetoric.
- 17:07SPEAKER_00: They literally have to face each other.
- 17:09SPEAKER_01: So what does this all mean?
- 17:11SPEAKER_01: The author of the essay is clearly making a partisan case,
- 17:13SPEAKER_01: but to their credit, they dedicate a whole section to the cross-examination.
- 17:17SPEAKER_01: They lay out the major weaknesses in their own argument.
- 17:21SPEAKER_01: And there are huge hurdles here.
- 17:22SPEAKER_01: The House majority doesn't operate in a vacuum.
- 17:25SPEAKER_00: No, it doesn't.
- 17:26SPEAKER_00: The author acknowledges that a House majority can't pass laws by itself.
- 17:30SPEAKER_00: The Senate still needs 60 votes to clear the filibuster for most legislation.
- 17:34SPEAKER_00: The president still holds a veto pen.
- 17:36SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 17:37SPEAKER_00: Civil enforcement for a subpoena or contempt takes years,
- 17:40SPEAKER_00: often outlasting the two-year term of the Congress that filed the suit in
- 17:43SPEAKER_00: the first place.
- 17:44SPEAKER_00: And mathematically, the Senate map is incredibly tough.
- 17:47SPEAKER_00: A model cited in the text gives Democrats only a 57% chance of taking the Senate.
- 17:52SPEAKER_01: And 57% leaves a massive amount of room to lose.
- 17:56SPEAKER_01: The text even outlines the Republican counter arguments to all these points fairly clearly.
- 18:00SPEAKER_01: Republicans argue the ACA tax credits were always meant
- 18:03SPEAKER_01: to be temporary pandemic measures that cost the government too much money.
- 18:06SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 18:06SPEAKER_01: They argue the EPA endangerment issue is purely about statutory authority,
- 18:11SPEAKER_01: not ignoring climate science.
- 18:12SPEAKER_01: They say the immigration enforcement buildout is exactly what voters demanded at
- 18:16SPEAKER_01: the ballot box in 2024.
- 18:18SPEAKER_01: And they defend the Iran conflict using
- 18:20SPEAKER_01: the president's Article II self-defense authority under the Constitution.
- 18:23SPEAKER_00: So why does a highly partisan author include the opposition's best arguments
- 18:28SPEAKER_00: and highlight their own structural weaknesses?
- 18:30SPEAKER_01: Yeah, why do that?
- 18:31SPEAKER_00: Because, as they explicitly state in the text, the honest case beats the inflated one.
- 18:37SPEAKER_00: Even if you accept every single limitation,
- 18:40SPEAKER_00: the presidential vetoes,
- 18:41SPEAKER_00: the Senate filibuster,
- 18:43SPEAKER_00: the painfully slow courts, the core takeaway of the document remains.
- 18:47SPEAKER_01: Which is what?
- 18:49SPEAKER_00: The mere existence of a working check changes behavior.
- 18:52SPEAKER_00: The House majority still gets the subpoena power,
- 18:55SPEAKER_00: the hearing calendar, and the appropriations pen.
- 18:59SPEAKER_00: Testimony under oath enters the permanent historical record,
- 19:02SPEAKER_00: regardless of the immediate partisan outcome.
- 19:04SPEAKER_01: That is the leverage.
- 19:06SPEAKER_01: And that brings us to the sources call to action.
- 19:08SPEAKER_01: The author doesn't just want you to read this.
- 19:10SPEAKER_01: They outline a specific four-step plan to empower you right now.
- 19:14SPEAKER_01: Step one, check vote.gov today.
- 19:16SPEAKER_01: Do not assume you are registered.
- 19:18SPEAKER_01: Names get purged and addresses go stale all the time.
- 19:21SPEAKER_00: Very true.
- 19:22SPEAKER_01: Step two, know your state deadline.
- 19:24SPEAKER_01: The text notes that Texas closes voter registration on October 5th.
- 19:28SPEAKER_01: North Carolina closes on October 9th.
- 19:30SPEAKER_01: And California closes on October 19th.
- 19:33SPEAKER_01: Finding your state's exact date is entirely on you.
- 19:36SPEAKER_00: And step three is to make a plan and bring four people with you to the polls.
- 19:40SPEAKER_00: The author suggests starting with your adult kids,
- 19:43SPEAKER_00: the neighbor who says voting doesn't matter, or a co-worker.
- 19:46SPEAKER_00: Since four seats decide the balance of the Senate,
- 19:49SPEAKER_00: bringing four people is a mathematically significant number to focus on.
- 19:53SPEAKER_01: And finally, step four.
- 19:55SPEAKER_01: Call the Capitol Switchboard at 202-224-3121.
- 19:59SPEAKER_01: Give them your name, your town, and ask one specific question for them to tally.
- 20:04SPEAKER_01: Will you vote to extend the enhanced premium tax credits before January 1st?
- 20:09SPEAKER_00: The author leaves us with a profound historical reminder here.
- 20:12SPEAKER_00: The founders intentionally put Congress in Article 1 of the Constitution,
- 20:16SPEAKER_00: ahead of the presidency in Article 2, and ahead of the courts in Article 3.
- 20:21SPEAKER_01: But Article 1 isn't self-executing.
- 20:24SPEAKER_01: It requires active participation.
- 20:25SPEAKER_01: And listen,
- 20:26SPEAKER_01: if you got value from this deep dive,
- 20:28SPEAKER_01: you should join trial lawyer Mitch Jackson and the rest of us
- 20:30SPEAKER_01: on his Uncensored Objection Substack,
- 20:33SPEAKER_01: where Mitch applies 40 years of legal experience to cross-examine the powerful
- 20:37SPEAKER_01: and show you what the law actually says behind the breaking political headlines.
- 20:41SPEAKER_00: Definitely check that out.
- 20:42SPEAKER_01: Visit and subscribe at uncensoredobjection.com or go to mitchthelawyer.substack.com.
- 20:48SPEAKER_00: And to build on that historical reminder about Article 1,
- 20:51SPEAKER_00: if we collectively decide that someone else will handle the heavy lifting
- 20:54SPEAKER_00: of democracy for us, what happens to the entire design of our system?
- 20:59SPEAKER_00: It wasn't built to run on autopilot.
- 21:01SPEAKER_01: It really wasn't.
- 21:03SPEAKER_01: It comes right back to where we started.
- 21:04SPEAKER_01: What is the return on investment for your vote?
- 21:07SPEAKER_01: The system only works if you are the leverage.
- 21:11SPEAKER_01: We'll catch you on the next Deep Dive.