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The Favorites - NFL Betting Recap Divisional Weekend · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: sixty five.
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: We are part of the.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Volume Podcast Network, Live from our Tommy John Holmes Studios.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I am Chad Milman of the Action Network.
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: This is our Sunday Night Divisional Round episode. Coming to
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: you a little bit later post all the games today
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: post a very exciting Ravens Bills game where Simon and
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: I got kicked in the nuts on this over, which
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: we will get to, in which we're going to review
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: the results of all of our bets so far.
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: We're going to preview the early.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: Lines for the conference championship games. I'm joined as always
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: buy my cost mich companion Michah Padre My BFF Professional
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: Better Simon Hunter.
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: Ello, Simon, how are we doing? Chad?
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: Dude? This weekend had everything? Did it?
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: Not?
• 0:58
  Speaker 3: A game?
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: Honest to God?
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: I think that Kansas City Houston game deserves entry into
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: the Sports Betting Hall of Fame. I will explain my position.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I think a lot of people would agree with me.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: A game that you predicted three different wins. You predicted
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: Washington on the money line, you predicted the over. It
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: was your Simon says that being Washington and Detroit, a
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: game where a field goal kicker cost us a win
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: instead of a push. Thank you, Jake Elliot. First note,
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: I wrote fucking Jake Elliott. Last note, I wrote fucking
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Jake Elliot. And then a game that we had no
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: business covering. When there were thirty one points scored in
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: the first half. We lose the we lose the under last, second,
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: to last, third, to last, whatever it is. Play the
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: game for the Baltimore Ravens. Catch every episode of The
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: Favorites live on YouTube. For those enjoying on YouTube, don't
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: forget to give us a like and subscribe to the
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: Action Network YouTube page as a reminder of The Favorites
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: podcast is presented by Bet three sixty five and now
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: new Bet three six five. Customers get one hundred and
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: fifty dollars in bonus bets when you bet five dollars,
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: sign up using promo code Favorites, deposit ten dollars, place
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: a bet for five dollars to get one hundred and
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: fifty dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: used on spreads, totals, player props, futures, and more. Whatever
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: the moment. It's never ordinary at bet three sixty five
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: must be twenty one or older in present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia or eighteen and
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: older in Kentucky, gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms, conditions
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: restrictions apply.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: Are you ready to roll?
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: My brother? I am my friend.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: Houston and Kansas City, Kansas City, mintus eight and a half.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: We lean Kansas City.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: All week.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: We made it our Foxhoul. We never loved it. It
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: wasn't a game that we loved compared to the others.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: I think this turned into a Hall of Fame betting game.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: I had more texts about the matt Ariza running out
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: of the end zone safety that cost all those plus
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: nine and a half betters their cashed ticket than I've
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: ever had on any backdoor cover. I don't know if
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: it was the circumstances. I don't know if it's because
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: betting is more prevalent now. I don't know if it's
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: because so many people were watching that game, and it's
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: Kansas City, and it's Taylor Swift, so there's gonna be
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: a lot of eyeballs on that game.
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: You know, Joe Buck nodded to it.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: Obviously, it got a lot of attention after the game
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: because there's so many more people covering betting, But everything
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: led up to that being and there were a million
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: different plays along the way.
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: What was your take on that game?
• 3:54
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it's a better's dream, I know. You know, social
• 3:57
  Speaker 4: media has warped people's brains where it's always betters on bets,
• 4:00
  Speaker 4: but in real life, the real world, it's better versus
• 4:02
  Speaker 4: the books, and the books got absolutely punished. I mean,
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: if you're any professional out there that could have grabbed
• 4:09
  Speaker 4: a ten on Houston, they grabbed it. Even if you
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: had the seven and a half, the eight to eight
• 4:13
  Speaker 4: and a half, the nine on the Chiefs. It hit
• 4:16
  Speaker 4: the key number of ten. Some off shore is even
• 4:18
  Speaker 4: at ten and a half. They got killed. They got
• 4:21
  Speaker 4: absolutely killed with that play in that middle that none
• 4:25
  Speaker 4: of us deserved that.
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: Like, I literally that ten bet.
• 4:28
  Speaker 4: Obviously it's one tenth of what I had done on
• 4:29
  Speaker 4: the Chiefs in that spot, and you know, I'm happy
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: to hit the middle, right, You played it for the
• 4:34
  Speaker 4: hope of hitting the middle, But when he ran that
• 4:36
  Speaker 4: out there. I like literally did the math, and I'm
• 4:38
  Speaker 4: just like, oh my god, the amount of money that
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: just moved with all these books, because it just moved
• 4:43
  Speaker 4: through another key number back down to nine. It was incredible.
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: And you have basically had, you know, the Joe public
• 4:49
  Speaker 4: guy who shows up twenty minutes for the game and
• 4:51
  Speaker 4: makes their bet on the Chiefs. They're mad, right because
• 4:54
  Speaker 4: they lost by half a point. Where you know, it's
• 4:56
  Speaker 4: eight and a half for what six to eight?
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Dude, it was eight and a half basically for seven days.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: This number moved to nine and a half about, you know,
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: an hour before the game. I checked the line an
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: hour before the game. I'm like, this thing's at nine
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: and a half. What the fuck happened? And this happened
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: a couple times this weekend. We're going to get into
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: it on a couple of their games. But I was
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: shocked this thing moved to nine and a half so
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: late and people were still betting it, which is, dude,
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: listen to the favorites.
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: Get the best of the number.
• 5:32
  Speaker 4: Yeah for sure, but like, luckily, you know, there might
• 5:34
  Speaker 4: be only three of those guys in the books where
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: everyone else is basically either on the eight and a
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: half are below with the Chiefs, or they're on the
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: nine and a half and above for that you know
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: Texans team that We'll be honest, we both know, Like
• 5:50
  Speaker 4: that's why you bet on Mahomes in that game. People
• 5:52
  Speaker 4: are gonna bitch you be like, well, the Texans out
• 5:54
  Speaker 4: gain them.
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: They did this to did Z. This is this is
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: the life.
• 5:57
  Speaker 4: I'm betting against my Homes in the playoffs for excuses,
• 6:00
  Speaker 4: for reasons.
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: Oh, let's blame the refs. You know the deal. They're
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: always gonna get the calls. And we joked about coming
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: into the year.
• 6:06
  Speaker 4: That's why, you know, all my futures on the AFC
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: side were just on the Chiefs because it's like the NFL,
• 6:12
  Speaker 4: they want this three P just as much as anyone else.
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: Now you're mixing in the voodoo that is Mahomes and
• 6:16
  Speaker 4: this Chiefs team that they can't they're happy to be
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: out game. They do not care. They don't play that way.
• 6:21
  Speaker 4: It's they beat you all three ways, right. They beat
• 6:24
  Speaker 4: you with the blitz on defense, and they beat you
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: as special teams, and they beat you on offense with
• 6:29
  Speaker 4: just playing smart football and throw I'll turn of the
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: ball over so yeah, that was as a better that's
• 6:34
  Speaker 4: those are my favorite games because it's both sides covered
• 6:37
  Speaker 4: and the underhit and it's like the pro is just
• 6:40
  Speaker 4: cleaned up in that game, and now we got the
• 6:42
  Speaker 4: next game, which is another game that this is why
• 6:44
  Speaker 4: books need to take professional action. This Washington game the
• 6:47
  Speaker 4: only ones betting at Washington heavy Washington's money line, a
• 6:50
  Speaker 4: pro sold on. Hold on, I'm I'm just sure getting
• 6:53
  Speaker 4: to the point that these are two really, really well
• 6:55
  Speaker 4: bet professional games that basically helped the book and also
• 6:59
  Speaker 4: crush the book.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: That Chiefs game had so many things that kept them
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: covering that game. There was the classic luck call for
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs, the questionable rough in the passer call on
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: Will Anderson, the classic classic Chiefs break on a missed
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: extra point. Classic Chiefs have one good drive in the
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: first half and it is the only first half touchdown.
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: Mahomes getting another fake laid hit call that Troy Aikman,
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: who I don't know how you feel about Troy Aikman.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: I love Troy Aikman. I think he's so good at this.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: He's so grouchy, and he's so skeptical and is so
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: unafraid to throw cold water on everything that the NFL
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: holds precious on, all the hype, on all the hyperbole.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: I think he's I think he's perpetually just kind of
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: annoy at everything. It seems to me he was so
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: mad about that late hit on Mahomes. But the thing
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: that was great the superman posed touchdown throw to Kelsey.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: Those are the things that only Mahomes can do. And
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: it's why you bet Patrick Mahomes. It's why we are
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: going to keep betting Patrick Mahomes until Patrick Mahomes is
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: no longer Patrick Mahomes.
• 8:26
  Speaker 4: That or until Kelsey retires, because I think Calward had
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: the best analogy of it. Like we're in this midst
• 8:33
  Speaker 4: of a two pair greatness, Like this is Michael Jordan,
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: Scottie Pippen, Kelsey and Mahomes. This is like, to me,
• 8:40
  Speaker 4: that is the perfect comp They are the perfect one
• 8:42
  Speaker 4: two in just total unisons where like he needs he
• 8:46
  Speaker 4: needs a certain route run I guess a certain defense
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: and they don't even they don't know what the call is.
• 8:51
  Speaker 4: Kelsey dictates the route in the route and you saw
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: it two different times where he basically kind of did
• 8:56
  Speaker 4: his thing getting to the middle knowing that there's gonna
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: be an open there. And you know, as someone that's
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: around his age, you know this is retirement age for
• 9:05
  Speaker 4: tight ends. You know, thirty five, thirty four year old,
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: you're done, you're cooked. This dude's out here getting one
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: hundred yards again? And is it nine straight one hundred
• 9:13
  Speaker 4: yard games in the playoffs. Like it's so good, it's
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: so good, it's ridiculous.
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: So yeah, me and you are in the same boat.
• 9:19
  Speaker 4: Like, I agree, I'm a Trey Aquin hater, but yeah,
• 9:22
  Speaker 4: I'm all in on what he was talking about because
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: we all see it. We all see the refs given
• 9:26
  Speaker 4: the Chiefs these calls, and everyone gets pissed off. Unless
• 9:28
  Speaker 4: you're a Chiefs fan or a better you hate it.
• 9:31
  Speaker 4: It's brutal. But it's also why we bet on Mahomes
• 9:34
  Speaker 4: in the playoffs. He gets the calls, they get the
• 9:36
  Speaker 4: BS calls, and it's it's we joke all the time.
• 9:39
  Speaker 4: It's you know, you're playing not the eleventh man, You're
• 9:41
  Speaker 4: playing the twelfth man. So yeah, the Mahomes Kelsey thing,
• 9:45
  Speaker 4: it just we can't overlook at enough. It's we'll never
• 9:48
  Speaker 4: see anything like it, most likely ever again. Seven straight
• 9:50
  Speaker 4: championship games, right, for Mahomes. Now, ye, it's it's ridiculous,
• 9:55
  Speaker 4: and we talked to it before the season. It's the
• 9:58
  Speaker 4: easiest bet to make every year. Don't overthink it. Chiefs
• 10:02
  Speaker 4: Super Bowl and here they are a game away once again.
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: It's just absurd how good they are.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: The last thing I'll say is Spags as a defensive
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: coordinator in the playoffs. Five straight blitzes in one series
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: and like he had two, he had blitzes that were
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: just so well designed. It's amazing how Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes,
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey, Steve Spagnolo, Chris Jones can elevate all of
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: their games when it gets to the playoffs. They honestly
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: are just at a different level than everybody else.
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: It's such a joy to watch.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: And then you get the lucky breaks and you get
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: the Mahomes magic, and you get the blocked freaking field
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: goal that would have made it eight, Like, come on, man,
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: that was just that to me. Is why when we
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: look back in history, when the book is written about
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: how to explain the thrill, the agon, the joy, the misery,
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: how important the number is, We're gonna look back at
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: this game as the Hall of Fame example, of all
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: of that and the unpredictability of betting on football.
• 11:16
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and the game that again Mahomes threw for what
• 11:19
  Speaker 4: one seventy seven. I think it was a crazy stat
• 11:21
  Speaker 4: We had one receiver have one catch. The rest was
• 11:24
  Speaker 4: just his tight ends and running backs. It's it's just incredible.
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: They're just they can beat you in so many ways.
• 11:30
  Speaker 4: And yeah, playoff Chiefs, it was. It was a great
• 11:33
  Speaker 4: way to start the weekend.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: Great way to start the weekend. That was our foxhall.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: We were super excited. It went really well starting off
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: the weekend. Great for US Washington plus nine and a
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: half at Detroit. Let's all give our flowers to you,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: my BFF, professional better Simon Hunter, this was your Simon says,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: you nailed it. You said on Tuesday show you love
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: the over. You nailed it practically in the first half.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: By Thursday you're like, I think you may want to
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: put some money on the Washington money line. There's going
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: to be an upset. You nailed it. Well done, well
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: freaking done. You deserve the accolades, you deserve the flowers.
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: You deserve to be called a brilliant professional bettor and
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: my companion.
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: Thanks Chad. Yeah, That was fun. Man.
• 12:30
  Speaker 4: That's one of those where you know you're at the
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: book with people and you're going crazy, and you know
• 12:36
  Speaker 4: that's the type of bet that you feel sick two
• 12:39
  Speaker 4: days leading up to it and am I overthinking it?
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: Why is this feels so easy? What am I not
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: reading right here?
• 12:45
  Speaker 4: Because I told you on Thursday I need some smart
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: money that were on Detroit and I mean a lot
• 12:50
  Speaker 4: of the guys were just pushing back against them or
• 12:52
  Speaker 4: just like this defense, how do they get the stops?
• 12:55
  Speaker 4: And they had no answer. Their answer was they don't
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: need to stop. So you have that run game to
• 13:00
  Speaker 4: be true. If they just ran the ball, if they
• 13:02
  Speaker 4: never passed the ball, they probably would have won that
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: game Detroit. That's how dominant Gibbs is and that offensive line.
• 13:07
  Speaker 4: So I get where they're coming from their view of it.
• 13:10
  Speaker 4: But that was you know, again, there's so much talk
• 13:14
  Speaker 4: in this game that we don't even have enough time
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: to even break down. I feel like we'll spend more
• 13:17
  Speaker 4: time at this upcoming week with their Eagles matchup. But yeah,
• 13:21
  Speaker 4: the defense showing up the way they did was impressive.
• 13:23
  Speaker 4: But the most impressive part is the rookie like Jane Daniels.
• 13:27
  Speaker 4: I felt confident about Bendingham, I felt comfort about taking
• 13:29
  Speaker 4: the money line, but the fear was, like even Evans
• 13:32
  Speaker 4: tell us the trends basically Detroit's automatic in that spot
• 13:36
  Speaker 4: like that that is the Detroit spot, a night game
• 13:39
  Speaker 4: off of by big favorite, just absolutely covering machine. Like
• 13:43
  Speaker 4: all those trends did scare me in a couple of ways,
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: but I just kept thinking to myself, this defense, how
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: do they get the stops? And you know, not even
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: I could envision Jane Daniels happened the type of game,
• 13:54
  Speaker 4: yet he was just so cool.
• 13:56
  Speaker 3: Calm, collective.
• 13:57
  Speaker 4: Yeah, as an Eagles fan, sure, semi terrified, but is
• 14:01
  Speaker 4: it better. It's like, man, what a great feeling knowing
• 14:04
  Speaker 4: you had that guy over a touchdown that matchup where
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: you know, we talked before the game chat. I told
• 14:08
  Speaker 4: you if if it was within six points, I knew
• 14:11
  Speaker 4: I was gonna win that game with Daniel. So that's
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: how much confidence I had head into that game, where
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: even if he was down the fourth quarter, I never
• 14:18
  Speaker 4: felt like I was gonna be out of it.
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: So yeah, bad number.
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: And we talked, you know, early Sunday morning or Saturday morning.
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: You were like, I'm worried about the movement of the line.
• 14:27
  Speaker 4: Not too it hasn't moved too much. I was like, well,
• 14:28
  Speaker 4: it has moved eight.
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: And a half. Right before kick, a bunch of books
• 14:31
  Speaker 3: hit seven and a half. So that was really heavy.
• 14:34
  Speaker 4: Professional money come in very late on that Washington team.
• 14:37
  Speaker 4: And yeah, they they're the only double digit win this weekend.
• 14:42
  Speaker 4: Washington Commanders the sixth seed over the one seed. Football
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: is great.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: I'm in agony for Dan Campbell in the Lions.
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: You know how much I love this team. I love
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: their spirit and their heart.
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: I love the way they do crime in the pressor
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: it was brutal.
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: It was it was brutal.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: I wanted this trio of Dan Campbell and Ben Johnson
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: and Aaron Glenn to win. I love that Ben Johnson
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: had stayed for two years because he felt like he
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: had something so good and he wanted to finish it.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I admire all that. Okay, so I'm I'm so sad
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: watching the Dan Campbell press conference. I was talking to
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: my kid today when we were watching the Eagles game,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: and I said to him, do you think Dank Campbell's
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: even watching these games? He was just like, I think
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: Dan Campbell's in a very dark room with his emotions
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: right now, just trying to get through it. Like I
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: feel for him. I do as someone who is as
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: someone who is tried to do things that you feel
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: can be big and have them fail spectacularly. It takes
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: a minute to get over it. I was invested in
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: this team. I loved them, loved them, made his money,
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Love Dan Campbell or Jared Goff. That poor defense, they
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: did the best they could for so many weeks, playing
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: third stringers even when the game started. Just you know,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: a Meek Robertson out with that grotesque elbow injury. He's
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: in tears, like it was just a tell me you
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: feel for Dan Campbell, tell me you have that in you.
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: I do.
• 16:24
  Speaker 4: I honestly don't in the ways because he makes so
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: much money chat the ones. I do feel bad for
• 16:28
  Speaker 4: the fans, always the fans, because as a lifelong Loser
• 16:31
  Speaker 4: Eagle fan, I know what it's like to be a
• 16:34
  Speaker 4: Lions fan right now. Like you know, many times in
• 16:36
  Speaker 4: my life we were the top dog and we blew
• 16:38
  Speaker 4: it in the playoffs against inferior competition, in games that
• 16:42
  Speaker 4: you felt great head into, you bought into it, and.
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: It all comes crashing.
• 16:45
  Speaker 5: Now.
• 16:45
  Speaker 4: The only way the Lions are gonna break this curse
• 16:47
  Speaker 4: is they need a backup with a huge dick, all right,
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: is something that's gone through it. That's what the Lions need.
• 16:52
  Speaker 4: So Teddy Bridgewater, I hope you come back there next year.
• 16:56
  Speaker 4: You are the savior to that Detroit Lions team. I
• 16:59
  Speaker 4: don't know about you, chet. When I saw Teddy Bridgewater
• 17:01
  Speaker 4: come to that game, I immediately felt guilt for Whennie
• 17:04
  Speaker 4: Washington win, like I went Teddy to win a Super
• 17:06
  Speaker 4: Bowl so bad. Yeah, but yeah, that whole team, we
• 17:08
  Speaker 4: love them. We won, you know, in a shitty, dog,
• 17:11
  Speaker 4: shit year we had. They were the one bright spot
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: for us. They were so good to us all year
• 17:16
  Speaker 4: in every way they could be it. And yeah, paying
• 17:18
  Speaker 4: me to bet against them, but it's just we talk
• 17:21
  Speaker 4: all the time. You take the emotions out of it.
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: You bet off a computer model, and I try not
• 17:25
  Speaker 4: to be scared off by all these pro betters barking
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: my ear.
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: Tell me how great this Detroit team is. And it just.
• 17:31
  Speaker 4: Felt great like Daniels to believe in a rookie in
• 17:34
  Speaker 4: that spot. It took took a lot, Like again, Sleepless
• 17:38
  Speaker 4: Nights Chat, a lot of Sleepless Nights lead into that
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: game and the fact that it came through the way
• 17:42
  Speaker 4: it did. You know, it was even even at halftime, right,
• 17:46
  Speaker 4: they're up ten, right, Like even when they come and
• 17:50
  Speaker 4: drive the field score touch onn it goes, okay, well
• 17:52
  Speaker 4: he's gonna get another one here, Jane dannelge you guys
• 17:54
  Speaker 4: don't know how to stop them. And yeah, holy shit, Washington,
• 17:58
  Speaker 4: we talk all the time, chat about how a different
• 18:00
  Speaker 4: friends a quarterback and make It's funny even looking back
• 18:03
  Speaker 4: on our podcast early in the year of you know,
• 18:07
  Speaker 4: obviously no no difference to me, Kaylea Williams, Gunn the Bears,
• 18:09
  Speaker 4: blah blah blah. But the fact that Drake May and
• 18:13
  Speaker 4: Gania Daniels, if snyders sell the owner of this team
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: in Washington.
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: You know, they take May.
• 18:19
  Speaker 4: Whatever Snyder could do to make the wrong movie, he
• 18:21
  Speaker 4: always does it. And this team would be number one pick,
• 18:25
  Speaker 4: number two pick coming to this year. Like it's that's
• 18:27
  Speaker 4: how incredible hope and having a great leader like Jane
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: Daniels is to a team. And yeah, again, we're gonna
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: spend a lot of time. I don't want to go
• 18:35
  Speaker 4: too much into it, but I just can't get over
• 18:36
  Speaker 4: how impressive this rookie is. And yeah, we just witnessed arguably,
• 18:40
  Speaker 4: I mean should arguably no doubt, the greatest rookie season
• 18:43
  Speaker 4: ever in the NFL. So yeah, what a time to
• 18:46
  Speaker 4: be a Washington Commanders fan. I think Evan putting our
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: chat you know last week or the week before, there
• 18:50
  Speaker 4: were one hundred and fifty or fifte hundred and fifty
• 18:53
  Speaker 4: to one, I should say, uh to win the Super
• 18:55
  Speaker 4: Bowl coming to this season. So what an absolute run
• 18:58
  Speaker 4: by the Commanders.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: That's so good, Simon. Can you believe there's only three
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: more NFL games left in the season. But dry your
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: eyes because the Action Network has some incredible YouTube shows
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: lined up for you this week across all of the
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: biggest sports. The College football National Championship betting previews Monday night,
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: and we've got a special BBOC Live show on YouTube
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: five pm Eastern on Monday Night with tons of bets
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: on the game. I love BBOC, love those guys, love
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: that show.
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: If you want to get cut up on betting.
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: NBA.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: There are NBA games all day long on Monday for
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: the MLK Day holiday slates, and our podcast Buckets has
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: a special megapod breaking down all the games. On Tuesday,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: Buckets returns with a YouTube live show at eight pm
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: Eastern talking rivalry week, bets for the Wednesday NBA splay,
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: plus plenty of NFL Conference Championship coverage here in the
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: Favorit and the Action Network podcast.
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: Make sure you subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page.
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: Amazing, Amazing stuff, Also amazing, mostly Philadelphia Eagles.
• 20:12
  Speaker 5: The drive to the super Bowl in Philadelphia between the
• 20:15
  Speaker 5: Los Angeles Rams and the Philadelphia Eagles. With a bold
• 20:19
  Speaker 5: spirit and a firm resolved, the Los Angeles Rams fought
• 20:23
  Speaker 5: their way down a troubled path the land that covered
• 20:25
  Speaker 5: it spot in the NFC playoffs. The Philadelphia Eagles spent
• 20:29
  Speaker 5: their season cultivating a surly image that struck beer and
• 20:33
  Speaker 5: pain and the souls of opposing quarterbacks.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles, they were my executive decision minus six. Fucking
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Jake elliott Fucking fuck Jake Elliott Man before he took
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: that thirty seven year old field goal, I give him credit.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: He had that thirty seven year of field goal before
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: he made that. They had an angle from behind the goalpost,
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: and it honestly looked impossible, like the field is covered
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: in snow, you can't even tell which way the wind
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: is blowing, and he fucking stroked it. That was three
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: hundred yards down the fair way. And then Jalen Hurts
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: comes back from the knee injury to beautiful throws like
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: they're they're they're cranking. It started to feel like the
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Rams couldn't play in the snow. Saquon busts it open.
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: He's got another two hundred plus yard game. Fucking Jake Elliott.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: This is another extra point. The Rams make it interesting.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: They push. I mean, I'm glad for the Eagles. I
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: wanted the Eagles to win, but what an excruciating push
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: that it was. It was it was unnecessary assignmon.
• 21:45
  Speaker 4: Yeah, would an all times cover though you had the
• 21:47
  Speaker 4: Rams ticket like that. That's that's the high of highs,
• 21:50
  Speaker 4: like covering that, even even these back door overs, it's
• 21:53
  Speaker 4: the best. It's the best feeling. Everyone you win bets
• 21:55
  Speaker 4: that you know you shouldn't have won. And you know,
• 22:00
  Speaker 4: we joke all the time, like we we know the
• 22:02
  Speaker 4: deal of this job.
• 22:03
  Speaker 3: You need a lot of luck.
• 22:04
  Speaker 4: You're gonna put a ton of work in and the
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: work is you know, to add that, sometimes you will
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: get lucky. That's just part of it, right, and we
• 22:12
  Speaker 4: talk all the times sometimes you're gonna get unlucky. And
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: I knew, just as you knew when he missed that
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: extra point, not even the first one, but especially the
• 22:20
  Speaker 4: second one.
• 22:21
  Speaker 3: They're gonna play prevent defense.
• 22:22
  Speaker 4: We're gonna get back toward here, and that's exactly what happened.
• 22:25
  Speaker 4: And yeah, if you're the Rams better basically you had
• 22:29
  Speaker 4: three points a safety before they scored a touchdown that
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: final four minutes, so it's like, you gotta feel great
• 22:35
  Speaker 4: getting that back door covering. And we talked before coming on,
• 22:38
  Speaker 4: I thought that bet Eagles bet was dead when AJ
• 22:41
  Speaker 4: dropped that touchdown the first half. It's like, that's not
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: that's not normal. And this is the type of game
• 22:47
  Speaker 4: where the Eagles things just kept going wrong for them
• 22:50
  Speaker 4: right there in field goal range. Sack taking that field
• 22:53
  Speaker 4: goal range, that happened twice, like two different times, and
• 22:55
  Speaker 4: they punted like they they did dominate. And we talked
• 22:59
  Speaker 4: before the in the snow could go either way, could
• 23:02
  Speaker 4: be an equalizer, or could benefit the Eagles.
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: It definitely did not benefit them.
• 23:06
  Speaker 4: That offensive line doesn't give up seven to eight sacks
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: in a game like that was just but.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: They also got the fumble recovery from Kyron Williams. Like
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: that was when the snow really started coming down and
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: you could feel the momentum changing a little bit, like
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: the Rams were not adjusting to the snow in the same.
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: Way that the Eagles were. But I get your point.
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: I totally sure that's fair.
• 23:24
  Speaker 4: And like the Eagles had a bunch of picks they dropped,
• 23:28
  Speaker 4: you know, the Rams never really had any opportunities for
• 23:30
  Speaker 4: picks like Hurts once again played pretty safe, pretty born
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: with the ball, and obviously before the injury, the read
• 23:35
  Speaker 4: option was just given the Rams nightmares. Like that first
• 23:39
  Speaker 4: busted run of his was like a tone setter and
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: something they had adjust to for the defense, which again
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: is going to open up everything for Saquon, which it did,
• 23:48
  Speaker 4: like you ran for two twenties. Like once again, I
• 23:51
  Speaker 4: can't thank Giants ownership and GM enough just the ultimate
• 23:56
  Speaker 4: savior for this franchise. And yeah, it's obviously the type
• 24:01
  Speaker 4: of game, Chad, but we were both sick to our
• 24:04
  Speaker 4: stomachs because it's like the grossest way to lose, but
• 24:07
  Speaker 4: it's it's such a great game. I'm trying not to
• 24:10
  Speaker 4: overreact to it, but obviously I'm happy it is an
• 24:13
  Speaker 4: ego's fan to win. But like as someone that pushed
• 24:15
  Speaker 4: on the six that covered eight different ways, I can't
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: believe it. So once again, we talk all the time.
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: That's the type of year it's been for us. We
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: can't we can't get the we can't get one missed
• 24:26
  Speaker 4: extra point, we have to have two in the same game.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: It's that kind of year.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: The next game truly epitomized what kind of year it's been.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: As much as the Chiefs game, we benefited from so
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: much luck, and as much as the Commander's game, we
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: benefited from handicapping it exactly right and making the right call.
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: The Eagles game was really excruciating. I do want to
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: acknowledge your joy and your happiness.
• 24:58
  Speaker 4: I mean, people probablyn tell them all a little scared
• 25:00
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna get into the game coming up here. But yeah,
• 25:02
  Speaker 4: I'm trying to tone it back a little bit because
• 25:05
  Speaker 4: I know, I mean, we're the.
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: Most hated fan base. No one likes fucking Eagles fans.
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: I love the Eagles. I love them.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: I love Philly like my favorite thing. I'm so glad
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: TikTok is back, just so I can.
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: Watch Oh God is it Yeah, it's back.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: I can watch more videos of Phillies fans going crazy
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: in late inning playoff games when somebody hits a grand Slam,
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: because those are my favorite videos on TikTok. I watch
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: them again and again and again. And that and the
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: trade Turner when everyone starts clapping for him when he's
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: playing badly. I love Philly fans for that. I love
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: Eagles fans. You know.
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: I have a soft spot in my heart for Philly.
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: I love the city.
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: We're on my Drexel shirt right now. Actually, so I
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: want you. I want you to do great. I want
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: you to win.
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: I want you to go to the super Bowl.
• 25:56
  Speaker 3: Me too, Me too.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: Anyways, the game that epitomized our season Baltimore a Buffalo.
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: This was our big balls bet.
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: Of the week, the under fifty one and a half.
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: This was our scoot roulette. You love Buffalo, I didn't.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: I didn't hate Buffalo. I just kind of believe more
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: in Baltimore. And then, of course, like that first half,
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: there's thirty one points scored because Lamar's got two picks
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: and a fumble. They have more turnovers in one game
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: than they have in the entire season in a game
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: and it's like, are you fucking kidding me? And then
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: the second half plays exactly the way we thought it
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: would until Lamar backdoors us with a turns out meaningless
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: touchdown lands at fifty two.
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, come on, are you fucking kidding me?
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Oh?
• 26:48
  Speaker 4: Playoff Lamar, Chad, you believed in playoff Lamar?
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: What's what's it feel like the day the day a
• 26:54
  Speaker 3: game after you believe in players? Serious thing? What is
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: this thing?
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: I truly didn't believe in playoff Lamar. My mistake. My
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: mistake was I believed in offensive coordinator Todd Monkin realizing
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: don't put the ball in playoff Lamar's hands.
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: He's got to have. It's the playoffs. What are they
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: going to do?
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: You have a brilliant running game.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: We saw what happened in the second half, and you
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: can say, okay, like what they did in the first
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: half set up the running for the second half. But
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: there were three or four plays in the first half,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: including a couple of the passing plays that went decidedly
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: badly for the Ravens, where they should have been running
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: the ball, and they they kept trying to throw the ball.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: It made no sense to me the Bills. How many
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: yards did Josh Allen th for one hundred and thirty
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: right like he had ninety six in the fourth quarter?
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: They had the perfect offensive game plan. Hold on, I
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: know Matt Mitchell is going to want to come on,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: because I know he's got strong feelings about this.
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: Matt Mitchell.
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: I know like this means something different to you than
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: it does assignment because they have one Super Bowl recently.
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: But I would like you to come on and talk
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: to me as a Bills fan if my feelings were displaced,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: and how you were feeling right now.
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: Hey, Chad, listen to me.
• 28:25
  Speaker 6: There was a time when we would refer to this
• 28:28
  Speaker 6: show as the most illiterate gambling podcast.
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: Do you remember that?
• 28:33
  Speaker 6: I do because of that, I'd like to share something
• 28:36
  Speaker 6: very private. If you're a Bills fan and you're listening
• 28:39
  Speaker 6: to this on a Monday morning, you're driving around or
• 28:42
  Speaker 6: doing whatever. Probably not if you're driving around, but I
• 28:44
  Speaker 6: want you to close your eyes. I want you to
• 28:46
  Speaker 6: listen to this very carefully.
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 28:48
  Speaker 6: This is a quote from arguably the greatest novelist of
• 28:52
  Speaker 6: all time, Dostavski, and I repeat this to myself before
• 28:56
  Speaker 6: every important Bills game, because I think it epitomizes the
• 29:00
  Speaker 6: Bill's experience in a win or more frequently in a loss.
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: Ready, here we go.
• 29:09
  Speaker 6: And I seem to have such strengthen me now that
• 29:13
  Speaker 6: I think I could stand anything, any suffering, only to
• 29:17
  Speaker 6: be able to say and to repeat to myself in
• 29:20
  Speaker 6: every moment. I exist in thousands of agonies.
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: I exist.
• 29:27
  Speaker 6: I'm tormented on the rack, but I exist. Chad, though
• 29:32
  Speaker 6: I sit alone on a pillar, I exist. I see
• 29:37
  Speaker 6: the sun, and if I do not see the sun,
• 29:40
  Speaker 6: I know.
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: It is there.
• 29:42
  Speaker 6: And there's a whole life in that, Chad Noman in
• 29:45
  Speaker 6: knowing that the sun is there. End quote, And Chad,
• 29:50
  Speaker 6: that son came out today feels great. It's it wasn't
• 29:53
  Speaker 6: our turn to have a haunting, crushing, season ending loss.
• 29:58
  Speaker 6: It was two other franchises turns, and it feels really good.
• 30:02
  Speaker 6: Just feels great to not be haunted by the events
• 30:04
  Speaker 6: of tonight's game.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: Listen, that was beautiful. I think we still are the
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: most literate betting podcast. Back in the days before TikTok
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: and phones and all that kind of stuff, the only
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: book I would bring with me on the road when
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: I was working was Crime and Punishment, because I felt
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: like if my only option was do my work, go
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: through my notes, start writing my story, or read Crime
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: and Punishment.
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: I would do the work.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: So I love that you quoted Dustyevski on this podcast.
• 30:40
  Speaker 6: And this game felt like both a crime and a punishment,
• 30:43
  Speaker 6: so that's very appropriate.
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: It was.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: And for the record, I never got through Crime and Punishment.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: So but that's my point about this game, Simon, is like,
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: it's not that I believed in Lamar.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: I believed it.
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: You did.
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: I believe that the co we're gonna put him in better.
• 31:01
  Speaker 4: No excuse we had we I tried to beat it
• 31:05
  Speaker 4: into You had the Bills as a home dog and
• 31:07
  Speaker 4: our friend Matt Mitchell's team.
• 31:09
  Speaker 3: We believed.
• 31:10
  Speaker 4: We believed in the Bills, we believed in Josh Allen.
• 31:13
  Speaker 4: We did not believe in Lamar, and we are rewards.
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: We won. We won the bet.
• 31:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah, even better, the plus two on the Ravens covered,
• 31:32
  Speaker 4: so once again the early number Man the books were
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: so sharp this week. I think Evan had a great tweet.
• 31:38
  Speaker 4: All all four dogs covered against the closing number. Pretty wild,
• 31:45
  Speaker 4: Uh a weekend, and yeah, like Lamar, you know it's
• 31:50
  Speaker 4: to give me the lowest of hanging fruit just to
• 31:52
  Speaker 4: bash him on it. But it's like even the old
• 31:55
  Speaker 4: fans have to come to the realization, Like even Chad knows,
• 31:58
  Speaker 4: if like they he even said, if they just ran
• 32:00
  Speaker 4: the ball, probably are coming out on top of that matchup.
• 32:03
  Speaker 3: And it's two years in a row.
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: I think we could all agree, back to back years,
• 32:09
  Speaker 4: they're the best team, no doubt in the AFC, all around,
• 32:12
  Speaker 4: best defense, best offense, all of it, and brutal nothing
• 32:17
  Speaker 4: to show for it. I mean, you might get three
• 32:19
  Speaker 4: MVPs out of it, which is you know, that's awesome,
• 32:22
  Speaker 4: that's fun, But that's a fan base that they they
• 32:25
  Speaker 4: have two super Bowls, they want more and yeah, just
• 32:29
  Speaker 4: brutal for Lamar that that that pick of his is
• 32:33
  Speaker 4: something that just does not happen with him. And you
• 32:36
  Speaker 4: know that funbled I believe with the sixth of the season,
• 32:38
  Speaker 4: another thing that just does not happen. It all happened
• 32:40
  Speaker 4: within ten minutes of one another. In that game, and
• 32:44
  Speaker 4: they fought back. Bill's gave them a chance, right, they
• 32:47
  Speaker 4: came out and we're not smart in that second half, right,
• 32:49
  Speaker 4: trying to try, like you said, trying to run the
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: clock out for thirty minutes was just idiotic. But then
• 32:55
  Speaker 4: once they got hit in the mouth, it kind of
• 32:57
  Speaker 4: woke back up Josh Allen once again. Well I thought
• 33:00
  Speaker 4: you'd be the MVP, stepped up with this nameless team,
• 33:03
  Speaker 4: and they just went in different ways. And yeah, that's
• 33:07
  Speaker 4: that was a incredible winning just like a nice cap
• 33:11
  Speaker 4: of an incredible weekend of games and uh perfect any
• 33:15
  Speaker 4: of us getting burned on our under at that last
• 33:17
  Speaker 4: second drive and just you know, it sucks to go
• 33:21
  Speaker 4: out that way because it was such a fun weekend
• 33:23
  Speaker 4: of games, but it's also what we love doing. We
• 33:26
  Speaker 4: love gambling, and it's never over till it's over. It's
• 33:28
  Speaker 4: always his last second sweat. So yeah, that was that
• 33:30
  Speaker 4: was a brutal way to cap it. But what what
• 33:32
  Speaker 4: a what a game, what a way to end it?
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: And yeah, Josh Allen, man, holy.
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: Shit, awesome.
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: We you know what you said it right, awesome weekend
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: of betting.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: Every Actually I said it right because I set it
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: up as every every emotion, Yeah, every element that you
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: get from the thrill.
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: And agony of betting we got in every game.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: We had no business thinking we were going to cover
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: that under and then we are privileged enough to think
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: we should have covered that because of the way it ended.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: That's the beauty of betting. Let's talk about these conference
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: championship games. Washington at Philadelphia. It opened at four and
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: a half. I'm seeing a lot of five and a
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: half's out there already. I betted at four and a
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: half immediately because I wanted to get it ahead of news.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts would be playing. My sense is that he
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: would have been that he was going to be and
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: then he said I feel confident. So the number I
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: think ticked up a little bit.
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: We don't know for sure.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: We're just you know, all we know is that he
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: finished the game, so he must not have structural damage.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: He's probably just gonna have to play in pain.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you have a strong opinion about
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: this yet. In Week sixteen in Washington, the Eagles were
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites. In Week eleven in Philly,
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: they were four point favorites.
• 34:55
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and it's really is a heavy debate right now.
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: What's the injuries and what's I know, the Egles team,
• 35:00
  Speaker 4: so lucky for us, you know, we're gonna break down
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: two games now for the next two shows we have
• 35:05
  Speaker 4: coming up on Tuesday and Thursday, so obviously so much
• 35:08
  Speaker 4: opinions are going to be made over the next two days.
• 35:10
  Speaker 4: And as we say right now, don't really have one.
• 35:12
  Speaker 4: My model likes the Eagles. Like I before we came
• 35:15
  Speaker 4: on here, I was talking to you, and it's like, okay,
• 35:18
  Speaker 4: let's just see what the computers are thinking here.
• 35:20
  Speaker 3: It's it's the same thing with the Rams. It's it's
• 35:22
  Speaker 3: a flat seven.
• 35:23
  Speaker 4: So once again, just like the Rams, Eagles, I had
• 35:24
  Speaker 4: them at minus seven have a minus seven again against
• 35:27
  Speaker 4: this Washington team. And that's not that big of a shocker, right,
• 35:30
  Speaker 4: Like that's the Eagles. We talked about them and Detroit
• 35:34
  Speaker 4: Lions were not that big of a difference to most
• 35:36
  Speaker 4: professionals when they grained out. That's why the Egles were
• 35:38
  Speaker 4: a better value headed into this playoffs on Super Bowl
• 35:41
  Speaker 4: future bets, because you know, they were five hundred or
• 35:43
  Speaker 4: plus five hundred, where Detroit the books had in the
• 35:46
  Speaker 4: plus two fifty it was. And you know, we talked
• 35:48
  Speaker 4: about a little bit that that value just seemed off
• 35:50
  Speaker 4: to us just because that Eagles were seemed like egals Lions.
• 35:53
  Speaker 4: So I thought the books have priced the Eagles the
• 35:55
  Speaker 4: same as they did with the Lions. But I think
• 35:58
  Speaker 4: the opening lines kind of showing the books or show
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: in respect to Jane Daniels and how graven offense they
• 36:03
  Speaker 4: are and the fact that Hurts did get a bum.
• 36:06
  Speaker 3: Knee in this game. And there is some questions here.
• 36:08
  Speaker 4: So, like you just said, some books our sponsor here,
• 36:11
  Speaker 4: bethru six five opened at four and a half. A
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: lot of books now are already moving to five and
• 36:15
  Speaker 4: a half. So it chows early money here, professional money
• 36:18
  Speaker 4: obviously thinks Eagles are you know Jalen Hurts. Eagles are fine,
• 36:22
  Speaker 4: and you know both teams have major injuries, like the
• 36:26
  Speaker 4: Commanders lost their best guard.
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, he's done for the season. Eagles.
• 36:33
  Speaker 4: You know Quinna Mitchell, he had his shoulder injury, left
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: the game after that big hit on Stafford. I believe
• 36:38
  Speaker 4: in the first quarter never return. We just talked about,
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: Hurts might have abom knee. Isaiah Rodgers might be banging
• 36:44
  Speaker 4: up another cornerback for the Eagles. Like okay, Eagles are
• 36:46
  Speaker 4: now losing their one number one starting corner and maybe
• 36:49
  Speaker 4: their backup starting corner. That's a big deal in your
• 36:52
  Speaker 4: face of something like Jane daneos so yeah, so much
• 36:54
  Speaker 4: your breakdown this game. My early opinion obviously, you know,
• 36:57
  Speaker 4: I think there's value in this Egles team, But I'm
• 36:59
  Speaker 4: not rushing a bet at just because if he is
• 37:02
  Speaker 4: legit banged up, what's the adrenaline runs off for wears
• 37:05
  Speaker 4: out from Hurtz. We can actually know what's going on
• 37:08
  Speaker 4: with his knee. That's when I'll take a stand and
• 37:10
  Speaker 4: make a pick here. But yeah, if you want to
• 37:11
  Speaker 4: grab the early line, there are four and a halfs
• 37:13
  Speaker 4: out there if you want to grab Eagles now, just
• 37:15
  Speaker 4: in case the line does mo.
• 37:16
  Speaker 3: I think you did right, Chad.
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I took the four and a half.
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: There are two foreign I have seven books listed in
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: front of me on the Action Network odds page, and
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: two of them are at four and a half, three
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: are at five and a half, and uh two are
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: at five, including bet three six five is now at five.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: That's everyone opened at four and a half and bet
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: three six five is now at five.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: I just bet it because I thought it was going
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: to go up and and I'm I'm making a bet
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: that Jalen Hurts is going to play if he walked
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: off the field, if they let him go back on
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: the field with.
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: Nothing more than a rap.
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: Then I'm assuming there's no structural damage and he's gonna
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: be on the field like they're gonna shoot him up.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: It's gonna take whatever needs to take. He's going to
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: be on the field.
• 38:03
  Speaker 4: And I'll beat into your guys head on Tuesday and
• 38:05
  Speaker 4: Thursday show. But it's a unique opportunity, a unique spot.
• 38:09
  Speaker 4: You basically have a rookie in the conference finals. This
• 38:11
  Speaker 4: has only happened five times before. Last time happened was
• 38:14
  Speaker 4: Brock Purty against this Eagles team in Philadelphia Rookies Conference
• 38:19
  Speaker 4: Finals zero for five straight up. So that's just something
• 38:21
  Speaker 4: to remember when before you bet this game.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: Perty did get knocked out of that game after about
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: three plays.
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: The Chiefs opens one and a half point favorites over
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills. I immediately bet the Chiefs at one
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 38:42
  Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I mean, I just broke it down.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: I'm telling you that I'm agreeing with you.
• 38:49
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm just saying like, there's no I'm in total
• 38:51
  Speaker 4: agrees with you. There's no shock here. Whatever the Chiefs
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: are going to be as long as they were going
• 38:56
  Speaker 4: to be under three, I was going to be on them.
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: If it's if it ever got to three plus three.
• 39:01
  Speaker 4: How do you not take Josh Allen at a plus
• 39:03
  Speaker 4: three against this Chiefs team, Like this is going to
• 39:06
  Speaker 4: be what we expect, what we just saw that Ravens game,
• 39:09
  Speaker 4: last possession, ball in hand, chance, the winner, tie, either
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: quarterback is going to have that opportunity. Just does not
• 39:16
  Speaker 4: feel like a type of game that gets blown out.
• 39:19
  Speaker 4: And you know, we just nailed the Bills teaser seven
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: and a half, you can do it once again. You
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: want to take the Bills of seven and a half
• 39:25
  Speaker 4: right now? The books are letting you. They're giving me
• 39:27
  Speaker 4: the one and a half.
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: Hook right here.
• 39:28
  Speaker 4: So yeah, early bets, I'm with Chad. I'm taking Chiefs
• 39:32
  Speaker 4: right now. And same thing I modeled this out. It's
• 39:35
  Speaker 4: minus two and a half. So right now, technically you're
• 39:40
  Speaker 4: getting good value in the Chiefs. So you know, to me,
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: that's the move to make right now. Like I like
• 39:45
  Speaker 4: the value of the Chiefs, and I do think Professions
• 39:47
  Speaker 4: will join us on this one, just because I maybe
• 39:51
  Speaker 4: the public have come around the Chiefs because of that
• 39:53
  Speaker 4: last game, but I still feel like there's so much
• 39:56
  Speaker 4: doubt in the media and a lot of people the
• 39:57
  Speaker 4: way they view this Chiefs team. They're not that good.
• 39:59
  Speaker 4: And yeah, it's hard. As much as I love Josh Allen,
• 40:03
  Speaker 4: now we have to finally go against him. It's hard.
• 40:05
  Speaker 4: But me and Chad, I think we both agree we've
• 40:08
  Speaker 4: learned our lesson. It's Mahomes under three in the playoffs.
• 40:11
  Speaker 3: You got to take them here.
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Mahomes is an underdog of lesson three,
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: as an underdog period as a favorite of lesson three.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: Line when they last played in Buffalo was two and
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: a half.
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: By the way, what do you.
• 40:24
  Speaker 3: Think of this total before we hop off? Did you
• 40:26
  Speaker 3: look at it?
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: I haven't even looked at it yet.
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: Forty and a half feels high, crazy high for arrowhead.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: Feels really high for aerohead.
• 40:35
  Speaker 3: And two running teams.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: In January and two running teams, let's be real, these
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: two quarterbacks. They barely got to fifty two. Yeah, in
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: this Buffalo Baltimore game. And Baltimore has had a much
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: more explosive offense than Kansas City all year long.
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: That's interesting.
• 40:57
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it definitely was like the first thing, gentle mean,
• 40:59
  Speaker 4: as much as I obviously I'm jumping on the Chiefs number. Yeah,
• 41:03
  Speaker 4: that was just something to jumped out where it's like
• 41:06
  Speaker 4: a key number forty and a half. I'm just gonna
• 41:08
  Speaker 4: tick the under now and then we'll see where the
• 41:09
  Speaker 4: market goes. But yeah, for early bets, cha, I took
• 41:14
  Speaker 4: a stand on the Eagles game. I got nothing on
• 41:16
  Speaker 4: that one yet, But for this one, I'm definitely chiefs
• 41:18
  Speaker 4: in the under and our first instinct to go with
• 41:20
  Speaker 4: this one.
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: Exciting.
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm so sad we only got three games left,
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: but what a great fucking weekend of just sitting on
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: the couch.
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: My wife did say to me, by the way, I.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: Predicted, my wife said to me Friday morning, Hey can
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: we go out with sell? And so on Saturday night,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: I'm like, I gotta watch the games.
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: I gotta work. She goes, yeah, you gotta work watching football.
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: But I didn't have to go anywhere.
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: As a reminder of the Favorite podcast is presented by
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