Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 3/30/26: Iran Blows Up US Aircraft, Trump Floats Ground Invasion
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey guys, Saga and Crystal here.
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- 0:27Speaker 1: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints
- 0:29Speaker 1: dot com. Good morning, everybody, Happy Monday. Have an amazing
- 0:35Speaker 1: show for a body today. What'll we be a Crystal.
- 0:37Speaker 2: We have a new Trump truth, part market manipulation, part
- 0:40Speaker 2: threat to Iran.
- 0:41Speaker 3: Will dig into that.
- 0:42Speaker 2: We're going to take a look at the options for
- 0:44Speaker 2: ground troops that increasingly appears to be the direction that
- 0:47Speaker 2: Trump is headed in, so we will dig into what
- 0:50Speaker 2: is going on there. We are also hurtling towards an
- 0:52Speaker 2: economic poly crisis involving AI oil, helium, all sorts of things.
- 0:57Speaker 2: Sorab A Mari is going to join us to break
- 1:00Speaker 2: that down. He's also going to take a look at
- 1:01Speaker 2: this situation in Israel where they blocked the cardinal for
- 1:07Speaker 2: the Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem from going to the Church
- 1:10Speaker 2: of the Holy Sepukler for Palm Sunday, sparking a major
- 1:14Speaker 2: major crisis. This is the first time I think in
- 1:17Speaker 2: like one thousand years, so it is a big issue
- 1:20Speaker 2: for christianst. Yahoo himself had to respond. So Soreb is
- 1:24Speaker 2: also going to talk to us about that since we're
- 1:26Speaker 2: a little bit, you.
- 1:27Speaker 1: Know, Catholic experts.
- 1:29Speaker 2: Yeah, anytime we get into like deep religious letters.
- 1:31Speaker 1: With liturgy, I'm like, yeah, I had to text a
- 1:33Speaker 1: friend yesterday, I go, what is Palm Sunday exactly? He
- 1:36Speaker 1: has explained to me. I go, oh wow, so it
- 1:37Speaker 1: was actually about Jesus and Jerusalem. That makes it worse.
- 1:40Speaker 3: Yeahs actually makes.
- 1:41Speaker 1: It a lot worse.
- 1:41Speaker 2: Like it probably is significant to a lot of people.
- 1:43Speaker 2: So we'll get into that. Also, a crazy incident that
- 1:46Speaker 2: CNN documented their own photo journalists assaulted by the IDF,
- 1:50Speaker 2: major recriminations there as well. We are going to dig
- 1:54Speaker 2: into the mystery of a number of top scientists who
- 1:58Speaker 2: have either been killed or gone missing. Is it just
- 2:01Speaker 2: a coincidence? It could be could be just a coincidence,
- 2:03Speaker 2: but at this point there are enough of them to
- 2:06Speaker 2: at least take a look and go what exactly is
- 2:08Speaker 2: going on here? And then we're gonna have Colonel Lawrence
- 2:11Speaker 2: Wilkerson join us as well. You're supposed to be with
- 2:13Speaker 2: us last week, we had some sort of a timing
- 2:15Speaker 2: mess up. Hopefully we'll get him this morning. He was
- 2:17Speaker 2: the former chief of staff to Cole and Pwell, really
- 2:19Speaker 2: a hero in opposition to a Rock war, and now
- 2:22Speaker 2: he is speaking out against the Iran war as well.
- 2:25Speaker 3: So really looking forward to speaking with this.
- 2:26Speaker 1: That's right, And before we get to any of that,
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- 3:03Speaker 1: We've had tons of new people who have been coming in,
- 3:05Speaker 1: so sincerely, thank you and welcome if you are a
- 3:07Speaker 1: new listener. But let's go ahead and go to the
- 3:10Speaker 1: latest from Donald Trump. Literally just happening this morning, minutes
- 3:14Speaker 1: before we started filming. Let's go and put this up
- 3:16Speaker 1: here on the screen. What we have from Trump is
- 3:19Speaker 1: this new response, the United States of America is in
- 3:22Speaker 1: serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime to
- 3:26Speaker 1: end our military operations in Iran. Great progress has been made,
- 3:30Speaker 1: but for if for any reason, a deal is not
- 3:32Speaker 1: shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the
- 3:34Speaker 1: horror moves straight is not immediately open for business, we
- 3:37Speaker 1: will conclude our lovely stay in Iran by blowing up
- 3:41Speaker 1: and completely obliterating all of their electric generating plants, oil wells,
- 3:45Speaker 1: and carg Island, possibly all desalination plants which we have
- 3:49Speaker 1: not purposefully yet touched. This will be retribution for our
- 3:52Speaker 1: many soldiers and others that Iran has butchered and killed
- 3:54Speaker 1: over the regime's forty seven year of terror. Thank you
- 3:58Speaker 1: for your attention to this matter. So this is obviously
- 4:00Speaker 1: Trump trying to wish Cast a deal, continuing to try
- 4:03Speaker 1: and hold this guillotine over the Iranians heads who remain
- 4:07Speaker 1: very much dug in. Recall that originally we had the
- 4:10Speaker 1: forty eight hour deadline. Right on the eve of the
- 4:13Speaker 1: forty eight hour deadline expiring, which is almost exactly a
- 4:16Speaker 1: week to the day, Donald Trump releases something around actually
- 4:20Speaker 1: exactly a week to the hour when we're filming, right
- 4:23Speaker 1: around seven am Eastern time on Monday. He says, I'm
- 4:26Speaker 1: extending it by five days. So we get to the
- 4:28Speaker 1: fifth day, we get to Friday, we over the show,
- 4:31Speaker 1: we're making plans. Okay, what's it going to look like
- 4:33Speaker 1: for our ground invasion. Now we get a ten day extension,
- 4:36Speaker 1: and so now we are a couple of days into
- 4:37Speaker 1: that ten day extension. But clearly he's trying to wish cast,
- 4:40Speaker 1: trying to job own the oil markets and trying to
- 4:43Speaker 1: make it clear that there is some sort of quote,
- 4:45Speaker 1: reasonable regime in charge. Now remember, by all accounts, the
- 4:48Speaker 1: so called reasonable regime. This in charge is the current
- 4:51Speaker 1: Speaker of the Parliament, Galibov. I recommend everybody go and
- 4:55Speaker 1: follow this man on Twitter, because if you just see
- 4:58Speaker 1: what he's posting, it's pretty much the opposite of what
- 5:00Speaker 1: some reasonable negotiator who wants to make peace. Now, could
- 5:04Speaker 1: he be bluffing, It's possible. I also think we should
- 5:07Speaker 1: be clear about what these peace talks look like. It's
- 5:09Speaker 1: basically the pakistanis calling Washington and calling Tehran. That's about it.
- 5:14Speaker 1: We pass messages and things back and forth to be clear.
- 5:17Speaker 1: I support that, I want that to continue, and I
- 5:19Speaker 1: hope that we get to some sort of a deal.
- 5:21Speaker 1: But the Iranian response remains pretty steadfast. Your fifteen point plan,
- 5:25Speaker 1: the fifteen point plan, which includes no missile production, no proxy,
- 5:29Speaker 1: effective surrender, an opening of the straits, over moves, and
- 5:32Speaker 1: own all of that potentially in exchange for sanctions relief,
- 5:35Speaker 1: is off the table. The Iranians right now are in
- 5:37Speaker 1: a pole position of strength. There are missiles that they
- 5:40Speaker 1: fired just yesterday were actually double what they were firing
- 5:44Speaker 1: just a week ago, they've been able to inflict a
- 5:46Speaker 1: lot of very critical, strategic level damage to the United
- 5:50Speaker 1: States now, which will show you shocking images of So,
- 5:53Speaker 1: just to set the table for everybody who's listening, there
- 5:55Speaker 1: is no current situation where the horror moves straight is
- 5:59Speaker 1: just going to be open within the next week, where
- 6:02Speaker 1: some sort of grand peace deal is going to happen.
- 6:05Speaker 1: We are no way, in no way close to a
- 6:08Speaker 1: sort of deal that Donald Trump is saying right now.
- 6:10Speaker 3: Yeah. No, I mean, it's very obvious what's going on here.
- 6:13Speaker 2: Yesterday, the stock futures were shitting the bed. Oil prices
- 6:18Speaker 2: were spiking the previous attempt to job in the market
- 6:22Speaker 2: from Friday when he said, oh, we're going to do
- 6:24Speaker 2: a ten day extension, there was a small bump in
- 6:27Speaker 2: the market and then it went right back down. And
- 6:29Speaker 2: that was a very we talked about on Friday. That
- 6:31Speaker 2: was very very important because he has been trying to
- 6:35Speaker 2: use true social to market manipulate and buy himself more time,
- 6:39Speaker 2: more time for what he has no idea. He's trying
- 6:41Speaker 2: to figure it out. I do think in here he's
- 6:43Speaker 2: trying to come up with some sort of an off ramp.
- 6:45Speaker 2: All right, Well, if there's not a deal, then I'm
- 6:47Speaker 2: going to bomb the hell out of you, and that
- 6:48Speaker 2: will substitute for some sort of victory and then maybe
- 6:51Speaker 2: we'll go. But as we've said, Aron gets to say
- 6:54Speaker 2: in that, and Israel gets to say in that.
- 6:56Speaker 3: Now it does Israel deserve a say no.
- 6:57Speaker 2: But that is the reality of the way that this
- 7:00Speaker 2: Trump regien has operated.
- 7:01Speaker 3: So we know that it is the case.
- 7:02Speaker 2: That Israel will continue to get it say in the
- 7:04Speaker 2: matter as well. And they have no interest in allowing
- 7:08Speaker 2: Iran to, you know, just persist and exist as a
- 7:11Speaker 2: nation and get themselves back together, etc. So I think
- 7:14Speaker 2: it's pretty clear that's what's going on here. There's zero,
- 7:17Speaker 2: zero indication on the Iranian side that there is any
- 7:20Speaker 2: sort of like a softening of the regime. In fact,
- 7:22Speaker 2: all of the indications are on the other side. You know,
- 7:24Speaker 2: the new Supreme leader, the anti nuclear weapon Fatwa is
- 7:29Speaker 2: dead and gone. The new Supreme Leader purportedly is war
- 7:32Speaker 2: hard line. You murdered his whole family. I don't think
- 7:34Speaker 2: he's too psyched about doing a deal with you. The
- 7:36Speaker 2: other individuals who may have been more moderate, a number
- 7:40Speaker 2: number of them, the Israelis at our you know, with
- 7:43Speaker 2: our acceptance, already killed them, assassinated them. So this is
- 7:47Speaker 2: pure fantasy in terms of the Strait of Hormuz, and
- 7:52Speaker 2: the way that Trump has sort of grabbed onto this
- 7:54Speaker 2: as some way of demonstrating like, see they're respecting us
- 7:57Speaker 2: and see they're easing up is also preposterous and a lie.
- 8:01Speaker 2: The Iranians have said from the beginning, Well, the strait
- 8:03Speaker 2: is not actually closed. If you come to us, if
- 8:05Speaker 2: you make a deal with us, if you pay us directly,
- 8:08Speaker 2: and the deal is denominated in shiny as you want,
- 8:11Speaker 2: then we will allow your tanker to go through. That
- 8:14Speaker 2: has been the case from the beginning. That is no
- 8:17Speaker 2: change in Iranian policy, you know, at Trump's behest or
- 8:20Speaker 2: to give a gift to him, as was proffered by
- 8:22Speaker 2: Trump last week. So the whole thing is it's completely nonsense.
- 8:27Speaker 2: The only thing that I do take from it that
- 8:28Speaker 2: is a little bit hopeful is I mean, and this
- 8:30Speaker 2: is obviously grasping its straws. Is he's clearly trying to
- 8:34Speaker 2: grasp here for some way that Okay, well, if I
- 8:36Speaker 2: bomb them in this way, then I can just say
- 8:38Speaker 2: that it's mission accomplished. But even that it's hard to
- 8:40Speaker 2: see how that gets a sound a mission.
- 8:42Speaker 1: You could bomb them, you could take out their oil infrastructure.
- 8:45Speaker 1: So then they're going to be even more desperate. And
- 8:46Speaker 1: what are they going to do. They're going to continue
- 8:48Speaker 1: to try and to mine the horror moves straight. They'll
- 8:50Speaker 1: try and keep it closed. They're basically going to try
- 8:52Speaker 1: and continue to inflict more maximum damage because at that
- 8:55Speaker 1: point they're all in. This is the escalation trap, which
- 8:58Speaker 1: we've tried to tell everybody ad nauseum about. Let's go
- 9:01Speaker 1: and put a one up there on the screen. I
- 9:03Speaker 1: don't want to understate the level of damage that we
- 9:06Speaker 1: are taking here now in the Middle East. Let's start
- 9:08Speaker 1: with the slideshow just to show everybody. This is a
- 9:12Speaker 1: US Navy, a US E three G Century airborne early
- 9:17Speaker 1: Warning and Control aircraft, which, as you guys can see
- 9:20Speaker 1: right now, was basically obliterated here either by an Iranian
- 9:25Speaker 1: missile or a drone. We don't know exactly what it is.
- 9:28Speaker 1: It seems to have been a ballistic missile and drone attack. Now,
- 9:30Speaker 1: there are only some fourteen that are currently operational in
- 9:33Speaker 1: the entire United States of America's like in terms of
- 9:37Speaker 1: their arsenal, So this is a highly strategic asset. It's
- 9:40Speaker 1: one of those that you're supposed to keep the safest.
- 9:42Speaker 1: It was also reportedly hit with multiple other refueling tankers,
- 9:46Speaker 1: which is what keeps a lot of those air operations
- 9:48Speaker 1: continuing over Iran. Now, the fact that this was able
- 9:52Speaker 1: to take what is very obvious from the picture. A
- 9:55Speaker 1: direct hit from either an Iranian missile or a drone
- 9:58Speaker 1: shows targeting capable, ability penetration. This is a Prince Sultan
- 10:02Speaker 1: airbase in Saudi Arabia. There were multiple US service members
- 10:07Speaker 1: that were hit. Let's put a two up there on
- 10:09Speaker 1: the screen. At least twelve American troops were seriously or
- 10:13Speaker 1: were injured too seriously. And from what I have seen
- 10:17Speaker 1: from some of the intelligence analysts who are out there
- 10:20Speaker 1: is that there is basically no way you could have
- 10:22Speaker 1: done this without not only up to date real time
- 10:26Speaker 1: targeting information, but exact like exact coordinates to be able
- 10:31Speaker 1: to hit very specifically where things are. I will also
- 10:34Speaker 1: note this shows you how unprepared the United States is
- 10:36Speaker 1: for a major war. You have all of these air
- 10:39Speaker 1: assets that are just sitting out there in the middle
- 10:41Speaker 1: of a runway and obviously within range of Iranian missiles
- 10:44Speaker 1: and drunes. Now the theory was, oh, well, we have interceptors.
- 10:47Speaker 1: And I saw somebody say this, you remember when Ukraine
- 10:50Speaker 1: took out a bunch of Russian air assets in almost
- 10:52Speaker 1: the exact same way. How were we not prepared for this?
- 10:55Speaker 1: And it's like very obvious. I for years, and I've
- 10:57Speaker 1: sat at this desk, and I've talked about Ukraine Russia,
- 11:00Speaker 1: and for years I've heard the pushback from many of
- 11:03Speaker 1: my friends who are much more neocons, and they're like, well,
- 11:05Speaker 1: we're not the Russians. They're idiots, they're losers. They leave
- 11:09Speaker 1: their stuff out in the open just to get hit.
- 11:11Speaker 1: They can't even have air superiority. There's such a joke.
- 11:14Speaker 1: You know, you're an idiot for considering them such a
- 11:17Speaker 1: you know, a large military. Oh maybe we're a little
- 11:19Speaker 1: bit more like Russia than we thought. Right now, we're
- 11:21Speaker 1: not as bad as how they operated in Ukraine. But
- 11:24Speaker 1: to take major strategic hits like this, and to lose
- 11:28Speaker 1: so publicly, not only one of these aircraft, but also
- 11:32Speaker 1: take all the refeeling hits, to take the injuries, and
- 11:34Speaker 1: then also to show you clearly there was either a
- 11:36Speaker 1: failure of interceptor or we ran out both are obviously
- 11:40Speaker 1: you know, if you listen to our show on Thursday,
- 11:42Speaker 1: we showed everybody the math and the numbers. We have
- 11:44Speaker 1: troops that are in harms way, and this is in
- 11:46Speaker 1: potential preparation for any sort of ground invasion where you
- 11:50Speaker 1: would need a massive aerial armada to be able to
- 11:54Speaker 1: continue to pound things that are on the ground to
- 11:56Speaker 1: make sure that the actual troops are not going to
- 11:58Speaker 1: be put into harm's way. So this is a capability
- 12:01Speaker 1: and a proof that they are absolutely not out of
- 12:04Speaker 1: the fight in any way to be able to take
- 12:06Speaker 1: out strategic access multiple US bases. Remember they call them uninhabitable.
- 12:10Speaker 1: Now troops are working remotely, You're taking out refueling tanks,
- 12:13Speaker 1: you're taking out the E three. I mean, this is
- 12:15Speaker 1: really this is a flashing red light, Yeah, to show
- 12:19Speaker 1: how unprepared we are and the damage that we've now taken.
- 12:21Speaker 2: By the way, I don't really believe that those bases
- 12:24Speaker 2: are uninhabitable. I think it's just that the troops would
- 12:26Speaker 2: be in danger if they're there, and so, I mean
- 12:29Speaker 2: I think they've all been damaged, right, and the Iranians
- 12:31Speaker 2: have demonstrated their capacity to strike those bases are they
- 12:35Speaker 2: actually uninhabitable. I'm not sure that I buy that, but
- 12:38Speaker 2: you know, and we all know if it was the
- 12:40Speaker 2: Iranians who were putting their service members up in civilian hotels,
- 12:43Speaker 2: the way that would be portrayed as, oh, they're you know,
- 12:45Speaker 2: they're cowardly, they're retreating, they're using civilians as human shields,
- 12:49Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. But in any case, to your point,
- 12:52Speaker 2: you know, this is not we're just hitting randomly whatever
- 12:55Speaker 2: we can from Iran, either they have systematically gone into
- 13:00Speaker 2: or whatever radar capability and interceptor capability they can. So
- 13:05Speaker 2: you know, with this particular aircraft, why this is so significant.
- 13:08Speaker 2: Number One, we don't make them anymore, you know, So
- 13:10Speaker 2: it's not like you get and we only we don't
- 13:12Speaker 2: have a whole lot of them. So it's not like, yah,
- 13:13Speaker 2: let's just go grab a few more, No big deal. No,
- 13:16Speaker 2: it's a significant loss that is not easily replaced. Number Two,
- 13:20Speaker 2: this is like eyes and ears. It's like a mobile
- 13:22Speaker 2: command center. That's the way that I understand it. And
- 13:24Speaker 2: so this is a highly significant, very expensive piece of
- 13:27Speaker 2: equipment here. And it goes further to the point that
- 13:30Speaker 2: Iran has been trying to achieve strategical they've been trying
- 13:33Speaker 2: to achieve of making it more difficult for us to
- 13:36Speaker 2: detect what they're doing. So that is, you know, what
- 13:40Speaker 2: is highly significant here another thing. If we can just
- 13:42Speaker 2: throw a one back up on the screen here, I
- 13:44Speaker 2: want you people to realize the way this was presented
- 13:46Speaker 2: before we got the pictures was that this was damaged. Okay, No,
- 13:51Speaker 2: does that look like a little fender bender. Oh, it
- 13:53Speaker 2: was just nicked a little, just like a little gray No,
- 13:56Speaker 2: that thing is destroyed.
- 13:57Speaker 3: It's inop like it's over. It's not.
- 13:59Speaker 2: You're not going to take it into the repair shop
- 14:01Speaker 2: and you know, patch up a little bit. They lie
- 14:04Speaker 2: to us systematically, which is why it's so hard to know.
- 14:07Speaker 2: You're debating, like what's going on in these bases, how
- 14:09Speaker 2: damage they are, it's very hard to know. The Rinnings
- 14:12Speaker 2: have made all kinds of claims about you know, far
- 14:13Speaker 2: more service members being injured, far more service members being killed.
- 14:17Speaker 3: They claim they've captured.
- 14:18Speaker 2: Now we shouldn't take them at face value either, but
- 14:21Speaker 2: you know, our government has zero credibility, which is why
- 14:24Speaker 2: there's still so much speculation about what the true numbers
- 14:27Speaker 2: are and what the true level of damage is. I
- 14:30Speaker 2: just wanted to note one other thing about I was
- 14:32Speaker 2: trying to find it early in the show when we're
- 14:34Speaker 2: talking about Trump's market manipulation here with this new truth
- 14:37Speaker 2: social and how Gollibof is the guy that's been flowed
- 14:40Speaker 2: as all. He's the new hot ticket in terms of
- 14:42Speaker 2: some moderate leadership that we're gonna be able to do.
- 14:44Speaker 3: A deal with.
- 14:45Speaker 2: Gollibof literally yesterday tweeted heads up pre market. So called
- 14:50Speaker 2: news or quote unquote truth is often just a setup
- 14:54Speaker 2: for profit taking. Basically, it's a reverse indicator. Do the
- 14:57Speaker 2: opposite if they pump it, short it, if they dump it,
- 15:00Speaker 2: go long. See something tomorrow question mark, you know, the drill.
- 15:03Speaker 2: So getting out ahead of this truth, like, hey, Trump
- 15:06Speaker 2: may come out and say some shit tomorrow morning, but
- 15:08Speaker 2: I would not listen to the words that he's saying.
- 15:10Speaker 2: And this is the guy that supposedly there, you know,
- 15:13Speaker 2: we find him where we can do the deal with him,
- 15:15Speaker 2: and he's gonna he's going to give over the oil.
- 15:17Speaker 2: He's going to be the one that just opens the
- 15:19Speaker 2: strait of horbooz and let's us do whatever we want.
- 15:24Speaker 1: This is how Trump is trying to present it. Let's
- 15:25Speaker 1: put a three. This is him talking to reporters last
- 15:27Speaker 1: night about Air Force one. Let's take a listen.
- 15:29Speaker 4: We're doing extremely well in that negotiation. But you never
- 15:33Speaker 4: know with Ran because we negotiate with him and then
- 15:37Speaker 4: we always have to blow him up, whether it's a
- 15:39Speaker 4: BEAT two bombers or just terminating. As an example, the
- 15:44Speaker 4: a Ran nuclear deal done by Baracusan and Obama probably
- 15:47Speaker 4: the worst deal we've ever done as a country. One
- 15:49Speaker 4: of the dumbest deals I've ever been but I terminated
- 15:52Speaker 4: unfortunately otherwise right now that have a nuclear weapon. Then
- 15:56Speaker 4: we did the attack with a B two bombers and
- 15:58Speaker 4: we stopped him from having nuclear Now we had a
- 16:02Speaker 4: bone them up again, and we will probably I think
- 16:07Speaker 4: we'll make a deal with them. I'm pretty sure, but
- 16:09Speaker 4: this possible.
- 16:10Speaker 1: We won't going well, but you never know, because we
- 16:13Speaker 1: negotiate with them, we have to blow them up. Maybe
- 16:15Speaker 1: that's why they don't want to negotiate with you. You
- 16:17Speaker 1: might have thought of that before you got into a
- 16:19Speaker 1: war like this and you bomb them twice under the
- 16:21Speaker 1: cover of diplomacy. By the way, meanwhile, in Iran, it's
- 16:24Speaker 1: not like many of their critical infrastructure isn't being hit
- 16:27Speaker 1: the here we go. Let's put these up here on
- 16:29Speaker 1: the screen. This is the steel plants which apparently have
- 16:31Speaker 1: just been absolutely obliterated. Allegedly these were by Israeli strikes,
- 16:35Speaker 1: although of course Israeli US strikes. Who cares. We're in
- 16:38Speaker 1: this war together. We're going to get the damage no
- 16:40Speaker 1: matter what. But you can see very clearly that multiple
- 16:43Speaker 1: critical infrastructure sites in Iran were struck. Meanwhile, let's put
- 16:47Speaker 1: a five up here on the screen. This is about
- 16:51Speaker 1: the escalation that's been happening on the ground despite much
- 16:54Speaker 1: of what's being talked about in Washington with the US
- 16:57Speaker 1: Israeli war escalates as the talks prove rootless, and as
- 17:00Speaker 1: they explicitly point out in the story, you have not
- 17:04Speaker 1: only all of this damage at the steel you also
- 17:08Speaker 1: had one of the largest aluminum producers in the Emirates
- 17:11Speaker 1: that was actually got hit for retaliation after strikes that
- 17:14Speaker 1: are happening in Iran. Iranian officials said that a university
- 17:17Speaker 1: in Tehran and another in Isfahan were struck over the weekend,
- 17:20Speaker 1: as well as a water reservoir in one of Iran's
- 17:23Speaker 1: distant provinces. The official was quoted in Iranian media saying, quote,
- 17:28Speaker 1: there is no shortage of water currently in the province.
- 17:31Speaker 1: You also had the strike on the print Sultan base,
- 17:35Speaker 1: the strike of the E three surveillance aircraft that's literally
- 17:38Speaker 1: a three hundred million dollar aircraft, you know, in terms
- 17:41Speaker 1: of the losses for us. So there has been a
- 17:43Speaker 1: lot of actually escalation that's happened under the cover of
- 17:47Speaker 1: these alleged future strikes that may come in the future.
- 17:50Speaker 1: We should not pretend that we should really not pretend
- 17:54Speaker 1: in any way that what's happened here has not actually
- 17:57Speaker 1: that what they've been threatening is not already happening at
- 17:59Speaker 1: a lot over level. Now, we haven't taken out oil
- 18:01Speaker 1: infrastructure yet, we haven't taken out the power generational that
- 18:05Speaker 1: we did hit one power generational plant earlier in the war,
- 18:07Speaker 1: or at least the Israelis did steel plants. So for them,
- 18:11Speaker 1: like they're like, look, you keep threatening this stuff, you're
- 18:13Speaker 1: actually kind of already doing it. And whether it's you
- 18:16Speaker 1: or Israel, we're taking the damage no matter what. So
- 18:18Speaker 1: we have to inflict the damage in the only way
- 18:20Speaker 1: that we know possible.
- 18:21Speaker 2: Yeah, and it increasingly seems too that as you know,
- 18:25Speaker 2: the initial I guess hopium that Okay, we'll just take
- 18:28Speaker 2: out the iotolin some military assets and the regime will fall.
- 18:31Speaker 2: And you know, the people arribe blah blah blah, whatever
- 18:34Speaker 2: delusion was sold to to Trump. When that fell apart,
- 18:38Speaker 2: you increasingly have civilian infrastructure which is being targeted again
- 18:41Speaker 2: and again by the Americans and the Israelis. There's thousands
- 18:45Speaker 2: of civilian sites that have been hit at this point.
- 18:48Speaker 2: Hospitals in particular have been targeted. What does that remind
- 18:51Speaker 2: you of? And this is the way, you know, this
- 18:53Speaker 2: is the way Israel operates. And now we are operating
- 18:56Speaker 2: together with Israel, and obviously we you know, back them
- 18:58Speaker 2: fully throughout the as a genocide. Once the initial military
- 19:03Speaker 2: objective failed and the attacks there failed to achieve the
- 19:06Speaker 2: strategic objective, then the idea becomes the daha doctor and
- 19:10Speaker 2: where it's like, okay, well, let's just make it brutal
- 19:13Speaker 2: as possible for civilians, you know, turn the power off
- 19:16Speaker 2: and attack their schools, and attack their homes and attack
- 19:19Speaker 2: the hospitals, et cetera, and hope maybe that causes them
- 19:22Speaker 2: to turn on the war and put pressure on the regime.
- 19:25Speaker 2: We seem to be very much in that phase of
- 19:27Speaker 2: the war. There was a recent report by BBC Verify.
- 19:31Speaker 2: New York Times then backed it up about one of
- 19:33Speaker 2: the early, however, strikes within Iran. We talked, of course
- 19:38Speaker 2: about the monob Girls' school where a Tomahawk missile decimated
- 19:42Speaker 2: that school, killed one hundred and sixty eight young girls
- 19:45Speaker 2: and you know, over a dozen teachers as well. There
- 19:48Speaker 2: was another missile that turns out to be like this
- 19:51Speaker 2: new high tech precision missile that hit a sports complex
- 19:56Speaker 2: and an adjacent elementary school also in the early day
- 20:00Speaker 2: of the war, that has also been to have was
- 20:03Speaker 2: confirmed by BBC verified to have come from US. Let's
- 20:06Speaker 2: go ahead and take a listen to a little bit
- 20:07Speaker 2: of their reporting.
- 20:08Speaker 5: There are at least two strikes on Lammad, a town
- 20:11Speaker 5: in the south of Iran. One was on a residential street,
- 20:13Speaker 5: which is where we can see the missile. Another strike
- 20:16Speaker 5: hit a community sports hall where state media report children
- 20:19Speaker 5: were playing volleyball. Its intended target may have been an
- 20:22Speaker 5: Irainian military base next door, but it appears undamaged in
- 20:25Speaker 5: Tessallae imagery. According to multiple Iranian state media outlets, four
- 20:29Speaker 5: children were among those killed that day, including twelve year
- 20:32Speaker 5: old Alhamzairi, an avid volleyball player. The youngest victim was
- 20:35Speaker 5: reportedly two years old. Footage we verified of the aftermath
- 20:39Speaker 5: of the sports hall strike shows the entire side of
- 20:41Speaker 5: the building blackened. Damage can also be seen on the roof,
- 20:44Speaker 5: with blast fragments in the surrounding area. According to experts,
- 20:47Speaker 5: the weapon most likely used on the residential street was
- 20:50Speaker 5: a US precision striking style. It's also known as a prism.
- 20:54Speaker 5: It can reach targets of up to five hundred kilometers away.
- 20:57Speaker 5: This war marks what's believed to be the first time
- 20:59Speaker 5: this weapon has been used by the US military. That's
- 21:01Speaker 5: according to the Department of Defense. We asked the US
- 21:04Speaker 5: why used a prison in a civilian area, but they
- 21:06Speaker 5: declined to comment. America's most senior officer praised his troop's
- 21:10Speaker 5: use of the system on the thirteenth of March.
- 21:12Speaker 2: In just the first thirteen days of this operation, our
- 21:15Speaker 2: artillery forces have made history.
- 21:18Speaker 6: They fired the first precision strike missiles ever used in combat.
- 21:22Speaker 2: So more children here killed by our missiles. This one, apparently,
- 21:25Speaker 2: this new fancy, high tech missile, in its debut, murdered
- 21:29Speaker 2: some children while they were playing sports at the same time, sager,
- 21:32Speaker 2: we're getting on lisbout A seven up on the screen.
- 21:34Speaker 2: We're getting more reporting about. There was all sorts of
- 21:38Speaker 2: happy talk about Iran's missile arsenal is being destroyed and
- 21:42Speaker 2: their launcher capacities being decimated.
- 21:45Speaker 3: Well, now we got this information.
- 21:47Speaker 2: US intelligence has determined just thirty three percent roughly of
- 21:50Speaker 2: Iran's missile arsenal has been destroyed in the as the
- 21:53Speaker 2: Iran War nears its one marth month mark. This is
- 21:57Speaker 2: per Reuter's details include the intelligence assessments. Iran still has
- 22:01Speaker 2: significant missile inventory. I think we're seeing that every day.
- 22:04Speaker 2: The status of around another third is less clear, but
- 22:08Speaker 2: ballmings likely damage destroyed or buried those missiles in underground
- 22:12Speaker 2: tunnels and bunkers. Sources say US intelligence was similar for
- 22:15Speaker 2: Iran's drone capability as well. Obviously that's highly significant, and
- 22:19Speaker 2: Iran is expected to recover some buried or damaged missiles
- 22:23Speaker 2: once fighting stops.
- 22:24Speaker 3: Tomorrow is the one month mark of the war.
- 22:27Speaker 2: So all that happy talk about, how you know, don't worry,
- 22:30Speaker 2: our interceptor stockpile is going to outlast them. We're destroying them.
- 22:33Speaker 2: Trump said that they've been obliterated. He won victory is ours.
- 22:37Speaker 2: Blah blah blah. They still have two thirds of their
- 22:40Speaker 2: missile arsenal, they're intact at least potent.
- 22:43Speaker 1: Yeah, they've only been able to confirm some thirty three percent.
- 22:45Speaker 1: And also look in terms of the strikes, the number
- 22:47Speaker 1: of the strikes from the Iranians is coming down. But
- 22:50Speaker 1: because they've worn out all of the interceptors, Israel and
- 22:53Speaker 1: the United States clearly are now having to ration. If
- 22:55Speaker 1: they don't ration, then they'll have to pull it from
- 22:57Speaker 1: every place on the globe and we'll be out of
- 22:59Speaker 1: them within at least six months. So you could see
- 23:02Speaker 1: this is a huge problem. Whenever you're losing three hundred
- 23:04Speaker 1: million dollar aircraft, you're using three hundred million dollar aircraft,
- 23:08Speaker 1: twelve US soldiers who are all wounded, two of them
- 23:11Speaker 1: seriously who are wounded. On top of that, you have
- 23:15Speaker 1: all of the strikes on the air bases. Israel has
- 23:18Speaker 1: been getting pounded day after day. The IDF is basically
- 23:21Speaker 1: all confirmed that they've had d ration a lot of
- 23:23Speaker 1: the missiles that or their interceptor missiles. As I told
- 23:26Speaker 1: everybody the last time, in the first sixteen days of
- 23:29Speaker 1: the war, if they fired on that same pace, they
- 23:32Speaker 1: would have run out two days ago for their best interceptors.
- 23:35Speaker 1: And then the US where in the first sixteen the
- 23:38Speaker 1: projection run date is I think April sixteenth, before we're
- 23:42Speaker 1: completely dry. So you have to ration. There's just no
- 23:44Speaker 1: other way around it, and it takes years to build
- 23:47Speaker 1: all these back. For example, let's go ahead and put
- 23:49Speaker 1: the A eight up here on the screen. The Tomahawk
- 23:51Speaker 1: missile probably the most beloved piece of military tech by
- 23:56Speaker 1: every president since, like Bill Clinton. It's great. You can
- 23:58Speaker 1: fire it from anywhere, you can hit a target thousands
- 24:01Speaker 1: of miles away. You don't actually put any troops on
- 24:03Speaker 1: the ground. You can send a message. Right. It makes
- 24:05Speaker 1: us feel big and tough and strong, and they're super
- 24:07Speaker 1: precision and they work well. Not to mention though that
- 24:10Speaker 1: actually this was used on the very first day of
- 24:12Speaker 1: the war and you know, hit the girls school. But
- 24:14Speaker 1: the US has now fired some eight hundred and fifty
- 24:18Speaker 1: Tomhawk missiles. This is from the Washington Post quote raising
- 24:21Speaker 1: concerns about the weapons limited supply. Now we were only
- 24:25Speaker 1: even technically I think, on the books to get fifty
- 24:29Speaker 1: seven as of last year in the defense budget. So
- 24:33Speaker 1: eight hundred and fifty in a month fifty seven in
- 24:36Speaker 1: the last year. What's the math on that one? I mean,
- 24:39Speaker 1: just what is that years of the backlog? Allegedly there's
- 24:42Speaker 1: some ability in the supply chain to actually crank these
- 24:45Speaker 1: out more, but there's only one facility I think it's
- 24:47Speaker 1: in Arizona that even makes all of the missiles, a
- 24:50Speaker 1: lot of them are you know, it's by hand. It's
- 24:52Speaker 1: extremely complex, extremely expensive to and what you can see
- 24:56Speaker 1: is that this leaves you in a very difficult posture
- 25:00Speaker 1: where now, if something else kicks off, what do you do?
- 25:03Speaker 1: Now we're really have to ration, Like we're already rationing
- 25:05Speaker 1: here in war. Everyone talks about China, Oh, China and China,
- 25:08Speaker 1: Oh they're you know, China's you know, if you play
- 25:10Speaker 1: some ninety chests about how they're taking all these hits.
- 25:13Speaker 1: What are you talking about? You got E three down.
- 25:15Speaker 1: China's like just like so they can't protect a need three.
- 25:18Speaker 1: They're still playing Russian tactics. You got all these Tomahawk missiles,
- 25:21Speaker 1: You have the interceptors that have been pulled out of
- 25:23Speaker 1: South Korea? Do you know what happens? We're gonna talk
- 25:25Speaker 1: about this later. The South Korean president is telling people
- 25:27Speaker 1: to take shorter showers. That's how bad things are in
- 25:30Speaker 1: a Can you imagine if an American president had to tell, hey, everybody,
- 25:33Speaker 1: you need to shower less the tie. I think the
- 25:35Speaker 1: tie president is like wearing short sleeves and he's like, listen,
- 25:38Speaker 1: we're all gonna have to do a like we're gonna
- 25:39Speaker 1: have live with the least air conditioning as we go
- 25:41Speaker 1: into the summer. That's the reality already in Asia. So
- 25:45Speaker 1: that could be coming. And that's what life looks like
- 25:47Speaker 1: whenever you're threatening the economies. I was looking yesterday the
- 25:51Speaker 1: Japanese open on their market, which the NIK two twenty
- 25:54Speaker 1: five was down by like five percent on the open.
- 25:56Speaker 1: They're gettet hammered over there. And so all of this
- 26:00Speaker 1: is dramatically weaking any potential US force posture for the
- 26:03Speaker 1: stuff that actually matters to us, like the chips. We're
- 26:06Speaker 1: going to talk later. Helium is down thirty forty percent already,
- 26:11Speaker 1: semiconductors orders being canceled. They're like, listen, we don't have
- 26:14Speaker 1: the capacity. You've got all of the gas and the
- 26:17Speaker 1: energy which powers all of our homes. LNG prices oil
- 26:21Speaker 1: natural gap like the spot price on those trading up
- 26:24Speaker 1: jet fuel two hundred dollars a barrel in Singapore as
- 26:27Speaker 1: of today. If you want to fly anywhere, and if
- 26:30Speaker 1: you don't want to risk flying through the Gulf and
- 26:32Speaker 1: getting hit by a stray Iranian missile this summer, good luck. Seriously,
- 26:36Speaker 1: I mean it's it's thousands of dollars of what all
- 26:39Speaker 1: of this is going to look like. So it's bad.
- 26:41Speaker 1: And then final thing here is the Hoothies, which is
- 26:44Speaker 1: what would really send this to the stratosphere, because what
- 26:48Speaker 1: we have right now is the situation where the streets
- 26:50Speaker 1: of more Moves are closed, but the Red Sea remains
- 26:53Speaker 1: relatively open. We've seen one strike there, but we have
- 26:56Speaker 1: not seen a potent, sustained campaign. Well, the Hoothies are
- 26:59Speaker 1: now declared that not only are they entering the war,
- 27:01Speaker 1: let's put a nine and take a listen here from
- 27:04Speaker 1: Al Jazeera about who they's official declaration that they are
- 27:07Speaker 1: in it with only initial strikes yet so far on
- 27:10Speaker 1: Israel potentially holding back some of the strikes that they
- 27:13Speaker 1: need to to fully close and choke off all of
- 27:15Speaker 1: the world's oil from the Middle East. Let's take a listen.
- 27:18Speaker 7: We've been reporting Yemmens Hothies have joined the conflict in
- 27:21Speaker 7: the Middle East. Well, the group says it launched a
- 27:24Speaker 7: second attack on Israel and that it will launch many
- 27:27Speaker 7: more strikes in the coming days.
- 27:31Speaker 8: Do in response to the enemy's crimes on our people
- 27:35Speaker 8: and our countries, and in support of the freedom of
- 27:37Speaker 8: the people. Will continue, with the grace of God, to
- 27:41Speaker 8: carry out military operations in the coming days until the
- 27:44Speaker 8: enemy stops its hostilities and aggressions.
- 27:47Speaker 1: So you can see that declaration they're saying and willing
- 27:50Speaker 1: to be able to get into the war. It will
- 27:52Speaker 1: completely choke off Saudi Arabia, and that would easily send
- 27:55Speaker 1: oil to two hundred dollars a barrel, that's eight dollars
- 27:58Speaker 1: a gallon.
- 27:59Speaker 2: And it also demonstras that Iran is not at the
- 28:02Speaker 2: top of like there's many more things that they could do.
- 28:04Speaker 2: And the analysis I saws that they've probably held back on,
- 28:07Speaker 2: you know, asking the Hoho Thies to get fully involved
- 28:10Speaker 2: or close off the Babelmandab straight there in the Red
- 28:14Speaker 2: Sea is because that could potentially fully bring Saudi Arabia
- 28:18Speaker 2: into the war. And I mean it's just a very
- 28:20Speaker 2: significant escalation. So there are still tools in their toolkit
- 28:26Speaker 2: that they could deploy and Apparently they have you know,
- 28:30Speaker 2: the missile and the drone capacity to continue to cause
- 28:33Speaker 2: a lot of damage and problems and really squeeze the
- 28:35Speaker 2: global economy until until we squale and last piece to
- 28:40Speaker 2: put up her on the screen, because this speaks to
- 28:42Speaker 2: that potential escalation chain and their continued capability. Here you
- 28:47Speaker 2: had an Iranian strike hit a service building at a
- 28:50Speaker 2: Kuwaiti power and water desalination facility, and this underscores you know.
- 28:56Speaker 3: Those golf are up states.
- 28:57Speaker 2: We've talked about this before, very vulnerable in terms of
- 29:00Speaker 2: the you know, the infrastructure that they rely on for
- 29:03Speaker 2: the very basics of life, for water and for food.
- 29:06Speaker 2: So you know this is these are the sort of
- 29:09Speaker 2: actions that they have the capability of taking and can
- 29:12Speaker 2: really cause a devastating blow for these golf air regimes
- 29:18Speaker 2: in particular.
- 29:18Speaker 1: This is what I mean. Yeah, this is what it
- 29:20Speaker 1: all looks like. Like everything the table is set. And clearly,
- 29:24Speaker 1: if we could destroy and eliminate all Iranian missiles, we
- 29:28Speaker 1: would have already done it, and they already claimed that
- 29:30Speaker 1: we did ninety five percent. If they can still take out,
- 29:32Speaker 1: if they're doubling the anion of missis they'll strike able
- 29:35Speaker 1: to fire in a single week as compared to last week.
- 29:38Speaker 1: If they have the capability still, I mean, look, it's
- 29:40Speaker 1: their country. You can at the end of the day,
- 29:42Speaker 1: how many times we're going to learn this about the
- 29:43Speaker 1: air campaign. And even with Gaza, Gaza was what it's
- 29:47Speaker 1: a tiny strip of land. And even with the full
- 29:50Speaker 1: IDF coming in occupying the North, they literally leveled what
- 29:53Speaker 1: every building in the north like to the ground. They
- 29:56Speaker 1: still had hamas and tunnels and guns, and that's, you know,
- 30:00Speaker 1: a tiny spit of land. Compare that to Iran's gigantic
- 30:04Speaker 1: country ballistic missiles control over the streets of Hormuz without
- 30:07Speaker 1: full blown occupation, you can basically never guarantee that something's
- 30:10Speaker 1: not going to be flying around and hitting targets. And
- 30:13Speaker 1: especially they've got the technology, they have the cost advantage
- 30:15Speaker 1: on their side. Don't forget what treat to Parsi said,
- 30:18Speaker 1: which has now been confirmed. Iran is earning more today
- 30:21Speaker 1: from oil than they ever have before, ever before. They
- 30:24Speaker 1: are more cash flush right now than ever, and the
- 30:28Speaker 1: Kremlin appears to be sending them more drones, more technology,
- 30:32Speaker 1: and it's very obvious that at least some of their
- 30:34Speaker 1: targeting information is either coming from China or Russia. With
- 30:37Speaker 1: advanced satellites and precision, you don't just take out an
- 30:39Speaker 1: E three just by yourself. Yeah, you think about the
- 30:42Speaker 1: level of empire that has to be behind you. So look,
- 30:46Speaker 1: the stage is set, and it's potentially set for a
- 30:49Speaker 1: ground troop invasion. So let's get to it. Turning down
- 30:54Speaker 1: to ground troops. How is this going to end? Well,
- 30:56Speaker 1: all signs point to a potential ground invasion absence some serious,
- 31:00Speaker 1: you know, last minute peace deal, which who knows if
- 31:02Speaker 1: we could even trust that. But let's go and put
- 31:04Speaker 1: this up here on the screen, breaking last night from
- 31:06Speaker 1: the Wall Street Journal, something that anybody's been watching the
- 31:09Speaker 1: show will be very well familiar with. Trump is weighing
- 31:12Speaker 1: military operations to extract Iran's uranium. So if we dig
- 31:16Speaker 1: down into it, it is unfortunately the craziest potential ground
- 31:20Speaker 1: operation plan. But what it would entail is that it
- 31:23Speaker 1: would require some US forces to go deep inside of
- 31:27Speaker 1: Iran and extract nearly one thousand pounds of uranium. That
- 31:32Speaker 1: would likely put the American forces inside the country for
- 31:35Speaker 1: days or longer. So let's think about it just logistically,
- 31:38Speaker 1: at a very basic level, you would have to deploy
- 31:41Speaker 1: to multiple of these sites and potentially unknown sites which
- 31:45Speaker 1: have been buried under rubble by US bombers earlier. You
- 31:49Speaker 1: have specially trained special operators who have actually trained for
- 31:53Speaker 1: years for some like radioactive material recovery, so they would
- 31:57Speaker 1: be the tip of the spear. That would be their
- 31:58Speaker 1: job to go in to should get it, to secure it. Now,
- 32:01Speaker 1: to secure them, you would actually need multiple ground forces
- 32:05Speaker 1: who are around them to set a perimeter to make
- 32:07Speaker 1: sure that ground operators would not have Iranian forces not
- 32:10Speaker 1: be able to come swarm and to capture them or
- 32:12Speaker 1: kill them. Then he would also need all this air
- 32:15Speaker 1: power and potential interceptors and all this other stuff that's
- 32:17Speaker 1: happening to make sure that drones and other things that
- 32:20Speaker 1: are flying suicide drone missile is not being flown and
- 32:22Speaker 1: shot at the country. Not to mention whoever even lives
- 32:25Speaker 1: in the area itself, it would be a absolute nightmare. Now,
- 32:29Speaker 1: why would Trump even consider this? And again, if you've
- 32:31Speaker 1: been watching, you need to really understand the strategic logic
- 32:34Speaker 1: from his brain. He needs desperately an off ramp. If
- 32:38Speaker 1: he paid attention, did you notice that in that first
- 32:40Speaker 1: truth about the horm moves straight he actually made it
- 32:43Speaker 1: open to the idea of maybe we could just have
- 32:46Speaker 1: a deal and have it not deal with the straits
- 32:48Speaker 1: of horm moves. His secretary, Rubio is apparently on Good
- 32:51Speaker 1: Morning America right now as you and I are speaking,
- 32:53Speaker 1: and he was like, well, other countries get more out
- 32:55Speaker 1: of it. So they're trying to set the table for
- 32:57Speaker 1: a potential declare victory and then leave. Now, obviously oil
- 33:00Speaker 1: is a global commodity, so it doesn't really matter. We
- 33:03Speaker 1: could potentially see an export band, but I don't think
- 33:05Speaker 1: it's realistic. It would eventually still make prices go sky high.
- 33:10Speaker 1: What we are seeing is in their mind they need
- 33:13Speaker 1: an off ramp. They need to be able to declare victory.
- 33:16Speaker 1: The only real way to declare victory is to take
- 33:18Speaker 1: away the uranium. And allegedly this is all about nuclear weapons,
- 33:21Speaker 1: even though it's all fake, it's nonsense. So this is
- 33:24Speaker 1: the mission in his mind, even though it's the most risky,
- 33:27Speaker 1: the one that would actually deliver his mission accomplished moment
- 33:30Speaker 1: and actually try and extrication from the conflict. Now, it
- 33:33Speaker 1: won't get us out at the end of the day.
- 33:34Speaker 1: We had all these bases, we've got all the golf.
- 33:37Speaker 1: It's not like Iran is just going to sit there
- 33:38Speaker 1: and they're going to take it. This is their only
- 33:40Speaker 1: latent nuclear deterrent that they've had, which is why they
- 33:43Speaker 1: won't give it up. I don't blame them. I wouldn't either, write.
- 33:45Speaker 1: So I used to look what Goadafi look at North Korea?
- 33:48Speaker 1: Which one would you rather be? So you could see
- 33:50Speaker 1: very clearly that they know they're coming. There's no element
- 33:53Speaker 1: of surprise really about what this potential could look like.
- 33:56Speaker 1: And this is the highest, most risky one, which would
- 34:00Speaker 1: easily require multiple days on the ground, and that's if
- 34:03Speaker 1: everything goes well, and it never goes well.
- 34:04Speaker 2: One of the things that I want to talk to
- 34:07Speaker 2: Colonel Wilkerson about is he's been sounding the alarm that
- 34:10Speaker 2: the decision in Iran could have already been made to
- 34:12Speaker 2: race to a bomb, and that he believes as possible
- 34:15Speaker 2: for them to achieve that in a way that would
- 34:17Speaker 2: be undetectable, and then imagine the way that that changes
- 34:20Speaker 2: the game. I mean, it's hard for me to wrap
- 34:22Speaker 2: my head around, but just to underscore the insanity of
- 34:27Speaker 2: what this mission that's being contemplated here would look like,
- 34:31Speaker 2: let me read to you from this Wall Street Journal
- 34:32Speaker 2: piece about exactly what this mission would entail. It says
- 34:36Speaker 2: any move to seize the Uranian by force would be
- 34:39Speaker 2: complex and dangerous. This is according to former US military
- 34:42Speaker 2: officers and experts. The potential operation, which would likely trigger
- 34:46Speaker 2: retaliation from Iran, could also lengthen the war well beyond
- 34:50Speaker 2: the four to six week time frame Trump's team has
- 34:52Speaker 2: publicly outlined. So here's what would happen. Teams of US
- 34:55Speaker 2: forces would need to fly to the sites likely under
- 34:58Speaker 2: fire from Iranian service to air missiles and drones. Once
- 35:01Speaker 2: on site, combat troops would need to secure perimeters so
- 35:04Speaker 2: that engineers with excavating equipment could search through debris and
- 35:09Speaker 2: check for mines and movie traps.
- 35:11Speaker 3: The extraction of.
- 35:11Speaker 2: The material would likely need to be conducted by an
- 35:13Speaker 2: elite special operations team that was what Soccer was speaking to,
- 35:17Speaker 2: especially trained to remove radioactive material from a conflict zone.
- 35:20Speaker 2: The highly enrituranium is likely contained in forty to fifty
- 35:24Speaker 2: special cylinders that resemble scuba tanks. They would need to
- 35:28Speaker 2: be put into transportation casks to protect against accidents. That's
- 35:32Speaker 2: the other aspect of all of this is potential nuclear
- 35:35Speaker 2: fallout that could fill several trucks, said an expert on
- 35:38Speaker 2: this Unless an airfield was available, a makeshift airfield would
- 35:43Speaker 2: need to be set up to bring equipment in and
- 35:45Speaker 2: take the nuclear material out. The entire operation would take
- 35:49Speaker 2: days or even a week to complete. This is not
- 35:52Speaker 2: like going in and snatching the duro and getting out.
- 35:54Speaker 2: This would take You have to set up a makeshift airfield,
- 35:57Speaker 2: secure a perimeter, go in under fire, send your team
- 36:01Speaker 2: in with excavators, find this material loaded on trucks, get
- 36:04Speaker 2: it onto these aircraft, and get it out, you know,
- 36:07Speaker 2: again under fire. It says US troops could avoid such
- 36:11Speaker 2: a dangerous operation if Aron agreed to hand over its
- 36:14Speaker 2: uranium as part of a peace settlement. But you know,
- 36:17Speaker 2: doesn't look like we're headed in that direction whatsoever, Like
- 36:19Speaker 2: the type of peace settlement that was on the table
- 36:23Speaker 2: before we decided to launch this absolutely insane and disastrous war.
- 36:26Speaker 1: Yeah, can we put the next element, guys the New
- 36:29Speaker 1: York Times hearsheet I asked for this morning, just to
- 36:31Speaker 1: underscore how you already have many of these pieces that
- 36:35Speaker 1: are currently in place. US Special Operations forces have been
- 36:38Speaker 1: sent to the Middle East in the hundreds just in
- 36:41Speaker 1: the last week or so that have now arrived, quote,
- 36:44Speaker 1: several hundred US Special Operator's Force have arrived, joining thousands
- 36:47Speaker 1: of Marines, Army paratroopers in a deployment meant to give
- 36:52Speaker 1: President Trump additional options. The commandos, including Army rangers and
- 36:56Speaker 1: Navy seals, have not yet been assigned specific missions, but
- 37:00Speaker 1: as specialized ground troops, they could deploy to help safeguard
- 37:02Speaker 1: the Straight or they could be deployed to try and
- 37:05Speaker 1: seize carg Island, or of course used in a mission
- 37:08Speaker 1: aimed at Iran's highly enriched uranium at the Isfahan nuclear site.
- 37:12Speaker 1: So these commandos join twenty five hundred Marines, another twenty
- 37:17Speaker 1: five hundred sailors who just arrived in the region as
- 37:19Speaker 1: of a couple of days ago. All together, there are
- 37:22Speaker 1: now fifty thousand American troops in the Middle East, roughly
- 37:26Speaker 1: ten thousand more than normal. You have all of these
- 37:29Speaker 1: elite special operators on top of remember the eighty second
- 37:33Speaker 1: Airborne which was on its way. This just I mean,
- 37:36Speaker 1: you have to follow the forces of everything that following
- 37:40Speaker 1: the actual military assets in Venezuela ultimately was the only
- 37:45Speaker 1: thing that proved like the direction of where things are going.
- 37:48Speaker 1: For all the talk of diplomacy and all that, it
- 37:50Speaker 1: didn't matter. In June of twenty twenty five, the people
- 37:54Speaker 1: who were looking at you know, all of the assets
- 37:57Speaker 1: that were being put into place, even while Trump was
- 37:59Speaker 1: a negotiating guess what they were proven correct. And then
- 38:03Speaker 1: finally one month ago, almost exactly from when this launch,
- 38:06Speaker 1: when this war launch, what did we see is that
- 38:09Speaker 1: at the end of the day, all the talks at
- 38:11Speaker 1: the you know, the carriers on the way, the missile,
- 38:14Speaker 1: everything else with the basis, that's really what proved to
- 38:17Speaker 1: actually tell it. Now, we don't know where they're going
- 38:19Speaker 1: to hit. They could hit something else. But you also
- 38:21Speaker 1: have a little bit of a view into Donald Trump's logic.
- 38:23Speaker 1: Let's put be one up here on the screen.
- 38:25Speaker 8: This is what he.
- 38:26Speaker 1: Tweeted last night. Watch Mark Levin interview of the brilliant
- 38:29Speaker 1: Mark Teeson tonight at eight pm on Fox News. So
- 38:33Speaker 1: what did Mark Levin actually say on Fox News. Let's
- 38:36Speaker 1: take a listen.
- 38:37Speaker 9: Troops on the ground. He said, no troops on the ground.
- 38:42Speaker 9: I don't remember that in any campaign speech either. But
- 38:45Speaker 9: why would we need troops on the ground. Well, there's
- 38:48Speaker 9: a lot of reasons, and we wouldn't need three hundred
- 38:51Speaker 9: thousand of them. It's this uranium too. We've got to
- 38:56Speaker 9: get the uranium. If he cannot destroyed, if it cannot
- 39:02Speaker 9: be altered, we got.
- 39:04Speaker 1: To get it.
- 39:05Speaker 9: For the reason I just said, you can make dirty bombs.
- 39:10Speaker 9: You know, over time, you can still make sophisticated missiles.
- 39:14Speaker 9: So you need to get to the uranium. That's why
- 39:19Speaker 9: I'm reading in the paper. We're talking about the eighty
- 39:21Speaker 9: second Airborne. We're talking about these very special forces and
- 39:24Speaker 9: the various military services and so forth. He's not talking
- 39:27Speaker 9: about sending regular army and infantry in by the hundreds
- 39:32Speaker 9: of thousands. The men he's talking about. The units he's
- 39:37Speaker 9: talking about, they are specialized. And you know what else,
- 39:40Speaker 9: I remember from my days in the regular administration, many
- 39:43Speaker 9: of them are trained for a moment like this, to
- 39:47Speaker 9: try and secure enriched uranium. Many have been trained for
- 39:53Speaker 9: moments like this.
- 39:56Speaker 3: Great, there you go.
- 39:58Speaker 1: I prompt us watch it. This is what Yeah.
- 40:00Speaker 2: And I think I don't think Trump actually knows what
- 40:04Speaker 2: he's going to do, but there is I think you're
- 40:07Speaker 2: correct that a lot of logic, of Trumpian logic, logic
- 40:12Speaker 2: pushes in the direction of this frankly insane mission. To
- 40:16Speaker 2: try to seize the nuclear material because he's bored with
- 40:19Speaker 2: this war. He doesn't want to do it anymore. He
- 40:21Speaker 2: wants to focus on the midterms or his ballroom or whatever.
- 40:25Speaker 3: He's sort of sick of the whole thing.
- 40:26Speaker 2: Well, what is going to allow you to sort of,
- 40:29Speaker 2: you know, do the mission accomplished? Okay, we achieved our
- 40:31Speaker 2: objector we're out of here, carg Island, any of these
- 40:34Speaker 2: other islands they're talking about. That doesn't that actually entrenches
- 40:37Speaker 2: you there for a long time, which Trump himself has admitted,
- 40:40Speaker 2: I mean indefinitely, I don't know. And obviously also that
- 40:43Speaker 2: is sort of its own suicide mission for different reasons.
- 40:46Speaker 2: But you know, he's he's a big gambler. He's not
- 40:49Speaker 2: afraid of taking insane risks. He's done it throughout his career,
- 40:52Speaker 2: including his business career. He has a sense that he
- 40:54Speaker 2: always lands on his feet, and in many ways he's
- 40:56Speaker 2: been right about that. This may be the you know,
- 40:59Speaker 2: the time when reality catches up. I also just have
- 41:02Speaker 2: to note, like for the guy who ran from the
- 41:05Speaker 2: beginning against the neocons blah blah blah to now be
- 41:08Speaker 2: shouting out a Fox News segment with Mark Levin and
- 41:11Speaker 2: Mark Teeson. Do you guys know who Mark Tison is.
- 41:14Speaker 1: I do.
- 41:14Speaker 2: He's a speech writer for Donald Rumsfeld and then for
- 41:18Speaker 2: George W. Bush, and he wrote a whole book about
- 41:21Speaker 2: defending torture and waterboarding during the War on Terror era.
- 41:26Speaker 2: So these are the people that he now, you know, uplifts,
- 41:29Speaker 2: The very neo cons that he claimed to be so
- 41:31Speaker 2: opposed to are the leading lights at this point.
- 41:34Speaker 1: Yeah, well, you know, it's hate. You hate to see
- 41:38Speaker 1: the people who you read about ran against thought, were dead,
- 41:43Speaker 1: not only resurrected, but now be the people who are
- 41:46Speaker 1: directly pumping you know, at this point though, that's tright,
- 41:50Speaker 1: this is Trump. I'm almost done with this whole. It's
- 41:52Speaker 1: Mark Levin's war Like yeah, well that's true, but at
- 41:55Speaker 1: a certain point like this is Trump. It's Trump, and
- 41:56Speaker 1: that's it. At the end of the day, he's the
- 41:58Speaker 1: guy who wants people to listen to Mark Levin, that's
- 42:00Speaker 1: the guy who's chosen to be in bed with so
- 42:02Speaker 1: be it people like me being all of us, you
- 42:04Speaker 1: to reckon with it. How did this happen? It's very interesting.
- 42:06Speaker 2: Well, it also shows you why this time around, all
- 42:09Speaker 2: the people that got us into this disaster shit.
- 42:11Speaker 3: They need to be out of media.
- 42:13Speaker 2: They need to be shamed, They need to if you know,
- 42:15Speaker 2: if they were criminal acts, they need to be dealt
- 42:17Speaker 2: with because you allow these people to linger around. Next thing,
- 42:19Speaker 2: you know, it's you know, twenty thirty, and we're getting
- 42:21Speaker 2: the same bullshit about how we got to go to
- 42:23Speaker 2: war with Turkey or whatever.
- 42:24Speaker 1: You know that's coming. Yeah, we'll eventually get to that.
- 42:26Speaker 1: You'll see gasping Boomers on life support, like, I know
- 42:30Speaker 1: you were wrong about Iran, but we've got to go
- 42:32Speaker 1: to war against her.
- 42:33Speaker 2: There.
- 42:34Speaker 3: This cannot at this time. It'll be different.
- 42:36Speaker 2: Democracy will flourish, human rights, think of the girls.
- 42:40Speaker 3: We need a gay Pride parade.
- 42:43Speaker 1: Cannot allow Turkey to have a nuclear weapon. Sager, you
- 42:47Speaker 1: just don't get it this time. And by the way,
- 42:49Speaker 1: as we said, put B four up there on the screen.
- 42:52Speaker 1: The US sailor this is from Sentcom. They're openly just
- 42:54Speaker 1: tweeting this stuff out. Sailors and Marines aboard USS Tripoli
- 42:58Speaker 1: have arrived in the US Central Command of Responsibility. So
- 43:01Speaker 1: you've got all of the pictures of all of these
- 43:04Speaker 1: US service members that are now there. Don't forget I
- 43:06Speaker 1: talked earlier about China. China is genuinely weeping as this
- 43:09Speaker 1: amphibious group was taken from the Asia Pacific and sent
- 43:13Speaker 1: directly over here for potential operations. Put B five up
- 43:17Speaker 1: there as well. This actually goes into some of the
- 43:20Speaker 1: operational details of what the influx of a potential seventeen
- 43:24Speaker 1: thousand additional troops could look like, because that's currently being
- 43:28Speaker 1: being floated over at the Pentagon, far short of what
- 43:31Speaker 1: would be needed for a full scale invasion, but could
- 43:34Speaker 1: see strategic territory on the mainland, secure their stockpile, or
- 43:38Speaker 1: take an island. So to set the tone for everyone,
- 43:41Speaker 1: the way that this is going to go about is
- 43:43Speaker 1: like the Vietnam model. What's going to happen is they're
- 43:46Speaker 1: going to say that this is an initial and a
- 43:48Speaker 1: special operation. That's it. It's just we're taking the island,
- 43:51Speaker 1: we're taking the uranium. We're going to stay there as
- 43:53Speaker 1: long as we need to, and then once we get
- 43:55Speaker 1: the uranium, we're going to come out. Well where have
- 43:57Speaker 1: we heard all of that before? Well all in life.
- 44:00Speaker 1: It actually happened during the Vietnam War where in the
- 44:03Speaker 1: very first operation that General Westmoreland was in charge of
- 44:08Speaker 1: he said, there is no situation where Marines will be
- 44:11Speaker 1: directly engaging with the Vietnamese. He literally said that. He said,
- 44:14Speaker 1: we're not here to engage. It was just thirty five hundred,
- 44:17Speaker 1: that's it.
- 44:17Speaker 3: We're supposed to take an airport.
- 44:19Speaker 1: Was not the idea exactly right. See do you see
- 44:21Speaker 1: how everything comes back around the same exact strategic logic.
- 44:25Speaker 1: There is no situation where we US Marines will be
- 44:29Speaker 1: directly engaging with the Vietnamese. That's what he said, And
- 44:32Speaker 1: of course that's what you plan for. And even yesterday
- 44:36Speaker 1: our last show, I remember, they're like Trump wants speedy
- 44:38Speaker 1: end to the conflict. Every wartime leader wants to speedy
- 44:41Speaker 1: end of the conflict. That doesn't mean you get it.
- 44:43Speaker 1: And that's why you don't get into the damn mess,
- 44:45Speaker 1: you know, in the first place. And I just I
- 44:48Speaker 1: cannot see a situation where we at the very least,
- 44:52Speaker 1: and I'm not saying we can't do it, we could
- 44:54Speaker 1: just declare victory and leave. Even then, straights and wore
- 44:57Speaker 1: moves are closed. What are you gonna do? You're gon
- 45:00Speaker 1: your clothes, golf arabs are all getting attacked, the oil refineries,
- 45:04Speaker 1: what the Israelis are just going to stop. I mean,
- 45:05Speaker 1: that's layering on top of all of this. They're going
- 45:08Speaker 1: through it right now. We're going to talk about that
- 45:10Speaker 1: a little bit later. But IDF is collapsing, you guys
- 45:12Speaker 1: cover that. On Friday, they've literally invaded all of Lebanon,
- 45:15Speaker 1: like or half of the entire country. They just expanded
- 45:18Speaker 1: the buffer zone. A million people are being displaced. IDF
- 45:22Speaker 1: nineteen year olds are getting killed left and right in Lebanon.
- 45:25Speaker 1: I mean after their parents died and fought in Lebanon.
- 45:27Speaker 1: Don't forget this is a political crisis in Israel, not
- 45:31Speaker 1: to mention like, look, they're stretched to the brink. They're
- 45:34Speaker 1: fighting in Iran. They're taking ballistic for the small country.
- 45:37Speaker 1: Buyer's a small counctious to size of New Jersey. Imagine
- 45:39Speaker 1: that people there, like I haven't slept in a month,
- 45:42Speaker 1: you know, because we're all under attack.
- 45:44Speaker 2: But yeah, well, I do want to make a point
- 45:48Speaker 2: that I had somebody that made online which I thought
- 45:50Speaker 2: was excellent important by proportion, Israel has invaded and is
- 45:55Speaker 2: attempting to annex a larger portion of Lebanon than Russia
- 45:59Speaker 2: invaded in Ukraine. And I want you to think for
- 46:03Speaker 2: a moment about the very different way those things were
- 46:06Speaker 2: presented in the media. The Western media goes out of
- 46:09Speaker 2: its way to describe Israel's invasion of Lebanon as anything
- 46:15Speaker 2: other than an invasion, and you know, it's guess what, guys,
- 46:19Speaker 2: it's an invasion. It's wrong when Russia does it, it's also
- 46:22Speaker 2: wrong when Israel does it. But in any case, your
- 46:25Speaker 2: point about how, look, the public is on board with
- 46:27Speaker 2: the Iran war.
- 46:28Speaker 3: Don't get us wrong here.
- 46:30Speaker 2: I mean, even with all the polling suggests, even with
- 46:32Speaker 2: having to go in the bomb shelters and losing sleep
- 46:34Speaker 2: and you know, IDs soldiers getting killed and all of that,
- 46:37Speaker 2: they're in for it, Okay, in a much different way
- 46:39Speaker 2: than the US population is. But that doesn't mean there's
- 46:42Speaker 2: not tremendous pressure in terms of the demands on the IDF.
- 46:46Speaker 2: In fact, there's Israeli news outlets that are reporting if
- 46:50Speaker 2: the US puts troops on the ground, Israelis are not
- 46:53Speaker 2: going to like, They're like.
- 46:54Speaker 1: Why would we ever expect that?
- 46:57Speaker 8: Yeah?
- 46:58Speaker 2: Why would they ask for that lives in the war
- 47:01Speaker 2: that they have been for forty years?
- 47:02Speaker 1: Of course?
- 47:03Speaker 2: Yeah, But in any case, I also wanted to play
- 47:06Speaker 2: this last one because you know it speaks to the
- 47:09Speaker 2: political landscape that you know that Trump is operating in
- 47:13Speaker 2: which for all to talk about, you know, the how
- 47:16Speaker 2: MAGA would split if he went to war in Iran,
- 47:19Speaker 2: blah blah blah. Yes, there are more independent aligned influencers
- 47:23Speaker 2: predominantly who are opposed to the Iran war. As we've
- 47:26Speaker 2: discussed here before, the Magabase is all in, and Steve Bannon,
- 47:30Speaker 2: I think emblematic of that is saying, look, if we're
- 47:32Speaker 2: in here now, we need to go for total war.
- 47:35Speaker 2: He's all in on the war effort. So let's take
- 47:38Speaker 2: a listen to that.
- 47:39Speaker 6: If we're going to go to war, let's go to
- 47:41Speaker 6: total war. And what I mean by total war, let's
- 47:44Speaker 6: shut down everybody trading with them, Let's shut down. Let's
- 47:47Speaker 6: go to UAE and said, hey, you got like two
- 47:49Speaker 6: hours to go to Dubai and shut it all down.
- 47:51Speaker 6: The Pirate, COVID, Dubai got to stop. We got to
- 47:54Speaker 6: stop the Arabs. Everybody's playing games. The Israelis are playing
- 47:58Speaker 6: games with us. The Arabs are playing games with the
- 48:00Speaker 6: Europeans are playing games with us. And what are we doing.
- 48:03Speaker 6: We're sending troops over there we got, which is fine.
- 48:06Speaker 6: President Trump needs options in alternatives.
- 48:08Speaker 3: So Bannon Colin for total war.
- 48:11Speaker 1: And this is the logic. This is what always happens. Yeah,
- 48:14Speaker 1: people are bought in. They're like, well, we're in. Like
- 48:17Speaker 1: you just said, you've got Matt Walsh. Look, yeah, I
- 48:20Speaker 1: got my problems from So he's like, hey, none of
- 48:22Speaker 1: the predictions worked out, And what do I see? People
- 48:24Speaker 1: are like, our troops have died, we have to support them.
- 48:27Speaker 1: We have no troube. Oh never heard that. Literally my
- 48:30Speaker 1: lifetime in Iraq, same playbook in Vietnam. This is how
- 48:34Speaker 1: it all starts. I'm not saying that we're gonna end
- 48:36Speaker 1: up with fifty thousand dead and fourteen years of war.
- 48:38Speaker 1: I really hope not. But it's not completely out of
- 48:40Speaker 1: the question because you could easily see we do the
- 48:43Speaker 1: uranium mission, some shit goes real bad. Now what I
- 48:46Speaker 1: mean what Trump is just going to sit there and
- 48:48Speaker 1: take it. Let's say that you have a disastrous strike
- 48:50Speaker 1: and you have dozens of US troops for all again,
- 48:52Speaker 1: there's nothing I want less than any of that. Now
- 48:55Speaker 1: let now what what the people are Professor paplay this
- 48:58Speaker 1: out on our last show. Now you're going to have
- 49:00Speaker 1: the entire book. Now we have to avenge them. Then
- 49:03Speaker 1: we e then something else goes wrong, and it just
- 49:05Speaker 1: spirals and spirals, and you keep going up. And by
- 49:07Speaker 1: the way, the whole time oil continues to go up
- 49:09Speaker 1: to one hundred and forty one hundred and fifty a gallon,
- 49:12Speaker 1: what's going to happen to our society. We're going to
- 49:15Speaker 1: see We're going to see shortages, except this time nobody's
- 49:18Speaker 1: gonna be in lockdown. It's not like they're going to
- 49:20Speaker 1: be demand destruction. It's going to be a supply side
- 49:22Speaker 1: shock that hasn't been seen since. Like the oil crisis,
- 49:25Speaker 1: it will have massive social disruption and that's just here
- 49:29Speaker 1: at home. So it's very much like the last Iran crisis,
- 49:32Speaker 1: the oil shock combined with potential US ground troops all together,
- 49:37Speaker 1: it's like it's genuine poly crisis, which I think sets
- 49:40Speaker 1: us up well for our move to the economy. So
- 49:42Speaker 1: let's get to it. We've got our friends, Soora Amar
- 49:44Speaker 1: standing by, Let's take a listen.