Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 239 - 3/18/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 239 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:37Happy Tuesday, but more importantly, happy March
- 0:41Madness. That's right, March Madness is
- 0:44officially here. We got our warm up acts in with
- 0:47the, of course, the conference tournaments, but now we have the
- 0:50table set. The bracket has been unveiled.
- 0:52Maybe you're working on your brackets here.
- 0:54We'll of course rehash the importance of creating a
- 0:57contrarian bracket, starting from the middle out, picking a
- 0:59different champion than everyone else.
- 1:01Maybe Florida, maybe maybe a team like like Houston because
- 1:05you know, Duke and Auburn are going to get the majority of
- 1:06bets. But we're really actually
- 1:09actually now able to bet on some March Madness because tonight
- 1:12the NCAA Tournament officially begins with the First Four.
- 1:16So the first 4 started, I don't know, I think it was like 2010,
- 1:192011, but just gets a little bit excited because it's just that
- 1:22warm up back that little, a little appetizer before the full
- 1:25bracket gets going in a few days here.
- 1:27But I do have couple First four games for you.
- 1:30I got to play on both games, so looking at Saint Francis,
- 1:33Alabama State and UNC San Diego State got to play in both and
- 1:37then I got to play for you in the NBA.
- 1:39I'm looking at a pretty sharp move here on a side with a
- 1:43pretty notable rest advantage and I'm hoping we're getting a
- 1:45good number here because I am fingers crossed thinking that a
- 1:48very important player might be ruled out tonight because it's
- 1:50the second leg of a back-to-back.
- 1:52So obviously it's all hoops college basketball with March
- 1:55Madness, one NBA play, a three pack overall.
- 1:58You guys know the drill. Let's try to go 2 and one eke
- 2:00out a winning day. Speaking of two and one eking
- 2:03out a winning day, that's exactly what we did last night.
- 2:052 and 1 + 0.86 units. Had a couple of great hits in
- 2:10the NBA. Got a little lucky we're able to
- 2:12cash that Heat Nicks over that buy low over 208 1/2 actually
- 2:16landed actually close 209 1/2. So we really got that low
- 2:20watermark, which is a good value play, but they needed some
- 2:24points in the fourth quarter. They scored 59 total.
- 2:26We're able to cash that over, which is great to see.
- 2:29Heat in the Knicks and then the late night game Spurs, Lakers
- 2:32also got that over over 2/2/29 and 1/2 actually got some CLV
- 2:36there. It closed 231 and flew over as
- 2:39well. So couple good hits in the NBA.
- 2:41One loser was the LA Kings. They had a one nothing lead
- 2:43early. They just kind of you know,
- 2:45coughed it up there late in the third period gave up a goal with
- 2:48I don't know a couple minutes left couldn't get the equalizer,
- 2:51but still guys 2 and 1 + 0.86 units.
- 2:54A good start to our week. Now before we dive into our
- 2:57plays for today with the first four in March madness and the
- 3:00NBA play as well, I just want to remind you that it is a Tuesday.
- 3:03So you know what happens on Tuesdays, we have our college
- 3:06basketball rhythm live stream, which I'm very proud to host.
- 3:10So if you'd like to tune in today, 4:00 Eastern Time, you
- 3:12can just go to my Twitter page at Josh under score Insights and
- 3:16you'll see my little icon logo profile pic.
- 3:19It'll be highlighted. It'll say the stream is in
- 3:21progress, progress. You just click that, come right
- 3:24in, ask any questions. We'll be talking about the first
- 3:26four games for tonight, talking more in depth how to create a
- 3:29contrarian bracket and then really looking at a lot of these
- 3:32first, you know, first round matchups here from a rhythm
- 3:36perspective. Whole point of the live stream
- 3:38is to again get you more acclimated to rhythm rhythm.
- 3:41I've talked about them every day on the pod.
- 3:42They do a incredible job of giving us these AI backed models
- 3:46and predictions for game bets and player props, but there's
- 3:48still questions how to use it to your advantage.
- 3:50So if you ever haven't done it yet and maybe you want to
- 3:53download rhythm or you already have it, but you haven't been
- 3:55able to tune into a live stream, come on in, come on down 4:00 on
- 3:59Twitter. We'll have our college hoops
- 4:01rhythm live stream. So with that being said, March
- 4:05Madness officially here. That's right.
- 4:07It all starts here tonight, guys.
- 4:09We got a couple first four matchups, so I got to play on
- 4:12both. I got some leans, but I have two
- 4:14official bets. So let's start off with the
- 4:16first one here. Early game, 6:40 PM Eastern
- 4:19Time, we got Saint Francis of Pennsylvania against Alabama
- 4:22State. This is the South region first
- 4:24four matchup. Both these teams are 16 seeds
- 4:28kind of lamb to the slaughter, although we have seen a upset
- 4:30here and there. Who was it last year?
- 4:32Was it fairly Dickinson or I forgot who was Saint Peter's?
- 4:35What year was that? Anyway, the winner will play one
- 4:38seed Auburn, whoever wins this game.
- 4:40So let's set the stage. Talk some line movement.
- 4:43This this line is on the move. So hopefully you were able to
- 4:45read my sharp report earlier. Let's break down this one, Saint
- 4:48Francis and Alabama State. So coming into this, we got
- 4:51Saint Francis 16 and 17 on the year.
- 4:55Don't be kind of, you know, overlooking the record, though.
- 4:57Not a great record, but they've won sixth straight and they just
- 4:59beat Central Connecticut 46 to 43.
- 5:02I wish I had the under in that one.
- 5:04To win the Northeast Conference tournament, they want to
- 5:06outright as an 11 1/2 point neutral site dog.
- 5:09Meanwhile, Alabama State, 19 and 15, they've also won sixth
- 5:13straight. They just took down Jackson
- 5:14State 60 to 56 to win the SWAC tournament.
- 5:17They won that game outright as a three-point neutral site dog.
- 5:20So what have you seen across the market here?
- 5:22Well, this game opened Alabama State around a three-point
- 5:26neutral site favorite, and we saw a good move early, respect
- 5:30to money early in terms of laying this number here with
- 5:33Alabama State. So Alabama State went from -3 up
- 5:36to -3 1/2, even got as high as -4 1/2, and that's when we saw
- 5:40some buyback on Saint Francis plus 4 1/2, bringing this line
- 5:44back down to 3 1/2, which is pretty much where it rests right
- 5:46now. Now the bet splits.
- 5:48This makes a difficult handicap. The bet splits in favor of
- 5:52Alabama State at DraftKings. 60% bets, only 57% money.
- 5:56So it's a public play. Alabama State here.
- 5:59But if you actually flip it, Saint Francis has a really good
- 6:02bet split. At Circa, Saint Francis only
- 6:04getting 45% of spread bets, but 78% of spread dollars.
- 6:10You also look at Ken Palm, he has Alabama State winning by
- 6:12just two points. So if you're laying the 3 1/2 or
- 6:16I even see a couple books at -4 Alabama State.
- 6:19Yeah, the line did move toward Alabama State, but there was buy
- 6:21back on Saint Francis. If you're laying a, you know, 3
- 6:241/2 or 4, you know, Ken Palms only got him winning by two, you
- 6:28know, money line. They're like -180 although I
- 6:30don't really want a money line short favorites too much in
- 6:32college because he got the volatility and the upset factor.
- 6:36So I lean a little bit towards Saint Francis, Pennsylvania,
- 6:39especially if you can hold out for a four or maybe even see it
- 6:42creep up a little bit higher to four and a half.
- 6:44Rhythm basically has Alabama State just by one.
- 6:48So the line did move toward Alabama State.
- 6:50There was buy back on Saint Francis 4 1/2 down to four 3
- 6:531/2. But Ken Palma has a 2 point
- 6:55game. Rhythm has a one point game and
- 6:58we have a pretty good bet split low bets, higher dollars out in
- 7:00Vegas in favor of Saint Francis. However, even though that's a
- 7:05lean for me, Saint Francis in the points, I did notice
- 7:08historically in the first four since 20/10/2011 when it first
- 7:12opened, basically dog favorite. It's right down the middle 5050.
- 7:16I think you saw dogs 26 and 25 against the spread, basically no
- 7:20edge. But I did notice an edge on the
- 7:23under. You might have, you might have
- 7:24heard about this. I'll lean Saint Francis in the
- 7:27points because that Ken Palm inflated line and Ken palm and
- 7:30rhythm edge there. But I like the under here.
- 7:33I played the under guys pretty clear under play.
- 7:36You know we open this game as high as a total of 142 1/2.
- 7:40That quickly got down to 140. Then it got down to 138 1/2.
- 7:44I hit the under 138 1/2 a little bit earlier today.
- 7:47Again, shameless plug, but this line is now at 137 1/2 at quite
- 7:51a few shops. I'm happy because I put in a 138
- 7:551/2 earlier today, but shameless plug, if you sign up and get the
- 7:58all systems go best bet picks on Juice Reel, you would have
- 8:01gotten that play a little bit earlier and got a 138 1/2
- 8:04purposes of the pod. You know I'll play the under 137
- 8:081/2. But of course, again, you want
- 8:10to try to read the sharp reports and get these plays from Juice
- 8:13real and get them in a little bit earlier.
- 8:15But I'll still go under in this one.
- 8:17I love the bet split. So First off, just really sharp
- 8:19steam on the under. 142 1/2 down to 137 half at this point, 138
- 8:241/2 down to 137 1/2 in the early afternoon tells me there wasn't
- 8:28buyback where it fell and went back up.
- 8:30It's just continuing to fall. So hopefully you get, I don't
- 8:33know if we get a 4643 game like Saint Francis against Central
- 8:36Connecticut, hopefully get a lower scoring game.
- 8:39Splits look really good on this under at DraftKings under is
- 8:42getting 55% of bets, 82% of the money at circa 64% of bets, 76%
- 8:49of the money. And then here's really the
- 8:51kicker, if you look at first four games, the unders done
- 8:55really well, first four unders are 31 and 2160 percent, 15% ROI
- 9:01since they since their inception in 2011.
- 9:04So we have seen maybe it's nerves, maybe it's the neutral
- 9:07courts, who knows. But typically you see these
- 9:09first four going under and that jives with the line drop to the
- 9:13under and the best split to the under.
- 9:15A little bit of a bonus here you're thinking why is this
- 9:18total falling? Maybe it's that neutral court
- 9:20that first four trend, but both these teams are pretty slow.
- 9:24Saint Francis is 2 O one in the country in pace or tempo
- 9:28possessions per game. Alabama State is 142nd and both
- 9:31teams are also pretty bad in terms of offensive efficiency.
- 9:34Saint Francis is 290 ninth, Alabama State is 270th.
- 9:39I was looking at rhythm. They have it basically at 138.4
- 9:43so it's not much of A rhythm edge anymore.
- 9:45But this screams to me sharp steam.
- 9:48Really good bet. Split first four under trend in
- 9:51this spot. So I'm playing the under again.
- 9:53I'll be rooting for anyone on Saint Francis, Pennsylvania
- 9:55because I got a respect to Ken Palm and Rhythm Edges saying it
- 9:58should be about a one or two point game.
- 10:00You're getting possibly 4 in this one.
- 10:02Definitely getting 3 1/2, but shop around for the four.
- 10:05But I picked off this under early.
- 10:07I'm going under here, guys. Hopefully it won't matter if you
- 10:09get the 137 1/2. Let's see if we can cash this
- 10:12thing anyway. You might be able to find a 138
- 10:14under -115. I see one book still offering
- 10:17that. By the way, our friends at Juice
- 10:20Reel have a 22% sharp mush edge in favor of the under.
- 10:24That means that 22% more of the sharper winning betters like the
- 10:28under as opposed to the, what do you like to call it, the profit
- 10:31deficient betters who are leaning more and always will
- 10:33learn more toward the over because it's more fun to root
- 10:35for a higher scoring game. But Long story short guys, it
- 10:39would be great to kick off March Madness with a win.
- 10:41My first bet under 138 1/2 again, one 38137 half will be
- 10:46your number now, but I'm going under 138 1/2.
- 10:49Saint Francis and Alabama State, second game of the night, the
- 10:53second first floor plan, we got North Carolina and San Diego
- 10:57State. By the way, did you guys see
- 10:59that? I guess the guy in the selection
- 11:01committee who put in UNC, who probably shouldn't have made it,
- 11:05he also I think was the UNC chancellor or something.
- 11:08Oh, nothing crooked there, no corruption.
- 11:10What a joke. But anyway, guys, let's talk
- 11:12about this game because we can bet on it.
- 11:14The South region first four match up.
- 11:16These are both 11 seeds. The winner moves on to face Ole
- 11:19Miss succeed. So going in about yeah, UNC 22
- 11:23and 13 lost to Duke 7471 in the ACC tournament semis did cover
- 11:29though as a 7 point neutral site dog.
- 11:31Meanwhile, the Aztecs 21 and 9, they just lost to Boise 62 to 52
- 11:36in the Mountain West quarters. They did not cover as a 1 1/2
- 11:39point neutral site dog. So what are you seeing across
- 11:41the market here? Well, the public is loving UNC.
- 11:44I can tell you that guys. Currently you're getting 66% of
- 11:49spread bets, 72% of spread dollars at DraftKings on UNC,
- 11:53bigger name school. And the line is moved quite a
- 11:55bit toward UNCUNC opened a 3 1/2 point neutral site favorite.
- 12:00Now they're up to -4 1/2. Some shops even popping mount
- 12:04now to -5 for North Carolina. So pretty big move here on UNC.
- 12:09I mentioned DraftKings has a big majority of bets and dollars on
- 12:12UNC, but if you look at Circa, this bet split looks much better
- 12:17toward San Diego State. San Diego State's only getting
- 12:2034% of spread bets, but 48% of spread dollars.
- 12:25So this is something that I kind of lean into when it comes to
- 12:28college basketball and March Madness.
- 12:30I really cannot play teams that are extremely popular in which
- 12:34the line is moved big in their favorite.
- 12:36Like I'm not going to be with the crowd getting the worst of
- 12:38the number. So I'm definitely not going
- 12:39North Carolina -4 1/2 or -5 You can kind of entertain me,
- 12:44intrigue me by San Diego State plus the points.
- 12:47San Diego State, on the one hand, is very contrarian.
- 12:50This is your 910 game tonight, so be very heavily bet.
- 12:53They're only getting 34% of spread bets.
- 12:55So you're just a great feed the public play.
- 12:57You're also with an inflated line.
- 12:59You open getting 3 1/2. Now you can get a 5.
- 13:02You look at Ken Palm in this one, he has UNC winning by just
- 13:06two now. Rhythm has UNC -3.2, but still,
- 13:09even take the 3.2, you're getting almost 5 now at this
- 13:12point. So I would lean a little bit
- 13:15towards San Diego State, but once again, this is a total play
- 13:19for me. I'm going to try to maximize the
- 13:21edge on these first four unders, so I'm going under in this one,
- 13:23guys. This total opened about 143 1/2.
- 13:27It's down to 142 1/2. I was able to get under 143 at
- 13:31Caesar's little bit earlier today.
- 13:32We can still find that 142 1/2 right now.
- 13:36So the total has fallen. The splits look really good to
- 13:38the under at DraftKings, only 39% bets 47% dollars on the
- 13:43under. Circa has 63% bets 97% dollars
- 13:48on the under. So both DraftKings and Circa
- 13:51have a low bets, higher dollar split, sharp split to the under
- 13:54and the total has fallen. So we're checking off a few
- 13:56boxes here. Of course, first four under, as
- 13:58I mentioned it to you a second ago, they're 31 and 2160
- 14:02percent, 15% ROI since they started in 20/10/2011.
- 14:07And if you've never, you know, watched San Diego State, you
- 14:11know they are they're a good defensive team.
- 14:14They play at a slow pace. They're 245th in possessions per
- 14:17game and they're 13th in defensive efficiency.
- 14:20UNC is pretty good defensively too.
- 14:22They are 53rd. So again, at this point you can
- 14:26entertain me by low San Diego State plus 5 + 5 inflated line,
- 14:31but I'm going to go under here to add a little cherry on top.
- 14:35Our friends at Juice Reel have an 18% sharp mush edge on the
- 14:39under. So 18% more of the sharper
- 14:40betters are playing the under versus, you know, losing
- 14:44betters, leaning more toward the over.
- 14:46Now it's not a huge edge with rhythm.
- 14:48They have a 142.8, so it's pretty much right on the number,
- 14:52but I'm going to bank on hopefully a contrarian really
- 14:54good bat split. The total has dropped neutral
- 14:57court first four under play. I'm going San Diego State under
- 15:02and I got the under 143 again. Right now you're looking at 142
- 15:061/2. So so we can get a couple unders
- 15:09with this first four under betting system match at least go
- 15:13one and one two and O would be fantastic.
- 15:16Now one more play for you. I got to play in the NBA after a
- 15:20nice two and O night in the NBA. Let's see if we can get that
- 15:23continued with another winning night here for tonight.
- 15:25So I'm going to focus on the Bucks and the Warriors tonight.
- 15:29This is a 10:00 game and there are a lot of interesting factors
- 15:33going on with this game. This will be on NBA TV if you
- 15:36want to sweat this one if you're like me and pay out the nose for
- 15:39all the extra channels because you're a sports betting addict.
- 15:43But anyway, Bucks come in 38 and 29.
- 15:46You look at the Warriors, they come in 39 and 29.
- 15:49So basically same record. But we've seen a really big line
- 15:52move in this one. And it's my favorite system
- 15:54play. Not the unranked home fave
- 15:57ranked opponent, but we have a dog to fave, dog to fave, sharp
- 16:02reverse line move. So this game open warriors -2
- 16:061/2 at home. I even saw one book -3 1/2 at
- 16:08home. It's now completely flipped to
- 16:11Milwaukee -2 1/2 on the road. So right off the bat, dog to
- 16:15faith Milwaukee open, getting two and a half, 3 1/2.
- 16:18Now they flip to lane 2 1/2. So you open as a dog, flip to a
- 16:22favorite. Tells me a lot of smart money
- 16:24came in here on the Bucks and I like that.
- 16:26The Bucks aren't a trendy dog. They're not a trendy favorite.
- 16:29It's a fave, the trendy dog play because the Warriors are the
- 16:32trendy favorite. Right now, the Bucks are only
- 16:34getting 38% of spread bets at DraftKings and at Circa they're
- 16:38only getting 31% of spread bets. But 58% of spread dollars.
- 16:44So public school warriors, but line flip to Bucks and Bucks
- 16:47have a good contrarian bet split.
- 16:49Of course, the angle here that gets me excited with the bucks
- 16:52is a rest versus tired because last night the warriors played
- 16:56and lost to Denver. The bucks were off yesterday.
- 16:59So Bucks arrested warriors second leg of a back-to-back.
- 17:03There's also a non conference game.
- 17:04So typically lack of familiarity, non conference
- 17:07benefits, the quote UN quote, better team who's expected to
- 17:09win. We do have 3 Rd. referees here,
- 17:12Brent Bernanke, Mark Lindsay and Jonathan Sterling.
- 17:16In particular. Brent Bernanke, he's one of the
- 17:17best Rd. refs, 55% ATS to the road team.
- 17:22Giannis and Lillard are expected to play.
- 17:24Fingers crossed. I hope they do.
- 17:26And I'm hoping we get this good number and see this thing rise
- 17:29because there's a chance Steph Curry might get rested and
- 17:32Brandon Pojemski is also a questionable here.
- 17:35But I saw something, maybe I read it was on Twitter about how
- 17:39Steph Curry is really tired and, you know, he might need a night
- 17:41off at second leg of a back-to-back.
- 17:44Meanwhile, you look at the Milwaukee Bucks in the spot, you
- 17:48know, they still kind of got something to fight for.
- 17:50They could play well and maybe catch the Knicks and get a
- 17:53better seed in the postseason. They don't want to fall right
- 17:56now. They're tied with the Pacers.
- 17:57And actually, the Pistons are right behind him.
- 17:59So it feels like there's kind of, you know, a little bit of
- 18:02motivation here for the Bucks to play well.
- 18:03They're rested and we also have a good rhythm edge rhythm hat
- 18:08has the Bucks winning this game by 2.1 or -2.1.
- 18:13I did have some system matches here, both off a loss.
- 18:16Take the favorite straight up. That system is 67%.
- 18:19We have Rd. favorites straight up 69%.
- 18:23Those are both over the last I believe Four Seasons.
- 18:25So dog to fave. Hopefully no Curry, hopefully
- 18:28Lillard and Giannis and you know the Bucks are fully loaded.
- 18:32But I noticed this dog to fave move.
- 18:34Good bat split rest advantage. Let's see if the Bucks can win
- 18:38in in San Francisco for us tonight.
- 18:40So I'm on the Bucks money line. This, that is, I ain't lane 2
- 18:431/2. They win by one or two, I lose.
- 18:45I got them at a pretty cheap money line -138 at FanDuel.
- 18:50So Bucks money line as well as the two unders in the 1st 4
- 18:54matchups in college hoops tonight.
- 18:57So that about does it for episode 239 of the ASG Pod
- 19:01Powered by Rhythm of course. This is the part of the pod
- 19:03where we wrap things up. And I start first by saying
- 19:06thank you. Thank you for taking the time
- 19:08out of your day, out of your busy lives.
- 19:10To pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some sharp
- 19:13data-driven breakdowns with me each day means a ton to build
- 19:16this community. And again, I always joke around
- 19:18pulling up a chair to the virtual bar.
- 19:20We're just like friends meeting up at the book trying to make
- 19:23sharp bets based on data, not based on bias and opinion.
- 19:27If you do enjoy this pod, you want to help me grow this pod,
- 19:29please make me happy. Give it a five star review.
- 19:32If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, If there's an option
- 19:35to follow, click the follow button.
- 19:37That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
- 19:39If you want to recommend the pod to a friend, that is also very
- 19:43much appreciated. Secondly, if you enjoy this
- 19:46style of betting breakdown sharp data-driven contrarian betting.
- 19:50You want to learn more about data-driven betting or maybe you
- 19:53want to let me know you appreciate the pod.
- 19:55Or maybe you have a friend of yours or colleague or family
- 19:58member who loves betting, doesn't win too much and just
- 20:01doesn't really. You know they bet games with
- 20:02their heart and not their head. You know you should do, you
- 20:05should go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to
- 20:08sports betting. That's my book, my baby, my
- 20:11first book I ever wrote. It's great for brand new
- 20:13betters, how to read the market, how to go contrarian, how to
- 20:16locate sharp action, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
- 20:19But you know what? I would also love for you guys
- 20:21to pre-order my new book. Which comes out on August 12th.
- 20:25It's called the NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 20:28I'd love for you guys to pre-order a copy Guess what
- 20:30bring the everything guide to sports betting or the
- 20:32pre-ordered NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 20:34Bring them to the book. I'll sign them for you.
- 20:36I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale or a couple have a couple
- 20:40waters together. We'll stay hydrated because you
- 20:42know we'll be sweating during March madness.
- 20:45But seriously, if you bought one or the other or pre-ordered the
- 20:47new one, I really really appreciate it.
- 20:49Thank you guys, it means a lot to me.
- 20:51Next, if you haven't done it yet, go download Juice reel and
- 20:54rhythm, my two favorite sports betting apps.
- 20:56Rhythm, of course for their AI backed models and predictions
- 21:00for game bets and player props for March Madness for NBAMLB is
- 21:05right around the corner. And then of course, we'll have
- 21:08our live stream today at 4 O clock.
- 21:10So tune into that and then juice Reel where you can follow the
- 21:13all systems go best bet picks. You would have gotten a 138 1/2
- 21:17on Saint Francis under if you if you were following those plays.
- 21:20They're $4.99 a week. I consider that a tip jar.
- 21:25If you like the pod, it's free. You know, tip tip 499 a week.
- 21:28It's basically a coffee or half a coffee at Starbucks.
- 21:31If you like my wife, but then also juice real is going to give
- 21:34you the robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators.
- 21:37The arbitrage plays. Shop for the best line futures.
- 21:40Sync up your sports books with to the app.
- 21:43You'll get your running record and all the games will show you
- 21:45a breakdown of bets in dollars spread money line in total for
- 21:48every game based upon who in the app has bet on.
- 21:52And both of those are available, of course, in the App Store.
- 21:55So download rhythm, download Juice Reel and while you're at
- 21:57it, give them a five star review.
- 21:59Make my friend Ricky Gold and James Santor happy.
- 22:03Next. And of course, lastly, but most
- 22:05importantly, do you have a live odds page?
- 22:09If you don't, you need one. Believe me, I don't know how
- 22:11you're betting on sports without a live odds page because it is
- 22:13your Bible. It is your blueprint.
- 22:15It's the site that you're going to bookmark and spend the most
- 22:18of your day on giving you all the games, all the lines.
- 22:21You can look at line movement, see what it opened at, how it's
- 22:24moved. Pick off good numbers, shop for
- 22:26the best price, you know, get the get the best number before
- 22:29it moves. And you can follow books, pretty
- 22:32much every book, but also like Pinnacle and Circle, which are
- 22:34huge for monitoring smart money. But you know what you can do?
- 22:38You can go give a shot to Odds Logic, the best live odds page
- 22:43around. And I have a little bit of a
- 22:45promo for you. If you go to oddslogic.com/josh
- 22:48123, you got to go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
- 22:53You'll get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month.
- 22:57And it is a $99.00, which again, sounds like a lot I admit.
- 23:00But remember, some live odds pages are three hundred 405
- 23:03hundred 600 bucks a month. So you get 50% off that first
- 23:07month. And even if you just want to use
- 23:08it for March Madness, hey, you got to know, you got to track
- 23:11these line moves. So go to oddlogic.com/josh 123.
- 23:16So that about does it for episode 239 of the ASG pod.
- 23:20Of course, I'll leave you with a couple things.
- 23:21One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 23:25River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
- 23:27Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut, at the Encore in
- 23:30Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino R.E.M Gem Springfield or
- 23:33the Nash in Nashville, New Hampshire in my neck of the
- 23:36woods. Or of course, out in the desert
- 23:37where the true grinders get down.
- 23:39Where Billy Walters sends his number runners with the lowest
- 23:41juice possible is found at the South Point.
- 23:44Or Sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 23:46swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 23:48Circa wherever, maybe you're going to walk up to me.
- 23:50You're going to show me a beautiful, beautiful heat.
- 23:54Nicks by low over two O 8 1/2. A nice little Spurs Lakers over
- 23:59229 1/2. Guess what?
- 24:01First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 24:02We're going to post about the book and sweat March Madness.
- 24:05All madness long, as always, guys.
- 24:08Two and one, one and 2-3 and OO and three again the previous
- 24:12day. Even though we're human and you
- 24:14know you have a good day, you're excited to bet, have a bad day,
- 24:17you know you're questioning yourself, you're feeling down.
- 24:19But either way, we got to stick to the model, stick to the
- 24:21blueprint. Never get too high, never get
- 24:23too low. When we're hot, we're never as
- 24:24good as we think. When we're cold, we're never as
- 24:26bad as we think. We got to keep grinding the
- 24:29model, the blueprint, the system, betting games with our
- 24:32head and not our heart against the public, with the house, with
- 24:35the pros flat bet, avoid parlays.
- 24:37Get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 24:40to be successful sports bettors. So have a great first for
- 24:44opening night of March madness guys, good luck.
- 24:46See if we can go 2IN1 eek out another winning night and I look
- 24:49forward to seeing you guys. 4:00 Eastern Time for the Twitter
- 24:53rhythm live stream again. 4:00 just go to at Josh under score
- 24:57insights my Twitter. Give me a follow if you don't
- 24:59already. You'll see the live stream right
- 25:00at 4. You can ask questions.
- 25:02Any specific games you want to talk about?
- 25:04I look forward to seeing you there.
- 25:06And then beyond that, be right back at it tomorrow for a big
- 25:09Wednesday edition. That'll be episode 240 of the
- 25:12All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 25:16Good luck everybody, and guess what the madness is here.