Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 385 - 10/30/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All Systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 385 of the All Systems Go sports betting
- 0:19podcast powered by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:28What's going on, everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday.
- 0:31We are one day deeper into the week, one day closer here to a
- 0:34big Friday as well as another big weekend.
- 0:36Tomorrow, of course, is Halloween.
- 0:38So maybe we'll get some some treats and hopefully not some
- 0:41tricks tonight because we do have a big Thirsty Thursday,
- 0:45Thursday Night Football here, Baltimore Ravens, Miami
- 0:47Dolphins, I'm looking at a sharp line freeze with a good rhythm
- 0:51edge here. So do have one play on the side
- 0:54and then I also have a play for a player prop.
- 0:56So I'm looking at this this QB to hopefully have a good night
- 1:00here for tonight. And this is a really good rhythm
- 1:02edge where a you see a really big discrepancy between
- 1:05basically what the market is offering and what rhythm is
- 1:07predicting. So I got a side, got a player
- 1:10prop for Thursday Night Football and then one play in the NBA.
- 1:13It's kind of a smaller than usual slate, only four games
- 1:16overall, but there's one team in particular, I guess two of them
- 1:20that have scored a lot of points this year with some really good
- 1:23offensive efficiency and bad defensive efficiency stats.
- 1:26So we'll see if we can maybe get an over here to cash for us in
- 1:29the NBA. So 3 pack overall.
- 1:32Remember our baseball days 3 packs.
- 1:34Let's try to go 2IN1, eek out a winning night.
- 1:37Also want to remind everyone that we do have our rhythm
- 1:39rundown tonight. So myself, my buddy Kate Harper,
- 1:42we'll be breaking down the Thursday night game from a
- 1:45rhythm perspective and really the whole point of the rhythm
- 1:48rundowns on Thursday nights at six.
- 1:50Again, stream live on Twitter. You log right in 6:00.
- 1:52Boom, you'll see the live icon on your homepage.
- 1:55Or just go to my Twitter account at Josh under score Insight.
- 1:59So get right in. But the whole point is to help
- 2:02betters use rhythm to their advantage.
- 2:03So rhythm again allows you to bet like a wise guy, like a
- 2:06sharp in terms of setting your own numbers, they're not your
- 2:09numbers, they're rhythms. But you can also create your own
- 2:11models and look for discrepancy plays in in terms of what rhythm
- 2:15is predicting versus what the market is offering.
- 2:17So look forward to seeing everyone tonight at 6:00 PM
- 2:20Eastern Time. Now looking back to our last
- 2:22night guys, unfortunately the cold streak remains cold.
- 2:26Man, it's rough out there. Snake bit only had one play came
- 2:29up short with our over Jacksonville state, Middle
- 2:32Tennessee state over 54 1/2. It landed on 45, but there was a
- 2:38chance there. And again, it didn't look great.
- 2:40And I made a joke and it's it's never good when your jokes
- 2:42actually almost turn into reality.
- 2:45I said the way we're we're going right now with just just awful
- 2:48luck across the market, beating closing lines and still
- 2:51suffering losses. It'll be 3 nothing.
- 2:53You know you're on the over. It'll be 3 nothing.
- 2:55After the first quarter. Well, it was 6 nothing.
- 2:57So a little bit better, but still not what we were hoping
- 3:00for. But there was an opportunity
- 3:01there. If Middle Tennessee State, and
- 3:04this is what I was hoping for. This is the things you think
- 3:06about as a sports better over 54 1/2.
- 3:10It was 2421 if Middle Tennessee State last drive of the night
- 3:14had kicked a field goal to tie it, then you go to overtime.
- 3:17You only need about a score or two scores to cash that over.
- 3:20But again, the way things are going, we're getting no breaks
- 3:22across the market. So again, not here to give pep
- 3:26talks or, you know, kind of, you know, be on the, you know, the
- 3:31the counselor's desk, the, you know, the psychiatrist desk.
- 3:33But we're going to see if we can just keep grinding, keep our
- 3:36heads up, not get 2 down and just see if we can bust out and
- 3:39get a winning night for tonight, which is always the goal.
- 3:42So with that being said, let's talk about a big Thursday Night
- 3:44Football game tonight because I got to play on the side and I
- 3:46have a player prop for you. So setting the stage here, we
- 3:50got the Baltimore Ravens visiting the Miami Dolphins 8:15
- 3:53PM Eastern Time. Make sure you get your prime
- 3:55account ready to go. Locked and loaded.
- 3:57Ravens come in two and five. Remember, they had a really bad
- 4:01losing streak, but they did just get Lamar Jackson back for this
- 4:04game. He had missed I think the last
- 4:06four or five games, but they got to win last week against the
- 4:09Bears, 30 to 16 covered as a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
- 4:13The Dolphins 2 and 6, not much better.
- 4:15They did just beat the Falcons though, 34 to 10, one that came
- 4:18outright as a 7 point Rd. dog. Now, what are we seeing across
- 4:22the market here? Well, this game opened Baltimore
- 4:24around a 7 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 4:26So we kind of thought, hey, this is going to be Lamar Jackson's
- 4:29return. So it's not like this was like
- 4:30an opener of like, you know -2 if it was going to be Snoop
- 4:34Huntley or back up here. So basically open -7 F with the
- 4:37Ravens. Now, the public cannot get
- 4:39enough of Lamar Jackson's return.
- 4:41Right now you are getting 70% of spread bets laying the points of
- 4:45Baltimore. However, even though you're
- 4:47getting 7 out of 10 bets laying it with the the Ravens here,
- 4:51Ravens aren't up -7 half up to -8 and half -9.
- 4:55Again, you would theoretically in a vacuum expect that heavy,
- 4:58heavy popular betting side. Oddsmakers will adjust the line
- 5:01up toward the popular side because they're they got to move
- 5:04the number and also try to mitigate some risk by offering
- 5:06the unpopular dog at a better price.
- 5:08But that actually did not happen.
- 5:10We open Ravens -7 1/2. We're still Ravens -7 1/2.
- 5:14And one thing that I noticed as I was looking at my odds Logic
- 5:19live odds page, remember Odds logic.com/josh 123, you'll get 7
- 5:24day free trial, 50% off your first month.
- 5:25It's the best live odds page around.
- 5:27But I noticed that when I pull up the line history, and you can
- 5:30do it like if you're on a computer, you just tap with your
- 5:33mouse the box that shows the odds for whatever book, for
- 5:36whatever game, it'll pull up the line history, show you every
- 5:38move in between. Not just open to current, but
- 5:41one thing that I noticed is that anytime it would get up to 8, it
- 5:44would come right back down to 7 1/2.
- 5:46So that told me that eight look to be your high watermark.
- 5:49And again, odds makers are juicing up at a few books that
- 5:52Baltimore side -7 F -115. But still, everyone's playing
- 5:56Baltimore and favorites are rolling.
- 5:58Yet we're not to 8 or 9. That tells me there's some
- 6:01liability here on Miami plus the points, and this would be kind
- 6:04of a classic line freeze play where you have heavy betting one
- 6:07side, but the line really will not move.
- 6:09So you got to ask yourself why aren't the odds makers up to 8
- 6:12or 9? Well, tells me that they're more
- 6:14concerned about respected money taking Miami as a + 7 1/2 line
- 6:18freeze. Now, aside from the line freeze,
- 6:21Dolphins have a great bet against the public opportunity
- 6:24here because you're only getting around 30% of spread bets in a
- 6:27heavily back game. You also look at system matches.
- 6:30Got a lot of matches lit up on Miami, so #1 primetime dogs.
- 6:34Now primetime dogs have hit a bit of a snag recently as we, as
- 6:37we've seen, obviously these favorites just be ridiculous
- 6:40recently. But primetime dogs on the year
- 6:43still 15 and 10 against the spread, 67 percent, 14% ROI.
- 6:48So they've done pretty good at just overall winning 2/3 of the
- 6:51are covering 2/3 of the time. And then also, if you look since
- 6:542020, they're 156 and 136 against the spread, 53% with a
- 6:593% ROI. You dig a little deeper.
- 7:02If you look at primetime dogs, just the big ones, the dogs that
- 7:05are getting 6 1/2 or more on a Thursday night, Sunday night or
- 7:08Monday night matchup, they've been even better.
- 7:11They are 6 and two against the spread this year.
- 7:14And anytime you can get a dog system at six and two ATS, you
- 7:16know, again, covering at a 75% clip, you know, it's pretty good
- 7:20because in general, dogs have struggled this year.
- 7:23But if you also look not just this year, but since the start
- 7:26of the 2020 season, so a big five year sample prime time dogs
- 7:30getting 6 1/2 or more, they are 59 and 40 against the spread 60%
- 7:35with a 14% ROI. Next we look at big home dogs in
- 7:39general. So if your home dog getting 6
- 7:411/2 or more since the 2022 season, they are 46 and 28
- 7:46against the spread 62% with an 18% ROI.
- 7:50Then let's dive into these quarterbacks a bit.
- 7:52Tua again, Tua gets a lot of crap.
- 7:55Again, if you sweat it to a game, you know he's going to
- 7:57make some good plays and he's going to make some stupid plays.
- 7:59But Tua has been pretty good at home.
- 8:02At home, he's 23 and 13 against the spread 64%.
- 8:06That's a 22% ROI when he's a home dog.
- 8:09Getting points at at Hard Rock Stadium, he's 8 and three
- 8:13against the spread 73% with a 37% ROI.
- 8:17So 2 has been good in the spot at home and in the spot as a
- 8:20home dog. And I think if you're looking
- 8:23for an Ave. for Miami to cover this game, it's that hopefully
- 8:27they'll score enough to keep pace and lose by a touchdown or
- 8:29less. Because did you know the Ravens
- 8:32are giving up 30 points per game this year?
- 8:35That ranks 30th out of 32 teams in the NFL.
- 8:38So they are one of the worst. There are technically the third
- 8:40worst defensive team in all the NFL.
- 8:43So hopefully that's an Ave. for two to put up points and Miami
- 8:47to keep pace or backdoor cover. Now to put a little cherry on
- 8:50top, I popped open rhythm and I have two rhythm recommendations,
- 8:54both lighting up on the Dolphins.
- 8:56No conflicting systems on Baltimore.
- 8:59And both of these models on the Dolphins are Green Star
- 9:01recommended plays. So the first one has Dolphins
- 9:04plus 4.7, second one has Dolphins plus 5.4.
- 9:09So we got a line freeze, Publix all over Lamar returning in
- 9:13Baltimore, laying the points thinking they're going to roll.
- 9:16But the line really hasn't moved.
- 9:17So sharp line freeze rhythms got about a four or five and a half
- 9:21point game. There's an angle here to go with
- 9:24the points, and that's what I'm doing.
- 9:25So I got Dolphins plus 7 1/2. Now you could maybe wait and see
- 9:30if you can get an 8 because there are a few shops -7 F -115
- 9:35in favor of the Ravens. But if you're trying to get the
- 9:39best juice price and notice that at Bet MGM, you can get the
- 9:43Dolphins plus 7 1/2 at +100. So you risk a unit Dolphins
- 9:48cover, hopefully end our terrible losing streak here, you
- 9:51can get a unit back. So I jumped on the 7 1/2 at
- 9:53+100. Did notice that there was a 9%
- 9:57sharp mush edge in favor of Miami here with our friends at
- 10:01Juice Reel. So 9% more of the sharper
- 10:03winning players are going Dolphins as well.
- 10:06So that's my play. I'm going Dolphins plus 7 1/2 at
- 10:09even money plus 100 available currently at Bet MGM.
- 10:13Now the total, I got to admit, guys, I really don't hate the
- 10:17over. If you tell me like the over, I
- 10:18know we got some prime time under system matches.
- 10:20I know prime time unders when the total is 50 or more have
- 10:24been good. So if you like the under, again,
- 10:26it is contrarian, but man, this total is really risen 48 1/2 up
- 10:31to 51 1/2 if you look at the splits.
- 10:34What's really intriguing to me when it comes to the splits is,
- 10:38you know, typically you're going to play an over and you're going
- 10:40to be with the public and that's going to give you a, you know, a
- 10:41little bit of anxiety. But this is it, believe it or
- 10:44not, a contrarian under, sorry, a contrarian over because 58% of
- 10:48bets are going under. So the public's leaning under.
- 10:51Maybe they're just thinking this number is too high and Lamar's,
- 10:53you know, coming off an injury. And again, maybe they still
- 10:57think the Ravens defense is good and they'll keep a low scoring
- 10:59game. But if you do like the over, I'm
- 11:02not going to argue with you because it has risen.
- 11:04It's risen in a contrarian way because of the public's leaning
- 11:07under, which you really never get.
- 11:09And then you also get overs. This year they're 65 and 55. 54
- 11:13percent, 3% ROI. Non division overs are even
- 11:17better this year, 50 and 3758 percent, 9% ROI.
- 11:21And these high totals 49 1/2 or more the overs been a winning
- 11:25play, 8 and 562 percent, 17% ROI.
- 11:29And oh by the way, these are two of the best over teams in
- 11:31football. Ravens are 6 and one to the
- 11:33over. That's tied with Minnesota for
- 11:35the number one over team in the NFL.
- 11:37Dolphins are six and two to the over, tied for the second best
- 11:40over team in the NFL. And again, you're in Miami, FL
- 11:43Weather is always crazy. As of right now, it looks pretty
- 11:46clear. No sign of rain or anything.
- 11:48Mid to low 70s, mild, four to five mile per hour winds.
- 11:52So again, if you like the over, I'm really not going to argue
- 11:55with you. My play here is just the side,
- 11:57the plus 7 1/2. But I do have a prop bet for
- 12:00you. And when I was looking at my
- 12:02Rhythm app getting ready for tonight's show, I was just kind
- 12:06of going through each, each spot here, you know, just I look
- 12:10through OK, all the passing categories, receiving, rushing.
- 12:14And when I go to the passing category, I see a huge
- 12:18discrepancy on the Tua over passing yards.
- 12:21Because in the betting market, Tua is around 217 1/2 passing
- 12:26yards and Rhythm is predicting 261.3 passing yards.
- 12:32So that is a massive 44 yard difference between, again, the
- 12:38betting market and what rhythm is predicting.
- 12:41Now you also get this as a green star recommended play.
- 12:43So it's not like a, you know, caution flag or a lean.
- 12:46I also was able to get to a / 215 1/2 at -120 at Fanatics.
- 12:53So again, anytime you're playing a prop, make sure you check out
- 12:56and try to get the best price bet.
- 12:59MGM is at 225 1/2 FanDuel Caesars 217 1/2 -, 120 over
- 13:05DraftKings ESPN bet 218 1/2 - 115 over.
- 13:09So I did jump on the fanatics over 215 1/2 at -120 my angle
- 13:14here a couple things. Number one, it's all about this
- 13:16rhythm recommendation again over over a 40 yard difference
- 13:20betting market is around again 217 ish rhythm saying it's going
- 13:24to be around 260. So edge there.
- 13:27The other angle, Ravens are giving up 250 passing yards per
- 13:32game. That ranks 28th in the NFL.
- 13:34So they are the 4th worst pass defense in the NFL.
- 13:38They're giving up a lot of passing yards.
- 13:40Other angle for me, two is a dog.
- 13:42If Lamar Jackson's putting up points, you got to keep pace.
- 13:45So you're probably going to throw the ball if you're a dog.
- 13:47Even if we need garbage time late, hopefully to, you know,
- 13:50keep this thing closed back door cover, but then also, you know,
- 13:54throw the ball enough to get this over.
- 13:56And then lastly, some pretty good weather. 2 as comfortable
- 13:59at home has had a good success at home and you don't have like
- 14:02crazy rain or wind or any of that.
- 14:04So I did play the 2 / 2 two 15 1/2 passing yards -120 at
- 14:11Fanatics. But again, shop around because a
- 14:12lot of other books, 217 and a half, 218 1/2 and bet MGM is
- 14:16crazy. They're 225 1/2.
- 14:18So I did play 2 over passing yards as well as the Dolphins
- 14:22plus 7 1/2. So can we at least get one of
- 14:24those? If we could get 2, that would be
- 14:26even better. Now one play for you guys in the
- 14:29NBA cuz I'm looking at the NBA slate here for tonight.
- 14:32And there's one game that really just jumped out to me.
- 14:35It's a really, really high number, but it's actually only
- 14:38ticked up even higher. It's the magic, Orlando Magic
- 14:42visiting the Charlotte Hornets. It's a 7:00 PM tip off here for
- 14:45tonight. Orlando Magic one and four.
- 14:48He's a team that probably had good hopes for with Paulo
- 14:51Bancaro and Wagner and some of these guys.
- 14:53And they've kind of been on the rise recently.
- 14:55But they've struggled. Lost four in a row after winning
- 14:57opening night. They are visiting the Hornets,
- 14:59who are two and two. Hornets just lost to Miami, 144
- 15:03to 117. Magic just lost the Detroit 135
- 15:06to 116. Now, what have we seen across
- 15:08the market here? Well, the line has dipped toward
- 15:11the Hornets. Magic opened as high as I think
- 15:14I saw -3 -, 4. They are now down to 2 1/2, two.
- 15:20So lines creeping back toward the Hornets, but I'm going to
- 15:22play the over and I'm going to root for points here because
- 15:25this total opened around 2:39. It's been bet up to or sorry,
- 15:29some books even open 238 1/2. You're up to 239 1/2 right now.
- 15:34And not only that, but earlier today, some books reached as
- 15:37high as 241 1/2. So the first thing I notice is,
- 15:41hey, it's a huge, huge number. Again, that is a you basically
- 15:44need both teams in the one 20s to cash this thing.
- 15:47But even though it's really high, it's only been bet up even
- 15:50further. You look at the splits right
- 15:52now, Publix worried because the high total only 54% of bets at
- 15:57DraftKings around the over, but 76% of dollars at DraftKings
- 16:02around the over. So that is a good low bets
- 16:03higher dollars basically split public 5050, yet big money in
- 16:07the line is moving up. Also a lot of system matches
- 16:11here. So overs in the NBA.
- 16:12You know what, when you're on a cold streak, I guess I should
- 16:14just play every NBA over. Wouldn't that hopefully, you
- 16:18know, bounce us back here because overs in the NBA this
- 16:21year are 42 and 2662 percent, 18% ROI, 100 bucks on every
- 16:27over, you're up $1200. So I wish I had Biff Tannen's
- 16:30Almanac and just played every NBA over and avoided these bad
- 16:33beats in in football recently. So overs have just in general
- 16:36done very well. The other angle is conference
- 16:39overs. We've seen kind of a difference
- 16:40between conference games and non conference games.
- 16:43Conference overs have been really good, 36 and 1768% win
- 16:48rate up basically like 16 units, 30% ROI overs and non conference
- 16:54games are 6:00 and 9:00. So you're a losing record there.
- 16:57So it's a conference game which would match overs good in
- 17:00general. And then here's the other angle
- 17:02that I like. And over that rises at least 1/2
- 17:04point. So the total is set and it goes
- 17:06up at least 1/2 point, you know, toward the over that system is
- 17:11360 and 280, 56% win rate, 7% ROI since the start of last year
- 17:17and this season it is 29 and 1566% with a 26% ROI.
- 17:24So we got system matches high total that seems high, but it's
- 17:27only gone up a little even further.
- 17:29There's a 5% sharp mush edge in favor of the over.
- 17:32So wise guys at Juice Real also leaning over with us.
- 17:36And here's the angle for me, why hopefully we'll get a really
- 17:40high scoring game. It's kind of all about the
- 17:43Charlotte Hornets. Because the Charlotte Hornets
- 17:44are #3 in the NBA, in points per game, they're averaging 128.3
- 17:49points per game. But they're also giving up the
- 17:51fifth most points per game. They're giving up 124.8 points
- 17:55per game. So they're fast, they score a
- 17:57lot, they give up a lot. Orlando Magic, by the way,
- 18:02typically their defense has been really good last few years, but
- 18:04they're giving up 122.6 points per game.
- 18:07That ranks 10th most in the NBA. And oh, by the way, we do have a
- 18:10kind of a short spread. It's now only magic -2 1/2 - 2.
- 18:15So hopefully get a competitive game back and forth.
- 18:17So it's a big number, but it's only gone up.
- 18:20We got a sharp mush edge, good system matches here, a lot of
- 18:24scoring, not great defense. And we got a good draftking
- 18:27split. So I got over 239 1/2 at FanDuel
- 18:33and again, it looks like I think there might be a 238 1/2
- 18:37available right now, but still a lot of books. 239 1/2.
- 18:40So let's make it hopefully a cash play for everybody.
- 18:43Go 240 or more, but I am on the Magic Hornets over 239 1/2.
- 18:49So that about does it for. Episode 385 of the All Systems
- 18:53Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 18:56This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 18:58And I always start first by saying thank you.
- 19:01Thank you for listening, Thank you for taking the time out of
- 19:03your day. Thank you for sticking with me
- 19:05again, I know it's easy to to abandon ship when things aren't
- 19:08going well, but you know what? It happens to everybody.
- 19:11And if you abandoned ship when things aren't going well, I get
- 19:14it. But hey, stick, stick with us
- 19:16when we're down. That way when we're we're back
- 19:18up and winning, you'll be one of the ones that that stayed the
- 19:21course. But as always, guys, if you want
- 19:23to help me grow the pod, please could you give it a five star
- 19:25review on Spotify or iTunes, leave a nice comment, rate your
- 19:29review, click the follow button or recommend the pod to a
- 19:33friend. That would also be really,
- 19:34really cool. Next, if you enjoy this style of
- 19:37betting breakdown. I know you don't like the
- 19:38results recently because I don't like it either and actually this
- 19:40losing streak started about a week ago today.
- 19:43So it's been a been a rough week.
- 19:46But if you want to learn more about data-driven betting, if
- 19:48you want to support the team, if you have a friend or colleague,
- 19:51family member, someone you know who wants to get into betting
- 19:54but doesn't know a money line from a spread or a a player prop
- 19:58from a total. Or maybe you just want to learn
- 20:00more about betting yourself. And again, let me know you
- 20:02appreciate the pod. I would love it if you wanted to
- 20:05go to Amazon.com and type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
- 20:10It's got everything that I've learned and kind of come up with
- 20:13overtime in the NFL. And then I also have another
- 20:15book called the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
- 20:17So you can grab that. That's just an all-encompassing,
- 20:20data-driven approach to betting all sports.
- 20:22But bring one or both to the sports book.
- 20:24We'll take a shot the way things are going recently and hopefully
- 20:27we'll bounce back and I'll sign that.
- 20:28I'll sign the book for you. Get you, get you a drink, a
- 20:30ginger ale or something, something harder than that.
- 20:34Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
- 20:36My two favorite sports betting apps.
- 20:37We got the Rhythm rundown tonight at 6:00.
- 20:39Download Rhythm. There's a an opportunity for you
- 20:42guys to make some money as well. If you enter the leaderboard
- 20:45contest, which you can find on the homepage.
- 20:48There's also refer a friend. There's a cool discord all
- 20:50available when you download Rhythm and then juice rail or
- 20:53you can sign up to get the all systems go best bet picks for
- 20:55$4.99 a week as well as get the sharp mush plays the arbitrage
- 21:01opportunities. Shop for the best line futures
- 21:03all available when you download Juice Rail.
- 21:06So download juice reel download rhythm.
- 21:08It'll be off and running making sharp data-driven plays.
- 21:11Next, do you have a live odds page?
- 21:13If you don't have one, you need one.
- 21:15Your life is going to be it's never easy, especially right now
- 21:17trying to win a bet, but you're it's going to make your life
- 21:19easier betting on sports. If you're able to track the
- 21:22market, you're not looking at stale lines.
- 21:24You're not flying blind. OK, the dog 7 1/2 Did it fall
- 21:28from 8 to 7 1/2? Did it rise from 7 to 7 1/2?
- 21:31Did it stay 7 1/2 and and not move at all?
- 21:34These are answers that you need because it tells you kind of
- 21:36what's going on in the market. So if you don't have a live odds
- 21:39page, I would recommend trying out Odds Logic. 7 day free
- 21:43trial, 50% off your first month. Just go to oddslogic.com/josh
- 21:49123 and then of course, Novig. Novig is a really cool sports
- 21:54betting exchange. It's not a sports book, but it's
- 21:56kind of the same thing. The big difference though is you
- 21:59fund your account, you're not betting against the book, you're
- 22:02betting against other betters. So because of that, you're not
- 22:04getting crushed with -115 - 120 juice.
- 22:08You're getting plus one O 2 - 1 O 5 - 1 O 4 + 1 O1 better juice
- 22:13prices. So download Novig.
- 22:15It'll help you to turn a big a bigger profit.
- 22:18And when you sign up and download the app and fund your
- 22:21account, just plug in Josh 123 in the promo code and you will
- 22:25get 100% deposit match up to 25 bucks.
- 22:30So that about dozen guys. As always, two final thoughts.
- 22:33Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
- 22:36Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
- 22:39Sundown in Connecticut, the Encore in Boston, Plainridge
- 22:42Park Casino MGM Springfield, the Nash and My Neck of the Woods in
- 22:45Nashua on the border of Nashua, NH and in Massachusetts, out in
- 22:50the desert where the true grinders get down or Billy
- 22:52Walters sends his number runners where the lowest juice possible
- 22:55is found at the South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays
- 22:58jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
- 23:00When you catch a big ticket at circa, wherever it may be,
- 23:02you're going to walk up to me and you're not going to show me
- 23:05a Jacksonville State MTSU over. Sadly, our our terrible stretch
- 23:09continues here. But you know, my one of my
- 23:11favorite movies is I'm a big Batman guy.
- 23:13I still think The Dark Knight Christian Bale is the best one.
- 23:16I did like the Bane one, the last one here, but as the as I
- 23:21think it was Commissioner Gordon said, it's always darkest before
- 23:24the dawn. So hey, losing streaks aren't
- 23:26fun, but you bet sports long enough they're going to happen.
- 23:29I admit this one is making me tear my eyes out, but let's see
- 23:32if we can get back on track here and try to get 2 out of these 3
- 23:36here tonight across the NFL, in the NBA.
- 23:38But as always, guys coming off an O and one A1 and OA.
- 23:41Terrible losing streak or a great winning streak.
- 23:43We've had them both. We just got to keep grinding,
- 23:45not get too high or too low and not change what you're doing.
- 23:48I think that's the big thing. When you're struggling, you
- 23:50start to think, oh, I got to change everything.
- 23:52And then you also just confidence.
- 23:54It's again, you try to approach betting from a data-driven
- 23:57perspective, but once you're struggling and you're in a bad
- 24:00losing streak, your confidence takes a huge hit and then you
- 24:03over analyze things. You know, you look into it too
- 24:06much, you start to second guess. As hard as it as it is, we just
- 24:09got to stick with it and keep grinding and and we'll get it.
- 24:12We'll get back in the in the winnings winner's circle.
- 24:15So as always, guys, if we can find that angle against the
- 24:19public with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays
- 24:21and get that CLV, we'll be successful betters long term.
- 24:25So have a great night, everyone. I'll see you at 6:00 PM Eastern
- 24:28Time for the rhythm rundown. And we right back at it tomorrow
- 24:31for episode 386, a big Friday edition of the all systems go
- 24:35sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 24:38Good luck everybody and have a great Thursday night.