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Every Investor Should Run This Test before Buying any Stock · Earn Your Leisure

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: I said this is kind of the focus of the video.
• 0:02
  Speaker 1: You got Constellation Energy versus NRG Energy.
• 0:05
  Speaker 2: Who you got? Being in Texas, I'm biased to NRG. Really? Yes.
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: But for the pick of the investment, I'm going with Constellation. Okay.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I like Constellation a lot. I think it's a well-run organization.
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  Speaker 3: I think a great litmus test is regardless if the
• 0:22
  Speaker 3: AI trade works or not, which it will, they'll do fine.
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  Speaker 2: Same with Microsoft.
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  Speaker 3: If the AI trade goes away and let's say they
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  Speaker 3: completely dismantle investing in anything open or closed model, they'll
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  Speaker 3: be fine.
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  Speaker 2: Constellation, I think, is going.
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  Speaker 3: To be well 10 years, 20 years from now, regardless
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  Speaker 3: if the AI trade goes boom or bust.
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  Speaker 2: So I'm picking Constellation. I am going with you as well.
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  Speaker 1: When you look up, now prior to maybe 2022, I
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: don't even know if I was looking at Constellation Energy.
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  Speaker 2: When Microsoft decided to partner with them, I said, oh, Interesting.
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: That's something.
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  Speaker 1: I've seen Google recently doing it, but the largest infrastructure
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: housing of nuclear energy is Constellation. If that is going
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  Speaker 1: to be the way that we power the next AI revolution,
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  Speaker 1: I think they sit at the forefront of it.
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  Speaker 2: I'm going Constellation. Shai, what about you?
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  Speaker 4: Yeah, well, Constellation, but this also goes back into a
• 1:18
  Speaker 4: deeper investment philosophy of The reason why Netflix, right? Like
• 1:22
  Speaker 4: Netflix is not something that I personally would invest in because,
• 1:26
  Speaker 4: you know, people say invest in things that you use.
• 1:29
  Speaker 4: I always hated that phrase. Or things that you're familiar with.
• 1:32
  Speaker 4: But you could be familiar and use things.
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  Speaker 2: That have no value.
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  Speaker 4: Right. So I think you got to invest in things
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  Speaker 4: that the world relies on.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: That's more the GDP.
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  Speaker 4: That can actually disrupt the world. Like if it wasn't there,
• 1:47
  Speaker 4: it would disrupt the world. So we're talking about all
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: these technology companies, if they disappear tomorrow, the world is
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  Speaker 4: going to be highly disrupted on a large scale.
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  Speaker 2: YouTube went away. Google. Google.
• 2:03
  Speaker 4: Or even like Eli Lilly. You know what I'm talking about? Farmer.
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  Speaker 4: This is real serious. So energy, for sure. Just energy
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  Speaker 4: in general. So I just think that's important for people
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  Speaker 4: to understand when you're looking at your investment portfolio, if
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  Speaker 4: you have a company that isn't drastically important to the
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  Speaker 4: success of the world in 2026, I don't think that
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  Speaker 4: you should invest in that company. So that's why it's like, okay, Nike.
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  Speaker 4: If Nike disappears today, it doesn't change anything. It doesn't
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  Speaker 4: drastically ruin the world.
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  Speaker 2: It's an inconvenience. Even Oracle. I'm not saying Oracle is
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  Speaker 2: going to go away, but if Oracle went away, it
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: wouldn't affect our lives. It could be disruptive. They still
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: have to class over for TikTok. I stepped on version.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: I don't use it. Do you miss the China algorithm?
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: I don't have a TikTok. You never use it? No, no,
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: I don't have one. That China algorithm? But that could
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  Speaker 2: be disruptive, no?
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  Speaker 4: I mean, it's like disruptive as if Snapchat went away
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  Speaker 4: or Vine.
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  Speaker 2: I don't think. Yeah, it wouldn't be that point. But also.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: OpenAI's reliance on the infrastructure that they're building. Something happens
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: to Oracle. Jensen will find a way to pick up
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: the slack. He cut down. He went from 100 to 30.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: He said, look, I know he said 100. We're going
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  Speaker 1: to do 30. Like now Microsoft went under?
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  Speaker 2: That's different. That's different. Devastating.
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  Speaker 4: Microsoft, Apple, Google, Nvidia, TSM, SMH in general, really. These
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  Speaker 4: are very important companies that decide the future of the
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  Speaker 4: human civilization. Like I said, even Meta.
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  Speaker 2: Absolutely.
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  Speaker 4: Because Meta, to me, it's a communication and media company.
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  Speaker 4: So people communicate with Meta, whether it's on WhatsApp, Facebook,
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  Speaker 4: or Instagram. And that's the number one way where people
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  Speaker 4: are actually getting information, news, a variety of different things.
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  Speaker 4: So if there's a blackout, like people have, people started
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  Speaker 4: to go into depression with Meta, had a blackout.
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  Speaker 2: I thought I got hacked. I was like, ooh. Yeah.
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: I was down for a few hours. Yeah, it's real. Yeah,
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  Speaker 2: so you feel it. Like something's different in your debt.
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  Speaker 3: And just to distribute content from a cost basis, if
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  Speaker 3: Meta and Instagram went away, how much, like just a
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  Speaker 3: regular reel, it may cost you $ 4, 000 in distribution to
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  Speaker 3: get it out if you have to advertise it. Like
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  Speaker 3: I remember advertising when you have to do like direct mail.
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  Speaker 3: And for a small local campaign, you were paying seven grand.
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  Speaker 3: And think about you can get the content out for
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  Speaker 3: free or even if you're running ads, you can do
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  Speaker 3: $ 40 a day. and get mass distribution it would disrupt
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  Speaker 3: the american economy for sure.
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  Speaker 5: All right so this is uh all right let's do
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  Speaker 5: this one lamb research or terradon i've been talking about
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  Speaker 5: terradon for the past month i feel like you threw
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  Speaker 5: that there intentionally man all right.
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  Speaker 2: Let's talk about lamb research terradon who you got.
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  Speaker 3: I love both both are amazing companies um Um, I've
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: been in looking at and invested in one for longer.
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  Speaker 3: So for that reason, I have a complete bias.
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  Speaker 2: Okay. I'm going to land research. I do think Teardown
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  Speaker 2: is an amazing company.
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  Speaker 3: Well-run organization, profit margin is solid, but, um, and this
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  Speaker 3: one was kind of like splitting hairs, but I'm picking
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  Speaker 3: land research.
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  Speaker 2: What about you? I think they're, they're both very important. Great.
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  Speaker 3: And it's like between like dirt and Kevin Gardner, it's like,
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  Speaker 3: you're going to win with either.
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  Speaker 2: It just comes down to like personal preferences. Yeah. But
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  Speaker 2: I like land.
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  Speaker 1: I think the difference is understanding that what both of
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  Speaker 1: them do, right? So both of them, Lamb Research really
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: for equipment, for testing the semiconductor space. Terradon also in
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: that space. And I think Lamb, obviously bigger company. Terradon
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: doesn't have a lot of growth potential. I'm going to
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  Speaker 1: take both. I'm picking both.
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  Speaker 2: I can't pick. I would definitely pick both.
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  Speaker 3: I like both of them.
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: I like both of them. The Jensen strategy?
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, because here's what, testing is important and we spoke
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: about it in the last class. Most people forget about
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: that layer of AI, right? Every semi that's made, I
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: don't care if it's Google, I don't care if it's
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  Speaker 1: Meta that's making their own or if it's NVIDIA, they
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  Speaker 1: must be tested. These people are making the machines that
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  Speaker 1: do the testing. So they're both kind of, it's just
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: about who their partners are. Like I said, S & S, Perf,
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: Lamb has NVIDIA. They have, it's a Microsoft and Meta.
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  Speaker 2: I'll take Terradon. If Dan Tony was your coach, who
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: would you rather have, Nash or Kyrie? It's one of those, like.
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  Speaker 4: I think you got to go with Lamb. You got
• 6:42
  Speaker 4: to go with the proven. I mean, one has a
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  Speaker 4: $ 350 million, billion, million dollar market, billion dollar market cap.
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  Speaker 2: Another one has 53. Yeah. So.
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  Speaker 2: If you're looking at safety land, but if you look,
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: it's a bigger, if you're looking at upside, bigger company. Yeah.
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  Speaker 4: And, but it's still not big, like huge, huge.
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  Speaker 1: No.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah.
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  Speaker 4: So it still has upside potential.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah.
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  Speaker 4: But it's already, if this was a racist, it's, it's
• 7:06
  Speaker 4: ahead of, it's ahead of, but that's ahead of the race.
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  Speaker 2: So here's, here's why it could be tricky. Right. Because
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: when we saw Marvell and Intel, two different market caps proven. Yeah.
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: But we went with the growth upside. Yeah. This one,
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  Speaker 2: two different market caps. And we went with the veteran.
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  Speaker 1: It comes, like I said, for me, it'll come down
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  Speaker 1: to who are their partners.
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  Speaker 2: That matters. That part. So like if it's NVIDIA, that's
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: a strong partner, right?
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  Speaker 1: That one, they were talking about today when we talk
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  Speaker 1: about too big to fail, there's no way that they
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  Speaker 1: will allow NVIDIA to fail.
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  Speaker 2: It's like, so if their partner have too much, they
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: have more cash than Norway. Yeah. It's too big. So like,
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: who are the partners?
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  Speaker 1: I think when you're trying to distinguish between two companies,
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: that is one of those, All right, that'll sway me.
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  Speaker 3: Who has the most... Well, once again, you can't go
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: wrong with either. It's like Apple or Microsoft. You can
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: have personal preference for each, different have different modes, but
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: 10 years from now, both will be around, it'll be good.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: This is a good one here. And I don't think
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: most people don't even know what this company is. Let's
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: go Seagate or Monolithic Power Systems, MPWR. I looked at
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  Speaker 1: this company years ago and I was like, why the
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  Speaker 1: hell is it this much?
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  Speaker 2: Yeah.
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  Speaker 3: I think they caught a great tailwind. I'm a little
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  Speaker 3: bit biased towards this one, but.
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  Speaker 2: I'm going with Seagate.
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  Speaker 3: But Monolithic is a powerhouse, no pun intended, over the
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  Speaker 3: last couple of years.
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  Speaker 2: Ridiculous.
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: But going for safety, like my first thought is how
• 8:44
  Speaker 3: much can a company draw down? not how much upside
• 8:47
  Speaker 3: can you have. If you protect the drawdown, the upside
• 8:51
  Speaker 3: money will be there. So same with IONQ or maybe
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: a micro strategy, they can have a great incline, but
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: are you prepared for the decline of 50%? If you're not,
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: you can't touch it. So for that reason, I'm going
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  Speaker 3: with Seagate.
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  Speaker 2: I was going with Seagate already. I like what you
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: just said about the downside.
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  Speaker 1: If you look at the drawdowns in monolithic, it has
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: been A roller coaster. Seagate is the one company in
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: the memory storage space that I did not have in
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: a portfolio. And I was asking, I was asking if
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: you went shopping Friday. It's because these are some of
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: the companies I was looking at. I'm like, Oh, this
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: might be an opportune time. I think Seagate kind of
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: gets overlooked. People always talk Micron. And because we talk Micron,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: we talk Sanders. And because we talk Sanders, you think
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: Western digital. But if you look at Seagate's run, I mean, it's,
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: That's 662. They got up to 1145. It was incredible. Like,
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: just quietly just moving. I'm taking Seagate in the storage space.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: I'm watching Seagate.
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: The decline. And I know.
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  Speaker 3: You may think that we are in a position of favor.
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: But even for me, when I had little money.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: I still.
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: went with the company that had the least drawdown. Too
• 10:04
  Speaker 3: many traders and investors focus on what can I get?
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: Like we all know people that have got a thousand
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: percent return. And then you went and either drew down
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: in your personal account, 500% or you blew 500%.
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: You didn't reinvest anything. So you might as well have
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: not even, had to win.
• 10:20
  Speaker 3: The most important thing in getting these 2,000%, like your
• 10:23
  Speaker 3: life has to change for the better. Not just going
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: to buy stuff as a result, but having a drawdown
• 10:29
  Speaker 3: of 45% or 50%. It changes the way you even
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: look at the market. You can't even look at the market.
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: That's the day you don't... I'm not going to open
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: a brokerage.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: I already know. If I open it, it's going to hurt.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Last one? Let's do this last one. Datadog and Twilio.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Twilio, I feel like... I remember Kathy Wood was investing
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: in Twilio. This is a company we got to look into.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Datadog monitors and secures cloud applications and infrastructure. Twilio provides
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: APIs for business messaging, voice, email, and customer engagement. Two
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: different businesses. Who you got?
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: Datadog.
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  Speaker 3: I think Twilio was a great business for a different era.
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: Back to that thing era that was needed. But as
• 11:12
  Speaker 3: the business climate shifted, you need different things. So like,
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: they may not have been as valuable maybe seven, eight
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: years ago as a result, but Datadog definitely in this
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: instance is the one to go with.
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: Seagate wouldn't have been as valuable nine years ago, but
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: the climate has changed.
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: The sector has moved. Yeah. I like Datadog as well.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: I feel like Datadog early on, maybe in 2020, we're
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: doing calls on that. And then found out about that space.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: Thought Cloudflare would be the leader. Cloudflare has become the
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: leader in that space. But The more applications that are built,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: the more security we're going to need around it. So
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: that infrastructure business, I think Datadog is the clear favorite
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: in this one. And if you look at how it's
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: performed over the past two or three years, it's been
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: rewarded for it.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: That was fun.