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Saturday BEST BETS | The Worst Board Ever | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/22/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: Man, a hole in your chicks, black coffee on the felt. Man,
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 3: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Now you stare at the chips like.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: They made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: Your name still means something on somebody for show. Put
• 0:41
  Speaker 3: the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 4: No, hold on, hold on, nothing nice now, hold on,
• 1:00
  Speaker 4: hold on and me.
• 1:10
  Speaker 5: But it don't get the crown. Hold on, hold on
• 1:17
  Speaker 5: and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: Now, what's up, everybody? It's towed back with you toadstool Sports.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: It is Saturday, August twenty second, one and one on
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: the show yesterday. So the streak ended at seven. I'm
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: not too happy about that, and I mean we should
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: have won both games. Probably. The under in Texas Anaheim
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: was really really easy. It was a zero zero game
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: at the end of nine innings. Can't get much better
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: than that. And then luckily, even though it went into
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: extra innings, it would have taken a lot to get
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: over seven and a half. So luckily that did not happen.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: I would have been extremely angry if it was zero
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: zero and it went over in extra innings. I mean,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: it would have been one of the worst beats of
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: all time. But it ended in the tenth inning of
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: the Texas one, two to one. I'm pretty sure Chicago
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: Cubs looked like they were like right out of the gate,
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: it looked really good. They were winning three to nothing
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: in the first inning, and then nope, they're down four
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: to three. In the second inning, they fell down five
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: to three. They literally did not score again until the
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: eighth inning. They scored in the eighth and the ninth
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: is high the game, and it's like, dude, just don't
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: even tease me anymore, you know what I mean, just
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: to lose an extra innings so by one, six to five,
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: don't tease me like that. Don't blow a three nothing
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: lead and then tease me like you're gonna come back
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: and win whatever. Still in a nice mini run here though,
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about today, and I don't know about today's board. Man.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: It's I have one play and I don't even know
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: if it's a good one, and the number that I
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: want isn't even really out there yet. So I'll put
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: it in the description what I wind up doing with it.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: But we can go through we have for today here,
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: we have a lot of baseball here. Obviously, Toronto and
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: the Yankees is the first game up in afternoon baseball.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: Three after noon games here. Yankees won yesterday. Unfortunately, they've
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: won five games in a row here. They won three
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: to one yesterday. If there's gonna be a game where
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: Toronto might be able to get this game though, although
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: I know Toronto won the last series they had against
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: the Yankees, but you think that this pitching matchup would
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: be the best one in the series for Toronto here
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: because Dylan Cease is on the mound here, although they
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: actually lost the last time Cease was on the mound
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: against the Yankees, which I think was the last time
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: he pitched. Yankees used three relieve pitchers yesterday Toronto used five.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Yankees have the better bullpen, ranked second. Their one of
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: two bullpens with the sub three era right now, the
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: other one being the Red Sox. Of course, Toronto is
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: mediocre out of the bullpen sixteenth. Yankees have not been
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: that good offensively recently. They're eighteenth right now overall, tied
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: with the Phillies, better than Toronto, though Toronto twenty seventh
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: right now though, is they've climbed out of the complete basement,
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: so at least there's that. Don't cease. Like I said,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: pitching for Toronto here, really good season for him. Two
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: point four to two ERA, one point six whip. He's
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: really good on the road, one point seven to one.
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: Roady Ray pitched well in that start against the Yankees
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: last time out, despite not getting the win there, double
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: digit strikeouts in two of his last three starts to
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: including that one. He's still on a roll. I mean,
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: we know he's one of the better pitchers in baseball.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: He's got a low hit rate, low walk rate, high
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: strikeout rate. Strike up for nine you know is also
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: going to be good, and strikeout walk ratio also good.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: All those things are good against the Yankees. He is
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: also good at generally ninety five at bats, thirty one strikeouts,
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: team walks, one sixty eight average, five hundred ops allowed,
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: So I expect him to pitch well here. Ryan Weather's
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: pitching for the Yankees here. I mean, I guess the
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: better matchup would have been ife for Toronto. I guess
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: the best possible matchup would be if they drew Will
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: Warren here, But they drew Ryan Weathers he's okay three
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: point five to six ERA, one point one to nine whip.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: He's actually a little bit worse at home three point
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: nine to three homey IRA. He's been pretty good in
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: the month of August, though he's only allowed two runs
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: in his last three starts, actually in his last four
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: starts if you include the last start of July, and
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: only three are in runs in his last five combine.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: He's got a pretty low hit rate on the season,
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: doesn't really walk anybody either. In strike up rate is
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: actually pretty good as well, so Weathers actually does have
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: pretty good numbers. It's been a career year for him.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: Really pretty good strikeout walker ratio there, strike up for
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: nine pretty high as well. All that's good. Numbers against
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Toronto are actually not quite as good, though mediocre, and
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: sixty six at bats two fifty eight average, seven sixty
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: four ohps, sixteen to two strike out walk ratio. I'm
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: not doing anything with this game, but I think possibly
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: the under could be worth a look here. But you're
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: looking at only one book out there. Looks like the
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: thrown of seven up there right now, although I guess
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: the the f book that is a failed merchandiser. Quality wise,
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: they look like they have a seven with a heavy
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: underjuice on it. Six and a half. Mostly here, oddsmakers
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: are telling you they think it's gonna be a really
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: low scoring game. I see the argument for it, but
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: you know me, like, I don't like going under anything
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: that's below a seven, even though the oddsmakers are kind
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: of trying to get you to shy away from playing
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: that under. There eighty three percent of tickets, sixty seven
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over, so the money
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: appears to be indicating on the under. I would slightly
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: lean Toronto as well, but the money looks like it's
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: slightly indicating towards the Yankees. Fifty three percent of tickets
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: on Toronto, fIF three percent of the cash on the Yankees.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: Yankees are a very small favorite here. It's like a
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: pickham price. They dropped from initially being favored in the
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: minus one twenties. I think if you played Toronto, I
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: think you should make it a first five play though,
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: because they do not have a bullpen advantage here. So
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: I think those are the two ways to look at
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: the game under or Toronto first five. But I don't
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: really love it. Atlanta and Milwaukee, I looked at the
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: starting pitching matchup and I was like, oh, yeah, Milwaukee
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: is a big edge here, but you're gonna have to
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: pay for it. And also, I think Atlanta actually changed
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: the starter in this game. If I'm not mistaken. Let
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: me see here. Yeah, it was gonna be Bryce Elderman.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: Now it's gonna be Martine Perez. But either way, I
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: think Milwaukee is gonna win this game. It's just a
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: matter of should you pay the price for this. Milwaukee
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: used two relief pitchers yesterday. Atlanta used two as well.
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: These are two good bullpens here. They had a pitching
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: duel of a game yesterday with Missierowski. I believe beating
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: ceased by one run yesterday, two to one, so it
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: was a very low scoring game. It did go under
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: the six if you did do that. But yes, bullpens
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: used to relieve pitchers yesterday, I believe, Is that right?
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: I think so. Yes, Atlanta's bullpen has been one of
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: the better ones all year. They're number three, Milwaukee number six,
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: and Milwaukee has a better era though, so I think
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: you're looking at two top five bullpens here probably. So
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: the bullpens are good. Both offenses generally are pretty good
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: on the Atlanta not so much recently. They're fourteenth right now. Overall,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: the Brewers seventh, so the Brewers are a little bit better.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: Martine Perez is going to be getting to start as
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: far as the actual board is saying, so we can
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: handicap it as if he is starting, because I think
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: he will be. He's listened as their number two starter
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: in the depth chart, which is kind of ridiculous. So
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: though he's had a good season three point one five ERA,
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: one point one to nine whip, he's not that good
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: on the road though four point five to nine. Roady
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: Ray struggled last time out at Minnesota. Isn't really striking
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: out a lot of guys. I mean, you kind of
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: know what you're gonna get out of him. He's an
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: old timer, like a junk picture. Although he's had a
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: good season, so you got to give him credit for that.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: Dvan's analytics guys really don't like him because he doesn't
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: strike guys out. His hit rate is definitely low, so
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: it doesn't allow a lot of hits, but he does
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: walk a few too many guys and again doesn't strike
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: guys out, which isn't really that great start. Out walk
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: ratio is actually pretty bad below two, so that combination
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: of lack of strikeouts and high walks is not great there.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: Strike out per nine is fairly low as well. He's
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: going up against Logan Henderson, who is really good for
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee and I think still kind of an under the
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: radar picture, although you do have to pay for him
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: today if you really want to try to play him.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: He's been really good with Milwaukee two point seventy ra
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: this year, zero point eighty seven whip really good. He's
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit better at home in some ways to
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: two point four to two Homye ray althose home roads
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: splits are not really too significant, but he's not allowing
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: many runs at all. He's allowed three or fewer earned
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: runs in every start on the entire season. Milwaukee's won
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: all but two of them, I think, or all but
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: three of them. He's got a low hit rate, low
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: walk rate, high strikeout rate, basically everything you want in
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: a pitcher here, like really high strikeout walk ratio, strike
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: up for nine also high. And he has not faced
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: the Braves before, so the Braves will be a little
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: bit of an extra disadvantage with the unfamiliarity because they
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: haven't seen Henderson before. So I think the way to
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: play this game has to be playing Milwaukee in some way,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: but you do have to pay a price for it,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: and I don't think I'm really willing to do that.
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: They're in the minus one sixty range here, and money
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: is coming in towards Atlanta. Seventy three percent of tickets
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: on Milwaukee's sixty percent of the cash on Atlanta. So
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: the money he's coming in towards Atlanta. I should have
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: brought Perez back up because the other thing is I
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: didn't look at his matchup numbers year. I did earlier,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: but his matchup numbers are not good against Milwaukee. Let
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: me bring that up. Hold on, Yes, Milwaukee has a
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: two eighty one average, eight to fifty ops in eighty
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: nine at bats against him, with a fifteen to seven
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio. So again, it's Milwaukee or pass
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: for me. And this one, yeah, the money is coming
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: in towards Atlanta for whatever reason. Total is somewhat low,
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: it's around eight, and the money is coming in on
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: the under. So I guess the feeling is that maybe
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: it would be potentially another low scoring game, and if
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: it is, maybe the underdog at a price like that
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: does have a chance, But yeah, I could. Yeah for me,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: it looks like it's Milwaukee's game to lose, so I
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: would lean Milwaukee towards like making a minus one run
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: line or something, but I'm not gonna do it. Fox
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Sports one has Washington and Miami. Miami won the game
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: yesterday in a return home spot. They still won three
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: to two yesterday. Miami will be the better bullpen here.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: Washington used four relief pitchers US today. Miami also used four.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: Miami is ranked ninth right now out of the bullpen.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: I still think they're a little bit worse than that,
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: but better than Washington. Washington's twenty sixth Washington's the number
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: two offense still and Miami is where are they tenth?
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: So two pretty capable offenses here in this one. Jake
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: Irvin pitching for Washington. Not great five point eight ERA
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: one point three to six whip. He did spend some
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: time injured this season. He is back right now. Then
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: he's been better on the road four point six road
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: hera with a below two hundred batting average allowed on
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: the road, so he's definitely better on the road. He's
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: a guy who kind of walks too many guys. That's
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: usually his main issue. His strikeout rate is decent, his
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: hit rate is decent as well, but he walks too
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: many guys. So he has some talent, but he's got
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: to fix his command. Man. He hasn't really been able
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: to do that at this up to this point in
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: his career. Four seasons in now, so not great strike
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: out walk raight stio there. Strike up for nine is
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: at its highest this year though, so he's striking out
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: more guys than he has before. Miami's had some good
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: numbers off him, but they only have four hitters who
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: have faced him eleven at bats small sample here, four
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: fifty five average one thousand ops. So, even though Elder
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: is in the or excuse, h Irvin is in the
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: better of his home road splits here, his numbers don't
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: look very good against Miami. I know it's a small
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: sample size. I don't think i'd really want to back
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: him here. Juri Perez is pitching from Miami. He's been
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: pretty good. He's the better of the two pitchers here
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: at this point. Three point two to three ERA, one
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: point one point one whip. He's good at home two
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: point nine home era those home opponent batting average is
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: actually a little bit higher than it is on the road.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: He's starting to have some walk issues again, which has
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: been the main issue with him throughout his career as
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: his command. Walked five guys the last time out, but
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: he didn't allow any earned runs against Cincinnati. He hasn't
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: allowed any earn runs in his last two starts. In fact,
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty good though for the most part. He's
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: got a low hit rate on the season. Walk rate
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: is not as bad as it usually is from him,
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: and his strikeout race pretty high, so those numbers do
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: look pretty good. Strike out walk ratio is actually not
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: as good as it has been in the past. I
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: think his strikeout rate is actually a little bit lower
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: this year than it usually is, which is interesting. So
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: maybe he's changed the way that he's pitched a little
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: bit of It doesn't look like it's that much lower,
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: but for whatever reason. Yeah, his walk number I thought
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: was a bit lower than it usually is, but it
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: looks like maybe not maybe my math that I'm doing
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: in my head, there's something off with it. I don't know, man,
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: it's stroke brain against Washington, though, Perez is not good
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: and thirty seven at bats two ninety seven average allowed
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: nine to eighty two ops. Doesn't look great. Man, So
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: when I'm looking at this game, I'm thinking it could
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: be an over, But it looks like the oddsmakers really
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: kind of think otherwise, like they think it's a low
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: scoring game. The total actually kind of surprised me that
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: it's seven and a half. I was expecting it to
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: be like eight eight and a half. Seven and a
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: half seems kind of crazy. Money is coming in on
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: the over sixty one percent of tickets, seventy four percent
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over. Little bit of money
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: maybe on Miami, although they are public eighty two percent
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: of tickets, eighty five percent of the cash on them.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: You know, Miami is fighting to make the playoffs here Washington.
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: Basically isn't Miami mad about minus one eighty here? Yeah,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: I don't have a good read on the side here,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: although the price probably looks a little bit too heavy
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: given how bad Perez's numbers are against Washington. But yeah,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: I think the over is what my lean would be
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: in this game, even though the total is low, and
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: usually low total means that you want to expect it
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: to be a low scoring game. But in this case,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: you saw the pitching matchup numbers there. There are multiple
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: things that could happen to get this game to go
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: over the total, including you know, getting some hit, some
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: runs off of the bullpens here too, especially Washington, so
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: it is a pitcher friendly park. But yeah, I think
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: over might be the way to look. And as I
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: forgot to point out with Toronto Yankee, even though Toronto's
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: probably going nowhere this year, they will still get up
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: for a game against the Yankees. If that wasn't you
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: know clear? All right? Saint Louis Philadelphia. Philadelphia has won
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: six games in a row. I think seven games in
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: a row. Yeah, I think it's seven now. They beat
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis seven to six yesterday. Close game. I think
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: it was a walk off win. I think bomb had
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: a walk off, not a home run, a walk off single.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: I think I believe it was an extra inning game.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: But hold on, I'm looking at Pittsburgh. Philadelphia did use
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: a lot of bullpen arms though they used five. Am
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: I right that it was extra innings? Yes? I am so.
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: Usually after an extra inning game, I want to look
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: more towards an over than anything else because the bullpen
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: usage will have been pretty high. Saint Louis used four
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday. They're not good bullpens either. Philadelphia's eighteenth,
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is twenty first, and Saint Louis's ERA is
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: actually a little bit better, but they're both not great
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: bullpen and I would avoid them in this game given
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: the usage and the fact that they're not that good.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is eighteenth offensively has already mentioned Tye with the Yankees.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is twenty fourth, so Philadelphia is the better
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: offense here and they are better at home. Andre Poignante
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: was supposed to pitch this game, but he's hurt, so
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: he is not going to be pitching. It is going
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: to be Quinn Matthews. I'm pretty sure for Saint Louis,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: who made one start I think a little while ago,
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: and they're bringing him back up here. I don't even
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: know if he's listed on the roster here right now.
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: Let me say, looks like he's not. I think they
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: have to call him back up, so I think I
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: could bring him up if I search for him here. Yeah,
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: So Quinn Matthews has a three ERA one point five
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: to six whip. This is his first season in the majors.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: He's actually made two starts, so of course that whip
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: is a lot higher than his era would suggest. So
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: the whip suggests that his era should be higher. I
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: should say he's had some issues with walk so far.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's pitched nine innings so far. He hasn't
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: really allowed many runs as you can see, pitched at
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: Toronto and at Cincinnati so far. So he hasn't faced
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: a great offense yet. But Philly's not that great either,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: but they're probably the better offense that he's faced so far.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: Ten strikeout six walks in nine innings so far with
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: eight hits allowed. So again, the walks have been the
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: real issue with him. It looks like he does strike
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: guys out, and he will have an unfamiliarity edge here,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: at least against Philadelphia, so they won't have seen him before,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: so that would be a little bit of an edge
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: to him. Perhaps it looks like Andrew Painter. It was
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be ap versus eight p man, and now it's not.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: Andre Payante had to get hurt. We're gonna get Andrew Painter.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: It looks like will start for Philly, which is probably
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: not a good thing. He's a rookie, but he has
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: not been good. Six point four to three RAM, one
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: point five to five WHIP. He's been even worse at
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: home in some ways six point five to nine home
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: the RAM, although opponent batting average is actually a little
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: bit lower at home. He's having some walk issues here
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: again recently, even though he's not allowing as many runs
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: for the most part recently. The last time out he
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: did against Minnesota wasn't really good there. He's allowed way
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: too many hits on the season. His walk rate's not
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: really good either, strike out rate is kind of low.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: None of those numbers are good, so strike out for nine,
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio, none of that is really good. However,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis has seen him a little bit sixteen at
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: bats and they haven't done well one twenty five average,
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: four fifty one ohps, six to three strike out walk ratio.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: But since Saint Louis has now seen him once, it's
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: possible they know what to expect now and they'll do
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: better this next time, because I believe they just saw him. Yeah,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: they just saw him two starts ago on August tenth,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: So a lot of times when that happens and the
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: hitting is unfamiliar to that pitcher and they don't do well,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: they face them again for the second time right away.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: A lot of times they do better. So I think
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis possibly could be a lean here. But this
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: is a hard game to figure out, man, It's kind
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: of unpredictable. The money looks like it's kind of indicating
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: on Philly though. They're at minus one thirty or so
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: here seventy tickets ninety two percent of the cash on Philly.
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: I don't love Philly here, man. I Like, again, I
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: would be leaning a little bit towards Saint Louis, And
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: it looks like the ticket and cash percentage is a
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: little bit public towards the over, with eight and a
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: half being the total. I don't have a good read
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: on the total either, man. I mean, if Painter can
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: actually match up well against Saint Louis and you get
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: the unfamiliarity edge from the rookie Matthews on the other side,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: it could be a lower scoring game, then maybe people
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: would think. But both pictures could also do poorly here
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: and it could go over. I mean, I think there's
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: a lot of variants in this game, so it's a
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: very risky game to play. In my opinion, I don't
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: really have a great read on it. Tampa and Baltimore.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: Baltimore won the game five to three yesterday after I
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: think they were losing early in the game. They might
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: have been losing three to nothing, so they pulled a
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: Chicago Cubs prahab Or. Tampa pulled the Chicago Cubs yesterday.
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: Freddyalta again was not great. I don't know what's going
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: on with him man. Tampa only is one relief pitcher yesterday,
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: though Baltimore used to so some light usage there. Tampa
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Bay is are fourth out of the bull penalty. I
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: don't think they're really that good because their ERA is
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: above four, but they're not bad. Baltimore is twelfth and
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: have a better ERA actually, but not by much. As
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: far as the hitting. Tampa Bay is the better offense
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: there's sixth. The Baltimore is sixteenth, tie with the A's.
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay I think does have a potential bounce back here,
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: especially because they have a better starting pitcher on the
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: mound here. Even though Baltimore they're gonna get up. Baltimore
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: is technically not eliminated but you know they're gonna get
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: up for a game against a divisional foe like this,
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: you know. And I think Saint Louis is still getting
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: up for their games too, you know, play spoiler against
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: one of the name teams in the National League. Whatever.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: But yes, I think motivation is not really a concern
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: in these games. But Shane McClanahan is pitching or Tampa
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: Bay here. He's had a good season three point two
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: five ERA, one point one two whip, although he's not
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: as good on the road four point three to one
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: Roady ra so he's a little bit more fatable on
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: the road. I think he missed about two weeks and
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: then he came back, and he wasn't really good against
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: Baltimore last time out, So maybe he'll bounce back and
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: pitch better this time. I know Baltimore just saw him,
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: but they've seen a lot of him, and I think
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: maybe he was shaky, trying to work his way back
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: from injury or something, even though he hadn't been away
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: for that long. And I tend to like veterans like
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: him in a spot like that. But he didn't really
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: do that well though. Tampa won the game, but I
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: think he might do better this time out. His numbers
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: are generally pretty good against Baltimore in forty four at
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: bats to fifty average, seven to fourteen ops allowed, so
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: that's not too bad. Brandon Young is pitching for Baltimore
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: three point five two ERA, but his whip one point
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: three to five is not very good. He's got a
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: three point three to nine homy ray, so he's a
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: little bit better at home. He's not pitching well recent though,
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: too many walks in his last few starts, not really
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: going deep into some of these outings, so he's kind
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: of fallen into bad form here recently. His hit rate
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: is right around one per inning, which is very average.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: His walk rate is mediocre. Strike out rate is not
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: really that good either, So Young I think might be
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: actually a little bit worse than his era makes them look.
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: Although I've said some nice things about him on the
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: show this year, but maybe maybe it's time to not
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: do that. Strike out walk ratio for him is just okay,
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: it's actually yeah, it's a little bit low. I would say,
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: strike up for nine not really that good either. Young
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: against Tampa Bay, these are some ugly numbers here. Twenty
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: five at bats, four hundred average twelve eighty four ohps
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: four to two strike out walk ratio. So I would
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: lean Tampa Bay in this game. The money seems like
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: it agrees with this, now that I'm thinking about it,
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: maybe I should add this as a play. I'm thinking
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: about it. Seventy eight percent of tickets, eighty nine percent
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Tampa here, So it looks like
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: the money agrees. Even though they're a public side. They're
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: in the minus one twenty something range, which is honestly
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: not really that bad of a price. I don't know
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: the bullpen wise, you know, maybe you want to keep
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: the bullpens out and maybe just go with Tampa in
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: the first five. You could do that as well, because
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: I think the bullpens might be a little bit of
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: a wash. But maybe Tampa has a little bit of
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: a bullpen edge as well.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: Mmm.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: I'm considering it because it does seem like kind of
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: a bounce back for them. Let me look, let me
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: see what the best prices that we can get here
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: on the rays.
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it looks like the money is kind of agreeing
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: with this. You can get minus one twenty two on
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: the full game first five is a little bit pricier
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty. Yeah, you know what, all right. I
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: don't know what I was thinking, man, but yeah, I
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: was just do it. It's just by Tampa on the money
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: line here. Sorry, I'll add that as a play. Oh no,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: all right. I mean I've said I don't like the
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: board today, so you know, but that one I think
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: might make some sense. Anaheim in Texas, we got the
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: underwright yesterday's We're in the evening slate of games here
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: now we have been for the last couple of games.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: Texas with a two to one win yesterday. I don't
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: really love these two bullpens, although I did factor them
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: in yesterday. But if you went full game or first five,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: didn't matter the under one for you yesterday regardless, Texas
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: used four relief pitchers. Yesterday Anaheim used four as well.
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: Don't love these two bullpens. I don't love the usage
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: as much as I did yesterday because the usage was
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: less coming in from the day before that. Texas nineteenth
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: and bullpen. They've been a disappointment. Anaheim wasn't really expected
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: to be a good in their twenty second of the
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: ear Ray is actually a little bit better, believe it
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: or not, don't think I want to trust the bullpens
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: in this one today. These offenses are bad though that
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: was part of the handicap yesterday, Texas twenty second, Anaheim
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: twenty eighth, tied in last actually with Cleveland and Seattle.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: It's just they're in a bunch there at the bottom
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: this one. I would not want to be playing it
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: under here though, with Ryan Johnson pitching for Anaheim here,
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: he has not had a good season. I think he's
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: a rookie. Six point four to one ERA, one point
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: five four whip. None of that is good. He bitched
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit last year, but I don't know if
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: it qualified as a rookie season or not. He's been
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: really bad on the road. Eight point two Roady Ray.
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: None of that is good. He's not allowing that many
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: runs recently, but he's not going to be deep into
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: his outings. He's improved a little bit, but it's really
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: not much. I mean a ten to nine strike out
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: walk race here this month, even though he's not allowed
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: many runs though command has really not been good, so
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: it's been misleading that he has a lot that many runs.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: He has a high hit rate here is walk rates
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: too high? Strike up rates not high enough, so none
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: of these numbers are good. Low strikeout walk ratio, pretty
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: low strikeout for nine. None of that looks good. However,
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: Texas doesn't hit him well so far in sixteen at
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: bats against him. They have a one eighty eight average
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: seven fifteen ops against the six to two strikeout walk ratio.
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: So Johnson, I mean, I guess he could potentially match
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: up well here. Cody Bradford is pitcher for Texas. I
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: think he's the better pitcher. He missed all of last
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: year with an injury, but he was pretty strong in
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. So far this year two point nine
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: to three ERA across the three starts, but at one
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: point four to three whip isn't really that good. He's
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: put too many guys on base so far, mostly actually
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: by being too hitable. Walk rate is not amazing, but
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: it's a strike up rate has actually gone down a
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: little bit, I believe this year. So strike up rates
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: not really that good so far, but it is a
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: small sample size, so maybe you got to give a
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: little bit of a pass for that right now, because
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: generally he's been a better strike up picture, but maybe
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: he's not recovering well from his injury. Who knows, it's
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: possible his stuff is kind of diminished after that, although
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: he's not really that old. I kind of think he's
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: gonna return to some sort of form here, though, although
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: we will see because some of these stats here so
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: far from him have been worrisome. And he did actually
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: face Anaheim in here as well, and he only had
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: one strikeout in that one in seven innings, but he
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: only allowed three runs, so he wasn't exactly horrible in
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: that start. His numbers against them are mediocre. They have
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: thirty three at bats against him two seventy three average
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: seven eighteen ops. I mean, you might be able to
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: make an argument for an under here again, and that
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: the hitting just isn't that good. The total's a bit
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: higher in this one at eight and a half. The
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: money seems to be kind of indicating that way. Ninety
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets and only say eighty seven percent
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the over, so it seems like
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: a public over with some of the money indicating against
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: it a little bit. I mean, both pitchers do have
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: decent matchup numbers, so I could see the argument for
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: an under. I would probably limit it first five here though,
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: because I don't like the bullpens, but I don't like
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: to starty pitching enough to do it either. Man. Yeah,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: I mean the pitching is definitely questionable here, so this
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: is definitely a pass for me. And the money lines
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: in the minus one sixties here dropped a little bit
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: on Texas. They're public eighty five percent of tickets, athough
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash on them, but it
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: was like some of the real money did come in
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: against them at some point. But I think Texas still
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: still have the better pitching here with Bradford on the
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: mound and whatever. Texas is the more motivated team here
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: trying to make the playoffs, although Anaheim is definitely still
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: motivated and trying to play spoiler here. And I think
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers know that, you know that Texas needs to win,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: so that's why they're lying so heavily on the money
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: line here. So yeah, probably it is a bit too
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: much of a price to lay with Texas here in
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: kind of an unknown situation, so where well, just a
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: game where you don't really know what you're gonna get
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: out of the pitchers. So in that way, yeah, I
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: guess I could see maybe some value being on Anaheim.
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: But I don't want to back Johnson Man. I just don't.
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: I don't want to do it. A's Houston. Houston got
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: a really nice start from Weiznsky yesterday, bounce back from
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: an ugly loss to Anaheim in the game before that.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: They beat the A's four and not thing yesterday. The
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: A's are awful. I mean, they might be the worst
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: team in baseball. They can't do anything at this point.
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: They're hitting isn't good. They're starting pitching isn't good. Relief
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: pitching isn't good. The A's used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: Houston definitely has the better bullpen. They used four guys yesterday.
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: Houston has ranked tenth in bullpen. The A's are dead last.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: The A's are twenty ninth still somehow, but they're the
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: worst bullpen. Their era is horrific, so Houston clearly has
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: a bullpen edge. They do have an offensive edge as well.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: There ain't ninth. The A's are sixteenth, tied with Baltimore
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: over The A's have been pretty bad recently, and the
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: starting pitching here doesn't do the A's many favors either.
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: With Jacob Lopez pitching. He has not had a good
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: season five point two two ERA, one point five to
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: three whip really bad. He's better on the road, though,
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: at least in some ways four point nine to five
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: Roady Ray. His opponent of batting average is actually higher
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: on the road, though I don't know if I could
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: totally make sense to that, but generally you would think
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: that pitching better on the road makes sense because the
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: A's ballpark is extremely hit or friendly. Lopez has been
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: better in the month of August, though, you got to
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: give him credit for that. He's allowed two runs in
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: each of his starts in August, going at least five
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: innings in all of them, with a twenty to four
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio. So he's in pretty good form right now,
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: even though he's had a terrible season. I don't think
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: he's a good pitcher, but current form does look good.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: His hit rate is a bit too high, though his
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: walk rate is also too high. Strike out rate is
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: just okay, So none of those numbers look very good.
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: As I accidentally click on different games here, Yeah, he
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: has a low strike out walk ratio here as much
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: hire last year. Last year he was actually fairly serviceable,
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: but this year, he's been awful, so I don't know, man,
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: although he's seemingly coming into a little bit of form
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: right now. Last year, strike up per nine was quite high.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: This year not so much. Very mediocre, but yeah, strake
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: up walk ratio is a problem because of the walks here.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: He is actually good against Houston generally, though in thirty
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: five at bats, two hundred average, six nineteen ops, Lopez
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: might actually do well against Houston here. Hunter Brown is
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: pitching for Houston. He's had some walk issues here. Man,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: he's a good pitcher, he's talented, but he's trying to
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: come back from injury. He's had some pretty significant command
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: issues this year. Three point six seventy ray not too bad,
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: but one point three whip not that good. And we've
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: seen much better out of him in the recent couple
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: of seasons, so I think he might come around at
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: some point, But right now he's a little bit hard
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: to back because he's so wild and he has not
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: been that good at home four point one home ye
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: ra and a lot of that is because of the walks.
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: His opponent batting average is very low, so he still
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: is pretty much unhittable, but his walk rate is just
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: way too high, even over his recent starts, which Houston
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: has lost every start he's made in the month of August,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: so though not necessarily his fault because he hasn't allowed
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: that many runs, but his walk rate has been way
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: too high. His hit rate is good, He's pretty much unhittable.
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: Like I said, he walks a ton of guys this year,
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: gets out of it somewhat with a lot of ground balls,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: and does have a high strikeout rate, but the walk
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: rate is so high that even though strikeouts per nine
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: is high, his a strikeout walk ratio is still really
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: bad this year, so that is the issue with him.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: He is generally good against the A's, but they only
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: have five hitters to have faced him forty nine at bats,
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: sixteen strikeouts, two walks, two four average five sixty two ops.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, Houston should have the upper hand here in
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: this matchup, like they have the better pitcher on the mound.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: But Lopez is in the better form here, and you're
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: laying a huge price if you want Houston minus two
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: point thirty here, ninety percent of tickets, ninety four percent
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. It's a giant total, man,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: So I I mean, excuse a giant money line. Excuse me,
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: the totals not giant, the totals at eight, but yeah,
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: that money line is gigantic, So I don't know. Man,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: uh Hunter Brown. It seems like the oddsmakers are still
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: kind of treating him like he's the pitcher that we've
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: seen in the last couple of years. Maybe he isn't
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: at this point though, and they also disrespect the A's
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: big time, like the I think the oddsmakers have the
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: A's probably is the worst team in baseball. I mean,
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: they just got swept by the Royals. They still haven't
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: won a game over the last I don't know, five
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: or six games, whatever, But I think Houston, you know,
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: there's unplayable at this price. The money is coming in
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: on the over over eight, so I mean, I could
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: see some arguments for that. But the starting pitching, the
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers actually look like it could be an under,
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: like a first five under, because both pitchers actually do well.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: I guess he's opposing offenses, so I think I might
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: lean first five under in that game, but it seems
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: extremely dangerous. I wouldn't do it, and the money looks
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: like it likes the full game to go over, which
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: you know, if you're gonna go under, you gotta avoid
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: the ace pollpen of course. So those are my thoughts
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: on that game. Not great thoughts, I know, Mets and
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: the White Sox. The Mets blew the game in that
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: one yesterday went the Mets were man The Mets were
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: winning that game, I think three and to nothing, and
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: they pulled the Cubs as well. I mentioned I liked
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: the Mets in the game yesterday. They did not do
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: well later in the game and they blew it even
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: though they have the better bullpen out of these two,
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: I think by a bit. The White Sox hit three
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: home runs in a row late in the game and
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: then they woun up winning the game six to four
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: and overcoming the early deficit. Yeah, not a great game
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: for the Mets here. Mets used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: The White Sox to have a little bit more to
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: play for here because they're still trying to win their division,
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: whereas the Mets are kind of just playing out the stretch.
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: But the Mets did look like they were trying to
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: win yesterday, at the very least. The White Sox these
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: three relief pitchers. Mets are still the better bullpen. They
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: ranked fifth. I don't think they're quite that good, but
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: they're pretty good the White Socks of fourteenth. Although the
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: white bullpen E. Ray isn't that much worse, so the
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: bullpens there aren't isn't a huge gap between the two.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: I don't think White Sox are the better offense. They're eleventh,
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: the Mets twenty fifth. So the Mets have gotten a
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: little bit better at least Christian Scott getting the start
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: for the Mets here, he's been decent three point five
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: to one era. I have backed him a couple of
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: times on the show this year one point two to nine.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Whip is getting a little bit high, though, so it
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: seems like he does have a little bit of is
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: a command issue, I would say, I'm pretty sure, like
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a walk issue. He's a little
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: bit worse on the road ray wise three point six
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: to one, but his opponent batting average is actually better
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: on the road, and he's still pitching pretty well. Over
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: his last few starts, like the Mets won all of them.
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: One of them wasn't really great against Atlanta, and then
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: they backed him with a lot of run support. I
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: think we got to win in that game. Backing the
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: Mats in the first five, I think even though they
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: almost I think they kind of almost blew it or
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: something if I remember correctly, or it might have been
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: a push. I don't know. I forget twenty to five.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: Strike out walk ratio this month for Scott is pretty good,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: though he's got a low hit rate. His walk rate
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: is too high, though strike out rate is not too bad,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: so strike out rate is actually pretty good. He's striking
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: out a lot of guys, actually straight out. Walk ratio
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: is still not bad because the strike out rate is
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: so high, but his walk rate is a little bit high.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: White Sox basically haven't seen him. Only Doyle is facing
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: him before. He's one for two, no walks, no strikeouts,
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: So I lean more towards Scott pitching well here though,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: because he's facing a team it's unfamiliar with him, and
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: he's generally been pretty good. I guess one thing you
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: do have to worry about is his innings count at
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: this point because he's a young guy, so you got
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: to take into account that he's throwing more innings. But
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: his innings pitched is not even that high at all,
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: So I don't think you really have to worry about
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: that either. Luis Castillo is on the other side here
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: for Chicago. He got traded from the Mariners around the
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: trade deadline. He hasn't had the greatest season here, man.
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: If you look at his career, he's better than what
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: he's done this year. A four point nine to ninety
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: one point three to seven whip not that good. He's
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: been a better home pitcher, but a lot of that
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: is because he was pitching in Seattle, which is a
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: very pitcher friendly park, so four point three to five
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: homing area. But I don't know if that's going to
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: translate to Chicago or not. However, he's pitched three times
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: of Chicago, had only one good start, and it was
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: an excellent start, and it was here at home against
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: the Reds. The other two starts, though, didn't go too
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: well at Boston and at the Chicago Cubs. So I
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: don't know what to really expect out of Castillo here.
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: But his hit rate is too high on the season,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: His walk rate is okay, his strikeout rate is okay,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: so the strikeout walk ratio is okay. It's mediocre straight
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: up for nine kind of mediocre as well, he's been
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: a bit too hittable this year, though the Mets have
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: actually been able to hit him well in eighty two
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: at bats, three h five average, eight to seventeen ops,
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: sixteen to three strike out walk ratio. I'm gonna lean
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: to the Mets in this one. Again. I feel like
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: I'm a broken record with that. And it almost looks
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: too easy to play the better team, which is the
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: White Sox and the team that everybody knows hits better
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: and is trying to make the playoffs. So it looks
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: too easy to lay like a small price minus one
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: fourteen or whatever. To me, it looks too easy to
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: do that with the White Sox. But the money seems
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: like it is actually backing the White Sox sixty percent
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on them,
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: and money also backing the over eight and a half. Here,
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't do it. I would lean to the Mets.
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: Like I said, I think you have the better starting
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: pitcher on the Mount, with a better matchup possibly at least. Yeah,
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think I have much else to say on
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: that game, but yeah, that would be my lean there
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: San Francisco and Boston. This one almost made my card,
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: and I guess it's still if I go through this
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: and I like what I'm seeing here, this game is
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: gonna be on Fox, and this is a very bad
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup, So that might give you a bit of
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: a hint as to what I'm thinking about this game.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: By The Red Sox won yesterday six to four. They
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: had a five to one lead and Sonny Gray made
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: a mistake basically it allowed he allowed two of them
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: runs actually I think maybe back to back, and then
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden it was a five to four game.
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: But the Red Sox bullpen came through yesterday, so that
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: league leading bullpen, even though they have a bunch of
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: injuries right now, they got they saved the game yesterday,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: including Chapman, but it means he's probably unavailable in this
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: game today. But the Red Sox still do have a
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: better bullpen than San Francisco, And of course there's a
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: little bit of a rivalry thing going on here, so
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: both teams I think are showing up for that reason,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: even though San Francisco doesn't have much to play for
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: here otherwise, the Red Sox trying to keep their wildcard spot,
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: of course, but Eric Miller who the Red Sox traded
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: Marcelo Meyer to get. He pitched in the game last
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: night against his former team. Seemed to be kind of excited.
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: A Devers hit a home run in the game yesterday.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: It was his first return, I believe to Fenwaysin, is
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox trade him? The Red Sox played against
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: him last year, but it was in San Francisco, I'm
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: pretty sure after the trade. So there are those storylines
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: going on that everybody likes to talk about. But as
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: far as handicapping this game, I don't think it really
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: matters much. But yeah, San Francisco used three relieve pitchers yesterday.
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: Both teams did. But the Red Sox are the number
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: one ranked bullpen here and they remained that way even
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: though I'm a little bit worried about them right now
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: because of the injuries they have going on here. San
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: Francisco's ranked twenty fourth. They haven't been a great bullpen
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: this year. Offensively, the Red Sox are all the way
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: up to eighth. I mean, this offense has had a
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: huge turnaround here, even though they aren't really that stacked
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: of a lineup, but they're the better offense here. The
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: Giants are twenty first, and I've been saying, I don't
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: think the Giants are really that good of an offense.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: The pitching in this game, though, Oh man, is it ugly.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: Blade Tidwell was pitching for the Giants. He's kind of
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: a vert reliever here. He was on the Mets last year,
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: which I kind of remember that was not great. This
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: year he's been mediocre, but he's made a lot of
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: bullpen appearances four point three to three are one point
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: two to whip. He's not so good on the road
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: five point four Roady area with a really bad three
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: ten opponent batting average on the road, so he's not
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: pitching well on the road. It seems like they've kind
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: of turned him into a starter here over the last
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: three outings that he was pretty good in two of them,
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: and then last time he got blown up at home
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: by Colorado and had a ton of walks. So I'm
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: not sure how good he really is. His hit rate
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: is okay on the season, his walk rate is okay.
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: I would say his strike up rate is a little
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: bit low, so it's not very impressive. Strike out walk
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: ratio not impressive, strike up for nine not impressive. The
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: Red Sox have actually seen him a little bit. They've
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: three hitters of face him for six at bats. Wilson
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: Contrere's is three for three with a home run off him,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: although he's the only Red Sox hitter that has any
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: hits off him. But that's a five hundred and a
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: half shu fifteen hundred oh ps across the three hitters
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: that have faced and Contreras, Rutchman and Siegler zero zero
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: strike out walk right shuit there. But I don't really
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: expect Hidwell to do that well here, and I don't
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: expect Sandoval to do very well either for the Red Sox.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: Anybody named p Sandoval, Red Sox should never deal with them, man,
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: they should never pick them up. If you remember whatever,
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: his name was, kung Fu Panda or whatever. I think
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: I said, trash Panda, kung Fu, but he was trash.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: Pablo Sandoval, the obese third baseman that hilariously was on
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: the Giants for much of his career, and then the
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: Red Sox had him and he sucked. Well, you know
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: who else sucks, Patrick Sandoval. I've been saying this guy sucks,
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: even though the Red Sox won his first five starts
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: or whatever, and he wasn't allowing that many runs. Yeah,
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: look at his whip one point eighty five. That is horrific.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: Like the Red Sox literally could have anybody else in
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: the rotation taking this guy's place and it would be
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: an improvement. I mean, I have no idea why the
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: Red Sox have this guy. He blows. He's by far
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: the worst starting pitcher. It's not even close. And as
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: one of you guys pointed out in the chat, the
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: Red Suck should just take him out of the just
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: get rid of him and replace this spot with an
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: opener and then Brian Bayo pitching behind the opener. That's
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: what they should do. On four point seven to six
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: ERA for Sandoval, But he's worse than that, so that's
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: not good. He's been better at home. Three point six
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: eighty RA at home looks good, but three point thirty
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: three opponent batting average, Yeah, that's not He got blown
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: up last time against Pittsburgh, though he hadn't allowed more
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: than he'd allowed more than tour and runs only one
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: other time on the season. But he's it's a mirage, man.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: He's allowing way too many hits. His walk rate's not
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: good either. His strikeout rate is actually pretty good, but
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: that's the only good number that he has here. It
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: looks like his bad pitching is catching up with him
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: bad start against Pittsburgh last time out. His strikeout oh
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is not great. Strake up for nine is
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: actually pretty good. But for the rest of these numbers
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: are just terrible. So yeah, I hate it. And San
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: Francisco has been able to hit them a little bit,
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: think like five four hitters of face and excuse me,
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: fifteen at bats two sixty seven average, seven to seventy
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: nine ops, five to one strike up walk ratio. I
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: would play this game over the total as you could guess.
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: That would be my lean here. I kind of want
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: to do it, to be honest. So the totals around
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: eight or eight and a half, so it's a reasonable total,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: kind of in no man's land here, although I know
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: we have bad hitting here in this game, but well,
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: at least especially on the San Francisco side, and the
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: Red Sox don't really do as well at home man
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of tickets, eight and nine percent of
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over, it looks like a very
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: public over. It's tempting men. I mean, I guess I'll
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: leave it alone, but I think the over is the
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: right way to play this game. Red Sox were also
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: minus two hundred here, like shirt Patrick Sandoval ever be
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: a minus two hundred favorite. I mean, come on, man,
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: And every time the Red Sox win at home, they
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: lose basically because the Red Sox have not been above
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: five hundred at home I think the entire season of them,
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: maybe really early in the season, and it's like every
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: time the Red Sox get back to five hundred at home,
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: they lose again. So the Red Sox are, believe it
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: or not, still below five hundred or no, they're exactly
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: at five hundred I think again at home. But Patrick
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: Sandoval should never be a favorite like this. Ninety three
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety four percent of the cash on
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox, so they look like a public side.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: There's no way you can lay a money in line
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: like this with the Red Sox. I mean, I don't
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: know if I would want to take San Francisco. I
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: mean you could make the argument for it, I guess
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: in the first five because Sandoval is really bad, so
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: maybe the argument is there maybe for tickets San Francisco
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: in the first five, But to me, it's I think
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: it's got to be an over. Let me take a
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: look at what Action Network is looking like on this
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: real quick. Yeah, I mean their indicators look like they're
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: mostly their market indicators are kind of showing under as
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: far as they're bigger indicators. So I don't know, man,
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: I would obviously I would not play the under in
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: that one. Detroit and Kansas City. Kansas City won again yesterday.
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: Man shout out to Zach. I guess Kansas City beat
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: a team that's not that bad this time, and they
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: have won six games in a row. I was surprised
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: by that. I thought stepping up in class against the
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: Detroit team. It's really kind of in desperation mode now,
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: still trying to make the playoffs. And I thought Detroit
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: was on a nice little roll and might be able
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: to win this division and they're run differentials pretty good.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: But it's not happening, man, Detroit's not playing well right now.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: Kansas City is hot six games in a row, but
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: still I don't know if Kansas City is gonna be
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: able to continue beating a team that's definitely better than them,
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: like the Detroit Tigers. Tigers only used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: They're definitely the better bullpen Kansas City used four. Detroit
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: is fifteenth in bullpen Kansas City's dead last thirtieth. I
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: think they're better than the A's but not better than
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: anybody else. Detroit's the better offense to their twelfth Kansas
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: City twentieth. Detroit does not have the starting pitching edge
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: in this game, though, they're going with a bullpen game
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: because true Anderson is listed as a starter, although he's
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: actually gone a starter's workload recently, so I guess we
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: can handicap him. Oh by the way, I will say
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: that if you're gonna play the Red Sox Giants game,
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: I would probably play Action on the San Francisco side
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: play Sandoval must start on the Red Sox side. But
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: because if anybody else pitches for the Red Sox, you
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: probably don't want to necessarily play the over. But as
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: far as San Francisco, it might be like a bullpen
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: ish game, so I think maybe you could just not
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: pick a starter for them. So just some thoughts there,
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: But yes, for Detroit, I was thinking kind of the
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: same thing, like they might put an opener in front
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: of Anderson or something. Multiple Anderson's pitching today, but for
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: Detroit yet Drew Anderson, they might put like an opener
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: in front of him potentially, So if you're gonna play
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: this game, I would probably pick walk on the start
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: for Kansas City, but don't pick a starter for Detroit
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: because it's gonna be some sort of bullpen game. But Anderson, again,
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: he's gone at least four innings in his last two outings,
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: so they're kind of letting him go basically a starter's workload,
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: and he wasn't really that bad in his last couple outings.
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: His numbers are very mediocre though mostly pitching out of
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: the bullpen. Four point oh one ERA, one point three whip.
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: He's got a good strikeout rate, although it might go
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: down a little bit if he's pitching more innings. His
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: hit rate's not bad either. Really, his numbers aren't that
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: bad across the board. The walk number, I guess is
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: the worst number. It's a little bit high. Strike out
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is actually not too bad. It's mediocre, and
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: straight out for nine, like I said, is actually pretty good.
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: So Anderson, I mean, he's not like a complete fade necessarily.
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: Royals have hit him well though, eleven at bats, four
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: fifty five average, one thousand ops three, zero start out
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, So Anderson does not have good numbers against
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. Michael Walka is definitely the more established of
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: the two pitchers here, pitching for Kansas City. He's had
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: another pretty good season three point five eighty RA, one
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: point one five whip. He's good at home three point
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: two to one homie I RA, so he pitches better
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: at home. He's in decent forms still, So yeah, I
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: think walker could continue to pitch well here. Just looking
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: at the numbers in general, he's got a low hit rate,
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: his walk rate is okay. His strike up rate isn't
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: really high though he's not a strikeout pitcher, but he
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: doesn't really put a lot of guys on base. His
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: strikeout on walk ratio is okay. I'll strike up for
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: nine is a bit low, but like I said, he's
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: not really a strikeout guy. And he's still able to
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: work his pitches in the right way to pitch efficient
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: or pitch effectively. He pitches efficiently too a lot of
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: the time, but effectively. And he's been more or less
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: decent against Detroit and one hundred and fifty two at
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: bats two fifty average, seven to twenty three oh ps,
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: thirty to six teen strikeout walk ratio. So I think
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: WAKA does have the upper hand in the starting pitching
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: I would probably be leaning Kansas City first five here.
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, Detroit should have more motivation at this point,
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: Like they're a desperate team and the money is coming
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: in on them and you're getting them almost at an
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: underdog price. Here, fifty percent of tickets on Kansas City, Like, really,
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: have we gotten to the point where the public is
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: actually backing the Royals over the Tigers. I don't know,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: man sixty nine percent of the cash on the Tigers.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: But in this pitching matchup, I still think Kansas City
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: first five. Although if you do that, I think you
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: probably have to lay a bit more of a price
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: than you would in the full game. I mean, because
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: Kansas City everybody knows how bad their bullpen is. But yeah,
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I think Kansas City first five makes some sense in
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: the game, but the money doesn't like it at all.
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: Money's definitely indicating on the over in this game as well.
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: At eight and a half. I mean I can kind
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: of see the argument for that. Like Walka has okay,
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: numbers against Detroit. Detroit pitching is a bullpen game, which
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: might not be good, Anderson has bad matchup numbers. Kansas
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: City's bullpen is really bad, so they're probably more indicators
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: for an over than an under. But I don't like
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: the game very much. Cubs in Seattle, I don't even
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: want to talk about this game because of what happened yesterday.
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: This game is also on Fox, so three games on
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: Fox this is you know, I mean, they're all games
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: that might get some attention. So probably the Dodgers and
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: Pirates is still the one that's gonna get the most eyes,
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: but Red Sox Giants probably the least. But Chicago Seattle
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: might get some eyes on it. Seattle with that win yesterday,
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: after falling behind early in the game, I'm not happy
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: about it. Cubs teased me and made it look like
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: they were gonna come back and win. Cubs used four
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers yesterday. The game did go extra innings. I
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: think four games did yesterday. Seattle also used four guys
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: out of the bullpen, and the other extra inning game
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: I haven't talked about yet. So you might want to
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: avoid the bullpens here because they're a little bit extra
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: worked after yesterday. Cubs bullpen isn't too bad though there.
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: Let me say, where are they their thirteenth Seattle has
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: been worse than expected this year. They've been there twentieth
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: right now out of the bullpen, but I still think
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: you might have two capable bullpens here. But they're a
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: little bit overworked here Cubs. Cubs are third offensively, They're
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: way better offensively. The Mariners are tied in last place
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: with Cleveland and the Angels. That's not good twenty eighth,
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: so the Cubs have the offensive edge starting pitching matchup.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: This looks like it would be a play from me
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: on Seattle. Maybe I should consider it, to be honest,
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: I'm thinking about it. David Peterson, you know I love
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: this guy pitching for the Cubs here. Five point two
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: nine ERA, one point five to three whip not good
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: numbers here, however, he is actually better on the road
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: four point thirty nine Roady Ray, and he might pitch
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: well in a pitcher friendly park here as well. On
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: the road, he's been winning for the most part with
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. I think he has seven of his nine
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: starts have been wins for the Cubs so far. Or
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: seven of his nine appearances. The last time out, he
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: only went one to third innings. Not exactly sure what
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: that was about. I still don't think he's a very
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: good pitcher though. Man puts too many guys on basil.
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: Though he's been good with the Cubs, like three or
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: fewer earned runs allowed in all of his outings with
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: the Cubs. But his hit rate is still high on
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: the season. His walk rate is still kind of ugly.
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: His strike up rates not very good. He gets a
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: lot of ground balls, which kind of masks how bad
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: he really is. Strike up walk ratio is not very good.
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: Strike up for nine is not very good either. Yeah,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: I mean I don't love Peterson Man. His numbers against
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: Seattle are actually not good. In thirty five at bats
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: two eighty six average, seven ninety nine ops. Not great
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers here, although he is better on the road
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: and he has been better with the pitching for a
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: contending team where he was on the Mets before him.
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: Maybe maybe that just didn't motivate him enough. Kate Anderson
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: is all the hype here though he's making his major
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: league debut for the Mariners, and ESPN he has such
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: a name behind him. ESPN already has his picture up here.
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: Anderson he's one of the top pitching prospects in baseball.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: He's a lefty. He throws like a what he has
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: a wide arsenal pitches like. He doesn't throw that hard.
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: He throws mid to upper nineties basically, but he has fastball, curveball, slider,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: change up. I think that like typical pitch mix. But
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: I think some of his moving pitches and off speed
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: pitches I think are very good. And he's been completely
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: dominating in Double A because I guess Seattle doesn't have
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: their pitchers pitching Triple A. I guess because it's a
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: high elevation environment. But I was thinking they should, you know,
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: like have their picture work him in the high, high
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: elevation environment, right, because then when he comes down to Seattle,
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: it'll be like a nice relief, right because he'll go
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: from a real hitter friend the environment to a real
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: pitcher friend the environment. No, so I don't know, but
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: that's not what they did. They kept him in Double
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: A and he was completely dominating in Double A. But
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: will that translate to the majors? It might, you know,
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: I mean he's never been seen before by the Cubs.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: I think he might pitch well. I think the hype
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: might be real because he's been so dominant. I wasn't
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: sure that Seattle should call him up, even though I
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: know they're in desperation mode. But like, the one thing
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: that Seattle has that doesn't really need fixing is the
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: starting pitching. It's everything else that's been the problem, especially
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: the offense. So I don't know, but in this game,
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in towards Seattle, fifty four percent
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the Cubs, fifty nine percent of the
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: cash on Seattle. Money also playing the over eight here.
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure about the over here, but I
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: would lean Seattle in this one. I'm considering it, man,
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: I am. It's been sort of on my radar. Let
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: me see here, Mariners. I don't know. According to Action Networks,
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: like a lot of the money is coming towards the Cobbs,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: though I don't know, I'm tempted. I guess I'll stay away.
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: I don't want Peterson to come in and catch me again.
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: But I like Seattle in this one, maybe first five,
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: only because I don't think they really have the bullpen edge.
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: So I think Seattle first five is probably how I play.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: You'll probably have to pay a little bit bit of
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: a price for it. And the other thing is, I
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: don't really love playing on these really hyped pitchers like
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: Anderson because maybe the hype is just gonna overvalue them
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit. But minus one fourteen full game for Seattle,
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: you'll probably get a reasonable price in the first five.
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: So minus one thirty maybe or something like that. Maybe
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: better than that, actually, So I don't know. Next game
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: up is one of my plays, but it's kind of
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: gonna it's gonna depend on the number that you can find,
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: which is Pittsburgh and Dodgers first five under the total.
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: But the best that I could find out there was
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: a three and a half. DK does not allow for
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: their totals, their first five totals, they don't have even
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: numbers on them. They always put the half run there,
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: and I was looking for a four. So that's what
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: I'm looking for. I'll put it in the description if
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: I find a number that I like. Like that, but
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: I like the first five under in this Pirate's Dodgers
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: game here, and I think it's one of these games
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: where everybody considers these two really good offenses which they are.
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: But the pitching I think can overcome the offenses here,
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: and I don't like the bullpen, so I want to
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: keep them out. They also had an extra inning game.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: Remember yesterday's bullpens that aren't really that great to begin with,
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: and they had to pitch extra yesterday, So I can't
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: factor the bullpens into this. Pittsburgh used five or leave
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: pitchers yesterday the Dodger or six, I think is what
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: that was. The Dodgers use four bullpen. Wise, Dogs are eleventh.
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're just okay, Pittsburgh twenty third. I mean
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: I think I was. I think I would be more
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: likely to go full game. I'm like, I might actually
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: extend this to full game if we weren't coming off
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: an extra inning game. I might be doing that because
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: you will. You will get the Hulk, like you will
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: get a seven and a half on the full game
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: most likely. But I just don't think I could do
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: it with the shape the bullpens are in. We do
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: have two good offenses Dodgers number one Pittsburgh number four,
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: But I think the starting pitching can hold the offenses
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: down a little bit. Jared Jones is pitching for Pittsburgh.
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: I think he's still kind of going under the raidar Man.
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, he looked good two years ago, and he
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: looks pretty good recently as well. Four point seven to
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: eight e ERRA doesn't really tell the story. One point
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: two whip is not great, but it does tell you
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: as the RA should be better than it is. And
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: he's also been somewhat better on the road in some ways.
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Three point nine to six Roady RA. Of those opponent
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: batting average is a lot higher on the road, so
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: not everything is better on the road, but he's maybe
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: he's coming back into form here because he pitched well
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: against the Red Sox last time. But he wasn't good
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: in the prior to starts though, but he was pitching
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: pretty well because he had a really good month of July,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I think he had a little
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: bit of a blip against a good Milwaukee team, although
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: I know he's pitching against the Dodgers here and then
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know what happened to him against the Mets.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: He had a really bad start against the Mets. But
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: I think he seems to be coming back into forum here.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: His overall numbers don't look too bad low hit rate,
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: okay walk rate, high strikeout rate, so mostly that's pretty good.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: The strikeout walk race sho is pretty good because the
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: strikeout per nine is high, so he's able to strike
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: guys out, which is good. And the Dodgers have twenty
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: eight at bats against him and they have not done
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: well two fourteen average, five to sixty three oh ps
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: nine to one strikeout walker ratio, so Jones has actually
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: done well against the Dodgers. He did pitch against them
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: once this year. He did fine, and that started. That
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: was a shortened star from him because it was only
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: a second start of the season, so I wouldn't take
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: too much away from that one. And of course schooballs
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: on the other side, Tark Schooble two point eight five
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: Vra point nine to six Whip. He's a little bit
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: worse at home three point four nine Homierra, though a
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: lot of that was with of course Detroit. He's been
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: good with the Dodgers so far. He's a lot three
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: or fewer earned runs and all three starts with the
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: Dodgers so far. He's faced some good lineups in here,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: Cubs Milwaukee, so he can definitely go out there and
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: pitch against good offenses. We know he's one of the
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: better pitchers in baseball. Low hit rate, low walk rate,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: high strike out rate. All those numbers are good. High
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: strike up walk ratio really high. Actually high strike up
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: for nine. Yeah, all that's good. And against Pittsburgh they
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: don't have much experience against him. They have five hitters
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: so faced him twenty four at bats. They only have
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: one extra base hit, which is a double from a
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Nick Gonzalez. One sixty seven average, four thirty nine oh ps,
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: nine to two strike out walk ratio. So I like
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: this to go under man in the first five. I
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: can't deal with the bullpens here, but I want to
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: find a four out there. Man. That's what I'm gonna
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: be looking for. I'll update the show description if and
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: when I can get that. Hopefully I can get that.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: I think I would still just do the three and
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: a half though, although it worries me. I kind of
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: hate the number three and a half. But to me,
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: this feels like a play. To me, this is the
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: first one I identified as being a potential play. Seven
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: and a half is the total in the full game,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: if you want to risk it and go full game.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: I mean the one thing about that that might help
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: you a little bit is Schooball might go deeper into
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: the game. Jones may not, but he might. He still
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: might as well. Who knows. Seventy nine percent of tickets
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on the over though,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: so the money kind of indicating towards the over. But
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: I like the starting pitching to do well here. Eighty
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets and cash on the Dodgers at
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: minus two fifty. I think the Dodgers are way too
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: heavily priced here. I think you could make an argument
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: for taking Pittsburgh like in the first five or something,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: and make an argument that Jones might be able to
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: duel Schoolball enough that he can kind of hang around,
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: and you can take like the run line there, and
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: maybe Pittsburgh can kind of hold the game and check
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: through the first five. And that would be correlated to
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: the under As I always say, if you think it's
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: gonna be a lower scoring game, it's more likely the
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: underdog can hang around because each run is worth a
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: little bit more. All right, Next game is Cleveland and Colorado.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: Cleveland won easily yesterday, nine to one. Bad times for Colorado.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: They're not playing well they've lost four games in a row.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: Now Cleveland is a desperate team, I would say at
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: this point because they've fallen back or they're still trying
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: to make the playoffs. Cleveland use four relief pitchers yesterday
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: Colorado used two. But Cleveland is the better bullpen, even
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: though they're a little bit overworked here. Cleveland is seventeenth
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: in bullpen. Colorado is not good to their twenty seventh.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: Colorado is the better offense their fifth, although they got
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: held down yesterday by I think Joey Cantillo had a
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: good start yesterday. For Cleveland. Cleveland is tied and last
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: with the Angels and the marrig Nurse for offense really ugly.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: Tanner Biby is getting the start for Cleveland here. Decent
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: season for him. Four point h one ERA, one point
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: one to five whip is pretty good. He's been similar
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: home and away, slightly worse on the road, but not
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: by much. He's in decent form right now. You give
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: up some runs against Detroit a couple of starts ago,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: but still not pitching too poorly in his recent starts here.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: He's got a low hit rate on the season. His
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: walk rate's not too bad. He allows too many home
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: runs though, and that's kind of a problem if you're
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: pitching a course field. You don't want to be a
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: home run heavy pitcher, and he kind of is. He's
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: a very fly ball heavy pitcher, so that's not great
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: for pitching a course field. But and his strike up
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: rate is also kind of low, so it might not
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: be good that he's going to be pitching to contact here,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: and some of those fly balls might result in home
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: runs in a stadium like this, so you do have
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: to worry about that a little bit. He has a
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: mediocre strikeout walk ratio. I would say strike up for
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: nine is actually at its lowest, and it's been throughout
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: his career, so he's usually a better strike up pitcher
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: than this, so his stuff doesn't seem to totally be there,
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: although he's had a decent season overall. Though Colorado only
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: has five hitters to face him, but they've done a
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: lot of damage in twenty eight at bats three twenty
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: one average, nine seventy four ops nine to one strike
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio. Good ratio, but the rest of these
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: numbers favorite Colorado's offense against Biby, so it doesn't look
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: very good for Biby Gabriel Hughes, especially again because Bibby,
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: being a flyball pitcher, home run heavy doesn't look good
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: for course field. Hughes pitching for Colorado. He's a young guy.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: He looked good early in the season, but he's definitely
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: taken a step back. Six point six' nine era really not.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: Good one point three eight whip is not. Great he's
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: better at home. SOMEHOW i can't make sense of. That
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: three point eight six Homi aray pitches betteran course, field
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: makes no. Sense he got lit up In San francisco
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: last time, out but he's somehow betteran course. FIELD i don't.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: Know he got lit up in his last Two roads,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: starts his last three starts of all been so he's
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: really kind of falling apart after he looked decent early
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: in the. Season his hit rate is too, high his
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: walk rate is, okay his strike out rate is, okay
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: stark out walk ratio is just. OKAY i would say
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: straight up for nine again just. Okay and of Course
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: cleveland hasn't faced, him and this might be an easier
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: matchup for him Because cleveland does not have a good
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: offense and he's unfamiliar To. Cleveland can we really trust him,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: though even though he is better at, home he's going
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: up against a very weak offense. HERE i don't. KNOW i,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: mean my instinct on this game was that over would
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: be my lean in this, game ALTHOUGH i really don't
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: want to do it at like, eleven BUT i think
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: you might be able to get the key number of
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: eleven and not have to go up to the eleven
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: and a half on this and off of that key
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: number yet looks like you'll be able to get eleven on,
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: This actually might be able to get ten and a
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: half on, this possibly over ten and a. Half of
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: course you're getting below that key number of. Eleven sixty
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets on the under in that game
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: and ninety one percent of the cash on the. OVER
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: i would lean over in that. Game LIKE i, SAID i,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: Mean biby looks like he's got a bad match up,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: here bad environment for. Him Possibly, Hughes i'm not so,
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: sure although it would basically just be banking On colorado's
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: pitching not being particularly good throughout the, game And cleveland
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: at least did break out the bats yesterday from nine,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: runs so they're at least capable of scoring against a
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: pitching staff Like. COLORADO i would also Lean colorado in
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: this game, slightly believe it or, not in the first,
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: five only because the bullpen is way too bad to back.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: Them but tickets eighty seven percent of the cash On
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: cleveland in the minus one forty. RANGE i Think, hughes
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: being unfamiliar and being better at, home he might be
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: able to Outpitch biby here in the first. Five so
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: Maybe colorado money line in the first five is insane
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: as that. Sounds it might be a spot where maybe
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: it actually, hits but With biby's really bad matchup numbers,
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: THERE i don't want to do it. Though cincinnati And
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: arizona is the last game. Here arizona won the game
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: nine to, nothing yes AND i know there were a
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: lot of professions that Liked arizona in the game. YESTERDAY
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: i didn't love it because they were turning home from
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: a road, trip but they got the easy win. Yesterday
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: E rod continued to pitch Well man. Yesterday cincinnati could
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: be in bounced back, mode possibly after getting shut out like.
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: That But, arizona you, know they have the motivation because
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: they're trying to make the playoffs And arizona definitely has
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: a better starting pitcher on the mound in this. Game
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: arizona used three relief pitchers. Yesterday they also have the
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: better bullpen over The, reds who also used three. Yesterday
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: arizona's ranking seventh and, bullpenal though AGAIN i don't think
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: they're that, good But threads are. Worse The reds are twenty,
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: fifth So arizona has the edge. There arizona has the
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: offensive edge as. Well they're up to fifteen So arizona's
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: been hitting well basically since The All Star. Break they've
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: come alive. Offensively The reds have not really twenty, fifth
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: tied with The, reds tied with The. Mets excuse me
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: And Ret louders pitching for The reds that can't be.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: Good five point one SEVEN, era one point four to NINE.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: Whip he's been really bad on the road seven point
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: two to three road E. Ra he is pitching a
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: little bit better, recently two home starts in his last,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: three THOUGH i wouldn't trust him on the road or
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: just really in. General his hit rate is, okay his
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: walk rates too, high strike up rates. Low not a
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: lot to. Like their bad strikeout walk, ratio strike up for,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: nine not really, impressive and Against arizona numbers are kind
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: of all over the. Place eighteen at. Bats they only
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: have six hitters who have faced him two twenty two
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: average with seven to seventy eight, ops so they do
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of power hitting going on against.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: Him five, strikeouts three, Walks BUT i Think arizona has
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: the way better, pitcher although if you Want, arizona you
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: have to pay a price for. It With Michael, saraka
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: he's back and he's got a two point nine to THREE,
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: ra one point one to one, whip really good at
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: home one point eight to eight Homi, ara so the
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: home road splits are heavily in favor of. Him. Here
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: he pitched well against his former team last time on Against.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: Atlanta he's made two starts since he missed almost two
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: months with, injury and he's been reasonably good in those two.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: Starts they're not working him, yet they're stillletting him ramp
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: up a little, bit but he's pitched all, right even
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: though he's a little bit walk heavy in The colorado.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: Start he's got a low hit, rates walk rates pretty
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: low in the, season a strike up rate is reasonably,
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: high so none of those numbers are. Bad strike out
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is pretty good because he doesn't really walk.
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: Guys strike up for nine pretty good as, well and
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: So raca Against cincinnati has been pretty. Good and forty
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: five at bats one fifty six, average SIX h two,
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: ops twelve to four strike out walk. RATIO i would
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: only be able to Back arizona in this one, man
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: BUT i think the money's probably not agreeing with, me
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: because the price is very high on, them and everybody
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: kind of, knows like you probably have to. Pay everybody
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: Knows arizona's trying to make the playoffs, here so you
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: probably have to pay extra for that. Reason eighty five
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: percent of, tickets ninety percent of the cash In. Arizona
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: they're at about minus one eighty here minus one seventies
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: in some cases. Here it is a hefty price money
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: coming in on the over over eight as. Well do
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: what you want with. That you could Take arizona maybe
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: over their team total or something like, that BUT i
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: don't think i'd want to Take soroka out of the
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: equation because he is, good so and if you Take
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: arizona team total, over you'll probably need him to get
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: to six maybe in this, game maybe, FIVE i don't,
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: know which is obviously, possible BUT i THINK i might
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: just make a minus one run line With arizona. MAN i,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: mean they were a bit too public for my taste
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: and maybe not much value, there BUT i think that's
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: WHAT i would, do is make it into a minus
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: one run. Line and then we Have minnesota And San.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: DIEGO i looked at this AND i immediately Thought San
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: diego has the better starting pitcher on the mound. Here
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: San diego won yesterday six to. Two shout out To
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: clint who was here right now, actually and we watched
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: The San diego game last. Night that's his. Team they
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: got the win. Yesterday they used two relief. Pitchers they
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: did use their clothes Or miller, yesterday even though it
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: was a four run. Win minnesota also used to relief.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: Pitchers San diego has the better. Bullpen they ain't eighth
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: OF i think they're like a top five or top six.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: Bullpen minnesota is twenty eighth, overall not. Good San diego
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: has come alive offensively since The All star breakthrough up
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: to twenty. Third minnesota has been the better offense over
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: the course of the. Season they're, thirteenth but you might
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: have two capable. Offense zeris is why part of the
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: reason WHY i kind of thought the over made some
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: sense in yesterday's. Game But Randy vask has pitched way
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: better THAN i thought he. Would Dean kreamer is getting
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: the start in this one From. Minnesota he's better than
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: HIS era, looks at least this year five point four.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: Era he came over From, baltimore but he's got a
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: one point eight, whip which does indicate that HIS era
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: should be lower than it. Is he's been really bad
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: on the road, though seven point Two ROADY, ra so
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: that's not good for. Him he's made three starts With
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: minnesota and he's been pretty good With. Minnesota he hasn't
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: allowed many runs. Yet he had his worst start, though
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: last time out at home Against, philly after he was
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: quite good in the other two. Stars it's one against
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: his former Team. Baltimore he's got his hit rate is,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: okay his walk rates kind of, low strike out rate is,
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: okay so his numbers don't really look that bad here
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: and hold, on let me see was THIS i was
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: gonna say it was That Kansas city game With minnesota as.
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: Well it WAS i just wanted to make. Sure but, yeah,
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: overall his numbers indicate that he's not as bad as
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: THE zra makes. Him look at his career numbers kind
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: of indicate that, too that he's been kind of a mediocre.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: Pitcher his strikeout walk ratio is actually it's like mediocre this.
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: Year it's not. Bad strike up for nine is a
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: little bit, low or, no, wait no it's. Not it's
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit lower With, minnesota but over the course
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: of the, season including With, baltimore it's been. Alright Against San,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: diego he's been okay in fifty nine at bats to
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: seventy one, average six fifty five, ops ten to six
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: straight out walk ratio not a good, ratio but THE
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: ops is at least not too. Bad Casey mize another
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: guy that got. Traded he's pitching For San. Diego so
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: two guys have got traded at the trade deadline going
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: up against each other, here and they used to. Well
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: creamer now moved to the division Where mice used to.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: Be so, yeah kind of funny myz three point one
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: eighty or a one point oh seven. Whip he's had
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: a good, season, Man he's been a good home. Pitcher
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: two point four to four home, area which seems like
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: it probably translates To San. Diego they have a really
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: pitcher friendly. Park he's made one home start with them so,
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: far and it was, good and it was against a
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: good offense In. Milwaukee he followed it up with another
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: good start Against. Cleveland cleveland obviously not a good. Offense
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: AND i THINK i gave it an under in The
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: milwaukee game and we hit. THAT i think MAYBE i
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: gave it an under in the other one too Against.
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: CLEVELAND i don't remember the first game that he, pitched.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: Though he got absolutely destroyed in his first game With
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: San diego Against, arizona BUT i think maybe it was
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: just a weird. Outlier like he's settled down since, then
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: So i'm not too worried about. Him he's got a
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: low hit, rate low walk. Rate strike out rate is,
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: okay but the walk rate's low enough of the strikeout
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: uh walk race ratio looks all, right looks. Good, actually
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: strike up for nine pretty, good not too. Bad his
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: numbers Against minnesota OR i would say mediocre in eighty
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: nine at bats to forty seven. Average they're definitely familiar
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: with him because he's been in Their division seven sixty seven,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: ops fourteen to six strikeout walk. Ratio what do we
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: do with this? Game? Man i'm kind of thinking maybe. Under.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: Uh the money seems to indicating to be indicating on
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: the over at over eight eighty three percent of, tickets
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on the. OVER i
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: would lean slightly towards the under, here, Though, well first,
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: FIVE i guess Because minnesota's bullpen is so, bad maybe
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: a first five. Under i'm back to starting pitching. HERE
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: i don't. Know San diego has eighty three percent of
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety four percent of the cash on. Them they're
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: dropped a little bit down to the minus one fifties range.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: HERE i don't really disagree with San. DIEGO i Trust
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: miz more THAN i Trust. Creamer plus San diego with
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: a better, bullpen so you could make like a minus
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: one run line out of. This both teams are motivated.
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: Though both teams are trying to make the playoffs, here
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: so somebody keep in mind in that. One so the
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: motivation should be there for both. Teams all, right that's, baseball.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: Man now we have A wnba. Here Indiana New york
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: is the first game On Amazon. Prime The prime at.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: Doubleheader New York is are turning home from road. Trips you,
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't really love. Teams they're turning home from road.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: Trips so it was only a two game road, trip
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: but still they've been away for a, week SO i
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: don't love. That you, know you got to get back
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: to home. Life it could be a bit of a. Distraction,
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: however they just lost To, chicago which is pretty, ugly
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: AND i don't see them Overlooking. INDIANA i, Mean indiana
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: beat them the last two times they played. Them it
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: was kind of embarrassing For New. York, however that might
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: Mean indiana just has the match up badge against, them you,
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: Know LIKE i Think indiana And New york both kind
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: of play, fast And indiana's just better at. It Although
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: indiana is not really that good, defensively But indiana's definitely
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: had the upper hand Against New york this. Year but,
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: again Maybe indiana will overlook them a little bit for
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: that reason in this. One Maybe New york will have
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: some adjustments to make. HERE i don't quite want to
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: back them in the return home, spot BUT i think
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: IF i was gonna do anything in this, Game i'd
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: probably be leaning To New york here to actually make
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: the adjustments and finally get one back Against. Indiana indiana
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: just lost a five game win, streak SO i talk
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: about that when you lose a win streak a lot of,
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: times it'll hang you over into the next. Game and
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: they lost In dallas in that last, game which was
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: a somewhat tough, game ALTHOUGH i BELIEVE i don't, Know
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: dallas has been kind of resting some of their, players
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: Or beckers might have been injured or. Something i'm not
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: sure she might have played in that game, Though i'd
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: have to. Look BUT i think when you lose a
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: win streak like, this a lot of, times it will
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: hang you. Over i'm not gonna Say indiana is definitely
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: gonna Overlook New, york BUT i think it's more likely
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: that they Overlook New york than That New york overlooks.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: Them the money seems to be back In, indiana Though
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: New york is favored around minus two and a half
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: eighty two tickets eighty seven percent of the cash coming
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: out In, indiana. Though But indiana is gonna be a
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: public side and everybody's gonna kind of want. THEM i
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: think because they're hype. Team they have a slightly better
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: record here as, well so it looks a little bit
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: EASY i think to Take, indiana the team that already
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: easily Beat New york last two times they played them
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: and has the better, Record it looks too easy to
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: take them as the underdog in my, opinion SO i
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: would lean To New york minus the. Points, charles what's?
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: Up thanks for hanging out all? Right connecticut AND la
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: is the other game On Amazon. Prime this is an ugly.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: Game LA's been really bad. Recently they Traded plumb away
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: and they pretty much just packed it in for the.
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: Season it looks like they've been really really. Bad they've
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: lost six games in a. Row they just got embarrassed
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: By atlanta got blown. Out, however maybe they'll show up
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: for a game after. That after you get embarrassed that.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: Badly connecticut beat them the game before, that and now
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: they're Playing connecticut, here so it is a little bit
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: of a quick revenge, spot if you want to call it.
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: That so MAYBE la will take the game a little
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: bit more seriously and make some. Adjustments they do Play
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: atlanta next in, revenge but after an embarrassing loss like
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: that To atlanta and losing To connecticut the game before,
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: that staying at home. Here it's also the second game back,
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: home by the, way which is a positive spot typically
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: BECAUSE i talk about this lad return home from a road,
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: trip and you, KNOW i talk about. That when a
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: team does, that it's negative, generally and it's a distraction.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: Generally and they got caught had a horrible, game so
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: a lot of times the team will bounce back in
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: that second game back. Home after. That connecticut is coming
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: off a blowout loss To, vegas so they're adjusted to
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: The pacific time zone at least because they just lost In,
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: vegas so they're already out in The pacific time. Zone
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: they got blown out, too SO i don't Necessarily i'm
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: not gonna say they're gonna overlook this. Game but they
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: did just BEAT la the game before, That so IF
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: i was gonna play this, GAME i would PLAY. La
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: i'm not gonna do. IT i haven't had A wnba
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: play for a. WHILE i don't love what we're seeing,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: here but minus four is the number. Here eighty eight
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: percent of, tickets ninety four percent of THE causu ON
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: La public is probably gonna side WITH la, too Because
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: connecticut has just been one of the worst teams in
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: the entire, league BUT, LA i think the spot sets
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better for, them SO i would
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: lay it WITH. La yesly ugly playing and ugly. Players
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: atlanta At phoenix is the last game. Here, PHOENIX i
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: think they're not as bad as the record, looks and
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: you're getting them as a pretty big underdog price, here
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: so it's possible, that you, KNOW i looked at this
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: AND i was, Like, oh maybe they're gonna be worth
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: a look. Here they did just lose at home To,
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: portland kind of a bad loss there To portland at.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: Home staying at home here for this. Game they have
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: multiple days off here to try to get over that
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: bad loss To, portland so they're. Rested they eve played Since,
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: sunday so nice rest here for A. PHOENIX i believe
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: they had some like big. GAME i think it might
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: have been THE la game or they had this Big
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: Diana tara. Celebration she was one of the best players
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: in league history And phoenix had her AND i think
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: they inducted her into Their ring Of honor or whatever the.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: HELL i. Guess they don't retire. Numbers they're like The Dallas.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: Cowboys they don't retire. Numbers if you didn't know The Dallas,
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: cowboys they don't retire. Numbers they put names in a
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: ring of honor. INSTEAD i believe it is what it's.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: Called but, anyway so Maybe phoenix was kind of in
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: a letdown after. That if that was that, GAME i don't,
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: know but it looks like it sets up as a
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: focus spot For phoenix here Though atlanta just DESTROYED la
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: in their last. Game they look way too good right,
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: now and they Beat vegas in the game before, that
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: they Beat indian or they Lost indiana and overtime the
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: game before. That So atlanta's coming off of three games
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: in a row where they looked probably too good. Now
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: it's not a sandwich spoting for. She they only Have
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: la coming up next after. This but they did just
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: Beat phoenix not that long ago as, well so they
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: might not Take phoenix very serious at, all and they
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: have A they don't have a rest edge here. Either
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: they were just IN la two days go and they
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: have to play again. Here in, fact they've played two
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: games Since phoenix has last, Played So phoenix has a
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: big rest. Edge AM i talking myself into? IT i don't, know,
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: Man atlanta is more of a defensive. Team it's not
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: really a high total, here one seventy six and a.
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: Half the lowest total is that Horrible CONNECTICUT la. GAME i,
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: mean even THOUGH la doesn't play good. DEFENSE i, mean
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: those teams are just battle over the. Place Indiana New
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: york is definitely a high. TOTAL i, mean, rightfully so
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: those teams like to score this, game Though i'm thinking
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: about the underdog. Here it's not that high of a.
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: Total is today the day do we finally jump back
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: in and play a and make A wnba play? Here all,
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: right let's do it two plays And i'm giving out
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: on the fly here today on the. Show you, know
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: let's do. It let's take The Phoenix mercury here plus
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: the POINTS i would sprinkle on the money line as.
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: Well looks like five and a half is the number
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: that you get on. This i'm gonna add it, here
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: and DEFINITELY i would say put ten percent of it
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: on the money, line because they have a decent chance
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: to win this game if they if they're gonna. Coverse
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: let me add this to The i'm adding it to
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: the banners. Here. Oops there it Is phoenix plus five
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: and a. Half let's do, It, yeah all, right, oops,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: YEAH i had that stupid. STREAMING i would put a
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: timer on.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 4: That.
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah the, COVEN i don't. Know coven might not
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: be the right word for. IT i don't know what's
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: a what's a better word for? IT i don't, KNOW
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: i have what's what's what's the term for like a
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: bunch of ugly? BITCHES i don't. Know, atlanta, ye Angel,
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: reesell if you saw what happened the other, day that
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: overtime loss that they had To indiana was Because Angel
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: reese missed a layup THAT i think would have won
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: them the, game and it was off of her own
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: Miss i'm pretty sure as. Well it's so fucking, stupid all.
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: Right and then we have a ton OF nfl preseason,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: here Which i'm gonna try to just cover really. QUICKLY
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: i don't give out preseason, plays BUT i was correct
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: about the over yesterday in the The kareem Bay denver,
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: game AND i was correct about leaning Towards Green bay
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: and that one, too BUT i said over in that.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: One that one went way over the. Total, Anyway we're
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: in week two of preseason, here so a lot of
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: times you start seeing like starters get into the game
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: a little. BIT i don't know in which cases it's
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: going to be the, case so sometimes you can kind
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: of tell based on what the line. Is washington At
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: detroit HERE i think every game here at the home team.
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: Stadium detroit in their first preseason game lost to The,
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: bengals which is kind of an ugly. Game But Joe
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: BURROW i think played for about a series and that,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: One detroit did not really play any of their starters.
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: There So CINCINNATI i think was a pretty big favorite
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: in that. One And cincinnati Had Joe flacco, ALSO i
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: think in that, game so they had a lot of
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: quarterback experience. There washington got an easy win over The
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: dolphins in their first preseason. Game, DOLPHINS i don't, know,
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: man they might be a little bit of a mess this.
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: Year this will be an interesting. ONE i, mean these
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: two teams seem like they kind of probably don't like each.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: Other Because washington had that big playoff win Against detroit
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: two years, Ago DETROIT i think got revenge on them
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: in a regular season game last. YEAR i honestly have
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: no idea who's going to be coming into this game,
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: Though and that's what you have to figure, out is
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: the quarterback, personnel and the motivation is what matters the. Most.
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: Lions you're probably gonna see a decent amount Of dobbs
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: And altmeyer. Here altmeyer they probably want to work out
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: and see what he's got because he's their young guy
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: that they. Drafted dobbs has been in the league foreverybody has.
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: Experienced but When dobbs is out, there it might be
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: more of a vanilla offense. POTENTIALLY i don't know if
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: we're going to see golf at all. Here i'm guessing
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: we're not going to See jade And daniels because he's
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: hurt all the, time also because they want to keep him. Healthy,
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: man and Also, DANIELS i don't, Know, man maybe they
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: don't want to put him in the spotlight after the
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: number five, issue suing everybody with the number five or
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: going after AN lsu for. That Marcus mariota is. Questionable
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: so you might see a lot Of Sam hartman and
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: Eighthan coliacmnas, here a couple of young GUYS i think
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: That washington has, here so you, KNOW i Mean washington
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: might like use these guys a bit more than you,
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: think like they might like unleash the offense a little
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: bit more than you think with those guys out. THERE
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: i don't have much to say about like really any
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: of these, games but in this, game it looks like
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in a washing and sixty four
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets On, detroit sixty nine percent of the
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: cash From. Washington detroit's only a one to one and
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: a half point, favorite so it looks really easy to
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: Play detroit. Here both teams had disappointing seasons last, year
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i Think detroit is legitimately in line for a
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: bounce back, season WHICH i talked. About that was one
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: of my season win. TOTALS i, said Take detroit over
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: their season win Total. Washington you, Know I'M i know
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: they had a miserable season last year Because daniels was,
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: Hurt but even if they improve on, THAT i don't
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: really think they're that good of a. TEAM i don't, know.
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: Man and then this game is also the money's indicating
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: on the over in this, game we got a lot
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: of low totals, here again because it's a, preseason BUT
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: i think maybe some of the totals are too, low
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: like we've been seeing higher scoring preseason games more often,
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: recently because again like some of these teams like to
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: work out these like offensive players they think might have
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: some talent and. Whatever Dan, quinn by the, way For,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: washington he's known for not really giving a shit up preseason,
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: though so keep that in. MIND i think Maybe Detroit's
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: Dan campbell might give a shit. More like he seems
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: like a guy that he never wants to, Lose like
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: he's the guy that will go out there and like
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: in a game that doesn't matter at the end of
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: the regular, season he'll still play all his, starters you
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: know WHAT i. Mean so he's kind of a. Psychopath
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: so that would kind of keep me off of wanting
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: to Play washington. HERE i, mean maybe the OVER i,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: mean maybe you're seeing SOME i MEAN i don't think
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: either team is necessarily that good on, defense and maybe
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: you'll see the offenses try to like kind of work
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: out some of their guys. There buffalo And, CLEVELAND i,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: mean nobody's gonna Want cleveland. Here who's gonna want to
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: lay three points With? Cleveland? Nobody buffalo eighty six percent of,
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety five percent of the cash On. Buffalo but
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: you know that this means that you're probably not gonna
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: see starters From. Buffalo Josh ALLEN i think did play
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: in their first preseason game and they Beat, carolina BUT
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: i think he only played for like a. Series he
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: might not play at all. Here, buffalo, though their quarterback
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: rotation looks pretty bad to, Me like If Josh allen gets,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: hurt they're gonna be in some trouble because they Have
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: Kyle allen And Shane bookley or her pronounce his, Name buckley.
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: Whatever those. Guys they've been around for a. While buckley
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: does know their, system And Kyle, ALLEN i think is
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: a pretty experienced as. Well but, yeah if these guys
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: are playing most of this, GAME i don't think that's
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: a very good. Thing. Man it might Mean buffalo's gonna
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: go pretty vanilla here offensively, too because there's not a
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: whole lot they want to go out there and try
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: to like Showcase. Cleveland on the other, hand they probably
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: actually have like maybe a battle at the quarterback. POSITION
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: i think they have announced that it will Be Deshaun,
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: watson and it should. BE i, mean if you saw
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: that first preseason game they, Had Deshaun watson was clearly
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: the best of the, quarterbacks even though they ran a
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: really vanilla. Offense with him because he hasn't played in a.
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: While sanders And gabriel both look, terrible AND i don't
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: know what they have In Taylor, green who they drafted this.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: Year cleveland might be going like they might be going
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: with some kind of creative offenses here in this, game,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: though you know WHAT i, mean because they want to
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: see what they have with these quarterbacks here and try
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: to make a decision. Here so And watson might get
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: into the game still as well because he kind of
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: needs more work probably, Too SO i think that's probably
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: really the reason. Why, so, YEAH i don't Hate cleveland
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: in this. GAME i THINK i would probably lean that.
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: WAY i, mean it looks way too easy to Take
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: buffalo plus the. Points i'd probably lay lay the three
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: With cleveland IF i was really gonna play that. GAME
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: i don't want, to but that would be my lean
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: in that one. PROBABLY i think the quarterback rotation sets
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: up better for them to go with like a non
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: vanilla type of offense and actually try to do something on.
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: Offense Plus cleveland as a new, COACH i, believe, Right
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: so actually both teams have a new. Coach what AM i? Saying,
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: yeah both teams have new, Coaches i'm pretty, sure and
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: the new coaches a lot of times will try harder in.
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: PRESEASON i, mean maybe that's kind of an indicator towards the.
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: Over the money was coming in a little bit on
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: the over in that, one but, Whatever and all these
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: totals are pretty much in the mid thirties, ranged like
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: just the totals in all these games only vary by two.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: Points atlanta In, Indianapolis atlanta looked so bad nobody's gonna
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: Want atlanta here. After they looked horrific in the first.
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: Game BUT i think they might be worth a look
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: in the game today because they look so unbelievably ugly
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: in that first game against The. Broncos but you Know Sean,
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: payton he tries to. Win he's got eight wins in
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: a row in the preseason or, something so he's trying to.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: Win The falcons are trying to figure out who their
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: starter is Because tua looked terrible in that game And
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: pennix based on that one, game Like pennix should probably
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: be their starter Over. Tua BUT i think they have
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: something to figure out. Here so that Means atlanta's going
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: to be running some offense here and trying to figure
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: out who their quarterback is going to. Be SO i
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: Think atlanta might be worth a look. Here and teams
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: that are that ugly in the first, preseason they do
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: kind of tend to bounce back somewhat, often then in
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: somewhat often in the next. Game pennix's. Question BUT i
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: think he'll be out, there and then they do Have
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: Cooper rush as, well and he's an experienced quarterback at
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: least he might be in the mix. There then they
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: also Have Jack, strand WHO i don't know what they
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: have in this. Guy he's an interesting. Character he's a
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: guy that they got From division. Two And i'm gonna be, honest,
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean there's a chance That strand is the
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: best quarterback on this. ROSTER i, mean as insane as that.
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: Sounds so maybe he'll be out there as well and
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: they'll try to see what they have with. Him The.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: COLTS i thought The colts would win against The patriots
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: in their first. Game that did not. Happen Anthony richardson
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: made a really bad mistake with that fumble that he had.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: THERE i don't hate The colts rotation here. Though With,
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: RICHARDSON i, mean he has a dual threat, quarterback so
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: you can definitely throw defenses Off. Riley leonard has looked
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: okay when he's. Played he played in some regular season
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: games at the end of last, year AND i thought
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: he looked decent other than he was making some kind
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: of rookie. Mistakes but he looks like he has the
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: talent to actually do, this even THOUGH i wasn't really
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: that high on him after seeing him play At Notre.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: Dame but, yeah and then they have Easted, stick who
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: is an experienced backup. Quarterback at least they got some
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: injuries going on. HERE i don't, know, MAN i don't
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: know If Daniel jones is gonna get into this. Game
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: they probably need to get him involved here because he's
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: coming off of a long injury. Layoff So jones is
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: gonna have to get into some of these. GAMES i
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: don't know if he did in the first. Game maybe he.
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: DID i should know as A colts, Fan but, WHATEVER
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: i would lean Towards atlanta in this, game, THOUGH i
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: think they might pull out more of the stops. Here
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: the money is heavily indicating On atlanta sixty seven percent
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: of tickets On indy seventy six percent of the cash On.
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: ATLANTA i think out of the game so, FAR i
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: probably like that one the. Best you're getting them as
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: a three and a half point. Underdog nobody's gonna want
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: them like they're like the laughing stock after week one of.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: Preseason they're the team that everyone's making fun of the.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: Most and you, know that's that's WHERE i like to
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: look BECAUSE i think it's always over an. Overreaction baltimore
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: And minnesota a lot of these games AROUND Nfl, network
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: by the, way and he has to be an Unlimited.
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: Minnesota they won their first preseason game against The. Giants
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: baltimore has a new, coach So baltimore might be playing
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Harder they won nice win for them
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: against The eagles in the first preseason. GAME i Think
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: baltimore might be in line for a bounce back season as.
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: Well this. Season they're gonna have to figure out their
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: new schemes of their new coach and. Whatever, though but
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: teams are the new, coach Like. Baltimore usually they do
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: play well in the preseason and they tend to try
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: a little bit, more at least in that first. Game
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: but now we're looking at the second game Here. Baltimore
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: as far as the, ROTATION i kind of doubt you're
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: gonna See Lamar jackson. Here he's two injury. PRONE i
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: don't think they want him back out. There Tyler huntly very,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: experienced but they would probably run kind of a vanilla
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: offense with him out. There but they do Have Joe
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: fanano And Austin reid who they may want to kind
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: of unleash and see what they have with those. Guys
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: so Maybe baltimore will run some more creative offense when
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: those guys are out. There, MINNESOTA i don't know what
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be doing. Here they already Decided Kyler murray
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: as their. STARTER jj McCarthy is probably gonna be heavily
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: in the mix in this one to see if he.
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: Improves Probably Carson, wentz if he's out, there it's gonna
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: be probably more vanilla with him out, there because he's
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: A i, mean we know he's been in the league for.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: Forever they don't really need to see what they have
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: with him or anything like. That And Max, BROSMER i
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: mean we've seen enough of him. Already LIKE I i'm
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: Surprised minnesota still has him on the. ROSTER i, mean
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: it's because he's A minnesota. GUY i think that's why
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: they kept him on the. Roster but, whatever he went
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: To university Of. MINNESOTA i don't. KNOW i don't have
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: a good feel for this. One money is kind of
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: indicating On baltimore they're a bit of an. Underdog they're
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: three and a half point, underdog eighty three percent of,
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety one percent of the cash On. Baltimore them
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: being an underdog probably indicates they're not Playing Lamar jackson
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: in this. GAME i don't. Know Man huntley might be
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: a little bit of, it might be a little bit of,
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: vanilla LIKE i, said with him out, there but with
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: the other guys out, There baltimore might kind of go
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: a little bit more creative on. Offense so maybe like
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: a Like baltimore might start like playing better in the second,
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: half maybe when those guys are out. There but it's
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: hard to, predict like who's even going to be first
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: out out of the, quarterbacks you know WHAT i, Mean
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: like who's actually gonna? Play SO i don't. Know maybe
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: McCarthy will play with some, motivation Like i've been, saying
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: because he lost the starting quarterback Position New orleans and The.
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: Rams how many games do we have here? Today what
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: the hell is? THIS i think we have Ten. Rams
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: sean Mcvayh i'm pretty sure he's notorious for not playing
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: his starters in, preseason although maybe he started kind of
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: playing them a little, bit because it seems like when
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: you don't play, them you have kind of a cold week.
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: One they beat The chiefs in their first preseason. GAME
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: i don't even remember that game happening or remember even
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: talking about. IT i REMEMBER i thought The saints would
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: win against The, jags and they did. Not they've had
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: a close loss in their first. ONE i like The
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: saints like this season though to some, Degree LIKE i
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: Think shuck is actually the real, Deal SO i think
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: The saints might be kind of a surprising team this,
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: year and they're in a very weak, division so LIKE
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: i think that they're gonna be the team that's in
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: contention With Tampa bay to win that. Division, anyway for The,
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: Rams rams might be pulling out some stops on offense
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: here BECAUSE i think they want to see what they
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: have in these quarterbacks Like Ty simpson who they just,
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: drafted whoever the hell stats And ben at the fourth
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: is AND i Doubt stafford gets into this. Game you,
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: know very experienced, quarterback no need to get him. Injured
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: But rams might run some more creative offenses with these
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: other quarterbacks, there just to try them. Out you, Know
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: New orleans they might be running a little bit more
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: vanilla because their guys are just all kind of guys
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: that have been in the league for a while. Now
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: Rattler Zach. WILSON i have no idea Who Hunter deckers is,
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: though but, SHUCK i don't know if he's gonna get
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: into this. Game maybe they might get him into the
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: game a little bit to get him some. WORK i don't.
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: KNOW i THINK i might lean to The rams again
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: in that, one. Though the money is not agree with
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: me at, all and it looks way too easy to
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: take The rams at plus one and a, Half like
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: why Would New orleans be? Favored? Right, like the public
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: is only going to be on The rams here after
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: what they saw last year eighty six percent of, tickets
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the cash on The. Rams but
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: of course there is the thing That sean McVay doesn't
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: seem to really take preseason very, Seriously so there is,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: That And New orleans do they have a new. COACH
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: i don't even. Remember i'm gonna have to remind myself
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: of all that WHEN i do AN nfl preview show.
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: Again all, Right giants In, MIAMI i don't think we're
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: gonna be doing a G spot podcast for the preseason.
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: Year But miami does have a new. Coach they did
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: not do well in their first preseason, game but they
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: usually newly coached teams usually do well in that first.
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: Game miami did. Not but now That miami's coming off
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: of an, ugly ugly, Loss miami might bounce Back hereants
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: are coming off kind of an ugly loss, too though
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: to The, Vikings AND i know people kind of got
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: Mad Jackson, Dart like About Jackson, darta you, know taking
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: too many hits. Again But i'm, like, dude the offensive
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: line like just totally failed on that. Play like it
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: was a blitz and the guy was in the. BACKFIELD
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: i think one of the backs was supposed to pick
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: him up and the guy was in the backfield in
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: like a. Second so what Was dart supposed to do
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: when he took that? SACK i don't. Know Apparently dart
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: looks good in joint. Practice it's another thing with these
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: week two preseason. Whatever, like you get these joint practices
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: and you can kind of gauge some things from, those
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: like you can sometimes gauge one team looks better than
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: the other in these joint practices or looks like they're
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: taking it more. Seriously but on the other, hand teams
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: might just go kind of vanilla in the joint practices
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: and not show what they're going to show in the actual.
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: Game giants also have a new, coach by the, way
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: so both these teams have new. Coaches they're both coming
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: off d of an ugly. Loss dart might get into
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: this game, Again i'm not really, sure maybe to get
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: him some more work because they still kind of want
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: to see he's a work in. Progress they still kind
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: of want to see what they have with. Him winston
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: is still there and he's very, experienced so he if
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: he's Out winston is just, LIKE i don't, know he's
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: a guy that slings, It so if he's out, there
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: maybe he will kind of just do some crazy. THINGS
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: i don't know About alan And, hayner But brandon now
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: and there are too many quarterbacks Named, alan and THEN
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: i Know miami Has Malik, willis AND i forget who
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: else they. HAVE i actually kind of Like Malik willis
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: as a full time. Starter who, knows but he's he's
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: interestingly he's a dual. Threat and Then miami still Has
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: quinny Or so they drafted out Of texas last, year
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: so they might be working those guys seeing what they have.
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: There and they Have Cam, miller WHO i forget who
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: that is that and they have Not Grunkowski granowski From.
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: Iowa i'm kind of Surprised greanowski made THE, nfl to be,
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: Honest That iowa team was more of a running team
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: and defensive. Team SO i don't. KNOW i don't know
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: what to do with this, game to be, HONEST i
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: mean maybe an. Over the money seems to be back
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: in the under here, though but both offenses might be
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit more unleashed in this game after bad
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: performances in the first, Game SO i don't. Know the
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: over makes some sense to.
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 5: Me.
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: Here money looks like it's heavily coming in on The
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: giants sixty five percent of tickets On, miami seventy nine
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on The. Giants do what you
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: want with all, that of, COURSE i don't have a
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: good read on that. Game maybe the joint practices are
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: saying something and The giants do look good in the joint.
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: Practices chicago And, cleveland or Excuse chicago And. Cincinnati cincinnati
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: won their first game against The. Lions LIKE i, SAID
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: i think they did Use Joe burrow very briefly in that.
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: One bears looked really good and crushing The. Browns but The,
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: BROWNS i, mean they had some really bad mistakes being
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: made by their. QUARTERBACKS i wouldn't take that much away
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: from how The bears looked in that. One, really The
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: bears probably looked too good, There so maybe you want
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: to look Towards cincinnati in the swam Where, cincinnati like their,
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: coach seems to be not like totally avoiding preseason now
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: in his, mind you know WHAT i, mean like BECAUSE
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: i think he realized That borrow is coming into every
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: season way too cold because he wasn't playing in. Preseason
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: So taylor seems to be playing a players. Now as
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: far as The, BEARS i don't know If Caleb williams
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: is going to get out there or. Not i'm not
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: a huge fan of, him. THOUGH i Like Tyson baige
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: and who was their second quarterback in, line and if
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: he's out, there he might do some cool, things WHICH
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: i don't know if he did in the last game or,
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: not but he's looked decent in some of these preseason
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: games in the. Past they got old timer Case, keenum
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: who they probably go really vanilla with, him but he's
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: just an experienced. Dude and THEN i don't know what
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: they have With Miller, moss who's pretty. Young but it's
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: a decent preseason quarterback rotation that The bears. Have, cincinnati
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: LIKE i, said they might run More Fan noa offensively
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: because they Have Joe Flacco Josh, johnson like those those
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: are two old, men, Dude like those might be the
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: oldest pair of quarterbacks in any quarterback room on the,
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: season like or in THE nfl this. SEASON i mean
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: to say money is backing The bears here against sixty
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: percent takets ninety three percent of the cash on. THEM i,
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: mean based on the fact that they look way too
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: good in the last. GAME i don't really love, that
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: BUT i think they do have the better quarterback, rotation
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: so maybe that's factoring into. THAT i don't. Know Man
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: philadelphia And New. England New england had a tie because
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: ties happen in. Preseason they don't go TO i don't
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: believe they go into overtime or they play a short.
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: Overtime it was kind of an ugly game where maybe
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: The colts could have come away with a win in that,
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: game but they did. Not of, Course patriots wound up
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: be in a tie. There philadelphia had an ugly loss
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: to The ravens in their first. Game Solid ali might
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: show up here though both teams looked ugly in the first.
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: Game BUT i don't. KNOW i, MEAN i Think philadelphia
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: might be the way to look in this game because
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: their first game was so bad Looking Philadelphia Jalen, HURTS
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: i don't know if he's going to get into this,
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: game BUT i think he's an overrated. Quarterback BUT i
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: don't love their quarterback room. Here Andy. Dalton they probably
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 1: just go vanilla with. Him he's. Old tanner McKee is
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: just a guy that seems like he's just kind of
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 1: a guy that they have as a backup at this.
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: Point no idea Who Cole peyton, is but. Whatever THEN
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: i already pointed out how Bad New england's quarterback room. Looks,
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: though like Behind Drake, may Maybe Drake may will play
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: in this game a. Bit but behind him they only
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: Have Tommy, Cutlets Tommy, DeVito And Baron morton who they
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: draft out Of Texas. Tech maybe they'll try to get
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: him out there and get him some work and see
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: what they have with. HIM i don't, know, MAN i,
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: MEAN i probably Lean eagles in this. One not a strong.
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: Opinion patriots look pretty public se, tickets seventy eight percent
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: of the cash on. Them public is probably Looking oh my,
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: GOD i get The patriots as an underdog after what
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: they did last. Year yeah, Whatever, Yeah philadelphia laying. POINTS
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: i think they're laying points for a reason. There Kansas
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: city And Tampa. Bay Tampa bay won their first game
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: against The, jets big, deal twenty four to. Sixteen. Whatever
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: The jets won yesterday though Against. Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh not a
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: whole lot going on With pittsburgh in their game. Yesterday Kansas,
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: CITY i believe they lost right to The. Rams is
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: that WHAT i? Said? Yeah, SO i don't. KNOW i
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: don't know how Seriously Andy reid takes. PRESEASON i don't
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: know what we're gonna get from this. GAME i don't
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: know what the quarterback rotation is really going to look.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: LIKE i, MEAN i kind of doubt That mahomes will
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: get into this. Game don't want to get him injured.
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: Again he's coming back from, injury so probably some justin
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: fields in the mixico he's. In he's, experienced but they
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: probably won't do anything that crazy with.
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 4: Him.
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: Nussmeier they might do something a little bit crazy with.
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: Him we'll see because he's a young, guy so they
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: might want to see what they have with. Him and
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: then a lot Of koon, Whatever, oladokun whoever you pronounce his.
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 1: Name we'll see what. Happens Man Kissas. City of, course
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: they did Get Kenneth walker in the, offseason so they
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: got him away From seattle, there which is. Interesting Kissas.
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: City one of their huge problems last year was the
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: lack of a rushing, attack and now they Have Kenneth.
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: Walker SO i Think Kansas city will take a bit
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: of a step four back forward this, year as long
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: as they stay. HEALTHY i don't know about this preseason.
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: Game and Then Tampa, BAY i, MEAN i don't know
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna See Baker mayfield at all in this
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: game or. Not they Got Jake, browning who's like a
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: lifetime backup. QUARTERBACK i don't know if they really are
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: gonna do anything with. Him and Then basilak And, DANIELS
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: i guess they're kind of the younger guys who they
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: might unleash a little bit more. HERE i don't. KNOW
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: i would kind of probably Lean Kansas city. HERE i,
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: Mean Tampa bay's a five and a half point, favorite
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: which is one of the highest numbers you'll see in
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: the pre, season and yesterday that didn't work out BECAUSE
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: i think it was The denver who was the biggest. Favorite,
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday they were like a six point favorite and they got.
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: Killed SO i don't know if this you can't really
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: put too much weight into these big favorites, here. MAN
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: a lot of times those teams won't actually really put
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: in that much of an. Effort, Man so let me, See,
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: yeah five and a half, here seventy percent of, tickets
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: ninety one percent of the cash On Tampa. Bay it
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: seems like the public is kind of down On Kansas
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: city after last year as. Well But mahomes got hurts
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: like what do you want to? Do and then, YEAH
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: i Think Kansas city's quarterback rotation might actually be a
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: little bit better. Too, See i'll lean Towards Kansas city
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: taking the, points and then we Have dallas And. Arizona
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: arizona has played two games. Already they lost The hall
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: Of fame game in a high scoring, game then they
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: beat The raiders last. Time dallas had a nice win
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: in their first preseason game At, SEATTLE i, believe, yeah
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: which was on hard. Knocks so nice win For dallas.
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: THERE i think Maybe seattle wasn't totally taking it that.
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: Seriously of, COURSE i Leaned dallas in that. One, dallas you,
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: KNOW i, mean they've been kind of a laughing stock
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: recently because they can't really get back to that level
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: that they once were. At they do kind of have
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: a quarterback battle going on for, backup, though Between Joe
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: milton The third And Sam. Howell they seem to not
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: know which one of the guys they want to be
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: the backup For, Dak SO i think they are showcasing
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: these guys and trying to figure out which one of
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: them is. Better so they're gonna be running probably some
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: more elaborate offenses with those two guys out. THERE i
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: don't know If dak's gonna get into the game at,
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: all but at Least dallas will be running some. Offenses
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: BUT i like what we've seen out Of arizona's offense so.
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: Far really With Carson, beck he actually looks decent AND
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: i think he might actually be. GOOD i don't know
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: if he's gonna play, here because he's a. QUESTIONABLE i
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: Think Gardner minshew got into the game last time. Too he's,
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: experienced SO i don't know what to say about. Him
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: and THEN i Guess Keaton, SLOVAS i don't really know
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: what to say about him. Either Jacoby, brissette not sure
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: if he's gonna get into the game or. Not He's
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: arizona's starter for the time. Being but, YEAH i, mean
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: If Carson beck is healthy and he's gonna get out there,
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: Again arizona might be doing some things as. Well so
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: this GAME i think maybe looks more like an. Over
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: but the money is coming in heavily on the under
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: in that. One the money is also Backing. Arizona sixty
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets On, dallas sixty percent of the
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: couch On arizona about minus. ONE i don't. KNOW i Mean.
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: DALLAS i mean they're kind of a lot of the
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: times to the more public, side just because of their,
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: name especially against a team that's not considered to be
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: good Like. ARIZONA i don't. KNOW i don't have much
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: else to say about, it BUT i think that's, it.
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: Man that's gonna do. It that's the show for. Today
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: my plays, today two of, them THEN i gave out
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: on the. Fly one of, them The Tampa Bay ray
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: is on the money. Line we're gonna be on first
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: five under In Pirates, dodgers BUT i would see if
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: you can get a four on, that because not all
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: the books had a number on it. YET i would
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: much more prefer the four on that. One and then
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: we're Taking phoenix in THE wnba plus the. Points and
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: then my other leans THAT i thought were pretty strong
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: were The Seattle mariner's money line first five And giants
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: Red sox over the total were the other ones THAT i,
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: liked but the market seem to not really love. Them,
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: well the market does actually seem to Like seattle to some,
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: Extent BUT i don't, know, MAN i, man just Hopefully
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: i'm picking the right games. Here that's gonna do. It
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: learn a tone On, twitter learn a tone On, instagram
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: like subscribe to the channel. Here listen on audio covered
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: in yuke on YouTube as well patron dot, com slash
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: learn To toe if you want to support me that,
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: Way loser casts Every tuesday, night And The giants G spot,
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 1: podcast which should be back at some. Point but that's
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: gonna do. IT i appreciate. It, Peace thank, you. Sir, yes.
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: Peace is McKinstry still on The. SAINTS i don't even
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: remember he. WAS i don't know where he is, now but,
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: yes thank, You. Charles peace.
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 2: Out if the doc starts, talking hand me the, phone
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 2: let somebody, in so let somebody.
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 5: Know you do not have to lose this. Round, longe hold,
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 5: on hold on nothing nice not, now hold, on hold,
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 5: on let me pull you out that bad luck by,
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 5: time but it don get the. Crown hold, on hold.
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 2: On stay with, me, now.
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 5: Hold, on hold, On you're still.
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: Here