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Texas vs Ole Miss: ADVANTAGE Does NOT Make Sense! 🤯 | Longhorns | Rebels · College Football Addiction: A Show About All Things College Football

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss and Texas presented by prize picks and sec matchup. And, uh, look,
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: I just an absolute must win. There's no other way
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: to put it for Texas Ole Miss with a tough
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: road with Texas and Georgia left on this schedule, but
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: they've got a little house money to play with looking
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: at the rest of the sec, but Texas is life
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: is on support. And that's not how you say it,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: but that's, you understand the implication there. Um, Texas is
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: one of the few teams in the country, maybe the
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  Speaker 1: only team in the country that because of that win
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  Speaker 1: against Ohio state could theoretically make it in at nine
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: and three. I'd still think they need some chaos, but man,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: you lose three in a row. You're going to be
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  Speaker 1: unranked and you're going to have a tough climb back
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  Speaker 1: to just get up to that 12th of the 11th
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  Speaker 1: spot in the country. They do play a Baton Rouge,
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: but before we get too far ahead of ourselves, can
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: Texas offense figure it out? Because that Ole Miss defense
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: sure did look good last week against Missouri Cole.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the big question is, if you're an
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss fan, what is reality and what is just falsehood?
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: So last week, Ole Miss came in with the 111th
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: ranked run defense in the country, and they shut down
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  Speaker 2: the leading rusher in college football and held them to
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: under 2.6 yards of play. 36 yards for Jamal Roberts
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: in that game, and if I'm not mistaken, it was
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: a grand total of... 50, 48, 39 yards. So again,
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: they were able to basically make them a one-dimensional unit,
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: which is why Simmons' numbers were inflated, and he only
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: gave up three points. And that's a major testament to
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: that bye week coming at the right time to be
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: able to turn the corner. But was it fool's gold?
• 1:37
  Speaker 2: Was it just, we need to have a win against
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  Speaker 2: this one team that was able to get us back
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  Speaker 2: on track? Or can this be sustainable going into Austin
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: against a team like Texas? Now, the thing with Texas is,
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: they have the 91st ranked rushing attack in the country. Like,
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  Speaker 2: they focus so much on getting better from moving off
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: of CJ Baxter and moving off of... about Trey Weisner
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: to go get Hollywood Smothers and go get Relique Brown,
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: and here they are still with one of the weakest
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  Speaker 2: rushing units in college football. Can that get going in
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: this game? I think the two main elements I'm looking
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  Speaker 2: for from the Texas side, number one, how do you
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  Speaker 2: get the run to set up the pass? Can you
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  Speaker 2: tire down that defensive line of Ole Miss? with Smothers
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  Speaker 2: and Brown, let them be able to win slowly inside
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  Speaker 2: of the trenches to eventually get your deep shots down
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  Speaker 2: the field. We know that Ole Miss has given up
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: explosives this season, and they've done so against... Good but
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: not elite wide receiver play. You still have elite wide
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  Speaker 2: receiver play when used properly in Cam Coleman and Ryan
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  Speaker 2: Wingo out in Austin. So can you use the run
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: to set up the pass? And then number two, who
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: is going to be that pass rusher that can bring
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  Speaker 2: down Trinidad Chambliss on second and third down early on
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: in the game to get the ball back to Texas offense? Guys,
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: Colin Simmons is more than likely not playing in this game.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: And I don't know if you know this, but Colin
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: Simmons has 55% of Texas's sack total in 2026. That's
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: over half. He literally is the best player on the
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  Speaker 2: field every single time that he steps foot onto a gridiron.
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: And if you don't have that guy, the big question
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: that you have in this game is, can you get
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: the sack yardage? Because the other thing is, Manon Watson
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  Speaker 2: ranks second on the team in sacks. But He's only
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: given up, I think, at like 11 sack yards. Colin
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: Simmons has 10.5 sacks and he's allowed 95 sack yards.
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  Speaker 2: So it's the way that the game goes. Do you
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  Speaker 2: have somebody that can pressure trade at Chambers into making
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  Speaker 2: the throws downfield where your secondary can create havoc, where
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  Speaker 2: he can be brought down behind the line of scrimmage,
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  Speaker 2: to where... He's living in a world of where it's
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  Speaker 2: now second and 17, third and 18, and you know
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  Speaker 2: it's a gotta-have pass play. What are the little details
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  Speaker 2: that you can do to go make Trinidad Chambers feel
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  Speaker 2: like that he's mortal? Because the guy plays phenomenal within structure,
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: but he also plays elite out of structure, and he
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  Speaker 2: makes those highlight little throws, whether it be the juke
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  Speaker 2: and jive, swing little pass with the forward lateral to the,
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  Speaker 2: I'm going to make you miss, I'm going to go
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  Speaker 2: ahead and see the blitz, and then continue to run
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  Speaker 2: upfield for a gain of seven and get out of
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  Speaker 2: bounds and get the first down. Do you have somebody
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  Speaker 2: that can go ahead and spy on Shambliss that kind
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  Speaker 2: of takes him out of this game and forces him
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: to have to be really good in the rushing attack? Which,
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: by the way, is back to being normal because last
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: week we saw Kiwan Lacey against this Mizzou defense go
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  Speaker 2: off for 100 plus yards. And you also saw Makai Frazier,
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  Speaker 2: who's been a really good secondary player, also go off
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  Speaker 2: for 100 yards. So can those two complement each other
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: that make it where you don't need to rely so
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: heavily on Trey to add Shambliss? Special teams are really
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: important in this game. We saw Texas last week score
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: a putt return for a touchdown. I think that's really big.
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: Lucas Canero can make kicks from 57 yards out. That's
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: really big. It really is going to come down to,
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  Speaker 2: was Ole Miss' defense able to find its pulse last
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  Speaker 2: week against Mizzou that can carry them moving forward against
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: every team. And if you're on the offensive side for Texas,
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: do you have a game plan of Arch Manning does
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: not live up to par? And are you really being
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  Speaker 2: honest about saying KJ Lacey, go ahead and get on
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  Speaker 2: in there. If we need to go ahead and throw
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  Speaker 2: a curve ball.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: I just want to know, we talked about Texas and
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: you were pretty hard on them on Sunday. So you've
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: had a couple of days since then. It, What's your
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: confidence level right now in a Steve Sarkeesian versus Pete
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  Speaker 1: Golding face-off?
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  Speaker 2: Three, three and a half. Because here's the problem. There's
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: not one thing about Texas' offense that we've seen up
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: to this point in the season outside of the fourth
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: quarter against Ohio State that has been promising. They still
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: are bottom half in the SEC in sacks allowed. They're
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: still bottom half in the SEC in targets for loss allowed.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: They're still bottom half in the SEC in press right
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: on the offensive line. They rely on the explosives, and
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: they're there. Bishop, Wingo, Emmitt Mosley, Cam Coleman. We've all
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: seen them go for a big breakaway 30-plus yard gain,
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  Speaker 2: but to get there, that to me is the issue.
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: It takes forever for that play to unfold, and it's
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  Speaker 2: like in critical moments and situations where it's a gotta have,
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: that's when they connect. So are you down by seven
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  Speaker 2: at that point, and then you're giving the ball back
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: to Trinidad Chambas in the fourth quarter? I don't know
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: if I can trust that either. The other big question
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: I have in this game really comes down to the
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: fact of last week Ole Miss did a hell of
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  Speaker 2: a job of making Mizzou one-dimensional. And Texas went 2-13
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: on third down conversions. That is a damning stat. And
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: I'm not saying that Ole Miss is going to let
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: them go 2-13 on 3rd down conversions, but if you
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: end up taking away Relique Brown and Hollywood Smothers, and
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: it is every single play, 3rd and 8th, 2nd and 9th,
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  Speaker 2: obvious passing situations, do you feel confident that with what
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: you have in Centurion Perkins and Luke Forelli at middle linebacker,
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  Speaker 2: and that front 7 headline by Will Echols being able
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  Speaker 2: to win at his point of attack, Cam Franklin coming
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  Speaker 2: off the edge, that they're not going to get in
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  Speaker 2: the backfield against this Texas offensive line? and force Arch
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: to either throw under duress, which oftentimes leads to a turnover,
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  Speaker 2: or he holds the ball too long and then it
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  Speaker 2: leads to a sack right there. I mean, like, the
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  Speaker 2: crazy part was Florida's defense came in with a ton
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  Speaker 2: of question marks last week. Tons of them. And it
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: was like they had the vintage legion of boom in
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  Speaker 2: the secondary that created turnovers. And they had a strip
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  Speaker 2: sack in the fourth quarter by a defensive line that
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: struggled to bring down Lenore Sellers. And like you throw
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: now in Trinidad Chambliss, he's as physically strong as Sellers.
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  Speaker 2: But he also is mobile the way that you don't
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  Speaker 2: have a quarterback. He's mobile like Johnny Manziel or Baker Mayfield.
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  Speaker 2: So it's like good luck trying to stop down in
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  Speaker 2: the opposing sideline too.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: I'll get right back to the clip with Tom and
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: Cole of the Power 2 in just a moment. But first,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: I want to give you a couple of picks. Now,
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: if you want to get all the picks, you got
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: to go watch the live show, the Prize Picks app.
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: All new users there.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: Play $ 5, get $ 150 in lineups instantly if you use
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: code HMA and win your first $ 5 lineup. Give me
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: the more on Trinidad's passing yards at 243.5. Just one
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  Speaker 1: yard away from that, 244.5. Give me the less on
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: Arch Manning. Now, I actually like Texas to win this game,
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  Speaker 1: but I'm going to take the reverse of what many
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: people might think on the passing totals. We also picked
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: Arches passing touchdowns. We took Kiwan Lacey. We took Trinidad's
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: passing touchdowns, but I'm not telling you what those picks are.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: You got to go watch the live show to check
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: it out. That's on College Football Addiction. We appreciate you
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: for watching. Make sure you're on the PrizePicks app. Again,
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: that code is HMA, and we'll see you guys real soon. Tom,
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: thoughts here on Texas can, I mean, I will say
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: this before I toss to Tom. I think Ole Miss
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  Speaker 1: is playing better football right now. I think all logic
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: would tell you that Ole Miss is going to win
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  Speaker 1: this game. The problem that I run into is that
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: logic has meant nothing in college football this season. And, yeah,
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  Speaker 1: Ole Miss should win this game. They're playing better. They
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: kind of probably match up with some of Texas' weaknesses.
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  Speaker 1: Simmons isn't there. But college football is stupid, and so–
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  Speaker 1: Texas probably wins by 14 because that's just how the
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: stupid sport works. Obviously nothing analytical to back that up.
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  Speaker 3: No.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: Oh, this matchup is something they're going to exploit. Like
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: I just, we're trying to apply, apply logic to a
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: very illogical sport right now. And so, but anyway, so yeah,
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  Speaker 1: that's where my head's at on, on trying to figure
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: out who wins this game. But I would expect Texas
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: to play like the more desperate team at home. And
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: I do wonder how much that factors in Tom, what
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: are your thoughts?
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: I agree on the desperation factor, and I wonder if
• 9:35
  Speaker 3: that's evident in Steve Sarkeesian's play calling. I think back
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: to a handful of years ago when it was Ohio State-Michigan,
• 9:42
  Speaker 3: and we knew Ryan Day was trying to prove to
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: the world that his team was physical and not just
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: a finesse team, and tried to run the ball to
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: the point where it was like, hey, you guys need
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: to quit this. You're not doing well with this, but
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: he was very hard-headed about it. Is Steve Sarkeesian similarly
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: hard-headed in his play calling in this game against Ole
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: Miss to the point that it's squeezing the life out
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: of Arch Manning? Or does Arch respond? Do you see
• 10:05
  Speaker 3: KJ Lacy? Do you see KJ Lacy outright replace Arch Manning?
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: Do you see him in packages to kind of get
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: a look at him in this game? I'm with you, TJ. Like,
• 10:14
  Speaker 3: my brain, everything is saying Ole Miss is playing better
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: But it's bizarro world right now in college football. And
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: I could see a situation where Texas responds against a
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: defense that does give up points. Part of me wanted
• 10:27
  Speaker 3: to at first think, man, this game could be like
• 10:29
  Speaker 3: scoring in the 40s. But even without Colin Simmons, I
• 10:32
  Speaker 3: still like Texas to control some of the scoring that
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: Ole Miss is able to accomplish. I still think Ole
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: Miss can get four scores on the board in some capacity.
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: So I'm with you, TJ, in that my brain is saying, oh,
• 10:46
  Speaker 3: Ole Miss should be rolling into this one in Trinidad,
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: if they don't speed him up too much, he's going
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: to have a little bit more time with number one
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: off the field. I'm still sitting here thinking Texas somehow
• 10:57
  Speaker 3: pulls this thing out 31-27. It's just, and I could
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: see the absolute inverse, not to paint this, but like, man,
• 11:05
  Speaker 3: I just feel like everything is possible in this game.
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: And I think you could definitely see Trinidad Chambliss blow
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: this thing wide open. depending on the morale, the confidence
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: level of this Texas offense, because I've said it before
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: on this show, if Arch Manning continues to struggle, and
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: you have wide receivers that are running downfield, throwing their
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: hands up, being like, dude, get me the ball, and
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: then the defense is playing lights out, after a while,
• 11:31
  Speaker 3: you break. Mentally, you're like, dude, you've got to help
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: us out. So if that happens again for Texas, Trinidad
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: has a Trinidad Superman type of day, and this is
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: very lopsided, but I'm going to make an official prediction
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  Speaker 3: and say 31-27 Texas.
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: Let me ask you guys real fast. Do you know
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: who the quarterbacks are that have gone up against Texas
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: this season?
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tramell Jones, John Mateer, Faison Brandon, not great stuff.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: It's not like a gauntlet.
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: Julian Sane that had a good first half, and we
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: kind of are starting to realize the one thing that
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: he does is he's accurate. That's about it. No arm strength,
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: nothing really else there. Brad Jackson, Owen McCown. And I
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: like Brad Jackson and Owen McCown for G5 quarterbacks. I
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: really like Owen McCown as a G5 quarterback. It's UTSA
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: and Texas State. You shouldn't lose those games by anything.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: You shouldn't even be worried about covering the spread. Every
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: single one of those quarterbacks you put into a body,
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: I right now do not think that they hold a
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: candle to Trinidad Chambliss. So you don't even have a
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: quarterback that you've gone up against defensively who's as mobile,
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: as elusive, as tricky, and as hell-bent on winning football games.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: as Trinidad coming into your building. And that's the part
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: that concerns me for Texas' defense, because as good as
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: it's been, not having Colin Simmons out there and not
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: knowing who can be the guy to bring down six,
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: that's a horrifying thought, even if your offense is able
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: to get anything going on the flip side. And if
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: it does become a shootout, honestly, it does lean Ole
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: Miss too, in my opinion, because at the end of
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: the day, you have to give the football back to
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: Trinidad-Chambers in the fourth quarter.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: I think Ole Miss is better here. I, if I
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: was putting actual real life money on this, I like
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: the value in old Mrs. Moneyline since you get plus money.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: And anytime you get plus money with Trinidad, it's a good,
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: a good move. I just think they're playing better football,
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: but I'm kind of with Tom. I think this sport
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: is stupid and I love it more than anything in
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: the world besides my kids. Uh, like I, but I, I,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: and you're, yeah, I'm, I, Did you see the thing
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: where the guy wrapped his wife up in duct tape
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: so they could watch college football all day?
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: Did you hear the quote though?
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: I wanted to, well, I wanted to like, I'm always
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: careful with like jokes that I make because people can't
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: take jokes in 2026. But like the joke always was,
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: I got to hear both sides.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: Like I don't even have to hear the other side.
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: Like I get it, man. I get it.
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: I understand.
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: I couldn't believe it didn't say. I couldn't believe it
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: didn't say Florida man. And it was somebody in Virginia. Fascinating.
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: Here was the quote. He wrapped her up for some
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: quiet time with football. I love that. It's like, I
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: get it. Like, I don't agree with it at all,
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: but I get it.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think Ole Miss is playing better. I
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: think this sport's stupid. So I'll take Texas. I, I
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: picked this yesterday. I can't remember my score, but yeah, something.
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: So I like the over, which is 53 and a half.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: So 28, 28-27.
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: Great game.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: Texas finds a way.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: Fantastic for both of you. This sport is stupid. I
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: will make a stupid prediction later. I will not in
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: this game. I think that Texas is going to find
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: a way to lose in the fourth quarter. I think
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: Trinidad Chambers is going to find a way to capitalize
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter. You give me any quarterback to
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: win me a football game right now in the sport,
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: there is nobody I'm trusting more than six down in Oxford, Mississippi.
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: I got 31-21 final score.