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The Midterm Debates Get HEATED · Predictable with Stu Burguiere

• 0:00
  Couple of big debates last night got heated.
• 0:02
  We will break,
• 0:03
  uh,
• 0:03
  break down the play by play of everything
• 0:04
  that happened in Michigan and Kansas and more.
• 0:07
  We have Dan Andros here to draft an NBA over-under wins,
• 0:10
  losses
• 0:11
  type of thing.
• 0:11
  We're gonna do that and maybe,
• 0:12
  I don't know,
• 0:13
  maybe we'll have a little time
• 0:15
  to talk some smack on LeBron.
• 0:16
  I mean,
• 0:16
  I,
• 0:17
  if I can handle it,
• 0:18
  if I can manage the time.
• 0:19
  It's all coming up and so much more on Predictable
• 0:22
  with Stu.
• 0:37
  We have so much stuff for you here at Predictable.
• 0:39
  Predictable 101.com if you're just getting started on prediction markets.
• 0:42
  The Senate Fantasy League we have is Senatefantasy.com.
• 0:46
  Go there,
• 0:47
  it's free.
• 0:48
  You can win up to like $2500 I think is the top prize.
• 0:51
  So,
• 0:52
  uh,
• 0:52
  just to,
• 0:53
  just to do the math for you on that,
• 0:53
  $0 cost,
• 0:55
  potential $2500 gain.
• 0:57
  Seems like a good bargain.
• 0:59
  Go there,
• 0:59
  get involved.
• 1:00
  All you have to do is pick some Senate races.
• 1:01
  It's fun
• 1:02
  and it's up there now.
• 1:03
  Senate Fantasy.com.
• 1:05
  OK,
• 1:05
  um,
• 1:06
  a couple of quick things I wanna hit here as we get into our topic tonight.
• 1:09
  Number one,
• 1:09
  it appears,
• 1:11
  the Washington Post is,
• 1:12
  is reporting or alluding to,
• 1:13
  it appears there's another fake pollster,
• 1:16
  uh,
• 1:16
  out there.
• 1:17
  This 1 may SoCal strategies.
• 1:19
  There's been suspicions about them in the past.
• 1:21
  They seem to have shut down their website,
• 1:23
  shut down all their social media.
• 1:25
  That is at least the accusation coming,
• 1:27
  uh,
• 1:27
  from,
• 1:28
  uh,
• 1:28
  the Washington Post.
• 1:29
  So,
• 1:29
  another thing to keep an eye on.
• 1:31
  We do have pollsters that
• 1:33
  are not.
• 1:33
  Fake as well.
• 1:34
  Coming out with new polls.
• 1:35
  Fox News has a new poll out about Texas.
• 1:37
  James Tallarico and
• 1:39
  Ken Paxton,
• 1:40
  what's the score right now in this particular race?
• 1:43
  It was 51-49
• 1:45
  Tallarico in September.
• 1:47
  New update,
• 1:48
  49 to 49.
• 1:50
  So,
• 1:50
  a couple of percentage points moving back toward,
• 1:53
  uh,
• 1:53
  the undecided column,
• 1:55
  a tied race
• 1:56
  at the top of that ticket.
• 1:58
  I guess if you look at the,
• 1:59
  if you look at it that way,
• 1:59
  and that's the highest profile race probably.
• 2:02
  The other one I,
• 2:02
  which I still can maintain,
• 2:04
  I don't understand at all,
• 2:05
  uh.
• 2:05
  Is this race at Governor Abbott versus Hinojosa.
• 2:09
  Greg Abbott,
• 2:09
  uh,
• 2:10
  looking for his 4th term as governor.
• 2:12
  He's up by 5,
• 2:12
  however,
• 2:13
  in this poll.
• 2:14
  This is one of his better results.
• 2:15
  He's been up by,
• 2:16
  um,
• 2:16
  you know,
• 2:17
  typically about 2 or 3 points.
• 2:19
  He's up by 5 in this poll.
• 2:22
  Very strange thing happened on the prediction markets about that.
• 2:24
  I'll,
• 2:24
  I'll give you that update here in just a second.
• 2:26
  Uh,
• 2:26
  and then,
• 2:27
  uh,
• 2:27
  this is another interesting part of this poll.
• 2:29
  You're gonna,
• 2:29
  you're gonna split your ticket.
• 2:31
  What,
• 2:31
  what does that look like?
• 2:32
  You know,
• 2:32
  we talk about people who are Republicans,
• 2:34
  maybe don't like Ken Paxton,
• 2:35
  won't vote for him.
• 2:36
  This is,
• 2:37
  you know,
• 2:37
  it's a small percentage of the population.
• 2:38
  This is what it looks like.
• 2:39
  If you are a Tallarico supporter,
• 2:41
  um,
• 2:42
  93% of people are going to vote for Hinojosa and only 7% for Abbott.
• 2:47
  If you are a Paxton supporter,
• 2:48
  it's the opposite.
• 2:49
  It's 97%.
• 2:50
  And only 3%
• 2:52
  for Hinojosa.
• 2:53
  So again,
• 2:53
  when we're talking about these ticket splitters,
• 2:55
  and this is one of the reasons I'm a
• 2:56
  little nervous about my portfolio in certain states because
• 2:59
  I'm depending on some of these ticket splitters.
• 3:02
  I'm depending on people,
• 3:03
  uh,
• 3:04
  who,
• 3:04
  uh,
• 3:04
  might be on Tallarico's side but then vote for Abbott as well
• 3:08
  in that race.
• 3:08
  So we will see where that goes.
• 3:09
  And Abbott,
• 3:10
  by the way,
• 3:11
  dropped
• 3:12
  from 74%.
• 3:13
  To 64%
• 3:15
  within the past 24 to 36 hours.
• 3:17
  Why?
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  I don't know.
• 3:18
  I frankly don't know.
• 3:20
  Uh,
• 3:20
  there is,
• 3:20
  there's one poll from a poll,
• 3:22
  small pollster that has it like a 1 point margin.
• 3:25
  Um,
• 3:25
  I don't know why.
• 3:26
  This is what the markets look like right now.
• 3:27
  Look at this drop,
• 3:29
  uh,
• 3:29
  for this is Texas Senate,
• 3:30
  by the way.
• 3:30
  Um,
• 3:31
  you've seen a long,
• 3:32
  uh,
• 3:32
  drop for,
• 3:33
  uh,
• 3:33
  Paxson.
• 3:34
  Uh,
• 3:34
  he had a little bit of a bump there
• 3:36
  when James Tallarico went on his weird flu vacation.
• 3:39
  Uh,
• 3:39
  but,
• 3:39
  uh,
• 3:39
  we're back now to 33%.
• 3:41
  I do think Paxson's probably undervalued at 33%.
• 3:44
  I,
• 3:44
  I don't,
• 3:45
  there's not that much,
• 3:46
  I mean,
• 3:47
  even the projection you see at the top of the screen here with,
• 3:49
  uh,
• 3:49
  on the Calci page
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  is only a 2.4% margin
• 3:53
  forecast.
• 3:53
  Every poll has a,
• 3:55
  uh,
• 3:55
  a polling error,
• 3:56
  uh,
• 3:56
  you know,
• 3:56
  built into it,
• 3:57
  a margin of error.
• 3:59
  It could go either way,
• 4:00
  even by the numbers that we have,
• 4:02
  let alone the fact that this is a red state and so many other things point toward
• 4:05
  a possible,
• 4:06
  uh,
• 4:06
  Paxton win.
• 4:07
  I,
• 4:07
  I,
• 4:08
  do I think he's over 50% in real value?
• 4:10
  Probably not.
• 4:11
  Uh,
• 4:11
  but is he 33%?
• 4:13
  That,
• 4:14
  that's very,
• 4:14
  very low.
• 4:15
  Um,
• 4:16
  VoteHub has a new survey out as well.
• 4:18
  This goes over,
• 4:19
  um,
• 4:19
  Ohio.
• 4:20
  They they have,
• 4:21
  uh,
• 4:21
  Ramas Amy Acton at 46%,
• 4:24
  Ramaswamy at 45%.
• 4:25
  This is going to predate most of this,
• 4:27
  uh,
• 4:27
  latest controversy about the,
• 4:29
  the ad that we,
• 4:30
  we've showed you.
• 4:31
  Uh,
• 4:31
  Sherrod Brown,
• 4:32
  uh,
• 4:32
  leading Houston 47 to 44,
• 4:35
  very close race,
• 4:36
  I believe is the Texas one in here as well.
• 4:38
  They had a Texas,
• 4:40
  uh,
• 4:40
  poll as well,
• 4:41
  I believe that they put out,
• 4:41
  I think it was them,
• 4:42
  or maybe it was Emerson.
• 4:43
  Uh,
• 4:44
  where they had Abbott up again by 5 points.
• 4:46
  So I think
• 4:47
  with Abbott,
• 4:47
  in the Abbott situation,
• 4:48
  he's had 3 polls that have come out in the last 24 hours that he's been up by 45,
• 4:52
  and 5.
• 4:53
  And then I think a small pollster maybe had him up 1.
• 4:56
  And the result of that,
• 4:57
  4 polls in a very short period of time is he drops by 10 points.
• 5:01
  Uh,
• 5:01
  I don't know what that means.
• 5:03
  Usually means something though.
• 5:04
  Uh,
• 5:04
  Ohio Senate looks like this
• 5:06
  right now,
• 5:07
  uh,
• 5:07
  Sherrod Brown at 69% to win.
• 5:10
  This is obviously over the past few weeks has really split.
• 5:13
  It was a 50/50 race not that long ago.
• 5:15
  Uh,
• 5:16
  for the governor's race,
• 5:17
  uh,
• 5:17
  you'll see a little bit of movement here.
• 5:19
  This is the one where we're talking about Vivek Ramaswamy and Amy Acton.
• 5:22
  Acton,
• 5:22
  the former COVID,
• 5:24
  uh,
• 5:24
  uh,
• 5:24
  lady,
• 5:25
  uh,
• 5:25
  for Ohio.
• 5:27
  Because of this ad,
• 5:28
  it's an 80/20 race.
• 5:29
  Again,
• 5:30
  there's not much in the polling that would
• 5:33
  describe Ramaswamy as a 20%
• 5:35
  underdog.
• 5:36
  Uh,
• 5:36
  now,
• 5:37
  I don't know.
• 5:37
  Again,
• 5:37
  I think he's probably the underdog in this race,
• 5:39
  slightly.
• 5:40
  But 20%
• 5:42
  seems incredibly low.
• 5:43
  Uh,
• 5:43
  and I,
• 5:44
  I,
• 5:44
  I think the media and everyone on these markets
• 5:47
  might be overreacting to this ad that is,
• 5:49
  I guess,
• 5:49
  controversial,
• 5:50
  and it is controversial,
• 5:52
  um,
• 5:52
  but still,
• 5:53
  it's,
• 5:53
  it's
• 5:54
  an interesting split there.
• 5:55
  OK,
• 5:55
  let me show you some of these clips from the
• 5:57
  debate last night because Michigan is at play as well.
• 5:59
  El Syed going against Rogers.
• 6:02
  Rogers saying,
• 6:02
  hey,
• 6:03
  look,
• 6:03
  it seems there's a lot of evidence that your
• 6:05
  family has been associated with the Muslim Brotherhood.
• 6:08
  Is that true?
• 6:09
  Here's the answer.
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  I've never been a part of
• 6:13
  because my mom who's a nurse in Missouri,
• 6:15
  it doesn't make any sense and it's actually really quite beneath you,
• 6:18
  Mike it's really quite beneath you
• 6:20
  to call into question my loyalty to the Constitution.
• 6:22
  I'm talking I'm talking
• 6:24
  I'm talking,
• 6:25
  own up to it.
• 6:26
  Excuse me,
• 6:27
  yep,
• 6:27
  go ahead.
• 6:28
  Can I have a few more seconds?
• 6:29
  Yes,
• 6:29
  go,
• 6:29
  go ahead.
• 6:30
  Thank you.
• 6:31
  To bring into question,
• 6:32
  my
• 6:33
  commitment to the Constitution is really beneath you.
• 6:37
  I mean,
• 6:37
  look,
• 6:38
  I,
• 6:38
  I don't think it is,
• 6:39
  uh,
• 6:39
  frankly.
• 6:40
  Certainly the stuff they're saying against each other,
• 6:42
  I don't think that's out of line,
• 6:43
  but the other part of it is,
• 6:43
  uh,
• 6:44
  you know,
• 6:44
  your sister actually said,
• 6:46
  like she said she was involved in the,
• 6:48
  she was praising her mom for being in the Muslim
• 6:50
  Brotherhood and her activism to support the Muslim Brotherhood.
• 6:52
  Now you might say that that's fine.
• 6:54
  You might think the Muslim Brotherhood,
• 6:55
  hey,
• 6:56
  it's like the city of brotherly love.
• 6:58
  Maybe that's what you think the Muslim Brotherhood is.
• 7:00
  But the fact is there is a ton of evidence that he,
• 7:04
  that his family,
• 7:05
  not necessarily even him,
• 7:06
  but his family
• 7:07
  was involved in this.
• 7:08
  There's other stuff that's questionable on his own side,
• 7:11
  but that's where they're going.
• 7:12
  Now,
• 7:12
  um,
• 7:13
  when you go to,
• 7:14
  uh,
• 7:14
  Roger's kind of his pushing on this particular issue,
• 7:17
  he's trying to get,
• 7:18
  uh,
• 7:19
  he's trying to build a case here against,
• 7:21
  um,
• 7:22
  El Sayed being honest.
• 7:23
  It does seem like he has a problem.
• 7:25
  Uh,
• 7:25
  he's a smooth talker,
• 7:26
  and he has a problem kind of sticking near the truth.
• 7:29
  Here's what Rogers said.
• 7:30
  Ask Somebody,
• 7:31
  a new investigator about how you figure out if somebody's honest and willing,
• 7:35
  willing to tell you the truth.
• 7:36
  You go through a series of questions.
• 7:38
  Did you lie on your resume?
• 7:39
  Yep,
• 7:39
  did.
• 7:40
  He lied about being a physician.
• 7:42
  Did he lie about his relationships with an organization
• 7:45
  that should give us all pause?
• 7:46
  Yep,
• 7:47
  he did.
• 7:47
  He lied about being an Egyptian dual citizen.
• 7:50
  He lied about some of his stances on these positions as he's flipped again.
• 7:56
  This is a pattern
• 7:57
  that we need to understand
• 7:59
  for this to to trust this candidate.
• 8:02
  Now,
• 8:02
  uh,
• 8:02
  Elsa had mainly tried to just skirt those issues and
• 8:05
  not really respond to them directly other than to say,
• 8:07
  oh well,
• 8:08
  my mom's a nurse.
• 8:09
  It doesn't have to do with anything?
• 8:10
  I don't know.
• 8:11
  But,
• 8:11
  uh,
• 8:12
  he did have points on his own behalf too.
• 8:13
  He tried to,
• 8:14
  uh,
• 8:15
  point to his,
• 8:16
  uh,
• 8:17
  policy profile.
• 8:18
  Uh,
• 8:18
  here is,
• 8:19
  uh,
• 8:20
  I'll give you a couple of examples of what he wants to bring to the state of Michigan.
• 8:24
  Here he is talking about,
• 8:25
  uh,
• 8:25
  immigration.
• 8:27
  I believe that we don't need ICE.
• 8:28
  In fact,
• 8:29
  we can go back to INS back when we were a
• 8:31
  lot more safe and secure when it came to immigration,
• 8:33
  and then we need to make sure we have a clear pathway to citizenship
• 8:36
  so that people can come here and take opportunities that are legal for them.
• 8:41
  I,
• 8:41
  I,
• 8:42
  now,
• 8:42
  I,
• 8:42
  look,
• 8:43
  I don't know,
• 8:44
  um,
• 8:45
  what he means when he says we're more safe and secure previously,
• 8:48
  like we're our border crossings are at near an all-time low.
• 8:51
  Um,
• 8:51
  so I,
• 8:52
  I don't know,
• 8:53
  you know,
• 8:53
  I'm not exactly sure what he's referring to there.
• 8:55
  Maybe he's referring to the,
• 8:56
  the,
• 8:57
  the,
• 8:57
  you know,
• 8:58
  the,
• 8:58
  like his idea is maybe the,
• 9:00
  the protesters and,
• 9:01
  and they've had incidents with ICE,
• 9:03
  it could be that.
• 9:04
  Uh,
• 9:04
  he also,
• 9:05
  uh,
• 9:05
  was asked directly whether he wanted to expand the Supreme Court.
• 9:08
  Now,
• 9:08
  to put this one in perspective,
• 9:09
  getting rid of ICE
• 9:11
  is
• 9:11
  a very big left wing position.
• 9:12
  It was a left wing position popularized in the George Floyd era,
• 9:16
  that that 2020 kind of woke 1.0 thing.
• 9:19
  Uh,
• 9:19
  they,
• 9:20
  the Democrats ran away from that realizing it was a catastrophe.
• 9:22
  It was a catastrophe for them in 2024.
• 9:25
  Uh,
• 9:26
  they're,
• 9:26
  they're,
• 9:26
  a lot of them are running back to it now,
• 9:28
  um,
• 9:29
  and you wonder if a state like Michigan is,
• 9:32
  thinks that's a good idea,
• 9:33
  right?
• 9:34
  Um,
• 9:34
  we'll see,
• 9:35
  we will see on that one.
• 9:37
  Expanding the Supreme Court though never even rose
• 9:39
  to the popularity of getting rid of ICE,
• 9:41
  or,
• 9:41
  you know,
• 9:42
  uh,
• 9:42
  uh,
• 9:42
  or defunding the police.
• 9:43
  This is one that was kind of always left out on the fringes.
• 9:46
  Like people realize,
• 9:47
  OK,
• 9:47
  we've got a certain number of Supreme Court justices,
• 9:49
  we're gonna kind of stick,
• 9:51
  stick with that.
• 9:51
  We think that's a good way to go.
• 9:53
  Uh,
• 9:54
  there's this left-wing push of saying,
• 9:55
  hey,
• 9:56
  well,
• 9:56
  what if we have 100 Supreme Court justices that we can put ourselves in control.
• 10:00
  He was asked directly about this,
• 10:01
  uh,
• 10:02
  in,
• 10:02
  uh,
• 10:03
  in,
• 10:03
  in the debate,
• 10:04
  and here,
• 10:04
  here was his answer.
• 10:05
  Doctor El Sayed,
• 10:06
  same question to you.
• 10:07
  Are you in favor of expanding the US Supreme Court?
• 10:09
  Yes or no?
• 10:10
  Yes,
• 10:10
  but fairly.
• 10:16
  Kind of kind of a long-standing system as to how this is done fairly.
• 10:19
  Now,
• 10:20
  the left doesn't like that they're not on the
• 10:21
  right side of that arrangement at the moment.
• 10:24
  Um,
• 10:24
  but
• 10:25
  just saying like,
• 10:26
  hey,
• 10:26
  we're gonna add a bunch of new Supreme Court justices because
• 10:28
  we don't like the results of the current system is,
• 10:30
  is not,
• 10:31
  you can't do that fairly.
• 10:32
  That's not a thing.
• 10:33
  Not,
• 10:33
  not a thing.
• 10:34
  Anyway,
• 10:34
  uh,
• 10:34
  this is what the Michigan Senate looks like.
• 10:36
  I,
• 10:36
  I don't know if there was a massive,
• 10:37
  I think it was actually probably a nicer debate than the first one,
• 10:40
  which is hard,
• 10:40
  hard to believe,
• 10:41
  but,
• 10:42
  uh,
• 10:42
  El Sayed is the favorite there.
• 10:44
  69%,
• 10:45
  Mike Rogers again at 31%.
• 10:47
  Look,
• 10:48
  there is a
• 10:48
  good amount of money to be made if you can pick the right upsets right now.
• 10:53
  There because
• 10:53
  what we're getting is I talked about this yesterday a little bit in detail,
• 10:55
  but
• 10:56
  a lot of money is flowing into these elections right now and a lot
• 10:59
  of it's going to the favorites and pushing those favorites to the extremes.
• 11:02
  Uh,
• 11:02
  look,
• 11:03
  Ken Paxton might be the underdog in that race.
• 11:04
  Is he a 33% underdog?
• 11:06
  I don't think so.
• 11:07
  I don't think so.
• 11:08
  Um,
• 11:08
  and so we're seeing a lot of that happening right now.
• 11:10
  If you can kind of,
• 11:11
  if you can target the right one,
• 11:12
  if you,
• 11:13
  if you think it's Rodgers,
• 11:13
  if you think it's,
• 11:14
  uh,
• 11:14
  if you think it's Paxton.
• 11:16
  Um,
• 11:16
  if you think it's Tafoya,
• 11:17
  whoever you might think it is,
• 11:19
  if you can get in that race,
• 11:20
  you could have some big,
• 11:21
  big wins.
• 11:21
  And you only have to hit 1 out of every 31 of every 41 out of every 5 of those,
• 11:25
  uh,
• 11:25
  for it to pay off.
• 11:26
  So,
• 11:27
  some definite opportunities there.
• 11:28
  Uh,
• 11:28
  I want to go over to Kansas.
• 11:29
  We haven't covered this one as closely.
• 11:30
  This is,
• 11:31
  uh,
• 11:31
  Hamilton
• 11:33
  talking
• 11:33
  about an accusation
• 11:35
  against him.
• 11:35
  He's a mega church pastor in Kansas,
• 11:38
  and here is,
• 11:39
  uh,
• 11:39
  his response to a very difficult question.
• 11:42
  Your turn,
• 11:42
  Mr.
• 11:42
  Hamilton,
• 11:43
  to address one of the attack ads that's leveled at you.
• 11:46
  Parents entrusted your church
• 11:49
  to take care of their children.
• 11:51
  In 2005,
• 11:52
  2 boys reported
• 11:54
  inappropriate touching at your church camp.
• 11:56
  Now you said the church investigated internally,
• 11:59
  but the findings were inconclusive
• 12:01
  and authorities were not contacted.
• 12:04
  You recently told CNN this.
• 12:06
  Would you have done anything differently in that situation?
• 12:08
  Absolutely.
• 12:08
  Like we should have called the police immediately,
• 12:10
  but that was not our policies 21 years ago.
• 12:13
  Yet that same volunteer was allowed to return as a camp leader the following year.
• 12:18
  More allegations surfaced against him.
• 12:21
  This time,
• 12:21
  of course,
• 12:21
  the church did
• 12:23
  contact the authorities.
• 12:24
  So my question for you is,
• 12:26
  obviously it's your responsibility to take care of these kids.
• 12:29
  Why not override that policy
• 12:31
  back in 2005
• 12:33
  when you had to know that police
• 12:35
  or law enforcement are better at investigating these kinds of things than staff?
• 12:39
  You have 60 seconds.
• 12:40
  That's a great question.
• 12:41
  And the reality is that we did change our policy after that,
• 12:43
  so.
• 12:44
  This was very important.
• 12:45
  We,
• 12:46
  uh,
• 12:46
  we made sure that the police found out,
• 12:48
  uh,
• 12:48
  later.
• 12:48
  When they did,
• 12:49
  they investigated,
• 12:49
  they found the same thing.
• 12:50
  It was inconclusive.
• 12:51
  There was uncertainty,
• 12:53
  and as a result of that,
• 12:54
  they refused to press charges as well.
• 12:56
  Um,
• 12:57
  I will tell you that ultimately,
• 12:58
  we helped get this man put behind bars,
• 13:00
  and the policies that we developed are used by 10,000 churches across America.
• 13:04
  Yeah,
• 13:04
  we're gonna be doing an NBA draft coming up.
• 13:06
  You gotta grind tape,
• 13:07
  right?
• 13:07
  When you're doing the NBA draft,
• 13:08
  uh,
• 13:08
  when you,
• 13:09
  to know your ball.
• 13:10
  Uh,
• 13:10
  that's kind of what we do with these,
• 13:12
  uh,
• 13:12
  debates.
• 13:12
  Uh,
• 13:12
  I'd like to watch them so I can see what you get from these candidates.
• 13:15
  What you get from the Hamilton side of this,
• 13:17
  uh,
• 13:17
  he's a mega church pastor.
• 13:19
  He's obviously a good communicator,
• 13:20
  and he's,
• 13:20
  he's pretty smooth.
• 13:21
  He's laid back.
• 13:22
  He has a decent delivery.
• 13:24
  Um,
• 13:24
  uh,
• 13:25
  he is,
• 13:25
  uh,
• 13:26
  and,
• 13:26
  while Marshall,
• 13:27
  the current senator from Kansas,
• 13:29
  you know,
• 13:29
  looked a little nervous at times,
• 13:31
  uh,
• 13:31
  with some of the questioning.
• 13:32
  I,
• 13:32
  I don't know that,
• 13:33
  I mean,
• 13:33
  there's times where you can tell Hamilton really just doesn't understand
• 13:37
  a lot of issues in a,
• 13:38
  in a sort of Darlene Graham Nordone situation.
• 13:40
  He doesn't really understand the issues he's gonna be dealing with in the Senate.
• 13:44
  I don't know how Kansas deals with that.
• 13:45
  I mean,
• 13:45
  Kansas is a very red state.
• 13:47
  They are definitely flirting with this guy.
• 13:49
  Um,
• 13:49
  and here's,
• 13:50
  by the way,
• 13:50
  is the odds on this right now.
• 13:52
  Hamilton has actually caught up to now to 61-39 underdog,
• 13:57
  uh,
• 13:57
  39% chance for Hamilton,
• 13:58
  the Democrats,
• 13:59
  61% chance for Roger Marshall's and Marshall,
• 14:02
  and again,
• 14:02
  this,
• 14:02
  this could be the Senate at stake.
• 14:04
  So that is where it is.
• 14:05
  And that's,
• 14:05
  by the way,
• 14:06
  I think a correct approach,
• 14:08
  uh,
• 14:08
  that,
• 14:08
  that Marshall took,
• 14:10
  oftentimes redirecting whatever question he could
• 14:12
  back to,
• 14:13
  by the way,
• 14:13
  did you know Chuck Schumer is gonna be in control?
• 14:16
  That is exactly the right.
• 14:17
  If you're Paxton,
• 14:18
  you should be doing that constantly.
• 14:19
  If you're Marshall,
• 14:20
  you should be doing that.
• 14:21
  Probably if you're Ricketts,
• 14:21
  you should be doing that in Nebraska.
• 14:23
  There's a bunch of different places
• 14:25
  that should be the focus.
• 14:26
  Not even about your candidacy,
• 14:27
  not about what you're gonna do,
• 14:28
  not about what the other guy's gonna do,
• 14:29
  just the fact that control is at stake.
• 14:32
  And you want the Democrats running,
• 14:34
  uh,
• 14:34
  the Senate.
• 14:35
  A lot of people in these states do not.
• 14:37
  So that's where we are.
• 14:38
  The other thing is they did a serious investigation.
• 14:40
  On Hamilton,
• 14:41
  and this is going to,
• 14:43
  this is gonna shock you.
• 14:44
  Uh,
• 14:45
  I've discovered who he really is,
• 14:46
  his true identity.
• 14:47
  This is,
• 14:48
  this is it.
• 14:49
  He's Kent
• 14:50
  from Real Genius.
• 14:51
  He's a grown-up version of Kent
• 14:53
  from Real Genius.
• 14:54
  I understand that there's only 3 people
• 14:56
  in the audience who understand this reference.
• 14:57
  I don't care.
• 14:58
  I watched the movie 5000 times when I was a kid.
• 15:01
  His mannerisms are exactly it.
• 15:03
  It's,
• 15:03
  he's the villain in the movie.
• 15:05
  He's grown up to be a mega church pastor in Kansas.
• 15:08
  That's the truth.
• 15:10
  I
• 15:12
  Gotta take a break.
• 15:13
  We'll come back with Dan Andrews.
• 15:15
  So it's such,
• 15:15
  why do you watch this show?
• 15:16
  I question your judgment here,
• 15:18
  by the way.
• 15:19
  That's,
• 15:19
  this is really your fault.
• 15:21
  Um,
• 15:21
  thank you so much for joining us.
• 15:22
  And we're gonna go to,
• 15:22
  uh,
• 15:23
  some,
• 15:23
  uh,
• 15:23
  uh,
• 15:24
  we got the NBA starting this week.
• 15:25
  I thought it'd be a fun thing to get,
• 15:26
  uh,
• 15:27
  get started with a little NBA,
• 15:28
  uh,
• 15:28
  season overlook.
• 15:29
  We're gonna do a draft and we're gonna look at LeBron
• 15:32
  and his actions at the national anthem last night.
• 15:34
  You gotta see those if you haven't already.
• 15:36
  Uh,
• 15:36
  we're back in a second.
• 15:53
  We're joined now by Dan Andros,
• 15:55
  friend of the program and friend of mine
• 15:56
  going back for approximately 116 years to our
• 16:00
  childhood where we would talk about NBA the same way we're about to right now.
• 16:04
  Uh,
• 16:05
  we have not,
• 16:06
  we have not evolved at all,
• 16:07
  Dan.
• 16:08
  Nope,
• 16:09
  not even zero evolution happening here.
• 16:11
  Yeah.
• 16:12
  Um,
• 16:12
  I wanted,
• 16:13
  before I,
• 16:13
  we're gonna do our,
• 16:14
  uh,
• 16:14
  NBA over unders draft.
• 16:15
  The NBA started this year
• 16:17
  or this,
• 16:17
  uh,
• 16:17
  week,
• 16:18
  uh,
• 16:18
  for the season.
• 16:19
  And we're gonna talk about that here in,
• 16:20
  in just a second.
• 16:21
  Before we do though,
• 16:22
  I have to ask you about this LeBron James cliff.
• 16:25
  Now,
• 16:25
  look,
• 16:26
  I,
• 16:26
  I'm not a LeBron James fan.
• 16:28
  I don't like anything that he does.
• 16:30
  I,
• 16:30
  uh,
• 16:31
  part of my interest in the NBA is just hoping that he loses.
• 16:34
  So that's,
• 16:34
  I have to admit from the beginning,
• 16:36
  I'm,
• 16:36
  I'm no fan,
• 16:37
  but
• 16:37
  I gotta say.
• 16:40
  Am I wrong on this,
• 16:41
  this clip,
• 16:41
  Dan?
• 16:42
  Uh,
• 16:42
  this is from,
• 16:42
  uh,
• 16:43
  let's see,
• 16:43
  what,
• 16:44
  uh,
• 16:44
  Fox News writes,
• 16:45
  LeBron James accused of working on his golf swing during the national anthem.
• 16:49
  Now,
• 16:49
  I want to show you the clip.
• 16:50
  I,
• 16:51
  I,
• 16:51
  you know,
• 16:51
  our,
• 16:51
  our friends over at Fox News are wonderful people,
• 16:53
  but maybe a little bit hesitant on that.
• 16:55
  I,
• 16:56
  I think he's working on something at least.
• 16:57
  There's no,
• 16:58
  there's no accusation here.
• 16:59
  We have the video.
• 17:00
  Let me show it to you,
• 17:01
  to,
• 17:01
  to you,
• 17:01
  and I want to get your reaction,
• 17:02
  Dan.
• 17:11
  He's swinging his arms like a golf swing with open arms,
• 17:14
  then he's doing
• 17:16
  his free throws.
• 17:21
  Warming up his free throw motion during the national anthem.
• 17:25
  Now you can see every other player on the
• 17:27
  Philadelphia Seventy-Sixers doing what you're supposed to do there,
• 17:31
  Dan,
• 17:31
  right?
• 17:31
  Like you're supposed to sit,
• 17:32
  stand there and fake reverence.
• 17:35
  It's a tough assignment,
• 17:36
  it really is,
• 17:37
  uh,
• 17:37
  to just stand there for a minute
• 17:40
  or so
• 17:41
  while someone sings the national anthem.
• 17:43
  Everyone else can do it.
• 17:45
  It's not difficult.
• 17:46
  um,
• 17:47
  I don't understand.
• 17:48
  I've also never seen Stu,
• 17:50
  as you know,
• 17:50
  I played,
• 17:51
  uh,
• 17:51
  basketball for several years
• 17:54
  in school and in college.
• 17:56
  I don't recall ever
• 17:57
  seeing
• 17:58
  anyone
• 17:59
  practice a shooting motion
• 18:01
  during the national anthem,
• 18:03
  or even at all during any warm-ups at all.
• 18:05
  You shoot with the ball or you don't shoot,
• 18:07
  like.
• 18:09
  It,
• 18:09
  I've never seen anyone do that,
• 18:10
  let alone a guy who's been in the league for 100 years.
• 18:14
  It's not a useful warm-up method.
• 18:17
  I don't know what in the world he was doing.
• 18:19
  It was idiotic.
• 18:20
  I don't know either.
• 18:21
  And I,
• 18:21
  I,
• 18:21
  I can say if,
• 18:22
  you know,
• 18:23
  look,
• 18:23
  he's,
• 18:24
  he's getting older,
• 18:24
  maybe he needs to loosen up a little bit more.
• 18:26
  OK,
• 18:26
  you want to practice your shooting motion,
• 18:28
  that's fine.
• 18:29
  You just need to skip the 90 seconds
• 18:31
  when the national anthem is going up.
• 18:33
  That's really basically the only requirement.
• 18:36
  Um,
• 18:36
  but of course,
• 18:37
  he couldn't bring himself to do that.
• 18:39
  And then he does seem,
• 18:41
  the golf swing thing,
• 18:42
  I guess,
• 18:42
  is fairly called an accusation cause he is kind
• 18:45
  of just twisting and his arms are out there,
• 18:47
  but it does look like that's what he's doing.
• 18:48
  It looks like he's practicing a golf swing.
• 18:51
  Yeah,
• 18:51
  I mean,
• 18:51
  stretching,
• 18:52
  golf singing,
• 18:53
  whatever he's doing,
• 18:53
  like you're right,
• 18:54
  100% right.
• 18:55
  You have just the one job during the national anthem.
• 18:58
  Stand there,
• 19:00
  just stand
• 19:01
  there like everyone else,
• 19:03
  suck it up,
• 19:04
  you make 100 gazillion dollars a year.
• 19:07
  Would it pain you?
• 19:08
  This is what the argument I'm seeing.
• 19:10
  People are like,
• 19:11
  the guy.
• 19:13
  Came from,
• 19:13
  you know,
• 19:14
  a single mom
• 19:15
  background,
• 19:16
  you know,
• 19:16
  his,
• 19:16
  his mom was a single mom.
• 19:18
  He
• 19:19
  rises not only to be a successful NBA player,
• 19:22
  but
• 19:23
  financially.
• 19:23
  I think he's like the first billionaire while playing.
• 19:26
  You think the guy would just have a moment
• 19:29
  when the national anthem is playing to be like,
• 19:32
  Man,
• 19:32
  thank you for this country.
• 19:35
  Nope,
• 19:36
  no,
• 19:36
  can't be bothered to do it.
• 19:37
  Not even a moment.
• 19:38
  In fact,
• 19:39
  he does the opposite,
• 19:40
  and praises places like China.
• 19:42
  Uh,
• 19:42
  and,
• 19:43
  and here,
• 19:44
  uh,
• 19:44
  he's,
• 19:45
  I mean,
• 19:45
  it's all the,
• 19:46
  it's all the more reason to just,
• 19:47
  uh,
• 19:48
  not root for the Sixers this year,
• 19:49
  Stu.
• 19:50
  And look,
• 19:50
  you know,
• 19:50
  as you know,
• 19:51
  I'm a big Philadelphia Eagles fan.
• 19:52
  A lot of people believe that makes me a Philadelphia sports fan,
• 19:55
  which it does not.
• 19:56
  I don't,
• 19:56
  I don't necessarily have anything against
• 19:58
  the Sixers or the Phillies
• 20:00
  normally in a normal year,
• 20:02
  though this year they have LeBron James on the team,
• 20:05
  so I do have something against them.
• 20:07
  Right.
• 20:07
  No,
• 20:07
  and we grew up in Connecticut too,
• 20:09
  which is,
• 20:09
  I mean,
• 20:10
  some other people around the country might be in one of those random
• 20:13
  like sports islands where there's no actual professional team there in the sport,
• 20:18
  like in the particular sport you care about.
• 20:20
  And so you gotta adopt a team a little bit from somewhere else.
• 20:22
  So that's kind of what I think both you and I did.
• 20:24
  We sort of.
• 20:26
  Adopted teams from random parts of the country.
• 20:28
  I,
• 20:28
  I guess that's what happened.
• 20:29
  I,
• 20:29
  I really still don't know what happened,
• 20:31
  honestly with,
• 20:31
  with some of my stuff,
• 20:32
  but
• 20:33
  whatever.
• 20:33
  It's not easily explained,
• 20:35
  nor is it easily explained to practice your golf swing during the national anthem.
• 20:38
  Um,
• 20:39
  Dan,
• 20:39
  one more thing on,
• 20:40
  on this before we get into the,
• 20:41
  the draft.
• 20:43
  It's difficult to explain why LeBron James
• 20:45
  is doing that during the national anthem.
• 20:47
  It might be more inexplicable,
• 20:49
  however,
• 20:49
  to see how the WNBA
• 20:52
  is treating the national anthem and,
• 20:54
  and just generally,
• 20:55
  it's newfound shot at success,
• 20:57
  right?
• 20:57
  Like this has been a league that's been a financial disaster
• 21:00
  for
• 21:01
  every moment it's been around until last year.
• 21:05
  Um,
• 21:06
  and they are doing a disaster,
• 21:07
  by the way,
• 21:08
  but it's just better.
• 21:09
  It's getting a little better disaster.
• 21:10
  At least some people are watching games when,
• 21:13
  look,
• 21:13
  let's be honest,
• 21:14
  one particular player plays,
• 21:15
  which is Caitlin Clark.
• 21:16
  Outside of that,
• 21:17
  you know,
• 21:18
  everything's up a little bit.
• 21:19
  She's brought a lot of people.
• 21:20
  It's,
• 21:20
  she,
• 21:20
  you know,
• 21:21
  the rising tide is lifting
• 21:22
  all boats,
• 21:23
  but
• 21:24
  Uh,
• 21:24
  you know,
• 21:24
  look,
• 21:24
  they have a chance to be part of the landscape,
• 21:27
  like actually be something that people care about,
• 21:29
  and this is what they're doing with it.
• 21:31
  Uh,
• 21:31
  JD Vance is,
• 21:31
  uh,
• 21:32
  just condemning the disgraceful WNBA national anthem walkouts,
• 21:37
  uh,
• 21:37
  saying players should show more gratitude.
• 21:39
  This shouldn't be a political issue though.
• 21:40
  I mean,
• 21:41
  JD Vance is obviously a Republican,
• 21:42
  shouldn't matter.
• 21:43
  It should be an easy one.
• 21:44
  What are you walking out for?
• 21:46
  What,
• 21:46
  what?
• 21:47
  What is going on that you're walking out for?
• 21:49
  Like,
• 21:49
  like you said.
• 21:50
  Finally,
• 21:51
  after decades of this league
• 21:53
  toiling in obscurity,
• 21:56
  they finally get some attention,
• 21:57
  and what do these morons do?
• 22:00
  One,
• 22:01
  they,
• 22:01
  the one player who is drawing all the attention,
• 22:04
  they try to injure her and they hate her.
• 22:08
  That that's where they start.
• 22:09
  And then now they
• 22:11
  disrespect all of the fans by
• 22:14
  dissing the country that they're in.
• 22:16
  I mean,
• 22:16
  it's just.
• 22:18
  There just can't be a dumber league
• 22:21
  or business
• 22:22
  than this one out here right now,
• 22:23
  other than like when the Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel lady took over for five
• 22:27
  minutes and tried to like go woke with it or whatever she did.
• 22:30
  Like,
• 22:31
  this is just the,
• 22:33
  you know,
• 22:33
  fumbling the bag.
• 22:35
  Mhm.
• 22:36
  Uh,
• 22:37
  probably like peak.
• 22:38
  Like this is a peak bag fumble,
• 22:40
  if you've,
• 22:40
  if I've ever seen it.
• 22:41
  I,
• 22:41
  I just,
• 22:42
  I can't,
• 22:42
  I can't explain the idiocy in this.
• 22:45
  And where is just the gratitude?
• 22:47
  Like where is someone going,
• 22:48
  man,
• 22:49
  like,
• 22:49
  we've got a full arena.
• 22:51
  2 years ago,
• 22:52
  3 years ago,
• 22:53
  there were like,
• 22:54
  we were playing in a,
• 22:55
  in a high school gym,
• 22:56
  you know,
• 22:56
  it's like,
• 22:57
  or there was nobody in here and they had curtains up,
• 22:59
  like.
• 23:01
  Where's the gratitude?
• 23:02
  How are you not thankful?
• 23:04
  How are you finding a way to be angry at everything?
• 23:07
  It's insanity.
• 23:08
  Yeah,
• 23:08
  I,
• 23:08
  I will say,
• 23:09
  and that's something I think the entire country,
• 23:11
  frankly,
• 23:11
  could,
• 23:12
  could learn a little bit more of.
• 23:13
  I,
• 23:13
  I go back to the suicide of the West,
• 23:15
  the,
• 23:15
  the book from several years ago where that's a big part of it,
• 23:18
  talking about how
• 23:19
  we just seemingly have lost gratitude for everything that's amazing in
• 23:22
  this country and everything we've been blessed with a complaint,
• 23:25
  complaint all the time.
• 23:26
  Um,
• 23:26
  we haven't quite gotten to the point of France
• 23:28
  where we're burning down all of our cities,
• 23:30
  uh,
• 23:30
  but I don't know how far along,
• 23:32
  uh,
• 23:32
  how far away that is,
• 23:33
  and I will say with the WNBA in particular,
• 23:35
  not only are they doing walkouts of the national anthem,
• 23:37
  which is just childish.
• 23:38
  Let's be honest about it,
• 23:39
  it's childish.
• 23:40
  It's,
• 23:40
  it's pathetic,
• 23:41
  it's childish,
• 23:41
  it's,
• 23:42
  it's a,
• 23:42
  it's a TikTok understanding of the world,
• 23:45
  and history,
• 23:46
  um,
• 23:46
  to,
• 23:47
  to,
• 23:47
  to think that you're in this,
• 23:48
  uh,
• 23:48
  ridiculously
• 23:50
  oppressive place at this time.
• 23:52
  It's just nonsense.
• 23:53
  You add on to that,
• 23:54
  the whole treatment of Caitlin Clark where like
• 23:56
  they're trying to basically make her into,
• 23:58
  uh,
• 23:59
  I think Jamie Lee Curtis in the Halloween movies.
• 24:01
  Like they're just literally trying to murder her at all times.
• 24:04
  And then
• 24:05
  you add on to that,
• 24:06
  they
• 24:07
  seemingly like took a break
• 24:09
  in the middle of their season for multiple weeks for to do some
• 24:12
  tournament
• 24:13
  that had nothing to do with the league in the middle of their playoffs.
• 24:16
  Run
• 24:16
  and then they debuted all these playoffs like right against the NBA on like Monday
• 24:22
  night against like Monday Night Football when no one would possibly be watching it.
• 24:25
  It's just the dumbest league that's ever existed.
• 24:28
  Very dumb,
• 24:28
  very dumb.
• 24:29
  And also too,
• 24:29
  their star player,
• 24:30
  by the way,
• 24:30
  yelled at a fan and,
• 24:32
  you know,
• 24:33
  throws this fan under the bus who literally did
• 24:35
  nothing other than say the foul was on you.
• 24:39
  And then she goes and yells at him and points
• 24:41
  at him and does this whole big thing and like.
• 24:44
  I mean,
• 24:44
  none of it makes any sense.
• 24:46
  Just idiots.
• 24:47
  Well,
• 24:47
  we're not,
• 24:47
  we're not doing a WNBA draft vote today,
• 24:49
  Dan.
• 24:49
  I'm saying that right now.
• 24:51
  We're gonna take a,
• 24:51
  let's take a quick break,
• 24:52
  come back on the other side.
• 24:53
  We'll do our,
• 24:54
  our regular NBA,
• 24:56
  uh,
• 24:56
  draft,
• 24:56
  uh,
• 24:57
  where we will take
• 24:58
  over and under of wins.
• 24:59
  Uh,
• 24:59
  this,
• 24:59
  we're gonna do this with prediction market data,
• 25:01
  and we'll give you a way to participate in this
• 25:03
  as well if you go to predictableshow.com.
• 25:06
  In the coming days,
• 25:07
  uh,
• 25:07
  if you want to get in line.
• 25:08
  We also,
• 25:09
  uh,
• 25:09
  have a bunch of other stuff going on too.
• 25:11
  Uh,
• 25:11
  we'll talk to you about that.
• 25:12
  We have,
• 25:13
  um,
• 25:13
  uh,
• 25:14
  Senate fantasy updates.
• 25:15
  Uh,
• 25:15
  we,
• 25:15
  we go to SenateFantassy.com if you want to join,
• 25:18
  uh,
• 25:18
  a prediction market,
• 25:19
  uh,
• 25:19
  based,
• 25:20
  uh,
• 25:20
  fantasy league that you can go in for free and win
• 25:24
  free cash.
• 25:24
  We'll get into that as well.
• 25:25
  Uh,
• 25:26
  Senate Fantasy.com.
• 25:27
  Back in a second.
• 25:39
  Welcome back to Predictable with Stu.
• 25:40
  Dan Andros joins us.
• 25:41
  We're doing our
• 25:43
  beginning of the season NBA over-under draft where we use uh data from,
• 25:47
  uh,
• 25:48
  Calci,
• 25:48
  our friends at Calci who's got the prediction markets up.
• 25:51
  And we're gonna look at this.
• 25:52
  You can pick any team you want.
• 25:53
  You can pick uh any amount of wins you want.
• 25:56
  That's what's cool about these prediction markets where it's not just like a,
• 25:59
  an over-under you might get.
• 26:01
  It's just a specific number and you just gotta go from there.
• 26:03
  You can pick any number.
• 26:04
  So you can be really aggressive,
• 26:05
  you can say,
• 26:06
  you know,
• 26:06
  uh,
• 26:06
  go with a low price and try to get a big upside,
• 26:09
  or you can go.
• 26:09
  The opposite direction,
• 26:11
  uh,
• 26:11
  and pick a big favorite.
• 26:12
  You can do whatever you want,
• 26:14
  uh,
• 26:14
  any team that you want.
• 26:15
  Uh,
• 26:15
  Dan,
• 26:15
  we'll draft back and forth.
• 26:16
  We'll kind of do the,
• 26:17
  we'll do the,
• 26:18
  maybe the snake draft style here of going,
• 26:20
  uh,
• 26:21
  why don't you go first?
• 26:21
  You get the first pick overall,
• 26:23
  then I'll do too,
• 26:24
  and we'll go,
• 26:25
  uh,
• 26:25
  from there.
• 26:26
  All right,
• 26:27
  I'm gonna go with,
• 26:28
  uh,
• 26:29
  an interesting one I think to start out of the gate.
• 26:30
  I'm going with the Brooklyn Nets.
• 26:33
  40 wins,
• 26:36
  yes,
• 26:37
  and if,
• 26:37
  uh,
• 26:38
  if I was correct,
• 26:38
  and when I looked at it,
• 26:39
  it was at 12 cents.
• 26:42
  Wow,
• 26:42
  this,
• 26:43
  I gotta say I'm shocked by this one.
• 26:45
  Nets,
• 26:46
  uh,
• 26:47
  what was the number again?
• 26:47
  40,
• 26:48
  40 plus wins.
• 26:50
  So the Nets are gonna go over 500,
• 26:52
  and you're talking about 2026,
• 26:53
  2027,
• 26:54
  the season we're in,
• 26:55
  right?
• 26:56
  Yeah,
• 26:56
  OK.
• 26:57
  All right.
• 26:58
  Listen,
• 26:58
  listen,
• 26:59
  I think,
• 26:59
  uh,
• 27:00
  they don't have to go over 400,
• 27:01
  by the way,
• 27:02
  or,
• 27:02
  uh,
• 27:02
  I'm sorry,
• 27:03
  over 500
• 27:04
  to get to 40 wins,
• 27:05
  uh,
• 27:06
  for an 82 game season,
• 27:07
  so they could be
• 27:08
  42 games under.
• 27:10
  I think they can do it.
• 27:12
  Dan,
• 27:12
  I'm,
• 27:12
  I,
• 27:13
  I,
• 27:13
  I gotta say,
• 27:14
  I gotta say,
• 27:14
  I don't know about that one.
• 27:15
  I,
• 27:16
  I like it.
• 27:16
  I like the aggressiveness of it.
• 27:18
  It's,
• 27:18
  it's at 12 cents,
• 27:19
  so you got a lot of upside and only a little bit of downside.
• 27:22
  You don't,
• 27:22
  you don't have to be that good to get to 40 wins.
• 27:24
  I'm just in the regular season.
• 27:26
  I'm just saying that's true.
• 27:28
  Uh,
• 27:28
  I will say that's true.
• 27:29
  Um,
• 27:30
  but,
• 27:30
  uh,
• 27:31
  I don't know.
• 27:32
  I don't,
• 27:33
  I don't know.
• 27:33
  I,
• 27:33
  I kind of feel like there's a chance
• 27:35
  they might not win 30 games.
• 27:37
  Um,
• 27:37
  what's,
• 27:38
  what's your theory on this?
• 27:39
  Why do I think they already won one,
• 27:40
  didn't they?
• 27:41
  Did they win last night?
• 27:42
  I don't know.
• 27:42
  I don't know,
• 27:43
  but.
• 27:44
  Uh,
• 27:45
  my theory is,
• 27:46
  uh,
• 27:46
  they have a couple of good players in Porter Junior.
• 27:49
  They got Julius Randall.
• 27:50
  They've got some,
• 27:51
  I don't know,
• 27:52
  Russian guy or something who's decent.
• 27:54
  They got just a few decent guys.
• 27:56
  They just feel like they're gonna scrap up a bunch of wins against,
• 27:59
  you know,
• 28:00
  the,
• 28:00
  the middle of the road teams.
• 28:02
  You know,
• 28:02
  they'll,
• 28:03
  they'll lose to the good teams a lot of the time.
• 28:05
  You know,
• 28:06
  they might sneak in an upset here and there.
• 28:08
  I,
• 28:08
  I think they can scrape it together.
• 28:10
  I don't think they're gonna be a 30-win team.
• 28:11
  I have some bad news for you,
• 28:13
  Dan.
• 28:13
  Last night,
• 28:13
  the Charlotte Hornets 110,
• 28:15
  Brooklyn Nets 103.
• 28:17
  So they are off 20 and 1 start.
• 28:18
  Plenty of time lost by 7.
• 28:20
  They lost to 7 to Charlotte.
• 28:21
  Yes,
• 28:22
  that's true.
• 28:22
  OK.
• 28:23
  Uh,
• 28:23
  so that's an interesting first pick.
• 28:24
  I gotta say I did not see that.
• 28:25
  You said you had a couple of surprises for me.
• 28:27
  I did not see that one coming,
• 28:29
  so I like it.
• 28:29
  I like it.
• 28:30
  I like the aggressiveness of it.
• 28:31
  Um,
• 28:32
  let me go with my first pick here in the draft.
• 28:35
  I'm gonna go.
• 28:37
  Uh,
• 28:38
  with,
• 28:38
  uh,
• 28:39
  Houston.
• 28:41
  Uh,
• 28:41
  the,
• 28:42
  uh,
• 28:42
  Houston Rockets,
• 28:43
  I think last year was like kind of a disaster year,
• 28:46
  big injuries.
• 28:48
  They've got a lot of talent.
• 28:49
  I like their additions this year and I'm looking at the win totals now.
• 28:53
  And
• 28:57
  I'll go 50+
• 28:59
  50+
• 29:01
  wins
• 29:02
  and I now hold up before you go on to your 50+,
• 29:04
  dude,
• 29:04
  did you deduct the,
• 29:05
  uh,
• 29:05
  win totals for the amount for the base on the clubs in Houston.
• 29:09
  And,
• 29:10
  uh,
• 29:10
  just all the clubbing that they're gonna do.
• 29:12
  I mean this is kind of a thing.
• 29:13
  There is a nightlife situation that you do have
• 29:15
  to factor in whenever you're talking about calculate.
• 29:17
  OK,
• 29:17
  I'm just,
• 29:17
  I'm just looking out for you.
• 29:18
  And here's the thing with Houston,
• 29:19
  very hot,
• 29:20
  very humid.
• 29:21
  Everyone wants to be inside at all times,
• 29:24
  so they've built a lot of strip clubs,
• 29:25
  and
• 29:26
  that can affect an NBA franchise.
• 29:28
  However,
• 29:29
  I'm gonna have some faith here in,
• 29:31
  in the Rockets.
• 29:32
  I think they're gonna be pretty good this year,
• 29:34
  and,
• 29:34
  uh,
• 29:35
  at 50+,
• 29:35
  I can get that at 59 cents right now.
• 29:38
  Um,
• 29:38
  so I will take the Rockets
• 29:41
  with my first pick over
• 29:43
  50 wins.
• 29:44
  I,
• 29:44
  I was gonna take 45,
• 29:45
  but you were so aggressive with your first pick.
• 29:47
  I,
• 29:47
  I,
• 29:47
  I,
• 29:47
  I had to go a little bit harder than that.
• 29:49
  And,
• 29:50
  uh,
• 29:50
  while we're,
• 29:51
  since you said a couple of surprises.
• 29:53
  Since you were,
• 29:54
  you were gonna go and take a couple of surprises,
• 29:57
  boy,
• 29:58
  um.
• 30:00
  I'm gonna go
• 30:02
  The New Orleans Pelicans
• 30:04
  over 30 wins.
• 30:06
  Yes,
• 30:07
  I think they can do it.
• 30:08
  I think they can go 30 and 52 or better.
• 30:12
  Uh,
• 30:13
  I like the Pelicans.
• 30:14
  My,
• 30:14
  my son's become a fan of the Pelicans,
• 30:16
  which is sort of hard to explain why,
• 30:18
  but now I'm,
• 30:18
  I'm in on them as well.
• 30:19
  They have a lot of talent,
• 30:20
  a lot of depth.
• 30:21
  I don't understand why they only won 26 games last year,
• 30:25
  but I think they can clear 30.
• 30:26
  Well,
• 30:27
  they're gonna win all 20 games that Zion Williamson plays in this year.
• 30:31
  He played 60-something games last year,
• 30:33
  Dan.
• 30:33
  This guy's a,
• 30:34
  he's a,
• 30:35
  he couldn't.
• 30:36
  That's a piece of iron.
• 30:37
  He's a piece of iron.
• 30:38
  No,
• 30:38
  uh,
• 30:39
  the thing about this team too is they,
• 30:40
  they won 26 games last year.
• 30:42
  I don't understand why they only won 26 games.
• 30:44
  They did have some injuries,
• 30:45
  as you point out.
• 30:46
  They do have some vulnerability to that,
• 30:48
  but they they legitimately have a lot of depth.
• 30:50
  They have 10,
• 30:51
  they're 10 guys deep pretty easily.
• 30:53
  And in addition to that,
• 30:54
  I will say last night played the,
• 30:56
  uh,
• 30:57
  the Indiana Pacers
• 30:58
  and despite their pathetic,
• 31:00
  uh,
• 31:00
  handling of the game at the end,
• 31:02
  they were very competitive,
• 31:03
  led for most of the game,
• 31:04
  and wound up losing as well.
• 31:05
  So they're off to an 0-1 start.
• 31:07
  So,
• 31:07
  but I'm gonna do it anyway.
• 31:09
  It's Pelicans over 30 wins at 52 cents.
• 31:13
  All right.
• 31:14
  All right,
• 31:14
  here we go.
• 31:15
  Pick #2.
• 31:16
  I told you this was a different kind of,
• 31:18
  different kind of season for me here,
• 31:20
  different kind of draft.
• 31:21
  I'm going with the 76ers,
• 31:24
  uh,
• 31:25
  and I'm going,
• 31:26
  this is,
• 31:26
  this is,
• 31:27
  uh,
• 31:27
  I would say partially a hedge my life situation here.
• 31:30
  Uh,
• 31:31
  60+ wins,
• 31:33
  yes,
• 31:34
  at 15 cents.
• 31:36
  Wow,
• 31:37
  I actually think that's not,
• 31:39
  I feel like that's not terrible value actually.
• 31:41
  60 wins at 15 cents.
• 31:43
  It's very possible they get there.
• 31:45
  I mean,
• 31:45
  that team is.
• 31:47
  Absolutely stacked.
• 31:48
  I think injury is the only thing that stops them from getting there.
• 31:52
  It is difficult to get to 60 though because.
• 31:55
  I mean,
• 31:55
  I know Celtics a few years ago when they won,
• 31:57
  they were obliterating everyone,
• 31:58
  and I think they won exactly 60,
• 32:00
  so,
• 32:01
  or maybe 62,
• 32:03
  but
• 32:03
  it's very difficult to get there.
• 32:04
  But that team can.
• 32:06
  I mean,
• 32:06
  that team is utterly
• 32:08
  stacked.
• 32:09
  Now,
• 32:09
  you said the only thing that could hold them back is the injuries.
• 32:11
  Is there any injury history whatsoever in let's say a Joel Embiid?
• 32:16
  No,
• 32:17
  no,
• 32:17
  no,
• 32:17
  I don't think he's ever missed a game.
• 32:18
  I think he's basically the Cal Ripken of the NBA.
• 32:21
  He's the Zion Williamson of the NBA.
• 32:23
  No,
• 32:24
  uh,
• 32:24
  Zion Williamson of the East.
• 32:26
  Um,
• 32:26
  I,
• 32:27
  what I think is interesting about this team,
• 32:28
  and I,
• 32:28
  cause I
• 32:30
  took some,
• 32:30
  I have a small,
• 32:31
  very small,
• 32:32
  no position on them winning the title.
• 32:34
  And partially that was just because there was so much hype with adding LeBron James,
• 32:38
  who obviously,
• 32:39
  as much as I can't stand him,
• 32:40
  is a,
• 32:40
  is a,
• 32:40
  is a very good player,
• 32:41
  but he's also in his 40s.
• 32:43
  And I know what I,
• 32:43
  how I feel in my,
• 32:44
  uh,
• 32:44
  40s back in the day when I was in my 40s,
• 32:47
  which I'm no longer in.
• 32:48
  Uh,
• 32:48
  I don't,
• 32:49
  but I didn't feel good about it.
• 32:50
  Um,
• 32:51
  uh,
• 32:51
  I didn't feel that great about life and moving around a lot.
• 32:54
  Now,
• 32:54
  look,
• 32:55
  he's an elite athlete.
• 32:56
  He'll probably
• 32:57
  be pretty good if he can accept the role of not being the top guy.
• 33:00
  But what,
• 33:00
  what kind of is
• 33:01
  winning me over a little bit to your position here,
• 33:03
  Dan?
• 33:04
  I,
• 33:05
  let's say Embiid plays 28 games,
• 33:07
  which is very,
• 33:08
  very likely,
• 33:09
  right?
• 33:09
  Very possible.
• 33:10
  Let's say,
• 33:11
  uh,
• 33:12
  LeBron starts to,
• 33:13
  to,
• 33:13
  you know,
• 33:14
  fade away and,
• 33:15
  and he's no longer the player he was.
• 33:17
  Um,
• 33:18
  you still have
• 33:20
  Maxie and Edgecombe and Brown and,
• 33:24
  And,
• 33:24
  uh,
• 33:25
  Simon's off the bench and,
• 33:26
  and,
• 33:27
  uh,
• 33:27
  the,
• 33:27
  the,
• 33:28
  the the rookie,
• 33:29
  I think looks pretty good too.
• 33:30
  And,
• 33:30
  and like,
• 33:31
  you are,
• 33:32
  they're,
• 33:32
  they're stacked even without those guys and you can just throw those three guys,
• 33:35
  Edgecombe,
• 33:36
  Brown,
• 33:36
  and Maxi out there,
• 33:37
  and that's all they have and they'll probably win 50 games with just that.
• 33:42
  I know it's sad.
• 33:44
  As a Celtics fan,
• 33:44
  this is sad times.
• 33:46
  I mean,
• 33:46
  to watch Jalen Brown over there,
• 33:47
  it's,
• 33:48
  uh,
• 33:48
  it's difficult,
• 33:49
  difficult times in the Andros family here.
• 33:50
  So be,
• 33:51
  be nice.
• 33:52
  They got to deal with what's going on with the Eagles right now.
• 33:54
  So like give them at least a little bit of happiness for a short time.
• 33:58
  Well,
• 33:58
  we'll talk about this later,
• 33:59
  but I have a different theory on that,
• 34:00
  on that,
• 34:01
  why they don't deserve any of the things.
• 34:02
  But anyway,
• 34:03
  go ahead.
• 34:04
  All right,
• 34:04
  let's go to your next pick.
• 34:05
  You got two in a row here.
• 34:06
  3rd round pick for Dan Andres,
• 34:07
  NBA draft.
• 34:08
  Yeah.
• 34:09
  All right.
• 34:10
  Let's go.
• 34:11
  All right,
• 34:11
  I'm gonna go with another hedge my life pick here.
• 34:15
  Celtics,
• 34:16
  50+ wins.
• 34:18
  I'm going no at 37 cents.
• 34:23
  We'll happily lose that one if the Celtics go over 50 wins,
• 34:26
  but,
• 34:27
  uh,
• 34:27
  I don't know.
• 34:27
  I mean,
• 34:28
  listen,
• 34:28
  first game,
• 34:29
  Paul George drops 38 and they lose.
• 34:32
  And,
• 34:32
  uh,
• 34:33
  if Paul George is the best player on that team,
• 34:35
  though it's gonna be a long year.
• 34:36
  What,
• 34:37
  what did you think of Jayson Tatum because he didn't look
• 34:39
  to me as explosive as I remember him before the injury.
• 34:43
  No,
• 34:44
  he,
• 34:44
  um,
• 34:44
  you can't.
• 34:46
  I wouldn't be concerned unless this was,
• 34:48
  unless he's averaging like 14 points a game,
• 34:51
  like,
• 34:51
  you know,
• 34:51
  a month into the season.
• 34:52
  He has lots of these types of games where he just looks terrible,
• 34:56
  he can't make a shot,
• 34:58
  he's not,
• 34:59
  he's just taking 80-foot stepbacks,
• 35:02
  and he doesn't care that he's 3 for 17,
• 35:04
  like he just keeps doing it.
• 35:05
  And so,
• 35:07
  I,
• 35:08
  I don't worry too much about him.
• 35:09
  I feel like he'll come around and he'll get,
• 35:11
  he'll get hot,
• 35:11
  but,
• 35:12
  um,
• 35:13
  You know,
• 35:14
  we'll see,
• 35:14
  I guess,
• 35:14
  because we only saw a little bit of him last
• 35:16
  year coming back from the injury and he looked OK,
• 35:18
  but,
• 35:18
  uh,
• 35:19
  I was a little surprised at,
• 35:20
  at the optimism,
• 35:21
  honestly,
• 35:21
  with the Celtics considering the Brown trade.
• 35:23
  And they,
• 35:24
  they trade Jalen Brown as his,
• 35:25
  you know,
• 35:25
  second-best player,
• 35:27
  and they bring in Paul George,
• 35:28
  who's,
• 35:28
  again,
• 35:29
  speaking of health,
• 35:30
  not necessarily the guy you can depend on for 80 games a year.
• 35:34
  And
• 35:35
  everyone's like,
• 35:35
  oh gosh,
• 35:36
  yeah,
• 35:36
  they're gonna win 55 games.
• 35:37
  I,
• 35:37
  I,
• 35:37
  I don't know.
• 35:38
  It's,
• 35:38
  it's.
• 35:39
  The East is pretty tough.
• 35:40
  There's a lot of depth in the East.
• 35:41
  There's not a lot of bad teams in the East,
• 35:44
  and you have the situation now where they redid,
• 35:46
  if you don't know this,
• 35:47
  they redid the,
• 35:48
  the rules for the lottery.
• 35:50
  So like now,
• 35:51
  it's bad
• 35:52
  to finish in the bottom three.
• 35:54
  So there's gonna be,
• 35:54
  you would think,
• 35:55
  no tanking teams,
• 35:56
  right?
• 35:56
  There's no reason to tank anymore because you actually get,
• 35:59
  uh,
• 35:59
  a chance,
• 36:00
  a better chance at the top pick
• 36:02
  if you're out of,
• 36:03
  outside of the worst 3,
• 36:05
  records.
• 36:05
  So you want to play all the way to the end of the year.
• 36:07
  I was surprised at how optimistic we are.
• 36:09
  I actually kind of like that pick even though,
• 36:11
  you know,
• 36:12
  Celtics usually find a way.
• 36:13
  Uh,
• 36:13
  they're,
• 36:13
  they're,
• 36:14
  they're very,
• 36:14
  very good.
• 36:15
  Um,
• 36:15
  OK,
• 36:16
  I wanna go.
• 36:19
  Next pick here,
• 36:19
  Dan,
• 36:20
  scrolling through,
• 36:20
  I've,
• 36:21
  I've marked some in my,
• 36:22
  in my account.
• 36:24
  Uh,
• 36:26
  Let me go,
• 36:28
  I'm gonna go through.
• 36:28
  I'm gonna,
• 36:28
  here's what I'm gonna go.
• 36:30
  I'd go Golden State.
• 36:32
  Steph Curry is a great player,
• 36:33
  one of the greatest players of all time.
• 36:35
  Greatest shooter of all time.
• 36:36
  There's no doubt about it.
• 36:37
  The rest of that team right now
• 36:39
  is a bit of a disaster.
• 36:42
  Draymond Green,
• 36:42
  how he's in the league,
• 36:43
  I have no idea.
• 36:45
  He is a terrible player
• 36:46
  at this point.
• 36:47
  Uh,
• 36:48
  it's not,
• 36:48
  not looking good.
• 36:49
  And
• 36:50
  I,
• 36:51
  they've
• 36:52
  thinned out the roster.
• 36:53
  They,
• 36:53
  you know,
• 36:54
  they have a bunch of money spent on guys that seemingly will never play.
• 36:58
  Uh,
• 36:58
  and,
• 36:59
  uh,
• 36:59
  at the very best,
• 37:00
  they're waiting for a guy to come back.
• 37:02
  Uh,
• 37:02
  Butler is old and,
• 37:03
  and,
• 37:04
  and,
• 37:04
  you know,
• 37:04
  hurt,
• 37:05
  and maybe he comes back at the end of the year,
• 37:07
  but at that point,
• 37:08
  they might be,
• 37:09
  they might be 30 games under 500 by then.
• 37:12
  I
• 37:13
  am going to go,
• 37:15
  I really want to push this.
• 37:16
  I really want to push it.
• 37:18
  I want to get aggressive here,
• 37:19
  Dan.
• 37:20
  Yeah.
• 37:23
  Or do I,
• 37:23
  you know what?
• 37:24
  I'm gonna,
• 37:25
  I'm gonna go 1.
• 37:26
  This is what I like to do with prediction markets.
• 37:27
  If you're in prediction markets,
• 37:28
  there's one thing I like to do.
• 37:29
  When you have something you feel strongly about,
• 37:31
  I like backing off one level from it.
• 37:33
  So that's what I'm gonna do here.
• 37:34
  I'm gonna do Golden State under
• 37:36
  35 wins.
• 37:38
  Now,
• 37:38
  that is not a good year for a Steph Curry team,
• 37:40
  but
• 37:40
  if he's,
• 37:41
  if he's healthy the whole year,
• 37:42
  good chance I lose that.
• 37:43
  I'll probably win,
• 37:44
  you know,
• 37:44
  be responsible for about 30 wins by himself.
• 37:46
  But I,
• 37:47
  I still think he's gonna miss some games and
• 37:49
  it's gonna be hard to keep that team together.
• 37:50
  I think there's a chance,
• 37:51
  Dan.
• 37:52
  Like,
• 37:52
  I,
• 37:53
  I'm,
• 37:53
  I was gonna go under 30.
• 37:55
  I think there's a chance of complete catastrophe here.
• 37:58
  Like I,
• 37:59
  a Steph injury,
• 38:00
  this team might win 25.
• 38:01
  Yeah,
• 38:01
  Porzingis doesn't look like he's ever gonna play again.
• 38:03
  I don't even know.
• 38:04
  Uh,
• 38:05
  I could be under 25 wins,
• 38:06
  but I'm gonna be a little on the safer side and go under 35 wins for Golden State.
• 38:10
  I got that at,
• 38:11
  uh,
• 38:12
  let's see,
• 38:13
  I'm gonna go,
• 38:14
  no,
• 38:14
  I can get that at 45 cents right now.
• 38:16
  45 cents.
• 38:18
  Um,
• 38:18
  I think that's good value.
• 38:20
  Uh,
• 38:21
  Golden State under,
• 38:23
  I'm writing this down as we go,
• 38:24
  under
• 38:25
  35 wins.
• 38:26
  OK.
• 38:27
  So
• 38:29
  I got one more pick here to go here,
• 38:30
  Dan.
• 38:30
  I'm gonna do 2 in a row.
• 38:33
  And just flipping through what I have marked here,
• 38:36
  I've.
• 38:41
  I
• 38:45
  I got 2 I want to go with here.
• 38:51
  Oh man,
• 38:51
  this is tough.
• 38:52
  OK,
• 38:52
  I'm gonna go.
• 38:57
  I am going to go
• 38:59
  the
• 39:00
  Detroit Pistons.
• 39:02
  Over 50 wins.
• 39:04
  Detroit over 50 wins.
• 39:06
  I can get that at basically a 50/50 shots,
• 39:08
  52% right now.
• 39:10
  I'm gonna take them 50+ wins.
• 39:12
  They won 60 last year.
• 39:14
  They did lose,
• 39:14
  you know,
• 39:15
  they lost,
• 39:15
  uh,
• 39:16
  they lost some,
• 39:16
  but they,
• 39:17
  I think they added to.
• 39:18
  I think Isaiah Joe was a really good ad for them,
• 39:19
  and they needed that,
• 39:20
  like,
• 39:21
  they needed that outside shooting.
• 39:22
  They've got him and Duncan Robinson now,
• 39:24
  so they've got some shooting.
• 39:25
  Uh,
• 39:25
  I think people are super down on,
• 39:28
  on,
• 39:28
  uh,
• 39:28
  uh,
• 39:29
  Durran because he had one bad playoff series.
• 39:32
  Like,
• 39:32
  I,
• 39:32
  I don't understand it.
• 39:33
  Like everyone.
• 39:34
  Like they,
• 39:35
  they're just throwing this guy out.
• 39:36
  The guy was all NBA,
• 39:37
  you know,
• 39:37
  type player last year
• 39:39
  for the whole season.
• 39:40
  They've got really good defense.
• 39:41
  They've got Cade.
• 39:42
  I'm going there.
• 39:42
  I'm going,
• 39:43
  uh,
• 39:43
  Detroit 50 plus.
• 39:44
  We're going a little bit long here as I'm realizing it.
• 39:46
  Sorry,
• 39:46
  Dan.
• 39:46
  So let's rush through here.
• 39:48
  Yeah,
• 39:48
  yep,
• 39:48
  I don't hate it because they just,
• 39:50
  uh,
• 39:51
  Duncan Robinson.
• 39:51
  To the Celtics the other night.
• 39:53
  Um,
• 39:53
  it was ridiculous.
• 39:54
  But all right,
• 39:55
  all right,
• 39:55
  I,
• 39:56
  so
• 39:56
  I am not going the cautious stepback route.
• 39:58
  I am going the opposite route.
• 40:00
  I'm uber aggressive here.
• 40:02
  Trail Blazers.
• 40:02
  I like the squad.
• 40:03
  You got John Morant,
• 40:04
  you got Damian Lillard,
• 40:06
  you got some bigs in there who are solid,
• 40:09
  um,
• 40:10
  came out an impressive win on their first night.
• 40:13
  I'm going Trail Blazers,
• 40:15
  50+ wins.
• 40:17
  I had it at yes when it was at 35%.
• 40:21
  35 cents.
• 40:22
  All right,
• 40:22
  35% on Dan,
• 40:24
  50+.
• 40:24
  You got one more pick here,
• 40:25
  Dan,
• 40:26
  and that'll be the last round of our NBA draft.
• 40:28
  Go ahead.
• 40:29
  Wizards,
• 40:30
  45
• 40:31
  plus wins.
• 40:32
  Again,
• 40:33
  being uber aggressive here.
• 40:34
  Trae Young,
• 40:35
  Anthony Davis,
• 40:36
  again,
• 40:37
  someone please stay healthy.
• 40:38
  Uh,
• 40:39
  yes,
• 40:40
  27 cents.
• 40:41
  So I have gone uber aggressive,
• 40:43
  you know,
• 40:44
  because I,
• 40:44
  I mean,
• 40:45
  you know,
• 40:45
  the strat is you only got to hit a couple of these to be ahead.
• 40:48
  So,
• 40:48
  hm,
• 40:49
  that's incredible.
• 40:49
  I mean I will say that's,
• 40:51
  that's,
• 40:51
  uh,
• 40:51
  that is aggressive.
• 40:52
  Your,
• 40:52
  your biggest favorite here,
• 40:53
  37%.
• 40:54
  So like that you're all long shots pretty for the most part here.
• 40:58
  OK,
• 40:58
  uh,
• 40:58
  I,
• 40:59
  uh,
• 40:59
  my last pick here,
• 41:01
  I toyed with,
• 41:01
  um,
• 41:02
  A couple of different,
• 41:03
  uh,
• 41:04
  uh,
• 41:04
  versions of this.
• 41:05
  I,
• 41:05
  I really was thinking about taking an under on Utah.
• 41:08
  I,
• 41:08
  I for some reason,
• 41:08
  I,
• 41:10
  because you can always take the under on Utah,
• 41:12
  yeah,
• 41:12
  and like,
• 41:12
  and like it's pretty like you can go,
• 41:15
  uh,
• 41:15
  let's see,
• 41:16
  if I go 40 plus,
• 41:17
  no,
• 41:17
  I can get that basically 50/50,
• 41:19
  um,
• 41:20
  so I was thinking about that.
• 41:21
  The other one was Milwaukee under a very low number.
• 41:24
  I think Milwaukee's gonna have a real rough year
• 41:26
  this year.
• 41:27
  Uh,
• 41:28
  so I.
• 41:29
  Let me do that.
• 41:30
  I guess I'll,
• 41:31
  I'm so torn between those two.
• 41:33
  Let's looking at percentages here real quick.
• 41:35
  25,
• 41:36
  uh,
• 41:37
  if I go no.
• 41:40
  I'll go,
• 41:41
  I'll,
• 41:41
  I'll go aggressive here.
• 41:42
  I'll go Utah under 35 wins.
• 41:46
  At 32%.
• 41:48
  I think that's probably too aggressive,
• 41:50
  honestly,
• 41:51
  um.
• 41:52
  A 35 under
• 41:54
  and a 32%.
• 41:56
  I really wanted to take Milwaukee under 25 wins,
• 41:58
  but,
• 41:58
  uh,
• 41:59
  uh,
• 42:00
  that's very possible,
• 42:01
  very possible.
• 42:02
  OK,
• 42:02
  so quickly to go through it here we go.
• 42:03
  Dan goes with
• 42:04
  the Nets over 40,
• 42:06
  uh,
• 42:06
  the Sixers over 60,
• 42:08
  the Celtics over 50,
• 42:09
  uh,
• 42:09
  under 50 wins.
• 42:11
  Um,
• 42:12
  uh,
• 42:13
  Portland over 50 wins,
• 42:14
  Wizards over 45 wins.
• 42:16
  Uh,
• 42:16
  I will go with the Rockets over 50 wins,
• 42:19
  the Pelicans over 30,
• 42:20
  Golden State under
• 42:22
  45,
• 42:22
  Detroit over 50,
• 42:24
  and Utah under
• 42:25
  35 wins.
• 42:26
  We'll put this all up at the site at predictableShow.com.
• 42:28
  I'd love to see your picks as well,
• 42:30
  and we'll probably have a way for you to participate if you'd like to,
• 42:33
  too
• 42:33
  at predictableShow.com.
• 42:35
  Dan,
• 42:35
  I gotta run,
• 42:35
  uh,
• 42:35
  thanks so much for hanging out with us and,
• 42:37
  uh,
• 42:37
  doing the NBA draft.
• 42:38
  All right,
• 42:38
  thanks.
• 42:48
  Next week I will come on the show and tell you there is one week until the election.
• 42:53
  I can't even believe it.
• 42:54
  We've been,
• 42:54
  we had such a big build-up to this.
• 42:55
  I,
• 42:55
  I was looking at my positions.
• 42:57
  I've,
• 42:57
  I'm pretty happy with them.
• 42:59
  There's a few that I'm a little nervous about,
• 43:00
  uh,
• 43:01
  and
• 43:02
  I don't know,
• 43:02
  we're gonna kind of watch this and go through this together.
• 43:04
  I feel pretty good about it.
• 43:05
  If you want to see all of my picks,
• 43:07
  where there's,
• 43:07
  there's gonna be a new edition of
• 43:08
  Stu's picks tomorrow available at predictableShow.com for premium
• 43:12
  members.
• 43:12
  You wanna see every single position that I have,
• 43:14
  and you can say,
• 43:15
  hey,
• 43:15
  that was a dumb one.
• 43:16
  Yeah,
• 43:16
  that's fine.
• 43:17
  I,
• 43:17
  I can deal with that.
• 43:18
  Uh,
• 43:18
  but
• 43:19
  I think we're gonna have a pretty good year.
• 43:21
  Uh,
• 43:21
  so if you want to get involved,
• 43:22
  this is the time to do it.
• 43:23
  There's less than,
• 43:24
  uh,
• 43:24
  you know,
• 43:25
  2 weeks left already
• 43:26
  to the election.
• 43:27
  Get you,
• 43:27
  get some positions,
• 43:28
  get yourself a little bit involved.
• 43:29
  If it's just a few dollars.
• 43:30
  If you don't want to send any money at all,
• 43:32
  you can do that as well.
• 43:33
  Senatefantasy.com.
• 43:34
  Um,
• 43:35
  we have that up for you right now.
• 43:36
  It's pick some senators,
• 43:37
  get yourself familiar with the markets a little bit,
• 43:39
  understand the pricing.
• 43:40
  Um,
• 43:41
  and you know,
• 43:41
  you don't have to be a genius to do this.
• 43:42
  It's free and you got a chance of winning 2500 bucks.
• 43:44
  You can then fund your prediction market account with that.
• 43:46
  Wouldn't that be wonderful?
• 43:47
  By the way,
• 43:48
  we should say we just had Dan Andros on.
• 43:49
  We had the leaderboard up.
• 43:50
  Uh,
• 43:51
  this is the leaderboard,
• 43:51
  uh,
• 43:52
  number one panic day prophecy.
• 43:54
  Congratulations so far in the lead.
• 43:56
  Um,
• 43:56
  and I am,
• 43:57
  I don't know where I am.
• 43:57
  If you kind of scroll down a little bit,
• 43:59
  uh,
• 43:59
  was that me?
• 44:00
  was that,
• 44:00
  or is that you,
• 44:01
  Adam?
• 44:01
  Was that you,
• 44:02
  up a little bit,
• 44:02
  one of the predictable shows.
• 44:03
  That's me right there.
• 44:04
  I'm in thirty-fourth place.
• 44:06
  Adam's a little ahead of me.
• 44:06
  That's just because he's picking all liberals.
• 44:08
  And,
• 44:09
  of course,
• 44:09
  there he is,
• 44:09
  number 12.
• 44:10
  But if you scroll down towards the bottom,
• 44:11
  can we get to the bottom of this list?
• 44:13
  Do we have enough time to even get to the bottom of this list?
• 44:15
  Scroll,
• 44:15
  scroll,
• 44:15
  scroll.
• 44:16
  We've got hundreds and hundreds of teams already in
• 44:18
  with an opportunity to win,
• 44:20
  to win,
• 44:20
  to win.
• 44:21
  But if you keep scrolling down,
• 44:22
  you get all the way down here.
• 44:23
  And wait a minute,
• 44:24
  what's that?
• 44:24
  Weekend at Mitch's,
• 44:26
  Dan Andros
• 44:27
  in 374th place.
• 44:30
  Wow.
• 44:31
  So I don't know if you wanna listen to his NBA picks or not,
• 44:33
  but that's up to you.
• 44:34
  PredictableShow.com will be there this weekend,
• 44:36
  always answering your questions and hanging out
• 44:38
  on social media as well.
• 44:39
  YouTube.com/apredictableShow and wherever you get your podcasts,
• 44:42
  we're always there too.
• 44:43
  Thank you for hanging out with us.
• 44:44
  We will see you soon.