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Rocket Classic PGA Leverage Lane | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS | Single-Entry GPP Strategy · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems going clear the lifto.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: What's up?
• 0:36
  Speaker 3: Remember one Tyler Tamberline here aka TOTEG and Tambo Back
• 0:39
  Speaker 3: for another edition of Leverage Lane here on the Ship
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Nation YouTube station. Got my guy Alex BLIKEL here with
• 0:44
  Speaker 3: me as always, and we're starting a little bit early.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: Alex is saying, you know, if you're early, you're on time.
• 0:48
  Speaker 3: If you're on time, you're late. We always try to
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: start at least before on time. But we got a
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: little early this week, so I'm excited to get it rolling.
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: Got a baseball slate coming up, I believe twelve ten
• 0:57
  Speaker 3: Eastern times, so I let people get through that. If
• 0:59
  Speaker 3: you guys have your questions, you could throw them in
• 1:01
  Speaker 3: the chat. But we are gonna be breaking down all
• 1:03
  Speaker 3: things for the Final Rocket Classic in Detroit, and that's
• 1:07
  Speaker 3: gonna be the setup there.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: So well, I guess the Final Rocket Classic and it's
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: also in Detroit, but there's been some major course changes.
• 1:13
  Speaker 3: We will talk about the course fit, the weather, we'll
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: talk about how this sets up now with the new
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: course changes that I just talked about, and then we'll
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: also talk about the chalk builds how you can leverage that.
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: This week a little bit of FGWC recap right quick
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: and then go from there. But Alex, we missed last week.
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: I was traveling out to the three M. There's definitely
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: some conversation to be had there quick. But I will
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: say the big takeaway from me we got to play
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: the course on Monday in the same conditions.
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: These guys. Look, it's Spoilerlert. They're good. These guys are good.
• 1:41
  Speaker 3: It's like a saying all that stuff, the ball you
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: can't find it. If it goes in the rough.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: There's gonna be balls if there was a tournament there.
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: Thankfully there isn't next.
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: Year because it wouldn't be looking for our balls that
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: we lost on Monday on this course because the rough
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: is that's and this is a course they're shooting twenty
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: four under man. You're a golfer, you know what this is.
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: But man, it is crazy difficult on these courses. And
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: when we were with a scratch golfer and there's still he
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: had some amazing shots and then some really bad ones too.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: So it's crazy how good these guys are.
• 2:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it really is. And it's funny.
• 2:10
  Speaker 5: Like one of the things that I always look at
• 2:12
  Speaker 5: is course rating and slope like if you play a
• 2:16
  Speaker 5: lot of golf, if you keep a handicap, you know
• 2:17
  Speaker 5: about course rating and slope. Essentially, it measures like how
• 2:20
  Speaker 5: difficult the golf course is. And some of the courses
• 2:23
  Speaker 5: on tour that we think of as like these birdie fests,
• 2:25
  Speaker 5: when you actually go play those courses, the first thing
• 2:28
  Speaker 5: you'll notice is, oh my god, this rating and slope
• 2:31
  Speaker 5: is like the highest I've ever seen. It's such a
• 2:33
  Speaker 5: long course, Like how are they shooting these kinds of scores?
• 2:36
  Speaker 4: It's because they're that damn good.
• 2:37
  Speaker 5: And yeah, the courses that actually do challenge them think
• 2:40
  Speaker 5: about how tough they have to be in comparison to
• 2:44
  Speaker 5: the ones that we think of as like birdie fests,
• 2:46
  Speaker 5: they're actually like, oh, it's a course rating of seventy eight,
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: so like you know, a scratch golfer is going to
• 2:50
  Speaker 5: shoot six over or something like that. Right, So, yeah,
• 2:52
  Speaker 5: it's incredible how good they are. And I'm glad you
• 2:55
  Speaker 5: had a fun experience. I know it wasn't the outcome
• 2:58
  Speaker 5: you totally wanted, but we talked about it all the
• 3:01
  Speaker 5: time and I've told you this many times. Just getting
• 3:04
  Speaker 5: there is such a ridiculously cool accomplishment.
• 3:06
  Speaker 4: So hopefully. You still feel really proud of that.
• 3:09
  Speaker 5: And it's kind of the same I think as winning tickets. Right,
• 3:12
  Speaker 5: It's like you're only all you can control is how
• 3:15
  Speaker 5: many chances you give yourself and then once you get there,
• 3:17
  Speaker 5: you kind of just have to hope things break your way.
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: That's the key, right, It's not I loved it.
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: The winner, Woodward was just an awesome dude, Matt and
• 3:23
  Speaker 3: he had said even in his little interview after the win,
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: he had three entries going in and he was he
• 3:27
  Speaker 3: was up there. He looked like a huge opportunity to win,
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: and then Saturday had these really low scores and he's like,
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: oh shit, and then people caught up to him, and
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: so he really had the sweat Sunday. But ultimately in
• 3:36
  Speaker 3: the end he came through, which was awesome to see.
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: But he said, like, this doesn't define me like it's
• 3:40
  Speaker 3: a it's a win.
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: It's huge.
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: He's very thankful and excited and happy and was just
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: a really modest, down to earth guy. But he said, like,
• 3:46
  Speaker 3: you know, if he didn't win, he's played poker for years,
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: Like this is your ups and down. You just have
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: to keep putting yourself in the position to make that happen.
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: And you know, back in twenty twenty four, I came
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: forty seventh. I look at it as like to you know,
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: eighteenth is quite an accomplishment. And also I was with
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: you on the Doug Gim hate came out of this
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: on Friday morning. I'm thinking, oh, I'm all good. My
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: vip rep is like, oh man, it looks like he'll
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: at least get a five or six. And then next
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: hole is whole seventeen for Doug Gim and he makes
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: that double and it was just really really bad after
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: I could have made it without Max McGreevey. He was
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: in there and he missed the gut at one off
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: the line at two under. But I thought I had
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: Gim and Gim was a separator right. Only six people
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: in the tournament had him of the fifty and so
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: I had a crazy runout. But I will say this,
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: the Sunday I got Alex was insane. Because I have
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: a four to six. I'm thinking it's like a min
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: cash at best. I got the Bez five under with
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: the all four under seventy, I got the Zach Blair
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: all four under seventy. He needed like a birdie at
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: the end and he almost had an eagle try.
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: Never even goes for it any of the days. The
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: last day he goes for it and.
• 4:48
  Speaker 3: Sticks it, and I was like, okay, that's amazing. And
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: then McNeely had the low Saturday and then the and
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: the really low earth sorry the low Sunday, so that helped.
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: And then lastly was the winner Covin. So I did
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: have the winner on the lineup, which was nice. Just
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: didn't quite fully get there. But best live final maybe
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: second best live final I've ever been at. There was
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: one other, but you know, it doesn't really matter, just
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: noting it. This was a great experience all around because
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: it's fun just to be there. So I'll have a
• 5:12
  Speaker 3: bigger recap over on DFS Mastermind. You guys, go dfsmastermind
• 5:15
  Speaker 3: dot com. I was recap my live final events with
• 5:17
  Speaker 3: pitchers and breakdowns of the lineups and theory and how
• 5:20
  Speaker 3: I played it and whatever. But I felt really good
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: about how I played. I was never moving off Doug
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: gim with my process and people. Again, it's not about
• 5:27
  Speaker 3: the pick and the play, it.
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: Was the process. I was on him and that's what happens.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: I know he hurt you as.
• 5:31
  Speaker 4: Well, yeah, it was brutal.
• 5:33
  Speaker 5: It made it even more brutally, like he made a
• 5:36
  Speaker 5: nineteen foot or something on his first hole on Friday
• 5:38
  Speaker 5: to get to three under, and it's like, all right,
• 5:40
  Speaker 5: he's there. All we need him to do is play
• 5:42
  Speaker 5: even part of the rest of the day on a
• 5:43
  Speaker 5: really really easy golf course in perfect scoring conditions, and
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: he just had one of his worst ball striking rounds
• 5:50
  Speaker 5: in years. It was actually like his short game in
• 5:53
  Speaker 5: putting that actually kept him at three under late in
• 5:56
  Speaker 5: the round and then and then he h yeah, the
• 5:58
  Speaker 5: water ball in seventeen was just a real kick in
• 6:01
  Speaker 5: the dick, if you will. So that was that was
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: not fun, but still really good week and uh yeah,
• 6:06
  Speaker 5: lots of really exciting things. It's also I think like
• 6:09
  Speaker 5: this is the part of the year where we might
• 6:11
  Speaker 5: start to see some Week one NFL tickets in the
• 6:14
  Speaker 5: lobby sometime soon, so also keep your eye out for that.
• 6:18
  Speaker 5: And it's yet another reason to be just as into
• 6:20
  Speaker 5: mlbdfs this time of years as PGA.
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I didn't see it yet.
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: I've been waiting all weekend because I got to assume
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: like August first, I mean, NFL pricing is coming soon.
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: We always get it toop early. Yet so everybody complains
• 6:30
  Speaker 3: about week one because like all the pricing, it's been
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: out for a month and blah blah blah.
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: But it's coming soon.
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: But they got to get those tournaments out there, so
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: I'm expecting a very big start to the year.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: Also, they tease the Fantasy.
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: Football World Championship while we were there, just just of note,
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: so that is going to be in Miami this year
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: in South Beach, and it's gonna be I think they said,
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: the biggest prize pool ever. So there's still again people
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: talk about DFS and growing like football is never going away,
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: and it's actually only getting bigger.
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: So I'm excited about that. One.
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: Let's talk about these course changes. We're gonna skip the
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: topic of the week for one. You know, we recapped
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: some because I'll go more into it on DFUS Mastermind.
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: You guys have questions, throw them out there, but I
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: will say, let's talk about these course changes. Sixteen million
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: dollars put into changing this course. This was why I
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: said what I mentioned earlier, Like you said, very easy
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: golf course to your point for the pros.
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: Not as easy as you think.
• 7:16
  Speaker 3: But also be like oh score, there's the scores aren't
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: gonna be as low this year. Well, no shit, they
• 7:21
  Speaker 3: literally took away part fives and stuff, but it's it's scoring.
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: And again from an eagles perspective, yeah, you might lose
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: some eagles out there things like that, but I just
• 7:28
  Speaker 3: mean in general, they're still going to beat the course
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: up for what the power number has been moved to.
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: And I honestly don't know what your thoughts are, but
• 7:36
  Speaker 3: I just don't know if they can make these courses,
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: you know, as hard as people say or think they can.
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: We've seen this before just too many times, like, oh,
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: they made all these changes, this should be a real challenge,
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: and it's like nope, they just destroy it. So any
• 7:48
  Speaker 3: thoughts from you on this, and I'm sure you've got
• 7:50
  Speaker 3: a lot, so I'll let you go into it.
• 7:52
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm trying to think of where I want to start.
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: I think the first place to start is we should
• 7:57
  Speaker 5: recognize that the test that the course presents these players
• 8:02
  Speaker 5: doesn't change just because you take a five hundred and
• 8:05
  Speaker 5: forty yard part five and turn it into a five
• 8:07
  Speaker 5: hundred yard part four. I guess the scores aren't going
• 8:10
  Speaker 5: to be quite as low so you know, in the past,
• 8:13
  Speaker 5: let's say twenty six under one, now it would be
• 8:16
  Speaker 5: eighteen hundred because you're taking two par five's a day
• 8:19
  Speaker 5: and turning them into par fourbes that's still a pretty
• 8:21
  Speaker 5: low score for a winning score. But more importantly, it's
• 8:26
  Speaker 5: the fact that the way the golfers are being tested
• 8:29
  Speaker 5: it's the exact same from that change. So there are
• 8:32
  Speaker 5: other changes that I do think will be a little
• 8:34
  Speaker 5: bit meaningful. It seems like the green complexes are a
• 8:36
  Speaker 5: little bit more challenging, both from around the green standpoint
• 8:40
  Speaker 5: and then also making putts. I think the biggest point
• 8:45
  Speaker 5: that I want to make is Donald Ross courses are unique.
• 8:49
  Speaker 5: He has a very kind of unique style of golf course.
• 8:53
  Speaker 5: I actually played a couple Donald Ross courses like kind
• 8:56
  Speaker 5: of consistently in college, and I did not like either
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: one of them. Like I you know, they just weren't
• 9:03
  Speaker 5: tailored for my game. I struggled to kind of understand
• 9:06
  Speaker 5: the best way to approach them because they definitely require
• 9:08
  Speaker 5: more strategy than just go out there and hit good
• 9:11
  Speaker 5: golf shots. So one of the splits that I'm looking
• 9:14
  Speaker 5: at this week, because I actually found it to be
• 9:15
  Speaker 5: really predictive, is performance on other Donald Ross courses, and
• 9:20
  Speaker 5: that includes a bunch of major championship like one off courses,
• 9:23
  Speaker 5: but then it's also here and Sedgefield. And interestingly, like
• 9:28
  Speaker 5: one of the things you'll notice when you kind of
• 9:30
  Speaker 5: read about the course changes this week is that a
• 9:33
  Speaker 5: lot of it was restoring the initial Donald Ross plan,
• 9:36
  Speaker 5: the initial Donald Ross designed, especially around the green and
• 9:40
  Speaker 5: you know with fairway bunkers off the tee that actually
• 9:42
  Speaker 5: are in play for some guys, maybe not the longest guy.
• 9:44
  Speaker 4: So we'll talk more about distance.
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: In a minute, but interestingly, historically you have been you've
• 9:52
  Speaker 5: been better off predicting performance here at the Rocket Classic
• 9:57
  Speaker 5: by looking at performance at Sedgefield for the windom, then
• 10:01
  Speaker 5: looking at past performance at the Rocket Classic itself because
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: what little like Ross characteristics there were are more prevalent
• 10:09
  Speaker 5: at Sedgefield than they have been here. That probably will
• 10:12
  Speaker 5: change moving forward because now a lot of the Ross
• 10:14
  Speaker 5: like design has been restored. But I found that to
• 10:17
  Speaker 5: be really really interesting, So you know, Donald Ross Specialist
• 10:21
  Speaker 5: is something that I'm really looking at this week. Same
• 10:23
  Speaker 5: with easy conditions and same with tree lined courses. The
• 10:27
  Speaker 5: other point I want to make about treelined courses Ron
• 10:31
  Speaker 5: PJ Splits one on one had some really cool pictures
• 10:35
  Speaker 5: just kind of following some guys around in practice rounds
• 10:38
  Speaker 5: this week, and there was one really really good one
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: that I think tells the story of why tree lined
• 10:43
  Speaker 5: courses can be predictive because it's not like there are
• 10:45
  Speaker 5: a million trees here. It's not like when you miss,
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: you're always going to be missing in trees and chipping
• 10:50
  Speaker 5: out sideways like you do at RBC's Heritage for example.
• 10:54
  Speaker 5: But one of the kind of obstacles that trees present you,
• 10:58
  Speaker 5: and this picture was of I'm young and you can
• 11:01
  Speaker 5: just see like he's hitting through this shoot of trees.
• 11:04
  Speaker 5: The other thing that trees do is that they force
• 11:06
  Speaker 5: you to play specific shot shapes off tees, and you
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: can't just hit like a banana cut or a banana
• 11:12
  Speaker 5: draw when you want to, because the ball can't fly
• 11:14
  Speaker 5: through trees obviously, And so I thought that that was
• 11:16
  Speaker 5: a really cool thing that again showed a lot of
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: predictive value here. But at the end of the day,
• 11:22
  Speaker 5: I do expect distance to continue to be really predictive.
• 11:24
  Speaker 5: This has always been a bomber's course. I think the
• 11:27
  Speaker 5: changes were kind of made trying to prevent that from
• 11:32
  Speaker 5: being the case. But the rough is not that bad.
• 11:34
  Speaker 5: It sounds like it's patchy, it sounds like, you know,
• 11:37
  Speaker 5: one of the kind of biggest potential avenues for making
• 11:43
  Speaker 5: this more of an accuracy course and a bomber's course
• 11:45
  Speaker 5: was if the greens were really really firm, which is
• 11:47
  Speaker 5: often the case when you renovate greens and you put
• 11:50
  Speaker 5: new greens in. But all reports are that they're actually
• 11:54
  Speaker 5: pretty soft, surprisingly, and so I do expect this to
• 11:57
  Speaker 5: be a bomber's course once again, especially if there are
• 12:02
  Speaker 5: certain fairway bunkers that were put in place where they're saying, okay, now,
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: it's going to make guys be strategic or play around
• 12:08
  Speaker 5: these bunkers and oops, you know, the top ten percent
• 12:11
  Speaker 5: of distance guys can still just carry those bunkers and
• 12:13
  Speaker 5: take them out of play like that could actually mean
• 12:15
  Speaker 5: that distance is going to be more predictive now than
• 12:17
  Speaker 5: it's been in the past here, So I definitely want
• 12:20
  Speaker 5: to lean on bombers as much as I can while
• 12:23
  Speaker 5: looking at guys who play well on Donald ross courses
• 12:25
  Speaker 5: while looking at guys who play well on tree line
• 12:27
  Speaker 5: courses and easy conditions are another split that's been really
• 12:32
  Speaker 5: really predictive here in the past, and again just because
• 12:34
  Speaker 5: the scores aren't going to reflect such easy conditions now
• 12:37
  Speaker 5: because you have some par five's into par fours like
• 12:39
  Speaker 5: the golf course, the test is the same.
• 12:41
  Speaker 4: So I do expect easy conditions to continue to be
• 12:43
  Speaker 4: really predictive.
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: One thing I want to ask is Ron posts a
• 12:45
  Speaker 3: ton of great stuff. And you know when I was
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: there a couple of years ago. We get to meet
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: Ron at the Fantasy Golf World Championship when it was
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at the time
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: in twenty twenty four, and he was going through some
• 12:54
  Speaker 3: stuff then and showing it all to us.
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: But this time around he did mention that point you talked.
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: About on the g being softer, especially for new greens
• 13:02
  Speaker 3: and renovated and everything put in. But he also it
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: was either him or somebody else they mentioned they watered
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: them Tuesday night. How how quick can those greens, in
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: your opinion, go from people saying they're softer to being
• 13:14
  Speaker 3: the firmness we expected versus you know, over the next
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: two days. Because it was like Wednesday morning when that
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: got posted, or sorry, Tuesday morning, I think it was
• 13:22
  Speaker 3: from Monday night, he was saying, and then Tuesday morning
• 13:24
  Speaker 3: that report was posted. Well, now they're gonna golf tomorrow morning,
• 13:27
  Speaker 3: another you know, another day from now, So how quick
• 13:30
  Speaker 3: can those things tighten up?
• 13:31
  Speaker 5: And for them up, they can, But I would be
• 13:34
  Speaker 5: I'd be really surprised if they don't continue to water
• 13:37
  Speaker 5: throughout the week and then on Saturday overnight. So before
• 13:41
  Speaker 5: Saturday it looks like they're going to get some storms.
• 13:44
  Speaker 5: So at most you're probably gonna get Thursday and Friday
• 13:46
  Speaker 5: without any water. Like I said, I think they're gonna
• 13:49
  Speaker 5: be watering each day, so I would expect them to
• 13:52
  Speaker 5: be soft throughout.
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: And the other thing is, like.
• 13:55
  Speaker 5: It's important to remember that the difference between like really
• 14:00
  Speaker 5: soft and kind of neutral or even a little bit
• 14:03
  Speaker 5: firm greens isn't that much. Where you actually get like
• 14:07
  Speaker 5: a big effect is when you get to like you know,
• 14:10
  Speaker 5: Bayhill at its firmst where balls are taking a huge
• 14:14
  Speaker 5: first bounce, especially if they're coming out of the rough
• 14:16
  Speaker 5: with no spin, like they're just gonna topple forward. I
• 14:19
  Speaker 5: think it's an extremely low chance that we see anything
• 14:23
  Speaker 5: like that here this week.
• 14:24
  Speaker 3: All right, as far as the weather goes this week,
• 14:26
  Speaker 3: I mean it ties to it a little bit because
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: you just mentioned the storms and that on the weekend,
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: But you know, potential all these other factors, but coming
• 14:32
  Speaker 3: in don't really see much. Is there anything that you
• 14:34
  Speaker 3: want to key in on with the weather before we
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: get to start looking at the chalk bild.
• 14:39
  Speaker 5: No, it doesn't look like it's gonna be two interesting
• 14:44
  Speaker 5: you know, light winds gusts under twenty miles per hour
• 14:48
  Speaker 5: each of the first two days, maybe even less the
• 14:50
  Speaker 5: second day. So it doesn't seem to me like weather's
• 14:53
  Speaker 5: gonna be part of the story at all this week.
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, so we're gonna bring it up in a minute.
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: We are gonna go to the stone two point zero
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: over at Shippen Nation. This will be the right draft,
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: will break it down. I got the optimal up and
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: then we'll look down from there what we're doing. Before
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: I get into that, I do want to remind everybody,
• 15:06
  Speaker 3: so just under I think it's just over three weeks.
• 15:08
  Speaker 3: I should say now that DEO shout out to the
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: big Guy in the sky. We've got the Big Guy
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: event in Las Vegas celebrating James Degenerate seventy five. Many
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: of you know him, as we will be in Las
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: Vegas for the weekend of this but the event is Friday,
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: August twenty first, seven thirty to ten thirty pm. You
• 15:25
  Speaker 3: can go to ship at Nation dot com slash the
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: It's the Big Guy Event with dashes the Dash Big
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: Dash Guy Dash Event, or just go on my ex
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: at totag and tambo the links there or DM me
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: if you want details on how to get down to
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: this thing. But it's gonna be a good time. We've
• 15:38
  Speaker 3: got the whole Detroit Ballroom rented out, so that's on
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: the twelve four. We've had some get togethers in the
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: past when James was here with us, but this will
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: just really be a night to celebrate and remember him.
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: The entire DFS community or any fantasy.
• 15:49
  Speaker 3: Sports players out there, anyone who wants to sort of
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: come celebrate and remember James are welcome to the event.
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: It's not just for ship at Nation or anything like that.
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: It's put on for everybody. There's drinks, there's appetite, there's
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: you know, memorial video, maybe some games or of signature
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: drink with Ranch Waters and all the stuff that did
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: the Big Guy would want.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: His Mom's going to be there.
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: There's just a lot of different things that you know,
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: you should be a part of it if you can be.
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: I know not everybody can make it, but be sure
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: to go check out the site or just hit me
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: up directly and we'll go from there. If you guys
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: want to join ship a nation, you can get in
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: right now forty nine dollars for your first month. Get
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: the rest of sort of golf through the playoffs. We've
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: got all the baseball going on NBA or sorry, NFL
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: just around the corner. But I will say Jordan did
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: mention it, so I saw an MLB. They do got
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: the forty four to forty four Mega tickets. There is
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: a few satellites now, but it's not posted yet for NFL,
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: but that will be obviously week one that we see that.
• 16:42
  Speaker 3: The question is do we see like a ten dollars
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: and one hundred dollars? Do we see a twenty five
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: dollars as usual and cutting off? Do we see the
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: big five dollars with like eight hundred million people? Probably
• 16:50
  Speaker 3: so that probably makes it up. So maybe it's like
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: the five dollars, the twenty dollars and the forty four
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: to forty four, But that's just something to keep in
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: the back of your mind. Like Alex said, if you're
• 16:58
  Speaker 3: checking that stuff out, this is the optimal that I
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: have right now. Anyway, Alex, again, the rough draft ownership's
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: not final, nothing like that. But you see got her
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: up see Wu. You see Spawn who's definitely popping as
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: a guy in the eight K range this week. I'm
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: not sure if Davis Thompson will get as much love,
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: but he'll get some this week for sure. And then
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: Sung Jay is a Projections popper. I'm the biggest Sung
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: Jay fan of is all of probably anyone. I know
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: why he wore the sun Jay him Malbourne sweater last
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: week on Thursday because I don't hope he is getting
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: to the I mean, this guy just doesn't have it
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: still right now. And maybe this will be the week
• 17:32
  Speaker 3: because it looks like the week on paper. Everyone's saying
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be his week on paper. I thought it
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: was funny in your discord. I think was Donnie Donnie
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: being the man. He posted like, wow, Sunjay stuff is improving.
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: His iron game is really improving.
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: Check it out and he.
• 17:45
  Speaker 3: Has the chart and it's like, yeah, Red one hundred
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: and thirtieth, Red one twentieth, Red one fourteenth Red one
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: oh seven.
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: It's like he's but he's improving. Though. Give me your.
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: Thoughts on this lineup, and you can give the Sung
• 17:56
  Speaker 3: Jay jabs as well if you want.
• 17:58
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I think I think this is definitely the type
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: of structure that we're gonna see. I think ownership is
• 18:03
  Speaker 5: gonna be pretty balanced up top, so like I do
• 18:06
  Speaker 5: think Cam might separate a little bit, but then all
• 18:08
  Speaker 5: of Xander gotter up Sea Wou Windham can't lay, Ben Griffin,
• 18:13
  Speaker 5: Jake Knapp, jj Spawn and then a little bit Ryan Gerard.
• 18:16
  Speaker 5: Like I think all of these guys are gonna get
• 18:17
  Speaker 5: a decent amount, and so we'll probably see most lineups
• 18:21
  Speaker 5: have minimum two, probably three, maybe even four of those guys. Uh,
• 18:27
  Speaker 5: and then you know, based on how many of those
• 18:31
  Speaker 5: guys you get a secondary level of chalk, like in
• 18:33
  Speaker 5: the in the lower eight kse where you've got Akha,
• 18:36
  Speaker 5: Hoyguard Thorp, Bjornson, Bridgeman, Keegan, Davis, Thompson as you mentioned, Jackson,
• 18:41
  Speaker 5: super Corey Connors, and then down in the values, I
• 18:44
  Speaker 5: think we'll see Coles and Meisner probably get maybe like
• 18:47
  Speaker 5: the two most popular down here. Some on Michael Kim
• 18:50
  Speaker 5: some on Jordan Smith some on Sung JM. So yeah,
• 18:53
  Speaker 5: pretty much in lockstep with you. But I will say,
• 18:56
  Speaker 5: like this is such a surprisingly strong and I think
• 19:01
  Speaker 5: the fact that there's no Scottie has helped pricing where
• 19:05
  Speaker 5: it at least doesn't seem like anyone is massively underpriced
• 19:09
  Speaker 5: or massively overpriced to that point, and so I think
• 19:12
  Speaker 5: it's gonna be a week where, for the most part,
• 19:15
  Speaker 5: like you don't have to spend a ton of time
• 19:19
  Speaker 5: thinking about ownership this week, because as long as you're
• 19:22
  Speaker 5: in certain sections of the pricing down the board, like
• 19:26
  Speaker 5: the highest for example that I have under eighty five
• 19:30
  Speaker 5: hundred dollars is Akha at fourteen point nine percent in
• 19:33
  Speaker 5: single entries, So you're just not running into the kind
• 19:36
  Speaker 5: of chalk that we've seen in past weeks.
• 19:38
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Like I just threw up another version of because
• 19:40
  Speaker 3: that was too that I saw as well, Like Meisner
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: and Coal look like they'll pick up some steam, and
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: that's just people like to play Meisner.
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: The other thing is there's some weird pricing factors.
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: So anyway, like just to finalize it, I do think
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: some jay's popping enough in the projections that we can
• 19:52
  Speaker 3: move them up some like our ownership will come up
• 19:54
  Speaker 3: on them for sure. Meisner and Cole are guys, and
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: they're like, I say, we'll be a little bit more
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: spread out even up top. But just no, this type
• 20:01
  Speaker 3: of build seems pretty common. And I know, like you
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: can get to three nine k's instead of JJ spawn.
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: Sure you can do the cam Young and then skip
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: over the nine k's or even play them.
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: But I love what you said.
• 20:11
  Speaker 3: Like the other thing too, is like I don't know
• 20:14
  Speaker 3: how to explain it that like last week the field was.
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: Booied or ang.
• 20:19
  Speaker 3: I guess it was like push because of Scotty Scheffler,
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: like you added Scotty to the mix. But after that
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: it was like the I think it was like Brian
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: Kirschner this these people tried to like make fun of
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: him and said, like he said this event sucks, and
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: they're like, well, this event doesn't suck. It's got Scotty
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: Scheffler and Tony Finow and it's like, okay, you just
• 20:34
  Speaker 3: put your own foot in your mouth when you said that.
• 20:35
  Speaker 3: He was not even being that harsh on them, but Kirshner,
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: but they were like saying he was saying it. But
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: it kind of was a rough Field after Scotty like
• 20:43
  Speaker 3: it was awesome, Like I'm telling you how I was there.
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: It was phenomenal to be there for Coyven's first win.
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: The atmosphere was electric, like when it was Scotty and
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: Hideki on Saturday. Yeshdeki would have been the guy would
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: have said, by the way, not Tony fen now, but
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: just noting it. Nothing against Tony, but that was part
• 20:56
  Speaker 3: of it. But there was a lot of good DFS plays,
• 21:00
  Speaker 3: meaning guys that we know and play every week, and
• 21:02
  Speaker 3: we're like trying to talk about That's what I feel
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: about this event. It's it's a little stronger up top
• 21:06
  Speaker 3: with like, yes, no Scottie, but cam Young ex Scott
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: or ub seawou Cove and Clark, like, yes, much much
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: better that way. But I'm saying the part that makes
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: it more fun to me from a DFS perspective is Okay, well,
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: what about like Decky did play good last week?
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: Can't las here?
• 21:22
  Speaker 3: What about Nap incredible Sunday watching that round spawn? Okay,
• 21:27
  Speaker 3: like him, Batia, he's exciting, Hogar like, oh wait Thorp
• 21:30
  Speaker 3: this dear still and boo, I can do that for
• 21:32
  Speaker 3: the seven K range too, And then you even get
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: into the sixes. And I'm not saying a lot of
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: people are gonna end up there because the standard roster construction.
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: But don't tell me people aren't thinking about playing some
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: you know, Chris Kirk, some Lee Hodges, some now people.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: Like Max McGreevy.
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: There's a bunch of other names down here as sergeant
• 21:49
  Speaker 3: you know, the conversation around him and coven right being
• 21:52
  Speaker 3: the two prospects, and then you know you got Stout
• 21:54
  Speaker 3: out there and other guys too, but just Howey.
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: And then the other thing too is some of the pricing.
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: So Bez was like eighty something last week, eighty ye
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: seven hundred? Was he eight? No, he's seventy nine hundred.
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: I guess, sorry, seventy nine hundred. But he had a
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: decent week and.
• 22:10
  Speaker 3: He drops to seventy three, and some other guys around
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: him are higher now Meiser, you know missed the cut.
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: Is this Cole's decent week and he's down Grazerman insane
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: Sunday down to seventy three hundred Neerguard down from seventy seven.
• 22:23
  Speaker 3: So like it's still change some of the pricing around.
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: And then guys like Doug Gim who missed the cut,
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: Kiefer missed the cut, a lot of missed the cut,
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: guys super missed the cut, Pierson, Cootie missed the cut,
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: Brennan screwed people on Sunday. All their prices are down too.
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: I think it's a really fun DFS slate and I
• 22:39
  Speaker 3: think this is gonna be good to talk about. Is
• 22:41
  Speaker 3: there anything else with the chalk build or any of
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: those comments that you want to sort of run through
• 22:44
  Speaker 3: before we hop in? But I do see that like
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: maybe we look at quickly at Cam young version anything
• 22:49
  Speaker 3: else you see.
• 22:51
  Speaker 5: Not really, I think, because again, like ownership can be
• 22:59
  Speaker 5: so spread out when to get past like JJ Spawn
• 23:02
  Speaker 5: and Ryan Gerard kind of where The one thing I
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: do think is worth looking at is let's see what
• 23:08
  Speaker 5: a bill looks like if you try and get four
• 23:10
  Speaker 5: of those top guys in instead of just three. So
• 23:12
  Speaker 5: like what if you started with spawn Nap can't lay
• 23:17
  Speaker 5: as the most expensive, and then like Ben Griffin or
• 23:21
  Speaker 5: Herdeki or someone like that, what does that leave for
• 23:24
  Speaker 5: those final two spots.
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna go spawn Nap can't lay Henley in a second.
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: I just want to show something quickly though, for those
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: looking at this like again, I don't know. I think
• 23:33
  Speaker 3: we said it was spawn, this is with a six
• 23:36
  Speaker 3: K guy, but this is with Young and got her
• 23:38
  Speaker 3: up by the way, right, So just a note. All
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: I was trying to show is we'd said, what's his name?
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: Cole?
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: I won't even round it out.
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: But you can also go, like if you put the
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: Cam Young version in here and say, Okay, I'm not
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: gonna play Spawn because he's gonna be so popular. Well,
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: even if you do like the song j Meisner Cole
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: thing we did at the bottom, you're still in that
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: mid and I know nobody might want to live. I
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: think the chalk version of this was people said Kee
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: and bra right, and it's very close to the number.
• 24:02
  Speaker 3: But just to note it, this is not that different
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: from the bill we just looked at. It's just a
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: different version of it, right, yep, all right, so let's
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: go back.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: Let's go Clark can't lay? Would you say got her up?
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: Nap or nap.
• 24:16
  Speaker 4: Any of those top four guys.
• 24:21
  Speaker 3: It's probably I mean, just for what people can fit though,
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: it's probably this right this, I guess this would be
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: the version of it, And I'll let you play with it.
• 24:30
  Speaker 4: But I'm not saying like Clark, yeah, I'm.
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: Breakdown of it and I'm gonna put Novak because people
• 24:36
  Speaker 3: love Novak at these well, they loved them at the
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: John Dear Classic.
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: Maybe they'll hate him here.
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: But he's seventy one hundred dollars so and it looks
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: like they will from an ownership perspective.
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: But just to give you an idea, that's close.
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: But then you will have to dip into the sixes
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: if you're doing more than that with these eight K guys.
• 24:52
  Speaker 4: Yeah, so I think what would happen is I.
• 24:53
  Speaker 5: Think a lot of people would go from Clark there
• 24:55
  Speaker 5: down to HITDECKI so that they can get up to
• 24:59
  Speaker 5: Mys or Coals as that last guy in. But but yeah,
• 25:03
  Speaker 5: so essentially, like the main point here is just this
• 25:06
  Speaker 5: isn't difficult to do, right, Like you can do this
• 25:08
  Speaker 5: while still playing some of the most popular, quote unquote,
• 25:11
  Speaker 5: highest probability cheap guys. And so I do think that
• 25:15
  Speaker 5: we're gonna see lineups like this as well.
• 25:17
  Speaker 4: And so I just think it's an important point to
• 25:20
  Speaker 4: make that like.
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: It just because we said, hey, the most common line
• 25:24
  Speaker 5: up is gonna have two or three of those top guys.
• 25:26
  Speaker 5: Like if your thought is, oh, I'm gonna get four
• 25:27
  Speaker 5: of those top guys instead, that's that's not separating you
• 25:31
  Speaker 5: in any way. So I think this is the kind
• 25:32
  Speaker 5: of line up that we also need to kind of
• 25:35
  Speaker 5: keep in mind and try to leverage off of. And
• 25:37
  Speaker 5: so so yeah, again, like I don't think I don't
• 25:42
  Speaker 5: think this is really a week where like ross construction
• 25:45
  Speaker 5: is the way to get different. It's like you you
• 25:47
  Speaker 5: actually have to do it by the players that you use.
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's a key component there too, because
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: the other thing is so this just shows and I
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: think now people have seen it enough it's up on
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: the screen or we talked to it. I mean this
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: one was finished out on Can't let Hideki. It could
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: have been I guess it could be Henley Hideki, or
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: it could be like Clark Ben Griffin.
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: Whatever you guys decide.
• 26:06
  Speaker 3: But that's like you said, you're not really getting that,
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: did I technically I went to three AK like you
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: kind of did, but you kind of didn't. And so
• 26:12
  Speaker 3: like if I'm going a K one of my quick ones,
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: just you know early on, I would say for sure,
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: actually I'll wait because I'm gonna save it, but I'll
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: keep going through it with you here. My takeaway though
• 26:20
  Speaker 3: would be that none of these lineups are seeing the
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: six K range, even if you do go all the
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: way up to who you know is probably the most owned,
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: just because he's easy to fit in many ways. But
• 26:30
  Speaker 3: Cam Young, I don't know, you could see like somebody's
• 26:33
  Speaker 3: if somebody picks like a gotter Up, I showed you
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: how easy it was to still get these two. You
• 26:36
  Speaker 3: could actually see where gotterr Up is higher owned than
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: Young or something, just because he fits starting the build
• 26:43
  Speaker 3: plus going into the build. If I don't know if
• 26:46
  Speaker 3: people I don't think Coyven's gonna stay, but if Clark
• 26:49
  Speaker 3: gets love, you know what's he right now?
• 26:52
  Speaker 4: Yeah?
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I think it's about that. Yeah, I
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: think it's between these two.
• 26:56
  Speaker 3: And it just depends on more people decide to go
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: with the balance version than the one we talked about.
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: And then keep in mind, like Alex always talks about,
• 27:02
  Speaker 3: if you're starting it with god her Up, a lot
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: more of those lineups are gonna have JJ spot because
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: we just.
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: Showed you that's what they know.
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: I don't if you don't anyone above you can fit
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: the EK and then more popular AK guys get pushed
• 27:14
  Speaker 3: into more of those lineups. If you start with these two,
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: it's less likely that there's an eight K guy at all.
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: So to Alex's point, you can look at a bunch
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: of different angles. But I think there's something to be
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: said for this week, for the new course, everything we
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: talked about so far on the show, the new course,
• 27:29
  Speaker 3: the roster construction, the thing we just mentioned, all these factors,
• 27:31
  Speaker 3: the pricing, the DFS, darlings of like there's so many
• 27:34
  Speaker 3: of them in the field, all of that to think
• 27:36
  Speaker 3: about that, I don't know if just skill stacking, but
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: almost like what you think how the field is going
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: to play, because if you if you get it right,
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: there might only be a smaller pool like for example,
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: and I know a lot of guys vombit for sure,
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: but it said I you want just going to the
• 27:49
  Speaker 3: easiest one. If you said, okay, I'm gonna stick with bombers,
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: no matter what anyone says that, and you've got all good,
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: good lineups with the bombers, you can make your pool
• 27:58
  Speaker 3: that much smaller, that much quicker to work off of
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: if that's what you decide. If you said to your
• 28:03
  Speaker 3: point on the splits. Yeah, I like all these splits.
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: These three stand out, and it'd be nice to have
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: somebody who's good in all three of the splits that
• 28:10
  Speaker 3: you mentioned. But someone might say, you know what, Alex
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: really hit home with me when he talked about the
• 28:14
  Speaker 3: tree lined set up here. So I'm gonna find guys
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: within the tree line splits that also have good projections,
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: that also have good this, and I'm gonna stick with that.
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: And then if that's right and these trees do become
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: a factor. I'm just throwing things out there, but you
• 28:27
  Speaker 3: get what I'm saying. To me, that's where you get different.
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: It might still not be in the end.
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: It's always the picks as in the result.
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: Like I say, the picks are a result of the process, though,
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: and the process to me would be how I just
• 28:38
  Speaker 3: explained it. If you're right, you could be all the
• 28:41
  Speaker 3: way right because you've already brought your playerpool size down
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: a ton. And I've talked about that for years about
• 28:46
  Speaker 3: building in sets. That's how I look at it. You
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: get to shrink your player pool immediately if you go
• 28:51
  Speaker 3: at that angle. And I don't think this is a
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: bad week to do that because this is a week
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: where there's a lot of unknowns beyond that, and then
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: there's a lot of names, so people can get overwhelmed
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: with that, right, Well, I like this guy, like this guy.
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: I heard this guy. It's a lot of that too.
• 29:05
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 29:05
  Speaker 5: I think one of the most important points see that
• 29:07
  Speaker 5: you made there was like you want that to work
• 29:10
  Speaker 5: directionally in your favor, where it's not dependent on that
• 29:14
  Speaker 5: thesis playing out exactly that way. It's like, this lineup
• 29:17
  Speaker 5: is good regardless, and if the tree line splits end
• 29:22
  Speaker 5: up being a really big piece of this, or if
• 29:24
  Speaker 5: Donald Ross courses end up being like even more predictive
• 29:27
  Speaker 5: than they were in the in the past, here my
• 29:30
  Speaker 5: lineup goes from being good to even better. And I'm
• 29:33
  Speaker 5: not counting on that being the thing that makes it
• 29:36
  Speaker 5: a good lineup. It's already a good lineup. That's just
• 29:39
  Speaker 5: the thing that could take it over the top. So
• 29:40
  Speaker 5: I think that's a really good way of putting that such.
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: A huge factor, and that's why we talk about this
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: all the time. But like, this is what DFS Mastermind
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: is all about. That's the foundation. So Alex and I
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: got two things going on separately, and this is one
• 29:52
  Speaker 3: of them, like the f US Mastermind. You can go there,
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: you can join it. You can just get the modules
• 29:57
  Speaker 3: for less than fifty bucks if you want to.
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: Go start off.
• 29:59
  Speaker 3: If you want all of the courses and the entire setup,
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: you can get it for four ninety seven.
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: You can use the forty seven bucks towards that.
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: But that's the once a month roundtable, Q and A,
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: the discord, all the pro interviews, the podcast feed, et cetera,
• 30:12
  Speaker 3: et cetera. But the idea behind this is to teach
• 30:14
  Speaker 3: what you just talked about how it's not. That's why
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: I would say, it's not the picks and the plays.
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: It's it's not who you play, it's how you play them.
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: That's the thought process around that. But then you take
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: something like you do in your discord with the splits
• 30:26
  Speaker 3: and your site that's up now that people can check
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: out like that. That's kind of the setup where you
• 30:30
  Speaker 3: can then say, Okay, I learned the concept from Mastermind,
• 30:34
  Speaker 3: but now I'm going.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: To go apply it via the other stuff.
• 30:37
  Speaker 3: If a lot of people that you just have splits
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: or just have something, they're just kind of guessing on stuff,
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: but they're not thinking about the roster construction in a
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: different way to what you just pointed out there.
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: So it's kind of like you got to combine.
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: Those two to be able to get yourself to where
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: you're like, I'm playing a really good lineup, but it
• 30:51
  Speaker 3: also is going to be even better if this happens
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: or I'm playing it because of this, but it's actually
• 30:55
  Speaker 3: good even if that doesn't happen. And that's where people
• 30:58
  Speaker 3: are like, well, if I hadn't known that I would
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: have on this, or if I you just you might
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: not think like that yet and you'd be surprised. Man,
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: how many people I got to meet at the Fantasy
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: Golf World Championship that were, you know, first time at
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: a live final that just start explaining their process.
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: And telling you. And I'll tell you what. The most
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: common thing.
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: That was said was people don't like to pay tuition,
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: but in this game, you have to. And that is
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: basically the words one guy used that others echoed it
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: in a different way, but they say like, man, I
• 31:24
  Speaker 3: just lost a bunch of money and I wanted to
• 31:26
  Speaker 3: you know, I learned the game, but I paid for discords,
• 31:28
  Speaker 3: I paid for places that I could learn and I play.
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: I paid to try and figure this game out, just
• 31:32
  Speaker 3: like I would anything else. If I was learning golf,
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: I would go get a golf instructor and pay them money.
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: If I want to, you know, learn how to drive
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: a car, I go by driving.
• 31:40
  Speaker 3: School classes and then I go be able to drive
• 31:42
  Speaker 3: a vehicle and take it on the road. Like you
• 31:44
  Speaker 3: pay for that extra that you can sort of learn
• 31:47
  Speaker 3: from other's mistakes and get better, and then you can
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: start to learn how to apply it.
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: And then that's the process of like playing a little
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: bit smaller, playing satellites, things like that.
• 31:56
  Speaker 3: But anything you want to add when it comes to
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: that stuff, I know you're doing a ton of new
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: and good things around DFS and analytics and all this
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: stuff right now.
• 32:03
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it's a it's a cool point that
• 32:06
  Speaker 5: you made there, and it's it's true. And I would say,
• 32:08
  Speaker 5: like it's true no matter who you are, so like
• 32:10
  Speaker 5: even you know, my myself, even you we are constantly
• 32:14
  Speaker 5: looking for new ways to get better at this game,
• 32:18
  Speaker 5: to learn more, to get new information, right, and so
• 32:21
  Speaker 5: whether that's subscribing to a site or whether it's you know,
• 32:26
  Speaker 5: I'm paying one hundred dollars a month for you know,
• 32:28
  Speaker 5: a powerful claud subscription, so I can go and do
• 32:31
  Speaker 5: this research myself and then put it in the discord.
• 32:34
  Speaker 5: And so now instead of paying one hundred dollars a
• 32:36
  Speaker 5: month for Claude to do that, you just go pay
• 32:38
  Speaker 5: for my discord in set and stuff like that. Right,
• 32:40
  Speaker 5: And so I quick shout out a new site is
• 32:44
  Speaker 5: up Blickanalytics dot com, b l I c K Analytics
• 32:47
  Speaker 5: dot com.
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: That's where all this stuff is. And uh, what you'll
• 32:52
  Speaker 4: see is like all.
• 32:53
  Speaker 5: Of the analysis, all of my slate thoughts, stuff like
• 32:56
  Speaker 5: that is in the discord and then all the projections,
• 32:58
  Speaker 5: the ownership, the splits are now up on the site,
• 33:01
  Speaker 5: just so it's a lot easier for people to actually
• 33:03
  Speaker 5: see those charts. And they're fancy, they're kind of cool.
• 33:06
  Speaker 4: It's very very kind of just neat.
• 33:11
  Speaker 5: I guess that I'm able to create this stuff online
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: now because you know, like six months ago, like I
• 33:17
  Speaker 5: never ever ever would have come close to being able
• 33:18
  Speaker 5: to build something like this. So AI is really cool
• 33:22
  Speaker 5: and it's been it's been a lot of fun, a
• 33:24
  Speaker 5: lot very rewarding kind of learning about it. But the
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: coolest part of it is now I get to share
• 33:29
  Speaker 5: that with all the subscribers. It's just it's been really,
• 33:31
  Speaker 5: really fun and can't wait to continue to do more,
• 33:33
  Speaker 5: especially into the NFL season.
• 33:35
  Speaker 3: Yeah, the blickalytics Okay, Kyle, but blick scored is the
• 33:38
  Speaker 3: one whoever came up with that originally, I don't know
• 33:40
  Speaker 3: who it was, but that's the way.
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: The way to go on that one. I love the
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: point you made about like we pay too. I love
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: the claude.
• 33:46
  Speaker 3: Actually that exact example is like, again, everybody can go
• 33:50
  Speaker 3: I use this all the time with our partner at
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: sabersim or other sites that people use and different factors
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: where it's like you can go just pay for it
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: and press buttons and hope it works out. But it's
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: like you pay a hundred because you also have experience
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: now with prompting it a ton and getting you know,
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: the right answers out of it and finding out and
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: knowing how to adjust.
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: And anybody could do that, but it's way better.
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: For someone to have the foundation, or if you're not
• 34:12
  Speaker 3: gonna go pay to get the foundation, skip over it
• 34:14
  Speaker 3: and move over to just paying for somebody who is
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: and who already has that experience that has done it.
• 34:18
  Speaker 3: And that's kind of the difference with that. So I
• 34:21
  Speaker 3: love that call out. Man, that's just a good one.
• 34:22
  Speaker 3: We're paying for a ton of stuff ourselves to get
• 34:24
  Speaker 3: better and learn and focus and be able to create
• 34:26
  Speaker 3: stuff and do different things. Lots of people can do
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: the same. Let's look at how to leverage this build. Yeah,
• 34:32
  Speaker 3: so we talked about a couple of these different bills
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: that we saw. I mean, you don't see a lot
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: of six K guys if any? Is it because the
• 34:39
  Speaker 3: six K range is just too weak this week?
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: If you will?
• 34:43
  Speaker 3: Or is it because you just think it's just because
• 34:44
  Speaker 3: it's so unnecessary and maybe people will just pick a handful.
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: I just I don't see very many. Maybe you know, maybe.
• 34:51
  Speaker 3: Sub five is what we see across the board, Like
• 34:53
  Speaker 3: what six K guys stand out to you?
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: If any? Now?
• 34:56
  Speaker 5: Maybe like how maybe, but it's it's not fun down here,
• 35:03
  Speaker 5: and like there's a there's a very clear, kind of
• 35:07
  Speaker 5: massive drop off in in all of my projections once
• 35:11
  Speaker 5: you get into that like six uh yeah, that's upper
• 35:16
  Speaker 5: six K range really And so I'm I'm very much
• 35:19
  Speaker 5: not intrigued by it kind of at all. And yeah,
• 35:23
  Speaker 5: it's it's it's a tough one to get sold on.
• 35:26
  Speaker 5: And I think what what I noticed too, by the way,
• 35:30
  Speaker 5: is like there's not much temptation to go down there,
• 35:33
  Speaker 5: because if you just look in the upper or in
• 35:38
  Speaker 5: the lower seven k range, like you can find guys
• 35:40
  Speaker 5: who are projected a lot better at pretty good ownership too,
• 35:44
  Speaker 5: you don't need to go down Like sometimes everyone who's
• 35:49
  Speaker 5: worth a damn in the low sevens is like, Okay,
• 35:52
  Speaker 5: well they're gonna be ten percent on, they're gonna be
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: fifteen percent on, something like that. And so if you
• 35:55
  Speaker 5: actually want to find a good player down there, or
• 35:59
  Speaker 5: at least someone who's like intriguing with low ownership, you
• 36:02
  Speaker 5: have to go into the six k's because that's just
• 36:05
  Speaker 5: like that, you have to do that to avoid ownership,
• 36:08
  Speaker 5: let alone looking for someone who actually has some real upside.
• 36:11
  Speaker 5: This week, we can find all of the like the
• 36:13
  Speaker 5: really good ownership place we want in those low sevens.
• 36:16
  Speaker 5: So there's no reason to me to go any lower.
• 36:19
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I love all that and agree one
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: thing I'll add though, again this is obviously more large
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: field tournament where you know you're taking on the risk.
• 36:26
  Speaker 3: But I think most people are inclined to go Cam
• 36:29
  Speaker 3: Young and skip the Nines or Cam Young with got
• 36:32
  Speaker 3: her up or and that and then down from there,
• 36:35
  Speaker 3: or got her up and down or I definitely think
• 36:38
  Speaker 3: a lot of people just say, oh, well, if I'm
• 36:40
  Speaker 3: not gonna go Cam Young, let me just I heard
• 36:42
  Speaker 3: them say people are gonna play two nine K guys,
• 36:44
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna play three or four.
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: We saw that too. It wasn't like that different.
• 36:47
  Speaker 3: So I will say that, yes, this will be a
• 36:50
  Speaker 3: little bit uncomfortable, but you still have sixty eight hundred
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: per player when you load up like Cam Young with
• 36:55
  Speaker 3: two nine ks, and maybe it's not got her I
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: used the popular one.
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: You could probably get that.
• 37:00
  Speaker 3: I mean, I know you can mathematically, but I'm saying,
• 37:02
  Speaker 3: let's say it's this is your guys, Well, your average
• 37:05
  Speaker 3: is now the low sevens, and you might have to
• 37:07
  Speaker 3: pick your one six k guy. But we already said
• 37:09
  Speaker 3: they're all gonna be sub five percent for the most part,
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: very likely.
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: And it's not like you're saying, well, now I got
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: to pick a bunch of them.
• 37:15
  Speaker 3: It's not like picking Scottie last week where he comes
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: in second and still is nowhere.
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: You know he was in the live final.
• 37:20
  Speaker 3: I know he won it for the guy, but I'm
• 37:21
  Speaker 3: just saying he wasn't really needed in all those large
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: field tournaments because he was fourteen to two and you
• 37:26
  Speaker 3: needed to make extra room for him at the bottom.
• 37:30
  Speaker 3: This is an example with like Cam Young two nine
• 37:33
  Speaker 3: k's where you don't even have to go into the sixes,
• 37:35
  Speaker 3: but if you do, you can. You can still play
• 37:37
  Speaker 3: around with a ton of low owned guys to no
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: owned guys in the seven K range.
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: And by that I mean sub five percent.
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: You could get three sub five percenters in this lineup,
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: no problem, not have got her up, not have spawn,
• 37:50
  Speaker 3: not have mac Meisner.
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: And Cole and Sung Jy and still be just fine.
• 37:55
  Speaker 3: And this is totally different, and you might only be
• 37:57
  Speaker 3: picking like one guy down there. But let's say you
• 38:00
  Speaker 3: had a splits guy who looks good, Alex, I'm just
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: gonna use a popular one.
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: But let's say Chris Kirk looks fine.
• 38:05
  Speaker 3: Will you now have almost seventy two hundred per you
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: can do there's so many guys from seven K.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: Let's go, I can do it this way for you
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: guys on the screen.
• 38:16
  Speaker 3: Like all these guys are pretty much gonna work, and
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: Sungjy will get.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: A boost.
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: Pot guid maybe Cole's maybe Grazerman maybe like, yeah, there'll
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: be some late steam on a little of these guys,
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: but we're talking steam to ten percent maybe or something eleven,
• 38:31
  Speaker 3: but you know, like that type of range.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: So anyway, you don't have to take them.
• 38:34
  Speaker 3: There's twenty guys around them, so you could fill this
• 38:36
  Speaker 3: line about So I think one of my first thoughts is,
• 38:39
  Speaker 3: and it didn't even need a six ky, I just
• 38:41
  Speaker 3: showed it with a sixty nine hundred dollars version, is
• 38:43
  Speaker 3: to go with Cam Young and two nine k guys
• 38:46
  Speaker 3: as a way to get different up top right out
• 38:48
  Speaker 3: of the gate.
• 38:49
  Speaker 5: What do you got, I mean down in the in
• 38:52
  Speaker 5: the low sevens. Like, as I said, there are so
• 38:55
  Speaker 5: many guys who really intrigue me. You can start with
• 38:57
  Speaker 5: Billy Horschell as a pivot off Sung JM. Like his
• 38:59
  Speaker 5: iron are as hot as anyone's in the world right now,
• 39:02
  Speaker 5: coming off a thirteenth place finish where he actually drove
• 39:05
  Speaker 5: the ball well to all he needs to do is
• 39:07
  Speaker 5: make some putts and historically like that's not uh, that's
• 39:10
  Speaker 5: not something that will hold Billy Horsseel down for a while.
• 39:14
  Speaker 5: Eventually he's gonna start making putts again, so I like
• 39:16
  Speaker 5: him quite a bit. I think Kevin, you, Michael Kim,
• 39:21
  Speaker 5: you mentioned pot Geter, Grazerman, Wallace Key for Coody, Like
• 39:26
  Speaker 5: there are just there's so many options down here that
• 39:29
  Speaker 5: I think that's that's probably how I'm going to play
• 39:32
  Speaker 5: the slate, which doesn't mean that I'm not going to
• 39:34
  Speaker 5: try to get different up top. But like, let's remember,
• 39:39
  Speaker 5: like currently the lowest owned guy that I have over
• 39:42
  Speaker 5: eighty six hundred dollars is Jackson Coavin at fourteen point
• 39:46
  Speaker 5: two percent in single entries. There's also Russell Henley a
• 39:49
  Speaker 5: fourteen point four percent. Like those are good ownership numbers
• 39:53
  Speaker 5: relative to some of the guys around them who are
• 39:55
  Speaker 5: at like twenty five percent.
• 39:56
  Speaker 4: Things of that nature.
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: But like if you I'll get another Coven win at
• 40:02
  Speaker 5: fourteen percent, like that alone is not gonna win you
• 40:05
  Speaker 5: the tournament.
• 40:05
  Speaker 4: You still have to be really good elsewhere in your lineup.
• 40:08
  Speaker 5: So I'm mostly just going to say, all right, I've
• 40:12
  Speaker 5: got my separators down in the seven k range. Now
• 40:15
  Speaker 5: i can play whoever I want from the upper eight
• 40:18
  Speaker 5: k's and the nine k's and the ten k's, and
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: I'll just choose the guys who I think, are are
• 40:23
  Speaker 5: you know, the most likely to have some real success
• 40:25
  Speaker 5: this week and not really worry about ownership up top?
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's.
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: Key to remember, is like you said, I just used
• 40:30
  Speaker 3: an example to show you could almost fill up the
• 40:32
  Speaker 3: previous two with a lineup, but it wasn't quite. But
• 40:33
  Speaker 3: it's just a show like that almost hits it just
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: by picking some of those guys, and they all fit
• 40:38
  Speaker 3: the mold of what we discussed there already. So I
• 40:42
  Speaker 3: think there's a lot of different ways that you can
• 40:43
  Speaker 3: go with this one. But any other methods you're thinking
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: on how to leverage the chalk I use like the
• 40:47
  Speaker 3: Camyong two nine K guys you just gave another example.
• 40:51
  Speaker 3: Is there any other thoughts to getting different this week
• 40:54
  Speaker 3: on this slate with the last rocket mortgage and all
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: the changes to the course.
• 40:59
  Speaker 5: No, I think that's it because again, like it's a
• 41:03
  Speaker 5: week I think where you do it with the guys
• 41:06
  Speaker 5: you play and not some kind of roster construction because
• 41:08
  Speaker 5: I don't number one like, I don't think there's going
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: to be a so put it this way, like we
• 41:15
  Speaker 5: know that a lot of people are going to load
• 41:17
  Speaker 5: up on the upper eight K to low ten k
• 41:20
  Speaker 5: range right in in a major championship. If that were happening,
• 41:24
  Speaker 5: we could say, Okay, one of the ways you can
• 41:25
  Speaker 5: deviate is you can go pay up for Rory or
• 41:28
  Speaker 5: pay up for Rom or pay up for Scotty, and
• 41:30
  Speaker 5: that alone will kind of put you in your own range.
• 41:34
  Speaker 5: Or you can go down to the the low six
• 41:36
  Speaker 5: k's in you know, twice instead of the seven K
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: range three times.
• 41:41
  Speaker 4: We don't have that, right.
• 41:42
  Speaker 5: It's a it's a very condensed pricing kind of pricing pool,
• 41:46
  Speaker 5: not just a it's not it's not just like one
• 41:51
  Speaker 5: where you have all these guys available at at the
• 41:55
  Speaker 5: eighth and the tens. Like there's there's no way around that, right,
• 41:58
  Speaker 5: Like any line up, even a super super bound lineup,
• 42:00
  Speaker 5: is going to start in that upper.
• 42:02
  Speaker 4: Eight K range.
• 42:03
  Speaker 5: Even a quote unquote Studs and Dud's lineup is going
• 42:05
  Speaker 5: to start in that upper nine to ten K range.
• 42:08
  Speaker 5: Like everything is just very similar to one another. So
• 42:11
  Speaker 5: you can't you can't really deviate structure wise this week.
• 42:14
  Speaker 5: You have to do it through the players.
• 42:15
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think we talked a lot about that
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: that so we don't need, you know, keep beating that
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: one down. But to the point being of you, you
• 42:21
  Speaker 3: will find certain ranges like say, like the eight K
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: range is going overlooked as a whole. It's just, you know,
• 42:26
  Speaker 3: it's so easy to get to Hedekian up and even
• 42:29
  Speaker 3: if you include nap and spawn like from spawn up,
• 42:32
  Speaker 3: it's easy to play three of those options together. We
• 42:34
  Speaker 3: just showed multiple ways if even going to the very
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: top where you can have like Cam Young Clark and
• 42:39
  Speaker 3: can't layer or Matsiama like we showed, so like you
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: can definitely play three of these guys. So that's one thing,
• 42:44
  Speaker 3: and then the other thing is that makes it so
• 42:47
  Speaker 3: the you know, seventy two hundred and down range is
• 42:51
  Speaker 3: kind of overlooked completely like almost all those guys, because
• 42:54
  Speaker 3: most people can easily land in a Meisner and above
• 42:58
  Speaker 3: and whoever else you have fitting in there, if it's
• 42:59
  Speaker 3: you know, Connors or Davis Thompson or whatever your talk
• 43:03
  Speaker 3: is there. Cole, we talked about sung Ja at seven
• 43:05
  Speaker 3: k flat. Fine, he's like maybe the one down there,
• 43:07
  Speaker 3: but outside of that most will be sub five percent.
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: It gets really spread out.
• 43:11
  Speaker 3: So, like Alex said, you can just pick the plays
• 43:13
  Speaker 3: that you like that fit whatever you're doing. But I
• 43:16
  Speaker 3: would still be thinking of it, Like I say, outside
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: of that, for me, it's still the process of what
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: what am I doing with my build and why? And
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: you know, how am I attacking this course? And that
• 43:25
  Speaker 3: to me makes it so that you land on your
• 43:27
  Speaker 3: guys that fit that. And it's not just the picks
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: and plays, the picks and plays that go with the
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: process you're using.
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: So hopefully that helps.
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: Let's talk a little bit about one and done. We
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: got to hit that quickly just because obviously one and
• 43:39
  Speaker 3: done is rounding out the season. Many are just still
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: going down the stretch. You guys have a your questions,
• 43:43
  Speaker 3: you could throw them in there now, but what are
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: you thinking for one and done? As the season winds down,
• 43:47
  Speaker 3: there's you know a lot of guys that people don't
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: have remaining, and now it's kind of like pure strategy time,
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: right there's only a few events left. If you're out
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: of it, you can't just play the same guy everybody
• 43:57
  Speaker 3: else is playing, even if they are just the best
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: on paper play.
• 44:01
  Speaker 4: Yeah, uh, I got news for you.
• 44:02
  Speaker 5: By the way, we didn't have a leverage lane last week,
• 44:05
  Speaker 5: but we had Jackson Coyven in our joint entry, so
• 44:09
  Speaker 5: we got to win we're all the way up to
• 44:11
  Speaker 5: four thy sixteenth place.
• 44:14
  Speaker 3: Move now, I said my dad this morning in the
• 44:17
  Speaker 3: mail one, same one. We're nineteen hundred and two thousand.
• 44:21
  Speaker 3: Because we each have our own entry, and uh, what
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: do you say for this week? He's he's using Jake
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: Napp this week he likes Jake Nap.
• 44:30
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't even when does when is this? Uh?
• 44:34
  Speaker 4: And let me let me find this so dates it
• 44:38
  Speaker 4: runs through the BMW.
• 44:39
  Speaker 5: Okay, So like the Rocket ten thousand dollars, person Windom
• 44:45
  Speaker 5: eight and a half, FEDIX, Saint Jude and BMW both twenty,
• 44:50
  Speaker 5: we can we can get another Coyven type win mental help,
• 44:53
  Speaker 5: of course, but the position that we're in, we have
• 44:57
  Speaker 5: to nail the FedEx, Saint Jude and the bm and
• 45:00
  Speaker 5: we probably have to do that at fairly reasonable ownership.
• 45:04
  Speaker 5: So the like, the number one thing that I'm thinking
• 45:07
  Speaker 5: of this week is, let's just we got to make
• 45:10
  Speaker 5: sure that we have two really good.
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: Options for those two weeks.
• 45:15
  Speaker 5: So, like I look at this board, we don't have
• 45:17
  Speaker 5: cam Left, we don't have Xander, we don't have got
• 45:19
  Speaker 5: Her Up, we don't have Coven, we don't have Henley,
• 45:22
  Speaker 5: we don't.
• 45:23
  Speaker 4: Have hit Decci. We don't have Nikolai Fowler.
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: Who do we have?
• 45:27
  Speaker 5: We've got Wyndham, We've got Sea Wu, can't lay Ben Griffin,
• 45:32
  Speaker 5: JJ Spawn, Jake Knapp, Ryan Gerard, Michael Thorpejornson. I'll tell
• 45:36
  Speaker 5: you right now. Like, my preference I think is Jake Knapp.
• 45:39
  Speaker 5: His splits are really really good. Let me let me
• 45:42
  Speaker 5: read them off. So three tenths of a stroke better
• 45:47
  Speaker 5: in easy conditions, he gained strokes in five percentage points
• 45:50
  Speaker 5: more of his rounds in easy conditions. He has a
• 45:54
  Speaker 5: three point seven percentage point boom boost, so he's gaining
• 45:58
  Speaker 5: at least I think that's three point three strokes to
• 46:00
  Speaker 5: the field three point seven percentage points more often in
• 46:03
  Speaker 5: easy conditions than in all other conditions. And when you
• 46:07
  Speaker 5: think of it, like how often you're gaining three point
• 46:10
  Speaker 5: three strokes in a round, right, it's it's not very often,
• 46:12
  Speaker 5: So three point seven percent like that might be as
• 46:14
  Speaker 5: high as a twenty five percent boost or something like that.
• 46:17
  Speaker 5: So I think this is a really, really really good
• 46:20
  Speaker 5: spot for Jake Knapp, coming off a very nice week
• 46:23
  Speaker 5: for him.
• 46:24
  Speaker 4: So yeah, I like that quite a bit.
• 46:25
  Speaker 5: And yeah, exactly, how do we make up thirteen million
• 46:28
  Speaker 5: dollars this week in one and done. Like I said,
• 46:31
  Speaker 5: you got to know the last two right when you're
• 46:33
  Speaker 5: getting I think it's I think it's four million for
• 46:36
  Speaker 5: the winner in each of those weeks.
• 46:37
  Speaker 4: So like eight in the last two is not is
• 46:42
  Speaker 4: not impossible?
• 46:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Scooter said time machine heart what the otherways that
• 46:46
  Speaker 3: give up? That's Cade said, give up and try again
• 46:49
  Speaker 3: next year. But I think it is interesting that you
• 46:51
  Speaker 3: just look at you know, the setup of it and say, oh,
• 46:55
  Speaker 3: it seems impossible, but it actually is possible. It's like
• 46:58
  Speaker 3: the big events exist to still make it happened.
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: Is it likely? No? But is it possible? Yes.
• 47:02
  Speaker 3: Kevin Garnett will tell you anything is possible. Alex Now
• 47:05
  Speaker 3: will tell you with Lebron showing up in Philly that
• 47:08
  Speaker 3: anything is possible because now you get yourself a pretty
• 47:11
  Speaker 3: stacked starting five over there for the seventy six ers
• 47:14
  Speaker 3: this coming year. I think that's interesting. Like obviously outside
• 47:18
  Speaker 3: sports topic, we're on a golf show, but I will say,
• 47:21
  Speaker 3: really fun stuff going on in sports. I'm getting all
• 47:23
  Speaker 3: the football updates while we were live on this show.
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: It's you know, Mahomes to rice pass crossover, Like the
• 47:29
  Speaker 3: you know stuff people are talking about. So everyone's getting
• 47:32
  Speaker 3: excited for football coming back, and we will be here
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: for Leverage Lane for that as well.
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: Got a lot of other stuff coming.
• 47:38
  Speaker 3: Nick says, maybe I'm the dumb one here, but I
• 47:40
  Speaker 3: find it interesting that le Ben James, speaking of Lebron James,
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: who we just talked about, misses his first cut by
• 47:45
  Speaker 3: two strokes, drops to seven point three k and now
• 47:49
  Speaker 3: no one wants to play him, which is also funny
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: because uh Coyven did not show up at his first event.
• 47:55
  Speaker 3: Then he goes I think it was T ten at
• 47:57
  Speaker 3: the ESCO and then goes on to win. So I'm
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: not saying Ben James is gonna hit that trajectory or
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: that path, but it's funny about all this stuff. That's
• 48:04
  Speaker 3: what I said earlier. Like John Deere Classic, I'm not
• 48:07
  Speaker 3: saying they're the exact same at all. I'm just because
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: especially with the course change, the things they're just noting
• 48:11
  Speaker 3: like these types of events, but like fifty percent of
• 48:13
  Speaker 3: the field or something in these large field or the
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: small field stuff wanted to play Andrew Novak in the
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: FATA and Golf World Championship, and now nobody wants them,
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: and he's at basically the same price, Like.
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: What do they want with him there that they don't
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: want with them here?
• 48:24
  Speaker 3: It's like, oh, but they just found out, well you'll
• 48:26
  Speaker 3: you'll find out, all right, is if you don't play them,
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: then he comes back and crushes it again, Like anything
• 48:30
  Speaker 3: could happen.
• 48:31
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I think with someone like Ben James, though, like
• 48:33
  Speaker 5: we we should be reactionary because we have a small
• 48:37
  Speaker 5: sample with him, and so like each new data point
• 48:40
  Speaker 5: is is a meaningful new data point, right, Like when
• 48:43
  Speaker 5: when JJ Spawn has a really bad iron week, we
• 48:45
  Speaker 5: don't say, oh, well, now I don't really know if
• 48:47
  Speaker 5: Spawn is a good iron player, Like, yeah, of course
• 48:49
  Speaker 5: he's still a great iron player. With Ben James, now
• 48:52
  Speaker 5: we have two very good iron performances in his last six,
• 48:57
  Speaker 5: too neutral, and two really bad iron performances. So you know,
• 49:01
  Speaker 5: as of last week we were saying, oh, you know what,
• 49:03
  Speaker 5: I think this guy's a really good ball striker. I
• 49:05
  Speaker 5: think he's a great iron player. And now I'm not
• 49:09
  Speaker 5: as confident. I'm not anywhere near as confident in his
• 49:12
  Speaker 5: iron play moving forward as I was. So yeah, I
• 49:15
  Speaker 5: think it's it's not totally irrational to kind of react
• 49:19
  Speaker 5: to Ben James in that way, whereas like, let's say
• 49:21
  Speaker 5: he had put up another good iron performance, drove it well,
• 49:24
  Speaker 5: like he's striving it fairly well, but nothing specially he
• 49:27
  Speaker 5: doesn't have distance, so maybe not the best fit, better
• 49:29
  Speaker 5: fit last week, I would say in that regard, But
• 49:33
  Speaker 5: also like it looks like his around the green game
• 49:36
  Speaker 5: is a real weakness. Maybe a better putter than we
• 49:39
  Speaker 5: thought he was going to be, so like that that's
• 49:42
  Speaker 5: a good thing. But like if he had put up
• 49:44
  Speaker 5: another really good iron performance last week and just couldn't
• 49:47
  Speaker 5: make a putt, I would be much more inclined to
• 49:50
  Speaker 5: agree and say, Okay, yeah, I don't really care about
• 49:52
  Speaker 5: the miscut. I'm going right back to him because when
• 49:55
  Speaker 5: he's good, he seems to be quite good, so the
• 49:57
  Speaker 5: upside is still there. I don't think he's a bad
• 49:59
  Speaker 5: play in any way. I'm just saying, like, I don't
• 50:01
  Speaker 5: think it's totally irrational to not be on him after
• 50:03
  Speaker 5: last week.
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's what people like to do.
• 50:06
  Speaker 3: I guess where I'm a little bit different is like
• 50:07
  Speaker 3: the sample is just too small because it's like you said,
• 50:10
  Speaker 3: it's true, every piece of the sample is new data
• 50:12
  Speaker 3: and that's why you're the data analytics guy. But it's like,
• 50:15
  Speaker 3: you know, you're it is nice to get more data,
• 50:17
  Speaker 3: but it's also like it's just so, how do we know,
• 50:20
  Speaker 3: like if that I mean, honestly, that's what I hated.
• 50:22
  Speaker 3: So we were, by the way, flabbergasted when Coyven got
• 50:26
  Speaker 3: the thirty two percent in the Fantasy Golf World Championship,
• 50:29
  Speaker 3: Like there was no reason. There were so many guys
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: around him above and below, none of the projection sites
• 50:34
  Speaker 3: really had him popping that crazy.
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: He'd burned people in the.
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: FGWC already if there was any bias to that, it
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: was like it was just so wild that he popped
• 50:41
  Speaker 3: the thirty two percent and then of course goes on
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: to win. So I know some people were tilted from
• 50:45
  Speaker 3: that perspective, but it's like the sample said, like bad good,
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: But we know his history is amazing and his upside
• 50:52
  Speaker 3: looks like, you know, incredible long term. But I just
• 50:54
  Speaker 3: thought it was like one of those things where you
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: just never know what these new guys as they're coming out,
• 51:00
  Speaker 3: and we see it all the time over the years
• 51:01
  Speaker 3: playing dfs.
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: It's typically not with the new guys, and it's.
• 51:04
  Speaker 3: More with the One of the other most common things
• 51:06
  Speaker 3: the DFS player will say to me is and I'm
• 51:08
  Speaker 3: sure you've heard a billion times, is like, of course,
• 51:11
  Speaker 3: so and so goes off the week after I was
• 51:12
  Speaker 3: on him, and it's like that's the thing. But a
• 51:15
  Speaker 3: lot of the times the weeks are very similar. It's
• 51:17
  Speaker 3: like last week to this week might end up being
• 51:19
  Speaker 3: very similar, but it's like people will just move off,
• 51:21
  Speaker 3: you know, this week. I'm not build the exact lineup,
• 51:24
  Speaker 3: but I mean you could literally put out a lineup
• 51:26
  Speaker 3: that has Pierson, Coodie, Kiefer, Super who else was the
• 51:32
  Speaker 3: other guy said down there?
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: A mac Meisner, There was a couple others.
• 51:36
  Speaker 3: But my point being, like all those guys that people
• 51:38
  Speaker 3: wanted last week and now they're not that nobody really
• 51:40
  Speaker 3: wants them this week. It's like they all some of
• 51:42
  Speaker 3: them actually played good in round two even last week,
• 51:45
  Speaker 3: and like just have you can you can't make on
• 51:47
  Speaker 3: those types of courses like last week for them. Like
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: I know, I preface it saying how hard it is
• 51:50
  Speaker 3: for these guys. It's not hard, and you cannot have
• 51:53
  Speaker 3: a bad day and you only get a speak of
• 51:55
  Speaker 3: sample size. You only get two days to have it happen.
• 51:57
  Speaker 3: It's like, shit, I just couldn't afford a bad day
• 51:59
  Speaker 3: to day or else, you know, would have been totally different.
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: So I don't know. I think there's a lot of.
• 52:03
  Speaker 3: Fun stuff with this DFS week, so I'm excited from
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: that perspective.
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: One and done.
• 52:07
  Speaker 3: I'm good with Jake Knapp anything for the betting breakdown
• 52:11
  Speaker 3: this week before we get to our leverage lanes.
• 52:14
  Speaker 4: Actually, I don't have any outrights yet.
• 52:17
  Speaker 5: It's on my list of like first things to do
• 52:19
  Speaker 5: this afternoon's. It's been a very, very very busy week.
• 52:22
  Speaker 5: But there are a couple comments in here I want
• 52:26
  Speaker 5: to highlight. First, Aaron I actually like ran through a
• 52:28
  Speaker 5: list of guys in the in the low sevens that
• 52:30
  Speaker 5: tried to try to answer your question without doing it directly.
• 52:34
  Speaker 5: Scooter had made a really good point kind of on
• 52:39
  Speaker 5: on the ball striking from Ben James and how the
• 52:42
  Speaker 5: approach play was really bad primarily because he went in
• 52:46
  Speaker 5: the water on eighteen. And I want to say two
• 52:48
  Speaker 5: things here. First, I think it's a really good idea
• 52:51
  Speaker 5: to to kind of evaluate, you know, in small samples,
• 52:54
  Speaker 5: like does this guy look this bad because he was
• 52:57
  Speaker 5: just bad throughout or was it like one or two
• 53:00
  Speaker 5: outlier swings. However, there are two things with Ben James
• 53:05
  Speaker 5: that I think are important here. The first is that
• 53:08
  Speaker 5: wasn't the only reason why his approach play looked really bad.
• 53:11
  Speaker 5: Even on Friday, he lost over a full stroke with
• 53:14
  Speaker 5: his irons, even if you exclude that water ball in
• 53:17
  Speaker 5: eighteen that cost him one point eight strokes.
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: That's what I just had up.
• 53:20
  Speaker 3: He lost one point eight on Holy Team, but he
• 53:22
  Speaker 3: also lost over two and like almost two.
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: And a half strokes across the first three holes. They
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: were rough.
• 53:27
  Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, it was. That was ugly.
• 53:30
  Speaker 5: The second thing that the second point I want to.
• 53:32
  Speaker 4: Make here is.
• 53:34
  Speaker 5: We don't have enough of a Ben James sample to
• 53:37
  Speaker 5: kind of know this at this point. But we don't
• 53:40
  Speaker 5: always want to just throw out those quote unquote outliers
• 53:43
  Speaker 5: because it is very important that we find players who
• 53:49
  Speaker 5: are making the correct miss right.
• 53:50
  Speaker 4: Like we talk about this a bunch.
• 53:52
  Speaker 5: Gary Woodland had a very real chance to win last
• 53:54
  Speaker 5: week except for the fact that he made the wrong
• 53:58
  Speaker 5: miss twice on eighteen.
• 53:59
  Speaker 4: He came up or in the water.
• 54:01
  Speaker 5: If he just plays eighteen well instead of as poorly
• 54:04
  Speaker 5: as he did, he would have been right there.
• 54:06
  Speaker 4: With coven, so.
• 54:09
  Speaker 5: We want to like there's very real signal. Is essentially
• 54:13
  Speaker 5: what I'm saying in finding the players who routinely make
• 54:17
  Speaker 5: the wrong miss. Now we don't know that that's Ben
• 54:19
  Speaker 5: James yet, this is a very small sample.
• 54:21
  Speaker 4: Because he's young.
• 54:22
  Speaker 5: I do think like that's a little bit more likely
• 54:25
  Speaker 5: than most guys. But yeah, it's not something that I
• 54:29
  Speaker 5: automatically want to just toss out, especially for a young
• 54:32
  Speaker 5: guy like this is a okay? Was was he trying?
• 54:36
  Speaker 5: In other words, like we don't know what was going
• 54:39
  Speaker 5: through his head. Did he select a club that was
• 54:42
  Speaker 5: meant to carry two thirds of the way into the
• 54:45
  Speaker 5: green and he just hit it a little bit high
• 54:48
  Speaker 5: on the face and it just didn't carry for that reason,
• 54:50
  Speaker 5: maybe he misjudged the wind. Or was he saying, ah,
• 54:54
  Speaker 5: I want to try and go make it, because I
• 54:55
  Speaker 5: think if I remember correctly, that was the front left
• 54:57
  Speaker 5: pin that was actually like in a bit of a
• 54:59
  Speaker 5: bowl and if you landed it kind of in that
• 55:02
  Speaker 5: front third of the left side of the green, you
• 55:04
  Speaker 5: could get the backstop and have like a fifteen to
• 55:05
  Speaker 5: twenty footer for eagle. Was he too aggressive trying to
• 55:08
  Speaker 5: do that and then just came up a little bit short,
• 55:11
  Speaker 5: and so you know, because we don't have that information,
• 55:13
  Speaker 5: we can't possibly know that. I think that's an important
• 55:16
  Speaker 5: thing to just say, like, I don't want to toss
• 55:20
  Speaker 5: that out. I want to take note of the fact
• 55:22
  Speaker 5: that he made a really really bad miss there and
• 55:26
  Speaker 5: we'll see in time if that's a consistent flaw of
• 55:29
  Speaker 5: his game or if that really was an outlier, and
• 55:32
  Speaker 5: we should be really confidentbout his approach game moving forward.
• 55:34
  Speaker 5: So I just wanted to talk through that kind of
• 55:36
  Speaker 5: thing because that's that's the sort of thing that I
• 55:38
  Speaker 5: think it's lost a little bit when we look at
• 55:41
  Speaker 5: PGA analytics, right, it's like, not every outlier swing is
• 55:46
  Speaker 5: the same. We can learn more from some than others,
• 55:48
  Speaker 5: and particularly we can learn from a large sample of
• 55:52
  Speaker 5: whether guys are making that miss or not over and over.
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'll say this a couple things.
• 55:57
  Speaker 3: One, we had the suitet on eighteen for Saturday Sunday,
• 55:59
  Speaker 3: so I didn't get to see it on Friday. But
• 56:00
  Speaker 3: I will say the Gary Woodland on Saturday was very
• 56:05
  Speaker 3: painful and more for him. Obviously you could see it
• 56:07
  Speaker 3: ran on his face because you know why, because it
• 56:08
  Speaker 3: was the massive drive. He was much closer than expected,
• 56:11
  Speaker 3: and I was like, there's no way, Like he just
• 56:13
  Speaker 3: went in the water. Nobody, barely anybody was going in
• 56:15
  Speaker 3: it at that point, and he couldn't believe it. And
• 56:18
  Speaker 3: it was the best drive of the day. It was
• 56:19
  Speaker 3: just perfect right out. There's like nobody's hitting from there.
• 56:22
  Speaker 3: It's like half the distance between where the layup guys
• 56:24
  Speaker 3: are and the drive guys are, and it's like he
• 56:27
  Speaker 3: was right in the middle of it. He hated himself
• 56:29
  Speaker 3: after that while that one really stung, and then another
• 56:31
  Speaker 3: note just goes back to you digging into the rounds.
• 56:34
  Speaker 3: I think that's why this is so important. Not enough
• 56:35
  Speaker 3: people do it. It's more Showdown related. But on Sunday,
• 56:39
  Speaker 3: Davis Chatfield or whatever, I forget that guy's name is,
• 56:42
  Speaker 3: but anyway, he was almost thirty percent in the round
• 56:46
  Speaker 3: four Showdown contest. Hubbard, who started the day like two
• 56:50
  Speaker 3: strokes behind him at the exact same price, was I
• 56:54
  Speaker 3: think six percent to twenty eight percent was the difference
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: in the two of them, right, So like three guys
• 56:58
  Speaker 3: had him versus that man. So my point being, though,
• 57:01
  Speaker 3: if you looked at Hubbard and what I saw in
• 57:02
  Speaker 3: round three was like Chatfield was all putter short game,
• 57:05
  Speaker 3: like there was nothing really standing out. But if you
• 57:07
  Speaker 3: looked at Hubbard, he'd made seven birdies.
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: Only one bogie.
• 57:13
  Speaker 3: He left the par five out there at the end,
• 57:15
  Speaker 3: and his approach look horrible. But when you actually dug
• 57:17
  Speaker 3: in it was the one hole. It was eighteen where
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: he went into the water and lost a stroke and
• 57:21
  Speaker 3: a half basically, and it was like that to me
• 57:24
  Speaker 3: was where I'd been in this spot too many times.
• 57:25
  Speaker 3: It was like I could play the safe guy in Chatfield,
• 57:28
  Speaker 3: or I could just take Hubbard at this you know,
• 57:30
  Speaker 3: no ownership because of one bad shot. And then I
• 57:33
  Speaker 3: looked at the other rounds and in round two it
• 57:36
  Speaker 3: wasn't too bad. He left some par fives out there,
• 57:38
  Speaker 3: but he made birdies. In round one he left some
• 57:39
  Speaker 3: par fives out there, but his approach was strong throughout
• 57:42
  Speaker 3: and just missing with the putter. That's the type of
• 57:44
  Speaker 3: stuff where when you do those deep dives and dig
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: in and then know how to actually apply it, know
• 57:48
  Speaker 3: how to apply it, have the data to use it,
• 57:50
  Speaker 3: you're good to go. That's kind of the combination that
• 57:53
  Speaker 3: leads to DFS success, at least in my opinion, so
• 57:55
  Speaker 3: anything you want to add besides that, my friend, If not,
• 57:58
  Speaker 3: let's get into our leverage lane for the week.
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: I'll let you go first.
• 58:01
  Speaker 5: Think it's time for leverage lane. Uh, let's see where
• 58:04
  Speaker 5: do I want to go here? I think I think
• 58:07
  Speaker 5: my leverage lane is going to be hammering that low
• 58:10
  Speaker 5: seven K range. And I mentioned some of these names already,
• 58:14
  Speaker 5: but Coody, Keefer, Wallace Grazerman, Pot Geeter, Michael Kim, Kevin You,
• 58:20
  Speaker 5: all of these guys are popping like crazy in the
• 58:22
  Speaker 5: GPP scores.
• 58:23
  Speaker 4: All of these guys project pretty well.
• 58:26
  Speaker 5: And then I'll probably just say, Okay, well, which of
• 58:29
  Speaker 5: these guys also directionally benefit from the splits that I'm
• 58:32
  Speaker 5: looking at this week? And I'm guessing that it's not
• 58:35
  Speaker 5: going to be like all seven and hopefully it's two
• 58:37
  Speaker 5: or three of them, And it just like makes, you know,
• 58:39
  Speaker 5: the the lineup kind of build itself pretty seamlessly. But
• 58:43
  Speaker 5: but yeah, I think that to me is the range
• 58:45
  Speaker 5: that really stands outs like these are the these are
• 58:49
  Speaker 5: the really really inefficient le owned players for their upside,
• 58:53
  Speaker 5: and when you think about like surrounded by Meisner, who
• 58:56
  Speaker 5: I do think is a good play Cole's obviously in
• 58:58
  Speaker 5: really good form. Meiser has really good splits as well.
• 59:01
  Speaker 5: But we're talking like a quarter of the ownership of
• 59:07
  Speaker 5: those guys on a lot of the guys that I
• 59:08
  Speaker 5: just named, and so I think that's just really really inefficient.
• 59:12
  Speaker 5: Certainly when you look at like the top ten odds
• 59:14
  Speaker 5: for them like Meisner, grazerm and Wallace, Coody, gim Connor's
• 59:20
  Speaker 5: super like, all these guys are separated by like a
• 59:22
  Speaker 5: percentage point at most.
• 59:24
  Speaker 4: So the fact that.
• 59:27
  Speaker 5: Those those two Coles and Meisner are like two three
• 59:31
  Speaker 5: four times is owned as the guys around them with
• 59:33
  Speaker 5: the exact same top ten odds, to me just seems
• 59:36
  Speaker 5: like a really kind of inefficient way to build down there.
• 59:39
  Speaker 4: And so I'm gonna try and take advantage of that
• 59:41
  Speaker 4: for my lover's plane.
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I typically am a cootie Truther.
• 59:44
  Speaker 3: I always get it on that don't don't do the
• 59:46
  Speaker 3: deep dive on his Friday round to see if it
• 59:48
  Speaker 3: was just one hole, because it was definitely not just
• 59:51
  Speaker 3: one hole. That's crazy how much red you see and
• 59:53
  Speaker 3: how dark red that is for some of those holes.
• 59:55
  Speaker 3: He played poorly, but it could have been a bad
• 59:57
  Speaker 3: day for him. I like the upside long term and
• 59:59
  Speaker 3: at of course like this, this could be even better,
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: especially if the splits lean that way. For me, I
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 3: was trying to think about how to say this a
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 3: couple different ways. I definitely think there's something to be
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 3: said that, like you know, just seeing again, everybody has
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 3: different stuff, like the inequity is up there, but there's
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 3: still some down here, and then you get a lot
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 3: of other stuff in here. I wouldn't build a complete
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 3: eight K balance build at all here personally, so I
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 3: guess I'll say it the other way, but I wouldn't
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 3: hate if you had two or three eight K guys
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 3: as opposed to most lineups having zero to one with
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 3: just spawn or like spawn and something else.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: So I could say it that way.
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 3: But the other way i'll say it, Alex is that
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 3: I think everybody has two of these guys, and so
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 3: I'll say this, either I'm only gonna go one nine
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 3: K and above guy, so I'll figure it out that
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 3: way and then drop into that more balanced build, so
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna get stuck with like the oh, you've
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 3: got the most obvious five eight K guy build or
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 3: whatever that people lean.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't do that at all.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 3: But I could do like see Wu and then drop
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 3: down and I don't have the other guys up there,
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 3: and it just goes that way. But another thing I'll
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 3: say is, if I'm gonna play two guys up above,
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna play a combo of the too lowest owned.
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 3: So whether it's something like a Henley can't lay, we'll see,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 3: like Sea Wou versus all of those around him, he
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 3: might not end up being the lowest, But I'm thinking
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 3: if he does come in where let's say I think
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 3: Coyven ends up and our ownership updates tonight, and Coyven's
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 3: lowest out of everybody up there because Clark gets a boost,
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 3: Seawoo gets a projections boost, Xander's squeezed, but it's just
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 3: the squeeze boost, like he's still gonna be at a
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 3: big number. Well, then I would probably think about playing
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 3: like you could do like a Coyven Henley or something,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 3: and you know, something like that's gonna be completely unique.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 3: Where I'm not saying to go away from this upper range,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 3: but I'm saying it in a different way that that
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 3: would still put me into the eight k's where I'm
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 3: gonna have at least two eight k's.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: So the best way to probably say it is.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 3: Two eight k plus and most likely in those two
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 3: eight k's not going to include spawn for my main lineup.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 3: When I do it, I've got a couple other guys
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 3: in there that I like. So not a full balance build,
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 3: but a couple different ways that I'm thinking about it.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 3: If not you don't like that way, the one I
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 3: gave away earlier was in consideration as well, where I
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 3: said it's like Cam Young two nine k's and then
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 3: get different down low. Oh, that's another great way that
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 3: I think you can go this week too. So there's
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 3: a couple for you guys for this week, Alex. Let
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 3: the people know everything else you've got going on. You
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 3: talked about Blick Analytics dot Com and all that, but
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 3: you've got tons of other stuff. It's been a busy
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 3: couple of weeks for you, my friends. So let them
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 3: know where they can find you, what you've got going on,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 3: and then we'll get out of here.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 5: I think I mentioned it on Pat show last week,
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 5: but I can't remember if I've mentioned it yet on
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 5: Leverage Lane. But now that all of the ownership projections,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 5: all of my projections and all of my GPP scores
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 5: are available through my discord at Blickanalytics dot com. The
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 5: price will go up for the NFL season, but anyone
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 5: who gets in before September will be locked into the
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 5: current price forever.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 4: So use promo code leverage.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 5: You get ten percent off and you get locked into
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 5: the current price forever.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 4: It's it's a really good deal.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 5: And I mean, we're just doing so many really exciting
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 5: things over here in the discord, and I know you're
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 5: in there. Pat's in there, and it's been a ton
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 5: of fun. I've already teased it a little bit like
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 5: the NFL Roster Construction data project that I did, Like
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 5: I've already done this for MLB and it's been it's
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 5: it's led to a really really good MLB season for
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 5: me so far. And I know a lot of my
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 5: subscribers have this said the same thing, Like as soon
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 5: as the MLB Roster Construction data came out, like it
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 5: was just kind of automatic, like they've had the best
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 5: MLB season of their lives, I expected similar results for
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 5: the NFL Roster construction analysis, which is like, hey, if
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 5: we do this, it's a bit of an it's a
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 5: bit of an advantage.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 4: If we do this, it's a bit of an advantage.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 5: And if we add up these subtle advantages, they can
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 5: create a pretty good advantage for us. The NFL roster
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 5: construction analysis showed like there are massive inefficiencies that people
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 5: are doing. They're not building certain stacks anywhere near often enough.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 5: They're doing certain things way too often. We put these
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 5: together like, I can't wait for the NFL season. So
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 5: trust me, you guys want that data. It's available exclusively
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 5: in the discord, So I'll see you in there. And
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 5: like I said, use promo code leverage for ten percent off.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 5: That discount is every single time it renews, you get
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 5: that same ten percent off and you're getting ten percent
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 5: off of the grandfathered in price.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 4: So now's the best time to get in there for sure.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you want the data, you want that stuff. Like
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: Alex said, I'm over in the discord.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 3: It's a ton of cool information and specifically with the NFL,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 3: just getting us even more excited for that.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: Only part ones out.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 3: I've read it twice and it's a lot, but it's
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 3: very good and I'm excited for part two. So like
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 3: I said before, guys, you want to learn how to
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 3: play the game first and get that down. Masterminds the
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 3: place to go. It's one time payment. There's no monthly
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 3: or any recurry. You can pay less than fifty bucks
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 3: gets you do what I've taken thousands of hours to learn,
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 3: and learn it in a day and a nine to five.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: Shift if you will, of like a Saturday.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 3: It's seven hours of courses that you can go through,
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 3: but there are actual modules where it teaches you like
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 3: each category. There's twenty categories to break it down. You
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 3: can listen to it on podcast feed. It's less than
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 3: fifty bucks. If you want ship it Nation, go to
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 3: ship at nation dot com. You can still get the
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 3: first month including sabersim for less than fifty bucks as well.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 3: These are all small costs to pay as part of
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 3: that tuition. I just talked about earlier hanging out with
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 3: some of the best DFS players in the entire world,
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 3: at least with pgadfs at Fantasy Golf World Championship, all
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 3: saying the same thing that you pay for your education,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 3: you pay to get ahead. It's to skip steps, it's
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 3: to learn things, learn how to apply them. Get with Alex,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 3: get with ship anation, get the data, learn how to
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 3: actually use that data to your advantage to create your
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 3: own process and not just follow somebody else's picks and plays.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 3: And that's going to put you in the position to
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 3: find more success. But even when you do come up short,
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 3: like we talked about by Fantasy Golf World Championship, but
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 3: put a ball on it all here eighteenth place. Yeah,
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 3: I would much rather a podium finish, But it's you
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 3: got to get in the event first. That takes a
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 3: lot of the stuff to get there, and then you
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 3: can only be putting yourselves in those positions. The more
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 3: often you put yourself in there, the more the opportunity
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 3: exists to give yourself a shot to hit one of
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 3: those life changing scores or the events that you want
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 3: to see happen.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: So check us out.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 3: We'll be back next week for the wind Them, the
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 3: final event before the playoffs, right, We've got that coming up,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 3: So next week, same time, Wednesday, ten thirty am. He's
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 3: that's gonna do over this week guys, for Alex and
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 3: for myself to taking Tambo.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: Good luck in your contest this week, Ledship. It