Latest / CattleUSA Daily / 105: The LRC Model Is Spot On and This Summer Could Prove It Again with Gary Lezak
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome back to another episode of the Cattle USA Daily podcast.
- 0:03Today we have your weekly weather report with Gary Lezak
- 0:07and the Weather 2020 team. Today we are talking some really
- 0:12fun facts about the LRC, some ways that it has been showing up
- 0:17in the cycle, and just some fun banter with Gary and I.
- 0:22If I'm being honest, we're talking dog days of summer.
- 0:25They are coming. And So what does that mean for
- 0:27the weather patterns? What are we seeing across the
- 0:30Midwest and what can we expect in the coming weeks?
- 0:32So without further ado, let's go ahead and hop into this episode
- 0:35with Gary. Welcome to the Cattle USA Daily
- 0:41podcast, your go to source for the latest livestock markets,
- 0:44industry insights and the update shaping agriculture today.
- 0:48I'm your host, Lauren Moylan, a passionate advocate for
- 0:51agriculture here to keep you informed and connected.
- 0:54Now let's dive into today's episode.
- 1:00Gary, welcome back to the podcast.
- 1:03What, what? What's going on in the world?
- 1:05How's life? How's everything?
- 1:06Well, I've been on KSHB for 12 weeks filling in for Lindsay
- 1:09Anderson. It was funny.
- 1:11It's amazing. She's coming back on next
- 1:14Monday, so I am going to finally get back to my life again.
- 1:18And when she comes back, she's only back for one week.
- 1:20She's decided to stay at home, mom, so she'll be back for just
- 1:23one week. So then you got to find somebody
- 1:25else, but not me. I'm taking it away.
- 1:29You are tapping out on that adventure.
- 1:32Tomorrow's your last day. That's crazy.
- 1:33I can't believe it's been 12 weeks already.
- 1:35I know 12 weeks just zipped on by and it was 12 weeks of
- 1:40accurate weather predictions from Weather 2020.
- 1:42Even better, even better. Just the icing on the cake.
- 1:45Icing on the cake on that. Well, talking about weather
- 1:472020, what's going on with the weather?
- 1:50It's fascinating. Here's here's, let me, let's do
- 1:52an LRC example that happened last week right after we talked
- 1:56I think on on last Thursday or so about a week ago, a severe
- 2:02weather event hit Kansas City. It was one that we were
- 2:06predicting when we predicted it right here on this podcast to
- 2:10arrive near the end of June and it happened.
- 2:13So on October 24th, remember the LRC, the cycling weather
- 2:19pattern, what we are bringing to Cal USA and in these products we
- 2:23have for you guys, you really need to follow us on
- 2:25weather2020.substec.com. In a year's time, you're going
- 2:29to go, wow, not only is this real, but we are predicting the
- 2:33weather at a high level of accuracy that can help you plan
- 2:36for your irrigation of your farm.
- 2:39When is it going to be wet? When is it going to be dry?
- 2:41And it is, it is going to be right.
- 2:43It was a good 60 to 80% of the time.
- 2:46Now what happened October 24th pattern had already set up.
- 2:50There was a severe weather event in Kansas City.
- 2:53There are about fourty eight wind damage reports right around
- 2:58Kansas City. So as we went into the spring
- 3:02and it got to April when that part of the pattern cycled
- 3:05through, there was another severe weather event in Kansas
- 3:08City. And then on May 19th there was
- 3:12another severe weather event in Kansas City.
- 3:15And then on June 26th, last week there was another one.
- 3:19So we used it when I was on the air for KSHBI said, listen,
- 3:24Thursday we're going to have severe weather and we have to
- 3:26remember this is how you use the LRC.
- 3:28I'm expecting and predicting we will have wind damage in the
- 3:32city from this chance of thunderstorms.
- 3:34And So what happened Thursday night, wind damage.
- 3:38So this we got a video of this tree, a big, huge, probably 100
- 3:46year old tree that got knocked over.
- 3:50OK. It was like a 60 to 70 mile per
- 3:52hour wind that that tree had to have endured that before.
- 3:56But there's a reason why it might have broken on June 26th.
- 4:00And it was a huge tree that crashed into the street, not
- 4:03into a house, thank goodness. So I saw the video from a
- 4:07doorbell camera of this tree. You hear it go crack, crack.
- 4:13It crashed and fell down to the ground.
- 4:15And then when I talked to them, you know, I, I talked to Jeff
- 4:19Penner, I said, Jeff, this tree, did you see that video, the
- 4:23tree, the doorbell camera? She goes, yeah, that's Renee's
- 4:26video, Renee. I worked with Renee in Master
- 4:29control KSHB. It was her video was her
- 4:32doorbell camera and it was her tree.
- 4:34So I called her and said, Renee, wow, that was something else.
- 4:37We get home when that happened. She goes, no.
- 4:39And she said that the neighbor had just pulled in, which
- 4:41triggered the sensor for the doorbell camera, which caught
- 4:44the 5 minutes that the tree got knocked over perfectly.
- 4:48And she goes, now you Gary, you know that we have got hit.
- 4:51That same tree hit us on May 19th and I went what?
- 4:56So May 19th was the previous cycle, October 24th there was
- 5:01wind damage in her neighborhood. And then on May 19th, right on
- 5:05cycle, the same tree that did not collapse on May 19th, but a
- 5:10huge branch broke off of it. And we have video it of it from
- 5:15another house across the way. And you can see over her house
- 5:19the same tree in the background, and you can see the branch fly
- 5:23off the tree branches. And then she showed me the
- 5:26damage. It flew into her living room all
- 5:29right, So it broke right through the window.
- 5:32So she showed me the broken window.
- 5:34So May 19th they got hit, June 26th they got hit.
- 5:38Remember it's a 38 to 44 day cycle.
- 5:40That's 38 days later. And if you go all the way back
- 5:44to October 24th, that's 246 days later earlier, that's 41 * 6
- 5:50exactly, which is really a set of cycle back.
- 5:53So one tree. And by the way, that's probably
- 5:56why it broke on June 26th, because on May 19th it was
- 6:00weakened considerably. Something had happened to it.
- 6:02It was already probably starting to break and then that broke it.
- 6:06But that's an example. One tree in one neighborhood in
- 6:11Waldo district of Kansas City, around 75th and near Brookside
- 6:17down there. One example of what the LRC is,
- 6:20so if the LRC is able to predict the potential for one tree to be
- 6:26damaged right on cycle, think about what it does for tornadoes
- 6:30because we've been able to predict tornadoes on cycle
- 6:33before hurricanes and you're week by week and day by day
- 6:38forecast using this technology. No one else has it.
- 6:43No one else can do it. There's an art and a science
- 6:47that are colliding, and that's what we're bringing to you on
- 6:50this podcast. Yeah, that is so fascinating.
- 6:54What do you think of that? That is really, really stinking
- 6:57cool. I I'm flabbergasted.
- 7:00That is that's such a cool like example scenario of something
- 7:05coming to fruition with that. That's that's crazy.
- 7:08Like just bringing it, bringing it back into real life.
- 7:11I love that. I mean, does it, does it hit
- 7:13you? Does it, does it make sense?
- 7:15It's not a coincidence. You can't make this up.
- 7:20Mayfield, Kentucky December 10th, 2000, 2020, 3/20/22 I
- 7:28think it was Mayfield, Kentucky had an EF4 tornado. 56 people
- 7:34were killed in December. We made a prediction and it's
- 7:38public and I've got it on tape with James Span on a podcast
- 7:42called Brain, Weather Brains. And I said, listen, Easter
- 7:48weekend, it's the return of that Mayfield, Kentucky outbreak.
- 7:51I'm not saying Mayfield, Kentucky will get hit again by
- 7:53another tornado because that was a horrible tornado.
- 7:56But that part of the pen will cycle through right around
- 7:59Easter Sunday, on Easter Sunday, April 13th, right on schedule.
- 8:05Boom, Mayfield, Kentucky. They're counting on a tornado
- 8:09warning and they had an EF1 tornado.
- 8:13So it's happened. Sharon Springs, KS had an EF1
- 8:18tornado in that same year the Maysville, KY.
- 8:21I did then EF one tornado October the 12th.
- 8:26It was a 64 day cycle that year. 64 * 3 is 100 and 9292 days
- 8:33later, April 23rd Sharon Springs, KS which is a city that
- 8:37has six city blocks. That's how big it is.
- 8:41They were hit by an EF1 tornado in those six city bucks October
- 8:4412th. On April 23rd, another EF1
- 8:48tornado went right through them. They won't have another Trendo
- 8:50in their city for 500 years, but the LRC tells you it could
- 8:55happen in the same year. Wow, that's crazy that that is.
- 9:01I love it. I love it.
- 9:02It is. I love seeing this all like just
- 9:05laid out and come together and how the predictions work and
- 9:10they're there. I had a real life scenario
- 9:12happened last night. We were my husband and I have
- 9:16some close friends that we go over to their house and work out
- 9:18in their gym. They have a separate building
- 9:20that they've converted into a gym.
- 9:22And the husband is a very big fan of yours, Gary.
- 9:25And so he listens to our podcast every once in a while and he
- 9:28follows you on X and all the things.
- 9:30And we step out of the gym to talk to him for a couple seconds
- 9:33and I step out and I'm like, Oh my gosh, it's like 15° cooler
- 9:36outside than it is in the gym right now.
- 9:38And, and my husband looks at me and he's like, yeah, it's Gary's
- 9:41prediction. It's the cool down part of the
- 9:42cycle, Lauren. And I just look at them and I'm
- 9:45like, that's crazy. Why?
- 9:47I love how this is like coming into my life now too.
- 9:50Two men in my life. Listen to the podcast and
- 9:53they're like, duh, Lauren. It's the cool down part of the
- 9:55cycle that Gary was talking about.
- 9:58There you go. So there you go.
- 10:00And then we raise the bar high. So you think it's going to be
- 10:02right all of the time. And what if it's wrong one out
- 10:06of 10? Let's say it's wrong 3 out of 10
- 10:08times. Please don't come after me.
- 10:11I mean, it's still predicted in the future.
- 10:14The weather pattern itself is nearly 100% accurate.
- 10:18But what happens at the ground? Maybe we're six or seven out of
- 10:2210 on our accuracy using it 100 days out, 200 days out, 300 days
- 10:28out sometimes. So yeah, I appreciate that.
- 10:32It is what we're bringing to the world.
- 10:35Many of you out there listening right now are probably rolling
- 10:38your eyes. And many of you listening right
- 10:40now are like, yes, Gary, we do not just believe you.
- 10:43We've experienced it and you have to experience the LRC.
- 10:48And then let me show you mathematically how it works and
- 10:52artistically how our predictions come through.
- 10:54So there's a lot to it, but it's very, very difficult bringing
- 10:59this to the world. I'm working.
- 11:01You're helping us, everyone out there on Cal USA podcast, you're
- 11:06helping us bring this discovery to the world.
- 11:10It really is that valuable for your farm, for your dairy farm,
- 11:15for your, your agriculture interests or just if you're
- 11:18going on vacation. I mean, we are able to predict
- 11:21the weather in the future. And all I get for my scientific
- 11:25friends are complete. No way.
- 11:28This is impossible. It's the exact opposite of what
- 11:31they think. Is it perfect?
- 11:34No. Are they going to?
- 11:35Can they find holes in it? Absolutely.
- 11:38Because we are predicting the future.
- 11:40If someone were going to predict an earthquake and they were
- 11:44wrong for 10 years in a row and then they got one right, I
- 11:48guarantee you the national media would go, wow, they got an
- 11:51earthquake prediction. Well, they got the last 99
- 11:54wrong. This is different than that.
- 11:56We're like 60 to 90% accurate. Yeah, which I mean, it'd be
- 12:01great if you had an actual crystal ball in front of you and
- 12:04you could be 100% accurate. But this is as close as we're
- 12:07going to get. And the science is there that's
- 12:10backing all of your predictions. And kind of like what you said
- 12:12last week of like, you know, it might not hit Wichita in 41
- 12:17days, but it might hit southern Nebraska and 41 days like it's
- 12:21still cycling. It just might adjust and move
- 12:24and be a little bit different than what?
- 12:26Right, exactly, No, exactly. And but as we just gave you with
- 12:31the example of Sharon Springs, KS, Mayfield, KY and Waldo in
- 12:35the Kansas City metro area with this one tree, it often does hit
- 12:39you again. So something to pay attention
- 12:42to, but expectations are yes if it is Wichita, KS.
- 12:46Wichita, KS might still have severe weather, but the biggest
- 12:49severe weather threat might be north of there depending on the
- 12:51season. Yes, perfect.
- 12:54Well, what's happening in the weather over the next few weeks
- 12:56Gary or summer outlooks. I know we kind of talked about
- 12:59the rest of the summer last week, but we're going into the
- 13:02dog days. It is 4th of July weekend.
- 13:05It's this is kind of the high point of summer and it's a
- 13:09little, it's a little downhill from here for some in some
- 13:12people's minds. But what are what are your
- 13:14thoughts? What's happening?
- 13:15You know how Manhattan, KS to be 113° just like that?
- 13:19So it's not even close. The fact that it's rained so
- 13:24much across Oklahoma, Texas, and parts of Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska,
- 13:28Missouri in the last few weeks, everything's still green, is
- 13:31starting to turn brown in a couple spots.
- 13:33But it's been raining up until this date and it looks next week
- 13:36looks like there's a chance of more thunderstorms.
- 13:39The pattern continues to cycle. So there's going to be a chance
- 13:42of some small heat waves, as we've talked about 3 days and
- 13:45five days stretches of heat. But so far, when it looks like
- 13:49we get to the middle of July without one, we're only a month
- 13:52and a half away from dodging a major heat wave.
- 13:55And so we still have to watch later this month for a couple
- 13:59chances and but nothing glaringly heading this way
- 14:04between now and the next week. When we talk next week, we'll be
- 14:06talking about rain chances again and not heat waves.
- 14:09So that has been our consistent forecast all the way through.
- 14:13The same pattern is going to continue all that we just had
- 14:16for the spring all the way through summer.
- 14:19The summer version is still a tough nut to crack, and we've
- 14:22cracked the code of weather prediction, but July and August
- 14:25are often more of a wild card because the jet stream is
- 14:27farther N. But right now, consistent
- 14:30chances of rain into the middle of July for most of the Corn
- 14:33Belt. We'll leave it at that for now.
- 14:35Amazing. Perfect.
- 14:36Any other highs, lows, major points in the weather that we
- 14:41should cover today? Yeah, nothing significant.
- 14:45There's just nothing significant.
- 14:46And when it comes to hurricane season there, there was, we had
- 14:49to name storms. I don't know if they got by you
- 14:51without you seeing, but Andrea formed and Berry formed two
- 14:55small little tropical systems that are are that were very
- 14:58barely there. There's a chance of 1 forming
- 15:02near Florida on this holiday weekend.
- 15:04We got to watch that, but it doesn't look like a big one
- 15:06either. But things are starting to get
- 15:08ramped up there. We expect to act a mid August to
- 15:11mid-september. So and we've got that in our
- 15:13hurricane forecast guide, but nothing glaring right now.
- 15:16Just just know the pattern continues to cycle.
- 15:18Yes, it is. It absolutely is.
- 15:20Well, Gary, as always, thank you for coming on and sharing your
- 15:25wealth of knowledge and your passion and everything else.
- 15:28It's just, it's so fun ending the week with you and being able
- 15:31to chit chat about the weather and what we're going to be
- 15:34seeing because as we all know way too familiarly, the weather
- 15:37effects our lives significantly in agriculture.
- 15:41And so it's really important that we today up to date.
- 15:43And so with all of that in the show notes, we have that
- 15:46exclusive cattle USA partnership link where we are partnering
- 15:49with Weather 2020 to not only bring you guys this podcast
- 15:52every week, but we also have a discount link down below.
- 15:55So you can get that weather 2020 dashboard and get those long
- 15:59term predictions. Check out the global predictor
- 16:02app. If you don't want the full blown
- 16:03dashboard, you just want something a little bit more in
- 16:06your pocket at all times, grab that global predictor app.
- 16:09We'll have that link down below for you as well.
- 16:11And guys, it's it's Gary's last week on the TV.
- 16:15So craziness crazy. It's so exciting.
- 16:18But that means that we're going to be seeing more of Gary on the
- 16:21weather 2020 Youtubes on X on all of their platforms.
- 16:24So again, we have all of those linked down below.
- 16:27If you can't get enough of Gary and you want to hang out with
- 16:29him even more, go follow all of those links.
- 16:32And as always, we'll see you all next time on another episode.
- 16:35We hope you all have a great 4th of July weekend.
- 16:38Have a good one y'all.