Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 05/04/26
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: Fall system's going clear the left.
- 0:11Speaker 2: Of what is going on Shivination YouTube station Back with
- 0:44Speaker 2: my guy Matt Monday, eight games on Tap. They did
- 0:48Speaker 2: leave off the course field game. Hollelujah, no course field.
- 0:52Speaker 2: But hey, we got something better than coursefield to talk about.
- 0:55Speaker 2: Everybody wants to talk about it. It's Wrigular win game. Well,
- 0:58Speaker 2: definitely talk about that when we get to the game
- 1:01Speaker 2: by game breakdown for hitters.
- 1:03Speaker 3: But overall should be a pretty fun slate here.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Got a lot of good arms, well, a couple of
- 1:08Speaker 2: really good arms, some other decent arms, and then you
- 1:12Speaker 2: got some good offenses outside of obviously the the the
- 1:14Speaker 2: Wrigley win game there so should be should be a
- 1:17Speaker 2: fun one to break it down.
- 1:18Speaker 3: Matt, bring you in happy uh, happy Monday brother. How
- 1:21Speaker 3: was your How was your weekend? I know you had
- 1:23Speaker 3: uh had a nice little ten stacks I believe, uh
- 1:26Speaker 3: five figure hit in the afternoon slate yesterday, a little
- 1:29Speaker 3: Sunday afternoon baseball there.
- 1:31Speaker 2: So congrats on that you've been crushing those those smaller
- 1:34Speaker 2: slates there, but uh, happy Monday man, looking forward to
- 1:38Speaker 2: breaking them down.
- 1:38Speaker 3: How are you?
- 1:39Speaker 4: Yeah? You too, bro? Unfortunately I can't get I haven't
- 1:42Speaker 4: gotten the big one yet, but brought back a bunch
- 1:44Speaker 4: of my early slate struggles. So afternoon slate was nice
- 1:48Speaker 4: to me. And I like some guys tonight that I
- 1:51Speaker 4: played last night in that slate, so we'll get to
- 1:52Speaker 4: that later. But yeah, man, good weekend. Weather's starting to
- 1:57Speaker 4: turn here. It's nice. My boy track that's bizign and
- 2:00Speaker 4: called up. I like the way he looks. We got
- 2:04Speaker 4: a full slate and I feel like we got really good.
- 2:07Speaker 4: We gotta have a good mix of quality pitching options
- 2:10Speaker 4: and high upside stacks, which is all you could really
- 2:12Speaker 4: ask for. So excited to break it down with you.
- 2:14Speaker 2: Yeah, looking forward to it. I think there's a lot
- 2:16Speaker 2: of ways to go here. Should it should be fun.
- 2:18Speaker 2: We know where the field's gonna go, so obviously we'll
- 2:21Speaker 2: we'll see what wins at the end.
- 2:23Speaker 3: Of the night there, but we'll do our best to
- 2:25Speaker 3: break it down.
- 2:25Speaker 2: We got Jacob Stubbs in here, wins a lot, Ricky Rose,
- 2:28Speaker 2: My Lanes, Michael Peterson, our guys post Stoner and Philly Fantom,
- 2:32Speaker 2: everyone else tuning in out there. I appreciate you guys
- 2:34Speaker 2: watching Hit that like button, hit that subscribe button.
- 2:36Speaker 3: Helps us out a ton here.
- 2:38Speaker 2: We'll save the marketing until the end, but Matt gonna
- 2:42Speaker 2: pull our partner Sabersim here.
- 2:45Speaker 3: I did do the dry run, just an average of ours.
- 2:48Speaker 2: And Sabersims projections, average ownership, average projection in general, kind
- 2:53Speaker 2: of just to run teams, get an idea of what
- 2:56Speaker 2: the slate's shaping out. Schlitzler, Soriano, Gilbert, you have a
- 3:00Speaker 2: Toto Cubs. That's that's what you need to know. Almost
- 3:04Speaker 2: one hundred percent Cub stacks in one hundred and fifty
- 3:07Speaker 2: projected lineup, sixty six percent of those are full five
- 3:10Speaker 2: man stacks. The next closest is the Yankees at three percent,
- 3:14Speaker 2: So that will give you kind of an overveal the slate. Schlittler, Soriano, Gilbert, Moto.
- 3:18Speaker 2: All four great arms. I think all four are very
- 3:21Speaker 2: very playable Cubs offense. Obviously, with that wind blowing out
- 3:25Speaker 2: there in one of the most windated stadiums in all Baseball,
- 3:28Speaker 2: if not the most went wind affected stadium in Wrigley there,
- 3:32Speaker 2: it's super windy outside today. I got off the golf
- 3:35Speaker 2: course the morning and got just about guy blown away.
- 3:39Speaker 2: We have like twenty some mile on our gust here
- 3:41Speaker 2: in Wisconsin, probably pretty similar down there in Chicago overall,
- 3:46Speaker 2: so looking forward to breaking it down, but it came above.
- 3:50Speaker 2: He got Schlitler all the way up at the top
- 3:52Speaker 2: ten K. I think that's a fair price point for
- 3:54Speaker 2: how he's looked. He's been absolutely incredible. Sorryano fully priced
- 3:58Speaker 2: up now at ninety six hundred feels a little steep,
- 4:02Speaker 2: but again it's hard to argue with how he's looked
- 4:05Speaker 2: his metrics. He did add a strike up pitch, Like
- 4:07Speaker 2: I said, does his strikeout rate stay where it's at?
- 4:10Speaker 2: Not sure, but on this slate ninety six hundred matchup
- 4:13Speaker 2: against the White Sox, pretty solid play Yamamoto at ninety
- 4:17Speaker 2: three hundred. There gets the very right handed, heavy astros
- 4:22Speaker 2: lineup who have actually been decent, and then obviously Jordan
- 4:25Speaker 2: Elvaz right now one of the better, if not probably
- 4:28Speaker 2: the hottest, one of the hottest hitters in baseball. And
- 4:31Speaker 2: then Logan Gilbert at nine K, and then the other
- 4:34Speaker 2: guys down you got Randy Vasquez, he's looked good at
- 4:36Speaker 2: eight K on the year, pitching out in one of
- 4:39Speaker 2: the best pitching environments in baseball out there in San
- 4:43Speaker 2: fran Tanner, Bobby Michael Walkot Jr. Richie around up the
- 4:47Speaker 2: top tier here, what do you see hit on the four?
- 4:51Speaker 2: All four great plays? I think what's your separation? I mean,
- 4:54Speaker 2: ownership is really gonna be probably pretty similar amongst the
- 4:56Speaker 2: top four, anywhere from thirty to forty percent given the
- 5:00Speaker 2: the kind of large field tournaments. I would say between Schulitler, Siriano, Yammodo,
- 5:05Speaker 2: and Gilbert. So what's your preference between those four and
- 5:07Speaker 2: then any of these other guys?
- 5:09Speaker 3: In kind of that.
- 5:10Speaker 2: Next year, Richie, Waka Biby and Vasquez break down his
- 5:14Speaker 2: top eight.
- 5:16Speaker 4: I think that the top four, like how you rank
- 5:20Speaker 4: them and order them and decipher between them, is a
- 5:24Speaker 4: huge part of this slate because I think they all
- 5:26Speaker 4: look similar. They're all projecting within two to three fantasy
- 5:30Speaker 4: points of each other, They're all priced within a thousand
- 5:34Speaker 4: of each other. Ownership is all within like ten percent
- 5:38Speaker 4: of each other, according to Sabersim, So man, it's tough.
- 5:43Speaker 4: I think all of them look really good in their
- 5:46Speaker 4: own right and the only one where I you know,
- 5:49Speaker 4: and I think you can poke flags that poke. You know,
- 5:51Speaker 4: there's red hags, red flags excuse me, and poke holes
- 5:54Speaker 4: and all of them really good hitting. Whether for Shitler,
- 5:58Speaker 4: that's about the only thing not to like there. Though.
- 6:01Speaker 4: He's the most expensive and he's the highest stone, so
- 6:03Speaker 4: I guess that's another thing to kind of, you know,
- 6:07Speaker 4: take away from him. But other than that, he's been
- 6:09Speaker 4: phenomenal so far this season. He's the most expensive, but
- 6:14Speaker 4: he's not too expensive, if that makes sense. I think
- 6:16Speaker 4: he's priced fairly for how he's pitched. Good matchup pitchers
- 6:21Speaker 4: have had success this series in this matchup, so I
- 6:25Speaker 4: think Shitler probably is my favorite option. I want to
- 6:30Speaker 4: like Gilbert the most, but man, and you get the
- 6:33Speaker 4: Braves coming out of Cores going into Seattle about a
- 6:37Speaker 4: bigger about as big of a drop off in terms
- 6:40Speaker 4: of offense and you know, expected offensive production in the
- 6:43Speaker 4: ballpark as you can get. The problem is he just
- 6:47Speaker 4: hasn't been as good as the other guys this year.
- 6:49Speaker 4: I still am buying his stuff. I like Gilbert, but
- 6:54Speaker 4: if I'm not going to get an ownership discount, I
- 6:56Speaker 4: just don't know if I want to get there. Soriano,
- 6:59Speaker 4: you've got really good hitting. Whether he's come back down
- 7:03Speaker 4: to earth a little bit. He just faced this team,
- 7:05Speaker 4: he wasn't great. Now he's priced up and getting ownership.
- 7:11Speaker 4: I like him, of course, but I think my number
- 7:13Speaker 4: two after Shitler is gonna be Yamamoto. I think he's
- 7:17Speaker 4: the best or the I think overall, if I were picking,
- 7:21Speaker 4: like who the best picture on the slate is, it
- 7:22Speaker 4: would be Yamamoto. In my opinion, I think he's the
- 7:25Speaker 4: safest arm now that he can't get blown up. He
- 7:27Speaker 4: wasn't great his last time out, I believe, but again
- 7:30Speaker 4: you mentioned it right handed, heavy Houston lineup. I think
- 7:34Speaker 4: he looks good here. I wouldn't argue with you if
- 7:37Speaker 4: you liked either one or any of the other guys
- 7:40Speaker 4: more than him. But for me, I think I'm gonna
- 7:42Speaker 4: go Shitler, Ya Mamoto, Gilbert Soriano, but again, all very
- 7:48Speaker 4: close after that. I don't have much interest in the
- 7:51Speaker 4: spend up guys. I feel like if I'm spending up,
- 7:54Speaker 4: it's gonna be on one of those guys. Basquez just
- 7:59Speaker 4: the koupside isn't for me. He doesn't project well. I
- 8:01Speaker 4: think he's too expensive. It's a good matchup. San Fran
- 8:03Speaker 4: has shown to be pitiful so far. I just can't
- 8:07Speaker 4: get there at that price. Richie, No, thanks, Waka and
- 8:11Speaker 4: Biby you've got good hitting weather, so yeah, I think
- 8:14Speaker 4: for me it's the top four. How do you see it?
- 8:18Speaker 2: Yeah, I see very similar for me. Schlittler's the overall
- 8:21Speaker 2: sp one on the slate. For me, I get the
- 8:25Speaker 2: weather in the park is decent, but I mean it's
- 8:29Speaker 2: just hard for me to argue.
- 8:32Speaker 3: And I'm seeing similar ownership.
- 8:34Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, high steak stuff is gonna be probably Schlitler, Soriano,
- 8:38Speaker 2: Gilbert Yamamodo in terms of ownership rink. But I still
- 8:43Speaker 2: think Cam. I mean, he's looked elite this year. His
- 8:46Speaker 2: strikeout stuff is there. The props aligned with him as
- 8:49Speaker 2: SP one, I mean heavy, heavy juice on a six
- 8:52Speaker 2: and a half k prop there, his ELTs prop sitting
- 8:54Speaker 2: at seventeen and a half. Have you juiced the over there?
- 8:56Speaker 2: So they expect him to go six innings right, at
- 8:59Speaker 2: least innings here bar barring anything crazy happening, right, it's
- 9:04Speaker 2: obviously baseball at the end of the day, anything can happen.
- 9:06Speaker 2: But I'm with you there. And then Motors my SP two.
- 9:09Speaker 2: I like him, it's on too. With the discount there,
- 9:12Speaker 2: Soriano would be three for me behind I had a Gilbert,
- 9:16Speaker 2: and then I'd probably put Randy Vasquez, slide him in
- 9:19Speaker 2: there ahead of Gilbert as well.
- 9:22Speaker 3: Gilbert just hasn't looked great. I know the ballpark there.
- 9:25Speaker 2: I do like picking out teams coming out of Cours,
- 9:27Speaker 2: especially when it's this big of a park difference. Right,
- 9:30Speaker 2: but that Braves offense is still a solid offense, best
- 9:34Speaker 2: offensive baseball so far through this point of the year, obviously,
- 9:37Speaker 2: right everyone thought the Dodgers would would be that. The
- 9:40Speaker 2: Dodgers are kind of scuffling there, but the Braves best
- 9:43Speaker 2: team in baseball right now, have been absolutely murdering. They
- 9:47Speaker 2: raked all week and long in course field. They're red
- 9:50Speaker 2: hot right now. They have a lot of good guys
- 9:52Speaker 2: and Gilbert hasn't just looked right to me on the year,
- 9:55Speaker 2: So if I had to put him, I put him
- 9:59Speaker 2: behind the other three for sure, and then probably even
- 10:02Speaker 2: Vasquez with the price difference and the park there. I mean,
- 10:06Speaker 2: I just went streamline. I've played Jabroni's against this Giant
- 10:10Speaker 2: Giants offense. I just think the Giants are horrible. One
- 10:14Speaker 2: of the best places to part pitch there. Padres bullpen's
- 10:18Speaker 2: really really good. So if the Padres can jump on
- 10:21Speaker 2: Trevor McDonald, who there's some unknown's there.
- 10:24Speaker 3: We'll hit on him here in a second and get
- 10:27Speaker 3: a lead.
- 10:28Speaker 2: Probably, chances are pretty good that Vasquez would probably have
- 10:31Speaker 2: those four points baked in as long as he can
- 10:34Speaker 2: go five innings, which I don't see why he can't
- 10:37Speaker 2: with the ELTs props sitting there at fifteen and a
- 10:39Speaker 2: half juice to the over so props a line, thinking
- 10:42Speaker 2: he can go at least five, get in line for
- 10:44Speaker 2: that win. Padres' bullpen should be able to hold that.
- 10:46Speaker 2: So those extra four points go a long way. When
- 10:48Speaker 2: you're talking eight k even at his twelve projection, I
- 10:52Speaker 2: mean you add four point win there. He's sitting at sixteen.
- 10:54Speaker 2: He's right in line with the Gilbert's, the young motors
- 10:57Speaker 2: of the world, and he's one thousand dollars thirteen hundred
- 10:59Speaker 2: dollars right. So for me up top a Schlitler, Yamamoto, Soriato, Vasquez,
- 11:05Speaker 2: Gilbert are kind of the five guys I'm interested in,
- 11:07Speaker 2: not messing with Richie, Walker or Biby. You could throw
- 11:10Speaker 2: shots on Jaro Richie if you wanted to, out there
- 11:13Speaker 2: in Seattle pitching there, But for me eighty five hundred,
- 11:16Speaker 2: I just can't do it with the pitch count concerns
- 11:17Speaker 2: there as well, and the other arms on the slate
- 11:20Speaker 2: for cheaper when we want, we want some of these
- 11:23Speaker 2: other hitters on the slate that dost cost some money.
- 11:26Speaker 2: So for me, that's kind of how I rank him. However,
- 11:29Speaker 2: I do like a couple of these guys down below
- 11:31Speaker 2: eight K. I'll start with Davis Martin. I think Davis
- 11:33Speaker 2: Martin's a really good option on the slate. He's probably
- 11:36Speaker 2: my favorite SP two option on the slate considering one
- 11:40Speaker 2: of those top guys.
- 11:41Speaker 3: And then Davis Martin is kind of the way I'm looking.
- 11:43Speaker 2: I like the salary relief, his K prop's good, his
- 11:46Speaker 2: outs props good, the matchup solid for strikeouts. There is
- 11:50Speaker 2: some obviously home run concerns in that White Sox bullpens trash.
- 11:54Speaker 2: But Davis Martin, if you do need salary putting him
- 11:57Speaker 2: up against Randy Vasquez, probably a slight lean to Vasquez
- 12:02Speaker 2: for two hundred dollars more, just because he's going to
- 12:05Speaker 2: be lower owned. And I'd rather pick on the Giants
- 12:08Speaker 2: than pick on the Angels, power risk and the ballpark
- 12:13Speaker 2: there so for me it's probably Vasque was slightly ahead
- 12:16Speaker 2: of Martin, but I think Martin's a really interesting play,
- 12:18Speaker 2: and then Trevor McDonald all the way down at four K.
- 12:21Speaker 2: That's kind of why I don't really want to mess
- 12:23Speaker 2: with this mid range, right that this eighty five, eight, three,
- 12:26Speaker 2: eighty two hundred, even Vasquez Martin in there, I mean,
- 12:30Speaker 2: why not just save four thousand dollars and go to
- 12:32Speaker 2: a guy in Trevor McDonald pitching out in that ballpark? Yes,
- 12:35Speaker 2: San Diego is not a great strikeout matchup, but the
- 12:37Speaker 2: dude's four thousand dollars.
- 12:38Speaker 3: He's stretched out.
- 12:39Speaker 2: If he can hold his control issues that he has,
- 12:42Speaker 2: I mean, he can get there. So four k hard
- 12:44Speaker 2: not to hard not to like him. So all things considered,
- 12:48Speaker 2: my pitcher, Pools, Schlitler, Soriano, Ylmoto, Vasquez, Martin, McDonald the
- 12:54Speaker 2: main guys, and then Gilbert would be in there as well,
- 12:57Speaker 2: but he's kind of behind those other top three.
- 13:00Speaker 3: If I'm spending what do's s hee here breaking down
- 13:02Speaker 3: the lower ring?
- 13:04Speaker 4: Yeah, so we see things a little bit differently tonight.
- 13:06Speaker 4: I totally understand where you're coming from with both Martin
- 13:10Speaker 4: and McDonald. Starting with McDonald, he's four K, so you know,
- 13:16Speaker 4: anytime you get a four K pitcher, he's projecting like
- 13:19Speaker 4: the same as Biby, you know what I mean, basically
- 13:22Speaker 4: the same as Richie. Like I get it. I don't
- 13:25Speaker 4: want to say I'm definitely not gonna play him because
- 13:29Speaker 4: he's four K and that opens up so much. But
- 13:33Speaker 4: I like the padres here. He's not particularly good. You're
- 13:37Speaker 4: only playing him because he's four K. Anyone who does
- 13:39Speaker 4: play him, which again we're playing a salary games would
- 13:42Speaker 4: make sense, but I don't love it. And the other
- 13:46Speaker 4: guy is Martin, which I understand. He's been really good
- 13:50Speaker 4: results why so far this year, But and you've also
- 13:53Speaker 4: got a good match up here with an Angels team
- 13:55Speaker 4: which has been awful at home against right handed pitching.
- 13:58Speaker 4: I'm kind of thinking that Ti turned though I like
- 14:01Speaker 4: the Angels also in tournaments. Martin, I think he's been
- 14:04Speaker 4: getting by with some smoking mirrors, his expected numbers not
- 14:08Speaker 4: as good as his actual numbers. Really good hitting weather here.
- 14:13Speaker 4: So I'm on the other side of both those guys.
- 14:15Speaker 4: Doesn't mean I don't think they're in play, And I
- 14:16Speaker 4: think if you're spending down, those are the two best
- 14:19Speaker 4: options for me. I think I'm just gonna spend up
- 14:22Speaker 4: on those four guys though, because I like all four
- 14:24Speaker 4: of them and deciphering between them is the hard part.
- 14:27Speaker 4: But I like all four of them, so I don't
- 14:29Speaker 4: really want to get different there.
- 14:32Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I totally agree.
- 14:33Speaker 2: And it's not like I'm going to have a ton
- 14:35Speaker 2: of exposure to McDonald and Martin even vast Quest for
- 14:38Speaker 2: that matter. But I just know everyone's gonna play two
- 14:42Speaker 2: of the top four guys and play the Cubs because
- 14:45Speaker 2: it allows you to do so. But if I want
- 14:48Speaker 2: other high powered offenses like the Yankees, like the Dodgers,
- 14:51Speaker 2: I like the Brewers as well.
- 14:52Speaker 3: Here tonight, I do.
- 14:55Speaker 2: Get you do need salary savings right to end up
- 14:59Speaker 2: on fern roster than than what the field is. So
- 15:02Speaker 2: in instances where that I mean that, that's where where
- 15:06Speaker 2: I take a shot on those and play those other teams. Now,
- 15:09Speaker 2: when people are playing the Dodgers, they're playing the Yankees,
- 15:12Speaker 2: things like that, right, they're gonna also go to to
- 15:15Speaker 2: one of these guys down here.
- 15:16Speaker 3: It's just in.
- 15:18Speaker 2: Tournaments, I think they're they're definitely viable cash games things
- 15:23Speaker 2: like that, You're you're sticking two of the top guys,
- 15:25Speaker 2: probably Schlitzler Soriano Yamamoto, those three two of those three
- 15:29Speaker 2: is probably what I would do for for like cash games,
- 15:31Speaker 2: single entry, three max stuff, and if you wanted to
- 15:34Speaker 2: building three teams, I won't fault to anyone for just
- 15:37Speaker 2: rotating those three getting combination one of one of each and.
- 15:40Speaker 3: Uh kind of kind of doing it that way.
- 15:42Speaker 2: And then obviously when we do talk hitting, I also
- 15:45Speaker 2: do like the angels in in tournaments here don't have
- 15:48Speaker 2: as much interest as you did in the padres, but
- 15:51Speaker 2: I definitely get it right. McDonald can walk the whole
- 15:53Speaker 2: whole whole farm here and saying uh oh McDonald as
- 15:57Speaker 2: he walk walks his way back to uh to the
- 15:59Speaker 2: dug out there and the bullpen comes in. But four
- 16:02Speaker 2: K on a slate where we have the Yankees, we
- 16:05Speaker 2: have a Wriglely win game, right, we have the Dodgers
- 16:07Speaker 2: on the slate. We have high powered bats that we
- 16:10Speaker 2: can play and spend out for if he somehow.
- 16:13Speaker 3: Figures out how to get his control there.
- 16:15Speaker 2: I mean, it's not like this dude's gonna be fifty
- 16:16Speaker 2: percent owned, right, I mean he's going to be ten
- 16:18Speaker 2: percent owned at four thousand dollars when half the slate
- 16:21Speaker 2: costs more than him from the hitting perspective, and their
- 16:23Speaker 2: most likely outcome is zero to three points.
- 16:26Speaker 3: Right, So that's that's the reason there.
- 16:28Speaker 2: But I totally agree, ideally you want too of those
- 16:31Speaker 2: guys up at the top, right, even even going down
- 16:34Speaker 2: to Vasquez, I'll cut it off at at Vasquez.
- 16:36Speaker 3: I like him a little more than you do.
- 16:38Speaker 2: It sounds, but the ballpark, the match up, everything there,
- 16:41Speaker 2: So ideally you're you're looking at Schlitler, Soriano, Yammodo, Gilbert Vasquez,
- 16:46Speaker 2: two of those guys.
- 16:47Speaker 3: You could possibly throw Martin in there.
- 16:49Speaker 2: But really, really those guys up at the top, I'm
- 16:51Speaker 2: just looking outside of or in tournaments. Excuse me, these
- 16:54Speaker 2: different roster constructions, things like that. I do have exposure
- 16:59Speaker 2: to these cheaper guys, especially in my MM sets, things
- 17:01Speaker 2: like that. Any final take from from pitchers here.
- 17:06Speaker 4: No, I think that's I think that pretty much covers it.
- 17:09Speaker 2: I think we think we broke it down pretty uh
- 17:12Speaker 2: pretty good in general.
- 17:14Speaker 3: Let's let me go ahead and refresh our stone here
- 17:19Speaker 3: and share this tab instead. All right, first game mainslate here,
- 17:23Speaker 3: we are in Yankee Stadium. We've got Shane bos in
- 17:27Speaker 3: the mound.
- 17:28Speaker 2: Cam Schlittler on the mound to the better bullpens in
- 17:31Speaker 2: baseball here, So if they don't jump on either of
- 17:34Speaker 2: these guys early, it's gonna be tough sledding for run
- 17:37Speaker 2: production and DFS scoring. Yankees do look pretty damn good here.
- 17:41Speaker 2: They are gonna get owned, but they I mean, it's
- 17:45Speaker 2: nothing going to be extreme with how much ownership the Cubs.
- 17:48Speaker 2: I mean, they're gonna be half the ownership at best
- 17:51Speaker 2: of what the Cubs are gonna be, even even probably
- 17:54Speaker 2: fairly similar to to what the Reds are in the
- 17:57Speaker 2: in the next game. I think the Yankees are interesting here.
- 18:00Speaker 2: Issue for me is I'd rather kind of power hunt
- 18:03Speaker 2: mini stack here just because I mean that Baltimore bullpen
- 18:05Speaker 2: has been second best in baseball three point one six
- 18:08Speaker 2: x fit.
- 18:09Speaker 3: They've been really good.
- 18:09Speaker 2: You saw it yesterday again until Domingez hit that bomb late,
- 18:13Speaker 2: which helped me win some money yesterday. But it was
- 18:16Speaker 2: kind of tough sledding once that bullpen came in for
- 18:18Speaker 2: the Yankees and their run production kind of stalled. Judge,
- 18:23Speaker 2: I don't see Ben Rice in there, which does suck
- 18:25Speaker 2: because he has been on fire. So Paul Golchmit likely
- 18:30Speaker 2: probably gets pinch hit for it at some point in
- 18:32Speaker 2: this game, or keval Ao someone in the back half.
- 18:37Speaker 3: What do you see here? Yankees Orioles.
- 18:41Speaker 4: Yeah, Yankee is always going to be in play. I mean,
- 18:43Speaker 4: we saw them hit their ceiling yesterday. Why wouldn't they
- 18:47Speaker 4: be ad to play again tonight. Like Shane bazz I
- 18:49Speaker 4: like his stuff. I think he's a quality arm, but
- 18:52Speaker 4: he's been inconsistent. The Yankees always have upside. Tonight is
- 18:56Speaker 4: no exception as far as the Orioles go on. Shitler's
- 19:00Speaker 4: been too good. If I'm not playing them, I'm not
- 19:03Speaker 4: stacking the O's. There's too many other teams I like.
- 19:05Speaker 4: You know, they've got good hitters. So if you want
- 19:08Speaker 4: a one off or play guys, if you're playing one fifty,
- 19:10Speaker 4: I don't hate it, but I'm personally not gonna get there.
- 19:12Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, Sorry, I forgot about Rice. Rice got pull
- 19:15Speaker 2: or left that game. He got turt on the pickoff
- 19:18Speaker 2: attempt at first hurt his hand, So appreciate the chat
- 19:22Speaker 2: getting on me. Sorry, I look at a million different
- 19:25Speaker 2: things breaking down these slates, and one day runs into
- 19:28Speaker 2: uh into the next. But I did did see that yesterday.
- 19:31Speaker 2: He came out after his second at bat on the
- 19:34Speaker 2: pickoff attempt there. So Yankees fine stack for sure, but
- 19:40Speaker 2: I put the Dodgers. I put some other teams ahead
- 19:41Speaker 2: of them. I think the Yankees are fine. I prefer
- 19:43Speaker 2: more mini stacks, power, Hunting, Grisham, Judge, Bellinger, Domingez, those
- 19:47Speaker 2: four at the top Jazz. If you want to spend
- 19:49Speaker 2: up at a second base position, which is typically pretty weak,
- 19:53Speaker 2: I think that's interesting there, Orioles, it would be like
- 19:55Speaker 2: a Basalo Pete Alonzo, just as a leverage play, but
- 19:59Speaker 2: not something I'm really interesting in. Yankees bullpen's good, but yeah,
- 20:03Speaker 2: I think Basalo at thirty nine hundred with some power
- 20:06Speaker 2: Leodi Taveres, who's looked decent this year at thirty five
- 20:10Speaker 2: hundred in lineups, we're not playing Schulitler, I think is
- 20:14Speaker 2: definitely viable in in tournaments.
- 20:18Speaker 3: Let's talk about the game.
- 20:19Speaker 2: Everybody wants to talk about Cubs Reds. Cubs did their
- 20:24Speaker 2: thing a little bit early, but really really got there late,
- 20:27Speaker 2: obviously against that bullpen. The Reds bullpen is just absolutely horrendous.
- 20:32Speaker 2: You gotta win game here at Wrigley and it's warmer.
- 20:36Speaker 2: I mean, it's hard to argue the spot here. I
- 20:40Speaker 2: mean it's like a fifty boost here for home runs.
- 20:43Speaker 2: You're you're talking double digit win, blown out and eighty
- 20:46Speaker 2: degrees in Wrigley, blowing straight up to center field. So
- 20:51Speaker 2: I mean, hard to argue. The only point you can
- 20:55Speaker 2: make against it is ownership.
- 20:56Speaker 3: Really.
- 20:58Speaker 2: I mean, you looked at the Cubs hitters yesterday as
- 20:59Speaker 2: small field stuff. They were fifty percent owned in like
- 21:02Speaker 2: single entry. Ian happ was fIF eight game slate yesterday,
- 21:05Speaker 2: same thing. It's gonna be very similar here tonight. Chase
- 21:09Speaker 2: Petty not a good, not a great. I mean he's
- 21:12Speaker 2: fairly unknown here. But again you add in that, and
- 21:15Speaker 2: you add in the bullpen and a tax bullpen at
- 21:18Speaker 2: that with what the Cubs did to them late yesterday,
- 21:21Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's all guns of blazing here for
- 21:23Speaker 2: for for the Cubs. Outside of ownership. That's really, like
- 21:27Speaker 2: I said, the only argument. Reds not as interesting to
- 21:31Speaker 2: me as the Cub side.
- 21:32Speaker 3: But the Reds are.
- 21:33Speaker 2: Gonna be half the ownership of the Cubs. Edward Cabrera,
- 21:35Speaker 2: I just have, I have. I'm a believer in him.
- 21:38Speaker 2: I do think he's a quality arm I think he's good,
- 21:40Speaker 2: but again he's pitching in the exact same conditions that
- 21:43Speaker 2: everybody wants. The Cubs hitters, for Freedo Bulladet are super cheap.
- 21:47Speaker 2: At the top there, Ellie's obviously expensive and Sales Stewart,
- 21:50Speaker 2: but the rest of the lineup is free. Nate low
- 21:53Speaker 2: is showing a ton of power. You get Will Benson,
- 21:56Speaker 2: a cheap guy who has power and speed at twenty
- 21:58Speaker 2: five hundred, and the back half there obviously most important
- 22:01Speaker 2: game to get right on the slate, and even if
- 22:04Speaker 2: you go in on it and you have one of
- 22:06Speaker 2: the guys like Miami me did yesterday, it's gonna be
- 22:08Speaker 2: hard to get all the way home because you're gonna
- 22:10Speaker 2: need the exact five that go crazy here with Cubs
- 22:15Speaker 2: and Reds.
- 22:15Speaker 3: But break it down here, No, I.
- 22:18Speaker 4: Think you broke it down beautifully. I mean, the Cubs
- 22:20Speaker 4: are by far the best back on the board. It's
- 22:22Speaker 4: very reminiscent of Cores and a good road team playing
- 22:27Speaker 4: in Cores. They're gonna be owned as such, but as
- 22:30Speaker 4: they should be really good matchup against Petty and the
- 22:34Speaker 4: Reds bullpen. You got the amazing hit on. They've won
- 22:37Speaker 4: eleven in a row at home, so they know what
- 22:39Speaker 4: they're doing here. A lot to like about the Cubs.
- 22:42Speaker 4: The red side is also really intriguing.
- 22:44Speaker 1: Uh.
- 22:46Speaker 4: You know, Cabrera is a good pitcher, but certainly you know,
- 22:50Speaker 4: not used to pitching in an environment like this, and
- 22:52Speaker 4: the Red lineup that can take advantage of it. You know.
- 22:55Speaker 4: Mainly I'm interested in the Reds because of ownership, but
- 22:58Speaker 4: I think they're gonna be much lower own and it's
- 23:00Speaker 4: worth these considering them in tournaments. Both stacks look good,
- 23:04Speaker 4: just depending on how you look at it.
- 23:06Speaker 2: Go ahead, Yeah, no, no, I definitely agree there Reds
- 23:10Speaker 2: are probably the better tournament play given the ownership, but
- 23:13Speaker 2: I just like to match up a lot more for
- 23:14Speaker 2: the Cubs, so does everyone. Cubs bullpen's not incredible, You're
- 23:18Speaker 2: not incredible by any means. They're middle of the row
- 23:20Speaker 2: at four point eight x FIP on the air, which
- 23:24Speaker 2: puts them seventeenth, Like I said, right right in the
- 23:26Speaker 2: middle in terms of let me see what their bullpen
- 23:30Speaker 2: usage looks like the last three days here thirty six,
- 23:33Speaker 2: thirty six, twenty six, twenty four, so fairly tax They
- 23:36Speaker 2: obviously used four or three arms yesterday Martin, Mazone and
- 23:43Speaker 2: Milner all through yesterday. So yeah, I mean you're probably
- 23:47Speaker 2: gonna see Ben Brown come out of that bullpen. Who
- 23:51Speaker 2: he's a good arm, so does hurt the overall stack there,
- 23:55Speaker 2: But again you're the conditions outweigh everything you kind of
- 23:58Speaker 2: make against it in terms of argument outside of ownership,
- 24:01Speaker 2: any any closing thoughts here with the most important game
- 24:06Speaker 2: on the slate.
- 24:07Speaker 4: Not really. I do think that it's another slate where
- 24:09Speaker 4: even though the Cubs look good and the Reds look
- 24:14Speaker 4: good too, for a tournament per second, there's other sacks
- 24:15Speaker 4: that look really good too, So you don't have to
- 24:18Speaker 4: play this game even though they look very good.
- 24:20Speaker 2: Yeah, and I did forget to mention this. There is
- 24:23Speaker 2: risk here with this game in terms of the weather,
- 24:28Speaker 2: with it being hot, humid and the windy right there
- 24:32Speaker 2: is a potential for storms. Roth right now says they
- 24:37Speaker 2: also moved to start time up in Chicago, though I'm
- 24:39Speaker 2: not sure it gets them off the hook. I still
- 24:41Speaker 2: think there's a decent chance for a name game delay,
- 24:43Speaker 2: though in fact they are likely starting the game means
- 24:45Speaker 2: they will likely finish the game as well, so there
- 24:50Speaker 2: is some risk there. But really that just tells me
- 24:53Speaker 2: we're not playing pitchers anyway, So if you're going in
- 24:55Speaker 2: on it. I would go in full. I probably wouldn't
- 24:58Speaker 2: do mini stacks or kind of one offs here. I'd
- 25:02Speaker 2: want full five man stacks on either side because if
- 25:05Speaker 2: the game does play, you have it all.
- 25:08Speaker 3: If the game somehow gets cut short, well, then you're missing.
- 25:11Speaker 2: Out on at bats for your offenses there. So that's
- 25:14Speaker 2: kind of how I would approach it. But again I
- 25:16Speaker 2: didn't really have any interest in camera and the Reds pitcher,
- 25:21Speaker 2: so the in game delay doesn't really worry me too much. Yeah,
- 25:24Speaker 2: it could take these guys out out of swing momentum
- 25:26Speaker 2: things like that, but it's not as much risk for
- 25:29Speaker 2: the hitter side and any any points on the weather
- 25:33Speaker 2: weather there.
- 25:34Speaker 4: No, Yeah, I think you said it kind of how
- 25:36Speaker 4: I would say it, and that like not really a
- 25:38Speaker 4: game I'm interested in playing one offs from I'm either
- 25:40Speaker 4: playing it or I'm out.
- 25:43Speaker 3: I tend to agree there.
- 25:44Speaker 2: Anytime, anytime a game is getting that type of ownership,
- 25:46Speaker 2: I mean, you're gonna have people who literally go in
- 25:49Speaker 2: on it. They go in on the game stack, they
- 25:51Speaker 2: go in on just just all in. So I wouldn't
- 25:55Speaker 2: like to dip my toes in there. I either want
- 25:57Speaker 2: to be in on it and take my shot there
- 25:59Speaker 2: or or be completely off it and bank on one
- 26:02Speaker 2: of these other teams outscoring them there. So it takes
- 26:06Speaker 2: us to the next game here, Kansas City and your Guardians.
- 26:10Speaker 2: This is one of my kind of sneakier spots on
- 26:12Speaker 2: the slate. I like this spot.
- 26:15Speaker 3: Tanner Bibby good arm, a decent arm. MICHAELH. Waka decent
- 26:20Speaker 3: arm too.
- 26:21Speaker 2: But I mean with the new dimensions of this park
- 26:25Speaker 2: here and the weather tonight in Kaufman Stadium, with it
- 26:29Speaker 2: being upper eighties with eight to ten mile hour wins
- 26:34Speaker 2: blown straight out to left center field the entire duration
- 26:36Speaker 2: of this game where it's three seventy seven in those
- 26:38Speaker 2: power allys, I mean, I think this is a really
- 26:42Speaker 2: good spot to look for offense that really isn't getting
- 26:46Speaker 2: enough ownership. Obviously, when you have the Dodgers, the Yankees
- 26:49Speaker 2: and a Wrigley win game, that's going to be the
- 26:51Speaker 2: case for every other team besides those so interesting spot
- 26:55Speaker 2: here Royals bullpen's not good behind Waka. I think the
- 26:58Speaker 2: Guardians are preferred side, But for all the BVP guys,
- 27:02Speaker 2: the Royals half hit Tanner Biby pretty pretty damn good,
- 27:05Speaker 2: So I like both sides here for offense.
- 27:08Speaker 3: What do you see here?
- 27:10Speaker 4: This reducy. I like both sides for offense here really
- 27:13Speaker 4: good hitting weather. We know that the Casey Ballpark will
- 27:16Speaker 4: play better for hitting this season, presumably once we get
- 27:19Speaker 4: into the better hitting weather seasons. And we're there now,
- 27:22Speaker 4: so I'm in on this game. I like both sides.
- 27:26Speaker 4: Not true who I like more? You know you mentioned
- 27:29Speaker 4: the Bbpople. Besides that, Biby is just he's more solid
- 27:33Speaker 4: and spectacular at best, he's underwhelming. I'm fine picking on
- 27:37Speaker 4: him whenever. Same with Waka. Two guys I think you
- 27:40Speaker 4: can get to. My boy Bizona called up now for
- 27:44Speaker 4: Cleveland running, so their lineup got a little bit deeper. Yeah,
- 27:48Speaker 4: I like this. I like this game a lot. Both
- 27:51Speaker 4: sides are wildly in play for me. Nice pivots off
- 27:54Speaker 4: of the Cubs if you choose to go that route.
- 27:57Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree.
- 27:59Speaker 2: The reason I slay Lean to the Cleveland side is
- 28:01Speaker 2: just Waka's atrocious against lefties, and obviously Cleveland all their
- 28:05Speaker 2: best hitters hit from the left side.
- 28:07Speaker 3: Right.
- 28:07Speaker 2: Obviously Jay Ram's a switch in that. But the other
- 28:11Speaker 2: guys like Manzaro Sheeneman's who's been great? Uh the laughter, right,
- 28:15Speaker 2: the Travis Bazana right, who's going to be a stud
- 28:19Speaker 2: I mean, this is a perfect perfect matchup for for
- 28:23Speaker 2: the Guardians. Waka struggled with walks in control to the
- 28:26Speaker 2: left side, he struggled with power. He struggled with fly
- 28:29Speaker 2: balls at a forty one percent rate on the current
- 28:32Speaker 2: season over the last month, looking looking at his metrics.
- 28:35Speaker 3: So and then you add in the bullpen as well.
- 28:38Speaker 2: So I like Casey Cleveland a little more than Casey,
- 28:41Speaker 2: but I like both sides.
- 28:42Speaker 3: I'm with you there.
- 28:42Speaker 2: I think this is my favorite pivot spot off of
- 28:45Speaker 2: that that that Wrigley game at similar price points as well.
- 28:49Speaker 3: So I do like this game quite a bit. Probably
- 28:51Speaker 3: let us.
- 28:51Speaker 2: Down and Cubs will probably score twelve, but hey, that's
- 28:55Speaker 2: the chance we take in tournaments, and and that's the uh,
- 28:57Speaker 2: that's the benefits of having a portfolio of lineups like
- 29:01Speaker 2: we both have tonight Mexican and the State Brewers Cardinals
- 29:05Speaker 2: Kyle Leehey, Chad Patrick on the mound Cardinals Brewers. I
- 29:10Speaker 2: think this is a another decent interesting spot from an
- 29:13Speaker 2: offensive perspective, the Brewers side full stack or bus. For me,
- 29:18Speaker 2: it's hard to pick out individual bats. Terrang should be
- 29:20Speaker 2: back in there today. Was scratched yesterday due to an illness,
- 29:24Speaker 2: so he should be back. Not the best ballpark for
- 29:27Speaker 2: hitting here, but let me just look at what the
- 29:30Speaker 2: temperatures are. I gotta assume it's it's pretty warm in
- 29:34Speaker 2: Saint Louis. And you got twelve mine hours wins blown out. Yeah,
- 29:37Speaker 2: eighty degrees win blown out.
- 29:39Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 29:39Speaker 2: The park's not great for offense. But both of these
- 29:43Speaker 2: teams have upside here. Chad Patrick's not any good. He
- 29:46Speaker 2: was great last year, not been good this year. Weather, Hult, Burlison,
- 29:51Speaker 2: Nolan Gorman. I mean, you got some cheap left He's
- 29:53Speaker 2: there to get to Patrick, who can definitely do their thing.
- 29:57Speaker 2: And then on the Brewer side, it'd be more full bust,
- 30:00Speaker 2: full stack or bust leek. He's terrible against lefties, He's horrible.
- 30:03Speaker 2: Just in general, there is pinch hit concern with the Brewers,
- 30:06Speaker 2: which does take them down a notch, but they are
- 30:09Speaker 2: expected to get Andrew Vaughan back in there. I also
- 30:11Speaker 2: saw Jackson Churio reinstated from the IL, so he might
- 30:15Speaker 2: be back in there. If that's the case, does definitely
- 30:18Speaker 2: boost my interest in the Brewers. But what do you
- 30:20Speaker 2: see here break us down in Bush Stadium.
- 30:22Speaker 4: Yeah, I feel like I got a lot of slates.
- 30:24Speaker 4: I would love both offenses here on this slate, there's
- 30:28Speaker 4: offenses I like more. Obviously. The Cubs just talked about
- 30:32Speaker 4: a couple, a couple that I like a lot. You know,
- 30:35Speaker 4: we have the Yankees. We'll get to a couple I
- 30:37Speaker 4: like a lot. So I think these two, not just
- 30:40Speaker 4: for me, but for the field might fall through the
- 30:41Speaker 4: cracks a little bit. So that is intriguing from a
- 30:44Speaker 4: tournament perspective. Neither pitcher is good, so I don't think
- 30:50Speaker 4: either side is a bad side to target. I just
- 30:53Speaker 4: compare them to like the Guardians and Royals. I think
- 30:56Speaker 4: I like that game more. You know, we'll get to
- 30:58Speaker 4: the Dodgers, and I talked about the Angels. I like
- 31:01Speaker 4: those teams. Milwaukee and Saint Louis good plays on this slate.
- 31:04Speaker 4: I just don't think I'm personally gonna get there. I
- 31:07Speaker 4: don't know. I know you love the brew Crew, so
- 31:11Speaker 4: you probably have them higher than I do. And it's
- 31:13Speaker 4: nothing for me, like I don't like them or anything.
- 31:15Speaker 4: I just think there's teams I like a little bit
- 31:17Speaker 4: more than both these squads.
- 31:19Speaker 3: Yeah, I just think the Cardinals. The Cardinals bullpen is trash.
- 31:23Speaker 2: I want to see what the Bruce lineup looks like,
- 31:25Speaker 2: because guys like if Lockridge is in there, I mean,
- 31:27Speaker 2: I'm hoping he's out. With Cherio coming back hopefully, but
- 31:31Speaker 2: guys like David Hamilton are some pitch hit concerns. Andrew
- 31:33Speaker 2: Vaughn might be back as well, at least projected there.
- 31:36Speaker 2: I'm I'm not sure. I have to look on that,
- 31:38Speaker 2: but Cardinals bullpen's not good. It's good hitting weather starting,
- 31:42Speaker 2: pitching sucks, and nobody's gonna play them. So with a
- 31:46Speaker 2: team who has popped for double digit runs multiple times
- 31:50Speaker 2: on the year and has the stolen base upside built in,
- 31:53Speaker 2: that has me super interested in the Bruis and tournaments
- 31:56Speaker 2: just because no one's gonna play this team and they
- 31:58Speaker 2: could easily be the highest scoring offense.
- 32:00Speaker 3: I'm the slate.
- 32:00Speaker 2: I mean, they've done it multiple times on the year.
- 32:03Speaker 2: Cardinals would be more mini Stacks weather Hill, Burlison, Gorman,
- 32:08Speaker 2: Nathan Church, Victor Scott if you wanted to go there,
- 32:11Speaker 2: But really, those those kind of top lefties up at
- 32:14Speaker 2: the top, I do so I put the Brewers and
- 32:17Speaker 2: the Guardians ahead of both the Royals and the Cardinals.
- 32:20Speaker 2: Kind of how I see it, Solf, from these last
- 32:22Speaker 2: two games you broke down, I got the Guardians and
- 32:24Speaker 2: the Brewers is kind of my main teams. I'm interested
- 32:26Speaker 2: there in terms of stacking, and then the Royals and
- 32:29Speaker 2: Cardinals fall behind there. But I definitely will have exposure
- 32:31Speaker 2: to all four of the off these offenses in tournaments,
- 32:35Speaker 2: just because I'm gonna test my luck again and kind
- 32:40Speaker 2: of be under on the Cubs is kind of how
- 32:43Speaker 2: I'm approaching the slate. So next game, Dodgers, Astros, Ryan Weiss,
- 32:48Speaker 2: Yoshi Yamamoto on the mound, Astros out of play for
- 32:52Speaker 2: me outside of Jordan Alvarez. I think he's obviously a
- 32:56Speaker 2: play anytime he's on the slate, especially against the right
- 32:58Speaker 2: handed pitcher. Doesn't matter who it is. This dude is
- 33:02Speaker 2: certified stud on fire right now, one of the best
- 33:05Speaker 2: hitters in baseball, so you can always play him. But
- 33:08Speaker 2: stacking wise, not on any of the Astros Dodgers, though
- 33:12Speaker 2: I do have a lot of interest in the Dodgers.
- 33:14Speaker 2: Dodgers' offense been underwhelming to start the year, not going
- 33:17Speaker 2: to continue. Astra's bullpen dog shit Roan Weiss not a
- 33:21Speaker 2: great arm, yet he might strike some guys out. Dodgers
- 33:23Speaker 2: just don't strike out, so balls are going to be
- 33:25Speaker 2: in play. Not the best park, but this park has
- 33:28Speaker 2: yielded runs on the year here, and a lot of
- 33:32Speaker 2: that is to do with, obviously, how bad that Astros
- 33:34Speaker 2: bullpen is, with all the injuries that they have.
- 33:36Speaker 3: Dodgers gonna be super under owned.
- 33:39Speaker 2: I mean, Dodgers are going to be lower owed than
- 33:40Speaker 2: probably the Reds on the slate, the Yankees, obviously the Cubs.
- 33:45Speaker 2: Right anytime that's the case, you have to have interest
- 33:48Speaker 2: in the Dodgers. They fall in the category of stack
- 33:49Speaker 2: any single time, every single time they're on the slate,
- 33:52Speaker 2: regardless of what they've done for me lately.
- 33:55Speaker 3: That fits the bill here tonight.
- 33:56Speaker 2: So Dodgers, all things considered, ownership everything, probably my top
- 34:00Speaker 2: overall stack on the slate.
- 34:01Speaker 3: What do you see here?
- 34:02Speaker 4: Yeah, Dodgers look good here, no doubt. I mean, you
- 34:06Speaker 4: got probably the worst bullpen in baseball. Decided to go
- 34:09Speaker 4: with a bullpen game essentially against the Dodgers. Like, we'll
- 34:12Speaker 4: see how that works out for them. The Dodgers look
- 34:15Speaker 4: like the best, second best, Like they're right up there
- 34:18Speaker 4: with the Cubs, the Reds, the other teams that we
- 34:21Speaker 4: like a lot. They haven't been great recently, so you
- 34:24Speaker 4: want to ding them for that, and they're uber expensive.
- 34:27Speaker 4: I get it, but I'm with you. They look great here.
- 34:30Speaker 4: There are other teams I like, but the Dodgers, you
- 34:33Speaker 4: could argue, are the top stack when you consider ownership,
- 34:35Speaker 4: and yeah, they should just destroy Weiss and the bullpen here.
- 34:42Speaker 2: Yeah, we see it pretty similar. Takes us out to
- 34:45Speaker 2: Anaheim for the night slate window. Excuse me, White Sox, Angels,
- 34:51Speaker 2: Soriano Davis Martin, two pitchers that we both had interest in.
- 34:54Speaker 2: I definitely had interest, more interest, it sounds than you didn't, Martin.
- 34:58Speaker 2: But this is also spot I post MYNH my little
- 35:00Speaker 2: slate rite up in the discord with you on the
- 35:03Speaker 2: slate plan, and the Angels did make my list there
- 35:06Speaker 2: because I do think when people are spending down, Davis
- 35:09Speaker 2: Martin seems like an easy click, just with what you
- 35:12Speaker 2: have done for me lately. They pull up the game log,
- 35:14Speaker 2: they look, he's been good, He's been solid, much different matchups.
- 35:19Speaker 2: I'm interested in him, just with the strikeout upside that
- 35:22Speaker 2: any right handed pitcher has against the Angels. But that
- 35:26Speaker 2: also comes with power concerns and power risk here. Nettle, Trout,
- 35:31Speaker 2: Solaire Mancata would be the main guys to look at here.
- 35:35Speaker 2: You can always play them, right. Charl's been great, but
- 35:39Speaker 2: I'm more pitching in this one than offense. But what
- 35:41Speaker 2: do you see here? Definitely think you think you have
- 35:43Speaker 2: interest here?
- 35:45Speaker 4: Yeah, you got great hitting weather, winds blowing out like
- 35:48Speaker 4: ten miles per hour here. Martin has been good, but
- 35:51Speaker 4: again I think he's getting by and he's gonna have
- 35:54Speaker 4: some negative progression come his way. It might not happen tonight,
- 35:57Speaker 4: because again you mentioned the matchup is pristine on baby,
- 36:00Speaker 4: but we know the Angels also have power, so I'm
- 36:03Speaker 4: interested in them as kind of a leverage contrarion stack
- 36:06Speaker 4: against the pitcherre who I expect to get ownership as
- 36:08Speaker 4: you mentioned. So that's all it is. I'm not really
- 36:12Speaker 4: interested in the White Socks. I think you can just
- 36:15Speaker 4: not play Soriano. He doesn't give up power a ton
- 36:18Speaker 4: of ground balls. So yeah, I'm out on the White
- 36:22Speaker 4: Sox even if I don't play Soriano, and I'm in
- 36:25Speaker 4: on the Angels if I don't play Davis Martin, who
- 36:27Speaker 4: is also in my pool.
- 36:29Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, I will say Murray Commie, don't ex
- 36:33Speaker 2: him from the playerpool. I know Soriano is great. I
- 36:36Speaker 2: know he's been really good. I know he's a better
- 36:38Speaker 2: pitcher this year. I know he keeps the ball on
- 36:39Speaker 2: the ground at a ridiculous number. But where he does
- 36:43Speaker 2: give up fly balls is to the left side. And
- 36:45Speaker 2: you got the home run leader, Well, I don't know
- 36:48Speaker 2: if he's still the leader, if he's tied with with
- 36:50Speaker 2: jord On and the other guys, but Murray Commedy has
- 36:53Speaker 2: been absolutely incredible. So I always leave Murray Commedie, Montgomery
- 36:59Speaker 2: and they Antonasi in the pool just because they're They're
- 37:03Speaker 2: cheap and definitely can hit home runs. In Montgomery and
- 37:08Speaker 2: Murra COMMI especially on this late forty six hundred fifty
- 37:11Speaker 2: eight hundred, nobody's clicking those price points over the Dodgers,
- 37:14Speaker 2: the Yankees, the Cubs. So in chalk your builds, I'll
- 37:19Speaker 2: let kind of sabers him do his thing with that.
- 37:21Speaker 2: So I'll leave those three for sure in the pool.
- 37:24Speaker 2: Maybe been attendee, but really Murcammedy, Montgomery, Antonasi, I always
- 37:29Speaker 2: do and they've won me a lot of money on
- 37:33Speaker 2: the year, So I did want to shout that out
- 37:34Speaker 2: as well, and they get the same place to hit
- 37:37Speaker 2: and Soriano if he doesn't go the full game here,
- 37:41Speaker 2: you got a horrible bullpen behind him, so you always
- 37:45Speaker 2: have the late game upside as well.
- 37:46Speaker 3: Next game Mariners. Braves one that I'm really not interested in.
- 37:51Speaker 2: If you wanted to pick a side, it'd be probably
- 37:55Speaker 2: the Mariners lefties for me, Crawford or not Crawford, but Raleigh,
- 38:00Speaker 2: Josh Naylor, Luke Rayley canzone more power hunting. I don't
- 38:04Speaker 2: love stacking in this ballpark, but j R. Richie is
- 38:07Speaker 2: susceptible to left handed hitters. Obviously, the Mariners are going
- 38:10Speaker 2: to load their lineup with lefties. That's why it took
- 38:11Speaker 2: me off of Richie. He's still has potential to be
- 38:15Speaker 2: a solid arm with strike on ability. Here, Braves, coming
- 38:19Speaker 2: out of Coors, they were red hot. Michael Harris is
- 38:22Speaker 2: on fire. Drake Baldwin, Olsen Alby's. These guys are still
- 38:26Speaker 2: at their course field price bumps though, so they're little
- 38:30Speaker 2: expensive for me. Gilbert's not a gas can by any means,
- 38:33Speaker 2: so more mini stacks if anything for me in this game?
- 38:36Speaker 3: What do you see here?
- 38:38Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm with you. I mean, it's probably not a
- 38:40Speaker 4: game to target on a main slate. Again, Gilbert hasn't
- 38:43Speaker 4: been good. The Braves are awesome, but tough to see
- 38:46Speaker 4: them like winning this slate in this ballpark. Marriners I
- 38:50Speaker 4: like more, but you don't get leverage against Richie and
- 38:53Speaker 4: it's still this ballpark. So I'm out on this game.
- 38:58Speaker 2: Yeah, we see it very similar there. It's more of
- 39:00Speaker 2: a it's more of a tacket for the night slate.
- 39:02Speaker 2: I know DraftKings has a night slate. I don't know
- 39:04Speaker 2: what the contest look like, but I'm sure it's probably
- 39:05Speaker 2: ten or twenty k up top or something in the
- 39:08Speaker 2: flag ship there. So it's more of Seattle lefties there
- 39:12Speaker 2: on that kind of slate for me than a main
- 39:14Speaker 2: slate play for sure. But I wouldn't take some of
- 39:17Speaker 2: these guys out of your pool in terms of the
- 39:19Speaker 2: main slate overall, because again it's baseball. Crazy shit happens,
- 39:23Speaker 2: and Gilbert is susceptible to lefty. Same thing with Richie,
- 39:26Speaker 2: so you kind of look at those those left handed
- 39:29Speaker 2: hitters there. Last game on the slate, Padres Giants, I
- 39:32Speaker 2: know you're gonna have some interest here in the Padres
- 39:35Speaker 2: seems like the field is, at least to an extent,
- 39:37Speaker 2: just with old McDonald on the mound four K. He's
- 39:41Speaker 2: gonna get command some ownership just due to his salary there.
- 39:44Speaker 2: Padres not been great on the road this season. I mean,
- 39:48Speaker 2: look at these numbers. Twenty five K rates ISO not great.
- 39:53Speaker 2: They are usually a contact heavy approach. Ballpark is horrendous
- 39:57Speaker 2: for offense. I'm not as interested in the Padres is
- 40:01Speaker 2: what I think the field is going to be because
- 40:04Speaker 2: I think if people are looking for a sneaky stack,
- 40:07Speaker 2: that is not the Dodgers, it's not the it's not
- 40:10Speaker 2: the Yankees, it's not Corse Field. I think Padre is
- 40:13Speaker 2: just because of the unknown. Right they see a four
- 40:15Speaker 2: K pitcher and we all know the walk issues that
- 40:19Speaker 2: McDonald has. I just absolutely hate this damn ballpark. The
- 40:23Speaker 2: Padres are not a fun DFS team in general. I mean,
- 40:26Speaker 2: you saw this team at Corsefield. They scored like three
- 40:29Speaker 2: runs and scored fifteen Fantasy points. So probably gonna blow
- 40:33Speaker 2: up in my face. And Matt's probably gonna win all
- 40:35Speaker 2: the money tonight with his Padres interest. But it's not
- 40:38Speaker 2: something for me, and that's fine. I'll let you break
- 40:40Speaker 2: it down and talk about it. I definitely get the
- 40:42Speaker 2: reason for stacking the Padres here against a guy who
- 40:45Speaker 2: has zero control.
- 40:47Speaker 3: I just hate the ballpark and all all.
- 40:50Speaker 2: Of the reasons I just broke down, but I'll let
- 40:52Speaker 2: you you finished this off here.
- 40:55Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't even like love them like that because
- 40:57Speaker 4: of the ballpark, but I will poke some holes in
- 40:59Speaker 4: your reasons now to like them. I guess like you
- 41:01Speaker 4: said about the ownership, but then you mentioned four teams
- 41:04Speaker 4: that you know outside of those four teams, Well, if
- 41:07Speaker 4: we're already taking you know, already saying that four teams
- 41:10Speaker 4: are gonna be higher owned, I'm not worried about the ownership.
- 41:13Speaker 4: And even after that, we don't know if they're gonna
- 41:16Speaker 4: be higher owned than teams like Milwaukee and Saint Louis.
- 41:19Speaker 4: Even if they are, I think it's gonna be negligible
- 41:21Speaker 4: because you've got teams like the Cubs, the Yankees, the Dodgers.
- 41:26Speaker 4: People want to play those teams, in my opinion, not
- 41:28Speaker 4: the Padres in this ballpark. For me, they stole a
- 41:31Speaker 4: bunch of bases yesterday late, which is encouraging for me,
- 41:35Speaker 4: especially going into a park like this. We know this
- 41:37Speaker 4: lineup's talented. McDonald isn't good and gonna get ownership, So
- 41:42Speaker 4: that's where my interest lies in the Padres. But I
- 41:44Speaker 4: think teams like the Guards and the Royals and you know,
- 41:49Speaker 4: the Dodgers, obviously the Cubs all look better on paper.
- 41:52Speaker 4: So it's hard to like love the Padres here. And
- 41:55Speaker 4: I'll say it, you're gonna hate this even more, But
- 41:58Speaker 4: I actually think the Giants are in play a little
- 42:00Speaker 4: bit here. Vasquez. I'm still just not buying what he's selling.
- 42:04Speaker 4: I know he's made some changes and he's looked good
- 42:06Speaker 4: results wise coming into this game, but he got shell
- 42:10Speaker 4: last time out. His actual era is really good, Like
- 42:13Speaker 4: two point something is expected is five point something. I
- 42:17Speaker 4: just think he's another guy that's gonna come back down
- 42:18Speaker 4: to Earth. Tonight's probably not the night I'm gonna go
- 42:21Speaker 4: against him in this park with a shitty lineup. He's
- 42:24Speaker 4: not even getting ownerships, so probably not the spot. But man,
- 42:29Speaker 4: we saw it last time he pitched against BOYD, high
- 42:32Speaker 4: upside game for both offenses. I wouldn't be shocked if
- 42:35Speaker 4: we saw a similar occurrence here, That's all I'm saying.
- 42:38Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I definitely get the reason, is there it's
- 42:40Speaker 2: just I like, I mean, I'd put the Angels ahead
- 42:45Speaker 2: of both of those teams if I was doing it,
- 42:47Speaker 2: I definitely put the Brewers ahead of them, the Guardians
- 42:50Speaker 2: ahead of them, probably even the Royals and the Cardinals.
- 42:52Speaker 2: So I can't play everyone on the slate. So that's
- 42:56Speaker 2: the reason. But yeah, no, I definitely agree, and I
- 42:58Speaker 2: get the reason. It's for both sides. Just the ballpark
- 43:00Speaker 2: sucks for me. The Padres bullpen's really good. So even
- 43:03Speaker 2: if Vascoz does get lit up for four or five
- 43:05Speaker 2: runs early, that's probably on this slate, not enough to
- 43:08Speaker 2: win you a GPP with the Giants. Maybe a mini
- 43:11Speaker 2: stack or this and that if you pick off the
- 43:13Speaker 2: home runs correctly.
- 43:14Speaker 3: It's just not something.
- 43:15Speaker 2: That that I'm willing to really do with with my
- 43:17Speaker 2: roster construction. I don't know of the nine ship bags
- 43:21Speaker 2: in that Giants line up, who's going to do the
- 43:25Speaker 2: who's gonna do the damage. And then Padre's bullpen is
- 43:27Speaker 2: just straight nails behind that, So I would have more
- 43:31Speaker 2: interest in the Padres side. Like you said, for all
- 43:33Speaker 2: those things you you alluded to, McDonald is going to
- 43:37Speaker 2: be the cheap guy everyone goes to when they're spending down,
- 43:40Speaker 2: they might as well just go all the way down.
- 43:41Speaker 3: So I get it.
- 43:42Speaker 2: It's just I have all those other offenses ahead of them,
- 43:45Speaker 2: so I can't list every offense and play everyone. So
- 43:49Speaker 2: they missed the cut for me, but I definitely understand it.
- 43:53Speaker 3: That's all eight games. We broke down, hitting, broke down pitching.
- 43:57Speaker 3: Matt Our final point of the show is your favorite
- 44:01Speaker 3: pitching combination, your top stat your your top two stats
- 44:06Speaker 3: or so right give make sure you include a lower
- 44:08Speaker 3: on one and then a home run call for the people.
- 44:12Speaker 4: Man Bizanna in the five hole gets me excited, I'll
- 44:15Speaker 4: say that. But as far as my two favorite stacks,
- 44:20Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with. I'm gonna go with the Royals
- 44:25Speaker 4: and the Dodgers, two teams off of the Cubs. I
- 44:28Speaker 4: like both of them a lot. I think just getting
- 44:30Speaker 4: off the regular game makes you different here. So I
- 44:33Speaker 4: talked about a bunch of offenses I like, those are two
- 44:35Speaker 4: of them. Home run call, I'm gonna go with the
- 44:38Speaker 4: guy off of one of those teams. Give me Vinnie
- 44:41Speaker 4: p going yard tonight.
- 44:44Speaker 3: That's a sign.
- 44:45Speaker 2: That's a sign because that was my home run call there,
- 44:47Speaker 2: so wow, that's a sign. He's probably gonna go zero
- 44:51Speaker 2: for four with three strikeouts, because we both had him
- 44:54Speaker 2: out of four hundred or three hundred some hitters on
- 44:57Speaker 2: the on the slate, we both had Uh, Vinny he
- 45:00Speaker 2: Taggs is a home run.
- 45:01Speaker 3: I was literally just looking at that. So, yeah, great play.
- 45:04Speaker 4: I like that.
- 45:05Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the Guardians. I like the Guardians
- 45:08Speaker 2: a ton. Here, I'll go to the Dodgers and then
- 45:10Speaker 2: the Brewers. I think the Brewers are sneaky. I don't
- 45:13Speaker 2: like picking individual bats off against the Brewers. It's a
- 45:16Speaker 2: full stack or bus for me. I really am interested
- 45:18Speaker 2: to see what this lineup does. But if Cherio and
- 45:21Speaker 2: vonn are back in there, I think that makes it
- 45:23Speaker 2: very very very much a better stack overall, just from
- 45:28Speaker 2: a DFS production standpoint. So I'll go with them my favorite, oh,
- 45:34Speaker 2: your favorite pitching pitching pairent.
- 45:38Speaker 4: I'll go Yamamoto and Schlittler, all.
- 45:42Speaker 2: Right, I like that, I'll go I'll go Schlittler and Uh,
- 45:45Speaker 2: I'll go Davis Martin just to get a little different,
- 45:48Speaker 2: but I like Yamamoto a lot with you as well.
- 45:51Speaker 3: My home room call was Vinnie P.
- 45:53Speaker 2: But I'll go ahead and Uh, I'll give another one here.
- 45:59Speaker 3: I'll go to the Guardians in.
- 46:01Speaker 2: That that weather boost there, I'll go to Chase the
- 46:04Speaker 2: latter gets back on the board with a home run.
- 46:07Speaker 2: There should be hitting second, our first or second up
- 46:10Speaker 2: in the top half there. I know the lineups out,
- 46:13Speaker 2: we just haven't refreshed it there. But I like the
- 46:16Speaker 2: Guardians a lot. I'll go Chase the latter. He's not
- 46:19Speaker 2: in the lineup. Excuse me, Yeah, so I'll go Daniel Sheenman.
- 46:26Speaker 2: Same same line up. Yeah, two holechine Men's been been good.
- 46:30Speaker 2: I like the lefty power against Waka, So give me
- 46:34Speaker 2: Daniel Sheenman. Then same team, Guardians thirty four. That's gonna
- 46:37Speaker 2: do it. Appreciate everyone. Tune in, hit that like button,
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- 47:27Speaker 2: appreciate you you're joining, breaking it down, love love, talking
- 47:30Speaker 2: bases with you.
- 47:32Speaker 3: I'll be in the discord. I'm sure you will be
- 47:34Speaker 3: as well.
- 47:34Speaker 2: Slate plans already up, gonna get their cars up, gonna
- 47:37Speaker 2: build their teams and uh talk it up like I
- 47:40Speaker 2: said in the discord. But formatt our aids good luck
- 47:44Speaker 2: tonight in those contests. Will see those shipping nation logos
- 47:47Speaker 2: up at the top until next time we're out of here.
- 47:49Speaker 4: Peace.
- 48:03Speaker 1: Most have fends hands and then still mother have const