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Assigning Trust Scores to Players in The Fantasy Playoffs · BDGE Fantasy Football

0:00
[SPEAKER_02]: Good morning friends and enemies it's Monday 12 p.m. Eat certain time every single Monday we go live recapping everything that happened over the Sunday slate of games as well so there's an info post you can see on the screen.
0:15
[SPEAKER_02]: We talk about snap counts.
0:17
[SPEAKER_02]: We talk about route run.
0:18
[SPEAKER_02]: We talk about injuries.
0:19
[SPEAKER_02]: We talk about talking about things All right, so what we do we recap everything from a fantasy football perspective anything that happened I think is relative going forward needs to be talked about okay, we will start with Thursday night football And in this video in particular, I'm gonna do something a little bit different and I'm gonna
0:37
[SPEAKER_02]: puts a number rating one to 10 my worry level about a particular player on each team.
0:44
[SPEAKER_02]: So I'm going to I'm going to pick someone on all of the teams that played this weekend.
0:47
[SPEAKER_02]: I think it was 28 when we had four teams on by and I'm going to try to pick most polarizing players the one that I think has the most questions and fantasy football right now and then give them an overall worry rating going into the fantasy football playoffs or trustworthy rating.
0:59
[SPEAKER_02]: I guess I should say so one to 10 one
1:05
[SPEAKER_02]: All right, so let's start off with Dallas and Detroit Detroit gets a huge win 44 to 30 keeping their playoff hopes a live basically crushing the cowboys is playoff hopes biggest takeaway for the cowboys is obviously cd lambs concussion now he's got 10 days to clear because they play on Thursday night football typically
1:22
[SPEAKER_02]: in a normal seven day stance you would be around 50 50 to clear usually less than that uh, based on the data this year, but since he has the extra three days and he's got 10 days to clear, I think there's a decent chance that he will be back in week 15 when the Dallas Cowboys play the Minnesota Vikings at home.
1:41
[SPEAKER_02]: So good news, ish for C Ulam owners at least.
1:44
[SPEAKER_02]: Best case scenario for a concussion is that you have 10 days in between.
1:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Now,
1:49
[SPEAKER_02]: If CD doesn't play, if he doesn't suit up, and I will say another thing based on the reaction like CD's concussion looks really bad, but you can't tell how significant a concussion is just based off the way things look or how hard your head hit the ground or x, y, or z, right?
2:03
[SPEAKER_02]: They're all they're all different.
2:05
[SPEAKER_02]: So trying to predict that his is worse than anyone else's, I feel like is a waste of time.
2:09
[SPEAKER_02]: He was going crazy.
2:10
[SPEAKER_02]: First half almost all of his production was first half and then
2:13
[SPEAKER_02]: And then Ryan Flanoy, where I didn't know his name was a Flanoy, like it literally rhymes with a Noi, and all this sudden, like the R's, you just sign it now.
2:23
[SPEAKER_02]: There's actually kind of pisses me off.
2:25
[SPEAKER_02]: It's something that I'd love to just fucking be really angry about right now.
2:29
[SPEAKER_02]: It's how like announcers will.
2:31
[SPEAKER_02]: And it always happens.
2:32
[SPEAKER_02]: The reason it always feels like it happens in prime time games, right?
2:35
[SPEAKER_02]: And know where's a lot of times he announcers spend, you know, the week or the day is leading up.
2:41
[SPEAKER_02]: to it with the teams getting to know the personnel right like when you're the there's a night football crew and you've got to announce this game in front of the entire world you spend that entire week prepping and meeting the players and learning the players and XYZ all that kind of good stuff you come across these things that you didn't know prior and then it seems like when they get onto the actual broadcast themselves.
3:00
[SPEAKER_02]: They have all these little nuggets that we never would have known, right?
3:03
[SPEAKER_02]: And they just keep doing them and saying them and repeating these things over and over again, which is why it gets exponentially more fucking annoying.
3:09
[SPEAKER_02]: Because there's always in prime time games where that's the only one you can actually watch.
3:12
[SPEAKER_02]: You don't really hear it off in a red zone because Scott Scott's just sitting there and one fucking room the whole time.
3:17
[SPEAKER_02]: These guys are prepping for this specific game.
3:19
[SPEAKER_02]: So fuck Brian Flynn away.
3:21
[SPEAKER_02]: I didn't mean that.
3:22
[SPEAKER_02]: He's actually a pretty good pick up if CD lamb misses.
3:25
[SPEAKER_02]: This is now the second week that we've seen him kind of blow up without CD lamb right back in week.
3:29
[SPEAKER_02]: I think it was five against the jets he had a similar stat line.
3:32
[SPEAKER_02]: I think it was six for 14 with CD out.
3:35
[SPEAKER_02]: So CDs out.
3:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Flanoy is a decent flex play, Minnesota is not an easy match up to throw the ball against George Pickens.
3:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Obviously, it becomes the one.
3:42
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll say the other storyline in this game is George Pickens, like what the fuck are we doing out there?
3:46
[SPEAKER_02]: Like he had to have had the flu.
3:48
[SPEAKER_02]: There's just no way you put that sort of effort onto film.
3:54
[SPEAKER_02]: When you were fighting for a playoff life, there was like five separate routes that he just didn't feel like running and I get that's where deck press got has like hesitancy thrown the ball sometimes because I don't know if you could trust your pitch because run these fucking routes all the time, but you know CDs out obviously you're firing up George pickkins and he would be the player that I'm looking at on the trustworthy scale overall he's been dynamite this year he's done with CD without CD so I think he's probably the most polarized and player on the team right now and I would definitely go with a heavy
4:21
[SPEAKER_02]: 8 out of 10, 8.5 out of 10, 4 George pickings going into the fantasy playoffs going forward.
4:28
[SPEAKER_02]: Detroit side of things, you mirror Gibbs goes crazy, David Montgomery is a good game.
4:31
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't think there's really anything to take away here.
4:33
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm on Raw, St. Brown was extremely questionable going into the game, ends up suiting up 6 for 92 on 9 targets, so not a ceiling game, but a great floor game for you, James and Williams has a good game as well, Isaac Tesla, another one of ours.
4:45
[SPEAKER_02]: three targets two for 20 in touch down that feels like his normal game line like he's going to finish the year with 17 catches 11 touchdowns and fucking 1113 yards I don't know is there any questionable players like on this team like Dave Montgomery don't want to be starting James Williams, I guess we'll put him in there.
5:01
[SPEAKER_02]: I'd say trustworthy level for jamo.
5:03
[SPEAKER_02]: I would put him at like a seven and a half as well feel great about having him go forward
5:08
[SPEAKER_02]: I will say on the on the defensive side of things for Detroit, they just keep losing players, man.
5:13
[SPEAKER_02]: It's like years year in and year out, they continue to have this high potent, high scoring offense.
5:19
[SPEAKER_02]: It's dynamite, it's versatile, it's electric, and then they just keep losing players.
5:22
[SPEAKER_02]: So, Terran Arnold got put on the IR Brian branch towards Achilles.
5:26
[SPEAKER_02]: So, like again, this is just going to be a defense that you're going to be able to score points and and move the ball again with how banged up their second areas.
5:32
[SPEAKER_02]: They play the Rams next week in LA, so that should be a great game.
5:37
[SPEAKER_02]: Moving to the Seahawks and the Falcons, the Seahawks beat the shit out of us, not surprisingly, not a huge takeaway.
5:44
[SPEAKER_02]: It was 66 at half, and then they just ran away with things we had returned touchdown.
5:48
[SPEAKER_02]: We had Sam Darlan, J.S., and just connecting on every single level there.
5:52
[SPEAKER_02]: It was a really, I mean, J.S., and kind of the only startable player right now.
5:56
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say the guy that I'd put into the polarizing category would be Kenneth Walker, and realistically, in terms of trustworthy level for him, I really put him at like,
6:06
[SPEAKER_02]: The schedule, you got Indy, the Rams and Carolinas, so you got two pretty good matchups here.
6:11
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say Kenneth Walker right now, trust worthy level at a 10.
6:16
[SPEAKER_02]: Probably like a five at best.
6:19
[SPEAKER_02]: We just keep seeing the splits here and in games really dominate like it just never ends up coming to fruition where where he has a big game unfortunately.
6:27
[SPEAKER_02]: They have very odd gamescripts all the time.
6:29
[SPEAKER_02]: On the flip side, not really much to talk about here.
6:32
[SPEAKER_02]: They just need Drake London back badly.
6:33
[SPEAKER_02]: And I will say they plant Thursday night.
6:35
[SPEAKER_02]: They plant Thursday night.
6:36
[SPEAKER_02]: So it is a quick turnaround.
6:37
[SPEAKER_02]: Drake London did not practice at all last week.
6:39
[SPEAKER_02]: So I wouldn't say I'm overly optimistic about Drake London
6:44
[SPEAKER_02]: for their week 15 game against Tampa Bay at home.
6:48
[SPEAKER_02]: But obviously things can change.
6:49
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll see practice reports today tomorrow, Wednesday, whatever, obviously stay in tune with the waiver wire video I put out tomorrow.
6:56
[SPEAKER_02]: We do the running back rankings Wednesday.
6:59
[SPEAKER_02]: Why does he have rankings Thursday?
7:00
[SPEAKER_02]: So they'll have a lot more information about Drake London.
7:03
[SPEAKER_02]: In that time span, Kyle pits another good game.
7:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Six, four, 90, he can be started against Tampa Bay.
7:09
[SPEAKER_02]: Next week, if Drake London misses another game.
7:12
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, trustworthy level player.
7:15
[SPEAKER_02]: I look at like obviously you're starting to be Jean Robinson.
7:17
[SPEAKER_02]: I guess Drake London would probably be the player here, right?
7:19
[SPEAKER_02]: Because he's going to be coming back from the knee injury.
7:21
[SPEAKER_02]: And that's a, that's a knee injury that's really fucked up some people, man.
7:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Like Brock Bowers, you've had some other players this year that have dealt with it.
7:27
[SPEAKER_02]: Overall, they get Tampa Bay.
7:28
[SPEAKER_02]: So if he's not back for then, he does get Arizona and then the Rams.
7:31
[SPEAKER_02]: So trustworthy level.
7:32
[SPEAKER_02]: I think I probably put Drake London around like a six to a six and a half.
7:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Just because like he might need one week to ramp up and then all the sudden you're playing against the Rams.
7:41
[SPEAKER_02]: put him out like a six six and a half still in your lineup most likely but there are some reasons to be pessimistic just about the offense overall obviously Kirk cousins is like incapable throwing for 200 yards.
7:52
[SPEAKER_02]: We have the bills and the bangles here, a great game, snow game advertisement get out of my face hole bills went 39 to 34 and essentially knocked the bangles out of the playoffs, Josh Allen, ridiculous game, 251, 3 through the air, 9 for 78 and a touchdown on the ground.
8:12
[SPEAKER_02]: He is fantasies quarter back one.
8:15
[SPEAKER_02]: For it seems like the fourth straight season any big takeaways on this side of the ball We did get don't conkade back so him and Dawson knocks out the explosive obviously exploded because Cincinnati's defense against tight ends is the worst of all time at this point here.
8:29
[SPEAKER_02]: So Yeah, I mean that's that's
8:33
[SPEAKER_02]: just in every week start for whoever's playing against Cincinnati next week, they have the Baltimore Ravens.
8:39
[SPEAKER_02]: So you've got both Andrews and Isaiah likely as streaming options, and then they get Miami, so at Darren Waller, Arizona, treatment pride might single-handedly win fantasy championships in week 17.
8:50
[SPEAKER_02]: On the flip side, Joe Borough played out of his fucking mind, T-Hagans played out of his mind, despite not even having a mind and pretty short T-Hagans got concussed at least three times.
8:59
[SPEAKER_02]: In this game coming off of a concussion from last week, regardless of making one-handed catches, didn't even matter, six for 92, two touchdowns, Jamar Chase and other disappointing game by 44.
9:08
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't know.
9:09
[SPEAKER_02]: Him and Joe Borough are just like, not on the same page right now.
9:12
[SPEAKER_02]: You can put it towards weather concerns.
9:14
[SPEAKER_02]: He is getting shadowed by the opponent's wide receiver ones, which does open things up for T-Hagans.
9:19
[SPEAKER_02]: um Chase Brown does get into the end zone twice involved in the past and game is always 12 for 23 on the ground despite having a great matchup on paper against the Buffalo Bills run defense but again you know what games like this were snowing and the weather's like crazy it's very hard to predict like it's never just how it goes on paper it's never like oh this is their weak point this is where we should attack very rarely does that end up happening like even James Cook
9:42
[SPEAKER_02]: ended up with a good game 18 for 80 on the ground, but like in a normal game game stance, probably good temperature, good weather, whatever games could probably go.
9:48
[SPEAKER_02]: It was like 20 for 160 against the Bangle's PUTRED run defense, but yeah, deflating loss for the Cincinnati Bangle's here.
9:56
[SPEAKER_02]: And I guess if I'm choosing two players from this game, who's like the most polarizing player on both sides?
10:02
[SPEAKER_02]: Because like Burrows in your lineup, T, Higgins in your lineup,
10:06
[SPEAKER_02]: I guess Chase Brown.
10:07
[SPEAKER_02]: I feel good about Chase Brown.
10:08
[SPEAKER_02]: I think he's up to RB 12 on the year right now.
10:11
[SPEAKER_02]: So he ends up sneaking back into RB one, uh, an RB one, I guess category here.
10:18
[SPEAKER_02]: They get Baltimore.
10:19
[SPEAKER_02]: They get Miami.
10:20
[SPEAKER_02]: They get Arizona over the next three weeks.
10:21
[SPEAKER_02]: So three really good matchups for Chase Brown and the Bengals run game.
10:25
[SPEAKER_02]: I would give his trustworthyness a level of like eight out of ten.
10:30
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's look at the snap counts between him and Somaje P wrong because that's kind of been a talking point recently.
10:35
[SPEAKER_02]: about P Ryan coming back from the high ankle sprain and how his involvement is going to impact Chase Brown.
10:40
[SPEAKER_02]: We did see it go to two thirds to one third in terms of the snap counts here.
10:43
[SPEAKER_02]: Chase Brown 66 percent, smash a P Ryan at 38 percent, still getting the most carry, still running the most routes.
10:50
[SPEAKER_02]: You do just see some of his P Ryan start to clip off a little bit of those long down the distance, the very obvious passing situations.
10:56
[SPEAKER_02]: They'll chase Brown can play those snaps as well as we've seen.
10:58
[SPEAKER_02]: He's their goal line back.
10:59
[SPEAKER_02]: He gets a lot of passing work, so
11:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Chase Brown just been really, really good in games where Joe Barrel's there, Joe Flackos there, everyone but Jake Browning pretty much.
11:07
[SPEAKER_02]: So Chase Brown still very much the guy in this backfield.
11:12
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11:24
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11:30
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11:41
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11:49
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11:49
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11:55
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11:59
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's move to, oh, I didn't say anything for the bills.
12:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Cook your starting out on your starting.
12:03
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's put Shakir as the guy here.
12:05
[SPEAKER_02]: Can Kate, I feel good about.
12:06
[SPEAKER_02]: Shakir goes two for 16 does catch a touchdown.
12:09
[SPEAKER_02]: So up and down performance, I think he's been the best receiver by far here.
12:12
[SPEAKER_02]: I mean, the leading receiver was Gabe Davis with two for 21 through the air in this game.
12:18
[SPEAKER_02]: Shakir, trustworthyness level, they go against New England, Cleveland, Philly.
12:22
[SPEAKER_02]: So three tough matchups.
12:24
[SPEAKER_02]: I put Shakir at like a five and a half base on that.
12:29
[SPEAKER_02]: They want to move the ball through their tight ends and they're running back in Jane and Josh Allen's leg.
12:34
[SPEAKER_02]: So she's here.
12:35
[SPEAKER_02]: I think he's definitely a wide receiver 3, but that's a tough slate for opponent wide receivers throughout the playoffs.
12:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Moving to the tight ends in the Browns, who would have thought this would be like literally the best game on the fucking slate.
12:46
[SPEAKER_02]: Unbelievable performance by Shidorah Sanders, although it culminates in a loss for the Browns.
12:52
[SPEAKER_02]: Titans 2 and 11 gives the New York Giants the first overall pick in the NFL draft this year as, you know, the record stand Cleveland Browns 3 and 10 here on the Titan side of things story was obviously Tony Pollard can more to have a very underwhelming statistical game in this one 20 power 25 161 two touchdowns was ripping off big place throughout
13:12
[SPEAKER_02]: way more fools gold than anything else.
13:14
[SPEAKER_02]: Of course, we have the entire season of the sample size of Tony Pollard.
13:17
[SPEAKER_02]: And I do think the elite Collins lost to the Cleveland Brown defensive line clearly showed up in this one.
13:22
[SPEAKER_02]: He's been one of the best run defenders in the NFL up to this point in the middle of the defensive line there.
13:28
[SPEAKER_02]: So Cleveland may be not as scary of a defensive team to attack on the ground going forward.
13:33
[SPEAKER_02]: on the flip side a lot more to talk about should or obviously has a career game three 64 three touchdowns through the air three for 29 and touchdown on the ground despite their being some weather in this game like play phenomenal man got to give it to him was the Tennessee Titans past defense so do I believe that this is real no they play at Chicago next week they play buffalo and then Pittsburgh so much tougher matchups going forward he struggled against
14:02
[SPEAKER_02]: It's be real here.
14:04
[SPEAKER_02]: Jared Judy does find the end zone.
14:05
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say the story here is David and Joe in joku springs.
14:11
[SPEAKER_02]: I believe his uh, I can't remember what what CL at this point.
14:15
[SPEAKER_02]: MCL PCL on his one yard touchdown catch and he's probably going to miss some time, which opens up the world to Harold fan in here, man.
14:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Eight for one 14 a touchdown on 11 targets.
14:25
[SPEAKER_02]: He is so good.
14:27
[SPEAKER_02]: If you've got him in a dynasty league, you are flying high right now.
14:32
[SPEAKER_02]: he's going to be awesome in the future.
14:34
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't know how long they're going to hold on to David and Joker for fans.
14:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Clearly, like the next the next kind of break out rookie tight end this year.
14:41
[SPEAKER_02]: They got such a good class between Tyler Warren, Colson Lovelin, Harold Fan, and we've got some other guys that are like, you know, shown signs having emerged yet.
14:49
[SPEAKER_02]: But if we look at the Brown snap counts,
14:51
[SPEAKER_02]: Uh, once again, it's all, all Howard Fanon and Joe who left obviously, but that has been the case over the last like three weeks.
14:56
[SPEAKER_02]: If you go from 12 to 14, Howard Fanon's running 87% of the routes, seeing 28% of the targets in this offense.
15:03
[SPEAKER_02]: That is like high-end, wide receiver numbers, 28% of the targets and it seems often.
15:08
[SPEAKER_02]: So even if it is, Shidorah Sanders, the one delivering him targets.
15:12
[SPEAKER_02]: Health fan and junior is still a fucking sickle right now.
15:15
[SPEAKER_02]: And if in jokers out and he just consolidates all the tight end production, he's going to be an easy streaming almost must start guy going forward week in and week out.
15:25
[SPEAKER_02]: So love that for Mr. fan and stain for looking at the trustworthy scale.
15:30
[SPEAKER_02]: I think the name for Tennessee would obviously have to be Tony Pollard going forward.
15:34
[SPEAKER_02]: They get at their at San Francisco Kansas City, New Orleans.
15:36
[SPEAKER_02]: So Tony Pollard, I would give him about a.
15:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Three and a half to four out of ten in terms of trustworthyness like it's good to see that they gave them all the carries and they trusted them in this game so it'll probably be the split going forward But in terms of effectiveness he's been so bad this year so don't really trust them in that aspect for the Browns I mean, I still like Juggins.
15:57
[SPEAKER_02]: I think he's extremely trustworthy how the fan and I think so up to like a seven out of ten
16:01
[SPEAKER_02]: I say Jerry Judy, is that some good games with Shidorah Sanders and missed a long touchdown last week.
16:05
[SPEAKER_02]: So we would have had another big game with him.
16:08
[SPEAKER_02]: I would still put him at probably like a four to four and a half out of ten there.
16:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Vikings and the commanders.
16:17
[SPEAKER_00]: So after the Vikings get their shit pushed in last week.
16:24
[SPEAKER_02]: shut out by the seahawks.
16:26
[SPEAKER_02]: They flip things around.
16:27
[SPEAKER_02]: JJ McCarthy makes his return and they beat the commies 31 to 0.
16:32
[SPEAKER_02]: JJ McCarthy, JJ McCarthy, 163 and 3 through the air.
16:36
[SPEAKER_02]: So one of if not his best game of the season efficiency wise does take four sacks.
16:42
[SPEAKER_02]: But looks great, sling in the ball, looks fine.
16:45
[SPEAKER_02]: They did exactly what they needed him to do.
16:49
[SPEAKER_02]: Addison goes four for 62.
16:51
[SPEAKER_02]: Unfortunately, Justin Jefferson goes two, four, 11 in this one.
16:54
[SPEAKER_02]: And at this point, I just don't know how we can trust really.
16:56
[SPEAKER_02]: Anyone, they do have a great slate of matchups going forward.
16:59
[SPEAKER_02]: They're at Dallas, at the New York Giants, and then against Detroit.
17:03
[SPEAKER_02]: So honestly, three phenomenal matchups.
17:06
[SPEAKER_02]: I just don't trust Jason McCarthy.
17:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Like, even in a great game, he throws for 163 yards.
17:11
[SPEAKER_02]: Aaron Jones, who was questionable coming into this game with the shoulder injury ends up playing leading the backfield in carries 14 for 76, they did kind of go drive by drive in this game hitting him in Jordan Mason and both of them ran well because the commander's defenses horrendous horrendous so that wasn't necessarily a big surprise, but
17:31
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, just should be noted because Aaron Jones's question will come into the game and then in terms of trustworthy level based off McCarthy's good game Addison Justin Jefferson honestly both of them despite having good matchups despite a semi strong bounce back from McCarthy
17:47
[SPEAKER_02]: I put both of them sub 5 like trustworthy level.
17:50
[SPEAKER_02]: Like yeah, you probably have to have Jefferson in your line up because the matchup is so good and he's so talented, of course, and eventually they're going to have a game plan that that runs through him.
17:57
[SPEAKER_02]: But I do think in these matchups Dallas, New York, they're going to try to go very run heavy again.
18:02
[SPEAKER_02]: Like even in this game 34 carries the 23 pass attempts here.
18:05
[SPEAKER_02]: That's probably the split the Kevin McConnell wants to have going forward.
18:08
[SPEAKER_02]: So Jefferson, I mean, I put him at like a fucking three and a half right now.
18:11
[SPEAKER_02]: Addison probably the same thing.
18:13
[SPEAKER_02]: Flipside, Jane Daniels, those starting this one first game back from the elbow, the elbow, what the fuck is that called?
18:24
[SPEAKER_02]: I can't think of the word where your elbow pops out, dislocation, it was located in a distant place.
18:31
[SPEAKER_02]: That's what it was.
18:33
[SPEAKER_02]: And then he ends up leaving with,
18:35
[SPEAKER_02]: another elbow injury kind of lands on it again.
18:37
[SPEAKER_02]: Apparently though from what I've gathered, it's not overly serious.
18:41
[SPEAKER_02]: He didn't like re dislocate it and fuck it up for another three or four weeks and also from what I'm hearing like there's a possibility that he could actually play as soon as next week.
18:51
[SPEAKER_02]: it'll be a coaching decision.
18:52
[SPEAKER_02]: Just in terms from like an injury standpoint, there is a possibility that he could play next week.
18:57
[SPEAKER_02]: It'll be a coaching decision.
18:58
[SPEAKER_02]: They're three in town.
18:58
[SPEAKER_02]: They're out of the playoffs like not much to play for right now.
19:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Your franchise guys.
19:02
[SPEAKER_02]: So I think there's a good chance they just don't play them against New York next week.
19:06
[SPEAKER_02]: But just saying the Jane Daniels, um,
19:08
[SPEAKER_02]: Rest of season outlook.
19:10
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't think you're going to see him like be put on IR or anything like that, but it would mean another Marcus mario to start against the giants.
19:16
[SPEAKER_02]: If he does miss Rodriguez, ACM.
19:19
[SPEAKER_02]: Just put the backfield again.
19:20
[SPEAKER_02]: This is kind of exactly how we've seen a playout weekend and week out.
19:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Terry debo both down games because the passing game only through four 108 yards in this one.
19:28
[SPEAKER_02]: So not great.
19:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Trustworthy scale for Washington, let's go to the past catchers.
19:32
[SPEAKER_02]: We have Terry.
19:33
[SPEAKER_02]: We have Debo, the Washington slate going forward.
19:35
[SPEAKER_02]: They're playing the giants in 15, Philly and 16, Dallas and 17.
19:39
[SPEAKER_02]: So two plus matchups there.
19:41
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say, I mean, I guess it depends who is the quarterback.
19:45
[SPEAKER_02]: I would put Terry trustworthy level.
19:47
[SPEAKER_02]: He had a good game last week.
19:48
[SPEAKER_02]: Debo's been like relatively consistent.
19:50
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say in terms of targets like they both got six targets in a game where they only threw the ball 24 times.
19:55
[SPEAKER_02]: So both of them we're seeing a 25% target share.
19:57
[SPEAKER_02]: Oh, Zach hurts also towards ACL, so he's going to be out for the rest of the year, which does condense the targets even more so towards those two there.
20:04
[SPEAKER_02]: So I would put both of them at around like a five and a half to six in terms of a trust worthy level for the playoffs and yeah, we can move forward, I believe.
20:13
[SPEAKER_02]: Dolphins and the Jets, the Dolphins beat up on the Jets here, not a huge takeaway here.
20:19
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say Devon H and probably the biggest one for the Dolphins, having a, on his way to a monster day, 7 for 92, 13 yards per carry and a touchdown in the first half.
20:28
[SPEAKER_02]: And then didn't even look like he got fucking hit.
20:30
[SPEAKER_02]: He got like,
20:31
[SPEAKER_02]: wrapped up his leg got wrapped up and then he got hit on the sidelines and he left with a rib injury.
20:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Apparently this is not overly serious Mike McDaniel said if they weren't beaten the shit out of the jets that he could have returned in an emergency situation.
20:43
[SPEAKER_02]: So he might be like a little a little bit limited maybe next week or throughout the week in practice.
20:48
[SPEAKER_02]: But
20:49
[SPEAKER_02]: breathe a sigh of relief here if you are an HN owner that needs him for the playoffs next week they play at Pittsburgh and Cincinnati Tampa Bay so a good schedule going forward for HN but I expect him as someone who owns him in my biggest league I expect to have done on HN to be playing and be pretty much fine next week.
21:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Jalen Wright kind of filled in for him great 24-4707 any touchdown on the ground.
21:13
[SPEAKER_02]: If HN misses next week's game then Jalen Wright would be a very
21:17
[SPEAKER_02]: In terms of owning him right now, I'm not going to go crazy here.
21:20
[SPEAKER_02]: I think when a chance healthy he's the guy, you can look at Jalen right the same way that you've kind of been rostring Oligord no year.
21:25
[SPEAKER_02]: It's like kind of useless if HN is not banged up here and also I think if HN does miss a game, then Jalen right and Oligord in would probably split the backfield a little bit more than it was shown in this one here and goal line goes anywhere I don't know.
21:43
[SPEAKER_02]: So concern level, trustworthiness, HNs, a 10 out of 10.
21:48
[SPEAKER_02]: Jalen Wattles pretty much like a seven to seven and a half out of 10.
21:50
[SPEAKER_02]: He's been good way more often than not.
21:52
[SPEAKER_02]: Darrell Wattles the other guy.
21:53
[SPEAKER_02]: He actually split routes with Greg Dolchitch 59% each.
21:57
[SPEAKER_02]: But I don't know how much of that was just like them beating the shit out of the jet.
21:59
[SPEAKER_02]: So it's like, you know, it's got our secondary players a little bit more run here.
22:03
[SPEAKER_02]: On the flip side, disaster game for the jet.
22:05
[SPEAKER_02]: So you have Justin Fields, who was like ruled out with some like lower leg injury.
22:10
[SPEAKER_02]: So Tyrod Taylor gets a start again.
22:12
[SPEAKER_02]: Of course, he ends up pulling his groins.
22:14
[SPEAKER_02]: We've got a groin strain, which would normally sideline a player for like two or three weeks.
22:18
[SPEAKER_02]: They're rookie Brady Cook, who is from Missouri, I believe, came in 14 for 30, zero touchdowns, two interceptions, just absolutely tank the entire passing game, just a brutal run out for the jets here.
22:31
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm assuming they're going to let Brady, Brady cook go out there and I'm not going to make the joke of him cooking because it's just the shit ain't just going to happen like that.
22:40
[SPEAKER_02]: They play against the who the fuck do they play they got their at Jacksonville next week at New Orleans and New England so not a great matchup not a great slate of matchups for the fantasy players in New York right now.
22:54
[SPEAKER_02]: It's not great.
22:54
[SPEAKER_02]: You can't trust any one of the passing game.
22:56
[SPEAKER_02]: Really like this is the floor that an add it.
22:57
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm Mitchell or John Matchy can give you when they're passing game throws for 140 yards.
23:02
[SPEAKER_02]: Obviously the player that we need to talk about is pretty tall obviously 14 for 43
23:07
[SPEAKER_02]: on the ground still dominating touches still dominating you know the backfield work of course but this this team is just so bad right now and they play at Jacksonville at New Orleans New England so none of those are easy matchups for opponent runners here northern sciences is fine but I would say my concern level for Breeze Hall or my trust worthy level one to ten
23:31
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm gonna put him at like a four and a half to five.
23:34
[SPEAKER_02]: Like, I don't feel great about him.
23:36
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't feel great about him if he's like, definitely not as my RB1.
23:39
[SPEAKER_02]: If he's your RB2, I'm like, you could do worse, but he's gonna give you some floor games, man, and I don't, I don't love it.
23:45
[SPEAKER_02]: Saints, books, great game from Tyler Schuck out here, maybe not through the passing game.
23:50
[SPEAKER_02]: 144, 0 touchdowns, 1er exception, but with his legs, 755, 2 touchdowns, ends up getting it done.
23:56
[SPEAKER_02]: They get the win over the Tampa Bay, books, Devon Neil, this was a guy that I was telling people not to fade based off of the lack of production in the week prior.
24:03
[SPEAKER_02]: He's just dominating the backfield work, 19 carries, 70 yards, 1 touchdown,
24:08
[SPEAKER_02]: catches the past for 14 yards.
24:10
[SPEAKER_02]: As long as Alman Kumar is out, I think you can continue to roll with Devon Neal.
24:14
[SPEAKER_02]: They have such a good string of matchups going forward.
24:17
[SPEAKER_02]: Carolina at home, New York Jets at home, Tennessee, Titans in week 17.
24:20
[SPEAKER_02]: So Devon Neal will be a nice RB2.
24:22
[SPEAKER_02]: I think going forward here.
24:25
[SPEAKER_02]: Passing game is just, yeah, that's going to be a product of Chuck Throne for a buck 44.
24:29
[SPEAKER_02]: So I would say in terms of trustworthy level,
24:34
[SPEAKER_02]: Uh, Alave, he's fine always for the most parties like a seven or eight out of ten just didn't go his way this week.
24:40
[SPEAKER_02]: Devin Neil would be the guy that I would say.
24:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, I think I'm up to like a seven six and a half to seven for him.
24:44
[SPEAKER_02]: I feel good about a guy that you probably just picked up off of the waver space on the schedule.
24:48
[SPEAKER_02]: Obviously, pending Alvin Kumar's absence here.
24:51
[SPEAKER_02]: Tampa Bay Bucks, another brutal game for Baker Mayfield, another
24:57
[SPEAKER_02]: Thursday night they play the Atlanta Falcons and it is trending like Mike Evans will likely make his return in that one at worst it'll be the week after that but I think if I was a betting man and I am I put money on my given's playing in week 15 now that they are like in a fist fight for their playoff lives with the Carolina Panthers I think Mike Evans will return
25:21
[SPEAKER_02]: Mike Evans will return.
25:22
[SPEAKER_02]: And that'll make things messy here.
25:24
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, I do like their schedule going forward to get Atlanta Carolina Miami when I say I like I fucking love that.
25:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Great for them.
25:31
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say, uh, Evans.
25:33
[SPEAKER_02]: I think at this point, he's had enough time to like recoup himself and get back to normal state Mike Evans.
25:38
[SPEAKER_02]: I think he's going to be a solid like wider receiver, you know, 16 to 22 in my rankings.
25:50
[SPEAKER_02]: Just playing on characteristic ball, bakers miss him sometimes.
25:53
[SPEAKER_02]: He's dropping touchdowns though.
25:54
[SPEAKER_02]: We all saw that touchdown and dropped in this game was raining a lot weather slippery maybe a little bit thrown above him.
26:00
[SPEAKER_02]: So I can understand how it kind of slips through his hands, but you just got to make that play.
26:04
[SPEAKER_02]: He's been bad now for like six out of the last seven weeks.
26:07
[SPEAKER_02]: So very hard to trust him right now despite the hot start to the season.
26:11
[SPEAKER_02]: So a book is the guy I'm looking at right now trustworthy level.
26:13
[SPEAKER_02]: I would put him out like a
26:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Like a four out of ten maybe a four out of ten because I do thinkless and if Mike Evans back and takes a little bit more attention away for the defense then a bokeh might have some easier throws easier routes easier passes going his way there buckierving another good game here gets 17 touches 80 yards from skirmish and scores once again.
26:37
[SPEAKER_02]: Jags and Colts.
26:39
[SPEAKER_02]: All right, so we have the Jags beat in the shit out of the Colts here, 36 to 19.
26:45
[SPEAKER_02]: Story of the game, of course, is Daniel Jones tearing his Achilles.
26:49
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll be out for the remainder of the season.
26:52
[SPEAKER_02]: Backbreaking for indie fans, of course.
26:54
[SPEAKER_02]: broke his leg a couple weeks ago, fractured his tb a couple weeks ago, and obviously has not been the same hasn't really looked mobile has aired a lot of passes like wasn't the same player, but Daniel Jones compared to fucking Riley Leonard world apart now lot to breakdown here, I'll start actually with the with the dynasty perspective, that was a nice little voice crack for you, hose out there that are praying on my downfall.
27:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, I'll start with the dine is a dynasty perspective and I'll tell you what I did very first thing I did this morning was wake up and send trade offers to all of the people in my leagues that own Daniel Jones for a second.
27:28
[SPEAKER_02]: Don't know if that's going to work haven't had one accepted yet But I would absolutely look to go out obviously this is for for those in a superflexely Daniel Jones terrors is Achilles
27:43
[SPEAKER_02]: We've seen Kirk Cousins and our Rodgers both tear their Achilles.
27:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Everyone's going to be different on their timeline.
27:50
[SPEAKER_02]: Those guys are a lot older than Daniel Jones is obviously.
27:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Jones, here's, here's, I still think and he's going to rest on Jones.
27:58
[SPEAKER_02]: It might come at a lesser contract, thus guaranteed money, less money overall.
28:02
[SPEAKER_02]: But I think they committed pretty significantly to Daniel Jones being the guy.
28:05
[SPEAKER_02]: They're obviously not drafting a quarterback with giving away their two first round picks.
28:09
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't know, maybe they trade for a veteran.
28:11
[SPEAKER_02]: They kind of have the same thing that they did with Daniel Jones this year to like what he did to Anthony Richardson.
28:17
[SPEAKER_02]: I still think Daniel Jones gets resigned.
28:19
[SPEAKER_02]: And I still think he's starting quarterback next year.
28:22
[SPEAKER_02]: And we've seen a lot of players come back from Achilles stairs now across different sports.
28:26
[SPEAKER_02]: Like I genuinely think Daniel Jones will probably be fine.
28:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, you know, not within the next six months or anything, but like I think by halfway through next season, he's going to be similar to what he's playing in the first half of this season.
28:38
[SPEAKER_02]: They have a good team surrounding him.
28:39
[SPEAKER_02]: So like I'm on the mindset that like, I think people are going to be very pessimistic about this injury.
28:44
[SPEAKER_02]: And they should be, it's obviously a very serious injury.
28:46
[SPEAKER_02]: But I think gang of Jones will be fine.
28:47
[SPEAKER_02]: And I think this is actually time to try to get him off of a contender in your league if you can.
28:54
[SPEAKER_02]: What does means for the quarterback situation for the remainder of the year?
28:58
[SPEAKER_02]: Now, we were in the office watching the games that aren't immediate thought was like, oh fuck, Anthony Richardson's about to be like a league winner down the stretch for fans, teams that need a quarterback.
29:05
[SPEAKER_02]: A rich is still on the IR, recovering from that eye injury.
29:09
[SPEAKER_02]: Apparently, you know, you got hit with a workout band or something and it really fucked up his eye, like he fractured his orbital.
29:17
[SPEAKER_02]: And
29:19
[SPEAKER_02]: someone saw him like physically saw him.
29:22
[SPEAKER_02]: I want to say it was the end of November.
29:24
[SPEAKER_02]: So like maybe 10 days ago and they tweeted something out.
29:28
[SPEAKER_02]: Saying that like, yeah, it was a being like, yeah, this is all I'll say it was a really serious injury and he's still clearly recovering from it.
29:35
[SPEAKER_02]: I it it sounds like it sounds very pessimistic it sounds very insidious and it sounds like Anthony Richardson is unlikely to play again this year or at least not close to returning.
29:47
[SPEAKER_02]: Again, he's selling the IR they got open to practice window all that kind of stuff.
29:50
[SPEAKER_02]: So I don't think they plan on rushing him back just because Daniel Jones got hurt.
29:55
[SPEAKER_02]: I would imagine we're going to see Riley Leonard at least for the next couple of weeks.
29:58
[SPEAKER_02]: They get Seattle.
30:00
[SPEAKER_02]: They're in Seattle next week.
30:01
[SPEAKER_02]: Samford just go Jacksonville.
30:02
[SPEAKER_02]: So three teams that are going to be playoff teams this year.
30:05
[SPEAKER_02]: Brutal end to the season here for the Colts.
30:08
[SPEAKER_02]: It's going to be a major downgrade, obviously, to
30:10
[SPEAKER_02]: Outpairs Michael Pittman Josh downs, and I know they ended up having decent statistical games here But a lot of that was like Jacksonville's up huge and just kind of playing that, you know Here's Dink and Dumb just don't be this deep.
30:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Here's a bunch of like check down plays That you guys can rack up your yards on but playing in a raw game going forward
30:28
[SPEAKER_02]: I have very, very little confidence in these past catchers to at least have consistency here.
30:34
[SPEAKER_02]: So, I mean, if we're looking at all the past catchers in terms of trustworthyness going forward with Riley Leonard at quarterback, I think they're all going to be around like a five out of ten if that.
30:44
[SPEAKER_02]: I think the big name to talk about, of course, Jonathan Taylor, how big of a hit does this give him?
30:50
[SPEAKER_02]: I mean, he's going to be in your line up every week.
30:52
[SPEAKER_02]: Obviously, he's a must start every week.
30:53
[SPEAKER_02]: I just think he's he's likely more of what we saw this game as compared to what we've seen up to this point in the season.
31:00
[SPEAKER_02]: I think the ceiling games are probably behind us, especially based on, you know, playing at Seattle next week.
31:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Again, brutal brutal matchup.
31:08
[SPEAKER_02]: Jacksonville and we 17.
31:09
[SPEAKER_02]: They're pretty good run defense here.
31:10
[SPEAKER_02]: So,
31:12
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah.
31:12
[SPEAKER_02]: I think we're going to see 20 touches per game for Jonathan Taylor going forward.
31:17
[SPEAKER_02]: I think as efficiency will obviously dip because I think defenses will obviously play the run to a really, really heavy degree.
31:23
[SPEAKER_02]: So I think JT is probably, I mean, he's still very, very much a top 10 guy for me.
31:27
[SPEAKER_02]: I still think he'll score some touchdowns.
31:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Maybe have a breakaway player too.
31:31
[SPEAKER_02]: But of course, you can't expect him to run the way that he did up to this point in the season without a quarterback
31:38
[SPEAKER_02]: What the hell, some just fell and scared the shit.
31:43
[SPEAKER_02]: Adamy, stream is still alive.
31:44
[SPEAKER_02]: We are still alive.
31:45
[SPEAKER_02]: There are 524 people in here.
31:47
[SPEAKER_02]: And only 51 thumbs up.
31:49
[SPEAKER_02]: Where do y'all get off?
31:51
[SPEAKER_02]: Hit the fucking button that looks like this.
31:52
[SPEAKER_02]: Please, you got 500 of you in here.
31:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Only 50 people at the thumbs up button.
31:56
[SPEAKER_02]: That helps me on YouTube.
31:57
[SPEAKER_02]: It really does.
31:58
[SPEAKER_02]: It helps me in here mentally and stably.
32:02
[SPEAKER_01]: I got to close my window.
32:15
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know.
32:17
[SPEAKER_01]: We're back.
32:17
[SPEAKER_01]: I've got to put this light on through.
32:18
[SPEAKER_01]: It's like I don't even care about you guys anymore.
32:26
[SPEAKER_02]: Fantasy regular season is done in my brain just shuts off.
32:30
[SPEAKER_02]: Alright, Jacksonville, Jacksonville, Jacksonville, Jacksonville, honestly, best game of the year from Trevor Lawrence.
32:36
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm not overly surprised.
32:37
[SPEAKER_02]: I think the cold defense
32:39
[SPEAKER_02]: But I think a lot of people are probably going to overestimate teams playing well against the cold defense.
32:46
[SPEAKER_02]: They are without likely their two top cornerbacks or top defensive players at this point.
32:51
[SPEAKER_02]: So I'll squadron is obviously out of the calf straining to forest buckner's been on the IR as well.
32:54
[SPEAKER_02]: He is a mammoth in between the tackles there on the defensive line.
32:58
[SPEAKER_02]: So I don't think the indie defense is very good right now.
33:02
[SPEAKER_02]: So I'll just put that out there at first.
33:04
[SPEAKER_02]: Trevor Lawrence played well though 244, two touchdowns, Travis CTM played great.
33:07
[SPEAKER_02]: Baseball two and I believe suffered a concussion in this game.
33:10
[SPEAKER_02]: So that would be a major upgrade to Travis CTM next week.
33:14
[SPEAKER_02]: He gets the new York Jets.
33:16
[SPEAKER_02]: He tends going to probably be ranked like as a top five fantasy running back.
33:20
[SPEAKER_02]: If Baseball two and misses.
33:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Brian Thomas Jr.
33:23
[SPEAKER_02]: actually played well for like the first time all year it feels like uh only saw six targets three, three, three, three, seven was making catches tough contested catches was like a big time player in this one.
33:32
[SPEAKER_02]: Jacoby Myers continues to dominate targets here.
33:35
[SPEAKER_02]: Ten targets on 30 pass attempts from Trevor Lawrence for for 39 in touch now.
33:39
[SPEAKER_02]: He just fits like a glove like a glove.
33:43
[SPEAKER_02]: in this offense, the Liam Cohen offense, the type of player that Trevor Lawrence likes to throw to like Jacobi Myers, honestly do it.
33:50
[SPEAKER_02]: He's like a top 15 guy at worst for me going forward.
33:53
[SPEAKER_02]: Should be noted that Parker Washington did miss this game with the hip injury and he did practice limited in a limited fashion twice this week, so I do expect him to return, which does make things a little bit messy over the middle of the field, but it's New York Jets.
34:04
[SPEAKER_02]: Everybody should eat in that one.
34:06
[SPEAKER_02]: Bretton strange six targets three for twenty seven.
34:09
[SPEAKER_02]: He did have a touchdown on a nice play action rollout play called back for Something I forget what it was I holding maybe a legal contact or some shit, but would have been a touchdown as well So just strong performance by Jacksonville all around and they're gonna build more momentum beating the shit out of the jets next week as well Okay, so for looking at
34:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Trustworthy level in this team.
34:31
[SPEAKER_02]: I think the guy to look at here would be Brian Thomas Jr. And as someone who owns him, uh, yeah, he's still like a three for me, despite this performance.
34:37
[SPEAKER_02]: Fuck that shit.
34:40
[SPEAKER_02]: Ravens and the Steelers.
34:42
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, you want to talk about another shaky quarterback playing really fucking well, Aaron Rogers.
34:47
[SPEAKER_02]: This was probably his best game of the season, just connecting left and right with DK McAfee or seven for 148 on 12 targets.
34:56
[SPEAKER_02]: There was a lot that we could talk about in this game in terms of like the referees and who should have won in a caught ball in the end zone and penalties, but we don't give a fuck about that for fantasy football.
35:06
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, biggest takeaways here, I would say from the Steelers side, it was good to see DK and Aaron Rogers connect.
35:12
[SPEAKER_02]: at a very high level and maybe this makes that pair kind of ride some momentum into the fantasy playoffs they get Miami and then Detroit so two good matchups before they play at Cleveland week 17 could see some bad weather there.
35:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Overall does it boost my confidence for DK?
35:26
[SPEAKER_02]: I guess it probably makes riders trust them a little bit more.
35:30
[SPEAKER_02]: So DK will be set of ranked as like the riders you were fucking 40 going forward maybe like the riders you were 30 or something like that.
35:36
[SPEAKER_02]: The backfield is more messy though because we have kind of game well,
35:40
[SPEAKER_02]: Playing a lot, scoring a rushing touchdown, Jail and Warren, eight for 13 on the ground, kind of game well, catching six passes, but Jail and Warren does catch the 38 yard touchdown pass, though it was kind of like a broken play and just wide open down the sidelines.
35:53
[SPEAKER_02]: So I don't know how predictive that is.
35:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's look at the snap count differences between the two of them in that backfield, though.
36:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Where are you Steelers?
36:03
[SPEAKER_02]: Okay, so, I mean, this is over the last three weeks or since week 11, we have a split of 52% of the snaps for gainwell, 45% for Jalen Warren.
36:12
[SPEAKER_02]: I think this overall is indicative of the split going forward pretty much, where Jalen Warren takes the majority of rushing attempts, kind of gainwell sees a nice chunk of the routes run, and as you can see, long down in distance, two minute drills, that's kind of all gainwell.
36:25
[SPEAKER_02]: So look at this game in particular though.
36:28
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, pretty much 50 50 exactly Warren getting the rushes gain will get in the routes all that good stuff.
36:34
[SPEAKER_02]: So Yeah, I mean going forward who would I rather own still jail and Warren I think Pittsburgh their next three games are Miami Detroit Cleveland.
36:44
[SPEAKER_02]: So I still let's two tough match up at the end there on the road, but Miami next week should be nice for Warren
36:50
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, overall, I think they're both like low end RB2s, high end flex plays, ish, because of how involved they are in the offense.
36:58
[SPEAKER_02]: I believe Darna Washington suffered a concussion in this one as well, doesn't really mean much for us in fantasy.
37:05
[SPEAKER_02]: Flipside, Lamar looked backish for the first time.
37:10
[SPEAKER_02]: Scores are rushing touchdown.
37:12
[SPEAKER_02]: Scores are throwing touchdown for the first time in the fucking weeks.
37:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Probably should add multiple two Isaiah likely, but they call that one drop in the end zone.
37:19
[SPEAKER_02]: Say flowers gets back to relevance, eight for 124.
37:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Through the air here, Derek Henry 25 more carries can not get into the end zone.
37:27
[SPEAKER_02]: Not much of a takeaway here.
37:28
[SPEAKER_02]: They do play the Bangle's next week, which
37:31
[SPEAKER_02]: would give me some confidence to fire up likely confidence to fire up Andrew's it's actually look at the routes run between the tight ends here okay well we still have Andrew's running 86% of the routes Isaiah likely 52% so she doesn't ever feel like they're gonna flip that Andrew's got the extension surprisingly why don't you just give that the fucking likely and let him run it up next year
37:56
[SPEAKER_02]: Uh, let's talk about confidence level.
37:58
[SPEAKER_02]: All right.
37:58
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's actually go back to the Steelers.
37:59
[SPEAKER_02]: So I would say Jalen Warren confidence level like His, the confidence level Warren is almost like strictly matchup based now.
38:07
[SPEAKER_02]: It's like, if I feel good that the sealer's offense is going to be able to put up a good
38:19
[SPEAKER_02]: 5.5 to 6 as well, because every time Metcalf has had a good game this year, which is not often, he just ends up reverting back to like his three for 50 games.
38:27
[SPEAKER_02]: On the other side, Lamar, I think would be the player to talk about here.
38:31
[SPEAKER_02]: Confidence level going forward.
38:32
[SPEAKER_02]: They get, again, Cincinnati next week, New England Green Bay.
38:35
[SPEAKER_02]: So two tough matchups, one great matchup next week.
38:37
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say as Lamar continues to get more healthy and continues to run the ball a little bit more.
38:41
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm still concerned, like he doesn't look a hundred percent, but I would put him at the confidence level, the trustworthy level of
38:48
[SPEAKER_01]: Let's put them at a six and a half out of ten.
38:57
[SPEAKER_02]: Broncos and the Raiders, um, not any huge takeways here for the Broncos side.
39:04
[SPEAKER_02]: RJ Harvey continues to dominate in J.K. Dobbins's absence.
39:07
[SPEAKER_02]: That was extremely predictable.
39:08
[SPEAKER_02]: 23 touches, 100 yards, and a touchdown of the matchups last two weeks could not have been better for him going forward.
39:17
[SPEAKER_02]: They will play Green Bay, Jacksonville, Kansas City.
39:19
[SPEAKER_02]: So we will ratchet up the difficulty level a
39:22
[SPEAKER_02]: In this type of usage, RJ Harvey is a rock solid RB2 with upside weekly, given his status.
39:29
[SPEAKER_02]: The only other thing to point out here is Pat Bryant has jumped Troy Franklin in terms of routes run for the second consecutive week, but most of his routes are just kind of like non-valuable slants.
39:38
[SPEAKER_02]: He's like a reliable target for Baudenix and maybe we do see like a pop-out game eventually, but
39:42
[SPEAKER_02]: Right now, I don't think you could really trust anyone besides Portland Sutton in this offense.
39:46
[SPEAKER_02]: So talking trustworthy score, Archer Harvey, I think right now is probably like a seven and a half.
39:50
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say Sutton's probably closer like six, six and a half, but still 10 targets on bonus is dropbacks feels good on the flip side.
39:58
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, it can't really trust anyone here besides Brock Bowers.
40:01
[SPEAKER_02]: You know, Smith hurts his hands.
40:02
[SPEAKER_02]: So can he pick it comes in, but I do think you know, Smith probably plays going forward unless they just want to make it coaches decision
40:08
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's just see what we got.
40:09
[SPEAKER_02]: We'll pick it.
40:10
[SPEAKER_02]: Another bad day from Gentil you just gets eaten up behind the line of scrimmage.
40:14
[SPEAKER_02]: Gentils the guy that I would probably look towards in terms of the trustworthy level.
40:17
[SPEAKER_02]: They're at Philly next week at Houston after that before I finally a good match against the Giants in week 17.
40:24
[SPEAKER_02]: Gentils trustworthy level.
40:25
[SPEAKER_02]: I would put that at like a four tops right now just based on the offensive line played as horrendous.
40:32
[SPEAKER_02]: Chicago Green Bay.
40:34
[SPEAKER_02]: Great game here for
40:37
[SPEAKER_02]: football fans in general.
40:38
[SPEAKER_02]: Green Bay takes down 28 to 21.
40:41
[SPEAKER_02]: Taylor Williams still a little bit shaky in the passing game 186 to touchdowns.
40:46
[SPEAKER_02]: Fastest fuck boy.
40:47
[SPEAKER_02]: He like so good at using his legs.
40:49
[SPEAKER_02]: Sometimes I think he dips out of the pocket probably a little bit too quickly.
40:52
[SPEAKER_02]: More quickly than he needs to.
40:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Just a complete split again once again through the backfield 13 for 63 for Swift.
40:58
[SPEAKER_02]: Manungai 14 for 57 continues to just share rotate drives here.
41:03
[SPEAKER_02]: Both of them played well.
41:04
[SPEAKER_02]: The Packers are a good run defense.
41:06
[SPEAKER_02]: No Roman Dunes A and this one dealing with the stress fracture in his foot, which likely keeps him out multiple weeks.
41:13
[SPEAKER_02]: Luther Bird in 4 for 67.
41:14
[SPEAKER_02]: What we did end up seeing was Bird and didn't really see an increase in routes run here.
41:21
[SPEAKER_02]: It was all made as a kiss, who basically took Roman Dunes A's role.
41:25
[SPEAKER_02]: didn't amount to anything production-wise but uh bird and still around you know that's 68 to 70% route range but did see a very high like involvement rating here 21% of the team's targets 26% of the area are so I think
41:42
[SPEAKER_02]: The guy that I'm most excited for honestly in this passing game right now.
41:44
[SPEAKER_02]: I like burden.
41:46
[SPEAKER_02]: I like close and lovelin a lot here.
41:47
[SPEAKER_02]: 4 for 29 scores a touchdown here.
41:50
[SPEAKER_02]: They play Cleveland next week, Green Bay at home the week after that, then San Francisco.
41:53
[SPEAKER_02]: So not a great, great schedule by any means.
41:57
[SPEAKER_02]: But if Roman Dunes, it continues to miss time.
41:59
[SPEAKER_02]: Obviously, the targets can be consolidated.
42:00
[SPEAKER_02]: They DJ Moore's like a zero at this point.
42:04
[SPEAKER_02]: So yeah, I mean, Luther burden, I just think there's too much volatility to the passing offense to like really rely on anybody on a week to week basis here, but I think burden can be flexed I think lovelin can be started in the tight end position if you need to as like a top 12-ish guy, but as you can see, like the upside of this offense just kind of relies on Caleb Williams having some upside games with his arm and he just still misses a lot of too many easy throws from you right now.
42:28
[SPEAKER_02]: And then on the Packer side of things, Jordan love really plays out of his mind.
42:32
[SPEAKER_02]: He just connects with Watson and Bob Melton on just like all these deep passes that end up getting taken to the crib.
42:38
[SPEAKER_02]: So we only end up with 25 passing attempts here.
42:42
[SPEAKER_02]: But Watson looks like the alpha biggest takeaway here.
42:44
[SPEAKER_02]: I would say is Jade and Reed first game back.
42:46
[SPEAKER_02]: 4 targets, 4 catches, 31 yards, 2 carries, 22 yards.
42:50
[SPEAKER_02]: He assumes the role immediately of the starting slot, Wider C, for basically the role that he had in week one week two prior to breaking his collarbone, but as you can see, 65% of the routes in this one, 73 for dobs, 81 for watts, and dobs is basically a zero in the box score.
43:05
[SPEAKER_02]: at this point, but good to see that they like really wanted to get Jain Reed involved and he is starting slot wide receiver.
43:11
[SPEAKER_02]: That being said, there's so a lot of guys in this offense.
43:13
[SPEAKER_02]: He doesn't see a lot of like valuable targets.
43:14
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm sure those will come eventually, but Watson is playing so well right now that he's the one.
43:18
[SPEAKER_02]: So Jain Reed is a guy that I would look at as like, yeah, he's a wide receiver three.
43:21
[SPEAKER_02]: I think you could play him going forward, but you know, there's definitely a floor here.
43:29
[SPEAKER_00]: Oh, trust, trust worthy scale for the bears.
43:34
[SPEAKER_02]: It's crazy for as good of a team as they are and you know, it's even crazier.
43:38
[SPEAKER_02]: So they're nine and four now going into this game.
43:41
[SPEAKER_02]: They were the first seed in the NFC.
43:43
[SPEAKER_02]: They are now the seventh seed.
43:44
[SPEAKER_02]: They are the the last team into the playoffs right now as a seven seed in the NFC.
43:49
[SPEAKER_02]: They're point differential on the year.
43:51
[SPEAKER_02]: They are nine and four.
43:54
[SPEAKER_02]: They're point differential just meaning if you combine all their games together.
43:56
[SPEAKER_02]: What is the score of all of all of all the points they've scored versus all the points they're opponents of scored negative one.
44:03
[SPEAKER_02]: They were plus six going into this game and seven to the other side to the other side of the ledger minus one Caleb Williams and the bears minus one point differential despite being nine and four and I think I think that's a An honest assessment a truthful assessment of the Chicago bears.
44:19
[SPEAKER_02]: They've had some luck break their way.
44:21
[SPEAKER_02]: They are still a very flawed football team, but it was good to see them compete well with the Packers here.
44:28
[SPEAKER_02]: Trust where these scale, I mean, everyone in the passing game I would say is like sub five right now.
44:32
[SPEAKER_02]: They're hard to predict.
44:34
[SPEAKER_02]: Russian game, I would say, swift them a non-guy are both like...
44:38
[SPEAKER_02]: There are another one where it's like, yeah, when when they have good, a good ground game going, they're going to go crazy, but this is this is an outcome that I expect to happen pretty often, where they both like get a decent amount of work, but because they don't score touchdowns, they have shitty, shitty fantasy outcomes for you.
44:54
[SPEAKER_02]: So I would put both of them at like a five, and I would say like, my non-guy five and a half Swift probably is six.
45:00
[SPEAKER_02]: On the flip side, I mean, I feel great about Jacob's Christian Watson's at like a seven and a half eight right now maybe reads the guy we're looking at I would say reads probably in that like four and a half to five maybe five to five and a half trust worthy level.
45:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Rams Cardinals, the Rams beat the breaks off the Arizona Cardinals.
45:19
[SPEAKER_02]: Stafford 213 touchdowns, the ground game continues to flourish, especially against these shitty shitty defenses.
45:25
[SPEAKER_02]: That's what we've seen the last two weeks.
45:26
[SPEAKER_02]: Like we've seen Blake Quorum is now averaged over 10 yards per carry in two straight games, which is crazy.
45:31
[SPEAKER_02]: They're splitting drives, landed in Blake Quorum, scoring some touchdowns.
45:38
[SPEAKER_02]: That being said, I would still much rather own current Williams.
45:40
[SPEAKER_02]: I would almost look at Blake Quorum in the same vein that I look at Colman,
45:43
[SPEAKER_02]: where it's like, you know the offense is going to be relatively, um, relatively substance filled.
45:49
[SPEAKER_02]: You know what I mean?
45:50
[SPEAKER_02]: Like, they're going to have a lot of depth to them and they're going to score a lot of points and they're going to move the ball.
45:56
[SPEAKER_02]: They're going to run a lot of plays, which will result in their running backs getting.
46:00
[SPEAKER_02]: a decent amount of touches right now, but I will look at Blake Warren as like he's the number two, but not far behind similar to Coleman on guys.
46:05
[SPEAKER_02]: So when they have good games and they roll up the score in their opponents, he's going to have good games, which is what we've seen the last two weeks.
46:10
[SPEAKER_02]: The Rams over the next three weeks play Detroit Seattle Atlanta.
46:14
[SPEAKER_02]: So,
46:15
[SPEAKER_02]: I don't know how much success they're going to have on the ground going forward, but Stafford Pook is a goat, uh, Devente Adams finally had a down game, but I guess if I am talking about trustworthy level, it would have to be in the backfield here, I would say Kyrin for me is still at like a seven, and I would say Blake Corms probably at like a five.
46:36
[SPEAKER_02]: I think it's easy to get ahead of ourselves on Blake Corm over the last two weeks, but if you do look at his production like,
46:40
[SPEAKER_02]: He's had some floppy flop games prior to those, and when you're playing Detroit, when you're playing Seattle, like I think that's a chance where we could see those games.
46:49
[SPEAKER_02]: Flipside, I mean, it was just Jacobi, it was just Michael Wilson.
46:52
[SPEAKER_02]: Michael fucking Wilson is literally Jerry Rice.
46:54
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm not gonna lie, it's probably time to take the victory lap.
46:57
[SPEAKER_02]: I have about 70 tweets from Michael Wilson's draft class, talking about how he was the most underrated wide receiver in this draft class.
47:04
[SPEAKER_02]: And I never got to celebrate it because he was never very sure at the NFL.
47:07
[SPEAKER_02]: But now he's the go.
47:08
[SPEAKER_02]: Now he's the best player of all time in the history of fucking planet Earth.
47:12
[SPEAKER_02]: 11 for 142, two touchdowns.
47:14
[SPEAKER_02]: Another 16 targets.
47:16
[SPEAKER_02]: The question becomes obviously, Marvin Harrison's Jr.
47:20
[SPEAKER_02]: what happens when he returns will he return didn't practice at all this previous week they play at Houston next week so much tougher defensive battle obviously for all parties involved there.
47:31
[SPEAKER_02]: Marvin Harrison I don't know from what I gathered like the heal injury is not overly serious and should not be a long-term thing but the fact that he didn't practice at all
47:39
[SPEAKER_02]: You know, puts a little bit of skepticism towards his outlook for week 15, but I wouldn't be surprised if he plays and we did say the one game when Marvin Harrison came back post Michael Wilson break out.
47:50
[SPEAKER_02]: It was Marvin Harrison reinserted as the one, but it's like how many times can Jacobi percent Michael Wilson have this type of game together and then just not have that chemistry continue.
47:58
[SPEAKER_02]: So.
47:59
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm still the mindset that even when Marvin Harris Jr returns and keep in mind they play at Atlanta at home in week 16 Cincinnati in week 17, I still think Michael Wilson's a rock solid play.
48:10
[SPEAKER_02]: So obviously without Marvin Harris in Michael Wilson's literally like a 10 out of 10 for me and trust where these scale with Marvin Harris and back on the field, I still I'm still going to be starting and I still think I put him out like a six to six and a half.
48:22
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah.
48:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah.
48:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Yep.
48:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Yep.
48:24
[SPEAKER_02]: How you know?
48:25
[SPEAKER_02]: I guess I could touch on the backfield a little bit here.
48:28
[SPEAKER_02]: It doesn't look like Trey Benson is going to return.
48:30
[SPEAKER_02]: So it's going to be BAM NIGHT.
48:31
[SPEAKER_02]: It's going to be Michael Carter's splitting shit.
48:32
[SPEAKER_02]: I mean, against the Rams, you're not going to have success.
48:34
[SPEAKER_02]: But in better matchups, like, it's not of a knight has been like a low NRB2.
48:38
[SPEAKER_02]: So they play Houston next week, but Atlanta Cincinnati after that are two good matchups.
48:42
[SPEAKER_02]: So keep holding on to him.
48:45
[SPEAKER_02]: Last game, son of the football, the Texans, basically eliminate the Kansas City Chiefs from plus, 22, 10 in the vote game.
48:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Stroud 203 in touchdown, Woody marks 26 carries 68 yards.
49:00
[SPEAKER_02]: Does get two catches, eight yards, a touchdown.
49:04
[SPEAKER_02]: So he gets it done for fantasy barely, but he does, because of the end zone score.
49:10
[SPEAKER_02]: Nico 4 for 121, big game for him, Jaden Higgins continues to operate as the wider receiver to however it's kind of basically what I've been saying for the last couple weeks it's like you want to trust him but they're just not leveling him up in terms of snaps like when we look at the routes run here.
49:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Nico 94 but Jane Higgins like he's still he's they're still right on his fucking tail like yes why do you see for two getting the targets?
49:38
[SPEAKER_02]: Noel 49% Xavier Hutchinson 49% Christian Kirk 43% Higgins F54% so it's like it's just hard to trust a player in your lineup that is only running around on 54% of drop-ax
49:51
[SPEAKER_02]: So, yeah, take that for what you want.
49:53
[SPEAKER_02]: They do get Arizona next week at home, Las Vegas, at home the week after that.
49:56
[SPEAKER_02]: So you do get two really good matchups.
49:57
[SPEAKER_02]: And I definitely think Jay and Higgins is flexible in those matchups, but yeah, I mean, these are the types of games you're going to get when the passing game does not necessarily click for Jay and Higgins.
50:08
[SPEAKER_02]: So trustworthy level, I would say, Woody Marx, yeah, you just not been efficient on the ground, but they do get good matchups again over the next couple of weeks.
50:15
[SPEAKER_02]: So I put Woody Marx, I think he got banged up in this game, but I didn't see any like real reports.
50:19
[SPEAKER_02]: from him by him about him.
50:23
[SPEAKER_01]: So I actually do a quick Twitter search to see if there's any updates.
50:33
[SPEAKER_01]: Bet you do you love.
50:44
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I'm not seeing anything.
50:51
[SPEAKER_02]: So maybe he's just left came back whatever apologies for not having that on deck.
50:54
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, yeah, I mean, the usage is fucking phenomenal and the matchups are good.
50:58
[SPEAKER_02]: So what he marks at this point clearly, like, doesn't isn't really showing a ceiling, but that type of usage is crazy.
51:04
[SPEAKER_02]: So I put him out like a seven and then the chiefs, the other side, my home's three interceptions.
51:10
[SPEAKER_02]: A cream hunt gets into the end zone.
51:12
[SPEAKER_02]: Rossi Rice has a really bad game for for 34 drop Travis Kelsey is the drop at the end.
51:17
[SPEAKER_02]: Like,
51:18
[SPEAKER_02]: This is a bad day for Kansas City man.
51:20
[SPEAKER_02]: Houston, Houston's defense is so, so fucking good right now.
51:23
[SPEAKER_02]: Kansas City gets the chargers at home next week at Tennessee than Denver at home the week after that.
51:30
[SPEAKER_02]: So yeah, I mean, I don't even know who I should talk about on the chief side of the ball.
51:34
[SPEAKER_02]: I might just go down all the players.
51:36
[SPEAKER_02]: Patrick will home trustworthy level.
51:38
[SPEAKER_02]: Yeah, I'm not.
51:38
[SPEAKER_02]: I'm not overly concerned about him.
51:40
[SPEAKER_02]: I would still put him at like an eight out of ten and he was.
51:42
[SPEAKER_02]: Maybe not the quarterback one anymore because Josh Allen, but he's damn close to it.
51:46
[SPEAKER_02]: Backfield, cream hunts.
51:48
[SPEAKER_02]: I mean, this was a tough matchup, but he's still pretty much the guy I would say.
51:52
[SPEAKER_02]: As I have a checkup, did get the start here, but cream hunt again ends up with the touchdown ends up out carrying him here.
51:57
[SPEAKER_02]: Let's look at the backfield split though.
51:59
[SPEAKER_02]: Still 60% in favor of hunts over Pacheco here, still running the majority of the routes, per shardsmith has been completely phase out of the offense.
52:07
[SPEAKER_02]: So I put cream on it like a five and a
52:10
[SPEAKER_02]: Ish, because the ceiling is obviously zapped here, unless Pecheco misses time.
52:15
[SPEAKER_02]: Xavier Worthy, I'd still put out like a three out of ten.
52:17
[SPEAKER_02]: Roshy Rice, I still feel great about Roshy when it's not in an impossible match up here, so Roshy's still gonna be like an eight and a half out of ten.
52:23
[SPEAKER_02]: His ceiling's crazy, and then Travis Kelsey, Kelsey's been good most of the year, so I don't want to like just kill him for this one game.
52:28
[SPEAKER_02]: I still put him out like a seven out of ten, I think, going forward.
52:33
[SPEAKER_02]: Um, also obviously should be noted the chiefs or without like half of their starting will honestly more than half of their starting linemen right now.
52:39
[SPEAKER_02]: They also had another offensive linemen go down early on in this game.
52:42
[SPEAKER_02]: So they were without their tackles or without like so many good players that they never really stood a chance against his D line for the Houston Texan.
52:49
[SPEAKER_02]: So not great.
52:50
[SPEAKER_02]: Hopefully they can get a couple of those guys back for the fantasy playoffs.
52:55
[SPEAKER_02]: And um, 52 minutes.
52:56
[SPEAKER_02]: What am I doing Nick?
52:57
[SPEAKER_02]: We're on a by week.
52:58
[SPEAKER_02]: We can't be going for 52 minutes streaming.
53:01
[SPEAKER_02]: want to leave you with this though again if you want to support the brand if you want to support yourself throughout this season throughout the dinosaur season throughout next draft season and then 14 weeks into the following season get a fantasy life plus subscription y'all use code b d g e when you get a fantasy life dot com go get a subscription b d g e will get you 20% off any subscription on the site all right.
53:21
[SPEAKER_02]: My throat is on fire.
53:22
[SPEAKER_02]: I need some water.
53:23
[SPEAKER_02]: I love you.
53:24
[SPEAKER_02]: Thank you for hanging out with me today.
53:25
[SPEAKER_02]: As always tomorrow, waiver wire video around New New Eastern Time.
53:29
[SPEAKER_02]: Hit the button that looks like this.
53:30
[SPEAKER_02]: If you enjoyed, thank you.
53:31
[SPEAKER_02]: Love you.
53:32
[SPEAKER_02]: Smooches.
53:33
[SPEAKER_02]: We need to take one barclay to get 12.5 points tonight in PPR.
53:36
[SPEAKER_02]: And I don't feel fucking good about it.
53:38
[SPEAKER_02]: That is disgraceful.
53:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Terrible.