Latest / Pod Save America / "We Don't Chalk About Susan."
Transcript
- 0:21Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:23Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:24Speaker 1: On today's show, a Senate vote to protect abortion rights fails,
- 0:28Speaker 1: but the larger fight has just begun. Joe Biden's top
- 0:30Speaker 1: economic advisor, Brian Deese, talks about the White House strategy
- 0:34Speaker 1: on inflation and more. And Donald Trump goes one for
- 0:37Speaker 1: two in this week's primaries while getting some good news
- 0:40Speaker 1: about his Twitter account. But first, Doctor Strange and the
- 0:44Speaker 1: Multiverse of Madness is officially the second biggest movie release
- 0:47Speaker 1: since the start of the pandemic. And your favorite crooked
- 0:50Speaker 1: pods are talking all about it. On X-Ray Vision, Jason
- 0:54Speaker 1: and Rosie talked to writer Michael Waldron to ask how
- 0:56Speaker 1: much of the film was informed by his obsession with
- 0:59Speaker 1: Don Draper. And on Keep It, Iris shares thoughts on
- 1:01Speaker 1: Elizabeth Olsen's buzzy performance of Wanda Maximoff. Keep up with
- 1:06Speaker 1: all the latest news in culture by listening and following
- 1:09Speaker 1: X-Ray Vision and keep it wherever you get your podcasts. Also, Dan,
- 1:15Speaker 1: I believe you have an update for us on your
- 1:17Speaker 1: soon-to-be-released book that I know all of you have already pre-purchased,
- 1:21Speaker 1: Battling the Big Lie. What do you got?
- 1:23Speaker 2: Well, Jen, I would say that if everyone listening... or
- 1:27Speaker 2: half the people listening, or a quarter of the people
- 1:28Speaker 2: listening had already pre-ordered the book, we would be crushing
- 1:32Speaker 2: Kellyanne Conway and Bill O'Reilly, who, believe it or not,
- 1:36Speaker 2: is alive and number one on the New York Times
- 1:39Speaker 2: bestseller list this week.
- 1:41Speaker 1: What's the book called? Killing Something? Who are we killing
- 1:44Speaker 1: this week?
- 1:44Speaker 2: The killers, ironically. We have gone full circle. He is
- 1:46Speaker 2: now killing the killers. The Bill O'Reilly book empire is
- 1:51Speaker 2: now eating itself. In all seriousness, if defeating, if beating
- 1:58Speaker 2: Kellyanne Conway, who's spoken about two weeks, or Bill O'Reilly,
- 2:00Speaker 2: or any of these people is not inducement enough, we
- 2:02Speaker 2: have an announcement that every pre-order of Battling the Big Lie,
- 2:06Speaker 2: which for those who don't know, is my book out
- 2:07Speaker 2: on June 7th, about the right-wing propaganda and disinformation machine,
- 2:12Speaker 2: where it came from, how it works, and perhaps, I
- 2:14Speaker 2: think most importantly, what Democrats can do about it. For
- 2:17Speaker 2: every one of those pre-orders, I will be donating a
- 2:20Speaker 2: portion of the proceeds to the Texas Library Association's Battle
- 2:24Speaker 2: against book bans in Texas. And I think there is
- 2:27Speaker 2: this connection between why Republicans spent so much time and
- 2:31Speaker 2: energy building up Fox and Breitbart and Ben Shapiro and
- 2:34Speaker 2: all of that, and why they are trying to stop
- 2:36Speaker 2: kids from learning about our history, structural racism, LGBTQ plus issues.
- 2:43Speaker 2: I think in my view, it's all of a part
- 2:45Speaker 2: of an effort for this shrinking conservative, mostly white minority
- 2:49Speaker 2: to hold on to political power. For every pre-order, we'll
- 2:54Speaker 2: be donating a portion of the proceeds to Texas Library
- 2:56Speaker 2: Association and my publisher, 12 Publishing, which is headed by
- 2:59Speaker 2: Sean Desmond, a great guy and son of a Texas librarian,
- 3:03Speaker 2: will be matching the donation for the next 1,000 books pre-ordered.
- 3:08Speaker 3: Amazing.
- 3:09Speaker 2: And if, but don't worry, if you were one of
- 3:10Speaker 2: the amazing people who has already pre-ordered the book, I'm
- 3:13Speaker 2: very grateful to you. And I will be making a
- 3:14Speaker 2: retroactive donation from those proceeds for your purchase. So battling
- 3:20Speaker 2: the big lie. Out June 7th, pre-order it. Let's try
- 3:23Speaker 2: to stop some book bans in Texas. Thank you so much.
- 3:25Speaker 1: Fantastic.
- 3:26Speaker 2: End of awkward pitch.
- 3:27Speaker 1: I thought that was very smooth and compelling.
- 3:30Speaker 2: By book seven, we were going to fucking nail this.
- 3:35Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the news. A bill to
- 3:37Speaker 1: guarantee abortion rights nationwide was defeated for the second time
- 3:40Speaker 1: this year on Wednesday as all 50 Senate Republicans and
- 3:43Speaker 1: Joe Manchin voted against the Women's Health Protection Act. Of course,
- 3:47Speaker 1: the outcome was never in doubt because... Even if Manchin
- 3:50Speaker 1: had supported the bill, he and Kyrsten Sinema still refused
- 3:53Speaker 1: to break any Republican filibuster on the issue. Susan Collins,
- 3:57Speaker 1: Lisa Murkowski, and Manchin said they'd support a narrower bill
- 4:01Speaker 1: that they argue will outlaw any restriction that would put a, quote,
- 4:04Speaker 1: undue burden on a woman's right to an abortion, which
- 4:07Speaker 1: is the language in Planned Parenthood v. Casey, the decision
- 4:11Speaker 1: along with Roe v. Wade that a Supreme Court majority
- 4:13Speaker 1: appears ready to overturn. But again... Even if Democrats got
- 4:17Speaker 1: those three senators on board, they'd still only have 52
- 4:20Speaker 1: votes when you need 60 to break a filibuster. Dan,
- 4:25Speaker 1: why do you think Chuck Schumer held this vote? Was
- 4:28Speaker 1: there any substantive or political value in doing so?
- 4:32Speaker 2: Look, this was doomed to failure. It was unsatisfying. Much
- 4:38Speaker 2: of the coverage focused on Democratic divisions and failure and
- 4:42Speaker 2: weakness and the limits to Senate control. But I'm not
- 4:47Speaker 2: sure what the other option was, right? So as annoying
- 4:51Speaker 2: as that was, I think it's probably a less bad
- 4:54Speaker 2: outcome than a bunch of stories about how Democrats won't
- 4:56Speaker 2: even take a vote on the issue, right? So I
- 4:59Speaker 2: think in a world of bad and less bad, this
- 5:02Speaker 2: was less bad. And I do understand the impulse in
- 5:07Speaker 2: the wake of this opinion to do something, do anything,
- 5:10Speaker 2: and desire from... the public, the people who work to
- 5:14Speaker 2: put Democrats in charge to say, just do something, even
- 5:16Speaker 2: though it doesn't work, just show us you're fighting. And
- 5:18Speaker 2: I think that, you know, that's ultimately what they did.
- 5:20Speaker 2: I don't think this is going to change the midterms.
- 5:22Speaker 2: It's not going to change the fate of people's rights
- 5:25Speaker 2: in various States, but it is, it's better than doing nothing,
- 5:28Speaker 2: I think, which is probably an unfortunate, unfortunate reality of
- 5:31Speaker 2: life in Joe Manchin's Washington these days.
- 5:35Speaker 1: I guess it's just like, it's, I don't know. I
- 5:40Speaker 1: think the, The political strategy there is that it's a
- 5:43Speaker 1: what what is known in Washington in politics as a
- 5:46Speaker 1: messaging vote messaging bill. The purpose of a messaging vote
- 5:50Speaker 1: is to generate press coverage that is favorable to you politically.
- 5:56Speaker 1: A scan through the headlines shows the New York Times
- 6:00Speaker 1: headline about this was bill to guarantee abortion rights fails
- 6:03Speaker 1: in the Senate. Republicans used a filibuster to thwart the bill,
- 6:06Speaker 1: but Democrats hoped a high profile failure of their legislation
- 6:09Speaker 1: would help them at the polls in November. That doesn't
- 6:11Speaker 1: seem very favorable. Washington Post, Senate blocks bill to codify
- 6:14Speaker 1: right to abortion. The Women's Health Protection Act failed as expected,
- 6:18Speaker 1: but Democrats say the vote is about mobilizing voters, not
- 6:21Speaker 1: passing legislation. I think the concept of a messaging vote
- 6:26Speaker 1: or stuff like that, I just think it's outdated at
- 6:29Speaker 1: this point. I don't think that we live in a
- 6:31Speaker 1: media environment where you're going to take this vote, have
- 6:36Speaker 1: this vote, and then have all the media cover it like,
- 6:39Speaker 1: Republicans blocked abortion access and Democrats fought hard for it. Like,
- 6:43Speaker 1: I just don't know. And again, I will say I
- 6:46Speaker 1: don't think this is a big deal either way. I
- 6:47Speaker 1: kind of think it was like a fairly meaningless gesture.
- 6:51Speaker 1: And I also we can get into this. It's not
- 6:53Speaker 1: like Chuck Schumer and the Democrats had any other options
- 6:57Speaker 1: that they just sort of left on the playing field here, because, again,
- 7:01Speaker 1: they are facing the Joe Manchin, Kyrsten Sinema problem that
- 7:03Speaker 1: they have been since Joe Biden took office. So it's
- 7:05Speaker 1: not like there was anything they could do that they
- 7:07Speaker 1: didn't do. I just don't know that it's much like
- 7:09Speaker 1: the voting rights thing where you get everyone's expectations up
- 7:12Speaker 1: that you're about to have a vote. And of course,
- 7:14Speaker 1: the vote doesn't go anywhere.
- 7:15Speaker 2: I think they did a better job of expectations management.
- 7:17Speaker 2: There wasn't a bunch of efforts being like, call your
- 7:20Speaker 2: senator and tell them to vote for this. It was
- 7:22Speaker 2: sort of like, we're going to hold this vote. We
- 7:24Speaker 2: understand it. I totally agree with you on the anachronistic
- 7:27Speaker 2: nature of message votes. And that's particularly true in an
- 7:30Speaker 2: election cycle where there's really only one Senate Republican incumbent
- 7:33Speaker 2: who is casting that vote. who we are running it,
- 7:37Speaker 2: who is vulnerable. And so it's, it's, I think this
- 7:39Speaker 2: is much ado about nothing. It's, I think you can
- 7:44Speaker 2: argue it either way. I think given those choices, having
- 7:46Speaker 2: the votes slightly better, not having the vote, but none
- 7:49Speaker 2: of it is affecting people's ability to actually make decisions
- 7:53Speaker 2: about their own bodies. Like that's not changing because of this.
- 7:56Speaker 1: So Schumer said that he didn't hold a vote on
- 7:57Speaker 1: the Collins Murkowski mansion alternative because quote, we're not looking
- 8:01Speaker 1: to compromise on something as vital as this. Do you
- 8:05Speaker 1: think that was the right move?
- 8:07Speaker 2: Once again, I think there is a very loud, very aggressive,
- 8:12Speaker 2: very vituperative online debate about something of limited consequence. Because
- 8:15Speaker 2: at the end of the day, what are we talking
- 8:17Speaker 2: about here? We're talking about failing to protect people's rights
- 8:20Speaker 2: by a vote of 49-51 or failing to protect people's
- 8:23Speaker 2: rights by a vote of 52-48. What is the substantive
- 8:28Speaker 2: political difference of that? There is a larger conversation about
- 8:32Speaker 2: to be had about whether you should be sanding down
- 8:38Speaker 2: differences to try to make the broadest appeal possible on
- 8:44Speaker 2: an issue that the polls show you have broad appeal.
- 8:46Speaker 2: Should you not do that? Are Washington Democrats overly sensitive
- 8:53Speaker 2: to the opinions of activist groups. There's a larger competition.
- 8:57Speaker 2: At the end of the day, in this particular case,
- 9:00Speaker 2: I don't think once you like the decision to have
- 9:02Speaker 2: a vote or not decision on which one to vote on,
- 9:03Speaker 2: I think is a very limited consequence for the much larger,
- 9:06Speaker 2: much more important fight in front of us.
- 9:10Speaker 1: I do think if you are going to hold a
- 9:13Speaker 1: vote that is purely a messaging exercise, which again, I
- 9:18Speaker 1: just argued is of limited value, but if you're going
- 9:20Speaker 1: to do it, I'm not sure why you don't Hold
- 9:24Speaker 1: the original vote on the Women's Health Protection Act. Get
- 9:27Speaker 1: everyone on record on that. We want to codify Roe v.
- 9:30Speaker 1: Wade into law. We want to guarantee abortion access across
- 9:33Speaker 1: the country. Then after that one goes down, have everyone
- 9:38Speaker 1: vote on the Collins-Murkowski alternative to show now that you
- 9:41Speaker 1: have a bipartisan majority in Congress in favor of codifying
- 9:47Speaker 1: current protections for abortion that are out there, codifying Casey
- 9:51Speaker 1: into law, and showing that... extreme Republicans are blocking a
- 9:56Speaker 1: bipartisan majority. Then hold a vote on a provision that
- 10:00Speaker 1: guarantees the right to contraception. Make the Republicans take a
- 10:03Speaker 1: vote on that since some of them are now going
- 10:05Speaker 1: after contraception. Make them take a vote that guarantees the
- 10:08Speaker 1: right to an abortion in the case of rape, incest,
- 10:10Speaker 1: and the life of the mother. Again, make them take
- 10:13Speaker 1: a vote on that because a whole bunch of Republicans
- 10:15Speaker 1: are now saying abortion bans with absolutely no exception. So
- 10:19Speaker 1: you just sort of go down the list and you
- 10:21Speaker 1: don't vote only on these provisions because you don't want
- 10:23Speaker 1: to be have a bunch of Democrats saying, oh, yeah,
- 10:25Speaker 1: we're only for abortion in those cases. But you've already
- 10:27Speaker 1: had the Democrats go on the record on the Women's
- 10:30Speaker 1: Health Protection Act. And now you can smoke out the
- 10:32Speaker 1: Republicans in the Senate who are taking extreme positions on contraception,
- 10:38Speaker 1: on exceptions and rape, incest and life of the mother,
- 10:42Speaker 1: et cetera, et cetera. And I'm just if you have
- 10:44Speaker 1: the Senate majority. I just wonder why you don't make
- 10:47Speaker 1: Republicans take these uncomfortable votes, because, again, you want votes
- 10:50Speaker 1: that unites your caucus and splits theirs.
- 10:55Speaker 2: I agree with that. I think we may even see
- 10:56Speaker 2: some of that if there is a budget budget resolution
- 10:59Speaker 2: vote later this year, which we you may need a
- 11:02Speaker 2: budget resolution to do budget reconciliation to pass covid aid,
- 11:06Speaker 2: for instance. And then you have what they call the
- 11:08Speaker 2: Voterama where people can put anything up and you won't
- 11:11Speaker 2: need 60 votes or a motion to proceed or burn
- 11:13Speaker 2: 30 hours on the clock. So you can do a
- 11:14Speaker 2: bunch of these things. But I think once in a
- 11:17Speaker 2: normal world, like in this world, this outdated, anachronistic world
- 11:20Speaker 2: of message votes that we're somehow still talking about 10
- 11:23Speaker 2: minutes into this podcast.
- 11:24Speaker 3: You're right.
- 11:25Speaker 1: You're right.
- 11:25Speaker 3: You're right.
- 11:26Speaker 2: There you have a bunch of vulnerable incumbents you're trying
- 11:29Speaker 2: to get on the record. Depending on your view of
- 11:33Speaker 2: how Florida would perform in a midterm, we're talking about
- 11:36Speaker 2: one person, talking about Ron Johnson, right? And so it's
- 11:39Speaker 2: not the most efficient thing. Like A series of show
- 11:42Speaker 2: votes in the House, you know, if you were able
- 11:44Speaker 2: to have such a thing in 2017 to make all
- 11:48Speaker 2: those incumbent Republicans vote, you know, against pre-existing conditions, what
- 11:52Speaker 2: else has value here? It's like, you know, we're worried
- 11:55Speaker 2: about one person who is, even without a vote, going
- 11:56Speaker 2: to take a batshit insane stupid position on their own.
- 12:00Speaker 1: Yeah, you're right. I think this only matters for the
- 12:04Speaker 1: next conversation we're going to have, which is sort of
- 12:06Speaker 1: messaging this for the midterms in general, for all the
- 12:10Speaker 1: candidates who are running across the country. And I do
- 12:11Speaker 1: think it's important there. So let's talk about what's next.
- 12:14Speaker 1: Joe Biden responded to the vote by saying, quote, to
- 12:17Speaker 1: protect the right to choose, voters need to elect more
- 12:19Speaker 1: pro-choice senators this November and return a pro-choice majority to
- 12:23Speaker 1: the House. If they do, Congress can pass this bill
- 12:25Speaker 1: in January and put it on my desk so I
- 12:27Speaker 1: can sign it into law. This, of course, is an
- 12:30Speaker 1: undeniably true statement. If we elect a Democratic House again,
- 12:34Speaker 1: and we elect two more pro-choice, anti-filibuster Democratic senators, in
- 12:39Speaker 1: addition to returning all the Democratic senators that we currently
- 12:42Speaker 1: have to the Senate, Joe Biden will sign a law
- 12:46Speaker 1: that guarantees abortion rights in America. That will happen. Now
- 12:51Speaker 1: you might say, okay, well, will everyone be willing to
- 12:54Speaker 1: get rid of the filibuster for this? It's a good question.
- 12:57Speaker 1: I will say that every single Democratic senator, except Joe
- 13:00Speaker 1: Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, voted to get rid of the
- 13:03Speaker 1: filibuster for voting rights legislation a couple months ago, even
- 13:06Speaker 1: though that failed. So, sure, maybe make sure that every
- 13:10Speaker 1: Democratic senator goes on record to say that, you know,
- 13:15Speaker 1: if we have two more pro-choice Democratic senators, they will
- 13:18Speaker 1: get rid of the filibuster in order to codify the
- 13:21Speaker 1: Women's Health Protection Act into law after 2022. But again, like,
- 13:26Speaker 1: that seems to be the most honest assessment that of
- 13:29Speaker 1: how we actually get this done on a nationwide scale.
- 13:34Speaker 1: We can talk about the states in a minute. The question,
- 13:37Speaker 1: of course, is how we do this, how we elect
- 13:39Speaker 1: those two extra pro-choice, anti-filibuster Democratic senators. That's the real challenge.
- 13:46Speaker 1: And of course, return a Democratic House, also a big challenge.
- 13:49Speaker 1: Here's a headline from the Washington Post this week, quote,
- 13:52Speaker 1: GOP's midterm bet, voters will care more about inflation than abortion.
- 13:57Speaker 1: What do you think about that bet? Mitch McConnell flunky
- 14:00Speaker 1: Josh Holmes is quoted in the story saying that abortion is, quote,
- 14:04Speaker 1: not registering on any of the issue polls he's looking at.
- 14:09Speaker 2: I would note that I put in the outline, as
- 14:11Speaker 2: I put Josh Holmes, Mitch McConnell's miniest minion, and you
- 14:14Speaker 2: just like cross that out and put in something much nicer.
- 14:17Speaker 1: Dan. You know why I crossed that out? Because I
- 14:19Speaker 1: said that's Dan's joke that he put in the outline.
- 14:22Speaker 1: I want Dan to be able to use Dan's joke.
- 14:25Speaker 1: I'll call Josh Holmes whatever the fuck I want.
- 14:28Speaker 2: Fair. Okay, that's fair. Neither here nor there, Josh Holmes'
- 14:32Speaker 2: stature is the least of his problems. Look, of course.
- 14:35Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know what his height is. I don't
- 14:37Speaker 1: know if you want to go after his height. That's fine.
- 14:38Speaker 1: I've never seen him in person. I just see his
- 14:40Speaker 1: annoying quotes and hear his annoying voice sometimes.
- 14:42Speaker 2: Yes. He... So, I think as a general rule, if someone...
- 14:47Speaker 2: works for, worked for, is a vocal supporter of, has
- 14:51Speaker 2: been in Mitch McConnell's presence more than a dozen times,
- 14:54Speaker 2: you should not trust them. Josh Holmes is lying here.
- 14:57Speaker 2: We know he's lying because we've seen the polling. We
- 15:00Speaker 2: know that people are highly engaged with the story. We
- 15:04Speaker 2: know that Republicans, a significant number of Republicans, a majority
- 15:06Speaker 2: of independents oppose what Alito is suggesting the court do.
- 15:10Speaker 2: There's even a report out from the Center for American
- 15:12Speaker 2: Progress Action Fund today, which shows that for only the
- 15:15Speaker 2: second time in a very long time, Progressive engagement on
- 15:18Speaker 2: Facebook is exceeding conservative engagement, and it's all because of
- 15:22Speaker 2: the Roe decision. Mark Zuckerberg? Oh. Yes. So we know
- 15:26Speaker 2: people are engaged in this issue, but that doesn't mean
- 15:28Speaker 2: that come election day, Republicans won't be right that inflation
- 15:32Speaker 2: trumps abortion as an issue. And that gets to the
- 15:34Speaker 2: idea of issue salience, which is, I think, one of
- 15:38Speaker 2: the most important but least understood aspects of political analysis
- 15:42Speaker 2: and strategy, which is issue salience means what voters are
- 15:46Speaker 2: thinking about when they vote. And that's something that we control.
- 15:51Speaker 2: That is not going to happen organically. It's not going
- 15:54Speaker 2: to happen on its own. It is going to be
- 15:55Speaker 2: what Joe Biden and the Senate and us and everyone
- 15:59Speaker 2: listening does to shape what people focus on. And if
- 16:03Speaker 2: it's inflation, Republicans are going to win. If it's abortion,
- 16:06Speaker 2: we have a fighting chance. Abortion, there are other issues
- 16:08Speaker 2: there too, but that is one where we have seen
- 16:11Speaker 2: in polling that if people are thinking about that, it
- 16:14Speaker 2: is to our advantage. And That is, I think, like
- 16:18Speaker 2: that is one of the things that we've said this before,
- 16:20Speaker 2: but the Democrats too often ask voters what they're thinking
- 16:24Speaker 2: and then go find the best message to address that.
- 16:26Speaker 2: And Republicans focus on what they want voters to be
- 16:28Speaker 2: thinking about and then go try to move the conversation
- 16:30Speaker 2: to that. And that's going to be if we want
- 16:32Speaker 2: to move the conversation, make sure the conversation in October, November,
- 16:35Speaker 2: people are voting is on abortion or something else that
- 16:39Speaker 2: we want. We're going to have to work really hard because.
- 16:42Speaker 2: Inflation is going to be in the news. It's going
- 16:44Speaker 2: to be at the grocery store. It's going to be
- 16:45Speaker 2: on the, you know, people are going to drive past
- 16:46Speaker 2: those gas price signs all the time. And so we're
- 16:48Speaker 2: going to have to work really hard to drive it
- 16:50Speaker 2: if that's what we want, if we want to win
- 16:52Speaker 2: that bet.
- 16:53Speaker 1: Yeah, I totally agree. Look, very possible Josh Holmes is lying.
- 16:57Speaker 1: Let's pretend he's not lying. The possibility here is that
- 17:02Speaker 1: the polling on abortion is everything that we've said it is,
- 17:04Speaker 1: but issue salience is not, it's not a salient issue
- 17:07Speaker 1: yet to enough voters. And that is possible, but, and
- 17:11Speaker 1: here's some reasons why. Because I would also argue that
- 17:13Speaker 1: that's changing as we're speaking right now. It's early. The
- 17:17Speaker 1: court hasn't actually overturned Roe yet, nor have the full
- 17:20Speaker 1: consequences of that action been felt across the country. And
- 17:24Speaker 1: of course, like you said, Democrats actually have to make
- 17:26Speaker 1: something an issue. But FiveThirtyEight had a piece about this
- 17:29Speaker 1: the other week. There isn't a ton of awareness about
- 17:32Speaker 1: abortion laws, or at least there wasn't before the leaked opinion.
- 17:35Speaker 1: So there was an ABC poll before the leaked opinion
- 17:38Speaker 1: found that only 30 percent of residents in the 22
- 17:40Speaker 1: states affected that have passed abortion restrictions since 2020 were
- 17:44Speaker 1: aware of the restrictions in their state. Another poll found
- 17:48Speaker 1: that only 38% of people who lived in states where
- 17:50Speaker 1: abortion would become illegal if Roe is overturned were aware
- 17:54Speaker 1: that that would happen. On the flip side, there's a
- 17:57Speaker 1: new navigator polling out today. 73% have now heard about
- 18:02Speaker 1: the leaked draft. 73% of voters. That's huge. That was
- 18:04Speaker 1: almost the same. They found 78% had heard about Russia's
- 18:07Speaker 1: invasion of Ukraine when that first happened, which was very,
- 18:10Speaker 1: very high. So 73% have heard about the leaked draft.
- 18:14Speaker 1: And since their April poll, there have been significant increases
- 18:17Speaker 1: in the share of people who describe themselves as pro-choice.
- 18:20Speaker 1: It's now 62-32, up seven points from April. Those who
- 18:24Speaker 1: believe abortion should be legal in all or most cases
- 18:27Speaker 1: is 59-37, up eight points. And that includes significant gains
- 18:32Speaker 1: among independents and Republicans. And if you look at a
- 18:35Speaker 1: state where abortion has been significantly restricted, Texas, the complete
- 18:40Speaker 1: ban there, is now underwater in polling. Fifty four percent
- 18:43Speaker 1: of Texans are opposed to that ban, only 42 percent
- 18:46Speaker 1: in favor, according to a recent poll. So this is
- 18:49Speaker 1: something that we're not just the polling on the issue itself,
- 18:52Speaker 1: but the salience of the issue to voters is moving
- 18:55Speaker 1: as we speak. So maybe Josh Holmes is looking at
- 18:57Speaker 1: some outdated polls because this is now an issue that's
- 19:00Speaker 1: actually getting people going. So the other big question is,
- 19:04Speaker 1: what is the most persuasive way for candidates to talk
- 19:07Speaker 1: about this issue? The National Republican Senatorial Committee released a
- 19:10Speaker 1: memo last week urging its candidates to quote. It's hard
- 19:14Speaker 1: to even read this without laughing or crying. It's urging
- 19:17Speaker 1: its candidates to quote, be the compassionate consensus builders on
- 19:21Speaker 1: abortion policy. And it even suggests sample ad language for
- 19:27Speaker 1: Republican candidates in the memo. And the sample ad language reads, quote,
- 19:31Speaker 1: I'm not in favor of putting women or doctors in jail.
- 19:34Speaker 1: I would never take away anyone's contraception or health care.
- 19:37Speaker 1: That's just the typical BS you get from politicians. Here's
- 19:41Speaker 1: my view. I am pro-life, but in reality, forget about
- 19:45Speaker 1: the political labels. All of us are in favor of life.
- 19:48Speaker 1: Isn't that sweet? What does that heaping pile of horseshit
- 19:51Speaker 1: tell you about how Republicans see the politics of abortion?
- 19:55Speaker 1: And how do you think that should inform Democratic messaging
- 19:58Speaker 1: on the subject?
- 19:59Speaker 2: Well, it's very reminiscent of how they view the politics
- 20:01Speaker 2: of Obamacare heading into the 2018 elections, which is they
- 20:04Speaker 2: know they want to do something. They know the voters
- 20:06Speaker 2: don't want them to do it, so they're going to
- 20:07Speaker 2: lie about it. All of that is a lie. Everything
- 20:10Speaker 2: they're saying is a lie. You remember Josh Hawley and
- 20:13Speaker 2: others running ads in 2018 staring before a camera saying
- 20:18Speaker 2: that they would always protect people with pre-existing conditions, even
- 20:21Speaker 2: though they had each voted only months prior to repeal
- 20:26Speaker 2: the protections for people with pre-existing conditions. That's what they're
- 20:28Speaker 2: doing here. They're going to lie about their position. They're
- 20:30Speaker 2: going to lie about our position. And so I think
- 20:33Speaker 2: there are some ways in which I think Democrats have
- 20:36Speaker 2: to address this. So we know Republicans are going to lie. Right. Well,
- 20:40Speaker 2: we can't get defensive or we're constantly just calling them liars.
- 20:42Speaker 2: We have to be very aggressive and proactive about our
- 20:44Speaker 2: position and just assert their position and not get into
- 20:48Speaker 2: the back and forth here. Like they're trying to drag
- 20:50Speaker 2: us into the mud. That's one. Two, they want to
- 20:53Speaker 2: get into the Republicans know that when the issue is
- 20:57Speaker 2: about access to abortion, Roe v. Wade, they had Democrats
- 21:02Speaker 2: and people who support choice have the advantage. When you
- 21:06Speaker 2: get into specifics around weeks and other things, the polling
- 21:10Speaker 2: gets much more complicated. So they want to sort of
- 21:12Speaker 2: bring it down. And then the third thing we have
- 21:14Speaker 2: to do is we have to highlight consistently the most
- 21:17Speaker 2: extreme positions of the Republicans, where this is going, the impact,
- 21:22Speaker 2: that they want to put women and others in jail,
- 21:25Speaker 2: they want to put doctors in jail, that they want
- 21:28Speaker 2: to ban IVF, that they want to ban contraception. And
- 21:31Speaker 2: there are And every time some Republican state senator or
- 21:34Speaker 2: candidate talks about that, we got to highlight it. The
- 21:36Speaker 2: fact that in some of these major swing states, the
- 21:38Speaker 2: Republican candidates running for governor are pledging to outlaw abortion
- 21:44Speaker 2: with no exceptions. Not life of the mother, not rape,
- 21:48Speaker 2: not incest, no exceptions. We have to make sure everyone
- 21:51Speaker 2: knows that. Data for Progress had some useful message polling
- 21:55Speaker 2: about what the best messages were. I'm quoting here from
- 21:58Speaker 2: the poll. They're testing pro-choice messaging against anti-Roe messaging. Women
- 22:05Speaker 2: and their doctors should have control over their medical decisions.
- 22:07Speaker 2: The government should not interfere in personal matters like this.
- 22:09Speaker 2: Families and individuals should have control over the reproductive decisions.
- 22:13Speaker 2: 71% of voters, 49% of Republicans, and 78% of independents
- 22:17Speaker 2: support that message compared to a Republican message which says
- 22:21Speaker 2: the government should be able to make decisions about abortion,
- 22:23Speaker 2: especially when it involves protecting the sanctity of human life,
- 22:26Speaker 2: which is, I think, a very... That's not even... putting
- 22:29Speaker 2: any spin on the ball about their public position. That
- 22:31Speaker 2: is like a very generic, neutral portrayal of their position.
- 22:36Speaker 2: So I think that that the giving this between people
- 22:41Speaker 2: and their doctors and not as opposed to the government
- 22:44Speaker 2: and politicians is I think probably the strongest point we
- 22:47Speaker 2: have of contrast here.
- 22:50Speaker 1: I think I agree with all of that. I think
- 22:52Speaker 1: that it's so important to give specific examples because like,
- 22:56Speaker 1: You know, everyone listening here, we all know Republicans lie
- 22:59Speaker 1: about this shit. But I think that it's it's worth
- 23:02Speaker 1: constantly lifting up those examples. Mitch McConnell and his his, quote,
- 23:05Speaker 1: compassionate consensus builders on abortion in the Senate have now
- 23:09Speaker 1: floated a nationwide ban on abortion, nationwide ban. If they
- 23:13Speaker 1: are returned to if Republicans have Congress and Republicans win
- 23:16Speaker 1: the presidency, they have now said. that they will explore
- 23:20Speaker 1: nationwide bans. So, you live in California, you live in
- 23:22Speaker 1: New York, you vote for state officials that are going
- 23:24Speaker 1: to protect abortion access, doesn't matter, they're going to ban
- 23:27Speaker 1: it all across the country, okay? Take the Pennsylvania's governor race,
- 23:30Speaker 1: for example. All of the Republican frontrunners support total abortion bans.
- 23:35Speaker 1: Two of them refuse to support any exceptions for rape, incest,
- 23:38Speaker 1: or the health of the mother. Three of them support
- 23:41Speaker 1: putting doctors in jail. You vote for a Republican governor
- 23:45Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania... A Republican governor wins in Pennsylvania, that's what's
- 23:48Speaker 1: going to happen. Josh Shapiro, the Democratic governor, if he wins,
- 23:52Speaker 1: abortion access is protected in Pennsylvania. That's the difference in
- 23:55Speaker 1: that race. That's the difference between voting and not voting
- 23:58Speaker 1: if you live in Pennsylvania. Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee,
- 24:01Speaker 1: recently denounced the Supreme Court case that protected married couples'
- 24:05Speaker 1: access to birth control, as did the leading Republican candidate
- 24:08Speaker 1: from Arizona. And each of the Republican candidates running for
- 24:11Speaker 1: Attorney General in Michigan, Republicans in Idaho and Louisiana, are
- 24:15Speaker 1: considering legislation that could ban morning after pills, IUDs, and IVF.
- 24:20Speaker 1: This is all fucking real. It is not theoretical. It
- 24:23Speaker 1: is not, they might do this. This is happening in
- 24:25Speaker 1: the country right now. You're absolutely right about the polling.
- 24:29Speaker 1: And just to give people an example, like when you
- 24:32Speaker 1: ask people to start talking about timing on abortions and,
- 24:35Speaker 1: you know, 60% of Americans support abortion in the first trimester,
- 24:40Speaker 1: 28% support it in the second trimester. So like that
- 24:42Speaker 1: polling gets a little mixed, but when you, again, you
- 24:45Speaker 1: cited this poll that Navigator did this today too, asked
- 24:49Speaker 1: the same question, which is 80% of Americans agree that
- 24:54Speaker 1: the decision to have an abortion should be left to
- 24:56Speaker 1: a woman and her doctor compared to just 9% who
- 25:00Speaker 1: agree it should be left to politicians and the government.
- 25:03Speaker 1: And I do think it's worth, that messaging about the
- 25:07Speaker 1: government should, you know, I mean, I think it's worth
- 25:10Speaker 1: really drilling down on that messaging. Like, Every American should
- 25:15Speaker 1: have the right to choose when to start a family,
- 25:17Speaker 1: who to start a family with, and how many children
- 25:19Speaker 1: to have. No politician or judge should ever get to
- 25:22Speaker 1: impose a forced pregnancy on any American, especially a pregnancy
- 25:25Speaker 1: that they didn't choose, a pregnancy that may have been
- 25:27Speaker 1: the result of rape or abuse or one that threatens
- 25:30Speaker 1: a person's life. And the government should never be allowed
- 25:32Speaker 1: to dictate decisions about pregnancy that should remain between a
- 25:35Speaker 1: woman and her doctor. Guarantee you that is an incredibly
- 25:38Speaker 1: popular message that Democrats should go out and proudly say
- 25:42Speaker 1: on the campaign trail, every single day. And it puts
- 25:45Speaker 1: Republicans in a very, it puts a lot of Republicans
- 25:48Speaker 1: who want to win in competitive districts, a lot of
- 25:50Speaker 1: them in red districts are not going to fucking care,
- 25:52Speaker 1: but the ones who want to win in competitive districts,
- 25:54Speaker 1: it's going to put them in a tough place. And
- 25:55Speaker 1: that's why the NRSC released a memo that's filled with
- 26:00Speaker 1: so much lies because they are fucking nervous about this.
- 26:04Speaker 1: That's the thing, like, they are nervous about it.
- 26:06Speaker 2: I love that message and it's exactly right. And it
- 26:09Speaker 2: can be, you know, built into a larger narrative because
- 26:11Speaker 2: it's not just, the Republicans also want to want the
- 26:14Speaker 2: government to decide what you can say, what you can read,
- 26:17Speaker 2: what teachers can teach, what companies can believe, right? It
- 26:21Speaker 2: is the government wants to stop you, conservative government wants
- 26:25Speaker 2: to stop you from doing the things you want to do.
- 26:27Speaker 2: It's why they're coming for marriage equality next. And I
- 26:30Speaker 2: think just on the point of what Mitch McConnell said
- 26:32Speaker 2: about a national abortion ban, we should be crystal clear
- 26:36Speaker 2: that if in January of 2025, there was a Republican
- 26:39Speaker 2: House Republican Senate and a Republican president, the Republicans will
- 26:43Speaker 2: eliminate the filibuster to pass that bill. The political momentum
- 26:47Speaker 2: behind doing that will be unassailable.
- 26:49Speaker 1: And on that too, because there's a bunch of the
- 26:51Speaker 1: fucking Hill reporters that Mitch McConnell and his staff have
- 26:55Speaker 1: successfully spun for a long time. They all think Mitch
- 26:57Speaker 1: McConnell's a fucking genius and has these principles that he doesn't.
- 27:01Speaker 1: Even if Mitch McConnell was like, I don't want to
- 27:03Speaker 1: get rid of the filibuster. I've said this before. It's
- 27:06Speaker 1: not going to be up to Mitch McConnell. He's going
- 27:07Speaker 1: to have an extreme Republican caucus that is going to
- 27:10Speaker 1: be like, hey, Mitch, you're either leader of this caucus
- 27:13Speaker 1: and you let us get rid of the filibuster or
- 27:15Speaker 1: we're going to nominate someone crazy. We're going to have
- 27:20Speaker 1: Rick Scott be the leader in the caucus. So you're right.
- 27:23Speaker 1: It's absolutely going. Whatever Mitch McConnell says.
- 27:26Speaker 2: Rob Portman. And under this scenario, right? Rob Portman plays
- 27:29Speaker 2: by J.D. Vance. Herschel Walker, Ted Budd, Kathy Barnett. These
- 27:34Speaker 2: are the Republican senators. There is no institutional... Extreme as
- 27:38Speaker 2: they get. Yes.
- 27:40Speaker 1: Yeah, it is. I just... Oh, you know, Mitch McConnell,
- 27:45Speaker 1: he says that he doesn't want to get rid of it.
- 27:46Speaker 1: He's a real institutionalist. People on Capitol Hill know that. Yeah, okay. Okay,
- 27:50Speaker 1: we'll see. We've talked a lot about the congressional races.
- 27:54Speaker 1: What are the key states where races for governor and
- 27:56Speaker 1: attorney general and state legislature will really matter if the
- 28:00Speaker 1: court overturns Roe?
- 28:02Speaker 2: You can sort of, you know, what it's important to
- 28:05Speaker 2: note about this decision, or even in any version of
- 28:07Speaker 2: this decision, is that abortion becomes a state's issue, right?
- 28:11Speaker 2: Your constitutional rights will depend on what state you are
- 28:13Speaker 2: in at any given moment, which is not how constitutional
- 28:15Speaker 2: rights are supposed to work. And therefore, who you elect
- 28:21Speaker 2: as governor, attorney general, local prosecutor, state legislator matters because
- 28:26Speaker 2: they will decide whether abortion is illegal or either contraception
- 28:28Speaker 2: is legal or illegal. What exceptions there are, all of
- 28:31Speaker 2: that will be assigned at the state level. Now, in
- 28:34Speaker 2: blue states where Democrats control all the levers of power,
- 28:37Speaker 2: it abortion rights will be protected. In red states where
- 28:42Speaker 2: Republicans control all levels of powers, where abortion rights are
- 28:45Speaker 2: being strictly restricted or gone or banned immediately with much
- 28:49Speaker 2: worse things to come. The focus is therefore on the
- 28:51Speaker 2: purple states where Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Georgia, et cetera,
- 28:57Speaker 2: all the places where we have a chance to elect
- 28:59Speaker 2: a Democratic governor or Democratic attorney general. And that will matter, right?
- 29:03Speaker 2: They are the bulwark. They have a chance to pass
- 29:05Speaker 2: a law to enshrine those rights. They can veto the
- 29:08Speaker 2: laws to try to further restrict them. The attorney general
- 29:11Speaker 2: and prosecutor one is really important because Dana Nessel, who
- 29:14Speaker 2: is the, we mentioned this in previous pod, the running
- 29:17Speaker 2: for re-election in Michigan has said she's not going to
- 29:19Speaker 2: enforce Michigan's anti-abortion law that will go in effect if
- 29:22Speaker 2: and when Roe is overturned. Her opponent will and will
- 29:25Speaker 2: prosecute it to the full force of the law. But
- 29:28Speaker 2: having said all that, I mean, those are the states
- 29:30Speaker 2: we're already telling people to get involved in. It's how
- 29:32Speaker 2: we're going to protect democracy. It's how we're going to
- 29:33Speaker 2: protect the integrity of the next election. It's how we're
- 29:35Speaker 2: going to put in place higher minimum wages, et cetera,
- 29:38Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. We know that. But I think
- 29:40Speaker 2: there is the tendency then with those red states to say,
- 29:43Speaker 2: the ship has sailed. And I think that's a huge
- 29:45Speaker 2: mistake because every vote in the state legislator matters. Every
- 29:52Speaker 2: local prosecutor matters. And we have to compete there because
- 29:54Speaker 2: that could be, that we're not, if we can't, we
- 29:57Speaker 2: can't take control of the governorship and we can't take
- 29:59Speaker 2: control of the legislature, we're not going to pass a
- 30:01Speaker 2: law to protect people's rights. We're not going to repeal
- 30:04Speaker 2: a Republican law in the books. But having a few
- 30:07Speaker 2: more people in that state legislature may prevent something worse
- 30:11Speaker 2: from happening, right? It could be the one that prevents
- 30:13Speaker 2: contraception from being banned. It could be what prevents IVF
- 30:16Speaker 2: from being banned. It could be the difference between you know,
- 30:20Speaker 2: outlawing access to abortion pills or all those things. So like,
- 30:23Speaker 2: that's why I think the stuff, this stuff that run
- 30:24Speaker 2: from something and Emily's list and others are doing to
- 30:27Speaker 2: compete in those state legislative districts in red States is important.
- 30:31Speaker 2: Even if we're not going to take control of the legislature,
- 30:33Speaker 2: I think just a couple more people who don't have
- 30:36Speaker 2: some sort of prehistoric mindset about people's healthcare decisions could
- 30:41Speaker 2: matter a lot to a lot of people in that state.
- 30:43Speaker 1: Yeah, totally agree. Before we move on, we do have
- 30:47Speaker 1: one more important angle of this story to discuss.
- 30:50Speaker 2: Red Hen. Civility alert. Red Hen. Civility alert. Paging Chuck Todd.
- 30:58Speaker 2: Paging Chuck Todd. Tip O'Neill.
- 31:00Speaker 1: Ronald Reagan. You're needed with a bourbon in the West Wing.
- 31:05Speaker 2: Red Hen. Red Hen. Red Hen.
- 31:08Speaker 1: It just, it never, it never gets old.
- 31:10Speaker 2: Oh, it's so funny.
- 31:11Speaker 1: It never gets old. Thank you, Tommy. Thank you for that.
- 31:15Speaker 1: There has been a particularly dumb debate over completely peaceful
- 31:19Speaker 1: protests that have sprung up at the homes of Supreme
- 31:21Speaker 1: Court justices and senators. Congress moved with unusual speed to
- 31:24Speaker 1: pass a bill that ramped up security for the justices
- 31:27Speaker 1: by extending security protection to their families. The White House
- 31:30Speaker 1: released a statement saying that the president believes in the
- 31:32Speaker 1: right to protest, but that it should never include violence, threats,
- 31:35Speaker 1: or vandalism. And Susan Collins actually called the cops on
- 31:39Speaker 1: protesters who wrote a polite message on the sidewalk outside
- 31:42Speaker 1: of her home in water-soluble chalk. Now, Dan, that was
- 31:48Speaker 1: a joke. The water-soluble chalk, that came from you, and
- 31:50Speaker 1: I just took it. But I'm giving you.
- 31:52Speaker 2: Credit for it. We are a team. I put it
- 31:54Speaker 2: in the outline that it's for you to take.
- 31:58Speaker 1: What's your take on all this?
- 32:00Speaker 2: Also, I took the water-soluble chalk thing from Jonathan Chait
- 32:02Speaker 2: and others, so I want to just give everyone free.
- 32:05Speaker 1: Wow, look at that.
- 32:07Speaker 2: It's like he didn't invent it. It was water soluble chalk.
- 32:09Speaker 2: It's a fact, right? It doesn't own the facts or
- 32:11Speaker 2: you can't trademark that shit. Anywho, like obviously this is
- 32:14Speaker 2: the greatest threat to the Republic since Sarah Huckabee Sanders
- 32:18Speaker 2: was denied a farm to table meal.
- 32:20Speaker 1: We remember. We remember.
- 32:22Speaker 2: The redhead. I mean.
- 32:25Speaker 1: Redhead.
- 32:25Speaker 3: Alert.
- 32:26Speaker 2: Redhead. Chuck Todd, who I know, doesn't ever miss one
- 32:29Speaker 2: minute of this podcast. Must wonder, like, how did he
- 32:32Speaker 2: get wrapped into this?
- 32:35Speaker 1: Just swerving out of our lanes. It's like a wacky truck. Anyway.
- 32:38Speaker 2: All right. Anyway, look, this is obviously stupid and dumb
- 32:44Speaker 2: and beside the point. And just another example of how
- 32:47Speaker 2: the political conversation always migrates to optics incivility, which prevents
- 32:53Speaker 2: people from having to take a stand on real things
- 32:55Speaker 2: or talk about real issues or deal with nuance or complexity.
- 32:59Speaker 2: Like who gives a shit? There is no, like, obviously it's,
- 33:03Speaker 2: no one is condoning violence, threats, looting. None of that's happening.
- 33:08Speaker 2: We're talking about peaceful protests. They asked Chuck Schumer about this.
- 33:11Speaker 2: And he said, I don't really care because I have
- 33:12Speaker 2: people protesting in my house three times a week. People
- 33:15Speaker 2: are always protesting there. Like it happens. The sanctity of
- 33:20Speaker 2: Susan Collins' sidewalk aesthetics is so much less important than
- 33:25Speaker 2: tens of millions of people losing a constitutional fucking right.
- 33:28Speaker 2: Like what are we doing? And Even though the polling
- 33:32Speaker 2: is very clear that a huge majority of Americans disagree
- 33:36Speaker 2: with what the Supreme Court is about to do, the
- 33:38Speaker 2: both sides mentality of the political press and the pundits
- 33:41Speaker 2: draws them to the civility thing. You can have a
- 33:44Speaker 2: bipartisan roundtable on a cable network talking about this, having
- 33:49Speaker 2: a conversation about what it really means for millions of people.
- 33:52Speaker 2: If Roe is overturned, it's a very different and more
- 33:55Speaker 2: complicated discussion that you don't want to have to take
- 33:57Speaker 2: a stand on.
- 33:58Speaker 1: I hate these conversations. I mean, here's my view. I
- 34:02Speaker 1: think peaceful protest isn't just good. It's necessary to be encouraged.
- 34:06Speaker 1: I think violence and threats of violence aren't just bad.
- 34:08Speaker 1: They're ineffective. And I think that calling the cops about
- 34:12Speaker 1: a drive by chalking is one of the stupidest fucking
- 34:16Speaker 1: things I've ever heard. So that's my view. I think
- 34:18Speaker 1: that we should not focus on this debate. I think
- 34:20Speaker 1: we should not focus on fucking Joe Manchin. Keep tweeting
- 34:22Speaker 1: about Joe Manchin. That's not going to do anything to
- 34:25Speaker 1: get anyone rights to access to an abortion. Now that
- 34:27Speaker 1: you can yell all you want. We do yell about
- 34:29Speaker 1: Joe Manchin. Focus on the fucking Republicans who are trying
- 34:34Speaker 1: to ban abortion nationwide, trying to criminalize abortion, throw doctors
- 34:39Speaker 1: and women in jail. Go after contraception and like let's
- 34:43Speaker 1: make sure that we defeat as many of them as
- 34:45Speaker 1: possible in November. This is an issue. Now, first of all,
- 34:48Speaker 1: it's not just a incredibly important vital issue, a basic
- 34:51Speaker 1: constitutional right. It is an issue where we have just
- 34:54Speaker 1: recited a whole bunch of polling where Democrats should be
- 34:57Speaker 1: on the offense and should be going after Republicans. So
- 35:00Speaker 1: let's keep the focus there. John, how can we do that?
- 35:05Speaker 2: Do you have any suggestions?
- 35:07Speaker 1: If you want to get involved, you should go peacefully protest.
- 35:10Speaker 1: Chalk in hand. But you should also go to votesaveamerica.com
- 35:15Speaker 1: slash row where you can donate and volunteer. The VSA
- 35:18Speaker 1: community is incredible. All of you listening, all of you
- 35:21Speaker 1: who've gotten involved in Votesave America from the very beginning,
- 35:24Speaker 1: you are amazing. You've already raised, since the leaked opinion,
- 35:29Speaker 1: you've already raised over $ 300, 000 to support more than 80
- 35:30Speaker 1: abortion funds. That's direct support to abortion funds and patients.
- 35:37Speaker 1: You've raised over $ 30, 000 to help elect a pro-choice majority
- 35:41Speaker 1: in the Senate. Again, those two pro-choice anti-filibuster senators that
- 35:45Speaker 1: we need to actually get something done. And over 3,000
- 35:48Speaker 1: of you have signed up for Midterm Madness so we
- 35:51Speaker 1: can elect a pro-choice majority in November. So I thank
- 35:53Speaker 1: you all for that. Everyone who's gotten involved and everyone
- 35:56Speaker 1: who's not gotten involved yet, please do. It's votesaveamerica.com slash row.
- 36:00Speaker 1: When we come back, Dan talks to White House economic
- 36:03Speaker 1: advisor Brian Deese.
- 36:14Speaker 2: In poll after poll, Americans say inflation is their top concern.
- 36:17Speaker 2: It's also Joe Biden's top priority. Joining us now to
- 36:20Speaker 2: talk about that and so much more is the director
- 36:23Speaker 2: of the National Economic Council and my old friend, Brian Deese.
- 36:27Speaker 3: Thank you for having me, Sherman.
- 36:30Speaker 2: Brian, yesterday we learned that in the month of April,
- 36:32Speaker 2: inflation was down slightly, although still at a historic high.
- 36:36Speaker 2: What is your analysis of those numbers? And what do
- 36:38Speaker 2: they tell us about how much longer Americans are going
- 36:40Speaker 2: to have to deal with elevated costs on food, gas,
- 36:42Speaker 2: and other things?
- 36:43Speaker 3: Well, it was heartening to see the number tick down
- 36:45Speaker 3: a bit. Inflation is still too high. But it's important
- 36:49Speaker 3: to put the numbers in context. We have an economy
- 36:52Speaker 3: that has extraordinary strengths right now. Strongest economic growth in
- 36:56Speaker 3: 40 years. strongest labor market outcomes. The unemployment rate has
- 37:00Speaker 3: come down significantly, which has opened up all sorts of opportunities,
- 37:04Speaker 3: particularly for lower wage workers. People of color are seeing
- 37:07Speaker 3: job opportunities and opportunities to get jobs with higher wages
- 37:10Speaker 3: that they haven't seen in decades. And we have a
- 37:14Speaker 3: pricing challenge. Prices are high. And as I said, it
- 37:17Speaker 3: was good to see a little bit of relief on
- 37:19Speaker 3: that front in last month's print. But we know what
- 37:23Speaker 3: we now need to do, which is we need to
- 37:25Speaker 3: build on those extraordinary strengths while focusing on doing everything
- 37:29Speaker 3: we can to bring prices down and have prices normalize.
- 37:33Speaker 3: And that's a process that is going to take some time,
- 37:38Speaker 3: but we could accelerate it. We could move it faster.
- 37:40Speaker 3: And there are practical things that we can do, in particular,
- 37:43Speaker 3: to address the practical cost challenges that people are facing
- 37:48Speaker 3: in their day-to-day lives. The cost of gas, the cost
- 37:51Speaker 3: of food, but also the cost of health care, the
- 37:53Speaker 3: cost of child care, the things that add up to
- 37:55Speaker 3: your monthly budget.
- 37:57Speaker 2: And so obviously a lot of what is driving inflation
- 38:01Speaker 2: is outside of your control, even outside of these borders, right?
- 38:04Speaker 2: It's what's happening in Russia. It's lockdowns in China. It's
- 38:08Speaker 2: stuff happening, just the general struggles to snap back from
- 38:11Speaker 2: the pandemic all over the world. Recognizing there's limits to
- 38:15Speaker 2: what you can do and not to mention sort of
- 38:17Speaker 2: the challenges of getting something through Congress. What are the
- 38:19Speaker 2: tools in your toolbox that the White House can do
- 38:23Speaker 2: that'll give people some relief?
- 38:25Speaker 3: So the president talked about it this week as a
- 38:27Speaker 3: plan that is about lowering families' costs and lowering the
- 38:31Speaker 3: federal deficit. And we can make progress on both of those.
- 38:34Speaker 3: Lowering families' costs, kind of obvious why you want to
- 38:36Speaker 3: do that, right? You want to give people relief when
- 38:39Speaker 3: they're seeing these high prices. And we have a lot
- 38:41Speaker 3: of tools that we can work with. Just this week,
- 38:44Speaker 3: we announced a program to reduce the cost of high-speed internet,
- 38:48Speaker 3: broadband bills for 50 million Americans. People pay $ 100, $ 150
- 38:51Speaker 3: a month to have high-speed internet As we know, particularly
- 38:56Speaker 3: now in a pandemic affected world, having access to high
- 38:58Speaker 3: speed Internet is is a basic necessity to working, to engaging,
- 39:03Speaker 3: to engaging the educational system. We're going to bring that
- 39:06Speaker 3: cost down for 50 million people by 50, 60, 70
- 39:12Speaker 3: dollars a month. And for a lot of them, we're
- 39:14Speaker 3: going to make that free. We have the tools to
- 39:16Speaker 3: do that in our own power. Yesterday, the president was
- 39:19Speaker 3: out at a farm, and he was announcing steps to
- 39:22Speaker 3: increase the amount of production that US farmers and growers
- 39:27Speaker 3: can yield this year. More wheat, more corn. That's good
- 39:31Speaker 3: for prices because it means there's more supply of product
- 39:34Speaker 3: on the market. It's also good for farmers and rural
- 39:36Speaker 3: communities because it gives them more economic opportunity. We can
- 39:39Speaker 3: take steps like this, steps like working with our ports,
- 39:43Speaker 3: working with our truckers to move goods more quickly and
- 39:45Speaker 3: more cheaply across the economy. And we're doing that. We're
- 39:48Speaker 3: moving out on that. But as you said, there's also
- 39:50Speaker 3: some steps that we need Congress's help on, like lowering
- 39:52Speaker 3: the cost of prescription drugs. We could, by allowing Medicare
- 39:56Speaker 3: to negotiate better prescription drug prices, lower the cost of
- 39:59Speaker 3: prescription drugs and also lower the deficit, as I mentioned.
- 40:02Speaker 3: It would reduce the amount of money the federal government
- 40:04Speaker 3: has to pay in Medicare for drugs as well. So
- 40:07Speaker 3: there are some places where we're going to need some
- 40:08Speaker 3: help from Congress, but there's also places we can move
- 40:10Speaker 3: on our own.
- 40:11Speaker 2: One idea that is, I think, largely within your power
- 40:14Speaker 2: that's being pushed by a lot of economists out there,
- 40:17Speaker 2: including our old colleague, Larry Summers, is reducing or removing
- 40:21Speaker 2: some tariffs on Chinese goods headed to America. I understand
- 40:26Speaker 2: the political argument against that. What's the substantive argument against that?
- 40:29Speaker 2: Larry argues, I think, that it would reduce the consumer
- 40:31Speaker 2: price index, maybe a point to do that. I don't
- 40:34Speaker 2: want to ask you why Larry is wrong, but what's
- 40:36Speaker 2: the argument against that or why you guys haven't done
- 40:38Speaker 2: that yet?
- 40:39Speaker 3: Well, it's something that we're looking at. We're actively analyzing,
- 40:42Speaker 3: like any idea. We're pragmatic. The president said inflation is
- 40:45Speaker 3: his top priority. So we'll look at any idea wherever
- 40:48Speaker 3: it comes from. In practice, what you're looking at when
- 40:51Speaker 3: you're looking at tariffs is what will happen when you
- 40:54Speaker 3: reduce the tariff on a good and how much of
- 40:57Speaker 3: that reduction in the tariff will go to the consumer.
- 41:01Speaker 3: If you're buying a toys for your kid at the store,
- 41:07Speaker 3: if you reduce the tariff on that, how much of
- 41:08Speaker 3: that goes to you and how much of that goes
- 41:10Speaker 3: to the company? And that has to do with how
- 41:13Speaker 3: much demand there are for the products, where the products
- 41:17Speaker 3: are made other than in the country where the tariff
- 41:19Speaker 3: is applied. So you have to look at all of
- 41:21Speaker 3: these and balance these things out. There are different estimates
- 41:24Speaker 3: of the impact. At the end of the day, none
- 41:26Speaker 3: of these steps, to be clear, none of these steps,
- 41:29Speaker 3: reducing tariffs, reducing internet bills, none of them on their
- 41:32Speaker 3: own is going to be sufficient to bring prices down
- 41:35Speaker 3: in the immediate term. There is no magic bullet. There's
- 41:37Speaker 3: no single policy tool to do this. But we're trying
- 41:41Speaker 3: to look at every sensible step that we can take.
- 41:44Speaker 3: And to do that consistent with the president's values. And
- 41:47Speaker 3: it is important that even though inflation is top of
- 41:50Speaker 3: mind for everybody and top of mind for the president,
- 41:52Speaker 3: that we not lose sight of these underlying economic strengths.
- 41:55Speaker 3: They did not happen just on their own. It was
- 41:57Speaker 3: because Democrats and this president put in place an economic
- 42:00Speaker 3: agenda that prioritized strong economic growth and strong growth and
- 42:05Speaker 3: job opportunities, particularly for lower income working class people in
- 42:09Speaker 3: this country. And that strength is something that we want
- 42:12Speaker 3: to build on. We don't want to jettison. We don't
- 42:13Speaker 3: want to lose track of that, even as we look
- 42:15Speaker 3: at how we can address prices.
- 42:17Speaker 2: I think that's one of the sort of broader questions
- 42:20Speaker 2: and concerns a lot of people have is the traditional,
- 42:22Speaker 2: it's been a very long time since we have confronted inflation.
- 42:26Speaker 2: In the past, the idea was the Fed, and I'm
- 42:29Speaker 2: not going to ask you to comment on the Feds,
- 42:30Speaker 2: but the idea was that you slow demand, right? You
- 42:33Speaker 2: slow the economy down, which has consequences for a lot
- 42:36Speaker 2: of the people that, you know, whether it's wage growth
- 42:39Speaker 2: or in some, you know, food industry or service industry,
- 42:42Speaker 2: consequences for people that President Biden has talked a lot
- 42:44Speaker 2: about helping. How do you find that balance between maintaining
- 42:47Speaker 2: that growth, that strength, the job market and addressing inflation?
- 42:51Speaker 2: Is there a new sort of a third way approach,
- 42:53Speaker 2: a different way approach than the old sort of 1980s
- 42:57Speaker 2: Paul Volcker way of doing this?
- 43:00Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd say two things to that. The first is
- 43:01Speaker 3: the Fed has an important role to play. They're in
- 43:04Speaker 3: the midst of doing that, and it is important that
- 43:06Speaker 3: they have the independence to do what they need to do.
- 43:11Speaker 3: One thing that we have really talked about is how
- 43:13Speaker 3: can we build more space and more capacity on the
- 43:18Speaker 3: supply side of the economy? It's sort of a progressive
- 43:22Speaker 3: approach to supply-side economics, which has traditionally been the coin
- 43:26Speaker 3: of the realm for conservatives. And what that means is
- 43:29Speaker 3: that if we can actually create more in our economy
- 43:35Speaker 3: and we can have more people working, we can produce
- 43:37Speaker 3: more goods and more services in the economy, we can
- 43:40Speaker 3: reduce price pressures and also build on some of those
- 43:44Speaker 3: economic strengths. So you take the issue of cars. I
- 43:46Speaker 3: know this has been talked about a lot, but I
- 43:48Speaker 3: think it's an example that illustrates where we are right now.
- 43:50Speaker 3: The reason why car prices are as high as they
- 43:53Speaker 3: are is because we're not building enough cars. We have
- 43:56Speaker 3: a problem on the supply side. And the reason for
- 43:58Speaker 3: that is we don't have enough semiconductors, the computer chips
- 44:01Speaker 3: that go into cars. If we can accelerate the production
- 44:04Speaker 3: of semiconductors, particularly in places other than China, particularly in
- 44:07Speaker 3: places with more secure supply chains, and that allows us
- 44:11Speaker 3: to build more cars, that will reduce prices and it
- 44:15Speaker 3: will put more people to work. It means there's more
- 44:16Speaker 3: job opportunities as well. You can replicate that on housing.
- 44:20Speaker 3: We have a real problem of affordable housing in this
- 44:23Speaker 3: country right now. Rents are too high. Housing prices are high.
- 44:26Speaker 3: That's good for homeowners, but it's a problem for people
- 44:28Speaker 3: who are looking for homes. What we need to do
- 44:31Speaker 3: is we need to build more affordable housing. We need
- 44:34Speaker 3: to operate on the supply side, more supply of housing.
- 44:38Speaker 3: If we do that, that'll help bring prices down, but
- 44:40Speaker 3: also put more people to work in the context as well.
- 44:44Speaker 3: That is a very different approach than the sort of
- 44:48Speaker 3: traditional Republican approach, which is the actual Republican approach right
- 44:52Speaker 3: now of congressional Republicans, which is to say, The principal
- 44:55Speaker 3: thing we need to do is to make working Americans poorer.
- 45:01Speaker 3: Their current version of that is to increase taxes, have
- 45:06Speaker 3: working Americans pay higher taxes, about $ 1, 500 more for people
- 45:10Speaker 3: making less than $ 100, 000 a year. That is kind of
- 45:12Speaker 3: a traditional view that we need to reduce the purchasing
- 45:16Speaker 3: power of working class people as a way to advance
- 45:20Speaker 3: the economy. I think building on operating on the supply
- 45:23Speaker 3: side is one important answer and alternative to that.
- 45:26Speaker 2: Speaking of supply chain issues, there is a ton of
- 45:30Speaker 2: coverage and attention right now given the shortage in baby formula.
- 45:34Speaker 2: You have parents rationing formula, people driving hours of stores.
- 45:37Speaker 2: Could you just help explain why that's happening and what
- 45:41Speaker 2: the Biden administration is trying to do to help alleviate
- 45:43Speaker 2: that bottleneck? No pun intended, obviously. Absolutely.
- 45:47Speaker 3: And it's right on my mind because as we're recording this,
- 45:50Speaker 3: I will end this and walk downstairs and the president
- 45:53Speaker 3: is going to be on the phone with major retailers,
- 45:57Speaker 3: Target and Walmart and manufacturers of baby formula to try
- 46:01Speaker 3: to move the ball. The reason why this is happening
- 46:04Speaker 3: is because the FDA identified that there was a plant
- 46:06Speaker 3: that made baby formula, particularly specialized baby formula, that was
- 46:11Speaker 3: not meeting safety standards. And obviously, you know, in something
- 46:14Speaker 3: as critical as baby formula, it's important that we maintain
- 46:17Speaker 3: the highest standards of safety. That plant shut down to
- 46:21Speaker 3: address those safety issues that created problems in terms of supply,
- 46:26Speaker 3: and that has been compounded by some of the supply
- 46:28Speaker 3: chain challenges we've faced. So we're working on a couple
- 46:32Speaker 3: of angles. The first is Just make it easier to
- 46:36Speaker 3: get formula in as many places to as many people
- 46:39Speaker 3: as possible. There are a lot of restrictions about baby formula, understandably, appropriately,
- 46:43Speaker 3: safety and health restrictions about what type of formula can
- 46:46Speaker 3: be sold in what context. In immediate circumstances like this,
- 46:51Speaker 3: relaxing some of those without sacrificing safety is an important
- 46:54Speaker 3: thing to do. We're working on allowing more imports from
- 46:57Speaker 3: European countries, for example, where they do have high safety standards,
- 47:01Speaker 3: trying to get more product in immediately. And importantly, the
- 47:04Speaker 3: president will today ask the federal regulators, the FTC, working
- 47:10Speaker 3: with state attorneys general, to really increase our focus on
- 47:13Speaker 3: price gouging. We're seeing some really unfortunate and illegal circumstance
- 47:19Speaker 3: where people are going buying baby formula and then selling
- 47:21Speaker 3: it online at exorbitant prices, taking advantage of the shortfall
- 47:26Speaker 3: in supply. And so we're going to take some action
- 47:29Speaker 3: today to really try to crack down on that as well.
- 47:33Speaker 2: I'm sure that there's an element of probably painful deja
- 47:36Speaker 2: vu for you from your time working for President Obama.
- 47:39Speaker 2: Back then, you helped President Obama during the campaign figure
- 47:41Speaker 2: out what his economic policy platform would be, what he
- 47:44Speaker 2: would do when he got in office. That a crisis
- 47:46Speaker 2: created and exacerbated by his predecessor caused you to rip
- 47:50Speaker 2: up a lot of those plans and focus on stemming
- 47:52Speaker 2: the crisis. Similar situation with President Biden with the pandemic
- 47:56Speaker 2: continuing to persist. I mean, just a parade of problems
- 48:02Speaker 2: that have happened that are beyond your guys' control. You know,
- 48:05Speaker 2: what often I think gets lost in that because of
- 48:07Speaker 2: the need to address crisis after crisis is like, what
- 48:10Speaker 2: is the central issue? economic vision or philosophy of the president.
- 48:14Speaker 2: Obama spent years trying to dig out from under that
- 48:18Speaker 2: from having to focus on a stimulus first as opposed
- 48:21Speaker 2: to a giant tax cut for working people. Obviously, we're
- 48:25Speaker 2: going to have a big discussion in the coming months
- 48:27Speaker 2: and years about President Biden's economic philosophy versus that of Republicans.
- 48:32Speaker 2: He started that conversation last week. How would you define
- 48:35Speaker 2: Bidenomics or Biden's approach to the economy I do.
- 48:39Speaker 3: I associate myself with that frustration. But I also think
- 48:41Speaker 3: that President Biden has been remarkably consistent on this front.
- 48:45Speaker 3: The way he describes it is he wants to build
- 48:48Speaker 3: an economy from the bottom up and the middle out.
- 48:50Speaker 3: And that's a very, I think, straightforward and colloquial way
- 48:53Speaker 3: of describing in economic terms where what you're trying to
- 48:57Speaker 3: do is create more power and more opportunity and more security.
- 49:03Speaker 3: for the bottom half of the income distribution and middle-class families,
- 49:07Speaker 3: based on a theory that if you can actually build
- 49:09Speaker 3: that type of economic opportunity, the entire economy is gonna
- 49:14Speaker 3: do better. And he contrasts that with kind of conventional
- 49:18Speaker 3: trickle-down economics. that in his view, his argument is that
- 49:23Speaker 3: we have run the experiment of trickle-down economics for decades,
- 49:27Speaker 3: and it has consistently shown that it's failed, that if
- 49:29Speaker 3: you focus on trying to reduce restrictions for companies and
- 49:32Speaker 3: those at the top, that somehow the benefits would redound
- 49:35Speaker 3: to everybody. And therefore... this bottom-up approach is central. And
- 49:39Speaker 3: you can see that in the way that he approached
- 49:41Speaker 3: the crisis response. So you're right, he had to pivot
- 49:43Speaker 3: and he had to focus on immediate crisis measures, but
- 49:45Speaker 3: always in our economic policy has been a focus on
- 49:48Speaker 3: trying to help those people who are just trying to
- 49:52Speaker 3: make it, make their life a little easier. As Joe
- 49:55Speaker 3: Biden would say, give them a little more breathing room.
- 49:58Speaker 3: And we have seen that work, that part of the
- 50:00Speaker 3: strength of this economic recovery and labor market is a
- 50:03Speaker 3: result of those policies. A lot of the things that
- 50:06Speaker 3: we aren't talking about today, we're not talking about a
- 50:08Speaker 3: really slow return to employment. We're not talking about long-term unemployment.
- 50:13Speaker 3: Long-term unemployment has come down the fastest in modern history.
- 50:17Speaker 3: We're not talking about the kind of scarring of people
- 50:19Speaker 3: who are usually at the margins of our economy and structurally,
- 50:25Speaker 3: people of color and women who are structurally often impeded
- 50:28Speaker 3: from making progress. We're seeing that play out. but we
- 50:32Speaker 3: have more work to do on that front. And that's
- 50:34Speaker 3: what is animating, uh, you know, that's, what's animating his approach,
- 50:38Speaker 3: even as we have to deal with these crises, even
- 50:41Speaker 3: as we're dealing with the war, uh, in Ukraine and
- 50:44Speaker 3: global supply shocks to try to stay focused on that
- 50:47Speaker 3: North star.
- 50:47Speaker 2: Last question for you. Um, the white house put out
- 50:51Speaker 2: a video, uh, earlier this week that included, uh, president
- 50:55Speaker 2: talking to Chris Smalls who helped organize, uh, an Amazon warehouse, uh,
- 51:01Speaker 2: President Biden has talked a lot and sort of been
- 51:03Speaker 2: very proactive in talking about the importance of labor unions.
- 51:07Speaker 2: Can you talk a little bit about what the importance
- 51:09Speaker 2: of labor unions, what the Biden administration is doing to
- 51:13Speaker 2: help support the labor movement, and just sort of maybe
- 51:16Speaker 2: what this moment where you're seeing organizing at Amazon and
- 51:18Speaker 2: Starbucks and elsewhere maybe means for sort of the economic
- 51:22Speaker 2: approach the president has?
- 51:23Speaker 3: Yeah, it's an extraordinary moment. And you're right, the president
- 51:27Speaker 3: has been very clear and consistent with his position on this.
- 51:31Speaker 3: And it connects to bottom up and middle out. A
- 51:33Speaker 3: big part of that for the president, his economic philosophy
- 51:37Speaker 3: is that when workers have more power and when they
- 51:40Speaker 3: have more voice, we end up with better outcomes for
- 51:43Speaker 3: middle class families. And unions and organizing is at the
- 51:47Speaker 3: center of that. From an economic perspective, unionization helps to
- 51:53Speaker 3: balance this, what we've seen for many years of the
- 51:58Speaker 3: disproportionate share of overall company profits going to capital rather
- 52:03Speaker 3: than labor, and labor having less and less power. And
- 52:08Speaker 3: unionization is the most proven effective tool to actually create
- 52:12Speaker 3: better outcomes and more of a balance between labor and capital.
- 52:16Speaker 3: In practice, we are seeing a real resurgence, a resurgence
- 52:20Speaker 3: of excitement, enthusiasm, and organizing in across the board, across America.
- 52:25Speaker 3: It's happening in places that you're seeing and you really
- 52:29Speaker 3: would expect, and then other places where you wouldn't as well.
- 52:32Speaker 3: And what we're trying to do and what President Biden
- 52:34Speaker 3: is trying to do is be very consistent, that he
- 52:38Speaker 3: is a capitalist from your great state of Delaware, but
- 52:44Speaker 3: that he is also intent on being the most pro-union
- 52:47Speaker 3: president in history because The more opportunities there are for organizing,
- 52:52Speaker 3: the more opportunities there are for collective bargaining, the more
- 52:57Speaker 3: opportunity we're going to create for families to have that
- 53:00Speaker 3: economic security, and that companies do well in those circumstances,
- 53:04Speaker 3: that you don't actually have to create a zero-sum trade-off.
- 53:08Speaker 3: So we're doing that in how we implement the infrastructure law.
- 53:11Speaker 3: We're doing that in terms of how we use federal
- 53:13Speaker 3: purchasing power and contracts, and how we how we implement
- 53:18Speaker 3: the law. The last thing I'll say really important, the
- 53:22Speaker 3: law of the land in the United States is not
- 53:24Speaker 3: to be neutral. The law of the United States is
- 53:27Speaker 3: that the administration is supposed to promote collective bargaining, encourage
- 53:32Speaker 3: collective bargaining. Now that's not require it, that's not intervene
- 53:36Speaker 3: in individual labor management disputes, but to encourage it, to
- 53:40Speaker 3: encourage that it is a affirmatively good thing if workers
- 53:44Speaker 3: have more of those opportunities in this economy, and that'll
- 53:47Speaker 3: continue to be a key part of his, the President's approach.
- 53:50Speaker 2: Brian Deese, thanks so much for joining us, and good
- 53:53Speaker 2: luck out there.
- 53:53Speaker 1: Thanks, Tim. Before we go, Donald Trump went one for
- 54:06Speaker 1: two in this week's Republican primaries. In West Virginia, Republican
- 54:10Speaker 1: Congressman Alex Mooney, endorsed by Trump, defeated Republican Congressman David McKinley.
- 54:15Speaker 1: endorsed by Joe Manchin, with 54.2% of the vote. Mooney
- 54:19Speaker 1: got Trump's endorsement after McKinley voted for the bipartisan infrastructure bill,
- 54:24Speaker 1: and the reason the two of them are running against
- 54:25Speaker 1: each other in a primary is because redistricting took one
- 54:28Speaker 1: seat away from West Virginia, so the two of them
- 54:31Speaker 1: had to run against each other. In Nebraska, Charles Herbster,
- 54:35Speaker 1: endorsed by Trump and accused of sexual assault by eight
- 54:37Speaker 1: different women, was defeated by Jim Pillen, who was endorsed
- 54:40Speaker 1: by outgoing Republican Governor Pete Ricketts. Dan, what, if anything,
- 54:46Speaker 1: And I emphasize, if anything, can we learn from these results?
- 54:50Speaker 2: Nothing.
- 54:51Speaker 1: There we go.
- 54:52Speaker 2: Nothing. I find the entire race-by-race measurements of Donald Trump's
- 55:02Speaker 2: strength based on these results to be so fucking stupid
- 55:04Speaker 2: and shallow, it's hard to take.
- 55:08Speaker 1: Here's why I think they're interesting. I think it matters
- 55:13Speaker 1: which Republicans win these primaries. Because I think the more extreme, look,
- 55:17Speaker 1: it's always a tough situation. The more extreme the Republican,
- 55:21Speaker 1: oftentimes in a competitive state or competitive district, the easier
- 55:27Speaker 1: time a Democrat may have to beat them in the
- 55:29Speaker 1: general election. Sometimes, not always, but sometimes. So it is
- 55:32Speaker 1: interesting to find out which of these Republicans actually win
- 55:35Speaker 1: the primary. I think that matters. Figuring out which one
- 55:39Speaker 1: wins as a test of Donald Trump's strength is not
- 55:42Speaker 1: as clear cut.
- 55:44Speaker 2: I mean, Donald Trump is the overwhelming favorite to be
- 55:46Speaker 2: the Republican nominee. He was the overwhelming favorite to be
- 55:48Speaker 2: the nominee before J.D. Vance won. He is still the
- 55:51Speaker 2: overwhelming favorite to be the Republican nominee after Charles Herbster loses.
- 55:56Speaker 2: Whatever happens in Pennsylvania next week, whether his candidate, Dr. Oz,
- 56:00Speaker 2: comes in first or third, it's not going to change
- 56:02Speaker 2: the dynamic. What is true is that all of these
- 56:08Speaker 2: candidates that are winning, whether Trump endorsed them or not.
- 56:11Speaker 2: Every candidate in this Pennsylvania primary, every candidate in that
- 56:14Speaker 2: Ohio primary are people who have the same MAGA extreme
- 56:21Speaker 2: philosophy as Trump. Like this is, it's not about Trump.
- 56:24Speaker 2: It's about Trump.
- 56:25Speaker 1: They all bent the knee.
- 56:26Speaker 2: Yeah. And it's like, but they didn't bend the knee
- 56:28Speaker 2: to Trump. That's where I think, like we make this
- 56:30Speaker 2: about Trump when it's, they bent the knee to an
- 56:34Speaker 2: extreme faction of the Republican party that happened to be
- 56:36Speaker 2: the extreme faction that picked Donald Trump to be the
- 56:39Speaker 2: Republican nominee in 2016. And that's the, where I think
- 56:42Speaker 2: this is a little bit backwards, like which one of
- 56:45Speaker 2: the MAGA lunatics wins the Ohio primary may make a
- 56:49Speaker 2: difference in terms of who is easier for a Democrat
- 56:51Speaker 2: to run against, but it doesn't tell you anything. All
- 56:54Speaker 2: it tells you is that MAGA extremism or ultra MAGA
- 56:57Speaker 2: as Biden would call it or whatever is that, that
- 57:00Speaker 2: is what, that is mainstream Republicanism now, right? That's the rule,
- 57:03Speaker 2: not the exception.
- 57:05Speaker 1: Is there a MAGA that's not Ultra? Like, I'm now
- 57:07Speaker 1: so confused. They're all just MAGA. MAGA is MAGA. It's bad.
- 57:12Speaker 2: Yeah, there is no, we're like, oh, he's just.
- 57:15Speaker 1: He's just regular MAGA. Who's regular MAGA? Who's regular MAGA,
- 57:19Speaker 1: but not ultra MAGA?
- 57:20Speaker 2: Well, I mean, I mean, I like is like, I
- 57:22Speaker 2: don't know.
- 57:23Speaker 1: It's like David McCormick, regular MAGA now. He's original strength.
- 57:26Speaker 2: He's original strength MAGA.
- 57:27Speaker 1: Original strength because he was married to, because he was
- 57:29Speaker 1: married to Rhino Dina Powell, you know, and so he's
- 57:32Speaker 1: a hedge fund guy. So he's just regular MAGA, even
- 57:34Speaker 1: though they worked, she worked in the administration. Who knows?
- 57:36Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 57:36Speaker 1: Trump did get one more non-primary related big win this week.
- 57:40Speaker 1: Elon Musk said that if when his deal to buy
- 57:42Speaker 1: Twitter goes through, he plans to reinstate Trump's account. It's happening, Dan.
- 57:47Speaker 1: And former Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, who is the one
- 57:50Speaker 1: who made the fucking decision to ban Trump in the
- 57:52Speaker 1: first place, said the ban was a mistake. That fucking guy.
- 57:57Speaker 1: What do you think? Trump's coming back.
- 58:01Speaker 2: I mean, we have had like a half... joking conversation,
- 58:06Speaker 2: both on this podcast, off this podcast about it's the
- 58:09Speaker 2: fact that it seems like Trump's ban from Twitter has
- 58:12Speaker 2: not hurt him and probably helped him. You know, it's been,
- 58:14Speaker 2: it's sort of like the cone they put around the
- 58:16Speaker 2: dog's neck to keep them from hurting themselves. His ability
- 58:20Speaker 2: to make himself look like an ass is dramatically restricted
- 58:24Speaker 2: without Twitter.
- 58:24Speaker 1: Because again, He's trying to scratch himself. He's trying his hardest.
- 58:28Speaker 1: He just can't get there.
- 58:29Speaker 2: And his crazy, overly long, poorly edited, insane statements just
- 58:34Speaker 2: get a fraction of the coverage a tweet would. That
- 58:39Speaker 2: fact says something not particularly, I think, complimentary about American
- 58:43Speaker 2: political media, that because it's not in Twitter, it's not news.
- 58:46Speaker 2: But I think ultimately the fact that Donald Trump used
- 58:50Speaker 2: Twitter to... incite a violent attack on the Capitol and
- 58:54Speaker 2: he's going to return to the platform kind of maybe
- 58:57Speaker 2: I think makes all of us reassess how we think
- 58:59Speaker 2: about dealing with the prevalence of hatred, violence, MAGA messaging, extremism, racism, homophobia. misogyny,
- 59:10Speaker 2: all of that on those platforms. Because basically since Donald
- 59:13Speaker 2: Trump came around, like the move of sort of the
- 59:16Speaker 2: progressive mainstream has been to try to pressure the platforms
- 59:20Speaker 2: and the networks to restrict, to move away from that speech, right? To,
- 59:26Speaker 2: you know, we're going to convince enough advertisers to take,
- 59:29Speaker 2: Tucker Carlson off the air. We're going to try to
- 59:32Speaker 2: get pressure Facebook to take Alex Jones down or YouTube
- 59:37Speaker 2: to take down other various conspiracy sites. And that's not
- 59:42Speaker 2: the wrong thing to do because these companies have rules.
- 59:46Speaker 2: And when they violate them to appease demagogues, they should
- 59:50Speaker 2: be under pressure for that if you're a company. Same
- 59:51Speaker 2: thing with companies, right? If you say you put out
- 59:53Speaker 2: a statement about diversity and then you donate to Ron
- 59:57Speaker 2: DeSantis' efforts to bully gay and trans kids. You should
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: be called out for that. But in the end, that
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: is a strategy that depends on billionaire tech moguls and
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: corporations having good faith in doing something out of the
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: goodness of their heart. And there's no precedent in history
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: that that is a strategy of success.
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: We either build the majorities and the power to regulate
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: them or we're just yelling into the void here at
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: this point. Like Elon, it's a private company. Elon Musk
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: is going to fucking do what he wants to do.
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: And it sucks. But like, just from, it's, it's more like, yeah,
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: should it happen? Should Donald Trump be allowed on Twitter? No,
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: of course not. But like, it's going to happen because
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: it's a private company. Elon Musk is going to like
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: do whatever the fuck he wants. The political fallout from that,
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: I would argue like you just did, is not necessarily
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: favorable to Donald Trump. He was kicked off Twitter and
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: he currently has his highest favorability rating of all time
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: right now. Absence makes the heart grow fonder. Maybe it's
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: just a coincidence. Maybe it's just coincidence, but why are
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: so many Republican strategists who are in competitive races all
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: across the country telling reporters that they're terrified of Trump
- 1:01:11Speaker 1: returning to Twitter?
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: So what I think is very much agreed that there
- 1:01:16Speaker 2: is a regulatory response to this that is, I think,
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: focus not on how you ban individual people because.
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: Yeah, you can't do that. That's not a realistic- We're.
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: Playing whack-a-mole, right? But there's a lot, and our former boss,
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: President Obama, talked about some of these in a speech
- 1:01:32Speaker 2: recently where it's like transparency from the companies on the algorithms,
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: some reforms to the Section 230 laws, all of that.
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: But I think the bigger thing, and that's the job
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: for Biden's FTC and elected enough senators to pass laws
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: and all of that. But I think from the progressive side,
- 1:01:46Speaker 2: instead of trying to muffle the right wing megaphone is
- 1:01:50Speaker 2: we have to build up our megaphone, right? Like that,
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: like instead of trying to like moderate, moderate their content,
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: amplify ours, create more of ours. Like we have to
- 1:01:59Speaker 2: match them pound for pound.
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: Don't quit and run away from Twitter. Stay on Twitter
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: and fight.
- 1:02:05Speaker 2: Also, also check out offline this week.
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: Yeah. Thank you. I didn't even, I should have even
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: spoken of speaking of offline, speaking of offline. You brought
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: up a story to talk about today that you said
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: you were sick of hearing about, and I hadn't even
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: heard a thing about it. So maybe offline is working
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: for me. This is the Rolling Stones story, apparently, that
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: early in Trump's presidency, he asked his national security team
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: if China had secret technology that would allow them to
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: create large man-made hurricanes and then launch them at the
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: United States. The first time I heard about this. Where
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: was I?
- 1:02:43Speaker 2: You were offline.
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: I was offline. I don't think I was off. I
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: think I'm doing too many podcasts maybe.
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: That is for sure.
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: That's a wild story. A hurricane gun. Maybe if he
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: was back on Twitter, we'd know this because he'd probably
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: comment on the hurricane gun. We'd all hear about it.
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: You wouldn't have to turn to America's most legendary music
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: magazine to read about gossip about the previous president.
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: One more development for Donald Trump that is also not
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: a win. This happened just as we were recording. Federal
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: prosecutors have begun a grand jury investigation into whether classified
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: White House documents that ended up at Donald Trump's Florida
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: home were mishandled. Breaking news. And, you know, my first
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: thought was, look, if a candidate who's running for president
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: is under federal investigation for potentially mishandling classified info, the
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: one thing we know for sure is that reporters everywhere
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: will be consumed with this story the entire race.
- 1:03:37Speaker 2: I mean, there is probably 50 New York Times reporters
- 1:03:41Speaker 2: right now Working on the story. I bet the editors
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: right now.
- 1:03:44Speaker 1: This is all Ken Vogel is going to talk about
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: and write about for the next two years.
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: I mean, right now they are trying to figure out
- 1:03:50Speaker 2: how to get that giant headline that will be exactly
- 1:03:53Speaker 2: the same size as the headline about Jim Comey's announcement
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: in October of 2016 atop the New York Times front
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: page for tomorrow. But look, I don't want to prejudge
- 1:04:04Speaker 2: an ongoing criminal investigation, but if classified documents ended up
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: at Mar-a-Lago, by definition, they were mishandled.
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: Seems mishandled. Doesn't seem like they just, uh-oh, the classified
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: documents got up and ran out of the White House
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: and ended up in Mar-a-Lago. It's an honest mistake.
- 1:04:20Speaker 2: Government regulators are looking into how samples of the Ebola
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: vaccine got in someone's home. Were they mishandled? Yes, they
- 1:04:27Speaker 2: were mishandled if they were in someone's home.
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: Also, another piece of breaking news. Apparently, the January 6th
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: committee just handed out subpoenas to Kevin McCarthy and some
- 1:04:36Speaker 1: of the Freedom Caucus members. loonies so that's something and
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: as we know from i'm sure they'll comply as we.
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: Know from impeachments one and two subpoenas are always enforceable
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: mechanisms with very quick results so.
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: Well we will be talking to the man who got
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: uh his hands on some audio tapes of kevin mccarthy
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: uh jonathan martin about his book his new book this
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: will not pass on monday's pod save america so how
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: about that that'll be exciting hopefully he saved some news
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: for us i'm sure he did Bring the tapes, J-Mart.
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: Bring the tapes. Bring other tapes. I want tapes that
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: people haven't heard yet on Monday's Pod Save America, J-Mart.
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: Let's do that. Thank you to Brian Deese for joining
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: us today. Thanks to all of you. Again, go to votesaveamerica.com
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: slash row to sign up and help out. Everyone have
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: a good weekend, and we'll see you next week.
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: Bye, everyone.
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. The executive
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: producer is Michael Martinez. Our senior producer is Andy Gardner Bernstein.
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: Our producer is Haley Muse, and Olivia Martinez is our
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: associate producer. It's mixed and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: Seglin and Charlotte Landis sound engineer the show. Thanks to
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: Tanya Sominator, Sandy Gerrard, Hallie Kiefer, Ari Schwartz, Andy Taft,
- 1:05:53Speaker 1: and Justine Howe for production support. And to our digital team,
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: Elijah Cohn, Phoebe Bradford, Milo Kim, and Amelia Montufe. Our
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: episodes are uploaded as videos at youtube.com slash crookedmedia.