Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 8 - 3/25/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 8 - 3/25/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:20
Hello and welcome to episode eight of the All Systems Go
0:25
Sports Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:34
Happy Monday. A new week begins, guys.
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We are entering the final week of March.
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Before you know it, we're going to have Major League Baseball
0:42
Opening Day coming up here on Thursday.
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Cannot wait for that. I've had a lot of people, by the
0:47
way, reach out to me asking about MLB.
0:50
When are you going to talk futures?
0:51
When are you going to talk about win totals?
0:52
Well, my style when it comes to win totals, Futures.
0:55
Trying to get a few plays in, basically to look at them as a
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bankroll builder, something that we can keep an eye on throughout
1:00
the year in terms of doing our homework, to bet these, but
1:04
also, you know, rooting for them throughout the season, you know,
1:06
kind of a vested interest in specific teams.
1:09
Well, I want to wait until as late as possible.
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So I want to let you guys know now that we're going to do win
1:13
total Wednesday for Major League Baseball upcoming this
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Wednesday, which is the 27th of March.
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Then of course, opening day is on Thursday.
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But again, I want to wait for injuries, the dust to settle.
1:23
I also want to wait for late money to come in and pick a side
1:27
here in terms of, you know, obviously we're looking at
1:30
already throughout the, you know, the early part of the
1:32
offseason or through the offseason into, you know,
1:35
through most of the spring training here.
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But I want to wait and get one last batch of data so we can
1:39
find out where the bets and dollars are for these win
1:41
totals. Again look out for injuries even
1:43
up Jordan Montgomery a guy like that who still hasn't signed
1:46
with anybody. So Long story short for all you
1:48
seam heads out there, which I am one of them who loved to bet
1:51
baseball and grinded all year long.
1:52
Just want to let you know that on Wednesday we'll have win
1:54
total Wednesday unveil all of our full portfolio of plays
1:59
going into game one of the regular season coming up on
2:02
Thursday. So get ready we will talk
2:04
baseball. Secondly, how was your weekend?
2:07
Well to be honest with you guys for data-driven sharp contrarian
2:11
betters like us, it was not a good weekend.
2:13
In fact it was one of the worst weekends that you're ever going
2:16
to experience in March Madness because we had something that
2:19
just never happens. I mean if you look at
2:22
historically the Long story short, it was chalk, chalk,
2:25
chalk, chalk, chalk, chalk, chalk, chalk, chalk and more
2:28
chalk and more chalk. You never see this.
2:30
But the fact that in round two favorites went 15 and one
2:35
straight up, they went 11 and five against the spread, I mean,
2:38
Saturday of course was just just the coup de grace talking about
2:41
a bloodbath and not things not going your way.
2:44
I mean, this was something that you very rarely run into in
2:47
terms of don't think about the games, don't have to break them
2:50
down, don't have to look at line movement percentages, Just take
2:52
every favorite late with every popular favorite and pretty much
2:56
every single one. Well there's money line parlays
2:59
whether it was just covering numbers in general.
3:01
It was something that you really never see.
3:03
So Haley's Comet, an aberration. I just want everyone to know
3:07
that things like that. You know, betting to me, guys,
3:11
just when you think you know everything about betting,
3:13
betting will slap you in the face and say you still got a lot
3:15
to learn, got a lot to learn. So it's just in terms of looking
3:19
at on Saturday in particular like you know I dating to start
3:21
the day went from plus 10 all the way to 8 1/2.
3:24
I got a nine and a half. They had an opportunity there to
3:26
score late, cover the number, they turn it over, lose by 8.
3:30
You know, Kansas, Michigan State.
3:31
Both were super sharp public on their opponents, yet their lines
3:34
moved in their favor. You know, Michigan State is up
3:37
to a huge lead, then they get blown out.
3:39
Kansas had a lead at halftime, then they get blown out.
3:41
But of all the games this weekend, Oregon was the absolute
3:45
worst because I had Oregon and the points there against
3:49
Creighton. And what happened?
3:51
They went to overtime. Well, they go to do double
3:53
overtime, end up getting rolled. And you could see Cousnard was a
3:57
really good point guard. They're pretty much their entire
3:59
team ran out of gas, they had nothing left in terms of their
4:01
legs. And what happens, Creighton ends
4:04
up covering the number. So it was just one of those
4:06
crazy, crazy times where you really don't tend to see this
4:09
very often in sports betting. And I think we take a step back.
4:12
We got to say, hey, it was a terrible weekend for contrarian
4:15
betters because every public favorite covered pretty much
4:18
every single one. It was a bad weekend for sharps
4:21
and wise guys because again, the public feasted and the sharp
4:24
line moves didn't come through. And it was a terrible weekend
4:27
for guess who the sports books. You saw a bunch of quotes from a
4:30
couple different, or at least people that I was seeing on
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Twitter getting notes from a lot of sports book directors and
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they're saying that was the worst weekend of the year again.
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And no one's going to cry for the sports books because the
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lights still turn on the next day and they make money hand
4:42
over fist. But just goes to show you that
4:45
if you had a bad weekend, if the sharp plays didn't come through,
4:48
which they didn't, if the contrarian plays didn't come
4:50
through, which they didn't, you're not alone.
4:52
Don't get frustrated. And also don't let this change
4:55
the way you approach betting like you know, think of it this
4:58
way. If it was as easy as taking
5:00
every popular favorite, you know, odds makers, the you know,
5:03
the books, they'd go bankrupt. You know, average Joes would
5:06
quit their day jobs, bet full time and become millionaires.
5:08
That doesn't happen long term. You may get something crazy like
5:11
a weekend we we just had with all these chalk favorites
5:14
covering, but it's not something that is sustainable long term.
5:17
So the public had pretty much their greatest weekend and and
5:20
and the longest time that I can remember at least.
5:23
But don't let that discourage you.
5:24
We did see a little bit of maybe some turn around yesterday.
5:28
I know favorites continue to win outright, but you did have at
5:31
least a fade. The trendy dog play with Duke
5:33
coming through. They cover the number they were
5:36
laying what 6 1/2 and they were only getting 30% of bets.
5:38
At least one contrarian play came through.
5:40
You did at least see Clemson. I don't know if anyone took 4
5:43
1/2 with Clemson, but they were kind of a sharp line freeze.
5:45
And the one that actually came through which was a blueprint
5:47
play was Texas A&M public all over Houston.
5:50
But A&M fell plus 10 down to what, 9 1/2 or 9 ends up going
5:55
to overtime. They actually, you know, could
5:56
have won that game. Crazy 3 pointer there to force
5:59
overtime. But they end up covering that
6:00
number. So Long story short guys, that
6:02
is a weekend that I want to forget.
6:04
And at one point, at some point it becomes comical, like when I
6:07
was going, you know, O and three with my plays and then we had
6:11
the last play of the night with Oregon.
6:12
Even when Oregon was up, I was like, no, they'll find a way to
6:15
screw me today. That's just the way things are
6:16
going. And of course what happens, they
6:18
find a way to screw you. But again, this is what I think
6:20
is so important about sports betting, especially on, you
6:23
know, this podcast, the All Systems Go Pod.
6:25
You know, pull up a chair to the virtual bar.
6:27
We talk sports betting, we talk sharp plays.
6:29
But you also got a really kind of factor in the mental side of
6:32
sports betting, because sports betting will frustrate you like
6:35
no other. You cap a game perfectly, team
6:37
gets blown out. You spend all your time breaking
6:39
out a game. The two second cap from the
6:41
public lay the points of the favorites, 'cause they're
6:44
awesome. That wins.
6:45
You get frustrated. You get annoyed.
6:48
You feel like hey, you know, you know the gambling gods are
6:50
against you. What's going on?
6:51
Why? Why is this so frustrating and
6:53
so difficult? Let me just tell you it's a
6:56
forest amongst the trees. It's a storm that's going to
6:58
pass. You just got to continue to
6:59
grind. And of course another thing I
7:01
always think is important is bankroll management.
7:03
So if you had a bad, you know, weekend, you know, This is why
7:07
we always flat bet. We're always betting to risk,
7:09
not betting to win. We're risking 1 unit.
7:11
We're not doubling down and getting pissed off and tripling
7:14
down and and chasing no, no, no. It's always flatbedting bankroll
7:17
management and it's it's knowing that hey, as bad as this weekend
7:20
was where probably your your drunk buddies at the bar had
7:23
their greatest weekend ever because it was just the obvious
7:26
plays all came through. Remember, that doesn't happen
7:29
very often. This is just an incredible
7:31
aberration and and just a ridiculous you know, weird kind
7:35
of thing that just happened. So it is not a long term
7:38
sustainable endeavour to go public favorites all the time.
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In fact, you actually want to be against that long term, but in a
7:44
small sample size. In one weekend the public had it
7:47
had a great weekend. So tip we tip our cap to the
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public. We tip our cap to our neighbor
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who just had a good weekend. I bet every chalk, favorite and
7:55
money line parlayed them. Or drunk guy at the bar who made
7:59
a lot of money this weekend. But remember, it's not going to
8:01
last. We got to continue to grind and
8:03
when, when, when, when you're going through hell, keep going.
8:06
That's one of my favorite quotes from Winston Churchill.
8:09
Also, scared money don't make no money.
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Just because things you know didn't go our way this weekend
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doesn't mean that you lay off when you see a sharp move, you
8:16
just stick with it, grind with that thing.
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It's one of the hardest parts of sports betting is that when
8:20
things are frustrating, when it when you feel like the losses
8:22
are piling up, you can't give in.
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You can't quit. It's as hard as it sounds and
8:27
it's it's much it's not as hard as it's not as easy as it sounds
8:30
basically. But basically but you got to
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just stick with it. Even keeled grinding, flat
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bedding playing the system matches and again the storm will
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fade. So just want to address that
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because I, like you guys, had one of my worst, you know,
8:41
college basketball. It actually was the worst
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college basketball weekend of the year.
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And it's just a weird, crazy thing happened where every
8:47
public favorite came through. And here's the other thing, you
8:50
know, we, you know, us in our style, data-driven, sharp
8:53
contrarian betting. We had a bad weekend, but the
8:55
sports books did too. And the sports books are not in
8:58
the business of consistently losing.
9:00
They're in the business of consistently making money.
9:02
So just remember, you know, the storm's going to fade.
9:04
It's going to pass. We're going to get back to our
9:06
winning ways. But that was just one crazy
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weekend where at one point you're mad, you're frustrated,
9:11
you're pissed off, and then you just laugh.
9:12
It's like, this is ridiculous. But anyway, we're going to
9:15
continue to grind and we're going to, we're going to have a
9:17
winning day here today, guys. So anyway, I just want to
9:20
address that because it was a ridiculous weekend overall, but
9:23
I have a three pack of sweats for you today, guys.
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So we don't have any college basketball in terms of March
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Madness, but we do have some CIB or yeah, the CIB and the CIT in
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terms of these other conferences that we can get down on.
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So I do have a A play on a total in college basketball here for
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today. I also have a NHL bet for you
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and an NBA bet for you as well. It's a little 3 pack here.
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Soon we can go two out of three and then have a winning day.
9:47
That is the goal. But before we dive in our sweats
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here guys real quick, if you aren't looking to support the
9:53
Pod, I would love it if you could give the Pod five stars on
9:56
Spotify or iTunes or whatever platform you listen to.
9:59
The All Systems Go Pod. Also if you want to give us a
10:01
follow on Twitter at under score ASG under score Podcast that
10:06
would mean a lot as we continue to rise up the rankings here
10:09
which is great to see. So I want to thank you all for
10:11
tuning in once again so hope everyone had a good weekend.
10:14
You know the only positive of the weekend was Rose Namajunas
10:16
and the UFC biting as Rose was a great day driven play and came
10:20
through. So luckily if Rose Namajunas
10:22
lost then it would have been like you know, quit betting
10:24
forever. It's just it's it's not your
10:26
thing. But Nope, we keep grinding and
10:28
Rose did come through. So at least there was a glimmer
10:30
of light and a very dark, disgusting weekend of of of just
10:35
bad beats and and bad, bad public winners left and right.
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But anyway, let's start with because we're going to put the
10:40
weekend behind us. Here's the thing.
10:41
Next bet mentality. Next play up, next play, next
10:45
bet, whatever it may be. You can't change the past, but
10:47
you can put it behind you and have a positive attitude and be
10:51
happy to wake up and get right back into the arena and post a
10:55
winning day. Because that's why sports
10:57
betting to me is challenging. You know, it's challenging.
11:00
It's hard to win when you're when you're down.
11:02
It's hard to stay positive and and attack the day with a, you
11:05
know, clear and positive mindset And when you're winning
11:08
everything's easy. But again it's when you're
11:10
losing that I think you learn a lot about yourself as a better.
11:12
So with a one of the worst losing weekends of the of the
11:15
year here that we just experienced, we got to keep that
11:18
positive, you know, disciplined approach here and mindset.
11:22
So let's see if we can have a winning day here today.
11:24
But that being said, let's go to some college basketball now.
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There's only 5 bets here today. None of them are on March
11:30
Madness. Don't worry, we'll talk March
11:31
Madness games out later in the week or monitor them throughout
11:34
the the week here, but they come back on Thursday.
11:37
But anyway, there's one game that caught my eye and it is the
11:39
last game of the night. It's 7:30 PM Eastern Time and
11:42
this is the CBI. So this obviously is one of your
11:44
smaller tournaments here, less. The stakes aren't quite as high
11:48
of course as March Madness or not even close, but it's
11:50
basketball we can bet on and we can take advantage of.
11:53
So one angle that I found for the 7:30 PM Eastern Time game in
11:57
the CBI quarterfinals is Evansville and Seattle going
12:00
over some on the over Evansville, Seattle over 141
12:05
1/2. Now first thing I noticed is
12:07
we've seen some smart money hit this over now the overs only
12:10
getting a little more than half the tickets but almost 2/3 of
12:13
the dollars. So little low bets, higher
12:15
dollars bet split. Also, you know, these games are
12:18
pretty low bet, so you don't really have a lot of public
12:20
interest in these, you know, small matchups.
12:22
And you know, basically the public says, hey, why am I going
12:25
to bet CBICIT and IT even when I can just wait for March Madness,
12:29
Like I don't want to mess around with these smaller games that
12:32
are that are, you know, not as sexy, not as popular.
12:34
But remember, we can approach these games from the same
12:36
mindset that we had throughout the year in terms of the obscure
12:38
sharp line move. So Evansville, Seattle, again,
12:41
it's not a game that anyone is very interested in betting here
12:43
tonight. It's a very low ticket count,
12:45
but we didn't see this total rise open at 1:40.
12:48
Some bet up to 141 1/2. We have that pretty good bet
12:51
split, just a little more than more than half the tickets, but
12:53
2/3 of the money. So the market's moving up.
12:56
We also have Ken Palm now he has a final score or a final total
13:00
here of 140. He's got what, 7367 games.
13:03
So he's right on the number wouldn't be a Ken Palm edge.
13:05
But here's what I'm going to look for in terms of this over.
13:08
We mentioned how the market is moving up so tells me smart
13:10
money hit the over. Then of course, you know we have
13:13
the good bet split. But if you look at in particular
13:15
guys, CBI totals, I don't know what it is about the CBI.
13:19
It's neutral courts. But maybe because it's the
13:21
lesser tournament, they don't care as much about locking in on
13:24
defense. But CBI overs are five and two
13:27
so far this postseason, and they're 49 and 28 since 2017,
13:32
64%. So this is something that I've
13:34
played the last few years here in terms of these totals.
13:37
And I, you know, NIT you have true home games so you lean on a
13:39
lot of home favorites. But CBI for whatever reason, I
13:42
can't quite put my finger on it. Why?
13:44
Again, maybe it's just the the lack of, you know, just effort
13:47
on defense because these games aren't that meaningful.
13:49
But for whatever reason you see these totals really, really get
13:53
hammered to the over again. Five and two this year to the
13:56
over 64% to the over since 2017. So that would match for this CBI
14:01
over. Also, both teams are pretty good
14:03
at shooting their free throws 73%.
14:05
They're also pretty good 3 point shooters, 34% and also if you
14:09
look at effective field goal percentage, they're both around
14:11
50%. So both teams are pretty decent
14:13
in terms of, you know, free throws, 3 pointers and from the
14:17
field. Evansville is 175th in defensive
14:20
efficiency, Seattle is 73rd in offensive efficiency.
14:23
So in a game that doesn't mean a ton, it's a low bet game.
14:26
It's technically your prime time game of the night, but we've
14:29
seen the total rise. We have a pretty good bet split
14:31
to the over. We have ACBI edge on overs in
14:34
general. We have two good shooting teams
14:36
and we have you know one in particular, one really good
14:39
offense with Seattle. One bad defense with Evansville
14:42
which is why you see Seattle here favored by 8.
14:44
But yeah it all up here guys. I noticed this like overnight
14:47
early morning move to the over. There's been no buy back.
14:50
I keep looking at my CBI over system match and this will be
14:52
your top one here tonight. Evansville and Seattle.
14:55
So I'm taking a chance on the over Evansville, Seattle.
14:58
I got over 141 1/2. Keep on cruising now let's go
15:04
over to the NHL. We got one NHL bet for you
15:06
tonight guys. We're going to go to a big match
15:08
up here 8:00 VGK and the Saint Louis Blues.
15:12
Now one thing I notice here right off the bat is a juiced up
15:17
over opportunity. So I'm on over 6 Saint Louis and
15:20
VGKI got over six at some you may get a -, 110.
15:24
Mostly it's -115 -, 1 twenties out there for a couple reasons
15:28
like this over. Number one is that it's juiced
15:31
up. Over.
15:31
So what does that mean? That means that at every book
15:33
that you're looking at on your live odds page, they're all in
15:35
agreement. They're all juiced up in One
15:37
Direction over -115. Basically to this over, I do see
15:42
one shop that's at 6 1/2. So maybe you even see a couple
15:45
books get up to 6 1/2. It wasn't 6 1/2 down to six, it
15:49
was six juiced up over and one book went to 6 1/2.
15:51
And you'll see them play this game where they'll juice up the
15:53
over six and then 6 1/2 will be really juiced up under like
15:56
-130. But anyway pretty good bets
15:58
split to the over. VGK and Saint Louis 70% bets,
16:02
but 80% of the money is on the over.
16:05
I also get both offensive and defensively.
16:08
We have two teams that can score.
16:09
VGK is averaging 3.2 goals a game versus 3 for Saint Louis,
16:13
and you also have VGKA little bit better defensively, but they
16:16
haven't been great. They're 2.9 goals per game
16:18
allowed on the season and you have Saint Louis giving up three
16:22
goals per game, both teams decent power plays, not very
16:26
good, or at least I think it was.
16:27
Saint Louis in particular, not very good penalty kill, but I'm
16:30
also going to look at the goaltenders here, so that's
16:32
really important to me With the goalies now, Thompson is going
16:35
to be in net for VGK. He is.
16:38
He's got a 2.7, seven goals against average this year, nine
16:41
O 5 save percentage, but in his lat in his four March starts,
16:45
he's got an goals against of 3.1.
16:47
She's been a little bit worse here in the month of March and
16:49
then in particular Jordan Bennington, who is between the
16:52
pipes for Saint Louis. He has a 2.85 goals against and
16:57
a nine twelve save percentage and he's given up eight goals in
16:59
his last two games. So Bennington gave up four goals
17:02
to Minnesota, four goals to Colorado.
17:05
So Bennington is is prone to putting in giving up some goals.
17:08
So is Thompson. We also have Jack Eichel, who is
17:11
back for VGK, so that's another offensive weapon that is in the
17:15
lineup for the Vegas Golden Knights.
17:17
And you also get Petrangelo, He's banged up.
17:19
He's not going to play for VGK and he is one of your best
17:22
defensive, you know, it's pretty good, all just a good all around
17:25
player. But defensively he is a hit to
17:28
the line up. So you don't have a good
17:29
defenseman out there. So at all up here guys, there's
17:32
only two games in the NHL. We have a juiced up over six.
17:35
Every book is over 6 -, 115 liability over good bet split,
17:39
pretty good offenses, not the greatest defenses and we have
17:42
some porous goaltenders here. So I'm looking for a four to
17:45
three-game. You guys know the drill over 6.
17:48
You know can we get a three to three-game going into overtime,
17:51
guaranteed a fourth goal and cash the over that is the goal.
17:54
But I like this juiced up over. I like this bat split and again
17:59
goaltender matchup. Hopefully both can put up or
18:01
given some goals here today. So I'm going VGK and Saint Louis
18:05
over six at -115. Then last bit of the night guys,
18:10
this is going to be a late night game here.
18:12
But I kept you know just just kind of like I kept looking at
18:16
it. I kept saying, you know what's
18:17
going on here and the more I looked at it, the more I liked
18:20
it. So 10:00 game, Philadelphia
18:22
76ers and the Sacramento Kings. So this is kind of a larger
18:26
spread here with the Kings. The Kings are favored by 9.
18:29
Now this is the second leg of a back-to-back for the 76ers.
18:32
76ers did play yesterday, actually had a win over the
18:36
Clippers 121 to one O 7. But where I'm going here, guys,
18:40
is the OVA. I'm going over 222.
18:42
Looking for some points here. First thing that jumped out to
18:44
me is a really sharp line move to the over 76ers and King and
18:49
and kings. This total opened around 2/19,
18:53
2:20 and then we immediately saw this line get up to 221.
18:57
And then the big thing for me was 222.
18:59
And now some shops are 222 / -, 115.
19:03
So does it get to 222 1/2? You know, we'll have to see.
19:06
But it's definitely trending in that direction and there's
19:08
really been no buyback whatsoever on the under.
19:10
It's just been all over over over over moves.
19:14
So then I take a look at the bet split.
19:15
So I'm saying, hey we got a big steam move to this king.
19:18
Sixers over 219 and a half 220 up to 222 bet split jumped out
19:22
to me 66% of bets, but 93% of the money is on the 76ers kings
19:28
over. So that tells me only you know
19:30
2/3 of bets which would be quote UN quote public but 93% of the
19:33
money. It's not just public looks like
19:35
looks like wise guys are expecting this over here as well
19:38
and maybe you get a tired legs over.
19:40
Maybe that's the angle because again Sixers did play last
19:42
night. Kings have only had one day off
19:44
so they were off last night, played the night before but
19:47
typically you know second leg go back-to-back both games, both
19:50
team, two teams are tired. Usually the first thing that you
19:54
lose when you're tired is playing defense.
19:56
So that's why tired legs typically are beneficial 2 and
19:59
over. But also looking at the referees
20:02
all three refs are really good over refs Brent Bernanke.
20:05
Courtney Kirkland. Moussa Daher.
20:07
They're all between, I guess, Kirkland's more 5050, but in
20:11
particular Bernanke and Daher. Around 50 to 54%, on to the
20:15
over. So hopefully we get a lot of
20:16
whistles, a lot of free throws and make our free throws.
20:19
Also, you look at both teams in terms of pace.
20:22
Philly's 18th. Not the fastest, at least
20:24
they're not down to the bottom of the league, but Sacramento's
20:26
12th, so pretty good pace. Pace is a good thing for an
20:29
over. You know more, more, you know,
20:31
back and forth, more possessions, more opportunities
20:34
to score. Then you dig in a little bit
20:35
more. Offensive efficiency.
20:37
They're both Top 14. Philly is 14th, Sacramento is
20:40
12th, and you look at Sacramento defensively their 20th in
20:44
defensive efficiency. So they're kind of down toward
20:46
the bottom of the list in terms of defense.
20:48
And then lastly in terms of a system match, non conference
20:51
overs in a particular non conference overs that rise, it's
20:54
been about 56% the last few seasons, but two teams from two
20:57
different conferences, you don't match up very often, you don't
21:00
play each other very often. So it's only you know one or two
21:02
times a year. So with that being said, you
21:05
really don't know your opponent, which means you don't know how
21:07
to match up defensively, which means that is a benefit to the
21:10
offense. So again it's back-to-back for
21:12
the Sixers, which again you worry about here.
21:15
But lines kind of remain frozen at 9 most shops.
21:18
You know Open Kings 9 pretty much stayed nine.
21:20
I guess some shops got to 9 1/2 at one point came back down.
21:24
But we are seeing just consistent movement to the over
21:26
with no buy back. So I'm looking for 223 or more
21:30
in terms of total points, guys. I'm going 76ers in Kings over
21:35
222. So how about does it four?
21:39
A very impromptu I guess or just a regular kind of a sleepy
21:42
Monday edition here episode eight of the all Systems Go pod.
21:45
I can tell you that I'm also a little bit banged up because I
21:49
went to The MGM Springfield with my boys with my best friends
21:53
Lars Fed Richie and Devin and we got a suite at The MGM
21:56
Springfield and we bet on the games.
21:58
And now the greatest luck betting on our games.
22:00
Had a couple hits, did have Duke, did have Texas A&M.
22:03
But we actually, it was funny. We on our way back to the room
22:08
at the end of the night we all had 100 bucks.
22:11
We went to the roulette table and we all said hey let's do one
22:14
on black, put 100 bucks on black.
22:16
Guess what it hit. So I won 100 bucks on my
22:18
roulette. So that was my highlight of the
22:20
trip there. But it was a lot of fun just
22:22
getting together with the boys because as we're getting older
22:26
and we're all 36 we all grew up together.
22:28
You don't get to hang out as much and you got wives, got
22:30
kids, busy lives. So it was great to hang out with
22:33
my buddies again and again. The bets weren't the greatest
22:36
because that's just the way it's been going here recently with
22:38
college basketball. But it was great times and did
22:42
hit the the black on roulette so I will take that.
22:44
But anyway, guys, if you enjoy the all systems go pod and these
22:48
breakdowns that I provide in terms of looking at games from a
22:51
data-driven, sharp contrary angle.
22:53
And if you want to learn more about sports betting and how to
22:56
approach the betting market like Wall Street traders approach the
22:58
stock market, or if you just think I'm a decent guy, you want
23:01
to make my day, let me know. You appreciate the hard work
23:03
that I that I put in grinding in the arena each day.
23:05
There's something I would like to ask you.
23:07
Go buy my book. I guess that's a demand.
23:09
How about this? Can you go buy my book?
23:10
Will you go buy my book? Because it's got everything I
23:13
learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
23:15
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
23:17
action, how to place a bet in person or online.
23:20
How to shop for the best line. How to set up a bankroll
23:22
management full chapter on that. How about MLB again, We'll have
23:26
our win total Wednesday coming up here.
23:28
So make sure he listens to listen to Wednesday's pod
23:31
because I've actually added one more win toll since we last
23:33
talked. I'm still holding the the the
23:36
Arizona D backs over 83 1/2. There's one more team that I
23:39
just took the over on recently. So I'll have you tell you what
23:41
that is and then also maybe I'll have some Flyers on some awards
23:45
as well. But either way guys, you want to
23:47
learn more about betting. It's all my book.
23:48
So if you want to pick up a copy and go to Amazon.com and type in
23:52
the Everything Guide to Sports betting, it would really mean a
23:54
lot to me. Guys, how bad about does it
23:56
another pod here in the books on a Monday?
23:58
What do you think, guys? Can we have this insane run of
24:02
public chalk favorites? Can can that come to an end?
24:05
Really? It's starting to get frustrating
24:06
again. It'll pass.
24:07
But man, a weekend like that where all dogs get taken in the
24:10
woodshed and all the obvious public drunk guy at the bar.
24:13
Favorites cover sports betting. It'll make you laugh, it'll make
24:16
you smile, it'll give you ecstasy, it'll make you cry.
24:18
So just one of those weekends that we got to just kind of put
24:22
behind us but continue to grind and continue to profit here.
24:25
So my parting words as always as we finish up the pod here, stay
24:29
sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the public, place
24:32
yourself on the side of the house, always be with the smart
24:34
money, never against it. And of course we'll every smart
24:37
money play win. Of course not, because betting's
24:39
hard. Crazy things happen like this
24:41
weekend with with all chalk favorites.
24:43
But here's the thing, guys. Always remember, as bad as it
24:45
may be in the moment, we're playing the long game.
24:48
We're going to bet thousands, 10s of thousands of bets over
24:50
the course of our lives. Hopefully we all have long lives
24:53
where we can bet on sports and let us bet in the afterlife, but
24:56
a bad weekend doesn't change that.
24:58
The fact that long term, being against the public, with the
25:00
house, with the pros, that's going to be the successful
25:02
strategy to become a or to become and stay winning better
25:06
over the course of long haul. So always keep that in mind.
25:09
I also want to mention of course and and the pod with the fact
25:11
that hey, this pod is powered by rhythm and rhythm is freaking
25:14
awesome. Rhythm is the ultimate AI sports
25:17
betting out for data, back picks and props about A lot of you
25:20
people, guys and gals reach out to me.
25:22
Since James and I did the live stream for the opening round of
25:25
March Madness. A lot of people are enjoying
25:26
rhythm, creating their own models, following the rhythm AI
25:29
back models. I just want to let you guys know
25:31
that if you haven't yet tried out rhythm, go do it right now.
25:34
You can sign up for a free seven day trial, create your own
25:37
models, test the systems, have some fun.
25:39
A lot of player props in the NBA of course, and if you want to
25:42
give it a shot, all you have to do is go to the top of my
25:45
Twitter page. You can follow me at Josh under
25:47
Score Insights, but top of my page, or the top of the ASG Pod
25:51
page at under score ASG under score Podcast, there's going to
25:54
be a little link. It's going to be it's going to
25:56
say rhythm.com/custom. Click that sign up for that free
25:59
trial. Then they'll know that I
26:01
referred you and got you into rhythm, which is very important
26:04
here. But give it a shot, especially
26:06
with maybe some some FOMO or missing Maybe.
26:09
Maybe you'd never want to see another March Madness game
26:11
again. Or maybe you can't wait for
26:13
March Madness and like, what do I do until Thursday?
26:15
Either way, hopefully Rhythm can help you cash some bets in
26:18
college, in the NBA and the NBA from now until then.
26:21
But either way, guys, hope you had a great weekend.
26:23
Maybe the bets didn't weren't the best, but hopefully you're
26:26
enjoying the nicer weather, had a good time.
26:28
And of course, we're going to be back at it tomorrow for episode
26:31
nine of the All Systems Gopod. But that's it for me.
26:33
Guys, I will talk to you soon. Have a great Monday.
26:37
It's a big night in the Applebaum household.
26:38
Do you know why? Because Bachelor.
26:41
Yes, I'm one of those losers that watches The Bachelor.
26:43
Me and The Wife love it. And we have.
26:46
We're down to the final two. So who's Joey going to pick?
26:48
I don't know. I think it's -120.
26:50
The blonde girl, the Midwestern blonde girl.
26:52
But anyway, enjoy the sweats, guys.
26:54
Have a great Monday. We back at it tomorrow.
26:56
Thank you for listening to the All Systems Go Sports Betting
26:58
Podcast, Powered by Rhythm.