Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Hottest Crypto Investment Trends For 2026🔥INTERVIEW Hartmann Capital
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Let's get into twenty twenty six crypto trends. What are they,
- 0:03Speaker 1: what's not I'll break it down for you. It's going
- 0:05Speaker 1: to be a good one. Let's get started today, and
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- 0:31Speaker 1: It does help us out. Let's get into it today.
- 0:33Speaker 1: This is the first time back in the studio. For
- 0:36Speaker 1: about a week we were out. I was doing some
- 0:39Speaker 1: home stuff and of course I want to get into
- 0:41Speaker 1: the trends this year that could be brewing. And today
- 0:44Speaker 1: I wanted to showcase Haartman Capital. This is a company
- 0:47Speaker 1: that we've looked at before and a little bit about
- 0:50Speaker 1: where they are going in terms of how people are
- 0:54Speaker 1: actually making money in I won't say crypto about early
- 0:57Speaker 1: stage tech, which Crypto is a big part of well
- 1:00Speaker 1: how are you Felix?
- 1:02Speaker 2: Hey, Paul, thanks, thank you for having me and happy
- 1:04Speaker 2: New Year's.
- 1:04Speaker 1: Yes, thank you.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Hey.
- 1:05Speaker 1: Listen, you're the first guest this year in twenty twenty six,
- 1:09Speaker 1: so you have started the roster off right.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Tell us lank lad of topics to choose from? Amazing?
- 1:14Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure, we're gonna have a lot of good
- 1:15Speaker 1: stuff here to talk about. Let's get into a few
- 1:18Speaker 1: points on and that is a couple of things that
- 1:21Speaker 1: you have been doing in terms of apartment capital, changing
- 1:25Speaker 1: your strategy up a little bit since we last spoke.
- 1:27Speaker 1: I think it's probably been eighteen months. What is going
- 1:30Speaker 1: on with you guys now in terms of your portfolio.
- 1:33Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll give you this sixty second spiel of like
- 1:35Speaker 2: you know, how the everything emerged. You know, we started
- 1:37Speaker 2: a good the hedge fund and since twenty eighteen, and
- 1:41Speaker 2: as you remember, because this was a big theme for you,
- 1:43Speaker 2: the metaverse became very big in twenty twenty one. In crypto,
- 1:46Speaker 2: we looked at the metaverse, but the Web three metaverse
- 1:48Speaker 2: was a lot of smoke and mirrors that I called
- 1:50Speaker 2: bullshit on essentially at the time, like the Virtual Land
- 1:52Speaker 2: sales and so forth, and we said the real metaverse
- 1:55Speaker 2: is things like ropeblocks, Fortnite, Minecraft, virtual reality, and so
- 1:59Speaker 2: first bench Fund leans really deeply into VR and gaming
- 2:03Speaker 2: and these open virtual worlds, but it had to come
- 2:06Speaker 2: from a user first perspective, not just let's slap a
- 2:10Speaker 2: token and let's slap a plucch on it. Right, we're
- 2:12Speaker 2: now on front two of the bench Fund. We're really
- 2:14Speaker 2: like leaning in on saying, how can we use technology
- 2:17Speaker 2: to essentially enhance humans? How do we become better for
- 2:20Speaker 2: us small or stronger, better, and also make sure that
- 2:24Speaker 2: we as humans don't become the bottom leg to AI.
- 2:26Speaker 2: So that means how do we enhance ourselves, whether that's
- 2:28Speaker 2: with brain computer interfaces, whether that's with smart classes, whether
- 2:32Speaker 2: that is with genetic editing, whether that's with robotics, that's
- 2:35Speaker 2: with AI. And so that's been very much our focus
- 2:38Speaker 2: on the early stage tech investing front going into twenty
- 2:41Speaker 2: six to twenty seven.
- 2:42Speaker 1: That's bleeding edge tech right now. Obviously Cees coming up
- 2:45Speaker 1: this week, there'll probably be a lot of AI integration.
- 2:49Speaker 1: We'll most likely see some blockchain components that are.
- 2:52Speaker 2: Applied to that.
- 2:52Speaker 1: We'll talk about AI agents today but before we head
- 2:56Speaker 1: in that direction, are you guys holding any cryptotokens right
- 2:59Speaker 1: now as or is it just all VC equity?
- 3:03Speaker 2: So in the VC funds, we don't hold crypto. I
- 3:05Speaker 2: mean our venture fund one make crypto investments, and like
- 3:08Speaker 2: we had some big winners Foxamp. We were the first
- 3:10Speaker 2: investor in Cookie three, which is a company out of
- 3:14Speaker 2: the AI agent meta. And you know that one even
- 3:17Speaker 2: now after the bear market is still ten x up
- 3:20Speaker 2: or a peak it was one hundred x skain actually,
- 3:22Speaker 2: so that was one of the big winners out of
- 3:23Speaker 2: the AI agent theme that we made from Fund one.
- 3:26Speaker 2: But we still have the Crypto Hedge fund, and so
- 3:27Speaker 2: with the Crypto Hedge fund, you know, we are particularly
- 3:30Speaker 2: focused around everything from real world assets. DeFi the real
- 3:35Speaker 2: question is you know what can make money? Because I
- 3:37Speaker 2: think the you know, the cats out the box people
- 3:39Speaker 2: have realizing that, look, you cannot just guarantee the kind
- 3:44Speaker 2: of returns we saw on twenty seventeen and twenty one.
- 3:47Speaker 2: I think got trained almost to see that crypto is
- 3:49Speaker 2: their their escape hatch. You know, it's the aboat off
- 3:52Speaker 2: the island, where like that's how they can make it big. Right,
- 3:55Speaker 2: But it was not for a lot of people. Wasn't
- 3:57Speaker 2: founded in the question of you know, where does the
- 4:00Speaker 2: actually come from. I think now people are waking up that, look,
- 4:02Speaker 2: we don't just get disguaranteed for your cycle, but there
- 4:05Speaker 2: must be an actual bioflosser sort and so who is
- 4:08Speaker 2: the biofloss resort. Well, we found out that for pitcoin,
- 4:10Speaker 2: there's a big enough thesi around digital goals, there is
- 4:13Speaker 2: Michael Sailor, there is ETFs. The story for bitcoin exists.
- 4:17Speaker 2: But when it comes to everything else and else, we
- 4:19Speaker 2: have to come back to reality. And the reality is
- 4:21Speaker 2: the same way it works in equities. Eventually, the bivelosser
- 4:24Speaker 2: resort is the company itself. It's revenues, it's buybacks. DeFi
- 4:28Speaker 2: lama right on their website. It used to be just
- 4:31Speaker 2: TVL tvltvl. Now the lending page talks about revenue, revenue,
- 4:35Speaker 2: like revenue earnings, all buybacks like that is now what
- 4:38Speaker 2: people focus on. And so I think it's an important
- 4:41Speaker 2: maturing process that the industry is going through. And so
- 4:44Speaker 2: even though twenty twenty five and for what it's worth,
- 4:46Speaker 2: ever since went one has been kind of thankless for
- 4:48Speaker 2: the out world, I think it's a maturing process that
- 4:52Speaker 2: the crypto world can come out of, whether it's in
- 4:54Speaker 2: twenty six or twenty seven.
- 4:56Speaker 1: You know, back in twenty one, even seventeen, you can
- 4:58Speaker 1: almost throw money at anything and it would probably go up.
- 5:02Speaker 1: That is no longer the case, and I think if
- 5:03Speaker 1: you look at the twenty twenty six trends, one of
- 5:05Speaker 1: the areas that I'm interested in right now, of course
- 5:07Speaker 1: is stable coins. These will have a big impact across
- 5:11Speaker 1: not only Wall Street global economic scenarios. You see Wormhole
- 5:15Speaker 1: in their news right here, getting in with national bank
- 5:19Speaker 1: grade oversight, this of course coming in with Ripple and
- 5:21Speaker 1: r l USD. But are you guys bullsh on stable
- 5:25Speaker 1: coin banking? And what would be the play you would
- 5:28Speaker 1: be looking at right now circle a publicly traded company
- 5:31Speaker 1: eth ave you know, looking at what Visa is trying
- 5:36Speaker 1: to do xrps out here with our lust, how would
- 5:38Speaker 1: you look at the stablecoint market right now?
- 5:40Speaker 2: You mentioned some good ones, so I would say eth
- 5:43Speaker 2: is is a very clean way to essentially make an
- 5:45Speaker 2: entire industry bet on cryptot large because one, if stable
- 5:49Speaker 2: coins exceed, yes, so two will eth generate? You know,
- 5:53Speaker 2: even if if a bank decides to build a layer
- 5:55Speaker 2: two on top of ethereum, there'll still be blof fees
- 5:57Speaker 2: that go towards eth so like out of the been
- 6:00Speaker 2: a fissure of everything, right Circle, I've actually I started
- 6:04Speaker 2: shorting around two hundred. I coveted at eighty and now
- 6:07Speaker 2: I'm kind of ambivalent about what happens next. But I
- 6:09Speaker 2: think better than Circle is just Coinbase, you know, because
- 6:12Speaker 2: with Coinbase you're getting virtually half of all of Circle's earnings.
- 6:16Speaker 2: Plus you have a custody business, plus you have a tokenization,
- 6:19Speaker 2: plus and exchange, you know, a venture arm everything, right,
- 6:23Speaker 2: So I think Coinbase is probably one of the best
- 6:26Speaker 2: juggernauts in crypto to kind of bet on, because you
- 6:29Speaker 2: have the best of all worlds. Like even if you say,
- 6:32Speaker 2: like if you think you're bullish pigs and shovels coins one,
- 6:35Speaker 2: if you think tokens will go crazy, well good chance
- 6:37Speaker 2: they will at some point launch a based token, and
- 6:40Speaker 2: Coinbase likely also will own twenty percent fifty percent of
- 6:43Speaker 2: all the base token. So whatever way you slice it,
- 6:46Speaker 2: you know, I think Coinbase has enough irons in the
- 6:48Speaker 2: fire that they can benefit from whatever meta comes next.
- 6:51Speaker 2: I am a big fan of AVI, of course, there's
- 6:54Speaker 2: been some challenges lately, which again is part of the
- 6:57Speaker 2: maturation process of the industry where now they fight between
- 7:01Speaker 2: the Dow and the original founder of like you know,
- 7:03Speaker 2: where do the values flow? But the good thing is, like, hey,
- 7:07Speaker 2: at least we're having these conversations now, these important conversations
- 7:09Speaker 2: to be had. But these were conversations that weren't even
- 7:13Speaker 2: even discussed two years ago because back then the whole
- 7:16Speaker 2: meta was more about announcements and marketing and whatnot. Now
- 7:19Speaker 2: the question is, really, hey, we want to maximize shareholder value.
- 7:23Speaker 2: Right at last, we talk like Wall Street, like how
- 7:25Speaker 2: do we generate shareholder value for token holders? All to say,
- 7:28Speaker 2: it has an incredible lind effect. It's been around, but
- 7:31Speaker 2: it used to be called eat Lend I think back
- 7:32Speaker 2: in twenty seventeen. So we're closing it on ten years
- 7:35Speaker 2: of AVE and it has, you know, tens of billions
- 7:39Speaker 2: in total a value locked on the platform. I think
- 7:42Speaker 2: it's ranked somewhere around like it would be the forty
- 7:45Speaker 2: fourth largest bank in the world if it were bank.
- 7:47Speaker 2: So you know, those are impressive, impressive feeds to achieve,
- 7:51Speaker 2: especially when sentiment is as low as it currently is.
- 7:56Speaker 1: Right well, it's also done a great job AVE has
- 8:00Speaker 1: and we've had study on before and they've done a
- 8:02Speaker 1: great job at partnering even with what you see on
- 8:05Speaker 1: self custody, because there's a lot of wallets out there
- 8:07Speaker 1: that started to integrate what AVE is doing. Back to
- 8:10Speaker 1: your point, a lot of growth and extensions.
- 8:12Speaker 2: So that's it. Which creative brings me to products. You know,
- 8:15Speaker 2: they can create institutional products that are you know, compliant,
- 8:19Speaker 2: right because they played the right games of saying, hey,
- 8:22Speaker 2: how can we both win the degens, but also how
- 8:24Speaker 2: do we win the actual institutions right? And I think
- 8:26Speaker 2: one will playout throw into that one is Maple Finance.
- 8:28Speaker 2: I don't know if you've had those guys on before,
- 8:30Speaker 2: but they've been growing tremendously as well, right, I mean,
- 8:33Speaker 2: I think they had. They started twenty twenty five off
- 8:35Speaker 2: maybe with half a billion dollars in TVL and the
- 8:38Speaker 2: end of the year with closing on four billion or
- 8:41Speaker 2: something like this with the closed A good job, yeah,
- 8:44Speaker 2: incredible job, scaling a real business on chain essentially.
- 8:48Speaker 1: And I think what that kind of brings me to is, uh,
- 8:51Speaker 1: the area of banking, and if you look at the
- 8:55Speaker 1: classification of neo banks. This is like an example of
- 8:59Speaker 1: the Web two neo bank versus the Web three neo bank,
- 9:02Speaker 1: which was more towards self custody. But you're going to
- 9:05Speaker 1: see just to the point I was getting at earlier
- 9:07Speaker 1: with ave lending and borrowing, DEX integration PERP DEX obviously
- 9:11Speaker 1: prediction markets also probably playing into that. What do you
- 9:15Speaker 1: think about that? Do you think when the Clarity Act
- 9:18Speaker 1: comes through, who is going to benefit it from the most?
- 9:22Speaker 1: Would it be something like a neo bank trad FI.
- 9:26Speaker 1: Do you think it'll be DEXes, vaults, wallets, uniswap, What
- 9:30Speaker 1: do you think Clarity Act?
- 9:32Speaker 2: I think it's the underlying infrastructure and it would be tratify.
- 9:35Speaker 2: And I say this because I think neo banks willing
- 9:38Speaker 2: to bend the rules before already. So there was a
- 9:40Speaker 2: bunch of new banks in twenty twenty one that were
- 9:42Speaker 2: staking money even on Anger Protocol and then got caught,
- 9:45Speaker 2: you know, like that they lost money on like TERR Luna.
- 9:47Speaker 2: So I think new banks, you know, they're probably bending
- 9:50Speaker 2: the rules already. On the flip side, they're probably much
- 9:53Speaker 2: faster to dot whenever they get the green light they
- 9:56Speaker 2: got they got the younger deaf teams, they got younger leadership.
- 9:59Speaker 2: They will say we're going to empraise this and we're
- 10:01Speaker 2: going tompraise it fast. Crypto apps, unless they become banks themselves,
- 10:07Speaker 2: will probably not stand the most. And I say this
- 10:10Speaker 2: because over the last five years or so, I think
- 10:13Speaker 2: the amount of actual adoption of self custody has been
- 10:18Speaker 2: very minimal. Right that it's still the same cohort of
- 10:22Speaker 2: people trading on uniswap directly, it's the same core of
- 10:25Speaker 2: people you know, flipping money, mean coins, hyper liquid and
- 10:28Speaker 2: so forth. Right, we have net nets like onboarded the
- 10:31Speaker 2: next one hundred million people say that I that are
- 10:34Speaker 2: native and using crypto, but we have onboarded an incredible
- 10:39Speaker 2: amount of people that are using crypto and blockchain without
- 10:42Speaker 2: knowing it. Right. So, for example, I think Polymarket was
- 10:45Speaker 2: an amazing example where even in twenty twenty, already I
- 10:49Speaker 2: was spending on the election between becdenos like Trump and Biden,
- 10:53Speaker 2: even friends of mine that had nothing to do with crypto,
- 10:55Speaker 2: We're using polymarket and they were using USDC. And so
- 10:59Speaker 2: I think that that's the kind of way we're going
- 11:00Speaker 2: to see cryptodoption happen, where banks and neo banks will
- 11:04Speaker 2: use blockchain in the back end, but you will not
- 11:07Speaker 2: be signing meta mass transactions. So I'm bearish on some
- 11:12Speaker 2: of the wallet interfaces. The fact that like every transaction
- 11:16Speaker 2: is signed and it's a cumbersome, and you make one mistake,
- 11:18Speaker 2: you lose all your money. That's just that's just not
- 11:21Speaker 2: right for mass adoption, right, And so that kind of
- 11:24Speaker 2: goes in the phase of blockchain self because then you
- 11:25Speaker 2: get rid of the whole point of self custody. But
- 11:29Speaker 2: at least there is also efficiency gains that that blockchain
- 11:32Speaker 2: does bring to the table. So I'd say for twenty
- 11:34Speaker 2: twenty six, and also this whole meta of you know,
- 11:37Speaker 2: Clarity Act and like the regulatory breakthroughs we've fad, i
- 11:41Speaker 2: would say long blockchain for efficiency efficiency, short blockchain for
- 11:47Speaker 2: what it actually stood for, which is the self custody.
- 11:49Speaker 2: It's a fourth and then the only characterize that is
- 11:52Speaker 2: that there's a sub segment, which is the whole privacy
- 11:55Speaker 2: coin coin segment right now where you either embrace all
- 11:59Speaker 2: of it on it. I think that's kind of what
- 12:01Speaker 2: I'm seeing now where look, most people aren't even self
- 12:04Speaker 2: casting bitcoin anymore, so that kind of defeats the point
- 12:06Speaker 2: of bitcoin, right, But then again, like with sea cash
- 12:08Speaker 2: forks or you know, yes it's provedly scares and it's
- 12:11Speaker 2: proof of work, but there's quantum risk, right, so then
- 12:14Speaker 2: that also defeats the purpose. So if you can have
- 12:16Speaker 2: an asset with sea cash, monera on. So a fourth,
- 12:18Speaker 2: I think the people that came to crypto for those
- 12:21Speaker 2: cipherpunk values will start flocking towards those those points, those
- 12:26Speaker 2: that came for efficiency, they're probably going to go towards eth,
- 12:28Speaker 2: They're going to go towards Solana, going to go towards wherever,
- 12:31Speaker 2: you know, banks can save the book.
- 12:33Speaker 1: Let's talk about tokenized stocks public stocks. This is tokeni's
- 12:37Speaker 1: public stocks. You look at the growth here right now,
- 12:40Speaker 1: you can kind of see some of the explosion that
- 12:43Speaker 1: is happening. And the interesting point behind this if you
- 12:47Speaker 1: think about KYC on trad FI versus something like open
- 12:52Speaker 1: you know, open X stocks, do you think that could
- 12:56Speaker 1: see because I mean, if you look at X stocks,
- 12:58Speaker 1: they're continuing to grow pair of somewhat parabolic in comparison.
- 13:03Speaker 1: Do you think that will be the route for new
- 13:06Speaker 1: investors to jump into public traded companies on something like
- 13:11Speaker 1: a token is stock for the future.
- 13:14Speaker 2: I very much to like. You know, that goes back
- 13:15Speaker 2: to the point of poll market, where people will be
- 13:18Speaker 2: using pluckshin infrastructure without knowing it, while trading their favorite
- 13:22Speaker 2: stocks from an app that what there might not even
- 13:25Speaker 2: be actually underlying stocks, that they might be perpetual futures,
- 13:27Speaker 2: we don't know. I do think there is a real
- 13:29Speaker 2: use case for that, particularly because a lot of global
- 13:32Speaker 2: markets just don't have easy access to American stocks. I'm,
- 13:36Speaker 2: for example, natively German. I know, the docks was like
- 13:38Speaker 2: for the longest time, just flat for maybe twenty years,
- 13:41Speaker 2: didn't do anything. So you could invest in German stocks,
- 13:43Speaker 2: you made no money, right. Meanwhile America is booming right.
- 13:46Speaker 2: On the other hand, there are of course emerging markets.
- 13:48Speaker 2: Maybe sometimes the market school they've rippen, they go nuts.
- 13:51Speaker 2: But at the same time it's built on fragile economy,
- 13:54Speaker 2: So how do people get access to quality assets? And
- 13:57Speaker 2: then you take it one step further you say you
- 14:00Speaker 2: have globlocks is twenty four seven, even before at IPOs, right,
- 14:03Speaker 2: So I think there's a lot of people that would
- 14:05Speaker 2: love to trade SpaceX right now, they would love to
- 14:07Speaker 2: trade open AI, and there are ways to do that
- 14:10Speaker 2: where you don't even need the underline because again it
- 14:13Speaker 2: could be a derivative. I think those two tickers themselves
- 14:16Speaker 2: would likely get more volume than virtually most stocks currently
- 14:19Speaker 2: public traded.
- 14:20Speaker 1: Yeah for sure. Well robin Head did a good test
- 14:22Speaker 1: in Europe with this, and I think they're going to
- 14:24Speaker 1: obviously blow this up here in the United States. Additional
- 14:28Speaker 1: to stocks, I'm looking at the data coming in on
- 14:31Speaker 1: these vaults. This is a good example. This is from
- 14:33Speaker 1: Token Terminal. This is Steakhouse Financials vault. This is the
- 14:37Speaker 1: one on Morpho one point four or five billion in
- 14:40Speaker 1: deposits right now, up six hundred percent on last year.
- 14:45Speaker 1: So Steakhouse Finance, for those of you who don't know,
- 14:48Speaker 1: this is the underlying instrument that basically handles loans and
- 14:52Speaker 1: also the growth of what we've seen within the Morpho market,
- 14:56Speaker 1: which is available now inside the coinbase app.
- 14:59Speaker 2: What about vaults?
- 15:00Speaker 1: Do you think we reach a trillion.
- 15:01Speaker 2: In twenty six? Yeah? I don't think it's trillion in
- 15:05Speaker 2: twenty six. My guess is that that probably taps out
- 15:09Speaker 2: in the load teens, So maybe like the fifteen twenty
- 15:13Speaker 2: thirty billion dollars. Also, just looking at you know what
- 15:16Speaker 2: everything out side of bigcoin and eath worth. To get
- 15:18Speaker 2: to a trillion, you will need proper institution adoption meeting.
- 15:22Speaker 2: You will need major banks saying I am depositing one
- 15:25Speaker 2: hundred and fifty billion dollars into this contract, and you
- 15:28Speaker 2: need pretty much four of those people six of those
- 15:31Speaker 2: those people doing that. So I would say, might happen.
- 15:35Speaker 1: You never know, it might have, but it may get institutional.
- 15:39Speaker 2: If I think if we reach so right now, I
- 15:41Speaker 2: think DeFi Lama says we have like what like one
- 15:43Speaker 2: hundred forty billion, one hundred and twenty billion dollars in
- 15:46Speaker 2: TBL across all of DeFi. I think if that number
- 15:50Speaker 2: grows to four hundred, I think that's a big win.
- 15:53Speaker 2: Because we've been stagnant, or if we've been suffering underneath
- 15:56Speaker 2: the all time. I have twenty twenty one for quite
- 15:58Speaker 2: a long time. So I think if we can hit
- 16:00Speaker 2: you know, getting close to half a joint, that's already
- 16:02Speaker 2: huge win. Four hundred billion already huge win. And because
- 16:05Speaker 2: although it will probably be monetized. Right so if there's
- 16:08Speaker 2: four hundred billion, I don't know how many BIPs that
- 16:11Speaker 2: flows through inch value towards online protocols and so forth.
- 16:14Speaker 2: But I would assume if we can hit four hundred
- 16:16Speaker 2: billion in TBL, total cryptomarket cap excluding bitcoin would likely
- 16:21Speaker 2: also at least double.
- 16:23Speaker 1: So all right, so we're setting a three trillion right
- 16:25Speaker 1: now on total market cap. You feel like we could
- 16:28Speaker 1: see a six trillion market.
- 16:29Speaker 2: Cap by bigcoin excluding excluding.
- 16:33Speaker 1: Excluding bitcoin, all right, Well, that.
- 16:36Speaker 2: It's own machine.
- 16:37Speaker 1: You know, that's a pretty significant amount. I mean, obviously
- 16:39Speaker 1: that would be much better than what we've seen in
- 16:42Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. So again, this would be a very
- 16:44Speaker 1: bullish twenty twenty six. Which a lot of analysts start
- 16:46Speaker 1: talking about right now, is that this seems to be
- 16:49Speaker 1: an eight thousand s and P in the cards. And
- 16:51Speaker 1: if that is the case, to your point, that could
- 16:54Speaker 1: be very good for risk assets.
- 16:55Speaker 2: There is some form of bubble. Obviously, there's some menia
- 16:59Speaker 2: when it comes to AI, but there are I think
- 17:02Speaker 2: two things to come to terms with. I think number
- 17:04Speaker 2: one is we have this massive debt bubble and the
- 17:09Speaker 2: only we had the hope of austerity with with Doge,
- 17:12Speaker 2: and that failed epically, So austerity is out the window.
- 17:15Speaker 2: So and Trump is not the guy to raise taxes,
- 17:17Speaker 2: so that puts taxes out the window. Right, we try
- 17:20Speaker 2: tariffs and tariffs made I think give will take and
- 17:24Speaker 2: fifty billion dollars right, and I think we run a
- 17:27Speaker 2: two trillion dollar deficit, So that does not that scratches
- 17:30Speaker 2: the surface. You're really left with two one is monetary
- 17:33Speaker 2: debasement or letting the debt bubble pop. Either way the
- 17:38Speaker 2: dollar fails. Right. It's it's it's that simple, like either
- 17:41Speaker 2: you debase it slowly and painfully, or people realize I
- 17:44Speaker 2: can no longer trust lending money to the US government.
- 17:47Speaker 2: And yes, that helps crypto, that helps big come, but
- 17:49Speaker 2: also it does buy time for every tech stock in
- 17:53Speaker 2: the world, because that means what do you want to own?
- 17:56Speaker 2: Cash that loses value or a productive asset that generates
- 17:59Speaker 2: trip Because no, no matter where we are as a society,
- 18:02Speaker 2: like we're still going to buy food, We're still going
- 18:04Speaker 2: to buy phones, We're still going to you know, spend
- 18:06Speaker 2: money on services like revenue will continue happening. Now. Of course,
- 18:09Speaker 2: it's it's flexible, meaning maybe the pe racials are too high.
- 18:12Speaker 2: But maybe I have to asked the question why are
- 18:14Speaker 2: the pe racials so high? Maybe because people realize that,
- 18:17Speaker 2: you know, I rather overpaid today then get stuck with
- 18:21Speaker 2: dollars which will continue to go lower. The underscore for
- 18:24Speaker 2: that is, you just look at the price of gold
- 18:25Speaker 2: and silver, right, there's clear science that's things are breaking.
- 18:29Speaker 2: People are waking up that this is no longer the
- 18:32Speaker 2: libertarian or the silver the tinfoil heads. It's like, no,
- 18:36Speaker 2: we're actually now within shouting distance. We will see this
- 18:39Speaker 2: probably within the next decade. So how do you set
- 18:41Speaker 2: yourself up for success? And they're out push one further
- 18:44Speaker 2: and say so, then maybe the craziness around AI actually
- 18:48Speaker 2: makes sense. Maybe it's because we realize that that is
- 18:50Speaker 2: our only one true shot on goal to solve this problem,
- 18:54Speaker 2: because maybe if we make the right investments in AI,
- 18:57Speaker 2: we get the right productivity lift. Productive lift means we
- 19:00Speaker 2: get the right GDP lift where we can actually claw
- 19:03Speaker 2: our way back out of that problem. And maybe it's
- 19:06Speaker 2: even okay to right now spend the dollars and borrow
- 19:10Speaker 2: those dollars that will not be worth anything ten years
- 19:12Speaker 2: from now, and leverage them to enhance and ensure US
- 19:17Speaker 2: hegemony ten years from now, because that AI progress will
- 19:21Speaker 2: be so much worth more than the dollars will be
- 19:23Speaker 2: worth ten years from now.
- 19:24Speaker 1: But one thing that has been you know, here recently
- 19:26Speaker 1: uncovered is just the amount of immense fraud and what
- 19:31Speaker 1: we're seeing is just all over the place. So if
- 19:34Speaker 1: that were somehow controlled or at least curbed, which it
- 19:38Speaker 1: should be, I mean, that's the number one thing a
- 19:40Speaker 1: government should be able to just figure out where it's
- 19:43Speaker 1: spending fraudulently. That in itself may end up helping a
- 19:48Speaker 1: little bit at least into the point of extending the
- 19:50Speaker 1: life of what we could see around dollar debasement. Overall,
- 19:55Speaker 1: this is getting a little political, so I want to
- 19:58Speaker 1: bring it back in a little I'm gonna bring it
- 20:01Speaker 1: back in a little bit on valuations and where that's
- 20:05Speaker 1: going because one thing that is potentially in line here,
- 20:10Speaker 1: and that could be tokenized assets. Now we've already talked
- 20:12Speaker 1: about RWAs what about tokenized collectibles? So you got logan, Paul,
- 20:16Speaker 1: I want to play this clip for you, and this
- 20:18Speaker 1: could be one of those things that maybe level sets
- 20:22Speaker 1: the market on this. Let me go to this clip
- 20:24Speaker 1: real quick.
- 20:25Speaker 2: Yeah, let's say, yeah.
- 20:26Speaker 1: Super Bowl one one the most coveted card in the world.
- 20:30Speaker 2: Ken has been chasing me for years, trying to convince
- 20:33Speaker 2: me to sell this car, but I made my decision.
- 20:36Speaker 2: He gave me the money. I'm sure eBay wouldn't be
- 20:38Speaker 2: happy with that contract sign and my guess is we
- 20:40Speaker 2: probably won't see this for sale for another couple decades.
- 20:44Speaker 3: So the thirtieth anniversary Pokemon is in February, so right
- 20:48Speaker 3: now it is planned to go live the second week
- 20:52Speaker 3: of January.
- 20:53Speaker 2: Pokemon has delivered higher returns than the stock market in
- 20:56Speaker 2: the past twenty years by upwards of three thousand percent.
- 21:00Speaker 3: Collectibles as a category right now is an asset class.
- 21:04Speaker 3: They did not grow up, you know, dreaming about owning
- 21:07Speaker 3: a big art collection, to them owning the best of
- 21:10Speaker 3: the best, whether it's a Pokemon card, that is what
- 21:13Speaker 3: they aspire to be.
- 21:15Speaker 1: You know, do you feel like there is an opportunity
- 21:18Speaker 1: for this in the future In terms of tokenized collectibles,
- 21:23Speaker 1: I would.
- 21:23Speaker 2: Think about this in two ways. One one, you treat
- 21:26Speaker 2: it as a collector, meaning you actually care about the
- 21:28Speaker 2: thing you're collecting, and then you collect it and you
- 21:29Speaker 2: do don't care. Funcial value option too, you have to
- 21:32Speaker 2: treat it like a trader or not like an investor,
- 21:34Speaker 2: because when an asset doesn't create any fundamental value, all
- 21:39Speaker 2: it does all it is is a question of supplying demand, right,
- 21:42Speaker 2: and so in supply to make changes. Right. So the
- 21:44Speaker 2: interesting about Pokemon I read about this essentially is the
- 21:47Speaker 2: kids growing up with Pokemon in like Fox on Housebord
- 21:49Speaker 2: nine ninety five, right, So I grew up watching Pokemon.
- 21:52Speaker 2: I had the Game Boy Color, I played the early ones.
- 21:54Speaker 2: I got their first generation card sets, and so forth.
- 21:57Speaker 2: Now we're old enough that with the money, and some
- 22:00Speaker 2: people might some kids, well no kids anyone that have
- 22:02Speaker 2: some millennials age thirty thirty five have enough cash. They say,
- 22:05Speaker 2: I always want to own these Pokemon. I can finally
- 22:08Speaker 2: for them. I'm going to buy them. And so all
- 22:10Speaker 2: of a sudden, you know, and they want the first
- 22:12Speaker 2: generation why because that's what they grow up with, That's
- 22:14Speaker 2: what they know. They don't even know the new ones. Right,
- 22:16Speaker 2: So these early generations have limited supply, and now you've
- 22:20Speaker 2: got an increased demand from a generation that suddenly has
- 22:22Speaker 2: more money. Because in the past they ask mom and dad, hey,
- 22:25Speaker 2: can I have ten bucks to buy booster pack? Now
- 22:27Speaker 2: they have a page coming in every month and they
- 22:30Speaker 2: can draw up hundreds of dollars. That doesn't mean that
- 22:32Speaker 2: these are perennial assets that like one hundred years from now,
- 22:35Speaker 2: the Pokemon card will be worth more. It's also very
- 22:38Speaker 2: possible that maybe forty years from now nobody cares about Pokemon, right,
- 22:42Speaker 2: So I would say treat collectibles as a trader or
- 22:45Speaker 2: as a collector, nothing in between, because there again to
- 22:49Speaker 2: be an investor, then that must be actual fundamental value
- 22:51Speaker 2: being generated.
- 22:52Speaker 1: I would agree to a certain extent on that. Obviously
- 22:54Speaker 1: you get into different kind of collectibles. You can get
- 22:56Speaker 1: into watches, you know, fashion items, things like that, different
- 22:59Speaker 1: kind of scenari Those are different markets in general. But
- 23:02Speaker 1: tokenized assets moving to collectibles will be intriguing because it's
- 23:07Speaker 1: been you know, we've talked about it for five years
- 23:08Speaker 1: and it hasn't really happened. Will it happen in twenty
- 23:12Speaker 1: twenty six? Is the real question? Is this one of
- 23:14Speaker 1: those key pittle points where if this card goes off
- 23:17Speaker 1: the hook at five million plus, you know, could you know,
- 23:22Speaker 1: now protect Felipe reconsider how they're producing watches. Could you
- 23:27Speaker 1: have all these different kind of true collector assets, including artwork,
- 23:32Speaker 1: started to move into that. I'm just kind of curious
- 23:34Speaker 1: if you think.
- 23:35Speaker 2: The main benefit is accessibility, but that there's quite a
- 23:39Speaker 2: tremendous amount of potential downsites or risks, let's call them.
- 23:42Speaker 2: You know, there's a lot of I think fraud risk
- 23:43Speaker 2: and I think there's actually an issue with Logan Paul
- 23:45Speaker 2: note there that he had a tokenization platform and he
- 23:49Speaker 2: tokenized an asset, but then he separately sold them. Those
- 23:52Speaker 2: are questions that like still need to be answered. But
- 23:54Speaker 2: otherwise the number of beneficiary is accessibility, folks. If you
- 23:58Speaker 2: mentioned art, right there's historic piece, Like if there's a
- 24:02Speaker 2: piece from there, not Avinji, can a regular human that
- 24:05Speaker 2: is not love you know, like invest one thousand dollars
- 24:08Speaker 2: and own a piece of Dutovnji in that case? Yeah,
- 24:11Speaker 2: I think that is that makes a very realistic asset. Claus.
- 24:14Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Courtyard chart right here on doom Analytics,
- 24:18Speaker 1: and this is that's the pink you know bar right there.
- 24:20Speaker 1: That's the growth of the market right there, so coming
- 24:23Speaker 1: from where it was just in October of twenty twenty four,
- 24:27Speaker 1: just to show the potential here of what kind of
- 24:30Speaker 1: revenue is coming back into this. And that's the course Courtyard,
- 24:34Speaker 1: which is one of the biggest you know platforms out
- 24:36Speaker 1: there around this I want to jump over. I know
- 24:39Speaker 1: this is getting a little bit long here. I want
- 24:41Speaker 1: to jump over to the topic of gaming because I
- 24:45Speaker 1: know you guys have kind of repositioned your analysis on
- 24:49Speaker 1: gaming in general. If you look at top gaming chains
- 24:53Speaker 1: right now, what would you say is number one? If
- 24:57Speaker 1: I mean, you've obviously seen this market for a while,
- 24:59Speaker 1: I know you're not necessarily investing in it, but what
- 25:01Speaker 1: are your thoughts right now on gaming chains?
- 25:03Speaker 2: I think the truth is there are non It sounds aggressive,
- 25:06Speaker 2: but there are non So I've talked to a lot
- 25:09Speaker 2: of like strong games teams, I meaning the actual games
- 25:12Speaker 2: of the game developers that make the games that have
- 25:14Speaker 2: talked to a lot of these chains. One a number
- 25:18Speaker 2: of the chains have pivoted away from games because it
- 25:20Speaker 2: work with them, and then actually quit and pivot away
- 25:23Speaker 2: from them, meaning they got a grant and they said, like,
- 25:26Speaker 2: there's no benefit of working with IMEX. And so my
- 25:29Speaker 2: bet really, when it comes to web three gaming is
- 25:31Speaker 2: much more so that it will originate from a game
- 25:35Speaker 2: team than from a chain, Meaning a team will realize, hey,
- 25:39Speaker 2: this is a really sensible way to use crypto and
- 25:43Speaker 2: web three, and we're going to integrate it because it
- 25:46Speaker 2: makes sense for users than it is for a change
- 25:48Speaker 2: to say, okay, well games chain, everybody can build on us,
- 25:51Speaker 2: because I think the only way crypto web like Web
- 25:55Speaker 2: three gaming works right now is in a gambling sense,
- 25:58Speaker 2: which also, of course has been much the case for
- 26:01Speaker 2: a lot of Web three right. A lot of it
- 26:02Speaker 2: is around like trading, it's about making money and so forth.
- 26:05Speaker 2: And so the early instances of like Web three gaming
- 26:08Speaker 2: working is around can somebody make money betting on outcomes
- 26:13Speaker 2: in the game playing game and so forth. But the
- 26:16Speaker 2: reality is, you know, we saw like acc in Finny,
- 26:18Speaker 2: for example, try the most simplest iteration of that, which
- 26:20Speaker 2: is like played to earn. And while they do have
- 26:23Speaker 2: some traction in Southeast Asia and maybe they've built some
- 26:26Speaker 2: IPN brand, we certainly can with confidence say that none
- 26:30Speaker 2: of these Web three games have become mainstream hits. Right.
- 26:33Speaker 2: I think I watched one of your videos from eight
- 26:35Speaker 2: days ago where I mentioned, you know, we've got GTA
- 26:39Speaker 2: six coming out next year, right, And so the real
- 26:42Speaker 2: gaming world, I think is moving funny enough in the
- 26:46Speaker 2: right direction, and the funny enough the real gaming world
- 26:49Speaker 2: is moving towards the centralization, but it's just not on
- 26:51Speaker 2: blockchain yet. Ten years ago was pretty much all centralized
- 26:54Speaker 2: in independent titles right that big sties owned. And today
- 26:59Speaker 2: the whole meta gaming is pretty much distributed. On one end,
- 27:03Speaker 2: you've got the platforms like the rollblocks a Fortnite where
- 27:06Speaker 2: anybody kids can build games now and earn money building
- 27:09Speaker 2: these games, right, And the more players like they get
- 27:13Speaker 2: the distribution on the platform right, and the more players come,
- 27:17Speaker 2: the more money they make. Now it takes take as
- 27:19Speaker 2: a further and now there's this whole what's it called
- 27:22Speaker 2: the whole genre of something called friends slob right, which
- 27:25Speaker 2: essentially is these games that maybe a study can make
- 27:27Speaker 2: for one hundred thousand dollars or less, right, but they
- 27:30Speaker 2: are they're party games that are entirely it's like they're
- 27:33Speaker 2: very viral, like for example, are we there yet? Or
- 27:36Speaker 2: these games that you just chomp in for five minutes
- 27:39Speaker 2: to play with friends, and some of these games are
- 27:40Speaker 2: made thirty million dollar plus. Right. So again, but it
- 27:43Speaker 2: kind of goes back to this whole distribution meta. So
- 27:45Speaker 2: this distributed nature meta of like decentralization where now you
- 27:50Speaker 2: actually have small teams, when you actually have individual depths,
- 27:54Speaker 2: build on networks and ecosystems, and when the piece that's
- 27:57Speaker 2: missing of course the last bit is the plot chain
- 28:00Speaker 2: aspect and tooxization of assets, and I think that will come.
- 28:02Speaker 2: But I think we essentially put the card from the
- 28:06Speaker 2: whores and kind of did it the wrong way around.
- 28:08Speaker 2: We said, okay, we can build all infrastructure first, and
- 28:11Speaker 2: then we tried to plug in something fun in a game. Here.
- 28:15Speaker 2: It was actually, in my opinion, the other way around.
- 28:17Speaker 2: From the start, you start with something fun, you start
- 28:20Speaker 2: with distribution. We start with people actually having eyeballs on
- 28:23Speaker 2: your platform, and then you move towards the distribution. There's
- 28:26Speaker 2: a trend that is slowly happening that was unthinkable before,
- 28:31Speaker 2: which is one app stores are slowly lowering the prices right.
- 28:36Speaker 2: So for example, Roadblocks has actually increased the revenue share
- 28:40Speaker 2: that their developers are getting in the past, where we're
- 28:42Speaker 2: used to it going the other way around. But like overtime,
- 28:44Speaker 2: develops get less and less and less and less. Now
- 28:46Speaker 2: we're going to the direction where even including you know,
- 28:49Speaker 2: the lawsuit between I think it was epic and Apple
- 28:54Speaker 2: right did a forxample. I think in the EU like
- 28:56Speaker 2: you can actually you can get around paying the store fees.
- 28:59Speaker 2: I think we're migrating towards these network states for meta
- 29:04Speaker 2: versus and these platforms, whether it's a Fortnite, whether it's
- 29:08Speaker 2: a GT six, which also will have their own open
- 29:11Speaker 2: world and UGC network right will probably start tapping into
- 29:16Speaker 2: pluck chain. My guess is by twenty seven twenty eight,
- 29:19Speaker 2: So like that's how they're out to me. That is
- 29:22Speaker 2: the path of how web three gaming will all the
- 29:24Speaker 2: sun look like an obvious hindsight thing where we're like,
- 29:28Speaker 2: oh wow, we just stumbled into it. It's not that,
- 29:31Speaker 2: you know, we built Illuvium or axine, it became the
- 29:34Speaker 2: world ted. It's more so that one day you'll wake
- 29:36Speaker 2: up and there are NFTs in GTA roadblocks.
- 29:40Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, well, and I think maybe roadblocks is the route.
- 29:43Speaker 1: I was looking at this survey question on roadblocks. Would
- 29:46Speaker 1: you still be earning money from other interactive experience related
- 29:49Speaker 1: work if not for roadblocks? And you can kind of
- 29:52Speaker 1: see that everybody's kind of saying it's all built on
- 29:56Speaker 1: the potential here of where, And that just shows you
- 29:58Speaker 1: the power of some of these ips to your point
- 30:01Speaker 1: going forward, Felix, I know you guys are into.
- 30:06Speaker 2: ARVR.
- 30:07Speaker 1: You look at what is happening over there with cees
- 30:10Speaker 1: getting ready to here's x reel. They're getting ready to
- 30:13Speaker 1: drop something huge. It looks like it's coming just in
- 30:14Speaker 1: another day or two. You look at Meta and how
- 30:18Speaker 1: they've really started to move in on virtual really kind
- 30:21Speaker 1: of on virtuals itself. Let me see if I pulled
- 30:24Speaker 1: up the Meta article. So they're buying this AI startup Manus,
- 30:27Speaker 1: which is kind of a VIRTUALS knockoff.
- 30:30Speaker 2: We'll call it that.
- 30:32Speaker 1: What do you think about this? Do you feel like
- 30:33Speaker 1: AI agents Meta? What they're doing in terms of a strategy,
- 30:38Speaker 1: what x reel is doing in terms of hardware. Talk
- 30:41Speaker 1: to me about trends you see coming out for twenty
- 30:43Speaker 1: six in this area.
- 30:44Speaker 2: We're very big on smart clauses. I got the Meta
- 30:47Speaker 2: ravend dis place here and these are what's called the Realities.
- 30:51Speaker 2: It's a small company, they're much lighter, and they don't
- 30:54Speaker 2: actually have spatial they just have texts essentially. It's almost
- 30:57Speaker 2: like having like lines of texts on here. But the
- 31:00Speaker 2: interesting thing is that what I start seeing happening in
- 31:03Speaker 2: twenty twenty six. And we've made one big bet on
- 31:05Speaker 2: this with a company called Mentra that came out of
- 31:07Speaker 2: why Combinator. They're building the first operating system for smart
- 31:10Speaker 2: classes is you know, smart classes really are the AI
- 31:14Speaker 2: co pilot for humans. And so then you go away
- 31:17Speaker 2: from the game side and say like, okay, so let's
- 31:20Speaker 2: about it andertain it's not about like what's called projecting
- 31:23Speaker 2: movies on my glasses. It's more about they should disappear
- 31:28Speaker 2: in your day to day more or less, right, like
- 31:30Speaker 2: you wear them, you don't even think about having a
- 31:32Speaker 2: device in your head. Instead, as we're having this interview,
- 31:35Speaker 2: for example, your glasses would maybe show you interesting facts
- 31:40Speaker 2: that relate to things we're talking about, or they might
- 31:43Speaker 2: even suggest a question that they think would be like
- 31:45Speaker 2: awesome to use next. Right, So the point is not
- 31:48Speaker 2: to steal you away from base reality, but rather to
- 31:51Speaker 2: really enhance it, enhance it. Yeah, the first time we're
- 31:54Speaker 2: actually there where the technology is ready to be mainstream
- 31:57Speaker 2: because it goes back everything from batter life. So for example,
- 32:02Speaker 2: the new mentor classes, they last sixteen hours, right where
- 32:05Speaker 2: now you can actually wear glasses all day long, or
- 32:08Speaker 2: what goes into things like wait, there's actually studies that
- 32:10Speaker 2: like classes need to be below forty grams on the
- 32:14Speaker 2: bridge of the nose because otherwise you get pain, you
- 32:16Speaker 2: get headaches. You can see right, you can. And the
- 32:19Speaker 2: problem is a lot of these metal ones, they're quite large, right,
- 32:22Speaker 2: I think there's still like eighty grams. They're quite big,
- 32:25Speaker 2: and so you can wear them hours and the problem
- 32:28Speaker 2: is also the battery dies. Like I was in Patagonia
- 32:31Speaker 2: last week and I was like filming some cool action stuff,
- 32:33Speaker 2: but they would always die. And so I think the
- 32:36Speaker 2: companies that prioritize smart design not like all the features,
- 32:40Speaker 2: but like can these classes last sixty hours? Can these
- 32:43Speaker 2: classes be complete worn all day long? And then can
- 32:46Speaker 2: they do things that actually enhance my life, like for example,
- 32:50Speaker 2: real time translation capturing for the definite heart of hearing,
- 32:53Speaker 2: maybe an AI co pilot that gives you interesting ideas
- 32:56Speaker 2: where you're having conversations. Right so, and that stuff will
- 32:59Speaker 2: be shipped this year. In fact, you can already test
- 33:02Speaker 2: them yourself on seal of these companies, whether it's Mentra,
- 33:05Speaker 2: where it's even realities. That's stuff I'm very very excited
- 33:07Speaker 2: about because I think that will be the first time
- 33:10Speaker 2: x all will have its mainstream moment. Because VR had
- 33:14Speaker 2: this habit of kind of getting getting viewed as a console, right,
- 33:17Speaker 2: like you have it, like give an Xbox, you have it,
- 33:18Speaker 2: like give a PlayStation. But I think we twenty six
- 33:22Speaker 2: or twenty seven will likely be the year where you
- 33:26Speaker 2: will see people walking down the streets wearing smart classes
- 33:30Speaker 2: in a much higher count then we've already seen people
- 33:32Speaker 2: wearing the metal ravents, because the metal ravens were already
- 33:34Speaker 2: cultural moment where people realized WHOA like. It's like, I
- 33:38Speaker 2: want to leave my if I have to choose between
- 33:40Speaker 2: regular rabents metal rate bents out, just the metal rate
- 33:42Speaker 2: bents because I get extra functionality. We're tapping into habits
- 33:45Speaker 2: that people already have.
- 33:46Speaker 1: Last question, what's the number one mistake you see investors
- 33:50Speaker 1: making this year that last year is probably not selling
- 33:53Speaker 1: bitcoin at one twenty six?
- 33:55Speaker 2: Yeah, I would say so. Since this this channel is
- 33:58Speaker 2: very crypt crypto heavy, I will make it crypto specific,
- 34:02Speaker 2: which I think is whole. The biggest mistake crypto investor
- 34:06Speaker 2: will make in twenty twenty six is holding on to
- 34:10Speaker 2: old belief sets. What I mean by that is crypto's
- 34:13Speaker 2: full of these rule of thumbs, whether it is the
- 34:16Speaker 2: four year cycle, whether it's the hobbing, whether it is
- 34:20Speaker 2: you know, first big one goes up, then it goes up,
- 34:22Speaker 2: then the outsco like you know, there's all these memes
- 34:25Speaker 2: almost around in investor wisdoms in the crypto space, and
- 34:31Speaker 2: the very hard thing to get through is that like, yes,
- 34:35Speaker 2: they have been true for maybe am as much as
- 34:37Speaker 2: like eight years in a row. I know, things that
- 34:39Speaker 2: were true in twenty seventeen. They were still true maybe
- 34:41Speaker 2: even until like twenty twenty two. But it is a
- 34:43Speaker 2: different market now. And you can say that because a
- 34:47Speaker 2: market is nothing more than the collective of its participants,
- 34:51Speaker 2: and we can obviously contromtly say that the participants have changed,
- 34:54Speaker 2: so it is not one of those but this time
- 34:57Speaker 2: it's different. No, Like you just look at who is
- 34:59Speaker 2: the collective people putting money into this market. If they
- 35:03Speaker 2: are firmly different, right, if they're in social then the
- 35:08Speaker 2: market will also behave differently. So you know, I think
- 35:11Speaker 2: a lot of people have a hard time, for example,
- 35:13Speaker 2: letting go of losers right where they say, well, I'll
- 35:15Speaker 2: sell it. In this very weird behavior that people have,
- 35:18Speaker 2: they buy an asset, they will write it down ninety percent,
- 35:21Speaker 2: say like I'll buy it when it gets back to
- 35:23Speaker 2: break even, and maybe that the asset was actually then
- 35:25Speaker 2: great and keeps going on. But like this, they have
- 35:27Speaker 2: the soul mindset I sell when it gets back to
- 35:29Speaker 2: break even. The truth is you might be getting back
- 35:32Speaker 2: to break even much faster with a better asset. So
- 35:35Speaker 2: I think it's a new year, clean year. Probably should
- 35:38Speaker 2: have done it, Yes, like a couple of days ago
- 35:39Speaker 2: and most text loss harvesting, but at least still to early.
- 35:43Speaker 2: It's still early enough to say, like, hey, let me
- 35:45Speaker 2: actually understand every line item my portfolio. What do they do?
- 35:49Speaker 2: Do they make money? How? How is this going to
- 35:51Speaker 2: get back I go back up? And if I can't
- 35:53Speaker 2: explain how it's going to go back up other than
- 35:56Speaker 2: I hope the fet prints money or there's going to
- 35:59Speaker 2: be or market data that is not an investment strategy
- 36:03Speaker 2: must be something.
- 36:04Speaker 1: Strategy hope is not a strategy.
- 36:08Speaker 2: I love it.
- 36:09Speaker 1: Felix Hartman coming in from Hartman Capital. You guys make
- 36:11Speaker 1: sure and give Felix a thumbs up and also some
- 36:14Speaker 1: comments down below. But Felix, thanks so much for coming
- 36:16Speaker 1: in today.
- 36:17Speaker 2: We appreciate it. Paul. Have a great new year.
- 36:26Speaker 1: If you like this video, like and subscribe, drop a
- 36:29Speaker 1: comment down below, and also join our free private member group.
- 36:33Speaker 2: The link is in the description