Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 14 Gambling Picks, Bears Are Real, Chiefs Can Still Make The Playoffs?
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- 0:28after a two -day free trial. And it's week 14
- 0:57of the NFL season. The Thanksgiving week games
- 1:02is over. And so now we're back to regular life
- 1:06for like three weeks. And then it's the Christmas
- 1:09week. And I think we have Saturday games. I don't
- 1:13know. I haven't even looked that far. That's
- 1:16for future will to to look into. But anyway,
- 1:21going back to last week, I ended up going five
- 1:25and four. It felt a lot worse than it was because
- 1:31the Rams Didn't even win their game against the
- 1:36Panthers And that was very deflating so But but
- 1:43I mean other than that I mean five and four lost
- 1:45my surefire didn't do too bad so Can't complain
- 1:49too much, but now that we're we're back in the
- 1:52you know regularly scheduled programming We're
- 1:55going to be in the right head space. We're going
- 1:57to be right head space. Chris, how did you do
- 1:59last week? I did all right. I went five and five
- 2:04overall. Uh, one of my sure fire, um, shout out
- 2:07to Shador Sanders. He balled out. Um, I didn't
- 2:11watch the game at all. I just know they only
- 2:13scored eight points. Um, but yeah, it started
- 2:16out really well. Uh, Thanksgiving and black Friday
- 2:18went three and one or yeah, three and one. Um,
- 2:22and then it Paul went downhill on Sunday and
- 2:25Monday. Started three and one, ended five and
- 2:28five. So not great. But you know what? I got
- 2:32a shit ton of plays written down for this week.
- 2:34So it's time to win it all back. Sean, how did
- 2:37you do over the holidays? Six and two over the
- 2:43holidays. Lost my surefire though. And I did
- 2:48end up taking the Chief's minus one and a half,
- 2:51first half spread double unit. That was a loser,
- 2:54but I just live bet the Cowboys minus one and
- 2:59a half after Rashid Rice scored his first touchdown,
- 3:02or was it his second? Might have been his second
- 3:06touchdown. I don't know, doesn't matter. Cowboys
- 3:11won that game. Not too bad the thing that really
- 3:15got me was the couple touchdown I Had a Tracy
- 3:21last night. I don't even think he touched the
- 3:24ball to be honest Yeah, but this is probably
- 3:31we're getting into like my personal favorite
- 3:34part of the NFL season where You know all the
- 3:38games were talking about matter in some way shape
- 3:42or form And I love when it's like, oh, this team
- 3:47has to lose, this team has to win, this team
- 3:49with blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, for this team
- 3:52to just sneak into the playoffs. So we're getting
- 3:55to that point of the NFL season. So I'm really
- 3:58just excited to talk ball with the boys. Week
- 4:0314, let's get it going. Let's get it going. Jesus.
- 4:09Maybe. I might need a lot like you threw up in
- 4:13your mouth. I don't know, man. It's it's like
- 4:1840 degrees outside. It's like really cold anyway.
- 4:23Let's get it going. So the first game is a AFC
- 4:27North matchup. The Steelers at the Ravens Ravens
- 4:31are favored by six over under is forty three
- 4:33and a half. This is a division where it kind
- 4:36of seems like nobody really wants to win. Somehow
- 4:40the Bengals are still in it with winning four
- 4:43games Joe burrow coming back big deal and able
- 4:48to us we got that one against the Ravens the
- 4:51Ravens defense, I mean it's I Don't know if I
- 4:57want to treat The Thanksgiving game as a as an
- 5:00outlier, but I didn't really play too bad. I
- 5:03mean that game went under That was the only game
- 5:06that I won on Thanksgiving so I Mean they they
- 5:12held him like what like 25 27 points something
- 5:14like that Which yeah, it's average pretty okay?
- 5:20Steelers they can't they can't do anything they
- 5:24lost to the bills last week in a pretty sad showing
- 5:31If I if I do you say so myself So it's it's kind
- 5:35of tough to to get a kind of a pulse on what's
- 5:38actually going on in this division But I will
- 5:41I'll go ahead and go first. I mean Steelers Ravens
- 5:44this game screams under I feel like we've discussed
- 5:47this numerous times on this podcast That whenever
- 5:50these two teams play it is a rock fight Didn't
- 5:55look up if they played earlier this year But
- 5:58when I was doing my research on the other games,
- 6:00it feels like a lot of these divisional matchups
- 6:02This is like the first time they're playing And
- 6:07then they're they're playing again in like two
- 6:09weeks, I don't know that's kind of weird but
- 6:11also to Sean's point we're now in that part of
- 6:16the season where everything matters every every
- 6:19little thing matters, so I'm going under 43 and
- 6:23a half. Raven's defense is, you know, they're
- 6:28there and they're going to do what they need
- 6:32to do. The offense, you really don't know what
- 6:34you're going to get depending on who actually
- 6:37shows up in this game. And then the Steelers,
- 6:40I mean, their defense is okay sometimes, I guess.
- 6:45And it's very hard for them to put up offense
- 6:48right now. Under 43 and a half. I mean I didn't
- 6:53even put all this shit together in my head Before
- 6:57I made this pick. I saw this pick. I mean, this
- 6:59is an auto under But that's all I really got
- 7:03Chris what do you have for this game? Yeah, same
- 7:06under 43 and a half I mean so Taylor's oldest
- 7:09time just Steelers Ravens unders Not really the
- 7:13for the reasons that typically is usually because
- 7:16it's just two amazing defenses Like you said,
- 7:19both of these defenses are kind of just there.
- 7:21They kind of like they do what they have to do.
- 7:23Um, these offices stink. I mean, Baltimore and
- 7:27Lamar just haven't looked right for the last
- 7:29three, four weeks or so. And I mean, Aaron Rogers
- 7:32doesn't want to be there. He looks just totally
- 7:35checked out. Uh, he shouldn't have, he should
- 7:38have just retired and he should retire after
- 7:40this year. Is this decent a two year deal or
- 7:42is it just a one year? I have no idea. All right.
- 7:44Well, he should retire after this season, regardless.
- 7:47He doesn't want to be there. And I don't blame
- 7:49him. This team is terrible. I mean, he's going
- 7:52to dogshit teams. Yeah. I mean, let's, yeah,
- 7:55this team is not, he's kind of, I want to say
- 7:58the reason he's a pretty big reason they're not
- 8:02very good, but I mean, the defense is whatever.
- 8:05I mean, they're, I don't really have that many
- 8:07receivers as just the offense is bad. So, um,
- 8:10yeah, it's going to be a rock fight, um, late
- 8:12season AOC North game. These games usually are
- 8:15very tight. So yeah, under 43 and a half, little
- 8:20stat. The under is nine and one in the last 10
- 8:22games in this matchup. So it's auto wonder for,
- 8:26yeah, 43 and a half. Sean, clean sweep. No, sorry.
- 8:35Kind of hate it, but been fainting it for a while,
- 8:39but I'm going with the Steelers plus five and
- 8:41a half, maybe six and a half. depending on when
- 8:45you get it. Week 14, division lead on the line.
- 8:50This is just too many points. Ravens, yeah, they
- 8:54got smoked on Thanksgiving, but before that,
- 8:56you know, they rattled off like five straight
- 8:58wins. And honestly, the only one that's kind
- 9:03of impressive was against the Bears. And those
- 9:08teams were the Dolphins, Vikings, Browns, and
- 9:10Jets, you know. Regular murderers row right there
- 9:15Windsor wins, I guess but you know, I just think
- 9:19the Ravens are just way too overvalued right
- 9:22now Their last three games. They've been seven
- 9:26and a half point favorites and a 14 and a half
- 9:28point favorite They all they lost all three they
- 9:33just can't finish these games and This matchup.
- 9:37It's a Tomlin spot forever As an underdog against
- 9:42the Ravens Mike Tomlin is 13 four and two against
- 9:45the spread And he started his career 13 two and
- 9:52two against the spread The last two games that
- 9:55the Steelers and the Ravens have gone against
- 9:58the Ravens have kind of just blown out the Steelers,
- 10:01but I Think this one's gonna get ugly. I think
- 10:04this kind of gonna be a rock fight Ravens just
- 10:08can't really seem to like be putting it together
- 10:12for whatever reason but Yeah, plus Steelers after
- 10:19ugly games Tomlin is 10 and 4 against the spread
- 10:24after skew after scoring fewer than 10 points,
- 10:28so So yeah, it gets gross too many trends too
- 10:32many points and too much history to not grab
- 10:36the Steelers here for me It's Steelers plus five
- 10:38and a half. Okay, that is a lot of points for
- 10:42a divisional game, I will say. All right, moving
- 10:47on. Next game, AFC South matchup. The Colts versus
- 10:53the Jags in Jacksonville. The Jags are home dogs
- 10:56by a point and a half. Over under is 48 and a
- 11:00half. And the Jags are first place in the division
- 11:06now. Um, and I, I think I read something that
- 11:10Daniel Jones has a broken fibula or something.
- 11:14Is it broke? I saw he has a fibula. He has a
- 11:18fibula injury. Isn't that like, I mean, I'm no
- 11:21bone doctor. Isn't that the big one in the leg?
- 11:25That's your leg. Yeah. Isn't that like the most
- 11:27painful bone to break in the human body? I think
- 11:31it's your tibula. That's yeah, that's the, the
- 11:35cow. When the tibula breaks, it sounds like a
- 11:38cannon. Oh, I always thought it was a fib. Yeah.
- 11:41OK. Still, I I read that. Like I saw it on Twitter,
- 11:44like that. I just saw like Daniel Jones injury,
- 11:47whatever turning. I was like, oh, he went down
- 11:49or something. And I saw a broken fibula. Oh,
- 11:52God. It's like, no, he's playing. With what?
- 11:58I mean, I don't know how broken it is. I mean,
- 12:02it can't be that. I mean, unless it's just that
- 12:06bad. I mean, did they did they bench Anthony
- 12:11Richardson or did he get injured? It was so long
- 12:13ago. I don't even know if he's still alive. I
- 12:15haven't heard from him since training. Yeah,
- 12:20they are 15. Tony, Tony Richardson, Sean's best
- 12:26friend, Tony Richardson. Fuck that guy. But,
- 12:31uh, but yeah, that's, uh, it's, it's a weird
- 12:35time in the, uh, in, in these divisional matchups
- 12:38here. Uh, Chris, I'm going to let you take this
- 12:41one first. All right. Um, the wrong team is favored
- 12:45in this football game. The Jacksonville Jaguars
- 12:48are just better. The Colts are in free fall right
- 12:53now. They've lost three last four. I mean, yeah,
- 12:55we touched on it. Danny Dimes has some sort of,
- 12:59it sounds like a bad leg injury, he can't really
- 13:03do anything. So yeah, I think the Jags going
- 13:07to win the I think Jacksonville if they win this
- 13:10game, I think they will have a stranglehold on
- 13:12this division because they still play us again.
- 13:15They play the Colts again, I think, week 18 or
- 13:18they play us. They play the Colts again, I think.
- 13:22But yeah, so I think if they win this game, they
- 13:26will. All but have locked up the division. I
- 13:28think they know that. So I think they're gonna
- 13:29come out swinging. I think they won this football
- 13:31game. You can keep your damn point and a half.
- 13:34I'm taking Jags Moneyline. Also, we've touched
- 13:37on this years prior on the show. The Colts have
- 13:41not won in Jacksonville in nine years. So Jags
- 13:45Moneyline, all damn day. Not. Too often you say
- 13:50the Jacksonville Jaguars are the better team
- 13:52in a football game, but they are. So, yeah, Jag's
- 13:56money line. Will, what do you think? I like that
- 14:00pick. I might add it, but I'm taking the under
- 14:04in this game, under 48 and a half. The Colts,
- 14:08everything seems to be falling apart for them.
- 14:11Their defense is still holding it down, I guess
- 14:15you could say. I mean, they lost last week. But
- 14:19the Jags, I mean, they essentially had a mini
- 14:24bye week playing us and like they had a ton of
- 14:27injuries. So it's a good chance for them to get
- 14:31a little bit healthier. I know they were banged
- 14:33up a little bit, but I think the Jags kind of
- 14:38shut her down. And I think they put up enough
- 14:42to win. most likely. But my my official pick
- 14:46is is under 48 and a half. I don't I don't think
- 14:48this game is going to be a good watch. And it's
- 14:54a divisional game. So crazy shit happens. A lot
- 14:59of fireworks are are died down. But but yeah,
- 15:02that's that's pretty much all I got, Sean. Yeah,
- 15:05I'm going Jags Moneyline along with Chris. And
- 15:09honestly, it makes too much sense. I mean, The
- 15:13Titans basically handed Jacksonville the lead
- 15:17in the AFC South. And now these two scumbags
- 15:21just have to fight it out. And like, I know that
- 15:26like if you go against the Titans, it's not exactly
- 15:29like a resume builder, but like the Jags, they
- 15:34did kind of look sharp. They're getting healthier.
- 15:37Momentum's building. Colts are sliding. Hoard
- 15:42and so let's just ride the hot hand and You know,
- 15:47I've got some you know me. I've got some stats
- 15:49to back it up Jack we Chris touched on it. The
- 15:55the Jaguars are just a thorn in the cult side
- 15:58since 2015 Indy is just 3 and 16 and 1 against
- 16:02the spread in Jacksonville That's just absurd
- 16:06That's an absurd level of domination Yeah, and
- 16:11that's going through nine different Colts quarterbacks.
- 16:15And not a single one of them is above 500 against
- 16:19the spread versus the Jaguars. So yeah, and also
- 16:26if you want to make matters a little worse, Jano
- 16:28Jones, if he's going to play, historically struggles
- 16:33outdoors versus good defenses. After last week,
- 16:38he is now four 11 and one straight up outdoors
- 16:42against teams allowing under 20 points per game.
- 16:46Um, yeah, just bottom line, like Colts struggling,
- 16:51Jags heating up historically. Jack Jacksonville
- 16:55just owns the Colts. It's Jack's money line all
- 16:57day. Okay. There we go. Also real quick before
- 17:03we move on. Uh, it looks like no sauce Gardner
- 17:04for this game. So, uh, yes, I did see that also.
- 17:07Yeah. That trades agent like milk. Yeah. Oh,
- 17:12well, okay. I know. I'm just saying two first
- 17:15rounders for a guy who gets hurt two weeks after
- 17:18you trade. Fuck them. Well, we said last week,
- 17:22we thought he, you thought he was hurt last week.
- 17:24I, we did not check on it, but like, I don't
- 17:28think he played last week, did he? He was listed
- 17:31as doubtful for this game, so I don't know. I
- 17:33didn't watch any of the Colts game last week.
- 17:37So, I don't know. I read somewhere that he might
- 17:41have been hurt. Again, I did not check on it.
- 17:44Well, that seems to be true. I did check on it
- 17:47this week. He is listed as doubtful. Okay. There
- 17:52we go. um next game bangles at the bills the
- 17:56bills favored by five and a half over unders
- 17:5852 and a half currently um are the bangles back
- 18:04that is the question it's it's it's kind of like
- 18:08they they got back burrow and they have they
- 18:13have that swag back as i say that in the whitest
- 18:17tone possible um What do we do? What do you got?
- 18:23What do you think Sean? What is are the Bengals
- 18:25back? I'm on the bills honestly, OK? I think
- 18:31it starts with the obvious that the the the bungles
- 18:35defense is just straight up booty cheeks. Somehow
- 18:39there they've been playing better, but they're
- 18:41still booty cheeks. But somehow they're still
- 18:46alive in this playoff hunt, but I think this
- 18:49matchup. is gonna expose everything that they
- 18:52struggle with. Since he is dead last in passing
- 18:56yards allowed and dead last in total yards allowed,
- 19:01they put so much pressure on their offense to
- 19:05just keep up with just every single week. And
- 19:10even that 32 -14 win over the Ravens, their defense
- 19:14didn't fix, it didn't do anything. That was just
- 19:20incompetence by the Ravens. I just kind of think
- 19:25that Buffalo should control this game. The Bills
- 19:30allow just 163 passing yards per game. And that's
- 19:38gonna force Sensi to obviously be put in this
- 19:42situation where they're gonna be forced to throw
- 19:45the ball and they're just gonna lose control.
- 19:49of the tempo um meanwhile like bangles defense
- 19:54it's given up 32 points per game except except
- 19:59for last week but like overall they're giving
- 20:02up 32 points per game um this is just a recipe
- 20:05for disaster for the bangles um i think the bills
- 20:08are going to just set the pace and just jump
- 20:12jump on the chance and honestly i did find a
- 20:16little stat uh zack taylor head coach of the
- 20:19Cincinnati Bengals, is terrible with extra prep
- 20:23time. Since he took over, the Bengals are just
- 20:269 -15 -1 straight up, and 10 -14 -1 against the
- 20:31spread when they have extended rest. So yeah,
- 20:35bad defense, bad trends. Bills need the win to
- 20:39honestly just for their playoff push, because
- 20:43they're probably not going to win this division
- 20:45with the Patriots the way that they're playing.
- 20:48And I think this matchup lines up perfectly for
- 20:51Buffalo. So it's Buffalo all day for me. Will,
- 20:54what do you think? I agree with a lot of the
- 20:59things you say, but my pick is different. It
- 21:03is the over 52 and a half. I asked you this question,
- 21:12are the bangles back? I don't think they're 100
- 21:16% back. There's three phases to the game So you
- 21:21could say that there are 30 % back The other
- 21:24two, you know defensive special teams. I don't
- 21:27think I don't think they're back. I don't I don't
- 21:30think that'll ever happen. So For that reason
- 21:33I'm taking the the over. I mean like you said
- 21:35it yourself. They're averaging 32 Points allowed
- 21:39per game. That's not good That's not winning
- 21:43football. And the bills, their defense, I mean,
- 21:46it feels like they're perpetually banged up.
- 21:48I did not know that 132 passing yard stat, which
- 21:55makes me a little worried. 163. Where did I get
- 21:58that number? But that worries me. But also, if
- 22:05the Bengals offense is back, which, I mean, it
- 22:08just seems like it. Think this game is going
- 22:12to cruise to the over in a game that I think
- 22:17Just adding Joe burrow, I think the Bengals could
- 22:21potentially cover this game just some just some
- 22:24magic, you know some bullshit But also the Bills,
- 22:28I mean they they're fighting for their lives
- 22:30right now The record is positive, but like they
- 22:33they got to win some some more of these capes
- 22:35in order to be convincing going into the playoffs
- 22:39Over 52 and a half. Chris, what do you think?
- 22:43I agree. Over 52 and a half for pretty much combination
- 22:46of everything you guys just said. Yes, since
- 22:50these defense is terrible, Buffalo's offense
- 22:52at home is electric. They're putting up 33 points
- 22:55a game at home this season. Yeah, I think they'll
- 22:58be able to score it. I mean, if they don't get
- 23:01at least 35, I think it would be a bad day for
- 23:03them. And yeah, Joe Burrow is back. He was slaying
- 23:06against Baltimore. I mean, Buffalo's defense.
- 23:09isn't great. I know like, I mean, pretty much
- 23:12because they're always hurt. So I think Barrow
- 23:15will be able to do enough to get to this over.
- 23:19I mean, yeah, I feel like every game at Highmark
- 23:23Stadium, right? Where Buffalo plays. Is that
- 23:25what it's called? New Era, whatever that every
- 23:29game in Buffalo seems to be pretty awesome. So
- 23:33I think you get two electric offenses, especially
- 23:36one. dog shit defense, one fine defense. I think
- 23:40the source say over 52 and a half. Hell yeah.
- 23:44Uh, moving on NFC North matchup here, the bears
- 23:49at the Packers, the Packers are favored by six
- 23:51and a half over under is 44 and a half. Um, I
- 23:56gotta say I am still kind of mulling this one
- 23:59over. I do want to hear what you guys think.
- 24:01Um, because the way that I'm thinking here, it's
- 24:06It feels like the Packers have put it together.
- 24:10Their defense has been pretty consistently good
- 24:16this year. And the Bears, they're the one seed,
- 24:21right? Yes. That's bananas. Yes, it is. And like,
- 24:30we're in a weird... Season and point in the season
- 24:34because it feels like nobody is like Amazing
- 24:37it feels like no team in the NFL is like fucking
- 24:42amazing It's like teams are good, but They're
- 24:47not they're not great. It's it's such a weird
- 24:51kind of Kind of era in the NFL right now in the
- 24:55the 2025 2026 season but also this just it just
- 25:00feels like a lot of points for a divisional matchup
- 25:03and like I Really want to take the Bears But
- 25:07I I feel like that's not the right play. I don't
- 25:11know Chris Do you have something for this game?
- 25:17I do have something for this game, but before
- 25:19I get into it, I forgot I had a trend center
- 25:22set for the last game we're talking about. So
- 25:24I'm just going to read that off real quick. It's
- 25:26a good one. This is it's called builds early
- 25:29home over since 2016. So since 2016, when the
- 25:33bills are playing at home at one o 'clock Eastern,
- 25:36the total is more than thirty eight and a half
- 25:38and the spread is five and a half or greater.
- 25:41The over is thirty two, twelve and one in the
- 25:43last nine years. So, yeah. Over. But yeah, back
- 25:49to this game. Bears plus six and a half. I jumped
- 25:53off of them on Black Friday. I just took the
- 25:56under which still hit. Thank God. What was the
- 25:59last time you saw the top seed in a conference
- 26:02this late in the season be a six and a half point
- 26:04dog? Never. This is fucking crazy. Yeah. I think
- 26:09I saw something that like a lot of the money
- 26:11is already on the Packers. And I get it because
- 26:15the Packers looked fucking awesome on Thanksgiving,
- 26:17but we've seen this Jekyll and Hyde thing from
- 26:19the Packers before. I mean, they balled out on
- 26:23either Sunday, Monday night football, whichever
- 26:24one against the Steelers. And then the next week
- 26:27they go home and lose outright to Carolina. I
- 26:32think the Packers are the better team overall.
- 26:35I can't, I don't trust them. lay to win a game
- 26:39by more than they're by a touchdown or more.
- 26:41So yeah, Bears plus six and a half. I do think
- 26:46the Bears are overrated. But I mean, at some
- 26:48point, you got we got to call a spade a spade.
- 26:51They're they're overrated. But they're a good
- 26:53football team. They're winning games. Yeah, I
- 26:56think they keep it within a touchdown. Okay.
- 27:00Yeah. Did that help anything? Or do we need cake
- 27:02to Sean? Yeah, I'm gonna take I'm gonna take
- 27:04the Bears. All right. Like, it's it's the same
- 27:08thing as last week because the Bears I mean I
- 27:11was looking at their their schedule and who they've
- 27:14already played and they haven't really played
- 27:16like a lot of good teams but like they beat the
- 27:21Eagles and like I don't know if you could even
- 27:23say the Eagles are are good team there there's
- 27:25there's somewhat there I mean they're have a
- 27:27winning record they're probably gonna make the
- 27:28playoffs they're eight and four yeah they went
- 27:31on the road they went on the road to the Bears
- 27:35They went on the road and dumped the super bowl
- 27:37champions like say what you will about the state
- 27:39of that team right now That's impressive. Yeah,
- 27:41that's impressive. Yes, and then like you you
- 27:44go back to early in the season and it's like
- 27:47Okay, they played the lions and the lions took
- 27:51a shit down their throats but other than that
- 27:56like This is pretty good team. I think their
- 27:59only other loss. I can't even remember who it
- 28:01was, but they kept it close Ravens, it wasn't
- 28:04that close. That was probably 14. That was like
- 28:08six or seven weeks ago though. Yeah. So it's,
- 28:12it's like, it's, it's like, it's just a weird
- 28:16point in the season where it just, the Bears,
- 28:18it doesn't, it just doesn't feel right that they're
- 28:20good, but they are winning games. And I'm taking
- 28:25the, I'm taking the Bears with the points. Right.
- 28:31Sean, what do you think? Yeah, I mean Just to
- 28:35keep it topical just we're officially in the
- 28:38upside -down Timeline of the NFL the Chicago
- 28:41Bears are the number one seed in the NFC just
- 28:46This is this is a different era boys Aaron Rodgers
- 28:51has long gone Ben Johnson has these dudes looking
- 28:54like a real football team for the first time
- 28:57in like what a decade Maybe it was a double doink
- 29:04was whatever that since that year. Yeah, then
- 29:08like here like I have no stats to back this up,
- 29:12but like I Honestly just like you can't rely
- 29:18on like long -term trends between like these
- 29:21two franchises These old bear Packers numbers.
- 29:26They don't matter anymore These are two completely
- 29:29different quarterbacks, two completely different
- 29:32coaching systems, two completely different identities.
- 29:37So no squirrel stats. This is just pure vibes.
- 29:43This is 2025 NFL Bizarro world where the Bears
- 29:46of the NFC one seed is Bears plus six and a half.
- 29:51I mean, like this just too many points for a
- 29:54divisional game. with the lead in with the division
- 30:00on the line like I mean like this just I think
- 30:09that the Bears defense is legit and like their
- 30:15offense has some structure finally which is crazy
- 30:23And I think they've earned the right to not be
- 30:26slept on this season in these spots And this
- 30:31is just too many points. So I mean this is value.
- 30:34It's a gift and Honestly, it's mostly vibes to
- 30:40be honest. So it's it's plus six. It's bears
- 30:42plus six and a half Yes, it does feel like a
- 30:47vibes play I will say though if the Bears win
- 30:52this game They're they're fucking for real. I
- 30:58Think I might Yeah, yeah, like it's I might throw
- 31:03I might throw like a half unit on bears money
- 31:05line just for fun Because what else is going
- 31:09on? Well, am I gonna do on a Sunday? What else
- 31:12am I gonna do laundry? No, I do that on Saturdays
- 31:19But yeah that if the Bears win this game that's
- 31:23It's it's gonna that's gonna be a team. You do
- 31:26not want to play Lots of vibes anyway moving
- 31:32on the next game Sunday night football the Texans
- 31:38at the cheese the Texans won last week against
- 31:41the Colts the Texans are Would you say in the
- 31:45hunt? Yes Yeah There this division it's kind
- 31:52of feels like it's up for grabs but at the same
- 31:55time it it's it it doesn't i don't know it's
- 31:59it's weird um well the titans were eliminated
- 32:02last week last week so it's not up for grabs
- 32:06you know well i meant for like the teams that
- 32:08like win games we were only eliminated last week
- 32:11yeah we haven't been eliminated since like week
- 32:14eight no we were we were officially eliminated
- 32:19against the loss against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
- 32:21Wow. Honestly. Yep. That ain't nothing to week
- 32:2614 still on the hunt. Yeah. Well, it's such a
- 32:30weird year because nobody's good. We also had,
- 32:32I think the Jags were like our third divisional
- 32:35game of the season and we 14. So that probably
- 32:39had something to do with it. Right. Um, I do
- 32:42want to say, uh, the window is open for the chiefs
- 32:47to make the playoffs. Don't know if you guys
- 32:50have thought about this. Well, I did I looked
- 32:52into this I Mean they got to start winning Like
- 32:58now and they can't look back like it's open but
- 33:01they they have to win out pretty much. I believe
- 33:04well, here's the thing the The Colts are going
- 33:08on a slide and if they don't end up Like winning
- 33:12the division and they're tied with the Chiefs
- 33:15the Chiefs won against them. They have the tiebreaker
- 33:17they can make the playoffs and uh fucking the
- 33:22chargers uh justin herbert he has to get surgery
- 33:25on his left hand so like they're gonna go out
- 33:29they have a winning record i wouldn't say they
- 33:33have to they're gonna go out like there's a chance
- 33:36i mean just immediately write them off there
- 33:39aren't they're they're ahead of the chiefs in
- 33:41the division so yes uh but and the chiefs still
- 33:46play them uh left over in the uh in the year
- 33:49and so it's it's kind of like if the chiefs can
- 33:53essentially like go four and one in these next
- 33:55games like dude they're they're it they're they're
- 34:00in it's and it's it's kind of like if they just
- 34:04win then it's then they're in like it's it's
- 34:09i hate it it's wild um but uh Forgot to say the
- 34:14the spread and the the total the chiefs are favored
- 34:18by three and a half points and the total is 41
- 34:23and a half. I wrote that really small 42 and
- 34:29a half All right, that's what I got 43 shit is
- 34:35it I did my research like an hour ago. Okay,
- 34:39so I'm just saying, but that's, that's what I
- 34:43saw on whatever book I was using. But, um, but
- 34:45with that being said, let's get into this game.
- 34:48Uh, Sean, what, what do you, what do you have
- 34:50for this game? All right. Excellence Chiefs under
- 34:5443 and a half. Um, I think this, this game just
- 34:57has the ingredients for a tight, low scoring
- 35:01rock fight. I mean, first off, this is unfamiliar
- 35:06territory for For the Chiefs, I mean they're
- 35:10sitting six and six right now They're legitimately
- 35:13fighting for their lives for a playoff spot That
- 35:17alone just changes how they're gonna approach
- 35:20the game They can't afford to make mistakes.
- 35:23They can't afford shootouts and They're gonna
- 35:27be playing at this like playoff level tension.
- 35:30So things are gonna be tight Texans Quietly the
- 35:36best defense in the NFL and I think it took everybody
- 35:40like more than half the season to realize it
- 35:43including us so um In its last three Houston
- 35:47has led their opponents to just 19 points or
- 35:50fewer Including the Colts in week 13 This defense
- 35:55is fast physical and incredibly well coached
- 36:00Also, if you know this Andy Reid offensively
- 36:05Remember last January when Houston lost 23 to
- 36:1114 in the divisional round and They just they
- 36:15just held the coat the Chiefs to just two hundred
- 36:19and twelve yards That's crazy. That's wild They
- 36:24matched them physically then I think this is
- 36:26an even better matchup right now. So also It's
- 36:33going to feel like 12 degrees in Kansas in Arrowhead
- 36:41on Sunday night. That alone should just be like,
- 36:46hey, let's just run the ball. Let's not throw
- 36:49this cinder block ball through the air. I think
- 36:55this, the weather just takes out the team to
- 36:58make like, you know, it doesn't force it. Well,
- 37:04depending on the game, but I think this takes
- 37:08them out of like making them make long drives.
- 37:15And it's going to be like third down battles,
- 37:18conservative calls, it's cold, it's physical,
- 37:22neither offense is really built to run away in
- 37:25these conditions. So I'm grabbing the under right
- 37:29now. I got it at 43 and a half. It's already
- 37:34gone down to 42. Since the time of recording,
- 37:38so this is going to probably slide closer to
- 37:414140, so I would take this under while you can.
- 37:47It's this tight game elite defense freezing temperatures.
- 37:51It's under 43 and a half for me. Chris, what
- 37:54do you got 100 % agree? I got under 42 and a
- 37:58half. I like it anything above 42 so. I still
- 38:03love 42 and a half. Yeah, like you said, Texans
- 38:06have arguably the best defense in all of football.
- 38:10Chiefs suck on the road. At home, the defense's
- 38:13lights out. They're only allowing 16 points a
- 38:16game in Arrowhead this season. Yeah, it's crazy.
- 38:20Greta haven't really played the stiffest competition
- 38:22at home, but CJ Stroud and the Texans offense,
- 38:25they're not exactly world beaters. So I think
- 38:29they can hold Stroud and company to very small
- 38:33point total. So yeah, going with the under, this
- 38:37is essentially a playoff game for the chief.
- 38:39Every game here on out is a playoff game for
- 38:40the chiefs essentially. So I think they're going
- 38:42to treat it like such. They're going to run the
- 38:43fucking football. They're going to own time of
- 38:46possession and that's going to lead to low score
- 38:48games. So yeah, also have two stats, two stats
- 38:52from our friends at Trenton Center. We got two
- 38:56stats. Yeah, both sitting around Patrick Mahomes.
- 39:02So one Patrick Mahomes on eight days rest or
- 39:06more. And the total is less or yes, less than
- 39:1051. The under is 14, four and one, eight and
- 39:13two in the last 10. And the other one, Mahomes
- 39:16prime time unders when Patrick Mahomes plays
- 39:19a home game in prime time, the under is 16 and
- 39:21seven, also eight and two in the last 10. So
- 39:25two trends from trend center. Under 42 and a
- 39:29half all damn day, Utah. Give me two under 42
- 39:33The point break reference for the kids at home
- 39:39I got that reference. I got it. I never talk
- 39:43give me two Okay, well we got a Queen's a clean
- 39:54sweep Jesus well, what are we doing? During um,
- 39:59they got a clean sweep. I'm also on the under
- 40:02when I was doing research it was 41 and a half
- 40:05The book out. I mean, I might have to go to a
- 40:08different book. But either way, I'm taking the
- 40:11under I think this game is Not going to be fun
- 40:15to watch It's gonna be two defenses that are
- 40:19very good Texans arguably one of the best defenses
- 40:22in the league the Chiefs. I mean their defenses
- 40:26pretty much shown up in the majority of their
- 40:28games. So let's go under. Let's let's go to bed
- 40:35early. Let's go to bed early that night. All
- 40:39right. Now moving on to everyone's favorite segment
- 40:43of the week. The double unit surefire guaranteed
- 40:48not to lose picks of the week. I will go first
- 40:52because I think that someone is going to take
- 40:57mine. It's the Steelers Ravens under. Under 43
- 41:00and a half. I feel like this is just a historical
- 41:04matchup. I have a stat to back it up. I don't
- 41:07have a stat for the matchup. I mean, those have
- 41:10been beat to hell. So I have a different one.
- 41:13I have a different stat for this under. Late
- 41:16season unders with teams falling off. The under
- 41:21is 97, 49 and three. In these games, um, seven
- 41:29and three in the last 10 let's go under 43 and
- 41:33a half. This game is going to suck. Um, and I'm
- 41:35ready for it. I'm ready to make money off of
- 41:37it. Uh, Chris, what is your sure fire double
- 41:42unit guaranteed not to lose play of the week?
- 41:45All right. Uh, we're going to go back to back
- 41:48this week and we're doing it with an old friend,
- 41:51the Seattle Seahawks minus seven. against the
- 41:54shit bag Atlanta Falcons. Seahawks essentially
- 41:58had a bye week last week. They were playing third
- 42:00string quarterback in Minnesota. I mean, they
- 42:05just kind of I mean, they made his life hell,
- 42:07but it didn't look like they had to try very
- 42:08hard to do it. So I don't think they're going
- 42:11to exactly be banged up coming into this one.
- 42:14So and I mean, Kirk Cousins. Solid backup quarterback
- 42:20in this league at this point, but he's not. Very
- 42:23good. So I think Seahawks kind of get after his
- 42:26ass. Uh, yeah, I just think they're a lot better.
- 42:29Obviously we all know Mike McDonald is amazing
- 42:32on the road struggle has not covered the last.
- 42:35No, we covered against the Rams, but they lost,
- 42:37but he covered, they didn't cover against the
- 42:39Titans. So, um, still great against the spread
- 42:41on the road. Uh, another Utah, give me two stats
- 42:46from the trend center. Um, dating back to last
- 42:49year, Sam Donald after a straight up win. with
- 42:52a total of less than 50 is 16, three and one
- 42:55against the spread. And where's the Atlanta Falcons
- 42:59in the last 26 years on 1pm Eastern kickoffs.
- 43:06Oh, hold on. There's more. I lost my place. Um,
- 43:10yes. When the spread is less than nine, they
- 43:12are 36 and 72 against the spread. So that being
- 43:17said, the CLC Hawks are going to kick the shit
- 43:19out of the Atlanta Falcons, battle the birds.
- 43:21Um, go Seahawks minus seven sure fire guarantee
- 43:24not to lose. Sean, I feel like I took yours and,
- 43:28uh, I apologize for that, but I was just agreeing
- 43:33because I'm pretty sure that I gave that Eastern
- 43:36time zone like stat out earlier as one of my
- 43:41other sure fire picks, um, earlier this season,
- 43:45the Falcons one. Yeah. Did I apologize I think
- 43:50it still works. Yeah, it's all good. So But mine
- 43:58I'm going with an old Willie P all reliable on
- 44:01this one Saints bucks over 42 and a half Saints
- 44:09put up numbies bucks defense bad Baker needs
- 44:15to get right spot. And I do have a trend from
- 44:18our friends at the Trends Center. NFC South divisional
- 44:22overs. It's crazy because this division is ass,
- 44:28but these divisional games just keep going over.
- 44:3312 and six in the last 18. Yeah, five and five
- 44:40in its last 10 on a One game losing streak, but
- 44:44that just means it's due off of a five five win
- 44:47streak. So Give me the bucks saints over forty
- 44:52two and a half, please and thank you Okay, there
- 44:57are your double unit guaranteed not to lose plays
- 45:00of the week the surefire parlay It's definitely
- 45:04gonna hit this week. I can feel it My stat was
- 45:08also brought to you by the trend center. Shout
- 45:10out All right. All right. Next, we got some extra
- 45:15plays on the board. I don't have too many, but
- 45:19the only extra play that I have is the Rams minus
- 45:22seven and a half against the Cardinals. And I
- 45:25do have a trend center. I was going to say back
- 45:29to the well. You got something to say, Sean?
- 45:35Talking wet over there? I didn't say anything.
- 45:39I said something. Use he was shaking his head
- 45:42though. I Was thinking about how the I was thinking
- 45:48away a little bit. Yeah, you're right. I was
- 45:50thinking what I didn't say anything though. I
- 45:53Do have a stat from the trend center to back
- 45:55this shit up This trend has a hundred percent
- 46:00score So it's one of the best for the week. This
- 46:03one's titled NFL didn't cover versus did cover
- 46:07in divisional matchups It's on the Rams, minus
- 46:10seven and a half, minus eight, depending on where
- 46:13you get it. 94, 40 and one against the spread.
- 46:18Three game win streak. Seven and three in the
- 46:22last 10. I think the Rams, if they don't turn
- 46:26over the ball, are probably the best team in
- 46:28the league. If I'm going to be quite honest,
- 46:30I didn't check out the... Stop laughing at me.
- 46:34Well, I'll just say you make it funny. It's like
- 46:38if the Rams don't turn over the ball, it's like,
- 46:40yeah, you're right. Yeah. Going into last week's
- 46:44matchup, Matthew Stafford threw 27 touchdowns
- 46:49without throwing an interception in the last
- 46:52however many fucking games that was. And then
- 46:56he started turning over the ball and they lost.
- 46:59Coincidence? I think not. How many did he throw
- 47:02last week? I think he threw one and then fumbled
- 47:05one. Okay. If I'm not mistaken, um, I couldn't,
- 47:11I obviously couldn't watch that game, but it
- 47:14wasn't local to us. So, but, uh, if friends will
- 47:17turn over the ball, I love this bounce back spot.
- 47:21Uh, the shit against the shit bag Cardinals.
- 47:23I don't care if it's Kobe Berset. I don't care
- 47:25if it's Kyler Murray, it's not going to go well
- 47:27for them. Uh, and the Rams still have a great
- 47:29defense. Rams minus seven and a half. That's
- 47:31all I got. Uh, Sean, what do you got? Well chuckling
- 47:38on me. Yeah, you're gonna be chuckling on me
- 47:41too captain chuckles over there. I Only got one
- 47:46more play so far It's the Titans plus four yeah
- 47:53against the Browns Yeah, let's get sick with
- 47:57it We're getting we're getting sick of mode with
- 48:00it So I texted the boys about the games we wanted
- 48:07to talk about. And I almost included the Titans
- 48:11Browns matchup in, you know, our main slate.
- 48:16And I was like, this would be really cool, but
- 48:19all these other games like matter. You know what
- 48:22I mean? And it's like, we can't just talk about
- 48:25the shitbag Titans and the bitch ass Browns.
- 48:30This game is. the opposite of matters. This game
- 48:35does not matter, but it kind of does matter at
- 48:41the same time because you have Cam Ward who went
- 48:471 -1 and then Shador Sanders who fell from the
- 48:55first round to the fifth round to the Cleveland
- 48:59Browns. But it was fifth round, correct? Yeah,
- 49:03I was I was about to be mean I was well he fell
- 49:05from the first round and the second and the third
- 49:07and the fourth Okay. Well, yeah, we could yes.
- 49:11He was he was a fifth round. Yes. Yes He was
- 49:13a fifth round pick we could elevator it if you
- 49:15want, but I mean I Don't know this has to be
- 49:22The Titans cannot lose this game Should or cannot
- 49:30be better than cam in this game. It just can't
- 49:35happen Or else we're gonna be like the laughing
- 49:41we already are but like I Don't even know how
- 49:47to describe this like you want to feel right
- 49:50with I with the franchise's decision I would
- 49:53yes, I do want to feel correct Correct. I would
- 49:57say More like if we lose this game, we will be
- 50:00the laughing stock more. So right now we're too
- 50:02irrelevant to be a laughing stock. People just
- 50:05forget that things exist. They're like, oh yeah,
- 50:08the Titans played football today that they probably
- 50:11lost. You know that I look well now that I'm
- 50:14on the trend center app because I do have a stat
- 50:17to back this up, but it says that Dylan Gabriel
- 50:20is going to start. No correct. He was can't be.
- 50:25They can't do that. They can't do that. No, I
- 50:29think they're going with I think because last
- 50:31Gabriel was cleared last week and they went with
- 50:33Shador and sure didn't play bad Like I know I
- 50:35kind of ragged on the beginning. He didn't play
- 50:37awful So I would be very surprised if they go
- 50:40back to them. I Don't know but this comes from
- 50:43our friends at the trend center with teams win
- 50:45less than two weeks or two wins after week 9
- 50:5046 8 46 and 18 against the spread, eight and
- 50:54two in its last 10. Titans plus four. I kind
- 51:00of hope it's Shador and not Dylan Gabriel. I
- 51:04think, I think it is everything I'm looking at.
- 51:06It's going to be Shador. It's going to be Shador
- 51:09because this is like the, you know, uh, Mariotta
- 51:14Winston, like week one matchup to me right now.
- 51:20in the state that we're in, because it's like,
- 51:23God, I want, I want the Titans to be right. So
- 51:27bad. Like I want them to have gotten their guy
- 51:30and I want that guy to ball out so hard. And
- 51:35you know, cam really wants to win this game.
- 51:37Yes. He wants to win every game. I think this
- 51:41one is, I know it was all like the off season,
- 51:45like workouts and stuff that they were doing
- 51:47when she was like, Yeah, he's like, what do you
- 51:51do for fun? He's like football football. Okay,
- 51:55but like other than that football I Want to be
- 51:59known as a football player the greatest yeah,
- 52:04and I hope that the Tennessee Titans can at least
- 52:10grasp at that dream that cam has So at least
- 52:16for now It's the Titans plus four and That's
- 52:21the only other extra play that I have I might
- 52:23throw a little bit on that because I mean I'm
- 52:26gonna have to watch it and I Do really want to
- 52:31win this game. Yo Miller's this weekend Miller's
- 52:37on Sunday No $3 draft brews, let's do it. I like
- 52:45$3 I do like $3 brews. Maybe we should discuss
- 52:50this after the show. Sure, sure, sure. Maybe
- 52:56we should discuss our personal plans. Where will
- 52:59where our locations will be? We have a big following
- 53:04Sean. Yes, yeah, live meetup. If a free for the
- 53:10money fan shows up at Miller's Ale house. In
- 53:13Murfreesboro. Will pay for your tab. Oh Sean
- 53:20will pay for my If you are not on the if you
- 53:25are not on the show Dixon's gonna roll up like
- 53:28alright Sean Family family does not family does
- 53:34not count family does not count heard you about
- 53:37gonna be it's gonna be a random stranger Someone
- 53:41I've never met. All right All right. Well, who
- 53:46have you done? It's me. It's Chris. Sorry. Go
- 53:50ahead. All right. Well, since we're on the topic,
- 53:52Titans plus four and a half. My notes are a lot
- 53:56bleaker than what Sean wrote. It just says someone's
- 53:59got to win this fucking game. And whoever does,
- 54:01I don't think it's gonna be more than a field
- 54:03goal. So four and a half. I mean, that's that's
- 54:09fair. That's a good point, too. Yeah, I just
- 54:11don't I legitimately don't see. Team being able
- 54:14to pull away in this game like regardless if
- 54:16the Titans were four and a half point favorites
- 54:18I obviously wouldn't bet it, but I would recommend
- 54:20Browns was for now I think awesome Miles Garrett's
- 54:24probably gonna have like ten sacks Don't say
- 54:29that I Don't think you were thinking it. I mean
- 54:33Jeffrey Simmons could have it, but I mean the
- 54:35Browns Offensive line is better now because it's
- 54:38hard to get worse than the Titans, but They're
- 54:40not particularly great Anyway, also to echo sentiment
- 54:47of our friend in our gambling group chat, if
- 54:50you know, or goes out there and shreds the Titans
- 54:52full of the fucking franchise, I don't want to
- 54:56I don't want to be associated with this team
- 54:58anymore. If he goes out there, puts up 350 and
- 55:00three touchdowns. So, yeah, Titans plus four
- 55:03and a half Rams Cardinals over 48 and a half.
- 55:07I think the Rams are pissed off. I think they
- 55:09take out some anger on the Cardinals. Also, Cardinals
- 55:14offense, not terrible. They like, they can keep
- 55:18some games close. Uh, Jacobi Berset, since he
- 55:20has become the full -time starter in Arizona,
- 55:22the overs five and two. Um, so yeah, over 48
- 55:26and a half male. I think Rams are going to score
- 55:28a bunch of those, but I think Cardinals would
- 55:29pull their weight. And then the only other one
- 55:32I got Thursday night football over 54 and a half.
- 55:36All I have written down. It's Cowboys lions,
- 55:39by the way, I'll have written down is let's have
- 55:41some fun. Yeah, over 54 and a half. Two electric
- 55:47offenses inside at Ford Field where points just
- 55:52rain from the sky. So yeah, over 54 and a half
- 55:54this game is going to rock. I mean, if both teams
- 55:57score in the 30s, would you really be that shocked?
- 56:00No. Yeah. Over 54 and a half. Let's have some
- 56:03fun. I might add more come Sunday. Check the
- 56:07Twitter. But that's all I got for now. OK. All
- 56:13right, I Do have an update for some of my futures
- 56:19I had a couple futures cash I had Over nine and
- 56:25a half orange. Yeah, I had over nine and a half
- 56:28wins for the Denver Broncos that one and then
- 56:32I had I Can't for some reason it's not coming
- 56:35up now, but I had the under South Carolina regular
- 56:42season wins. And that cashed. So hey, we're looking
- 56:48okay. And then I have two other futures. Oh,
- 56:53yeah. One of them was JJ McCarthy under like
- 56:574 ,000 yards. I mean, that's gonna, they should
- 57:00already cash it, if I'm gonna be honest. I think
- 57:03that's gonna hit. Yeah, because I have the same
- 57:05thing. I was about to say that I think that's
- 57:06gonna hit by a couple thousand yards. Yes. And
- 57:12so that's I mean, that's probably gonna hit.
- 57:14I believe I have Devante Smith over 850 receiving
- 57:21yards. And I checked it after the the game on
- 57:27Friday, and he only needs 50 more yards. So barring
- 57:31a horrific injury, I am considering that probably
- 57:38cashed. Um, so yeah, not too shabby. It turns
- 57:44out all that, uh, that research we did, some
- 57:47of it paid off. I've got a couple, I was gonna
- 57:53say, I've got a couple that are looking, well,
- 57:56one's looking, it's the J .J. McCarthy under
- 57:5936, a hundred and a half passing yards. Yeah.
- 58:03Just go ahead and give me my money. I don't know
- 58:04what they're doing. Uh, I've seen it's under
- 58:06four and a half wins at plus money. Um, and I
- 58:10think they have won two football games. That
- 58:15sounds right. So that should be hopefully close
- 58:20to mathematically go ahead. I don't know if they'll
- 58:23pay it out when it's, yeah, they lost last week.
- 58:26So yeah, they have one, two, three, four. Yeah.
- 58:28Five more. So as long as I don't win, uh, three
- 58:31more, we're good. And then Obviously, Calvin
- 58:35Ridley over whatever the hell that's been dead
- 58:39as a doornail for a few weeks now. Mainly since
- 58:44like the third week of the season. But also,
- 58:45I can't remember if we talked on the show at
- 58:47AJ Brown over seven and a half touchdowns plus
- 58:50110 looked dead for a while, but he's looking
- 58:53pretty good lately. He's got six. So we just
- 58:55need two more. He could get that this week. He
- 58:59had two last week. I. Also had over Six and a
- 59:06half touchdowns or seven and a half touchdowns
- 59:08for DK Metcalf, and he only needs two more Yes,
- 59:11I have six and a half for DK as well, and he's
- 59:15got five right now, right? So he only needs two
- 59:19more two And that give me to should be give me
- 59:23to meet you talk to I Guess I need to watch a
- 59:29point break, but Chad I gave you see So first
- 59:37time he's been shout out since like 20 years
- 59:40I Think that's all my futures I did I did plays
- 59:48a little bit of money on the on the bills to
- 59:50win the Super Bowl and It could happen I could
- 59:54I mean, I mean just make that they'll they'll
- 59:58make it so just get hot And if the AFC isn't
- 1:00:01exactly loaded, especially if the chief, as long
- 1:00:03as the chiefs don't make it, they can be good.
- 1:00:07That's, that's their boogie man. Yeah. And like,
- 1:00:10as I stated before, two other times on this pod,
- 1:00:14nobody's really like good. Nobody's like great,
- 1:00:17you know, the FC now. Yeah. Yeah. So it's like
- 1:00:22the Patriots are awesome, but they haven't like,
- 1:00:26They're beating the shit out of bad teams. They're
- 1:00:28doing what they're supposed to do, but they're
- 1:00:29still only playing bad teams. It feels like so
- 1:00:32yeah, so It's alive In our in our fun with futures
- 1:00:40episode I did that Mike Evans over a thousand
- 1:00:44Which sucks did any of y 'all bet that probably
- 1:00:48not? Okay, I don't I have to go back through
- 1:00:52my slips to see what's still open. Yeah, but
- 1:00:55I do Good, but I do have Calvin Ridley over 925
- 1:01:02and a half as well that sucks, but I do have
- 1:01:06DK Metcalf over six and a half touchdowns and
- 1:01:10Devante Smith over eight eight hundred and fifty
- 1:01:14and a half yards receiving He only needs 49 yards.
- 1:01:21Yes, I mentioned that. Yeah. Yes. Oh, you did.
- 1:01:24I think I took that Devontae Smith one too. I
- 1:01:26need to go back and look, but I'm pretty sure
- 1:01:28I took that one. Those are my only ones in the
- 1:01:31bills. I had bills over 12 and a half wins this
- 1:01:36season. Um, that's lost already because they've,
- 1:01:42they've already, they've already lost five. Oh,
- 1:01:4612 and a half. Yeah. Okay. Yeah. They've already
- 1:01:49lost five. So it's like oh, did has it cash yet?
- 1:01:53There is it? No, it's settled. Yeah, it's okay
- 1:01:56I didn't know if like because some of these depending
- 1:01:58on the book even though it's like Mathematically
- 1:02:00is impossible for it to win. It'll still wait
- 1:02:03until like the end of the season to cash it.
- 1:02:04Yeah now She managed normal doesn't do that.
- 1:02:07So yeah shut up. I Would have I have one more
- 1:02:12that's probably not gonna hit and it's the Niners
- 1:02:14to win their division Probably not gonna happen,
- 1:02:18but that's yeah, probably I Mean I have no I
- 1:02:24know they beat the Rams on whatever in primetime
- 1:02:29a few weeks ago, but I have no idea what The
- 1:02:32rest of their division like divisional record
- 1:02:35is yeah It's probably not gonna happen probably
- 1:02:39not not in a division with the the Seahawks and
- 1:02:43the in the Rams so oh well, that's alright Okay.
- 1:02:51That's kind of all I got. I was looking up NFC
- 1:02:58West. The over cashed kind of in a sweat on Monday
- 1:03:04Night Football. I can't remember what you guys
- 1:03:07took. I took the bats, which is easy. Easiest
- 1:03:13bet of all. I got it plus 102. Pat's minus seven
- 1:03:16and a half plus 100. Easiest bet of all time.
- 1:03:20I got cute with that Giants first quarter and
- 1:03:22that didn't have a fucking prayer. Yeah, I did.
- 1:03:26That kind of offset my winnings, to be honest.
- 1:03:30After that field goal, I was like, hey, you just
- 1:03:32go down and score. We're probably going to win
- 1:03:34this quarter. And they did the opposite. They
- 1:03:36pointed and they returned for a touchdown. So
- 1:03:39yeah, that was bad. But I did also have a booty
- 1:03:42touchdown and that hit. Pretty much made me even
- 1:03:46on the night. Oh, yes I didn't see that last
- 1:03:52field go -go in but I'm very thankful that it
- 1:03:54did Well shout out thank you check the X for
- 1:04:02our Thursday night picks which comes out Tonight
- 1:04:06yes. Yes when people are hearing us. Oh, yeah.
- 1:04:12Yeah. Yeah I'm probably going to take the over.
- 1:04:18I'm just going to look. Yeah, let's just fuck
- 1:04:20it. Yeah, let's just fuck it. Fuck it. Take the
- 1:04:23over. Who cares? Yes. I'll probably take over.
- 1:04:28Is I'm going to play? I don't know, dude. That
- 1:04:33was the worst. I have almond run fantasy, by
- 1:04:35the way, and a buddy, Ryan, who I was playing
- 1:04:40last week, texted me while I was sitting down
- 1:04:42at Thanksgiving. lunch feast, whatever you want
- 1:04:46to call it. And he was like, Oh, that's rough,
- 1:04:48rough week to have almond raw. And I was like,
- 1:04:50fuck what happened. So I ate my food, went back
- 1:04:53for seconds. I texted him. I was like, do you
- 1:04:55get hurt? Like what was going on? He was like,
- 1:04:57yeah, he busted his ankle. Didn't look good.
- 1:04:59First quarter. Damn it. Yeah. And then I first
- 1:05:02quarter. So yeah, that was rough. Goose egg on
- 1:05:05the scoreboard, obviously, but whatever. Yep.
- 1:05:09Um, I'm gonna have to eat hot dogs probably.
- 1:05:12To be honest, I don't know you. Yeah, dude, there's
- 1:05:16two people who are tied for last right now, so
- 1:05:19I think you're OK. I have to like lose out essentially.
- 1:05:24It's very we only have one more game. In the
- 1:05:28room, shit, yeah, I was thinking we had two or
- 1:05:30three. Yeah, you're right. Oh, then you're definitely
- 1:05:32fine. Is it even mathematically possible for
- 1:05:35you? OK, well. Commish, yeah, we need to. Establish
- 1:05:41like what the ruling is it's like is it regular
- 1:05:46season or is it? Consolidation okay bracket for
- 1:05:50I know I said this like last year or two weeks
- 1:05:52ago. I know for real Worried over here, dude,
- 1:05:58like I'm like, I think it needs to be right god.
- 1:06:00I think it needs to be regular season Really?
- 1:06:04You don't just get to suck. That's good for you.
- 1:06:06What are you talking about? Like I know but like
- 1:06:09that's not But like, I don't think you get to
- 1:06:12suck all year and then turn it on for a few weeks
- 1:06:14while nobody else gives a shit. Like I get like
- 1:06:19it's fun, but they'll give a shit. Again, I will
- 1:06:22ask. I will ask the which I know two of them
- 1:06:25will probably be in favor of that. Okay. Ask.
- 1:06:28Ask on Sunday. Yes. When we're like at Miller's
- 1:06:32Ale house in Murfreesboro, obviously. Drop the
- 1:06:36address. But yeah, yeah, yeah, we we do need
- 1:06:42to like figure that out because The only rate
- 1:06:49like how much time we got left five minutes,
- 1:06:52okay The only reason like I kind of want to lose
- 1:06:59just so I know that somebody Will do it because
- 1:07:03I will do it. I will eat the hot. Oh, it's hot
- 1:07:07if I will say if you don't do it, you're it's
- 1:07:11a one year sussy. Yeah. Okay. Potential lifetime
- 1:07:15ban depending on their attitude. I think it depending
- 1:07:19on their reply. Yeah. Yeah. If you're a dick
- 1:07:23about it, I'll be like, okay, then you're done.
- 1:07:25But if you're like, if you just own it, then
- 1:07:27whatever one year sussy. Okay. So, but I think
- 1:07:34incorporating like the consolidation loser bracket
- 1:07:38into it does make it more fun because you still
- 1:07:43have like something to play for like you know
- 1:07:45you could still like pick up people off waivers
- 1:07:48you could still like well you obviously can't
- 1:07:50make trades but like you know you could still
- 1:07:55put the best team out there and if your team
- 1:07:57it's just like the fucking worst than like yeah
- 1:08:01which i feel like my team is the absolute worst
- 1:08:06right now So I'll, for real on Sunday, whether
- 1:08:10it be in person or in the group chat, I will
- 1:08:13float it out there and see what the losers think.
- 1:08:16And then we'll go from there because by Sunday,
- 1:08:22we will know who, who will be in the losers bracket.
- 1:08:27Yeah. So honestly, I might just go ahead and
- 1:08:31make a ruling and say, It's gonna be you have
- 1:08:34to finish out the season because you don't actually
- 1:08:37mean I'm late I'm leaning towards that now because
- 1:08:39you don't get to you have to fight for it You
- 1:08:41know, yeah, you know, I don't I don't feel like
- 1:08:43you get off that easy. Yeah You have to fight
- 1:08:46you have to fight. I'm just gonna go ahead 71
- 1:08:49fucking hot. I'm just gonna go ahead and make
- 1:08:50that rolling It's gonna be you have to whoever
- 1:08:53loses the consolation bracket is Has to eat the
- 1:08:57hot dogs. I'm gonna go and make that rolling.
- 1:08:59All right All right gonna be me I'm gonna lose.
- 1:09:04You did this. I was about to let it be regular
- 1:09:06season. But like, it's fine. It's like, it's
- 1:09:09it's what it is. It's the punishment. It's whatever.
- 1:09:13I get it. All right. Okay. On that note, I'm
- 1:09:16gonna wrap this up. Shout out Trend Center. Greatest
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- 1:09:2515 % off of premium membership. We're gonna be
- 1:09:28using it all year, all year long. College of
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- 1:09:40it's bandit, oh it's bandit it is bandit Oh little
- 1:09:46boy, oh they can't see him because Making noise
- 1:09:54All right Yeah, that was banded for a quick second.
- 1:10:01All right Follow us on X for updated picks for
- 1:10:07Thursday and Sunday and Monday And every every
- 1:10:11day that there's college basketball because we
- 1:10:13know that Chris will bet it A lot of good college
- 1:10:15basketball tonight that time of recording so
- 1:10:18that we're getting into like the actual good
- 1:10:20games All right, we'll see y 'all next week.
- 1:10:27There's three of us.