
2026-06-25 · 特辑|谁将赢得下一场战争(中):核威慑的黄昏
《外交事务》二〇二六年七/八月号特辑(中)。维持安全的旧地基正在开裂:Rose Gottemoeller 论核威慑的奇怪溃败,Jennifer Lind 与 Daryl Press 论破裂的核保护伞,Carter Malkasian 论阿富汗的清算与集体遗忘,Narges Bajoghli 与 Vali Nasr 论伊朗的新大战略。一架五百美元的无人机击穿了核大国的逻辑,盟友开始怀疑美国的核承诺,而被打了一场大仗的伊朗反而脱胎换骨。
本期完整解读的文章:
The Strange Defeat of Nuclear Deterrence — Rose Gottemoeller
The Broken Nuclear Umbrella — Jennifer Lind & Daryl G. Press
The Afghanistan Reckoning — Carter Malkasian
Iran's New Grand Strategy — Narges Bajoghli & Vali Nasr
Foreign Affairs, July/August 2026 — Who Will Win the Next War?
The skinny
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