Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Buffet with Chad and Scooch, Episode 19 - Featuring Cousin Sal

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The Buffet with Chad and Scooch, Episode 19 - Featuring Cousin Sal · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: Coming to you from fabulous Las Vegas. The right side
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: is the winning side. The late move is the correct move.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: Sports betting capital of the world. We all know when
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: a sharp like me weighs in the lines move, it's
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: a party for your ears. This is the Buffet with
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Chad and Scooch. I want to buy that guy at buffet. Hello,
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: and welcome to the Buffet with Chad and Scooch. I
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: am Chad Millman of the Action Network. On the phone
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: with me from the Orleans representing all the BOYD giving
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: books in the state of Nevada is Bob Scucci and
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: we're gonna get to him in one second. But I
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: have so many things to talk about. First. First, um,
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: we're going to announce the winner of to Get Your
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Prop Up in Vegas contest. We're gonna have that winner
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: on Scooch and I are going to talk about the
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: action in this topsy Turvy roller coaster game. We're gonna
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: make our picks. The famous cousin sal is going to
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: be on the show today and I need to remind
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: everybody go to Action network dot com check out what
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: we're doing. You've got a massive Super Bowl fifty two
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: betting package. Everything from entertainment props to match up by
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: matchup analysis, to our leans on the game from a
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: lot of our writers, and of course don't forget at
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: Action Network h Q five pm Eastern Super Bowl Sunday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: our super Bowl pregame show Chalk Talk all the betting
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: you can stand with, none of the annoying stuff in
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: pregame shows. You gotta check it out. Check it all
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: out at Action Network h Q five pm Eastern Super
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Bowl Sunday Pregame Show Boom. We deliver when it comes
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: to betting content. The man Scooch, how are you, buddy?
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: How you doing? Chad? All right, listen, here's what we
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: gotta talk about. We had so many freaking entries. It
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: was amazing, like so many entries. I didn't even I like.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: I was floored. And what's great is um the creativity
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: behind these. How amazing is the creativity and some of
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: these from a from from the way they are crafted,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: but also the research people send in is astounding. That's
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: what amazed me the most is that they not only
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: put some thought behind the prop, but they they put
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: the research in to back it up and and included
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: some some graphs and charts and all kinds of statistics.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, that was really really well done. I love it.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: It's it's one of my favorite things that we do
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: every year. UM, I need to I need to call
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: some of these out. So here's a prop from Bill
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: Greaser Greycer Building to win. Sorry Bill, um, but it
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: is worthy of reading it out of the podcast because
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: of the work he put into it. I made a
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: special note of this. At any point in Super Bowl
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: fifty two, well, one of the teams demonstrate demonstrate quote
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: Minnisota nice unquote by declining a penalty. He wrote, no,
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: plus three eight, yes, minus four twenty. But then he
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: did a um bar chart the number of NFL playoff
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: games since two thousand and fifteen for each number of
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: decline penalties. So, uh, there were one decline penalty in
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: fifteen games two and seven, three and three, four and
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: one um number of decline number of games by quarter
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: a first decline penalty, So like, when was the first
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: decline penalty happening? It was. It's amazing, It's it's totally amazing.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: He wrote a wonderful note to us. Uh, and so
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I'm really impressed with sort of support and enthusiasm for this. UM.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: What do you think of that problem? Yeah, yeah, no,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: I we the team and I kind of went through
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: a bunch of them. I sifted through and kind of
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: filtered them down. And that was one of them that
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: the team and I were looking at us to whether
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: we put it up on the board and how we'd
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: put it up, And we were thinking of maybe putting
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: it up with just an over under one declined penalty
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: and then just put odds on that and that the
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: chances of it following on one were pretty great, which
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: would have been a push. So, I mean, we we
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: looked at all these from a bookmaking point of view
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: as well. But that was a good one. I like that.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: Here's another one that I love. This was from Brian
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: you whose proposal was a big baller back well at
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: least three offensive players with first or last names beginning
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: with B score a rushing or receiving touchdown. The prop
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: is for the number of players that score the rushing
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: or receiving touchdowns, not for the total amount of touchdowns
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: scored by the players. Um, here's what I liked about
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: this email. It wasn't so much the prop, although props
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: to you, Brian for sending them. Uh. He wrote this
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: after listening to last year's prop that podcast, I thought
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: the winner of the contest sounded familiar, so I looked
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: him up. His name is Evan Young through social media
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: and it turned out they knew each other through mutual friends.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: Thanks for the unlikely connection and keep up the good work.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: I kind of feel like when that, I'm like, I'm
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: Casey Cason when I'm reading these. But here's what great?
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: So Brian you sends this email and it's fantastic and
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: talking about Evan Young in the connection and what do
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: we have? We have a prop from Evan Young. How
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: great is that? Here's a prop from Evian Young. UM,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: let's see. I hope you're well this year flew by.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: See my submission UM moon landing field goal prop well
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: with some of the two longest field goals made be
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: over or under ninety yards um if only one field
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: goals made the under winds. Apolo eleven was the spaceflight
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: that landed the first humans in the moon. Neil Armstrong
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: and Buzz Aldrin were aboard the lunar module Eagle. On July,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: Armstrong proclaimed the ego has landed. When I think of
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: moon shots with regards to football, booming along field goals
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: comes to mind. Um, two astronauts landed on the moon
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: on seven seven plus twenty plus sixty nine equals six
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: and then he's got a whole bunch of other notes
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: and statistical background. God, that's good. Yeah, I know, he
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: came pretty close to being the only two time winner. Huhh.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: I mean it's really impressive, like the moon landing, the creativity,
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: the phrase ali G, the math, the extra notes. I
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: think we should clap for Evan. Yeah, for sure, let's clap.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm clapping. You can't. You can't hear it, But
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: I'm clapping. Why why can't I hear it? Is it
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: because now I'm hearing hawking outside my window? That is
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: so loud I can concentrate. Um all right, hold on.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: There was there's a couple of guys who put in
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: multiple entries that like more than five entries or five
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: or more. That was Royce Hall and Eric Bigio. Royce's
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: were particularly interesting because at one point one of his
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: entries included like the stock price of US Bank Corp.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: Which I thought was really really well gone. Um, you
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: know you don't get that very often. So all in all,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: like um, oh, well, Eric, So did you see Eric
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: bios So he was a former He used to run
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: the sports book at the Aria. No way. Yeah, yeah,
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: So I like his little ps on who's gonna work
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: the longest? And he listed all of the all of
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: the team members at the Orleans Sports Book And I'm
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: making myself a big favorite that day to to work
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: the most hours. So just just so he knows, well,
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: we should call them out. So it's Bob Scucci, Rick Reinhardt,
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: Dan Garcia, Jake Colth uh Dida's conceptio one and Lynda Cross. Um.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: I think we know that Linda, by virtue of working
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: with you uh is basically on seven in a tortured state,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: even when she's not in the office. She deserves a
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: special uh An award for that, for for what she
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: does and putting up with me, and then and then
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: Jake also, I mean Jake take also gets the brunt
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: of it. Jake is like an angel. Yeah, he is
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: just the best. He's making things go over there, all right,
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: guess what it's time for the winner. It's time for
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: the winner, Uh, the winner. Should we get him on
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: the phone, Michael, Should we call him and let me
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: and let me just preface it because you you did
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: mention the creativity involved. It's not so much just the
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: prop itself and whether or not it's complicated or or
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: or you know, how creative that part of it is.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: It's also the name that gets associated with it, like
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: like last year the Millennial Falcon wanted you mentioned Evan Young,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: uh you know, on itself, it was just the total
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: number of Matt Ryan's past attempts times his number of completions.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, in itself, it wasn't that uh complicated, but
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: it was the fact that they named it the Millennial
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: Falcon and that had such relevance to that that kind
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: of pushed it over the top. And that's kind of
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: the same thing with it with this one. Why don't
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: we let the guy come on so you can talk
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: about it absolutely? What do you think of that sounds
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: good to me? Okay, it is time to an the
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: winner of our I don't even know what annual year
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: this is, Scooch, but it's the winner of our annual
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: get you a prop up in Vegas contests, And as
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: everybody knows, we love this contest. And we just went
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: through all the people who tried to win and did
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: not but their entries were really amazing and fantastic, and
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: we appreciate everyone playing along. Um, but the winner blew
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: us away with his creativity, with how he pandered and
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: the simplicity of his prop, which is important to Scooch
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: because it's complicated to get to just write these things
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: on the board in whites. The winner a lawyer from
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Los Angeles, California. His name is Rash Sadat. Welcome a Rash.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: Thank you guys, thank you so much for having me
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: on the podcast. This is uh, this is really cool.
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: So um, I appreciate that, especially in light of you know,
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: how how great the previous winners have been. This is
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: just it's really an honor scool sat Rush, Hey, Rush,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: good job. I really like your prop and actually props
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: because you did send a couple of other suggestions, but uh,
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I really love the simplicity and the creativity surrounding what
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: you called the prop and how you arrived at it. So, uh,
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: why don't you tell us what the prop is and
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: uh kind of how you came up with it and
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: uh just kind of your thoughts surrounding it. Sure, yeah,
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: thank you so much, scood. Yeah, so um, I think
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: I think first and foremost. As as Chad just mentioned,
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: I figured pandering would be the best way to go
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: in order to sort of maximize my chances of when
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: we are so transparent and like's not it's not even funny.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Um yeah, no, I I definitely Well, I do remember
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: a prop a few years ago that was based on
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: the letters and the word or Leans. So that was
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: sort of in the back of my head. So um.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: But but seriously, though, I I sort of I think
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: about that saying a lot. And then the saying is
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: the right side is the winning side? Um? I've heard
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: Chad say quite a few times, and uh, I mean, honestly,
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: it's just really a great way to sort of troll
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: someone who just took a bad beat, right. Uh yeah,
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: So I remember a few years ago that happened to me,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: and I was I was talking to my friend Karthik. Uh.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: He also listens to the pot. He's sort of like
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: my sports gambly buddy, and uh, after I took the
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: bad beat, I'm complaining about it. He looks me in
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: the eye and he says, come on, dude, the right
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: side is the winning side. Um. And as as you
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: sort of expect that caused me to, um, you know,
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: go into sort of like a lengthy and passion speech
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: about how how that was wrong. So UM, basically I
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: just wanted to come up with a prop that would
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: that would test the validity of it. UM. And you know,
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: I thought about doing, you know, team with the most
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: first downs to win the game, team with better the
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: better yards per play average to win the game. But UM,
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: I sort of figured that total yards would be a
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: little bit less complicated for better. So the prop was
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: the right side is the winning side question mark UM
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: and team with most yards from scrimmage to win the game.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: So that was sort of the thinking behind it um
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: I I sort of. I also I also thought and
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: and this is it reminded me of one of the
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: sort of classic Super Bowl props, which is will either
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: team score three times unanswered? Um. And it reminded me
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: of that because it's sort of counterintuitive, right, The answer
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: isn't necessarily or the proper handicap rather isn't necessarily what
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: you'd think, because I think most people would think, you know,
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: most yards teams are gonna win, it's pretty easy. But
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: I think in reality that you know, the doesn't work
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: out that way. All the time. So a couple of
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: things here, go ahead, go ahead, And that's what drew
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: me to the prop as well. From a bookmaking standpoint,
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: we're always looking for things that look very obvious and
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: can entice the public, but usually it turns out the
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: other way. And the prop that you just referenced was
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: the exact one that that I was thinking of, that
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: we you know, first put up twenty years ago. That
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: when the public first saw it, uh, you know, it
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: looked real easy. You know, will either team score three
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: times three consecutive times? Uh, you know, three unanswered scores?
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: And everyone said said, no, they're not going to score
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: three unanswered These are two good teams, not realizing how
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: often it happens. Now, after having that prop up for
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: so many years, I think people have kind of picked
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: up on it. But this is another example of something
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: that looks very obvious that may not be as obvious
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: as it seems. So what's interesting here is there's a
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: few things that I want to say. Uh. Number one
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: that was that's the one we chose. The right side
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: is the winning side, uh. And it's the team with
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: most years from squimmage wins the game. Yes, minus win
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: eighty no plus win sixty. Um, here's your quote. You
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: did a little research, and it turns out the team
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: that loses the yardage battle wins more often than you think.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: This postseason, the winning team has lost the yardage battle
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: in five of ten games. I'm guessing Scooch would generate
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: a decent amount of square action on yes, even if
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: he shaded the line a little bit. All accurate, All true.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: You also had a prop a submission i'm a i'm
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: a buy that guy at buffet, which I love that
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: you spelled out i'm a i am a as one
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: word like in scooches jersey uh jersey accent um. And
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: then uh so, then there was um. When all hope
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: is lost, all that's left is relief either team to
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: lead about twenty one plus points in the fourth quarter. Um. Oh,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: and i'm a i'm a buy that guy at buffet?
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: Was Lawrence guy records a sack. Um, It's funny to
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: me that we chose the right side as the winning
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: side because in our slack one of our slack channels,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: uh at Action Network. Um, someone used the phrase because
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: someone else said, like, you know, sometimes good bets lose
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: and sometimes bad bets win. Someone else jumped in the
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: right side as the winning side, and eventually I had
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: to be like, don't bring your you know, philosophy in here.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: There's winners and losers. There's no moral victories. Um So, Scooch,
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: what are you gonna do with this? How are you
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: going to price this? I like the odds that he
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: gave us. I'm gonna start. I'm gonna start with that one,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: like I said, because it's uh it favors the yes,
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: but uh, probably not as much as the line would reflect.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: And I'll let the money dictate it and uh and
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: see where they go with it. But I but I
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: like the fact that it's not uh long, real long
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: odds of something like you know, minus ten dollars or
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: minus eight dollar prop uh. The ones that that are
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: real close to you anywhere between minus one ten and
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: two dollars usually generate a lot more action. I mean,
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: this is great, so great. How long did it take
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: you to do the research for rash Um? Probably about
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: I would say, like thirty minutes to an hour. Maybe,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: Um I didn't It's obviously wasn't super intensive. I just
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: looked at, you know, ten games from the postseason, so
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: I'm sure. I'm sure the guys that the Orleans will
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: have more more data at their disposal than I do. Yeah, well,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: we'll look at it a little bit more. If we
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: have to tweak it, we will, But I just off
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: the top of it, on the face of it, it
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: looks like it's it's pretty pretty good. Odds were any
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: of your clients um injured in any way by the
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: neglect you spending them to research this prop bet? You know,
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: I hope not. Um, you know, hopefully this sort of
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: sharpened my probabilistic thinking skills and you know, by extension,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: my ability to negotiate settlements. So maybe in a way
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: it sort of helped him. I know, I like the
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: way you think. Right, So how he turned that on you?
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: He did? He did? He got me goosed me really well?
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Um A rash is a former poker player turned lay,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: so you can understand why he can use phrases like
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: probabilistic and negotiation in the same sentence. Well it's pretty good, right, Yeah,
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: Hey he said, he said he was. You listened to
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: the to the show prior to prior to Scooch being
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: on it? What what show was that? So this was
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: you know I probably could have clarified it was before
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: you started calling it the Scooch Pod, and before before
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: you Scooch or a sort of regular weekly guest, So
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: that's probably what I should have said. I think I
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: think Scooch was just trying to be a little cocky
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: right there. And how could a show prior to Scooch
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: have existed? I was shocked that there was another show there. Yeah, exactly. Um, rosh,
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: what are you gonna do to celebrate uh winning this contest?
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: How are you going to celebrate it? Um? Well, aside
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: from sort of as I told you my email, gloating
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: to my friends, which I've already done, I am going
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: to I'm actually gonna be in Vegas this weekend for
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: a bachelor party, um for my friend Thomas. So um,
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: I was hoping to just come down to the Orleans
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: and place a bet on this prop, which is is
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: really really a cool thing to be able to do.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: So absolutely, yeah, we'll have it. We'll have it up
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: on the board. You can just kind of take a
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: photo of it and uh uh send that send that
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: out to Yeah, well that'll be cool. We always we
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: always put it up in lights up there on our
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: on our board. Oh my god, that's awesome. I love
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: you're going to be there. Yeah, makes makes make sure
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: you stop in. I'll buy you a buffet. There you go.
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Rassad lawyer from Los Angeles, poker player turned lawyer, is
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: the winner of the two thousand, seventeen eighteen get your
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: Prop up in Vegas contest. Go to Vegas, enjoy the
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: super Bowl, win some money, take a picture, tweeted out.
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: Let us all enjoy it. Awesome, Thank you guys, so
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: much congratulation, buddy, Thanks um Scooch. How great is that?
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: That's awesome? I love that was a great story. Good
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: for a rash, that was a great prop. All right,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: Now we're gonna go into Cousin Sal and we come out.
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: When we come out, we'll break down the action of
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: the game. We'll get to our picks. Joining us now
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: on the buffet from Los Angeles. You know him as
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: Cousin Sal from the Jimmy Kimmel Show, from the Guest
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: the Lines podcast with Bill Simmons on the Ringer podcast network.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: From Against All Odds, a very popular sports betting podcast
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: also on the Ringer. All around degeneracy and hijinks that
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: has made him popular The world over. Cousin sal good
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: to hear, good good Haggy in the pod, Buddy, what's
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: happening chat? Thanks for having me. This is fun. What
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: do you think of that introduction? I feel like I
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: got a lot of stuff in there that was pretty good.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: You know, you said the whole introduct much of my take.
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: Fifteen minutes. I was like, oh, man, I really hope
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: he goes for it. Let's see if we can get
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: a Yeah. I think I actually And then fifteen seconds
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: and I just I added some extra pauses in there. Excellent, excellent,
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: It'll workout. Hey, are you are you sad about this
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: week or or in general, you're you're happy that you
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: know the big games coming up? Because I'm more or
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: less sad, I would say, I would say despondent about
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: football coming to an end. I'm so despondent that, um,
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: yesterday I stood at the bottom of the stairs in
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: my house and it was Sunday, about eleven thirty. Normally
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: when I'd be like hungering down. And you know, with
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: this new business like the Action Network, I'll be doing
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: a periscope or I'll be tweeting from the handle, or
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: like we'll be having a lot of email and Slack
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: exchanges about what our plan is going to be for
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: the day, how to drive people and all that kind
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: of stuff. At eleven thirty, UM, I stood at the
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: bottom of the stairs and I hit record on my
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: phone and I yelled up to my fourteen year old
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: and I said, he's, Zack, where are you? And he's like,
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: I'm upstairs. I'm like, do you want to come down?
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: And he just yells ah. And then I'm like, like,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: do you wanna do you want to play chess? And
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: he goes no, and uh. Then I realized that's what
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be spending my sunday's doing until September. Yeah, right, yeah,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: that's the next Um, what the thirty Sundays are gonna
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: be like that? Yelling, yelling, it's Zach begging the play chess.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: I've never realized how long it takes from the end
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: of the football season until the beginning of the football
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: season until yesterday at about thirty in the morning. That's
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: when that's when I kicked in. Yeah, I know. I
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: had a similar thing, although I bet the Pro Bowl. Yes,
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: I was telling tell him that the Simmons about this,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: and just I needed just one more bad beach just
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: to close out the year. And I'm sure there's another
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: one coming Sunday. But uh, yeah, I don't know if
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: you followed it at all, you're probably yeah, people are
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: aware you were on the other side of that. Huh.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: I was on the wrong side. I had the NFC
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: who was up twenty to three, which you know, I'm not.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: I know it's gonna be a close and even at
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: one to three. Then I get Jared Goff who looked like,
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: you know, it's like it's uh the middle school year.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: Jared Goff in there and it didn't didn't produce much
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: of an offense, but just the same seventeen with three
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: minutes left, and Sean Payton goes for it on fourth
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: and five at midfield, just typical Jean Payton fashion. They
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: they're not even close to converting. Uh Derek Carr comes
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: back and drives and they went and the players on
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: both sides couldn't have been happier with the results. They
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: were so they were, so they must have known what
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: you were doing. I feel like Sean Payton is actually
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: keenly aware of the point, spreading almost every scenario of
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: what will hurt people betting on the Saints or against
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: the Saints the most at all times. I agree, I think,
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: and I think he tunes it. He goes to Sports
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: Action and he looks to see where the money is
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: and he's got it hidden in his pocket. He's got
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: his phone. He goes to Sports Action. Appen, Yeah, you're right.
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: He uh. He decides who he's gonna screw over. You know,
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: I for for branding purposes, I need to tell you
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: that we've changed the name to Just Action. Oh I'm sorry,
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: Oh boy, all right, you know it's it's new. We
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: just did it. We just did it last literally last
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: week on the on the phone with me. You just
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: did it. We just did in honor of you. You
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: might not even have updated yet to get into the
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: new title. I like Action. I think I like Action better.
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: Now I have to say nice things about Action. So
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: that's great. I appreciate that. Um. But that's why I
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: feel about Sean Payton, because of course, I also had
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: a Super Bowl Future ticket that had the Saints and
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: the Jags going to the super Bowl at thirty to one,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: and then I had a Jags ticket at twenty to
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: one and the Saints ticket at one. So it's about
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: a hundred and thirty seconds of sort of you know,
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: collective time away from all of that cashing and making
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: several several thousand dollars. Well, So that that's the point
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: of this this game coming up, Like, how can you
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: have a strong opinion? You have to if you're if
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: you're looking to sell listeners or whatever, views or whatever,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: but you have to you have to pretend you know
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: what you're talking about. But both these teams are very
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: lucky to be in the situation they're in. So how
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: could you say that you know one of them is
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: going to play differently than they did last week or
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: two weeks ago in the in the Eagles case, when
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: they always scored fifteen points. You know, it's it's a
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: tough game. Which which way are you leaning? Or I'm
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: not gonna say I no, no, I completely disagree with you.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: I actually bet the uh I bet the Eagles plus
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: five and a half last week, and I felt I
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: felt really really good about it. I wish I had
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: got him at six and a half, but um, I
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: was busy working and I couldn't, like I just couldn't
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: get down fast enough. And then also I was I
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: was a little bit on the fence, and then I
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: had when I talked to Scooch, you know, my partner
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: on the podcast. Um, he convinced me that Nick Foles
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: is just a better quarterback. Then sort of the line
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: had been reflecting and so um it's continued to get
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: that down and like, I am happy I got the
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: Eagles at five and a half. Well, that was smart.
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: But my point is, should the Eagles have been even playing?
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: You know, Julio Jones doesn't stumble in the end zone
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: and fall on that on that Matt Ryan rollout. I
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: think the Falcons are in the game against the Vikings
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: and it's a different story. I just I don't know.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Are you Are you confident in your bed either way
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: on Sunday? So I go you with sixty percent confidence,
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: I feel six. I gotta tell you something I might
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: have convinced myself, and it might be remember years ago,
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: we're going to both date ourselves here, but we are
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: older gentlemen now. Um. When the when the Niners played
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: the Chargers and that game opened at like fourteen, the
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: Niners are favored by like two touchdowns, and then over
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: the course of the two weeks it went lower and lower.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: And lower, and like people had convinced themselves that the
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: Chargers had a chance in the game, right, And then
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: of course the Niners opened up and they scored like
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: the first play the game, and it's a blowout. And
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: so I want to believe that I'm on the right
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: side with the Eagles. So that's why I'm only six. Yeah,
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: I mean this is not and this is like very
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: very generic way of looking at it. But if these
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: teams played a hundred times, well maybe the Patriots won
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: seventy times, and out of the seventy they cover four
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: and a half fifty times, so you're kind of you're
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: kind of right where it should be, right. It's yeah,
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: it's it's it's I feel like, if I'm gonna I
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: gotta take a side just from for for professional reasons,
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: I have to bet on the game, um, honey, I
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: have to bet on the game. It's yewise responsibility. Um.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: And so if I'm going to bet on the game,
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: then I feel like the five and a half was
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: the right side. I don't think I would do four
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: and a half though, oh you know, okay, so for
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: this week, you would do five and a half, I
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: would do five and a half. That number is gone.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: I can't say for certain I would do four and
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: a half. The Patriots historically in the Super Bowls have
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: kept their games relatively close, except for last year when
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: they had that, you know, the six points, only because
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: of the overtime. You haven't given me your take yet.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: You haven't weighed in. I haven't. I know, I really
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: haven't decided yet. I'm leaning towards the Patriots, and only
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: because what you just mentioned. They played like dog crap
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: for three quarters last year in the big game and
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: still covered what would have been four and a half
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: five and a half points. And believe me, I had
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: the Falcons. I bought the hook. I had them plus
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: three and a half. So even even blowing three going
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: over time, I'm still mathematically I'm still in the game,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: you know, especially if they get the ball. But yeah,
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: we all know how it ended up. So I just
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: it's what when do you want to because it's such
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: a long offseason, as we pointed out, where do you
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: want to pull your hair out? Less if you bet
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: against Brady and Belichick and one, or if you and lost,
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: or if you bet against the Eagles and Nick Foles
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: arose to the occasion, I kind of look at it
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: like that. I know that's not a real smart, sharp
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: versus square kind of way to approach it, but but
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: that's that is that is the right way to look
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: at it. So you basically saying, are you betting on?
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: And I have said this, I'm betting on Nick Foles
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: and Doug Peterson over Tom Brady and Belichick essentially, is
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: what I'm saying. But I guess I'm also saying I'm
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: betting on the Eagles defense, and I'm also betting on
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: their running game over what I think is collectively an
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: okay Patriots team. They're not like amazing, They're not one
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: of those teams that is dynastic. They are a really
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: good team that plays wonderfully smart, situational football and has
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: the greatest quarterback of all time and a merciless coach
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: who refuses to accept any anything less than perfect. Right. Yeah,
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: and you know, I just convinced myself to bet the Patriots.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: That's the whole thing. It's so crazy and go back
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: and forth. But yeah, and you know they don't factor
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: in that ESPN article, which I'm I'm sure it's still
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: looms large in the Hey, let's take care of business department.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: As far as Bill Belichick goes, I know it's stupid
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: to consider that, but you'll consider home field advantages three points.
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: Not not in this game, of course, but when you
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: consider all these actors having been to the Super Bowl
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: before all these things, I would say that article counts
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: for three quarters of a point and still still should count,
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: you know what. I agree with that, And um, when
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: that article came out, when Seth Wickersham's story came out,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: we actually ran a poll on Twitter and then we
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: did a story about it, sort of indicating does this
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: make you more or less likely to bet on the
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: Patriots and especially in that first game against Tennessee because
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: they were I think seven point favorites and you know,
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: relatively big um favorite in the in the playoffs and
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: they blew them out, and the majority of people I
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: spoke to, both on the square side and on the
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: sharp side, we're like, oh, I'm totally betting on the
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: Patriots now, Like this is the kind of thing that
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: they just focus in and hunker down and they are
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: as good as any team is going to be in
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: this scenario. Right, let me ask you this, because you
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: know better than than I do who are the sharps
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: these days? That over the years, the sharps have changed,
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: right who who? Who are the They're not these gangsters,
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: though I find it hard to believe that the gangsters
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: were had the wherewithal to get get it together and
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: bet on the right side. I guess if you're just
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: betting against the public, you've become a sharp. Or is
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: it more involved than that. It's a little more involved
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: than that. But these days, honestly, like it's not even
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: like their sharps and squares. It's more like there are sharps,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: there are there are sharps who don't do it professionally
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: because they do other things. And then there are people
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: who are just so casual that they're kind of paying
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: attention but not really paying attention, and they end up
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: betting sort of like on the popular team UMR. But
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: that middle ground. You know, information has become so democratized,
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: and betting on sports has become so commonplace over the
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: last generation, like because of the Internet, because it's so
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: much more accessible with every offshore book and like, you know,
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: you've got a massive thing with Bovada, right, and you've
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: got a props page on Bovada, Bovada has helped turn
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: sports betting into something that anybody can do. And you
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: don't have to go down to your carpodaga, you don't
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: have to go to the alley behind the bar like
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: you can get it anywhere. And so all of a sudden,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: there's a generation of people who are like in their
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: late twenties, thirties and early forties who have grown up
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: with sports betting in a way that is entirely different
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: than what it would have been like when you and
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: I were fifteen and sixteen, right, right, Okay, so those
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: people are sharp too, But then you have that makes
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: it hard. Then you have the guy who everyone's in
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: love with now, this guy who bet all six or
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: maybe all seven of the World Series games, right, and uh,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: you know had a bundle on each and you know
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: cleared between this is all mythical or maybe it's not,
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: don't clear between ten and twenty million dollars. And then, uh,
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: this same guy bets the Eagles. Are we supposed to
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: think because this guy who won on the baseball games,
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: which at the top of the ninth inning and four
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: of them could have been a coin flip, we're supposed
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: to think he knows something about this, Like, it's very
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: strange to me how people change and I fall for two.
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: But you'll almost change who you want to bet depending
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: on which way the squares are going in the public
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: and the sharps. It's so funny you mentioned that guy
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: because I agree with you. Look, he's become a massive
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: story in betting, and it's certainly a great thing to follow. Um.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: I I have not made a bet because of that guy. Um,
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: but I will tell you that when I had made
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: the bet on the Eagles already and when I heard
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: he bet on the Eagles, I was like, I feel
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: a little better about your site. Right. It's it's a
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: weird thing, isn't it strange? Like this guy is not
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: He's not on the field. He's not you know, even
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: to think Tom Coughlin had anything to do with the
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: Patriots game, Like I kept saying it over all, Tom
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: Coughlin is gonna find it way. It was like he's
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: not on the field. He's certainly not playing, he's not
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: on the sidelines. Like he's so far removed. This guy
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: is really far removed from it. And yet we feel
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: better or worse about our bet depending on what he
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: put down. It's very weird and because he's betting millions
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: of dollars and so he must know something. But the
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: truth is he can probably afford to lose it exactly
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: exactly know what I mean, Like you shouldn't like I'm
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: betting what I can afford to lose, and so I'm
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: very comfortable in saying what I'm betting on and making
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: the bet that I'm making. But um, I'm also not
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: betting so much that like someone should look at me
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: and think, this guy is putting his entire life on
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: the Eagles at five and a half, I'm thinking I'm
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: making it, and I am making an informed decision based
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: on the data have in front of me and what
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: I read on the Action Network and what I hear
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: through sort of the bookmakers that I talked to. That's
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: making my decision exactly so. And speaking of that, I
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: love the cartoons you guys do on the Action Network
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: with the with the drunk guy and maybe the two
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: guys in the bar, and one of them is obviously
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: smarter than any other. Have you sat down to figure
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: out which one actually had a better record? Over there?
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, the drunk guy fucking killed it. He
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: was like I think we did in the last six
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: weeks of this season. I think he was like set
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: seven weeks. I think he was five and two. And uh,
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: it's crazy, like I just like every single time they
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: came out, I just started and I just started saying,
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: faithe the sober guy. You can't even you have to
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: bet the drunk guy. At this point, I'm a little
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: anxious to see what he does. I mean, I know
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: he's going to be on the Patriots this weekend. I
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: know it. So that's the public. The drunk guy is
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: the public for those and the sober guy is sort
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: of the analytics guy, right, Okay, yeah, Um, have you
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: thought about your parlays for the weekend? I know, with
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: you and all the guys on against all odds like
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: that is a really big thing. So if you thought
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: about how are you gonna play these this week? And
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: there's yeah, I feel like I haven't done my job
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: unless I've lost like three or four hundred dollars before
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: the game even start. Either on Pink Pink's hair, what
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: color it's gonna be, and by the way, don't overthink
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be white or yellow? Um, you know, I
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: have the coin toss mixed in with with a bunch
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: of things. But I really like the will a team
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: scored three straight times? Will either team or both teams
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: scored three straight times? I think you lay a lot.
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: You lay like a buck seventy to one, one a hundred.
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: But um, specially these Super Bowls, scoring comes in bunches
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: and teams freak out and maybe they're not as prepared
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: in the first or second quarter as they are, you know,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: towards the end of the game. And I kind of
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: like that one. That's a fun one to root for.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: Uh It's like it's like drafting quarterbacks and bunches. There's
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden, there's a run, like, oh my god,
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: we gotta score. They scored. Now I understand what they're doing.
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: I gotta make decisions. I can't play this game to
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: a zero zero tie. I'm actually gonna have to get
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: in the end zone or kick a field goal. That's
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: exactly right. That's that's how I look at it. But um, yeah,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: aside from that, what is what are some of your
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: favorite props? I mean, well, there's a there's a dilly
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: dilly prop. How many times will you hear the phrase
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: dilly dilly, that's at twelve and a half. I think, um,
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: there is a will Pink show cleavage prop um and
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, we did some pretty extensive research
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: on this, and you have to go back to Super
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Bowl thirty two with Jewel to um get someone who
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: showed cleavage during the national anthem. You know, we've really
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: come a long way since this Time's Up movement. But
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: they're like that that that that's a prop out there.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: We've really learned a lot, guys. Unbelievable. Oh my god,
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: I hate myself right now for you. That's all right,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: that's okay, you know. Um. I also like, um, I
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: like no overtime time? Yeah, mine, I think it's at
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: minus eight hundred right now today, okay, and normally it's
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: at minus thousand. So I feel like I'm getting deal
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: by the way that yeah, five seven years ago, that
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: was minus twelve hundred, because you know, obviously, how many
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: times are they gonna get pounded with that because it
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: never happened? Um, Like, will the game be decided by
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: exactly four and a half points? I say, no, I'm
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: gonna go on. I don't know. Almost impossible. Yeah, it's
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: not gonna happen. But if anybody can figure it out,
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: Belichick and Brain, you can do it. Yeah, no kidding,
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: they will screw somebody over. I also like um longest
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: field goal over under forty seven yards, which where you're going,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: I would go under, definitely going. I feel like the
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: longer field goals UM and I've forgotten what the prices,
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: but the longer field goals I think is the favorite.
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: And that's basically because of the public, like the that
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: just thinks it's going to be long field goals. There
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: was a prop last week one of the members of
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: the General Trifecta, my partners on against the Odds, said
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: that will there be a fifty yard field going They
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: look back in the last twenty eight conference championship games,
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: are only two field goals over fifty yards, And of
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: course Lambeau right down the middle was like, I don't
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: know what it was, but yeah, I could see the
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: under being. Uh then Terry is on the game, right,
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: so you should be okay, he's definitely not in the game.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: But also I just feel like the team's drive deep
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: and you know they're going for touchdowns in this game.
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: It's gonna like both coaches are pretty aggressive. Um so
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: so from a historical perspective and from the game plan perspective,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: that's how they play the game, right, Yeah, did you um,
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: you know, do you know how many in the Brady
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl era how many Patriot how many times the
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: Patriots score the first quarter touchdown? And I think it's zero?
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: It is exactly zero. Yeah, and so I love, love,
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: love will the well the Patriots score a touchdown in
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: the first quarter, like I'm taking the knowing that. But
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: they have started badly. Look, they started badly against Tennessee,
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: really badly, and they started really badly against the Jags. Um.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: They are not a team that starts starts hot. Yeah.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: I was talking about it with Simmons. I think just
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: in their games, almost all their Super Bowls, the second
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: half has been much more entertaining, whether they're on the
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: winning or losing. In of course, both times against the Giants, Um,
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: we're talking about that Carolina game. Carolina fought get back
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: in it. Um. Same with the Eagles. I think they
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: were down ten and then Darrell Owens lit it up
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: and and and they went down three. Obviously last year
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: the second half and time was better. But yeah, these
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: games we should be able to figure something out for
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: the first half based on that, you think, right, let
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: me let me switch gears here for a second, you said, Simmons.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: And it made me think, like, would he ever bet
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: on the team that Patriots are playing to cover? And
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: then I thought, let's say the Cowboys. I know you're
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: love the Cowboys. Um, would you ever bet on the
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: team playing the Cowboys to cover? I mean, that is
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: the prime emotional hedge scenario. I have done it. I've
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: I've I've weakened on this. No, I mean in the
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: super Bowl. In the Super Bowl. No. Well, it's funny
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: and I don't feel bad bringing us up because I
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: mentioned it on our podcast this morning. Simmons two weeks
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: ago before the Jaguars game, I said, the Patriots are
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: minus one ten to win the Super Bowl. We're gonna
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: kick ourselves Sunday night that we don't have this, let's
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: jump on it. So we did. And then a few
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: days ago he was like, I'm taking the four and
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: a half. So he had he basically hedged. He went
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: for the middle uh in there, and we never ever
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: had So I'm interested to see how this turns out.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I would do the same thing I bet
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: like ten years ago. I was like, no way, I'm
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: not doing I'm never betting against my team. But it
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: doesn't or betting, you know, but it really I'm as
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: devastated as I could be anyway when my team loses,
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: so it doesn't really matter, all right. So, Uh, I
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: want to let you go because I know you have
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: to go back to work to produce great comedy television,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: uh for Jimmy Kimmel. But will you tease or parley
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl? Because I know you have been a
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: long time tease and parley player. I will probably uh
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: tease this, And with the teaser, I could go either way,
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: but I really I would go Patriots in the over.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: And it's so boring and it's so square, but you know,
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: there are points scored in the in the Super Bowl,
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: and the Patriots win super Bowls and I really don't
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: want to over analyze it beyond that, all right, because
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: I'll listen, that's exactly the right thing to do, right,
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, like we can both. Yeah, let's not get
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: you deep, Like it's a fucking bet, like this is
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: what could happen. Chances are like the Patriots could win,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: and a lot of points could be scored. Yeah, and
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: I don't like the Patriots, so I'd be happy, happy
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: to write the check. That's the other thing, alright, Cousins
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: Sal Against All Odds is the podcast. Everyone should watch
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: Jimmy Kimmel for your brilliant appearances and all the other
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: comedy you do there. They can follow you on Twitter,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: they can listen to you. Simmons. You're like a kind
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: of like the media empire. Yeah, that's the media empire
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: right now. I'm going back to write jokes about some
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: uh porcupine that's about to be on Jimmy Show where
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: we have an animal segment. So yeah, yeah, that's right,
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: that's where the empires going. I'm working on the website.
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: We're right about whether or not picks gonna show any
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: cleavand just let you go. This guy is trying to
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: get by. That's right. Thanks for having run out, buddy.
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: I appreciate touch latter, Scooge. We've had such a jam
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: pack show already. We had the props contest winner a
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: rash Saddad, We've had the very famous Cousin Sal. I
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: think it's time to get down to some action. Okay,
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: let's do it. This has been a crazy roller coaster
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: ride of a point spread here because you know, even
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: before the Vikings Eagles game was over, it was opening
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: Patriot six and a half. Then itt like got adjusted
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: to six, and then before the night was over it
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: was at five and a half. And now we're at
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: four and a half and four in some places. When
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: you and I spoke last week, um, we didn't. We
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: didn't know if this was going to go down lower
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: than five, and then within twenty four hours it was
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: lower than five. Yeah, well we did say that the
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: likelihood of it going down was pretty great, and I
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: think that's when you actually made your wager and you
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: said you were going to get that five and a
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: half right now, that's true, I did. And then we
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: were close to moving it on live. We were close
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: to doing a line move, but but we didn't. But
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: but we were the first to go to four. Because
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: we went to four. Um, I want to say, it
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: was like Thursday and then my phone lights were, you know,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: blowing up from everybody and in the media that wanted
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: to know. You know, we were the first to go
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: to four. And how come we went to four? And
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: the whole thing so, and we've been at four ever since.
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: We never went We never went back. So now there's
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: quite a few fours out there in a few a
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: few four and a halfs. Do you think it will
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: go to three and a half? I was, you know what,
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: I took a pretty big bet at plus four yesterday
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: and I was tempted, uh to move it, but I
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: just moved the money. I went to plus four minus fifteen,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: and immediately when I went there, I took a nine
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: thousand dollar bet and eight thousand dollar bet on the
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: Patriots at minus four minus all five like immediately. So
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: that told me that that might be a little bit
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: of the point of existence, which is the first time
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: I've gotten that since we hung the initials six and
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: a half. You know, every time we moved the line down,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: I kept waiting for that, you know, immediate pop on
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: the Patriots, on somebody that was just looking for a number,
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: and we never got it. So that's why the number
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: just kept drifting down until we until we got to
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: that point where somebody just said, hey, the line is
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: too low, let me let me bet something big on
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: the Patriots, and uh, it really wasn't until we went
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: to minus four minus so five, where we got, you know,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: that immediate bang bang bang of of you know, nice
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: sized bets and so do you feel like the money
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: is starting to even out a little bit? Are you
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: getting sort of closer to fifty action because I know
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: for a while it was like very heavy money on
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. Yeah, it started. It's not quite fifty fifty yet,
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: it's but it's much more than it was during the
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: first week that we had this lineup. Um, it's one
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: of the Super Bowls where I've just seen the most
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: lopsided action in the first week in many years. I mean, um,
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: even even the Super Bowl where the Broncos played the
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: Seahawks and we opened that game and pick them and
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: and closed as high as the Broncos minus two and
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: a half almost minus three. All that money came pretty
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: late in the two week period. Uh, it's kind of
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: rare that we got this much action during the first week,
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: Like you mentioned, even the first day we hung it
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: and then causing that big of a line change in
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: just the first couple of days of the line being up.
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: So um, it was all Eagles for the first week. Uh.
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: The weekend actually slowed down Saturday Sunday, very little action.
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: I think most of the people that were betting, we're
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: betting on basketball, and and you know, just kind of
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: taking it easy waiting for this week, and then starting Monday, Uh,
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: the action started picking up again. And uh, I mean
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: now it's really starting to come in. Uh. I would say,
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: now we're at the point where it's about Eagles and Patriots,
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: and you start to see a lot more action on
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: the Patriots at four or is it just sort of okay, Yeah,
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: we've got more at four than we had, you know,
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: at any other number. But you know, I guess that's
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: to be expected the lowest number. But um, and the
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: money line not as much Patriots money line as I expected.
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: You know, we we went down to minus of dollar
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: eighty on the Patriots money line, and uh, you know,
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: even when we were the lowest in town, we weren't
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: getting that much Patriots money line action. And so what
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: you are you still getting a lot of Eagles money
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: line action. Um? Yeah, I mean that that the ticket
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: accounts about four to one Eagles to Patriots on on
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: the money line. And that's kind of typical though. I mean,
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: every underdog usually gets more on the money line in
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: terms of ticket account People that want to see them win. Uh,
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: they know they can get more than even money and
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: they don't have to lay you know, one ten and
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: there's no points involved. They just want them to win
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: the game. So that's a lot of pretty much square action.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: Just a reminder um that this weekend at Action Network HQ,
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: we are doing our Chalk Talk super Bowl pregame show.
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: It's everything you like about pregame shows and none of
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: the blah blah blah boring stuff. So like, no sappy features,
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: no empty analysis about who's gonna win. We're only talking
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: about betting, pure betting. That's it. That's all she wrote.
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna talk about. We're gonna come on
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: thirty minutes before they We're gonna come on at five
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern fort thirty minutes at Action Network HQ. We're
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: gonna come on at halftime. We're gonna come on after
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: the game. It's gonna be me, it's gonna be Jeff Schwartz,
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: former NFL lineman, uh, current host on NFL Radio who's
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: been on the podcast before. It's gonna be Big Cat
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: from barstool Um, and a host of other sort of
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: fun things. Everyone should be checking it out. At Action
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: Network HQ on Sunday Super Bowl Sunday at five pm. Um,
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: what do you think of this guy who's running around
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: town making the multimillion dollar bets on the Eagles. Well,
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: I'll tell you. I mean, we were experiencing it during
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: the World Series. Before we um all the press came
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: out about you know what he was doing. We had
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: taken some big bets at one of our properties on
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: some of the M m A fights and we lost
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: on them, and we've said, whoever this guy is, he's
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: he was pretty sharp or pretty lucky. And then the
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: same guy was rolling over tickets on the World Series,
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: and again we just figured, Okay, we we get a
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: lot of people that they win big and they just
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: roll over a ticket and they just keep rolling it
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: over and see how much they can let it ride.
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: But this guy had a streak that we hadn't seen
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: in a long time, and he was taking some pretty
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: big tickets and just rolling them over. Game one of
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: the World Series, Game two of the World Series, and
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: he went, I forgot what it was six and oh
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: five and oh whatever was he He didn't play the
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: last game of the World Series for whatever reason, so
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: he quit. He quit while he was ahead, and now
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: the word was out that he was trying to bet,
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: you know, millions on the Eagles, So maybe he got
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: a lot of that money already down that caused a
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: lot of that early line move down. I'm not sure
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: exactly how much he got down, but he's on quite
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: a run, that's all. I don't know much about him,
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: but it's on quite a run as an Eagles better
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: at this point, should I feel good or bad? Like?
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: Should I feel? You know, it's an interesting game, right
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: because I think that most sharp betters and I am
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: not doing a backhanded compliment to myself, Um, I would
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: prefer to play against the public. And in this case,
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: the money and the tickets have all been coming in
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: on the Eagles, and some is like, is it sharp
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: money that's coming in on the Eagles? Should I feel
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: good that I'm on the Eagles? A plus five and
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: a half. From a sort of wisdom of the crowd
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: perspective with relation to some of the better better is like,
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: how should I feel about this guy being on the
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: Eagles and the money moving that way? I mean, historically
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: you shouldn't feel too good because we typically when everybody's
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: on one side like that. It's usually you know, it
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: goes the other way. But uh, this is an odd
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: game because it moved so much from six and a
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: half down to four. So if you were to say
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: I laid minus five on the Patriots when the line
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: was six and a half everywhere, you'd say I got
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: a good line, But you don't feel too good about
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: it now because now the line's down before, So it
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: can it can work both ways. Um, I don't know
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: that this is a that a lot of this Eagle's
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: money is sharp money and terms of professional money. I
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: know early on we got some sharp bets when there
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: was fives around town and we're at five and a
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: half and that, you know, that could just be a
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: guy shop and a number. Not so much that he's
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: got such a great opinion on the game. And there's
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: lots of Super Bowls where the wise guys really don't
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: weigh in or have that great of an opinion. You know,
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: just because it's the Super Bowl doesn't mean that the
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: professional handicappers really love the game. You know, they have
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: a particular ratings on how much they think there's value
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: in a number, and it really doesn't matter whether it's
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: you know, Wagner playing writer in college baskets or whether
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: it's the Super Bowl, it doesn't matter to them. The
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: only difference is that they're able to bet a lot
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: larger amounts in this game. So, UM, I don't know.
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: This is this is an odd game in terms of
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: the you know, the point movement, and I want to
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: say a lot of it is just a lot of
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: it's the public that just can't stand seeing the Patriots
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: in it again. And it's almost like wishful thinking, like
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: this is the team that's going to knock the Patriots down.
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: And I've kind of take straw poles around town. Every
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: time I'm talking with somebody about the game, I asked
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: him who I like, and nobody seems to say the Patriots.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: So it's really it's it's really lopsided in the court
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: of the public opinion. You know, everyone just wants to
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: see the Eagles win. It is. It is absolutely stunning. Um,
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: all right, Scooch, we talked about the game. Um, let's
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: go to our picks. Man. I just got to get there.
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: I can't wait another second time to take down the Hops.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: When all hope is lost, all that's left is relief.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: Let's play Scots Roulette. I listen, I've been lamely obvious
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: that I'm on the Eagles a plus five and a half. Um.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: I like that to remain my screw troo let pick
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: because I made it. I bet on it. I bet
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: it on the podcast last week. And I don't think
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: I should be beholden to the new number because I
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: bet it in a very public way. Yeah what do
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: you think? Yeah, no, I I could appreciate that. I
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna have to go the opposite way
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: and go with the Patriots minus four. Um. I mean
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: the lines come down significantly from what we originally made it. Uh.
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: And like we talked a little bit about last week,
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: that's largely because of one game against the Vikings. And
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: I hate, I hate putting so much stock into just
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: one game. And when we're saying it's almost a field
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: goal difference based on how they just played against the
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: Vikings and you know, uh, Patriots or the Patriots, and
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: we've said that a million times too. You don't get
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: rich betting against the Patriots. Um. But I'm gonna have
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: to go with them. And I don't know if that's
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: just because we just need them so so badly, but
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with them. So do you think I
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: should try to middle it at pag be it's minus four?
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: Is there enough of an opportunity like I've been landing
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: on five that it's worth the money to me? I
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: don't think so. Of course. I remember saying that to
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: somebody when the Vikings played the Saints, and I said,
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: I don't worry about five. Five is a dead number.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: And of course we all we all know what happened
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: in that game. But boy, that's just so specific to
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: try and uh middle it just to get on five.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: I'd almost wait till, well if you can some in
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: progress wagering and see if you know, if the the
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: Eagles jump out to a three nothing lead or something,
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: there's probably a lot more opportunity to to hedge in
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: that situation. I like the way you're thinking, yeah, you know.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: And it's odd the way that they're betting certain specific
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: parts of this game. Like they're pounding the Patriots minus
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: a half in the fourth quarter, Uh minus is it
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: opened up at plus oh five and now it's minus one.
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: Yet they're pounding the Eagles in the first half at
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half and early on they were
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: actually able to get plus three. So they're betting very
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: specific Eagles to jump out to a lead and then
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: Patriots to come back. So I guess. I mean, we've
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: seen it many times in Super Bowls where that's exactly
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: what happens. The Patriots started off very slow and then
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: they come back in the second half. But um, that's
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: how they're betting this one, Scooch. Listen, it's been another
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: incredibly successful and exciting year, the least of which is
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: because we launched the podcast on the Action Network, a
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: brand new home for us. We brought in Mike Grennell
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: as our producer, who's done amazing work bringing some shine
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: and professionalism to this rag tag operation. At some point,
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: sooner rather than later, we're going to move into our
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: office in New York and we'll have a cool podcast studio.
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: And uh, you know, we appreciate everybody sticking with us
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: through sound issues when we first started the podcast, remember
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: that back in October. That was really tough. Uh, But listen,
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: just because the season is over doesn't mean you get
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: to stop, because now you have to keep coming back
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: because it's called The Buffet with Chad and Scooch exactly. Yeah,
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: so I'm committed now yea, I committed, as they said.
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: Uh so guess what. This isn't even goodbye. I'll talk
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: to you next week. Okay, we've been spent fun football.
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: We'll have a lot to talk about recapping the game though.
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: We will have a time. All right, buddy, good luck
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: this weekend. Thanks