Latest / Toadstool Sports / FRIDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/6/26

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FRIDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/6/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browin tack. Man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the bruins ourchape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumper, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: It is Friday, March sixth. Let's go baby, losing day
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: on the show. Yesterday probably should have been a win.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: Uh one and one started out nice with Iowa. If
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: they'd gotten the outright win, we would have had a
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: slight win last night with the sprinkle on the money line.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Iowa was in that game the whole time. That was
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: a nice cover for them. I think maybe at one
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: point they might have not been covering. I'm not sure,
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: but it was pretty much a wire to wire cover.
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: Almost won the game out right. So we did hit
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: that one, and then Long Beach got out to a
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: nice start. Long Beach probably should have won that game.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: They were in the game the whole time. The game
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: went into overtime, and when you have a home underdog
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: they take the game into overtime. Come on, man, I
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: mean you should win that game. But overtime is also
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: where underdogs can go to die, and that's what they
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: did and they lost my six. I didn't see the
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: end of that. I'm assuming they intentionally fouled or something
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: and lost the game by more than two. Not happy
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: about that. They were potentially in position to win that game.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: We'll move on to today. We got more college basketball.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have two college basketball plays. I'm skipping a
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: hockey and I'm gonna have two NBA plays. Maybe I
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: should be a little bit concerned. I don't know, but
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: we're jumping back into the NBA frey here, and you're
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: not gonna like it. I'm gonna tell you that right now. Now. Yeah,
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: this is how we do it on the show. But
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: the NBA plays are very very ugly tonight. Let's get
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: into it. Well, I'm looking at the NBA right now.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: We want to look at college basketball first though. That's
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: what we're doing. We got a bunch of conference tournament action, man,
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, we got some noontime action. We're gonna start
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: with the Big South, which the first game up is
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: one of the ugliest games pretty much with Gardner Webb,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: who was an absolutely atrocious team facing High Point in
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: Johnson City, Tennessee. Now Gardner Webb. I guess the argument
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: is they have one advantage here, which is that they
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: already played one game in this arena because they played
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: in the opening game and they upset USC Upstate. Again,
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: USC upset. They got to be upset because Gardner Webb
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: beat them during the season and Gardner Webb only had
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: like three wins on the season, one of them was
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: against USC Upstate, and now they beat them again after
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: USC Upstate did beat them in the last regular season
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: game they played. Gardner Web's not gonna win this game
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: against High Point. But will they cover maybe? I mean,
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: I think high Point. I mean they're rely on offensive timing.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: You might see high Point come in a little bit
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: slow because they haven't played in a while. A high
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: Point finished the season hot, and you know, I don't
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: like that. Like when a team finishes the season hot
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: and then they have a break, I think that break
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: can hurt their momentum a little bit. They're gonna come
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: like the conference tournament can kind of be like a reset, right,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: Like it's almost like a new season. So I wouldn't
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: lay the points here. It's a huge, huge spread here.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: High Points should win the game. They're twenty five and
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, seventy three percent of the tickets,
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on them. I mean,
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: if you force my opinion on it, I think I
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: would take the points of Gardner Webb, but there's no
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: way that I actually want to do that either. This
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: is a complete stay away. So yeah, great game, Kyle,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right? Then, Big South,
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: We're gonna I'm just gonna do a conference by conference
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: as I usually do. I think one of the most
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: interesting games is the second game up Charleston Southern and Winthrop,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: which is the seven versus two matchup here Gardner Weben
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: High Point. I think it's the nine versus one. Winthrop
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: is a four and a half way favorite, sixty nine tickets,
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the cash on Winthrop. Now things
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: get really interesting with this game because these teams played
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: twice already during the season. Winthrop only one by four
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: in the game at home, and they were a much
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: bigger favorite than that and barely got by. They lost
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: at Charleston Southern. I gave you, guys, Charleston Southern as
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: a play in that one because Winthrop was coming up
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: a huge game against High Point in the previous game
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: and they almost won the game, so they were in
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: a major hangover spot there. They lost the game out right, now,
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: you're gonna probably remember that that was like Charleston Southern
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: was like a seven and a half point underdog at
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: home in that game. Now, I have pointed out that
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: Charleston Southern is actually like the third best team in
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: this conference, believe it or not, even though they're the
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: seven seeds. So I was talking about how Charleston Southern
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: could be a little bit dangerous here against Winthrop in
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: this game, and as you can see, Winthrop's only a
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: four and a half point favorite. But then you might
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: be thinking, well, wait a minute. You just said Winthrop
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: was a seven and a half point favorite two games
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: ago on the road at Charleston Southern, right, So how
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: could they have been a seven and a half point
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: favorite on the road now they're a four and a
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: half point favorite here on a neutral That makes no sense. Well, yeah,
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: it's because their best player, who's the best player in
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: the conference. I think Logan Duncombe I think is his name.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: He's like a big man on Winthrop. He's one of
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: the best players, he's their best player. He got injured
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: in the Charleston Southern game. I think he's like seriously injured,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: like he was in like a wheelchair. He did not
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: play in the Presbyterian game and they won. I'm assuming
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: they didn't cover because they were the only one by
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: four at home. Now, this is going to be the
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: second game without them, though, I think so I could
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: really see this going both ways, so I can't really
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: get involved with this game. Now. You could argue that, well,
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: the line's short on Winthrop all right, right, like maybe
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: it's over adjusted to him being out, but that's kind
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: of that usually would be the argument in that first
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: game out, But they also didn't cover in that game,
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. Man, Like the line would have
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: been short in this game at seven and a half,
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: and they actually didn't really play that well, so maybe
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: they do come out with a lot of energy in
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: this game. They do. Know they just lost at Charleston
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Southern two games ago. All that being said, I think
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Winthrop here. I know
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: they were without their best player, but I think it
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: is kind of a zig zag spot. They are still
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: the better team, you know. Yeah, it's a really tough
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: game to gauge with all that. If Duncombe is not
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: coming back, I think Winthrop is not going to win
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: this tournament though, which I mean, obviously high Point is
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: the better team anyway, but I think that will help
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: high Point even more if he's gonna miss the entire
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: conference tournament. Dirty sock? What'sop things for? Hanging out? All? Right? Then?
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: You know the next other The other games are pretty
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: competitive as far as the lines are concerned. In the
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: Big South, the four to five matchup is Longwood in
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: nc Ashville. Longwood is actually considered to be the better team.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: They're one point favorite, and the public is coming in
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: on unc Asheville because they think everybody kind of remembers
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: the unc Asheville name of the Longwood has made the tournament,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: probably more recently the unc Asheville has. I'm not sure
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: about that. I think so, but as you can see
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: here at unc Asheville is getting the public action eighty
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, only sixty one percent of the cash,
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: So they look like one of those dreaded public underdogs.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: So I would probably have to lean against them and
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: lean towards Longwood. The oddsmakers are kind of telling you
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: Longwood is actually the better team. I think unc Astrials
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: had kind of a down year, although they're not horrible,
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: but I think they're not as good as they typically
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: tend to be. For Longwood here, I mean, we could
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: look at you know, you gotta look at like what
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: happened during the regular season. And of course I didn't
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: even mention, by the way, that high Point did beat
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: the Gardner Webb both times this year, beating them by
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: almost sixty points in one of the games. Of no
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: surprise that high Point beat them two times. Anyway, this matchup,
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: I think they split the season series, or actually Longwood
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: might have lost both. Longwood lost at unc Astevill by eleven. Yeah,
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: they lost at home by five, But the oddsmakers are
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: telling you long who's actually the better team here, So
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: I think it might be a little bit of an
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: outlier the fact that they lost two games to Asheville
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: and the fact that they lost to them at home
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: although they were only two and a half point favorites.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know if there was an injury involved here
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: or but Longwood actually had more rebounds in the game
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: they had a horrible free throw shooting performance in the
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: game that led to some of the reason why they
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: lost that game. I suppose Longwood did finish the season
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit hot with two wins in a row.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: Unc Asheville finished the season with a loss to Charleston's Southern,
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: so in that respect, maybe they will bounce back, because
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: I do in these first conference tournament games, I do
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: prefer to look at teams that didn't play well in
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: like their last game or something, because they get kind
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: of a reset. But in this game, I think I
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: would lean the Loongood. I think it's pretty misleading that
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: they lost both games to unc Asheville, where the oddsmakers
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: are telling you they're actually the better team, So I
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: don't really have much of a read on that game.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: And then Presbyterian and Radford are in the six versus
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: three matchup. Radford two point favorite here. Radford's been a
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: decent team in the conference, but Presbyterian has been pretty
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: good in this conference as well, like they've stepped up
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: against the best teams in the conference, like they played
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: Winthrop to within four, they played high Point to within
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: six in their last two games of the season. But
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: that's kind of a problem because now you have Presbyterian
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: coming up with these two huge performances. Now, yeah, they
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: lost three games in a row though, and they do
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: have time off now, so maybe that rest will help
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: them and they'll be able to reset. I don't know
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: about that. Though they did lose their last game to
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: Radford at home. They actually did lose on the road too, Radford.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: I looked into it, and Radford was the better team
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: in both games. Radford, you know, they came in third
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: in the conference, although I actually think they're the fourth
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: best team in the conference behind Charleston Southern. Like I said,
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, Radford did have a bad loss
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: in their last game though, they got killed by Longwood,
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: So I think Radford would be in that type of
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: situation where they would be able to reset as well.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: I think I would probably go Radford in this game.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: They are the better team. It would probably be money
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: line play for me in that one, but it's not
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: a strong read for me on that all right. Atlantic
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: Sun also in action at noon. The Atlantic Sun, by
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the way, very very weird setup where they're playing in
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: all these different arena It's like the World Cup. They're
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: playing in all these different arenas, all in the city
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: of Jacksonville. Now in the first round of this tournament,
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: or I guess the first big round, or was it
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: just the first I've I forget if it was the
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: first round or just the first complete round, but either way,
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I mentioned how all the games are in Jacksonville. I
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: think three of the games were played on North Florida's court,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: but North Florida's game against West Virginia, so as to
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: not give North Florida the actual home court advantage, they
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: played that game at Jacksonville's arena. It's very very strange.
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: And then these games are all at a completely different arena,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: also in Jacksonville, so this is I don't know what
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: the a Sun is doing. Man, it's very very odd.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: But both those Jacksonville teams are out now as well,
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: so you don't have to worry about any Jacksonville team
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: getting a home city advantage here at this point. The
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: first game up is Bellerman and Central Arkansas, which is
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: I believe a nine versus one match up here. Bellerman
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: is not that bad though they're actually well, they're really
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: bad on defense, but they could score pretty well, and
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: they did get by Jacksonville. That was a crazy game
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: where Bellerman was way ahead in that game. Bellerman like
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: dominated that game and then they completely fell apart because
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: their deepfense can't hold any sort of lead. And Jacksonville
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: actually took a five point lead in that game after
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: Bellerman was winning by over twenty. It was an insane game,
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: and then Bellerman still won the game at the end.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: So you know, type of game that does put you know,
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: you have to put a lot of effort in. Now,
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: maybe Bellerman does have a little bit of an advantage
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: because they did play a game in the tournament now,
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: so when you have a game in the tournament under
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: your belt, that is kind of an advantage. But they
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: didn't play in the same arena they're playing in tonight,
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: So I think it's more helpful when you have a
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: game under your belt and you stay in the same
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: arena because you just stay there, you're already used to
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: the setting. You know, you're used to shooting in the arena,
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: are used to the site lines. Whatever. Central Arkansas clearly
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: is the better team here. Debatably, the best team in
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: this conference is definitely either them or Austin p. Bellerman.
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Like I said, though, they have played well in some
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: of their games this year against some of the best teams.
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: For instance, they actually beat Central Arkansas at home and
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: they only lost by eight on the road, So they
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: played well in both games against Central Arkansas. I think
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: they do kind of have the ability to do it again. Man,
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: they have some momentum here. Central Arkansas finished the season
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: quite hot. They only lost one game in like probably
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: a two month span at the end of the season,
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: finishing beating Austin p and Queens to finish the season
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: the two and three seeds in the comp. So I
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: don't love that that. Now Central Arkansas comes in maybe
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: a little bit rusty coming into this. Obviously yes to
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: the better team. Do I think they're gonna lose? Probably not,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: But I think I would probably take the points with Bellerman.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: But Bellerman, you know, because their defense is so bad.
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: They're kind of they're a little bit of a high
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: variance team. They're they also play slow, which is very weird,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: Like they're slow. They're good on offense, good at finding
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: good shots, but they also don't defend. It's a very
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: very weird mix. Sixty tickets, seventy four percent of the
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: cash on Central Arkansas. They are up to a six
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. You might be able to
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: get a seven. I again, I would probably take the
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: points with Bellerman, but that's not something I want to
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: put on my card either. The second game up in
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: this conference is possibly a pretty competitive one between the
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: I believe it's the four versus five match up between
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: Florida Gulf Coast and Lipscomb. Florida Golf Coast already played
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: in this tournament, so they have that advantage of having momentum.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Of course, they're switching arenas here though, but staying in
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: the same city. Although I assume, like you know, these
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: other teams must have already been in the city, they
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: just haven't played yet. But having played a game already
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: does help you a little bit. Florida Golf Coast had
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: a nice easy win against North Alabama, who's not very
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: good at all, So I think that's good. That's kind
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: of like a tune up game you get used to
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: playing in the tournament. Whatever I mean, of course, Golf Coasts,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: I mean they're kind of a staple of this conference. Anyway.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: Golf Coast lost both games during the regular season of Lipscomb,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: including most recently losing by fifteen at Lipscomb, so you know,
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: maybe Lipscomb will come in thinking this might be a
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: little bit easy to beat them. Lipscomb finished the season
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: winning three of four. This is not something I'm gonna
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: be involved in either. Lipscomb is a four point favorite,
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: but this is another one I probably would lean towards
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: taking the pore man. I think it could be a
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: competitive game, even though I do think Lipscomb has a
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: chance to make a run in this tournament. They are
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: a decent team in this conference. I think they're the
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: third best team in this conference behind Central Arkansas and
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: Austin p But we will see man Lipscomb. They were
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: supposed to be the best team in this conference this
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: year and they didn't live up to expectations. We'll see
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: what happens here. Gulf Coast seem to have a pretty
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: decent crowd at their game, though in Jacksonville, so it
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: seems like even though they're in Fort Myers, I believe
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: it seems like they have a lot of fans traveling
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: across the state of Florida for this Lipscomb I believe
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: it is in Nashville, I want to say, so. They
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: do have to travel a little bit further. Bellerman is
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: in Louisville, by the way, and Central Arkansas, I assume
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: is somewhere near Little Rock, but I have no idea
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: they're in the center of Arkansas. Okay, all right. The
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: next game in that conference, these those are afternoon games
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: getting into the evening portion of the a Sun. Stetson
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: is playing Austin p which I think is the ten
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: seed versus the two seed Stetson. I mean, they're a
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: team that, like I said, like every team of this
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: conference shoots a lot of threes, but Stetson is like
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: the extreme of that. Like they just they take more
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: than half of their shots from three point range, I'm
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: pretty sure, and if they're hitting them, they're gonna win
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: the game, and if they're not, they're gonna be horrible.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: And in fact, they were hitting a lot of them
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: in the game against Eastern Kentucky, who also takes a
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: lot of threes. Stetson I told you I leaned to
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: Stetson in that game. There were like a four point
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: dog in that game, and they blew Eastern Kentucky out man,
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: and it was all three point shots. You know, both
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: teams actually hit a lot of threes in the game.
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Stetson actually they were the better team actually all around.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: They held onto the ball, they didn't turn it over.
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: That was a big reason why they won. They also
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: won the rebounding battles, so they actually legitimately outplayed Eastern Kentucky.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: Now they got momentum coming into this against Austin P.
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man. I mean, they lost at
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: home by twelve to Austin P. They did lose on
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: the road by eight to Austin P. So they did
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: kind of give Austin P a little bit of a scare.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: The last time they played them, Austin P were sixteen
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites in that home game against
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: Stetson and they didn't really do that well. And in fact,
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: Stetson was winning the game in the second half. So
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: I think Austin P might actually take them a little
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: bit more seriously because of that, because this is the
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: last time they played and Stetson was winning for like
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: half the game almost even more, I think that might
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: have Austin P a little bit more focused than you
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: might think in this game. I think Austin P definitely
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: should win. Austin P also lost their last two games.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: But you remember I gave you guys Bellerman as a
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: play here on my show because Austin P. Even though
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: they were still trying to get the ones, they just
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: played their huge game against Central Arkansas, had to go
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: on the road, and I thought it was just a
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: bad spot, and they give them one hundred and eleven points. Man,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: So I think Austin P. They're gonna refocus quite a
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: bit after that. That was a horrendous effort. And they're
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: usually better defensively than that. Not that they're a very
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: good defensive team, really, but they're usually a lot better
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: than that. In fact, they're in the top half according
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: to kembom. Actually yeah, one hundred and forty seventh. Defensively,
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: they're actually one of the best defensive teams in this
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: entire conference. So I think they might be able to
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: lock it down in this game. I would actually probably
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Austin P. Stetson. Looks like they're
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: getting the public action, which is kind of insane. Sixty
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets, fifty eight percent of the cash
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: on them. I never want a public dog like that, man.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: I know they have the advantage of having played in
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: the tournament already, and they were actually the better team
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: in that game. But I think Austin P will be
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: ready for it. If Austin P were sixteen and a
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: half point favorite at home, ten and a half is
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: actually kind of short, like I think this line should
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: actually probably be about twelve and a half on a neutral. So,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: although I know Stetson, you know they have a slight
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: location edge because they're located in Florida and Austin P
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: is in there's somewhere in Tennessee. I forget where, but yeah, Clarksville,
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: I think. So hopefully they're not gonna be headed back
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: there early. They're not gonna be taken the last train
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: to Clarksville after they lose to Stetson. I don't think
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: that's gonna happen. So yes, I like Austin P in
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: that one. And then the final game is a very
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: weird game between West Georgia and Queen's. Queen's is up
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: to an eight point favorite. This Queen's team, they're pretty
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: much all offense. That's kind of what they do. They
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: haven't played in the tournament yet either, of course, their
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: opponent ere did West Georgia did win. I think they
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: actually wanted to blow out of a mistaken against a
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: pretty putred North Florida team even though they were in
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: North Florida's city. Actually the only one by eight. I
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: don't know. I wasn't really watching that game. So West
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: Georgia does have a game under their belt. They lost.
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: They lost, actually, they went one to one against Queens
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: during the regular season. They lost the most recent game.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: The home team won each game in the regular season series.
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: Both games are actually fairly close, so Wes Georgia did
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: actually play okay against Queens in both games. I do
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: think Queens is a little bit overrated, just because their
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: defense isn't that good. I think it's good that they
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: lost their last regular season game, though, because you don't
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: want to go into a break and have, you know,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: multiple days, have like a close to a week off
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: or whatever, with on a four or five game win streak,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't think that that's a good thing,
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: you know, because it can cool you off. But on
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: the other hand, their last game, even though it was lost,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: it was a big game against Central Arkansas, so they
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: might still have that kind of lingering in their mind
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: of the fact they already beat West Georgia last time
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: at home, but they didn't cover the only one by
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: seven as an eleven and a halfway favorite, but the
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: game was pretty much in hand. It wasn't really close.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: Towards the end of the game. It was a double
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: digit leave for Queens down the stretch, so they just
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: took their foot off the gas and that one maybe
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: started looking ahead. This is probably the hardest game to predict.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: In this one, the early money looks like it did
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: drive the lineup on Queens. I think I would actually
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards taking the points with West Georgia, though
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: we'll see what happens and then I don't know if
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: Queens they probably don't have him anymore. But Queens had
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: the worst free throw shooter in college basketball last year.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: I know everybody was talking about the granny shot guy
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: on Wafford who was really bad. He shot like forty
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: percent from the free throw line, and then when he
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: started granny shooting he upped it to like sixty five percent.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: But Queens had a guy who was like one of
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: their big men. It was unbelievable how bad that guy
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: was with the free throw a line that he was
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: probably like a thirty percent free throw shooter, like it
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: looked like he was intentionally trying to miss. He was
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: like not even hitting the rim, Like his free throw
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: shots were going off the backboard. It was completely insane.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they still have that guy or not,
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: but it was kind of hilarious and I got dude,
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: I still have to look because I haven't seen him
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: in a while. I gotta see if Queen's coach still
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: follows me on Twitter. Man, maybe he's just maybe he's mad.
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: Let me see whos Queen's coaches he still follow me.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna figure it out right now. He followed me because, yeah,
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: Grant Leonard, because he's known for wearing ugly sweaters and
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: I praised his Thanksgiving ugly sweater. Yeah he still follows me.
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: Shout out to Grant Leonard, man, head coach of Queen's
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: I love that guy. I love his dude. I'm gonna
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: like I kind of I have a soft spot for Queens.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: I kind of like for rooting interests. I kind of
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: just root for them just just because I like that
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: guy's style. I like the ugly sweaters. Man. All right,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: So that's the Atlantic sun that's going on today. Missouri
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: Valley also kicks off in the afternoon. Well, they already
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: kicked off, but the next round kicks off at one
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: pm with Drake against Belmont. Drake, I believe, is the
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: nine seed and Belmont is the one. Drake pulled off
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: an upset last night against the I thought very underrated
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: at Southern Illinois team. Southern Illinois very good on the
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: defensive side, but Drake was able to win the game. Man,
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: I watched a decent chunk of that game. And by
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: the way, the Missouri Valley whatever network that is, I
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: think it was rebroadcast on ESPN Plus because I was
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: watching the game on my TV, so I think it
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: was on ESPN Plus as well. But their score overlay
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: is it takes up like half the screen, like you
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: can see here. This is the ESPN one. Like, this
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: is one of the better ones, right because it's not
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: too big, it's not you know, it tells you everything
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: you need to know. You see the team's records. They
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: actually shade it in the jersey color of the team
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: so you could see you know, oh, like it's that's
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: really helpful. So yeah, ESPN is one of the best ones.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: CBS is one of the best ones. As well. The
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Missouri Valley one that they had last night was pitiful.
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: It literally took up half of the screen, the bottom
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: of the screen. I'm like, dude, and it was like
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: designed for it was like, you know, the Jitterbug the
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: cell phone for old people. They can't see anything, they
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: can't hit buttons, so it's like, got the huge buttons.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: It was like the jitterbug version of the score overlay.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: It was insane, dude. It was like it was for
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: blind people. Like my mom was over here last night
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: for dinner and I'm like, Mom, I'm like, look at
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: this score overlay here, and like you get like you
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: could read the whole thing from like across by place.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: She's like in the kitchen, she just looks like around
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: the wall there. Oh yeah, that's way too big. I'm like, yeah,
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: I know. And my mom's you know, old, so yeah,
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: she even thought it was too big, So there you go.
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: Although I don't think her vision is that bad. Well,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: actually everybody's vision is kind of bad at that point,
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Like I don't know, everybody wears glasses at least, but
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: you know, it's not like she's not blind, let's put
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: it that way. Bellmont is of course the best team
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: in this conference. They have not played yet in the
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: tournament though, but I think it was good that they
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: lost their last game to Illinois State. Even though you
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: know people might be talking about, well, Belmont might have
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: had an at large case, I don't really think so.
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: Like they just have not had a strong enough schedule
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: to have an at large case. I mean, you look
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: at their out of conference schedule, it was not strong enough.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: I don't think they played any Power conference teams actually,
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: but nobody's talking about them like they're talking about Miami,
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: Ohio because Belmont's not undefeated. Now Belmont, they did lose
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: that last game, so I think that's good that they're
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: coming into this tournament not on a win streak. They
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: think it might refocus them. And you remember I gave
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: you guys, Illinois State in that game because Belmont had
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: already wrapped up the one seed in this conference. They
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: won it by three games over second seed Bradley, who
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: was not the second best team in the conference. Belmont
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: against Drake this season, they won the last game at
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: home by thirteen and they won by two at Drake,
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: so they did win both games. I think Belmont will
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: definitely win this game. They're huge favorites here, but will
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: they cover as a different story? You know? I mean again,
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: when you're a team that has momentum and you already won,
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: and in this case, they're playing on the same floor
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: because this entire tournament is in Saint Louis, so Drake
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: has already played a game on this floor. Although every
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: team in the conference is kind of used to this
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: gym because of the conference tournament, always has played here.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: Belmont hasn't been in this conference for that long though
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: they moved over from like the Atlantic Sun, I think
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: not that long ago. So you know, there are some
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: advantages that Drake has here, even though it pulls off
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: an upset. Sometimes I'll look to fade them. But that
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: was not like a monumental upset or anything like that.
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: It was like a five point upset for Drake yesterday.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards taking the points with Drake here.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: Belmont is up to a thirteen point favorite, seventy eight
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash on them,
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: so they look like a public side, even though they
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: do look like they're getting the money right now. But
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I think I would have a slight
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points, but again, it's not anything
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: that I really want anything to do with. Illinois Chicago
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: and Murray State is the four to five matchup, and
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: because of the way this conference bracket is set up,
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: these both of these teams have not played yet in
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: the conference tournament and they're playing each other. The money
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: is coming in on Murray State. They're a one point favorite,
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the tickets, sixty four percent of
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. You know, I don't know how
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: much I really like Murray State here though, because Murray State,
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: even though yeah, they lost three of their li they
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: finished the season pretty cold, and I like teams that
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: are decent teams to bounce back when they finish the
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: season cold. And Murray State is probably like a top
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: four team in this conference, but they're not good on
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: the defensive side of things. That's kind of the issue.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: Illinois Chicago is the better defensive team here, and you know,
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: I kind of like better defenses and teams like Illinois Chicago.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: They're gonna try to slow this thing down. Murray State
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: wants to go fast, living up to their name the Racers,
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: But I tend to like the slow defensive teams in
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: tournament settings especially, I just think it's more beneficial to them.
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: Like the slow defensive team can also overcome having more
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: time off a lot easier. The problem with Illinois Chicago
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: is I think they're even newer to this conference than
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: Belmont is, so they're not quite used to playing in
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: this tournament and in this gym. So this is a
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: program that's unfamiliar with it. So we'll see how they
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: respond to it. Illinois Chicago lost two of their last
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: three games as well, so I think having some time
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: off will help them as well, and it should not
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: hurt a team that doesn't really rely on offensive timing
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: as much like Murray State really relies on that. So
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: you know, overall, in this game, I think I do
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: lean to Illinois Chicago slightly in this one. I think
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: the public, even though it looks like the money's coming
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: into Murray State, I would think that the public would
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: have a tendency to want Murray State here just because
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: they have the better record, much prettier record, and everybody
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: loves teams that score, you know what I mean, and
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: that's what Murray State is. Yeah, they didn't finish the
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: season hot enough, I guess for the public to really
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: want them. But it's it is an interesting game. It
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: really could go either way. I think it depends which
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: team's style is gonna win out here. It's definitely a
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: style contrast in that game. It'll probably be interesting to
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: watch the third game in the conference as we get
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: to the evening games. In the Missouri Valley, Valpo is
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: playing Bradley. Valpo did play last night and they won.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: They only won by one, uh so I think they
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: were like two and a half way favorites. I thought
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: they would win and likely cover, but they almost lost
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: the game to Illinois State. Valpo is not a horrible team.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: They've been fairly competitive this year actually against some of
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: the better teams in this conference. Bradley is a four
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. They're up from three to
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: four and a half. This is the two versus the ten.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: I believe it is what this is No. Two seven?
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: It must be the two seven, yeah, because I think
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: Indiana State had to have been the ten because Valpo
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: did wind up higher than them in the standings for sure. Yeah,
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: this is a two versus seven. But you know me,
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: I like to look for like if you see like
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: a like a team that's a lower seed that is
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: actually the favorite, you know what I mean. I tend
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: to kind of like to look for things like that. Now,
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: for Valpo, they have a game under their belt, which
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: is good, and they didn't look that good. It was
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: a low scoring game they barely won, so nobody's gonna
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: put any weight into that for Valpo. Valpo did beat
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: Bradley the last time they played them. They beat them
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: at home and Bradley won the Bradley game the game
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: at Bradley. Both games were won by seven points, which
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: is interesting. So the home team won by seven in
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: both games of this season series. Here, Valpo has the momentum.
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: Though again people will talk about, oh, the team doesn't
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: have rest because they played last night. But again, like
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: these teams have rest coming into this tournament. So having
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: one game under your belt is actually a good thing,
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: Like you're gonna be ready for that next game, you
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. Where's Bradley coming in cold? I
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: think is not as good. They finished the season with
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: a pretty good win over Murray State. I think I
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: would lead to Valpo in this one. Man. I think
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: Bradley is not the second best team in this conference.
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: In fact, I think they're like probably sixth or so.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: Like I think they're worse than of course Belmont, but
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: I think they're worse than Illinois State, Murray State, Illinois, Chicago,
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa. So Bradley is a little of an overseeded
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: team here. Man, I'd probably take the points of Valpo
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: in this one. It's a low total too, so it's
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: expected to be a low scoring game. In the one thirties.
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: That's where the total is there. And then the final
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: game is I think the best game in this conference
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: tonight is Northern Iowa and Illinois State. This is a
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: very interesting game. This is the six versus the three,
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: I believe. But these are really really good depenses. These
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: are the top two depfenses in the conference. You know me,
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: I like defense. I like the hard nosed style of play,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: and Northern Iowa is like a top twenty defense in
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: the entire country. It's just that they can't score. Illinois
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: State has a little bit more balance than they do.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: They're still quite good defensively. Northern Iowa is the public
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: side with seventy five percent of the tickets seventy five
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Illinois state though, so the
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: money's coming in an Illinois State here. I don't know
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: if I agree with that. The total is what's really crazy.
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: The total is down to one twenty three and a half.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: And you know, I do think an under is worth
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: consideration in this game, because that's I think what you're
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: gonna get here. I think you're gonna get an ugly, ugly,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: slow defensive game, which I like it. It's gonna be
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: ground and pound, it's gonna be slow and low. It's
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be some Saint Louis barbecue in this game here.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: The money is indicating on Illinois State. I'm not sure
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: that I agree with that though, in fact, I don't
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: think I do, but I think the under might be
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: the better way to look at This'll we lost a
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: little bit of value here, and I know it seems
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: insane to go under a low total like that, but
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: look at the scores and that these teams put up
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: in the regular season the last game that they played
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa. Actually, yeah, actually, this game is way higher
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: scoring than I thought. It was seventy one to sixty
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: nine in the last game at Illinois State. One actually
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: won at Northern Iowa by the way. But I think
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: that's more of a reason to go under here because
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: people are gonna look at that and be like, oh,
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: that flew over the total, So why would you want
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: to take an under here. Well, look at the shooting
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: percentages in this game. Northern Iowa shot fifty six percent
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: from three fifty overall, that's not gonna happen again, you know.
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: So Illinois State did out rebound them, by the way,
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: which does warning me a little bit that in that respect,
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: And you'd think that if a team shot as well
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: as Northern Iowa did in that game, they should have
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: won the game, but they still lost. So that worries
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: me about Northern Iowa. Hear uh, Northern Iowa lost the
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: game at Illinois State too, so the Illinois State did
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: win both games during the regular season. That game, both
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: teams shot terribly and the game, I think this is
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: going to be more like what we see today tonight.
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: That game landed fifty nine to fifty four, so it
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: ended below one hundred and ten, so I think we
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: might see a game more like this. And that total
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: was actually a one thirty two and a half, so
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: that yeah, the total is a quite low, but it's
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: because it's a tournament atmosphere too. But yeah, so I
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: do like the under Now, Illinois State was the better
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: team in both games. They actually out rebounded Northern Iowa
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: big time. So I think that's probably the reason why
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: the money is coming into Illinois State, because I think
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: they are probably actually the better team here slightly. But yeah, well,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: actually I don't know if they are, because the oddsmakers
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: are kind of telling you they're not actually right because
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: they have Northern Iowa is the favorite here and Northern
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: Iowa has a game under their belt in the tournament.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa won last night and didn't look very impressive
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: against Evansville. Evansville is terrible, and Northern Iowa won by nine,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: but that game was pretty close towards the end of it.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa was kind of just hanging on to like
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: a five point lead in the final minutes of that game.
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I like all that about Northern Iowa. Man,
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: they already got a game under their belt, They're used
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: to the arena. They didn't look good. It's kind of
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: a double revenge spot for them where maybe they will
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: make the adjustments. But again, I do worry that Illinois
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: State dominated them in the rebound department. So that's one
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: thing to really worry about. As far as Northern Iowa.
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: So I can't play the game, but I actually lean
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: to Northern Iowa in that game. But again we'll see.
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: I actually think they're the slightly better team, but we
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: will see. I would be a money line play there,
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: but I think the under is the preferable approach in
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: that game. All right, what else we got here? Long
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: long video, man, because I talk about every single tournament game.
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: We got the Colonial next. I think in the Colonial,
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: we only have one game today. It's the opening round
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: game in the Colonial. It's at two pm, and it
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: is a nightmare of a game between Northeastern and NCA
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: and T who are the thirteen and twelve seeds. I
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: think every team in the conference makes the tournament. Now
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: here's the thing. Nobody's gonna want Northeastern. They've lost I
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: don't even know how many games they've lost in a row,
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: probably fourteen or something, maybe not quite that many. Were
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: there were two and sixteen in conference. They've lost twelve
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: games in a row if I did that math right,
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: So absolutely nobody's gonna want Northeastern. Here, man, who's gonna
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: want a team that's lost twelve in a row. But
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: here's the thing about that is that again, I think
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: having the conference tournament is a reset, right, Like you
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: can just forget about all that. None of that even matters. Now,
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum. You got some time off, everybody's
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: making fun of you, come out and play the game.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: And by the way, Northeastern has two wins in the
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: conference this year. One of them was against NCAA and T.
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: They beat them by eleven on the road the only
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: time they played them. I think so, so Northeastern was
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: the better team in that game. I think if you
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: look into the box score, it does prove that out.
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: Northeastern is a terrible defensive team though, And nca and
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: T does have the best player in this game, which
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: is I always forget his name, Lewis Whatever, Lewis Wall.
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: He is the best player in this game. But I
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: would have to lean to Northeastern. I think this game
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: is in Washington, d C. By the way, so the
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: location is better for NCAA and T because they only
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: have to come up from North Carolina. Northeastern's coming from Boston.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: But again, they could use that as kind of a
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: reset right, Whereas NCAA and T did not finish the
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: season as bat although they did lose their last three games,
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: so they did finish the season on a bad note
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: as well. But nobody could have finished the season worse
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: than Northeastern did. Like, people are basically saying Northeastern is
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: not gonna win another game, and yet they're the favorite here.
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are telling you they're actually a little bit
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: better than NCAA and T. Nca and T has seventy
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: three percent of the tickets in eighty eight percent of
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: the cash. You know, me, with my contrarianism, I would
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: lean Northeastern here. It's not gonna make my card or anything.
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I just think the you know,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: the the negativity is gone too far. I think, like, oh,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: Northeastern is just never gonna win another game. No, I
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna give you an effort in this one, man.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, nobody wants to end the season on a
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: note that bad, So I think they will give you
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: an effort in that one. And they're playing a winnable game.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: They're actually facing a team that's slightly worse than they are,
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: So there you go, all right. Then we have I
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: already talked about the Big South, the a Sun Missouri Valley,
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: the SoCon it begins as well, the Southern Conference starting
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: at five PM. I think we only have a couple
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: of games in this conference today. The lower teams are
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: playing in this conference. I think like the seven or
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: ten teams play tonight. So the first game up is
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: the eight to nine matchup, I believe is what this
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: is between all right, could be wrong about that. Is
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: it ten or eleven in this conference? No, it's ten,
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: so I'm right. So I think this is the eight
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: to nine matchup first between Citadel and Chattanooga. Now, these
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: games are all being played in Asheville, North Carolina, so
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: you know, maybe there's a little bit of a location
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: edge for UNC Greens Borrow, I guess. But they're in
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: the other game today or tonight. Citadel and Chattanooga is
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: the more interesting game. I think the Citadel did lose
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: at home to Chattanooga in their last game badly by
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: twenty one points, but they actually won at Chattanooga prior
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: to that by seven, so the road team won both games.
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: It was a very zigzagy type of season for these
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: two teams against each other. Maybe the zigzag happens again here,
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: which would mean that maybe the Citadel is worth a
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: look here because they did lose badly at home. Chattanooga.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: I know they're one of the teams that people recognize
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: their name in this conference. The Mocks. They had that
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: one crazy conference final where they won on that ridiculous
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: three buzzer beater back in like twenty twenty two, which
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: I think was the last time they made the tournament.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: That was a good Chattanooga team that year, though they
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: almost beat Illinois. I think in the tournament that year.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: This Chattanooga team team is not good, and the Citadel
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: has been early competitive this year. Citadel did end they're
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: losing streak with a win, finishing the season on a
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: decent note, which I think is fine. You know, you
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: just don't want to finish the season on a huge
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: win streak. I think I think they will show up, well,
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: both teams will show up. It's a tournament game, but
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: I actually probably prefer Citadel here because last time these
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: teams played it was a blowout win on the road
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: for Chattanooga. Chattanoga finished the season with three wins in
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: their last four games, looking like they're getting kind of
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: hot at the right time, but that's exactly why you
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: don't want to stop playing at that point. Chattanooga is
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: a seven point favorite here. None of these teams have
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: played yet in the tournament, of course, this is the
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: opening round of the tournament. Seventy eight percent of tickets
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on Chattanooga. I'd probably
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: lean towards the Citadel. They're usually the Citadel and the
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: vm I or and vm I are like dormats in
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: this conference. But the Citadel hasn't really been this year.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: Vm I, however, has been. They're facing UNC greens who
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: is a seven and a half point favorite. Don't see
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: the percentages dot on this The game is in North
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: Carolina here. Vm I has been absolutely pitiful this year. Man.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: They're far and away the worst team in this conference,
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: which has been a down conference this year. To vm
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: I only had one win in conference play on the
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: entire season, which was against Chattanooga at home. Vm I
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: lost both games to UNC Greensborough. They lost at UNC
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: Greensborough by twenty one and then I think earlier in
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: the season they lost to them as well. Let me
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: see or did wait, did they only play them once.
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: I thought they played them twice. Yeah, I don't see them.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: Maybe they Oh no, they did. They lost them by
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: seven at home. I was gonna say, I think every
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: team in this conference plays every other team twice, because
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: that's how the ten teams set up pretty much works.
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: Vm I finished the season on a horrific note. Obviously,
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: they lost a ton of games in a row, as
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: they only had that one win early in conference play,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: which was, in fact, I think their first conference game.
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: I think they were one to zero when conference play
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: at one point, So that means they finished the season
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: with seventeen straight losses. Is that really right? That seems
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: like it can't be right. Maybe they played some earlier
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: season conference, but no, I think that is right. It
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: looks like that's the case. That's crazy, dude, So kind
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: of like with Northeastern. I mean, maybe that means I
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: could use this as a reset and show up, But
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure in this one. Man. This VMI
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: team is really bad. UNC Greensboro lost three of their
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: last four. I mean they might overlook vm I though
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: kind of take them for granted because VMI is so bad,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean, I might lean towards taking the
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: points there. But man, that one. Yeah, that's a game
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: that I want nothing to do with at all. I
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: want to touch that game. But this is one of
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: the games I would stay furthest away from, to be honest,
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is just awful. All right, UNC Greensboro
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: should win, I'll say that at least. All right, Then
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: what else do we have here? The Ohio Valley continues
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: at eight pm on espnure The Ohio Valley is gonna
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: be I think they might be the first team that's
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: gonna have their auto bid clinched first conference. I mean
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: to have their autobid clinch because they're already of the semifinals,
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: and then I think the final will be tomorrow night.
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: You Team Martin is playing Tennessee State in the What
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: is this? This is the three versus two? Is out? This
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: is no, it's I think it's the four. No, it's
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: the four versus one. Yeah, Tennessee State is the one seed.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: You Team Martin. They've been the best team of that's
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: conference for most of the season. But there's not a
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: huge gap between most of these teams. As I've told you, guys,
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: I think Morehead State is a fraudulent two seed. But
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: other than that, I think Tennessee State Simo and you
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: Team Martin. I think one of those teams is gonna
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: win this thing. U Team Martin didn't look good last night.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: They came in cold, they faced an Eastern Illinois team
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: pulled off an unexpected upset in the prior game against
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: SIU Edwardsville, as you know, probably whatever, they were six
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: and a half point dogs maybe in that one, and
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: Eastern Illinois put in another group of performance last night.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: U Team Martin barely got by. But that makes me
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: like UT Martin here because when you have a team
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: that is a pretty good team and they don't do
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: well and they you know, failed to cover and almost
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: lose the game as a big favorite like they did.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: There were seven and a half point favorites here. I
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: like to look at that team in the next game.
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: Plus they came into the tournament cold. Eastern Illinois already
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: had a game under their belt. This entire tournament is
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: being played in the same location in where is it.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: I think this is in Evansville, Yeah, Evansville, Indiana. So
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: Eastern Illinois had you know, was already used to the venue.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: But now that advantage kind of flips to U Tam
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: Martin in this game because they played last night, they
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: got kind of a warm up, they got a scare,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: they didn't play well, and they played Tennessee State in
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: the game before that. So Tennessee State in their last game,
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: they played U Team Martin and blew them out at
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: U Team Martin sixty seven to forty two. U Team Martin.
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: Both teams are gonna remember that man and U Team
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: Martin's probably gonna be the team that has the adjustments
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: to make here. U Team Martin in this game, they
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: had a horrible game in the game, just had a
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: horrible shooting performance and that's really kind of what led
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: to it. Although they got out rebounded. And that's what
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: scares me about UT Martin here is Tennessee State totally
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: dominated them on the boards in that game, So I
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: don't like that. You Team Martin also lost at Tennessee State,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if maybe there's a matchup problem here.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: That's what you have to figure out, Like when a
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: team loses to the same team twice during the regular season,
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: is it a matchup thing? Is it, you know, misleading?
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: I think the first game is a little bit misleading
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: because you team Martin led sixty one percent of that
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: game and they won the rebounding battle. So I don't
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: think there is like a like a matchup problem here.
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: Martin just shot terribly in that game too, and Tennessee
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: State shot really well in the game fifty percent from
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: the field. UT Martin turned the ball over a ton,
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't say that this is like a matchup thing.
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: I think you could argue this is going to be
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: double revenge for UT Martin here. The fact that they
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: got absolutely embarrassed in their home finale against Tennessee State
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: is going to motivate them here, man, And the fact
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: that they barely won last night. I like UT Martin
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: in this game. Tennessee State hasn't played yet in this tournament,
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: and they finished the season on a four game win streak,
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: beating four of the top six seeds in the conference
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: to finish the season, finishing with their last game winning
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: on the road against UT Martin In an absolute blowout,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: and now they're playing them again. Right now, I would
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: have to lead to UT Martin here. Man. See what
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: the market is doing here. The market is completely disagreeing
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: with me. The market is all over Tennessee State. Here.
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State's up to a three point favorite, seven percent
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, fifty to fifty on the tickets.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: I don't understand that at all. I don't know why
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: the public would want anything to do with Tennessee Martin
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: right now. Yeah, I disagree with it. I think Tennessee State,
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: or excuse I think Tennessee Martin is the side to
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: look at there, especially when you think it's gonna be
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: a low scoring game. You're getting three points. Yeah, that's
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that one, and then
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: the second game in this conference, I actually have a
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: play on it. But the line has been kind of
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: moving all over the place here, So this is a
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: game where you want to kind of try to find
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: the best number that you can on this. I'm gonna
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: give out a plan seltheiast Missouri State here on the
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: money line, it might make sense to look for the
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: spread now, though, I mean I have not like bet
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: any of these games yet, so which sucks because you know,
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: maybe I'm missing out of some live value here. Southeast
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: Missouri State had dropped from a three point favorite till
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: like a one and a half point favorite. Now they're
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: up to a two and a half point favorite, so
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: this line is kind of roller coastering seventy seventy four
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the met does worry me
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: that it looks like they're a public side here, but
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: this is one of those games memory. It's the three
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: versus the two, So it's not like that weird that
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: the three is a favorite over the two. But this
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: is where kind of the rubber meets the road here. Man,
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: Like Morehead State, you know, I've been talking about how
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: they're a far like they're a drastically overseeded two seed
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: in this tournament. They are not that good And I'm
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: gonna show you Ken Bomb's numbers in a minute here
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: on Morehead State finished the season as hot as possible,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: seven wins in a row. So who's gonna want to
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: fade Morehead State when they won seven games in a row. Although, yes,
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: the last time they lost was against Celtneast Missouri by
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: twelve on the road. They did win at home by
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: two against Celteast Missouri. But if you dig into those
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: box scores, and I know you could argue for the
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: zig zag. Oh yeah, well, because Celtheast Missouri won the
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: most recent game against them. Maybe Morehead will make adjustments,
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: but look at the game that Morehead won. Celtheast Missouri
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: State was winning eighty six percent of that game and
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: they wound up losing. And yes, moore Head did out
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: rebound them a little bit. Selthey's Missouri really hung onto
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: the ball and that game didn't turn it over a lot.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: But Selthe's Missouri did have ten more field goal attempts
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: in the game, which I do think, even though a
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: lot of that is because of the turnovers, I do
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: think that kind of indicates they were the better team
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: in the game. More Head shot ridiculously in the game
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent, so they did have kind of an
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: outlier shooting performance. And then sell They's Missouri, of course
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: won the second game by double digits. They led ninety
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: three percent of the way, So you're talking about a
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: Soultheas Missouri team that led almost one hundred percent of
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: both games against Morehead this year, and they did win
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: the rebound battle in the second game. They weren't as
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: good in the turnover department, but they did have more
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: field goal attempts. Again, both teams actually shot fairly well
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: in this game, so not really much to see there are,
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: though soultheast Missouri did get to the line. More So,
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: I usually don't like teams that, you know, don't like
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: to look at a team that had kind of a
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: huge free throw to spare. It wasn't that big, but
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: sell They's Missouri State's the better team. They already played
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: in this tournament last night, which I think will give
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: the momentum. They barely beat linden Wood in the three
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: six matchup. Linden Wood's not bad though, but that was
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: Selthey's Missouri really got a scare in that one man,
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: in the fact that now they have a game under
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: their belt. They played in this arena last night, you know,
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: not this game that I'm scrolling over. That was a
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: home game for them whatever that was against Tennessee Tech.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: That was their final home game. Anyway. Again, I think
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: when a team has one game in the tournament, it
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: gets the nerves out of the way. You win, you
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: get the game under your belt. Sulthey's Missouri did not
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: cover in that game. Now they're playing a morehead team
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: that is really not good on the defensive side of things.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: I think might have their momentum disruptive by having some
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: time off here, and if you look at that run
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: that they made at the end of the season, two
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: of the wins were pretty good against UT Martin and
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State, but the rest of the wins, the other
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: five wins were against all the bottom dwellers in the conference,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: so it wasn't as good as it looks. And then
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: we look at a good old Ken Pom here. He's
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: got Southeast Missouri two hundred and twenty six, which I
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: know doesn't sound good, but he has them one hundred
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: and fiftieth on deepfense, so they're actually the considerably better
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: defensive team here. They do play fast, which is weird.
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: A fast paced defensive team is odd. And there's seventy
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: fourth in luck I know, but look at what Morehead is.
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: Morehead is the second luckiest team in the country, only
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: to Liberty, and they try to play slow, but they
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: play no defense. They're three hundred twenty third defensively, which
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: is abysmal. So even though Morehead is, you know, slightly
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: better on the offensive side by about twenty thirty ranking
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: spots or whatever, there's a huge defensive disparity where you
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: if South these Missouri is almost a almost two hundred rankings.
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: Spots better defensively, and both teams are lucky. But Morehead
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: is just an extreme luck team this year. That's what
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: I like. Man, We're getting the better defense here with
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: Southeast Missouri. I gotta see what the best number we
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: can get is. On the money line here, I'm gonna
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: have to look if I'm actually gonna go bet this thing.
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: Let me see here, you can lay one and a
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: half with them at some spot. Still A couple of
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: the spots still have that. One of the spots still
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: has a money A couple of the spots still have
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: a money line right around this. You know what, I
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: think this is one that I gotta just do. I'm
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: gonna do it right now. Let me see here, I'm
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: gonna grab the money line on this one right now.
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: But you know it makes you log in and whatever.
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: I hate this for the first time, you're seeing me
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: actually do it live on the show. Hang on, Actually,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Have I done it before on the show?
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Let me see. I'm gonna do it
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: right now. Man, where are we at? Because I think
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: the line is gonna go back up on this one.
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: Probably fine. Itchy dude, I'm looking at bally Bets right now.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: They don't have a like their search mechanism is absolutely pathetic.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: It's absolutely terrible. But let me look at this because
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: I gotta get through all the breakdowns here, man. But
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: we don't have a whole lot else after the conference tournaments.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: So we have a few other bigins. One of my
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: my other play is not in the conference tournaments though, So,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: uh where are we at here? I'm looking, man, they
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: need a search mechanism on this thing. Man, this is
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: bad here at is Southeast Missouri? All right? I gotta
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: figure out what the bet amount is going to be
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: on this, all right? Yes, I think that's close. All right,
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: we're doing it, all right, Southeast Missouri anyway, Okay, sorry,
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: sorry guys. All right, so that's the Ohio Valley there.
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: You could lay the points if you want to in
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: that game too. Then we have all right, what else
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: do we have to go through? We've gone through most
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: of the conference tournaments. Now I think we have the
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Sun Belt. Continuing with Southern Miss, I was wrong about
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: both of the games last night from a straight up perspective.
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: I was Southern Miss came in cold and they beat
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: James Madison, even though James Madison I think is the
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: better team. They were the favorite and they came into
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: the game with momentum. Didn't matter. Southern Miss got the
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: win there. Now they get Texas State. Who Texas State
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: is coming into the game cold. Now, these two teams
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: played once during the regular season and Texas State won. No,
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: they played twice, my mistake, the home team won both games.
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss won by ten at home. Texas State won
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: by seven at home, which was the more recent one. Now,
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss does have a game under the belt and
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: these games were all in the same arena in PENNSYLC,
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: So Southern Miss does have a little bit of an
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: edge from that perspective of the fact that they played
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: last night and they won, so I think they do
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: have some momentum. Texas State finished the season with a
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: nice win against one of the top teams in the conference,
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: app State. So I don't love that. Texas State was
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: unbelievably hot down the finish, although they did lose their
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: second to last game inexplicably to Louisiana, but they won
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: eight of their last nine games, I think, so I
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: don't like teams that are that hot and then they
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: get that momentum a little bit disrupted, even though they
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: only won their final game. I think Texas State coming
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: into this with a lack of momentum and Southern Miss
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: having the win last night, I'm gonna lean to Southern
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: Miss in this one. The money is agreeing with me
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: on that. Even though Texas State flipped to a one
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: point favorite, fifty six percent of tickets ninety one percent
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Southern Miss. I agree with the
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: money in that one. The money percentage there, I like
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss in that one. And then we have the
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: other Sun Belt game is where is it at Georgia
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: Southern at South Albama. This Georgia Southern team, man, now,
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: they just upset the best power rated team in the country,
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State, who wound up being the seventh seed because
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: they lost every tiebreaker in the sixth way second place
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: tie absolutely ridiculous. This Georgia Southern team. I still think
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: they're not good. They're a lucky team. They got a
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: big upset last night. So even though they do have momentum,
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: I guess because they're coming into this game, but then
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: they've now won two games, man, so they're gonna have
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: to play a third game, and now you have to
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: start gauging. Like sometimes the momentum does continue, but when
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: you have two games in a row that you've won,
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: two knights in a row, you're coming off a seven
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: and a half point upset. Now, I kind of think
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: this might be the end of the road for Georgia Southern.
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: Man Southlabama is a pretty legit team in this conference.
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: South Alabama did lose their final game of the season
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: to Southern Miss, so they didn't finish the season on
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: a hot note or anything, so they're not gonna have
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: their momentum disrupted or anything like that. I think they're
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: the better team in which the oddsmakers are telling you
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: that they're a five and a half point favorite now
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half. The money's coming back
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: on Georgia Southern, though, eighty three percent of tickets on
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: South Alabama, ninety two percent of the cash on Georgia Southern.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: I think South Alabama has kind of a location edge
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: here too, because they think they're somewhere in the area
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: of like mobiles, so going from there to Pensacola pretty close.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna have a decent fan base at
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: this game, although I know Georgia Southern is probably not
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: too far away either though, But I think South Alabama
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: wins the game. The money is coming into Georgia Southern.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna kind of lean towards laying it with South Alabama,
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: but I don't have a strong opinion on that. I
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: apologize for the banner still being up there. Yeah, I
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: don't really have anything else to say about that game. Really.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: It's a tough handicap in that game, really though. The
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: money is really all over Georgia Southern there. But we'll
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: see if it, dude, again, it could switch by the
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: time the game tips off, you know what I mean.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: So you can't just look at the percentages, all right?
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: College basketball taken a while to get through. Man, we
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: do have the matt Ac in action as well, with
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: Sacred Heart being I think the what are they the
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: nine seed? Maybe I forget what they are. I don't
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: remember how this tournament is structured. They beat Iona in
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: an upset last night by double digits. Now they got
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: to play Merrimac. But of course that means Sacred Heart
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: does have a game under their belt in this arena.
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: Because the whole tournament is being played in Atlantic City.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: Merrimack coming into this they finished the season pretty hot.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: I mean they were on a pretty massive win streak.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: They did lose it at Canesia, so they bounced back
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: with a win against Niagara. They won nine. They won
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: nine of their last ten games on That's the type
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: of team that I don't exactly love. Merrimack's an interesting team, man.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: They have one of the best turnover margins in the country.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: They're a very small team. They hit a lot of threes,
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: they don't turn the ball over a lot. They're very
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: bad in the paint. They get out rebounded consistently. Uh
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: But they also they don't turn the ball over and
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: they cause a lot of turnovers. So they're an interesting
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: team where most of that is good except for the
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: rebounding thing. Sacred Heart is definitely the worst of these
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: two teams. Sacred Heart Merrimack beat them by seventeen at
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: home and by eight on the road, and I don't
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: think it was really that misleading. We all know Merrimack
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: is the better team here. Merrimack is a nine point favorite.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: That opener at one was not accurate. I think it
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: opened at about seven and a half or seven, but
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: it's all the way up to nine, but now the
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on Sacred Heart. I would not
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: lay nine points with Merrimack, man. I mean, I think
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: they'll probably win, but seventy nine percent of the tickets
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: on Merrimack fifty three percent of the cash on Sacred Heart,
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: the total is low one and a half. Merrimack they
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: play slow as well, they don't play a lot of
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: high scoring games, to laying points with them not something
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: I would want to do, especially this many points. Even
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: though they're against a weak team, they're against a team
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: that did play already and got a game under their
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: belt in this venue, which will help. And by the way,
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: Merrimack they're new to this conference in the matt Act,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: so they're not very familiar with this venue, even though
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: they have traveled to New Jersey this year during the
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: regular season or whatever, I'm pretty sure because they had
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: to play Saint Peter's Ride or whatever. But yeah, they're
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: not familiar with this tournament. And Sacred Heart already has
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: a game under their belt here, So I would actually
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: need to taking the points with Sacred Heart there, but
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion really, And then we do have
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: one other game. I think in the matt Act, which
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: is Fairfield and Saint Peter's, is that all we have?
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: We just have. Yeah, this is a weird tournament structure, man,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: So they're staggering it. So the the two seed in
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: the one seed play their games today, which are Merrimack
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: as the one. Saint Peter's is the two. But I've
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: been telling you I don't think Saint Peter's is a
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: legit two seed in this tournament. And then I guess
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: Sianna is the three seed, and then the Quinnipiac Maris game,
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: the four or five a very interesting game. Those games,
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: I guess are gonna be played tomorrow, so they stagger it.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: They don't play any afternoon games. I don't know. Saint
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: Peter's is up from two to four here now laying
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: four points. They got ninety four percent of the cash
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: fifty to fifty on the tickets, so the money looks
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: like it is on Saint Peter's here on their side.
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: You know, I think Saint Peters is a fraudulent two
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: seed in this conference. I don't think they're the second
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: best team. I think they're actually like fifth or sixth.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: I think they're worse than Merrimack of course, but also
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: Sianna Marris Quinnipiac, so I think they're probably the fifth
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: best team in the conference. Saint Peter's finished the season
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: with a win over Maris. They won their last two games.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: They're playing Fairfield, who they did beat not that long
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: ago at home by nine. They won on the road
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: against Fairfield as well by four. Yes, Saint Peter's is
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: the better team, but Fairfield got the win last night.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: Fairfield did better than I thought. They won by double
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: digits against Manhattan. Manhattan's a pretty bad team. I'm Fairfield.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: You know, They've been okay in the conference this year.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: They've beaten some of the best teams in the conference
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: this year. I think they could put up a competitive
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: effort here man And again, they're used to the venue
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: because they played last night. They had a fairly easy win,
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: so they have momentum. They're not going to be that
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: tired Saint Peter's coming into this coldal though Saint Peter's
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: they're location wise, they're close to Atlantic City because they're
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: a New Jersey school, so their crowd will show up
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: for this. I think I would probably take the points
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: with Fairfield and that one all of the money is
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: disagree with me, But I'm dude. I'll admit that I
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: don't know if I'm that great at handicapping these conference tournaments. Man.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: I think I'm better at the bigger conferences. But really
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: I'm just looking for these like kind of flip spots
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: where basically you have like the lesser seeded team is
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: actually the better team, and I'm looking to fade like
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: over seeded teams, you know what I mean. That's kind
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: of how I do it. So hopefully we can get
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: that win tonight, Hindi, And what's up, man? My life's
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: not showing on you too. What well, thank you, sir,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out. What's up man? Everything's working right?
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: It looks like my MIC is working. I'm assuming I'm
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: live on YouTube. I don't. I don't know I have
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: any notifications telling me otherwise. In stream yard here I
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: can look, well, you might you're watching me on YouTube,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: so I'm assuming it's working. I don't know about the Twitter,
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: all right. We do have more conference tournaments that we
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: still have to talk about here. So I wound up
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: talking about almost every game here, man. So that was
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: the ma AC. Let's see what else do we have.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: The Summit League is also in action here, thank you sir.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: All right, Luckily we don't have too many NHL and
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: NBA games to talk about, so Omaha and celt Dakota
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: are playing. This is a pretty interesting one actually, Omaha.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: We know they won the conference last year. People might
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: remember that Omaha lost both regular season matchups to celt Dakota.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: Yet they're the higher power rated team. They lost at
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: home when they were six and a half point favorites,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: and if you look at this game, it was kind
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: of misleading. Man. I mean, Omaha shot five percent from
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: three point range. They hit one three in the game.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: Even though they were kind of the better team. They
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: had more rebounds, fewer turnovers, they had more possessions, they
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: just were ice cold from three and they couldn't hit anything.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: And they actually shot really poorly from the free throw
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: line as well. So that's kind of what did them
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: in in that game. And then they lost pretty badly
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: really recently in the second to last REGA season game,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: they got bombed by celt Dakota at celt Dakota. They
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: lost by seventeen. But if you look at this game,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: Omaha out rebounded them again in the game, they didn't
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: shoot well from the free throw line, so I guess
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: maybe Omaha just sucks at the free throw line. They
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: again missed a lot of their threes, although they're not
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: really a three point shooting team. But this game was
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: closer than the final score makes it look. Man celt
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: Dakota did outshoot them the possession wise, the team's had
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: a similar amount of possessions in the game, so I
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: think the score was misleading. I think that was a
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: lot closer than it looked. So I like Omaha in
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: this game. I believe that these two teams. Yeah, these
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: teams have not played yet in the conference tournament. This
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: conference tournament is a weird structure. I think this is
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: the four or five matchup. I think neither team has
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: played yet. And the Summer League they only play at night,
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: you know, so they stagger their game like they stagger
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: the days. So some of the teams play one night,
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: some of the teams play the next time. But that
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: also means that in this conference you get a setup
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: where some like teams don't have to win like a
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: bunch of games in a row every single night. I
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: would go with Omaha here, man I think it's misleading
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: that they lost both regular season games. They're the better team.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Omaha, but they're up
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: from two and a half to three and a half now,
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: so you missed out on a little bit of value
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: on that one. For now seventy five percent of tickets
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the cash on Omaha. I'm worried
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: about the Selvi's Missouri game, man, I am with that
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: percentage that we're seeing in the market right now. But yeah, Omaha,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: I would much rather lay the two and a half
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: than the three and a half, but I would still
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: probably lay it with Omah here though three and a
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: half is getting a little crazy, but they are getting
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: the Money's seventy five tickets ninety seven percent of the cash,
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: which is probably not accurate, but the money is coming
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: in on them. The game is in celt Dakota, though
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: not at South Dakota's home arena, but the whole tournament
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: gets played at Sue Falls, South Dakota, so Sue Falls.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: Pregame has that wrong with Sue Fall, But yes, anyway,
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: so celt Dakota. I guess you could debate that they
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: have a location edge there, but I don't think it
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: comes into play that much there. And then the other
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Summit game tonight is Denver and North Dakota. These teams
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: haven't played yet in the tournament either. I don't think
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: this is the three six matchups. So the winner of
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: that first game is gonna play North Dakota State, and
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: the winner of this game is going to play Saint
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: tom Both of those teams won last night of the
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: one of the two seeds. Now, this one is interesting
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: because you have the three versus the six. Denver is
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: the sixth seed, North Dakota is the three. But I've
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: been telling you Denver is actually the better team, and
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: they're the favorite here. So the odds makers are indeed
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: telling you they're the better team. They're laying three here,
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: it's down from four. I do like Denver in this game. Again,
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: when you have the lower seed being the favorite, that
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: should jump out at you and tell you something, man,
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: because like the odds makers are telling you, the seedings
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: are inaccurate. North Dakota has been kind of a fraud
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: like pretty much all year. I think in this conference
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: they've had some good wins, but I don't really necessarily
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: want to fade them because they got absolutely annihilated in
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: their last game by North Dakota. States, they might show
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: up with a little bit of effort. They did lose
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: at home to Denver in their last game. They actually
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: won on the road against Denver, so the road team
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: won both games in this matchup. If the zigzag continues,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: the North Dakota might put in a better effort here.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: Denver is definitely better than the record looks. They played
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: pretty well down the stretch. They lost their final game.
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a real bad loss to in their
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: final regular season game. They lost to an atrocious Oral
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: Roberts team, so they should bounce back from that. So
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: I do like Denver in the game, but it's not
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: really strong enough for me to you know, give it
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: out as a play or anything like that in my opinion.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: So take from that what you want to. But yeah,
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: I'll lean Denver in that one. And that is the
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: way that I look at that game. You know, I
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: just pretty much I'm in a default. If you see
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: like a seeding mismatch like that where the lower seeded
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: team is actually the favorite, I'm gonna look that way.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: You know, you got a notification Oh interesting? Oh yeah, yeah.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: YouTube on the left bar there. Yeah, they show like
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: Who's live right now? With that set up? Yeah, I
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: know what you mean. It has like a red like
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: icon on it. I know what you mean. All right, okay?
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: And then what else do we have left here? Man?
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: That was the Summit So we talked about the Summit games.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: I think all we got left to talk about here
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: is the West Coast Conference. They played late at night.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: They only have night games as well. I think they
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: have two games. Yeah, so they always have two games
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: because they have a similar structure to the Sun Belt,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: but it's on the West Coast, so they're late night Eastern.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: These games are all at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Portland.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: As I told you, they did get the win last night.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: I thought they would against Pepperdine because they actually somehow
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: lost both regular season games to a very bad Pepperdine team.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: Portland got the win. Now they got to face Washington State,
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: who hasn't played yet, and Washington State is not familiar
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: with this venue, so Portland does have some advantages here.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: A little bit of the Washington State was in the
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: PAC twelve not too long ago, so I guess they're
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: still kind of used to playing in Vegas, I guess,
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: but the means is specific to the West Coast Conference.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: But playing in Vegas is a whole thing, you know,
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: because you can get distracted by the party atmosphere of Vegas.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: So like teams that come from conferences where they didn't
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: play in Vegas are not used to it. But at
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: least for the former PAC twelve teams, they are at
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: least kind of used to it because the PAC twelve
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: would play their tournament in Vegas as well. Portland does
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: have the advantage of having played last night and won
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: an easy game last night, so they do have momentum.
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: They have a game out of the way in the conference,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean in the tournament in the arena,
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: so they're used to it. Washington State finished the season
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: on a bad note. They lost three games in a
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: row and losing to pepper Dye to their final game
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: was pretty bad, but going to pepper Dye kind of
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: a weird venue to have to go to. Washington State's
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: not as bad as that. They're certainly not good. They're
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: far away from the days where they were a decent
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: team in the PAC twelve. I think moving over to
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: the West Coast has really hurt both them in Oregon's
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: because they had to start playing in all these unfamiliar
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: venues and they're not familiar with the you know, the
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: travel that's involved in this conference and whatever. It just
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: kind of becomes a thing where it kind of hurts you,
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: and you're I can think it hurts you. I think
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: it hurts you that you're playing a lot of lesser
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: competition too. Now, in the regular season, Washington State crushed
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: Portland at home by thirty and they did win on
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: the road by five as well, So Washington State they
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: are the better team. They did win both regular season matchups.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: I think a thirty point win is almost always misleading, though,
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: and Portland does have the advantage of having played already
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: in Washington State's a little bit less familiar with playing
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: in this specific tournament. Washington State's up to a six
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: point favorite. I would probably take the points of Portland
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play the game, but again, I
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: don't have a good read on the game, so there's
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: no way I'm gonna do it. But that would kind
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: of be my read there. And then we have San
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: Diego and Seattle in the other game late at night,
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: with so I think, yeah, I don't even know what
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: seeds these teams are at this point because the seeding
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: is just kind of crazy where you have the best
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: teams don't play until later on in the conference tournament.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: Of the high seeds don't, but most of them are
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: the better teams. San Diego ended a nice ended eight
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: bad I should say, long losing streak with a nice
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: win last night. It was an upset against Loyola marry Mount.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: I watched the end of that game. Could win for
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: San Diego against Loyola Marry Mount. It ended a losing
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: streak and it got them a game under their belt
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: in this arena, so that's good. And Seattle coming into
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: this game, they're not as familiar with playing in this
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: venue either. They came over from the Whacks, so the
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: Whack did also play and does play their conference tournament
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: in Las Vegas as well, but at a different site,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: so Seattle isn't used. They're at least used to playing
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: in Las Vegas, but not used to playing in this
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: arena specifically. Now. They finished the season on a three
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: game win streak and they haven't played for a while,
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: so that might disrupt their momentum. Seattle's a team. It
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: doesn't rely on momentum as much though, because they're more
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: of a defensive oriented team, even though I think they
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: actually play fast and play deep bets, which is kind
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: of a weird combination. They play kind of a mid tempo.
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: They're really good on the deep beensive side, and terrible offensively.
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: They're a very imbalanced team. Seattle is San Diego. You know, again,
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: they have a game under their belt. What are they
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: do in the regular season against Seattle? They lost on
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: the road by eleven in an unfamiliar venue, of course,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: because going to Seattle, you know, you're not familiar with
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: the venue. And I think that looks like they only
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: played once during the regular season. I think that does
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: happen occasionally. Some of these teams only play once. So
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: these teams are pretty unfamiliar with each other, which you know,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: might mean it's gonna be a feeling out process, you know,
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: so an under I guess it might be worth a
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: look because Seattle plays a lot of unders because they
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: can't score. They play deepfense. San Diego, though, you know,
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: they probably won't be tired yet after playing one game
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: and with the teams being unfamiliar, with each other. Maybe
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: they'll feel each other out, so maybe an under makes sense.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: The total is low in the one forties, Seattle's up
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: to a ten point favorite. There's no way that I
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: would lay double digits. They're up from seven and a
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: half to ten with a team that can't score and
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: all they do is play deffense. Even if they are
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: the better team, you can't lay double digits, man, I
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: don't think so. San Diego with a game under their
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: belt in the tournament and they're more familiar with it,
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: I'd probably take the points with San Diego. But if
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, but that's not something that
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: I want to do. All right, Let's get into the
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: non conference tournament games now. I always talk about the
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: other TV games and whatever CBS Sports at six pm has.
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: For some reason, they have Northern Illinois and Akron. I
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: guess because it's Akron Aker gets the TV billing because
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: they're like the team that's considered to be the team
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: that has the shot to take out Miami Ohio in
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: the MAC Tournament if it gets to that. Northern Illinois
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: is a very bad team. They've lost four games in
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: a row, but I think they will at least try
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: to show up against Akron. I don't believe these teams
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: have played at all this season. This is the final
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: regular season game. Northern Illinois, you know, doesn't want to
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: end the season on a horrible note like that. They're
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: not making them AC tournament because the bottom I think
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: five teams get dropped from the tournament. So Northern Illinois
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: is eliminated from the tournament. So this will be their
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: last game that they're playing. So I think unless they
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: get invited to any of those invitational tournaments, which they
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: probably won't, so I think they're gonna show up. You know,
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: it's their last game. They get to play one of
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: the best teams in the conference, Akron. You know, they
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: get a TV game, it's their final home game. They
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: might show up for that reason, but covering is a
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: different story here, man, and they're gonna be looking forward
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: to the conference tournament now. They do have a chance.
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: Actually no, they don't have a chance. They're locked into
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: the two seed because even if they win and Miami
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: Ohio loses tonight and they pull into a tie with
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio, Miami Ohio as the tiebreaker because they beat Akron.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: So Akron does not have the tiebreaker, so Akron is
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: locked into the two seed in the MAC tournaments and
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: they might be looking ahead there. So I would only
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: look towards Northern Illinois in this game. I know it's
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: a really really ugly idea. Akron might show up again
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: just because it's a home game and because they have
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: this isolated TV game. They're twenty two and a half
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: point favorite, and for some reason, we see seventy one
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and cash on Northern Illinois. But
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: you know, the public is not playing Northern Illinois in
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: this game. So but I would lean towards taking the
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: points in that one. Not a strong opinion at all.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: ESPN two at seven PMSVCU and Dayton. This is a
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: good game between two of the better teams. I keep
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: forgetting about Dayton. Dayton is one of the better teams
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: in the Atlantic ten men, it's Saint Louis then VCU.
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: Then I think Dayton and George Washington are both the
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: next two best teams in this conference. VCU is coming
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: up a pretty nice win over George Mason, even though
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: George Mason's not actually as good as people think they
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: are based on their record. U actually probably didn't cover
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: that number against them. No, they were nine and a
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: half point favorites and they only won by five. So
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: I guess you could make the argument that they'll show
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: up more focused, but I'm not sure about that because
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: I think the teams, I think have more of a
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: tendency to think that the team is as good as
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: their record is, you know what I mean. So I
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: think they consider that to be a pretty big game.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: It was their final home game. They're already blasted Dayton
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: at home by twenty six points, so they might not
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: have full focus against Dayton here. This will be a
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: big game for Dayton. It's their final home game. The
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: last time they were on this floor, they beat Saint Louis.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've been good on this floor. They do
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: have five wins, six wins in a row. Excuse me.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: They just barely got by Richmond in their last game.
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: Richmond's not good. That was a road game. Now they're
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: back at home. They get a TV game. It'll be
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: a big game. They get to host a TV game
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: against a good VCU team. They get a chance to
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: play spoiler two because I think if VCU loses to Dayton,
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: that's really gonna hurt VCU's resume, and I think people
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: kind of know that, Oh VCU they're a bubble team.
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: We see them in the bracketologies right now, so they
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: kind of need to get this win for that reason.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to Dayton here. I would be
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: a money line play. Uh fifty per ticket, sixty six
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Dayton. I think the pressure
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: might be on VCU here man and Dayton could play
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit looser here, not having having to
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: worry about an at large resume. Really Uh so yeah,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Dayton in that one. Up fifty
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: nine percent ticket, sixty six percent of the cash on Dayton.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: Money seems to agree. The game that I'm gonna have
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: a play on is we're gonna take the points with Buffalo.
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: I think you might be able to get eight and
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: a half on this now it looks like it was
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: at eight for a bit. We're gonna fade to Leedo.
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: Toledo's got seventy nine percent of tickets and only fifty
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on them, So I think
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: the money is agreeing with this one. I think you'll
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: be able to find eight eight and a half on
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: this probably around eight. But of course, you know me,
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: you know the reason why we're fading Toledo here. Man.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: I know it's Toledo's final home game, but you know
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: what their big game was, Man, that was their super Bowl.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: They went to Miami Ohio and almost beat Miami Ohio.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: That would have been a monster game. Everybody's trying to
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: take out Miami Ohio at this point, man, and they
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: almost did that, played them within two. And yet another
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: really close game against Miami Ohio. And by the way,
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: Western Michigan after they almost beat Miami Ohio, I told
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: you I thought Western Michigan still had some reason to
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: show up because they were trying to avoid missing the
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: MAC Tournament and it was their final home game. Well
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: guess what, they still lost to ball State. So coming
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: off a game against Miami Ohio, man, it will it
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: will hang you over Toledo. They're already gonna be in
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: the MAC Tournament. Yes, they do have a chance to
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: walk up the four seed here, and yes, this is
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: their final home game, but I just don't think that's enough.
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: I think they put all their effort into that Miami
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: Ohio game, and I think this is a sandwich spot
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: because I don't think they care that much about their
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: seeding here. They're gonna be looking ahead to the conference
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: tournament now they're gonna be in it. I don't think
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: they're going to care that much about playing Buffalo here.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: And Buffalo they're a team. I know I gave you
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: guys Buffalo in their last game. Buffalo is not as
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: good as their overall record looks. I understand all that
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: I've been saying that, but they're coming up a couple
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: of bad games. Man. They had a game where I
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: gave you guys a Buffalo against Did I give you
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: guys them against Central Michigan? I think I did it.
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: They lost the game outright, so that was pretty bad.
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: And then they won their final home game, but they
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: didn't cover against Eastern Michigan's. They had kind of a
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: bad game in this game too. So they're coming out
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: of two kind of lackluster games in their last two
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: home games here, and I think Buffalo will show up
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: here in this game against Toledo. Man, they did not
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: play them this season. I don't think so, you know,
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: I just think it's a horrible spot for Toledo and Buffalo.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: They're actually they're trying to avoid missing the MAC Tournament completely. Actually,
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: I think there's a chance they missed the MAC Tournament
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: because the bottom five teams miss it, and right now
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: that would be ball State, Central Michigan, Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan,
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: and Northern Illinois. So the three Michigans are all in there.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: But Buffalo is only one game away from that. Man,
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: And let's see, they did beat ball State both times,
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: so they do have the tiebreaker against ball They went
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: one on one against you Mass, so I don't know
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: if they have the tiebreaker against you Mass or not.
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: Those are the teams that they need the tie breakers
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: against pretty much. But I guess, you know, yeah, you
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: know what, I guess they can't fall out. I guess
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: they cannot miss the MAC Tournament now because they can't
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: fall behind Ball State. But well, you gotta pay attention
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: to Central Michigan too though. Let me see, but I
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: don't know, because You Mass is still in the thick
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: of it too. They lost to Central. Yeah, Buffalo does
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: not have the tiebreaker against Central Michigan because they lost
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: that game against Central Michigan and that was the only
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: time they played them. So that's bad for Ball State.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: Man or excuse me for Buffalo. Excuse me. So yeah,
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is still trying to make sure they avoid falling
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: out of the MAC Tournament, so they do have reason
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: to show up here. So yes, we're taking Buffalo for
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: all those reasons. That just makes it better. I mean,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: Toledo's already in a bad spot, but the fact that
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: I think Buffalo has motivation here and their big dog,
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: that's even better. So yes, one more shot for Buffalo
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: to get us a win. And this time they're not
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: a favorite, they're an underdog, So give it to me Buffalo.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: Let's go. All right, we got some other games. There
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: might be someone interesting, you know, there are some games
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: with I guess some ramifications in the IVY. I don't
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: know if we really care. The IVY League isn't set yet, man,
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what I was looking at with
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: that IVY bracket yet. The IVY League is not totally
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: set yet, although it looks like it will probably be Yale, Harvard,
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: Penn and Cornell, but I think the teams could shift
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: around a little bit. And Harvard does play tonight against
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: Columbia and they're not a huge favorite at home. But
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: I don't really have much to say about that game,
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: although get his road revenge for Columbia. I mean, Harvard
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: is trying to hang on to the two seed there,
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: so the pressure might be on Harvard a little bit.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: Probably would have a slight lead to taking the points
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: of Columbia, but I don't have a strong opinion there.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports at eight pm UCF and West Virginia and
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: what some people might consider to be a bubble game.
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: UCF looks like they're pretty solidly in at this point.
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, a twenty win Big Ten, Big twelve team,
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: excuse me, is not gonna get left out of the tournament.
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: Even though I don't like ucfs metrics that much. I
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: think they're in. In West Virginia. With their most recent loss,
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna be out. But you never know, man,
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, you never know what teams are gonna do.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: You see, F is coming off of a really good
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: looking loss, if you want to call it that. They
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: lost to Oklahoma State one hundred and eleven to one
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: hundred and four in overtime. And when teams play really crazy,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: high scoring games, they tend to be like a public
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: side because oh, this team scored a lot. You know what,
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: I mean that was a good loss, the public will say,
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: even though it was against a non tournament Oklahoma State team.
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State has been okay this year. Ah, okay, get it.
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: West Virginia coming off a bad loss on the road
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: to Kansas State. They weren't kind of a letdown spot
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: against after being in BYU so I thought that was
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: a tricky spot for West Virginia. But now this is
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: West Virginia's final home game, They're gonna try to slow
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: the pace way down, which UCF does not want to do.
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: UCF plays fast, so West Virginia going way way slow,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: low and slow, and West Virginia is the way better
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: defense here. I kind of like West Virginia in this one. Man,
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: it's their final home game. They should get up for it.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: I think they'll give you some effort. Year. They're hosting
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: it kind of an isolated TV game, which usually gets
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: that home team a little bit extra motivated. The money's
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: coming in in UCF, though, which I don't really agree with.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: West Virginia is a three and a half point favorite.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: I don't love laying points with hardcore defensive teams that
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: slow the pace down like that, but it's not too
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: many points here, fifty six percent of the ticket on
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: West Virginia, seventy nine percent of the cash on Central Florida,
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: So the money is indicating on UCF for now, but
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean towards West Virginia there all right,
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: then we have getting into the more interesting TV games.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports won at nine PM number eighteen. Saint John's
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: is at Seaton Hall to finish off the regular season.
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: Saint John's still has a chance to overtake Yukon in
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: the Big East standings for the one seedle, though I
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: think they need Yukon to lose because I think Yukon
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: has a tiebreaker against him. I'm not sure though, because
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: st they split the season series. Saint John's is coming
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: up kind of a bad performance against Georgetown. They barely
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: won in their final home games, so Saint John's might
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: actually come in with a better effort here against Seaton Hall.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: I know they played Seton Hall at home earlier this
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: year and they only won by five, so I think
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: Saint John's will not overlook Seaton Hall. Seaton Hall was
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: winning a lot of that game, so Seinhal really did
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: give Saint John's a scare in the home game at
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: Saint John's, so I really don't see Saint John's overlooking
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: this game. It will be a huge game for Seton Hall, though,
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: Like I don't really want to face Seaton Hall here either, man,
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: because you know they're a good defensive team. They like
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: to slow the game down. Both defenses are good. Seaton
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: Hall is a bubble team right now. It's their final
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: home game they get to play on TV, so I
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for it. I'm mad that
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: we lost with Xavier in that last game. I thought
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: that was a really bad spot for Seton Hall. They
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: somehow were able to get it done even though Xavier
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: was in position to get us a win in that one.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: Both teams are gonna show up for this man, and
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: I think because Seton Hall plays slow, both teams are
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: much better on the deepfensive side. This game looks like
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: an under to me. The money is coming in in
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: the under after the total did go up to one
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: thirty six. I like under in that game more than
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: I like the side. Saint John's is down to a
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: four point favorite, sixty five percent of tickets, sixty nine
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Saint John's. Yeah, I think
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: I would Bobby lean towards laying the points with Saint John's,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: but I think you know you're gonna get a motivated effort.
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: I think out of both teams there, which makes it
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: like the under more so the under makes sense to me,
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: and that one I like that more than the side.
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: And then we have number nineteen Miami Ohio. Even though
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: they're like eighty seventh and Gen Bomb, they keep dropping
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: in Gen Bom because they keep barely beating bad teams.
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: Number nineteen Miami Ohio. This is the last game it
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: stands in their way from an undefeated regular season. Man,
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: and they got to go to one of their biggest rivals,
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: Ohio in Athletes Ohio in the rivalry game, the Battle
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: for the Bricks. Yeah, this is gonna be a crazy atmosphere.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: But Miami Ohio, their crowd keeps showing up. Man. Their
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: crowd showed up in a very major way at the
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: Kent State game, So you know their crowd is going
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: to be showing up for this. Like, it's probably gonna
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: be close to fifty to fifty in this game. Even
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: though I think it's a little bit of a travel
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: because Miami Ohio's down, I think like the southwest area
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: of Ohio. I think University of Ohio I think is
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: closer to the northeast area of Ohio. You can correct
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: me if I'm wrong. I don't know Ohio geography well
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: at all. I know we're Cleveland. It sitsinnati Are and
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: where Columbus is and that's basically it. Wellly I've been
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: to Columbus, so but yeah, anyway, this is gonna be
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: a big This is a huge game for both teams.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: But Miami, Ohio. You gotta think all the pressure is
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: on them here because this is it. They can get
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: an undefeated season if they do it, So the pressure
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: is all on them, where I think Ohio can kind
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: of just free roll here. Like Ohio's already in the
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: MAC Tournament, they're not in danger of missing out on
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: the tournament. They do have a chance to move up,
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: I think to the four seed. I think I'm not
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: sure about that. No, they don't. Actually, they don't have
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: the tiebreaker against Toledo. They lost both games, so Ohio
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: is you know, they can't move up. But you know,
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: this is a huge game for them because it's their
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: final home game. They have the chance to spoil Miami
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: Ohio's undefeated season. Miami Ohio already won against Ohio at
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio by sixteen, so it's possible they take Ohio
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit lightly off off of playing them like
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: that the game prior, which wasn't that long ago. This
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: is a huge game for Ohio. It's a big deal
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: that they get a TV game for this game. It's
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be a fun game to watch. Man, this is
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: gonna everybody's gonna be watching this game. Who would have
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: thought that the you know, during conference tournament time, the
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: game that's probably gonna get the most viewership is gonna
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: be this game. And it's on ESPN two, not ESPN.
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: But I think this game is gonna have the viewership. Yeah,
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be the game that gets the most views tonight, man,
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: I believe. So, yeah, it's gonna be an insane game.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: What do I think about the side? I would lean
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: to Ohio although the line looks a little bit low.
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: But the public, you know, they're probably gonna be vetting
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: on Miami Ohio. The public loves this Miami Ohio team.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: They're a darling. They're gonna want to see it happen.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: They're gonna want to make money when it happens, get money.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: Winning With the completion of the undefeated season, eighty two
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets ninety four percent of the cash
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: on Miami Ohio, they're a very republic team. It is
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: kind of telling that they're only a five and a
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: half way favorite. Kind of looks too easy, and ken
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: Bomb does have Miami Ohio a bit better than that.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: Ohio is actually not really that good of a team.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: Ken Bom I think has this line at like seven. Uh.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: But even so, I still think I would have to
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points in this one though, if
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, which I'm not gonna do it,
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: but because you know, I'm just because I'm an asshole,
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: and I hate the hype that Miami Ohio is getting
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: used because I think, dude, everybody just has this team
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: so wrong. They're the most overrated team I've ever seen,
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: you know me, I'm trying to just you know, put
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: the truth out there. The truth is that Miami Ohio
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: is not as good as their record looks. So, you
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: know me, like, I'm the type of person that would
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: you know, bet Ohio just to spikee Miami Ohio I'm
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: not gonna do it because you know you can't let
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: bias affect you that much. But you know the number
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: is just not right for it, I don't think. But
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: I would take the points of Ohio still if I
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: was gonna play the game. Mister Pinsey, you and mister
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: Vindsey tics that have been talking about that, you think
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: that Ohio is gonna get the win here, It's possible.
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: I could definitely, I could definitely see it happening. I
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: don't want to have my money on it, though, all right.
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: And then now the final game that we'll talk about
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: here is an interesting Mountain West game late at night
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: here between U n l V and San Diego State
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports at ten pm, so ESPN. By the way,
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: I think it's carrying NBA tonight, which which is the NBA? Dude,
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: this game, the Miami Ohio game. More people are gonna
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: watch that game than the NBA. I think I would guess.
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: U n l V is coming off a huge, huge win.
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: Look at this game against Utah State, dude. It was
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: a revenge game for Utah State, and UNLV completed the
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: sweep and they embarrassed them, beating them by almost thirty points,
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: and that was coming off of a rivalry win for
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: UNLV where they beat Nevada in overtime and that was
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: their final home game. Too. UNLV looks like they're in
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: a major letdown spot. Man, I would absolutely the only
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: way I could play this game is to fade UNLV here.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: Except the problem is it's a TV game and they
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: are going up against San Diego State. It is revenge
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: they lost at home to San Diego State by eleven,
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: although that's not everything you know, but it is still
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the conference. So for
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: that reason, I still have my concerns that maybe UNLV
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: will still show up and the fact that they had
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: such a blowout win it could make them overconfident, but
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: it does mean that, you know, they didn't have to
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: put in that much of an effort at the end
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: of the game. Now for San Diego State, they're coming
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: out of a loss at boys Ing that that a
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: rough stretcher. They've lost four of the last five games,
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: of the three of those loss were on the road.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be back at home here where they last
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: beat Utah State at home. So the San Diego State team,
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: they definitely can win at home. I think they're gonna
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: get the win. They get a TV game at home,
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: it's their final home game. They're coming off with some
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: ugly losses. Well really, just the Boise State one. I'm
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: mad I didn't have New Mexico on that card on Saturday.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: I was close to doing it. I liked that spot.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: San Diego State. I think they put in two big
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: efforts against Utah State in New Mexico and then they
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: just fell short against Boise After those two big games,
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: I think they right the ship and they get it done.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: San Diego State would be my opinion in this game.
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: The money is agreeing with me on that. You have
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: to lay ten and a half. Though fifty four percent
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: of tickets are on UNLV, sixty eight percent of the
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: cash on San Diego State. I'd lay it if I
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. It's not gonna quite make my
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: card that one was in consideration for me, though. It's
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: just such a major make It looks like just an
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: unbelievable letdown spot for UNLV. I wish they were like
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: a favorite. That would be awesome. If they're playing like
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: Wyoming or something at home, it would be an awesome,
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: awesome spot to fade them. But unfortunately they are playing
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: a team that they might actually still be motivated to play,
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: So that's the problem. But San Diego State is the
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: better team. I expect them to get the job done
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: in that one. You're rooting for Ohio. I kind of
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: am too, just because I want I want to see
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: people lose their shit. I want to see Miami Ohio
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: lose this game and then lose in the conference tournament too,
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: and then see everybody like freak out when they don't
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: even Yeah, when they don't make the tournament, I would
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: laugh so hard, dude, and it would be dude, it
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: would be even better if Auburn gets in. I want
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: to see Auburn make a run in the SEC tournament.
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: Auburn is still a pretty solid team. Man. I'm really
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: pissed at Auburn's lost like multiple games they should have won.
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: All right, let's get to hockey. I don't have any
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: plays in hockey here though. Florida at Detroit want to
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: get this video done, man, Just college basketball does get
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: all the focus here. Florida has lost four games in
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: a row. They just took an ugly loss at Columbus,
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: but it was last night. So on the one hand,
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: I think Florida should show up here and they will
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: have Bobrovski back and net here. He is their better goalie.
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: He didn't play last night they used Tarasov, so they'll
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: have their better goal here. They're on a bad losing skid,
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: but they're on a back to back. They're actually playing
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: five games in the last eight days, I think, all
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: in different cities, which is not easy to do. So
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: the problem here is that Florida is playing a very
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: jammed schedule right now, and I don't like teams that
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: don't have a lot of rest. Usually Detroit's coming out
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: of a pretty big overtime loss to Vegas, but that
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: was also in a return home spot, and you know,
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: I talk about the return home spots or sometimes bad
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: sometimes the team won't show focus, although they did, but
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: they still lost the game. But it might be a
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: better spot now that they're settled back in at home.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Florida. I think both
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna give an effort in this one. I
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: worry about Florida's rest situation, although I'm still gonna lean
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: to Florida in this game. As the underdog. Detroit's up
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirty five to minus one fifty three,
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: and the public looks like they're on Detroit seventy seven
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only fifty five percent of the cash,
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: which is crazy that the public just doesn't even want
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: the team that's won the last two Stanley Cups. They
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: don't want them anymore. I'm gonna lean to Florida, but
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna make my card. None of these hockey games,
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: are you? Like Avs, Vancouver and Hurricanes. I think I
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: agree with two of the three. Colorado is at Dallas.
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: This is the best game of the night. Probably. There
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: are actually two really good hockey games tonight. I think
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: this is probably the best one. These two teams are
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: very legit. Colorado just absolutely drilled Anaheim. They've had two
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: days off, which I don't think you want to have
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: multiple days off when you're on a roll like that
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: and you're feeling good about yourself. But I think they
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: will still show up for a game against It is
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: still a big deal. Both teams will show up. Dallas
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: is also coming off crushing an opponent, but it was Calgary.
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: Calgary sucks. Dallas is coming up two Monster wins that
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: combined twelve to one score in their last two games there.
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: And they're returning home from a road trip. Although it
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: was kind of a quick road trip, it was just
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: Monday Tuesday, still a road trip a lot of times,
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: and they went up to you know, Canada, basically the
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: Pacific coast, western Canada. A lot of times when a
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: team returns home from a trip like that, that will
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: be a little bit unfocused. Although I don't think they're
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be unfocused against Colorado. I think it comes down
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: to who the better team is in this one. You
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: know this one. I kind of I leaned it to
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: Colorado initially, but I worry about it a lot. They're
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: down for minus one twenty five to minus one eighteen.
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: They're a very public side. Their last win was more
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: impressive than Dallas's. I mean, beating Calgary nobody cares. Colorado
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: smashing Anaheim is a little bit more impressive, especially because
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is really good at home seventy five percent of
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: the tickets and cash on Colorado. They're starting to look
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: like a public side, which I really don't like. So
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: I might have to start maybe even leaning towards Dallas
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: there but I don't want to play a teamers running
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip either, even though it was
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: a quick road trip. You can see why I'm staying
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: away Vancouver and Chicago. This is Vancouver team. I don't
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: want anything to do with Vancouver. They just almost beat
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: Carolina at home, so that would have me looking to
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: fade Vancouver. They pretty much gave this an all out
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 1: effort against Carolina, and they gave up an empty net
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: goal at the end. This was a one goal game
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: in the final minute of regulation, so they were really
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: really close to potentially tying Carolina. They gave you an
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: all out effort here, Man. Now they're going on the road.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: I know a lot of times when a team goes
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: out on the road, they'll be focused to start a
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: road trip. But I don't know, Man, coming off such
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: a monster effort from vancou I don't know what they're
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: gonna have left for this game against excuse against Carolina,
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know what they're gonna have left against the
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: Chicago team. That's not good. Chicago did just go into
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: overtime against Winnipeg. The worst thing for Chicago's the returning
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip. So I do look to
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: fade teams returning over from road trips because again, you
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: come home, you're usually not gonna be focused. They do
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: have a huge game up next against Dallas, so they
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: definitely could overlook Vancouver in a spot like this one.
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: I can't put my money on Vancouver in the spot
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: that they're in, so this is a stay away. I
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: think it over could be worth a look in this one. Chicago,
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: they've had a couple of days off, so the rest,
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't know if the rest is gonna
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: help them again because it's a return home spot and
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: sometimes that well like put you back in like home mode,
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: family mode, and it will add to the distraction. They've
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: been on the road since Thursday, the twenty sixth, so
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: basically a little over a week, and they did have
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: to go to Nashville, which is one of their main
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: riven into elevation to Colorado, Utah, and then all the
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: way up to Canada. So it's not a great spot
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: for them, not a good road trip return spot there.
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: Chicago's up to minus one fifty five, minus one forty five,
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the tickets, eighty nine percent of
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: the cash in Chicago. The money looks like it's somewhat
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: on Chicago here. I like Over in this one, but
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it's slightly coming in on the under.
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: When you have two teams in really bad spots like that,
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: my tendency is that it's going to affect the deepfense.
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: And I don't know how much we trust either goalie
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: in this situation either. I certainly don't trust Vancouver's, so
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: whoever it is, I don't even know who it's gonna be,
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: but it doesn't even matter really. Yeah, so that's a
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: stayaway from me. I think Over is better than the
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: side in that one, but I don't want that either.
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: I played a little bit of totals in hockey last
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: year and it was mostly successful, but I don't want
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 1: to deal with it. The other really good games tonight
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: is Carolina and Edmonton. None of these games really get
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: TV billing either. Florida and Detroit gets the NHL Network game,
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: which that's a decent game too. I mean, I shouldn't,
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: you know, bad mouthed, and actually there were a few
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: other good games. It is a pretty good hockey slate. Actually,
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: there are a couple other pretty good games too. Actually,
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: Caroline is coming up barely beating Vancouver. I think they
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: were looking ahead to Edmonton, you know so. I think
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: they kind of got a little bit of a scare
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: there against Vancouver. I think they're gonna show up with
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: more effort this time against Edmonton. I think they were
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: already looking ahead. Edmonton is coming up of an overtime
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: win against Ottawa in a return home spot. I'm not
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: happy about that. That was the game in Ottawa Blue,
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: which was one of the pla That was the I
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: think the last hockey player gave out on the show
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: was that one. I haven't done any hockey for a
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: few days now, and I'm not doing it tonight either man.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: Trying to be selective. Edmonton returned home. It was a
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: bad spot for them. They still got the job done.
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: It wasn't a great game for them, when a lot
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: of times that second game will be the better effort
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: that you get if you don't get a good effort
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: the first time. So I don't want to do anything
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: with this game. Carolina is the better team. They're minus
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: one fifteen, which is a decent price. Seventy seven percent
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety eight percent of the casual on Carolina.
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: I think I do agree with Carolina coming up that
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: scare there both teams being focused. I think they probably,
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: you know, because they're the better team. I think that's
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: probably the way I would look, But I don't want
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: anything to do with that game either. Montreal and Anaheim
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: is actually a pretty good game as well. Montreal is
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: coming off of a loss to San Jose. That's a
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly loss, so I think Montreal will give you
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: a better effort this time. They're staying in California, they've
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: been a couple of days off. I think they're gonna
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: show up for this one. Even though I don't love
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: fading Anaheim at home because they're really good at home.
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: Anaheim just smashed the Islanders at home. That was a
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: nice satisfying win for them, five to one at home.
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 1: When you have one team that won five to one
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: up against a team that just lost seven to five.
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: Even though I think Dostal, Dostel will be back in Netford,
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: so I think he'll be back in net for Anaheim
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: here because they use whoso in the Islanders game, their
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: primary goalie will be back in net here, So I
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: don't really want to fade that either. But when you
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: have a team that just won in a blowout against
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: the team that gave up a ton of goals and
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: looked bad. I'm gonna look towards that team that look bad.
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: So I like Montreal in this one. Anaheim down for
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: minus one ten to minus one oh seven, eighty one
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty seven percent of the cash
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: on them. They're a public side. Maybe more of the
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: money coming into an Anaheim right now. I wouldn't really
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 1: trust the percentages on that one though. Minnesota at Vegas.
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: Minnesota just beat Tampa Bay, so I first looked at
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: this and I'm like, well, they're probably in a fate spot.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: We want to fade Minnesota. That was a very satisfying win,
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: I think, five to one over a very good Tampa
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: Bay team who were like a minus one fifty road
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game. Too. Minnesota is not as good
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: as people think they are. They're coming off a monster
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: win and they have a monster TV game on Sunday
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: against Colorado. So is it possible they overlook Vegas. I
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: hesitate to say that they will. That's the thing, because
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: this is you know, this is still a game where
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: well they're not in the same division, but Vegas is
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: still leading their division, so they're not really a team
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: that you're really going to overlook necessarily. Even though they're
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: not as good as Tampa Bay or Colorado. Vegas has
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit of momentum, I think, because they did
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: just end a long losing streak. But they're playing a
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, all in different cities. They're
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: coming off a pretty nice win themselves in overtime against Detroit.
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: But the worst thing is they're returning over from a
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: road trip where they went all the way to the
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: East coast. They actually started on the West coast, then
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: went to the East Coast, then basically Midwest, and now
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home. I don't love that setup for Vegas,
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: man you know, I like to fade teams returning over
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: from road trips. And they're playing a fifth game, actually
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: a sixth game, in whatever that is, ten days or
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: something like that. So they've had a really pack schedule,
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. I can't do it it, Manu,
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: even unfortunately, because I'm like, oh, Minnesota is in a
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: pretty bad spot here, but Vegas is also in a
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: bad spot. So this is another one where I'd probably
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: say over might be worth a look here. Total has
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: dropped a little bit. I'd be playing it over six.
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: I think you'd be playing that other game I talked
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: about over six as well. Minnesota has sixty percent of
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: the tickets on them fifty one percent of the cash
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: on Vegas. So the money is still agreeing with Vegas.
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: Here Minnesota for minus one to five, who might us
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: one to eight? The Osbegers are actually telling you, even
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: though I think Minnesota is an overrated team, Osbegers are
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: telling you they're actually better than Vegas. Hard times for
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: Vegas right now, man, not as good as we thought
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: there would be this year. I'd probably still lean Vegas
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: in that game, but again I think it over might
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: be a better look in that one. But not a
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: totals guy, I'm staying away. And then we got NBA. ESPN,
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: like I said, is carrying two NBA games, which really
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: are not great games to be honest. The first one
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: up is Dallas and Boston my Celtics. Dallas has lost
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: a bunch of games in a row, but they did
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: just have a close call last night against Orlando. So
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third game in four days, all in
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: different cities. A fourth game in six days, all in
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: different cities. That's not easy to do, man. So the
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: rest situation is not good for Dallas. We have to
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: see if Cooper Flagg is coming back. I think he's not.
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: He's not even well, he's not listening on the injury report.
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: But let's see. Sometimes that means that he is back. Oh, no,
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: he is back. Has he come back already? Let me see.
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: Oh he came back. Oh shit, he came back in
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: the Orlando game and he didn't do well. He didn't
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: shoot well in the game. So now here's the thing, man,
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: Cooper flag came back. He was out for a month.
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: He was rusty. But you know, I talk about this,
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: that second game where your star players back. A lot
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: of times, you do a lot better than you did
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: the first game. But it's a very tough travel spot
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: for Dallas. But they are in the second they're in
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: the post reverse injured player spot, which is a positive.
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: You do have a positive here. And the real problem
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: for the Celtics, which should not be a problem long term,
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: but I think it will be in this game, is
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: Jason Tatum might play in this game. He's been working out,
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: he's been practicing, and there is a chance that he
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: plays tonight, which is insane, and based on the line,
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: it looks like the line might be saying that he
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: is playing, which, of course pregame the JavaScript looks like
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: it failed again, so thank you pregame. Let me go
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: to the NBA here. The Celtics are fifteen and a
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, and their public seventy two percent of
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: tickets on them only sixty nine percent of the cash.
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: They better fucking win the game. Man, it's a fifteen
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. But I would probably have
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: to lean to the MAVs even though they've had a
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: jam schedule. I'm not gonna play the game. I think
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: I would take the points of the MAVs if you
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: have your second game with Cooper flag Back. I know
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: the schedules is really too packed, though for them, Celtics
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: are at least coming up an embarrassing loss, so I
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 1: guess that's one thing that is in favor of the Celtics.
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 1: They got embarrassed at home by Charlotte. They have a
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: day off and they're staying at home, so from that aspect,
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: the spot is better for the Celtics. But I think
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be overvalued if Tatum is playing tonight man again,
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: we have to see he's listed his game time decision here.
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: We don't know if he's gonna play yet or not.
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: He hasn't played this entire season, so that's the thing.
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: He could be rusty. But Joe Mazoola is smart because
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: this is the type of game you want to bring
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 1: him back in, you know what I mean. It's a
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: game at home, or you're a huge favorite, you should
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: be able to win the game. The other team's kind
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: of in an ify spot, doesn't have rest. You should
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: be able to win this game anyway, you know what
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: I mean. So I like this because you do not
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: want to go into the playoffs and bring Tatum in
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs in really really meaningful games, you know
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: what I mean. You want to bring him in this game,
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: get him a bunch of games under his belt, you
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, work him back up to the
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: point where he's in one hundred percent. So I like
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: this what's going on here? I like that that's the plan,
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: and then if he's at one hundred percent or close
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: to it, the Celtics could definitely be a threat in
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. As a Celtics fan, I like that. Obviously,
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: I like it. I like what Missoula is doing here. Man.
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: Now the other thing is the other reason to fade
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: the Celtics here though, is again, the line's gonna move
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: if Tatum's you know, if Tatum is playing, the line's
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: gonna be huge. But just because Tatum is playing, that
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: doesn't mean he's gonna come out there and play thirty
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: seven minutes, you know what I mean. In fact, that's
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: highly unlikely. If he's playing, he might not even start.
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: If he's playing, he might come off the bench, which
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: is probably actually a better idea. Don't put him out
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: there to start, you know, get working back into the
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: rotation by having him come off the bench, have him
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: play like ten fifteen minutes, you know what I mean,
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: something like that. I think that is probably what's gonna
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: happen in this game. So I think the Celtics are
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be laying too many points here for all
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: those reasons. So it's a crazy handicap in this game.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: But I would lean to the MAVs, but they're just
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: kind of too many other indicators kind of against it.
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: I gotta get back to the NBA schedule here, all right.
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: So that's that game. Miami is that Charlotte Here, Charlotte
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: coming off that huge blowout and win over the Celtics,
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: they might be feeling pretty high on themselves here after that.
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: Maybe they'll show up, you know, because it's a game
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: against Miami. Miami did have to play last night, but
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: they beat Brooklyn. It was an easy win for them
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: last night. Now they are having to travel to Charlotte.
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: They do have a game next against Detroit, so maybe
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: there was a look ahead component to this from Miami.
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 1: Charlotte could be in a letdown spot off of that
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: win against Boston, though they're coming back home from that.
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: They did have yesterday off, playing a third game in
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: four days. Maybe they don't overlook Miami because Miami is
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be at least in the playing part of
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, if you want to call it that. I'd
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: probably take the points with Miami in this one. Though
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: that all that being said, Hornets have sixty six percent
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only fifty seven percent of the cash. Everyone's
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: kind of hyped on the Hornets now they're five hundred.
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: Now they just you know, destroyed the Celtics on the road.
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: That's probably reason to fade them here. They're seven and
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite. We might the stock might be
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: getting a little too high on the Hornets here at
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: this point. Man, the Heat are not that bad and
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: they look probably worse than they actually are record wise
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: because they've had to deal with injuries to Hero and
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: out of Bay, and I think they're both there now.
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: So those are my thoughts on that would be Miami
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: plus the points. It looks like Miami is without Powell here,
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: but those other guys that I mentioned should be there.
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: Portland at Houston. Portland to coming off beating Memphis to
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: end a losing streak. Not impressive to beat Memphis, but
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: still they ended up losing streak. They won three games
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: in a row against Memphis. They're gonna be focused, you
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: would assume going to Houston. It's a big game to
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 1: go to a team that's definitely gonna be in the playoffs.
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: Houston is coming off a tougher game. I would say.
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: They played yesterday and had to play to overtime and
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: they lost as a home favorite to Golden State. So
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: sometimes you'll bounce back from that, but I think that
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: was still kind of a big game, even though it's
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: a very injured Golden State team. They do have a
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: huge game a deck against the Spurs, so they might
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: look ahead to that. So I'd lean to Portland in
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: this one, but not really a strong enough opinion for me.
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: Rockets are a six and a half way favorite here
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the tickets and only an excuse me,
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the cash on the Rockets, But I
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points in Portland. Probably the best
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 1: game of the night doesn't even get a TV spot.
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: Knicks at Nuggets, New York at Denver. We know the
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: Knicks are not very good on the road, so that's
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: kind of where we start. The Knicks are like a
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: five hundred road team pretty much. Denver is not as
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: good as you would think they are at home though,
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: and I think both teams are kind of in bad spots.
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Knicks just had a big game against
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City and blew the game. I think the Knicks
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 1: had some chances to win that game at home. They
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: lost by three. That was a huge game for the Knicks.
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: Now they've got to go out to elevation and sure
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 1: they should get up for the game. You're starting a
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 1: road trip, big deal to play Denver, but playing you know,
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: three games in four days, all in different cities. Having
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: to play a run of games like this is not
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: that easy. They played the Spurs on the first went
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: to Toronto. I'm mad about that because I lost on
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: that game, came back home, played Oklahoma City. It's not
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: really an easy spot for the Knicks. Yere Man. Denver
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: is at least staying at home, even though they did
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: get a nice satisfying win last night. So they're playing
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: on a back to back, but they had two games off,
• 1:56:35
  Speaker 1: two days off prior to that. They got to win
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: over the Lakers last night. It was a good win,
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 1: a satisfying win. And they do have a game it's
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City next, which is gonna be quick revenge, so
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: possible they look ahead to that. You know, I don't
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: like the spot for either team really, So it's a
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: game that I want nothing to do with. The money's
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 1: all coming in in the under, even though it's the
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: type of game where I say that they focus is
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: gonna lapse a little bit. In defense might lapse a
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: little bit. I think the over makes sense, but you know,
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: I don't want to get involved in the game at all.
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: The Knicks flip from a one point dog to a
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite. The money is coming in
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: on the Nuggets, though, although now it's fifty one percent
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: of tickets fifty two percent of the cash on the
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: Nuggets instead of the sixty whatever that it once was.
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: That's what I tell you. Like these percentages could shift
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 1: a lot in the morning. I think I would I
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: guess lean to Denver in this one. But I don't want, Yeah,
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with the game. The
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: Knicks are, yeah, only sixteen and fourteen on the road.
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 1: Nuggets not great at home, seventeen and twelve. But you
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: know better than the Knicks are on the road. At
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: the very least. As far as the injuries are concerned,
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: the big deal has been Aaron Gordon. We don't know
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 1: if he's coming back or not. The Nuggets defense has
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: been a lot worse without him. It looks like he's
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: trying to play tonight. So if he comes back, he's
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 1: missed more than a month. Man, So if he comes back,
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: then I would hesitate on the Nuggets a bit more,
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: even though he does help their defense seemingly quite a bit.
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: The problem is they have to work him back into
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: the rotation, you know what I mean, when you bring
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: one of your best players back, it's kind of the
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: reverse injured player spot. And sometimes the team will have
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a chemistry issue, you know, out
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: of the gate. So that's a reason to maybe be
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: wary of Denver there on New Orleans at Phoenix. New
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: Orleans coming into this game, and these games are gonna
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: start really soon. Man, the conference tournament games. I think
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: all my games are night games though. New Orleans coming
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 1: into this game off of beating Sacramento yesterday, so they're
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 1: on a back to back. They're actually playing this is
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: a really difficult scheduling spot for them at the end
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: of a long road trip where they're three and two
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: on the road trip right now, but they've played what
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 1: is this? They're playing a back to back, third game
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: in four days, fourth game in six days, fifth game
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: in eight days, in a sixth game in ten days,
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: I guess, seventh game in twelve days, all in different cities.
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: That is very, very difficult to do. I thought that
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: it would catch up to them last night. My Leans
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: last night in the NBA didn't work well, so luckily
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: I did not have plays on those on the Kings
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: or the Wizards stayed away. Those were two avoided losses there,
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: so that's good. Not good that I wasn't right about them.
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: But the Pelicans got that win. They might run out
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: of steam a little bit here. Man. This is a
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: very difficult scheduling spot for them. Phoenix does have Devin
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: Booker back. I think he's played a couple of games now.
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: He played much better in their last game, but that
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 1: was last night and they lost. So both teams are
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: on back to backs. But New Orleans is having to travel,
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: Phoenix isn't. And Phoenix has had a real ugly loss
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: last night as a favorite against the Bulls. So the
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 1: spot is better for Phoenix. You're getting a pretty good
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: Phoenix team here. I think in a focused spot after
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: that bad loss last night, I would lay it with
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: the Suns Herety tickets seventy four percent of the cash
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: on the Suns money seems to agree with me on this.
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: They're down from seven to six here, so that's what
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: I think about that the last two games we're in
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 1: the best bets segment. I don't think I brought up
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 1: the graphic at all for the College of Basketball. I apologize.
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 1: This is the best Bet segment. Man, I think I
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: worry about this one a little bit more than the other.
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna be on the Clippers plus seven and
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: a half. We're gonna fade the Spurs, even though they're
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: hosting an ESPN game, and I know sometimes you get
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 1: up for a TV game like that Friday night. I'm
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: leaning against both home teams here, but the Clippers. I
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 1: think the fact that they're a game below five hundred
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 1: that kind of is like a mental motivator you want
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: to get back to five hundred. Clippers are not as
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 1: bad as people think they are. They started off the
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: season horribly. I think they're a little bit better than that.
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: Now they're trying to work their way back to five hundred.
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: You know you're getting effort out of them. I know
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: they're beating mostly kind of bad teams or injured teams here,
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 1: but they've won three games in a row, so they're
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 1: playing with efforts. That's what you want here, man, And
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: I think pretty much you know you're gonna get an
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: effort out of them when they're going to San Antonio
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: to start a road trip here, and I think the
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: spot for San Antonio is significantly worse they played last night,
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: so they're on a back to back and that was
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: a return home spot and they still won against the Pistons.
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: That was a big game and they won by fifteen points.
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 1: If you look at the box score, statistically, the game
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: is a lot closer than that. I don't really know
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: how they won by that much, but that was a
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: bad spot. They were turning over from a long road trip.
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: They still showed up with focus, got a big win
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: against Detroit. Now no time off. They have to turn
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: around and play a Clippers team that I don't think
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: is really gonna scare you with their record and the
• 2:01:39
  Speaker 1: fact that they traded away James Hard and Garland it
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 1: seems like he might not be playing. I don't know
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: if he's gonna play tonight or not. He played one
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: game I think for them so far. But I'm still
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: gonna go based on the spot. Here mint to go
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: with the Clippers. Spurs have a big look at their
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: schedule on deck. Man. They play Houston, their Texas rival
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: on deck in a TV game. The game after that
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: is a TV game against the Celtics, Then they play
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 1: the Nuggets after that. They have three huge games on deck.
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: This is a Sandwich spot. They got no rest here.
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: They were on the road prior to that game, so
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 1: they've been traveling recently too, so they're playing a fourth
• 2:02:18
  Speaker 1: game in six days, with two of them being on
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: the East Coast. So yeah, I don't love the spot
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: here at all of them. We're gonna take the Clippers here, man.
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 1: I think I can get rid of ken bomb right now.
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: To the Spurs. They're down from nine to seven here.
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: I think you can find seven to seven and a
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: half right now. Maybe it'll go back up a little bit.
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if we need to
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 1: play this one now or not, but at least seven
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: and a half, because that's the key number when teams
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: stop potentially fouling at the three possession threshold. Seventy eight
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 1: on the Spurs. The money is coming in on the
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: Spurs a little bit, but their public side, and of
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: course I think the spot's awful for them, and it's
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: a pretty low total in the two twenty, so we're
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 1: taking the point there. I actually like this other one better,
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: but people might disagree, and people might think this one
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 1: is the uglier one. We're also gonna take the Indiana
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 1: Pacers against the Lakers here. Man, the Lakers have already
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: dropped from ten and a half to nine nine and
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: a half year. I think you can find nine and
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: a half out there right now. Sixty nine percent of ticket,
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: sixty six percent of the cash on the Lakers. So
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: the money is fading the Lakers here. They're a public
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: side look at the spot that the Lakers are in. Man,
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 1: I already told you they're on a back to back.
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 1: They were in Denver last night and they had a
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: close call. They almost beat Denver on the road last night.
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: It was a big tough game for them. Now they're
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 1: coming back home. They're playing a third game in four days,
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: having to come out of elevation with no time off.
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 1: They're playing a pacer team that is not gonna really
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: grab anybody's focus. And up next they got to play
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 1: the Knicks on ABC in a TV game on Sunday.
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 1: Then they have a TV game it's against the Timberwolves
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 1: after that, so they have some big games on deck.
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: This is a sandwich and a back to back, so
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 1: we're fading two big favorites that are on back to
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: backs in Sandwich spots Indiana. I know they're not playing well,
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: they've lost seven games in a row, but they're staying
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 1: in LA and they've had a day off. So I
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: think that's a very big advantage to them, the fact
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: that they're not even traveling, they're staying in Los Angeles
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: and they just got blown out by the Clippers. So
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna want to do something in this
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 1: LA part of the trip to show something, you know
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: what I mean, You're gonna get more up for the
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: Lakers than you do up for the Clippers. This is
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing stretch of games, and I know you gotta
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 1: be worried, Like, is Indiana just not putting in effort anymore?
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 1: You do have to worry about that. I think this
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: might be a game where you do get effort out
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 1: of them. You're playing the Lakers man on the road.
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, you know, I think you're gonna get something
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: out of the Pacers in this game. I mean, you's,
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: these are still professionals. You don't want to lose this
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 1: many games in a row and get embarrassed like that.
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're gonna go with. We're gonna take
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 1: the Pacers plus the points there, and that's it. Finally,
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: so the place today one more time in college basketball,
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 1: we have Southeast Missouri State in the Ohio Valley Conference.
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: I already took that one on the money line. If
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: the money line gets to be a little bit bigger
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 1: than that, look to the spread. I guess lay one
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: and a half or two on that. I see the
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: number kind of all over the place at different books. Again,
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: this is why you want a lot of outs there.
• 2:05:23
  Speaker 1: You want to have a lot of different outs. Man.
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: But we're playing the money line on that one for me.
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 1: But yeah, you want to have a lot of outs.
• 2:05:30
  Speaker 1: We got Buffalo plus the points and then college basket
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 1: or excuse me, NBA college basketball, NBA. We're gonna be
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 1: on the Clippers in the Pacers plus the points. So
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 1: a few large underdogs today. And again when you take
• 2:05:45
  Speaker 1: those underdogs, put a little bit on the money line,
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 1: like ten percent of the better or so I would say.
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: Maybe with the Pacers, maybe a little bit less, but yeah,
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know, put a little bit on that money line.
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 1: At least that's gonna do it. Learn it to it
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: on Twitter, you can subscribe to me there. Learn it
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 1: to it on instant listen you know, I mean leg
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: and subscribe to the channel here, man, let's do it.
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: Get you know, subscribe so you get those notifications. Hopefully
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 1: that all works. Give me good replies here, listen on
• 2:06:11
  Speaker 1: audio as well. App on Spotify and give me good
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 1: reviews over there. That all helps covered in you because
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: my yuke channel on YouTube. You can check that out
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: as well. Patreon dot com, slash will learn to toad
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 1: and you can support me there if you want to.
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 1: I know I'm not good at checking the stuff there.
• 2:06:26
  Speaker 1: I apologize, but yeah, I gotta get back to that
• 2:06:29
  Speaker 1: as well. And yeah, Loser Cast of course, the comedy
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 1: podcast I'm on every Tuesday night. And then I have
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 1: to figure out what I want to do. I know
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 1: a lot of times I've done night college basketball shows
• 2:06:43
  Speaker 1: for Saturday, but the slate is getting a little bit
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: less cumbersome for Saturday, so as the regular season is
• 2:06:50
  Speaker 1: wrapped up for a lot of teams now, so it'll
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: be a little bit less work for me. So I'll
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: probably I'll do a separate morning show maybe or incorporated
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: into a morning show. Tonight, I'm gonna be at a
• 2:07:00
  Speaker 1: comedy show, so we'll see. I'm going to Dan Soder tonight,
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: so we'll see. I love that dude. He's hilarious. I
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: love that guy. I've seen him once live, so I
• 2:07:08
  Speaker 1: think I'm gonna have some fun at that show tonight.
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 1: We'll see. I mean, if anybody's in Boston, they're in
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: that area. Yeah, I mean you see me around, say hi,
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 1: I guess that's gonna do it. Man. I'll be back
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 1: probably tomorrow morning. We'll get it all done. Let's get
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: some wins. Man, come on, let's get back on the
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 1: winning side. We're kind of treading water right now, which
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 1: I don't love, so let's do it. Yeah, Dan Soder,
• 2:07:32
  Speaker 1: he's also like kind of the comedic relief in Billions,
• 2:07:35
  Speaker 1: which I still haven't watched the final season of Billions.
• 2:07:38
  Speaker 1: I gotta get on that man, Dan Soder. He's good
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: in that show too. He's not in it much, but
• 2:07:42
  Speaker 1: when he is in it, you know it's a banger
• 2:07:45
  Speaker 1: when when he shows up there. So yeah, yeah, I
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 1: like soda. Ryan Long's doing special. I just got a
• 2:07:54
  Speaker 1: Ryan Long ticket for Boston when he's coming through Boston
• 2:07:57
  Speaker 1: on that tour. Yeah, go to a special, man. I've
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 1: been to a couple of special tapings. You can probably
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: see me in the Jim Gaffigan one that came out
• 2:08:04
  Speaker 1: like a year or so ago. At the Wilburn Boston.
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: I was like right near the front and I was
• 2:08:11
  Speaker 1: very tired. I'd just come from a Celtics game in
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: the finals, I think against the MAVs. So I ran
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: down from TD Garden down to the Wilbur for the
• 2:08:20
  Speaker 1: Jim Gaffigan and I didn't even realize it was a
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: special taping. I was just like, Oh, I'm going to
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: this comedy show. And then I came in and they're like,
• 2:08:26
  Speaker 1: you got to remove your hat like whatever, it's a special.
• 2:08:29
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh shit, all right, So yeah, I went
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: to his special. And then Sam Morrill filmed a special
• 2:08:36
  Speaker 1: in Boston maybe two or so years ago, and I
• 2:08:39
  Speaker 1: was at dad as well, but I was up in
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 1: the mezzanine, so you can't see me in that one
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 1: or anything. For the Jim Gaffigan one, I was right
• 2:08:45
  Speaker 1: down on the floor, like very close to the stage.
• 2:08:48
  Speaker 1: I was like at one of the tables, like one
• 2:08:49
  Speaker 1: table back from the stage, or maybe right at the
• 2:08:52
  Speaker 1: stage almost I forget. So you should be able to
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: see me in that one, not at the Sam Morrell
• 2:08:58
  Speaker 1: one though I was up in the mezzanine for that one.
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: But those that was a good show. The Gavigan one
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 1: was fine as well. Yeah. But yes, I'm going to
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: Ryan long I've seen him twice. He's good man. He
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 1: follows me on Twitter. Shout out to Ryan Long. I
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 1: told him I'm going to the Boston show. He liked
• 2:09:13
  Speaker 1: it last night. Shout out to Ryan Long. Man. He's good.
• 2:09:17
  Speaker 1: But yes, I've seen him once at the Wilburn Boston
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 1: and once at Laugh Boston. I want to say where.
• 2:09:23
  Speaker 1: I think I talked to him briefly at the Laugh
• 2:09:25
  Speaker 1: Boston one and then he's I think he's back at
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: the Wilburg this time on his new tour that he's
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 1: doing here. But yes, a lot of comedy coming up, man.
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 1: I'm going to Dave Smith in a couple of weeks
• 2:09:37
  Speaker 1: in Boston as well. That's gonna be at Laugh Boston.
• 2:09:39
  Speaker 1: I've seen him there a couple of times. I've seen
• 2:09:42
  Speaker 1: him in multiple different places in Boston. Man, I've seen
• 2:09:44
  Speaker 1: Dave at least probably eight times. I saw him in
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 1: Reno of course, because you know, when we're going to
• 2:09:49
  Speaker 1: those events, we go to all the things went to
• 2:09:51
  Speaker 1: the DC One, all that stuff. I've seen him perform
• 2:09:55
  Speaker 1: in New Hampshire probably maybe not, Maybe it was just
• 2:09:58
  Speaker 1: Robbie the Fire at those ones. I don't know. I
• 2:10:00
  Speaker 1: don't even know anymore, man. I've seen Dave in a
• 2:10:03
  Speaker 1: lot of different locations, though. Danny is that I don't
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 1: is that the Boys cast? I don't really listen to.
• 2:10:13
  Speaker 1: I don't listen to enough podcasts anymore, man, Danny Paula
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 1: Chuck is at his name. I think he follows me
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 1: on Twitter as well. I like him. I think he's funny,
• 2:10:22
  Speaker 1: if that's what you're talking about. Yeah, So if they're
• 2:10:27
  Speaker 1: both there, does that mean they're gonna do a live
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 1: podcast too? That and I'm gonna see Leonarda Joney by
• 2:10:33
  Speaker 1: the way, when she's uh, she's gonna be in Boston
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: and she's basically canceled, so she has to do these
• 2:10:41
  Speaker 1: shows where you don't even know what the location of
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: the show is, but it's gonna be somewhere nearby. I
• 2:10:47
  Speaker 1: don't know the last time she did when it was
• 2:10:49
  Speaker 1: not even in Boston, it was near Boston. I went
• 2:10:52
  Speaker 1: to that. She was awesome, as you. I've seen her
• 2:10:54
  Speaker 1: a couple of times live. Yeah, she was awesome, So
• 2:10:57
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go see her again too. And about week Actually, yeah,
• 2:11:02
  Speaker 1: Paula Chuck, I like that guy. All Right, we're talking comedy.
• 2:11:05
  Speaker 1: I got a lot of comedy shows coming up to
• 2:11:08
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I'm gonna shoot I am going to Shane
• 2:11:10
  Speaker 1: Gillis again as well. I have to Shane Gillis. When
• 2:11:13
  Speaker 1: I saw him at the Wang like two years ago
• 2:11:15
  Speaker 1: or so or whatever that was, it was one of
• 2:11:17
  Speaker 1: the best comedy shows I've ever seen live. He was
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 1: so fucking good at that show. Yeah, unbelievable. But he's
• 2:11:24
  Speaker 1: doing he's huge, he's doing the TV guard. But I
• 2:11:26
  Speaker 1: am going to that for for Shane Gillis. Oh, he
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 1: moderated the Colorado debate. That would have been awesome. Yes, yes,
• 2:11:36
  Speaker 1: Colorado did vote for me, and thank you. Yes, Colorado
• 2:11:41
  Speaker 1: was all over to it. I got Colorado and New
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: Hampshire voting for me at the the LP national convention.
• 2:11:48
  Speaker 1: There you go, baby, all right, that's gonna do it.
• 2:11:50
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have some lunch. I'm gonna get these other
• 2:11:52
  Speaker 1: bets in probably to figure out where the best numbers are.
• 2:11:55
  Speaker 1: That first one, the Southeast Missouri one, is the one
• 2:11:57
  Speaker 1: that's kind of moving more the other ones. I don't
• 2:11:59
  Speaker 1: think we have to worry so much, but that'll do it.
• 2:12:01
  Speaker 1: Thanks guys, Peace,