Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 2 Gambling Picks, Boys are Down, Stats Galore!
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- 0:55The greatest tool for gamblers on the internet. And now it's week two. Week one is over,
- 1:02football is officially back. Week one is a learning week. We learned. This is the value we're taking
- 1:16out of week one because week one was not great for me personally. I don't think we either of us,
- 1:26either of us had a decent week, but you know what? Doesn't matter. It doesn't matter. The
- 1:36football still goes on, which means we still have to bet it. We have to or we'll die.
- 1:44So anyway, Chris, how did you do last week? I mean, you kind of summed it up perfectly.
- 1:53Bad. I went four and eight, I believe. Yeah, just not good at all. Not good at all.
- 2:03And yeah, the Titans choke in just brutal fashion. Everything was bad. Last week,
- 2:11or maybe it was two weeks ago, it was the last week or two weeks ago when you asked me how I was
- 2:15doing. I said, how can you be sad in times like these because football is back? Well, I found a
- 2:20way and it's by being terrible at betting on this sport, but that's the past. It's week two.
- 2:28I've got more. I've got winners here. I feel really good about this card. So, you know,
- 2:34you know, the old saying, the past is the past and we can only gamble on the games we have right
- 2:41in front of us. So yeah, that's, that's how I'm doing. We only have a finite amount of football
- 2:49games left. I went four and six, lost my, when we count the Thursday and the Friday games,
- 2:58I went four and six. Sunday, I went, Sunday and Monday, I went four and four. But counting Thursday
- 3:07and Friday, that definitely did not, did not help me. Lost my surefire. That sucked. I think all
- 3:15of us lost our surefire, but yes. Oh, well, doesn't matter. Move on to the next week. I will say,
- 3:24Sean with the snipe in the gambling group chat without, without Sean's fucking expertise.
- 3:34He was like, yo, it's Chigs birthday. We have to bet him to score a TD. And of course we did.
- 3:40And I was up on dollars, but not, not show record. So nothing to, nothing to fret,
- 3:51nothing to fret. We're learning. It's week one. Now it's week two. Sean, how did you do?
- 3:59Well, okay, I went one and eight on the picks that I gave out on the show.
- 4:05Oh, and at about 1120, 1130 ish, we were, I was sitting around waiting for, you know,
- 4:16to leave to go to a watch party, hop on the trend center. I'm like, I'm just going to bet
- 4:20every game. I'm about the board. And thank God I did ended up seven and 12 overall, plus the
- 4:27chick touchdown. So I apologize that those, that those were not put out on the Twitter or, you
- 4:36know, so any social media, but yeah, I'm up in dollars, but I'm down in vibes. Yes.
- 4:47Precisely. Do we want to touch on last week or do we want to just kind of when we're touching on
- 4:54the games that we're betting kind of reference last week? Do you, how are we feeling?
- 5:01I don't really have too much to say. I mean, I, about last week, it, I think you summed it up
- 5:06perfectly. It's a learning week. A lot of teams need to learn how to do things. A lot of, one
- 5:13quarterback needs to learn how to not be a fucking idiot, but we'll get there. I'm sure.
- 5:19Yes. Bryce Young. No, not who I was talking about. That was a joke. Okay. He's not an idiot. He's
- 5:29just, he's just bad. He seems like a nice kid. I think that I think the two can go hand in hand.
- 5:39True. I mean, whatever. Yeah. Yeah, let's just get into this. Let's just get into it. All right.
- 5:44Let's get into this week. Okay. Game one, 49ers at the Vikings. Vikings are home dogs by six
- 5:52points. And I'm going to pick on Sean first. What, what do you, what do you see in this game?
- 5:59What are you feeling? Well, we saw the Vikings were pretty impressive, but I think we need to
- 6:08take a step back and remember that they played the Giants and their God awful defense. Sam
- 6:15Donald look comfortable, but I don't think he did anything like two incredible, two touchdowns,
- 6:21like that's good. But again, playing the Giants, the Vikings defense made Daniel Jones look like an
- 6:28undrafted rookie making his first NFL start with two interceptions and five sacks.
- 6:34I don't think the Vikings will be able to dominate like they did against the Giants and 49ers look
- 6:41to already be in midseason form, even without CMC. I like the 49ers to cover five, I got five and a
- 6:48half here. Okay. I agree. It's yeah, I mean, you know, Sam Donald, you know, anyone can beat up on
- 7:00the Giants who might end up being the worst team in the league. That's it's them or like the Panthers
- 7:06at this point, who's who's who's who's good who's actually worse from what we know from week one.
- 7:16But I mean, I also have the 49ers there in midseason form, but McCaffrey might not play again,
- 7:22but that literally had no effect, that zero effect on Monday Night Football. They still ran the fuck
- 7:30out of the rock. And they dominated they did they did they went to work, they did their job. And
- 7:35they won convincingly. The Jets don't have like a bad defense at all. So for them to just get run over
- 7:41like that was surprising. But yeah, I think they're already in midseason form. So I think they're
- 7:48just surprising. But yeah, I think they're already in midseason form. Yeah, I agree. I'm also on the
- 7:57the Niners minus six, Chris. I'm going to go contrarian here. I got Vikings plus six and a half.
- 8:06The Niners are far and away the better team. I mean, Sam Donald was fine. But he's just and he
- 8:15only has to be fine for this offense to be good. Just short week for the Niners on the road laying
- 8:23a touchdown. That's that's a lot to ask even for a great team like the 49ers. I think the Niners win
- 8:34this game. I think the Vikings keep it within the touchdown. That's pretty much is short,
- 8:40short and sweet to the point. McCaffrey is not going to play. Rappaport said according to reports,
- 8:46he's not going to play Rappaport said he was a long shot to play. And we're going to ask an
- 8:50undrafted free agent to run for another buck 50 this time on the road. I just I don't see it.
- 8:57Like I think the Vikings win or I think the Niners win Vikings keep it within a touchdown.
- 9:02Okay, excellent analysis. I see your point. And I don't hate it.
- 9:06Oh, I don't hate it. Yeah, I will say whenever the last I guess really just week one in the NFL,
- 9:16whenever we agreed on games, never went well. No, because we all the Ravens, we all the
- 9:25hackers Eagles under I believe, the other jets. Yep. All those lost. Yeah, if one of if two out
- 9:37of the three of us or one out of three of us can win, I say that's that's a job well done.
- 9:45Somebody wins something. Yeah. I'm going to be professionals here, giving out losers.
- 9:52Moving on. Got Saints Cowboys. Cowboys are home favorites by six and a half.
- 10:02And from what we know last week, Saints beat the fuck out of the Panthers.
- 10:06Shocker. I was just the idiot who took the Panthers. I was just riding a trend,
- 10:12just riding a trend and nothing wrong with that. And the Cowboys beat the fuck out of the,
- 10:17out of the Browns who I didn't really see that coming. I saw I mean, I bet on the Cowboys.
- 10:24So I knew that they would win. But not that not that much. And yeah, Cowboys for about six and
- 10:32a half. Chris, what do you think? Yeah, I agree. I did not see the Cowboys like being the living
- 10:40shit out of the Browns coming. But they just the Cowboys reminded us is like, this is what they
- 10:45do. They beat the shit out of bad teams. I think the Browns are a bad team this year,
- 10:50especially with, I mean, if their defense is going to play like that, they're going to be a bad team.
- 10:55And the New Orleans Saints, despite what last week showed, they're a bad team. I'm taking the
- 11:02Cowboys minus six and a half. This is what they do. They run it up against bad teams, especially
- 11:08at home. So Cowboys minus six and a half all day and day, honestly, it's not really even that,
- 11:13but much of a thought in my mind. But Sean, what are you taking? Well, we just talked about how we
- 11:20all are going to take the same thing. But I am going to lean Dallas minus six and a half here.
- 11:28Not only do the Cowboys, you know, run it up on bad teams, but the Cowboys are a very good,
- 11:33very, very good home team going 17 and eight against the spread over the past three seasons
- 11:40and six and two against the spread last season. They were a perfect eight and no straight up at
- 11:46home during the regular season. Even when the Cowboys aren't at home, when their favorites,
- 11:52they are 27 and 11 against the spread, winning eight of their last two, according to our friends
- 12:00over at the Trent Center. So there is a trend on the Cowboys and I will be taking it.
- 12:05Okay. I'm not taking the Cowboys. I'm not taking the Saints either. I'm taking the over.
- 12:14I've taken the over here. It feels like the Saints are a bad team, but it sounds like they are
- 12:20somewhat competent on offense. And I kind of put that kind of in the same realm as the as the
- 12:27Browns offense. Like, I mean, I think the Browns offense is awful, you know, with like the Sean,
- 12:34you know, he's, we don't even know if he's going to play, but we're not picking the Browns game
- 12:40this week. But that's besides the point. But the point is when he is in, it's, it was a dumpster
- 12:46fire. He was bad. He was awful. And like, like Chris said, the Cowboys make awful teams look even
- 12:54worse. But the Cowboys defense was able to give up what they gave up like 17 points or something.
- 13:02And so I'm, I'm taking the, I'm taking the over. I think the Cowboys are going to run it up. And I
- 13:07think that the Saints are also going to score the score a little bit of points. I'm taking over 46.
- 13:14I felt weird. It felt too easy taking the taking the Cowboys minus six and a half.
- 13:21So I'm just, I'm going with the over. But that's a that's my take.
- 13:25That's my take. Let's see. Next game, bangles at the Chiefs in Arrowhead. Chiefs favored by five
- 13:36and a half. And I kind of, I kind of hate this game. Like, I don't really know what I'm going to get
- 13:45from, from either team. Like on one hand, it's like, okay, Joe Burrow has pretty good record
- 13:51in Arrowhead. And, but at the same time, like the Chiefs also kind of look in midseason form,
- 14:01as well as the bangles are slow starters. But is it always week one? Is it week two as well? I don't
- 14:08know. It's, it's tough to say. And I hate picking this, but I'm picking the Chiefs minus five and
- 14:14a half here. It just seems it just feels like there's more in that kind of reasons to pick that
- 14:24than there is to pick the bangles. I mean, you lose to the Patriots. Come on. Like if you lost
- 14:30to like a good team, it's like, all right, you lost to a good team. But they lost to the Patriots.
- 14:37They're supposed to be ass. But yeah, I'm taking the I'm taking the Chiefs minus five and a half here.
- 14:44Chris, what do you think?
- 14:49I agree. I will. I don't agree with your pick. I hate this game. I don't like this line five
- 14:55and a half. Don't like it. But I'm taking the bangles plus five and a half. This just feels like
- 15:02the perfect time by by low and sell high on teams. I mean, the bangles look like shit last
- 15:10way. I mean, they couldn't do anything. They couldn't move the ball at all. Joe Burrow came
- 15:14and hold a damn water bottle. How are they going to go into Arrowhead and keep it competitive
- 15:18against the Chiefs? But that's just kind of what the NFL is. Like, like you don't see these kind
- 15:25of games coming. And then like, it's like, oh, shit, this is going to be an instant classic.
- 15:30The bingles always keep it close against the Chiefs, at least with Burrow lately.
- 15:33I think like Burrow has that dog in especially against the Chiefs. And Joe Burrow as an underdog
- 15:41in his career of three points or more is 15 and two ATS. So yeah, Chiefs probably win this game
- 15:49with some Tom Fulery, maybe some a little ref shenanigans. I've like that's been kind of
- 15:55custom to happen lately. But I think the bingles keep it close. Bingles plus five and a half in
- 16:00Arrowhead. Sean, what are you taking? I'm also going to be on the Chiefs. I forgot to write it
- 16:11down. So I apologize. But I did a quick Google search. Joe Burrow has, I don't know if you guys
- 16:20know this, but he has historically struggled throughout the first four weeks of the season.
- 16:26And each, you know, NFL season that he started in his last two in his first two games of the year,
- 16:35he is two and six against the spread. So I am not, I'm not totally confident in
- 16:46Joe Burrow and his lead bingles. He has something to prove and it is not great early on in the season.
- 16:58And I can't really put faith in Joey B right now or the Bengals, especially after their
- 17:05performance against the Patriots. Bengals do have a three and two straight up and against the spread
- 17:11record against the Chiefs. So I mean, this is matchup number six for Joey B and Patty Mahomes.
- 17:20So it's do or die for Patty, I think. He's got to get those numbers back up. He's got to show that,
- 17:28you know, oh, nobody can beat him in the playoffs, except Joe Burrow. It's like,
- 17:32you got to show him that you can beat Joe Burrow even early in the season. So I like the Chiefs
- 17:39minus five. Okay, okay, right on. Next game Sunday night football. Bears at Texans. Texans are
- 17:50favored by six. To me, this line feels right. It feels like, yeah, I think if the Texans
- 18:02just play smart football, they'll win by six. And that's my pick. I'm taking the Texans minus six.
- 18:10The Titans certainly would have covered six if they just weren't stupid. Just didn't immediately
- 18:17throw the game away. I do think that the Bears have a pretty good defense. And I think that
- 18:24the Texans are just a completely more competent team. And Sunday night football,
- 18:30this game is probably going to stink, but I'm taking the Texans minus six.
- 18:35Sean, what do you think? I'm also on the Texans. I kind of love the Texans to cover this six-point
- 18:42spread. The Bears defense was dominant against the Titans. But, you know, CJ Stroud isn't that type
- 18:52of quarterback when you have the lead and you throw a shovel pass outside the numbers just
- 18:58straight to a receiver. He doesn't make those dumb, dumb, big, dumb, dumb brain, big bone-headed
- 19:04mistakes. The Texans have a much better offense than the Titans, which will be a tougher matchup
- 19:12for the Bears D. Caleb Williams, not impressive at all, did not play great. And I think the
- 19:21Texans can cover this spread easy at home. Easy. Chris, are you in agreeance? Yeah, I said I wasn't
- 19:31gonna, I was gonna try to mix it up, not make sure we're on the same thing for every pick, but
- 19:36uh yeah, I'm taking Texans minus six for everything you just said. The Titans had that game by the
- 19:41balls until they just decided to lose. I mean, yeah, block punt and then a god awful pick six and
- 19:49then the game's over. Yeah, the Texans aren't doing that. They are an actual like they're a
- 19:55good football team. As much as I hate to say it, but there are also some stats to back this up.
- 20:03Teams, yes, these are some juicy ones too. Teams who have come back from 14 points or more
- 20:10when their next game is on the road, 61, 82 and two against the spread.
- 20:1561, two, what? 82 and two. Oh, okay.
- 20:23Bad record. And the Bears, I mean, they've been asked for a while now, it feels like,
- 20:32they have not started the season two and O against the spread.
- 20:36Sorry, they've started the season two and O against spread only once since
- 20:39O six and that was 2018. Yikes. So yeah, give me the Texans are a good team. If they have
- 20:48their foot on their throat, they're not gonna let up. Yeah, Texans minus six and yeah.
- 20:57Yeah, okay. Right on. It's, this is easy. This is an easy game. That's what makes me hate it. I hate it so much.
- 21:05But like, but you got to just trust your gut here and just put your foot on the gas and just say,
- 21:12just take the Texans. And this is like me not being like a, a hater being like, but
- 21:18Caleb Williams not look great. He didn't look good. He, he contributed two points on offense.
- 21:26That's true. That's it. I mean, he just didn't like, he was missing guys deep. Like, I just,
- 21:32he wasn't bad. Like he took care of the ball. He didn't do anything wrong. He just didn't do anything
- 21:38special. And I think like, if you're going to beat the Texans, especially on Sunday Night
- 21:43Football, you're going to have to do something to win your team the game. And I don't know if
- 21:48he, I just don't know if he can do that right now because he hasn't shown it. Yeah. Cool. That's
- 21:55Sunday Night Football. Next game, Monday Night Football. This is Falcons at the Eagles. Battle
- 22:04of the birds. We got Eagles at home. Six and a half. Was that an eagle or a falcon? It was a,
- 22:13it was more of a, I think it was more of a crow, but it was a bird.
- 22:19Yes. The birds, both birds. Eagles at home minus six and a half.
- 22:29Chris, what do you think about this game? All right. First total I'm taking under 47 and a half.
- 22:38I didn't watch the Falcons Steelers game, but just looking at box scores. Man,
- 22:45Falcons office don't look that good. I mean, Steelers don't score touchdown and you still lose.
- 22:53That ain't, that ain't ideal. Yeah. From everything I've read, Kirk Cousins was just a statue. Like,
- 23:01he would not move outside of the pocket. That makes me think he's not 100% healthy. So I'm
- 23:08taking the, yeah, under 47. I think this game's just going to suck, if I'm being honest. Jalen
- 23:13Hertz didn't look great, especially to start the game last year or last week to like a bad
- 23:20interception and then a fumble, which I guess technically wasn't his fault, but still a fumble.
- 23:27Yeah. I think the Falcons have good defense. So yeah.
- 23:32Eagles Falcons under 47 and a half. Sean, what are you taking?
- 23:36I am taking the Eagles minus six and a half. It's the Eagles. Like you said, Chris, I didn't
- 23:44watch the Steelers Falcons game, but yeah, I heard Kirk Cousins has some mobility problems.
- 23:50Makes me think his Achilles injury is still a major worry for the Falcons.
- 23:56Yeah. Like you said, Eagles didn't look pretty in Brazil. They get a little extra days of rest
- 24:02and now they're back home at the link. So I think they're back to their old ways and I think they
- 24:06could put up 30 on the Falcons. So Eagles minus six and a half. Easy. I've never hit a spread faster,
- 24:17if I'm being honest. I'm with Chris. I'm taking the under. Under 47.
- 24:27Yeah. I also think this game is going to stink. Both quarterbacks didn't look great.
- 24:31I think Eagles are probably going to run it a lot more than I have Seguin. Someone dependable.
- 24:41Falcons defense is competent, but you can't trust them to put up points. And so for that reason,
- 24:49I'm taking under 47. It's also a prime time under. Yes, Chris.
- 24:54I didn't. I was wondering if you're going to mention the stack from Trentzner because I remember you
- 24:58liked it last year. It's the well rested under's trend. I remember you brought this up. I think it
- 25:06was after maybe one or maybe even two international games. But yeah, when both teams come into a
- 25:14game have seven plus days of rest, the under is 76.40 in two. I completely forgot that one, but
- 25:22I'm taking the under. Done matter. Done matter. But yes, also a prime time under. Okay. That's the
- 25:32main slate. We got our surefire picks coming up. What is our, we all lost our surefire pick.
- 25:43So that was not fun. But we're back again to give you another surefire double unit play
- 25:51guaranteed not to lose bet. And I am going to ask Sean what his surefire is.
- 25:59All right. I'm going to double dip in a game that we've already talked about. And it's the
- 26:04Bengals Chiefs under 47 and a half. Like I said, Joey B and Patty Mahomes going head to head for
- 26:10matchup number six. In those five matchups, the under is four and one. I will once again be
- 26:17betting the under here. There is a trend on trend center. And I mentioned how kind of bad Joe Burrow
- 26:26is early on in the season. But this trend has a 76 and a half win rate and is nine in one in its
- 26:33last 10 in its early Joe unders in the first four weeks, Joe Burrows led Bengals are 13 and four
- 26:41on the under. All right. Let's go. Surefire double unit guaranteed not to lose pick of the weak
- 26:53Bengals Chiefs under 47 and a half. Let's go. Let's go. Let's go. I'll give out mine.
- 27:03Mine is similar to Sean's. It's also an under. And it's the under in the Bears Texans game.
- 27:10This game is going to stink. It's under 45 and a half. The Bears defense is good. They have a good
- 27:18defense. The Texans defense is good. Relatively, it's relatively good. It's not as good as the
- 27:25Titans defense, but we would pull full full for Tata on Sunday. So I'm going I'm going under 45
- 27:37and a half. This game is going to stink. Hopefully the Texans also cover, but
- 27:42this game is going to stink. Caleb Williams isn't going to do anything do anything in this game.
- 27:48And CJ Stroud is going to be CJ Stroud and just you know, be him and just put up points and cover
- 27:55by six and play defense. And that's that's all she wrote double unit play under 45 and a half.
- 28:01Chris, what is yours? All right. Well, much like both of you, I'm also going back to a game we've
- 28:08already discussed, but I am doubling up on the Dallas Cowboys minus six and a half against
- 28:15New Orleans Saints. And I got some stats for your asses. Mike McCarthy in his career in the first
- 28:24two weeks of the season, 21 13 and one against the spread three and one in his first two years with
- 28:30Dallas or first first two weeks of the season with Dallas. There we go. And in Mike McCarthy's
- 28:38career in September and October, he is 71 48 and three against the spread and money. Dennis Allen
- 28:49did a one of the Saints head coach after a straight up win earlier than November in the season
- 28:55one 13 and two against the spread. Oh, gross. Oh, that makes me want to puke. And one last one,
- 29:07Derek Carr, after no as a favorite in his career, 22 37 and two against the spread. The Dallas
- 29:17Cowboys are going to be the ever living shit as the New Orleans Saints because the Saints are bad
- 29:22and the Cowboys love to run up the score. Maybe put up a 40 50 burger against just bad teams.
- 29:29So yes, the Dallas Cowboys minus six and a half is my double unit sure fire guaranteed
- 29:35not to lose play the week. Let's go. Let's go. It was beautiful. That's
- 29:43Chris. Christy Stats back. Now we were actually going pretty fast here.
- 29:49We're just fired up to move on to week two. None of the pageant trees. Let's just get the winners
- 29:57out and get out. Yeah. Okay. All right. Extra plays, extra plays. Who wants to go first?
- 30:07Chris, you go first. All right. I'll go first.
- 30:13Trying to figure out where to start here. Okay.
- 30:14The Detroit football Lions came through for me in overtime last week. So I'm running it back this
- 30:21week. Lions minus seven against the Bucks. Bucks are banged up on defense. That ain't good because
- 30:27the Lions they didn't look great on offense last week. I think they get it. They get it right this
- 30:32week. They finally they put it all together. And I think they ran it up against the Bucks.
- 30:37Also, I watched the Manders Bucks game last week last week.
- 30:40The Bucks offense, I mean, yeah, score 37 points. Guys were wide open. I mean, I got some serious
- 30:48issues. Like I got some concerns with the commander's defense. Like they, they did not look good. So I
- 30:54don't think that's going to happen. I think Detroit's got a good defense. I think, yeah,
- 30:59they locked down Baker and they went by more than a touchdown. All right. The rest of these
- 31:04games kind of stinky. Not going to lie. I just said how bad the commander's defense is.
- 31:12But I'm taking them on the money line against the New York Giants because I said it last week
- 31:19and I will say it again. If you give me minus 120 against the God awful Giants who look like
- 31:25they're trying to lose football games, I am going to take it. I don't care if it's a trap. I don't
- 31:31care. The commander's minus 120. Jane Danes, it looks pretty good. I'll say that. And the
- 31:38Giants, like I said, I mean, the Giants are just so, they're so bad. So yeah, commander's money line.
- 31:46All right. Hear me out. Packers plus three and a half.
- 31:52I have stopped. Who are they playing? The Colts.
- 31:57I know I'll hear you. I know Malik Willis is starting, but I kind of like whenever
- 32:07like teams best player is out. I kind of like to bet on that team because
- 32:13she was like, everyone counts them out. I think everyone is on the Colts already.
- 32:17And I think they will be as the week goes on. I mean,
- 32:21I mean, Anthony Richardson wasn't great. Like he has had some really good throws. I'll say that.
- 32:28But overall, it's 9 to 19. Like that's just okay. Dare I say like pretty mediocre.
- 32:36So like, yes, he threw a bunch of like, that's just box score watching. He did have a lot of
- 32:41really good throws. But I just, I don't know, I think the backers keep it close. Matt LaFleur
- 32:46in his career as a dog of three points and more 14 and three against spread.
- 32:54Right with my King Malik Willis one more time, I guess. Packers plus three and a half.
- 33:00And then the last one, maybe the stinkiest of the stinkies. Steelers, Broncos under 36 and a half.
- 33:09This game is going to suck. Both these offenses are just God awful. Would you care to guess
- 33:18how many combined touchdowns they have scored this season through week one, obviously, but how
- 33:23many touchdowns have they scored combined? Two? One. Yeah. Oh, one touchdown. Yeah.
- 33:31They lost 20 to 26. The Steelers did not score a touchdown. So combined, they have scored one
- 33:37touchdown. The Broncos scored one touchdown. Oh, wow. Oh, I thought they scored two. No, they scored
- 33:44one. At least I'm pretty sure. But yeah, bow Nix is God awful. He's not an NFL quarterback.
- 33:57Justin Fields, who is starting this game again, is fine. Like he didn't do anything wrong
- 34:05against the Falcons. He didn't really do a whole, I mean, he was fine. He was exactly what they needed
- 34:10him to be. I think he's, that's just who he is. So, I mean, yeah, two shitty offenses and I mean,
- 34:18Steelers have a really good defense. Broncos defense, nothing to sneeze at. This could be a race to 17,
- 34:25so, yeah, under 36 and a half to round it out. A lot of stinky extra plays on this one, but these
- 34:33are winners. Will, what else you got? So, I don't know how I missed Lions minus seven. I think
- 34:40I'm adding that to my card. I also have the Mander's Moneyline versus the Giants.
- 34:48God. The Giants don't look competent in any phase of the game. Jane Daniels is electric.
- 34:59And so, I, I'm, I, this, I mean, this is, you summed it up. I'm taking the Mander's.
- 35:07And then, I only have one more play, but it is a trend center play. I'm taking the Rams Moneyline
- 35:15versus the Cardinals. This is in Arizona. I got the trend right here. Okay, so, when two
- 35:22winless teams go head to head, take the dog. They are 57, 11, and three against the spread.
- 35:32And so, taking the Rams Moneyline, they're only dogs by one. So, I feel like taking Moneyline,
- 35:40I don't know, I guess there's value there. It's just, I don't know, it's a lot easier to
- 35:45root for that, I guess. But I'm taking the Rams Moneyline here.
- 35:49Puka's gone, which is a little bit worried, but also the Cardinals,
- 35:56like they were able to put up points and hang in there with against the,
- 36:01against the Bills, but I mean, he missed Marvin Harrison a lot, kind of, like he did not play
- 36:09very well with him. Did you see what he said? And as, I guess it was like a presser or something
- 36:15afterwards. No, he said, it's not my job to get the ball, the Marvin Harrison Jr.
- 36:21Go fuck yourself. Motherfucker, that is your only. Jesus Christ.
- 36:25The ball to your best receiver. Christ. Hey, I hate Kyler Murray. I hate that man.
- 36:34I might take, I don't have this on my card, but I might take Rams Moneyline just despite this man.
- 36:40You know what? I'll take it. Yeah, I'll add it. Fuck it.
- 36:43I'll take it. Rams Moneyline. Also, Cooper Cup and Matt Stafford are back to being butt buddies.
- 36:50So, yeah, and like, they're, they're, they're going to do great.
- 36:54They were hanging in there with the Lions, which is one of the top echelon teams and like,
- 37:00I feel like this is an easy, easy dub for the Rams.
- 37:04The only person of color on that Rams offense goes down. He goes right back to Cooper Cup.
- 37:09You know, if it ain't broke, confirmed racist, but it's fun. Okay. Okay. Relax.
- 37:20It's a joke. It's a joke, but we can't have fun.
- 37:27Hey guys, guys have hobbies anymore.
- 37:30I'm just saying he throws for a lot of carcassians. That's all I'm saying.
- 37:39So, what happens? But yeah, that's it for my place. Three extra plays.
- 37:46Lions minus seven against the Bucks. Manders, Moneyline versus the Giants and
- 37:50Rams Moneyline against the Cardinals. You know, we love to hate Kyla Murray.
- 37:54John, what else, what else you got? Yeah, I'm also on the Lions minus seven.
- 38:01It's the second week in a row. We get a playoff rematch for the Lions, which is fun.
- 38:08But since Jared Goff came to the Detroit Lions, they are 19, five and one against the spread at
- 38:15home and 36, five and one all time, which is impressive considering how awful they were
- 38:22in 21 and 22 and half of 22. I'll say that. But Bucks looked good both sides of the ball,
- 38:33but playing at home against, you know, playing at home against Goff, you got to take the Lions here.
- 38:42I don't think, I think it'll be a little bit, a little bit, little sweaty, but I do like the
- 38:47Lions here. I'm also on the Manders, Moneyline. This is purely a let's get Jaden Daniels a win bet.
- 38:58And who else to give it to him other than Danny Dimes led Giants at home. Division rival, I love
- 39:06it so much. Will, does that head to head? Both teams lost. Does that apply to the Titans? Yes.
- 39:18Okay. Well, we are going to the game. Right. Yes. So I am going to take the Titans plus three and a half.
- 39:27And I haven't, we're going to the game. Yes. And I, yes. And I've hardly bet any dogs this week. So
- 39:38yeah, let's just get a dog in there. I mean, I'll bet it too. I'll end up betting it too. Yeah.
- 39:45See how Saturday, I guess. That's, that's, that's honestly fair. But yeah, go ahead. No, no, no,
- 39:52I wasn't. I was going to say, I was playing on this, maybe this game is just a good old fashion.
- 39:57Let's just watch the, watch the boys play without putting any money on it.
- 40:04I mean, God, you know, we, you know, we can't do that. We'll be at the bar. I know, you know,
- 40:08we can't do that. I'm going to at least pretend to be responsible for this part of the week. So
- 40:13okay, if I have a decent Saturday, I'll probably add it. If not, I'll probably have some ridiculous
- 40:18parlay that'll lose. All right, moving on. Got a couple more plays. I'm going to take the Ravens
- 40:27minus nine. They didn't shine very bright as I was hoping they would on Thursday, but they're back
- 40:34home against the Raiders. And this is a perfect opportunity to show what they've built in this
- 40:40off season, come out strong, make a statement. They are also seven and one against the Raiders
- 40:47in their last eight games when playing at home. So like that, I will be going against our King,
- 40:54Malik Willis, Colts minus three and a half. Got to go Colts here without Jordan Love. Malik Willis
- 41:02is throwing zero TDs and three interceptions in his career. I've seen what he can do. I can't put
- 41:08any faith in him. Yeah, like you said, Chris, Tony, he's got his flaws, but man, he can chuck that
- 41:15ball deep. I do expect this to be a heavy John Taylor game wearing down that front seven.
- 41:22Indy is also eight no against the spread in their last eight NFC North opponents.
- 41:30So you could throw that LaFleur stat right out the window. Okay.
- 41:35I didn't know you're just buddies with the entire Colts, Tony Richardson, John Taylor.
- 41:40Yeah. You don't know that. I was the first one to know when Andrew Luck retired.
- 41:48You mean when Drew Luck retired? When Drew Luck retired.
- 41:54Keep your friends close. Keep your enemies closer. Yes. I will also be rocking with the Jags this week,
- 42:03minus three and a half. God, Cleveland looks bad all season, all off season. I heard,
- 42:10don't be surprised if the Browns make a deep run. Yeah, fucking right, dude. I will.
- 42:18Yeah, without Nick Chubb and the Browns having to rely on to Sean Watson. This is just a recipe
- 42:23for disaster. Jags looked impressive against the Finns. I think their defense can make the
- 42:30Sean's life even more brutal than it already is. With the ESPN alerts, we keep getting about him.
- 42:40Would he like play? He'll play this week.
- 42:48Innocent till proven guilty. I know. I mean, the Browns want him to be guilty,
- 42:52so they can kick him. Yeah. They might be helping. They might be helping. Plus,
- 43:03the Browns are one and four against the spread in their last five visits in Jacksonville.
- 43:09In my last play, I actually made this one on Trendcenter because I was curious,
- 43:15because Mike Tomlin is really the only long-tenured coach we have left. Is that correct besides Andy
- 43:26Reed? Maybe. I mean, but with a team, like a tenured with one team. Yeah,
- 43:36that's on one team. Yeah, Jim Harbaugh. John Harbaugh. Right. Well, because of the people at
- 43:46Trendcenter, the fantastic people, you can now search through teams and their opponents
- 43:54and select the year. So I just selected the year that Tomlin started coaching up until the present.
- 43:59So, historically, Mike Tomlin has struggled against the Broncos, covering the spread just twice
- 44:09in the nine matchups he has faced against the Denver Broncos. So I'm going to trust the system
- 44:17and lay Broncos plus three. I kind of hate it, but if it's a stinky game, you know, if it's it
- 44:25it's true, just think again. I kind of like it. Nice, like 16, 14, something like that. Yes,
- 44:32something weird. Broncos got two safeties last week. So who knows, game changer.
- 44:43That's it. That's all I got. Okay. Cool. Is there anything else we want to touch on?
- 44:50I just want to hot takes. We want to get off our chest. I don't know if this is a hot take or
- 44:55anything, but I just want to ask you guys, do you care anything about this whole McCaffrey?
- 45:00Like, and what's the other running back saying? He knew he's going to start on Friday.
- 45:06Do you care about that at all? Okay. I didn't know that took place. Yeah. What's the guy's name again?
- 45:13Mason. Mason. Yeah, whatever. Isaiah Mason. Let me check. Okay. Well, he said after in the post
- 45:23game, like right after like when he was on the field and then again, like in the post game press
- 45:27conference, they asked like, when'd you know you're going to start? And he said Friday and that's
- 45:32people perked up with that like, Oh, we should have known it is the NFL's duty to cater to us
- 45:39fantasy football players and gamblers to get us this information. And I'm just like, shut the hell
- 45:45up. Like, yeah, no shit. The 49ers are going to play it close to the vest about with their best
- 45:53player. Like, I mean, I don't know all of the rules for when they have to disclose like
- 45:59certain injuries. But if they didn't break a rule, who the hell cares? Like they
- 46:04they doesn't matter. The NFL doesn't give a flying fuck about our bets or our fantasy team. So the
- 46:11people who always complained about that just really I hate it so much like grow the hell up,
- 46:16get off Twitter and just like stop, just stop. Yeah, his name was Jordan Mason. So Isaiah wasn't
- 46:24even close. Not even in the same way. I thought a J was in there somewhere. I don't know where I got
- 46:30Isaiah. But but yeah, no, just when people were getting like legitimately mad about that, like
- 46:36that the 49ers didn't disclose it. Shut like who gives a shit?
- 46:44Yeah, yeah, that doesn't like when I saw that I was like, Oh, okay. Like, I mean, I was with
- 46:53our buddy in our league at the time that CMC was announced that he was not going to start. And he
- 47:02had to get on that waiver wire real quick, pick up, pick up Jordan Mason. But yeah, I don't think
- 47:11I don't even know if I really have an opinion on that, to be honest, like, you're probably going to
- 47:19take whoever on whatever side of the ball you were already on either way. If you're on the jets,
- 47:27you're on the jets. If you're on the Niners, you're on the Niners. And yeah, like, I don't have an
- 47:34opinion like I don't give a shit about them not telling us like I couldn't care less about that.
- 47:40It's just the people getting mad about that is what made me mad, which I get is not great either.
- 47:45But I was who who do you think you are? Why do you need to like, it is not Kyle Shanahan's job
- 47:50to get you this information? Shut the hell up. If you're so mad about it, go get a job in the NFL.
- 47:57And then make change happen from the inside. Like a grassroots. Grassroots campaign.
- 48:05If you're that mad about it, instead of firing off your Twitter fingers, go actually do something
- 48:17about it. Yes. No, I mean, yeah, I just when people were getting legitimately upset about that,
- 48:24I was like, why? Why? Just just shut up. What did y'all think about seeing Russell Wilson on the
- 48:35sideline in full pads, even though he was marked injured? That's kind of silly. I mean, it's a
- 48:41hard O so I'm not it's dumb. But that was the most. That was the most Russell Wilson thing he could
- 48:50have done. Like just like suit it up. Just I'm ready coach. It's like, no, you're not you're
- 48:58not playing. It's like, but I'm all padded up. You need me to go out there. It's like, no, we
- 49:04cannot play. I'm gonna pad up anyways. If he was trying to pull a James Winston at Florida State,
- 49:11then I would respect it. Yeah, he wasn't like gone. Yeah, but he wasn't trying to do that. He's
- 49:17just a nerd and a hard O so no, it was lame as hell. But that's just who Russell Wilson is.
- 49:24Easily, easily the cringiest NFL player.
- 49:31Yeah. Now that now that you just miss you, sir has stopped doing his TikTok dances.
- 49:37Yeah, NFL player. See, I don't even know if juju was that cringy. I just thought like,
- 49:43I mean, I didn't like it. But I was like, this isn't for me. I'm not his target audience.
- 49:52Maybe whoever his target audience is enjoys it. God bless him. I think it's dumb as fuck. But
- 49:59whatever. But yeah, Russ, I don't think he like he is just cringy. I don't think anyone's like,
- 50:06yes, I support every single decision Russell Wilson has made in his entire career. God,
- 50:13I hope not. Good guy. Good guy. So like, but just very cringy. Yes.
- 50:26Is that it? Is there any any other silly things that happened?
- 50:29We need to talk about I hate to be this guy and I know everybody here hates to be this guy.
- 50:43But can the chiefs just do whatever the hell they want? Like having your defensive coordinator call
- 50:51a call a timeout that should not be allowed to happen. And and for it to just be like, yeah,
- 51:00okay, here you go. No penalty. Nothing. No, I don't know what the rule is. Like,
- 51:08like, I know that's not allowed. But like, I don't know what the rule is on that. Like,
- 51:13if the ref sucks up and it's like, Oh, sorry, like, I just saw time out and granted and gave it to
- 51:18them if they're supposed to be repercussions from that. I have no idea. But yeah, I mean, they can.
- 51:26Yeah, short answer. They can and they will. It's just it. I mean, we've lived with it for
- 51:33like, what, seven years now, I guess. Something like that. But I mean, it hasn't been this bad.
- 51:41It doesn't get any easier. Two or three years. It's gotten to be like blatant. Like, I'm not saying
- 51:49that there's shenanigans. There probably is. But it's gotten to be a last few years. It's like,
- 51:55okay, come on. Like, these are this is bullshit. Yeah, they are. They're the New England page.
- 52:02Yeah. And they get all the calls. There's always there's always the team in every league,
- 52:09every sport. There's a team that gets this and it's the chiefs turn to get it. It's it. Just the way it is.
- 52:17It sucks. It sucks. I mean, there's the, you know, I'm not going to start a grassroots campaign and,
- 52:24you know, go in there and make change happen. This is getting insufferable. Like, it is just bad.
- 52:32Like, I really, I really hate it. And it bothers me a lot, but there's nothing I can do about it.
- 52:37I mean, yeah, that with like the however many new whatever that like illegal formation penalties that
- 52:45the the Ravens O-line got specifically that whoever 79 was. And then I mean, I wasn't watching every game.
- 52:54How many times was that called throughout the week? I would like because I saw it a
- 53:01shit ton in that Ravens game specifically on the Ravens. I think I saw it a couple more times. But
- 53:08like, I wasn't watching every other game like other than the Titans game wasn't really locked
- 53:12into every other game. So I could have missed it. But it really seemed like they were like, hey,
- 53:18we're going to hammer this home for the first possession against the Ravens and then just kind of
- 53:24whatever it. Yeah, there were 22 illegal formation flags thrown in 16 games in week one.
- 53:34And I would say five of those were the Ravens. That is exactly correct. Let's go.
- 53:43Wow. So I mean, is this like order of those were one team? Is this a new rule? Yeah,
- 53:51it I don't know if it's a new rule or if it's one of those where they're actually starting to enforce
- 53:55it. Yeah, I think they're this has been around. I think they're just starting to crack down on it.
- 54:02Yeah, it's like it's like that one. We're just gonna have a new thing every year. Yeah, it's like
- 54:06what year was it when they started like, oh, taunting is actually a penalty now. And then they
- 54:10just stopped like next year. This won't be a thing. Yeah, maybe even next week, honestly,
- 54:17if a quarter of them were called in the first game, it might not even be a week.
- 54:24Yeah, just like, I mean, there was that one in the Titans game where we're Boyd told Ridley to
- 54:31move up and then the rest is just like, I was like, that was just that was just a dumb ass penalty.
- 54:38Like that wasn't a whatever that this rule is that was just them being dumb.
- 54:42Yeah. God, but that's gonna get old real quick. I'll tell you that. I mean, how much longer they
- 54:52gonna do I think maybe by like week four, either the teams will get the message or they'll just
- 54:57kind of be like, you know what, whatever. At least it wasn't like the year where you could
- 55:05challenge defensive pass interference. That was interesting. Anyone like actually do that?
- 55:14Oh, they a lot of people challenged it. I forget the exact number of times it got challenged,
- 55:20but I remember something like three got overturned. Like the entire season. Oh, yeah, that's right.
- 55:25It was like, no, the refs were never gonna overturn. Yeah, because I would be a referee
- 55:30admitting they were wrong. So that was just they pandered to the city of New Orleans for a season
- 55:37like, all right, we'll make this a rule now. And then they got to and then they probably told the
- 55:44I mean, I don't know what I said, probably they might have told the refs like, hey, don't overturn
- 55:48any of these. And then after the season will be like, well, we tried it. It didn't work. So we're
- 55:53getting rid of. Yeah. And like, the game a lot. Oh, it was awful. I mean, it's I mean, you got to a
- 55:59point where it's like, unless the guy pulled out a gun and shot someone in the head, they weren't
- 56:03calling it back. It was just like, what's the point? I think I watched one game where they
- 56:10called it back. And I was like, Oh, my God, actually did something. But yeah. So yeah,
- 56:19with the illegal formation stuff, it's, I mean, it's it's not like, you know, these players are
- 56:26are lining up like the flying V from the mighty ducks, you know, like they're not doing any,
- 56:31they're just lining up. They're just like a little beyond the, is it the center's belt buckle?
- 56:38Like the helmet has to line up with yeah, with like the center's belt buckle or something to that
- 56:44degree. Take a pill and just I just I don't get it. Christ. Yeah, like Will says, like the refs
- 56:53have to crack down on something stupid every year. Oh, four of those illegal formations were
- 57:00against the Browns. In two games in two separate games, they called nine total illegal formation
- 57:12penalties. And who are those teams playing the chiefs in the Cowboys? Yeah, interesting. Interesting.
- 57:22Hmm. Funny how that works. Any other conspiracy theories? Not a conspiracy, just general question,
- 57:32but we think of Tom Brady in the booth. It was weird. It was weird. It was, you know, it's,
- 57:38it's his first time in the booth like, I don't know. That was fun. I think I said it when we were
- 57:44watching it. I don't care for his voice. Yeah, it's kind of high. Yeah. Well, like when he first,
- 57:50when we first listened to like the first like thing I heard him say, he said something and he
- 57:55like he has a naturally like higher pitched voice and he kind of made it higher and a little bit
- 57:59louder. And I was like, Oh my God, this is terrible. Stop it, you freak. And I just,
- 58:09I mean, maybe I'll get used to it, but I just don't care for his voice. I don't think it's good for
- 58:14for T good for calling games. I thought he like his analysis, everything was fine.
- 58:20It wasn't anything special, but I just don't care for his voice.
- 58:26Yeah. I mean, you listen, he could either be Tom Brady in the booth where, you know, he,
- 58:33he does the first game and then it's not that great, but then, you know, 20 games later, he's
- 58:37like, all right, this is good. Or it could be like a Tony Romo where in the beginning he was like,
- 58:45awesome. He was just shouting. Yeah, he was shouting out the plays right before they happened.
- 58:52It was wild. And now he's not that great. Now he's always just like, I don't know, Jim.
- 58:59Jim, we need, we do need justice for Greg Olson. Yes. Yeah. That man. Oh, I feel bad. I feel bad
- 59:10for that man. Just highway robbery for like a genuinely good color commentator. Just nope.
- 59:17Tom Brady wants to do this now. So kick rocks, pal. Yeah. Greg Olson was great. Like he was,
- 59:24he was like one of the top broadcasters like in recent memory. Yeah. I mean, he was immediately
- 59:32like the Fox number one, like color guy and he was good. He was really good. And then yeah,
- 59:39there's like, nope. Tommy wants to turn. So this off. Kick rocks, kid. Kick rocks. Did he call? I
- 59:48mean, I, we didn't have the volume. We didn't have the volume on the entire game. Did he call the
- 59:53Titans game? No, that was Mark Sanchez. Yeah, that was it. Okay. We're bringing up the Titans game.
- 1:00:03We're bringing up Mark Sanchez during that God awful pick that we mentioned earlier. If Mark Sanchez
- 1:00:11is saying, Oh no, that's a problem, dude. That is bad. That means some shit. That man has one of the
- 1:00:22most infamous fumbles in all of football, all of the NFL. And if he says, Oh no, as the ball is
- 1:00:32leaving the fingertips, you have a problem. I mean, yeah, that was, I mean, that everything about
- 1:00:41that was awful. But just that was his like just gut reaction. Like he saw that going here. Oh no.
- 1:00:46It was very, I mean, it was, it's very funny to look back on. But yeah, that was
- 1:00:58Do we, do we want to discuss Tyreek Hill
- 1:01:05and the arresting detaining detain? Detain?
- 1:01:07No, no. Did you see the footage? Yeah, I've seen bits and pieces of it. I haven't watched like the full
- 1:01:18footage. I mean, it's not great. But he got out and scored an 80 yard touchdown. So 80 yards out
- 1:01:26the cuff for a TD. Yeah, it's like, yeah, it was like, yeah, it wasn't great. But I don't think it's
- 1:01:34really much of an issue. Yeah. Yeah, I don't really want to get in this hot button subject,
- 1:01:44to be honest. Like it was, it was bad. Shouldn't have happened. Yeah, that's about it. That's all I'll
- 1:01:52say. I loved all the memes that came from his tweet. Whereas like we have to make a change or
- 1:01:58something like that or whatever it was. People quote doing it. Tyreek Hill sees a pregnant woman not
- 1:02:06getting beaten. Because he did that. He did that. Like, everyone wants to be like, oh, Tyreek, like,
- 1:02:16yeah, like he was like, that wasn't a great situation. Like he did, like it wasn't great.
- 1:02:22But also he is not a good person. So I don't feel bad for him whatsoever. What he said after the game,
- 1:02:32like, what if I wasn't Tyreek Hill? I was like, buddy, if you weren't Tyreek Hill, you wouldn't
- 1:02:39be driving a Lambo to Hard Rock Stadium. If he lived his exact life as Joe Schmo from down the
- 1:02:47street, he would be in prison. Like for his multiple past offenses. So like you're lucky as hell,
- 1:02:59you're Tyreek Hill for a lot of reasons. But yes, that whole situation could have been avoided.
- 1:03:06And I think I did think the cop kind of escalated the situation when it didn't need to be, especially
- 1:03:12when your duty as a service officer is to more or less de-escalate these types of conditions and not
- 1:03:22trying to get a rouse out of anybody and play the whole, I don't care who you are, just like,
- 1:03:29whole thing could have been avoided on both sides. Whole thing could have been avoided.
- 1:03:33Yeah. No, well, do I, should I wrap it up, boys?
- 1:03:44Let's end on that. Yeah, let's end on a serious note.
- 1:03:50Police brutality. Anyway, yeah. So follow the Twitter, the Instagram, TikTok,
- 1:03:59Link is in the bio, Bandit lost. There is a football by the hook. He's not going to make
- 1:04:05this, he's not going to make that mistake again. Yeah, tune in for that. Check out the
- 1:04:15Trend Center app, the greatest tool for sports bettors in the world. Yeah, get a premium
- 1:04:24subscription for 15% off using the code TFTM. We love the Trend Center. They've done a lot for us
- 1:04:34and they'll do a lot for you. Yeah, that's it. We'll see you next week with Fat or Wallets.
- 1:04:44Like, comment, subscribe. It really helps us out. It really helps our reach and interaction
- 1:04:48we get. Yeah, thank you for the thing I'm watching. We have three of us. Now let's make some money.