Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Halloween Hot Dog & Road Dogs | NFL Week 9

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Halloween Hot Dog & Road Dogs | NFL Week 9 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:10
  Speaker 1: Happy Hallowie. Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: The Crown is yours. I am Brandon aka Batman Krabits,
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: joined by my two faves, the Prime Minister Stuckey and
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: the Princess of Pickles Kendra Middleton. On today's episode, we
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: will submit our official plays of the week. We've got
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: our scary stat of the day, two Kings and a
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: Queen parlay, Kendrew's pickle prop and a new game show.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: It's gonna help us rattle through some of the top
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: games of the week. We are loaded up Evan Abrams
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: shrimply unbelievable stat of the week. We'll get this right
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: out there to get rolling on a Thursday, straight from
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: the primer. We are living in a world of over.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: So this could be the first week since twenty twenty
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: one week ten with five totals of fifty or more
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: on the closing line. Last week eighteen and ten to
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: the over nearly a sixty percent cover rate to the
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: over since week four. Kendra, First of all, Happy Halloween to.
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: You, Hampy Halloween.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: Are we slamming overs like we are crushing these costumes today?
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: No, they make me a little bit nervous because before
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: the last couple of weeks, I feel like it's really
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: been an unders season. I need to see it be
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: a little bit more of a trend before it's something
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: I can get behind. And you guys know that I'm
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: not a huge trend girl. I'm more of a vibe girl.
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: But early in the season it really felt like a
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: season of unders. So as much as it looks like supertempting,
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: and like I said, this slate feels like fools gold
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: earlier this week, I think I just need to play
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: it safe, stick with where my head and hard are at,
• 1:47
  Speaker 3: and not get too silly because when you get too
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: silly sometimes that's when you get in trouble.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: And I know we all love an over. It's a
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: Halloween weekend.
• 1:55
  Speaker 3: There's probably gonna be boozing other things involved. Get your
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: bets out of the way before you're hungover and.
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: Chase and stuff. Get it all done. Get it out
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: of the way so you can sit pretty on Sunday.
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: Colts Steelers stucky? How does this not fly over? The
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: total fifty and a half I was looking at the
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: weather report doesn't look too sketchy. The Steelers can't stop anybody.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: The Colts can't stop scoring. If you're looking the way
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: of an over that one, I find myself gravitating towards.
• 2:23
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't mind what Let's see what that's at
• 2:25
  Speaker 4: right now. If yeah, DraftKings juice fifty and a half
• 2:30
  Speaker 4: fifty one key number in NFL total betting, so under
• 2:34
  Speaker 4: fifty one if you get a total, if you get
• 2:37
  Speaker 4: that number under fifty one, I don't hate that.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: Look.
• 2:40
  Speaker 4: The only thing I would be concerned about Steelers home
• 2:44
  Speaker 4: voodoo causing some turnovers, and the Steelers will probably have
• 2:51
  Speaker 4: some long, methodical drives in this game. Short passes, the
• 2:56
  Speaker 4: run game keep the Colts offense on the sideline, but
• 3:00
  Speaker 4: they should have success moving it. The Colts offense should
• 3:02
  Speaker 4: have success moving it. The Steelers defense right now is
• 3:04
  Speaker 4: a mess. Now they're without their starting safety. To Shaun Elliott,
• 3:09
  Speaker 4: if there was any case to be made, I did
• 3:12
  Speaker 4: bet the Steelers. I'll make the case later. But if
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: there's any case be made of why the Colts offense
• 3:16
  Speaker 4: might not look as potent as it has all year.
• 3:19
  Speaker 4: I mean, they've been historically dominant. It is outdoors in
• 3:24
  Speaker 4: the elements. They've basically played all of their games either
• 3:28
  Speaker 4: at home or in Sofi Stadium. They've played two games there,
• 3:30
  Speaker 4: the only outdoor game game against the incompetent Titans defense,
• 3:36
  Speaker 4: and it was like perfect weather for that game early
• 3:38
  Speaker 4: in the season. And if the Steelers throw a curveball defensively, like,
• 3:47
  Speaker 4: what are they going to do about the loss of Elliott?
• 3:49
  Speaker 4: Are they going to move Ramsey somewhere? Are they going
• 3:51
  Speaker 4: to change schematically, which I think I would behove them
• 3:54
  Speaker 4: to do, But we'll see. That's pretty much the only guess.
• 3:57
  Speaker 4: But in this game, just based on the matchup, both
• 4:00
  Speaker 4: teams should really have a lot of success moving the ball.
• 4:03
  Speaker 4: The Steelers they have been decent against play action, which
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: is important against the Colts, but their defense is such
• 4:07
  Speaker 4: a mess in every facet and the Steelers. The Colts
• 4:13
  Speaker 4: defense has played like nobody of late and even when
• 4:18
  Speaker 4: they play the Chargers, I mean the charged prot like
• 4:20
  Speaker 4: five hundre yards, but they had all those offensive line injuries.
• 4:23
  Speaker 4: The Colts aren't healthy at outside corner. You know, one
• 4:25
  Speaker 4: of the best in the league is on ir So
• 4:28
  Speaker 4: their two outside corners are very weak. They cannot defend,
• 4:31
  Speaker 4: they struggle against the runs. So Pittsburgh should be able
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: to get the run going, and they cannot defend tight ends.
• 4:35
  Speaker 4: They're last in the league. There will. The Steelers use
• 4:39
  Speaker 4: multiple tight ends at over fifty percent of the time.
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: That's the highest rate in the league, so there's going
• 4:43
  Speaker 4: to be advantage for both team. So in short, I
• 4:45
  Speaker 4: don't hate that. Look. It is the highest common total
• 4:48
  Speaker 4: since twenty twenty, which.
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: Is crazy, by the way. And also one more note,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: because I last week I was on the Colts team
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: total over against the Titans. That number got up to
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: thirty one and a half before kickoff. It's twenty six
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: and a half right now against the Steelers defense. That
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: are we sure is much better than the Titans defense.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: I know that sounds crazy, Yes, we are sure, Okay,
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: that much better.
• 5:12
  Speaker 4: They have talented players, at least they haven't played up
• 5:14
  Speaker 4: to their potential like Porters great a great defensive line.
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: Some respect on my king, Jalen.
• 5:22
  Speaker 4: So yeah, and the Titans defense is nothing if if
• 5:25
  Speaker 4: Simmons is out.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: Special Jalen washed Ramsey, you should dress up as an
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: actual cornerback this weekend.
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: Don't with me. You can never make me hate that man.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: So I'm rolling through a Starbucks today getting my pre
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: show energy boost and the guy in the window who's
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: serving me the coffee says, hey, how's your day going?
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Pretty standard question and then follows it up with if
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: you were a vegetable, what kind of vegetable would you be?
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: And I had to look closer, and Squint goes, stucky,
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: is that you? What kind of question is this? I'm
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: not prepared while morning my coffee to answer a question
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: like this, but it did sharpen the mind for today's random, weird,
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: stucky question of the week. Hey, this is a dumb question.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: Let me ask you a personal question.
• 6:17
  Speaker 4: Kind of question?
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: Is that is question?
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: By the way, the vegetable question probably want to be
• 6:22
  Speaker 4: like garlic. Isn't it like the longest lasting? And I
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: love garlic?
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: And you could kill vampires, I think producer an.
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: Easy answer, you guys baked potato. Who doesn't want to
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: be smothered and covered in butter and bacon?
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: So my wife said, yeah, but then you have like
• 6:41
  Speaker 4: sprouts growing, You can have sprouts grown out of you.
• 6:43
  Speaker 4: That sounds I guess that happens to garlic too, but
• 6:45
  Speaker 4: it just takes longer.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I wouldn't want to be mashed. That doesn't sound pleasant.
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: Fair just regularly, like I'll I'll peel garlic and just
• 6:57
  Speaker 4: eat it. All right, Well, my question it's not vest
• 7:00
  Speaker 4: well related, it's Halloween related. This is my costume one
• 7:05
  Speaker 4: year I was a mob guy. This was like this
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: might have been in high school. I don't know why.
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: I just saw this was in my closet. So I
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: had like a pinstriped suit in this like mask. But
• 7:15
  Speaker 4: what is your most memorable or funniest Halloween costume? Mine
• 7:20
  Speaker 4: is I in college, I went to a costume store
• 7:25
  Speaker 4: and I rented a full size, a full size Elmo
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: mascot costume and like the head, like it was enormous.
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: Went to some club in DC to party, and my
• 7:41
  Speaker 4: friend who was like the club promoter, he had like
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: this table and they were like legit. They were like
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: playboy girls that were there at the table. I spent
• 7:53
  Speaker 4: two hours just standing there because I didn't I couldn't.
• 7:57
  Speaker 4: I didn't want to talk to anybody because and I
• 8:00
  Speaker 4: couldn't take my helmet off. I was drinking like because
• 8:03
  Speaker 4: of the head because I was drenched, so I was
• 8:07
  Speaker 4: too embarrassed to actually take it off. I was literally
• 8:09
  Speaker 4: pouring sweat. So it was actually a horrendous experience left
• 8:14
  Speaker 4: went back to this is I was a freshman, went
• 8:18
  Speaker 4: back to my dorm and during like Shenanigans that weekend,
• 8:23
  Speaker 4: someone stole it and I had to pay for it,
• 8:28
  Speaker 4: the entire costume, and it wasn't cheap. So that was
• 8:31
  Speaker 4: probably my funniest one at the time. It sounded so
• 8:34
  Speaker 4: much better than the actual experience of wearing it out,
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: and it was funny in the dorms. But yeah, that
• 8:42
  Speaker 4: was my best Halloween costume story.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: I think this is back to Back Thursdays, by the way,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: where Stucky has told the story where he has been robbed.
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think my favorite costume I ever did was
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: I was Jeff Probes from Survivor one year.
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: But I think the funniest that I ever.
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: Did was I dressed up in college as doodle Bob
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: one time and I brought a giant pencil to the
• 9:05
  Speaker 3: bar and I if you're from New England, you know
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: about like the mcgillicuddies nips. I had way too many
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: of those that I shoved like around my person and
• 9:14
  Speaker 3: I drew dicks all over the bar with my giant pencil.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: What is doodles everywhere? You don't know what doodle Bob.
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: Is it's like SpongeBob's alter ego that he drew with
• 9:26
  Speaker 3: like a pencil and he came to life and he's
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: just like faral like it yeah, it's it's it's yeah,
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: do to all of the bus.
• 9:34
  Speaker 4: He really wanted to be Giants pretty much.
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: Kind of it's like cartoon SpongeBob, but like he's just
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: black and white pencil. I really wanted to be Donny
• 9:42
  Speaker 3: Thornberry this year because I have a Donny Thornberry tattoo
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: and everybody in college called me Donnie because I would
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: just get hammered and scream. But I couldn't find a
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: way to like not wear a shirt.
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: I can see that. I can see Donnie, because you
• 9:55
  Speaker 4: get hammered and screamed.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: I have come up with a new game show called
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: Action or Distraction, and I am going to flow through
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: some of the hottest topics that we typically like to
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: cover to help us wrap our heads around these games
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: week after weeks. So we'll get into the flow of it.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: You'll understand how this works. It's pretty simple. Uh, Fading
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: the public and fading the Titans two of my favorite practices.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: But you have to pick this week Chargers are catching
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the bets against the Tennessee Titans.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: That line is parked at nine and a half right now.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: Fading the most public bet of the week and betting
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans. Action or distraction, Kendra.
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: You already know what I'm gonna say. I don't know
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: why you came to me first. I'm a Charger's apologist.
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: I don't know why you came to me first. Who
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: you know what I'm gonna sign.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: We're greasing the wheels here, so you are all action
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: on the public side of the Los Angeles Chargers. I'm
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: not sure sure I put weight into these percentages. Some
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: weight into these percentages, But when it comes to the Titans,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: nobody's trying to bet the Titans, and they fail to
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: cover almost every single week.
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: So I was right on the two times that I've
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: bet on the Titans.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: I'd like to say, Okay, you know what, take that
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: money and run.
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: On this show, and I haven't bet on them any
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: other time. I'm gonna I'm gonna walk away.
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: Happy me and the Chargers can continue to do this well,
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: sults that we're.
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: Doing whatever.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: Luck rankings hat tip to Nick Giffen for putting those
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: out on Actionnetwork dot Com every week see the Broncos
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: as the sixth luckiest team in the NFL and the
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Texans all the way down to twenty eighth. So we've
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: got a big haasm there between the two. Houston favored
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: by a point and a half luck rankings. Say bet
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: the Texans stucky action or distraction on that action.
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 11:54
  Speaker 4: I think Kendri's on the Broncos.
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: I am on the Broncos, which.
• 11:57
  Speaker 4: I completely disagree with. I like the Texan here. Look,
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: I the one thing I'm worried about is the pressure
• 12:04
  Speaker 4: that Denver can generate. Usually when you look at this
• 12:07
  Speaker 4: Houston offense, it's okay the shout of time. If he
• 12:10
  Speaker 4: does then he can pick defenses apart. If he doesn't,
• 12:14
  Speaker 4: it can look ugly because the pocket just collapses immediately.
• 12:18
  Speaker 4: That is a concern against Denver. But this Broncos defense
• 12:22
  Speaker 4: is just not the same without Patrick's or tand he
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: allows them to do so much. He allows he gives
• 12:28
  Speaker 4: them so much flexibility, takes you know, the number one
• 12:30
  Speaker 4: receiver out, takes one side of the field away, and
• 12:33
  Speaker 4: it allows you to be so much more aggressive. The
• 12:35
  Speaker 4: drop off between him and Abram's drain is massive, So
• 12:39
  Speaker 4: without him, I think Houston has clearly the better defense.
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: They're at home, and they have the better quarterback. In
• 12:46
  Speaker 4: my opinion, I'll take Stroud over bow Nicks.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: And are you not worried about their injury report? Though?
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: You're like the injury report.
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: Guy and you can pression Kirk questionable, Schultz questionable obviously,
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: Tank Dell's not available.
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: Even Braxton Barrios is hurt. Like that.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: Kind of cancel out the Collins stuff though.
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: Now, But I think it just cancels out the certain stuff.
• 13:10
  Speaker 4: I think Collins and Kirk are gonna play like they
• 13:13
  Speaker 4: practiced yesterday, So that's a really good play.
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: But that just doesn't like change the fact that everybody's
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: hurt and slow.
• 13:21
  Speaker 4: Maybe, but I liked what I saw from the Houston
• 13:23
  Speaker 4: offense last week. Their young receivers looked good. Bow Knicks
• 13:27
  Speaker 4: is gonna see a ton of zone quarters covered here,
• 13:30
  Speaker 4: and this this Houston pass defense is like historically good.
• 13:35
  Speaker 4: You're gonna see a ton of zone. Bo Nix has
• 13:37
  Speaker 4: been abysmal against zone this season, and one of the
• 13:41
  Speaker 4: areas where Houston could move the ball is Denver's been dead.
• 13:47
  Speaker 4: They're dead last in the league at defending running backs
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: out of the backfield in the passing game. What he
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: Marx is starting to become a bigger focal point of
• 13:55
  Speaker 4: the offense and getting more involved in that department. So
• 13:58
  Speaker 4: that could be an area where Houston moose books. It's
• 14:00
  Speaker 4: not gonna take much in this game. Total is forty
• 14:03
  Speaker 4: for a reason, even though it's indoors. These are two
• 14:05
  Speaker 4: elite defenses. Points are gonna be hard to come by.
• 14:08
  Speaker 4: But yeah, I'm rolling with the Texans here. I mean,
• 14:11
  Speaker 4: if you look at this Broncos team, there's a reason
• 14:14
  Speaker 4: why they're high up in our luck rankings. They beat
• 14:19
  Speaker 4: the Jets by two, They beat the Giants by one
• 14:26
  Speaker 4: and they were down. I mean, that was a ridiculous comeback.
• 14:29
  Speaker 4: They should have lost that game. And they beat the
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: Road Cowboys. You even go back to some of the
• 14:33
  Speaker 4: other wins. They beat Jake Browning, they beat the Titans
• 14:36
  Speaker 4: at home by one possession, and then they had that
• 14:39
  Speaker 4: crazy comeback against the Eagles. Like, this is a team that,
• 14:42
  Speaker 4: yes they have six wins, but they easily could only
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: have three or four. So yeah, I'm rolling with the
• 14:49
  Speaker 4: Texans at home. I think they can carry that momentum
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: over from last week, and this defense is built to
• 14:54
  Speaker 4: shut down this Broncos offense. So I think action is
• 14:59
  Speaker 4: my final answer.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: Sorry, Kendra, it sounds like a head to head bet
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: to me. Maybe I still owe you crab cakes.
• 15:05
  Speaker 4: By the way, you want to go dad on this?
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, why not, let's do it. I'll go your Zaxby's.
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: How about that?
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: I like the undering this, so I'm just gonna watch.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna watch the world burn.
• 15:15
  Speaker 4: I'm trying to get another had to have a friend
• 15:18
  Speaker 4: and I can add to it knowing it's a winner,
• 15:19
  Speaker 4: So we'll see if.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: We can get I need a week off. Jamier Gibbs
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: has dressed up like Jeff Hardy for Halloween, already shared
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: the costume on social media. Ten out of ten. By
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: the way, that's a professional wrestler for those that don't
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: follow Action and distraction. Kendra Gibbs for two scores after
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: putting a great costume together at plus two fifty.
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna go distraction. They all had really good Halloween costumes.
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: I'll speak. We were talking about what.
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: Is the show that's coming out this weekend? Then we
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: were talking about three shows. Yeah, Jared Goff was somebody
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: from Strangers, I think, or with a no. Aiden Hutchinson was.
• 15:54
  Speaker 3: He was the girl with the eggo waffle. I thought
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: that that was really funny.
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 15:58
  Speaker 3: I've seen stranger things. I don't know their names. I
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: don't care anymore. It's not twenty fifteen. However, I'm going
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: to go distraction if they've just got too many mouths
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: to feed. I get that they have that double headed
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: monster back there, but too many mouths to feed two
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: is just too many.
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: Not high enough for me either.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: I am. I am going after a bet that I've
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: placed on Gibbs. Not touchdowns, but catches over three and
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: a half at plus one ten, Gibbs third in target
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: rate among running backs Minnesota, second most targeted defense to
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: the running back position. I would look for Gibbs catches
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: the most out of wack spread Stucky. This one I
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: saved just for you that I've generated from my Hurky
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: Jerky power ratings is Cowboys minus four and a half.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: That's where I have the number on Monday Night Football.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: The actual number is Cowboys minus two and a half.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: So action or distraction on my personal power rating?
• 16:52
  Speaker 4: What did you say you make it again.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Four and a half on Dallas. Yeah, I would know.
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: That's my most out of I always every single week,
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: I have one or two games where my numbers look
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: so different from the market, and that is one of them.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: That is the most out of whack. I'm gonna throw
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: this at you every single week, by the way, because
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: I love seeing your reaction to my out of black numbers.
• 17:16
  Speaker 4: I want I won a three with Arizona in this game.
• 17:20
  Speaker 4: Look the Dallas offense. The offense is it's a different
• 17:23
  Speaker 4: beast at home. You have to admit that. But this
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: Arizona defense very well schooled. They take away the explosive play.
• 17:31
  Speaker 4: They should be healthy in the secondary. They've been really
• 17:33
  Speaker 4: beat up in the secondary. Now coming off of a bye,
• 17:37
  Speaker 4: the Dallas defense is beat beat up and it's not good.
• 17:41
  Speaker 4: They can't stop anyone. Like I wouldn't trust Dallas to
• 17:43
  Speaker 4: win by margin over anybody. So I get it.
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: For two and a half is a margin?
• 17:50
  Speaker 4: Yeah, if you if I get if you want to
• 17:52
  Speaker 4: like two and a half, I'm just looking for the
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: three on Arizona. I mean this Cardinals team are they
• 17:56
  Speaker 4: where are they at in the luck rankings?
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: Uh? Good question. I will pull that up right now,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: I got it. We got it. They are twenty third
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: and the Dallas Cowboys are right in the middle of
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: the league, so not much different.
• 18:11
  Speaker 4: Cowboys are who they are.
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: I mean.
• 18:12
  Speaker 4: The Cardinals though, I mean, like when you look at it,
• 18:14
  Speaker 4: this team, the perception of what they are versus what
• 18:19
  Speaker 4: people think they are, I think is a little out
• 18:21
  Speaker 4: of whack because the.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: Same as every season with them.
• 18:23
  Speaker 4: Though yeah it's true, but they've, like they started.
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: Are so inconsistent. You never know what Cardinals team you're
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: gonna get.
• 18:30
  Speaker 4: Remuda Baker, they haven't been blown out once all year.
• 18:33
  Speaker 4: They've they're two. They started off two to zero and
• 18:37
  Speaker 4: then they've they've since lost five in a row. And
• 18:39
  Speaker 4: by the way, that includes a game at Indianapolis where
• 18:41
  Speaker 4: they only lost by four without their receivers, without their quarterback,
• 18:47
  Speaker 4: and when I hurt defense against the Packers where they
• 18:49
  Speaker 4: only lost by four. They have that ridiculous loss against
• 18:52
  Speaker 4: Tennessee due to all the drop to touchdown the the
• 18:57
  Speaker 4: interception fumble. They also to the Seahawk at the last
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: play of the game by three, and it lost to
• 19:02
  Speaker 4: the forty nine ers in San franp I won because
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: they dropped the wide open pass. So like they have
• 19:08
  Speaker 4: been in every game and the last and for the
• 19:11
  Speaker 4: last five are against potential playoff teams San fran Seattle, Indianapolis,
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: and Green Bay. They're frisky, They've just been unlucky. I
• 19:21
  Speaker 4: would love to get a three there.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Let's wrap this new fun game show with action or distraction.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: This is both of you. I want an answer for both.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: And I am asking this question out of protest because
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: I disagree this was written in by the producers. Okay,
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: I'm calling them out here. Halloween is the most overrated
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: holiday of the year. What kind of questions?
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: Oooh, show yourselves? Which one of you wrote that it
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: was definitely get heard.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: You nailed it, Gifford. This is on you, but I'm
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: gonna ask it anyway because I am Ron Burgundy and
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: I read what's in the notes most overrated. I'm the
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: game show host here, but even I am that's distraction.
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: I hate Christmas.
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: It's aunt Christmas.
• 20:05
  Speaker 4: That's that's insane. Yeah, I would say there's Christmas. Christmas here,
• 20:09
  Speaker 4: like my is a huge deal for my wife's family.
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: And also have one of those houses where people come
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: drive to see it with all the lights and they
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: have like ten people come set up all there do.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: They have like the notes of like how much the
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: electricity costs and all of that. I'm always entertained by
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: that now, but they should.
• 20:26
  Speaker 4: It's it's literally a production set up. I'll show you
• 20:30
  Speaker 4: guys a picture. They don't start doing it. I think,
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: like next week, start setting it up. Love Christmas, My
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: favorite is Thanksgiving football and food, really good food and
• 20:41
  Speaker 4: just eat all day my I mean Easter. I hated
• 20:48
  Speaker 4: Easter growing up because like it was college basketball is on,
• 20:51
  Speaker 4: like you would have to go do like family stuff
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: or go to church like when I like my I
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: would always find a way to get out of it.
• 20:57
  Speaker 4: That was probably my least favorite. Now the most rated,
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: like Halloween. I don't do much, Like I just will
• 21:05
  Speaker 4: I put a Vibeho's telling you guys. I put a
• 21:07
  Speaker 4: big box outside on my front step and say take
• 21:09
  Speaker 4: one always king size if you come to my house.
• 21:14
  Speaker 4: But I don't do much, so like I don't I
• 21:16
  Speaker 4: don't know. I don't think it's I think it's I
• 21:18
  Speaker 4: don't think it's overrated. New Year's Eve for me is
• 21:21
  Speaker 4: probably overrated now because like it's it's just the amateur
• 21:26
  Speaker 4: hour where you're gonna go to like a really crowded place,
• 21:30
  Speaker 4: and I prefer to do as little as possible to
• 21:33
  Speaker 4: watch college football, which is usually on maybe hanging out
• 21:37
  Speaker 4: with a couple of people. But you know, when you were,
• 21:39
  Speaker 4: like when I was like Kendra's age, it was cool.
• 21:41
  Speaker 4: But now am I in my old age.
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: Dragged catching strains today You've got that's a compliment.
• 21:49
  Speaker 4: I would love to be your age, So yeah, for me,
• 21:54
  Speaker 4: this is my age. Like it's probably New Year's Eve.
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: My favorite holiday is groundhog Day. The best holiday.
• 22:00
  Speaker 3: We have a clairvoyant rodent deciding our weather is electric.
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: I hate Christmas. I'm terrified of Sannah. I'm a child
• 22:07
  Speaker 3: of divorce and it's just a consumer holiday.
• 22:11
  Speaker 4: And suck having to go to like two Christmases? Did
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: you have to do that?
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: I don't talk to my dad, so hashtag daddy issues.
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: But growing up my parents were like still together for
• 22:23
  Speaker 3: a while, they just hated each other, which was lit.
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: So I'm not a Christmas person. I'm also terrified of
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: the Easter Bunny. Anybody in costume that wants me to
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: sit on their lap.
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: I'm so out.
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: I'm like so beyond out on that, Like, are we joking.
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: No, No, I.
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Love Valentine's Day. By the way, needs a mention here.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: If I'm talking.
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: Love Valentine's Day, it's the best.
• 22:45
  Speaker 3: I don't even even when I'm single, I will like
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: get my friends things to I think it's nice. Birthdays
• 22:49
  Speaker 3: in Valentine's Day are a nice day. Is to tell
• 22:52
  Speaker 3: your friends and your people that you love them. We
• 22:54
  Speaker 3: don't do that enough. I'm pro Valentine's Day, tell your
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: people you like them.
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: But you said you don't like Christmas because it's a
• 23:01
  Speaker 4: consumer holiday. I mean, that's a Valentine's Day.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Thank you. Somebody to say it's stucky.
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: Just for one person.
• 23:09
  Speaker 4: My love language is that what people say right, like
• 23:12
  Speaker 4: whether it's like touch R is gift giving. So I
• 23:17
  Speaker 4: like Christmas and in Valentine's Day for giving gifts. But
• 23:23
  Speaker 4: the one thing I will say, as a child of divorce,
• 23:26
  Speaker 4: we had to do two dinners for holidays. For some
• 23:30
  Speaker 4: of them we would go to my one side of
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: the family. They weren't the good cooks. My grandma wasn't
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: the better cook. First, there's always I like pretend to
• 23:40
  Speaker 4: eat a lot because I knew I was going to
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: the better food. Next that was always interesting, but groundogs,
• 23:46
  Speaker 4: I love that answer. You're probably the only only one that.
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: The best holiday clairvoyant wrote it.
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: So my family does chicken curry for Christmas and then Thanksgiving.
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: My mom and I would go to Hooters because it
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: was just her and I and it's the only thing open.
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: So I'm a big Hooters.
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: Girls on Thanksgiving, on Christmas, Hooters Thanksgiving, Hooters for Thanksgiving,
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: chicken curry for Christmas.
• 24:08
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I know that a lot of like a couple
• 24:11
  Speaker 4: of my uh Jewish friends from college, I think on
• 24:15
  Speaker 4: Christmas it was like a tradition. They would go get
• 24:18
  Speaker 4: like Chinese.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: Food, Chinese food. That's my annual tradition on Christmas is
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: to go get Chinese food and watch the NBA and
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: now the NFL.
• 24:26
  Speaker 4: You need it there or do you get takeout?
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: No, you get take out? You bring it home, Throw
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: the Knicks on. Call it a day still to come.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: Two Kings and a Queen get nominated on our weekly Parlay.
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: But first, a word from the first Lady is to
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: chats about Draft Kings.
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings Sportsbook and in
• 24:45
  Speaker 3: partnership with DraftKings Favorites listeners get a great offer right now.
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: New customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins and
• 24:53
  Speaker 3: three months of NBA League Pass for new customers to
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  Speaker 3: get started. Use code favorites when signing up with DraftKings.
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: That's Code Favorites when signing up with DraftKings for three
• 25:02
  Speaker 3: months of NBA League Pass and three hundred.
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: Dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins. The
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: crown is yours.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: Kendra, We're going props today. What is your prop? Pickle
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: of the week.
• 25:17
  Speaker 4: We're in a pickle though, I'm really in a pickle now.
• 25:21
  Speaker 5: All right, Look we're gonna pickle again.
• 25:23
  Speaker 3: Hey, So we talked on Tuesday about how we probably
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: missed the boat on betting on the Colts. I'm very
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: much like I said, Week thirteen is probably when I
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: will officially consider them washed. I don't want to put
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: my money on the Colts just because Lake Stucky. I
• 25:40
  Speaker 3: do think they are going to come to die at
• 25:42
  Speaker 3: some point. However, I do think that if we want
• 25:45
  Speaker 3: to make money on the Colts, this week is our
• 25:47
  Speaker 3: place to do it. Within any time, touchdown for our
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: boy Tyler Warren plus one thirty five. I think it's
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: a great spot for a tight end, great matchup for him.
• 25:56
  Speaker 3: He has not been as consistent and scoring aid as
• 26:01
  Speaker 3: I thought he would be this season. I picked him
• 26:02
  Speaker 3: up in fantasy because I thought that he'd be a
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: good sleeper pick. There wouldn't be people with eyes on
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: him just because he's a rookie. But I think it's
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: a Tyler Warren week he's due for. He's due for
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: a couple of weeks with some touchdowns. Love Tyler Warren
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: this week. That's where I'm gonna go.
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: An he pushback, Stucky, No, his stats have been so
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: consistent week over week. So he's had last week it
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: was four catches fifty three yards, four catches sixty nine yards,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: six catches sexty three yards. It does have three touchdowns
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: on the season, so we know that he can get there.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: It's just a matter of does Jonathan Taylor and Daniel Jones.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: I think I like the Danny Dimes anytime, a little
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: bit more Jonathan Taylor's Juice to the Guilds. Actually, Evan,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: could you pop on real quick because I know I
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: saw you share this before last Sunday against Tennessee. The
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: ridiculous nature of the Jonathan Taylor anytime touchdown. We're seeing
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: historic levels of juice with this guy. Right now.
• 26:56
  Speaker 5: I do you actually know what the odds are right
• 26:58
  Speaker 5: now this week? I haven't even looked yet. To be
• 27:00
  Speaker 5: honest with you, do you know what he is? While
• 27:01
  Speaker 5: you look it up? He was minus four to twenty
• 27:03
  Speaker 5: five on closed last.
• 27:04
  Speaker 6: Week, which was the highest odds you've ever seen for
• 27:09
  Speaker 6: a running back score touchdown.
• 27:10
  Speaker 5: We have dated like four five six years through Jill Galant. Uh.
• 27:14
  Speaker 6: Honestly, the highest before that was like minus three forty,
• 27:17
  Speaker 6: so the jump was ridiculous. The highest before that was CMC.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: Minus two fifty.
• 27:24
  Speaker 3: Right now, we can we talk about this for a
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: second because if didn't win MVP last year, people are
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: talking about how Jonathan Taylor might be the guy to
• 27:34
  Speaker 3: do it this year.
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: But if Saquon didn't win it, there's no way it's
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: going to be him.
• 27:37
  Speaker 3: But he's the obvious choice for me right now.
• 27:41
  Speaker 4: It's going to be my homes. It's not going to
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: dag me because he hasn't. Their offense is going to
• 27:48
  Speaker 4: be good the rest of the year.
• 27:50
  Speaker 6: The real question, though, how stuck, how many touchdowns wood
• 27:53
  Speaker 6: Taylor has to score to win thirty thirty to.
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: The number how well deny him? Is the question correct?
• 28:00
  Speaker 5: Yes, that is the question. That's thirty is a ridiculous number.
• 28:04
  Speaker 4: Maybe thirty. What's Tomlinson's record twenty.
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: Eight one last year?
• 28:12
  Speaker 4: That's right, Oh, that's rushing and receiving thirty one, right, Yeah,
• 28:16
  Speaker 4: so maybe thirty two. I'll say in total, what does
• 28:21
  Speaker 4: he have so far?
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: It feels like, yeah, he's passed double digits at this point, but.
• 28:27
  Speaker 4: I will say fourteen. He's played the Titans twice, Yeah.
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: And their schedule gets really tough from here. I went
• 28:35
  Speaker 3: into it the other day.
• 28:37
  Speaker 4: Yeah, he owns the Titans. He almost became the first
• 28:38
  Speaker 4: player in NFL history to have three rushing touchdowns against
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: the same opponent. Yeah the catch, Yeah, they ruled that
• 28:46
  Speaker 4: last one to catch. But he has six touchdowns against
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: the Titans in two games this year.
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: Well, he does play the Steelers, who can't stop anybody either,
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: so it might not slow down. It is time for
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: the reason you all came here today. Are two Kings
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: and a Queen parlay. For reminders of how this works.
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: We each nominate two plays try to get to some
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: general consensus and then we'll slam together a three leg parlay.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: Stucky get us started this week.
• 29:24
  Speaker 4: I guess I'll throw this is down the five and
• 29:26
  Speaker 4: a half, but I'll throw Atlanta out there. This is like,
• 29:29
  Speaker 4: this just hits a really good spot for me that
• 29:33
  Speaker 4: I always have circled. I do think that Atlanta's gonna
• 29:36
  Speaker 4: be much healthier. I do think Pennix is gonna play.
• 29:38
  Speaker 4: I do think that Drake London is going to be
• 29:40
  Speaker 4: back and their defense should be healthier. It's not a
• 29:43
  Speaker 4: known but who wants to Who wants to bet on
• 29:47
  Speaker 4: the Falcons right now? Nobody?
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: I guess you see me. I like that one.
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: I haven't gotten to the window on it, but I'm
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: with you. I think that it's a good spot for
• 29:53
  Speaker 3: the Falcons. I just can't get got again by the Patriots,
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: which is why I haven't gotten to the window on it.
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: I can't. I can't. Me and the Patriots are beefing
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 30:01
  Speaker 4: Look, Drake May has been amazing, but the Falcons are
• 30:04
  Speaker 4: one of the best teams in the NFL limiting explosive passes.
• 30:07
  Speaker 4: That's important because Drake May's deep ball has been amazing.
• 30:10
  Speaker 4: They can get pressure when they're healthy. You need to
• 30:12
  Speaker 4: do that against Drake May because all that Patriots offensive
• 30:15
  Speaker 4: line will give up pressure and he will take some sacks.
• 30:18
  Speaker 4: The Falcons run these very vulnerable, especially without the oblo.
• 30:22
  Speaker 4: But the Patriots rushing offense isn't that great, so I
• 30:25
  Speaker 4: think they can get away with that here, and.
• 30:27
  Speaker 3: It's a game they cannot The Patriots can sin can
• 30:32
  Speaker 3: not work against somebody like that. The ability for him
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: to run the ball, catch the ball, all of the things.
• 30:37
  Speaker 3: That's what's going to trick the Patriots up in this matchup.
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: It's going to be the Bejon game. That's how they're
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: going to win.
• 30:41
  Speaker 4: Yeah, especially of the backfield pits their linebackers can't cover,
• 30:45
  Speaker 4: so there's some avenues to move the ball on this team.
• 30:48
  Speaker 4: I mean, you gotta remember this is still a Patriots team.
• 30:50
  Speaker 4: Even though they were a ridd lucky. They lost at
• 30:52
  Speaker 4: home to the Raiders and the Steelers. And while they've
• 30:56
  Speaker 4: been impressive, and I'm a believer, like their last wins
• 31:00
  Speaker 4: come their last four wins or three wins have come
• 31:02
  Speaker 4: over Dylan Gabriel, the Titans and the Saints.
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: Their schedule is so easy, but the other thing is
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: too is that I don't love the Dugger and key
• 31:11
  Speaker 3: On White trades, like that's really cheap depth for you.
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: With key on White, I get like the Dugger hasn't
• 31:16
  Speaker 3: played up to his contract type of thing, but that's
• 31:18
  Speaker 3: still one of veteran presence on a decent deal and too,
• 31:23
  Speaker 3: you know, a decent.
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: Body on a minimum contract. I just I don't.
• 31:28
  Speaker 3: I don't understand what that might get that they want
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: to get rid of the old regimes, picks whatever, maybe
• 31:33
  Speaker 3: locker room issues. The return just wasn't there for me.
• 31:36
  Speaker 3: I think that that hurts them as far as a
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: depth piece. This weekend, I know that I saw that
• 31:40
  Speaker 3: you guys.
• 31:40
  Speaker 4: Happened very healthy.
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: That's I said that on Tuesday too. They have to
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: be the healthiest team in the NFL.
• 31:47
  Speaker 4: The Patriots are really healthy. But I'll leave you this nugget.
• 31:50
  Speaker 4: Teams off a loss by more than two touchdowns when
• 31:53
  Speaker 4: they were favored by at least a touchdown, like the
• 31:55
  Speaker 4: Falcons were last week against the Dolphins. The next week
• 31:58
  Speaker 4: thirty three sixteen and one against the spread sixty seven percent,
• 32:01
  Speaker 4: covering by over a field goal per game twenty four
• 32:03
  Speaker 4: to nine in one. When they're on the road, that's
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: seventy three percent ten to three in one against the spread.
• 32:08
  Speaker 4: As a road dog of over a field goal, that
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: basically just speaks to buy low nature. You're going to
• 32:13
  Speaker 4: probably get their best effort right after a team gets
• 32:15
  Speaker 4: blown out as a seven plus point favorite. The next week,
• 32:18
  Speaker 4: you might get a little inflation in the market, a
• 32:21
  Speaker 4: little bit of value, but most importantly, you'll get a
• 32:23
  Speaker 4: focused effort. So that's my first one, Falcons with the points,
• 32:27
  Speaker 4: and the second one i'll say Steelers plus three already
• 32:31
  Speaker 4: went over some of the reasons why I think they
• 32:33
  Speaker 4: can move the ball and keep up with the Colts,
• 32:38
  Speaker 4: and I just think this is a bit too high.
• 32:40
  Speaker 4: I think this should be under a field goal. Tom
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: On is a dog of three or more as good
• 32:45
  Speaker 4: as it gets forty twenty one and three against the
• 32:47
  Speaker 4: spread sixty five point six percent. He's most profitable coach
• 32:50
  Speaker 4: of all time win catching three or more eleven two
• 32:53
  Speaker 4: and three against the spread at home in that rule
• 32:55
  Speaker 4: eighty five percent, covering by eight points per game, and
• 32:58
  Speaker 4: when the opponent has a winning percentage over six ten
• 33:01
  Speaker 4: one and one against the spread, covering by ten points
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: per game usually wins. A lot of these games out right.
• 33:07
  Speaker 4: So those are my two Steelers plus three and Falcons
• 33:12
  Speaker 4: plus five and a half. Those are the two prices
• 33:14
  Speaker 4: currently at DraftKings Kendrew, what's your vote?
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: I vote Falcons all day.
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: No pushback here. I like Atlanta as well. I think
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: that Mike Tomlin's stuff is very much related to when
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: they have an elite defense and he can get by
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: with the way that he coaches with.
• 33:32
  Speaker 3: Subpart seventy five year old man under center.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: He's like the Iss this week. I just I'm not
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: I'm not fading the Colts.
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: That's yeah, wow, Well God, thank God doesn't get to
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: choose this week right now.
• 33:51
  Speaker 4: Falcons are in there.
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: All right, the Falcons are in the parlay.
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: I am going to go with Seattle to cover the three.
• 34:00
  Speaker 3: I am the biggest Seattle backer in the world.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: Right now. I am so low on the Commanders.
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: We talked about this game on Tuesday already, bet it decent.
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: Look for me.
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: I am just so beyond the JSN thing like talk.
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: Maybe I should have gone with him for some props
• 34:18
  Speaker 3: because and a half.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: By the way, this guy goes over his receiving number
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: every single week. It's at ninety and a half. I
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: haven't fired on it yet, but that's gonna end up
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: on the sheet this week.
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: Like what in the world, Maybe I really should have
• 34:30
  Speaker 3: looked there. I just think that this and what Jaden Daniels, like,
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: what's going on with him? What is what's going on?
• 34:38
  Speaker 4: He's playing. I don't know how mobile is gonna be.
• 34:40
  Speaker 4: There's no McLaurin. We'll see on tunsil. Their defensive line
• 34:44
  Speaker 4: is banged up. Their defense is really bad. Like I
• 34:47
  Speaker 4: fear for Washington's defense against the Seattle play action, Like
• 34:51
  Speaker 4: they're not gonna get any pressure on Donald. It's really bad.
• 34:54
  Speaker 4: They're gonna have to keep up. And this Seattle defense
• 34:56
  Speaker 4: can get pressure with outpoletzing and they should be healthy
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: in the secondary, which is a scary thought. And Seattle
• 35:00
  Speaker 4: has been very good on the road. My only trepidation
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: is that, like we're we're selling low on the Commanders
• 35:09
  Speaker 4: and like save their season spot and buying pretty high
• 35:12
  Speaker 4: on the Seahawks. But there's definitely some matchup advantages to
• 35:16
  Speaker 4: like and latching on a short week Seattle off the buy, yeah,
• 35:21
  Speaker 4: with the travel, So what's your other one?
• 35:23
  Speaker 3: The other option that I have is something we also
• 35:26
  Speaker 3: talked about on Tuesday, the forty nine Ers and the
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: Giants the Battle of the Injured. I love the forty
• 35:31
  Speaker 3: nine Ers this week for two reasons. One, I love
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: the coaching matchup, the advantage of the forty nine erst.
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: Brian Dable is an idiot.
• 35:38
  Speaker 3: Two, if we're talking about injured versus injured, here, give
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: me the forty nine ers. They have the better depth,
• 35:45
  Speaker 3: the more experience. I don't really care if it's mac
• 35:47
  Speaker 3: Jones or brock Party. They're kind of the same to
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: me at this point. They both are injured. Who cares
• 35:52
  Speaker 3: if it's the battle of the injured. I'm going to
• 35:54
  Speaker 3: take coaching. I'm going to take depth, and I'm going
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: to take experience oh side like.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: The I like both of these, but I like the
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers more.
• 36:04
  Speaker 4: I don't know if I could trust that forty nine defense.
• 36:06
  Speaker 4: Like that forty nine defense is.
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Like, who does the Giants have? The Giants have.
• 36:11
  Speaker 4: A pass rush, and I mean the Giants have been frisky,
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: like they should have won at Denver with.
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: What he's going to be playing quarterback.
• 36:18
  Speaker 4: Throwing out there, They're gonna be.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: Righting the wildcat, like what are That's fine?
• 36:23
  Speaker 4: I mean this San Frani defense has nobody laugh like
• 36:25
  Speaker 4: it's uh, so I'm actually going to vote for Well,
• 36:32
  Speaker 4: I guess I have to vote for San Frank because
• 36:33
  Speaker 4: I can't vote for I can't sell just that three
• 36:37
  Speaker 4: because that's that three two on DraftKings right now.
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: To be unanimous.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: So uh.
• 36:46
  Speaker 6: Sam Darnold has started seven games as a road favorite
• 36:50
  Speaker 6: of three or more. His two covers are against Will
• 36:52
  Speaker 6: Levis and Davis Mills.
• 36:53
  Speaker 5: I'll take Washington, Okay, so we're gonna be We're gonna
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: go with San fran Then.
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: Do you want to go money line since it's in
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: the parlay and it's less than three? Sure, Okay, we'll
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: go Niners money line. We've got Falcons plus five and
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: a half against New England. My two nominees the Chiefs,
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: and I'm going to go money line here on this one.
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: Also simply the better team. Easy to get drunk on
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: the Bills blowout against Carolina. That's last week. Different animal
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: here at Oliver being out is huge for this game,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: and the other would be the Panthers plus thirteen and
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: a half. I need Bryce Young to play in order
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: to really.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: Love this, but I think he is.
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: It does look right, It looks like it's trending in
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: that direction. So this is situationally for Green Bay. I
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: don't really do the look ahead stuff in the NFL.
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: That's much more of a college thing. But the Packers
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: have the Eagles on Monday Night football on deck, and
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: they just got done with the Rogers primetime game. This
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: is the ultimate sleepy sandwich spot. Almost two full touchdowns
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: here and a by low on the Panthers. I really
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: like both of these Chiefs money line or Panthers plus
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: thirteen and a half at Green Bay.
• 38:05
  Speaker 3: Kendra, I like the Bills gun to my head in
• 38:09
  Speaker 3: this situation, just because they've been embarrassed, especially at home.
• 38:14
  Speaker 3: I think that it's gotta be a Bills game for them.
• 38:16
  Speaker 3: The Chiefs have to kind of have.
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: To level out. I get them. Homes Is about to.
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: Go on some generational bullshit that we've never seen before,
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: because that's just what he does, and I hate him
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: for it.
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: I hate him so much. The Jaguars won the Super Bowl.
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: This year, however, I, oh my god, Kravit, you do
• 38:32
  Speaker 3: this to me every fucking week. I gotta go the
• 38:35
  Speaker 3: p words. I can't fade them now. I'm going to
• 38:37
  Speaker 3: p words that cat fuck.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: Forever?
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: Do you love me some catwoman?
• 38:45
  Speaker 4: I hate both of these. In order to show value
• 38:51
  Speaker 4: in the Chiefs like I have to make the Chiefs
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: like over a field goal better than the Bills, which
• 38:58
  Speaker 4: I just can't do. I know if they have defensive
• 38:59
  Speaker 4: end injuries, but the Chiefs are don't have a fully
• 39:03
  Speaker 4: healthy offensive line. I know the Chiefs have looked better,
• 39:06
  Speaker 4: but I remember this is a team that lost at
• 39:08
  Speaker 4: Jacksonville recently, and then since then they beat the Raiders
• 39:13
  Speaker 4: who are decrepit, and the Commanders with Mark s Merida
• 39:18
  Speaker 4: and all of their injuries. Now they beat the lines
• 39:20
  Speaker 4: at home. It was impressive of the line that a
• 39:22
  Speaker 4: ton of injuries as well. Look, the Chiefs one of
• 39:24
  Speaker 4: the best teams in the I'll get it, but I
• 39:25
  Speaker 4: don't think the Bills are that far behind. It's Josh Allen.
• 39:28
  Speaker 4: At home, they lose like one home game every twelve months.
• 39:31
  Speaker 4: The Panthers would like, I get it's it's I show
• 39:34
  Speaker 4: a tad bit of value in the spread. But like
• 39:37
  Speaker 4: the our healthy is Bryce young, the offensive line is
• 39:40
  Speaker 4: a bunch of injuries. The defense has a couple of
• 39:42
  Speaker 4: injuries as well, and the Packers are trending.
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: In the right and the right tackle both questionable, Yeah.
• 39:49
  Speaker 4: Which could be very problematic against the Packers. Now Carolina
• 39:53
  Speaker 4: wants to prevent the explosive play, which is good against
• 39:55
  Speaker 4: green Bay really thrives there. So from a buy low,
• 39:59
  Speaker 4: sell high perspective, I could only go with the Panthers.
• 40:05
  Speaker 4: I don't love either one of these. I'm gonna shift
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: my vote, offer my vote to Evan. Evan, who would
• 40:09
  Speaker 4: you vote for?
• 40:10
  Speaker 6: Here?
• 40:10
  Speaker 5: God, this is terrible. I guess to Carolina, just.
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: Just just a little I done to this podcast here.
• 40:16
  Speaker 6: Hold on just one thing I will bring up With
• 40:18
  Speaker 6: the Eagles on deck, since twenty two teams thirty nine,
• 40:22
  Speaker 6: twenty three and.
• 40:23
  Speaker 5: One against the spread, so a little bit different than
• 40:25
  Speaker 5: we would have assumed.
• 40:26
  Speaker 6: And even when that team's a favored with the Eagles
• 40:28
  Speaker 6: on deck still twenty and twelve, I would have assumed
• 40:31
  Speaker 6: the complete opposite. With looking ahead to like the Super
• 40:34
  Speaker 6: Bowl champs and even before last year, a team that's.
• 40:36
  Speaker 5: Really good and talented. So I kind of have to
• 40:38
  Speaker 5: just toss it out out the window. I have no
• 40:40
  Speaker 5: idea what to do here. I guess Carolina, if you make.
• 40:42
  Speaker 4: Me, Yeah, yes, I guess we're gonna get the SATs.
• 40:47
  Speaker 6: Let's go.
• 40:48
  Speaker 4: This is this is probably the least you guys were.
• 40:51
  Speaker 4: You guys were getting on my good side. Now we
• 40:53
  Speaker 4: got the nine the road Niners and the Panthers at
• 40:57
  Speaker 4: the Packers, all rights.
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: In the road the Falcons.
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: This will weirdly be the one that I had to watch.
• 41:04
  Speaker 4: We had won three weeks ago. That was like now
• 41:06
  Speaker 4: seven to one, so we just got to hit another
• 41:08
  Speaker 4: one in the next couple of weeks. Uh, maybe this
• 41:10
  Speaker 4: is it?
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: All right, it's in to recap our you.
• 41:13
  Speaker 4: Can shoot on mine too. I got the road Falcons.
• 41:16
  Speaker 4: I did nothing. At the Panthers they lost by ten.
• 41:19
  Speaker 4: At the forty nine ers, they have not looked great outdoors.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: Greg May is about to have like a l three
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: shitty road teams right now.
• 41:28
  Speaker 4: Go wrong. We could go wrong.
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: There's a disaster Falcons plus five and a half forty
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: nine ers money line.
• 41:35
  Speaker 4: Don't put this graphic out. It's gonna be embarrassed.
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: The gonna want to click on this one.
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: Guys.
• 41:41
  Speaker 4: This is this is something.
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: This is more like the Jester parlay that we got
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: going this week. Presented is key for Halloween.
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: It's the spooky.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, can we get like a ghost emoji.
• 41:53
  Speaker 3: When we put this out, shut out to the I'll
• 41:55
  Speaker 3: make my video and I'll make it spooky.
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: I'll make it in this costume.
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: I don't think you dressed up as a hot dog
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: is very scary, but I like where your head's at.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: That'll do it for today's episode special Thanks to our
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: producers Gifford Gold, David Paine, our stats guy Evan Abrams.
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: The Favorites will return on Sunday Night, Week nine. Recap,
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: cross your fingers for the parlay and catch it right
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: here on the Action Network YouTube page. Thanks for tuning in.
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: by draft Skins, Let's catch these tickets.
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler