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Transcript

NFL Preseason Best Bets · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: is our NFL preseason Best Bets episode. I think the
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: two people I've name checked the most in our division
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: previews running up to this episode have been Chris Raybon,
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: my nemesis, and Brandon Anderson, who did exemplary preview work
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: covering everything best offenses, best offensive lines, best quarterbacks.
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: Those are our two guests today.
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: They will be joining me and my co host, my bff,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre professional better back in the Garden State,
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Simon Hunter.
• 1:03
  Speaker 3: Eto so him in, Hey Chad, how are we doing?
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: Brother dude?
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: I even though like nothing changes for me, I'm generally
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: glad to have you back in my uh in my
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: time zone.
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: That next to one of us there is.
• 1:20
  Speaker 4: It's it's truly shocking flying into Philadelphia coming from Hawaii.
• 1:25
  Speaker 4: I mean, I love Philly, but holy shit is an
• 1:27
  Speaker 4: ugly place. So it was it was truly shocking, Like
• 1:30
  Speaker 4: flying in, I was like, oh my god, I'm back
• 1:33
  Speaker 4: here among all these peasants.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: So yeah, you know what, I disagree with you about
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Philly even though you're a native, you know, my kid
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: goes to Drexel, and Drexel has built up that campus.
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: It's it's lovely, and there is an area called Drexel Park.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: He doesn't live too far from there. And this the
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: view of downtown over the over the train station, across
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: the school kill Downtown. It's beautiful, Simon. And when the
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: sun is setting, it's top notch gorgeous.
• 2:04
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it's Philadelphia, represent it's beautiful from afar. But once
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: you get close, go walk those streets, Chad, and let
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: me know how beautiful Philadelphia is as someone that lives
• 2:14
  Speaker 4: and goes to Philadelphia all the time.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Here's how I know. Here's how I know we are
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: ready for the season.
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: Okay, here's how I know.
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: I Simon and I we got a little bit of
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: a special treat sort of a favorites special video that
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: we're going to be doing during the season that is
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: separate from the podcast that you will be able to
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: watch on YouTube. And by the way, you can watch
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: us on YouTube. If you're watching us right now, please subscribe,
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: please please like there you go, Tito, Tito, our producer.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: I'm saying it. Like us on YouTube, Subscribe on YouTube,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: watch us on YouTube. I signed up for NFL Plus
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: the premium because I want to get the All twenty
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: two because Simon and I are going to be doing
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: something based on the ALT twenty two during the season.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: And I slacked Simon last night asking him a question
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: about how to access All twenty two, and Simon's response.
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: Was classic, hold on, here we.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Go, How the hell do I get access to this
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: All twenty two film through the NFL website?
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: And he goes, I made a quick video for you.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: I'm drunk and I can do it. I believe in you.
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's how I'm coming into the show. People.
• 3:32
  Speaker 4: I was out at a bar and I took the
• 3:33
  Speaker 4: time to make a screen wrap video just in the
• 3:35
  Speaker 4: chat how to click on a link.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: And I texted a buddy of mine at the NFL
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: this morning, I'm like, do I need a PhD to
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: figure out how to access NFL Plus Premium?
• 3:43
  Speaker 4: Once you figured it out, though, it's easy. But I
• 3:45
  Speaker 4: would say to people, I'm not here to promote products.
• 3:47
  Speaker 4: We're not getting anything for but it's a pretty good
• 3:50
  Speaker 4: deal if you're into watching film and replay of games. Yeah,
• 3:54
  Speaker 4: NFL pre paired up with what is a YouTube TV,
• 3:57
  Speaker 4: and you get red Zone all twenty two, all the
• 4:01
  Speaker 4: games on replay.
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: I think, what'd you do the one that's seventy nine
• 4:05
  Speaker 3: ninety nine?
• 4:06
  Speaker 5: Yes?
• 4:07
  Speaker 4: Yeah, So it's like a little deal they're doing right now.
• 4:10
  Speaker 4: You can save twenty bucks. And again, if you're just
• 4:13
  Speaker 4: like us, you're crazy about football, it's worth it.
• 4:15
  Speaker 6: Hey, Chad, if you work for Action Network, you know
• 4:18
  Speaker 6: you get that for free, right, just hit me up.
• 4:20
  Speaker 5: I got you with just a free subscription.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: Chris Raybon coming in before you've even officially introduced him.
• 4:27
  Speaker 5: Search your emails, bro. Honestly, I told you, not.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: Only do I know we get it, Not only do
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: I know we get it, I'm fairly certain I signed
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: off on everybody getting it, and I last night was
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: doing the work, and like, I just didn't have the
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: patience to wait until today to start slacking people because
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: I'm benevolent like that. I don't want to bother people
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: late in the evening here. But let's get Let's get
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: to work, all right, Simon. As a reminder, the Favorites
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Podcast is proudly presented by BET three six five, the
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: world's favorite sports book brand. Sign Up with promo code
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Action to get BET three six fives exclusive sign up
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: offer that one dollar in any game get two hundred
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: Must be twenty one or older.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: Offer is available in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, and Iowa.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: Gambling problem caller text one eight hundred Gambler got to
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: pay the bill? Simon Matt Mitchell, I'm bringing you in, brother.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Do you have an update on the contest? I have
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: mentioned many many times over the past few weeks?
• 5:23
  Speaker 7: I sure do.
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: Is it ready?
• 5:26
  Speaker 7: The contest is not quite ready. It is so so
• 5:30
  Speaker 7: so close.
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: Not yet, but.
• 5:32
  Speaker 7: It will almost certainly be ready in time for Thursday's episode.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: What is the name of our amazing never before done
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: contest going to be?
• 5:45
  Speaker 7: The official name will be the Favorites Podcast one hundred
• 5:48
  Speaker 7: thousand dollars Pro Football Pick'am Contest presented by Baut three
• 5:53
  Speaker 7: sixty five or just the Favorites Podcast Contest for sure?
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: Are you telling me we are giving away? We are
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: giving away one hundred thousand dollars?
• 6:05
  Speaker 5: No, we're not.
• 6:06
  Speaker 7: What do you mean we're actually gonna give away one
• 6:08
  Speaker 7: hundred and twenty thousand dollars?
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: What?
• 6:11
  Speaker 7: But one hundred thousand just was a nice round number.
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: It's true.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: We're playing to semantics here. We're giving away one hundred
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: and twenty thousand dollars. Tell the good people what it
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: will cost to play in this contest.
• 6:23
  Speaker 7: It will be entirely free to play.
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: Check.
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: We are giving away one hundred and twenty thousand dollars
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: for free to listeners and watchers of this podcast in
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: a contest. Who's getting paid? Which people? Which of the
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: lucky listeners are getting paid?
• 6:39
  Speaker 7: We'll be paying out lots of people. The grand prize
• 6:42
  Speaker 7: winner will get forty thousand dollars, second gets ten thousand,
• 6:47
  Speaker 7: but the entire top ten at the end of the
• 6:50
  Speaker 7: year we'll finish in the money.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: That's not all, though, is it, Matt Mitchell, Because those
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: aren't the only people getting paid.
• 6:57
  Speaker 6: No.
• 6:57
  Speaker 7: Oh, well, we'll also have weekly prizes. You can vet
• 7:00
  Speaker 7: your ass on that.
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: Well.
• 7:02
  Speaker 7: We'll be paying the top five finishers every single week.
• 7:06
  Speaker 7: They will win cash prizes as well, with a fifteen
• 7:09
  Speaker 7: one hundred dollars cash prize for first place every week.
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: Unreal, unreal that we'll be doing this.
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: Will people be picking games?
• 7:20
  Speaker 7: Yes, you just have to pick five games against the spread,
• 7:23
  Speaker 7: a pretty standard picking contest, plus a very simple weekly tiebreaker,
• 7:28
  Speaker 7: that's it.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: Who can play right now?
• 7:32
  Speaker 7: Looks like we're finalizing the legalies right now, but you
• 7:35
  Speaker 7: have to be a legal US resident. You need to
• 7:38
  Speaker 7: be twenty one or older when you sign up, and
• 7:41
  Speaker 7: it appears that there will be three or four states
• 7:44
  Speaker 7: where a contest like this is not allowed for residents,
• 7:47
  Speaker 7: but we'll know those dates for sure by Thursday when
• 7:50
  Speaker 7: we go live.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: All right, how can we keep people informed? How can
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: they learn more?
• 7:54
  Speaker 7: Jaied, You're never going to believe this, but the best
• 7:56
  Speaker 7: place to learn all of the ins and outs is
• 7:59
  Speaker 7: right here on the Favorites podcast presented by BET three
• 8:02
  Speaker 7: sixty five. We'll have all the information on how to
• 8:05
  Speaker 7: sign up, what the deadline is, the gameplay, the bye weeks,
• 8:08
  Speaker 7: the strategy, the official rules, all that stuff, and of course,
• 8:11
  Speaker 7: as a reminder the show, we'll have new episodes every Sunday, Tuesday,
• 8:16
  Speaker 7: and Thursday starting NFL Week one.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: Look, Simon, I know we want to get to Brandon
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: and raybon I do, honestly, and I appreciate them sitting
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: through our spiel here, but this is like the dream
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: come true. Right when we started doing this podcast three
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: or four years ago, we were picking five games against
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: the spread in a big money contest, and that was
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: sort of the spine for the whole show. We're going
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: through the whole slate. On Tuesday, we're narrowing down the games.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: We get a little bit closer. On Thursday, we're going
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: back and forth trying to convince each other come to
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: a consensus.
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: We're putting the picks in on Sunday.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: Our dream was always how can we do it with
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: everybody who's listening to the show. The fact we get
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: to do this now is fucking insane. Thank you to
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: Bed three sixs five. Thank you to Matt Mitchell for
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: getting this going like and staying on it. How lucky
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: are we, Chad?
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: I mean, how every show you tell the people we
• 9:12
  Speaker 4: love them. How is there a greater way to show
• 9:14
  Speaker 4: these people how much we love them?
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: Give them away one hunderd and twenty K.
• 9:18
  Speaker 4: I mean, I would love to find a show that
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: can go above sixty percent two OT the last three
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: years and gives me one hundred K. I mean, if
• 9:25
  Speaker 4: there's a show out there other than us, I don't
• 9:27
  Speaker 4: then exists, Chad, I really don't. So Yeah, I've been
• 9:30
  Speaker 4: telling everyone I know about this contest. It's like, dude,
• 9:34
  Speaker 4: get your wives to sign up, get your kids to
• 9:36
  Speaker 4: sign up, or I know there's an age limit, but yeah,
• 9:39
  Speaker 4: it's how do you not play? It's free money, and
• 9:42
  Speaker 4: we talk all the time. You don't need to be
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: the best, right You don't need to be a pro
• 9:45
  Speaker 4: to win these contests. You just need to have a
• 9:47
  Speaker 4: good read on the season.
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: And stay hot.
• 9:49
  Speaker 4: And that's that's the coolest part is it takes zero
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: dollars to sign up. You have a chance at first
• 9:54
  Speaker 4: place forty thousand dollars.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: Chet goddamn, so good, so freaking good. Raybon and Brandon
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: are a little bit jealous right now.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: I can sign up.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: In their face, they can sign up.
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: I don't know this damn company. Better sign up.
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: Raybon was so freaking hot last year he might run
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: away with this thing. Meanwhile, Brandon Anderson h is so
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: good at the Futures Awards, at the Futures Bets. His podcast,
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: his Action Network podcast previewing Futures Bets is out now.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: It's brilliant stuff, guys. Thanks for sticking around. Hi Brandon,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Hi Chris, Hello.
• 10:38
  Speaker 8: I waited my turn, unlike Raybon, who had to jump
• 10:41
  Speaker 8: in earlier and give away free subscriptions to you. Here
• 10:44
  Speaker 8: I am, I'm I'm waited patiently. I'm ready to give
• 10:46
  Speaker 8: out some winners.
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: Hi, Chris, hey, Jed.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Today we are going to talk about Brandon's and Raybon's
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: their top plays before the season kicks off next Thursday.
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: Plus Simon and I are going to recap the ones
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: we love the most. Simon, I feel like I've been
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: trying harder than I ever have on this podcast. I've
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: been more focused. I've been researching more. I've been spending
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: more time thinking about what we're going to say. I
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: have so many notes in our script right now about
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: my favorite bets.
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: Let me scroll down.
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: Simon, that's like, yeah, I've been taking it easy these
• 11:20
  Speaker 4: last couple of years.
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: This year, I'm all in.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: I didn't say.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: I didn't say I've been taking it easy. I said
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: I've been working harder. I didn't know how much harder
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: I could work. I challenged myself and I said, I said,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: you know what, I want to see how hard I
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: can go. I want to see if I can be
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: even better at doing what I do my first best bet.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: I want to get Simon's reaction. I want to get raybound.
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: I want to get Brandon, Simon, you and I love
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: this one. Last year Trevor Lawrence to leave the league
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: in touchdown passes thirty to one.
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: Let me give you my reasoning.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Last year twenty five regular season touchdown passes, right, Sixteen
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: of those came in the latter half of the season,
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: four multi touchdown games in the latter half, plus that
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: epic comeback against the Chargers. Remember last year we talked
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: about this. He was missing receivers in red zone situations,
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: lacking touch, lacking accuracy. Improved as the year went on,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: playing a division with terrible d allions not.
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: Going to get a lot of pressure.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: Fourteen of their games played in places where you can
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: expect good weather.
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: Or in a dome. Thirty to one.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: Any one of you can respond, Simon, I'll start with
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: you and then you can give me your best bet.
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: But first, how do you like my best bet? Trevor
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: Lawren's thirty to one the league in touchdown passes?
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: You know anything better than twenty five to one? I'm like,
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: let's do it.
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: Why not?
• 12:35
  Speaker 4: If you're going to do a future and lock your
• 12:36
  Speaker 4: money up for six months, at least it's got good
• 12:39
  Speaker 4: odds here, and there's a scenario. Right, we talked they're
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: one of the easiest divisions, Right, that's a big factor
• 12:45
  Speaker 4: when you're a factoring in that they're a division that
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: they will be able to move the ball, and then
• 12:49
  Speaker 4: you're adding Calvin Ridley's right, so it's your two in
• 12:51
  Speaker 4: an offense and you're getting a huge upgrade at the
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: why receiver position.
• 12:55
  Speaker 3: And even Travis eat the end.
• 12:56
  Speaker 4: I think the fact that you know, there was a
• 12:58
  Speaker 4: lot of hype about this kid Tank, the number two
• 13:01
  Speaker 4: running back. He hit a fumble inside the red zone
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: and now it might just be etn Show in the
• 13:05
  Speaker 4: red zone, which is a big upgrade because again they
• 13:07
  Speaker 4: can use in to catch the ball in the red zone.
• 13:09
  Speaker 4: So it's another benefit. I would say, you know, if
• 13:13
  Speaker 4: we're talking good odds, that's a good number, Chad. Anything
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: above thirty to one, I think is a good number
• 13:17
  Speaker 4: for Trevor to lead the league, just because we're ready
• 13:20
  Speaker 4: to talk about we're one of those guys where we
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: think he should keep excelling. So at that number, that's
• 13:24
  Speaker 4: a good price.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: Brandon be a hater.
• 13:30
  Speaker 8: I am a bit of a hater on the Jaguars.
• 13:32
  Speaker 8: I'll explain why with my Houston Texans love a team
• 13:35
  Speaker 8: I'm all in on this year. I don't mind the bet, though.
• 13:37
  Speaker 8: I think with Jacksonville the reason I'm hesitating on them
• 13:41
  Speaker 8: is because of everything that's not named Trevor Lawrence. I
• 13:43
  Speaker 8: don't like the offensive line. I don't trust the defense.
• 13:46
  Speaker 8: I think that the defensive lines on the other teams
• 13:49
  Speaker 8: in division are actually a little better than maybe you're
• 13:51
  Speaker 8: giving credit. But if Jacksonville is good, Trevor Lawrence is
• 13:54
  Speaker 8: gonna be the reason why. And there certainly is a
• 13:57
  Speaker 8: path where Jacksonville, with a soft division off schedule, Trevor
• 14:01
  Speaker 8: Lawrence breakout suddenly their twelve thirteen wins. If that happened,
• 14:05
  Speaker 8: it's because Trevor Lawrence had another huge step forward, and
• 14:08
  Speaker 8: we've seen effectively this is basically a sophomore year, right
• 14:11
  Speaker 8: like Urban Meyer Goodbye. That year never happened. So to me,
• 14:16
  Speaker 8: the notes you had about improvement last year, that makes
• 14:18
  Speaker 8: sense because they're basically like, yeah, he was a rookie,
• 14:21
  Speaker 8: and rookies improved in the second half, and usually they
• 14:24
  Speaker 8: improve a lot more the next year. So I think
• 14:26
  Speaker 8: if we think of framing him that way, he looks
• 14:29
  Speaker 8: like the guy to kind of step into that Burrow
• 14:32
  Speaker 8: Allen Mix at the top of the AFC. I don't
• 14:35
  Speaker 8: mind playing the Jaguars high end outcome, so I think
• 14:37
  Speaker 8: taking a longer shot future is a good way to
• 14:39
  Speaker 8: do it.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: Ray Bon, I'm going to give you so much love
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: for one of the bets you wrote about in Events
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: of the Season. I don't want that to influence whether
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: or not you should compliment me from making this choice.
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 14:59
  Speaker 6: No, I actually like Trevor Lawrence upside bets because it
• 15:03
  Speaker 6: kind of goes into what Brandon talked about. I think
• 15:06
  Speaker 6: there are a lot of shaky units on this Jaguars team.
• 15:10
  Speaker 6: The one that is not is the skill positions with Lawrence,
• 15:13
  Speaker 6: Ridley Kirk, Zay Jones, Evan Ingram and etn And so
• 15:19
  Speaker 6: I think they're gonna be in a lot of shootouts,
• 15:21
  Speaker 6: and that's what's gonna get you to allege leading passing touchdowns.
• 15:25
  Speaker 6: And I think he double what He doubles his passing
• 15:27
  Speaker 6: touchdowns from year one to year two, so you know,
• 15:29
  Speaker 6: there's certainly the possibility in year three that he does
• 15:34
  Speaker 6: he takes another step forward.
• 15:36
  Speaker 5: And I think this team's gonna be a lot of shooters.
• 15:37
  Speaker 6: The only tough part of it is they do have
• 15:41
  Speaker 6: four games against the Texans and the Coast and then
• 15:45
  Speaker 6: you know, another two against the Titans.
• 15:47
  Speaker 5: So like, in these division games.
• 15:49
  Speaker 6: Are they gonna be low scoring or are the Jaguars
• 15:52
  Speaker 6: gonna be forced to put up some points?
• 15:54
  Speaker 5: That's the only thing that might hold him back.
• 15:56
  Speaker 6: But outside of that, I mean, that's it's actually the
• 15:58
  Speaker 6: perfect environment for for a guy to lead the weekend.
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: Double, by the way, So that's kind of great for
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: this year. That's what I mean. I think we're gonna
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: have to get to and maybe what.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen, I need that kind of all right, Simon,
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: give me one of your best bets.
• 16:19
  Speaker 4: Yeah, it's it's gonna go against what these are going
• 16:22
  Speaker 4: to talk about later maybe a little bit, but I'm
• 16:24
  Speaker 4: all in on the Saints Dad divisional odds. To me,
• 16:27
  Speaker 4: it's it's the best number of all the teams where
• 16:29
  Speaker 4: they're in a division where it's all these young teams
• 16:32
  Speaker 4: that are just kind of thrown together at this point
• 16:33
  Speaker 4: right there are a lot of inexperienced quarterbacks and you
• 16:36
  Speaker 4: have a Derek Carr coming off his worst season as
• 16:38
  Speaker 4: a pro in a new offense with a ton of
• 16:41
  Speaker 4: new toys, and I think we had. I don't know
• 16:46
  Speaker 4: when we had the luck rankings, but it might have
• 16:47
  Speaker 4: been two weeks ago. They talked about the Saints were
• 16:49
  Speaker 4: the top three unluckiest team in all football last season,
• 16:52
  Speaker 4: and that's another reason why we like them just to
• 16:55
  Speaker 4: be more lucky this upcoming season.
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: Where they talked about that that.
• 16:58
  Speaker 4: Projects out where easy schedule, veteran quarterback and they should
• 17:03
  Speaker 4: have good luck on their side.
• 17:04
  Speaker 3: Were last year they had bad injury luck.
• 17:05
  Speaker 4: I mean they had a couple of games where you
• 17:08
  Speaker 4: know they're starting a tight end at quarterback and Jamis Winston.
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: It was just a real mix mash.
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: Of players last year where I think Derek Carr, we
• 17:15
  Speaker 4: don't need him be top ten, right if he comes in,
• 17:17
  Speaker 4: he's top fifteen, and Michael Thomas can get back to
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: what he was and Kamara comes back after week three.
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: I mean, come on, that's such a high powered team.
• 17:24
  Speaker 4: So there's not many teams I bet really Chalky on
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: the heavy and at this point my biggest bet division
• 17:31
  Speaker 4: Odswiser of the Saints.
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: All Right, I want to hold off on Raybon and
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Brandon's response to that, because I know we're going to
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: do a lot of Falcons talk and one of my bet.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: One of my favorite bets I stole from Raybon is
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: also Falcons focus. So there's going to be good somehow.
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: We can how much NFC South we can talk?
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Like, I don't know how we're going to how
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: this ended up being a Falcon in the NFC South podcast,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: But there's gonna be a lot of conversation about that.
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: And I throw another one out here and a couple
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: other ones.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: Jalen Carter defensive Rookie of the Year seven to one,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: bet three six five great odds. He's blowing up Camp Simon.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: I think you agree with me on that, Brandon.
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: I like.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: You may have talked about that on the podcast. I
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: haven't heard it yet. But here's another one.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: Of my big bets.
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: Bill's Niners to reach the Super Bowl. I think it's
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: about thirty something to one, maybe thirty five to one.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Evan Abrams, our crack researcher, has a stat nine of
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: the past ten Super Bowl winners started the season at
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: least at less than twelve to one. So I went
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: through all the matchups and I decided the Niners defense
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: reigning Defensive Player of the Year, top three defensive line,
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: a brilliant coach.
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: Let's assume Brock Purty is better.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: Great skill position players, positionless football, Josh Allen, you removed
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: from day ball, more comfortable, elbow is healed, defensive line improved.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: Bill's Niners. That's my matchup in the Super Bowl. Longish odds.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: Respond Simon.
• 19:16
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna be all anti forty nine Ers all season, Chad.
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: It's just an easy position to take of. This is
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: how football does it, right.
• 19:24
  Speaker 4: It's this team that last year they got close, They
• 19:27
  Speaker 4: were so close, right, They brought in a rookie. He
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: won eighth straight games. Now they've turned around to turn
• 19:31
  Speaker 4: the keys to a Ferrari over to this seventh round rookie.
• 19:35
  Speaker 4: That a whole offseason. All these defensive coordinators, I mean,
• 19:39
  Speaker 4: I'm talking about the geniuses of football had now film
• 19:42
  Speaker 4: on this kid to develop against him. It's I got
• 19:45
  Speaker 4: a bad feeling about this forty nine Ers team, and
• 19:49
  Speaker 4: the fact that Nick Bosa still isn't in camp just
• 19:51
  Speaker 4: adds to I mean, me and you already love Pittsburgh
• 19:53
  Speaker 4: Week one, I mean, is that not a gift? Pittsburgh
• 19:55
  Speaker 4: plus three against Brock Purdy coming in with all this drama,
• 19:59
  Speaker 4: how can that not have been the weirdest QB room
• 20:01
  Speaker 4: this whole summer, and you know, to me, I can't
• 20:06
  Speaker 4: believe they're doing it. The money makes sense, right when
• 20:09
  Speaker 4: you look at the money, the fact they're paying this
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: kid eight hundred k nine hundred k over the next
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: like a couple of seasons. It's a smart move if
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: he does work out to what Shanahan's looking for. Shanaan's
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: looking for this kid to be another Jimmy garoppolo. He's
• 20:20
  Speaker 4: never had another Jimmy, right, We've seen it. The only
• 20:23
  Speaker 4: time he's had success is with Jimmy as I head coach.
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: So to me, I'll go Cairor to it. Of they're
• 20:28
  Speaker 4: at good numbers to fade them to miss the playoffs.
• 20:30
  Speaker 4: They're at a good number to take either the Seahawks
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: or the Rams in this division, and they have a
• 20:34
  Speaker 4: nice win total taken underwhere they might figure it out
• 20:37
  Speaker 4: right with Brock, But it might be a little too
• 20:39
  Speaker 4: late because I just think it's gonna be one of
• 20:41
  Speaker 4: those things where last year was nice because he wasn't thinking.
• 20:44
  Speaker 4: He'll be thinking this year it's gonna be a lot
• 20:46
  Speaker 4: different than it was last week. He just stepped into
• 20:48
  Speaker 4: that offense. So yeah, for me, this is what pros do.
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: We're the negative news guys where everyone's projecting forty nine
• 20:56
  Speaker 4: ers number two team and the NFC they're the best.
• 20:58
  Speaker 4: They're gonna make a super Bowl, and I'm telling you
• 21:01
  Speaker 4: to bet them than miss the playoffs.
• 21:02
  Speaker 3: Chat. It's not fun, but this is this is how
• 21:04
  Speaker 3: we do it.
• 21:05
  Speaker 6: This is funny because I agree with Simon, but for
• 21:09
  Speaker 6: like completely different reasons. So I think that this team
• 21:13
  Speaker 6: is more fragile than it's been. You got, you know,
• 21:16
  Speaker 6: the whole the interior offensive line is pretty unestablished. You know,
• 21:21
  Speaker 6: you got a new right tackle who's had five pro starts.
• 21:23
  Speaker 6: Trent Williams is thirty five, Bosa is not in camp.
• 21:26
  Speaker 6: You got a new defensive coordinator. Your cornerback depth is shaky,
• 21:32
  Speaker 6: like all those things I think are gonna like. Party
• 21:36
  Speaker 6: to me, actually is better than Jimmy G. Because he
• 21:39
  Speaker 6: could do everything that Jimmy G could do, except like
• 21:42
  Speaker 6: when Jimmy G's first read isn't immediately open, he does
• 21:45
  Speaker 6: this weird hitch and then he still just throws it
• 21:48
  Speaker 6: and it's like this tight window throwing. All forty nine
• 21:50
  Speaker 6: er fans just want to pull their hair out, whereas
• 21:51
  Speaker 6: Party can actually like buy an extra second or two
• 21:54
  Speaker 6: and like, you know, move around and make more things
• 21:56
  Speaker 6: happen off schedule. So I think that party is not
• 21:59
  Speaker 6: gonna be the but like, look at this team. They
• 22:02
  Speaker 6: get hurt every year and here's the here's the kicker.
• 22:05
  Speaker 6: And this is why I ultimately do agree with Simon.
• 22:07
  Speaker 6: Six years Kyle Shanahan has been a coach out of
• 22:10
  Speaker 6: San Francisco forty nine ers as much success as they've had,
• 22:13
  Speaker 6: what is it, two conference championships, another Super Bowl appearance? Uh,
• 22:17
  Speaker 6: you know, two appearances. I mean in a conference championship.
• 22:20
  Speaker 6: They've never gone over their win total in back to
• 22:22
  Speaker 6: back seasons. They've never won the division in back to
• 22:25
  Speaker 6: back seasons. Like this team just always finds a way
• 22:29
  Speaker 6: to like revert back to the mean. I think Dallas
• 22:31
  Speaker 6: is very very close to the forty nine ers to
• 22:35
  Speaker 6: where I'm not even putting them like, oh, they're top
• 22:37
  Speaker 6: two definitely, Like I think, you know, a few weeks
• 22:40
  Speaker 6: into the season, we could be, oh, the cowboys are
• 22:42
  Speaker 6: cowboys in the Eagles, not the forty nine ers in
• 22:43
  Speaker 6: the Eagles.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: All Right, So I'm gonna take that back and I'll
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: talk about my next best bet when we talk about
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons, Simon, give me one more best bet
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: before we start peppering Brandon and raybound.
• 22:56
  Speaker 4: So this is a new one for me, and I
• 22:58
  Speaker 4: can't say the name of the book, but it's the
• 22:59
  Speaker 4: only book that has Pittsburgh sixty to one super Bowl
• 23:03
  Speaker 4: futures and it's about Kenny taking that in year two.
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: Step we talk all the time chat.
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: I took a lot of heat when I got back
• 23:10
  Speaker 4: here to Jersey from a lot of pros because I'm
• 23:12
  Speaker 4: willing to give the benefit of doubt to a lot
• 23:14
  Speaker 4: of these quarterbacks taking that next step.
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: I was giving no love to Kenny.
• 23:17
  Speaker 4: And you know, I don't take too much from preseason
• 23:21
  Speaker 4: football because teams are just running shell defenses, right They're
• 23:23
  Speaker 4: running Cover two or they're running his zone, and that's
• 23:25
  Speaker 4: really it. They're not really throwing anything at you. But
• 23:27
  Speaker 4: what I wanted to see was Kenny was put the
• 23:29
  Speaker 4: ball down twenty yards down the field and he did
• 23:32
  Speaker 4: it multiple times, and only was he doing it, he
• 23:34
  Speaker 4: was looking for their best receiver and picking. So you know,
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: it's it's one of those where I'm just playing a
• 23:40
  Speaker 4: number at bet three to sixty five right now. I
• 23:41
  Speaker 4: believe it's forty to one Pittsburgh. So that's all I'm saying.
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: Shop around. You can get way better odds right now
• 23:47
  Speaker 4: on this team at this book. That again go to
• 23:49
  Speaker 4: the action app I put it in there at the
• 23:50
  Speaker 4: Exact book. That's a great number to take on a
• 23:53
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh team that I love teams that playing really hard
• 23:56
  Speaker 4: divisions because that means when they get through it, if
• 23:58
  Speaker 4: they get to the wild card they get they win
• 24:00
  Speaker 4: the division. They've already been through it. They've been playing
• 24:02
  Speaker 4: playoff football since December. That's what I feel like we
• 24:04
  Speaker 4: have in that AFC North. Right every team is just
• 24:07
  Speaker 4: really good, so you know they got all the weapons
• 24:10
  Speaker 4: right offensively, the biggest question to meet is their offensive line.
• 24:13
  Speaker 4: I do think it's looked better this preseason. So yeah,
• 24:16
  Speaker 4: sixty to one Pittsburgh, Chad's that's my favorite bet right
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: now for long shot super Bowl.
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: Look, we believe, we believe the AFC North by far
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: best division of football right, only division where every team
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: is over eight for their season win total. Great offensive
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: line in the Ravens and the Browns, as chronicled by Brandon,
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: great defensive lines in the Browns and the Steelers, like
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: this is a team where top to bottom rosters are loaded.
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: All right, let's get into.
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: It with our guests.
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: It's time to turn the attention away from us. Simon Brandon,
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: you mentioned your love of the Texans. Would you like
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: to make them potentially the first, the very first best
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: bet you're going to talk about on the Favorites podcast,
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: home of a massive contest.
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: Is this is the one that you want to weigh
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: out with people.
• 25:14
  Speaker 8: This is not just the one. I'm gonna give you
• 25:16
  Speaker 8: like five Texans best here. So let me start imaking
• 25:19
  Speaker 8: the case for this team. I love the Houston Texans.
• 25:22
  Speaker 8: This year they added a lot of floor raizers on
• 25:24
  Speaker 8: the team, and I just like they They added floor
• 25:27
  Speaker 8: razers to a team that literally was not relevant to
• 25:30
  Speaker 8: the football conversation for the last few years. Now they're
• 25:33
  Speaker 8: bringing in Will Anderson, best defender in the draft, Derek Stingly.
• 25:37
  Speaker 8: Really they get him back because he missed half the season.
• 25:39
  Speaker 8: He has shut down corner possibility. Just they brought in
• 25:42
  Speaker 8: a lot of veterans Shack Mason on the line. Nobody
• 25:45
  Speaker 8: cares but that that improves the guard position, That improves
• 25:49
  Speaker 8: in tier of the line. That line is young, it's
• 25:51
  Speaker 8: improving a lot. For a long time, that offensive line
• 25:54
  Speaker 8: has been horrible and their run game has been terrible.
• 25:58
  Speaker 8: Bobby Slowik is a new offensive coordinator. I think he's
• 26:00
  Speaker 8: a name we're going to start hearing a lot of
• 26:02
  Speaker 8: this year from a lot of like the the nerd conversations,
• 26:06
  Speaker 8: Bobby Slowik is gonna be the guy because he's from
• 26:08
  Speaker 8: the cal Shanahan Tree comes with Demiko Ryans. So you
• 26:11
  Speaker 8: got Demiko doing what he did in San Francisco on
• 26:14
  Speaker 8: defense with all these great pass rushers, great star corner
• 26:18
  Speaker 8: and then you have Bobby Slowick reinvigorating the run game.
• 26:21
  Speaker 8: I think this year getting that young offensive line going.
• 26:24
  Speaker 8: The defense added some names. That defense actually last year
• 26:28
  Speaker 8: second half of the season, they were top ten in DVOA.
• 26:31
  Speaker 8: They were second against the pass. So now you add
• 26:34
  Speaker 8: Stingley back, you had Will Anderson, you had Demiko. I
• 26:38
  Speaker 8: think that this is the best division or best defense
• 26:41
  Speaker 8: in the division. I think it's the best offensive line
• 26:44
  Speaker 8: in the division. They were number two in special teams
• 26:46
  Speaker 8: last year. Their coach, Frank Ross, usually has them near
• 26:49
  Speaker 8: the top there. If you have the best O line,
• 26:52
  Speaker 8: the best defense, the best special teams, that's the stuff
• 26:55
  Speaker 8: nobody cares and pay attention to and that's why I
• 26:57
  Speaker 8: think Houston is way overlooked and the best team in
• 27:00
  Speaker 8: the division. They're my outright favorite in the division. So
• 27:05
  Speaker 8: here's my bet. They are my pick to be this
• 27:07
  Speaker 8: year's worst two first division winner. You can get that
• 27:10
  Speaker 8: as far as high as eleven to one at some books.
• 27:13
  Speaker 8: We've had a worse to first team eighteen of the
• 27:16
  Speaker 8: last twenty years. So I actually grabbed last year at
• 27:19
  Speaker 8: Jacksonville in this division eight to one. They were the winner.
• 27:23
  Speaker 8: But that's you know, this is the not for long league.
• 27:25
  Speaker 8: So we talked about Jacksonville earlier. If you look like
• 27:29
  Speaker 8: the way I kind of rank rosters and everything I
• 27:32
  Speaker 8: have my matrix, quarterback is the one spot that Jacksonville
• 27:36
  Speaker 8: has this real advantage at Houston has lots of just
• 27:39
  Speaker 8: like solid above averages now where Jacksonville has some deficiencies elsewhere.
• 27:43
  Speaker 8: I'm not highing the Colts, especially Anthony Richardson. I think
• 27:46
  Speaker 8: he's going to take some time the Titans have. We
• 27:49
  Speaker 8: talked about the offensive line rankings. Tennessee is dead last
• 27:52
  Speaker 8: on every ranking that I looked at for offensive lines,
• 27:55
  Speaker 8: and I have a hard time believing in that team,
• 27:57
  Speaker 8: so I love eleven to one worse to first. Houston's
• 28:00
  Speaker 8: my outright favorite at bet three six five. If you
• 28:03
  Speaker 8: want to get cute, you can get a fourteen to
• 28:05
  Speaker 8: one on Houston first, Jacksonville second, because I don't really
• 28:09
  Speaker 8: think Jacksonville can slide too far out of us. So
• 28:11
  Speaker 8: if you want to do that, if they do win
• 28:13
  Speaker 8: the division, I'm talking nine to ten wins here. Dimiko
• 28:17
  Speaker 8: Ryans Coach of the Year, I think is in play
• 28:19
  Speaker 8: twenty five to one. That's one of my favorite coach
• 28:22
  Speaker 8: of the year bets. And then my absolute favorite bet
• 28:25
  Speaker 8: on Houston, and this is literally my favorite bet of
• 28:29
  Speaker 8: the entire preseason circuit is the bet that you already
• 28:32
  Speaker 8: bet against.
• 28:33
  Speaker 3: Chad.
• 28:34
  Speaker 8: Give me my guy Anderson, Will Anderson to win Defensive
• 28:38
  Speaker 8: Rookie of the Year at five to one, And thank
• 28:41
  Speaker 8: you Jalen Carter for existing, because I think the Jalen
• 28:43
  Speaker 8: Carter hype is buying us easy odds on Will Anderson.
• 28:47
  Speaker 8: Two defensive tackle winners the last twenty eight years two
• 28:51
  Speaker 8: and twenty eight. We want edge rushers, we want sacks.
• 28:54
  Speaker 8: We want guys out on the edge making plays, getting
• 28:57
  Speaker 8: the flash plays. I don't know if Jalen Carter is
• 29:00
  Speaker 8: gonna be on the field enough and get enough you
• 29:03
  Speaker 8: know the flashy stats at the end. He's gonna finish
• 29:05
  Speaker 8: the year with like twenty five tackles and four sacks,
• 29:09
  Speaker 8: and he's gonna make a big difference for a really
• 29:11
  Speaker 8: good team. But we're gonna count of voters to notice that.
• 29:14
  Speaker 8: Voters will notice Will Anderson like plowing through guys like
• 29:17
  Speaker 8: he has in the preseason and blowing up plays. Here's
• 29:21
  Speaker 8: the stats on defense Rookie of the Year. Nineteen out
• 29:23
  Speaker 8: of the last twenty three were top fifteen picks. Now,
• 29:27
  Speaker 8: to be fair, Jalen Carter's top fifteen to two, so
• 29:29
  Speaker 8: he fits the criteria you want a favorite. Seven of
• 29:32
  Speaker 8: the last eleven were plus nine hundred or shorter. That's
• 29:35
  Speaker 8: just our two guys, Jalen and Anderson. That's the only two.
• 29:39
  Speaker 8: Seven or more sacks for six of the last nine guys.
• 29:41
  Speaker 8: And here's the one stat I found six winners in
• 29:45
  Speaker 8: a row at this Rookie of the year. Six was
• 29:47
  Speaker 8: in a row, joined a defense bottom six in points
• 29:50
  Speaker 8: per game, and jumped into the top ten of the
• 29:53
  Speaker 8: year that they joined. That was Sauce Gardner last year
• 29:55
  Speaker 8: from dead last to fourth. Here's the sixth this year Bears, Vikings, Lions,
• 30:01
  Speaker 8: Terrible Division, Cardinals, Colts, and Houston Texans. I think they
• 30:06
  Speaker 8: jumped to top ten points per game allowed and the
• 30:08
  Speaker 8: defense makes a leap to make the playoffs. Give me
• 30:11
  Speaker 8: the eleven to one playoffs. Give me the five to one.
• 30:13
  Speaker 8: Will Anderson as in Will Anderson to bet the Texans again,
• 30:17
  Speaker 8: Yes you will.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: Oh wow, you've been working on that and that was
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: that was nice?
• 30:21
  Speaker 6: Oh yeah, Raybon, Damn bro, I like where did you
• 30:28
  Speaker 6: get that shit?
• 30:28
  Speaker 5: You was smoking on it? Like I need some of
• 30:31
  Speaker 5: that shit that Like, damn, you know.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: What's interesting about this? He went through this whole this
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: this litany of information. Oh, by the way, they're starting
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback.
• 30:45
  Speaker 5: All right, so let's let's start here. And first of all,
• 30:47
  Speaker 5: let me say this.
• 30:48
  Speaker 6: I when I first started looking into the Texans this year,
• 30:51
  Speaker 6: I was like, everybody's gonna think they're tanking. They're not
• 30:53
  Speaker 6: tanking because they traded their pick to Arizona. So yes,
• 30:56
  Speaker 6: this is going to be a different team. But there's
• 30:59
  Speaker 6: a big step from them, you know, going over their
• 31:03
  Speaker 6: win total maybe to winning the division.
• 31:05
  Speaker 5: I don't think they're there yet.
• 31:07
  Speaker 6: Now, if you look at teams over since since the
• 31:11
  Speaker 6: NFL went to thirty two teams in two thousand and two,
• 31:15
  Speaker 6: we've had thirty one instances when a team drafts a
• 31:20
  Speaker 6: rookie quarterback top ten and then that team goes and
• 31:25
  Speaker 6: then that quarterback excuse me, goes and starts eight or
• 31:28
  Speaker 6: more games. So essentially a situation like we expect from Richardson,
• 31:31
  Speaker 6: like we expect from Stroud, Bryce Young, those teams are
• 31:36
  Speaker 6: going over their win total about thirty seven percent of
• 31:38
  Speaker 6: the time over the past decade.
• 31:40
  Speaker 5: It's about twenty six percent of the time.
• 31:42
  Speaker 6: So like that's just first of all, Now, the Texans,
• 31:47
  Speaker 6: I think they have a lot of decent players now,
• 31:50
  Speaker 6: but they don't really have.
• 31:51
  Speaker 5: That many needle movers at all.
• 31:52
  Speaker 6: Like Laramie Tunsseel's great Shack Mason had his worst season
• 31:55
  Speaker 6: since his rookie year.
• 31:56
  Speaker 5: He's like thirty something. Jimmy war Is like thirty two. Know,
• 32:00
  Speaker 5: like they got it.
• 32:01
  Speaker 6: They got a lot of guys that like look good
• 32:02
  Speaker 6: on paper, but their receivers they might not have one
• 32:06
  Speaker 6: good receiver. If my guy Tank Dell doesn't get back
• 32:08
  Speaker 6: on the field, you know, Dalton Shoultz and he's good
• 32:12
  Speaker 6: in Dallas. Noah Brown, no Robert Woods, washed, Nico Collins
• 32:18
  Speaker 6: kind of stiff, you know, like this team. And then
• 32:23
  Speaker 6: Howard's hurt, the centers hurt, so the old line is
• 32:27
  Speaker 6: not really gonna be quite as good as you think
• 32:29
  Speaker 6: it is. But more importantly, let's just talk about the
• 32:33
  Speaker 6: team that I think is better than this Texan team,
• 32:35
  Speaker 6: and that's the As, the Tennessee Titans. I can't believe
• 32:38
  Speaker 6: you said the Texas. I mean, yeah, the Texas have
• 32:40
  Speaker 6: the best defense in the division. I think the Titans
• 32:42
  Speaker 6: have the best defense in the division easier. I think
• 32:44
  Speaker 6: Jeffrey Simmons is better than every single player.
• 32:47
  Speaker 5: On the Texas defense. And then you look at that front.
• 32:49
  Speaker 6: You got Dinko Artry, you got tart you got al Shire,
• 32:52
  Speaker 6: you got arden Key, you got Buyer, one of the
• 32:55
  Speaker 6: best safeties in the game. Uh Like, it's just like
• 32:58
  Speaker 6: there's just too many players on his front. It's just
• 33:00
  Speaker 6: you know what happened with the Titans last year. They
• 33:02
  Speaker 6: missed the third most games, They lost the third most
• 33:06
  Speaker 6: games to injury.
• 33:07
  Speaker 5: They were seven and three. This Tatan team that everyone
• 33:10
  Speaker 5: thinks is.
• 33:10
  Speaker 6: Terrible now because they went seven and ten they were
• 33:13
  Speaker 6: seven and three, seven and three, and then they go
• 33:17
  Speaker 6: on a seven game losing street to close out the season.
• 33:20
  Speaker 6: Four of those games one score games.
• 33:21
  Speaker 5: One of those losses a.
• 33:23
  Speaker 6: Game where Malik Willis lost to the Texans thrown under
• 33:26
  Speaker 6: one hundred yards.
• 33:27
  Speaker 5: Another one of those losses the playing.
• 33:30
  Speaker 6: Game where they were up with under three minutes to
• 33:33
  Speaker 6: go until Josh Dobbs, who they signed up the street
• 33:35
  Speaker 6: to play for Willis, got fumble sixth. The other four years,
• 33:41
  Speaker 6: Rabel over his win total vrabel winning record as a underdog.
• 33:45
  Speaker 5: Straight up, this is the.
• 33:47
  Speaker 6: Same Titan team we've always seen. They just had one
• 33:51
  Speaker 6: bad stretch, one bad two months, and now everyone thinks
• 33:54
  Speaker 6: that they're like the second or third best team in
• 33:56
  Speaker 6: the division. This Titan team still has the best defense,
• 34:00
  Speaker 6: Ryan Tannehill's seven eight yards per tentp last year, Derrick
• 34:03
  Speaker 6: Henry right on his career average yards per touch, DeAndre Hopkins,
• 34:06
  Speaker 6: best wide receivers they've had since aj Brown, Chigakonko, one
• 34:09
  Speaker 6: of the most explosive young tight ends. Year two lead
• 34:11
  Speaker 6: Traylon Burks when he gets back year two leap and
• 34:14
  Speaker 6: it's gonna be a lot easier because you got Hopkins there,
• 34:16
  Speaker 6: and Dillard struggled his rookie.
• 34:19
  Speaker 5: Year at left tackle. I'll give you that.
• 34:20
  Speaker 6: Since then, his last two years, he's played two hundred
• 34:24
  Speaker 6: and fifteen pass block snaps, giving up one sack. So
• 34:27
  Speaker 6: I think I don't think this Titans O line is
• 34:29
  Speaker 6: gonna be like piss poor last in the league.
• 34:32
  Speaker 5: I think it's gonna be meh.
• 34:34
  Speaker 6: But there's no real, uh other team in this division
• 34:39
  Speaker 6: that is gonna have a better offense even with that,
• 34:41
  Speaker 6: Like I don't think Houston's gonna have a better offense
• 34:43
  Speaker 6: with a rookie quarterback throwing a shit receivers, uh, just
• 34:47
  Speaker 6: because Larry Tunzel was there.
• 34:48
  Speaker 5: Like Larry Tunzel was great.
• 34:49
  Speaker 6: But at the end of the day, this Titan team
• 34:52
  Speaker 6: is gonna be able to play action. They're gonna be
• 34:53
  Speaker 6: able to just ram Henry down people's brokes. And again,
• 34:57
  Speaker 6: I think people are sleeping on this defensive front, which
• 34:59
  Speaker 6: is not just one the best of it. It's not
• 35:00
  Speaker 6: just the best in the division. This defensive front is
• 35:03
  Speaker 6: one of the best defensive front in all of football,
• 35:05
  Speaker 6: like player for player, So to me.
• 35:09
  Speaker 5: This is easy Titans.
• 35:10
  Speaker 8: Bet.
• 35:11
  Speaker 6: I think the Jaguars are still the biggest threat to
• 35:14
  Speaker 6: the Titans, not the Texans, but the Jaguars. They have
• 35:17
  Speaker 6: good players at the skill positions and shakiness everywhere else,
• 35:20
  Speaker 6: kind of like you said, Brandon. So for me, I'm
• 35:22
  Speaker 6: just going right back to expecting the Titans to do
• 35:25
  Speaker 6: what they've done every other.
• 35:26
  Speaker 5: Year, which is exceed expectations. And oh and they got
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: a kicker.
• 35:29
  Speaker 6: Now, they got Nick Folk from New England, so their
• 35:31
  Speaker 6: kicker situations solved. So I mean, you know, I just
• 35:36
  Speaker 6: can't find a reason to fade the Titans. I think
• 35:38
  Speaker 6: the win total is like two wins too low, especially
• 35:41
  Speaker 6: for this weak division, and I think that people are
• 35:44
  Speaker 6: just it's just all it's just it's just a bunch
• 35:46
  Speaker 6: of bad luck and people are sleeping and they're gonna
• 35:49
  Speaker 6: bounce back. And by the way, Jacksonville, you know, because
• 35:51
  Speaker 6: again I think Jacksonville is the biggest threat. They had
• 35:53
  Speaker 6: the second best injury luck. Tennessee has the third worst.
• 35:56
  Speaker 6: So I think that's just clouding people's perceptions. Like a
• 36:00
  Speaker 6: couple of months, a month and a half of bad
• 36:02
  Speaker 6: football with Malik Willis and everyone hurt is not what
• 36:06
  Speaker 6: the Titans are.
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Simon.
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: You and I love the Titans. We feel like they're
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: undervalued everywhere. Do you want to give the one reason
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: why we're afraid of making a Titans bet.
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: We're almost at that point now we can do it
• 36:20
  Speaker 4: where I don't think Tannel will be traded, right. That
• 36:22
  Speaker 4: was just the fear going into the season that you
• 36:25
  Speaker 4: know they use a lot of drag stock on these
• 36:28
  Speaker 4: two different quarterbacks and it's kind of the same thing
• 36:30
  Speaker 4: you just saw Trey Lance.
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: It's like they gotta get that guy in the room, right, they.
• 36:33
  Speaker 4: Don't want any issues, and apparently he's been nothing but good.
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: Of these these young quarterbacks, like there's no drama in
• 36:39
  Speaker 4: the locker room. It does feel like it's a one
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: last who robed for this team. And yeah, to me,
• 36:43
  Speaker 4: they're they're the best value, right. We love buying low
• 36:45
  Speaker 4: on teams. Last year, the Jaguars is like an easy
• 36:48
  Speaker 4: bet for this division, like the Titans feel like an
• 36:50
  Speaker 4: easy bet. And I'll just say the Rookie of the
• 36:52
  Speaker 4: Year bet, My only knock would be Jalen Carter is
• 36:56
  Speaker 4: going to be in more primetime games. And we know
• 36:58
  Speaker 4: how simple these NFL voters are, where if he makes
• 37:01
  Speaker 4: the right play in a couple of big games and
• 37:03
  Speaker 4: it's on national television, and even if he has less
• 37:06
  Speaker 4: sacks or touch it, you know, makes big plays or
• 37:09
  Speaker 4: whatever it is. I still think if he makes enough
• 37:11
  Speaker 4: big plays in national television, he'll get a bump over
• 37:14
  Speaker 4: a guy that you know, we don't think they're gonna
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: win their vision, right, Brandon's right, like he's one of me,
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: Like where I love taking these long shots of like
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: I think that Houston's the play next year, right, it
• 37:25
  Speaker 4: feels like a year early on them this year where
• 37:27
  Speaker 4: next year is the play, right that they no longer
• 37:29
  Speaker 4: have a rookie head coach, no longer a rookie quarterback.
• 37:32
  Speaker 4: Next year will be the move for me on Houston,
• 37:34
  Speaker 4: where this year I'm with Chris. It's just like I
• 37:37
  Speaker 4: have to take Tennessee like Verabel, every year's prove it
• 37:41
  Speaker 4: to us, and I can't just fade him after one
• 37:42
  Speaker 4: down year. So it would be really hard to talk
• 37:45
  Speaker 4: to me off Tennessee. I just feel like that that's
• 37:47
  Speaker 4: the only choice we have to make in this division.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Chad coaches, We absolutely hate betting against yeah, especially especially
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: when they are.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: Underdogs.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin, John Harbaugh, Bill Belichick, Mike Frable hate it.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: The guy is a proven winner. He's so much smarter
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: as a football coach. Then he gets credit for I
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: want us to transition now to a team and a
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: bet that at least Brandon and Raybon can agree on,
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: so there doesn't have to be any violence like there
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: was last time. Brandon, we're in an Atlanta Falcons podcast.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: Explain what you're gonna tell people.
• 38:34
  Speaker 8: Yeah, I love the Falcons this year a lot of
• 38:36
  Speaker 8: the same reasons that I made the case for the Texans.
• 38:38
  Speaker 8: They just added a lot of floor raizers, especially on defense.
• 38:41
  Speaker 8: Jesse Bates coming in, Kalays Campbell, Onyamada, bud Dupree. This
• 38:46
  Speaker 8: was a truly awful defense last year, and I don't
• 38:48
  Speaker 8: think they're gonna be good. I'm not gonna say that
• 38:50
  Speaker 8: they're gonna be possible top ten. I do think the
• 38:52
  Speaker 8: Texans will the Falcons just getting the average. Just be
• 38:56
  Speaker 8: like Raven Side, just be Matt. Can you just like
• 38:59
  Speaker 8: be Matt and not absolutely awful? I think they can't.
• 39:02
  Speaker 8: I like the new defensive coordinator, Ryan Nielsen. I think
• 39:04
  Speaker 8: he'll help on offense. The line is really good. Top ten.
• 39:08
  Speaker 8: I think I have them seventh in my ratings. Then
• 39:10
  Speaker 8: you got Bijon Robinson, the rookie running back Drake London
• 39:14
  Speaker 8: Kyle Pitts. Like in the nineties we had the Triplets
• 39:17
  Speaker 8: in Dallas, right, like these are the triplets these who
• 39:20
  Speaker 8: else has a running back, a tight end and a
• 39:22
  Speaker 8: receiver with that level of skill? Top ten picks all
• 39:25
  Speaker 8: three of these guys. So I think we're overlooking this
• 39:29
  Speaker 8: offense a little bit because it's unconventional. They're the run
• 39:32
  Speaker 8: heaviest team. But part of the reason I don't like
• 39:36
  Speaker 8: all the stuff you guys said about the Titans that
• 39:37
  Speaker 8: quite believe as much is because of the guy leading
• 39:40
  Speaker 8: this team, Arthur Smith, who is not the Titans anymore.
• 39:43
  Speaker 8: I know it wasn't last year, but I think that
• 39:45
  Speaker 8: the injuries and all that kind of clouded the drop
• 39:48
  Speaker 8: off on offense, the drop off in Tannehill's play, some
• 39:51
  Speaker 8: of the advanced metrics. Tannehill became this elite, really great
• 39:54
  Speaker 8: quarterback for two years, which two the Arthur Smith years.
• 39:58
  Speaker 8: Falcons have a real quarterback now aka not Marcus Mariota Simon.
• 40:02
  Speaker 8: I know you don't want him any part of your
• 40:04
  Speaker 8: Philadelphia Eagles this year coming off the bench there, he
• 40:06
  Speaker 8: looks terrible. I think just getting Dezen Rider to be fine.
• 40:11
  Speaker 8: Can you just be fine and again be meh? Can
• 40:13
  Speaker 8: you be meth and come in and hand the ball off?
• 40:16
  Speaker 8: They had like six hundred carries last year. Arthur Smith
• 40:20
  Speaker 8: in Tennessee had a top six DEVO offense his two
• 40:24
  Speaker 8: years leading the offense. This team, with no quarterback last
• 40:27
  Speaker 8: year in Atlanta finished thirteenth. They are my number eight
• 40:31
  Speaker 8: offense going into the new season. Even though they're weird,
• 40:34
  Speaker 8: it doesn't matter. It gets the job done. And I
• 40:38
  Speaker 8: don't believe in the Saints. They're the oldest team I
• 40:40
  Speaker 8: believe in the league, and I just feel like that's
• 40:43
  Speaker 8: a team I don't believe in. Dennis Allen. I think
• 40:45
  Speaker 8: they'll be in the mix. I think they'll be a
• 40:46
  Speaker 8: good team, But I like the Falcons a little bit more. Again,
• 40:49
  Speaker 8: to me, they're my favorite in that division. So similar
• 40:53
  Speaker 8: bets here worse the first division. Atlanta is my other
• 40:56
  Speaker 8: pick here, much shorter odds. It's plus two to twenty
• 40:58
  Speaker 8: on that one. Arthur Smith Coach of the Year is
• 41:01
  Speaker 8: fourteen to one. I'm playing both of those. You know,
• 41:04
  Speaker 8: get to get a couple of bites of the apples.
• 41:05
  Speaker 8: Sometimes at bet three six five, you can bet Atlanta.
• 41:09
  Speaker 8: This is gonna sound crazy, but it's another one of
• 41:11
  Speaker 8: these long shots Atlanta. For me, I agree with what
• 41:14
  Speaker 8: y'all said about the forty nine ers. I'm fading them
• 41:17
  Speaker 8: this year. If I'm out on the Niners and all
• 41:20
  Speaker 8: I have left in the NFC, then is one team
• 41:23
  Speaker 8: that's the one seed, then the path is open. If
• 41:25
  Speaker 8: the Falcons are really good to be the two seed,
• 41:28
  Speaker 8: and if the Falcons are the two seed, give me
• 41:30
  Speaker 8: a ten to one conference finals appearance from the Atlanta Falcons.
• 41:34
  Speaker 8: If you're a two or three seed, top two seed,
• 41:37
  Speaker 8: you win a home game or two, you're in the
• 41:39
  Speaker 8: conference finals. They're gonna lose real bad when you get there.
• 41:41
  Speaker 8: Like this is not don't buy a super Bowl to
• 41:43
  Speaker 8: get no thank you. I don't want that. But I
• 41:46
  Speaker 8: believe in the Falcons. And then Chad our guy, your guy,
• 41:50
  Speaker 8: Ray Baons Guy, Bijean Robinson, Offensive Rookie of the Year
• 41:54
  Speaker 8: three to one. I took that plus four fifty on
• 41:57
  Speaker 8: Draft night. I still like it three to one. Fifteen
• 42:00
  Speaker 8: of the last nineteen rookie of the years on offense,
• 42:02
  Speaker 8: we're top twelve picks. You pretty much need a top
• 42:05
  Speaker 8: ten Fantasy guy if you're gonna pick a rookie of
• 42:08
  Speaker 8: the year. He's going what like fifth or six and
• 42:11
  Speaker 8: most drafts, so obviously we expect him to do that.
• 42:14
  Speaker 8: It's a soft schedule for this team. I think he
• 42:16
  Speaker 8: has a big year. I think Jed you have an
• 42:19
  Speaker 8: even like a stronger bet On bejan Thn just offensive
• 42:21
  Speaker 8: rookie the year. You think you can leave the league
• 42:23
  Speaker 8: in rushing.
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: I do, I do.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: And a Nobody hunts in pecks for alt lines and
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: creative markets better than Brandon Anderson, and nobody can convince
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: you that it's the most obvious choice to make, no
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: matter how long the odds, better than Brandon Anderson. I
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: agree with everything you just said.
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: I love it. I love it all.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: Simon and I we both love Arthur Smith. We love
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: his creativity. I think it's a little strong to say
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: that Drake London, Kyle Pitts, and Bjean Robinson are the
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: equivalent of Hall of Fame combination of triplets like the
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys, but based on Raybond. I do love Bjeon Robinson,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: who is about eleven to one to lead the league
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: in rushing, because I honestly feel like Arthur Smith might
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: let him carry the ball.
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: Two thousand times.
• 43:16
  Speaker 6: Yeah, Raybond, I think Bijon is the best bet in
• 43:21
  Speaker 6: this market by far because you look at the other guys,
• 43:25
  Speaker 6: you know, atop the leader board, and it makes sense,
• 43:28
  Speaker 6: you know, Nick Chubb, Derrick Henry, but those guys are
• 43:30
  Speaker 6: a little bit older. This award tends to trend younger.
• 43:34
  Speaker 6: And when you look at you know, since the merger,
• 43:37
  Speaker 6: we've seen about eleven percent of rookie of the winners
• 43:42
  Speaker 6: be rookie running backs. And if it's gonna be a rookie,
• 43:45
  Speaker 6: it's almost certainly gonna be Bjon Robinson. And that's that
• 43:49
  Speaker 6: percentage has increased over the last decade or so. Remember
• 43:53
  Speaker 6: we had two two winners in twenty sixteen and twenty
• 43:57
  Speaker 6: seventeen back to back that were rookies. We had Zeke
• 44:00
  Speaker 6: and then we had Kareem Hunt. So and then you
• 44:02
  Speaker 6: go back to nineteen ninety nine you had Edger and James.
• 44:05
  Speaker 6: So you know, in the last just over twenty years,
• 44:09
  Speaker 6: we've had three. So you know, the likelihood of a
• 44:13
  Speaker 6: rookie guy like Robinson winning this award just goes up.
• 44:16
  Speaker 6: He's one of the only guys I think that has
• 44:20
  Speaker 6: that twenty carry up side outside of your Chubbs and
• 44:24
  Speaker 6: your Derrick Henry's. So I think Bjon Robins and like
• 44:27
  Speaker 6: Brandon said, the O line one of the best in
• 44:29
  Speaker 6: the league. So yeah, I think he's by far the
• 44:32
  Speaker 6: best bet in the in this market. A great way
• 44:35
  Speaker 6: to kind of bet on some some Falcons longer shots.
• 44:40
  Speaker 6: But I just want to go back to one thing
• 44:42
  Speaker 6: Brandon you said about, you know, Arthur Smith and the
• 44:44
  Speaker 6: fact that he's he's in Atlanta now, and that is
• 44:46
  Speaker 6: one of the reasons I love this Falcon team to
• 44:48
  Speaker 6: win a division. I think they're best team over the Saints.
• 44:50
  Speaker 6: But remember the year after Arthur Smith left in Tennessee.
• 44:56
  Speaker 6: It was twenty twenty one. Derrick Henry missed eight games,
• 44:59
  Speaker 6: A J. Brown miss a handful. Guess what the Titans did,
• 45:02
  Speaker 6: number one seed in AFC. Stop it, stop it, Like
• 45:06
  Speaker 6: this tight team is too nasty for y'all, Like plus
• 45:10
  Speaker 6: three twenty to win this division is easy money, Like
• 45:13
  Speaker 6: it's easy money, but but no, the Falcons.
• 45:15
  Speaker 5: I think the Falcons are the best team in this division, Simon.
• 45:18
  Speaker 6: Like my thing with the Saints is and you kind
• 45:21
  Speaker 6: of talked about car and him having the new toys,
• 45:24
  Speaker 6: and I think on the surface that it's true, But
• 45:28
  Speaker 6: when you look a little deeper, Derek carrs had this
• 45:32
  Speaker 6: is his fifth new offense, so he's gonna be in
• 45:34
  Speaker 6: year one of a new offense for the fifth time
• 45:36
  Speaker 6: as a pro. Right, the previous four times that he's
• 45:39
  Speaker 6: been in year one of a new offense are his
• 45:43
  Speaker 6: four worst years in the National Football League in pretty
• 45:47
  Speaker 6: much every single statistical metric like yards for a tempt,
• 45:51
  Speaker 6: passer rating, completion rate, every possible thing like.
• 45:55
  Speaker 5: Those are just cars worst years.
• 45:57
  Speaker 6: In years where he's not in year one of a
• 45:58
  Speaker 6: new offense, he's about out just over five hundred. In
• 46:02
  Speaker 6: years where he isn't in the first year of the
• 46:04
  Speaker 6: new offense, he's like twenty two and forty. Like it's
• 46:07
  Speaker 6: just he just doesn't really catch on that fast, and
• 46:11
  Speaker 6: like none of his career highs in year one of
• 46:14
  Speaker 6: a new offense are even as good as what Andy
• 46:18
  Speaker 6: Dalton did for the Saints last year. So that's why
• 46:22
  Speaker 6: I'm a little bit concerned about the about the Saints,
• 46:25
  Speaker 6: because I think I don't think Derek Carr is really
• 46:28
  Speaker 6: the upgrade that people think he is. And then there
• 46:30
  Speaker 6: is just a lot of fragility with all these older,
• 46:33
  Speaker 6: older guys.
• 46:34
  Speaker 5: So yeah, falcons all day for me.
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: Signing.
• 46:38
  Speaker 4: Look at you two sitting there with straight faces telling
• 46:40
  Speaker 4: people put their real money on Desmond Ritters. I mean, Chad,
• 46:45
  Speaker 4: I gotta play the devil's advocate.
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 46:47
  Speaker 4: I'm the only one here on there under Atlanta. I
• 46:49
  Speaker 4: get where all these people are coming from. Right, just
• 46:51
  Speaker 4: because last year they all these one score games. We've
• 46:54
  Speaker 4: all just watched Mario to play football. This kid could
• 46:57
  Speaker 4: not be out beat out Marcus Mariota last and you
• 47:00
  Speaker 4: think he's just gonna turn it around in one year,
• 47:02
  Speaker 4: right in this offense, He's not.
• 47:04
  Speaker 3: I've watched him practice.
• 47:06
  Speaker 4: I've read all the scouts who have gone to their practices,
• 47:09
  Speaker 4: their beat writers who've been through practice. This kid can't
• 47:11
  Speaker 4: complete balls twenty yards downfield. Drake Lindon can make incredible catches,
• 47:14
  Speaker 4: and maybe that's why he'll complete it.
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: That's it.
• 47:17
  Speaker 4: Like this kid he's got, he doesn't have what it
• 47:20
  Speaker 4: takes to making this league. And we just know how
• 47:21
  Speaker 4: it is. Right, there are twelve really really good elite quarterbacks.
• 47:25
  Speaker 4: There are ten in between, right, the Tannehills, the Derek Cars,
• 47:28
  Speaker 4: and there's just ten rookies and a ton of shit
• 47:31
  Speaker 4: and That's just what football is. And every year in
• 47:33
  Speaker 4: the preseason, people will hype up their guys. Right, Jordan
• 47:36
  Speaker 4: Love three touchdowns, he looks incredible for Green Bay. I
• 47:39
  Speaker 4: always tell people going back to Sam Bradford had three
• 47:42
  Speaker 4: touchdowns in one quarter against Green Bay. I think we
• 47:45
  Speaker 4: had four wins that season on the Eagles. It's just
• 47:47
  Speaker 4: it doesn't matter. Right, you're throwing against Aaron Prez's so
• 47:50
  Speaker 4: I get the hype, right, A Landa on paper is good, right,
• 47:53
  Speaker 4: they played in really close games with what you guys said,
• 47:55
  Speaker 4: a corpse of Mariota. It just feels like this is
• 47:58
  Speaker 4: the darling of everyone. Everyone's telling you to bet this team.
• 48:01
  Speaker 4: And that's why again I like the Saints. I'm getting
• 48:03
  Speaker 4: a good number. I'm getting the best quarterback in this division,
• 48:06
  Speaker 4: and I think the most complete offense where this team.
• 48:08
  Speaker 4: It's got a lung, young talent and potential. Never have
• 48:12
  Speaker 4: seen the talent, right, I've never seen Drake Lennon show out,
• 48:14
  Speaker 4: never seen Kyle Pitch show out.
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: Robinson could be incredible. To me.
• 48:19
  Speaker 4: That running back is they're all gonna kind of eat
• 48:21
  Speaker 4: away each other's carrieres. That's just why I love Robinson's upside.
• 48:25
  Speaker 4: It's just they got a lot of mouths to feed
• 48:26
  Speaker 4: in that backfield. I don't think Arthur's just gonna make
• 48:28
  Speaker 4: him the three down lead horse back.
• 48:31
  Speaker 3: I haven't seen that in this preseason. I don't expect it.
• 48:34
  Speaker 4: For this upcoming season. So I get the love for Atlanta.
• 48:37
  Speaker 4: I just think they've done this team wrong. Where they
• 48:39
  Speaker 4: should have took justin fields, they took a tight end
• 48:42
  Speaker 4: and now they're gonna be paying for it. Right, They're
• 48:43
  Speaker 4: just not gonna throw this third round, third rounder and
• 48:46
  Speaker 4: from Cincinnati, and he's gonna really take off. I just
• 48:48
  Speaker 4: have not seen anything. Even their beat writers, right, the
• 48:51
  Speaker 4: beat writers supposed to smoke up their own team and
• 48:53
  Speaker 4: be like this kid looks great. You're just not hearing it, right,
• 48:57
  Speaker 4: You're just not hearing at all from this Atlanta camp,
• 48:59
  Speaker 4: because the kid is he's just not that talented. So
• 49:02
  Speaker 4: to me, if Atlanta gets eight and a half, it's
• 49:04
  Speaker 4: all Arthur Smith, Like, that's just an incredible coaching job,
• 49:07
  Speaker 4: just because I don't think they have a starting quarterback
• 49:10
  Speaker 4: on the shroster right now.
• 49:11
  Speaker 5: Look at them last year.
• 49:12
  Speaker 6: So last year right with Mariota for thirteen games and
• 49:16
  Speaker 6: rookie Ridder for four This was the best offense in
• 49:20
  Speaker 6: the division by dv Away, the best offense Tom Brady
• 49:23
  Speaker 6: started seventeen games for the Tampa Bay Bucks. Atlanta was
• 49:26
  Speaker 6: the best offense in the division.
• 49:29
  Speaker 4: They had third stringers on that old line, and man,
• 49:31
  Speaker 4: Tom Brady might get us a Chris Godwin like.
• 49:36
  Speaker 3: Brady. That's my point.
• 49:37
  Speaker 6: So now you're saying Tom Brady can't make third string
• 49:40
  Speaker 6: offensive line good. But a team with a great offensive line,
• 49:43
  Speaker 6: great skill position players, a coach who's proven to take
• 49:46
  Speaker 6: less and make it into more, and a team that
• 49:48
  Speaker 6: already had the best offense in the division. You're telling
• 49:52
  Speaker 6: me that they can't win this division now with Brady Gord.
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: If it's thirty eight, it's over. It's either be gonna
• 49:57
  Speaker 4: be a pick or the balls in the ground. Ridder, Dude,
• 49:59
  Speaker 4: this kid, I'm telling you you're gonna be pissed. You're
• 50:01
  Speaker 4: gonna be so pissed yourself for having money on week
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: the week, maybe not, but season long. I'm telling you,
• 50:06
  Speaker 4: Desmond is not not the answer in Atlanta. They're gonna
• 50:09
  Speaker 4: either have Kyler Murray next year or Tannehill. This is
• 50:11
  Speaker 4: not the future for them.
• 50:13
  Speaker 5: Already the best offense in the division.
• 50:16
  Speaker 4: And I remember people are down the scene Saints are
• 50:20
  Speaker 4: a better offense.
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: They're proving old.
• 50:24
  Speaker 5: Michael Thomas, Tom Hill.
• 50:27
  Speaker 6: Take some hills, old as fucked Like he's not gonna
• 50:30
  Speaker 6: get He's not gonna get credit for like twelve.
• 50:32
  Speaker 3: Touchdowns, Jehang Johnson.
• 50:35
  Speaker 6: Johnson, we're sleeping on because like Simon, I think you
• 50:43
  Speaker 6: kind of said the same thing about about the forty
• 50:46
  Speaker 6: nine ers to it in a different way. I feel
• 50:48
  Speaker 6: like we're sleeping on these offenses that are kind of
• 50:52
  Speaker 6: built to be kind of almost quarterback proof.
• 50:55
  Speaker 5: It's like great offensive line, great skilled players, great coach
• 51:00
  Speaker 5: who only the only.
• 51:02
  Speaker 6: Thing the quarterback has to do is fucking distribute the ball.
• 51:05
  Speaker 6: And like if Ritter focks it up, look at Heinike
• 51:07
  Speaker 6: Heineck came in for Carson Wentz.
• 51:09
  Speaker 3: We all.
• 51:09
  Speaker 6: I mean, I know, I was like, Carson Wentz is
• 51:11
  Speaker 6: not it? Heineke comes in same team and they go
• 51:14
  Speaker 6: on a winning streak for you know what I mean,
• 51:15
  Speaker 6: Like it doesn't is not gonna take much in this division.
• 51:18
  Speaker 6: And by the way, Drake London, when Ritter came seven
• 51:22
  Speaker 6: for seventy on eleven targets, seven for ninety six U
• 51:25
  Speaker 6: six for one twenty.
• 51:27
  Speaker 3: Nothing over twenty yards though, that's my point. It's all.
• 51:31
  Speaker 6: He was the last game of the year, he literally
• 51:32
  Speaker 6: averaged twenty yards to catch six.
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: That's twenty yards to catch, guys.
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: Here's the one bet we can agree on, because we
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: got to get to the last best bet. The one
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: bet we can agree on coming out of Atlanta. Arthur
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: Smith is going to put the ball in Bjon Robinson's
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: hands as much as he possibly can. The game plan
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: is going to be get it out of Desmond Ridder's hand,
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: put it in Bjon Robinson's hand. He might make Bijon
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: Robbins to be the Corderio Patterson player and just get
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: the ball directly from center. And we also know Chris
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: Listrom one of the best run blockers in the NFL,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: also one of the top ten highest paid players in
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: the NFL this year because of his signing bonus. This
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: team is about Arthur Smith Jon Robinson.
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: That's it.
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: So we're going to bet Bjeon Robinson to lead the
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: league in rushing. We're gonna bet Bjon Robinson for offensive
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year, and we're going to remind people
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: catch every episode of the favorites live.
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: On YouTube, so you can get the kind of banter.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: And discourse that you're getting right now. For those of
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: us enjoying it on YouTube right now, don't forget to
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: give us a like. Subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page.
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: Also signon.
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: You should be able to do this by now. Can
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: you name the fastest growing ticketing app in the US?
• 52:54
  Speaker 3: Game Time?
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: That's right, it's our sponsor, game Time.
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: I love game Time for two reasons. One because they
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: sponsored the show. Two, I actually use game Time to
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: buy tickets. They've got amazing last minute deals on all
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: sorts of tickets, including pro and college football games, speaking
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: of which, I'm going to Game Time right now from
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: my house here in Connecticut. This is why I'm so excited.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: I told Matt Mitchell before I did the read. Right now,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: I can get in. I got the Mets, I got
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: the US Open. You can do a double feature in Queens.
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: Just walk across the boardwalk.
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: From the US Open Stadium to the Mets Stadium. It's
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: freaking beautiful. US Open tickets a little more than one hundred.
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: That's a steal, by the way, Mets ticket six bucks.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: What are you going to do?
• 53:41
  Speaker 4: No?
• 53:41
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• 54:02
  Speaker 1: we're sticking in the NFC. We mentioned this team earlier.
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: I'd say in the last twenty four to forty eight hours,
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: I've heard more hype about.
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: This team than any other team.
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: Simon, I know you're starting to fall in love with
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: them a little bit, at least at their price. Brandon,
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: tell me your final best bet.
• 54:22
  Speaker 8: I'm going with the Dallas Cowboys, and I'm looking to
• 54:25
  Speaker 8: bet in and often on the Dallas Cowboys. We made
• 54:29
  Speaker 8: really the case for them earlier in the podcast. Sorry Chad,
• 54:33
  Speaker 8: when you had the forty nine Ers Super Bowl bet
• 54:35
  Speaker 8: and Simon got in and Chris got in coming against it.
• 54:38
  Speaker 8: I'm also against it. I don't like the Niners there.
• 54:41
  Speaker 8: I have them worse on offense and on defense this year.
• 54:44
  Speaker 8: I need to see it from Purdy. The Eagles are
• 54:47
  Speaker 8: just a classic regression team. I think they're gonna be good.
• 54:49
  Speaker 8: The floor is very high. They have the number one
• 54:51
  Speaker 8: offensive line, but there's some questions on defense. They lost
• 54:54
  Speaker 8: a lot of the spine. They're just an obvious team
• 54:57
  Speaker 8: that is not going to match what they did last year.
• 54:59
  Speaker 8: We pretty much know that. And in the NFC, that's it.
• 55:02
  Speaker 8: Who does that leave but the Dallas Cowboys. So, as
• 55:05
  Speaker 8: Homer Simpson would say the two sweetest words in the
• 55:07
  Speaker 8: English language, d fault, it's the Cowboys. They added Stefan Gilmour,
• 55:14
  Speaker 8: addressed the cornerback need, so now he's in the room.
• 55:17
  Speaker 8: They added the wide receiver too, Brandon Cook, So I
• 55:19
  Speaker 8: think it's gonna be a really good fit on this
• 55:21
  Speaker 8: particular offense. They effectively added Tyrone Smith, Please God stay
• 55:26
  Speaker 8: healthy at left tackle. We never know with him, but
• 55:28
  Speaker 8: while he's healthy, it's probably a top five offensive line.
• 55:32
  Speaker 8: They use their first round pick on a nose tackle,
• 55:34
  Speaker 8: Mazzie Smith. You don't do that unless you know you
• 55:37
  Speaker 8: are like two pieces away for wing the Super Bowl.
• 55:39
  Speaker 8: I just need a fat dude on the line to
• 55:42
  Speaker 8: please block and get somebody in the run game. Stop
• 55:45
  Speaker 8: letting him run up our throat. Mazie that's what he's
• 55:47
  Speaker 8: there for. Dak miss five games last year too, and frankly,
• 55:52
  Speaker 8: I think no Zeke is additioned by subtraction, not because
• 55:55
  Speaker 8: he's terrible, but because they over relied on him and
• 55:59
  Speaker 8: Mike McCarthy. I would not want Mike McCarthy handling my money.
• 56:03
  Speaker 8: I am not excited that he is part of this bet.
• 56:05
  Speaker 8: We have to live with it. However, his teams have
• 56:08
  Speaker 8: skewed pass heavy over the years when he's in charge,
• 56:11
  Speaker 8: and I think that might, accidentally, if it's true, help
• 56:14
  Speaker 8: this team out last Zeke running into the line that
• 56:17
  Speaker 8: hasn't been working for years.
• 56:19
  Speaker 3: More.
• 56:20
  Speaker 8: Hey, our top ten quarterback Dak Prescott throw the ball
• 56:23
  Speaker 8: and Bran Schotenheimer. I don't want him near my money either.
• 56:26
  Speaker 3: He's the OC.
• 56:27
  Speaker 8: But what he has done successfully is get the ball
• 56:31
  Speaker 8: to receivers in space and let them create. Afterward, we'll
• 56:34
  Speaker 8: look at the receivers. Brandon Cooke's lightning speed, Ceedee Lamb,
• 56:38
  Speaker 8: a guy who is a yack monster in college and
• 56:40
  Speaker 8: hasn't really had good chances to do that in Dallas.
• 56:42
  Speaker 8: I think it sets up well for what they do.
• 56:45
  Speaker 8: The defense, obviously we know is good. Their top two
• 56:48
  Speaker 8: DVA each of the last two years. They led the
• 56:50
  Speaker 8: league in takeaways both years. Dan quinn great coordinator Micah
• 56:54
  Speaker 8: Parsons is the correct favorite for a player of the
• 56:58
  Speaker 8: Year on defense. To me, it just it's a team
• 57:01
  Speaker 8: that has all the makings of a very good season.
• 57:04
  Speaker 8: So I am ready to bet even more in on
• 57:08
  Speaker 8: this team than I did on Philly last year. My
• 57:09
  Speaker 8: regret with Philly. I was in on them from the beginning. Simon,
• 57:12
  Speaker 8: you and I talked about them. I think I was
• 57:14
  Speaker 8: on this podcast on them. I had like a twenty
• 57:16
  Speaker 8: to one most wins. What I didn't get was some
• 57:19
  Speaker 8: of the other escalator stuff along the way. I love
• 57:22
  Speaker 8: to say, Okay, who do I like? So Dallas over
• 57:25
  Speaker 8: nine and a half? Eh, the juice is pretty high.
• 57:27
  Speaker 8: I don't really need it. So what can I do here?
• 57:29
  Speaker 8: All Right? Division almost two to one at most books,
• 57:32
  Speaker 8: So give me the division. Effectively, that's just a head
• 57:35
  Speaker 8: to head bet. Do I like the Cowboys or the Eagles?
• 57:37
  Speaker 8: I'm gonna bet on the Cowboys Late in the season,
• 57:40
  Speaker 8: when Dallas hosts Philadelphia for obviously a key game. Philly
• 57:45
  Speaker 8: is coming off of this wicked month long stretch against
• 57:49
  Speaker 8: like the best teams in the league three or four
• 57:51
  Speaker 8: straight games, and then at Dallas at the end of that.
• 57:54
  Speaker 8: That's a huge game, maybe the most important game in
• 57:56
  Speaker 8: the NFC, and it's a great schedule spot for Dallas.
• 57:59
  Speaker 8: So give me the at bet three six five. You
• 58:02
  Speaker 8: can go Dallas one to Philly two plus two seventy.
• 58:05
  Speaker 8: So add a little bit of juice there. Come on
• 58:07
  Speaker 8: the Giants and the Commander. They're not sneaking in here,
• 58:10
  Speaker 8: so give me that. Give me the one seed plus
• 58:12
  Speaker 8: six fifty most wins. If you're the one seed in
• 58:15
  Speaker 8: the NFC bloodbath in the AFC, you're probably gonna be
• 58:18
  Speaker 8: the best record, just like Philly was last year. Most
• 58:21
  Speaker 8: wins at bet three six five as fourteen to one.
• 58:24
  Speaker 8: I like the alternate over twelve and a half. That's
• 58:27
  Speaker 8: plus four to twenty five. You get thirteen wins or more.
• 58:30
  Speaker 8: Probably gonna do that. If you're in this division. You
• 58:33
  Speaker 8: beat the Eagles at least once, maybe twice, and then
• 58:36
  Speaker 8: I gotta do it. If you are the one seed,
• 58:39
  Speaker 8: I can truly say I don't believe these necessarily, But
• 58:41
  Speaker 8: if you're the one seed, the two bets I didn't
• 58:44
  Speaker 8: make last preseason, that nearly cashed, and I would have
• 58:47
  Speaker 8: hated myself. Is I did not quite bet on Jalen
• 58:50
  Speaker 8: Hurts do an MVP, even though I thought it was possible.
• 58:52
  Speaker 8: And I did not bet Philly to win the Super Bowl,
• 58:54
  Speaker 8: even though I thought that was possible. They didn't, but
• 58:57
  Speaker 8: they got real close, and I would have rather had
• 59:00
  Speaker 8: those tickets all season. So give me the fifteen to
• 59:03
  Speaker 8: one super Bowl. If you're the one seed in the
• 59:05
  Speaker 8: open NFC, you have to do it. They give me
• 59:07
  Speaker 8: Dack twenty five to one MVP quarterback of the one
• 59:11
  Speaker 8: seed on America's team, say no more. If you're that,
• 59:15
  Speaker 8: you're gonna be in the MVP mix. We know MVP
• 59:18
  Speaker 8: is a quarterback. We know it's a top two seed.
• 59:20
  Speaker 8: His yards per attempt, his TD rate, his EPA, those
• 59:24
  Speaker 8: numbers are there. I think the production will be not overwhelming.
• 59:28
  Speaker 8: But if you're the Cowboys quarterback on a one seed
• 59:31
  Speaker 8: juggernaut team, which they have the possibility of being, twenty
• 59:34
  Speaker 8: five to one is just too long of a number.
• 59:36
  Speaker 8: So I can't believe this. I mentioned the Triplets earlier.
• 59:40
  Speaker 8: I grew up in the nineties absolutely hating this team.
• 59:42
  Speaker 8: I am not a Cowboys fan, but I am a
• 59:44
  Speaker 8: fan of money, and I will put my money in
• 59:46
  Speaker 8: the Cowboys lots of ways and hope that they do
• 59:49
  Speaker 8: well this year.
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: The Cowboys would becoming one of those teams where I
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: sprayed the field with so many freaking futures over the
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: last six months and just had a blind spot for
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys because of their history, because of Jerry, because
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: of Mike McCarthy Simon. You talked about him last week
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: when we had Russ Tucker on.
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: I just missed it. I missed it. I missed all
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: of it. I missed the value. It's making me sick. Terrible,
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: just terrible. Ray Bon.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: One final bet from you, my friend.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 5: I love I love the Cowboys too, by the way,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 5: But yeah, I'm going I gotta I gotta go. Yeah,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 5: we gotta go back. We gotta go back to the
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 5: NFC South.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 6: You know, usually we talked about usually we were talking
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 6: about uh overs and and I mean usually we're talking
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 6: about unders, but we talked about all overs.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 5: So I'm gonna give you a team on Faden and
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 5: that's the Carolina Panthers.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 6: Uh.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 5: This is another one of those teams.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 6: You know, rookie quarterback, so you know that's a thirty
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 6: seven percent chance right there over the last two decades
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 6: plus to go over the win total. But every year
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 6: there's one, there's these one or two teams where if
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 6: you could kind of pick them out early, they're just
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 6: gonna be poorly run, poorly coached. And you know, it
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 6: was Urban Meyer a couple of years ago. Hackett and
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 6: the Broncos last year. I think this year is gonna
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 6: be Frank reich and and the Carolina Panthers. Think I
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 6: hate every move they made outside of getting Bryce Young.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 6: I mean, first of all, they get Bryce Young, and
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 6: I get it, like you gotta, you know, go all
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 6: out for your franchise quarterback, but come on, like, get
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 6: get a deal done that doesn't give up his future
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 6: number one receiver just to get him there.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 5: So like you got Fleets for that.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 6: You pay fourteen mil to Thie win Over thirty year
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 6: old cooked. You pay thirteen mel for Hayden Hurst, thirty
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 6: year old tight end not never had six hundred yards
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 6: in a season. You pay, you pay the most, You
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 6: spend the most at running back, which shows you don't
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 6: know what the hell you're doing. For Miles Sanders, who
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 6: goes from you know, a great situation to one where
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 6: it's like, you know, bad because the offensive line is
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 6: not good. Your top pick from last year, ik Yakwan
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 6: has regressed. Uh, this is just reeks of a team
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 6: that they're trying to get these like veteran stop gaps
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 6: because Frank Reich doesn't want to lose, even though he
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 6: should be rebuilding. He's coming off these disastrous seasons in Indianapolis.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 6: But guess what he lost Gannon iber Flus. Uh.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 5: You know, although all of his top Sirianni.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 6: Once he started losing his coaching staff, that's when you
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 6: started seeing the coach blowing all those those games and
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 6: just being a disaster.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 5: This Carolina team doesn't have any of it. The GM
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: is bad, the coach is bad.
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 6: These teams usually struggle anyway. The only reason they're even
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 6: at seven and a half is because they're in his
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 6: weak division. But at the end of the day, this
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 6: team is not gonna win many games. In my opinion,
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 6: I think they're gonna They're one of the few teams
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 6: that their coaches is gonna lose them games. And you're
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 6: already starting to see the depth the lack of depth
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 6: play out. I mean, they literally got shut out in
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 6: the first week of the preseason. Like who gets shut
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 6: out in the preseason, Like it's just got guys going
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 6: one on one like you Like I don't. I'm not saying,
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 6: you know, you have to win, but like getting shut out,
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 6: that just shows a lack of depth on this team.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 5: So Bryce Young love them.
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 6: But the best thing that's gonna happen for this Carolina
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 6: team is they bottom out by like week twelve, so
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 6: that they're starting an actual rebuild at this time next
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 6: year and they could put some some good pieces around
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 6: Bryce because they spent they spent forty mil and their
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 6: offense is still the worst in the in the in
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 6: the division.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 5: How do you do that?
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 8: Like how how how do you do that?
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 5: Like it's it's it's just ridiculous, Like Tampa Bay probably
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 5: wins more games than this team.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: All right, well, look, uh the Dallas bet is gonna
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: haunt me. The the Panthers bet. I kind of agree
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: with you. I think that this is a team to
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: fade right now. I think I think we got a
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: lot done today, fellas, and I feel like we did
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: it without uh, you know, everybody actually drawing blood, which
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: is kind of a it's a little bit of an accomplishment.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: Let me recap. I got right now.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: I got Brandon loving the Texans, which is kind of insanity.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: I got Raybond loving the Titans, which makes a little
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: bit more sense now that we know Tannehill's not going anywhere.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: We all love the Falcons, Brandon loves the Cowboys, Raybon
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: hates the Panthers. We all agree that the NFC South
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: is both the most interesting division and the least interesting
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: division in the NFL. We all love Bjon Robinson. We're
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: all gonna root for Trevor Lawrence to get as many
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: touchdown passes as possible. As a reminder, the Favorites podcast
• 1:04:44
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