Latest / Trillions / New ETFs to Watch: MANGOS, Tax Tricks and Boring Bitcoin
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios.
- 0:04Speaker 2: Podcasts.
- 0:05Speaker 3: Radio. News. It's tough.
- 0:09Speaker 1: You know, it's tough to be that small trying to
- 0:12Speaker 1: come in on something where you're like the sixth or
- 0:13Speaker 1: seventh photonics. But I do like the name Aura.
- 0:18Speaker 3: Why?
- 0:19Speaker 1: Well, because my 15-year-old loves using that word all the time.
- 0:22Speaker 1: I apparently have negative aura, but that's a whole other story.
- 0:29Speaker 3: Welcome to Trillions. I'm Joel Weber.
- 0:30Speaker 1: And I'm Eric Balchunas.
- 0:31Speaker 3: Eric, you know what the world does not have enough of?
- 0:34Speaker 1: Restaurants that have kiddie play centers.
- 0:37Speaker 3: Not expecting that.
- 0:38Speaker 1: Isn't it crazy there's not more of those?
- 0:39Speaker 3: They took them out.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Chick-fil-A has one. That's why it's so popular.
- 0:42Speaker 3: McDonald's used to have them. They don't have them anymore.
- 0:44Speaker 3: Burger King, all gone.
- 0:45Speaker 1: But yeah, need more of those.
- 0:47Speaker 3: I was going to say exchange-traded funds.
- 0:49Speaker 1: That too.
- 0:49Speaker 3: There's thousands of them. Thousands.
- 0:51Speaker 1: No, there's too many, honestly.
- 0:53Speaker 3: But in August, there's been 128 new launches last month.
- 0:59Speaker 3: We need more.
- 0:59Speaker 1: Yeah, there are six or seven launching a day this year.
- 1:03Speaker 1: That's the pace we're at. It's mind-numbing. And I can't
- 1:07Speaker 1: keep up with them. But yeah, it's pouring right now.
- 1:11Speaker 3: But we're back with new ones to watch because there's
- 1:14Speaker 3: always some gems out there. Yep. And joining us to
- 1:19Speaker 3: walk through our three new ETFs to watch, Isabel Lee,
- 1:23Speaker 3: cross-asset reporter at Bloomberg News. Welcome back, Isabel.
- 1:26Speaker 4: Thank you. Excited to be here, as always.
- 1:30Speaker 3: This time on Trillions, new ETFs to watch. Okay, Eric,
- 1:35Speaker 3: what's our big hit this episode?
- 1:39Speaker 1: So I just sort them by assets and I look, okay,
- 1:41Speaker 1: what was the one with the most assets so far
- 1:43Speaker 1: this month? And the answer is kind of a shocker,
- 1:45Speaker 1: the investment house ETF, TIH. Never heard of it. It
- 1:50Speaker 1: sounds like a one-off and I looked, it is under
- 1:52Speaker 1: the white label ETF architect. So then I'm like, it's
- 1:54Speaker 1: probably a 351 exchange.
- 1:56Speaker 3: And it is.
- 1:57Speaker 1: But it has, I believe, 600 million. That's a lot
- 2:00Speaker 1: for a movie.
- 2:00Speaker 3: Reminder for people who don't know what a 351 conversion is.
- 2:03Speaker 1: So if you have, let's say you have a stock
- 2:06Speaker 1: or two and they've had so much gains and you
- 2:10Speaker 1: just don't want to realize those gains now, there's a
- 2:12Speaker 1: way to work with an ETF issuer to diversify your
- 2:16Speaker 1: portfolio and move those stocks into a diversified ETF and
- 2:21Speaker 1: defer your tax on that. And that way you can have...
- 2:25Speaker 1: It's sort of like saying, hey, I have Navidi in
- 2:27Speaker 1: this other stock and they're like really, really have a
- 2:30Speaker 1: lot of gains and I don't want to realize them.
- 2:32Speaker 1: So let me move them. I wish I had just
- 2:34Speaker 1: like a Vanguard fund instead, but I don't want to
- 2:36Speaker 1: sell those and buy Vanguard because it's a huge tax hit.
- 2:38Speaker 1: So you can kind of merge those into a Vanguardian
- 2:41Speaker 1: ETF and have a diversification and then defer your gains.
- 2:45Speaker 1: You don't lose the basis that you bought it at.
- 2:47Speaker 1: So you do pay, but you can defer. And there's
- 2:49Speaker 1: been a couple of Bloomberg News articles on it. And
- 2:52Speaker 1: there's a spectrum.
- 2:52Speaker 3: Much more popular.
- 2:53Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah. There's a spirit of the law and they're
- 2:56Speaker 1: pushing it a little. But this one looks pretty straightforward
- 2:59Speaker 1: under ETF architect. And this is a growing business. I
- 3:02Speaker 1: believe $ 17 billion worth of these.
- 3:04Speaker 5: We have written a lot about these stories and actually
- 3:07Speaker 5: getting to the bottom of who is actually doing this,
- 3:09Speaker 5: the families. It's becoming harder and harder, although some are
- 3:12Speaker 5: out there. Like in our story, we wrote Melvin Capital.
- 3:15Speaker 5: That's like, you know, the famous Gabe Plotkin, who we
- 3:19Speaker 5: all knew him from the GameStop era and a.
- 3:21Speaker 4: Lot of other rich families.
- 3:22Speaker 5: It's not illegal, but it's just to Eric's point, I
- 3:25Speaker 5: think you just don't want to get any attention when
- 3:29Speaker 5: it comes to lots of money and lots of taxes.
- 3:32Speaker 5: And I looked into this ETF and they hold all
- 3:34Speaker 5: the big tech companies that you can imagine. I mean,
- 3:37Speaker 5: all of these tech bros out there, I think they're
- 3:39Speaker 5: just so unimaginably rich. I'm sure you've seen this meme
- 3:43Speaker 5: on Twitter or X now, Eric, like the SK Hynix
- 3:46Speaker 5: or Samsung bros. They're just so darn rich now.
- 3:50Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's probably more of the older generation,
- 3:53Speaker 1: I think, generally, because they have been in this market
- 3:56Speaker 1: now for 20, 30 years. And they have a lot
- 3:58Speaker 1: of gains and they hate taxes. And honestly, this move
- 4:01Speaker 1: has been going on for a long time in the
- 4:03Speaker 1: institutional world. Like if you're in the really, really rich bracket,
- 4:07Speaker 1: you could just call up your banker, basically, and do a...
- 4:10Speaker 1: You can convert your stock into what's called an exchange fund.
- 4:14Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 4:14Speaker 1: So this is just democratizing that move. Now, what's interesting
- 4:18Speaker 1: is they actually open these up. So in a Schwab account,
- 4:20Speaker 1: you can get in on these. So not all of
- 4:22Speaker 1: them are done like bespoke. There's actually opening up to
- 4:24Speaker 1: just regular people.
- 4:25Speaker 4: Mm-hmm.
- 4:26Speaker 1: Long story short, huge trend, kind of complex, but generally
- 4:29Speaker 1: a tax story. So when you look at the holdings
- 4:31Speaker 1: of this, it just looks like the S & P.
- 4:33Speaker 1: It's nothing special. Nobody's bought it since this.
- 4:35Speaker 3: I was going to ask. No. So the flows are
- 4:38Speaker 3: like a one-time event effectively? Yeah.
- 4:40Speaker 1: They're not launching this thinking, let's get all this money.
- 4:42Speaker 1: So I was hesitant to pick it, but I thought
- 4:45Speaker 1: it was a good time to talk about this because
- 4:46Speaker 1: there's been a ton of news articles on it. And
- 4:47Speaker 1: I was just at the ETF Architect had their annual event,
- 4:50Speaker 1: which I speak at every other year. And it was
- 4:53Speaker 1: a really good event. But I'd say a third of
- 4:56Speaker 1: the sessions were on tax strategies. And the guy, Brett Sullivan,
- 5:00Speaker 1: who's really known for this, he's a specialist, he was
- 5:04Speaker 1: there talking about it. I mean, and his general message was, look,
- 5:07Speaker 1: you have to be smart about this. And you have
- 5:11Speaker 1: to adhere to some basic rules and principles. You can't
- 5:14Speaker 1: go too hog wild. And I agree with that. I
- 5:16Speaker 1: think ETF businesses, though, they like to push the envelope.
- 5:20Speaker 1: So I think what now the Treasury may look at
- 5:22Speaker 1: this And there may be a line drawn somewhere. I
- 5:25Speaker 1: won't get into details, but it has to do with
- 5:26Speaker 1: how many stocks you can come in with and how
- 5:29Speaker 1: to diversify. There's like percentages.
- 5:31Speaker 3: Because I'm the house now, says Scott Besson.
- 5:34Speaker 4: You are the house now.
- 5:35Speaker 1: I know.
- 5:35Speaker 3: I'm the house now. You don't want to cross the house, man.
- 5:38Speaker 1: I am the law.
- 5:39Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 5:39Speaker 1: That's what that reminds me of.
- 5:40Speaker 3: I'm the captain now. Yeah.
- 5:41Speaker 1: I'm the captain.
- 5:42Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 5:42Speaker 1: Okay.
- 5:42Speaker 2: So if I have the money and I want to
- 5:46Speaker 2: do one of these 351 conversions and someone creates this
- 5:49Speaker 2: ETF for me, what are– How much are they charging
- 5:52Speaker 2: in the basis points in this ETF?
- 5:54Speaker 3: Like, is there a silver lining in this ETF, which
- 5:57Speaker 3: is that maybe it's cheap?
- 6:00Speaker 5: It's 100 basis points, Joel. So I'm not sure if
- 6:03Speaker 5: you'd want to do that. It's kind of pricey for...
- 6:06Speaker 5: Is it.
- 6:07Speaker 3: Pricey, Eric?
- 6:08Speaker 1: I don't totally understand the high fee, to be honest
- 6:10Speaker 1: with you. So that... And if you look at the.
- 6:12Speaker 3: Maybe it's the moat.
- 6:14Speaker 1: If you look at the stocks, I mean, you can
- 6:15Speaker 1: get that for three bips now, too.
- 6:17Speaker 3: So I.
- 6:18Speaker 1: This is not about a product that they're trying to
- 6:21Speaker 1: get investors into, I don't think. However, I've seen bespoke
- 6:24Speaker 1: products come in. There's one that was recently put out
- 6:27Speaker 1: that CalPERS seeded with State Street. And a lot of
- 6:30Speaker 1: times those are pretty low cost because I think State
- 6:32Speaker 1: Street's like, look, we have this anchor tenant. Let's make
- 6:34Speaker 1: it lower fee and competitive just in case other people
- 6:36Speaker 1: want to come in. This one just doesn't seem like
- 6:38Speaker 1: it cares, which is fine. There's a group of people
- 6:44Speaker 1: who convert separate accounts. ETFs are just so damn benefit
- 6:48Speaker 1: rich that people convert a lot of things into them.
- 6:51Speaker 1: And not everybody cares about getting new investors. Most of
- 6:54Speaker 1: them do. This is just an example of one that doesn't.
- 6:56Speaker 1: But yeah, that It's a new world. You know, normally
- 7:00Speaker 1: I would go to the top of the list and
- 7:01Speaker 1: see like a BlackRock or Vanguard ETF. And now you
- 7:03Speaker 1: never know what you're going to see up there.
- 7:04Speaker 5: I'm glad you picked this because, again, it shows that
- 7:06Speaker 5: asset managers are increasingly using tax efficient packages and ETF
- 7:09Speaker 5: is one of them. And you got into a healthy
- 7:11Speaker 5: debate on X about this. And I saw it, that
- 7:14Speaker 5: it's tax deferral. It's not really like you're never going
- 7:17Speaker 5: to pay taxes anymore. And I think that's the important
- 7:19Speaker 5: thing that people just need to remember.
- 7:20Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 7:21Speaker 1: I mean, the headline will say DODGE. you know, from Bloomberg.
- 7:25Speaker 1: And I understand you could do mental gymnastics and say
- 7:28Speaker 1: it is a dodge and it, well, you'll get more clicks,
- 7:32Speaker 1: which I can understand. I try to get clicks too.
- 7:34Speaker 3: Don't worry.
- 7:34Speaker 1: But I think defer, you know, you put deferment in
- 7:38Speaker 1: a defer deferment in a headline.
- 7:40Speaker 3: I'm sorry.
- 7:40Speaker 1: It's just like investor repellent. It's like, that's so boring
- 7:43Speaker 1: of a word anyway. Believe me, I know. Cause I
- 7:45Speaker 1: put institutional in the name of a book and like,
- 7:48Speaker 1: it was like spring reader repellent on the title. And
- 7:51Speaker 1: so deferment is sort of like that, but dodge is
- 7:53Speaker 1: like a little more like, ooh, what's going on here?
- 7:55Speaker 1: So I get it. But in the story, they say
- 7:57Speaker 1: it's deferment. And that's what the industry would push back on. However,
- 8:00Speaker 1: you could say, well, the government really should have that
- 8:03Speaker 1: money now. Then they can do other things with it.
- 8:06Speaker 1: Whereas you defer, you're starving the government of money and
- 8:10Speaker 1: you can actually invest it and make more money. So therefore,
- 8:13Speaker 1: I looked at the word dodge and it means to
- 8:15Speaker 1: avoid completely. So I just think definitionally defer is more accurate.
- 8:20Speaker 4: Thank you for that GRE lesson, Eric.
- 8:22Speaker 3: Okay, I'm curious how you're going to follow that since
- 8:25Speaker 3: that was a little bit of a wild card. What's
- 8:26Speaker 3: our actual wild card ETF for this episode? All right,
- 8:30Speaker 3: you ready for this one? Yeah.
- 8:31Speaker 1: I'm going to drop a new Wall Street acronym on you.
- 8:34Speaker 1: You know the MAG7?
- 8:35Speaker 3: Yes.
- 8:35Speaker 1: Get ready for mangoes, okay? The Yorkville America Mangoes Plus
- 8:40Speaker 1: Index ETF, ticker FRUT, F-R-U-T.
- 8:43Speaker 5: The ticker is the winner for me, although we've seen
- 8:45Speaker 5: a lot of filings about mangoes.
- 8:47Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah.
- 8:48Speaker 4: I don't think they invented Mango.
- 8:49Speaker 3: What does Mango mean again?
- 8:50Speaker 5: Mango stands for Meta, Anthropic, NVIDIA, Google slash Alphabet, OpenAI,
- 8:55Speaker 5: and SpaceX. And I think the noteworthy thing there is
- 8:58Speaker 5: that there are two companies there that are private.
- 9:00Speaker 4: So again, this is a story of.
- 9:01Speaker 3: But going public, we think.
- 9:03Speaker 4: Yes, we think. Our reporting says soon. But again, if
- 9:07Speaker 4: this just.
- 9:08Speaker 5: talks to us about putting private assets in an ETF,
- 9:11Speaker 5: how that will work. Is it going to be in
- 9:13Speaker 5: an SPV or do they have a cap table exposure
- 9:16Speaker 5: and all that? But yes, mangoes is a new thing.
- 9:20Speaker 5: I was trying to make an index of it to
- 9:21Speaker 5: compare it with MAG7. And I was like, oh my gosh,
- 9:23Speaker 5: you're so silly. Again, two companies are so private.
- 9:26Speaker 1: Yeah, and it does hold, there was a leveraged mangoes
- 9:28Speaker 1: that came out, but it doesn't hold those two privates.
- 9:31Speaker 1: And so they actually lower cased.
- 9:34Speaker 4: No, stop.
- 9:35Speaker 1: Really?
- 9:36Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 9:36Speaker 4: This is too much.
- 9:37Speaker 1: Yeah, this is too much. Anyway, this one is legit, though,
- 9:40Speaker 1: because now it does hold the OpenAI and Anthropic through
- 9:42Speaker 1: special purpose vehicles. But it's pretty much all you can
- 9:45Speaker 1: do unless you have a connection. And this one actually,
- 9:48Speaker 1: the plus.
- 9:49Speaker 3: But those must be placeholders, too. Like, wait until they
- 9:51Speaker 3: go public and then.
- 9:52Speaker 1: It'll be replaced.
- 9:52Speaker 3: Absolutely.
- 9:53Speaker 5: And then when they go public, those two companies, then
- 9:55Speaker 5: what makes this special? It's just going to be like
- 9:58Speaker 5: any other.
- 9:58Speaker 1: Well, AI is not going away.
- 10:00Speaker 4: I guess so.
- 10:01Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 10:01Speaker 1: But anthropic, I mean, some of the debates around anthropic
- 10:04Speaker 1: and like how these AI is going to like destroy
- 10:07Speaker 1: the human race. This is heavy duty stuff. So I
- 10:10Speaker 1: think for an investor, like I know when I travel
- 10:11Speaker 1: around and talk to like regular investors, they really want
- 10:14Speaker 1: to get into AI. They think it's going to be big.
- 10:16Speaker 1: So even if it holds it after it goes public,
- 10:18Speaker 1: Maybe there's a downturn because there's like SpaceX, you know,
- 10:21Speaker 1: it goes public and then people sell it. Over time,
- 10:23Speaker 1: I just think like, is open AI and anthropic really
- 10:26Speaker 1: going to go away? I mean, this is a big trend.
- 10:29Speaker 1: They also have a plus on there and they own
- 10:31Speaker 1: what's called the Parabolic 7. What is that? This reminds
- 10:35Speaker 1: me of the Western movies of like the 50s, like
- 10:37Speaker 1: the Magnificent 7 and like the Hardcore 8, whatever.
- 10:40Speaker 3: Okay, anyway.
- 10:40Speaker 4: No one remembers.
- 10:41Speaker 1: The Parabolic 7. SanDisk, Marvel, Micron, Intel, Dell, AMD, and Broadcom.
- 10:45Speaker 3: Oh, so it's like the support network.
- 10:47Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 10:47Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 10:48Speaker 1: So, I mean, these are some hot, highfalutin stocks here, Joel. So, look,
- 10:52Speaker 1: I could see this maybe gaining attraction. Like, this is
- 10:55Speaker 1: the kind of ETF that could go on a run. Now,
- 10:58Speaker 1: whether it, like, takes over from the Mag7 and Mangos becomes, like,
- 11:01Speaker 1: a household word, I don't know. I have not heard
- 11:03Speaker 1: it outside of these ETF filings. Like, no one's running
- 11:05Speaker 1: around saying, like, Mangos this, Mango that. Whereas Mag 7
- 11:08Speaker 1: is definitely in like the vernacular.
- 11:10Speaker 3: It's still early.
- 11:11Speaker 1: It's still early.
- 11:11Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 11:12Speaker 1: But anyway.
- 11:12Speaker 3: People are talking about mangoes though. Yeah. A thing I
- 11:16Speaker 3: did not know. There are hundreds of species of mangoes.
- 11:18Speaker 3: Did you know that?
- 11:18Speaker 4: Of course. And the Philippines has the best mangoes.
- 11:21Speaker 1: So it makes sense. The metaphor.
- 11:23Speaker 3: I think India is going to dispute that.
- 11:25Speaker 5: My husband actually who is Indian. This is the biggest
- 11:28Speaker 5: debate in our home.
- 11:29Speaker 3: He says his are better. Of course. No, no.
- 11:31Speaker 1: How about the other debate? We have the cleaning people
- 11:33Speaker 1: come sometimes. And then because we always talk about. My
- 11:37Speaker 1: wife is insane the day before they come. She like
- 11:41Speaker 1: cleans the whole house. And if I have anything lying around,
- 11:44Speaker 1: she's like, clean it up. And I'm like, well, what's
- 11:47Speaker 1: the point of having the people come then?
- 11:48Speaker 3: This is called the pre-clean. Yeah.
- 11:50Speaker 1: Of course.
- 11:50Speaker 5: You always have to clean before the kind cleaning lady comes.
- 11:53Speaker 4: So the kind cleaning lady doesn't think you're messy.
- 11:56Speaker 1: That's the thing. It's about the image that she's portraying.
- 11:59Speaker 1: And I'm like, oh my God. The day before the
- 12:02Speaker 1: cleaners come is always like.
- 12:03Speaker 3: It's not the day. It's the five minutes.
- 12:05Speaker 4: Wait, do you do that?
- 12:07Speaker 1: My wife's way prior planning.
- 12:08Speaker 3: I shove everything in a closet or the laundry hamper
- 12:11Speaker 3: and I'm like, take it as it is. But it's
- 12:14Speaker 3: a thing.
- 12:14Speaker 4: No, we clean because we don't want to.
- 12:16Speaker 1: We don't clean.
- 12:16Speaker 3: We just like sort.
- 12:18Speaker 5: We don't want the cleaners to think that this client
- 12:20Speaker 5: is the messiest.
- 12:21Speaker 4: We want to be the best.
- 12:23Speaker 1: I know. It's a very.
- 12:24Speaker 4: I'm with your wife on this one, Eric.
- 12:26Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 12:26Speaker 3: So how many Mango ETFs are we going to see?
- 12:28Speaker 1: So I think we have a couple on the market.
- 12:30Speaker 1: I think we're going to see probably like six or seven.
- 12:32Speaker 1: And then we'll see if they take off. If they do,
- 12:34Speaker 1: we'll see way more. But I know Corgi.
- 12:38Speaker 3: Of course, they have one.
- 12:39Speaker 1: They have everything. Corgi has one.
- 12:41Speaker 3: Only one?
- 12:42Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 12:42Speaker 3: We'll see.
- 12:43Speaker 1: There might be two. They probably have a leverage too.
- 12:45Speaker 1: I can't remember, but I know they have one at
- 12:46Speaker 1: least straight up one. But the Yorkville one I'm tracking
- 12:50Speaker 1: because it does have the privates in there.
- 12:52Speaker 3: And what was the ticker? Fruit. F-R-U-T.
- 12:55Speaker 1: Good ticker.
- 12:56Speaker 4: It starts with 50 basis points, right?
- 12:58Speaker 1: 50 bips. Not bad. I mean, it's reasonable for a
- 13:00Speaker 1: hot saucy type product.
- 13:02Speaker 3: All right. Final category. Love this one in general. Good
- 13:06Speaker 3: luck with that. Who's our winner? All right.
- 13:09Speaker 1: Good luck with that this week. Before I get to
- 13:11Speaker 1: my real pick, there's one that just caught my attention.
- 13:14Speaker 1: I just got to go over it. The Aura AI
- 13:16Speaker 1: Photonics ETF, P-H-O-X. It's tough. It's tough to be that
- 13:20Speaker 1: small trying to come in on something where you're like
- 13:22Speaker 1: the sixth or seventh photonics. But I do like the
- 13:26Speaker 1: name Aura.
- 13:26Speaker 3: Why?
- 13:27Speaker 1: Well, because my 15-year-old Loves using that word all the time.
- 13:32Speaker 1: I apparently have negative aura, but that's a whole nother story.
- 13:35Speaker 4: Your wife will also say that the day the cleaner comes.
- 13:38Speaker 1: He went to camp two years ago and him and
- 13:39Speaker 1: his friend were like, this one counselor has like aura
- 13:42Speaker 1: to give. He was like, so cool. This guy was
- 13:44Speaker 1: so cool. He's like, he has aura to give. Anyway,
- 13:46Speaker 1: aura is like the new word. Do you have permanently negative.
- 13:47Speaker 4: Aura or day to day you have different auras?
- 13:50Speaker 3: No. To his kid, it's permanent.
- 13:52Speaker 1: Yeah. For my kid, it's negative permanent aura. Anyway, I
- 13:56Speaker 1: like the name. It's kind of like speaks to Gen Z. Yeah.
- 13:59Speaker 1: But it's really tough. And the ticker is P-H-O-X. That
- 14:04Speaker 1: wasn't even my real pick, Joel. The real pick, yeah.
- 14:06Speaker 1: I just wanted to talk Aura for a minute. I'm
- 14:10Speaker 1: obsessed with these words that my kid uses. Aura is
- 14:13Speaker 1: probably a top fiver.
- 14:15Speaker 3: But OK, what was the real one?
- 14:16Speaker 1: Yeah. The real one is the Hedgeye Hedged Bitcoin ETF HBIT.
- 14:20Speaker 1: The reason I picked this one is because it's, again,
- 14:24Speaker 1: very late in the Bitcoin launching, number one. Number two, hedged. Bitcoin,
- 14:29Speaker 1: I think, is a hot sauce. And I think that
- 14:32Speaker 1: when you have a portfolio, most people who use ETFs
- 14:35Speaker 1: are going to have just a little Bitcoin. They don't
- 14:37Speaker 1: want to hedge. They don't want any part of that.
- 14:40Speaker 1: They want to experience the pure melt-up. Bitcoin went up
- 14:43Speaker 1: like 25% or something in like a couple weeks. When
- 14:47Speaker 1: it moves, it moves quick. And so a lot of
- 14:50Speaker 1: the buffers and the hedging ones just don't take off anyway.
- 14:52Speaker 1: And if you're late, it's definitely not It's going to
- 14:55Speaker 1: be tough.
- 14:56Speaker 3: There was a moment, though, where hedge currency ETFs were
- 15:00Speaker 3: a thing. Is there something to read into this because
- 15:03Speaker 3: of that?
- 15:03Speaker 1: No, I don't think so. Because when Bitcoin went down
- 15:07Speaker 1: after that run up, it went down like 1.3% since
- 15:10Speaker 1: this launched. And this one, I think it saved you
- 15:12Speaker 1: 30 bps. It just wasn't a lot of buffer. And
- 15:15Speaker 1: so I think the idea here is instead of being
- 15:17Speaker 1: like a permanent buffer where we're always hedged, we're going
- 15:20Speaker 1: to actually have dynamic hedge. So we can actually look
- 15:23Speaker 1: at market signals. HedgeEyes, you know, definitely looks at signals
- 15:27Speaker 1: and they have a couple of the products I think
- 15:28Speaker 1: are more appropriate for signals. I just think when it
- 15:31Speaker 1: comes to Bitcoin, people don't- You want it all. You
- 15:34Speaker 1: want it pure.
- 15:34Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 15:35Speaker 1: And I think it's, and again, it's a little late
- 15:39Speaker 1: and Bitcoin's already really got its face ripped off. Like
- 15:42Speaker 1: maybe if this was launched before the face ripper, but
- 15:45Speaker 1: now I think people are like, if they're going to
- 15:46Speaker 1: buy it, they're like, they want the upswing now. They
- 15:49Speaker 1: don't want to hedge.
- 15:49Speaker 3: So Maybe. We'll see.
- 15:51Speaker 1: I'll eat my words if this thing gets asset. But
- 15:53Speaker 1: if I had to bet, this thing won't be around.
- 15:55Speaker 3: In two years.
- 15:56Speaker 5: Why do you think they are holding Bitcoin ETPs, ETFs,
- 16:00Speaker 5: rather than just Bitcoin directly? That's like Joel said, meta, earlier.
- 16:05Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 16:05Speaker 1: Well, for a lot of hedge fund type places, and
- 16:10Speaker 1: if you're not really wanting to take on a lot
- 16:14Speaker 1: of exposure, the ETF is just easier. I mean, I bet,
- 16:17Speaker 1: to be honest with you, even a professional investor who
- 16:20Speaker 1: goes to like a Bitcoin exchange, you'd get a better
- 16:23Speaker 1: price just trading iBit at a one or two basis
- 16:26Speaker 1: point spread. You do have to pay the management fee
- 16:29Speaker 1: per year, but that's only like 20 something basis points.
- 16:32Speaker 1: It's honestly a better deal than going direct.
- 16:34Speaker 5: This ETF, I think the expense ratio is 70 BIPs.
- 16:37Speaker 5: I just don't know. I feel like people who invest
- 16:39Speaker 5: in Bitcoin want it for the volatility and now you
- 16:41Speaker 5: want more in Bitcoin.
- 16:42Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's the bigger. I don't think people
- 16:44Speaker 1: would judge this one for owning iBit. I think Because
- 16:48Speaker 1: they're not reselling iBit. They're not saying, yeah, that would
- 16:50Speaker 1: be weird. But they're just like, look, we're going to
- 16:52Speaker 1: use iBit. And they probably use iBit options to hedge
- 16:55Speaker 1: when they want to. And those are very liquid and
- 16:58Speaker 1: cheap markets. I think that's a smart move, honestly, versus
- 17:01Speaker 1: using Bitcoin directly. I just think this is one of
- 17:06Speaker 1: those categories that I just don't ever see any of
- 17:09Speaker 1: these hedging products really doing much. The only one I
- 17:14Speaker 1: could see maybe taking off is the JEPI one, like
- 17:19Speaker 1: where you take Bitcoin and you go way out of
- 17:22Speaker 1: the money. So you do get like, I would say 80%
- 17:25Speaker 1: of Bitcoin's upside. You give a little bit and you
- 17:28Speaker 1: sell that to get some income. So that company Goldman
- 17:31Speaker 1: bought Neos, they have a Bitcoin premium income ETF. And
- 17:34Speaker 1: so if you're looking for income and you're like a boomer,
- 17:36Speaker 1: you can use Bitcoin's volatility to get more income. That's
- 17:39Speaker 1: a different situation. I think those can be mildly successful.
- 17:43Speaker 1: And I've seen these hedge ETFs that are dynamic. It
- 17:45Speaker 1: is so hard to time the market over and over.
- 17:48Speaker 1: You might get it once, but they're very difficult. So
- 17:50Speaker 1: equity hedge ETFs haven't sold really that well either.
- 17:53Speaker 4: So good luck with that.
- 17:55Speaker 3: Yeah. Isabel, thanks for joining us on Trillions.
- 17:57Speaker 4: Always a pleasure.
- 18:04Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to Trillions. Until next time, you can
- 18:07Speaker 3: find us on the Bloomberg Terminal, Bloomberg.com, Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
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- 18:16Speaker 3: produced by Magnus Sindriksen and Keshav Pandya. Amy Keene is
- 18:21Speaker 3: our executive producer. Cheryl Brumley is the head of Bloomberg Podcast. Bye.