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Ohio State Football Insider: Buckeyes Favored To Beat Michigan In 2024 · Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning

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  Welcome to Buck Guys tomorrow morning for Monday, February twelfth. I'm your host,
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  Tom Moore. The Akron game in two hundred and one days, the
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  game against Michigan in two hundred and ninety two days. Season still two hundred
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  days away, but gambling season, well, that has already started around college
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  football. Some of the very early lines on some of the big games of
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  the year are out. Some of the over unders on teams are out.
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  From the national Championship odds are out. Just kind of an interesting way,
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  you know, you don't have to put any money down, just kind of
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  more of an interesting way to look at some expectations around this year's season.
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  Buck Guys, looking like they, you know, the gambling lines seem to
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  be matching a lot of the expectations I think around this year's Ohio State team.
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  I'm going to bring our buddy, Tony Gerdman of Bucky Huddle dot com.
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  If you talk about all of that stuff, Tony, let's start with
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  some of the big ten over unders. These come from Fan Duel and just
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  sort of just sort of to frame our conversation here. These are regular season
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  over unders. So when we say Ohio State is the over unders ten and
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  a half wins. That is ten and a half out of the twelve regular
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  season games, not including the Big Ten championship game, not including college football
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  playoff games, just those twelve regular season games. So, Tony, the
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  Big Ten list starts with Ohio State at ten and a half, Oregon at
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  ten and a half, Michigan at nine and a half, penn State at
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  nine and a half, and then it drops down to USA, Washington,
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  Nebraska, Iowa, Maryland all at seven and a half, the bottom of
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  the ladder Minnesota and Purdue at four and a half. Is there anything on
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  here that jumps out to you as boy, that's kind of a surprising or
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  intriguing number. Well, I think it's always surprising to see Ohio State having
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  or somebody having the same number as Ohio State that isn't Michigan, because we
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  don't get to see that very often. So for Oregon at Ohio State to
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  both be ten and a half is just it's interesting to me. But the
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  first time I saw this, the thing that jipped out to me was Michigan
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  at nine and a half because everything going on right now at Michigan and the
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  unknowns of what the offense is going to look like and what the coaching staff
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  is going to look like. Nine and a half just feels alike a lot
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  and not a lot by a lot. But I feels like I would prefer
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  the under on that one. They do play Texas this year, that game
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  is at home, but they go to Ohio State, they of course will
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  play They'll host Oregon as well. So like, those are three really difficult
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  games, and yeah, you get two of them at home, but you're
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  going to be underdogs and likely all three of those games. So they would
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  have to win one of those and not lose any others. And really,
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  I just think there are so many unknowns right now that that's may be the
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  all of the others, the any others. That is the biggest fly in
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  this nine and a half ointment here. Yeah, that one jumped out to
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  me as well, because, as you said, they go to Ohio State,
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  they play Oregon at home. Home, they play Texas at home.
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  Those are three of probably like the top five six teams in the country.
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  And if you lose it throws three games, you can go nine to zero
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  and the rest of them you're still under You still have to go you have
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  a game at Washington, which Washington is not going to be what they were
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  this past year. But I don't think Michigan's could be what they were this
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  past year either. You got USC at home. It just it feels like
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  that one is likely to go under. The Oregon one is intriguing as well.
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  The Ducks. All you got to do is find two losses on the
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  schedule. They have Ohio State at home. One of those teams is going
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  to lose that game. They go to Michigan, they go to Wisconsin.
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  They've got Washington at home. You know that that feels like that could be
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  an under. Ohio State has a tricky schedule too. Got at Oregon,
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  you got at Penn State, you got Michigan at home. You know,
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  I think you could see any of those teams. I don't think any of
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  those teams are guaranteed to go over by any means. It is, you
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  know, and you know, is this the year that Penn State finally puts
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  it all together? It feels like every year we think, oh this is
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  you know, certainly, certainly this will be the year that happens. Penn
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  State at nine and a half. They have to go to USC, they
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  have to go to Wisconsin. They have Ohio State at home, they have
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  Washington at home. I think my big takeaway from all of this, more
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  than anything else other than I'm right there with you on Michigan going under is,
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  boy, the schedules in the Big Ten all of a sudden, this
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  is this is no longer a two game season for anyone. This is you
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  know, you have like half of your league games. Are you know,
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  We'll see how good Washington is this year, We'll see how good USC is
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  this year. But you got some big names on your schedule, making up
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  like half of your Big Ten schedule. Yeah, for sure. And even
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  though you might have a little dip for Washington or USC, there's still a
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  considerable amount of talent there compared to like going to Bloomington or something like that.
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  It's going to be a step up for much of your schedule. And
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  when I was thinking that, I would probably go Ohio State and Oregon.
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  I'd take both of those overs, which seems like kind of dangerous to take
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  two overs like that when they play each other, and so you're guaranteed there's
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  gonna be one loss in there somewhere. But when you look at that Oregon
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  schedule, I mean it's it's pretty favorable, but you do have a stretch
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  where you go to Michigan, then you've got Maryland at home, but then
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  you go to Wisconsin, and then you have a week off and you've got
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  Washington at home. So there are definitely opportunities for tripping up. Would it
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  just be safer just to take all of the unders at this point because I'll
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  tell you another one, Tom that i Nebraska is seven and a half.
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  They've got a pretty good schedule, as I scrambled to find it up rather
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  but what they don't have is, you know, I'm trying to think who
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  is their quarterback? You know, and I went to the porter, like
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  who did they get? Who did they get? It's like, oh,
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  Dylan Reola. So if you've got a true freshman quarterback like they have Colorado
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  at home? Is that? How are you feeling about that one right now?
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  When Colorado is gonna have some more experience than the Nebraska. But it's
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  it's in Lincoln. You know, Nebraska's road schedule, they do go to
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  Ohio State, they do go to usc but they've got Wisconsin at home.
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  They do have to go to Iowa at the end of the season, they
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  go to Purdue. What is Purdue right now? But my question is how
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  much can you rely on a true freshman quarterback if he is winning the job,
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  Because eight wins at Nebraska would be a good thing on a normal year
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  at this point, and now you're talking about this normal year being oh,
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  maybe a true freshman quarterback. When they do start relatively slowly, They've got
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  Utep at home, Colorado at home, we'll see what Colorado is this year,
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  then Northern Iowa, then Illinois at home at Purdue Perdues over under is
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  only four and a half. Then they have Rutgers at home, then you
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  go to Indiana. That gets you through October nineteenth. I mean, it
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  is not out of the realm of possibility. They could start seven and oh
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  the over under is only seven and a half at Ohio State, Ucla at
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  USC, Wisconsin at Iowa to wrap the season. So you know, even
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  if you're six and one, you're still probably sweating that out. Because I
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  don't know, other than Ucla at home, I don't know that I'm feeling
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  tremendous about any of those for Nebraska. It also made me think, Tony,
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  you look at the Texas on Michigan schedule starting this you know, the
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  second game of the season against Texas. With as challenging as the conference schedule
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  is going to be. Got to remember this time next year, Texas is
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  coming to Ohio Stadium in twenty twenty five. That is going to be you
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  know those non conference, big, big non conference games. You wonder how
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  long now those kind of series are going to last, with as challenging as
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  those games are, because twenty twenty five, this is not this year,
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  this is next year. Ohio State has Texas at home, they have to
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  go to Michigan, they have Penn State at home, they have to go
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  to Washington, they have to go to Wisconsin. They're I mean, that's
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  like half of your schedule being pretty challenging. So that'll be interesting to see
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  how long those kind of series last. Let's talk Tony quickly about a couple
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  of the individual games on the Buckeye schedule with some intriguing early point spreads.
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  They've only released like a dozen I think early point spreads. This was from
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  sports betting dot ag Oregon currently a one and a half point favorite against Ohio
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  State. Ohio State a six and a half point favorite over Michigan. Is
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  there one of those lines that jumps out to you one way or the other.
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  I think the Oregon line is it just gets to your tension because Ohio
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  State is an underdog against again somebody that isn't Michigan, and so you have
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  to For me, it's like, oh, yeah, that's right. Oregon
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  is done. It's finally happening. They are coming to the big ten.
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  This is real. And you know we were supposed to go to Oregon,
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  to travel to Oregon a few years back and didn't happen. Now this is
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  like a legit thing. And you know they replaced bo Nicks with Dylan Gabriel.
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  I don't well see how how effective that is, But like, Oregon
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  is real, and so you know, being a one and a half point
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  underdog, I'd be interested to see how long it stays that way or which
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  way it goes. Did the six and a half feel a little low for
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  you, though? Tom? I have been saying for a couple months now,
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  even going back to the middle of last fall, if you can find
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  a Michigan fan who's willing to give you, or who willing to take ten
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  points or even fourteen points for the twenty twenty four Ohio State Michigan game.
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  You should seek them out and you should seek to uh reach an agreement with
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  them because it just I think this is going to be a real step back
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  year for Michigan. And this is a year where it feels like a lot
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  of stuff is lining up for Ohio State to have a pretty good year.
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  Yeah, I think the Oregon line. I think you could see that either
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  way. You know, Autsin Stadium is a difficult place to play. You
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  know, there's a crown on the field there, Tony, there's a little
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  deep cut for you. So that's uh gotta watch, got to watch out
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  for the crown on the field. Also the crowd noise there. But that's
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  a that that is a team that is you know there. You think of
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  them as the cutesy little uh you know, they've got their they've got the
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  cute little uniforms and they run the little It's like no, no, no,
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  no, no, they Dan Landing is going to mash your face it
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  and that is not this is not the old Oregon football team. I think
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  that's gonna be a real challenging one for Ohio State. The Michigan game.
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  Yeah, but you and I again I think everyone listening to this and going,
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  oh, of course they're gonna pick Ohio to be a Michigan. Yeah,
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  Tony and I both pick Michigan to beat Ohio State last year. Don't
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  worry, we will tell you what we think. I think Ohio State is
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  going to kick Michigan's face in this year. That's what I There, you
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  go, I have said it out loud. We will find out in what
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  two hundred and ninety two hundred and ninety two days, whether or not I
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  am correct. Finally, Tony, let's just hit on a couple of the
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  National Championship odds. Georgia the favorite at plus three hundreds. You can get
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  three to one on Georgia, Ohio State plus five hundred, five to one
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  odds there Texas plus seven hundred, Alabama plus eleven hundred. If you can
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  short that one, I would be I would advise you to if you can
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  find a place to take the other side of that action, you might want
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  to look into that one. Oregon plus twelve hundred, LSU plus thirteen hundred.
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  I mean you get of the what five top teams there on the National
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  Championship odds, Michigan plays three of them. And again they're over under for
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  the season is nine and a half. So you want to know why we're
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  saying that the under on Michigan. There's a lot of your answer, any
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  anything jump out to you there. I like Texas, but then you look
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  at their schedule and really, at this point, all you have to do
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  is win ten games, don't don't lose more than three there, don't lose
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  three, and you're probably gonna be in if you're a big school. But
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  you know, they do. They go to Michigan this year, They of
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  course play Oklahoma, they host Georgia, they they play Florida, they're at
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  Texas, A and M. And then they also have to go to Arkansas
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  just for you know s's and g's. Like, that's a that's a difficult
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  schedule. And so to have them as the third best, I think that
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  says a lot about obviously quin yours they're you know, very very good this
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  year. I am that Oregon one is that seems like you know what,
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  I got twenty throw down, see what happens. Because they're they're good,
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  They're gonna be one of the top teams in a nation. They'll be battle
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  tested by that point, and you know, a year ago a lot this
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  time we were when it was like the top four or whatever, and for
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  the past couple of years you say, just give me the top four.
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  You can have the field like we would have gotten that when wrong last year
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  because Michigan was not in that top four. I feel less great about this
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  top four than previous top fours. I'd say, well, you got to
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  remember, with twelve teams in there, all you got to do is get
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  in. And if Oregon is a ten and a half, you know,
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  ten and a half is there over under on wins. That's the that's Vegas
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  kind of telling you they're expecting them to be in the Big Ten Championship Game,
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  which means they're you know, if it's Oregon and Ohio State are essentially
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  you know, even in terms of over under, those are the ones that
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  are favored to make the Big Ten Championship Game. If it's a one and
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  a half point line on Oregon Ohio State in Austin, well that means Ohio
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  State's probably about a point and a half favorite on a neutral field. That's
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  pretty much a coin flip, which means organ and basically being a essentially a
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  coin flip to make the you know, be one of the top four seeds,
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  probably the probably the two seed there. Then you're in the then you're
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  in pretty good spot to make a run. So yeah, that that's an
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  interesting one, just in terms of, uh, you know, not that
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  they're a favorite, but just like there might be some value there. The
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  other thing that jumps out to me Tony Georgia, Ohio State, Texas,
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  Alabama, Oregon, l s U. Which is your favorite team among that
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  top six most likely win the national championship? That's not from the SEC and
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  the Big Ten. Uh well, let me let me look at this one.
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  Yeah, that's a good question. Who who is the the non Florida
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  State Clemson? I mean, that's just the the old standbys. Like what
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  else is yeah it I mean we talk about this as the power too,
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  and you know it's sort of shaping up to be the SEC and the Big
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  Ten sort of taking over college football. It you look at that and it's
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  like, boy, that might you might not be talking about that in the
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  future tents as much as you are in the present tents. If this plays
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  out the way the way Vegas is expecting it to, and that is obviously
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  never a guarantee. We'll see what Florida State or Clemson or I don't know.
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  TCU made the National Championship Game just a year ago, so you never
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  know, but we'll see. We'll see how this season all plays out.
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  But should be should be, you know, I mean Vegas. Vegas seems
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  to agree with our general consensus that Ohio State should be pretty good this year,
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  So it might be an interesting season. If you were an high state
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  football fan, you might want to just kind of pay attention this year.
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  You might watch team win a few games. So wouldn't that be a fun
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  and different experience for o High state football fans watching their team win a few
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  games. So we will be covered. We will be there for all those
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  games, including as Tony said, that trip out to Austin. I'm really
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  looking forward to that one. I was really bummed. There were a lot
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  of bummers in twenty twenty. Missing out on that trip was definitely one of
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  them. But finally getting out there one of those stadiums I've had on the
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  top of my list to go see at some point, I'm looking forward to
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  getting out there and crossing that one off my list. And Washington Stadium in
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  a few years, so and so it should be a should be a fun
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  year. Ituld be a fun year as well. At Buckeye Huddle dot com,
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  Tony, Kevin and I covering the team, Mark covering recruiting Marcus down
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  at UA camp right now in under Armor Camp down in Florida, covering some
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  of the South top prospects. Some really interesting coverage there on the huddle board
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  presented by Jeff Ruby steakhouse at Jeff at Buckey Huddle dot com right now,
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  coming from Mark, and you can find more on our YouTube channel as well
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  at YouTube dot com slash Buckeyehuddle. Lots of interesting stuff coming for you.
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  Hoping to have some more player and coach interviews for you a little later on
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  this month for you to hear a little more from Ryan Day and tomorrow's show.
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  So lots of lots of in stuff coming for you all at Buckey Huddle
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  dot com and YouTube dot com slash Buckeye Huddle. That will do it for
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  today. Thank you guys all for joining us. Have a great day.
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  We will talk to you tomorrow