Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 409 - 12/5/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 409 - 12/5/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to Episode. Four O 9.
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  Of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast
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  powered by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh.
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  Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
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  Happy Friday, our work week has come to an end.
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  A huge weekend ahead here. Guys and it actually.
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  Kicks off tonight with some college Football Conference
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  championship games. So we got a lot to talk about on
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  today's podcast as we breeze. Into the weekend.
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  I do have for you guys today a four pack of college sweats, two
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  of which I got a dog and I got a favorite.
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  For some college football. Title games here tonight and
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  then. 2 plays in college. Basketball.
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  Both short favorites here. Look in a money line.
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  With some good line moves and some good.
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  Ken palm edges so. 4 pack as we. Finish off the week here.
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  Tonight and then. I got a four pack of NFL plays
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  for this. Weekend.
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  Now you may have tuned in to the rhythm.
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  Rundown last. Night if you did, thank you for
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  for jumping in there, but we hit on a bunch of.
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  Games and I threw a a few. Games that I was.
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  Kind of leaning hard on to my buddy Kate Harper and he helped.
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  Me, you know, make a make a decision and fire on a few of
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  these so you might have known. About one play that I talked.
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  About earlier this week. Which was the Houston.
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  Texans getting 3 1/2, but I added.
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  Three more, three more dogs. Here looking for some.
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  Some key numbers. As well as.
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  Team that I took the points and I'm hoping.
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  Wins out right so for NFL plays as well As for college
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  basketball and college football plays here for.
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  Tonight and then I'll just remind you guys.
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  No pods on the weekend, as always.
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  Tomorrow. Actually, me and the wifey.
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  We're going to pick up a Christmas tree, get it all
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  decorated so. That should be fun and I do do.
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  Hanukkah as well, so looking. Forward to that, but anyway, I
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  will write the Sharp report. For visen.com tomorrow morning,
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  so there are a bunch of college. Games and I'll just give you 1.
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  Little anecdote if you tune. Into the stream last night that
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  has me very interested. It's the Indiana and Ohio State.
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  Game Conference championship here because.
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  From the. Data.
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  It looks like Indiana. 'S really sharp, like 80%.
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  Of spread bats are taking. Ohio State.
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  Laying the points of the. Buckeyes, however, the Buckeyes.
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  Open as high as -6 Now the lines down to 4.
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  And a half four. I see one book going to. 3 1/2
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  so. It's pretty clear Indiana looks
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  really. Really sharp in this game.
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  But what is really? Fascinating to me, makes it a
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  tough handicap. Is that there is a.
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  Green Star recommended play from Rhythm on Ohio State.
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  Get a load of this guys. They have Ohio State favored by
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  10.3. Points.
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  So again, my you know. Market indicators tell me.
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  Take Indiana. But man, when rhythm has a
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  confident. Play.
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  And a good team like Ohio State saying they should.
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  Be favored by 10. When you can lay up, you know a.
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  Four, that's a great edge there as well, so chances are I'll
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  probably layoff it. Because on the one hand, I don't
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  want to go against. This really?
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  Sharp contrarian play in Indiana, but I also don't want
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  to go against. A recommended sharp play, you
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  know. Discrepancy play on Ohio State.
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  But. It'll be fascinating to see
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  which which wins out there. Will it be?
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  The betting market or will it be?
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  Rhythm with their AI back model, but there are a few other games,
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  so again, stay tuned. I'll write about those.
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  Tomorrow morning. And also if you.
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  Are signed. Up to get the all systems.
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  Go official best bet picks. From Juice Reel.
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  Any plays that I make, Maybe some college games in college
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  basketball as well because. I believe it's a big.
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  Slate tomorrow over 100 games, so look out for those as well.
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  But as as we dive into our plays for tonight, guys real quick
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  about last. Night 1 and 2 minus. 1.17 units.
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  Had a great hit with our guy. Jeremiah fears over points.
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  Rebounds and assists over 20. 2 1/2 he ended up.
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  With 33, he cashed that over in like the start of the third
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  quarter. So it was pretty cool, but
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  unfortunately, the Raptors. The game was tied. 120 to 120
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  final possession of the game. And.
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  Rui Hatchimura hits a three. Pointer at the buzzer to kill
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  us. So that was not fun as the
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  Raptors let us down and then man, that.
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  Dallas, Detroit game and the NFL.
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  That was just a a massive overplay and I got nervous.
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  Because I got under. 54 1/2. And right after the pod or after
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  I I bet it. It went up to 50. 5 1/2 and I'm
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  like oh, that's. That's not a good sign.
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  As this line ticks up. And really dead on.
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  Arrival there, they just scored. Way too many points and.
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  I'm actually going up against. Brandon Aubrey in one of my
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  fantasy leagues with my buddies and he killed me with all those
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  field goals last night. So I'm I'm.
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  Glad we identified. I'm glad we didn't take.
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  Dallas because we identified that they were a little.
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  Bit trendy and when it. Bottomed out at minus.
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  Three, it got up. Back up to. 3 1/2 with Detroit
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  and they. Were kind of the desperate by
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  low spot. But again, I'm not I'll.
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  Never like be ashamed of. Playing a, you know, a prime
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  time under, especially with all those trends toward.
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  High totals going under, but just tough to see all those
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  points last night if you're under better like me.
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  So either way, guys 1 and 2 -. 1.17 units.
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  We'll see if we can finish off the week on a hot note and have
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  a winning night for tonight. So that being said, let's start
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  off with some. College football because as I.
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  Mentioned we got championship weekend.
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  Starting tonight and I want to. Begin with the game tonight,
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  7:00 Eastern Time. Maybe not the.
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  Sexiest game of all time. But the Conference USA
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  championship game. Kennesaw State.
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  Jacksonville State. So setting the stage for.
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  This one, Kennesaw State comes in nine and.
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  Three on the year. Just outlasted.
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  Liberty 48 to 42 and double OT. They covered that game as a 2
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  1/2 point. Road favorite, you know,
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  Jacksonville State, 8:00 and 4:00 on the season.
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  They just took down Western Kentucky, 37 to 34.
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  They won. Outright as a one.
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  And a half point home dog. So 2 good teams facing off here.
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  For the title of Conference USA champ on the line.
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  Now what do we see across the market?
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  Will this game open Jacksonville State?
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  Listed as a very. Short 1 1/2.
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  Point home favorite. And it is a.
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  True. A true home game here for
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  Jacksonville State, however. If you look at what's.
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  Happened it. Has not gone further toward.
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  Jacksonville State guys. It has hopped the fence.
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  And gone dog to. Fave in favor of Kennesaw.
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  State So we went from Jacksonville state -1 and half
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  at home to now Kennesaw state -2 1/2 on the road and you're.
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  Even seeing seeing some books. -2 and half -1. 15 somewhat even
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  go in a three so this is a very. Clear dog to fave sharp flip.
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  In favor of Kennesaw State. The.
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  Owls, by the way, if you look at the splits, look pretty good at
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  DraftKings. 58% bets. 66% spread dollars.
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  On Kennesaw State. At circa 59% spread bets, 72%
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  spread dollars on. Kennesaw State.
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  So both are slight public, just very slight.
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  But also heavier, sharp money, which coincides with that line
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  move. Kennesaw State does have the
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  slightly. Better scoring offense they're
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  averaging. 29.3 points per game versus 28.8 for.
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  Jacksonville State, they also the.
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  Better defense giving up 26.2 points per game versus 28.3
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  points per game. But I'm also going.
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  To look at this as a revenge. Spot.
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  So obviously it's a title. Game.
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  You know, everyone's jacked, ready to go.
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  It's important game for both but.
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  Kennesaw State. Played Jacksonville State 3
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  weeks ago at Jacksonville State and they lost 30. 5 to 26.
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  So maybe that's a revenge angle extra.
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  Motivation to kind of. Get the last laugh.
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  Here and get a winner. In.
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  Terms of the total, we did see this thing tick way up 56 1/2 up
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  to as high as 60 1/2. So it looks like it could be a
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  higher scoring game here. But if you.
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  Know the way I like. To look at sports.
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  Betting you give me a. Heavily bet, but not that
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  popular. But more money in a.
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  Dog to fave line move. That's a play I'm going to make
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  every. Single time, so I played
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  Kennesaw State. Again opening.
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  Getting 1 1/2. Now laying 2 1/2.
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  I got them on the money line at -1. 30 little bit earlier today.
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  Shop around some. Books a little bit higher on
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  -140 but Kennesaw State pretty clear.
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  Sharp move. Let's hope that it can come
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  through and get a. Winner.
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  Straight up for the owls. Next game. 8:00 Eastern Time
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  tonight. This is the American.
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  Conference championship game, North Texas at Tulane now.
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  Coming into at North Texas. 11 and one ranked. 24th in the
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  country. Just beat up on Temple 52 to 20.
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  5 Covered as a 20. And a half point home.
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  Favorite Tulane? Not too shabby either.
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  They're 10 and two ranked. 20th They just blanked Charlotte 27
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  to nothing. But they didn't.
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  Cover as a 30. And a half point home favorite.
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  So what do you see across the market here?
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  Well, this game open north. Texas listed as a. 3 Point Rd.
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  Favorite This is a true home game for Tulane.
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  Keep an eye out. For all these games.
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  Because some of them are neutral site but.
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  Open -3 N Texas and public they. Seem to really like North Texas
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  here. Because North Texas is getting.
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  68. Percent of spread bets.
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  However they open -3. You would think getting nearly
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  70% of tickets. They'd be up to -3 1/2 -, 4.
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  Nope, this line's actually gone down.
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  To 2 1/2, so 8:00. Prime time game I believe.
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  This scheme is. On I want to say ABC extremely
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  heavily bet everybody and their. Mother on North Texas, but they
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  fell -3 down to minus. 2 1/2 so. That tells me we have some sharp
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  reverse line movement on Tulane with the betting line.
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  Moving toward Tulane, even though the public.
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  Is on North Texas. You look at Tulane, they're your
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  number. One bet against the public.
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  Plate tonight, only getting on. 1/3 of tickets again in a
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  heavily bet prime time game at Circa.
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  Only 16. Percent of spread bets, but. 35.
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  Percent of spread dollars. Are on Tulane, so a.
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  Little bit of a low bets higher dollar split out there at Circa.
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  Tulane. Buy low opportunity as a.
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  Home dog that's unpopular? But also a dog who won but
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  didn't. Cover the previous week against
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  the Sell high trendy favorite Who did.
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  Win and cover the previous week. Now we all know.
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  North Texas, they actually. Lead the I believe they believe
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  that. I believe they lead all.
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  Of College in scoring, but. Tulane's defense is a little
• 9:38
  better, giving up 22.8 points. Per game versus 26.4 and we do
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  have. The Tulane Green Wave. 6 and OA
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  perfect six and O at home this. Season so if this.
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  Is a prime. Time game most heavily back in
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  the night Publix on North Texas, yet the line is dropping toward
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  Tulane. I like.
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  Tulane in the spot, guys, I'm going to go against the.
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  Public. Follow the sharp reverse line.
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  Move now the. Important thing here is to try
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  to get that key number. Because a lot of books are down
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  to 2 1/2. But there are a couple books
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  that are still like. Plus 2 1/2 -. 1 O 5.
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  And I went to. Fanatics and I did.
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  Buy it up to three. And I got +3.
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  At -120. So it's up to you if you just
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  want to roll with the 2 1/2. Again, To me, when I think about
• 10:19
  buying points, you don't want to do it all the time because it
• 10:21
  doesn't make as big a difference as you think.
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  Like 1. Time you'll buy a half point and
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  that'll be the. Difference between a win and
• 10:26
  loss and you think, oh I should? Always buy it, but actually.
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  You're you're paying a hefty premium that won't really be as
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  big of a difference maker as you.
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  Think long term. But around a key number.
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  And again lose by three. That, to me, is important.
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  So if you can. Buy it up.
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  To anything I don't. Want to go above -125 but you
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  can still get a -, 120. That's what I did.
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  I took two lane plus 3 -, 120. And oh, by the way.
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  Rhythm has two lane. Plus 0.3 so.
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  Almost a pick em game so even if you just want to save the juice,
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  go. 2 1/2 decent edge there but. I played two lane plus.
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  Three and Kennesaw State owls. Money line -130 hopefully to win
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  the game. Now let's flip.
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  Over to some college hoops. Smaller than usual college.
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  Hoops late tonight, only 19. Games so don't.
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  Worry there's over 100 tomorrow. But let's talk about a.
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  Small matchup, 7:00. Quinnipiac playing Iona.
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  Now this is your. Your what is it?
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  Your MAAC. Conference Metro Atlantic
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  Athletic so. Kind of smaller conference.
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  Game here, but two decent teams. Quinnipiac comes in five and.
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  Three. They have won four.
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  Of their last five, they. Just beat Stony Brook.
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  Or, sorry, Stonehill, which is not far.
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  From me in Massachusetts, 76 to 62.
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  Iona is 6 and two, they've rotated wins and losses.
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  Their last four or five games where?
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  They did just beat Delaware 89 to 66 blew.
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  Them out on the road. Now what do we see?
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  Across the market. Well, this game opened Iona.
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  Around a 2 1/2 point home favorite and now we've seen Iona
• 11:56
  get up to -3. And -3 1/2.
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  Across the market. So smaller game.
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  But a clear move here. Toward Iona tells me that we got
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  some smart money going with Iona.
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  At home here now. If you look at Ken Palm, he has
• 12:08
  Iona winning by. Four points.
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  So if you. Do want to lay the?
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  Three 3 1/2 Hey, that is a little bit of an edge, but this
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  tells me. Opportunity to go money line and
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  get some more wiggle room. So fanatics did offer.
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  Iona -1. 60. Why is that important?
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  Because. I think FanDuel is minus. 185.
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  And then others are like -170 ish.
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  But -160 I. Jumped on that DraftKings money
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  line. 85% bets. Over 95% dollars.
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  And it's not really public. Per SE because it's a lower
• 12:35
  back. Game, but Ken Palms got him by
• 12:37
  4. He's got him ranked higher. 152
• 12:39
  in the country versus 178. For Quinnipiac.
• 12:43
  I'm going to bank on. The offensive efficiency and
• 12:45
  offensive just. Overall output output for Iona
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  they're. Averaging 805A game versus 80
• 12:50
  for. Quinnipiac, but their offensive.
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  Efficiency ranks 1. 49th in the country.
• 12:55
  Versus. Two O 1 for Quinnipiac.
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  They have the better effective. Field goal percentage 56%,
• 13:01
  that's 55th in the country versus 50% for Quinnipiac.
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  That's ranks 220th. And also shooting the three
• 13:08
  they're shooting 39% from. Three, that's pretty good.
• 13:11
  That's. 28th in the country. Quinnipiac isn't bad either.
• 13:15
  They're shooting 37. Percent from that ranks 60th.
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  But we have a better. Offense efficiency 3 point
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  shooting. Overall, just scoring.
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  Offense ranked higher. Ken Palms got him by 4.
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  Good. Splits the lines moving in.
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  Favor of Iona I do have a system match here if you are a.
• 13:30
  Short. Favorite with a line move.
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  So if you are favored. On the spread by 4 points or
• 13:36
  less and the line moves. At least 1/2 point in your
• 13:39
  favor. Those teams this season are 57
• 13:43
  and 30. Five straight up 62.
• 13:45
  Percent with a 5%. ROI.
• 13:47
  So I did play. Iona.
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  Hopefully to start the night off with a winner on the money line.
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  -160. Next one for you 730 game
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  tonight let's. Flip to This is a conference
• 13:59
  between a Missouri Valley team and a American.
• 14:02
  Conference game team, so interconference.
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  Play UAB against. Drake is on ESPN Plus.
• 14:09
  Now UAB comes in six and three on the year.
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  They had a. Good long winning streak going.
• 14:13
  They had 11234. Five in a row, but then just
• 14:16
  lost to middle. Tennessee State, 76 to 60.
• 14:19
  One on the road. This is their second straight.
• 14:21
  Road game. Drake, by the way.
• 14:24
  They have won. Four of their last five.
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  They're six and three overall. And they just beat up.
• 14:29
  On Western Illinois and. That was a score.
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  Of one O 8 to 57. Blew them out so this is another
• 14:36
  another home game for them they're. 1234 I guess they're
• 14:40
  fifth in a row, maybe? There's some of those are.
• 14:41
  Neutral sites, but anyway. This game open with Drake listed
• 14:45
  as a. 32 point home favorite We've now seen Drake gets teamed
• 14:48
  up -2 1/2 even -3 and some books even.
• 14:52
  Touched as high as. 3 1/2. Earlier today, so it's pretty
• 14:54
  clear. This line is.
• 14:55
  Moving toward Drake Drake. Ken Palm has by.
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  Winning by three. Points, so not a big.
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  Edge on. A 2 1/2.
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  Or three. But this is a money line.
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  Play a little bit shorter. I got -140.
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  Five with Drake at Caesar's DraftKings.
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  Splits on the money line. Look pretty good 80.
• 15:12
  Percent bets over 90% dollars and.
• 15:15
  A bunch of edges here get a load of these effective field goal
• 15:18
  percentage. 53. Percent versus 48%. 3 point
• 15:22
  shooting. Huge discrepancy here. 37% for
• 15:24
  Drake. UAB only 26% and then free.
• 15:28
  Throw shooting if it's a close game. 73% versus 70%.
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  Oh, by the way, UAB. Oh, and two on the road this
• 15:35
  year. So they've been great at home,
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  not good on the road. Second straight Rd. game you.
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  Drake is in a home stand here right now.
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  So open minus. 2 Drake, you're up to. 2 1/2 Three even touch. 3
• 15:47
  1/2. Looks to me all movement.
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  Liability on Drake and again. I'm going to protect myself go
• 15:51
  money line here. So I got.
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  The Drake Bulldogs money line -145.
• 15:55
  At Caesar's. And Iona money line minus. 160
• 15:58
  at Fanatics. Now over to a big NFL slate for
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  this weekend. Couple games that we've already
• 16:05
  talked about, couple new ones for.
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  You so I'll give you a new one, Miami and the New York.
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  Jets 1:00 tomorrow. Or 1:00.
• 16:12
  On Sunday, I should say. And we have a good opportunity
• 16:16
  to believe it or not. Take the plus.
• 16:17
  Three with The Jets because. Miami open this game. -3 on the
• 16:21
  road and the public is saying. Miami is the better team.
• 16:24
  Slightly better record. People hate The Jets totally.
• 16:27
  Get it? They stink, but.
• 16:29
  If you look at what the market is.
• 16:31
  Doing it open -3. Miami Miami is getting nearly
• 16:35
  70. Percent of tickets they're very
• 16:37
  popular play but. Kind of like.
• 16:39
  That that game tonight between North Texas and.
• 16:43
  Tulane, We've seen that minus. Three Rd. favorite get juiced.
• 16:47
  Up and start to. Fall toward -2 1/2 so it open -3
• 16:50
  Miami again Nearly. 70% of tickets.
• 16:53
  But all these threes are. Juiced toward The Jets Plus. 3 -
• 16:56
  115 and some books are even touching 2 1/2 and they've
• 16:59
  touched 2 1/2. Throughout the week, so this.
• 17:01
  Is never gotten up to 3 1/2 and it's.
• 17:03
  Touched as low as 2 1/2 even though public is going.
• 17:06
  Miami. Jets would match as a.
• 17:08
  Contrarian. Play as a sharp reverse.
• 17:11
  Line move as a divisional. Dog.
• 17:13
  So again, built in familiarity levels the playing field
• 17:16
  benefits the team getting points.
• 17:18
  Tyrod Taylor. You know, kind of incredible.
• 17:21
  But he's 36 and 21. Against the spread in his.
• 17:23
  Career 63% he's. Three and O against.
• 17:26
  The spread this season, so hopefully you can, you know,
• 17:28
  keep it close here. The other angle for me it's.
• 17:30
  Going to be a little. Bit cold.
• 17:32
  Not crazy, but like. 30 degrees 35°.
• 17:35
  And. Tua and Miami a warm weather
• 17:39
  Southern team going. Up to I was.
• 17:41
  Going to say New England, but technically New York isn't New
• 17:43
  England. But going up to Jersey for a
• 17:46
  cold game against The Jets team was used to the weather, so I
• 17:49
  think there could be a weather. Slight advantage here, you're
• 17:51
  also a dog. Low total.
• 17:53
  So the total in. This one is 41 1/2 and.
• 17:57
  That again tells you that. Fair amount of expected points
• 17:59
  scored, harder for the favorite to cover.
• 18:01
  But what? Really got me excited.
• 18:02
  When I popped open rhythm. I had three models on the game,
• 18:05
  all in The Jets, one said The Jets.
• 18:07
  Should be getting. 1.1 points, 1.8 points and 0.1 points.
• 18:12
  So it should be basically a pick EM or A1.
• 18:14
  Or two point game and you're getting a.
• 18:15
  Three, I fired on The Jets. Plus 3 -, 1. 14 at Caesars.
• 18:21
  Let's go. Fireman Ed in The Jets.
• 18:23
  Next one for you. Indianapolis Colts.
• 18:25
  Jacksonville Jaguars. I'm taking the points here.
• 18:28
  With the Jags. Guys I got plus 2F fanatics.
• 18:30
  It's still available. A lot of books are down to 1 1/2
• 18:33
  and this game. Actually opened.
• 18:34
  Colts -2 1/2. So you are getting.
• 18:37
  Across the market. The Colts here.
• 18:41
  Upwards of let's see, about 60% of spread.
• 18:45
  Bets on the. Colts at DK like 80.
• 18:48
  Percent of spread. Bets on the Colts at circa.
• 18:50
  However, even though the Colts are getting majority.
• 18:53
  Of tickets, the lines down 2 1/2 to 2, now to 1 1/2.
• 18:57
  So why is the line moving? Toward the Jags if the.
• 18:59
  Public is playing the Colts. Tells me Jags are a sharp play
• 19:02
  here. There would be a divisional.
• 19:03
  Dog once again built in familiarity levels the playing
• 19:06
  field. You also have Jags.
• 19:08
  Four and two at home. Indies 2.
• 19:10
  And three on the road. And you might read.
• 19:11
  About this crazy stat I. Believe something like they
• 19:14
  haven't. The Colts haven't won at
• 19:16
  Jacksonville in like over a decade, so you know, it doesn't
• 19:19
  really matter what. Happened 10 years ago, but.
• 19:20
  Maybe it's just a tough. Place to play?
• 19:22
  As a Dome team. Going South, whereas Jags are
• 19:25
  used to it. Of course, again, you got to
• 19:27
  pay. Attention to weather.
• 19:27
  When we get late in the year. What it means to both teams.
• 19:30
  Obviously the total as well. But then.
• 19:32
  Also if I popped open rhythm. I have three models on the game.
• 19:36
  Jags plus 0.3 Jags. -1.1 and Jags -1.4.
• 19:42
  So I have a couple of models that say.
• 19:43
  The Jags should be favored to win this game when.
• 19:47
  You can still get Jags. Again, as high as +2.
• 19:49
  At Fanatics, mostly 1 1/2's. Out there, but no sauce.
• 19:53
  Gardener again. Colts have, maybe.
• 19:55
  Come back down to earth a little bit.
• 19:56
  Jags kind of riding high here. I took +2 at.
• 19:59
  Fanatics. A lot of shops. 1 1/2 but.
• 20:02
  Again, lines moving toward Jags. Sharp, RLM.
• 20:04
  Division dog as well as. Some good rhythm at just saying
• 20:07
  they should probably win this game, so let's go.
• 20:10
  Jags next one for you. Cincinnati Bengals, I was
• 20:14
  waiting. For a 6 I got it.
• 20:16
  Bengals at Buffalo Bills. This game opened with the
• 20:19
  Buffalo Bills. As high as a. 6 1/2.
• 20:21
  Point home favorite. And the line got down to 5 1/2.
• 20:24
  And why is that important? Because public is leaning bills,
• 20:28
  yet a slight majority. Of tickets on the Bills.
• 20:31
  The line has fallen. Toward Joe Burrow and the dog
• 20:34
  here with the Bengals. So got down to 5 1/2.
• 20:36
  I was holding out for a six. You can now get a + 6.
• 20:38
  Pretty much across the market. But if you look at Joe Burrow as
• 20:41
  a dog. 20 and 11. Against the Spread 65.
• 20:44
  Percent with a 24%. ROI Dog missed the postseason.
• 20:49
  Versus a favorite who made the postseason, that's a 57.
• 20:51
  Percent against the spread system.
• 20:53
  This year you also have a rest first tired angle.
• 20:56
  Joe Burrow again had a great cover and outright.
• 20:59
  Win for US +7. And a half against the Ravens on
• 21:01
  Thanksgiving. Day, so they last played on the
• 21:03
  27th. Versus the Bills, who played on
• 21:06
  the 30th. Sunday, so a three day rest
• 21:08
  advantage. Now, I don't know about T
• 21:11
  Higgins. I know he's banged up.
• 21:12
  I hope he. Plays, but listen to this rhythm
• 21:14
  has three models. All saying take Cincy.
• 21:17
  Plus 3.9 + 4.4 and plus 4.1. So rhythm is saying it should be
• 21:22
  about a four. Point game.
• 21:23
  You can get a + 6. With Joe Burrow dog who can
• 21:27
  score? And great.
• 21:28
  Covering as a dog rest advantage, I went with the
• 21:31
  Bengals. Here guys +6 pretty widely
• 21:33
  available. Plus 6 -, 110.
• 21:36
  At Fanatics and then the one that I had.
• 21:38
  Mentioned to you guys earlier. That's the Texans.
• 21:41
  Texans are on the road at the. At the Kansas City Chiefs.
• 21:45
  Again, I'm waiting for the. Chiefs to be the Chiefs.
• 21:46
  Hasn't happened, but they open as high as -5 1/2 Sunday night.
• 21:50
  The line is now down to 3 1/2. It's evened out a bit.
• 21:53
  Around -110. Both sides.
• 21:54
  We have a. Prime time dog.
• 21:56
  You have CJ Stroud as a dog who's done well, pretty, pretty
• 21:59
  good. Historically.
• 22:00
  You have a dog with a low total. And you have the. #1 defense in
• 22:03
  the. NFL with the Texans only giving
• 22:06
  up like 16 points a game. And oh, by the way.
• 22:09
  All my models here are. Saying to take the Texans not a
• 22:13
  huge edge, but. Plus 2.7. +3. .2 + 3.1 Again,
• 22:19
  you're getting the hook on the 3 1/2.
• 22:21
  Not a bad little edge there. So I did take the Texans plus 3
• 22:24
  1/2. So stay tuned, I might.
• 22:27
  Add a player prop or two because.
• 22:30
  We talked about them last night on the stream and a couple
• 22:32
  caught my eye. So maybe add some more bets, but
• 22:35
  again, read the sharp. Report on Sunday.
• 22:37
  And be sure to check out those plays on the Juice Real app.
• 22:39
  Any any late additions there? But that about does it.
• 22:43
  For today's Big Friday pod. Episode 4 O nine of the.
• 22:45
  ASG podcast wrapping up the week here, but as always going to
• 22:49
  start off by. First saying thank you.
• 22:51
  Thank you for tuning in. Thank you for listening.
• 22:53
  Thank you for grinding in the arena.
• 22:54
  Through the ups and downs, trials and.
• 22:56
  Tribulations of being a sports better.
• 22:58
  Because it ain't easy, but. That's why we love it.
• 23:00
  Because it's challenging, so when you win, it's rewarding.
• 23:02
  When you lose, you got to keep. That perspective of.
• 23:05
  Being in a market. That's difficult.
• 23:07
  To consistently win that but with.
• 23:09
  That being said, if you do enjoy the pod, could you do me a
• 23:11
  solid? Give it a five star review on
• 23:13
  Spotify or iTunes. Click the follow.
• 23:15
  Button recommend it to. A friend.
• 23:17
  But I'll be very much. Appreciated next if you enjoy.
• 23:20
  The style of bedding you want to.
• 23:21
  Learn more about data-driven. Bedding, but more importantly.
• 23:24
  It's the holiday season, you got to get a.
• 23:26
  Gift for your. Uncle, your nephew, whoever you
• 23:29
  know what makes a great gift? Don't get him another collared.
• 23:31
  Shirt or a pair of pair of socks or a gift card.
• 23:35
  Again, gift cards can. Or something.
• 23:36
  I used to hate them but. They actually come in handy when
• 23:38
  you get older, but anyway. You know what you should do?
• 23:41
  You should. Get them something that.
• 23:42
  Might pique their interest. And it's a book called.
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  The NFL sharp betting playbook. If you get it right.
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  From triumphbooks.com. Use the promo code Cheers 2025
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  it'll be 12. Dollars instead of 24 you get
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  50% off you. Can also get on Amazon you.
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  Can also get my first book, The Everything Guide to Sports
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  Betting on Amazon as well. And if you like to, If you like
• 24:01
  to. Give it a.
• 24:02
  Five star review that would make my day and.
• 24:04
  Then you'll bring one or. Both of the books to the sports.
• 24:06
  Book and. I'll sign them for you.
• 24:07
  I'll buy you a beer. Or ginger ale.
• 24:09
  We'll sweat some games here together tonight.
• 24:12
  Next, have you downloaded? Rhythm and juice.
• 24:14
  Real yet? Well, if you haven't.
• 24:15
  Now's the time we got all these sports going on.
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  Great for these AI backed. Models and predictions I must.
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  Admit after a Cooper. Flag and Jeremiah fears I've.
• 24:23
  Been kind of getting into. These NBA player props a.
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  Little bit more. But rhythm great for their AI
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  bet picks the sharp mush indicators.
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  The arbitrage plays the shop for the best line features.
• 24:43
  And if you'd like to. Support the pod you can tip your
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  podcast host I'd love for you guys if you want.
• 24:48
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• 24:50
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  You can tail fade, do whatever you like.
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  Cost $4.90. $0.09 a week. 5 bucks for.
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  Seven days of place, less than a dollar a day.
• 24:59
  And again, I consider that the little tip jar.
• 25:02
  With again. You like your your bartender
• 25:05
  treats you well, tip your bartender, you like your podcast
• 25:08
  host and. Again, you can tip through
• 25:11
  through getting those. ASG best bet picks.
• 25:13
  Next. You have a live odds.
• 25:14
  Page if you don't. Have one, you need one.
• 25:16
  Got to be able to track the market.
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  You got to know what the line opened at.
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  Where is it now? Shop for the best price.
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  Identify Steam. Pull up the line, history live.
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  Scoring live end game wagering. Odds there are a.
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  Lot of live odds pages. Out there, the best one that you
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  want is. Odds, logic, all you got to do
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  for a 7 day free trial and. 50% off your first month.
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  Is go to odds logic. Dot com slash Josh. 123 Next.
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  You do you have a Novig? Novig is a betting exchange.
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  Not a sports book. And you're going to.
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  Get way better juice prices. So instead of -1. 15 -, 120.
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  You're going to get. -1 O 5 - 1 O2 plus one O 3 so.
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  You can win at the same rate you.
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  Would at a sports book, but. Actually make more money.
• 25:53
  Because you're risking. Less juice, which means you're
• 25:55
  getting. More on the back end.
• 25:56
  So if you want to. Download Novig all you got to do
• 25:59
  when. You fund your account.
• 26:00
  You put in the promo code, Josh. 123 you'll.
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  Add on an extra 25 bucks for you.
• 26:05
  Sad about does it for episode. 4/09 of the ASG.
• 26:07
  Pod, as always guys, two final thoughts, whether I see you at
• 26:10
  the Borgata. And Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 26:13
  Rhode. Island the Brooklyn, New
• 26:14
  Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan?
• 26:15
  Sun down in Connecticut, the. Encore in Boston Plain Ridge.
• 26:18
  Park casino MGM Springfield the Nash.
• 26:21
  And my neck of the woods on the border of Nashua.
• 26:22
  New Hampshire and Massachusetts. They're out in the desert.
• 26:25
  Where the true grinders get down Or Billy.
• 26:26
  Walters sends his number runners with lowest juice.
• 26:29
  Possible is found at the South. Point.
• 26:30
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping.
• 26:33
  In the stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 26:35
  Circa, you're going to walk up to me.
• 26:37
  Show me a Jeremiah Fears over 22 1/2 PRA.
• 26:40
  That was a nice hit last night, but man that that game I was
• 26:43
  like at 1. Point It was a.
• 26:45
  Three to three-game. Kind of late in the.
• 26:46
  First quarter, I'm like, oh, we may get this, but Nope, like
• 26:49
  anytime you get the half. Midfield, it's like, oh, that's.
• 26:51
  Three points for Brandon Aubrey. I tell you what in.
• 26:54
  Fantasy next year in my. League of My Buddies is a
• 26:56
  season. Long league.
• 26:57
  I'm drafting Brandon Aubrey early.
• 26:59
  That guy is ridiculous. But anyway, guys, first one's on
• 27:01
  me, next one's on you. We'll.
• 27:02
  Post about the book. So it's some sharp contrarian
• 27:05
  games tonight. So as always, coming off A1 and.
• 27:07
  2 or A2. In one night a three and O or an
• 27:10
  O and three night. A hot streak, a cold streak, a
• 27:13
  good. Time a bad time.
• 27:14
  You know the UPS. And downs of sports betting.
• 27:16
  It's part of the game, but. We're going to stay consistent,
• 27:18
  stay even keeled, stay discipline with our bank curl
• 27:20
  management. We can find those system
• 27:22
  matches. Against the.
• 27:24
  Public with the house with the pros Flat bet avoid.
• 27:26
  Parlays and get that CLV if we can.
• 27:28
  Do that long term we're. Going to be successful sports
• 27:30
  bettors, so have a great Friday night everybody.
• 27:33
  Have an even better weekend again, stay.
• 27:35
  Tuned for the Sharp reports this weekend at Josh Under Score
• 27:37
  Insights on Twitter as well as the ASG Pod Best bets on juice.
• 27:41
  Rail and I'll be. Right back at back.
• 27:43
  At it on Monday. That will be episode. 410.
• 27:47
  Of the all. Systems Go sports betting
• 27:49
  podcast. Powered by rhythm.
• 27:51
  Good luck everybody and have a great.
• 27:52
  Friday and an even better. Weekend.