Latest / AGT Time Pod - America's Got Talent Fancast / Finals Pregame | Season 21 | America's Got Talent

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Finals Pregame | Season 21 | America's Got Talent · AGT Time Pod - America's Got Talent Fancast

• Cody: everyone welcome back to another edition of AGT time. It ours it is our last pregame of the season. So of course I'm here with AGT commenter, but I'm also with Who Diss? Who dis with us? AGTCommenter: Mm. Minnesota Ryan: I I th I think this is Minnesota Ryan. I think it's been a little while. Cody: Who's who's this? Who's this guy? Minnesota Ryan: I'm not in Ireland this time. I'm here. AGTCommenter: Not in Ireland. Cody: Hey Ryan, how's it going? Minnesota Ryan: Going pretty well. Happy to be I guess making my debut for this season in the final. AGTCommenter: No, you were on you were on Auditions Five Recap. You and Cody ripped the Auditions Five Recap. It's been months. Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: Right. Yeah, you're right. Gosh, it's been a while. I guess my second episode of the season. Happy to be back. AGTCommenter: Second episode of the season. It's good to see you. It's good to have you back. too little too late on the fantasy stuff for you. It's feeling like I have one, I have one, I have one fantasy question for you. Cody and Minnesota Ryan: Yeah, I I don't know if I could've fixed this season anyway. So Yeah. AGTCommenter: I did all the fantasy stuff earlier in the week, so we don't need a ton Minnesota Ryan: Okay. AGTCommenter: of it. Is there one act that you that's on our team that you're like why that Minnesota Ryan: That I would have taken. AGTCommenter: you really, really want? Minnesota Ryan: yeah. Yeah. so I was encrypts I was never gonna get nay nay. That was part of it. That was the number one, that was AGTCommenter: right. Minnesota Ryan: everybody's number one. We always knew that was the case. I had hundred fingers too and I had that clear second. And I and I had AGTCommenter: Got it. Minnesota Ryan: a very, very clear second. and so it was one of those where I'm like when when the draft happened and Steven didn't go far off my rankings list, but that was one where I remember listening to the podcast and being like, AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: Not in love with with that first off. It got a little better later, at least from from my draft board and how it went, but that was probably the one I look back on and going like, yeah, that was that felt like a mistake, especially seeing how well they're doing now, for mistake of their act. AGTCommenter: Yeah. Yeah. No, I was inter it's it's gotta be weird following along the fantasy league not having been a part of the draft. you just Minnesota Ryan: It was very weird. Yeah. Like it's my team, it is my team, and I cheer for my AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: team. But there is always a factor of when, like, at least you're there when the decision's made to have a little say on when the pick is made. It does feel more like your pick. Like, for AGTCommenter: Right. Minnesota Ryan: me it was like a ranking I made on a plane when I was flying to Ireland that I I AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: hoped would go the way I thought it went, but you're just you're AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: really more of an outsider that has a little bit more stakes, from the sake of it. AGTCommenter: Yeah. And Yeah, no, I think it's I think it's it's always still fun to have like you said, have a team and stuff, but yeah, it's a little Minnesota Ryan: Exactly. AGTCommenter: it's a little bit different. But you guys aren't out of it. You need to pull the rabbit out of the hat, but Minnesota Ryan: Yeah, if we could go back we're not out of it. We're not out of it. It's a very, very low likelihood. we're not out of it. If it were me, I probably would have done I probably would have done hundred fingers with our third pick, and then I would have done maybe Lei with the fourth pick, and then we would have pushed like our other riskier picks a little farther back. And if we would have done that, I think we would have been very solidly still in this race, right now. But yeah, it's we're not out of it. We just r we really need like you guys to have none of the top five. we need to have like three all three of ours in the top five. That would be AGTCommenter: You have to win. If you don't have the winner you're done. So regardless. Minnesota Ryan: Is we know the winner is not in it? 'Cause that I d I don't see I just there's Nay Nay's gonna win like it's we'll talk about it. AGTCommenter: That's the thing. I I wanna talk but I do wanna talk about that, but let's Cody, let's tell people where Cody: Ha ha ha. AGTCommenter: to find us first and then we'll go. Cody: Yeah, so you can find us on our socials at AGT Time Pod. You can email us AGT timepod at gmail.com and check out our website, AGT timepod.com. You can find commenter out there at AGT Commenter. And every now and then Ryan makes a presence at Minnesota Minnesota Ryan: I try. Cody: underscore. Underscore Ryan. Minnesota underscore Ryan. AGTCommenter: well it's great to be back with you boys. One one episode left, Cody. We we've Cody: Yes. AGTCommenter: made the long the long trip. We have a a list of ten. We have a final that's gonna gonna be popping up here on Tuesday. it's an interesting list. It's an interesting group. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: We talked about Cody earlier this past week that there's just no singers. There's just it's a s it's a singer list basically season. It's Le Noel and it's Nene, and that's it. funnily enough, two of the last three seasons there's only been two singers in the finals, but that's pretty rare historically. And so just from that standpoint, but I'll I'll get into the list of ten quick just for the people at home. So Hundred Fingers, Nene, Lane OL, and Unitree, those are the four golden buzzers. It is by leaps and bounds the best live show golden buzzer group we've ever seen. Obviously it's only been three years, but they're the the ninth, tenth, eleventh, and twelfth live show golden buzzers. I think all four of are the best four, probably that have gotten golden buzzers over the last two years in the live shows. So those are your four that are there, which makes it a very interesting night just there, because for the last two years it's kind of been like, Yeah, yeah, these four are here. But now it's like, these four it's I think there's a very, very reasonable chance that three of those four are like your top three or four acts of the season. You know, finish in the top three or four. and then we brought six from last week. Beef us from Beefus and the Buttheads. Olivia has been a star for us, Cody. Royal Lasers, Veronica, Gorishkova, our our aerialist, the other dog act, the canine crew, come here, and Gino Plagger. So there's a good amount of these that I thought would be in this. I want to go to Ryan first. Minnesota Ryan: Mm-hmm. AGTCommenter: When you see the 10. The the makeup of it is a chunk of magic, a chunk of this, a chunk of that, a very small chunk of singers. What do you make of this ten just when you see it as a as a list? Minnesota Ryan: I actually really like this ten. And e even though like my team is not it's probably should be more represented in here, hopefully that would've been nice. it's still like it's actually very close to the ten I thought we might get. And what I mean by that, I went back to my rankings to see how many of my top ten that I ranked were actually here. I got six of AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: And I thought I was actually really impressed by that by the end of the time that it was actually like I correctly picked them the ones I was wrong on would have were the dog acts. I didn't think they would perform as well as they have been. They've been fantastic. come here I've had a just out of the top ten and then I had Unitree. I didn't I just didn't think that act was gonna do more and it did. So they were my surprises. But the other six I had ranked very well. So this is pretty close to what I would have wanted in our top ten. So I'm actually quite happy with it. It's I do think there's a clear cut favorite, but it's still I think that top five could go really anyway with any of these acts, depending on how they perform. And that I love it final where we don't really know how the top five is gonna lay out. We have guesses. but I do think it's actually gonna be a pretty fun finals night. AGTCommenter: Yeah, I think it it's it's it feels similar to last two the last two years where we kinda know we'll s you know, there's a there's always a chance America can always can be can always be funny, but we're we're pretty sure. I was looking at mine of my not my draft rankings or our draft rankings that Cody and I put together, five of my ten after auditions are in this final and that that made the live show. So I I do think we have captured a good amount of the of the good talent of the season. How good is the good talent of this season? I I'm not Minnesota Ryan: huh. AGTCommenter: I'm not sure where I don't know if there's a a super high end. But Cody, we we've talked a bunch about this crew, but is there where's the intrigue for you this week? Is it just what's everybody gonna do? D is there results night intrigue at all for you, Cody? Like as you get ready for the next these next two, you know, the Tuesday, Wednesday back to back. Where's the intrigue for you? Cody: The intrigue is just the variety of acts that we're gonna see. I think that some of the acts are gonna do what they're gonna do. Veronica's gonna use her bar. She's gonna do some amazing AGTCommenter: Yeah, yeah. Cody: things. I'm intrigued to see what song Nene picks. we've seen her do a couple Minnesota Ryan: Mm, huge. Cody: of yeah, I think that's gonna be big what song she picks to perform in the final. Whatever she picks, she's gonna rock it. But I'm really interested to see what she picks. Hundred fingers, are they gonna continue to perform like they've been doing? Lay Noel, what is she gonna pick? Is she gonna go kind of off the rails? Is she gonna kind of stay close to home and do something very very similar to her style? So I'm I'm interested in those types of aspects of the story, just the different types of performances. We're gonna we don't have as as you mentioned, we don't have a lot of singers. We're not it's not singer heavy. So I'm very interested in the variety that we're gonna see. Yeah Results night is gonna be fun. the last fifteen AGTCommenter: Always, yeah. Cody: fifteen, twenty minutes is gonna be intriguing. the Minnesota Ryan: Ha ha ha. AGTCommenter: Yep. Cody: first hour, not so great. but I'm also kind of I'm I'm ready to kind of wrap up the season. let's put a put a button on it. so the next what, three and a half hours of this show is gonna be fun. AGTCommenter: Yeah. results night, f finale night, it's like the Super Bowl. It's always exciting just to to get a new winner too, just to add to that. Ryan, maybe it feels like I would imagine majority of the competition understands where the horse race is at right now and that it feels like somebody you know, Cody, we've talked to old contestants in the past who have had that feeling on seasons where they felt like there was a clear front runner and they all knew it. Do you think there's an increased likelihood that these act there's a few acts that are gonna try and go above and beyond of what they can actually do well? We we've seen this before, or it feels like an act's like, I gotta make a move, if I I'm gonna take a big swing. Do you think we're gonna see some big swings this week where somebody tries to sing a song they shouldn't sing, somebody tries to do a stunt they shouldn't do, and Minnesota Ryan: Hay AGTCommenter: the and the performances go sideways? Or do you f it just feels like everybody that's on the season is just running the ball? Just calling halfback dive cody. We Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: talked about it last week. And just like, this is who we are, and we're just gonna put on a nice performance. Do you feel like there's a higher likelihood we see something like that? Minnesota Ryan: I think they have to. AGTCommenter: Right. Minnesota Ryan: and again we'll we'll talk about the stats a little later. but if they really want to win and they're not just here for popularity, I do think some of these acts are here more for to get their presence known and they don't need to win and they're totally fine. Like I bring up Royal Lasers is a great option for that. Like they're really just trying to get their name out there. I don't know if they're really AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: trying to win, and they're doing a great job with it. But like if they want to win when they need to. This this needs to be like a Chris Turner type situation. from last year where it's like they need to pull everything out if they want a chance to even try and beat the front runner. I look at Hundred Fingers as one I'm like really eyeballing of they need to really like they have a shot. They have a shot to win if they can really blow everyone out of the water. So I think they'll try. I think that we'll get a really good shot. I think I think Gino has He's really the main magician there. I think he can try and pull something big, pull a Dustin Tavella type situation out, maybe pull something out that way. But like they're kind of the ones I'm like, I'm intrigued with the magicians are gonna do because I feel like magic has a sh a chance to shock every time it comes on the stage, and I think they kind of know that. And continue both of those two either have been on the show before, or they're being coached by someone who's been on the show and won before. So I kind of look at that as like they're gonna be pushed hard. I think our singers are gonna pick things in their lane. Lei surprises me a little bit 'cause she was a little pitchy in her golden buzzer performance. So I know that she's the most li if they're gonna pick one act that I think could kind of AGTCommenter: Which one? Minnesota Ryan: hurt their chance, I think I would pick Lei because she was pitchy on the last one. I don't know if she chose her song last time or not, but she picked like obviously a big Diva singer. Is she gonna AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: do that again? You know, but I think half of our acts are gonna kinda keep it status quo. You know, I look at the dogs, keep it stasquo. I kinda 'cause how you can't really it's hard to teach a dog something really, really new and big in this time period. I think Veronica AGTCommenter: Yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: could pull out something, but she's only really shown us the bar so far, and I just don't know if we're gonna see anything different, but she could. But really I would look at those magicians. And and maybe come here, because they can maybe prepare something in time, but the magicians, I think, would be the ones that pulled something big out of their hat. AGTCommenter: Gino's the the name for me that I I wouldn't be we we like Gino. He's a he's a listener. So here's Minnesota Ryan: Yeah, go Gino. I love you, man. AGTCommenter: I I wouldn't be shocked if the episode starts with like, Gino's skydiving at his performance. Like what's going on? Like just takes his bit he seems like the big swing. I I gotta I gotta make a move. I think he should probably be one of the top five finishers of the season. I've really liked his live show stuff, especially his quarterfinals. But like He's the name to me. Not that I think I don't I just don't think really anybody has a great chance to make a move to the top spot, but he's Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: the one to me that's like he could do anything and it won't surprise me. He he could he could be he could try and be he could kidnap Simon from his hospital bed and bring him out and be like, Look who I made appear. Like Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. Cody: Yeah. Yeah. The AGTCommenter: anything could happen with Gino and and I I'm excited for his performance because I think I think he's got that. Cody, is there is there one name on this list that you're maybe most excited to see what they do, what they go with? We kinda know what Nene is. There's a bunch of names here we kind of have a good sense is there anybody that you feel like maybe is a wild card that you're really excited about? Cody: I I think you all kinda hit it. Maybe Unitree, 'cause we saw them with just the one Minnesota Ryan: Mm, mm. Cody: guy in the robots, then they brought out more with the robots. so I think Unitree might be something where they also bring something big out. maybe they do World Taekwondo type stuff and they start breaking boards. You never know with the with them what they're gonna program in into these robots. But you're right. Other than them and the magicians, they kinda are who they are. And if they just do a little bit in their lane, it's not gonna hurt them. AGTCommenter: Yep. Last thing I want to do before we get into some prediction talk and and or probably some analytics talk and some predictions talk to probably work together. I'm gonna ask you first, Ryan. Is there an act in this ten that if they finish in the top five, you'd be surprised? Because to me, that's the interesting part of this ten. Anything could happen of the voting on Facebook. on on Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: Wednesday night and I don't really think I'd be surprised outside maybe where people finish, but if Beefus was in the top five or Unitree, any of them. Whereas two years ago or last year, like if Mama Duke would have been top five, you could have tipped me over with a feather. No offense, Cody, team team Cody. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. Cody: Fine. AGTCommenter: Like that is is there a name here at all that if they were top five, Minnesota Ryan: Well, yeah. AGTCommenter: you would be like, what? 'Cause I feel like we've had them in past. It doesn't feel that way to me this year. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah, that's a heck of a question. Because it does bring up that great point of yeah, I don't know if there's one I'd be genuinely surprised if they were top five, not in this group. I think based on my original rankings and based on past talent, I do look at Olivia as kind of the main, like the lowest overall talent I had and I you know, she's really good. I want that to be clear, like she deserves to be in the finals from what she's done this year. But like she's not Ronnie and Rhythm, she's not Adrian Hurricane. So to AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: make top five But kind of be lesser of your category, and especially in a year where we have decent acts that could be in the top five. I think that would be the one I'd be like, okay, lowest of my original ranking. But I don't think I'd look at that and be like, surprise, she does a great job. It's a great act. Like I wouldn't be sad about it. So no, I don't think besides that one, me honestly be the dog acts. I think I at the dog acts as the ones I'd be I think least likely percentage wise for me, but they're dog acts. It's th they could be anything. We don't know. And they're they're all good. These aren't bad dog acts. They're they're good. It's just Compared to what else we I think they'd be the ones that surprise me. But no, I don't think I'd be like, whoa, my gosh. I'd be like, yep, dog act year. That's kinda how I'd see it. Cody: Just r just remember Saren Hero, fifth place. So Minnesota Ryan: Exactly. Yeah. AGTCommenter: That to me is is the story and the intriguing part of this group of ten is I'm not saying they're all even. I think Beef is it's lowest on my leaderboard. There are ones that I think are clearly better. I don't think outside of maybe Nene, I don't know if anybody has a a stronger stranglehold on being in the top five than any of the other nine, probably, or other eight of that group of nine. Cody, is that the sense you get to that fifth, fourth, third runner up could could go anyway And that wouldn't really be a shock. Cody: Yeah. Yeah, I think maybe yeah, you're right. The the top is ro is locked in. I think second place, second and third we probably are feel pretty good about, but I would agree. Fourth, fifth, it could be anyone in that listing. AGTCommenter: He here's the this was last year. The the the acts that didn't make the top five in the finals last year. Mama Duke, Circa Marea, Micah Palace, Team Recycled, and Steve Ray Ladsen. Circa Morea was really good. They should have been a top five act. If Mama Duke, Micah Palace, certainly those two would have been top five, I think we all would have been really shocked. That's just too I think Steve Ray Ladsen I probably would put in that group too. Like that's what's interesting this year. But Ryan, when we take a look at some of the analytics now that we've I mean we've got pretty much the whole season's the story's been told. I'm gonna I'll kinda wanna run through this. I'll I'll I wanna throw some prompts at you to get us some of the data. Minnesota Ryan: Let's do it. Let's go. AGTCommenter: Everyone knows the the Nene Royal story. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: Ha give us the context of exactly how big of a margin. what are the numbers your best handful of metrics that are showing us like it's It's not just number one, it's number one with a bullet by w Minnesota Ryan: A lot. AGTCommenter: what multiplier. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah, it's it's a lot. And again, we'll go like I have all the individual specific spit like statistics between each platform, but just to focus on Nanny, because really for the most part, when I go over the statistics, we're not really even releasing anything new from my list just from showing her stats. Her top end numbers, when you combine every single platform together. So I I use YouTube, I use Instagram, I use Facebook, combine every single view, every single like, every single stat across the board. The second place act doesn't even reach seven percent of what she's achieved. AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: in terms of virality. So when I when I mean like this, we have another Jessica, everybody. Like this is the same thing. This is this she's more viral than Richard. And Richard won the show, obviously, but she's on par with what Jessica did last year. so for her to lose with these stats, 'cause she's likely going to get even if she only had a third of her voters' vote on night, she still win by triple the next closest person. Like AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: Someone else would need to surprise again Chris Turner style and somehow make it like bigger than anything. But yeah, that's for percentage. Watch I did the math on that. She has and but that's just your view count by the way. When you add in her like count, they don't even reach three to four percent on there. So she has a higher rate. If you do her ratio for the amount of views and numbers she has, I'd argue her ratio, which is when I take their likes and divide it by their view count and see how many people like the act when they see it, I'd argue her ratio is better than Jessica's. last year. So more people are liking Nene when they see it on a common basis than they did Jessica last year. And Jessica wanted a landslide. So AGTCommenter: Would would you would you consider this, and you haven't been doing this, you've only been doing this for a handful of years? Are you putting her her number one most viral act you've seen maybe since Cody Lee? Like is that the sense you're getting? Minnesota Ryan: I think it's a possibility. I and and the one thing that separates Nene from from because it's her Jessica. When it comes to my time doing this, it just comes down to it's her, Jessica. I think more people are liking Nene. Than Jessica. I think Jessica, everyone kinda got on board with like she's another singer, she's really good, that's great and all. but like it's another singer, she's only winning 'cause she's pregnant, stuff like that. I think the universal love of Nene of when people see her, they go, That girl's pretty freaking good, and I kinda can't deny it. I think has made her rat it's her ratio number I look at and I go, I think this is our most viral act since I've been doing it, because the amount of people that when they see it, they go, This is our next superstar. And they're just agreeing on it, like just universally agreeing on it, even though she is the favorite and people don't like favorites on a season when they happen. AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: I think people are accepting this one as we haven't seen something like this. This is pretty cool. Let's get this person to win. AGTCommenter: And in terms of margin, you're you're saying this is highly comparable to Jessica or are you feeling Minnesota Ryan: Eye close. AGTCommenter: so it was it was this big of a margin a year ago in i from what you saw too? Okay. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. It's from a view standpoint, it's about the same. Like again, look looking at Jessica's peak and the amount of views she got on each platform, I would say we're pretty much the same thing right now. the difference to me is that you go to the comments and you don't see people justify. for Jessica, you saw a lot of those justifications of like, you know, people are just doing it 'cause she's pregnant, you know, she's won before. Should we have past singers come on the show? We don't like we don't know if we like that. It's season twenty, that's why she's getting love. Like you saw a lot of those type of stuff. Nanny has none of that. Like AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: y you read her comments, it's like this is a young superstar. and if anything, the only pushback you get is the people that knew her beforehand are trying to claim credit they knew her before. Like that's the only negative comment you see across the board. AGTCommenter: Yeah, yeah. Minnesota Ryan: but like I think people are recognized she's more than just a singer. This isn't just another singer winning. I don't think people see her as a singer. I think our only like main singer we have on the show is Lei. from from like what we see on AGT history. I think they see her as an artist, as like 'cause she does the whole thing. She is the whole entire performance. And I think that's put her a different than Jessica. AGTCommenter: Yep. In and Cody, we've gone round and round a little bit on y I I think she's a solo singer category, but yes, there is more to it. The guitar she's she's a sick guitar player. Like it is what it is. We've seen other singers play instruments too. I wanna do a quick note on that here in a second. So she's the favorite. I I I I I don't know how you could look at it any other way. Now I've talked about throughout this season and my my belief that she's the favorite's grown. The historical non the stuff you're talking about, but just the the what audition you come from to the category to golden buzzer and non golden all of these things are working entirely against her. And so I said last week, I'll say it one more time, Cody, if she doesn't win, I'll be the least shocked person and I still will be so shocked that I don't know if I would ever be more shocked in my life. But I'll still be less shocked than everybody else because I do think Cody: Ha ha ha. AGTCommenter: there's historical markers that show that she probably shouldn't actually win. And I still wouldn't be I you you couldn't make me believe it if she doesn't win. I did run this number last night because I and I don't think this is something I wanna use to say that I think she's not going to win. I want it to kind of highlight kind of the incredible stuff that's happening and and why her win is gonna be so impressive. So we've had eleven seasons of Golden Buzzers seasons. I went back through and I want to ask you guys to venture a guess. I would consider her a non-Golden Buzzer, because I think the live show Golden Buzzer is a different thing. A non-Golden Minnesota Ryan: Mm-hmm. Don't count. AGTCommenter: Buzzer solo singer. So no auditions, Golden Buzzer, or back when we had Judge Cuts. How many over 11 seasons? So 10 through 20, how many non-Golden Buzzer Gol solo singers do you think have made the top five? So there's been 55 top five finishers over those years. I want you to venture a guess how many you think either of you can go first. How many non Golden Buzzer solo singers have made a top five in eleven years? Cody: I'm gonna go with two. AGTCommenter: Okay, Ryan. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah, I think it's single digit. I wanna Aaron said it's a lot of time. I'll go like four, but I think this is low. AGTCommenter: Cody, you are right on it. It is two. Minnesota Ryan: Nice. Cody: Nice. Yeah. AGTCommenter: Brian Justin Crumb finished fourth in season 11, and Brooke Simpson finished fourth in season 16. So not only two in the top five, zero in the top three. We've never had a top three finisher in what she ultimately is. Not to mention, she's auditions five, Cody. We know that 83% of top four finishers come from the first four auditions in the season over all 20 seasons of this show. She's not a she was even just removing Soul Singer, eight of eleven winners are are are golden buzzers. She doesn't have that. it's she's overcoming things. And even if you want to get generous and and and remove the Judge Cuts Golden Buzzer, there's only one more to add in, it's Angelica Hale who was runner up. two in the top five. And we're talking about her like there's it's an impossibility that she won't win. So to me she's she's defining so many odds, which I think is very cool. Cody, when you hear the numbers, the scope, the scale of her virality, whatever you want to call it, i it's not a surprise, is it? Cody: No, it's not a surprise. But I think I and I know you can't dig into this, Ryan, but I think a lot of that stuff is coming from overseas. And so, you know, the v the voters can't vote unless you're in the US. so it will be interesting. I mean, we're we're still talking about the virality that she's the number one favorite. I don't think any of us are disputing that she's the number one favorite, but a lot of those views, a lot of that data is probably coming from overseas. And so it will be interesting to see what the American voters, those that actually can and obviously TikTok voters. You know, they talk about TikTok being this great thing that, everyone's gonna be voting on TikTok, but it's only like one percent of the voters is on TikTok. Yes. Yeah. AGTCommenter: Point one percent of voters, yeah. No, it's not even it's a it's it's a fraction of one percent of votes. Cody: So it will be interesting to see if the US voters that vote on the app or on the website really do show up to vote her as the winner. Minnesota Ryan: one thing I'll push back on that with Nene specifically because that is true Cody: Mm-hmm. Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: for a lot of our international acts. The big pushback that's happening online in the comment section is that the people who knew her before from when she was international are fighting to say that she's theirs because a lot of the American market has started to claim that they've discovered her. And that Cody: Okay. Minnesota Ryan: is the only negative argument that's going. So my my wonder is if she has made a big enough name here that we're trying to claim that she's this new big thing that we've discovered because we do that here in America all the time. We discover everything. And Cody: Yes, we do. Minnesota Ryan: that is the international argument is the people who originally knew her are like, No, we knew her first. You guys are just learning of her. so we'll see with that. AGTCommenter: Sh she's like Woods she's like Woodstock. Only like half a million people Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: attended Woodstock and there's there's seventy million people like I was there. It's unbelievable. Like I'll never forget it. It's like you you you couldn't all have been there. You couldn't Cody: Ha ha ha. Minnesota Ryan: Mm-hmm. AGTCommenter: all have discovered her. She's she's Woodstock. I I wanna clarify one last thing, Ryan, before I wanna I wanna get to some different people. When you say seven percent of her, the the closest, are so you're saying that she's ninety three percent higher Than the next closest. Cause Cody, I get your point, and you're right. She's not going to be as good on the vote as what her numbers probably say. First of all, people just don't vote nearly as much as they watch a video. I just not sure somebody can make up ninety ninety three percent. I don't think that ninety three percent's Minnesota Ryan: Yep. AGTCommenter: all coming from international people, you know what mean? Yeah. Okay. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. If you add up all nine other acts, and these are our top acts of the season, they reach a fourth of her total numbers. That that's what I mean. Like this is AGTCommenter: That's that's yeah. Right. Cody: Ha ha ha. Minnesota Ryan: that's how much she's being viewed and liked. And the like count is not even close. It's not even close. AGTCommenter: Yeah. Okay. Let let's let's move on. Let's try and maybe get a sense of maybe how the second, third, fourth, and fifth place might fall. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: Is there a name, maybe two, when you look at the numbers, that surprises you that wow, that aim is doing better than I thought, and maybe try and get in the head of us and even the listeners. Hey, watch out, this act is clearly better online than maybe people think. Minnesota Ryan: Am I going first here? AGTCommenter: Yeah, yeah, y this is all you. Minnesota Ryan: General cut. Okay. I would say from a numbers standpoint, a lot of this makes sense. A lot of the numbers make sense from what I predicted from these acts. The one that's kind of the weird wild card is Unitry for me. historically an act that's a very like robot centered dancing act usually gets their one big bump in view in the audition and then just dies off as an act completely. They're very risky acts through a show. I think the translation of having a single a dancer attached to it and almost doing it like a World Tw Taekwondo style performance has made them a much different style act. The view count has put them in a higher category than I would have predicted that they would fall at. So I'd say that's the one where I'm like, hey, we get to the top five night, you know, I know we have all these acts we like. Like I know this is a live show Golden Buzzer, and it's a weird category, but like I would not be surprised if an act like that falls in top five just from the number standpoint of how many people are viewing it. AGTCommenter: Is there anybody underperforming what you or or people may think? Minnesota Ryan: I would say statistically, on a on a virality standpoint, I would say Gino. I I think Gino has a very strong chance to be not only top five, but to contend for that top three, depending on what he does on Finals Night. And throughout the entire season, including auditions, he has been a constant low viral marker. so he's just he doesn't produce a lot of views on every platform. He doesn't produce a lot of likes. It's it's a different type of act. He he reminds me a lot of how I messed up on Chris Turner. last year because I look back, like, how did I miss Chris Turner? What w how did this happen? Because he was like my thirtieth ranked act of forty-four and he went to second place. He did the same thing. Where it's like he may not be getting the view count, but when it comes to what he's impressing on the screen that gets voters to want to vote, he's clearly doing that. So I'd say, yeah, Gino is a surprise. You'll see him lower on these rankings. He's not gonna be one I think is going to end at the spot his statistics are putting him at. AGTCommenter: What for you over the last few years has been the most reliable metric that you're tracking? That if you had to if you had to throw if Minnesota Ryan: Yes, I know, Cody, we've talked about this a bunch. Cody: Ha ha. AGTCommenter: you had to throw everything out but one thing to tell you maybe the story of what might happen on Tuesday and Wednesday, what are you looking at as your most reliable? Minnesota Ryan: The main predictor. I would say so view count means nothing. unless you unless you do what Jessica and Nene have done, then it then it does mean something. But I don't use view count as a very strong predictor at all. That's the view count is just what you put in the title, the headline as people will view it. Like count is much better as an overall number of volume. If I'm looking at volume statistics, I'll look at like count overall. But the most steady, reliable predictor, and it does vary, but the most reliable predictor has been the ratio count. So when you take the like count and divide it by the view count and see on a percentage how much are people willing to like an act when they see it, that's been the much more steady, consistent predictor. when I put the ratio onto last year's top five, we perfectly predicted the top five. of last year's thing. So I I do think that's the one and again that will be I'll be making a lot of my picks here today on ratio 'cause that's where I think the acts are being received. But that's the one we've seen as the most steadily consistent. AGTCommenter: You're using YouTube, Instagram, Facebook, correct? Okay. Minnesota Ryan: Facebook. Reels. Yep. Yep. AGTCommenter: Let's nitty gritty it let's narrow it down even further. Alright, we've got ratio. Is there a platform that is more reliable than another? Minnesota Ryan: Great question. you can't ignore YouTube. YouTube has always been a very steady platform. Now it has its flaws. me and Cody have talked about this a lot on my my other pods, where it's like people will go back to YouTube to watch an act they didn't w they want to see more of and they want to like watch the full performance. Comedians do fantastic on YouTube and they never do well on the show. Right. So we get we get like larger acts that need more time. Magicians do really well on YouTube and sometimes they do well on the show. so we'll see that. So it can be a little unpredictable because of that factor and it tends to be an older age range. so but it's more universal. There's still young and old on YouTube that watches things. Whereas when you break down Instagram, it's a very young platform. When you break down Facebook, it's a generally older platform. So between them you'll see certain acts always will split off. and will and like I can usually predict the act I think is gonna be the Facebook act, you know, because it's almost always the same type of acts every year. you're more wholesome, you're more homy. Choirs do so good on Facebook and do terrible on Instagram every single year. AGTCommenter: I'm imagining the dog acts are doing well on Facebook. Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: Generally, yes. and there's one of them in particular that that I finally found the crowd. I found I found who was voting for that act. And we got some answers there, so that'll be kind of fun to break down. But yes. Generally the more family driven, wholesome acts where you're like your mom or your grandma will be like, that's kinda cute, and they'd like it, those are your acts that tend to do well. Chris Turner did pretty well on Facebook last year. That was one of his highest stats because he was more of your he really spoke well to the older populations and what he was doing. but you'll almost always see those homie acts, those like general acts will do terrible on Instagram. they're usually your lowest ranked. And that's why again, I have the overall virality rankings today, which will be really fun when you combine them all together and see where they landed from a total standpoint. That kind of reveal a lot of important answers for me on the season. But individually I would say YouTube is your most universally good when you're not doing comedians. Comedians, it has been a very bad predictor just because people want to hear the set again. And it's not they actually like them. They just want to view them and hear the set. AGTCommenter: Yeah. So here's where I'm at. Cody, I I would I kinda want us to make our picks before he gives what what do you think, Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: Cody? Cody: No, I think that's fair. Yeah. AGTCommenter: Okay, so here's how I want to do it. I got one a couple other things non-analytics and non-picks related I want to talk about quickly. Cody and I will make our picks, then Ryan, you can tell us basically how you think the night's gonna unfold based off of the overall. If you want to touch a little bit on all tens, how they're doing, we'll do it that way. So Minnesota Ryan: Perfect. AGTCommenter: since we have not had numbers for the first one, two, three, four predictions we've made, Cody, I think it makes sense for us to do it that way. But the one last thing I did want to look at. Two things. Judges Callbacks. We had one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, twelve, fifteen of them made the live shows that were in Judges Callbacks. Looking at the list, Nene is still in the competition of the fifteen and beefus. So obviously. Minnesota Ryan: The same act. Solid AGTCommenter: They're they're yeah. Cody: Face Facebook crew versus inst TikTok crew, right? AGTCommenter: Birds of feather, right? They they fly together these two. Two out of thirteen or excuse me, two out of fifteen have made the finals. Fa and one of them got there via a live show Golden Buster, so they technically didn't even get voted for to get there. So really only one has gotten the votes from America. Nay nay would have, we we can we can assume that. But either way, based off of the what has actually happened. Beefus of the other fourteen, one for fourteen, got voted to the finals. Cody, I want to go to you first. Does that surprise you or does that kind of track of what you probably thought was going to happen? Cody: Two or fifteen that's look AGTCommenter: Well, really one of fourteen 'cause Nene got the golden buzzer. Cody: Sure. So that's still more than what's that one and was that fifteen percent? What's the percentage on that? Is that AGTCommenter: One divided by fourteen. Minnesota Ryan: Like six percent around there. Cody: Yeah. AGTCommenter: Yeah, yeah, seven percent. Cody: Yeah. That yeah, I guess that that sounds about right. Seven percent of the ones made it made it in. And it happened to be one of the acts that we don't think should have actually been there. So yes, so I I yeah. No, I AGTCommenter: Surprising name, right? Yeah. Ryan, do you f sorry, go ahead, Cody. Cody: was gonna say it might be a little surprising that she's the one that made it that she was the sole one to make it. AGTCommenter: I would agree. Cody: Yeah. AGTCommenter: We'll see if they continue to do this, right? And if they continue to do that version, another second round of things. Cody: I'll I'll just I'll just interject. It was a terrible two episodes of T V. Yeah, okay. AGTCommenter: It was. It was. Ryan, when you look at that, is that something you would say if they continue to do it, you would look and go, Don't don't get too excited to think that it's gonna go well for callbacks? Or should we just known it wasn't you know, the the fifteen that went through there was twenty nine that didn't have to go to callbacks. We probably should just assume that the ones that didn't have to go to callbacks are gonna do the best. Wha ha what do you make of the performance of the fifteen? Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. I I'm not surprised by how it ended up because in my opinion, Judge Callback should be something you bring back acts you're questioning and you want to give them an extra chance to show you something different. so and if that's the case, then they're acts that you were maybe not fully sold on, therefore they're not necessarily acts that were gonna be super successful from the start. So statistically it makes sense to me. However, I don't believe Nene was there because she was at ever in question. I believe they AGTCommenter: Right. Minnesota Ryan: recognized how viral Nene was and they wanted to put her on their screen as much as possible. So it depends on how they use judge callbacks. Like I I think when they told when Howie got Nanny, they were like, You're gonna put her through. Like, I don't care what you think, she's going through. and that was never a his decision. That was already fine. But I think it did allow like Olivia I think is what the judge callback should be for, right? Hey, this act I had her ranked really low on my list. It statistically she didn't do well. And clearly the more that America's gotten to see her, they've gotten to like her and it's led to her leading to the finals, which is incredible. So I think the numbers make sense. I I think people shouldn't watch Judge Callbacks and put too much thought into it. I do think eighty percent of those acts are supposed to be acts that maybe wouldn't have made it and we're giving them an extra chance. And like every act, we've only seen an act once, most of the time by auditions. Sometimes acts are gonna surprise. And I don't think s act every act's gonna surprise. So I think at least if ten percent or so make it from judge callbacks, I think that's a successful Judge Callbacks, because you've given them a chance when they had no chance before. So I think people should expect low numbers making it to the finals, but It depends on how they use judge callbacks going forward. Are they gonna use it like they did with Nene? Or are they gonna use it like they did with Olivia to like actually make give an act a second chance? I I guess it kinda depends on what they want for the show. AGTCommenter: Yeah. Alright, last thing I want to do, Cody, before we make our picks. I've been tracking how well each audition's doing on advancing their acts through the competition. I've been monitoring historically it shows that if you're not in the first four auditions, you your likelihood of of making in the top five or the top four is pretty low. In this final, 70% of so seven out of ten are from the first four auditions. So that would be a pretty prof impressive performance. Basically, the assumption would be that 57 should be. That's because there's 57% of audition episodes come from the first four versus 423. So they're slightly overperforming. My question to the two of you the three non-top four. So we have two from auditions five or top four, auditions four. Two from auditions five, one from audition six. Nene's auditions five. I think we all think she's going to be a top five finisher. That would be a safe bet. So there's one. The numbers would tell us that it's probably historically 80%, four out of the five are gonna be not from the from the back half of the auditions. Likely, more likely or less likely that one of Royal Lasers and Veronica. Those are the other two from Auditions Five and Audition Six. Do you think the the other four will come from where it says it probably is going to, or do you think one of those two will maybe buck the trend and and and pull it down? Ryan, what do you think? Minnesota Ryan: Those are two solid acts. I I have a lot of faith in Royal Lasers and Veronica, just personally, just from their I think their growth of their act, what they've done, the consistency of their act, I do think they have this a percentage stronger shot at that more top five than I would guess the acts we've seen earlier in the show. So I'm gonna say this is gonna buck the trend. I think this is gonna be a different year for us. AGTCommenter: Cody, do you think we brock buck the trend a little bit? Cody: Yeah, without tipping my hand on my picks, I'm gonna say at least one of them, yes, gets into the top five and we buck the trend. AGTCommenter: Okay. All right. Let's do this. Let's make some picks here. So I'll do a quick recap. So Cody and I have been, starting last week, predicting the opener and closer of the episode, and then obviously how the results go. So we're gonna be predicting fifth, fourth, third, runner-up and winner. We have to y we're not you don't get points just for having them in the top five. You have to get their exact finishing position correct to get the points. One point for fifth, two, three, four, and five. I'm up sixteen to fourteen currently on on Cody. come here come here going th it wasn't Minnesota Ryan: it's tight. It's close. Cody: It was not tight it was not tight at one point. I kinda Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: Ha ha. AGTCommenter: Well it it just you the points doubled in the semis and you got one more right than me and so you close the gap from four to two basically is what happened. So we were right on it last week, Cody. You had five of the six correct going through, I had four of the six. We both had the closer right. How we'll do it. Ryan, you're gonna hold off on your top five until both Cody and I are done, but you you can join us for the opener and closer predic prediction. So, Cody, do you want me to go first again? Cody: You can. Yeah. And do you want to do back and forth, five, then four? AGTCommenter: I'll do my opener and closer, you can do your opener and closer, Ryan can do his. Cody: Okay. Okay. AGTCommenter: I think Beefus is gonna open the episode. She opened er I that's what I predicted last week. I thought a dog act was gonna open the episode, they went with the canine crew instead. I'm just gonna I'm gonna guess they're gonna play the same playbook, but maybe just flip it so it's not the same order. I'm gonna go with Beefus to open the episode, and I think I think it's She is a ten to one favorite to close the episode. I Nene is just gonna close the episode. I just don't see them going a different direction with that. Cody, where are you going for your opener and closer? Cody: I'm also going with the dog act, but I think they're gonna do the same thing they did in Simi's and put the acro crew first. and then yes, Nene is obviously going to close out the show. AGTCommenter: Ryan, any diff what what's your thought here? Minnesota Ryan: fun with because I have a little less stakes in this competition so I want to have fun by picking some different picks. I do agree with you statistically I was gonna go with Acro and Nene. So it was gonna that was gonna be my original like statistical pick. But I'm gonna instead choose I think they're gonna open up the night with come here. Get a nice big energy dance act that comes and starts the night and I think they're gonna end the night with 100 fingers. For the fun of it, just to change it up. AGTCommenter: Yep. all right, all right, Cody. Let's go every other. I'll do my fifth place, you do your fifth, so on and so forth. In fifth, I I jostled with I think there's a clear one two in my opinion that I think is going to happen. Three, four, and five, I jumped around all over the place. I couldn't decide. I think some of this is it's kind of what I want to happen, but Ryan, you kind of touched on it too, of he's probably gonna overperform. I think Gino is gonna finish in fifth place on Wednesday night. Cody, who what is your fifth place prediction? Cody: So I just talked a minute ago that I think we're gonna buck that trend and I'm going with Veronica in fifth AGTCommenter: Okay. Cody: place. AGTCommenter: She was the one I had in my top five out of it back in. I I she's the one I can't decide. I she's been so good. She just goes through we'll see. Okay. Fourth place. I don't see how this act finishes outside the top five. The only reason I think that this act would is just because of the golden buzzer. I think Lei just is gonna be a top five finisher. I think she just Minnesota Ryan: Mm. AGTCommenter: has the The solo singer thing along with Golden Buzzers, it just is a safe bet. I'm gonna f I'm gonna predict that Lay Noel finishes fourth. Cody, you're you're fourth place. Cody: So once again I think we're still gonna buck that trend. I'm AGTCommenter: Okay. Cody: going Royal Lasers at number four. AGTCommenter: Okay. Alright. So Veronica fifth and Royal Lasers fourth for you. So this is where I think I'm going out. I I feel like this is my biggest on-a-limb choice. I just can't imagine the way this season has gone, some of the history of it, that a dog act is not gonna be in the top five. I just I would I would be kicking myself. I may be wrong on the place, but if I go through this whole season And I don't predict one of these two dog acts to make the top five and then one or both are runner up, third, whatever. I'm having the Acro Canine crew finishing third on Wednesday night. Cody, you're you're third place. Minnesota Ryan: Spicy. Cody: I I am going with the the only real solo singer in this prof in this competition, Lay Noel at third. AGTCommenter: Okay. let's do this. We both have Nene winning, correct, Cody? Okay. So we'll get the intrigue out on that. So runner-up. Cody: That's correct, yes. Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah, how can not? AGTCommenter: I would be mildly surprised if this is not the runner-up. I think you could make an argument. I think it's this act, Nene and Veronica, have been the three best of the season start to finish. I have hundred fingers hundred fingers from Team Cody and Commenter as the runner-up. Cody, where are you going with your runner-up? Cody: Well, it sounds like that there's gonna be no surprise for either of us at one and two. I'm also going with Hindered Fingers at number two. So AGTCommenter: Yeah. I I it just feels like the the right thing. So there's plenty of ways for either of us to win this. We k fifth, fourth, and third, we all we both have three different picks. So whoever can can can zero in on there. All right. Ryan, before you get into stuff, thoughts on our thought process on some of our choices there. Minnesota Ryan: I think you guys have a pretty good feel for at least what statistically is most probable. Now where you rank, how you rank, it's it's that's a judgment call and I think they can go any different way. But from looking out kind of what we're gonna go through here today and what you guys have, I don't think either of you are gonna feel worse about your decisions. from kind of who you picked for the teams that you have. That's at least it. Now there's gonna be variations, right? There's I'm gonna go through all three AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: platforms and there's gonna be some platforms that are gonna be like, whoa, what's that? And then the other one's gonna be like, no, that feels better. but as an overall, I I think that you guys are at least gonna get least three of your five probably correct by the end AGTCommenter: Okay. Minnesota Ryan: of the show time. AGTCommenter: All right. So let's do this. Let's let's go where let's go through the five that you don't think are gonna take the top sorry, go ahead, Ryan. Or Cody. Yep. Cody: Kit kit can I ask a question? Do we have a tiebreaker? Minnesota Ryan: Ooh. Yeah, we need those now. AGTCommenter: Well, it might be impossible for us to Cody: Ha ha ha. AGTCommenter: tie tiebreaker. Cody: Highest finisher, I mean AGTCommenter: Tiebreaker. Let's do this way. The tiebreaker, whoever has created the spreadsheet and tracked it from start to finish with the formulas Cody: Ha ha ha. AGTCommenter: and the colors gets the win. There's a tie. no. Yeah. this is a good question, Cody. We we should have a tiebreaker. Well, Cody: Who's ever done the most pods this season? Gets Yes. Yes. Minnesota Ryan: I I'm not getting involved in this conversation. AGTCommenter: I think whoever has the correct highest finishing act. Cody: Yes. Okay. Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: I we've always done that. Yeah. AGTCommenter: We both have the same winner, so that won't break it. We both have the same runner up. So if one of us Minnesota Ryan: It's gonna be third place. What a weird pick. AGTCommenter: has the correct third place and we tie that one. If one of us has the correct fourth pl I think that that makes sense, right, Cody? Minnesota Ryan: So Cody: Yeah. And and it has to be fourth place. Minnesota Ryan: so commoner, you win. Cody: If I get if I can only get fifth, I I have to get at least fourth place to tie. AGTCommenter: Yes. Minnesota Ryan: So commerce if you win it's on Olivia. Is it gonna be what makes you win if you get third place? Okay, Nicker, yes, you're right, you're right, yeah, yep, yep. Dog act Love it. AGTCommenter: No, the canine crew. yeah. I that's that's who I have third. Yep. So Cody: Yeah, his fourth place. Yeah. So his fourth place. Yes. AGTCommenter: let's plan for that, Cody. And if somehow we can't figure it out and no tiebreaker works, we get everything wrong. W w yeah. What what would Yeah, we can't we can't tie. Cody: Well, I can get fourth place and you not get anything. Yes. AGTCommenter: Right. What Minnesota Ryan: You're AGTCommenter: I'm saying is is yes, we Minnesota Ryan: okay. AGTCommenter: can't tie and not have something to break the tie on who is highest finisher. So we'll be all right. All right. So Ryan, let's go through who you think's gonna be bottom five of the night. Let let's Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: fly through some of the numbers. Let's not w we don't wanna be here we don't want to get bogged down too too long, but Minnesota Ryan: We'll make it super quick. Yep. AGTCommenter: the the five kind of as you go, floor is yours on on kind of where you think those acts stack up statistically. Minnesota Ryan: Absolutely. so just for everyone listening here, like I went through about two, two or three hours of statistics gathering from all platforms. AGTCommenter: Yep. Minnesota Ryan: I grabbed auditions, I grabbed quarterfinals, I grabbed semifinals. It was quite a bit of work to grab it all. so I do have the individual stats per each night if we wanted to go into one particular act in general, but I'm not gonna go through that for you all because that would just be a a lot of numbers and nobody wants a math class today. AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: so what we're gonna do instead is kinda just hit each of the general rankings for each platform, and then I'll tell you the bottom five and then I'll tell you the five that I think in the order that That I have. so starting off on YouTube, I mean, first of all, Nana's gonna be one on every single one of these, by the way, and it's not even gonna be close. I'm just gonna now give you some perspective on the numbers on each platform of how far above she is the next place. It she is number one. number two on YouTube is actually Unitry, and they've been this way. Their auditions really did pretty well for them. and I also want this to be clear as well. I don't have a semifinal performance for four of these acts. Yet you're gonna see this order here in a sec and be like, Okay, they actually have one less night of stats, but yet they still are dominating completely, AGTCommenter: Right. Minnesota Ryan: so I didn't care at the end, even though they had one less night. They're just statistically the best. But Unitree has 7.5 million total views on YouTube and 102,000 likes total. to give you perspective on Nene, she has 31 million views and 1.1 million likes on YouTube alone. So she is ten times Unitree's likes and what looks like five times just their views on just YouTube platform AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: alone. And that is one to two on the ranking. Three, hundred fingers, four million views, sixty thousand likes. Ley is four, three point nine million views, forty, seven point four likes, and then Royal Lasers comes in fifth at one point one million views, thirteen point six thousand likes. So that's your top five on YouTube. Nene, Unitree, Hundred Fingers, Lay, Royal Lasers. Kind of like I said, your guys' picks are gonna be relatively in line with kind of what we're seeing from a YouTube perspective. The bottom five in order of AGTCommenter: Okay. Minnesota Ryan: YouTube is Acro, Veronica, Gino. Come here, and then Olivia brings up the rear as the 10th on YouTube. So that's YouTube. Running into Instagram. Similar, Nene is gonna be top here. Let's do the second place, then I'll tell you Nene's numbers. Hundred Fingers comes in second place on Instagram. They they do pretty well with the younger crowd overall. 1.9 million total views on Instagram, 71.6,000 likes overall. Ratio always tends to be higher on Instagram than YouTube. So you'll see the like count is always gonna be higher on Instagram compared to the view count that we get. So I have one point nine million views, seventy one point six thousand likes. Let's go to Nene. Thirty nine point nine million views. three point seven million likes. So I I mean we're talking like fifteen times the view count, AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: and then we're talking from a like standpoint, I mean like same almost same percentage, ten to fifteen more. So I mean she's far and away better. Third, Royal Lasers, one point seven million views, fifty th fifty five point three thousand likes. Fourth, Veronica. 1.1 million views, 42.2,000 likes, and then fifth is Lei at 917,000 views, 38.5,000 likes. That's your top five there. Then your bottom five on Instagram is in order. Come here. Acro, Unitree, Olivia, and Gino. the only big difference here is the big drop in Unitree. Unitree was two AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: on YouTube. Now they're eighth on Instagram. so a massive drop overall from at least that platform. I don't know what about the Instagram platform, it just doesn't like Unitree. Overall, but otherwise we're seeing a very similar orientation to our kind of top ranking, just a slight variation. Going to Facebook, Nene again one, but this is probably the most egregious, I would say, statistical difference between her and the rest. Hunterfingers is two here as well at two point four million views, forty-seven thousand likes. Nene has fifty-three point six million views here and two point two million likes. I didn't even want to do the math on the percentage close to 100 fingers on here. This is not even comparable. It's almost like nobody else performed but AGTCommenter: Yeah. Yep. Minnesota Ryan: her from this standpoint. Three is Unitry. They jump back up on Facebook. I guess our older population's a little bit more impressed by the the dancing robots than our younger on the Instagram stage. They have 1.2 million views, 19.2,000 likes. Here's where Olivia makes her drump. so Olivia's AGTCommenter: Mm. Minnesota Ryan: fourth place on Facebook. she has 88. 886,000 views, 15.1,000 likes. and then Royal Lasers has been consistently fourth or fifth place on every list. They have 727,000 views, 5.5,000 likes. You'll always see on Facebook ratio is always trash. except for Dana. She's the only one that kind of broke that, but we don't AGTCommenter: Hmm. Yep. Minnesota Ryan: see a lot of likes on the Facebook crowd. We see a lot more views on the Facebook crowd just in general. In order, our bottom five on Facebook is Lei, then Veronica, then Acro, then Gino, then come here. So that's kind of our individual rankings. Now, I decided just for fun of it to combine them all together to get total AGTCommenter: Yep. Minnesota Ryan: view counts, total likes, and then total ratio. And that's how I'm gonna make my final five decision on my picks here today. No shock, Nanny's one, but I wanna really give the reference on how much bigger she is than two. So hundred fingers comes in second place on the overall virality rankings. 8.3 million total views, 178.6,000 likes. And a 2.2% ratio. So that means 2.2% of people that saw the video would like it. That is a very solid ratio when you consider every platform combined across the board. Nene has 124.5 million total views. She has seven million total likes. Again, we have Hunter Fingers had 178.6 thousand likes total. She has seven million likes across every single platform and a 5.6 ratio. I have never seen a ratio that high when you combine every platform. AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: That is that is unbelievably high. That 5.6% of people that see her clip everywhere will like it. so that is incredible numbers across the board. Number three, Unitree comes in third on total view count across everyone at 9.1 million views, 137,000 likes, and a 1.5% ratio. That ratio could be better, but they're getting a lot of volume, which is really nice across. So people know who Unitree is. We'll see if they vote for them. Fourth is Lei on the overall. 5.4 million views, 93.3,000 likes, 1.7% ratio. And then Royal Lasers comes in fifth at 3.5 million views, 74.4,000 likes, and a 2.1% ratio. So that's kind of your virality. If you were just to go volume, social media determines all voting, no matter what, your top five would be Nene, Hundred Fingers, Unitary, Lay, Royal Lazers. That's who they would predict on numbers alone. Now, I don't think AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: that's what's gonna happen, but that is what social media is saying. The next five in order would be then Veronica, just outside of the top five, then come here, then Olivia, then Acker, then Gino. So that is the overall social media ranking. Now, again, I just told you, view count is not my favorite number. So some of AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: these are driven a lot on view count. People have feet seen them, but their ratios are very different in this ranking across the board. So if you ask me, if I'm going, do you want me start from five into one or one to five? Because one we kinda know. Five to one? Okay. AGTCommenter: Yeah. Let's go five to one. We know the ones, so five to two. Minnesota Ryan: Cool. My fifth place, and I've been on record saying this a thousand times, I've even texted in this group chat, every single year fifth place is an electronic act. It always is every time, and that's actually why I picked Lightwire last year, is I had a feeling they'd end up fifth. They ended up literally exactly fifth, and I laughed in my room as that happened. So I'm gonna continue with trends because it's happened. And statistically, they're literally the fifth-ranked act on my board. I'm gonna say Royal Lasers comes in fifth place. It just makes the most sense. I think their talent is a very fifth place worthy act. I don't even think they're necessarily trying to win. I think they're trying to be known. And so I think they're gonna come out with a very solid, safe performance that people are gonna like and they're gonna get votes and they're gonna be fifth place. AGTCommenter: Yep. R Cody had them fourth. I did not have them in the top five. you're Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: fourth place. Minnesota Ryan: My fourth place, and this is where I've kind of bounced around quite a little bit, and this is maybe the one change I'm gonna have because I I'm not gonna go all stats here, and that I if I did, then I would have missed Chris Turner last year. So I'm gonna try and be AGTCommenter: Right. Minnesota Ryan: a little bit different and pick some things. I do think some acts transcend their numbers and their statistics online. I'm gonna go with Gino here fourth. And that this is my biggest win. He's literally tenth place on my stats list here, but he is every AGTCommenter: Yeah yeah yeah. Minnesota Ryan: single time he's performed. He's actually gotten more and more and more likes. He's one of the few acts that across his platforms has gotten more appreciated the longer he's gone on. Also, I think his act has a chance and a potential to surprise people. And we know that on Finals Night, you bring out one new thing, everybody forgets everything you've done in the past, and they could win. That's the Dustin Tabella effect, right? So I do think that he can can do that. So I'm gonna say that he's fourth mainly because of his his background, his support system. I think he's gonna have something big planned for the finals. I think he's my surprise. But that I could be completely wrong on that, but I kinda wanna just give it a shot. He's also the only guy on my team here that I think could surprise and maybe have a chance to keep us in the running. I do love Earl Lasers, but I'm gonna go Gino for that. I'm gonna stick on that. yeah. AGTCommenter: I think he he is the most Chris Turner of this season. Minnesota Ryan: Yes. AGTCommenter: I would say his rise from auditions to now has been the the most last year he was Chris Turner just all of a sudden was like, he's just like the best. Like this is crazy. I never even would have thought and his his guest performance last week was unbelievable. But so I think that Cody: And we we as a we and we as a podcast want to take credit for his progression. Yes. So AGTCommenter: Yes, yes. So I think Minnesota Ryan: He AGTCommenter: that that makes sense. I had him fifth. Cody did not have him in his top five. You're third place, Ryan. Minnesota Ryan: My third place, and this is where now I'm gonna start using heavy duty numbers here to help back my support. I think in third, statistically, it's going to be Veronica. her act she's unique in her category. She's very good, she's incredibly consistent. I I don't think she has anyone's no one's comparing her to anybody else. So if she just comes out and does at least one thing, just a little extra, I think her consistency, her uniqueness, and her kind attitude and spirit on the stage is gonna get her votes, and she's almost a perfect third place finisher. Also she has, looking at the numbers, the third best ratio of all three of these anyway. So if we're going on ratio, most statistically best category, it puts her right in at third in that spot. and I'm gonna be honest with you all, to avoid any spoilers here, I have your same top two. How can you not? I mean 100 fingers is clear in a way second place on every s mostly every single statistical metric. I also think they're the most likely to come out and maybe challenge Nene if they come out and put out something good, like really, really good. And Nene has to be one. There's no statistic that says that she shouldn't be one. so that makes my top five Nene, then Hundred Fingers, then Veronica, then Gino, then Royal Lasers. AGTCommenter: The the only name that made it into any of our top fives that's only on there once. Acro Canine Crew is the only one that doesn't have at least two of us picking them in top five. I have them third. Is that when you think about it, Ryan, n neither you or Cody have a dog act in the top five? Is that is it surprising that Canine Crew is the only one of all of the names that got mentioned that's only on one of our top fives? Royal Lasers is on yours and Cody's, Gino's on yours and mine, Veronica's Minnesota Ryan: Mm-hmm. AGTCommenter: on yours and Cody's, and then we have all ha three have the same top two. Minnesota Ryan: It's a hard season for because it's like, no, it doesn't surprise me, but it also does at the same time because they're good enough. If they put on a really good night, they've had a really good supporting base. And they a lot of people love dogs and they love, you know, fun, groupy, happy groups that dance, right? We've seen dogs historically be really good on this show. I look at them personally, and for me, why I was like, I don't think they're Ronnie and Rhythm. I don't AGTCommenter: Mm-hmm. Minnesota Ryan: think they're Adrian Hurricane. And those to me are your top tier dogs. Well, I didn't draft them this year. Now If they come out and do something of that category. To me, I I'll be honest with you, maybe hot take here. I have more faith that Olivia makes the top five than Acro. I would've if I were picking your list, I would have swapped them for me because the single dancer with one dog has proven to be incredibly successful. And yes, I know we have, you know, a dog winner that was a larger group dog act, but I think it's more likely Olivia surprises us and and gives that run than I think Acro personally. But I've also not been an Acro fan, and that's maybe, maybe my flaw. this year. I just haven't been. AGTCommenter: Yeah. I'm always gonna bet on the golden buzzer. I just I've I've sat here for seven years doing this podcast and it's just it the it just is a really safe way to try and make a prediction is just be like, did they get a golden buzzer? Alright, I guess I'll just take them. Minnesota Ryan: And I made a prediction this year. I know, Cody, I know if you remember this when I was on the pod, I said my big bold prediction at the end of the podcast, as I said, I think a non golden buzzer is gonna win this year. I think this was the year of the non golden buzzer, personally. And at the time, and now I can say it because we're here now, it was Nene. At that time when I was saying that it was Nene of why I said, like, we're have a non golden buzzer win. But I kinda think this is the pushback against Golden Buzzer year. I think a lot of our fans are like, I kinda just want acts that I like to win and I don't really AGTCommenter: Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: care about the Golden Buzzer anymore. AGTCommenter: Now half the finals still golden buzzers. five out of the ten got an audition golden buzzer. So that's right on par. 50%. It's usually right on f it's either Minnesota Ryan: True. That's still a low percentage though. It's still it's lower. Is it? Okay. Feels low, but I guess okay. AGTCommenter: four, five, or six. That's of the eleven golden buzzer seasons, it's never been lower than four, it's never been higher than six. It's so it's just four, five, Minnesota Ryan: Okay. Consistent. AGTCommenter: or six. I actually want look at last year and then we'll wrap up and get out of here. let's see. Minnesota Ryan: Does that factor in the change that now we have double the golden buzzers? AGTCommenter: It it hasn't in terms of from a ratio, sure, the ratio has gone down probably, but in terms of how many get get put in there every year, Minnesota Ryan: Mm-hmm. AGTCommenter: it's it's pretty Minnesota Ryan: Pretty similar. AGTCommenter: it's pretty similar. Where is that sheet? 'Cause I do want to look at it versus last year. You just search for it. Yeah, I think Anything could happen three, four, five, and I I wouldn't Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: be surprised. If those top two aren't the top two, I I would I would be relatively surprised. I really would. last I shouldn't Cody: But less surprised than everyone else. Minnesota Ryan: Ha ha Cody: Is that right? Just on the nane anything, okay. AGTCommenter: Well, just on the Nene thing. I lied on that. I lied on that. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: We've never had less than three Golden Buzzers in the in the top in the finals. Last year only had three. So this is it You're right, the non-Golden Minnesota Ryan: Okay. AGTCommenter: Buzzer is going to win, but the Golden Buzzers have is a reason Cody and I drafted five of them and and are dominating the competition is they just score points. Minnesota Ryan: Still there. You guys are smart. We can still do it. Come on Gino. Take us home. Cody: Yeah. You need a Gino to win. Minnesota Ryan: We we do. I'm I'm down. Come on Gino. AGTCommenter: yeah, so I agree that it might be a pushback in that the winner isn't going to be, but at the end of the day the Golden Buzzers still are performing even better. Minnesota Ryan: Still rule. Yeah. AGTCommenter: Season nineteen was four. Four three. So this is the highest in three years. This is the highest Minnesota Ryan: True. yeah? True. True. AGTCommenter: since season eighteen for a final. So all right. This was great, boys. I'm excited for Tuesday, Wednesday. I think it's gonna be a really interesting night. I I'm excited to see who who steps up their game and performs at a higher level than I thought. We haven't had a ton of that. Everybody's kinda just done what I've thought. And Cody, we've kind of had that conversation. It's been a little bit of they did what we thought they were going to do season. And that's fine. The volatility's kind kinda what makes this fun though. And so there is an enjoyment when somebody bombs. No one's really bombing. And there's obviously a a really fun when somebody is really, really great. So Cody, looking ahead, we will be back. I will be back. Tuesday night, first ever solo pod for me. I am going to hop on and just rip a quick off the top five minutes after performances and thoughts on the performances. I I may it won't I won't change them for the official ledger, but I might have some adjustments to how I think the top five is going to sort out. Obviously Minnesota Ryan: Mm-hmm. AGTCommenter: again, I won't edit what we made decisions here. That's where I'll score off of, but If if if something goes wildly wrong for somebody, I might make a change or whatever. Wednesday night, the assumption we're assuming we'll have the whole crew on to more than likely, very, very likely, a a crowning of Cody and I. Yeah, c yeah, yeah. A crowning Minnesota Ryan: Crown Stephen and Ryan. Cody: Ha ha ha. AGTCommenter: of of of Cody and I. and then Cody and Jay will be back on on Thursday night to do their final full recap of the season and then Cody and I and Ryan potentially if you're available next weekend, we are gonna do one more little wrap up to get into where the leaderboard sorts out, what I think season twenty one historically looks like, how high is Nene and some of these names on the all time leaderboard, Minnesota Ryan: Hmm. Hmm. AGTCommenter: and just kind of put a bow, a final bow on the season beyond just the recap and then and then the season will be will be wrapped. So bunch of content still left to come. hopefully the solo pod, Cody. Probably the biggest question is can I produce it in Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: release it without I I there's a what's what I'm saying. There's like a is Cody: Destroying d basically deleting the pod. Minnesota Ryan: Yeah. AGTCommenter: there a f is there a three percent chance that I delete every episode that and and the feed is just empty? Like what are the chances I I basically I I pressed the death penalty for our podcast on accident. Cody: Yeah. I yeah, I don't think you can do that, but could you yeah, I don't think you can do that. But we'll we'll do a good training course here in a little bit. Yeah. AGTCommenter: Cody's Yeah. Minnesota Ryan: Over under five percent. AGTCommenter: Cody's gonna give me a little tutorial on how to how to how to post everything. But I'm excited to do it and then I'm excited to it's gonna be a bit of probably just a brain dump on Tuesday of everything that I just consumed. Again, won't have a lot of time to organize my thoughts. But so well Ryan, we appreciate it. This was great. Minnesota Ryan: Absolutely. AGTCommenter: We'll have a winner here in how many hours? Seventy eighty six hours. Cody: Ha ha. Minnesota Ryan: I've done enough math over the past twenty four hours. AGTCommenter: A hundred hours. In a few days we're gonna have a twenty first winter of America's Got Talent, which would be exciting. Ryan, final prediction. Is is Simon gonna be there? Cody, do you wanna make that prediction too? Minnesota Ryan: Mm. Mm. Cody: No, I've I've said that he's on IR. I said he's done for the season. I've said it AGTCommenter: You don't think he'll be there. Cody: No, I think I t I said multiple Minnesota Ryan: I'm gonna say yes he is. Cody: times that he's done for the season. AGTCommenter: Alright, Cody, there's the tiebreaker. Minnesota Ryan: I'm not confident, but I'm gonna say yes, just to be different. AGTCommenter: I'm saying he's gonna be there. You're saying he's not. That's the tiebreaker. Minnesota Ryan: Ha ha ha. Cody: No No, we're going no, it's the the way we did it earlier. Whoever had the higher is higher finish. AGTCommenter: Nope. Nope. I've stamped it. Yeah. all right, Cody, anything else before we we get out of here? Cody: I don't think so. Thanks, Ryan, for coming on. This was great. Minnesota Ryan: Absolutely. Happy to finally make it. AGTCommenter: All right, Cody, sign us out. Cody: You can find us on our socials at AGT Time Pod. You can email us AGT Timepod at Gmail.com. You can check out our website, AGT timepod.com. Commenters Leaderboard is going to be updated within a couple weeks on the website. so you don't seem so sure about that, but what Yeah, so yeah, so AGTCommenter: I don't I think it could be the next day. The numbers will be ready, so whenever you're ready to plug in. Cody: go go check out our website later in the week and hopefully commenters Leaderboard will be up there down the website so you can see where everything is. You can find him out there at AGT Commenter, and you can find Minnesota Ryan at Minnesota underscore Ryan. Guys, thanks very much. Everyone have a great night.