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International Booker Prize 2025 | Winner Predictions · Bookies' Favourite

0:10
Hi. We've made it the finish line.
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Hi, everyone. So what we're doing now is we're
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going to go through all of our rankings from 6:00 to 1:00 and
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then our collective #1 as well. And then also we were going to
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look at the bookies odds, even though I don't know if they're
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going to be particularly accurate if everyone wants to
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start by giving their number six.
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So I'm going to go, Aaron, we're going to go alphabetical here.
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Aaron, what's your number six? My number 60, I'm sorry to say
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this, but my number six is going to be a leopard skin hat.
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Oh God, Lucy. Lucy sharpening her knife.
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Well. Well, I'm just ready for the
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rest of you to also choose that as your number six.
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So I'm, I'm just clear, like I know what's going to.
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Happen. Look, it was not a bad book, it
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just didn't connect with me. I thought it was a little too
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raw for my enjoyment. So this is ranking enjoyment.
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This is not ranking how good it actually is.
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So I'm ranking at #6. Don't worry everybody.
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It's fine. You're just wrong.
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You're just wrong. Is this you would say a?
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Dragon, But I guess I have to respect all of your opinions and
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also I have to respect the fact that it's three against one off.
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Camera Lucy does not respond. No.
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Never, never. Right now I'm furious.
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Well, let's let's see where everyone else lands.
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Colin, what? What are your?
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What's your number six? I'm I'm joining the Lucy hate.
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Train. I'm.
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So sorry to say it. All aboard a leopard skin hat is
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coming in. Number six for me.
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ABCDAFTH Hannah, where do you fall on this?
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Lucy would be really surprised right now it's a leopard skin
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hat. I'm so sorry, but even though
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like I struggled maybe a bit with Heartland and this one kind
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of put me to sleep at times when I was trying to read it, even
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though like I had a very emotional episode, you know, I
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opened my heart. But yeah, sorry.
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It was it was a six. Lucy, what's yours number?
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6 And it was a leopard Joe Just kidding, M it was a perfection.
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Oh. Can I ask like why?
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I saw it was like, right, OK, millennials are crap.
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Fitzcarraldo is crying right now like.
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I suppose when I'm like reading stories, I look for like emotion
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and things like I said that really weird emotion and I look
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for emotion and in those like stories that I'm reading.
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So I guess perfection for me was like, it's, I think that the one
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thing to say about it that I did think was really good.
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It was like really different than out there.
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So maybe that was a plus point, but it didn't make me feel
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anything and I I would like to feel something, Vintrendo.
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That same tone. Aaron, back to you at #5.
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My #5 is going to be our most recent read Heart Lamp.
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I, I was prepared for it to be my, my number six, but after our
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discussion, it's, it's edged out and it's.
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Going to. Happen, and it's coming at
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number #5 for me, Colin thought. Yeah, I'm going to join you
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there and I think Heartland comes in.
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Shaking her head. Again, it's just it's
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retrospectively things have shuffled around.
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It's. Not my fault, it's just what
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stayed. With me, What's Kind of Moved
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and Heartland most recently. But I think, yeah, it's coming
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in #5. Think this is me against a hive
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mind right now. We are not we.
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Are independent thinkers. No, these aren't.
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You're like a mother. You're just a delay I people.
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Lucy, take it. As a compliment that you are.
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The the shark and we're the sheep, you know?
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No, I actually, I feel like maybe there is something wrong
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with me and the fact that myself so much, I'm like, everybody
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else is wrong. I'm right.
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Hannah. Yeah.
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The train is choking a. Lot, OH.
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God, wow. I mean, you know what?
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At least they're consistent. Lindsay is.
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Pulling her hair out. I think it.
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Might get a bit different from here on.
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Yeah. So I think it will.
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I think it will shuffle a little.
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Yeah. You just like Hannah because
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you're the last one going of the hive mind.
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Can you just be like, yeah, I'll just pull one from the top and
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just mix them? And see, could you tell me what
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your. #5 is on to the I have big.
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Partner. Oh.
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Yeah, I think it really at times the writing for me wasn't
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amazing and also it didn't really make me feel a massive
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amount. And I think there was a lot of
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over explaining in it. And though I did really like,
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enjoy it, I just felt like, yeah, it was a bit.
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There's a lot of other books that are kind of similar and I
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just wasn't. There's a lot of better books
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that are similar, in my opinion. Sorry.
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We're now on to #4 with Aaron. My number four, I think this
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might be where we we start to change the the hive mind starts
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to diversify. My number 4 is going to be
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Perfection and retrospectively I really enjoy Perspective or
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Perfection. I thought it was actually a
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really solid book. These are all.
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Perfection aren't. You aren't you.
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Aren't you aren't you? What is wrong with us?
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We didn't confer about this. Previously my number 4 is also
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perfection I need. A new book club.
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You guys just enjoy yours. I think what I thought what I.
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Think I was very critical in perfection.
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At the beginning, I think. Well, yeah, a lot of these
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books, I mean. Lucy, you're saying that a lot
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of them didn't connect you? I think most of them didn't
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connect to me emotionally because of the way they were
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written stuff like this. And I kind of came when looking
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back at them. I'm like, even if none of them
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connected to me emotionally and like in, in in other, in some
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ways I was like, what is the thing that stuck with me and has
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the most to say and the most that connect with me?
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And I think just because of the the like topics that perfection
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touched on, that's kind of why it comes in a force for me.
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I mean, I suppose as both Anna and Tom it would connect.
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You quite long. I'm surprised it's not your
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number one to be honest. Oh.
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And so Hannah, I assume, I assume I know your answer.
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Hannah's laughing, so yeah, we can only.
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Assume. I mean, as soon as Aaron said
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his number 4 is perfection, I slapped myself in the face.
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So my number 4 is also perfection which.
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I love it. Yeah, well, I'm actually quite
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surprised because when I first read it, I know I give it like a
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three, but I really relate it with the characters because like
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I had that experience of like moving we.
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All Anna and Tom. Admitted Lucy.
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You are. Anna and you are Tom.
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I wish I was not, and Tom, I'm not.
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I'm so much further time. They're part of the hive mind.
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They're part of the hive mind. Yeah.
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I I am Anna and Tom, like I literally always wanted to like
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live here, there and everywhere and travel, yada, yada, yada,
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But it's a it's a bore because after reading all out of all the
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six books that we read, I like it's way lower now for me.
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I really hope we diverse I. Know, I hope we do as well.
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Lucy, I think that you should all take a long, hard look at
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yourselves. But Lucy figure the consistency
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here 3V1. 3V1 do you? Know what?
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If anything, it's like I know now I'm more sure that I'm right
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about things. Because I feel like I think
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Lucy, Lucy's more cultural. Yeah, I think that's what it
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comes on too. It's. 100% true.
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Just kidding. Do you know what we should
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actually do Is I try and guess what you're going to all put a
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screen to in one because it's gonna be the same IA 100% Know
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what I love? You no it.
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Can't. Be it can't.
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Be you have with one you've all got the same one for one.
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So I think you either you're the only different one you're gonna
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have is 2 and 3 and I'm I'm. Give us your. 4 Give us your
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four my. 4. My 4 is on the calculation of
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volume. Oh.
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Which? Yeah, I know.
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I'm surprised when. I was making the list just like
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because I really loved it. I thought it was really good.
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But I think some of the writing was so repetitive and though I
9:02
loved it and I think I'll read all seven, I was kind of like
9:06
the other ones I think had more emotional like something to
9:10
them. So that's the reason.
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But it's not that I actually think that my top four are
9:15
absolute bangers. I mean, they're your bottom 4,
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but they're unreal. Aren't you just want to speak
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for everyone for this next one or individuals?
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Lucy, I know you do you know what if if all of a sudden for
9:34
#3 you guys do different ones. I know you're all messaging each
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other. That's.
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Right, there's no conferring happening.
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Behind the scenes here, we're all, we're all here present.
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I'm going to guess all three of you have on calculation of
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volume for #3 Aaron Go. Yeah, Lucy, you're right.
10:01
Lucy. Are there bookies, Bookies,
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favourites, Bookies, Odds? Because I mean, Lucy's smashing
10:05
it. Oh no.
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No, I can tell you exactly what's going to happen, right?
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So I'm thinking you're. No, Lucy.
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If it's, if it's. If it's, if it's.
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If it's. Your number 3.
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Of the calculation. On the calculation of volume 1.
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Again, I think. It's big.
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For all of us when I. When I say it, I just.
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Kind. It just kinda was, yeah.
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Anyway, Hannah. In a surprise twist, my number 3
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is. Well, I didn't see that coming.
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Not see that coming? Lucy, could you given us an
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original idea? OK.
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I. Kind of feel speechless, but I'm
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going for Heartland because I thought it was a really lovely
11:08
story. And yeah, Heartland thought it
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was really beautiful, really nicely written.
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And yeah. Bonnie loves you.
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Thank you Banning for sharing your experiences with So what
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I'm going to put you guys at for number 2.
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So this is actually where I think it could be different.
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So I think Aaron and Colin are going to both go small boat #2
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right? But I think Hannah might go for
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Eye of the Big Bird for her number 2.
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So this is, I think we might be going different here, but we'll
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just see it's. So exciting.
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It is so exciting. All right, Aaron, take us away.
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So my number #1 is under the eye of the big bird.
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Out of nowhere on the left field.
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Wow, so you. Put in small boat #2.
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Yes, small boat is my #2 Colin has Lucy, so I think.
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Colin's going to do the exact same.
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Does vice things up. My #1 is under the eye of the
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big bird and my number. 2 is small boat.
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I was going to say, is the twin telepathy like?
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Interfering, yeah. I'm actually genuinely excited
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now because I knew Aaron Collins were like a dead Sir, but not.
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I'm actually with Hannah. I'm like, I think she's going to
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go small boat for number 1. I really do.
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And I'm excited. I don't.
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Know I can confirm that Lucy is correct.
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Small. Boat is my favorite I out of all
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the six books I read small boat was the only one where I
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literally sat and I just sat in my charter for like 5 minutes
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afterwards. Literally got chills, like
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goosebumps. And I thought about it and
12:58
everything for me from as I repeat again and again, from the
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cover to the writing, like everything just do that for me.
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So number one. But surprisingly #2 is under the
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eye, the big word. And if you were to ask me that a
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few weeks ago, it definitely wouldn't have been.
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But on reflection, every time we've been ranking the books, I
13:18
keep going back to it. And there was just something in
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it that I've actually fallen in love with.
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So yeah, Lucy. You are quite.
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I will say, I will say this. Two in one, it was quite tight
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for me to pick. And I think yeah, I, I, I like
13:31
both and I think yeah, under the ad book.
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But like you said, and it grew in me as well over time.
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Small boat definitely, I think is probably the superior umm out
13:39
of them. But in terms of like my raw
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enjoyment, you know, that's kind of what pushed it over the line.
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Lucy surprises all because we have no clue what it's going to
13:49
be. I know, I know not this.
13:52
Is very you know what it is like.
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You guys could definitely be able to know.
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I think it's really interesting that we almost were a hive mind
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with our number 2, except for Hannah, because my number 2 is
14:01
also a small boat and obviously. Against me?
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How dare you? I thought Small Boat was
14:09
actually really incredible, but I just love the writing for
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leopard skin. It really like I just felt like
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I got to talked about it forever and just it was just so like the
14:20
prose was so like like dense, but just so like brilliant so.
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Lucy, you made me want to like, read and understand that Vicky
14:29
more because of your love for it, but I.
14:32
Struggled. But Anne appreciates your love
14:37
for her and her writing. Do you know what though?
14:39
I'm like genuinely so impressed I was able to gas your guys's.
14:44
Yeah. Yeah, I feel.
14:46
Like I don't have an original thought at all because it's
14:48
Lucy. Lucy has the original thought.
14:52
I've never felt like I had an original thought, but now I do.
14:57
I'm a maverick. I am like wow.
15:02
I have to say, like on reflection, like I'm so glad we
15:05
picked up this challenge to do. I think I was really struggling
15:09
at the start of the year. I was reading I read like 3
15:12
Japanese translated novels and only like 1 I thought was great
15:17
and I felt a bit like meh. But this has just been so great
15:20
to expand my complete knowledge of like translated novels and I
15:25
thoroughly found a few that I really.
15:27
Loved yeah, I found it like because I never read a book
15:30
twice and I read 6 books twice. I was telling like that's.
15:33
Crazy. And it's.
15:35
Really made me appreciate because I did not appreciate a
15:38
second rate. I thought like, why would you do
15:40
that? That's just so stupid.
15:42
And I thought I wouldn't be able to do it as well.
15:43
I thought I would find it really, really difficult because
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I'd be like, I've already read this before.
15:46
I think maybe because they're so short, it was a bit OK, but I
15:51
really enjoyed reading them twice.
15:53
I really like, I find things that I hadn't felt before and I
15:56
kind of was able to to be like, oh, this is a wider theme or
16:00
this is like, and I think as well, when you read something,
16:03
knowing that you're going to be talking about it, you think
16:06
about it differently. And it's like all those thoughts
16:08
that are maybe in your head, it's like you kind of have to
16:10
vocalize them while you're reading them.
16:11
You have to kind of write them down and you know.
16:14
Right. I'm going to have to speak about
16:15
this, so I'm going to have to. Although at times I don't think
16:18
that my speech really makes any sense, but it's like kind of, it
16:22
makes probably more sense than if you just asked me after like
16:25
my first read what I thought about it.
16:26
But um, so in the aggregate of our scores for all of the other
16:30
books, the book that we as a collective think is going to
16:33
win, which is probably no surprise given it's either our
16:36
first or second, but Small Boat is what we think will win.
16:40
And, and I think I can probably speak for everyone when I say
16:42
that if Small Boat won, I think everyone will be pretty happy.
16:45
He's finally part of the high mind.
16:47
Especially. Yeah, it's the only one that I
16:49
think could could lead to like harmony between the group.
16:56
It's a pink offering if you let small boat win.
16:59
I agree with our aggregate. I do think small boat probably
17:03
will win. That's my prediction.
17:07
I think that's a really sound prediction.
17:08
I think, yeah, I wouldn't be surprised as small, but once I
17:13
kind of think on calculation of volume, but then they could just
17:15
like throw in like. Yeah, you.
17:18
Know. I don't know.
17:20
Part of me thinks that under the eye the big bird is going to win
17:26
because I think on the volume of calculation is too popular and I
17:30
also think small boats is too popular.
17:32
So I'm thinking they might throw a rogue like not as popular one
17:35
in. Yeah.
17:36
So I'm going to predict that under the eye of the big bird is
17:39
going to be the winner. So olbg.com they have they are
17:45
the online betting guide. I don't let's just trust that
17:50
that they're they're right. Yeah, let's trust them.
17:53
So so let's start with with the the least likely to win based
17:58
off their probability. So with 11.11% probability and
18:05
8:00 to 1:00, they think small boat is the least likely to win.
18:12
What? Think that's just I don't know
18:14
where they're getting their stats.
18:15
Yeah, where I. Don't.
18:18
Think you can get a start like that?
18:20
It's based on like a five person jury.
18:22
Like to get an odds of this is just wild.
18:27
Yeah, and then they're #5 with 14.3% probability of winning and
18:33
six to one is perfection. Then they're #4 with 16.7%
18:41
probability. And 5:00 to 1:00 is a leopard
18:43
skin hat. Sorry, Lucy.
18:46
High higher than we would think as a.
18:48
Collective what? Do you?
18:50
What do you mean higher than we would think, Colin?
18:51
Oh, you know. I mean by.
18:54
That as the high. Well, actually.
18:56
Our aggregate scores I'm pretty sure, but a leopard skin hat at
18:58
the end because like dragged. And then their number, their
19:08
number 3 is at 20% probability and four to one is heart lamp.
19:16
OK. Interesting, interesting I.
19:23
Do you just feel like it's kind of yeah, I just yeah.
19:27
This. Means nothing.
19:28
Yeah, this means nothing. Yeah.
19:30
Trust. Trust the bookies favorite as
19:32
opposed to the bookies you know. Definitely we're we're on to it
19:35
more actually. To be fair though, I do think
19:36
it's like it's like what, 6 to 1 for them all?
19:40
Like, who knows? Yeah, well, well, let's see
19:43
because they they're predicted winner at 33.3% probability and
19:49
two to one odds is under the eye of the big bird, which means on
19:53
the calculation volume comes in as their second choice with 25%
19:57
probability and that is 3 to 1. See, I could be right guys.
20:03
I I think it'd be really interesting if you are, I'll be
20:06
really, I think I'd be genuinely surprised, but I'd be like you
20:09
go Hannah. Well done.
20:11
I could be like, you know, that octopus.
20:13
He was like predicting the World Cup for something that.
20:16
Could be. Well, although you have it guys,
20:18
stay tuned and this evening we will finally find out who wins.
20:23
We'll we'll see if the hive mind wins.
20:26
The anticipation is built. Thank you.
20:28
Thank you everyone for following us along on this journey of
20:31
reading these books. And if you've read along or even
20:33
just listen, thank you so much. It means a lot to us.
20:35
And. Yeah, it's been such a fun
20:37
project and I love getting to reconnect with you guys and chat
20:41
all things books because I think it's one of my favorite things
20:43
to do. If there's anything anyone would
20:45
like us to cover or read, or suggestions what you think we
20:48
could do for another season and please let us know on Instagram.
20:55
Or e-mail, Facebook, on Twitter, E-mail or are.
20:58
We on Facebook. We do.
20:59
I'm the only person who's liked it.
21:01
So if you could all go and give it a like.
21:04
I don't use anything so. No SO.
21:07
Yeah, if you want to give, give us a shout out then on Instagram
21:10
or our e-mail address, which it is.
21:12
On it's in the description. I don't want to get it wrong, so
21:16
I'm not going to say it right now, but just go to the
21:17
description, it's down there. What a kill.
21:21
Feel free to go on to our kid read and just if you look for
21:26
the leopard skin hat review if you just want to comment about
21:29
how it's actually quite good. No, no, no, sorry.
21:32
I would. Appreciate that so much.
21:35
If you didn't have good feelings about it, just move on.
21:38
No. Let them be known.
21:40
Let them be known. Thank.
21:41
You let me know, but keep an eye out on this feed.
21:46
We will have a new episode later this week reacting to the winner
21:50
once that's announced this evening, and we will all speak
21:54
with you then until then.