Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Donald Trump Just CONFIRMED The US Dollar is about to COLLAPSE!!! | EP 1428
Transcript
- 0:02The US dollar might have collapsed by over 10% in the
- 0:05past year, but that didn't stop Donald Trump yesterday saying
- 0:11some outrageous claims about the dollar strength.
- 0:15Has Donald Trump lost his mind or is he playing some secret 5D
- 0:21chess game? Are we watching the controlled
- 0:24demolition accelerate or is something else entirely going
- 0:28on? You have got to watch this clip,
- 0:31but I need you to read between the lines.
- 0:36Well, Mr. President, with the current value of the dollar, do
- 0:39you think it's declined too much?
- 0:40No, I think it's great. I mean, the value of the dollar,
- 0:43Look at the business we're doing.
- 0:44No dollar's dollar's doing great.
- 0:49Look, I, I guess, I guess if you're reading this on the
- 0:52surface, you're like, what is he talking about?
- 0:56And, and let me pull up the charts.
- 0:58If if you're not familiar with what we are looking at, of
- 1:01course we are looking at the US dollar index here or Dixie as
- 1:07it's more commonly known. I'm sorry guys, I I didn't have
- 1:11it pulled up here, but here we go.
- 1:13OK, So what the reporter was oops, wrong one.
- 1:17What the reporter was talking about here is let me let me
- 1:22clean up this chart. Sorry guys, not that prepared
- 1:25here. Here we go look, this is the 12
- 1:27month dollar index. Let me pull it over here.
- 1:30This is what the reporter was asking on this is what everyone
- 1:34is looking at and think the on the surface level might be
- 1:41thinking is what most people think.
- 1:43It's like Donald Trump just really don't know what's going
- 1:46on. He talks, he says what he wants
- 1:49to say. I, I don't necessarily believe
- 1:52what most people think that, you know, Donald Trump isn't a smart
- 1:56person. I think to get to the level that
- 1:58he has been able to achieve, he's, he's a savvy person.
- 2:03That's kind of my, my baseline take here.
- 2:06Now, I know the audience might think differently, but I, I, I
- 2:11wouldn't assume that people in this position aren't smart
- 2:15people. You could say maybe other
- 2:17things, you know, alternative theories of, oh, you know, he's
- 2:21corrupt. You know, he made backroom
- 2:23deals. That's how he got so high.
- 2:24Sure. Still, even by saying that, you
- 2:27have to admit he is savvy. Anyways, looking at the dollar
- 2:29index or Dixie, you can see that the dollar has declined about
- 2:3511% since Trump got into office, almost 12% here.
- 2:40Since the start of 2025 to today, the dollar has lost 12%
- 2:45of its purchasing power. So the dollar got weaker by 12%.
- 2:49This is why the reporter asking him, hey, you know, Mr.
- 2:52President, what is going on with the dollar strength?
- 2:56Is it doing well? Are you, are you afraid is are
- 3:00we seeing a dollar collapse? And this is, I think the surface
- 3:03level view of what's going on. If you're seeing what the
- 3:07mainstream media is saying right now, they're looking at this and
- 3:10it's all all kinds of panic. They're like the US dollar is
- 3:13about to collapse. You know, This is why we're
- 3:15seeing the debasement trades blow, go upwards, gold, silver,
- 3:19etcetera. But in reality, if you listen to
- 3:23what they've been saying, which has been my contention for the
- 3:26last couple of months, actually maybe most of last year, is it
- 3:30does seem like all of this is according to plan.
- 3:32Now, I am not a Trump, you know, trust the plan person.
- 3:36All I'm saying is if you listen to what Trump has been saying,
- 3:40what Scott Besson has been saying, what people within the
- 3:43administration have been saying, you can sum it up with the idea
- 3:48of the Mar a Lago Accords. This is the kind of prevailing
- 3:52idea right now. And I think once you understand
- 3:55this idea, you can start to read between the lines of what Donald
- 3:59Trump is saying, which is very simple.
- 4:02They want to decrease the purchasing power of the dollar
- 4:04and they want to lower interest rates.
- 4:06Now we might be on the show long enough today where we can see if
- 4:10the Fed cuts rates today from most of the prediction markets.
- 4:14It doesn't seem like we're going to see a change.
- 4:16So I'm sure we'll be on long enough to kind of get a live
- 4:19reaction of this. But anyways, let's go in this a
- 4:22little further. Again, you guys know I've I've
- 4:25been really enjoying the Kobayashi letter Twitter
- 4:27account. I think they've been doing a
- 4:29really good job and this is kind of the real time, you know, play
- 4:33by play call of what happened here.
- 4:35So again, most people don't realize what Trump just said.
- 4:39For the last 12 plus months, the US dollar has been a sharp
- 4:42decline, falling, as I just showed you about 12% since 2025.
- 4:46It's worst year since 2017. And guess what happened in 2017
- 4:50to Bitcoin? I don't know.
- 4:52We had a parabolic run from 1K to 20K, so it's not all bad.
- 4:56Anyways, minutes ago, for the first time, President Trump
- 4:58commented on the decline in the US dollar.
- 5:01Of course, he says that the value of the dollar is great.
- 5:03And then this immediately sent the US dollar another 1% lower
- 5:07to its lowest level since 2022. Why?
- 5:11It's a clear signal that President Trump is willing to
- 5:13tolerate a weaker dollar to push rates lower and boost US
- 5:17exports. You got to own assets or be left
- 5:21behind. I've been saying this on the
- 5:22show. Nico was trolling me a little
- 5:24bit, saying like, Opti doesn't care about the middle class.
- 5:27He's basically saying, you know, if you're owning dollars,
- 5:30they're going to be wrecked. I'm like, dude, that's not me
- 5:32saying that. This is what I'm hearing coming
- 5:35out of the administration. This is what I'm hearing is the
- 5:38monetary policy currently playing out in the US.
- 5:42And for better or worse, we are the world reserve currency.
- 5:44So everything is downstream from what the US does with their
- 5:47monetary policy. So I'm just here saying, look,
- 5:50you may not like Trump, but you should listen to what he's
- 5:53saying and not have this emotional reaction to what he's
- 5:57saying and be like he's an idiot.
- 5:58He doesn't know what's going on. I think this is all going
- 6:01according to plan. And again, I don't want to, I
- 6:04don't want you guys to like queuing on me and be like, he's
- 6:06a plan truster, bro. I've been probably more critical
- 6:10of Trump than most Bitcoiners have in the last couple of
- 6:14years. I, you know, I'm OK with the
- 6:16Bitcoin push. A lot of the other stuff I'm not
- 6:20so OK with. Anyways, going further, this is
- 6:23where I think the playbook starts to make sense, which is
- 6:27why you need to own assets again.
- 6:29Here's Kobayashi, which is the founder of Kobayashi Letter and
- 6:32he goes President Trump on the US dollar after it posted his
- 6:35worst year since 2017. It's doing great. the US dollar
- 6:38is doing exactly what Trump wants it to do, which is what
- 6:41I've been saying. It's pricing in lower interest
- 6:44rates and helping boost exports. We're going to be the only
- 6:48winners here. You need to own assets like This
- 6:51is why the S&P 500's going up. This is why real estate, you
- 6:54know, even though it you could say it's it's in a a tough
- 6:57position. This is why it seems like prices
- 7:00are going up on hopes. This is why gold and silver are
- 7:03going up. Yes, bitcoins been in a coma for
- 7:05the last year or so, but Bitcoin is an asset.
- 7:08It is a commodity, it is digital gold, etcetera.
- 7:10So bitcoins time will come anyways.
- 7:13This is where you really start to see that maybe this is a part
- 7:19of a bigger kind of plan. And even though that Donald
- 7:23Trump is the president of the United States, so he has to go
- 7:26out there and say I want a strong dollar, in reality, it
- 7:30seems like they're doing the opposite, which is essentially
- 7:33what Simon Dixon has been saying.
- 7:35If you go back to what we did yesterday on the interview,
- 7:38Simon Dixon laid out the plan very clearly.
- 7:41Anyways, here is, I would argue probably a more, you know,
- 7:47different bent and goes, someone please tell this clown that a
- 7:50weaker dollar is, oh, he's quoting tweet this 'cause this
- 7:53is probably the the prevailing sentiment from, from corporate
- 7:58press. the US dollar lost over 10% of his value under Scott
- 8:00Besson. Yet this clown claims to be
- 8:02America first. So here we go.
- 8:06Someone please tell this clown that a weaker dollar is the
- 8:09entire point. Besson did this on purpose.
- 8:11And yet liberals and finance influencers continue to talk
- 8:14about this like it's some sort of economic disaster because
- 8:16framing it that way is politically convenient and
- 8:19drives clicks. Go read Stephen Marin's paper
- 8:21from November 2024 about restructuring the global trading
- 8:25system. He explicitly argues that USD
- 8:28industrialization is a direct consequence of the dollar status
- 8:32as the global reserve currency, which forces constant and
- 8:36evergrown going trade deficits and an overvalued dollar.
- 8:39Everything Besin is trying to do is outline in that paper.
- 8:42Every time liberals complain about a weaker dollar, what
- 8:45they're essentially saying is that 0 industrial capacity and
- 8:48infinite debt are perfectly normal things that we must
- 8:51continue into perpetuity. And here we go.
- 8:54Here's an executive summary and you could see the highlight
- 8:58part, which perfectly sums up why Donald Trump, I think it's
- 9:01saying that the dollar is doing great.
- 9:04Quote. The root of the economic
- 9:06imbalances lie in persistent dollar overvaluation that
- 9:10prevents the balancing of international trade.
- 9:12And this overvaluation is driven by inelastic demand for reserve
- 9:15assets. Again, what has all this tariff
- 9:19stuff been or at least allegedly been about?
- 9:22It's about onshoring industrialization into the US
- 9:26Now what? You could argue the economics of
- 9:28this. You could argue and say, oh,
- 9:30this is really just a tax on the consumer.
- 9:33This isn't going to actually do anything.
- 9:35You know, this is a short, short sighted plan for a long term
- 9:38plan that probably is never going to happen.
- 9:40But again, they're telling you exactly what they want to do,
- 9:44which from my view is like, guys, just listen to what
- 9:47they've been saying and you're going to get the signal here,
- 9:51which is you need to own assets. And in my opinion, you need to
- 9:54own Bitcoin. As we've been talking about, the
- 9:58dollar has been weaponized. The only way to escape what we
- 10:04are potentially entering in, whether it's a digital
- 10:08panopticon or a future where your purchasing power is
- 10:12completely wrecked and you can't ever make it out of the Matrix,
- 10:16they're telling you what they're going to do.
- 10:18In my opinion, it's very clear as day what they want to do.
- 10:22They're saying it constantly. They're saying it in different
- 10:25ways, and you just kind of have to listen to what they're
- 10:28saying. It's pretty obvious.
- 10:30Anyways, Kobayashi later essentially lays the playbook,
- 10:33lays the framework, lays the blueprint out very clearly in
- 10:37this tweet. A weaker U.S. dollar helps Dr.
- 10:39looser financial conditions, AKA more rate cuts, a higher nominal
- 10:44GDP growth, higher asset prices, higher US exports, and a lower
- 10:48trade deficit, and easier debt servicing for the US government.
- 10:52This is why Trump said the dollar is doing great.
- 10:54So if you're looking at this on the surface, you're like, bro,
- 10:58this clown doesn't know what's going on.
- 11:00He doesn't understand the economy.
- 11:02If you read between the lines, it seems like they're doing
- 11:06exactly what they want to do. Now, you can say I'm a
- 11:09conspiracy theorist. You can say, hey, man, you're a
- 11:12Trumper and you think he's going to be our savior.
- 11:15I'm saying the opposite. All I'm saying is this is most
- 11:19likely what's going to happen. They're going to destroy the
- 11:23purchasing power of the dollar because it makes them, it makes
- 11:26it easier for them to do everything they want to do,
- 11:29which is, you know, onshore industry cut rates, which has
- 11:33been perfectly defined as the MAR a Lago Accords.
- 11:38Mark Moss has been saying this. A lot of other Bitcoiners have
- 11:41been saying this. Even people outside of Bitcoin
- 11:43have been saying this. It's a pretty simple plan of
- 11:46what they want to do. They want to destroy the
- 11:49purchasing power of the dollar. They want to cut interest rates
- 11:52because they're trying to onshore industry, they're trying
- 11:55to make it easier to essentially repay their debt.
- 11:57Again, the big print, nothing stops this train.
- 12:00We're heading into the midterms. Everyone feels kind of poor
- 12:03right now. The economy, depending on what
- 12:06you're looking at, isn't running so hot.
- 12:08So the only way they can really get themselves out of this
- 12:10position is they have to print a shit ton of money.
- 12:13They have to add more liquidity into the system.
- 12:16So if you're reading all of this stuff, if you're, if they're
- 12:19essentially laying out the plan for you as clear as day, you
- 12:24pretty much have two choices here.
- 12:26You can either complain on Twitter, go out there and be
- 12:30like, voting doesn't work. You know, we, we got to put some
- 12:33pressure on Trump. He doesn't know what he's doing.
- 12:35He's blowing up the economy. Or you just position yourself
- 12:39accordingly, which is you need to own assets.
- 12:42And if you're looking at the stock market, it's continuing to
- 12:45go up. You're looking at dollar
- 12:46strength, it's going down, you're looking at gold and
- 12:50silver. Maybe you're like, man, I should
- 12:51have bought it. Maybe I want to buy the top.
- 12:54I wouldn't do that. I would just, you know, continue
- 12:57to accumulate Bitcoin. This is the play.
- 12:58This is the move. Now going further, here is Ray
- 13:02Dalio and even he is saying exactly what's going on.
- 13:08But on the flip side of the coin, and the thing about Ray
- 13:11Dalio, you know, he's been in the game for a long time.
- 13:16The only problem from my perspective with Ray Dalio is
- 13:19that he does seem to be, how do I put this, like a China maxi?
- 13:25He is looking at the, you know, destruction of the dollar as the
- 13:30royal reserve currency. And maybe it's because of his
- 13:32age, and I'm not trying to be an Aegis here, but he's looking at
- 13:35what China's doing and he's very consistent and very adamant
- 13:39about the idea that the Yuan's going to be the next reserve
- 13:42currency from a younger perspective, from someone half
- 13:46his age. I think he's missing the Bitcoin
- 13:49kind of game here. And yes, he's been slowly but
- 13:53surely a little more positive about Bitcoin, but he still
- 13:57doesn't believe that Bitcoin has the potential to fit that world
- 14:01reserve currency role. But anyways, here's Ray Dalio's
- 14:05take on this, and I really want you to focus on the very end of
- 14:09this clip. It's a short clip, but this is
- 14:11the game. So I'm giving you both, both
- 14:13perspectives and they're saying the same thing.
- 14:16So if you don't like Trump, maybe you're not that familiar
- 14:19with Ray Dali. Maybe you think I'm an idiot.
- 14:21Maybe you're like, I'm not going to listen to this guy with 42 IQ
- 14:23on YouTube, but I'm just listening to what they're
- 14:26saying. And the game is so clear.
- 14:29It's so clear to me. Maybe it's because I've been in
- 14:32Bitcoin for so long. Maybe it's because I have these
- 14:34fresh eyes looking at macro and geopolitics right now that this
- 14:38just makes sense to me. If they tell you they're going
- 14:40to do it, the real question is are they capable of actually
- 14:45doing it? Not whether it's good or bad.
- 14:47I think that's the wrong question to be asking.
- 14:49It's can they actually do this? Well, if you're looking at what
- 14:53they're doing, seems like they're doing it.
- 14:55So here's Ray Dalio's take on this.
- 14:58So for example, last year, American stock market, American
- 15:02markets significantly underperform foreign markets and
- 15:07people don't quite realize that. And the best asset class in the
- 15:10sense was gold because, but think of that as being the
- 15:14money. So in answer to your question,
- 15:17OK, I've, I've learned that was a lesson.
- 15:20I learned that if there's a depreciation in the value of
- 15:24money, it makes everything look like it's going up.
- 15:29Did he not just give the game out at the very end?
- 15:34If you're looking at currency depreciation, it looks like all
- 15:39assets are going up. Is that not what's playing out
- 15:43right now? I think it's very clear.
- 15:46Look, I'm going to pull up the the Dixie again, or sorry, not
- 15:50the Dixie. I'm going to pull up the S&P 500
- 15:53and you can look at this and say a couple of things.
- 15:57Look, here's the S&P 500, which as we all know, there's, there's
- 16:03probably, you know, generally speaking, 2 main assets that
- 16:06most people hold or most older generations hold real estate,
- 16:11the S&P 500. Now obviously there's other
- 16:13stocks out there, there's other equities like, you know,
- 16:16everyone doesn't just hold the S&P 500, but looking at the S&P
- 16:21500, it's almost like a pulse on how strong America is.
- 16:26Now of course that's a crude kind of simplification of the
- 16:31economy is just like OK, it's S&P 500's going up, but that's
- 16:35kind of the layman view of this. So S&P 500, here we go, the 12
- 16:39month, you know chart here each candle's a year you can see the
- 16:45S&P 500's up 7% or 17%. Now again, go back to the Dixie,
- 16:52the Dixie is down about -11%. Now historically the S&P 500
- 17:01goes up about 9% a year, but the number is interesting when you
- 17:06think about it and inflate inflation adjusted returns, real
- 17:09returns as they like to call it, and that's about 6 or 7%.
- 17:14Guys like call me an idiot, call me reaching, call me connecting
- 17:18certain dots, but the S&P 500's up about 17%, dollar strength is
- 17:25down about -11 negative 12%. That 5 to 6% difference is that
- 17:32the real adjusted inflation of, you know, the growth of the
- 17:36economy, is this not all aligning perfectly?
- 17:39I might be connecting certain dots here, but to me with a
- 17:43very, you know, left side of the bell curve take of this, it
- 17:48seems like it's doing exactly what they want it to do,
- 17:51depreciating the currency. And at the same time that you
- 17:54depreciate the currency, all these assets continue to go up.
- 17:58That doesn't necessarily mean you're making more money, but
- 18:01what's interesting is most people don't understand this
- 18:04very simple view here, which most Bitcoiners do.
- 18:09And this is where we bring in the Bitcoin take here.
- 18:12And I saw this really good tweet here from Nick Zabo, which
- 18:17started with this guy basically saying that Nick Zabo called the
- 18:21top perfectly in October 17th of last year.
- 18:25And he goes, which is something I've been saying the last couple
- 18:28of weeks, which I know you guys don't like, but Nico was kind of
- 18:31right about us being in a bear market priced in gold.
- 18:35And he goes, the psycho top happened around New Year's Day.
- 18:38But in dollar terms, New Year's Day again, 2025, which is
- 18:41essentially, you know, when Trump got into office, though it
- 18:45was January 20th is when he really got into office.
- 18:48But the euphoria did happen when Trump got elected and the start
- 18:52of the new year is when we essentially got the top end.
- 18:55So Sabo again, cycle top happened around New Year's Day.
- 18:58But in dollar terms, the bear has mostly been masked by the
- 19:01debasement trade, which now a year later, we've seen gold and
- 19:06silver run. And as we've been talking about,
- 19:08the debasement trade is happening in real time.
- 19:10Anyways, if you price Bitcoin in gold, you'll see the top, which
- 19:15I I showed you guys on the chart the other day.
- 19:17I'll pull it up for you guys. So you guys know that I'm not
- 19:20just making things up here. Here is again, I guess maybe I
- 19:24should, you know, not show you all my my, my TA stuff here
- 19:31again, here is December 24th, essentially, you know, start of
- 19:35the new year, top of Bitcoin price and gold.
- 19:39Look at the gold chart or Bitcoin price and gold chart
- 19:42clearly looks like a bear market.
- 19:44It's it's pretty clear what's going on here.
- 19:47OK, so oh, wait, I didn't show you guys.
- 19:51All right, here we go. There it is.
- 19:55Bitcoin price in gold is in a bear market.
- 20:00Argue with the chart all you want.
- 20:02OK, Now going back to what Zabo said, which I think very clearly
- 20:07defines what's going on right now, where we are in the
- 20:10debasement trade and further how early we are.
- 20:13So Mason Ford, quote, tweets this and goes, this was a
- 20:16particularly astute observation just seven days after 10/10,
- 20:20which was a huge liquidation event.
- 20:22And then someone comes in and asks a question.
- 20:25And this question is low key kind of hilarious.
- 20:27OK Baluki, go Zabo. If gold and Bitcoin are going in
- 20:32opposite directions due to this debasement trade, what gives
- 20:35Bitcoin its value if it doesn't work as a hedge against currency
- 20:38debasement anyways? I thought the entire point of
- 20:40Bitcoin was that it cannot be debased?
- 20:42Zabo responds. Bitcoin is riding a learning
- 20:45curve like a NASDAQ stock. There are still plenty of people
- 20:48like you who haven't learned why Bitcoin in the long term works
- 20:51as a hedge against the basement. So there is still plenty of
- 20:54upside. Baluki responds.
- 20:57And this is where it's kind of funny to me.
- 20:59And he goes, I can't wrap my head around why Bitcoin works as
- 21:02a hedge against the basement long term if when massive
- 21:05debasement happens short term gold goes up and Bitcoin goes
- 21:08down. Any help, man, bless his soul,
- 21:12bless his soul. And then he kind of gets dunked
- 21:14on. He goes.
- 21:15You can't wrap your head around why Bitcoin works as a hedge
- 21:17against the basement long term, because it hasn't worked short
- 21:19term and the long term Bitcoin has most certainly worked as a
- 21:22hedge against the basement. Oh God, you got to love Twitter.
- 21:26You can't delete Twitter. Anyways, Nick Zabo comes in and
- 21:28I think this is the crux of what we're what we're seeing right
- 21:31now. A lot of people are asking,
- 21:33look, why is gold running? Why is silver running?
- 21:37And as I've been saying, I think it's just because people are
- 21:39most familiar with those trades. Gold's been around for a long
- 21:43time. Gold has acted as a debasement
- 21:45hedge for a very long time. When there's uncertainty in Fiat
- 21:49currencies, you go into gold. Or further, when there is
- 21:54uncertainty in the economy, you go into the hardest asset, which
- 21:59historically has been gold. Anyways, Zaba responds, and he
- 22:02goes. It's hard to tell that Bitcoin
- 22:04protects against the basement from just its price, since most
- 22:07of the price rise since the pizza purchase has been due to
- 22:10the learning curve not to debasement.
- 22:13Fiat has fallen, but not by nearly as much as Bitcoin has
- 22:16risen. To understand why Bitcoin has
- 22:18and very likely will protect in the long term against the
- 22:21placement better than gold has and will requires deep
- 22:25understanding of the underlying respective technologies that are
- 22:28gold and Bitcoin, especially in terms of their respective
- 22:31extents and qualities of trust minimization.
- 22:34And it requires knowing why trust minimization is valuable.
- 22:38These kinds of understandings are still uncommon.
- 22:43The short of it is basically I, I hate to say it, but you know,
- 22:50most people just don't understand Bitcoin.
- 22:51They don't understand what what we're doing here is Bitcoins.
- 22:55They're probably, as I was joking this morning, you know,
- 22:58they probably haven't done their 40 per hours per week on Bitcoin
- 23:01of why it's the superior money, why it is the superior to
- 23:04basement trade or the basement hedge.
- 23:06And yes, in the short term, maybe Bitcoin doesn't act as
- 23:11the, you know, the superior hedge in the short term.
- 23:15It definitely does in the long term.
- 23:19And that's where I think we are right now.
- 23:22Yes, Bitcoin has been in a coma. You know, Bitcoin has gone
- 23:26sideways for over a year. It's been about what, like a
- 23:29year and a half in dollar terms. We've been joking about the fact
- 23:33that Bitcoin is a stable coin. We've been joking about the fact
- 23:36that his number go up, ever coming back, all of these things
- 23:40we've been talking about. And yet when we see gold and
- 23:44silver run, it's very interesting that a lot of
- 23:46Bitcoiners looking at that run and being like, oh, man, I
- 23:50should have bought gold. I should have bought silver.
- 23:52Even I was joking about I'm like, man, I should have bought,
- 23:54you know, strategy. I should have bought gold.
- 23:55I should have bought silver. Why am I in Bitcoin?
- 23:58Obviously I'm trolling, I'm complaining.
- 24:01I, you know, I get AI, get my dopamine rushes from complaining
- 24:05and yet doing the opposite of what I'm complaining about.
- 24:07But anyways, it goes into what we've been talking about, or
- 24:11rather what Bitcoin has been talking about for a long time.
- 24:13We are still very early in this, the asymmetric knowledge of what
- 24:17Bitcoin is, what it will do. I think it's still not evenly
- 24:20distributed through the culture yet.
- 24:23People are more comfortable with gold and silver.
- 24:26People are more comfortable with those trades than they are with
- 24:28Bitcoin. Remember, Bitcoin is still
- 24:30looked at as a risk on trade, whereas to us it's the risk off
- 24:36trade. It's the finish line, it's the
- 24:38end goal. Maybe we're extremists.
- 24:42Maybe we are the ones that had nothing to lose and therefore we
- 24:45just went all the way to the end.
- 24:46And now we understand in hindsight why Bitcoin is that
- 24:50move. But most people aren't there
- 24:52yet. So anyways, to put a bow tie on
- 24:56this, yes, you can look at what Donald Trump said yesterday and
- 25:02claim that he's an idiot. He doesn't know what he's
- 25:04saying. I know a lot of people are going
- 25:07to say that. I would push you to think in a
- 25:14little deeper than the emotional knee jerk reaction when you
- 25:18listen to what people in the administration have been saying.
- 25:23It is, I hate to say it all in court, going according to the
- 25:27plan that they've set out. And I'm not a trust the plan
- 25:30guy. I'm not a Trump is my savior
- 25:32guy. I'm just saying listen to what
- 25:35they're saying and then see if their actions are, you know,
- 25:41aligned with their official mandate or with the perception
- 25:46and the narratives of their mandate.
- 25:49Again, as the president of the United States.
- 25:53The kind of implied narrative is we want a strong dollar from the
- 25:58beef we've seen with Powell, with Trump, with the tariffs.
- 26:02The implied narrative is they want lower interest rates.
- 26:07They want lower purchasing power so that they can onshore, you
- 26:11know, industry on the US so that we can boost US exports so that
- 26:17we can basically be able to pay back our debt easier.
- 26:21If your purchasing power goes down, you can print more money
- 26:24and the, you know, dollar amount stays the same.
- 26:26All I'm saying is it is playing out like the Mar a Lago cords
- 26:33essentially laid out, which for a while there may have been
- 26:37conspiracy theory. It could have been, you know,
- 26:39speculation of what they're doing, but after hearing a lot
- 26:44of the conversations that I've laid out on the show for you,
- 26:48it's hard for me to for you guys to see this and be like, that's
- 26:51not what's happening. Anyways, with all that being
- 26:55said, the solutions are very simple.
- 26:57You need to own assets. If you don't own assets right
- 27:01now, you're really going to get left behind.
- 27:04And this is where like my, I literally plea and I think about
- 27:07this constantly. I'm like, how many different
- 27:09ways can I tell people to buy Bitcoin when they're very
- 27:13clearly telling you they're going to destroy your purchasing
- 27:15power? I get it.
- 27:16Most people are living paycheck to paycheck.
- 27:19They don't have excess funds. But you really have to figure
- 27:24out a way to own assets, whether that means trying to make more
- 27:28money, cutting back on your expenses.
- 27:32The the game plan's very simple. They're going to pump assets.
- 27:37You need to own assets. I don't care if you're buying
- 27:41the S&P 500, which I wouldn't do.
- 27:43I don't care if you're buying gold.
- 27:46I don't really don't care if it's Bitcoin at this point.
- 27:49To protect yourself, you need to have assets.
- 27:52Now, obviously, I think you guys should be buying Bitcoin.
- 27:54I think Bitcoin is the most accessible thing for everyone to
- 27:57buy. But at this point I'm just like,
- 28:00I, I just want people to understand what I think is going
- 28:04on and I'm not the smartest guy here.
- 28:08That's like beating my chest and saying, oh, look how smart I am.
- 28:12I figured it out. No, I'm just saying this seems
- 28:15to be what's happening. Take it with a grain of salt.
- 28:19I may be wrong, I could be right.
- 28:24It doesn't matter at this point. You just need to own assets.
- 28:27They're going to pump assets through the roof.
- 28:29Trump said it multiple times. He's basically, you know,
- 28:34benchmarking his presidency off whether the economy does well,
- 28:38whether S&P 500 does well and whether Bitcoin slash crypto
- 28:42does well. These are things he said.
- 28:45Again, can listen to what he says and call him an idiot or
- 28:51you just position yourself correctly.
- 28:53You need to buy Bitcoin. You need to accumulate Bitcoin
- 28:56continuously. I think that's the only way that
- 28:59you can literally escape the matrix as the you know what's
- 29:04that I can't even speak today the gyms got me wrecked anyways,
- 29:09you already know the you already know the deal.
- 29:10All right, guys. So going further for the rest of
- 29:13the show, I think I think the, the big content creators are
- 29:19finally getting the call to push Bitcoin.
- 29:21We got Peter Schiff on Tucker Carlson yesterday.
- 29:24I am going to play a big clip here, but it's, it's a little
- 29:28longer than usual, but I I think it's going to be a good
- 29:30conversation. And then later we got some
- 29:33interesting kind of updates coming out of Sailor.
- 29:35There was a back and forth and finally Sailor answered one of
- 29:38the big questions that everyone's been talking about.
- 29:41And then to wrap up the show, I'm just going to show you guys
- 29:44Bitcoin's still been winning if you zoom out a little bit.
- 29:47So that's today's layout of the show.
- 29:50It there is a theme here, you need to buy Bitcoin.
- 29:54The game plan is pretty clear. They're going to print.
- 29:59They're going to run the economy hot.
- 30:02You got to protect yourself and own assets.
- 30:04All right, guys, first ad break. I'll be right back.
- 30:08Today's episode is brought to you by Bitcoin Well Infinite.
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- 32:12se-ed.com store. All right guys, hold on.
- 32:21I hope you don't hear these these rumble ads.
- 32:23I I was making sure that the rumble was working and I can't I
- 32:27can't mute these yet hold on give me one second give me one
- 32:30second here we go OK, we are working we are working.
- 32:33I hope you guys didn't hear that all right.
- 32:35The current Bitcoin price is 89,840 and one little kind of
- 32:42bullish take away. I was looking at the chart this
- 32:43morning because I saw everyone saying that we got back to 90K
- 32:48and my remember, I've been telling you guys that the two
- 32:52year uptrend basically since the ETF was launched it, it did get
- 32:56nuke last month. But this month we are, you know,
- 32:59inching back towards that trend line.
- 33:03And I'm I'm not bullish because my trend line is kind of coming
- 33:08back to life. You know, who knows what happens
- 33:10next month, but if we get some bullish action next month and we
- 33:12reclaim the trend line, then my thesis is 100% completely, I
- 33:17would say validated again. You know, let me, let me, let me
- 33:22move the goal posts one more time.
- 33:24But I was I was looking at it and it did look like, you know,
- 33:27lower highs on the monthly. Yes, we got down to 80 but still
- 33:33IF80K holds up that's still a lower high from the last time we
- 33:36had a dip. It made me feel a little
- 33:38bullish. Anyways the discount from all
- 33:40time highs 28.8% the market cap inching back towards 2 trillion
- 33:44were at 1.8 and the block height TikTok next block is 934111I
- 33:50repeat 934111. OK, guys, so Peter Schiff was on
- 33:56Tucker Carlson yesterday. Now, whether you like Tucker
- 33:59Carlson or not, I'm a, I'm a, I'm a bit skeptical of Tucker to
- 34:04say the least. But with that being said, he is
- 34:07probably one of the biggest podcasters or independent
- 34:10content creators right now. And my first view, or rather my
- 34:14first maybe cynical thought on this is, hey, Tucker got the
- 34:18call to talk about talk positively about Bitcoin.
- 34:21Now he did bring Peter Schiff on, obviously because gold's
- 34:24been running. Peter Schiff is a classic gold
- 34:27bug. Yes, Peter Schiff is a Bitcoin
- 34:29heel. He has to talk smack about
- 34:32Bitcoin. His excuse me, his business
- 34:35model runs on the idea that, hey, gold is superior to
- 34:38Bitcoin. So I'm not surprised that part
- 34:41of the Tucker Carlson, Peter Schiff interview, Bitcoin got
- 34:44brought up, but I do want to kind of comment on the tone of
- 34:51Tucker Carlson around Bitcoin, which I think is a little
- 34:53different than what we've seen in the past.
- 34:55Again, this clip is a little longer than usual, but there's a
- 34:59lot to digest here. And also, guys, I didn't clip
- 35:02this myself and there is kind of like some background noise to
- 35:04it, but you'll still be able to, you know, get the gist of this.
- 35:07So this this is a longer clip, but I I think it's worth it.
- 35:12What they're looking for in crypto is validation.
- 35:15They want the regulation to validate product in the industry
- 35:19so they can get people to buy it by saying the government has
- 35:22blessed it. So the government now endorses
- 35:24it, the government is supporting it.
- 35:25And the reason that so many politicians, including Trump,
- 35:29the reason that they support Bitcoin is because Bitcoin
- 35:32supported them, right? People that got into Bitcoin
- 35:35early, they made so much money because so many other people got
- 35:39in late that they were able to pay off a bunch of politicians
- 35:43and get them to support Bitcoin. They supported this whole idea
- 35:47of the Bitcoin strategic reserve, which is really just a
- 35:50Bitcoin bailout fund trying to use taxpayer money to buy out
- 35:54Bitcoin. But the, the, the Bitcoin
- 35:57industry was able to pay off a lot of politicians.
- 35:59And because that's though, I mean, a lot of what you're
- 36:02saying is obviously true, but I also think you've described the
- 36:06decline of the US dollar. It's diminishing purchasing
- 36:09power. So clearly there needs to be a
- 36:12new global reserve currency. You don't want it to be 1 owned
- 36:16by a geopolitical rifle. So why wouldn't tether?
- 36:20Why wouldn't Bitcoin be the new global reserve currency?
- 36:24Well, first of all, gold is money.
- 36:27It's not currency. And so there's a difference
- 36:29between money and currency. So currency is backed by money.
- 36:35So when we were on a gold standard and we had paper that
- 36:38was redeemable in gold, the paper was currency, the gold was
- 36:42money. So currency is like a money
- 36:43substitute. But you can have two kinds of
- 36:46currency. You can have legitimate currency
- 36:47which is backed by real money, or you can have Fiat currency,
- 36:50which is backed by nothing. And So what we have now is Fiat
- 36:53currency. And the question is what could
- 36:55replace that with Bitcoin? And I don't think that that's
- 37:00possible because I don't think that Bitcoin has any value
- 37:04beyond its appeal that, you know, you know, a greater fool
- 37:08is going to come and buy it. Central banks can't hold Bitcoin
- 37:12as a reserve against their own currency.
- 37:16If they had to sell it, I mean, the price would drop sharply.
- 37:20You know, you have to have real money.
- 37:22That's why all these central banks.
- 37:24But under our current system, you don't have real money.
- 37:26You have the US dollar, which is real because people have decided
- 37:30it's real. It's.
- 37:31Yeah. It's an act of faith.
- 37:33And their faith in that is declining because it's been used
- 37:35as a political weapon, as you. I thought so crisply explained.
- 37:40And so you need to replace it with something.
- 37:42Why wouldn't why would Bitcoin be any different from the US
- 37:45dollar except you like start anew?
- 37:47Well, the the main difference there is, you know, they're both
- 37:50in a way Fiat, right? In that, both Bitcoin and the
- 37:54dollar derive their value from faith and confidence, right?
- 37:58But Bitcoin? People are buying, most people
- 38:01who are buying Bitcoin are buying Bitcoin to get more
- 38:03dollars. They, they're thinking the price
- 38:05is going to go way up and they'll be able to sell out and
- 38:07have more dollars than they started with.
- 38:09Most people are not getting into Bitcoin because they just want
- 38:12to save store value. If that was the case, they, they
- 38:15would buy gold. They're speculating in it.
- 38:19But the central banks, right, these big central banks are not
- 38:23going to be able to put large quantities of their dollar
- 38:28reserves into Bitcoin. It there's just, it's not a
- 38:32reliable long term store value for them.
- 38:35That's what they're looking for. They're looking for something to
- 38:37replace the dollar to back up their currency.
- 38:40And are they buying Bitcoin? No, they're not buying.
- 38:44I mean, you have me, El Salvador bought some Bitcoin.
- 38:46I mean, you have you have some foreign governments that have
- 38:49sovereign wealth funds, yes, where those sovereign wealth
- 38:51funds have kind of bought some Bitcoin ETFs or maybe they
- 38:55bought strategy, you know, which was a big mistake.
- 38:58But because they're, you know, these investment managers are
- 39:01under a lot of pressure just like any other manager to
- 39:04perform. And and so a lot of these crypto
- 39:07related assets went up. And so there was some pressure,
- 39:10Hey, I need to put these in the portfolio.
- 39:13And so you have allocations and, and then the crypto community
- 39:17tries to pretend, oh, these governments are buying up
- 39:19Bitcoin. They're not really buying
- 39:21Bitcoin. The managers of these sovereign
- 39:23wealth funds have have taken a small allocation.
- 39:26I think that's all going to stop because this is going to blow
- 39:28up. You know, the people who are
- 39:29putting money into crypto now and the Bitcoin are going to
- 39:32lose a lot of money where they're, they're the exit
- 39:34strategy. I mean, that's why Bitcoin
- 39:37hasn't gone up. You know, Bitcoin's real.
- 39:39The high watermark was four years ago.
- 39:41It's down about 40% priced in gold over the last four years.
- 39:44So we've been distributing Bitcoin from the strong hands
- 39:49that bought it early, the OGS, the whales, to the retail public
- 39:53has been buying it at these inflated prices for years.
- 39:58And eventually you know the bottoms going to drop out of.
- 40:01OK, all right. I mean, first of all, obviously
- 40:07you can tell that Peter Schiff is biased and most Bitcoiners
- 40:11don't even listen to Peter Schiff.
- 40:12Now, I, I don't really need to go too far into Peter Schiff,
- 40:15but I will bring up a good tweet to kind of counter what Peter
- 40:18Schiff has been saying. And yes, he's been right.
- 40:20I hate to say it. Last year he was right.
- 40:23All right, Like I'll give him his flowers.
- 40:26Yes, gold had a great run. I'm not necessarily a gold
- 40:29hater. I'm like, look, thanks, Unk.
- 40:32You were right about the hard money thesis.
- 40:34We'll take it from here this year, OK.
- 40:37Hey, Unk, Hey, grandpa yelling at clouds.
- 40:41You're right, but you're wrong about Bitcoin.
- 40:44The second part of this, which I think is, is from my perspective
- 40:48as like a talking head, you know, a personality is someone
- 40:51that covers the Bitcoin news, someone that basically does the
- 40:54same job as Tucker Carlson. I am.
- 40:57I'm actually impressed by Tucker Carlson pushing back on Peter
- 41:01Schiff here. Now, there's probably some
- 41:04things that I don't necessarily agree with, but that's besides
- 41:06the point. My kind of take away, again,
- 41:10maybe it's because I'm cynical. You could say I'm black pilled,
- 41:12whatever you want to say. But I was just thinking,
- 41:15watching this, like I said earlier, I'm like, I think
- 41:18Tucker might have got the call. Tucker got the call.
- 41:22To say nice things about Bitcoin.
- 41:24Now the reason I'm saying that is, and actually maybe the
- 41:28Freudian slip of what? I don't know if you guys caught
- 41:30that, but he did. He did mention Tether in there
- 41:35could be a Freudian slip could be a miss miss speaking.
- 41:39But when he meant to say, you know, world reserve neutral
- 41:41asset like Bitcoin, he said tether.
- 41:45Now maybe that is where he got the call from.
- 41:49I don't know, You know, I I'm not trying to mind read here,
- 41:52but anyways, it does seem very interesting from my perspective.
- 41:57Again, Tucker Carlson is probably behind Joe Rogan, one
- 42:00of the biggest broadcasters right now, independent content
- 42:03creator, actually biggest talking head.
- 42:05It's probably Joe Rogan and Tucker Carlson bigger than all
- 42:08of the corporate press. And the fact he's saying things
- 42:11favorably towards Bitcoin. He's making a, you know, a
- 42:13pretty good point. And maybe he doesn't.
- 42:15He has historically said he doesn't understand Bitcoin.
- 42:18You know, he doesn't necessarily invest in Bitcoin.
- 42:22So it is interesting that his tune has slightly changed and
- 42:25maybe this is the foundation for, I wouldn't necessarily say
- 42:29full blown shilling of Bitcoin. But you're if you listen closely
- 42:33and if you listen to what he said in the past, it is a slight
- 42:37change of tune. He does seem a little more
- 42:39favorable. Now the last part I want to talk
- 42:43about is the whole, you know, greater full theory.
- 42:47I mean, if Bitcoin is a greater full theory, then I guess so is
- 42:50gold. Like everyone just buys gold to
- 42:53increase their purchasing power, store their values so that they
- 42:56can exchange it for something else.
- 42:59It it's the same thing, Peter. It's the same thing.
- 43:03We're doing the same thing as you are.
- 43:05We just have a better technology.
- 43:07I love gold. I love the way gold feels.
- 43:10I love the way gold makes me feel, but I just think in the
- 43:1421st century that we're in in the digital Internet world that
- 43:18we're in, gold will not work as money.
- 43:21Yes, currently people are storing their value, central
- 43:24banks are storing their value in in gold.
- 43:26But I do think that as we progress further into this more
- 43:31digitized world, Bitcoin will catch up to gold eventually.
- 43:36Do I know the timeline? No, If gold keeps running the
- 43:39way it's running last year, it's going to take a lot longer than
- 43:43we all expected. But with that same token, I
- 43:46think Bitcoin can catch up pretty quickly.
- 43:49The law of big numbers no longer supplies in the world that we
- 43:52live in. Bitcoin can very clearly 234510X
- 43:59from here. Considering that gold and silver
- 44:01added multiples to their market caps, and their market caps were
- 44:05significantly bigger than bitcoins, it's not out of the
- 44:08realm of possibility. Anyways, with that being said, I
- 44:12do want to bring up the numbers. Great tweet by Eric Balkhunis
- 44:17again senior ETF analyst for for Bloomberg and he goes.
- 44:21The dread I see from Bitcoiners and the football spiking from
- 44:25the haters AKA Peter Schiff is very short sighted to me given
- 44:28that since 2022 right before the BlackRock ETF filing, Bitcoin is
- 44:32up 429%, Gold is up 177%, Silver is up 350% and NASDAQ QQQ is up
- 44:40140%. In other words, Bitcoin spanked
- 44:43everything so bad in 2023 and 2024 which people seem to have
- 44:47forgotten that those other assets still haven't cotton up
- 44:51even after having the greatest year ever and Bitcoin being in a
- 44:55coma. In my opinion what happened was
- 44:57the institutionalization narrative got priced in very
- 45:01quickly and ahead of it all actually happening so it had to
- 45:04take a breather so the actual narrative could catch up to the
- 45:08price. Do you feel better now?
- 45:10You're welcome. I do like the the arrogance at
- 45:13the end of shout out to Eric Balkunis.
- 45:15I think he's been doing some good stuff and and you don't
- 45:18necessarily have to like Eric Balkunis, but been pretty
- 45:21favorable of Bitcoin and I appreciate charts like this to
- 45:23be like, hey, man, you know, you're right.
- 45:25Look, Peter Schiff's right, 2025 and I guess the start of 2026
- 45:30has been gold and silver. Maybe Bitcoin had to take a
- 45:34breather, but as Bitcoiners like to say, just zoom out, we're
- 45:40good. I think Bitcoin's going to catch
- 45:43up. I, I think this is all playing
- 45:45out exactly as designed. There was actually another
- 45:48interesting clip which I could have brought in here.
- 45:50It was on Bloomberg. It was some lady, I, I don't
- 45:53know who she is, she's head of some digital acid department.
- 45:56And she was talking about gold and silver a little bit and how
- 46:00essentially, you know, the trade's so hot, a lot of the
- 46:03older generations are buying into it.
- 46:05But what interested her the most was the younger generations are
- 46:08more interested in Bitcoin. And all of this just, you know,
- 46:12very clearly makes me think it's like, all right, cool.
- 46:16You know, the, the gold bugs had their day.
- 46:19We got a little more time here. We got a little more time in the
- 46:21game. And I think Bitcoin's going to
- 46:23catch up. I, I think, I don't know if it's
- 46:25this year, 2 years from now, 3-4 years from now, but Bitcoin is
- 46:31going to make moves that's going to surprise everyone.
- 46:36This is a good one down in the Blues.
- 46:38Peter is not wrong about gold, he just wrong about Bitcoin.
- 46:42Couldn't agree more. That's where we are.
- 46:46He's got a blind side on Bitcoin because his business is gold.
- 46:49Though I think this is all theater or key fob.
- 46:52Is it keyfab, key fob? I think it's key fob.
- 46:55It's a wrestling term. You know, that's all acting.
- 46:58It's all, it's all a show. And I think he's really a
- 47:03Bitcoiner. He has to be.
- 47:05He's a hard money advocate. It's just like he gets more
- 47:09engagement by hating on Bitcoin. The best engagement he gets on
- 47:13Twitter is by hating on Bitcoin. And Bitcoin is piling in.
- 47:16His business is gold, so obviously he's got an incentive
- 47:19to shit on Bitcoin. Like a lot of Bitcoiners.
- 47:22A lot of Bitcoiners hate on gold.
- 47:24And I was like that for a while but I like gold It might be it
- 47:29might be in my DNA. You know it's in my DNA to love
- 47:32some gold guys. I don't know what it is I hold
- 47:34some gold. It just makes me feel good but
- 47:39holding Bitcoin and cold storage makes me feel even better.
- 47:43Well, that was cringe that was good anyways anyways, let's
- 47:47let's get updated with sailor. Sailor made an interesting tweet
- 47:52that it is kind of a trust me bro moment, but if I remember
- 47:57correctly I think this is the first time he's responded to
- 48:01these allegations. So shouts out to Sailor.
- 48:03We'll be right back. I want to give a shout out to
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- 50:37Oh, sorry guys, the chat chat, you guys just happened.
- 50:41OK, Anyways, one of the biggest things we've seen since this
- 50:50last summer, as it was coined Paper Bitcoin Summer, it's this
- 50:54idea of whether the ETFs and the Bitcoin treasuries are actually
- 50:58buying Bitcoin because it makes no sense with the amount of
- 51:01Bitcoin that they're supposedly buying, why the Bitcoin price
- 51:04isn't going up. And there's been a lot of talk
- 51:07about Saylor needing to prove his reserves.
- 51:12There's been a lot of contention, a lot of doubt, a
- 51:14lot of speculation that Michael Saylor or rather strategies
- 51:19actually buying that 700,000 plus coins.
- 51:22And excuse me, hold on and further whether BlackRock is
- 51:27actually buying all that coin, they have hold about 1,000,000
- 51:30coins now whether the ETFs, whether Wall Street's actually
- 51:34buying that Bitcoin, how much paper Bitcoin is in the system
- 51:38are there is there re hypothecation concerned is are
- 51:41there more than 21 million Bitcoin being traded currently
- 51:45or rather let me let me get the official number 'cause we we
- 51:49haven't got the 21 million. So is there more than 19.98
- 51:55million Bitcoin being traded right now via paper contracts?
- 52:01These are all concerns we've been kind of grappling with for
- 52:05the last 6-7 years at this point, right?
- 52:09Well, we did get kind of some confirmation from Sailor.
- 52:16It is sort of a trust me, bro moment.
- 52:21So you know what, we'll take it with a grain of salt, but I
- 52:24think this is the first time that he's actually acknowledged
- 52:27this. I know you've said this in the
- 52:29past, but I think for him to go out on Twitter and acknowledge
- 52:34it, it's very interesting considering some of the things
- 52:38we've heard Sailor say in the last couple of weeks.
- 52:41It seems like he you know, specifically the the Danny knows
- 52:45what Bitcoin did podcast and Sailor.
- 52:47It seems like he is getting fed up with some of the pushback
- 52:51right now and he's just taking up prisoners.
- 52:54Anyways. What am I talking about?
- 52:56Did I say 6-7? Damn caught caught in 4K.
- 53:00All right, we have Jesse Myers here, of course, creases.
- 53:05He does great work as well. Quoting Sailor on the 26th that
- 53:10strategies acquired 2932 more Bitcoin for 264.1 million at
- 53:16roughly 90K per coin. As of now, they hold 700 and
- 53:2112647 Bitcoin acquired for roughly $54 billion at roughly a
- 53:28$76,000 Bitcoin price. Now this is one of the things
- 53:32we've been talking about. We've been saying that the
- 53:34amount of buying pressure from just the Bitcoin treasury
- 53:39companies is outpacing the amount of Bitcoin that's being
- 53:44released. Then you add the ETF, then you
- 53:47add retail, then you add sovereign wealth funds.
- 53:50Something has to break, something has to give.
- 53:56The selling seems to have slowed down the amount of buying
- 53:59pressure. At some point the coin has to
- 54:02rocket. You know, at some point the corn
- 54:04has to sprout. Anyways.
- 54:06Jesse Myers quote tweets and goes Strategy has acquired
- 54:0840,150 bitcoins so far in 2026 and only 11,000 and 700 Bitcoin
- 54:15has been mined so far in 2026. Eventually the Bitcoin price
- 54:19must go higher, much higher. Yeah, just I'm I'm not trying to
- 54:24shed on JSC, but just some some great a hopium here on the on
- 54:28the timeline. Love it.
- 54:29Anyways, Jameson Lott replies. Your thesis is sensible under
- 54:34the assumption that strategy is buying real Bitcoin.
- 54:39The strategy actually verify that their Bitcoin only belongs
- 54:42to them and isn't rehypothecated.
- 54:45I'm skeptical now Saylor has, you know, talked about this and
- 54:51a few times here he is on the timeline this morning.
- 54:55We buy real Bitcoin. We don't re hypothecate Now
- 54:59again, this is a trust me bro moment, I'll give you that.
- 55:05But I think the fact that he is out here saying look, I'm not
- 55:10he's he's been very out of me. He's like, I'm not going to do
- 55:12proof of reserves because of various, you know, factors that
- 55:17maybe I am too dumb to understand or maybe you guys are
- 55:21too dumb to understand. I'm putting words in his mouth.
- 55:24But him coming out here, I, I think we're starting to see like
- 55:30he, I, I, I think the, the skepticism around sailor is
- 55:35starting to get to him and he's not taking any prisoners.
- 55:37So it is a trust me bro moment, but from, you know, the head of
- 55:42a public company for him to say it like he can't lie about it
- 55:48from my opinion or from my understanding here.
- 55:50So he goes, we buy real Bitcoin, we don't rehybothogate Jameson
- 55:53Lott responds. But how do you know your
- 55:56custodians don't? Presumably they put your Bitcoin
- 55:58in segregated addresses that you can monitor.
- 56:01People ask for proof of reserve since they don't even know what
- 56:04monitoring and assurances you put in place.
- 56:07Multiple layers of trusted black boxes make folks nervous.
- 56:12I do agree with the push back. It is a trust me bro moment.
- 56:17But you know, you got to love Mr. Hardy.
- 56:19You got to love the memes. I don't believe you.
- 56:22Let me see if he responded since I went live.
- 56:26Let me see. Even if they're getting PRI
- 56:28proof of reserves from the custodians form a list of
- 56:30addresses. They come on in there.
- 56:31There's no guarantee some of those addresses aren't also
- 56:33being sent to other clients. Publishing them publicly would
- 56:35help ensure. Yeah.
- 56:36OK, so proof of reserves. Let me see.
- 56:38Wake up, babe. Old FUD is active again.
- 56:40You're new here. Never heard the mantra.
- 56:42Don't just verify. OK, so I don't think Sailor has
- 56:46responded since I've gone live. Let me see.
- 56:50We'll see. Is there a response here?
- 56:52Did we get another response? No, doesn't look like it.
- 56:59Doesn't look like it. So as of now, it's a.
- 57:04Trust me, bro. We got to take his word for it.
- 57:08But I think, look, I don't hold strategy, but I would venture to
- 57:20guess that having the CEO, the majority owner of the company to
- 57:26come out and say, oh dude, we hold it.
- 57:28We make sure that there isn't rehypothecation, It probably
- 57:32does make you feel better. Now, maybe that is some legacy
- 57:36Fiat thinking and Bitcoin obviously is proof of reserves.
- 57:41I don't know what the social attack vectors or business
- 57:45attack vectors that would entail for someone like Saylor to prove
- 57:49his reserves. Obviously there's been the
- 57:52criticism that, hey, El Salvador's done it.
- 57:54Hey, some of the biggest Bitcoin companies, Tether has done it.
- 57:58Like, why can they do it? And you don't like, what's the
- 58:01big deal? Obviously last year we saw the
- 58:03huge pushback of Mitchell Hoddle asking him this question.
- 58:07He did kind of snap on him. It caused all this type of
- 58:11drama. But if I remember correctly, and
- 58:15maybe you guys can Fact Check me, I think this is the first
- 58:20time he's actually come out on Twitter and said I, I, I think
- 58:23he's talked about it in interviews.
- 58:26But to see him come out here and talk about it, it makes you
- 58:30wonder, is he just kind of being, is he kind of just sick
- 58:34of the the speculation, the pushback, the haters?
- 58:39Is it the price that's getting to him?
- 58:42Does he look at this as like an attack on his company and he has
- 58:46to, you know, protect his honor? I don't know, man.
- 58:50But if we take his word or what he's saying on face value, then
- 58:59you could venture to guess that all the other Bitcoin bought by
- 59:03treasuries, Bitcoin ETFs and I'll and I'll go to, you know,
- 59:07Bitcoin treasuries.net right now.
- 59:11I would venture to guess that they also hold all the Bitcoin.
- 59:15As far as I've seen on blockchain, on chain analytics,
- 59:19it looks like they are holding all the all those bitcoins.
- 59:22Now there is a simple supply demand, you know, economics that
- 59:27plays out Bitcoin and there is also there is a little bit of
- 59:32paper Bitcoin not necessarily in re hypothecation, but in, you
- 59:36know, puts and options. Actually, there there was a good
- 59:39tweet the other day going around about why Bitcoin feels stuck
- 59:42around this 95 to 85 or 90 to 80 K range.
- 59:47And it's because of like Wall Street games.
- 59:49When the price pumps, you know, the hedge by essentially
- 59:54shorting it when it dumps the hedge by longing it, they're
- 59:57just kind of hedging their bets and This is why it feels stuck.
- 1:00:01So we did show a lot of data last year with the idea that
- 1:00:08there's been a mass amounts of selling from O GS.
- 1:00:11As you know, Peter Schiff, I I say so correctly identified.
- 1:00:18You know 100K was the number for a lot of Ogs.
- 1:00:20I've been holding it since $0.10 a dollar $100 and whether that
- 1:00:26was them rolling into ETFs, whether that's them just cashing
- 1:00:30out and securing some, some Fiat, whether it's them
- 1:00:34transferring into these various Wall Street products etcetera,
- 1:00:37etcetera, etcetera. From the exchange perspective,
- 1:00:40there has been a lot of selling. Now the fact that we've held up
- 1:00:44at the prices we've had, we have in the face of everything going
- 1:00:48on, I would say it's showing the resilience of Bitcoin.
- 1:00:52It's showing there is an infinite bid pumping up Bitcoin
- 1:00:55or or you know, floating it up right now.
- 1:00:58And at a certain point, there will be this make or break it
- 1:01:02moment where it's got to run this amount of buying that we're
- 1:01:06seeing it. It's not sustainable with the
- 1:01:09amount of Bitcoin that is hitting the exchanges via
- 1:01:12miners, via OG's. At a certain point we will be
- 1:01:16seeing the price start to go up. So let's see.
- 1:01:19Public companies hold a total of 1.134 million coins and venture
- 1:01:26to guess that they probably have all that coin.
- 1:01:30Private companies hold 288,000, government entities allegedly
- 1:01:35hold combined 647,000 ETFs, and exchanges hold 1.64 million
- 1:01:44Bitcoin. I'd venture to guess that they
- 1:01:46hold all those Bitcoin now from past views.
- 1:01:49Oh, I didn't pull it out from past views here though, You
- 1:01:52know, we know some exchanges don't actually have the Bitcoin.
- 1:01:58That's why we always say take Bitcoin into cold storage.
- 1:02:04This is the easiest, safest, best way to ensure that you do
- 1:02:08not lose your Bitcoin. You know, don't trust verify.
- 1:02:12That's where the meme comes from.
- 1:02:14Don't trust that the person holding your Bitcoin has that
- 1:02:17Bitcoin. Verify that Bitcoin by running a
- 1:02:19node and verifying that you are receiving real Bitcoin.
- 1:02:24Now that has extended to the Bitcoin treasury space that has
- 1:02:29extended to this proof of reserves idea where I'm not
- 1:02:33going to give you my Bitcoin, or rather my Fiat and trust that
- 1:02:38you actually hold this Bitcoin because maybe you don't.
- 1:02:43But it seems like sailors either getting tired of this or finally
- 1:02:48putting it to rest. Though even this I think won't
- 1:02:51be enough for most Bitcoiners. They still want to see proof of
- 1:02:54reserves. You know, personally, I, I don't
- 1:02:59know in strategy, I don't know any of these Bitcoin treasury
- 1:03:02companies. So this doesn't affect me.
- 1:03:04But if we do go to the logical conclusion of a strategy did not
- 1:03:10have all this Bitcoin and it did blow up, that would not be good
- 1:03:14for for the underlying price of Bitcoin.
- 1:03:16That would be catastrophic. So it is a trust me, bro moment,
- 1:03:21but maybe this makes some people feel better about what strategy
- 1:03:26is doing. I'm, I am on the idea of like,
- 1:03:29I'd like to see some more, but again, I don't own strategy.
- 1:03:33So maybe people that own strategy feel comfortable with
- 1:03:37just sailor saying that they own it and that they put some kind
- 1:03:41of stipulation so that there is no rehypothecation.
- 1:03:44I would, I would venture to guess that one of the best
- 1:03:46spokesperson around Bitcoin would probably, you know, be
- 1:03:50smart enough to know that yeah, you probably don't want your
- 1:03:53Bitcoin rehypothecated, especially if you are the
- 1:03:56biggest public entity to hold Bitcoin.
- 1:03:58You hold 712,000 Bitcoin. I'm guessing, you know, he's
- 1:04:05smart enough to know that he is a rocket scientist.
- 1:04:08After all, I have a 42 IQ. Who am I to judge?
- 1:04:11But I definitely, you know, verify my million sets.
- 1:04:17OK, anyways, let's see actually, are there any?
- 1:04:23Yeah, Jr. tokens get it eventually.
- 1:04:26Samson Mallory be right about his infinite bid thesis.
- 1:04:30Yes, yes. Does anyone in the chat hold
- 1:04:36strategy? But before I move on, because I
- 1:04:38do have a couple minutes to to till the Fed rate announcement.
- 1:04:43So if someone in the put the one minute charge for that, OK, I
- 1:04:48will do that. I will do that.
- 1:04:49But before I do that, does anyone in the chat own strategy?
- 1:04:55How does this make you feel? Because it'll give me enough
- 1:04:59time or actually, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 1:05:01One second, one second. Sorry guys.
- 1:05:03We're I want to see if people in the chat feel better.
- 1:05:07Bitcoiners. Yeah, my boy, my boy Bitcoiners
- 1:05:11in complete shambles. Let's go Country Club hillbilly.
- 1:05:15You do. Does this make you feel better?
- 1:05:18Is this enough for you to believe that they actually have
- 1:05:21all the Bitcoin That that's my question.
- 1:05:25Not just if you own strategy, does this, you know, make you
- 1:05:31feel better about it? No, Chef Tommy, is that a no,
- 1:05:36that you don't own strategy or no, that it doesn't make you
- 1:05:39feel better? Yeah, exactly.
- 1:05:47This is this is what this is what I'm saying.
- 1:05:51Jake Fever gets it perfectly. If he is lying, he's going to
- 1:05:54jail. It would be weird not to hold
- 1:05:57real Bitcoin. Yes, I own Master.
- 1:06:00This is this is literally this is what I'm saying.
- 1:06:03This is not just your average Bitcoiner, you know, plebonon,
- 1:06:08that's like, yo, I own this or I don't.
- 1:06:10And there's no like nothing happens to them.
- 1:06:15Like this guy has a, you know, a different target on his back.
- 1:06:20I, I, I think I'm not, I'm not saying, you know, I'm going to
- 1:06:23trust necessarily. I do believe in don't trust
- 1:06:25verify, but he's playing in a different game is all I'm
- 1:06:28saying. OK.
- 1:06:29Anyways, let's hit the transition.
- 1:06:34I'll pull up the one minute chart.
- 1:06:35I'm going to pull up the Poly market odds, which don't
- 1:06:37necessarily mean what's going to happen, and we'll do a live
- 1:06:40reaction to the FOMC rate cut announcement whether we get one
- 1:06:44or not. I want to give a shout out to
- 1:06:47our partner Hive Digital Technologies.
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- 1:08:36freedom. OK guys.
- 1:08:43So we got 3 minutes till the Feds decision on rate cuts.
- 1:08:47But I do want to bring up the Poly market odds, which I don't
- 1:08:51necessarily I believe is, you know, gospel here, but this
- 1:08:56market, you know, it's it's got some capital behind it,
- 1:08:58$647,000,000 in volume Fed decision in January.
- 1:09:03It's basically 100% no change. That's the prevailing sentiment
- 1:09:07right now that we are going to see no change to the interest
- 1:09:13rates. But you guys want the one minute
- 1:09:15chart. Here's the one minute chart.
- 1:09:17It seems like maybe maybe the price is pricing something,
- 1:09:22maybe the price is pricing right now.
- 1:09:24So I'll I'll keep the one minute chart and then on the
- 1:09:27background, I will, you know, sweep and try to find these
- 1:09:33decisions for you guys so we can talk about it in real time
- 1:09:39again, couple of minutes. So just you know, we maybe we do
- 1:09:43the price is right. Do do you know, do do do do it's
- 1:09:48polymarket. No, KYCI don't I really don't
- 1:09:50know I I, I don't actually use polymarket.
- 1:09:52I just kind of like to look at it.
- 1:09:53I, you know, I, I know you guys might think I'm a gambler.
- 1:09:57I don't really gamble much. OK, Bitcoin isn't a gamble.
- 1:10:01All right, permalife says 375 no change question mark potentially
- 1:10:05that that's at least a prevailing sentiment right now.
- 1:10:08So one more minute Just just hold on.
- 1:10:11We're going to do a live. I came for the plebslop and the
- 1:10:16one minute chart. You're in the right place.
- 1:10:21Let's see if Bitcoin has done anything important for me.
- 1:10:24It will have been changing my time.
- 1:10:26Honestly, I was talking to my my boy Sal, the trainer, my
- 1:10:30trainer, my boy Sal and I was trolling about his lower time
- 1:10:34preference in all his life. It's kind of an inside joke, you
- 1:10:36know? You know what I'm talking about,
- 1:10:37Sal. OK, let's see One minute chart
- 1:10:42live about what, 30 seconds, 30 seconds?
- 1:10:46Give me 30 seconds and we'll get a live, live reaction here and
- 1:10:53maybe we will see the price. Uh oh, uh oh, one minute chart.
- 1:10:59Did cortisol spiking on the one minute chart, boys.
- 1:11:04OK dude, Polly Market odds freaking on point.
- 1:11:09So Fed leaves interest rates unchanged.
- 1:11:13FED does not lower interest rates.
- 1:11:15We'll keep the one minute chart here.
- 1:11:18So let's see what are they currently?
- 1:11:22What like 375 I think. I think that's where they
- 1:11:26currently are. Let's see see what's going on
- 1:11:31here. So dude, polymarket is like, if
- 1:11:36you look at a polymarket, you know, betting odds with like
- 1:11:39significant volume, it's pretty damn good.
- 1:11:44It is pretty, pretty good. Let me see, what are the current
- 1:11:50Fed rates? I believe it's 375 current Fed
- 1:11:54rates, Dude, where AI slop in or plebs slop in?
- 1:12:01Where polymarkets slop in OK Effective Federal fund rate 3.64
- 1:12:08Target range set by Federal Reserve 3.5 to 3.75 S No change
- 1:12:173.53.75 Let's go back. Let me go back here.
- 1:12:20Oh, Oh, we hadn't. We almost had it, boys.
- 1:12:25We almost had it. OK, all right, this is where
- 1:12:30it's fun. We're just going to hang out.
- 1:12:33We're going to just hang out here for a minute.
- 1:12:35Watch the one minute chart. Again, it's not trading advice.
- 1:12:39This is for entertainment. You watch the one minute chart
- 1:12:42for entertainment to see real time sentiment on what people
- 1:12:47think on the dude, Are we going to 80 K?
- 1:12:54OK all right, let's go Oh, all right well, this is what Bitcoin
- 1:13:01thinks too about no fed rate cuts right now.
- 1:13:04Live dumping Got to love it got to love it 32nd charts pretty
- 1:13:11dope yeah, I don't I don't pay for trading view, so best I got
- 1:13:15one second is even better. All I got is one minute, you
- 1:13:19know, so it it's not as interactive.
- 1:13:24I would really I would love the one second chart.
- 1:13:27I'd be I'd be addicted to the one second chart.
- 1:13:30One minute does have like a little bit grab the rail boys.
- 1:13:40Ron, I've been watching the one minute chart exclusively for 10
- 1:13:43years. You're a savage.
- 1:13:45You're a savage. Yes.
- 1:13:48So, yeah, guys. So let's see.
- 1:13:54Yeah, that's a pretty good take. Jay Powell attempting to show
- 1:13:57Trump that he has bigger balls in the press.
- 1:13:59Honestly, pretty, pretty good take here.
- 1:14:02Pretty good take. Yes.
- 1:14:03Chris is on point. Fireworks start when Powell
- 1:14:06starts babbling. All right, So guys, as I've been
- 1:14:10doing this for you guys, I've noticed a couple of things.
- 1:14:12And, and Chris is pretty much on point here.
- 1:14:16There's initial volatility right when the announcements are made,
- 1:14:20then Bitcoin kind of starts stabilizing and then the real
- 1:14:25volatility comes, you know, in 30 minutes when when Powell's
- 1:14:29speaking, the price just starts spiking.
- 1:14:31It's absolutely insane to watch. Wouldn't be trading right now.
- 1:14:35I usually would say, you know, get your positions in before,
- 1:14:39you know, get your spot buys before or I guess maybe your
- 1:14:43trades in before if you're really a trader, but just buy,
- 1:14:48buy after the the Fed red cats announcement or the speech.
- 1:14:52That's probably the best thing to do.
- 1:14:53So looks like we got a little volatility on the board.
- 1:15:00Well, guys, pack it up. It's over.
- 1:15:03Yeah, it depends on no, no social FU social media grabbed
- 1:15:12the rails. I think he meant by like, oh,
- 1:15:13there we go a little price action.
- 1:15:15There's the volatility. I think it's like, you know, I,
- 1:15:18I imagined it like he asked what grabs the rails mean.
- 1:15:22I imagined it like a, you know, like a surfer when you, when you
- 1:15:26do a, a deep drop in on a wave, you know, you're dropping.
- 1:15:30You got to grab the rail to get into the barrel.
- 1:15:33So you can tell I, I used to be a surfer.
- 1:15:34But hey, hey dude, the volatility is back.
- 1:15:38What am I telling you look, we've been doing this enough.
- 1:15:41We we know how we know how the one minute chart works.
- 1:15:44All right, guys, we'll keep this a couple minutes.
- 1:15:47I'll I'll react to some of your guys comments or super cycles.
- 1:15:55Let's see Jr. tokens. Trump is going to officially
- 1:16:00announce his pick to the next fed chair after Powell speaks to
- 1:16:03mute Powell's influence over the next few months.
- 1:16:05Honestly, that'd be that'd be insane, especially if he
- 1:16:09announces it's Rick Reader, writer from BlackRock.
- 1:16:13BlackRock is now ahead of the Fed and ahead of the World
- 1:16:18Economic Forum. That will be very interesting.
- 1:16:22All right, my boy says it's more interesting what's going on in
- 1:16:26the golden market. So let's go look at gold.
- 1:16:29It's doing the same thing, bro. One minute chart on fleek.
- 1:16:32That is crazy. Look what, 5 minutes ago 12345
- 1:16:39OK, pumped into the announcement, dumped on the
- 1:16:41announcement. Way more volatile because 2345
- 1:16:50pumped into the announcement, absolutely dumped after the
- 1:16:53announcement. Now we're dumping.
- 1:16:58OK, Gold's digesting the information pretty good.
- 1:17:04All right. Well, he is right, I think.
- 1:17:06Well, it did. General sentiment is probably
- 1:17:09pretty good. All right, we'll we'll hold this
- 1:17:13out for a little bit anyways. I like this.
- 1:17:18Let me see. Yeah.
- 1:17:24Minimalized man gets it. I like this.
- 1:17:26This is like we're all at the horse race together.
- 1:17:29Yeah, bro. We're in the trenches together
- 1:17:30here, OK? We're in the trenches, bro.
- 1:17:35Dude, dude, I know the monthly chart, bro.
- 1:17:37Where? Bro, we know we want we want the
- 1:17:43minute chart. This is a minute chart segment.
- 1:17:46Just what's going on in the minute chart.
- 1:17:47We've been looking at the monthly chart.
- 1:17:49We constantly looking at the monthly chart.
- 1:17:52Do not look at silver. All right, dude, tell me not to
- 1:17:56do something. Don't tempt me with a good time.
- 1:17:57Let's see. I'm.
- 1:17:59I'm gonna wrap it up here. Same thing now it's dumping.
- 1:18:08OK, All right, guys. Well, I'll pull this chart up
- 1:18:12again. Like volatility.
- 1:18:15The volatility is back. All right, guys.
- 1:18:21Well, Foxy, you know I'm color blind, so all right, I need the
- 1:18:26blue and the red for the contrast.
- 1:18:31All right, guys, love you guys. I'll see you tomorrow.
- 1:18:35End of the day. So, hey, no change in Fed rate
- 1:18:38cuts. It looks like the theater
- 1:18:44between Fed and Trump. It's continuing.
- 1:18:48Let's see who blinks. See who blinks first.
- 1:18:52Let's see who blinks first. All right, guys, we need the
- 1:18:56dude we kicked out from the FCC. All right?
- 1:19:00All right, all right. Yeah.
- 1:19:02Chat is not saying anything important at the moment.
- 1:19:05Want to find out? Totally right.
- 1:19:08All right, I'll see you guys tomorrow.
- 1:19:09Have a good rest of your day. We are on Wednesday.
- 1:19:17See what happens. Let's see who's right.
- 1:19:19Let's see what thesis is right here.
- 1:19:21On that note, I'll see you tomorrow.
- 1:19:23Have a good rest of your day, get outside, get some exercise,
- 1:19:26eat some good food. Actually, I think I'm going to
- 1:19:28cook a rib eye today, so maybe you want to cook some steak.
- 1:19:31I'm feeling a rib eye. Anyways, peace out.
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