Latest / Kvetch & Release / How Ottawa Turned Debt Into a "Sovereign Wealth Fund"
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Every Friday morning at this time, we welcome back John
- 0:02Speaker 1: Litke with our great feature, Litke's Got a Take. And
- 0:06Speaker 1: good morning, John.
- 0:07Speaker 2: Good morning, Gene.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Okay, more on the budget. Carney wrapped up his budget
- 0:12Speaker 1: in the language of masters of our own destiny, I
- 0:15Speaker 1: guess we could say. And as we were talking with Chris,
- 0:18Speaker 1: the centerpiece is a $ 25 billion sovereign wealth fund. The catch, though, John,
- 0:24Speaker 1: we're running a $ 62 billion deficit. Now, can a country
- 0:29Speaker 1: realistically build a national wealth plan by putting the seed
- 0:33Speaker 1: money on a credit card, which essentially is what they're doing?
- 0:37Speaker 1: I mean, what happens if those hand-picked investments fail? Yeah.
- 0:41Speaker 2: Gene, I don't know. Calling borrowed $ 25 billion a sovereign
- 0:45Speaker 2: wealth fund, that is financial gaslighting. Norway built a wealth
- 0:49Speaker 2: fund off of actual oil surplus. Carney is maxing out
- 0:53Speaker 2: collective national credit card at 5% interest and telling us
- 0:56Speaker 2: that we're getting rich off of it. But, I mean,
- 0:58Speaker 2: this is straight out of Glenn Gary, Glenn Ross. He's
- 1:00Speaker 2: kicking open the doors of the House of Commons, dropping
- 1:02Speaker 2: $ 62 billion of red ink on the desk, and telling Canadians,
- 1:06Speaker 2: always be closing. I mean, this is... It's nuts. I mean,
- 1:10Speaker 2: I just... Of course, though, he's so high in the
- 1:14Speaker 2: polls here that everyone's going to go along with it.
- 1:17Speaker 2: And it's just one big gamble. So they're going to
- 1:20Speaker 2: tell us that they're going to be picking industrial winners.
- 1:22Speaker 2: But name me one major commercial venture that this bureaucracy
- 1:26Speaker 2: runs on time or under budget. I mean, heck, they
- 1:28Speaker 2: couldn't even get the Arrive Can app working without blowing
- 1:31Speaker 2: $ 50 million.
- 1:32Speaker 1: Yeah, I remember that. Okay, so Ottawa is celebrating having
- 1:36Speaker 1: the lowest business investment tax rate in the G7. Now,
- 1:40Speaker 1: it sounds great, but it's tailored for large companies writing
- 1:45Speaker 1: off things like heavy capital equipment, industrial tech, automation. Main
- 1:50Speaker 1: street businesses carry inventory and they pay wages, but they
- 1:54Speaker 1: get left out on the cold. I mean, is this
- 1:57Speaker 1: just for the corporate giants over Main Street?
- 2:00Speaker 2: It feels like it. I mean, this is classic Ottawa
- 2:02Speaker 2: picking favorites and leaving the rest of the country to starve.
- 2:05Speaker 2: And I saw, you know, the activist class like Avi Lewis.
- 2:08Speaker 2: I saw him run out yesterday and get in the
- 2:10Speaker 2: fight with the finance minister on live TV saying that
- 2:14Speaker 2: this is a $ 36 billion corporate gift. But I think
- 2:17Speaker 2: that misses the mark as well, because in places like Windsor,
- 2:20Speaker 2: the tooling and parts shops genuinely need to be able
- 2:23Speaker 2: to write off big machinery just to keep Michigan and
- 2:26Speaker 2: Ohio from wiping us off the map. So the real scandal, though,
- 2:30Speaker 2: it's not that factories are getting write-offs. It's that Main
- 2:33Speaker 2: Street gets completely written off from it. So if you're
- 2:36Speaker 2: a multi-billion multinational that's buying heavy robotics, It's great for you,
- 2:42Speaker 2: but if you're a local, it's not going to be
- 2:45Speaker 2: that great because you really don't get a darn thing.
- 2:47Speaker 2: So Carney's team drafted a budget for boardrooms and for
- 2:50Speaker 2: conglomerates because they're fine that Main Street is going to
- 2:54Speaker 2: continue to do what Main Street does, which is some
- 2:56Speaker 2: will survive and some will fall, but they'd never take
- 2:59Speaker 2: that risk when it comes to something bigger.
- 3:01Speaker 1: This was of interest to me. The federal government claims
- 3:05Speaker 1: it's charting a course to end homelessness. within 10 years
- 3:09Speaker 1: by backing construction of capital infrastructure. Well, I know something
- 3:13Speaker 1: about homelessness. Sadly, my uncle froze to death on the
- 3:16Speaker 1: streets of Toronto. But the fine print offloads ongoing shelter operations,
- 3:21Speaker 1: mental health support, and frontline triage to provinces and cities
- 3:27Speaker 1: that are struggling, like in the Niagara region, because of
- 3:31Speaker 1: those two flash floods. So... Are we watching a genuine
- 3:35Speaker 1: national solution, and I don't think it's going to happen,
- 3:38Speaker 1: or just federal ministers taking credit for ribbon cuttings and
- 3:42Speaker 1: things like that?
- 3:43Speaker 2: Federal ministers love to have their photo ops and cut
- 3:46Speaker 2: ribbons on concrete or in front of fake homes that
- 3:49Speaker 2: they were building. Remember that one that they did a
- 3:52Speaker 2: while back?
- 3:52Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 3:55Speaker 2: I think that there is a lot of merit here.
- 3:57Speaker 2: No city that's dealing with a homelessness epidemic like most
- 4:01Speaker 2: are right now is going to be upset about the
- 4:04Speaker 2: feds saying, here's a bunch of cash. We're going to
- 4:07Speaker 2: build the infrastructure to take care of the shelters themselves
- 4:11Speaker 2: and the wraparound services. The issue is it's the ongoing
- 4:15Speaker 2: costs that are associated with it that are being downloaded
- 4:17Speaker 2: onto the provinces that will be downloaded directly onto the cities.
- 4:21Speaker 2: So that's what makes this a shell game here. And
- 4:24Speaker 2: even in Windsor, when they have housing funds, for example,
- 4:27Speaker 2: they were mandating that we had to have four plexes
- 4:31Speaker 2: by right, whereas we already have three plexes by right.
- 4:34Speaker 2: But they kept that money, and they wouldn't give it
- 4:36Speaker 2: to us unless we changed to go with it. Now,
- 4:38Speaker 2: my recommendation to the city is to make the changes
- 4:41Speaker 2: to get the cash. But We shouldn't have these shell games,
- 4:44Speaker 2: quite frankly, when it comes to these important issues.
- 4:47Speaker 1: So Pierre Poliev last night branded the budget mastered by death,
- 4:52Speaker 1: while the prime minister insists that Canada is stepping into
- 4:55Speaker 1: an investment super cycle. His terms, not mine. Now, the
- 5:00Speaker 1: sales pitches, I guess we can borrow today to build
- 5:03Speaker 1: things up tomorrow. But servicing that debt eats up so
- 5:07Speaker 1: much money. It is $ 2, 000 a second or $ 1. 4 billion
- 5:09Speaker 1: every week.
- 5:14Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know how you can spin this, quite frankly,
- 5:17Speaker 2: because the debt is big. You know, try telling the
- 5:21Speaker 2: bond market that it's not as big as it is.
- 5:24Speaker 2: And you're not able to pay interest charges and ratios.
- 5:27Speaker 2: We're paying them in cold, hard cash on a daily basis.
- 5:30Speaker 2: So debt servicing is just, it's blowing off the charts.
- 5:34Speaker 2: And that's money that's being taken out of our health
- 5:36Speaker 2: care system and out of hospitals just to pay the financiers. So,
- 5:40Speaker 2: you know, we look at the Sudden pivots that are
- 5:43Speaker 2: in this budget, and overall, I don't have an issue
- 5:46Speaker 2: with most of what's going on here, but it's just
- 5:49Speaker 2: it's always the sales pitch, right? I'd rather them just
- 5:51Speaker 2: be completely honest and frank with us and say, hey,
- 5:54Speaker 2: we're going to continue to borrow and borrow and borrow,
- 5:56Speaker 2: and we're taking a lot of big bets right now,
- 5:58Speaker 2: but we think it's going to play off, and if
- 6:00Speaker 2: it doesn't, you don't have to vote for us again.
- 6:03Speaker 2: The risk is that we can decide not to vote
- 6:05Speaker 2: for them again, but that doesn't change our financial state
- 6:07Speaker 2: afterwards if things really do go bad.
- 6:10Speaker 1: Picking up on what happened in Rome earlier this week,
- 6:14Speaker 1: you're calling this the Pope versus Bob Dylan budget. Mark
- 6:18Speaker 1: Carney's high-minded vision in white robes clashing against gritty black
- 6:24Speaker 1: alley realities like red ink, rising debt, and political compromises.
- 6:29Speaker 1: So if you strip away all of the rhetorical gymnastics,
- 6:33Speaker 1: is Carney genuinely building an independent Canadian economy today? Or
- 6:38Speaker 1: is he asking everyday Canadians to co-sign what amounts to
- 6:41Speaker 1: an extraordinarily expensive gamble?
- 6:45Speaker 2: I think we're all being drafted into a desperate financial
- 6:48Speaker 2: pyramid scheme potentially here. I mean, again, it's not being
- 6:51Speaker 2: sold that way, but this budget is a massive high-risk
- 6:54Speaker 2: bet that Ottawa can spend our way out of structural
- 6:57Speaker 2: economic rot before the compounding debt interest would suffocate us.
- 7:01Speaker 2: And we can, you know, hope that Mark Carney, with
- 7:04Speaker 2: all of his brilliant financial backgrounds, will be able to
- 7:09Speaker 2: save us. But this is still the public purse, and
- 7:12Speaker 2: I would rather it not be run like it's a
- 7:14Speaker 2: back alley casino sometimes. Now, listen, stockpiling critical minerals, that's
- 7:18Speaker 2: a very good thing. And if we're able to do
- 7:19Speaker 2: it with maple syrup, we should probably be doing it
- 7:21Speaker 2: with critical minerals as well. I don't think that's a problem.
- 7:24Speaker 2: But I don't know how you can say that we're
- 7:26Speaker 2: masters of our own house and masters of our own
- 7:28Speaker 2: destiny when we're mortgaging the house a second time.
- 7:31Speaker 1: Yeah, and third, and fourth, and fifth, sixth. Hey, listen,
- 7:36Speaker 1: great takes all week. Have a fantastic weekend. We'll talk
- 7:39Speaker 1: to you on Monday, my friend.
- 7:40Speaker 2: Thanks, Gene. Talk to you then.
- 7:41Speaker 1: There he goes, John Litke. Litke's got a take.