Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 17 Gambling Picks, Down to the Wire, Divisions on the Line
Transcript
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- 0:46Okay, okay, okay, we're here, we're back, street for the money and we're late. We're late.
- 0:54This is coming out on Friday. Didn't tell anyone. Didn't say anything on Twitter, whatever. Not a
- 1:01big deal. It was Christmas this week. Christmas was yesterday. I went to an O on Christmas.
- 1:10But wait, is that how I should start this? I don't know. We're rolling. We're doing it live,
- 1:16baby. You know what, Chris? You take it from the top. How did you do this week? I'm pauling this
- 1:25off on you. Okay, thanks. I didn't have a chance to bet either NFL game on Christmas. I know that's
- 1:32pretty un-American of me, but I was busy with family stuff and I actually didn't have time to lock
- 1:38in my bets. That's kind of a weird thing to say. But it's probably a good thing because last week,
- 1:43I was not very good. I think I went four and six, three, yeah, four and six, four and seven, something
- 1:50like that. Had a pretty good noon slate and then it just all went to hell after that.
- 1:57The Dolphins scoring 29 points for that game to go over by one was ridiculous. But
- 2:04anyway, not very good, but it's Christmas. It's a season of forgiving and winning bets.
- 2:18We're going to rebound this week. Going to be honest, been traveling the last couple of days.
- 2:24Haven't had hardly any time to do some research. So we're just kind of firing off the cuff here,
- 2:29which is probably good considering how if they were not actually had time to think about these
- 2:33games. So I'm pretty excited. But yes, Will, how did you do last week? So last week, I ended up going
- 2:43five and three. There were two Saturday games, lost both of them and lost the Vols game.
- 2:54So that was not a fun Saturday. But then ended up winning the majority of my bet Sunday
- 3:01and I won Monday night football. We didn't go over that one in the show, but we did tweet that out.
- 3:07So I am counting that one. I won my sure fire pick. Easy, easy money rams, easy three and a
- 3:14half points spread against the Jets. Jets were awful. They're terrible. That's that's it. I mean,
- 3:22I won my two bets yesterday. The Chiefs and the Ravens felt like real chalk, but I'm just like,
- 3:34dude, it's it's week 17. It's it's not up or shut up. You either you're either here or you're not.
- 3:40Let's let's we're we're in we're in we're we're entering our final form. That's what we're doing.
- 3:46We are becoming who we are if you're not already there. And the Chiefs are returning back to
- 3:55being very good and covering at least for for right now. And the Rams just beat the
- 4:02fuck out of the Texans. I didn't get to watch that game, but
- 4:06Bro, Texans got up to a two nothing lead. And then no, no, they're not seven to two.
- 4:14Oh, okay, never mind. Still.
- 4:2031 to final score, not a score got me.
- 4:24Yeah, that's wild.
- 4:27The last most surprising thing. Yeah, I think I saw on score got me that that hasn't happened
- 4:33since 1965 or something. And it's only happened twice. Yeah.
- 4:38Yeah. Wow. That blew my mind. Yeah. Yeah.
- 4:44Well, Sean, how did how did you do last week?
- 4:48Bad week. Bad week. Bad Christmas Day.
- 4:53Four and nine last week, one and three yesterday. Not too happy.
- 5:02I'm also playing will in the fantasy championship right now.
- 5:06I'm going to lose because the Cowboys have downgraded CD lamb to out for the rest of the season.
- 5:14So vibes are low this week. Christmas spirit is right out the window.
- 5:22Nothing is right in the world. I hate football. I hate the NFL.
- 5:28Tail at your own risk or better yet, just don't at all.
- 5:32If you boys have any of my picks, I beg you to take the other side is all I'm going to say.
- 5:41Leave me to die, please.
- 5:44Yeah. But I mean, fantasy aspect, I was contemplating. I was like, should I bench
- 5:54Kenan Allen for lad McConcley this week? And then I got the as I was doing that, I got the
- 6:01notification that CD lamb was out for the rest of the season. And I was like, well, this became
- 6:07really easy. Yeah.
- 6:13Yeah. Fun stuff.
- 6:16Football. Don't you love it?
- 6:18Fun stuff. And I ended up beating Chris to go to the championship.
- 6:23Bro, that was okay. So quick little story time before we get into the
- 6:28bets. I had two fans football semifinal matchups going on. And after the noon slate on each one,
- 6:37or on both, I was projected to win by the considerable amount, like 60 to 70 percent chance.
- 6:43And then the afternoon slate, both both games, bent me over a fucking barrel.
- 6:50You had Justin Jefferson, you and the other guy on playing both had Brock Bowers. He had Brian,
- 6:56Brian, Brian, is it Brian Thomas, the Jags wide receiver?
- 7:00The title.
- 7:01I don't know that.
- 7:01What?
- 7:03I didn't have any Jags player.
- 7:06I know, no, the other the guy on playing another league had him.
- 7:08Is that his name? Brian something.
- 7:11Brian Thomas.
- 7:11I don't know.
- 7:12He had a 60 yard touchdown. It was just it all like, and I was hanging, I wasn't watching
- 7:18football hanging out with my girlfriend's family for Christmas. And I was just watching it all slip
- 7:23away. And I just had to contain it in my all my rage in my soul. And it was the it was the worst.
- 7:32I was so miserable. And then going into Monday night in my other league, I had the slimmest of
- 7:39chance, but I had a chance if Valdez scantling and well, Kamara was out. So K'ondra Miller could
- 7:47just both have career games. I could have won and then right before the MvS out. So it was
- 7:56the whole just last week as a whole in terms of NFL was just a big old kick in the nuts.
- 8:03Yeah, I mean, I thought I was I thought I was cooked
- 8:07after the Nude Slay.
- 8:08I thought I had it man.
- 8:10Like I was Atlanta D and I was like 26, two pick sixes.
- 8:15Dude, that's that was I was like, I'm I'm I'm fucked. I'm finished.
- 8:23Flip me over. I'm done. That's that's what I was at mentally. And then when Jeff when Jefferson
- 8:30had that that catch to go up a score that was like Jefferson had 35 hours had like
- 8:40a damn near 30. But for for us for our matchup, it was I had Smith and Jigba and Jefferson. So
- 8:50no matter who had the ball, I was like, all right, I might get something here.
- 8:57And then you had DK and the Seahawks running back. And I was like,
- 9:02are you have no walker? Yeah. Yeah, I was like, please just don't throw it to DK.
- 9:12I didn't.
- 9:13You had a touchdown.
- 9:15Yeah, but shit. Yeah, that was it.
- 9:20So yeah, on Christmas Day, I could tell that Will was ahead of me in like streaming on Netflix
- 9:29because he would taunt me before I even saw the play. And I was like, Motherfucker. And so like
- 9:39I'm like sitting there. And we're like about to open presents. And like I get this
- 9:46notification. It's like 11 yard past TD from Patrick Mahomes will haunted you. I'm like,
- 9:55Motherfucker. So I'm just like, I thought it was funny how Will taunted me on last Sunday.
- 10:04Nothing the entire day. I told him to do that until it was nothing until like he was going to
- 10:13win. And there was just all of them at once. Yeah, I was fucking rat bastard. He was like,
- 10:19he was like, should I taunt Chris? And I'm like, have you taunted him yet? And he was like, no.
- 10:25And I was like, send them all do it. Because I thought I was going to lose like from the beginning.
- 10:32Pretty much from the beginning. I was like, ah, it's not happening. Yeah.
- 10:39Anyway, yeah, so there's a lot on the line. A lot on the line week 17, not just for fantasy,
- 10:47but for actual real life implications for, you know, playoff,
- 10:53seating and positioning and all that good stuff. So I say we just get into it. Yeah. These
- 11:01these millionaires need to play a game to see what happens in the future. Okay. First game,
- 11:08Broncos at the Bengals, Bengals favored by three and a half.
- 11:11I'm not totally sure if either of these teams can make the playoffs. I think since this is a
- 11:20Saturday game, it might be a loser leaves town game. They're both in the AFC. I'm not totally
- 11:29sure. But I think this game does kind of matter. I think if either team, it does.
- 11:37Um, Broncos, when they're kind of they've got like a 99% chance to get in. But if the Bengals
- 11:45win like they're still pussyfooting around, like they could less than 15% chance to get in,
- 11:53but they're still in. Right. Okay. So it's in Cincinnati, Bengals favor about three and a half.
- 12:00Um, Sean, what do you think about this game? I'm going to go with the Broncos,
- 12:07plus three and a half. This is the fourth game in a row that the Bengals will be favored in.
- 12:15Um, and you know, I get it. It's a home game. But I feel like they've they've taken advantage
- 12:23of some teams like the Cowboys, the Titans and the Browns. It kind of makes sense for them to
- 12:31be favored at home, but the Bengals are on the brink of elimination and they just aren't that good
- 12:39this year. I mean, they have a God awful defense. And I think the Broncos have been really finding
- 12:45their way. Um, yeah, if they went out right, they'll be eliminated. Or, um, yeah, if the if the
- 12:53Broncos win, the Bengals will be eliminated. And yeah, it's all but confirmed that the Broncos will
- 13:04clinch unofficially clinch a playoff spot if they went out right. But I'm going to play it safe,
- 13:10take the Broncos, uh, points here. So give me bow Nicks and company on Saturday. Chris, what you
- 13:18got? Um, I'm just going back to the well over 49 and a half riding Bengals overs. Um, their defense
- 13:25is God awful. Like you said, they need this game to have somewhat of a chance to make the playoffs
- 13:31and Joe Borough knows that and he knows that their defense can't do anything. So he's going to sling
- 13:37it all over the yard. Um, and then bow Nicks and company will pry. I'm surprised it's plus
- 13:43three and a half, honestly, but I'm just going to keep riding the overs. Um, they've been good to me.
- 13:48So go back to the well, uh, over 49 and a half. Is it the highest total of the week?
- 13:57No, sounds right. No, Lions 49ers is higher by a point, but second highest. But yeah, over 49 and
- 14:03a half just bangles over it all day. Will, what do you think? I completely agree, Christopher.
- 14:09Uh, I am also on the over 49 and a half. Bengals defense is terrible, but they can score with the
- 14:14best of them. Uh, and also the Broncos can score with the best of them in their, uh, in their
- 14:22past like five games, it's a pretty, pretty good scoring effort by them. They've scored almost 20,
- 14:29they've scored at least 27 points in the past, like five games. Um, and I mean, the Broncos,
- 14:39I mean, I think the Broncos can kind of, I don't know, tame, tame, maybe not tame the bangles, but
- 14:47kind of keep them in check, but just enough for them to be in that game. So I also do like
- 14:53Sean's pick. I'm not double dipping because I just, I just like the over a lot better. I think
- 14:59that's more of a possibility in my brain here. Um, but I like Sean's pick and I like, I like
- 15:04Chris's pick better, but, uh, so I'm going over 49 and a half. Um, okay. Next Saturday game,
- 15:11Saturday night football, Cardinals at the Rams. I'm not totally sure if the Cardinals are eliminated
- 15:18yet, uh, but the Rams, they are, I think they are. No, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait. Hold on.
- 15:26Somebody look this up while I talk. Yes, they are. They are. I was going to say they lost like
- 15:30seven in a row. They have to be. Yeah. Sorry. Okay. I was thinking of another team that is a bird
- 15:37and is in that division. Uh, yeah. Okay. The Rams are favored at home in Los Angeles by six and a
- 15:46half points. Uh, I'm, I'm going to, I'm going to take, I'm going to start at this all enough.
- 15:52I'm taking the Rams. The Rams have been great to me. Seems like a chalk pick,
- 15:57but there's no way I can put money on the Cardinals right now. They're playing like absolute dog
- 16:01shit. If Kyler Murray's playing, they're going, they're almost guaranteed to lose. He's terrible
- 16:08against the division. And I mean, that's really, that's kind of it. That's kind of it. I mean,
- 16:14Rams are kind of on fire right now. I think they won their last like five games, six games,
- 16:18something like that. They're great. They're super hot right now. Uh, I'm taking the Rams. I'm riding
- 16:24the Rams riding the Ram train. Uh, four, four. Okay. There's four. They're on a four game win
- 16:30streak. Chris, what do you, uh, what do you think about this game? I agree. Right in the Rams. Um,
- 16:35they're white, I would say white hot. They're hot and the Cardinals are terrible right now. Um,
- 16:41yeah, this is a, like I said, had a chance to, to do too much research. This is one of the games
- 16:48I didn't really, I don't really know much about, but I knew, I do know that the Rams dominate the
- 16:53Cardinals at home. The Cardinals have won twice in the last seven years in Los Angeles. So, uh,
- 17:00yikes. And the Cardinals did shit pump the Rams in Arizona earlier this season. So revenge game
- 17:08for LA, um, like a minus six and a half. I think they just, they rented up.
- 17:12Uh, Sean, do we have a clean sweep on the Rams? Unfortunately we do. Sorry boys.
- 17:20Yeah. Rams minus six. Um, I'm mainly saying this because, uh, Kyler is absolute cheeks
- 17:27against his own division. Um, and I found a little stat that, um, McVeigh, uh, is an absolute dog
- 17:35from week 14 to the final game of the season. Since he has become the head coach in LA, he is
- 17:4520, 13 and one against the spread in that timeframe. Um, plus like you said, Chris, I think the Rams
- 17:52won a slight revenge, uh, from this matchup earlier when the Cardinals beat the absolute living
- 17:58shit out of them. And I know that we normally record Wednesdays and, uh, you know, this is, uh,
- 18:08this is coming out, um, tomorrow. So this game will already be decided, but the Seahawks are
- 18:15right behind the Rams in the standings. Um, Seahawks play the Bears and they're kicking off here in
- 18:22a couple minutes. Um, I do expect the Seahawks to beat the Bears, but if they lose, the Rams can
- 18:31clinch a playoff spot with a win over the Cardinals. So hopefully the Rams will be out for Blood
- 18:36Saturday. Yep. All right. Clean sweep. Next game. No, we're not really going to go over any, uh,
- 18:45Sunday noon games. They're all ass. They're all ass. So the only good afternoon game is Packers
- 18:55Vikings. This game could rock. Both teams are pretty hot right now. Packers just beat the shit out
- 19:02of the Saints. Um, and Vikings just figure out ways to win. Um, Chris, what do you, uh, Vikings
- 19:11are favorite at home by one point? Chris, what do you think? Give me the Vikings, uh, minus one.
- 19:18Um, this, this pick is brought to you by trend center. Uh, the trend is called NFC North winners
- 19:23of first matchup win the second match. Um, there are a whole lot of, it sounds simple, but there are
- 19:29a whole lot of stipulations to this that I don't feel like reading, but what you need to know
- 19:34is all time this trends record is 47 and 11, seven and three in the last 10 active on Vikings
- 19:41Moneyline. So yeah, I'm just going to take Moneyline, not minus one. Give me Moneyline.
- 19:48I also think they're just better. I don't, something about the Packers, I just don't know
- 19:52if they're really that good, but Vikings Moneyline, uh, Sean, what are you taking?
- 20:03I'm going to go with the over at a 48 and a half. Um, these two teams had a wild first game
- 20:10early in the season in late September. Vikings came out on top 31 to 29.
- 20:17Um, these two teams have also clinched playoff spots. Um, so you might be thinking if they're
- 20:24already, you know, if they're already in, like, why don't we just run the clock, pack it up, go home.
- 20:31No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. They are still playing for positioning, um, which could switch
- 20:37up the Vikings or Packers to play the second, third or fourth seed depending. Um,
- 20:48and with the Vikings remaining schedule, Packers and then the Lions, that's too, that's,
- 20:54that's a rough last two teams you got to face. And I mean, Love and Darnold, they have been
- 21:01slinging it these past few weeks. Um, they've been killer. Uh, Packers have scored 30 plus points
- 21:08in five straight games and the Vikings have scored at least 27 in their last four of their last five.
- 21:14Um, I, I expect a divisional shootout. I expect this game to kind of rock. I mean, these, these
- 21:21teams are going to be out for blood for positioning and it's going to be a real who's who of who's
- 21:26going to get the, you know, that fifth or sixth spot. You know what I'm saying? But yeah, give me
- 21:32the over 40, over 48 and a half. Will, what you got? I have the over 48 and a half. I think this
- 21:41game does rock. Uh, at least I'm sorry. It's okay. It's okay. It's not your fault. Um, you're gonna
- 21:49lose, but it's fine. Um, I, I mean, I said that before you even really dove into this. I mean,
- 21:58I think this game has the potential to rock. Um, I do think the Vikings do come out on top, but
- 22:04I mean, the past couple of weeks, like these two teams, there's been scoring pretty much at will.
- 22:10And yeah, I mean, that's, I mean, that's, that's pretty much it. Sean took all the words out of
- 22:17my mouth over 48 and a half moving on. Okay. Next game Sunday night football Falcons at the
- 22:25Mander's. Mander's favored by four. Mander somehow beat the shit out of the Eagles. Uh, well, they
- 22:32didn't beat the shit out of them. They won against the Eagles. It a fantastic game that I ended up
- 22:38missing because it wasn't on my, my local TV programming. Um, but, uh, but yeah, Mander's
- 22:46favored by four. Sean, what do you think? Well, technically both teams can clench a playoff spot
- 22:58with a dub. Um, the Bucks have to lose for the Falcons to get in, but all the Mander's have to do
- 23:06is to get the W and they're in, which is why I'm going to go with another over, over 47 and a half
- 23:13on Sunday night. Uh, two rookie quarterbacks, Jaden Daniels, Michael Pinnick's in a matchup with
- 23:20major playoff implications. Uh, Daniels has, you know, he's, he's had a great rookie start
- 23:27so far. Um, Pinnick's, you know, he, he kind of showed out. Uh, he was pretty impressive in his
- 23:33debut last week, but, um, also shout out. He didn't do too well because, um, that under
- 23:38sure fire is still cashed, uh, by like, what was it, like half a point or something, something crazy.
- 23:45Um, but, uh, both defenses are really struggling against the pass right now and I expect a high
- 23:52scoring, uh, game on Sunday night. Uh, Chris, what's your get up? I'll tell, um, just Mander's overs.
- 24:02Okay. Um, like you said, yeah, Jaden Daniels stud, uh, both defenses average at best. Uh, Pinnick's
- 24:11didn't really impress me too much, but I think it was kind of a case of he didn't have to do that
- 24:16much. So they kind of, they weren't trying to, they're, they're playing it safe with him. So,
- 24:22yeah, I think they, I think they kind of let it fire to that or on Sunday. And so Sunday night,
- 24:27definitely. Um, yeah, over, what is it, 47? 47 and a half. Yeah. Did you have a pick or?
- 24:34Um, no, not really. I just, when we were, when I was looking at the games we were going to talk
- 24:41about, I was like, go on. I was like, okay, bingles over because bingles over Vikings. I found the
- 24:46trend and then, you know, I got down to the managers. I was like, just Mander's overs. Gotcha.
- 24:52That's, so yeah, we're letting it shoot from the hip this week. Yeah. That's the way to do it,
- 24:57honestly. On hip. Probably is. And we, this late? Yeah, probably.
- 25:05Got to change something up. It's been rough. Yeah. Well, what you got? I also have the
- 25:12Mander's over. All right. I mean, it's just, it's Mander's overs. That's, it's their team. It's simple,
- 25:22you know, they can score a lot, but they cannot defend. And that's, I mean, that's about it. I
- 25:29really don't have any, any stats to back that up, except Mander's overs have been money. This,
- 25:36this, for the most part, this season. But all right, I'm going to move on. Next game,
- 25:44Lions at the 49ers, 49ers, home dogs by three and a half. I think I'm remembering it. Is Brock
- 25:52Purdy hurt or is he back? I can't remember. I don't know. Everyone else is staring at something. So,
- 25:58I guess I'll talk to him. He played last week. He played last week. Yeah. He did. Yeah. He only
- 26:04missed like one or two games. Yeah. He's, he's been back. Okay. Well, I have zero faith in the
- 26:1149ers. And I don't think anyone should just keep it. So I just, I'm just taking the Lions. Like,
- 26:20I, there in no, no way I can put money on the 49ers at this, at this moment in time in this,
- 26:28in this season. Yeah. It's the Lions. It's, it's also Jared Goff in California,
- 26:38in California. The weather is nice. Although Jared Goff this year in cold weather has not
- 26:45been an issue at all. Jared Goff has not been an issue whatsoever at all this year.
- 26:51That's exactly what I said. Lions minus three and a half. Chris, what is your brain?
- 26:59Sleet, snow, hail. He's all good. He's like the post office, dude. He's so reliable.
- 27:05He always delivers. The post office doesn't deliver into this in the snow.
- 27:10Yes, they do. No, the rain, no sleet nor snow. It's part of their fucking motto, dude.
- 27:16It's their, it's their creed. Yeah. It's their oath. How to make the rules, Chris.
- 27:23Hold on. Let Sean go first. I'm pulling up Lions team total. Sean. Okay.
- 27:32Well, this is hard, but I'm going to take it anyways. But depending on how this Vikings game
- 27:38goes, if the Vikings lose, the Lions can lock up the one seed in the NFC with a win.
- 27:48I'm going to take the Lions to cover three and a half here anyways. But I think this spread is a
- 27:56little too small for a high caliber playoff team versus a team that is absolute ass.
- 28:03I mean, granted, this 49ers team has been plagued by injuries. And yeah, like, you know, the Lions
- 28:11defense has also had some injury concerns of their own. But I think three and a half on the
- 28:18spread is generous to say the least. So give me the Lions minus three and a half. And I think this
- 28:23opened at two and a half. If I believe this opened at two and a half, which is bananas, but
- 28:30I would get to it as soon as you can. As soon as you see this, take the Lions.
- 28:37Chris, what's that team total? Over 27 and a half is even money. So I will be taking that.
- 28:45All right. Yeah, kind of like what you said, they need to win this game. Or if they win this game,
- 28:49they'll get the whatever they'll set the one seed. Yep. Awesome. Yeah. Plus like Viking
- 28:56or the 49ers are dead. Like they this is like last week when I was like, when I took the Lions
- 29:03team, I was like, this might be a little high, but they could accidentally scored against a god
- 29:06awful team. And the Lions like are still very much just like doing their thing, even though
- 29:13they are cruising into the playoffs. They're busting out trick plays against the Bears.
- 29:20Pretend falling down. Yeah, they're also up like three touchdowns when they did that.
- 29:25So yeah, they don't, they don't give a shit. Like, like I don't care. They could, like,
- 29:32they could play all their starters week 18. Just that's just the way they roll.
- 29:37It's over 27 and a half. Also, a little bit of revenge actually kind of a lot of bit of
- 29:41revenge from the NFC championship last year. I think, yeah. Yeah.
- 29:47Oh, Mr. Campbell, if he sees an opportunity to run it up, I think he will.
- 29:51So team total over 27 and a half.
- 29:56Hell yeah. Will, what do you think?
- 30:00I'm taking, I'm taking the Lions.
- 30:01Let's go.
- 30:02Minus three and a half. We are actually already went over that.
- 30:05Oh, we did. My bad. I was looking at the team total.
- 30:08It's okay. It's okay. Yeah. Remember I tried to throw it to you.
- 30:11Oh yeah, you did. That was so long ago. I don't remember.
- 30:16Yeah.
- 30:16That's the, that's the main slate, man. That's, that's all we got. All right. Main slate is done.
- 30:28Let's get into the surefire picks of the week. Chris, no, no, you need a second.
- 30:36Give me two seconds. Yeah.
- 30:39You know what? I'll go first. This is a team that has been very, very kind to me this season.
- 30:45And that is the Rams. The Rams have single-handedly saved me from, from, from losing all my surefire
- 30:52picks. But not this week. I'm taking the Rams. I'm taking the Rams minus six and a half double
- 30:57units surefire play. Cardinals are dead. Rams are hot right now. Getting back to form. It's
- 31:08going to be great. I'm keeping it pretty simple at that. Sean, what is your surefire pick?
- 31:15Well, it worked last week. So I got another ugly, disgusting one for you guys. The Tennessee
- 31:24Titans and the Jacksonville Jaguars under 41 and a half. Real juggernaut matchup with Mason
- 31:32Rudolph and Mack Jones in the backfield. A couple weeks, these teams, couple weeks ago,
- 31:38these teams combined for just 16 points, which was also my surefire pick. But on the other side
- 31:46of the total, this one's going to be ugly. And I'm just going to take full advantage of it.
- 31:51So under Titans, Jags under 41 and a half. Chris, do you have your surefire pick locked and loaded?
- 31:59I do. I was looking for the trend center stat to read off. It is the Jets bills under 46 and a half.
- 32:08And I love this trend. So since September 7th, 2018, when the spread is more than nine and a half,
- 32:16the total is more than 45, the under is 85, 52 and one winner in four straight games. So
- 32:24Jets bills under 46 and a half. Okay, cool. I wrote those. Lock in that surefire pick parlay
- 32:37right now. Yeah, I said the other day that I wasn't going to put money on any Titans game.
- 32:44Over under plus money, minus money. I'll throw it out of parlay though, because it's not my pick.
- 32:51Because every time I, every time I fucking do something with that God awful team,
- 32:58even if I bet against them, they'll win. I can't win. I can't win.
- 33:06I can never have a double win when watching the Titans. It's impossible. Okay.
- 33:12All right, surefires are done. Moving on to our extra plays of the week. It looks like Chris is trying
- 33:18to figure out some of his, his, his extra plays. So Sean, do you have any extra plays in the chamber
- 33:23locked? Oh, they don't have to be placed, but do you have any that are loaded to talk about?
- 33:29Yeah, I mean, we need some noon action. We didn't talk about anything in the noon slate. So I thought
- 33:35I'd take it upon myself to bet the shitty noon slate a little bit. I said I wouldn't do it.
- 33:44I wouldn't do it, but I think I gotta, is it going to be Jalen or is it going to be Kenny Pickett?
- 33:54Lots of uncertainty. Eagles have been on a down slope recently. They almost lost to the Panthers
- 34:04and lost in the final seconds of the manders to the manders.
- 34:07Um, Cowboys plus 10 Cowboys and double digits. Cowboys been, they've been playing pretty dang good
- 34:18recently for no goddamn reason. Absolutely no goddamn reason to be playing this like well.
- 34:25I think what they went, they've won like three out of their last four.
- 34:30Um, yeah, uh, give me the Cowboys plus 10. Um, I like that double digit.
- 34:35Um, and then I feel like this one's pretty rare for me. Yeah, what's up Chris? It's seven.
- 34:43What? Seven? Yeah. So maybe Jalen's playing then. Oh, shit. Okay. Well, when I made this earlier,
- 34:51it was 10. All right, keep an eye on the Twitter. Um, but I am gonna lock this one in. I feel like
- 35:00this one's pretty rare for me, but I will be betting on the Dolphins minus six and a half.
- 35:05Um, I just feel like I never bet on the Dolphins because they're just so unpredictable.
- 35:12But the Dolphins have a pretty damn good defense and they should be able to shut down, um,
- 35:18Thompson Robinson, uh, a QB on DTR, a QB with two last names.
- 35:24Um, I think, I think Finns take this one easy. Um, and I don't have this one locked and loaded in my,
- 35:35I want to take it, but I got to do a little more research and I really want to take the Panthers
- 35:40plus eight against the Bucks. Um, but I got to do a little digging on that one. Um, so that one's
- 35:47got me in a pretzel with all these playoff implications. So, uh, just, yeah, just keeping
- 35:51on the Twitter of those my only plays so far. Uh, I'm going to throw it to Will since if Chris
- 35:57wants to do a little more jotting down a little more research in a couple of seconds, but uh,
- 36:05so I have Eagles minus seven written down. I think that will be a game time decision.
- 36:12Um, that's, there's a lot of a lot of balls being juggled there. Um, with the like factors that go
- 36:21into this game, uh, it is pretty sure it is in Philadelphia. Um, and they kind of need to,
- 36:31need to flex a little bit. Um, and then, uh, the only other game I have, it's a, it's a double dip.
- 36:37It's a double dip. I'm doing Cardinals Rams under 47 and a half brought to you by the Trend Center
- 36:43prime time divisional unders. Uh, it's a Saturday night football game kind of prime time, no other
- 36:50NFL game is going on and that, uh, the prime time divisional unders trend is 135 90 and five.
- 37:00So I will be taking that and that's pretty much all I got. I mean, I, I don't think that the,
- 37:06the Cardinals are capable of doing anything. I mean, like James Connor went out with an injury
- 37:11last week, um, after putting up numbies for me in fantasy, uh, and then, and then decided to get
- 37:18hurt. So thank you. Thank you, Mr. Connor. Um, but, uh, I mean, even if he's good to play, like
- 37:26there's no reason he needs to play. I mean, he's, I guess he's not their, their best team, but
- 37:32obviously, you know, the more better players you have, the better chance you have to, uh,
- 37:37to put up some points and, uh, I, I don't think this is going to happen. So that's it. That's
- 37:43all I got. Chris, what do you have? All right. I got two extra plays. One, this one's straight up
- 37:48off vibes. Uh, Chargers minus four against the Pats. I just think they're a lot better. And I
- 37:54think they'll steamroll them Saturday noon slate. No, he's really going to be paying attention.
- 37:58Patriots going to be sleepwalking through it. I think Chargers roll. Um, and the last one,
- 38:04I was a coward last week, didn't take it, taking it this week. Giant's team total under 15 and a
- 38:10half. I cannot believe, I can't believe we didn't do that. I cannot believe I didn't take under seven
- 38:16and a half last week. We completely forgot. It was, it was the Falcons. It was the, I mean,
- 38:23it wasn't like a definite like, let's, let's, let's fucking do this because it's like, it's the
- 38:27Falcons. They're not great. Like their defense isn't great. Yeah. I also just got decimated on
- 38:33Saturday and those playoff games. So I didn't really have a whole lot of expendable funds to
- 38:38get a little cute with it. So I didn't take, but I am taking not seven and a half this week under
- 38:4415 and a half. I don't see how they score more than two touchdowns. They're, they're just, they're
- 38:50just terrible. So yeah, John's team total under 15 and a half. I'll add more, keep it on the Twitter.
- 38:56That was just all that I had time to look up in the few seconds while Sean and Will were talking.
- 39:02Yeah, that's the, that's the, that's the slate. That's the slate. I kind of really like my picks,
- 39:14but that's good. It just feels like super chalky. Like I'm taking, taking
- 39:22three overs, one under and the rest are favorites. You know, there's, there's no reason to get cute
- 39:31with picks right now because like you said at the beginning of the show, you're either in or you're
- 39:37out, you know, you're here or you're not, you know, it's, it's that time of the year. And I wish I'd
- 39:44realized it last week because I think I got a, I think I got cute with a couple of my picks last week.
- 39:52Yeah. I definitely got cute with a couple of them, but
- 39:54I, it was, I think what really clicked kind of, I mean, clicked for, for my two wins yesterday,
- 40:07for my, my two bets I won yesterday. I was just like looking at the board and I'm like,
- 40:14Steelers are good, but this is week 17. This is week 17. It's the chiefs on Christmas
- 40:21in Arrowhead. No, it wasn't in Arrowhead. You're right. It wasn't in Arrowhead.
- 40:30But it's just like they're, they're, they're becoming back to form, back to,
- 40:38back to the perfect form of, I think if I had realized they could have clinched the one seed
- 40:46in the AFC, I didn't know that they could do that, which is like on me, but I didn't know that either.
- 40:53Yeah. I thought they already had it. Honestly. I mean, like it wasn't like official, but I,
- 40:58I feel like if I knew that if with a win they could do it, I would have taken the chiefs,
- 41:04but I went cute and, you know, went both underdogs yesterday, but whatever. But yeah.
- 41:11Yeah. There is like a couple things I want to discuss. And it,
- 41:25in 2025, it is going to be so expensive to watch the NFL. Have you guys like seen like the price
- 41:35breakdown of it for next year? No, this is going to make me sad because I'm going to spend it.
- 41:43Okay. Well, you're not going to spend, you're not going to spend all of it,
- 41:46because let's just say that you're not in market and you have to get Sunday ticket
- 41:54to watch the Titans. But YouTube TV announced that they will raise its monthly price to $83.99
- 42:02per month from $72.99. It's a 15% increase starting in January. So Sunday ticket, $379 at a one-time
- 42:13cost. YouTube TV, $83.99 per month, which is $503.94 for the whole season. Amazon Prime,
- 42:24which you need for every Thursday night game, is $8.99 a month. Peacock for week, for week one only,
- 42:33because they do that one game on Peacock exclusively for week one, $7.99 a month. And then
- 42:43I didn't know this was a thing, but ESPN plus has an exclusive week seven game
- 42:48at $10.99 a month. And finally, the lowest tier Netflix you can get at $6.99 a month for the
- 42:58Christmas Day game. That is a total of $962.85 for the NFL season. Just to watch the NFL.
- 43:10It let, I mean, let's just say you're not in market to watch your team. You're spending almost
- 43:16a thousand dollars to watch games. That's kind of ridiculous. And you know, like,
- 43:24I see this meme sometimes that's like, imagine telling Red Foreman, you know, from that 70
- 43:30show that he'd have to pay for four to five different streaming services and premium cable
- 43:36just to watch the NFL. Yeah, that would be a, can you imagine? Like, no.
- 43:42Probably say something about putting his foot in someone's ass. Yeah, he definitely would.
- 43:50I don't really have any other comment after that other than it's just that's bonkers. That's
- 43:57ridiculous. And you know, NFL is going to put, they're going to show out next year on Christmas
- 44:06after what LeBron said. What LeBron said after the Lakers Warriors game, the Lakers won on like a
- 44:14buzzer beater. We said, I love the NFL, but Christmas is our day. So, Gidele is going to put
- 44:21Chiefs Bills with Christmas night. Oh yeah. Yeah. He might put an entire slate. They might even,
- 44:28they might even flex some games into the NFL into the Netflix slot just like,
- 44:34like, he's going to do something. Yeah. So, I just thought that was funny.
- 44:41I saw Twitter, oh man, we're really going to get Chiefs Bills on Christmas night next year.
- 44:48Sounds awesome. Oh, it does sound awesome, but you know, I don't watch the NBA.
- 44:54Yeah. Well, not right now. Yeah. Well, I might have on Christmas day if the NFL wasn't on, you
- 45:05know, like, which the NFL did exactly what they wanted to, is to shadow the NBA. Speaking of
- 45:15Christmas, did you guys see what Justin Herbert got for his O-line for his Christmas present?
- 45:23Wasn't it like, if you don't say it though. I saw, I don't remember off the top of my head,
- 45:29but I did see it. Okay. Look, Brock Purdy making nothing on a rookie deal, and they're in the last,
- 45:39they're in last place in their division. He bought nine Toyota trucks for his lineman.
- 45:46Well, he bought them. He bought, he got them vehicles though. Joe Burrow got his lineman
- 45:55authentic Katana sword, authentic personalized Katana swords, which is awesome as shit.
- 46:03It's pretty badass. It's pretty badass. I heard they wanted machine guns, and he was like,
- 46:08I'm not going to give you the sword. Yeah. My home's got his lineman Rolexes and Yeti coolers,
- 46:18which I think the cheapest Rolex you can get is like a little over $9,000.
- 46:26Russell Wilson got each of his linemen a $10,000 Airbnb gift card, which is,
- 46:33that's pretty cool. I mean, that's that shows like some, you know, this go take a vacation with
- 46:41your family. Justin Herbert, who is who has a five year, $262 and a half million contract,
- 46:51spent over $5,000 total for his own lineman and got them luggage and Delta gift cards.
- 47:00One of the shittiest airlines and look, I mean, look, it's the thought that counts.
- 47:11And, you know, like you should be grateful no matter what you get. And it's Christmas time.
- 47:17It's the season of giving. But come on, man, you just got paid and you're in a position to go to
- 47:23the playoffs and like you got this guy that's just making just under a million dollars to give
- 47:30to give his guys Toyota trucks. And a guy who's making 50 million a year is like, oh, here's a
- 47:40$550. I did the math. I mean, now we know why why party has been doing all those commercials,
- 47:55though. You know what I mean? Well, yeah, he makes like $100,000 a year. And in San Francisco,
- 48:01you know, that that is an unlivable wage. Yeah. But he's still online homeless. But he's still
- 48:11got his O lineman trucks like, yeah, he's sponsored. He probably got a got a super sweet deal. Or
- 48:20yeah, it is. I mean, I mean, like I said, it's the thought that counts. But this has got to be
- 48:26one of the shittiest gifts. I've seen a quarterback give his own line. That's pretty rough. So
- 48:36does this just and like it's the most basic like, well, it's not they look nice. Like, but they're
- 48:45just like, it's like silver metal. Like it's just it's nothing extravagant. It's a suitcase.
- 48:51It's you know, it's not cloth, though. It's like, it's you know, it's he thinks they don't have
- 48:55a lot of I bet they got I mean, they travel like weekly. So I'm sure they got fucking luggage. But
- 49:05they're a lot of me just rolling up with like the hobo sticks.
- 49:11It's like imagine imagine the next away game they go to. And it's just like
- 49:16like Herbert's at the plane is like, you didn't bring the luggage that I bought you. You didn't
- 49:23bring the you didn't bring the carry on like, like no man, this shit was whack. Like
- 49:31I just love the delta gift card. Yes. I mean,
- 49:36I mean, so the thing is, is that he spent like $5,000 for nine guys.
- 49:48Yeah, you know, like, so that delta gift card wasn't that much though, you know,
- 49:56like the luggage is probably $2,300. Yeah. Like the rest of it was on a gift card. Where are you
- 50:06going to go? Like, you know, like, and you know, linemen are big ass people. Maybe some of them
- 50:16got to get an extra seat. Are they flying coach on Delta? I mean, with that gift card,
- 50:22you have to feel like you got them like dependent on what you want.
- 50:27I'll just use that on their luggage. Honestly.
- 50:30God, carry all their food. I'm just saying, I mean, I
- 50:37because they're big. I'm just saying like this is like, this is a major L from from Herbert,
- 50:44you know, you're in it. You're in it. Your team is in a position to make you haven't clinched yet,
- 50:51but you're in a position to heavily make the playoffs. Like you are, you are right there.
- 50:56You just got to win like you got to win the you got to win against the Patriots this week.
- 51:01That's pretty much it. That's all you got to do.
- 51:05And you know, Harvard's been playing well. Like he's he's had to do, I mean, dear, this is
- 51:15I'd be pissed. Like I'd be low key pissed. Like
- 51:18I'd be like, thanks, man. Yeah. Thanks. Yeah. It's like
- 51:29I mean, I'm just I'm curious what what y'all make of it. But I thought this was a funny story.
- 51:36That's a pretty shitty like that's something that like your relative gives like that your aunt
- 51:42gives you on Christmas. That's not something that like a multimillion dollar quarterback
- 51:50gives the guys who are busting their ass for him every week. Like it's just like a regular
- 51:57cool gift. It's not like swords or fucking trucks. Like these are also like these are
- 52:05linemen. Like they we love them. They are like the most like stereotypical like meathead NFL
- 52:12players like they don't want like fucking suitcases. They want fireworks. Give them something fucking
- 52:19cool. Give them like a each like a cow or something that they could slaughter and they can eat. Eat.
- 52:27That would be cool. That'd be awesome.
- 52:29So it's like if you spent $5,000 to buy, you know, half a cow or like half a cow for every two
- 52:42linemen or whatever. I don't know how much a cow costs, but I know that people do that shit.
- 52:49That'd be awesome. I'd love that, you know. But if I was a lineman and I got some fucking luggage
- 52:56from my quarterback who just got paid, I'd be like I'd be pissed. Especially after seeing, you know,
- 53:05this guy got samurai swords and Rolexes and trucks. Oh, I want a katana. Yeah, like I'd be a little
- 53:15peeved. But you know, it's also not an obligation to give, you know, gifts, but it's starting to become
- 53:26one from like the news reports of like, oh, they got this from their quarterback. And it's like,
- 53:35and you saw that like, did you see what the O line got, Josh Allen for Christmas?
- 53:41Wasn't it? No, they got him a fucking chain. Like, like, a diamond chain that said like MVP 17.
- 53:56And it had all the linemen names on the back, which I was like, yo, that's sick. That's pretty sick.
- 54:03Yeah, I would really suck if you didn't win MVP. Yeah, and then Lamar just had to show out last
- 54:10night. Like, yeah. I mean, fucking Will Levis probably didn't get his alignment anything.
- 54:19They don't deserve anything. No, no. They don't deserve anything.
- 54:29You know, like, I mean, like, hey, this made me think of you.
- 54:36Thanks.
- 54:43Oh, good. Trying to think just like,
- 54:48taking on a walking tour to different hotels, see what revolving doors, see what revolving
- 54:54doors look like, because you guys act like this all the fucking time. Like,
- 54:58see, yeah, that would be funny. If you got something just like a backhanded, like
- 55:07a backhanded compliment. Yeah. Like a gym membership or something.
- 55:16Some like weight training classes or like a Pilates course.
- 55:22I don't know. It's like, I saw this and I'm like, it's really not that big of a deal.
- 55:30Like to anyone's. But you know, I thought it was funny that, you know, all these other
- 55:37linemen are getting like cool shit and like you just like happen to be on this
- 55:42playoff caliber team and you just get some fucking luggage like.
- 55:45Like, okay, this was last year. Okay. So I was Google, like, if we'll let us Scott,
- 55:55the Titans offensive line anything, and this headline came up. But it's from last season,
- 56:02but it says we'll let us give to Titans alignment is is unintentionally hilarious.
- 56:06And I clicked on it and it was luggage. Oh my God. See, okay, there it is. There it is.
- 56:13That's how that shows you how shitty this gift actually is then.
- 56:19But and I didn't really even think about this when like when you give them luggage is like, well,
- 56:26pack your bags. You ain't gonna be on this team next year.
- 56:33Get the fuck out of here. Which I didn't really think about that when we were, I just thought
- 56:37how I was just not a very man. That's yeah, that is that is kind of like that is like
- 56:43that millionaire to give to someone. But yeah, we'll have us.
- 56:48Second round pick. Yeah, I say around pick on a rookie deal like you're not gonna.
- 56:52You're not making any gave them the same thing minus the fucking gift card.
- 56:58He gave him the same thing that Justin Herbert, who is a now which has fuck you money for
- 57:04generations, got the same exact gift. That's that's that's that's really the core of this.
- 57:14It's just like just get you could have gotten them something a little bit better.
- 57:19Like they something they deserved, you know, like, I don't know this.
- 57:28It's kind of rubs me the wrong way. But at the end of the day, it doesn't really matter,
- 57:32you know, but you're spending you're spending 5k on your entire line.
- 57:39And then my homes is getting Rolexes for every lineman, which is at a minimum of over $6,000.
- 57:47And the chiefs so lying kind of sucks. Yeah, they're not very good this year.
- 57:53Like, you know, the charges often line isn't like the bangles. Oh, line fucking sucks.
- 57:57Like they got swords.
- 58:04Through the sword would be I don't know, man. It's a personalized sword. Yeah, that'd be awesome.
- 58:09Yeah, he put a lot of like research and like he put a lot of thought into his gift because like,
- 58:16I saw that they were like personalized somehow like they went into.
- 58:21I don't know, they're the characteristics of each person or something, which is totally
- 58:30bonkers, but whatever. Speaking of bonkers, have you guys watched that
- 58:37Aaron Rodgers thing on Netflix? No, not playing on it.
- 58:43No, I was good. I didn't even know you were allowed to film that.
- 58:47Like I'm pretty sure that like most of those like places you go to like you're not allowed to bring
- 58:55like cameras in. Well, he has like a bazillion dollars. Yeah, but like he also if you guys,
- 59:04if you seen clips of it though, like I saw the trailer, but that's it. It looks so weird.
- 59:11I haven't watched it either. Well, I hate him. So I will not. Yeah. But like he's like being
- 59:18caressed by this medicine man, I guess. And he's like he's like, oh, sounds sexy. Like and it's
- 59:28just like, I don't want to watch. I don't want to watch this, dude. Like, so it's all about him
- 59:36taking ayahuasca. Is that the thing? I don't know for sure, but that's the vibe that I get is like
- 59:44about his experience. Yeah, I don't know. Who gives a shit? Who wants to watch
- 59:51Aaron Rodgers take ayahuasca for $2,000? I really don't know. I really don't. I really,
- 59:56that's a good question. Would you rather watch this or is it cake?
- 1:00:00I'd rather just sit in silence. Oh, okay. But I also did think that actually I'd probably
- 1:00:09watch is this cake because some of that shit I'm like, cake like that's cake. No, that's not cake.
- 1:00:20How they do it? I also did think that his soul searching adventure with ayahuasca was
- 1:00:31like he just took it and then sat in a dark room. I didn't think there would be really
- 1:00:35anything to film. Well, okay. So ayahuasca, I'm from what I know about ayahuasca,
- 1:00:43it's like a three day process where like you are, you drink some shit and then you are like purging,
- 1:00:53you are shitting, you are vomiting, you are doing every single thing for like two days
- 1:00:59to get everything out of your system. And then there is this like shaman that is like guiding
- 1:01:06you along the way and then you take the ayahuasca and then that is when you are, when you are cleaned
- 1:01:14out, you are at your most like purest form or whatever. But I think it's just going through the journey of
- 1:01:24taking ayahuasca and I'm not really sure why we really need the whole, the whole deal of it.
- 1:01:38And like I said, I haven't watched it. I think it's just kind of like about his life,
- 1:01:45that I'm looking at this article. Okay, I hope he hates his family.
- 1:01:49Yeah, he hasn't talked to his family in like 10 years.
- 1:01:55This might be what you're talking about is episode, it's a three part series and episode two is called
- 1:02:01Awakening and it says conflict about his fame. Rodgers begins a self-realization journey
- 1:02:07experimenting with alternative, alternative medicine and religion and igniting conspiracy. So that's
- 1:02:13probably, I've definitely seen a clip where he is like being caressed by like a medicine man or
- 1:02:22something where he is like this medicine man is like groping him and it's like it's it's
- 1:02:29fucking it looks fucking weird but I really don't I really don't give a shit. I really just do not
- 1:02:36give a shit about this. Like right. This man should have retired so long ago. Like just yes.
- 1:02:48We would have we would have cared a lot more about what he was up to if he retired like years ago.
- 1:02:56Right. Um, it's like, you know, do you see this four time MVP tried ayahuasca? Like,
- 1:03:03oh yeah, he's also a 40. Yeah. You know, he has a Netflix like documentary out right now. It's like
- 1:03:12what? Like, he's a hippie. I don't know. Anything else going on? I mean, I know that
- 1:03:24not in the football world, but World Juniors is going on right now. I know I've mentioned that in
- 1:03:28the past past years. It always happens around Christmas time, Boxing Day, things like that.
- 1:03:35Incredibly entertaining to watch. I was trying to watch the US Germany game today, but I got my
- 1:03:43time zones mixed up and I jumped in at the third period and it was six to two USA. So they won the game
- 1:03:53ended 10 to four. Yeah. So not too bad. But it's actually impossible to find a stream. I tried
- 1:04:04for a really long time. I found one and then I discovered that I was very late to the to the
- 1:04:10the game was already over. It was the third period had just started. It was over. But yeah, that's
- 1:04:17exciting. And that's kind of it. I don't know. Does anybody else have anything? Otherwise,
- 1:04:25I'm going to wrap this up. I don't think we got anything else. No, I don't. I don't want to speak
- 1:04:32for the class, but I don't. Okay, no, I talked about all the points that I wrote down.
- 1:04:39Yep. All right. Okay. Thank you so much for listening and watching. We really appreciate it.
- 1:04:44Please like comment, subscribe any interaction with this really helps us out really helps our reach.
- 1:04:49Check out the transmitter app link in the description 15% off of a premium membership.
- 1:04:57It's the greatest tool on the planet for sports betters. Follow us on Twitter.
- 1:05:02Link is in the bio as well. Bandit will not have a Thursday night pick this week because
- 1:05:08it's right now. It's the game is going on right now. He could have a Saturday pick though. He
- 1:05:14could have a Saturday pick though. Look out, follow the Twitter, follow us on everything.
- 1:05:20It'll be on everything. Yeah, I think that's it. All right. We'll see you next week. There's three of
- 1:05:27us. Now let's make some money.
- 1:05:57Yeah.