Latest / Money Grows on Trees / #333 - Why 2 Incomes Made the Middle Class Poorer
Transcript
- 0:00Doubling your household income actually made you poorer. Most
- 0:03people think having two incomes is the only way to survive in Australia. But
- 0:06the reality is, when women entered the workforce en masse, it
- 0:10didn't double our wealth, it just doubled the price of
- 0:13housing. In 1975, a house cost 3.7 times a single
- 0:16income. Today, almost 10 times. It's actually 9.4 times
- 0:20a single income or combined income. So I'm Lloyd J. Ross,
- 0:23seven-figure investor entrepreneur, and I've helped thousands of everyday Aussies,
- 0:27Americans, New Zealanders, Canadians to get out of real debt and build
- 0:30real wealth. And in this video, I'm gonna show you exactly how the two-income trap destroyed
- 0:35the middle-class wealth and what you have to do differently now
- 0:38to actually get ahead. So let's go to what actually
- 0:42caused all this, all right? So we have to understand what happened in the
- 0:45past. So in 1975, a single wage was about $7,600 a year on average. and
- 0:51the average capital city home was $26,000 to $33,000. So a house
- 0:56to income ratio on one income was 3.7. So you
- 0:59needed three and a half years of salary to buy the average home. The
- 1:031984 comparison, one generation ago. It's only one generation ago. It's
- 1:07a nation history. The average home 64K, average
- 1:11income 20K. Ratio, 3.3 times.
- 1:15This is from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. This is actual data. The
- 1:202025 reality, average home cost 9.4 times
- 1:24the average annual income. 9.4, that's a
- 1:27factor of three. Now, mortgage
- 1:31as a percentage of median wage, same cities. 50 years
- 1:36apart, let's look at it, data, Adelaide in
- 1:411975, 34% of the wage, now it's
- 1:44up to 70% of a median wage. The
- 1:47same, may not be your wage, but it's of the median, 70%. So
- 1:50someone on an annual wage to facilitate a mortgage repayment of the
- 1:53property market there is up to 70%, it's crazy. Brisbane's about
- 1:5748%, it's wild. Canberra's off its face. This is
- 2:01the data from money.com.au, but the headline number is this, the understanding that
- 2:05since 1975 house prices rose, this is you can see what's happened here, 3,400% roughly.
- 2:16So 34x. Wages rose
- 2:231180%, 11x. So house prices grew at nearly three
- 2:27times the rate of wages in the last 50 years.
- 2:31So that's not a market cycle, that's a structural repricing of the most essential
- 2:34thing a family needs, and that is shelter. And what caused it?
- 2:38It's a shift in how households earn money. Okay, so
- 2:42what does 9.4 times income even mean in real life, right? What suburb could
- 2:46your parents afford on one income that's now like it's our
- 2:49parents didn't do that. They didn't. They lived in good suburbs for
- 2:53three and a half times and you're learning to buy a house. Okay, so
- 2:56here's the unintended consequence of a shift
- 2:59in how we earn money. And it's not an argument certainly against women working,
- 3:03equal pay, career opportunity, financial independence, none of that stuff. It's
- 3:06about the economic side effects that nobody had expected or
- 3:10planned for. So before the 1960s, one
- 3:13income per household by law and design. Married women
- 3:17couldn't work in the Commonwealth until 1966, just so you
- 3:20know. Women couldn't work in the Commonwealth in
- 3:23public service, that is, until 1966. Then
- 3:28everything changed. Legal barriers were removed, equal pay legislation, contraception,
- 3:32childcare, default divorce. like
- 3:36divorce rates spiked, and many women entered the workforce as
- 3:40part of World War II, but then in general to
- 3:43get financial independence and start to also bring in more money to
- 3:46the family. So the female workforce participation rose
- 3:50from 44% in 1980 to 61% by 2020. So mothers in the workforce more than doubled since 1984. The economic consequences
- 3:54are this.
- 4:02Obviously more household income, cool, but then greater
- 4:07borrowing capacity. Banks lend more, more money
- 4:10chasing fixed housing stock, prices rise, housing supply
- 4:14is fixed in the short term because of regulation in this irritating country sometimes.
- 4:18The money chasing it doubled, okay, so the prices absorbed it,
- 4:21that's where it went. So the income created higher
- 4:27approval rates for higher loans, bigger loans
- 4:30effectively, and that was just price pushed
- 4:34into real estate. It wasn't spread out from supply, which
- 4:38it should have been. If you combine that, like in the 80s,
- 4:41they deregulated the financial industry. The rates
- 4:46on loans changed too because of the deregulation in the 80s under the Hawke government.
- 4:49Hawke and Keating deregulated the banking industry. Interest rates fell from 15% down
- 4:53to six. That's
- 4:57also because inflation was curtailed, but the
- 5:00deregulation really helped. So it put jet fuel on the borrowing capacity.
- 5:03So it went from 17% rates to then six plus a
- 5:07whole nother person joining the workforce in the household doubled the income. So
- 5:10the second income didn't make families wealthier, it really just got priced into
- 5:14the cost of access. Because do you feel wealthier? No,
- 5:18right Those that were in back then have built this Like
- 5:22sit on your ass wealth in property, but it's because this structural
- 5:26shift has happened in real time, right? So the property market basically said great you
- 5:29can now afford what used to cost half as much So the finish line
- 5:33moved that's what happened, right? So people aren't talking
- 5:36about publicly like what's the political reason well because they think
- 5:40it's an attack on women entering the workforce. It's not an
- 5:43attack, it's just that if we were going to earn more income,
- 5:46why do we use it to bid up housing, right? So let's go through some
- 5:49numbers here and just so you understand this. Let's say now, so
- 5:53I want to show you the actual net gain of the second income
- 5:56earner as an example, right? So this is for the Australian Bureau of Statistics for
- 6:00wages. So partner one earned 90 grand, okay? On
- 6:03average, part of two, let's say 70 combined 160, sounds
- 6:06pretty solid. But what does the second $70,000 income actually
- 6:10bring net after having to outsource pretty much everything, right?
- 6:14So we look at 70,000 gross, the tax is about eight and a half,
- 6:18Medicare levy is about 1400, the gross is about 13,000. So
- 6:22the take home is 56,000 as an example, right? Or 57,000. That's
- 6:26the take home after taxes and Medicare levy, et cetera. So 57,000, that's what
- 6:29they got. Now, childcare to kids after
- 6:33the 50% subsidy is 16 grand. Transport,
- 6:37seven, like work, wardrobe, dry cleaning, et cetera, two and
- 6:40a half. Lunches and coffee, three and a half. Convenience meals per household,
- 6:445K. Afterschool care, OSH, 4K. Household
- 6:48help, getting a cleaner, et cetera, 3K. Total, 41K,
- 6:51right? The national average, this is from childcare source, Kindercare
- 6:55in 2025, the national average for childcare before subsidy
- 7:00is $343 a week, 17,000 a year. It's huge because
- 7:04raising children has had to be outsourced. Looking after children has
- 7:07had to be outsourced. So yes, you can earn the 70, but what are you outsourcing? The
- 7:11outsourcing costs are 41,000, okay? So
- 7:15after tax of 57 minus 41 is about 16K. So
- 7:2016,000 net is what that second earner brings in. Now, if you
- 7:23look at that on an hourly rate over say a 38, our
- 7:27work week as an example, it's about $9 an
- 7:30hour. The national average, by the way, is $24 an hour. Again,
- 7:34that's before tax. But after tax, say
- 7:39$18, $19. So the person is earning less than a third of a minimum wage in
- 7:42real terms, and that's because a lot of
- 7:46the money is used to outsource everything else. So let's paint the DAV what it looks like. Second
- 7:49job, 70K, net 57 plus all the costs. So
- 7:53I want that $9 per hour to land. you
- 7:58get for being able to bring in $9 an hour extra, here's
- 8:01what you get, okay? 7 a.m. start, childcare
- 8:04drop-off, commute, full day at work, 6 p.m. pick up,
- 8:08dinner, like what? And that's conservative figures. Like
- 8:11in Sydney and Melbourne, with the two kids not subsidy capped, the net
- 8:14is like closer to zero gain. Like net zero
- 8:18gain for the second income. So, some families are literally losing
- 8:22money to have the second person go to work because they haven't calculated, haven't
- 8:25sat down to calculate it. So, once it feels like you're earning more
- 8:28because you got more cash flow, it's just disappearing, right?
- 8:33And so, certainly, the reason for that is because two incomes
- 8:37are needed for the mortgage approval. Right? Because
- 8:41it's like, honey, we're not working to pocket the 15k cash flow,
- 8:44we need it to qualify for a mortgage. So the culture of you must buy
- 8:48a house or you're a peasant has forced people to do this to
- 8:51just be on the ladder and it's destroying their life, right? The
- 8:56banks now assess household income on the borrowing capacity,
- 9:00right? So the property prices rose to absorb the new
- 9:03combined capacity. So if you need two incomes just
- 9:07to get in, right, even though one barely covers the extra cost
- 9:10of having to function in life, you're not really building wealth, you're servicing the
- 9:13debt on an asset that's been repriced. So in
- 9:171984, you know, 3.3 times annual salary to get a house, it's
- 9:21now 9.4. So your parents bought a house on a
- 9:24single teacher's salary. And our generation needs two professional incomes
- 9:28and a decade of savings, 40 grand in stamp duty, and
- 9:311.1 million in bank interest just to buy in a
- 9:34similar suburb. It's not because it's personal failure, like it's not
- 9:37because we're eating out more. It's
- 9:41really a structural shift. It is, it's a structural shift. So
- 9:45you may not even be bad with money, but the game has changed around you,
- 9:48right? And so how you play the game now must change. Would
- 9:51you agree? So here's the cost nobody really is considering at this point, right?
- 9:55Time doesn't show up on your bank statement, but it's the most expensive thing
- 9:59that the two-income trap takes from you is your time. In a single household income, one
- 10:02parent stays at home, present, school runs, sick days, homework, 4pm, dinner, blah,
- 10:06blah, blah. That's what happened to me, right? Economically invisible, but huge,
- 10:09huge. With both, and my mom has four kids, so it's like, yep, that's
- 10:12a full-time job for sure, more than a full-time job. With
- 10:16both parents working full-time now, it's like, well, heck, like outsourcing, cleaning,
- 10:20cooking, lawn, and after school just so the other person can earn. Now, of course,
- 10:23it makes a lot more sense if that person can earn more than $70K. Like if they can
- 10:26go and earn $150K and you got $100K, that makes a lot more sense. But
- 10:30this is not what's happening necessarily. Again, because people
- 10:33haven't done the numbers. Just quickly, if you're ready to take control of your finances, but
- 10:37feel stuck on where to start, I have a solution. My
- 10:40book, Money Bias Happiness, simplifies investing and
- 10:43wealth building with practical steps to help you achieve financial peace.
- 10:47Get your copy via the link in the show notes and let's get your money working for
- 10:51you. Now back to the episode. So yes, we gained
- 10:54a second income, but we outsourced our lives to pay for it. Somehow
- 10:58we're still behind, right? So what
- 11:02does it cost? It's exhaustion. It's Sunday dread. It's lost
- 11:06its life cost Just to get a house and
- 11:09this is where this whole notion of buying a home in this country
- 11:13culturally Destroys people I think so who are
- 11:16the people that won with this structural shift one the banks because
- 11:19now they have two incomes and instead of one, so they can lend out more.
- 11:24Two, property owners who already owned because the shift
- 11:28just structurally increased the price, repriced it. It
- 11:31brought 3.4 times annual income to 9 to 10 times. No
- 11:35skill, no skill, just timing, right? Like
- 11:38they didn't do anything, there's no productivity out of that, none, no net productivity.
- 11:43The other winner is the childcare industry, huge winner, right? Subsidized childcare,
- 11:4717,000 a year. The government spends $3.5 billion
- 11:51per quarter on subsidies for this. And
- 11:54this is why we have a huge amount of inflation problems in this country, because of
- 11:57spending on these types of things that weren't available around before, needed, right?
- 12:02And of course, the convenience economy. So Uber Eats, DoorDash, cleaners, meal
- 12:05kits, AirTasker, LawnCert, like they're
- 12:08filling the gaps of what would have been done by the household, yes? Now,
- 12:12if you're not earning enough to cover that, you're losing. And of course,
- 12:15this is what wiped out the middle class. So, working twice as hard,
- 12:20gave up presence with children, ended up in the same house that parents
- 12:24bought on one income for two, but way, way higher price
- 12:27with LMI, stamp duty, bigger deposit. So, more cash required
- 12:30too, a lot longer before you can get on the ladder. In fact, statistically, it's like
- 12:34late 30s to buy your first house now. It used to be 20s, right? So, the
- 12:37entire productivity of an entire generation of women entering the workforce Huge
- 12:41economic shift, but it's been captured by the banks. It's been
- 12:44captured by banks, property owners, childcare owners, not being captured by
- 12:48the middle class, yes? The middle class has gone to work for the other people. So,
- 12:51how do you shift it? What's the way out? How do
- 12:54you change this? It's not hopeless, which is great. So there's probably three
- 12:57practical moves you can consider. The first one obviously being
- 13:01run the real numbers on your second income. If your second income is not bringing
- 13:04in what it's costing you to outsource the other stuff, why have it? You're far
- 13:08better to have your time. It's more valuable than $8.40 for an hour. Wouldn't
- 13:13you agree? So understand what
- 13:16it costs to do the numbers, okay? If the numbers tell you you're losing, I
- 13:19think it's a pretty easy decision while you're working there. There are other ways to earn even
- 13:22at home that would be more commensurate to a higher hourly rate
- 13:26with your time back and your sanity. Second,
- 13:30question your suburb, right? So the dual economy makes repriced central suburb
- 13:33locations. So now with technology, maybe consider, hey,
- 13:37where can we buy that's not as expensive so we can drop
- 13:40our purchase price per our annual income? further
- 13:43down, so you don't have to work as much to facilitate that. Or
- 13:47consider renting over owning as an example, which is a real possibility too.
- 13:50Now, and here's the third part, which is to do this. Learn
- 13:54to develop and educate yourself on developing income that's
- 13:58not purely tied to time. Some of it obviously is, a lot of it
- 14:01is, makes sense. But what can compound without your
- 14:04time? So instead of spending stuff on the convenience economy, what about indexing? What
- 14:08about a side business? What about, you
- 14:11know, adding certain equity to your property? What
- 14:15can you do to add in things where you can charge, right?
- 14:19Can you get a new qualification to double your hourly
- 14:22rate too? So how can you double your
- 14:26income without doubling your time? That's a good question to ask, okay?
- 14:30And begin with a small step because every million dollar portfolio start with a
- 14:33thousand bucks, 500 bucks, 10 bucks, it doesn't matter. You've just got to get
- 14:36in the habits of doing things over time that's going to bring you money without your
- 14:39time. So for
- 14:43most two-income families, I hope you're earning a lot more than 70 on the second
- 14:46one and I mostly hope that you're not delegating
- 14:50using all the money to delegate all those things that you could be doing yourself because
- 14:54your time is more valuable. And if you are, really reconsider your
- 14:58whole position and everything's on the table. There's a great saying that says,
- 15:01edit your life ruthlessly and often. And so if
- 15:04you're really tapped, then it's a wake-up call to say, how
- 15:08do we get untapped? How do we get untapped? Because
- 15:11the two-income household would have worked for a period of time until real estate numbers just
- 15:14jumped and now it doesn't work anymore. And guess what? We
- 15:18can't bring in a third earner. That would destroy your marriage. We
- 15:21can't bring in a third earner. We can't deregulate the financial industry again. We
- 15:25could push out terms to 40, but who's going to buy into that? We can't get
- 15:29interest rates to 0% again. If anything, taxes go up. If anything, with
- 15:32the price of oil, things are going to go up. Cost of living go up. If anything, it's going to
- 15:35get harder. So, I don't think we're going to see this massive
- 15:3850-year gain in the real estate market, and I've mentioned this time and
- 15:42time again on this show, we're just not going to see it. So, how are
- 15:45you going to play this game differently? What are you going to do that your parents
- 15:49didn't do? Because your parents can't give you any advice because they grew up in a completely different time. They
- 15:52have no say in this, none. They don't understand, right?
- 15:57They may understand some things, but they don't understand nine times annual
- 16:00earnings for your first half. They just don't. They never will. So you can't just
- 16:03rely on that anymore. What are you going to do? What
- 16:07skills are you going to get? What education are you going to get? What are you going
- 16:10to sacrifice? And how are you going to edit your life ruthlessly right now?
- 16:14What is on the table? Put it all on there. Everything's up
- 16:17for grabs. Take your gloves off, sit down with your spouse and go, what are we doing here? Are
- 16:20we just on automation till we're 65 and die? Is that the game? Or
- 16:24is there a better game? Are you gonna move? You're
- 16:27just gonna shift country? If you're not having the life
- 16:30that you desire, put it on the table. That's what I've done in my life. I
- 16:34remember back in, I was like commuting three hours a
- 16:37day. I'm like, hang on a second. What the hell am I doing? What, what,
- 16:40what? God put me on this earth, 402 into one shot
- 16:44and I'm sitting here commuting, what? Wake
- 16:48up. So the call to action here
- 16:51for you is this, sit down and do the numbers, and then take
- 16:55some bold action. Make some hard decisions. Because if you don't, the
- 16:58next 10, 20 years of getting away from it, you'll have nothing to show for it. You'll have no memories. You'll
- 17:02have lived someone else's life. For what? Just to say we got a house? Who
- 17:06cares, right? So I hope that makes sense. Do you agree with me? Do
- 17:09you think the second income's destroyed the middle class instead of advancing it?
- 17:12I'd love to know in the comments. Drop them below. Hit the subscribe button, and
- 17:16I can't wait to see you in the next episode. Thanks for listening to Money Grows on Trees.
- 17:19If you enjoyed the episode, leave a five-star review on Apple Podcasts and
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