Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4206 Dems Thought They Had Won The Midterms, Then This JUST HAPPENED…

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Ep. 4206 Dems Thought They Had Won The Midterms, Then This JUST HAPPENED… · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_03]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_03]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_03]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:21
  [SPEAKER_03]: The in-person early-voting has begun and for the Democrats, it's an unmitigated disaster.
• 0:30
  [SPEAKER_03]: for weeks they've been touting these insane polls with colossal leads, and as of the last 24 hours, those polls are being flushed down the toilet by actual voters.
• 0:43
  [SPEAKER_03]: Stick with me the very end of this video because we're gonna be comparing the numbers from 2022 and 2024, and we're gonna see how one thing becomes unmistakably clear.
• 0:53
  [SPEAKER_03]: One side is crushing it, and the other side is imploding,
• 1:01
  [SPEAKER_03]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your Patre professor here to help you keep sane in the midst of all the insanity.
• 1:07
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• 1:19
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• 1:32
  [SPEAKER_03]: Yesterday, October 6 was the first day of in-person early voting in the great state of Ohio and the importance of Ohio for election analysis is that it served historically as a bell weather state, meaning that what happens in Ohio is predictive of what happens in a number of other states.
• 1:51
  [SPEAKER_03]: So for example, if Ohio votes for the Republicans say by 10, we could be pretty
• 1:58
  [SPEAKER_03]: will vote for the Republicans by say 11 or 12 because Iowa has pretty consistently voted to the right of Ohio by a couple of points.
• 2:07
  [SPEAKER_03]: And if Ohio votes for the Republicans by 11 or 12, then we can be pretty confident that Alaska will vote for the Republican by at least 12 because they tend to vote a couple of points to the right of Iowa.
• 2:20
  [SPEAKER_03]: And if Alaska is voting at least 12 for the Republican, then we can be sure that Texas is going to be voting at least 12 for the Republicans since Texas voters always vote to the right of Alaska.
• 2:32
  [SPEAKER_03]: So that's the bell weather significance of Ohio.
• 2:35
  [SPEAKER_03]: And if you've been following this channel over the last couple of weeks and if not make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button, but you'll know if you've been with us that the last couple of weeks of early mail-in ballots in Ohio.
• 2:47
  [SPEAKER_03]: have been absolutely devastating for the Democrats.
• 2:52
  [SPEAKER_03]: I mean, it has been downright ugly.
• 2:55
  [SPEAKER_03]: As we speak, their mail-in ballots are down and astonishing 40% from 2024.
• 3:03
  [SPEAKER_03]: You heard that right 40% this all while Republican requests are actually up.
• 3:10
  [SPEAKER_03]: So just from the vantage point of malen ballots, these last two weeks have been an unmitigated disaster for the Democrats, but it gets even worse because they're one saving grace, the copium that you're seeing online among Democrats.
• 3:26
  [SPEAKER_03]: is that their voters this election, their voters no longer trust the mail, they're freaking out over the whole US Postal Service Antics, the Trump is instituted.
• 3:36
  [SPEAKER_03]: So they're all going to be coming out for in-person early voting.
• 3:41
  [SPEAKER_03]: You just watch once in-person early voting starts the end, you'll see the blue wave.
• 3:47
  [SPEAKER_03]: Then you'll see the Democrats who know me.
• 3:50
  [SPEAKER_03]: Well, um...
• 3:55
  [SPEAKER_03]: That in person early voting officially started yesterday in Ohio, and these are the images that we got from the excited Democrats thinking that they were storming the polls in Franklin County where Columbus is a reliably blue county in Ohio.
• 4:13
  [SPEAKER_03]: Just one problem.
• 4:14
  [SPEAKER_03]: Take a look at this.
• 4:16
  [SPEAKER_03]: This is with that very same county look like in 2024.
• 4:22
  [SPEAKER_03]: These are the in-person early voting lines in Franklin two years ago.
• 4:27
  [SPEAKER_03]: The lines were massive.
• 4:29
  [SPEAKER_03]: Again, this is one of the blueest counties in Ohio.
• 4:32
  [SPEAKER_03]: Turn out was huge.
• 4:34
  [SPEAKER_03]: By contrast, yesterday,
• 4:38
  [SPEAKER_03]: was a ripple.
• 4:40
  [SPEAKER_03]: It was not, it was a puddle.
• 4:43
  [SPEAKER_03]: By some estimates, we're seeing a drop of about 30% from 2024 for in-person early voting, particularly in Democrat counties.
• 4:56
  [SPEAKER_03]: whereas in Republican counties, they're crushing it.
• 4:59
  [SPEAKER_03]: We're looking at upwards of about 90% turnout from 2024.
• 5:03
  [SPEAKER_03]: And I want to show you why that's so important.
• 5:06
  [SPEAKER_03]: Let me give you a clear, fixed data point to keep an eye on as we continue to analyze these returns over the next few weeks.
• 5:14
  [SPEAKER_03]: You may want to write this down.
• 5:16
  [SPEAKER_03]: But back in 22,
• 5:18
  [SPEAKER_03]: JD Vance 1 is Senate seat with 2.1.
• 5:21
  [SPEAKER_03]: We could actually round it off better to 2.2 million votes.
• 5:26
  [SPEAKER_03]: In 24, the Democrat Sherrod Brown, who's running again this time, he got 2.7.
• 5:34
  [SPEAKER_03]: Million votes.
• 5:35
  [SPEAKER_03]: He of course lost to Bernie Morano in 24 but and this is absolutely key in terms of what to let look for By comparison the Democrat-shared Brown cannot afford to lose more than 17% of his 2024 vote when he got 2.6 million
• 5:57
  [SPEAKER_03]: Otherwise, he falls under JD Vance's victory threshold of 2.2 million votes.
• 6:05
  [SPEAKER_03]: So with the last midterms as our benchmark, the Democrat shared brown will need at least 2.2 million votes to win.
• 6:14
  [SPEAKER_03]: That means he can only afford a turnout drop at most of 17% from his 24 vote total, which was 2.6 million.
• 6:26
  [SPEAKER_03]: Gang right now as we speak.
• 6:30
  [SPEAKER_03]: The Democrat is staring into the abyss of a 30-point turnout drop.
• 6:39
  [SPEAKER_03]: That's 2x the nightmare, as it were.
• 6:44
  [SPEAKER_03]: In the meantime, the ballot request for Democrats in Ohio continue to be depressing beyond belief.
• 6:50
  [SPEAKER_03]: Here's the latest data chart courtesy of Tonerus Hughes on X.
• 6:56
  [SPEAKER_03]: He's an absolutely indispensable account to follow for all the latest coming out of Ohio.
• 7:02
  [SPEAKER_03]: But as you can see, this is data from Hamilton County, a big Democrat County voted for a comma
• 7:11
  [SPEAKER_03]: Democrat requests are down 25% from 2022 and they're down a devastating 40% from 2024 and again notice who is voting and who's not voting here.
• 7:25
  [SPEAKER_03]: The 65 and older crowd is more than one out of every two voters.
• 7:29
  [SPEAKER_03]: They're voting 55% of the male and electorate and that's significant because in 22 and 24,
• 7:36
  [SPEAKER_03]: the 65-plus demographic voted Republican by 12 points.
• 7:41
  [SPEAKER_03]: Whereas the under 30 voting cohort, the one most reliably Democrat, the age group most reliably Democrat, they are currently right now as we speak at their lowest turnout since 2014.
• 7:55
  [SPEAKER_03]: And it's not just Ohio, we can cross compare here.
• 7:58
  [SPEAKER_03]: We're seeing a similar pattern in Georgia.
• 8:01
  [SPEAKER_03]: This is mail requests day by day comparing these midterms to 22 and 22 for, I mean, look at this.
• 8:07
  [SPEAKER_03]: And counties have voted for Kamala Harris in the same two day window from 31 to 29 days before the election.
• 8:15
  [SPEAKER_03]: Harris won counties grew.
• 8:17
  [SPEAKER_03]: by 2.5%, but Trump won County's grew by 5%.
• 8:24
  [SPEAKER_03]: Double the Harris won counties.
• 8:26
  [SPEAKER_03]: And you'll notice that the groups were much closer in 22 and 24.
• 8:31
  [SPEAKER_03]: So there seems to be a bit of a breakout for the Republicans, certainly in Georgia, mal requests comparable to what we're seeing in Ohio.
• 8:40
  [SPEAKER_03]: Again, it is still early.
• 8:43
  [SPEAKER_03]: but not a good sign if you are a Democrat for sure.
• 8:48
  [SPEAKER_03]: And it certainly does not in any way shape or form.
• 8:53
  [SPEAKER_03]: Correspond to these absurd polls that we've been seeing over the course of all of September.
• 8:58
  [SPEAKER_03]: And these developments here in early voting are causing some analysts now to openly say, I think the Republicans got this.
• 9:07
  [SPEAKER_03]: Republicans are not just going to survive these midterms.
• 9:09
  [SPEAKER_03]: They're increasingly poised to sweep them.
• 9:13
  [SPEAKER_03]: Wait until you see this.
• 9:15
  [SPEAKER_03]: While Trump unleashes a political reckoning, there is another crisis poisoning every American in some way, shape, or form even in the comfort of our own homes.
• 9:25
  [SPEAKER_03]: I'm talking about the microplastic epidemic.
• 9:29
  [SPEAKER_03]: Now, you may have heard about this, but this is pretty shocking stuff.
• 9:32
  [SPEAKER_03]: Check this out.
• 9:36
  [SPEAKER_02]: tons of microplastics, wash ashore all over the world every day.
• 9:40
  [SPEAKER_02]: And now for the first time, scientists in the Netherlands have detected microplastic pollution in human blood.
• 9:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: But all the microplastics in our class, we are exposed to we inhale and be ingest.
• 9:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: That actually, you know, they did
• 9:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: and our bloodstream.
• 9:59
  [SPEAKER_02]: The Dutch study on blood samples from healthy adults detected tiny plastic particles in 80% of people.
• 10:06
  [SPEAKER_03]: That's right.
• 10:07
  [SPEAKER_03]: There's a microplastic crisis poisoning every American in some way shape or form.
• 10:13
  [SPEAKER_03]: They're in our food, our water, our meats, our proteins.
• 10:16
  [SPEAKER_03]: In fact, according to a recent study, we now ingest six times more microplastics than in 1990.
• 10:26
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• 10:32
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• 10:34
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• 10:42
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• 10:51
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• 12:26
  [SPEAKER_03]: Now again, I want to preface this by saying we are still here.
• 12:30
  [SPEAKER_03]: Have I mentioned we're early, we're very, very early into this.
• 12:35
  [SPEAKER_03]: So I want to caution you, caution all of us from reading too much into this.
• 12:40
  [SPEAKER_03]: But we are starting to get editorial's realizing that Republicans may indeed pull this off.
• 12:45
  [SPEAKER_03]: The latest is from the Washington Examiner, this is coming from the New York Times best selling author Michael Levin, and it's one of the boldest predictions of the 2026 campaign as you can see from the headline, he's basically predicting a Republican route.
• 13:00
  [SPEAKER_03]: He thinks the Republicans aren't merely going to survive the midterms, they're about to sweep them.
• 13:05
  [SPEAKER_03]: He predicts the GOP's going to hold both the House and the Senate and actually expand its majorities.
• 13:11
  [SPEAKER_03]: So why is he so confident?
• 13:14
  [SPEAKER_03]: Well, Levin argues that America is fundamentally a center-right nation.
• 13:18
  [SPEAKER_03]: Well, the Democrat party has moved far beyond the political mainstream.
• 13:23
  [SPEAKER_03]: I mean, the radical left now.
• 13:24
  [SPEAKER_03]: That means that they've alienated themselves from the vast majority of the voting population.
• 13:30
  [SPEAKER_03]: The Democrats are a party increasingly dominated by its socialist and woke progressive wing.
• 13:37
  [SPEAKER_03]: And what's so interesting is that he contrasts today's leadership with the likes of, you know, a Bill Clinton or Barack Obama, or even Hillary Clinton, and he notes that their former positions on welfare, border security, and Israel would now be unwelcome inside their own party.
• 13:54
  [SPEAKER_03]: That's exactly what CNN's Van Jones is saying.
• 13:58
  [SPEAKER_03]: He's noted that Barack Obama would actually be considered too conservative or too centrist for today's DSA dominated Democrat party.
• 14:07
  [SPEAKER_03]: So 11 Belize voters, especially in small town of working class America, remain deeply alienated by progressive positions on policing and immigration, climate policy, racial preferences, trans issues,
• 14:22
  [SPEAKER_03]: And of course, Israel and our simply not could have come out and vote for them.
• 14:26
  [SPEAKER_03]: Certainly not in mass.
• 14:27
  [SPEAKER_03]: Again, we've already seen this evidentially in the Michigan Democrat primary where all the polls showed a duel.
• 14:37
  [SPEAKER_03]: Say, Ed was, hey, I had a double digit lead.
• 14:39
  [SPEAKER_03]: He was going to blow out.
• 14:40
  [SPEAKER_03]: He's going to win and a blow out.
• 14:42
  [SPEAKER_03]: But he ended up barely winning by one point because all the Democrats in rural Michigan.
• 14:48
  [SPEAKER_03]: I guess what's left of Democrats in rule Michigan abandoned them.
• 14:52
  [SPEAKER_03]: They didn't want anything to do with them.
• 14:53
  [SPEAKER_03]: They didn't vote for them.
• 14:54
  [SPEAKER_03]: And again, it's not just rule voters.
• 14:57
  [SPEAKER_03]: The latest prominent Michigan Democrat to come out and distance himself from L.C.E.
• 15:01
  [SPEAKER_03]: at his Lansing mayor Andy Shore.
• 15:05
  [SPEAKER_03]: He said there was simply no way he could vote for L.C.E.
• 15:08
  [SPEAKER_03]: at siding his own Jewish heritage.
• 15:10
  [SPEAKER_03]: Moreover, Levin argues I see quite rightly that the Democrats have failed to offer compelling governing agenda beyond TDS.
• 15:18
  [SPEAKER_03]: They're not giving anyone
• 15:21
  [SPEAKER_03]: any reason actually vote for him beyond Trump hatred.
• 15:25
  [SPEAKER_03]: In fact, that's been admitted, as I understand it, by Democrat operatives behind the scenes, who are starting to freak out over this early vote disaster, who's seeing an Ohio and Georgia.
• 15:36
  [SPEAKER_03]: I didn't even mention Florida, Florida's even worse than many respects for them.
• 15:40
  [SPEAKER_03]: They're starting to openly admit that maybe TDS wasn't the best voting motivator after all.
• 15:50
  [SPEAKER_03]: Leaven thinks that voters haven't forgotten the malaise of the Biden years, both foreign and domestic, and while we're certainly now feeling some pain at the pumps for sure, that's nothing compared to the pain that Biden and the Democrats inflicted upon the nation for four years, and it's only been a couple of years and they haven't forgotten that.
• 16:10
  [SPEAKER_03]: So put that all together in
• 16:13
  [SPEAKER_03]: He doesn't see a close election, you see a political earthquake in the making, a Republican wave so powerful that Democrats could spend the next two years fighting over their party's identity and perhaps even face the emergence of an entirely new political movement, a split in their party.
• 16:30
  [SPEAKER_03]: He thinks election nights could approve him spectacularly right.
• 16:33
  [SPEAKER_03]: I have most certainly hope that's the case.
• 16:37
  [SPEAKER_03]: Well, of course, have to see.
• 16:39
  [SPEAKER_03]: But if the early voting, both in-person and mail is any indicator, the Democrats are struggling here.
• 16:47
  [SPEAKER_03]: They're getting absolutely robbed.
• 16:52
  [SPEAKER_03]: They're down.
• 16:53
  [SPEAKER_03]: Republicans are up, and that is not the recipe for success if you're a Democrat.
• 17:00
  [SPEAKER_03]: Now again, a word of caution as we start to move in four weeks into this away from.
• 17:08
  [SPEAKER_03]: November 3rd, we're very, very early in.
• 17:11
  [SPEAKER_03]: We still have several weeks to go.
• 17:14
  [SPEAKER_03]: Anything can change.
• 17:15
  [SPEAKER_03]: This is no time for complacency.
• 17:18
  [SPEAKER_03]: So make sure you get out there and vote, get your friends, your loved ones, your acquaintances, get on social media, do everything you possibly can to make sure.
• 17:27
  [SPEAKER_03]: but November 3rd is a mid-terms for the ages.