Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Bowls + NFL Best Bets Monday 12/29/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:05Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
- 0:08Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:11Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:14Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that I
- 0:17Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore.
- 0:19Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this.
- 0:21Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
- 0:26Speaker 1: good day at all.
- 0:26Speaker 2: Own four that I have not had, had a good season.
- 0:31Speaker 1: Man with wookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
- 0:36Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
- 0:41Speaker 1: my browins hat Man, I don't know what is going
- 0:43Speaker 1: on with the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
- 0:46Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
- 0:50Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day it is anymore.
- 0:52Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
- 0:55Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
- 0:58Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
- 1:02Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
- 1:06Speaker 1: did not go well for me. Own five the worst
- 1:10Speaker 1: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 1: To the Slump series, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 1:25Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
- 1:34Speaker 1: towed back with you, Toadsall Sports. Monday, December twenty ninth,
- 1:40Speaker 1: in the middle of the holiday week. Here we have
- 1:42Speaker 1: a big board today. I looked at it this morning.
- 1:45Speaker 1: I'm like, oh my god, a ton of college basketball. Uh,
- 1:50Speaker 1: pretty good amount of NHL NBA. I'm trying to really
- 1:53Speaker 1: whittle this thing down. I only have three plays today,
- 1:56Speaker 1: and there is one Bowl game, and there is the
- 1:59Speaker 1: Monday and I football game in the NFL. My plays
- 2:02Speaker 1: are two in college basketball, one in the NBA, and
- 2:06Speaker 1: that one is maybe tentative. I mean it's I think
- 2:10Speaker 1: the number is gonna move on that game potentially. So
- 2:15Speaker 1: it's a game where I do like the side, but
- 2:17Speaker 1: I think it's a game where you want to try
- 2:18Speaker 1: to watch and try to figure out when you can
- 2:20Speaker 1: get the best number on it. We went three to
- 2:23Speaker 1: two on the show yesterday. Both football games won the
- 2:26Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns outright win pretty much no sweat on that one.
- 2:30Speaker 1: I mean the Steelers pretty much weren't even in the building.
- 2:35Speaker 1: So Cleveland good defensive performance, We got that one. The
- 2:39Speaker 1: forty nine Ers was basically a heart attack. They probably
- 2:42Speaker 1: should have won that game more easily. I mean Brock
- 2:45Speaker 1: Purdy like literally threw a pick six on the first
- 2:47Speaker 1: play of the game, so they were an immediate hole.
- 2:52Speaker 1: But from that point on, the forty nine Ers are
- 2:54Speaker 1: pretty much dominating the game, like yardage wise, possession wise.
- 2:58Speaker 1: There was a point where forty nine Ers were only
- 3:00Speaker 1: winning the game I think fourteen to seven, and yet
- 3:03Speaker 1: they had like a one twenty to thirteen yardage advantage.
- 3:06Speaker 1: I mean, it's just such a joke, dude. The game
- 3:10Speaker 1: wound up being back and forth. The forty nine Ers
- 3:12Speaker 1: only trailed when it was seven and nothing, and then
- 3:16Speaker 1: once again when it was thirty eight thirty five, and
- 3:19Speaker 1: then other than that it was forty nine ers up seven,
- 3:22Speaker 1: tied game, forty nine ers up seven, tied game, over
- 3:25Speaker 1: and over again. It's like, come on, guys, just come
- 3:26Speaker 1: up with a defensive stop for once, and.
- 3:29Speaker 2: Finally they did.
- 3:30Speaker 1: After the forty nine Ers scored again to retake the
- 3:33Speaker 1: lead by four or late. Finally they come up with
- 3:37Speaker 1: a defensive stop when it matters.
- 3:38Speaker 2: Most right at the end of the game.
- 3:41Speaker 1: Oh my god. I think the Bears converted at least
- 3:45Speaker 1: one or two fourth downs on that final drive. I'm like,
- 3:49Speaker 1: pretty much on the edge of a cliff at that point.
- 3:52Speaker 1: I also went went head to head with my man
- 3:56Speaker 1: Marco D'Angelo on that. I'm pretty sure he gave out
- 3:58Speaker 1: a play on his wager talk thing, one of his
- 4:03Speaker 1: paid play I think he gave out a play on
- 4:05Speaker 1: the Bears.
- 4:06Speaker 2: I was head to head against him. I got the win,
- 4:09Speaker 2: but I think that I was correct.
- 4:11Speaker 1: On the game. I mean, the game shouldn't have been
- 4:13Speaker 1: quite as close as it was if you look at
- 4:15Speaker 1: what happened statistico. Though, yes, Chicago did drive at the
- 4:18Speaker 1: end of the game and come up empty because they
- 4:20Speaker 1: needed a touchdown at the end. That's two times recently
- 4:24Speaker 1: that Caleb Williams has been in position to potentially have
- 4:28Speaker 1: a you know, a game winning touchdown in a crucial
- 4:31Speaker 1: game like this, and his fallen flat.
- 4:33Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, I don't know what else to
- 4:36Speaker 2: say about that.
- 4:37Speaker 1: That game was crazy, though, Bears don't have a good
- 4:41Speaker 1: defense whatsoever. The forty nine ers defense is very, very
- 4:45Speaker 1: injury riddled. I mean, they don't have Warner or Bosa here,
- 4:49Speaker 1: so it's you know, yeah, I don't know what else
- 4:53Speaker 1: to say about that. And then we did get the
- 4:55Speaker 1: win in the NHL easy win with the Pittsburgh Penguins.
- 4:58Speaker 1: No sweat on that one either. They were out a
- 5:01Speaker 1: four to nothing lead and then won seven to three.
- 5:04Speaker 1: I think was the final easy win there. And then
- 5:06Speaker 1: we had college basketball did not go well, zero to two,
- 5:12Speaker 1: which college basketball.
- 5:13Speaker 2: Has been awesome this year though.
- 5:15Speaker 1: Man, Like, if you if you count each one of
- 5:18Speaker 1: my plays as being a three unit play college basketball,
- 5:21Speaker 1: we were up like one hundred units on the season
- 5:24Speaker 1: already until yesterday where we lost those two plays. But
- 5:27Speaker 1: both of those plays, you know, I mean, we were
- 5:31Speaker 1: up against a hot shooting team and the team that
- 5:33Speaker 1: we had did not shoot well whatsoever. So that's just
- 5:37Speaker 1: kind of the deal.
- 5:38Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 5:39Speaker 1: We lost some Winthrop, they lost by a decent margin,
- 5:42Speaker 1: and then George Mason won and didn't cover. But they
- 5:46Speaker 1: had zero three pointers in the entire first half. There
- 5:49Speaker 1: were minus eight and three pointers against. I don't even
- 5:53Speaker 1: remember who their opponent was, but whatever it was, there's
- 5:56Speaker 1: just no real coming back from that. George Mason is
- 5:58Speaker 1: not really a three point shooting team, another more of
- 6:00Speaker 1: a paint type of team. But even still, you know,
- 6:06Speaker 1: it was still a bit of an outlier as far
- 6:08Speaker 1: as those percentages were concerned. So this is nothing that
- 6:11Speaker 1: you can really do about that. It's just a loss
- 6:14Speaker 1: due to some outlier field goal percentages in both games.
- 6:17Speaker 1: And that was just the way that it was winning
- 6:20Speaker 1: day anyway. And today we're gonna have yeah, three plays.
- 6:23Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm really trying to narrow the focus here,
- 6:27Speaker 1: but I hate days like this where it catches me
- 6:29Speaker 1: by surprise, like oh my, oh shit, the board is
- 6:32Speaker 1: like massive here, and then I have to handicap everything
- 6:35Speaker 1: and it makes everything take longer. The handicapping takes longer
- 6:39Speaker 1: in the morning, then this show winds up being longer.
- 6:43Speaker 1: We can get into it. I don't like this at all, though, Jeffrey,
- 6:47Speaker 1: what's up things for hanging out? Three Big Ten games? Uh?
- 6:54Speaker 2: Not not conference games?
- 6:56Speaker 1: The only conference games to aaron smaller conferences, mister Penzy,
- 7:00Speaker 1: what's up? Man? All right? Yeah?
- 7:04Speaker 2: College basketball?
- 7:05Speaker 1: I mean it's almost like for uh, for Speed's sake.
- 7:11Speaker 1: I almost don't want to talk about most of these
- 7:14Speaker 1: games here because they're almost all mismatches. Like I said,
- 7:17Speaker 1: full conference play has not started yet. The Power Conference
- 7:21Speaker 1: teams are not in conference play yet until I believe
- 7:25Speaker 1: in their next game. We do have the smaller conferences
- 7:28Speaker 1: are playing conference games today, though, I mean, if you
- 7:31Speaker 1: want me to talk about some of these other games,
- 7:33Speaker 1: I guess I will. But I'm trying to do this
- 7:35Speaker 1: for speed Man because there are a lot of these
- 7:37Speaker 1: games that I just have no interest in their major mismatches.
- 7:42Speaker 1: The situation doesn't really line up well what you want
- 7:45Speaker 1: to do though. When we're coming out of the holiday break,
- 7:47Speaker 1: as I usually point out, generally, what I like to
- 7:50Speaker 1: do is I like to see how did that team
- 7:52Speaker 1: go into the break. If they went into the break hot,
- 7:54Speaker 1: I think the break could disrupt their momentum and it's
- 7:57Speaker 1: bad if they went into the break playing poorly, I
- 8:01Speaker 1: think the break can help and help them just kill
- 8:03Speaker 1: that negative momentum, kind of like with a bye. So
- 8:07Speaker 1: that's generally what I do, although that's not really gonna
- 8:09Speaker 1: factor into the two games that I like today. Yeah,
- 8:13Speaker 1: I mean, we do have some bigger conference teams that
- 8:16Speaker 1: are playing. Illinois is playing Southern on the Big Ten
- 8:19Speaker 1: Network at three pm. Not a Big ten game, but
- 8:22Speaker 1: it's on the Big Ten Network, and in Illinois is
- 8:25Speaker 1: a Big Ten team. But I mean, obviously this is
- 8:28Speaker 1: a huge mismatch. All though Southern is actually one of
- 8:31Speaker 1: the better teams in the Swack, which is one of
- 8:34Speaker 1: the worst conferences.
- 8:35Speaker 2: Can Southern compete in this game?
- 8:37Speaker 1: Maybe? I mean, they're very battle tested the ved road
- 8:40Speaker 1: games already against Arkansas, Marquette, Washington, Baylor, so they're not
- 8:45Speaker 1: Texas as well, so they're not really gonna be intimidated
- 8:48Speaker 1: playing Illinois, though. Illinois is probably better than every one
- 8:50Speaker 1: of those teams though, and then they do start conference
- 8:54Speaker 1: play against one of the other teams that's usually near
- 8:57Speaker 1: the top of the conference textas Southern next. But this
- 9:00Speaker 1: other is not gonna overlook Illinois. It's just a matter
- 9:02Speaker 1: of are they gonna get blown out of the building.
- 9:05Speaker 1: Southern went into the break on a bad note, obviously,
- 9:08Speaker 1: getting wrecked by Baylor, giving up one hundred and eleven points.
- 9:12Speaker 1: That's not good. So maybe they'll show up here play
- 9:16Speaker 1: a little bit better. The break could be disruptive for
- 9:19Speaker 1: teams like Illinois, where they want to play fast and
- 9:21Speaker 1: going into the break, you know it could slow them
- 9:23Speaker 1: down a little bit. They had a bunch of big
- 9:25Speaker 1: games going into the break, losing to Yukon, beating Tennessee,
- 9:29Speaker 1: winning at Ohio State, starting conference play there. Then they
- 9:33Speaker 1: lost close to Nebraska, though I'm pissed they should have
- 9:36Speaker 1: won that game. They were not close to covering though.
- 9:40Speaker 1: They bounced back with an absolute blowout of Missouri, but
- 9:43Speaker 1: it's pretty questionable how good Missouri really is. That was
- 9:47Speaker 1: of course an SEC team there that Illinois beat, but
- 9:50Speaker 1: that makes Illinois look really good. And then yeah, they
- 9:52Speaker 1: do start official Big Ten play after this at Penn State,
- 9:57Speaker 1: although Penn State is not exactly great, so you it
- 10:00Speaker 1: would make the argument this is a sandwich. It is
- 10:01Speaker 1: surrounded by two Power Conference teams.
- 10:05Speaker 2: I think it's it's a weak.
- 10:08Speaker 1: Lean for me in this one. I'll slightly lean to
- 10:11Speaker 1: taking the points with Southern. Very weak lean. Though Illinois
- 10:14Speaker 1: is a thirty one point favorite, sixty seven percent of
- 10:16Speaker 1: tickets on them, seventy one percent of the cash coming
- 10:19Speaker 1: back on Southern, so the money is agreeing with that,
- 10:24Speaker 1: generally saying it's coming back in on Southern there the
- 10:27Speaker 1: total is pretty high one hundred and sixty four because
- 10:29Speaker 1: we know Illinois likes to push the pace. I really
- 10:32Speaker 1: have no interest in having money on that game, though. Yeah,
- 10:37Speaker 1: every one of these games blows. NC Central depends. Every
- 10:41Speaker 1: one of these games has at least a thirty point favorite.
- 10:44Speaker 1: I would imagine. Yeah, Big ten Network really really giving
- 10:48Speaker 1: you the great games here in this one. I mean
- 10:53Speaker 1: these some of these smaller conference games are way better.
- 10:56Speaker 1: Like Maris and Quinnipiac. That is a good game, uh
- 10:59Speaker 1: in the matt ack. Those two teams, they're a top
- 11:02Speaker 1: the conference, so it's gonna be a battle. Both teams
- 11:05Speaker 1: are gonna show up for that game. And then it's
- 11:07Speaker 1: just I believe, and then it's just kind of a
- 11:09Speaker 1: matter of which one of these teams is the better team,
- 11:11Speaker 1: which the odd makers Oddsweigers are telling you it is.
- 11:14Speaker 1: Quinnipiac still Marist, I mean, they're definitely on the way up.
- 11:19Speaker 1: They've been one of the better teams in the conference.
- 11:21Speaker 1: After being like a dormat in the conference for as
- 11:24Speaker 1: long as I can remember, They've actually been pretty good
- 11:26Speaker 1: the last couple of years. But Quinnipiac has also been
- 11:29Speaker 1: one of the better teams in the conference, and they're
- 11:32Speaker 1: pretty new to the conference as well. They're pretty new
- 11:34Speaker 1: to the conference. I mean, so they were not even
- 11:36Speaker 1: there not that long ago. Quinnipiac is up from three
- 11:40Speaker 1: and a half to four. They're but fifty percent of
- 11:42Speaker 1: ticket sixty three percent of.
- 11:43Speaker 2: The cash on Marist.
- 11:45Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if I agree with those
- 11:47Speaker 1: percentages of that when the total's gone up to one
- 11:49Speaker 1: forty six that type of game, I kind of just
- 11:54Speaker 1: like to go with the better team, which is Quinnipiac.
- 11:56Speaker 1: But I really have no opinion on this. Marist a
- 11:59Speaker 1: beat stone Brook in their last game doesn't really matter.
- 12:03Speaker 1: I don't think Quinnipiac did lose a long win streak
- 12:06Speaker 1: though losing to HOSTRA, and I do talk about how
- 12:09Speaker 1: when you lose a win streak sometimes it will hang
- 12:11Speaker 1: you over into the next game. But they did have
- 12:14Speaker 1: a break after that. HOSTRA is not a bad team.
- 12:17Speaker 1: It was a big game. HOSTRA was the favorite in
- 12:20Speaker 1: the game, so take that for what it's worth. Quinnipiac
- 12:24Speaker 1: was trying to pull off a mild upset in that one.
- 12:27Speaker 2: I still think.
- 12:28Speaker 1: They're gonna show up though, I mean, it's their first
- 12:31Speaker 1: home games it's a couple of games before the break.
- 12:33Speaker 1: They didn't do well in their last home game, barely
- 12:36Speaker 1: escaping a pretty ugly you Mass Lowell team. So yeah,
- 12:40Speaker 1: I mean, I don't really have a strong opinion on it. Man,
- 12:44Speaker 1: if you want to even still go with the fact that, yeah,
- 12:46Speaker 1: Quinnipiac did lose their last game, maybe the hangover could
- 12:50Speaker 1: still linger and that would be a reason to look
- 12:52Speaker 1: towards Maris. But the money is agreeing with that. But
- 12:55Speaker 1: I'm staying away completely obviously, You Mass Lowell at Iowa.
- 12:59Speaker 1: Iowa is in the rankings now at twenty five, and
- 13:02Speaker 1: we know this is a new look Iowa team with
- 13:04Speaker 1: Ben McCollum there, where they are basically drake from last year.
- 13:09Speaker 2: Iowa is gonna slow the pace way down.
- 13:11Speaker 1: And that's really the only reason that I would kind
- 13:14Speaker 1: of lean one of the reasons I would lead into
- 13:16Speaker 1: UMass Lowell here. Even though they're horrible Iowa, they just
- 13:22Speaker 1: don't really they don't play the style game that allows them.
- 13:25Speaker 2: To blow teams out.
- 13:26Speaker 1: Really, even though I think we did lose, do we
- 13:29Speaker 1: lose fading them in one of these games, I don't
- 13:30Speaker 1: remember if we did or if we didn't. I think
- 13:32Speaker 1: we might have against Western Michigan, I forget, but Iowa
- 13:37Speaker 1: does have their big ten plays starting next, which still
- 13:39Speaker 1: feels weird because that's against UCLA. But UCLA is a
- 13:44Speaker 1: big name in college of basketball. Could be a look
- 13:46Speaker 1: ahead for Iowa. Iowa went into the break holding Bucknell
- 13:50Speaker 1: to thirty nine points. Bucknell not a good team, not
- 13:54Speaker 1: good offensively either, but that makes Iowa look really good.
- 13:58Speaker 1: And now that Iowa is in the the first time
- 14:00Speaker 1: a team kind of cracks the rankings on a season,
- 14:03Speaker 1: sometimes you do want to look to fade them. And again,
- 14:06Speaker 1: they play slow, so it's gonna be difficult for them
- 14:09Speaker 1: to cover a huge number like this. New mass Lowell
- 14:13Speaker 1: they've been awful. They did go into the break on
- 14:15Speaker 1: a pretty ugly note, though, losing to Boston University by
- 14:18Speaker 1: double digits. I mean, not a great BU team there either,
- 14:22Speaker 1: although better than New Mass Lowell. I would take the
- 14:25Speaker 1: points if I was gonna play it, but I really
- 14:27Speaker 1: don't have much interest Iowa.
- 14:29Speaker 2: Up to thirty four.
- 14:31Speaker 1: You're asking Iowa to cover by a huge margin when
- 14:36Speaker 1: they don't really play a style that's conducive to it.
- 14:38Speaker 1: So in a spot that's not exactly great either total
- 14:42Speaker 1: down to one forty four. I would take the points,
- 14:46Speaker 1: but it's not a game that I really want to
- 14:47Speaker 1: do anything with. Dartmouth is at Florida. Florida is a
- 14:51Speaker 1: different animal because they speed the game up. They're eight
- 14:54Speaker 1: and four, but they might even be a little bit
- 14:56Speaker 1: better than that because they have played a really tough schedule,
- 15:00Speaker 1: although they've lost to all the best teams that they played,
- 15:02Speaker 1: but this is not one of the best teams they
- 15:04Speaker 1: played Dartmouth. Dotmouth, Florida did go into the break on
- 15:09Speaker 1: a three game win streak, though, so the break could
- 15:11Speaker 1: disrupt their momentum. They do start SEC play next at
- 15:15Speaker 1: Missouri or the Missouri not great this year, Will they
- 15:21Speaker 1: overlook Dartmouth?
- 15:22Speaker 2: I mean maybe, I mean.
- 15:23Speaker 1: Florida pretty much knows they could just show up and
- 15:26Speaker 1: win this game. Asking them to cover thirty seven is
- 15:29Speaker 1: a bit of an ask, although there is the potential
- 15:32Speaker 1: that they could just do it anyway without even giving
- 15:34Speaker 1: a full effort. This is definitely a mismatch. Total is
- 15:38Speaker 1: up up to one hundred and fifty nine and a
- 15:39Speaker 1: half unless like the one of these mismatches that I
- 15:45Speaker 1: talked about already that I think is probably the best
- 15:47Speaker 1: one so far as fading Iowa just because they play
- 15:50Speaker 1: so slow, but Florida does not do that. Florida wants
- 15:53Speaker 1: to go fast, so they have more of the potential
- 15:56Speaker 1: to blow their opponent out even if they are in
- 15:59Speaker 1: a potential Look. I had spot or whatever you want
- 16:01Speaker 1: to call it. There. That's on the SEC network. At
- 16:03Speaker 1: six pm. We have Michigan to MacNeice. This is interesting
- 16:09Speaker 1: because I just remember, I think two years ago, the
- 16:12Speaker 1: first year with Will Wade. Nobody knew how good Macnie
- 16:15Speaker 1: was at that point, and MacNeice actually won outright as
- 16:19Speaker 1: an underdog at Michigan, and I actually had a winner
- 16:22Speaker 1: on that one. I don't remember if I was doing
- 16:23Speaker 1: my show yet at that point or not, but that
- 16:26Speaker 1: was one of my favorite wins that I had over
- 16:28Speaker 1: the last couple of years because I don't know, I
- 16:30Speaker 1: just it felt like I knew something that I was onto,
- 16:32Speaker 1: something that people weren't onto yet. It felt like discovering,
- 16:35Speaker 1: you know, a band, an underground band that nobody knows
- 16:39Speaker 1: about yet. It was the hipster play on McNeice there.
- 16:43Speaker 1: I think they were probably about an eleven point dog
- 16:45Speaker 1: in that game. Michigan wasn't great that year, Michigan was
- 16:48Speaker 1: in a horrible spot whatever it was in that game,
- 16:51Speaker 1: so and MacNeice was just totally under the radar and
- 16:55Speaker 1: hadn't been discovered yet by everybody. So that was fun
- 16:58Speaker 1: getting that win with MacNeice. This is not really the
- 17:01Speaker 1: same type of thing this time though.
- 17:03Speaker 2: MacNeice.
- 17:04Speaker 1: Of course, will Wade moved on to NC State. MacNeice
- 17:07Speaker 1: is still really good in the Southland. They're probably not
- 17:10Speaker 1: as good as they were the last two years. Michigan
- 17:13Speaker 1: is on the rise. And of course back then when
- 17:15Speaker 1: Michigan lost to MacNeice, Michigan I believe still had Juwan Howard.
- 17:19Speaker 1: I think it was still their coach. Not a good
- 17:22Speaker 1: situation there. Michigan under Dusty May looks like, yeah, they're yeah.
- 17:28Speaker 1: I mean they're on the rise. Obviously, they're one of
- 17:30Speaker 1: the best teams in college of basketball right now. I
- 17:32Speaker 1: would not really want to jump in on MacNeice in
- 17:35Speaker 1: this game, although if you forced me to give a lean,
- 17:37Speaker 1: I might still say that would be the way that
- 17:39Speaker 1: I would lee. MacNeice did go into the break on
- 17:41Speaker 1: a good note. They haven't played for two weeks, so
- 17:44Speaker 1: that's not a great thing when you are rolling and
- 17:47Speaker 1: then you have a two week layoff, so I do
- 17:49Speaker 1: worry about that, like that might stall out their momentum
- 17:52Speaker 1: a bit, but they're gonna show op for a game
- 17:55Speaker 1: against Michigan. It's just to might take a little while
- 17:57Speaker 1: to shed the rust. Michigan actually pled more recently. Although
- 18:01Speaker 1: Michigan they're an undefeated team and going into a break
- 18:05Speaker 1: that's still over a week long could disrupt their momentum
- 18:08Speaker 1: as well. They play USC next to start conference play.
- 18:13Speaker 1: USC is in the rankings right now and Eric Musselman
- 18:16Speaker 1: led or coached, I should say USC team there. Michigan's
- 18:22Speaker 1: a twenty three and a half point favorite here. The
- 18:23Speaker 1: total is pretty high, one hundred and sixty one and
- 18:26Speaker 1: a half. I think Michigan does like to play a
- 18:27Speaker 1: bit faster these days. I'm not gonna do anything with
- 18:32Speaker 1: this game. I mean, I guess if you forced me
- 18:34Speaker 1: to lean, I would have a slight lean towards the dog.
- 18:37Speaker 1: I mean, that's just kind of my default if I
- 18:39Speaker 1: don't have a better way of looking at the game.
- 18:41Speaker 1: But that's that's not good enough to put money on it,
- 18:45Speaker 1: you know, SOB, what's up? Thanks for hanging out, Welcome back, Glad,
- 18:50Speaker 1: you're alive. We have Cornell at Michigan State. This is
- 18:53Speaker 1: a game where I actually don't love the underdog that
- 18:56Speaker 1: much because Michigan State went into the break, I would
- 18:59Speaker 1: say on a pre ugly no is they didn't play
- 19:02Speaker 1: well against in state little brother Oakland barely got by Oakland.
- 19:07Speaker 1: I believe that was not at Michigan State's home, Marie,
- 19:09Speaker 1: and I believe it was in Detroit, so Michigan State
- 19:14Speaker 1: still got the job done, but not the greatest game
- 19:17Speaker 1: for them. Yes, they do have Nebraska up next starting
- 19:20Speaker 1: official Big Ten playing that is a huge game, so
- 19:23Speaker 1: it could be a look ahead. But Michigan State played
- 19:25Speaker 1: pretty poorly in that game against Oakland, so I could
- 19:27Speaker 1: actually see them coming out with a little bit more
- 19:30Speaker 1: intensity in this game because of that. Cornell they didn't
- 19:34Speaker 1: play particularly well either against Albany in their last game.
- 19:37Speaker 1: Albany is very bad. Cornell probably should have won that
- 19:40Speaker 1: game more easily, so I expect Cornell will try to
- 19:43Speaker 1: show up in this game as well. Going on the
- 19:47Speaker 1: road face.
- 19:47Speaker 2: To Michigan State.
- 19:48Speaker 1: It's probably the biggest game on their schedule all year
- 19:51Speaker 1: for Cornell, so they're not going to overlook this game obviously,
- 19:55Speaker 1: so I actually still would probably lead to Coronell in
- 19:58Speaker 1: this game, now that I kind of dig did do
- 20:00Speaker 1: a little a little bit more. I'm not gonna play
- 20:02Speaker 1: it at all, obviously, but Michigan State's a twenty six
- 20:05Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Michigan State does play a
- 20:07Speaker 1: bit slower, but Cornell wants to play fast. So this
- 20:11Speaker 1: is kind of a collision of styles here as well.
- 20:14Speaker 1: But if you're asking the slow paced team, it's probably
- 20:16Speaker 1: gonna control the pace. Michigan State to lay a huge
- 20:20Speaker 1: number like this in a questionable spot, I wouldn't want
- 20:24Speaker 1: to do it. Uh fifty percent of tickets, ninety seven
- 20:26Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Cornell. I would lean that
- 20:30Speaker 1: way as well, But it's not a it's not something
- 20:34Speaker 1: that I want to do with do anything with it.
- 20:35Speaker 1: All you're predicting that you're saying to lay the points
- 20:40Speaker 1: with the Warriors, No, Curry, is that true. I looked
- 20:44Speaker 1: at the Warriors injury report and I didn't see. All
- 20:47Speaker 1: I saw was that it's a Horford rest day. I mean,
- 20:49Speaker 1: I'll talk about that when I get to the NBA.
- 20:51Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean I don't have a strong opinion
- 20:56Speaker 1: on that one. Well, how do you have the info
- 21:00Speaker 1: if it's not out yet. Yes, I agree the NETS
- 21:02Speaker 1: are off of an upset, so I don't really love
- 21:04Speaker 1: the NETS for that reason. SAB has some inside information here.
- 21:09Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on. Sab. He's spying on everyone.
- 21:12Speaker 1: He's spying on me, He's spying on Steve Kerr. I
- 21:15Speaker 1: don't trust Sab man he disappeared for a week. I
- 21:18Speaker 1: think he's a government spy man.
- 21:21Speaker 2: That's what I think.
- 21:24Speaker 1: I took your place as the NETS whisperer, though I
- 21:27Speaker 1: didn't give out a play on it, but I gave
- 21:28Speaker 1: out a lean on the NETS plus the points against
- 21:31Speaker 1: Minnesota I think it was, and I got that one correct.
- 21:33Speaker 1: So I took your place there, all right. The NETS
- 21:39Speaker 1: game today I don't have a strong opinion on, though
- 21:41Speaker 1: Vandy is playing New Haven here Vandy, I mean another
- 21:46Speaker 1: SEC network game. I mean again, these games are all mismatches.
- 21:50Speaker 1: Vandy went into the break beating Memphis, beating Wake. They
- 21:54Speaker 1: actually bounced back because they didn't play well against Memphis.
- 21:57Speaker 1: They beat Wake soundly, and they do official SEC playing
- 22:01Speaker 1: next against s South Carolina, excuse me, and then Alabama.
- 22:06Speaker 1: South Carolina actually not playing horribly this year, so yeah,
- 22:10Speaker 1: it's a spot where maybe Vandy overlooks New Haven of
- 22:13Speaker 1: love Vandy, they're gonna want to go fast here. Man.
- 22:16Speaker 1: The other problem with Vandy is though, that they just
- 22:19Speaker 1: went into the break undefeated. Are They're one of the
- 22:22Speaker 1: few undefeated teams left to college basketball, And I don't
- 22:25Speaker 1: like that. When you go it's like going into a
- 22:27Speaker 1: bye undefeated. Man, you'd like you want to keep playing
- 22:30Speaker 1: because it could disrupt your momentum. Are they gonna lose
- 22:33Speaker 1: this game? Obviously not? But will they cover a forty
- 22:37Speaker 1: one and a half point spread? I would guess no.
- 22:41Speaker 1: But I think if you want to do anything with
- 22:43Speaker 1: taking the points with New Haven here, I would actually say,
- 22:45Speaker 1: maybe you want to do it in the first half
- 22:47Speaker 1: because you're looking at Vandy coming off that long.
- 22:50Speaker 2: Layoff, so the rust could affect.
- 22:53Speaker 1: Them more in the first half, you know what I mean,
- 22:56Speaker 1: And they might like pull away later. But it is
- 22:59Speaker 1: a game where Vandy probably is not gonna care about
- 23:01Speaker 1: pushing the pace because Vandy does like to play fast.
- 23:04Speaker 1: They're not gonna need to here. New even by the way,
- 23:06Speaker 1: went into the break on an ugly note losing three
- 23:09Speaker 1: games in a row. I think we might have had
- 23:13Speaker 1: to win on one of those with n j T
- 23:15Speaker 1: because New Aven had played pretty well actually against BC
- 23:18Speaker 1: the game before that, but now they're having to go
- 23:20Speaker 1: out on the road again here. It could be a
- 23:22Speaker 1: bounce back for New Haven, but they're just completely outmatched
- 23:25Speaker 1: in this game talent wise, So that's what makes it difficult.
- 23:28Speaker 1: That's one of the reasons it makes it difficult to handicap.
- 23:31Speaker 1: Vandy's a forty one and a halfway favorite. The total
- 23:33Speaker 1: is not high at one forty four because new Even
- 23:36Speaker 1: likes to play really slow. Vandy is gonna want to
- 23:39Speaker 1: speed it up, but the osbeakers are kind of telling
- 23:41Speaker 1: you that they think that the game is not gonna
- 23:44Speaker 1: be that high scoring. So it's like maybe they even
- 23:46Speaker 1: think that Vandy just doesn't really have an incentive to
- 23:49Speaker 1: speed this thing up that much. So I would still
- 23:51Speaker 1: need towards taking the points, which again but that I
- 23:54Speaker 1: feel like I'm a broken record because that's just my default.
- 23:57Speaker 1: So whatever, Kyle, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. Yeah,
- 24:02Speaker 1: SOB must be some sort of insider. I don't know
- 24:04Speaker 1: what's going on. You want the nets against Houston for me?
- 24:08Speaker 1: I mean, I think it depends on what happens with
- 24:10Speaker 1: the Nets game tonight, Like, I think you need to
- 24:12Speaker 1: take into account what did they do in their last
- 24:14Speaker 1: game before you look at the next game. Although, like
- 24:17Speaker 1: you could definitely identify things like this looks like it's
- 24:19Speaker 1: gonna be a bad spot coming up, and then if
- 24:22Speaker 1: it plays out that way, then yeah, definitely jump on it.
- 24:25Speaker 1: Long Island is played Georgia. I know, again, all these
- 24:28Speaker 1: games are just boring, dude, I apologize, the schedule makers
- 24:32Speaker 1: should apologize. Georgia is in the rankings at twenty third.
- 24:37Speaker 1: They're looking pretty good the last couple of years. They're
- 24:39Speaker 1: way better than Long Island. Obviously, I don't think I
- 24:42Speaker 1: need to clarify that. But again, it's one of these
- 24:45Speaker 1: spots where it's the last game before starting conference play.
- 24:48Speaker 1: Georgia plays Auburn and then Florida in the next week
- 24:52Speaker 1: or so, so kind of a look ahead spot there,
- 24:55Speaker 1: I mean, definitely a look ahead spot.
- 24:57Speaker 2: I would say.
- 24:57Speaker 1: Georgia went into the break winning five game in a row,
- 25:00Speaker 1: so again that might stall their momentum. They beat down
- 25:04Speaker 1: one of their in state little brothers in West Georgia.
- 25:07Speaker 1: Not impressive because West Georgia is terrible, but still they
- 25:10Speaker 1: went into the break with momentum that might be stopped
- 25:13Speaker 1: by having too much time off. So yeah, again, it
- 25:17Speaker 1: would be a game where I would lean against the
- 25:18Speaker 1: favorite here. And I haven't gotten to any of my
- 25:21Speaker 1: plays yet. I know my plays are in games that
- 25:24Speaker 1: are back to back on the schedule too. Georgia's at
- 25:27Speaker 1: thirty one and a half here, money coming in on
- 25:29Speaker 1: Long Island for now, for what it's worth, sixty seven
- 25:32Speaker 1: percent tickets, ninety six percent of the cash. And then
- 25:35Speaker 1: the total is that an extreme one hundred and seventy
- 25:38Speaker 1: eight is the total in this game. Crazy high total. Man,
- 25:42Speaker 1: When the total is that high, you know it's telling
- 25:46Speaker 1: you something. The ospects are telling you. They think this
- 25:48Speaker 1: is gonna be a really high scoring game. I think
- 25:49Speaker 1: both teams play fast and or don't play great defense.
- 25:54Speaker 1: But coming out of a long break like this, I
- 25:57Speaker 1: worry about overs, man, because again with the rust, the
- 26:00Speaker 1: offenses can start kind of slow coming out of the break.
- 26:03Speaker 2: So I don't really love the overs.
- 26:05Speaker 1: In spots like this. You have a spy play for me,
- 26:11Speaker 1: a hole underdog. I do not have a home underdog
- 26:14Speaker 1: in the NBA. I hate the NBA board today, to
- 26:17Speaker 1: be honest, you're yeah, you're spying on me. I don't know, man,
- 26:22Speaker 1: You're your intelligence seems to be off on this one though,
- 26:28Speaker 1: Belmont in Indiana State. I was considering this one. I
- 26:31Speaker 1: kind of like Indiana State. In this game. Belmont threw
- 26:35Speaker 1: off to a twelve and one start, and again, when
- 26:37Speaker 1: a team is hot like this and they go into
- 26:38Speaker 1: an extended break, I don't think that's a good thing.
- 26:41Speaker 1: And the way they went into the break crushing you
- 26:44Speaker 1: see Irvine on the road on the Pacific Coast, that
- 26:47Speaker 1: was a huge win for Belmont. Man, Irvine's still a
- 26:50Speaker 1: pretty solid team out there in the Big West. Belmont
- 26:53Speaker 1: massacred them on the road. Man, I think Belmont was favored,
- 26:57Speaker 1: but not by that much, so that must.
- 26:59Speaker 2: Have been I had a pretty I don't know, what's
- 27:02Speaker 2: what's the word I'm looking.
- 27:03Speaker 1: For, Like, you gotta be feeling pretty good about yourselves
- 27:05Speaker 1: after that win. Satisfying win, I think is the word
- 27:09Speaker 1: I was looking for. I dude, stroke right, and I
- 27:12Speaker 1: can't do anything anymore. Now. Belmont has this mediocre Indiana
- 27:16Speaker 1: State team here, which, yes, I know it is a
- 27:18Speaker 1: conference game, but Belmont's already two and oh in the
- 27:21Speaker 1: Missouri Valley here, Indiana State's zero and two. I'll just
- 27:24Speaker 1: start conference play, but I'll talk about them in a minute.
- 27:27Speaker 1: Belmont has a huge game up next against Bradley. Bradley
- 27:31Speaker 1: is gonna be one of their biggest competition to win
- 27:33Speaker 1: this conference. So I think it is kind of a
- 27:35Speaker 1: sandwich spot for Belmont here and for Indiana State. Yeah,
- 27:40Speaker 1: they're you.
- 27:41Speaker 2: Know, they're not as good as Belmont.
- 27:42Speaker 1: Obviously, when we know this Indiana State, they'll look at
- 27:45Speaker 1: their two games in conference so far. They lost to
- 27:47Speaker 1: Bradley and they lost to Illinois State, and those are
- 27:50Speaker 1: two of the top teams in the conference.
- 27:52Speaker 2: They're both two and oh in conference.
- 27:54Speaker 1: So Indiana State started out conference play with a really
- 27:57Speaker 1: difficult pair of games. And by the way, Bradley they
- 28:01Speaker 1: lost my nine. They took Bradley into triple overtime in
- 28:05Speaker 1: that game. So Indiana State played really well against Bradley,
- 28:08Speaker 1: and then you know, it was kind of predictable that
- 28:12Speaker 1: they had a flat spot after that and they lost
- 28:14Speaker 1: by twenty to a pretty solid Illinois State team coming
- 28:18Speaker 1: off a triple ot game where they almost beat Bradley.
- 28:21Speaker 1: I think they basically had nothing left now after the break,
- 28:23Speaker 1: I think they are going to show up for this
- 28:26Speaker 1: home game against Belmont, although I will say Belmont I
- 28:30Speaker 1: believe is actually the best team in this conference. If
- 28:32Speaker 1: you look at like ken BOM's numbers and whatever, I'm
- 28:34Speaker 1: pretty sure he has them as the highest ranked team
- 28:37Speaker 1: in the entire conference, with I believe Bradley's second. So
- 28:41Speaker 1: take that for what it's worth, I guess, but this
- 28:43Speaker 1: will be one of Indiana State's most difficult games. Indiana
- 28:46Speaker 1: State did play Duke earlier in the year, so that
- 28:49Speaker 1: was obviously the best team they played, although their schedule
- 28:52Speaker 1: has been fairly weak other than that. But they've had
- 28:53Speaker 1: a strong slate of opponents since conference play has started,
- 28:58Speaker 1: so I lean to Indiana's in that one. I was
- 29:01Speaker 1: considering putting it on my putting it on my card.
- 29:03Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do it. But the line's already dropping
- 29:06Speaker 1: from my eight and a half down to seven on
- 29:08Speaker 1: Belmont here, So as I talk about, seven is kind
- 29:11Speaker 1: of a key number in basketball because teams stop intentionally
- 29:14Speaker 1: fouling around that point because it's a three possession UH deficit.
- 29:19Speaker 1: There seventy five percent of tickets ninety six percent of
- 29:22Speaker 1: the casual on Belmont, but I would take the points
- 29:24Speaker 1: with Indiana State in that game. Yes, you got to
- 29:27Speaker 1: improve your spy system, man, you need to, you gotta. Yeah,
- 29:33Speaker 1: you need some better intelligence sources.
- 29:34Speaker 2: Man, I don't know.
- 29:36Speaker 1: I don't have any early picks, Genghis.
- 29:38Speaker 2: What's up?
- 29:38Speaker 1: Man?
- 29:38Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. I have nothing in the early slate.
- 29:41Speaker 1: Man, it's just a it's a lot of mismatch games.
- 29:44Speaker 2: I just don't love it.
- 29:45Speaker 1: Oh, for March madness, you mean like like you want,
- 29:49Speaker 1: you want like futures from me. I thought you meant
- 29:51Speaker 1: like the early board today. I misread that futures for
- 29:54Speaker 1: March Madness. You know, Purdue seems to be pretty under
- 30:01Speaker 1: the radar right now. Man. Purdue still has a massive
- 30:04Speaker 1: amount of experience of ridiculously experienced backcourt. They're one of
- 30:08Speaker 1: the only like Power Conference teams that brought back like
- 30:12Speaker 1: multi year like three or four multi year starters.
- 30:15Speaker 2: So that's gonna matter when it gets to March Madness.
- 30:17Speaker 1: And now that they've basically just because they took that
- 30:20Speaker 1: blowout loss to Iowa State, it seems like nobody's talking
- 30:23Speaker 1: about Purdue right now. And I know Purdue, they had
- 30:26Speaker 1: that history of being really bad in the tournament, but
- 30:28Speaker 1: they they kind of busted out of that two years
- 30:31Speaker 1: ago when they made the championship game. So I kind
- 30:35Speaker 1: of like Purdue, I think they're kind of under the radar,
- 30:37Speaker 1: and I think Houston is actually under the radar right
- 30:39Speaker 1: now too, Like those are two really, really formidable teams
- 30:42Speaker 1: that people are just not talking about right now. Everybody's
- 30:45Speaker 1: talking about Iowa State because of that win over Purdue.
- 30:49Speaker 1: Everybody's talking about Duke of course, because they're always up
- 30:53Speaker 1: there a Michigan, Connecticut, you know those teams. But yeah,
- 30:58Speaker 1: I think Purdue Houston, those two teams are kind of
- 31:01Speaker 1: being a little bit overlooked right now. And to me,
- 31:03Speaker 1: right now, it's a cluster like amongst the top ten
- 31:06Speaker 1: or zoo teams, Like there's no real It's not like
- 31:09Speaker 1: last year where everything was like massively top heavy. I
- 31:12Speaker 1: think this year I'm seeing like maybe almost even like
- 31:16Speaker 1: a dozen teams that I could see potentially being the
- 31:18Speaker 1: champion this year.
- 31:20Speaker 2: So it's kind of crazy.
- 31:21Speaker 1: Man, you put in the wars just because of SOB
- 31:27Speaker 1: good luck with that. I have not seen anything about
- 31:30Speaker 1: the Curry thing yet. I just know that Curry's brother
- 31:33Speaker 1: is still on the injury report. Oh, the Pelicans against
- 31:37Speaker 1: the Knicks. I lean that way, but it's not a
- 31:39Speaker 1: play that I have. Thank you Kyle, thank you Ganghis. Yeah,
- 31:46Speaker 1: hell yeah, dude. I might start doing bracketology stuff, man,
- 31:49Speaker 1: because I put out like a bracketology spreadsheet and nobody
- 31:52Speaker 1: seems to really care. But I try to do my
- 31:54Speaker 1: own bracketology. I think I'm pretty much like close to
- 31:58Speaker 1: as good as Monard and whatever.
- 32:00Speaker 2: I mean, we have all these.
- 32:01Speaker 1: Sources out there now you can kind of figure it out.
- 32:04Speaker 1: But I'm better because I go with like, who I
- 32:06Speaker 1: think is actually the best team in the smaller conferences,
- 32:09Speaker 1: rather than going with, oh, this team's just currently winning
- 32:12Speaker 1: this conference.
- 32:13Speaker 2: I don't do that.
- 32:14Speaker 1: I try to predict who's actually gonna win the conference.
- 32:17Speaker 1: So I do stuff like that as well. Maybe I'll
- 32:19Speaker 1: start doing those on like Sundays or something. I didn't
- 32:22Speaker 1: do well in the tournament. The March this year was
- 32:25Speaker 1: one of my worst months that I've ever had, which
- 32:28Speaker 1: it's amazing that I've bounced back like. We've been so
- 32:31Speaker 1: hot since September. It's been crazy, man. College basketball has
- 32:34Speaker 1: been really good this season so far.
- 32:38Speaker 2: Garrett, what's up?
- 32:38Speaker 1: Man? You hit on the forty nine, Caleb Williams over
- 32:42Speaker 1: on his rushing yards. Yeah, McCaffrey destroyed that even though
- 32:47Speaker 1: he was getting gassed, man, and they had to keep
- 32:49Speaker 1: resting a huge game that was like that was the
- 32:52Speaker 1: game where like all the overs are gonna hit man.
- 32:55Speaker 1: That was just bad defense on both sides, you know,
- 32:58Speaker 1: an injured defense on one side. No, I like the
- 33:04Speaker 1: Pelicans in that game. The Knicks being great is that's
- 33:09Speaker 1: you know, that has nothing to do with the individual
- 33:12Speaker 1: game situation that they're in. I mean, that's just factoring
- 33:15Speaker 1: into the line. Everybody knows the Knicks are good when
- 33:21Speaker 1: they haven't played a conference game yet. North Carolina plays
- 33:25Speaker 1: Florida State tomorrow. Florida State is not good, man, but
- 33:30Speaker 1: North Carolina may overlook them. Who knows. Oh, Kyle and
- 33:34Speaker 1: Tyson or your guys, Thank you, mister Pinsy. I don't
- 33:38Speaker 1: want to start a cult here, man, I'm still a Christian.
- 33:41Speaker 1: Don't worship me, worship God, but hopefully I can give
- 33:45Speaker 1: you out some good, good information here on this on
- 33:47Speaker 1: this show, man. But I definitely appreciate it. Thank you,
- 33:50Speaker 1: mister Pinsy. Kyle, Yes, you guys are my acolytes. Kyle's
- 33:56Speaker 1: an a Kyle Light.
- 33:58Speaker 2: Yeah, you guys could send people my way.
- 34:01Speaker 1: Sometimes they get really angry on the show. And I'm
- 34:03Speaker 1: a huge dick to people though, just because I'm really
- 34:05Speaker 1: stubborn when I disagree, So I apologize.
- 34:08Speaker 2: It's the way that I am.
- 34:09Speaker 1: Man. All right, let's get to my actual plays. Man,
- 34:11Speaker 1: this is gonna be a long stream, but I appreciate
- 34:13Speaker 1: all the interaction, man. And we don't have anything until
- 34:16Speaker 1: the afternoon, so it's all right. First, best bet, I'm
- 34:21Speaker 1: trying to limit myself. Man, I'm trying to go with
- 34:23Speaker 1: the best. We're gonna take Lipscomb again, one of the
- 34:26Speaker 1: worst named colleges out there in college of basketball, lipscum,
- 34:31Speaker 1: but we're gonna do it. Man. Lipscomb plus thirteen and
- 34:34Speaker 1: a half against Cincinnati. This is a weird, weird game actually,
- 34:39Speaker 1: just in that both teams are like mirror images of
- 34:43Speaker 1: each other, even though Cincinnati is obviously the better of
- 34:45Speaker 1: the two teams. But both teams are teams that play fast,
- 34:49Speaker 1: but they're better on defense than offense, which is bizarre.
- 34:53Speaker 1: It's like Saint John's basically, but Cincinnati is like an
- 34:56Speaker 1: extreme version of that. Where first off, if you see
- 35:00Speaker 1: teams that both played pretty good defense and they're both
- 35:02Speaker 1: bad offensively. I mean that to me right away, has
- 35:06Speaker 1: we kind of looking towards the underdog because I'm like, well,
- 35:08Speaker 1: there's gonna be less scoring. You know, it's gonna be
- 35:10Speaker 1: a lower scoring game. That means the points are worth more.
- 35:13Speaker 1: So we start looking that way. This total is not
- 35:15Speaker 1: that low. It's at one hundred and fifty two because yeah,
- 35:18Speaker 1: these teams do play fast. But looking at the situation,
- 35:21Speaker 1: I think this is a spot to go with Lipscomb.
- 35:24Speaker 1: Lipscomb is on my good side right now because they
- 35:26Speaker 1: covered for one of my plays against Duke not that
- 35:29Speaker 1: long ago. They played pretty well against Duke, and that
- 35:33Speaker 1: is part of the handicap here is that Lipscomb they're
- 35:35Speaker 1: not gonna be intimidated playing Cincinnati, man. I mean, look
- 35:38Speaker 1: at the schedule Lipscomb has faced so far, Like, yeah,
- 35:41Speaker 1: they're seven and five, but they had games at Vandy
- 35:44Speaker 1: at Belmont where they only lost by seven. Belmont's pretty good.
- 35:48Speaker 1: They played at Duke, I believe, yeah, and that was
- 35:51Speaker 1: the game where they covered for us, So they're somewhat
- 35:54Speaker 1: battle testing. So they're not gonna be intimidated playing Cincinnati, man.
- 35:58Speaker 1: And this is gonna be a big game for them.
- 36:00Speaker 1: Lipskumb went into the break beating some non Division one team.
- 36:05Speaker 2: Which is what it is.
- 36:06Speaker 1: I wouldn't say that they exactly went into the break
- 36:08Speaker 1: on a note that was so good that it's gonna
- 36:11Speaker 1: stop their momentum or anything like that. I think it's
- 36:14Speaker 1: gonna serve them well to have a game where they're
- 36:16Speaker 1: gonna step up for a game. They get to play
- 36:18Speaker 1: a power conference team, and it's not a great power
- 36:20Speaker 1: conference team in Cincinnati. Although I know Cincinnati is good
- 36:23Speaker 1: at home, they're seven and one at home. Cincinnati really
- 36:27Speaker 1: has not played a difficult schedule, though they had a
- 36:30Speaker 1: decent win there against Dayton.
- 36:32Speaker 2: They played okay in a loss against Louisville.
- 36:34Speaker 1: They had a weird loss to Eastern Michigan in there.
- 36:37Speaker 1: They lost at Xavier, who's really not that good this year,
- 36:40Speaker 1: and they lost pretty badly at home to Georgia. Then
- 36:44Speaker 1: Cincinnati going into the break. As you can see right here,
- 36:48Speaker 1: they had a huge comeback against Clemson Man in the
- 36:52Speaker 1: Greenville Invitational. Huge game for them against Clemson. Clemson obviously
- 36:58Speaker 1: was the better team. Clemson was a huge favored in
- 37:00Speaker 1: that game against Cincinnati, I'm pretty sure. And Clemson was
- 37:03Speaker 1: blowing them out of the building. They had a twenty
- 37:05Speaker 1: seven point lead, and Cincinnati did not go away, and
- 37:09Speaker 1: they put in a massive effort to come back in
- 37:11Speaker 1: that game just to.
- 37:12Speaker 2: Still fall short.
- 37:13Speaker 1: That is brutal, man. And yes, I know they went
- 37:16Speaker 1: into a break after that. The holiday break maybe can
- 37:19Speaker 1: help you kind of overcome that. But I still think
- 37:21Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot, man. I mean it's tough
- 37:24Speaker 1: to overcome a game like that, man, where maybe you're
- 37:26Speaker 1: just thinking about that game all week, like we almost
- 37:29Speaker 1: won that game. How do we blow that game? Now
- 37:31Speaker 1: you get an Atlantic Sun team coming into your place.
- 37:34Speaker 1: And by the way, next in the next like four
- 37:37Speaker 1: or five days, you gotta start conference play by playing Houston.
- 37:41Speaker 1: That is a major look ahead spot as well. Man.
- 37:43Speaker 1: So this is a sandwich spot. We are gonna jump
- 37:46Speaker 1: in and take lipscumb in this one. If this game,
- 37:49Speaker 1: if there was no break coming off of that Clemson game,
- 37:51Speaker 1: like if this game was like three four days later,
- 37:53Speaker 1: I would like this even more. But I still like it.
- 37:56Speaker 1: We're gonna take Lipscumb plus the points there. I still
- 37:59Speaker 1: think it's gonna be really tough for Cincinnati to get
- 38:01Speaker 1: back up off the mad after that, and Cincinnati is
- 38:04Speaker 1: just not that good. Ken Bomb actually, I believe has
- 38:07Speaker 1: this game lined at closer over to like ten or eleven.
- 38:11Speaker 1: He's got Cincinnati outside of the top seventy and again
- 38:15Speaker 1: really really good defensively.
- 38:17Speaker 2: This is like.
- 38:18Speaker 1: Cincinnati is just such an extremely imbalanced team, man. Ken
- 38:22Speaker 1: Bom has them in the top ten defensively and outside.
- 38:25Speaker 2: Of the top two hundred offensively.
- 38:28Speaker 1: So again, that's not a profile that you want when
- 38:30Speaker 1: you're laying points either. A team that can't score and
- 38:33Speaker 1: they play good defense, and yeah, they play.
- 38:35Speaker 2: Fast, which is bizarre.
- 38:36Speaker 1: He does have them as a very unlucky team though,
- 38:40Speaker 1: so as far as the luck index, yeah, that is
- 38:42Speaker 1: a team that maybe usually you want to look to
- 38:46Speaker 1: start having some positive regression, but in this case, I'm
- 38:48Speaker 1: not going with that. Lipscomb is the more balanced team.
- 38:51Speaker 1: At least they're not as extreme between defense and offense.
- 38:54Speaker 1: There's still a better defensive team, but I like a
- 38:57Speaker 1: team that focuses on defense getting points man. And yeah,
- 39:01Speaker 1: both teams play fast, so the tempo isn't really gonna
- 39:04Speaker 1: throw Lipscomb off or anything like that, because they also
- 39:06Speaker 1: like to play at that tempo, Lipscomb's just middle of
- 39:10Speaker 1: the pack and luck but ken Bum does have them
- 39:12Speaker 1: top one hundred in strength of schedule, so Lipscomb is
- 39:17Speaker 1: not faced an easy schedule so far. So yeah, we're
- 39:21Speaker 1: going with Lipscomb in that one. No, I did not
- 39:26Speaker 1: talk about the Penn State game. I mean, if you
- 39:28Speaker 1: want me to, I will, but it's like I don't
- 39:31Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on that at all. All Right,
- 39:33Speaker 1: hopefully we can get this one. Yeah, Lipscomb is not bad.
- 39:37Speaker 1: They're maybe the best team in their small conference that
- 39:40Speaker 1: they're in there. They've made the tournament twice I think
- 39:43Speaker 1: in the last three or four years out of that conference,
- 39:46Speaker 1: so their program is definitely in a pretty good state.
- 39:51Speaker 1: Right now. Let's say, and I don't mean the state
- 39:53Speaker 1: of Tennessee, which is where they're located. Penn State in
- 39:56Speaker 1: this early game on Big Ten Network, I mean Penn State.
- 40:01Speaker 1: I would not look to fade them here. I mean
- 40:03Speaker 1: they went into the break on a horrific note, getting
- 40:05Speaker 1: absolutely annihilated by Pitt And if you remember, that was
- 40:08Speaker 1: a win for us on the show. I gave up
- 40:10Speaker 1: Pitt in that game, and I gave up Penn State
- 40:13Speaker 1: in the game before that as well, Penn State covered
- 40:17Speaker 1: in almost one outright against Michigan State. It was a
- 40:20Speaker 1: huge name from them, which is why I said fade
- 40:22Speaker 1: them in the next game, because they were just coming
- 40:24Speaker 1: up that monster effort, falling just short. I thought they
- 40:27Speaker 1: were gonna be hugely flat in the next game, and
- 40:30Speaker 1: yeah they were. But now I think it's actually good
- 40:33Speaker 1: that they're coming out of a break. They went into
- 40:35Speaker 1: the break on a horrific note. I mean, that is embarrassing,
- 40:38Speaker 1: losing by almost forty points to a pretty mediocre pit team.
- 40:44Speaker 1: So I actually expect them to show up in this game,
- 40:46Speaker 1: even though yeah, they start big ten play next, which
- 40:49Speaker 1: would worry me a little bit if I was gonna
- 40:50Speaker 1: lay the points to Penn State here. But yeah, they
- 40:53Speaker 1: faced Illinois, Michigan, Purdue, that is a huge slate of
- 40:56Speaker 1: opponents something next. But they just went into the break
- 40:59Speaker 1: on such a bad note, dude, that I just don't
- 41:01Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook their opponent completely. Here NC Central,
- 41:06Speaker 1: they actually went in on a better note. They played
- 41:09Speaker 1: pretty tough against Longwood along with it was a road
- 41:12Speaker 1: favorite in that game, I believe at NC Central. N
- 41:15Speaker 1: C Central played them pretty close Longwood's not a bad team,
- 41:18Speaker 1: so NC Central's coming off that, Yes, this is gonna
- 41:21Speaker 1: be a bigger game for them. Yeah, Longwood has actually
- 41:24Speaker 1: faced a pretty difficult schedule. They've done okay in some
- 41:27Speaker 1: of these games where they've face better teams, I guess,
- 41:32Speaker 1: But so they're not.
- 41:34Speaker 2: Gonna be intimidated. But you know, I mean, I don't know.
- 41:37Speaker 1: I think I would probably lay the points to Penn
- 41:39Speaker 1: State if I was gonna play that game at all,
- 41:41Speaker 1: which I do not want to.
- 41:43Speaker 2: They're up to a twenty four and a half point favorites.
- 41:45Speaker 1: You are losing some value on that, and it's a
- 41:47Speaker 1: pretty low total at one forty nine, So it makes
- 41:50Speaker 1: me love laying the points a little bit less there.
- 41:54Speaker 1: The numbers not gigantic here, seventy one percent of tickets
- 41:59Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the on Penn State don't buy
- 42:01Speaker 1: that cash percentage, but I do think the actual money
- 42:04Speaker 1: might be coming in on the Penn State side, agreeing
- 42:06Speaker 1: with me. So those are my thoughts on that game.
- 42:10Speaker 1: One of the few games where I'm not defaulting to
- 42:12Speaker 1: leaning towards the underdog because I just see a little
- 42:15Speaker 1: bit of an indicator that we should look otherwise. Next
- 42:19Speaker 1: up is my other best bet. We're gonna be on
- 42:22Speaker 1: Wright State money line. If you want to lay the points,
- 42:26Speaker 1: you could do it minus one and a half, minus
- 42:28Speaker 1: two whatever. If it gets to minus two and a half,
- 42:30Speaker 1: I would say, then you want to lay the points
- 42:32Speaker 1: instead of laying the money line. But as I've talked about,
- 42:35Speaker 1: the professionals will tell you that it's actually plus. It's
- 42:38Speaker 1: more plus ev expected value, specifically in college basketball, to
- 42:43Speaker 1: lay money line prices on teams that are favored by.
- 42:46Speaker 2: One, one and a half or two.
- 42:49Speaker 1: I don't know why that is exactly, but that is
- 42:51Speaker 1: the case. So I've tried to get in the habit
- 42:52Speaker 1: of doing that, even though you're paying a little bit
- 42:54Speaker 1: more for it. Wright State is going to be the
- 42:56Speaker 1: play here. I know we're fading an Oakland team that
- 42:59Speaker 1: has faced a really difficult schedule. I know, but Oakland's
- 43:03Speaker 1: record has started to look a little bit better now,
- 43:05Speaker 1: so I think they're getting into territory where we could
- 43:07Speaker 1: fade them. And yes, they're very battle tested. I mean,
- 43:10Speaker 1: they started out the season facing Michigan, Purdue Houston on
- 43:14Speaker 1: the road.
- 43:14Speaker 2: They actually played.
- 43:15Speaker 1: Pretty well against Purdue, so yes, they're battle tested. You know,
- 43:18Speaker 1: They're not going to be intimidated at all by playing
- 43:21Speaker 1: Right State, of course, but that's.
- 43:22Speaker 2: Actually kind of the problem.
- 43:24Speaker 1: The problem is they might overlook Right Stand and look
- 43:26Speaker 1: at how Oakland went into the break. Man. Then one
- 43:29Speaker 1: on the road against Northern Kentucky, I think as a
- 43:31Speaker 1: slight dog in that game. Northern Kentucky is also in
- 43:35Speaker 1: this conference and they're also not bad, so that was
- 43:37Speaker 1: a nice win for Oakland there. Then Oakland had their
- 43:41Speaker 1: huge in state little big brother game here against Michigan State,
- 43:45Speaker 1: I think the biggest game on Oakland's entire schedule, and
- 43:49Speaker 1: really just because it's Michigan State and Oakland is in
- 43:52Speaker 1: the Detroit area. This game was a neutral site game
- 43:55Speaker 1: at the Pistons Arena there in Detroit. As you can
- 43:58Speaker 1: see here in Oakland did not go away in that
- 44:01Speaker 1: game at all. Man, Oakland, I think they were actually
- 44:03Speaker 1: winning the game really in the game. I think the
- 44:05Speaker 1: game was like tied or really close at halftime, and
- 44:08Speaker 1: Oakland never really went away. Man. They were within two
- 44:11Speaker 1: three possessions almost the whole way, only lost by nine.
- 44:15Speaker 1: That was a monster performance. And I know they went
- 44:17Speaker 1: into the Christmas break after that, so they do have
- 44:20Speaker 1: some time off. I would like this a little bit
- 44:21Speaker 1: better if they were playing three or four days later,
- 44:24Speaker 1: but that is still a really tough game to come
- 44:26Speaker 1: off of man huge performance. Now they get this Right
- 44:30Speaker 1: State team that I actually think is a little bit
- 44:31Speaker 1: under the radar. Right now are there only one on
- 44:34Speaker 1: one in conference. They're below five hundred and Youngstown status
- 44:38Speaker 1: who Oakland has next in a couple of days. Youngstown
- 44:41Speaker 1: has been one of the teams fighting, you know, in
- 44:44Speaker 1: the mix for the horizon. Basically the last few years
- 44:46Speaker 1: Youngstown they seem to be right there and then like
- 44:49Speaker 1: always fall short in the conference tournament. But young sounds
- 44:52Speaker 1: off to a decent starting conference play two and one.
- 44:55Speaker 1: They're above five hundred, so it is possible Oakland might
- 44:58Speaker 1: even be looking ahead to that a little bit. And
- 45:00Speaker 1: the other reason I like this is that Right State
- 45:02Speaker 1: comes into this game off of a bad performance that
- 45:05Speaker 1: they went into the break barely beating Eastern Michigan. Eastern
- 45:09Speaker 1: Michigan is not very good. Right State was a pretty
- 45:11Speaker 1: big favorite in that game, and they came close to
- 45:14Speaker 1: losing the game and almost won by six. So I
- 45:17Speaker 1: only won by six, excuse me? So I think then
- 45:21Speaker 1: in a game like that when a favorite doesn't really
- 45:23Speaker 1: play that well, they actually tend to focus more and
- 45:26Speaker 1: play better in the next game. So, yeah, we're gonna
- 45:28Speaker 1: lay the point, or excuse me, we're gonna play right
- 45:30Speaker 1: State on the money line. But dude, I apologize again
- 45:33Speaker 1: because I look at these games like this is like
- 45:36Speaker 1: literally an hour ago, I was looking at this game
- 45:38Speaker 1: and then the number was at two when.
- 45:40Speaker 2: Ow, it's three and a half.
- 45:41Speaker 1: I absolutely apologize, man, I mean, it seems like the
- 45:44Speaker 1: money is agreeing with me. And in college basketball, professional
- 45:48Speaker 1: money can come in on a game like this is
- 45:50Speaker 1: the public is not looking at at all, and the
- 45:52Speaker 1: professional money is just gonna come in and pound it,
- 45:54Speaker 1: you know what I mean.
- 45:56Speaker 2: So I apologize for that.
- 45:58Speaker 1: But if you want to lay the points with right
- 45:59Speaker 1: now State, that is probably still what I would do.
- 46:02Speaker 1: I'd probably still lay it. Uh, probably wouldn't want to
- 46:05Speaker 1: lay more than three to three and a half on it, though.
- 46:06Speaker 1: I think ken Bum has this game at about somewhere
- 46:10Speaker 1: around three I believe is where he has this. He
- 46:13Speaker 1: has these two teams really close to each other, and
- 46:15Speaker 1: they're both almost exactly the same team too. They're both
- 46:18Speaker 1: slightly better defensively than offensively, they're both fairly slow paced teams.
- 46:24Speaker 1: Or no, wait, excuse me, they're not. What am I saying?
- 46:26Speaker 2: Wright State plays slow?
- 46:27Speaker 1: Excuse me?
- 46:28Speaker 2: Oakland plays fast? My mistake one of my I don't
- 46:30Speaker 2: know what I was looking at. What was I say?
- 46:31Speaker 2: I was thinking of Lipskum?
- 46:32Speaker 1: Maybe I forget, but yeah, I apologize. Oakland is actually way,
- 46:38Speaker 1: way worse defensively than offensively. So actually, yeah, Oakland profiles
- 46:42Speaker 1: is a team that you do want to fade more
- 46:44Speaker 1: often than not, because I don't like these teams that
- 46:46Speaker 1: are fast and all offense and they don't play defense
- 46:49Speaker 1: at all, and that is what Oakland is. They're also
- 46:52Speaker 1: pretty high in Kim Bum's luck intox sixty, whereas a
- 46:56Speaker 1: Right State, by the way, is a three sixty five.
- 46:59Speaker 1: So he has Right State is literally the unluckiest team
- 47:03Speaker 1: in all of college basketball, I believe right now in
- 47:05Speaker 1: all of D one, which means that Right State is
- 47:09Speaker 1: significantly better than the record looks. And he's saying that
- 47:12Speaker 1: Oakland is actually worse than what they look like, so
- 47:16Speaker 1: expected positive regression from Right State.
- 47:18Speaker 2: So I like that.
- 47:19Speaker 1: Yes, Oakland has played the way more difficult schedule. I
- 47:22Speaker 1: know that Right States has been mediocre as far as difficulty,
- 47:26Speaker 1: but yeah, that luck index thing, there's a huge disparity there,
- 47:30Speaker 1: So I like that taking a team it's underperformed, so
- 47:32Speaker 1: vargains a team that's overperformed Right State. If they slow
- 47:35Speaker 1: the game down, it's gonna frustrate Oakland because Oakland wants.
- 47:39Speaker 2: To go fast. So we have that going for us
- 47:42Speaker 2: as well.
- 47:43Speaker 1: And Right State is a significantly better defense as well,
- 47:46Speaker 1: which usually I like the better defense getting points. But
- 47:49Speaker 1: in this case, we're going with it anyway because it's
- 47:51Speaker 1: almost a pick the winner. I mean, in my case
- 47:53Speaker 1: it is because I found a money lion price that
- 47:55Speaker 1: was good on it. But yeah, you could probably still
- 47:58Speaker 1: find three right now, that's probably what I would still do.
- 48:01Speaker 1: Lay it with Wright State. I have not talked about
- 48:04Speaker 1: the bowl game yet. That bowl game is really really weird, man.
- 48:08Speaker 1: I will I will say that I'm talking about the
- 48:12Speaker 1: bowl game last, although I don't know when is the
- 48:14Speaker 1: bowl game. It's in the afternoon, right, yeah, it's a
- 48:16Speaker 1: two PM. We're fine. I want to get this shit
- 48:19Speaker 1: done obviously. Yeah. I mean, if you want me to
- 48:23Speaker 1: talk about any of these like undercard games here, I will.
- 48:26Speaker 1: Other I felt like there was like one other game
- 48:28Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about the games where I kind of
- 48:30Speaker 1: had like, oh, this is interesting. Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State.
- 48:36Speaker 1: I noticed this game because I'm like, oh, Western Kentucky
- 48:40Speaker 1: they just played really well against Tulsa. Tulsa's been on
- 48:43Speaker 1: fire to start the season. Even though I think Tulsa
- 48:46Speaker 1: they're not quite as good as their record looks.
- 48:48Speaker 2: Because they faced an easy schedule.
- 48:49Speaker 1: But still, that was a big game for Western Kentucky
- 48:53Speaker 1: against a one lost Tulsa team. Western Kentucky fell just short.
- 48:58Speaker 1: I think Tulsa was a small favorite on the road
- 49:00Speaker 1: in that game, and Western Kentucky almost got the win,
- 49:03Speaker 1: and that's how they went into the break. So it's
- 49:05Speaker 1: a pretty difficult spot for Western Kentucky to come off
- 49:08Speaker 1: that game. But then I looked at Jacksonville State here
- 49:10Speaker 1: and I'm like, oh, man, yeah, this does seem like
- 49:13Speaker 1: a football game. By the way, Western Kentucky Jacksonville State
- 49:17Speaker 1: two of its top teams in the CUSA and football.
- 49:20Speaker 1: But Jacksonville State they're coming off a huge win themselves.
- 49:24Speaker 1: They pulled off an upset at East Tennessee State. East
- 49:27Speaker 1: Tennessee State was a big favorite in that game, man,
- 49:31Speaker 1: probably double digits, and Jacksonville State pulled off that upset.
- 49:34Speaker 2: That was a monster upset. So that's the way they went.
- 49:37Speaker 1: Into the holiday break. They could be in a bit
- 49:39Speaker 1: of a letdown spot off of that. So I can't
- 49:42Speaker 1: play either team in this one, man, And that's what
- 49:44Speaker 1: I looked at when I saw this game. The money
- 49:46Speaker 1: is coming in towards Jacksonville State, but I I don't know, man,
- 49:51Speaker 1: I actually think Western Kentucky is probably in the easier
- 49:53Speaker 1: spot to bounce back from. Western Kentucky is a minus
- 49:58Speaker 1: three here, fifty percent of tickets on them, eighty two
- 50:00Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Jacksonville State. I don't know.
- 50:04Speaker 1: I slightly disagree with that. I just think the spot
- 50:06Speaker 1: is worse for Jacksonville State. But I'm not gonna come
- 50:09Speaker 1: in and touch that one at all. What else do
- 50:12Speaker 1: we have here? And again, if you want me to
- 50:15Speaker 1: talk about one of these other games that I haven't
- 50:16Speaker 1: talked about, I will. I feel like there was one
- 50:19Speaker 1: other game that I noticed, Oh it's later on in
- 50:21Speaker 1: the schedule. I'll talk about it in a minute. We
- 50:23Speaker 1: do some other like ranked teams here going up in
- 50:27Speaker 1: the you know, going up against bad teams in the
- 50:30Speaker 1: late schedule. Here we have Iowa State and ranked third
- 50:32Speaker 1: in the country, against Houston Christian. Houston Christian went into
- 50:36Speaker 1: the break on three straight losses, so they went into
- 50:39Speaker 1: the break on a bad note, which I think is
- 50:41Speaker 1: a good thing. It could help them disrupt their momentum.
- 50:43Speaker 1: But Iowa State is just so much better than they are.
- 50:46Speaker 1: Iowa State did go into the break on a really
- 50:48Speaker 1: good note. I mean, they're still undefeated, so again, you
- 50:52Speaker 1: don't want to have a break when you're undefeated, man,
- 50:54Speaker 1: I mean, it could just hurt your momentum. They start
- 50:56Speaker 1: conference playing next though it is only against West virgin Yeah,
- 50:59Speaker 1: which is not the biggest of games, but if I
- 51:04Speaker 1: was gonna play it at all, I'd probably default to
- 51:07Speaker 1: my love of underdogs in fade Iowa State here. They're
- 51:10Speaker 1: number from thirty six and a half to thirty five.
- 51:12Speaker 1: Total is actually surprisingly pretty low at one hundred and
- 51:15Speaker 1: forty five and a half. Although I thought Iowa State
- 51:18Speaker 1: like to play fast. They do. They're in the top
- 51:21Speaker 1: one hundred and tempo, so interesting to see this total
- 51:24Speaker 1: being as low as it is. Oddsmaker is kind of
- 51:26Speaker 1: expecting Iowa State to maybe not really push it in
- 51:29Speaker 1: this game, which that is what you want when you're
- 51:32Speaker 1: looking at the under when you want the underdog here,
- 51:34Speaker 1: you don't want the fast tempo favorite to really have
- 51:38Speaker 1: a reason to go all out in this game. And again,
- 51:40Speaker 1: coming off that layoff, Iowa State could be a little
- 51:43Speaker 1: bit rusty on offense coming into that one too. So
- 51:47Speaker 1: that is that Middle Tennessee is facing Houston. Middle Tennessee
- 51:51Speaker 1: I think is a little bit down this like right
- 51:53Speaker 1: now in basketball. I think they're really down in football
- 51:56Speaker 1: though Houston's ranked eighth in the country. Kenbom actually has
- 51:59Speaker 1: some right now. But you know me, I love Houston.
- 52:02Speaker 1: I just love the way that they play, like physical,
- 52:05Speaker 1: focus on defense. I think they're almost always undervalued because
- 52:08Speaker 1: of that too, because they play slow, ugly basketball. But
- 52:12Speaker 1: the problem with that is when you're laying a huge
- 52:14Speaker 1: amount of points like Houston is here, that is not
- 52:18Speaker 1: a style that's conducive to covering like that. Houston had
- 52:20Speaker 1: a nice win over ranked Arkansas going into the holiday break,
- 52:25Speaker 1: so they went in on a really good note. The
- 52:27Speaker 1: break could disrupt their momentum. They had five wins in
- 52:30Speaker 1: a row. They only have one loss on the season,
- 52:32Speaker 1: and it was Tennessee in tournament revenge Houston's you know,
- 52:37Speaker 1: they start conference playing next with Cincinnati, which hilariously will
- 52:41Speaker 1: be Houston's first true road game of the season. That
- 52:45Speaker 1: is wild that Houston has not played a true road
- 52:47Speaker 1: game yet. If I was gonna play this game, I
- 52:50Speaker 1: would lean towards Middle Tennessee plus the points. I don't
- 52:53Speaker 1: want to do it, but they went into the break
- 52:55Speaker 1: on a decent note as well. They beat a non
- 52:57Speaker 1: Division one team for their second straight win going into it,
- 53:01Speaker 1: So to me, the spot is worse for Houston. They're
- 53:03Speaker 1: laying twenty nine points and the totals low at one
- 53:06Speaker 1: hundred and thirty five, so taking the points makes sense
- 53:11Speaker 1: to me in that one. Tyson, what's up man? Thanks
- 53:13Speaker 1: for hanging out all right. Alabama is playing Yale here.
- 53:19Speaker 1: This is a game with the crazy high total as well.
- 53:23Speaker 1: Even though I don't think Yale plays that fast, Alabama
- 53:26Speaker 1: does play really fast, don't. I don't know what Yale's
- 53:29Speaker 1: tempo is actually from year to years. Sometimes they get
- 53:32Speaker 1: thrown off by Yeah, Yale is a slope ace team.
- 53:34Speaker 1: So the oddspeakers are kind of telling you that they
- 53:37Speaker 1: think Alabama's just going to control the pace here total
- 53:40Speaker 1: at one hundred and seventy five ridiculously high total. Alabama
- 53:43Speaker 1: is a sixteen point favorite. Money is kind of coming
- 53:46Speaker 1: in on Yelle. I mean, Yale is probably the best
- 53:48Speaker 1: team in the IVY League for what it's worth. Although
- 53:50Speaker 1: Yale has faced a pretty weak schedule so far. Man
- 53:54Speaker 1: seventy four percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the
- 53:56Speaker 1: cash coming in on Yale. I don't know that I
- 53:58Speaker 1: really trust Yale becau Again, their schedule has been really
- 54:02Speaker 1: really easy, Like Alabama is a big time step up
- 54:05Speaker 1: in class for them, and it's a road game. The
- 54:09Speaker 1: toughest road opponent they faced so far was probably Quinnipiac,
- 54:13Speaker 1: which is not great. They won at Vermont on the
- 54:15Speaker 1: road won They won that game by thirty seven. At
- 54:18Speaker 1: Quinnipiac though, so and Quinnepiack is a little brother to Yale.
- 54:23Speaker 1: Quinnipiac is in Hamden, Connecticut, which is neighboring New Haven, Connecticut.
- 54:28Speaker 1: So that was a big game for Quinnipiac and they
- 54:30Speaker 1: were horrible in the game. Yale's only losses at home
- 54:34Speaker 1: to Rhode Island. I mean, Rhode Island is not exactly
- 54:37Speaker 1: a powerhouse Yale. Now, yeah, taking a big time step
- 54:41Speaker 1: up in class here went into the break on a
- 54:43Speaker 1: good note here, winning a whole bunch of games in
- 54:48Speaker 1: a row, so that could stop their momentum a little bit.
- 54:50Speaker 1: They're gonna try to show up, obviously for a game
- 54:52Speaker 1: against Alabama. Alabama went into the break only on a
- 54:56Speaker 1: two game win streak. Alabama does start conference play next
- 55:00Speaker 1: to gets Kentucky, which that is gonna be a bigger game.
- 55:03Speaker 1: Could be caused for look ahead, But I don't know
- 55:06Speaker 1: this one. I don't love the underdog as much in
- 55:08Speaker 1: this one. Seventy two percent of tickets ninety eight percent
- 55:11Speaker 1: of the cash on Yale. But with a high total
- 55:13Speaker 1: like this with Yale, I think really not having stepped
- 55:16Speaker 1: up in class at all yet, I kind of worry
- 55:18Speaker 1: about looking towards Yale in this one. Man. Alabama actually
- 55:21Speaker 1: has the worst record, although they're ranked. Everybody knows Alabama's
- 55:24Speaker 1: faces the more difficult schedule whatever, which, of course they have.
- 55:28Speaker 1: They faced a pretty difficult schedule so far. So Yeah,
- 55:32Speaker 1: I mean to me, I slightly lean towards Alabama and
- 55:35Speaker 1: that one, to be honest, but I don't want to
- 55:37Speaker 1: do anything with it. James Madison is at Arkansas. Arkansas
- 55:41Speaker 1: did just take that loss to Houston. It was a
- 55:43Speaker 1: fairly difficult game. They lost by nine. The game was
- 55:46Speaker 1: pretty much in hand for Houston down the stretch in
- 55:49Speaker 1: that game, though, I think Arkansas closed the gap a
- 55:52Speaker 1: little bit late. But Arkansas lost a win streak.
- 55:55Speaker 2: In that game. And they do have Tennessee up next.
- 55:58Speaker 1: Yes, I know they're coming out of a break which
- 56:00Speaker 1: could help them kind of break that newfound losing momentum.
- 56:04Speaker 1: But I do think this is a pretty major look
- 56:06Speaker 1: ahead to Tennessee. I don't know that they really have
- 56:09Speaker 1: full focus on a JMU team that hasn't been that
- 56:11Speaker 1: good this year. It's not JMU football here, although James
- 56:15Speaker 1: Madison's been decent in basketball the last couple of years too.
- 56:18Speaker 1: James Madison's coming off losing to Georgia Southern. I think
- 56:22Speaker 1: Georgia Southern might have actually been a small favorite in
- 56:24Speaker 1: that game.
- 56:25Speaker 2: But JMU did go into the break.
- 56:26Speaker 1: On two straight losses, so the break might actually help
- 56:29Speaker 1: them break that losing momentum. Yeah, I would lean to
- 56:33Speaker 1: James Madison in that game, but again, not a strong opinion.
- 56:36Speaker 1: The money seems to agree. For now, seventy three percent
- 56:39Speaker 1: of ticket sixty nine percent of the cash on Arkansas.
- 56:42Speaker 1: They're up to a twenty four and a half point
- 56:43Speaker 1: favorite in that one. All Right, other games of note here,
- 56:50Speaker 1: if there are any, really, I don't know, And most
- 56:54Speaker 1: of these other games are just such mismatches.
- 56:56Speaker 2: I'm just like, I don't know. I mean, Prairie View
- 56:59Speaker 2: A and M.
- 57:00Speaker 1: They're coming up of a game where they actually were
- 57:02Speaker 1: in that game against LSU for most of the game.
- 57:04Speaker 1: Even though they lost by fourteen, they went all out
- 57:07Speaker 1: to try to beat LSU. Man, and this is a
- 57:09Speaker 1: pretty bad Prairie View A and M team. I know
- 57:12Speaker 1: they've had some rest now, but they just might not
- 57:15Speaker 1: be ready for it. Man for another power conference team
- 57:19Speaker 1: in Texas A and M. Texas A and M is
- 57:20Speaker 1: a little bit down this year. But what I'm not
- 57:22Speaker 1: used to is the fact that Texas A and M
- 57:24Speaker 1: actually plays fast this year. And I'm used to them
- 57:27Speaker 1: playing slow, ugly basketball, but they actually played fast. They
- 57:30Speaker 1: went into the break on a whatever note, beating East
- 57:34Speaker 1: Texas A and M for their second straight win, scoring
- 57:37Speaker 1: over one hundred and ten and two straight games. But
- 57:39Speaker 1: this game I would actually probably lay the points with
- 57:42Speaker 1: Texas A and M or leave the game alone, even
- 57:44Speaker 1: though A and M does start conference play next. Looks
- 57:48Speaker 1: like the money disagrees with that.
- 57:49Speaker 2: Texas A and M.
- 57:50Speaker 1: At thirty and a half fifty percent of ticket seventy
- 57:53Speaker 1: percent of the cash.
- 57:54Speaker 2: On Prairie View.
- 57:55Speaker 1: But I just Prairie View is awful, dude. They're one
- 57:57Speaker 1: of the worst teams in Division One. I just don't
- 58:00Speaker 1: know that they can put in another effort like that
- 58:03Speaker 1: for another game, even though they did have a break
- 58:06Speaker 1: coming into this one. Total's really high as well, at
- 58:09Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy five makes it easier. One hundred
- 58:11Speaker 1: and seventy five and a half makes it really it
- 58:13Speaker 1: makes it easier.
- 58:14Speaker 2: To cover as a big favorite there.
- 58:16Speaker 1: So the Clippers, what did they do? They won last night.
- 58:21Speaker 1: I don't remember what I thought of that game. I
- 58:24Speaker 1: don't even remember what that game really was. This is
- 58:28Speaker 1: the other game I was looking at IPFW. I think
- 58:31Speaker 1: they're in a bad spot, dude. IPFW just pulled off
- 58:34Speaker 1: a big upset at Notre Dame. Notre Dame was a
- 58:38Speaker 1: big favorite in that game, and it was a bigger
- 58:40Speaker 1: game for IPFW because both of those teams were in
- 58:43Speaker 1: the state of Indiana, so it was a little brother,
- 58:45Speaker 1: big brother situation. So that was a monster win for
- 58:49Speaker 1: IPFW and a fourth straight win going into the break,
- 58:52Speaker 1: so that break could definitely disrupt their momentum here.
- 58:55Speaker 2: So to me, this looks like a big.
- 58:56Speaker 1: Time letdown spot here. Milwaukee, however, is a top the
- 59:00Speaker 1: conference right now in the horizon, off to a two
- 59:03Speaker 1: and zero start, So that is kind of my hesitation
- 59:06Speaker 1: with it is that I kind of think both teams
- 59:09Speaker 1: will still show up for this because it's the start
- 59:11Speaker 1: of kind of official conference play here now Milwaukee is
- 59:15Speaker 1: only sitting at six and six. IPFW does have the
- 59:18Speaker 1: better record. I think IPFW is the better team. Milwaukee
- 59:22Speaker 1: did go into the break on two straight wins as well,
- 59:24Speaker 1: but their last win was a win over Cleveland stage
- 59:27Speaker 1: who's not really that good this year. But my other
- 59:30Speaker 1: hesitation with Milwaukee is tomorrow they have to play Wisconsin.
- 59:34Speaker 1: That is a monster game on Milwaukee's schedule, man, the
- 59:37Speaker 1: in state, biggest brother. They got to play University of
- 59:41Speaker 1: Wisconsin and go to Madison to do it literally tomorrow.
- 59:44Speaker 1: So that is what worries me the most about this
- 59:47Speaker 1: Milwaukee situation here. I still lean to Milwaukee here, but
- 59:51Speaker 1: I just can't do it. It looks like the money
- 59:55Speaker 1: disagrees with me on that Milwaukee's a one and a
- 59:57Speaker 1: half point favorite, which, by the way, I think the
- 59:59Speaker 1: public of if they look at this game, they might
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: think there's value grabbing IPFW as a small dog who
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: has the better record, although yes, IPFW is the slightly
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: better team. Like I said, the oddsmakers are telling you
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: that by not giving Milwaukee full home court here sixty
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: seven percent of the tickets, only sixty three percent of
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: the cash on UW Milwaukee, they're really They're just called
- 1:00:22Speaker 1: Milwaukee now, just like Green Bay. Kind of drop the UW.
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: Maybe they're not affiliated with University of Wisconsin anymore. I
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: don't know, but I kind of disagree with the market
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: in that one. I think it would be you play
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: Milwaukee on the money line or you leave it alone,
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: and that one would be my opinion. There. Kawhi Leonard
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: at a fifty fifty spot in the game. He's really
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: old too, man, dude. The Clippers are starting to play
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: more up to their talent level. They're right now, they're
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: a really difficult team to handicap. Seven more three pointers. Yeah,
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: that would definitely help Pistons. Maybe a little bit overv
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: right now as well. All right, we have Bethune Cookman
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: against Oklahoma State. Now, Oklahoma State, they're coming out that
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: game that I talked about when I believe I said
- 1:01:10Speaker 1: you wanted to fade Fullerton, did we fade them? I
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: don't know. I think we might have faded Fullerton coming
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: off of this game because Fullerton they had a full
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: orton effort in this game against Oklahoma State. Man, Fullerton
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: gave Oklahoma State all they could handle in Stillwater, and
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: that's the game that Oklahoma State is coming off of.
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: That was a bad performance from Oklahoma State. So I
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: could see them actually showing up for this game off
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: of that bad performance coming out of a break.
- 1:01:37Speaker 2: Maybe they fixed some things.
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: But of course the problem is they have a huge
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: game on deck starting conference play against Texas Tech. So
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: I do worry about that and the fact that Oklahoma
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: State they're just not as good as their record looks. Man,
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: they're one loss team, but they're not very battle tested.
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: They had a nice win at Northwestern, that's okay, they
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: lost when they had to step up in class and
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: face Oklahoma and really they haven't been tested. Well. They
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: did beat Texas A and I think it's a little
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: bit down this year. But other than that, yeah, they
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: haven't faced that difficult of a schedule. And Bethune Cookman
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: they have.
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: Faced a difficult schedule.
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: They almost upset Auburn on the road, and they played
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: Miami on the road. They played Dayton on the road
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: and did fairly well in that game, played Indiana on
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: the road. I know they got massacred by Indiana, but
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: still difficult game. They played road games against Missouri's, Saint Louis, Arizona.
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: Those are all really difficult opponents. Man. So this Bethune
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: Cookman team, they're not going to be intimidated having another
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: road game here against the power conference team, you know,
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: coming out of a break, that break might help them
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: disrupt that momentum there. They went into the break on
- 1:02:40Speaker 1: three straight losses, all of them obviously as a huge
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: road underdog, and every single.
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: One of them.
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: So I don't mind the spot for Bethune Cookman here either.
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: Probably that's the way I would still lean in this game.
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: But I again, I don't love it because I could
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: see a scenario where Oklahoma State does actually show up
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: after that lackluster game that they had seventy five percent tickets,
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on Bethune Cookman. The
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: other BC nineteen and a half is the line on
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: Oklahoma State in that game. So again, you know, just
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: putting out their information. Do with it what you want.
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: Number One Arizona is against South Dakota State. Arizona not
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: actually the best team in college of basketball if you
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: could sult Ken Bond, but he does have them up
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: to number two now, so they're number two behind Michigan
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: and his rankings, so his rankings are just moving all
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: over the place man, And yes, Arizona is a very
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: formidable opponent. Arizona. They went into the break on a
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: good note, of course, winning a whole bunch of games
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: in a row because they're one of the undefeated teams
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: left in college basketball. Here. They start conference playing next,
- 1:03:44Speaker 1: but it's only against Utah Utah and not a very
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: good team this year, so don't know how much of
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: a look ahead that really is for Arizona. They did
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: go into the break on a good note, though, so
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: that break could disrupt their momentum, which has been the
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: entire season. Has been the momentum they have Celt Dakota
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: State decent team in the summit really though. They look
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: a little bit down this year. They haven't been that
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: good against a mediocre slate of opponents really, so they're
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: really having to step up in class to play Arizona here,
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: which I kind of worry about that celt Dakota State
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: is coming off kind of an ugly loss at that
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: Milwaukee team I just talked about. It wasn't really that good.
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: That's how they went into the break. So they did
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: go into the break on a better note at least,
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: So I mean, I probably would lean to South Dakota
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: State here. This does look like a pretty strong market
- 1:04:32Speaker 1: read indicating that way for now, fifty seven percent of
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: the tickets on Arizona, eighty six percent of the cash however,
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: on celt Dakota State. On the jack Rabbits, the jack
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: off rabbits, So we will see what happens in that game.
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: They jack off like rabbits will.
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: We will see what.
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: Happens in that game. Man. Arizona is a thirty three
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in that one, and they
- 1:04:54Speaker 1: do play fast, So Arizona is more a style of
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: team that it's more conducive to cover numbers like that.
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: And then we do have kind of an interesting game
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: actually between two Power Conference teams. I think it's the
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: only game between two Power Conference teams if I'm not mistaken.
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: At night here, the late game really strange. So the
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: Degenerate Bailout special on Fox Sports One is between Big
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: twelve Utah and Big ten Washington. I'm never gonna get
- 1:05:22Speaker 1: used to that this game is at Washington. Washington is
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: obviously the better team here. Utah is really not very
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: good right now, even though they are a Power Conference team.
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: Utah did go into the break beating Eastern Washington. Whatever.
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: They're not on a win streak though, so I do
- 1:05:39Speaker 1: expect that they'll try to show up for a game
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: like this against Washington. They start conference playing next against Arizona,
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: but I don't really see them overlooking Washington. Washington is
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: a decent team. Washington went into the break with one
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: win as well against San Diego. They could actually have
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: a bigger look ahead here because they play Indiana next
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: to start conference play, and they might have more tendency
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: to overlook Utah. Then Utah would have a tendency to
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: overlook Washington because Washington is the better team. Third double
- 1:06:07Speaker 1: digit favorite here eleven point favorite. The money is coming in.
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: Towards the Utah side.
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: Fifty percent of ticket sixty six percent of the cash
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: on Utah. I'm not gonna disagree with it. I would
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: lean that way, but I don't really have a strong
- 1:06:20Speaker 1: opinion on it. All Right, Before I get to hockey,
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: as I usually do, I gotta clear my sinuses as
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: they usually do. We have a big hockey board here,
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: so this it's another long, long show for me today. Man,
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to keep it under two hours. But
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: give me a second here for a minute. I don't
- 1:06:37Speaker 1: have any hockey place today though. Even though the board
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: is huge, I just really don't love it one second. Man.
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: All right, I'm pumping my nose full of drugs. Man, Okay, NHL,
- 1:08:21Speaker 1: which you know I have a habit of being a
- 1:08:22Speaker 1: completionist to talking about every NHL game. We have Columbus
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: at Ottawa starting out the board here chronologically. Columbus coming
- 1:08:34Speaker 1: into this on two straight wins. They're also on a
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: back to back, so they went into the Christmas break,
- 1:08:38Speaker 1: came out of it, beat the Islanders yesterday. Now they
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: have a single road game or they're going to Ottawa.
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: I could see us in an area where this maybe
- 1:08:46Speaker 1: is a little bit of a letdown spot. And they
- 1:08:48Speaker 1: got New Jersey up next, so maybe a little bit
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: of a look ahead as well. Maybe they overlooked this
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: Autawa team. It's been kind of mediocre. Ottawa did not
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: play yesterday. They're coming out of a tough game themselves,
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: so that they did lose to Toronto coming out of the break,
- 1:09:03Speaker 1: although it's a big game for Ottawa whenever they play Toronto,
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: and they do have a potential look ahead to Washington next.
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: So I just don't love this game for either side here, man,
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: Ottawa is a massive favorite my minus two zero five,
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: and the money is coming back on the Columbus side
- 1:09:18Speaker 1: sixty percent of tickets, ninety three percent of the cash
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: on them. I mean, given that Columbus is traveling with
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: no time off, I don't really love that. But and
- 1:09:26Speaker 1: the odspeakers are kind of telling you something by lining
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: Ottawa is this massive a favorite. It almost looks to
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: me it almost looks too easy to take Columbus as
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: a huge dog here, So there's something up with that.
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: So I don't know. My read on this is a
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: slight lean towards Ottawa, though you would have to like
- 1:09:43Speaker 1: lay a puck line on that. The money seems to disagree.
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: I don't love the game obviously, Washington at Florida. Big
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: game here, and both of these teams pretty solid teams.
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: They're both playing decent recently. Actually, Dishington was on a
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: three game lost streak. I forgot about that going into
- 1:10:03Speaker 1: the break. The break apparently helped them because they beat
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: New Jersey and overtime coming out of it. I think
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: my read on that game is that both teams are
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: actually in focus spots, so it kind of showed as
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: the game was close and went into overtime two days ago.
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: Now Washington's going to Florida. The win over New Jersey
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: is big, but they're not going to overlook Florida, even
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: though they do have the Rangers next. And the Rangers
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: did just embarrass them at home going into the break.
- 1:10:30Speaker 2: But you know, you.
- 1:10:32Speaker 1: Don't want to over you don't want to overstate the
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: revenge aspect, you know what I mean? Like I doubt
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: that they're gonna overlook the two time returning champs in Florida,
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: you know, so I expect they will show up.
- 1:10:43Speaker 2: I think the fact that they broke.
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: That losing momentum might help them, even though that was
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: a decent win for them. For Florida, Florida's coming in
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: off a loss to Tampa Bay difficult game. I think
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: I did lean Tampa Bay in that game, so I
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: was correct in that game. They're staying at home kind
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: of a difficult but I expect them to show up
- 1:11:01Speaker 1: as well. So again, you know, it's hard for me
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: to read this game.
- 1:11:06Speaker 2: The money is saying.
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: Washington Florida sitting at minus one thirty fifty percent of
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: the tickets and eighty three percent of the cash on Washington.
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: You know, I don't really have much of a reason
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: to disagree with the market reading that one.
- 1:11:21Speaker 2: Washington is a small dog.
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: I guess I'll agree with the market on that one
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: for now, But again, I don't have a strong opinion
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: at all on that generational side. It was just, you know,
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: it was one of those handicaps or I think I
- 1:11:37Speaker 1: see a really good angle on it was a good
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: spot to fade the Blackhawks, and yeah, it worked out
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: with an easy win there. So I'm happy about that.
- 1:11:46Speaker 1: The Rangers are at Carolina. These teams have played twice
- 1:11:49Speaker 1: this year, and you know exactly what happened because the
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: Rangers are good on the road and terriblet home. So
- 1:11:55Speaker 1: the road team has won both games so far in
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: this series. This seasons. One on the road at Carolina
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: in this place here, and they lost at home, which
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: I think the more recent game.
- 1:12:08Speaker 2: I think was the.
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: Rangers win at Carolina I think was the more recent one. Yes,
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: I'm correct, they won four to two on November twenty sixth. Here.
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: Now the Rangers are coming off getting shut out on
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: the road this time. Usually they just get shut out
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: at home. Weird. They got shut out by the Islanders
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: coming out of the break. There were coming off a
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: huge game against Washington. I think I gave out a
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: lean on the Islanders in this game, didn't play it. Unfortunately.
- 1:12:33Speaker 1: The Rangers had crushed Washington going into the Christmas break
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: man and they had this look ahead to Carolina, so
- 1:12:40Speaker 1: I expected maybe a bit of a letdown spot sandwich
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: spot there against the Islanders. That is what happened. I
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: expect the Rangers to show up with more focus here
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: and again you know they're good on the road. Carolina
- 1:12:52Speaker 1: just beat Detroit coming out of the break. Nice win
- 1:12:55Speaker 1: for Carolina. There no real look ahead here, so I
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: mean they do play Pitts tomorrow on the road. Pittsburgh
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: really has been sliding, except that we got the win
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: on them last night. But if I was gonna play
- 1:13:07Speaker 1: this game, I think it's Rangers or pass. Of course,
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: we know the Rangers are really good on the road.
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: Carolina is good at home as well. But that is
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: the way that I would look in this game for
- 1:13:16Speaker 1: this zig zag, not even a zigzag, but for the
- 1:13:20Speaker 1: cause the Rangers won on the road and the most
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: recent matchup between the two. But I look for the
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: home road dichotomy of the Rangers to continue here, and
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: I think the spot sets up a little bit better
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: for them as well. Eighty six percent of tickets, eighty
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on any pretty public Columbus
- 1:13:36Speaker 1: side or Carolina excuse me side for now, Carolina down
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: for minus one nine in to minus one seventy on
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: the money line there, all right, So yeah, slightlying for
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: me to the Rangers, and that one on the money
- 1:13:49Speaker 1: line or well, the money line is probably so big
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: that you could do like a split bet and make
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: your own plus one puck line as well. Edmonton at Winnipeg.
- 1:13:58Speaker 1: These two teams played that long ago and Edmonton won
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: six to two at Edmonton on December sixth, So maybe
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: there's a little bit of a zigzag component here where
- 1:14:07Speaker 1: Winnipeg makes some adjustments. I believe that was during the
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: period of time where Hellabook was injured. For Winnipeg, I
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: think he is back now. Edmonton had an ugly loss
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: on Saturday, though, talk about a zig zag spot. Edmonton
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: had just smacked Calgary the game before then, and Calgary
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: made the adjustments and beat Edmonton, so you could argue
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: that Edmonds is gonna be in a bounce back after that.
- 1:14:29Speaker 1: Edmonton plays my Bruins next to her just in an
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: absolute death spiral right now, so I don't think they're
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: gonna be looking ahead to that for Winnipeg. I expect
- 1:14:40Speaker 1: Winnipeg to show up as well, but Winnipeg's coming up
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: another overtime game. They did have a huge break for Christmas,
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: came out of that and they played a big overtime game,
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: fell just short of Minnesota. Might be a little bit
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: difficult for them to bounce back from that, although I
- 1:14:54Speaker 1: don't expect Winnipeg to overlook Edmonton. Though Hella book is back,
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: I don't know if he's gonna pla again though, although
- 1:15:01Speaker 1: he is a grinder, But is he gonna play a
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: seventh game in a row? I'm not entirely sure. Overall,
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: in this game, it's a very very difficult handicap. Edmonton's
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: public the rougher minus one twenty to minus one twenty
- 1:15:14Speaker 1: six seventy per tickets only sixty four percent of the cash,
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: So Edmonton is a public road favorite. The market is
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: saying that you want to look towards Winnipeg here, given
- 1:15:26Speaker 1: how the spot sets up. I'm actually not so sure
- 1:15:28Speaker 1: about that, you know. I I certainly don't want to
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: do it, but I kind of lean in the other direction.
- 1:15:34Speaker 1: I would kind of lean towards Edmonton in that game
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: based on how the scheduling spot sets up, But I
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: don't want any part of it.
- 1:15:42Speaker 2: You got your car wash?
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: Is that a Is that a euphemism for something?
- 1:15:46Speaker 2: Or was it one of those.
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: Car washes that have like the bikini chicks in the winter.
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: You know, that's that's the type of car wash that
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: you gotta like. Man, Buffalo St. Louis Buffalo somehow is
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: just on fire right now, winning a whole bunch of
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: games in a row, eight games in a row. I
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: believe they just crushed my Bruins, which I'm not happy about.
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: They're starting a road trip, and you know, I talk
- 1:16:13Speaker 1: about how teams usually will focus to start a road trip,
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: but in this case, I don't know. Because Buffalo does
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: play Dallas next, so it is possible they overlook Saint
- 1:16:23Speaker 1: Louis here. Man As Buffalo has been beating mostly winning
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: teams here, Saint Louis is a losing team that they
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: draw next, and now you know they Dallas could be
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: a major look at spot for Buffalo. Potentially for Saint Louis.
- 1:16:38Speaker 1: They did win against Nashville in their last game. They
- 1:16:40Speaker 1: caught Nashville in a bad spot, but maybe that'll help
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: propel them into this game. They do have Colorado next, though,
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: so it is possible they're gonna be looking ahead a
- 1:16:48Speaker 1: little bit to Colorado. So I worry about it, you know,
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: for Saint Louis as well. Generally, I think it's gonna
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: be easier for Buffalo to overlook Saint Louis than the
- 1:16:59Speaker 1: other way around, though, so I kind of lean against
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: the market here as well. I would kind of lean
- 1:17:04Speaker 1: towards the Blues again here, but I don't want anything
- 1:17:06Speaker 1: to do with it. Sixty seven percent to take us
- 1:17:08Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the casual on Buffalo. They're a
- 1:17:11Speaker 1: road favorite here, off from minus one ten to minus
- 1:17:13Speaker 1: one thirteen. And again, unfortunately all these games are stay
- 1:17:18Speaker 1: aways for me. Mother nature is cleaning up the cars
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: right now. My car has all road salt all over it, man,
- 1:17:26Speaker 1: because it's snowed. It is raining today, So actually, maybe
- 1:17:29Speaker 1: I should just take a drive just to let it
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: rain the salt off of my car. Maybe I will
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: do that, actually, although if I do that, I'm gonna
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: be tempted to pick up some like bad food because
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: I haven't had fast food in a while and we're
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: just coming out of the holidays. There was some good
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: food during the holidays, but at least was a lot
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: of it was homemade stuff, so it was not total
- 1:17:51Speaker 1: trash all right, although some of it was certainly not
- 1:17:55Speaker 1: healthy either. We have the Kings at Colorado. No. I
- 1:17:59Speaker 1: keep talking about how the Kings are actually a pretty
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: good road team this year, they're significantly worse at home.
- 1:18:05Speaker 2: For whatever reason.
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: Kings did just beat Anaheim, who hasn't really been playing.
- 1:18:08Speaker 2: That well recently.
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: That ended a lost streak for the Kings could give
- 1:18:12Speaker 1: them some momentum coming into this game, and they're not
- 1:18:14Speaker 1: going to overlook Colorado. It's gonna be a big game
- 1:18:17Speaker 1: for them. LA does play Tampa next, but this is
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: a big game against Colorado.
- 1:18:21Speaker 2: Colorado.
- 1:18:22Speaker 1: I mean, they're the best team in hockey. Though Colorado
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: escaped against Vegas, which you know, for dirty socks purposes.
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: I did not say to plake Colorado on the money
- 1:18:32Speaker 1: line in that game. I'm just saying Colorado got really
- 1:18:35Speaker 1: lucky to win that game. Vegas was winning that game
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: four to two in the third period and winning by
- 1:18:41Speaker 1: one goal. They were winning five to I believe Vegas
- 1:18:44Speaker 1: was winning five to four in the final minute and
- 1:18:46Speaker 1: a half of regulation in that game. Colorado got really,
- 1:18:50Speaker 1: really lucky to send that game into overtime and then
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: win the game. Vegas should have won the game. Colorado
- 1:18:56Speaker 1: escaped with the win in that one, but that was
- 1:18:58Speaker 1: still a big win. Vegas a pretty good team, so
- 1:19:01Speaker 1: you could definitely argue this is a bit of a
- 1:19:03Speaker 1: letdown spot for Colorado, but they don't have anything in
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: their next game. They're playing Saint Louis, which who cares really,
- 1:19:10Speaker 1: so this game, it's another game. It's difficult for me
- 1:19:13Speaker 1: to predict, but I would probably lead towards LA if
- 1:19:16Speaker 1: I was gonna do anything with it. Colorado's up to
- 1:19:19Speaker 1: minus two thirty on the money line, eighty two percent tickets,
- 1:19:22Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on Colorado. You're getting
- 1:19:25Speaker 1: a big dog price with a decent road team in
- 1:19:28Speaker 1: LA and a potential let down spot the Colorado's in.
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: So that would be my opinion, and that one would
- 1:19:34Speaker 1: be to look towards grabbing the kings on the puck line.
- 1:19:36Speaker 1: But I don't. I don't want to do anything with it.
- 1:19:40Speaker 1: You like Chipotle, Chipotle's all right, I mean it gets
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: it gets kind of a bad rap there. They have
- 1:19:46Speaker 1: decent ingredients. I mean, it's a little bit expensive for
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: what it is, and you can find some ways to
- 1:19:52Speaker 1: kind of hack their menu to make it a little
- 1:19:54Speaker 1: bit less expensive, but I don't even really do that.
- 1:19:57Speaker 1: I like to get the bulls at Chipotle, you know,
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: usually like a rice bowl, rice beans. I vary it up,
- 1:20:04Speaker 1: get one of the different meats every time.
- 1:20:07Speaker 2: I like to load it up.
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: I like to get hot salsa, which is actually pretty
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: hot at Chipotle at some locations, and the pico de
- 1:20:14Speaker 1: gaio because I need the texture as well, I get
- 1:20:17Speaker 1: guawk on that thing, shredded cheese, sour kareem, I get
- 1:20:19Speaker 1: like everything, man. Occasionally I'll get Caso on it as well,
- 1:20:23Speaker 1: just really go nuts, which of course is gonna make
- 1:20:26Speaker 1: it less healthy.
- 1:20:27Speaker 2: But whatever, man, what can I say?
- 1:20:29Speaker 1: I like keeso a Nashville at Utah. Nashville just took
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: that loss of Saint Louis. It did disrupt a three
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: game win streak for Nashville, so it's possible they're a
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: little bit hung over just because they did lose a
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: wind streak and they do a.
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: Vegas next, so I don't know.
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: Is it possible they don't play well here in this
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: game having to go into elevation, Yeah, it is possible
- 1:20:53Speaker 1: that they take another loss here.
- 1:20:55Speaker 2: Of course, Utah is gonna be a favorite here as well.
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: Utah they haven't played since before Christmas Man's even though
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: they had a big game or they only lost one
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: to nothing to Colorado on the road.
- 1:21:06Speaker 2: They played pretty tough against Colorado.
- 1:21:08Speaker 1: They've had a lot of time to kind of break
- 1:21:11Speaker 1: free of that, not having played since last Tuesday, the
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: twenty third, So they're in the much better rest position here.
- 1:21:18Speaker 1: Utah is you know, the money is coming out of Nashville.
- 1:21:22Speaker 1: But I would kind of slightly lean towards Utah on
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: this one, but I don't really have a strong opinion
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: on it. Seventy five percent of tickets, ninety four percent
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: of the cash on Nashville. I could still see the
- 1:21:31Speaker 1: argument that Utah is still in kind of this like
- 1:21:33Speaker 1: delayed hangover spot off of that game against Colorado, though,
- 1:21:37Speaker 1: like thinking about that all throughout the break, like what
- 1:21:40Speaker 1: could have been Utah down for minus one fifty minus
- 1:21:43Speaker 1: one forty eight, And I could see the argument that
- 1:21:46Speaker 1: Nashville took an ugly loss to US Saint Louis and
- 1:21:48Speaker 1: should bounce back from that. So I could see both
- 1:21:51Speaker 1: arguments there. It's actually a really really difficult handicap. What
- 1:21:57Speaker 1: about soup? Do they have soup at Chipotle? I don't
- 1:21:59Speaker 1: even know.
- 1:22:02Speaker 2: Boston at Calgary.
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: You know, if I was gonna play any games on
- 1:22:05Speaker 1: the hockey board today, would probably be to grab my
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: Boston Bruins, where you gotta think that they're gonna give
- 1:22:12Speaker 1: you some value at this point and playing the Bruins,
- 1:22:14Speaker 1: I've lost five games in a row. They just had
- 1:22:17Speaker 1: another horrible loss at Buffalo. They've lost three games in
- 1:22:21Speaker 1: a row by three plus goals. Something's got to give here. Man,
- 1:22:25Speaker 1: They're playing a pretty weak Calgary team. I know they
- 1:22:27Speaker 1: play Edmonton again next, and Edmonton to just beat them
- 1:22:30Speaker 1: on December eighteenth in Boston. But the Bruins, they can't
- 1:22:34Speaker 1: overlook anybody right now. Man, they're gonna have Swayman back
- 1:22:37Speaker 1: in net. I assume for this game. You know, I
- 1:22:41Speaker 1: thought they were in a nice bounce back spot coming
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: out of the break. I thought that break came in
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: a good time, and they took an ugly loss again.
- 1:22:47Speaker 1: Now going further out, it might be like a reset
- 1:22:50Speaker 1: going out to Western Canada. Basically, just forget about everything, man,
- 1:22:54Speaker 1: Just focus on hockey and play a good game for once.
- 1:22:57Speaker 1: And they're catching Calgary at a decent time because we
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: just upset Edmonton in the zigzag spot there. That was
- 1:23:03Speaker 1: a nice win for Calgary, So big win could be
- 1:23:06Speaker 1: a letdown for them. I don't really know how much
- 1:23:08Speaker 1: focus they're really gonna have against the Bruins up next.
- 1:23:11Speaker 2: They do play a Philadelphia team.
- 1:23:12Speaker 1: It does have a better record at least, so this
- 1:23:15Speaker 1: game would be Bruins or pass For me. This is
- 1:23:17Speaker 1: one of my stronger opinions but the market is all
- 1:23:20Speaker 1: over Calgary in this game, and I have no idea why.
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: The spot to me, really really fairly strongly indicates that
- 1:23:27Speaker 1: to look towards the Bruins is the dog here. Eighty
- 1:23:30Speaker 1: three percent of ticket seventy six excuse sixty seven percent
- 1:23:34Speaker 1: of the cash on the Bruins. So the Bruins look
- 1:23:36Speaker 1: like a public underdog here. I don't understand that at all.
- 1:23:40Speaker 2: Calgary up for one twenty four to went twenty six.
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: I'm staying away from it just because I don't like
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: what the market looks like at all on this.
- 1:23:47Speaker 2: But yeah, for me, it would be Bruins or pass.
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: And again I think this is actually the strongest opinion
- 1:23:54Speaker 1: on the entire hockey slate for me today would be
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: to grab the Bruins as the dog. So I don't
- 1:23:59Speaker 1: know what the market is doing there. Man, we will see.
- 1:24:04Speaker 1: I mean, I'm tempting to give it out as a play,
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: you know, I don't know.
- 1:24:08Speaker 2: I'll stay away.
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: Because there is still the potential that the Bruins are
- 1:24:11Speaker 1: looking ahead to Edmonton, but we'll see what happens. I
- 1:24:14Speaker 1: like the Bruins in that one. Hopefully I'm right for
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: my sake because I am a Bruins fan, and I'm
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: not happy about about what has been going on with
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: that team. Minnesota at Vegas probably the best game on
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: the entire hockey board here. Minnesota just had that overtime
- 1:24:31Speaker 1: win against Winnipeg, pretty good win. But I don't think
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Vegas. You know, this is gonna be
- 1:24:37Speaker 1: a big game for them playing Vegas. It's a big
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: game for Vegas as well. Vegas is coming up that
- 1:24:43Speaker 1: really really difficult loss to Colorado though, losing in a shootout.
- 1:24:47Speaker 1: That is a brutal way to lose that game, man
- 1:24:49Speaker 1: to Colorado. Like, I don't think they're gonna overlook Minnesota,
- 1:24:52Speaker 1: but how do you get back up off the mat
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: really after playing Colorado like that and blowing a two
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: goal lead in the third period, blowing the lead with
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: a minute and a half to go, and then losing
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: an overtime. That is absolutely brutal for Vegas. So yeah,
- 1:25:08Speaker 1: for me, you gotta lean towards Minnesota in this game.
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: Vegas is down for minus one twenty to minus one
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: ten years, sixty seven percent of tickets, ninety seven percent
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: of the cash in Minnesota. You know what this is
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: actually maybe stronger than Boston now that I think about it,
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: because I'm thinking, well, the one thing is that Vegas
- 1:25:25Speaker 1: probably shouldn't overlook Minnesota, and that's like my one hesitation here.
- 1:25:28Speaker 1: But the way that they came off of that game, yeah,
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: I think it's got to be Minnesota or a pass.
- 1:25:34Speaker 1: I do worry about Minnesota having played that overtime game
- 1:25:37Speaker 1: in the last game though, so I'll pass on the game.
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: But yeah, I think it's a strong, pretty strong opinion
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: for me on Minnesota in that one, and the money
- 1:25:46Speaker 1: seems to agree with that one as well. San Jose
- 1:25:48Speaker 1: is at Anaheim.
- 1:25:51Speaker 2: San Jose.
- 1:25:52Speaker 1: They just beat Vancouver. We got that win. That was
- 1:25:55Speaker 1: a win on the show for us here a couple
- 1:25:57Speaker 1: of days ago. San Jose broke a three game lost
- 1:26:00Speaker 1: streak with that. Now they're going down to Anaheim. They
- 1:26:03Speaker 1: do have Minnesota up next. I don't really think San
- 1:26:05Speaker 1: Jose is gonna overlook like an in state bigger brother
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: in Anaheim, if you want to call them that. So
- 1:26:11Speaker 1: I think it is maybe they have some momentum here
- 1:26:14Speaker 1: after breaking up that loss street there. Winning against Vancouver
- 1:26:18Speaker 1: isn't really gonna put them in a letdown spot.
- 1:26:20Speaker 2: I don't think, and I yeah, I just.
- 1:26:23Speaker 1: Don't really think they're gonna be looking ahead to Minnesota
- 1:26:24Speaker 1: because I think they will focus on Anaheim. Anaheim hasn't
- 1:26:28Speaker 1: been playing as well recently. They've lost two games in
- 1:26:30Speaker 1: a row, but man, it kind of reached a really
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: bad note where they lost six to one at La
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: or La is not that good at home. Now they're
- 1:26:38Speaker 1: just going down the road coming home off of that
- 1:26:41Speaker 1: bad loss. To me, I think they show up for
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: this game just because of the of how bad that
- 1:26:45Speaker 1: loss was. I know they faced Tampa next, which is
- 1:26:49Speaker 1: you know that normally I would say is a potential
- 1:26:51Speaker 1: look at headspot. But I just don't see Anaheim overlooking
- 1:26:54Speaker 1: this game this time. And although the money is coming
- 1:26:56Speaker 1: in towards San Jose, I think both teams are in
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: positive spot though Anaheim down for minus one ninety one
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: to minus one seventy nine, fifty four percent of tickets
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: on them, fifty nine percent of the cash on.
- 1:27:06Speaker 2: At San Jose. So the money is saying San Jose,
- 1:27:11Speaker 2: you know.
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: I mean, I could see the argument maybe Anaheim's just
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: favored a little bit too heavily in this game, although
- 1:27:18Speaker 1: I don't I really don't think San Jose is that good.
- 1:27:22Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: When I looked at the game, with both teams being
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: what I think is maybe a positive spot, I kind
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: of liked lean towards the better team in a spot
- 1:27:29Speaker 1: like that, which is Anaheim. But I'm passing on the
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: game completely obviously. And then Vancouver at Seattle not a
- 1:27:35Speaker 1: very addressing game to finish off the hockey slate. Vancouver
- 1:27:40Speaker 1: just took that ugly loss to San Jose. We talked
- 1:27:42Speaker 1: about it on the show. Vancouver had returned home from
- 1:27:44Speaker 1: a road trip the holidays I think disrupted them. Now
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: they're going back out on the road for a single game,
- 1:27:49Speaker 1: but it might be a bounce back spot. It might
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: be good for them to just forget about it, just
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: going on the road there. Seattle's on a win streak.
- 1:27:56Speaker 1: Here are They won again coming out of the break.
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: The break did not just rupt their wind streak. Then
- 1:28:01Speaker 1: won again against Philadelphia even though they were in a
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: return home spot as well. They still won against Philadelphia.
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: They're playing on a back to back because they did
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: play Philadelphia yesterday. So for me, it would be, uh,
- 1:28:14Speaker 1: you gotta play Vancouver or pass. That would be my
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: opinion in this game. Vancouver is the road favorite here.
- 1:28:20Speaker 1: Oddsmakers really telling you Seattle is not that good. Vancouver
- 1:28:23Speaker 1: down for minus one thirteen of minus one oh nine,
- 1:28:26Speaker 1: eighty percent of the tickets and ninety four percent of
- 1:28:28Speaker 1: the cash on Seattle. So Seattle looking like kind of
- 1:28:32Speaker 1: a public side here too. So very weird to be
- 1:28:36Speaker 1: potentially getting a road public favorite here, even though it
- 1:28:40Speaker 1: looks like some of the cash is on Seattle as well.
- 1:28:42Speaker 2: But for me, I think it's Vancouver is.
- 1:28:44Speaker 1: The lean in that one, and they do have the
- 1:28:48Speaker 1: rest of the rest is being factored into the number
- 1:28:51Speaker 1: a little bit there, all right, NBA, pretty big NBA board. Unfortunately,
- 1:28:56Speaker 1: this is gonna, you know, talking about every game takes
- 1:28:58Speaker 1: a lot out of me here, man, and I just
- 1:29:02Speaker 1: you know, I shoved some flown his up my nose
- 1:29:05Speaker 1: and it's still not really helping.
- 1:29:06Speaker 2: I hate the winter.
- 1:29:08Speaker 1: Milwaukee at Charlotte is the first game up. I mean
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: this game, Milwaukee did get Yannis back, by the way,
- 1:29:16Speaker 1: which was I don't even think that was expected. He
- 1:29:18Speaker 1: came back and Milwaukee actually won the game on the
- 1:29:21Speaker 1: road at Chicago's even though it was a reverse injured
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: player spot. I talk about that when your star player
- 1:29:27Speaker 1: comes back a lot of times, it's disruptive to the
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: team's chemistry and whatever.
- 1:29:32Speaker 2: But right away Milwaukee got the nice win there.
- 1:29:34Speaker 1: So now it's a second game with Yannis, now that
- 1:29:36Speaker 1: they have that game with him under their belt. I
- 1:29:38Speaker 1: don't really think it's a negative spot for Milwaukee here though,
- 1:29:42Speaker 1: and they don't really have any big games upcoming either,
- 1:29:44Speaker 1: so maybe Milwaukee will actually play well in this game.
- 1:29:47Speaker 1: Charlotte is coming off a better game where they blew
- 1:29:51Speaker 1: out Orlando on the road. That was a nice win,
- 1:29:54Speaker 1: upset win for Charlotte. I believe we got the win.
- 1:29:56Speaker 1: That was a win for me that I gave out
- 1:29:58Speaker 1: on the show on Friday. I think whe Orlando was
- 1:30:00Speaker 1: a pretty bad spot in that one, so you can
- 1:30:01Speaker 1: kind of explain that Charlotte. Maybe they'll pay more attention
- 1:30:05Speaker 1: to Milwaukee now that Giannis is back. But Milwaukee really
- 1:30:08Speaker 1: hasn't been playing that well, and Charlotte does have the
- 1:30:10Speaker 1: Warriors next. So for me for this game, I think
- 1:30:14Speaker 1: it's the Bucks would be my lean in this game.
- 1:30:16Speaker 1: The money is disagreeing with that and saying otherwise, the
- 1:30:19Speaker 1: Bucks are down from three and a half to three
- 1:30:21Speaker 1: here seventy eight percent of the tickets, only sixty four
- 1:30:23Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. So the public they
- 1:30:25Speaker 1: know Jannis is back, I guess, and they're jumping right
- 1:30:28Speaker 1: back on the Bucks now. But in this game, I
- 1:30:31Speaker 1: actually don't disagree with it, but it's gonna be a
- 1:30:34Speaker 1: stay away from me. Phoenix at Washington, I mean, Washington,
- 1:30:39Speaker 1: what can you say, man, They're an ugly team. Phoenix
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: after beating out of the Lakers and was a really
- 1:30:45Speaker 1: nice win for them, a blowout win over the Lakers,
- 1:30:47Speaker 1: so I think the Lakers might have had at least
- 1:30:49Speaker 1: one injury in that game. Though. Phoenix came out of
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: the break and they swept the back to back games
- 1:30:54Speaker 1: against the Pelicans in New Orleans, so there was no
- 1:30:58Speaker 1: zigzag to be had there. Now they're coming up of
- 1:31:00Speaker 1: all that, They're playing a third road game in four days,
- 1:31:04Speaker 1: which is not exactly great, and they do have Cleveland next,
- 1:31:07Speaker 1: so there is a potential look ahead here. So even
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: though I don't think it's a letdown spot after beating
- 1:31:11Speaker 1: New Orleans, it is possible they just look right past
- 1:31:15Speaker 1: Washington here. Man. Washington just not a very good team
- 1:31:17Speaker 1: of the Washington is coming up two good wins in
- 1:31:20Speaker 1: a row of beating Toronto in Memphis, both in upsets,
- 1:31:24Speaker 1: and the Memphis win was yesterday, so they're on the
- 1:31:26Speaker 1: back to back. So I don't love how it sets
- 1:31:29Speaker 1: up for Washington either, man. So I just can't find
- 1:31:32Speaker 1: a spot here. Man. The money is saying to fade
- 1:31:35Speaker 1: the Suns. They're a ten and a half point road favorite,
- 1:31:38Speaker 1: sixty three percent of tickets on them, only fifty seven
- 1:31:40Speaker 1: percent of the cash. With the Wizards being off of
- 1:31:44Speaker 1: those two big wins. I just don't want to touch
- 1:31:46Speaker 1: it at all. Although I could see the argument that
- 1:31:48Speaker 1: the Suns just might not pay attention in this game,
- 1:31:51Speaker 1: so you know, I guess I'll agree that maybe there
- 1:31:54Speaker 1: is some line value taking the boys with Washington, but
- 1:31:56Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with it. Golden State
- 1:31:59Speaker 1: at Brook Golden State sitting at five hundred could be
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: a little bit of a motivator to get back on
- 1:32:04Speaker 1: the winning side of things after they lost in overtime
- 1:32:09Speaker 1: to Toronto.
- 1:32:09Speaker 2: But that was yesterday.
- 1:32:10Speaker 1: Man. They played an overtime game at Toronto yesterday. I
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: did say I leaned to Toronto in the game yesterday
- 1:32:16Speaker 1: as Golden State was coming off that Christmas win. But
- 1:32:20Speaker 1: you usually don't see a fourteen point overtime margin a victory. Man,
- 1:32:25Speaker 1: that's just crazy. Golden State lost that game in overtime,
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: but the fact that they played an overtime game yesterday
- 1:32:31Speaker 1: it ended a win streak for them. I don't love
- 1:32:34Speaker 1: the idea playing Golden State here on a back to
- 1:32:37Speaker 1: back off an OT game. I know they had some
- 1:32:39Speaker 1: rest prior to that, but I don't love that idea
- 1:32:42Speaker 1: for Brooklyn. Yeah, the spot is still worse for them
- 1:32:45Speaker 1: for sure. Brooklyn is coming off of upsets against Toronto, Philadelphia, Minnesota.
- 1:32:51Speaker 1: That was a huge double digit road up set there
- 1:32:53Speaker 1: against Minnesota. Now they get Golden State. Is it possible
- 1:32:57Speaker 1: they overlook Golden State maybe towards Houston. Now if Steph
- 1:33:03Speaker 1: Curry is out, I don't like Brooklyn as much. So
- 1:33:05Speaker 1: if SOB is correct and Steph Curry is out, you know,
- 1:33:08Speaker 1: I always talk about the injured player theory, Man, Golden
- 1:33:12Speaker 1: State should step up their game for one game if
- 1:33:16Speaker 1: Curry is all of a sudden out Again, I think
- 1:33:18Speaker 1: that gives you line value on the team where the
- 1:33:21Speaker 1: injured player is out, because the line usually overreacts to
- 1:33:24Speaker 1: it and the team usually plays well for one game
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: without him there. So if Curry is out, I actually
- 1:33:29Speaker 1: like Golden State more than I would otherwise, if that
- 1:33:34Speaker 1: makes sense. So that's what's going on in this game.
- 1:33:39Speaker 1: It's a difficult game to figure out Steph Curry is
- 1:33:44Speaker 1: being well. He had rest in the last night's game.
- 1:33:47Speaker 2: I think he was rested. So do we trust SOB?
- 1:33:51Speaker 1: No?
- 1:33:51Speaker 2: No, No, you're right. SOB is right.
- 1:33:52Speaker 1: So he didn't rest yesterday's This is very strange. Actually,
- 1:33:55Speaker 1: so he played yesterday, So yeah, this rest, it looks
- 1:33:59Speaker 1: like he's not playing toon I did the estimated return
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: on this is wrong and then it should say the
- 1:34:04Speaker 1: thirty first I think like Al Horford, So it is
- 1:34:07Speaker 1: a rest game. So it's not an injured player theory.
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: It's a it's expected rest for Curry and for Horford.
- 1:34:14Speaker 1: So it might be a game where Golden State's just
- 1:34:16Speaker 1: kind of, you know, just kind of like dogging the
- 1:34:21Speaker 1: game here, you know what I mean, if that makes sense,
- 1:34:23Speaker 1: where they just don't care about the game that much.
- 1:34:25Speaker 1: But maybe the rest of the players will step it up,
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: knowing that they have to play harder in the in
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: those players absence. It's a very very difficult game to
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: handicap man it really is. Yeah, So it looks like
- 1:34:38Speaker 1: Golden State dropped from seven to four here because again
- 1:34:41Speaker 1: I tell you, the line overreacts when these star players
- 1:34:44Speaker 1: are out.
- 1:34:44Speaker 2: So that's because Curry is out.
- 1:34:47Speaker 1: And I think I actually already saw the line having
- 1:34:49Speaker 1: moved like that, and I was wondering why the line
- 1:34:51Speaker 1: had moved like that because Curry was not listening on
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: the injury report yet. But SOB is correct. He's a spy.
- 1:34:58Speaker 2: He's a spy for.
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: The Nets as well. He knows everything about the Nets
- 1:35:02Speaker 1: in this game. I would lay the points with the
- 1:35:03Speaker 1: Warriors still, or I would pass. I think they'll step
- 1:35:06Speaker 1: up their game a little bit more with Curry's With
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: Curry not being there, the Nets are coming off a
- 1:35:13Speaker 1: more monumental win for them.
- 1:35:15Speaker 2: So I think it is Warriors or passing this one.
- 1:35:17Speaker 1: Seventy seven percent of tickets, eighty eight percent of the
- 1:35:19Speaker 1: casual them, you're getting more line value laying them at
- 1:35:22Speaker 1: only four. So that's my opinion on that. I think
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: SOB did agree with that one, if I'm not mistaken
- 1:35:29Speaker 1: Denver at Miami, although I don't really want Golden State
- 1:35:32Speaker 1: coming off an overtime game either, though, although some of
- 1:35:35Speaker 1: the guys that didn't play as much last night will
- 1:35:38Speaker 1: be a little bit fresher at least and play more
- 1:35:40Speaker 1: in this game with the with Curry and Horford both
- 1:35:43Speaker 1: not playing. Denver just took a loss at Orlando, not
- 1:35:47Speaker 1: exactly a great loss for them.
- 1:35:49Speaker 2: They're staying in Florida.
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: Could be a little bit of bounce back maybe against
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: Miami here. You gotta think Miami is gonna show up.
- 1:35:56Speaker 1: Though Miami's coming off an easy win over Indiana, I
- 1:35:59Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Denver. So to me, this
- 1:36:02Speaker 1: game looks like it's a focused spot for both teams.
- 1:36:05Speaker 1: The Nuggets are laying two and a half here, down
- 1:36:07Speaker 1: from three, and they're public seventy seven percent of the tickets,
- 1:36:10Speaker 1: only sixty two percent of the cash, and everybody.
- 1:36:13Speaker 2: Likes Joki right now.
- 1:36:14Speaker 1: I think the Heat are still dealing with some injuries
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: here as well. I guess I'll agree with it and
- 1:36:20Speaker 1: agree with the market reading this one, because I have
- 1:36:23Speaker 1: to kind of default to that if I don't really
- 1:36:25Speaker 1: see a situation a situational angle. Otherwise, the Heat have
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: been good at home, even though the record's not that good.
- 1:36:31Speaker 1: They're eleven and five at home. Although the Nuggets have
- 1:36:33Speaker 1: been quite good on the road to a twelve and four.
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: For the injuries here out of Bio, you gotta see
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: if he's gonna play or not. Game time decision from
- 1:36:43Speaker 1: him tonight. A hero has missed almost the entire season. Man,
- 1:36:46Speaker 1: it was like he got hurt as soon as he
- 1:36:48Speaker 1: came back. A toe injury shouldn't be that serious.
- 1:36:52Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on.
- 1:36:53Speaker 1: He needs to be a hero and come back a
- 1:36:56Speaker 1: nitty hero.
- 1:36:58Speaker 2: To cover against the Nuggets.
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: All right, whatever, I'm not gonna play that game, but
- 1:37:04Speaker 1: I would slightly into the heat in that one. He
- 1:37:10Speaker 1: likes the Warriors, and I agree, mild agreement for me
- 1:37:14Speaker 1: on that one. But that game is there's a lot
- 1:37:16Speaker 1: going on in that game to try to handicap man.
- 1:37:21Speaker 1: Orlando at Toronto, Now I first looked at this and
- 1:37:23Speaker 1: I'm like, well, Orlando's gonna be inn a letdown spot
- 1:37:26Speaker 1: because they just upset Denver.
- 1:37:28Speaker 2: That was a big win for Orlando.
- 1:37:30Speaker 1: I think it was an upset. It must have been
- 1:37:31Speaker 1: right Orlando at home, Orlando, you gotta see what their
- 1:37:35Speaker 1: injury situation is. Now they're starting a road trip. Sometimes
- 1:37:39Speaker 1: starting a road trip, you are focused though off of
- 1:37:41Speaker 1: a win, but could be a letdown spot. But I
- 1:37:44Speaker 1: don't know that Orlando is really gonna overlook a decent
- 1:37:46Speaker 1: Toronto team here to start a road trip A Toronto
- 1:37:50Speaker 1: played last night until overtime against Golden State. I know
- 1:37:53Speaker 1: they're not traveling. That was a big game for Toronto. Man,
- 1:37:57Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say they're really gonna overlook Orlando, but
- 1:37:59Speaker 1: they do play for next coming up that huge overtime
- 1:38:02Speaker 1: win against Golden State. The spot's not exactly great for
- 1:38:05Speaker 1: Toronto here. Man. Now for the Magic, you gotta see
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: what's going on with their injuries here. Uh, sugs and
- 1:38:12Speaker 1: Wagner both pretty key injuries. He's doubtful, so it looks
- 1:38:16Speaker 1: like he's still not going to be back, even though
- 1:38:20Speaker 1: it looked like he might be back in the previous game.
- 1:38:21Speaker 1: He's not back. A. Wagner has not been ruled out
- 1:38:25Speaker 1: of this game yet. Wagner has only been out since
- 1:38:27Speaker 1: the twenty first, so he looks like he's closer to
- 1:38:31Speaker 1: coming back than actually no, Wagner looks like he's out
- 1:38:35Speaker 1: until January ninth, never mind, So Suggs was closer to
- 1:38:39Speaker 1: coming back, but he's still not coming back. Tonight. So
- 1:38:41Speaker 1: you do have a thin magic roster here again, so
- 1:38:44Speaker 1: it is possible the Raptors do overlook them.
- 1:38:47Speaker 2: But the money is coming in on the Raptors.
- 1:38:48Speaker 1: The Magic are down from two to one here, sixty
- 1:38:50Speaker 1: seven percent of the tickets on them, sixty five percent
- 1:38:54Speaker 1: of the cash on the raptors. So the money is
- 1:39:00Speaker 1: the money is saying the Raptors man, So take that
- 1:39:02Speaker 1: for what it's worth. I somewhat lean a little bit
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: against them, to be honest, So I don't really agree
- 1:39:09Speaker 1: with the market reading that one. But I'm not going
- 1:39:10Speaker 1: to play the game at all, obviously, KYLEI, Yeah, thank you, sir.
- 1:39:17Speaker 1: I've been a singer for almost my entire lefel and
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: my voice is not what it once was. I was
- 1:39:22Speaker 1: a high tenor throughout high school and college. I was
- 1:39:25Speaker 1: in like glee clubs, acapella groups, a bunch of singing groups.
- 1:39:29Speaker 1: I was the lead singer in some garage bands and
- 1:39:32Speaker 1: stuff in high school. I have my own one man
- 1:39:36Speaker 1: project at like a MIDI project I have now. I
- 1:39:39Speaker 1: play ukulele and I sing, and I do really stupid
- 1:39:42Speaker 1: ukulele covers, and I do some originals still as well.
- 1:39:45Speaker 1: I used to write more than I do an now,
- 1:39:47Speaker 1: although I do just write an entire album on ukulele,
- 1:39:50Speaker 1: And it's actually easier for me to write ukulele songs
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: because you just you just get the vibe and you
- 1:39:56Speaker 1: just start going man with the MIDI. It's just so
- 1:40:00Speaker 1: it takes a while to like lay down all the
- 1:40:02Speaker 1: tracks and stuff. So, but yes, I have a lot
- 1:40:04Speaker 1: going on with my music, have a I have a
- 1:40:07Speaker 1: minor in music as well.
- 1:40:11Speaker 2: But yes, I've mostly.
- 1:40:12Speaker 1: Been a vocalist and songwriter. But my voice is again
- 1:40:17Speaker 1: nowhere near what it once was. I used to be
- 1:40:19Speaker 1: able to hit some like real ridiculous high notes. Not anymore.
- 1:40:25Speaker 1: But yes, uh covered in Yuke by the way, is
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: my yuke YouTube channel, and I put yuke stuff out
- 1:40:31Speaker 1: on my Twitter as well. All Right, we have a
- 1:40:35Speaker 1: Minnesota at Chicago. Man, there's so many fucking games today. Uh,
- 1:40:41Speaker 1: Minnesota at Chicago. Minnesota just lost horribly to Brooklyn, but
- 1:40:46Speaker 1: they were coming off of a really difficult ot loss to
- 1:40:49Speaker 1: Denver the prior that was on Christmas too, the prior
- 1:40:52Speaker 1: game they'd played the Knicks, So they had this really
- 1:40:55Speaker 1: extreme run of games and they just ran out of steam.
- 1:40:58Speaker 1: I think I said that I leaned to Brooklyn in
- 1:41:00Speaker 1: that game. Brooklyn got the job done. Now going out
- 1:41:03Speaker 1: on the road, to me, it looks like kind of
- 1:41:04Speaker 1: a bounce back from Minnesota. Hear for Chicago though they
- 1:41:08Speaker 1: just took a loss to Milwaukee. I know it was
- 1:41:10Speaker 1: with Giannis back that did end along win streat for
- 1:41:14Speaker 1: Chicago though, So it is possible it hangs them over,
- 1:41:16Speaker 1: but I don't really see them overlooking Minnesota either. So again,
- 1:41:19Speaker 1: it's a game where I just can't do it. But
- 1:41:22Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the Tea Wolves side,
- 1:41:24Speaker 1: and I don't disagree with that. I think they're just
- 1:41:26Speaker 1: coming off a more disgusting loss, or I think they're
- 1:41:29Speaker 1: gonna be really angry. Seventy percent of tickets, eighty three
- 1:41:32Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Tea Wolves up from
- 1:41:34Speaker 1: four to six. There, I'm not gonna disagree with laying
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: the points with the Tea Wolves in that one. No,
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: what was the fix in the Suns Pelicans? I didn't
- 1:41:42Speaker 1: see it, Kyle, Thank you sir.
- 1:41:48Speaker 2: Oh well, yes, I appreciate it.
- 1:41:50Speaker 1: Thank you for hanging out man. Yeah, you can check
- 1:41:52Speaker 1: out my ukulele stuff. I'm not good at it. I
- 1:41:54Speaker 1: started playing ukulele in like my early thirties, So I mean,
- 1:41:58Speaker 1: and I just figured out how to play it myself basically,
- 1:42:02Speaker 1: you know, just because it's easier to play than play
- 1:42:05Speaker 1: guitar as a fat man with stubby fingers. So I
- 1:42:08Speaker 1: don't know, I'm mostly a singer, but yeah, I guess
- 1:42:13Speaker 1: do with that information when you want to. As I
- 1:42:16Speaker 1: always say, Indiana at Houston, Indiana, they're on a pretty
- 1:42:22Speaker 1: bad slide right now. Man, They've lost eight games in
- 1:42:24Speaker 1: a row, but getting blown out by Miami in their
- 1:42:27Speaker 1: last game, maybe this is a spot where maybe they're
- 1:42:30Speaker 1: gonna get overlooked here.
- 1:42:31Speaker 2: Man, they're going to Houston.
- 1:42:34Speaker 1: Houston's coming off a number of pretty good games here, man,
- 1:42:37Speaker 1: Houston are pretty big games that should say, well, two
- 1:42:40Speaker 1: big wins in a row. I should say, they beat
- 1:42:42Speaker 1: the Lakers handling on Christmas, huge winning.
- 1:42:45Speaker 2: They did not suffer a letdown after that.
- 1:42:48Speaker 1: Also, returning home from it, they beat Cleveland pretty soundly.
- 1:42:52Speaker 1: Although Cleveland's got some injury issues. Cleveland's been down, but
- 1:42:56Speaker 1: you couldn't maybe see a delayed letdown spoty for Houston.
- 1:42:59Speaker 1: If they had a bigger game up next than Brooklyn,
- 1:43:02Speaker 1: I might be convinced to give out a play in
- 1:43:04Speaker 1: Indiana here. As the stands right now, I'm gonna leave
- 1:43:06Speaker 1: it alone. But for me, it would be Pacers or passed.
- 1:43:10Speaker 1: I think this is one of the stronger opinions here
- 1:43:12Speaker 1: for me today, the Rockets are fifteen point favorite. Looks
- 1:43:15Speaker 1: like it's getting higher. Sixty seven percent of tickets on them,
- 1:43:18Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash. However, on the Pacers, it's
- 1:43:22Speaker 1: probably a pros versus Joe's scenario here. Again.
- 1:43:25Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Pacers.
- 1:43:26Speaker 1: It's one of the ones I like more on the
- 1:43:28Speaker 1: NBA card than most of the other ones. Jeffree like
- 1:43:31Speaker 1: Indiana as well. Yes, welcome Kyle, Absolutely, Yes, I agree
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: with Indiana and that one. I just I don't know,
- 1:43:39Speaker 1: I hesitate a little bit. Knicks at the New Orleans Pelicans. Here.
- 1:43:44Speaker 1: The Knicks, you know, they're on a nice run here.
- 1:43:46Speaker 1: I mean they they beat Cleveland. That was a huge
- 1:43:49Speaker 1: win for the Knicks, just because Cleveland really was just
- 1:43:53Speaker 1: owning them in that game and the Knicks had a
- 1:43:56Speaker 1: huge comeback and won.
- 1:43:57Speaker 2: The game was big.
- 1:43:58Speaker 1: It was on Christmas, you know, it was still against Cleveland.
- 1:44:00Speaker 1: They didn't really suffer the let down. They went to Atlanta.
- 1:44:03Speaker 1: I believe Atlanta might have covered the number in this game, though,
- 1:44:06Speaker 1: but the Knicks.
- 1:44:08Speaker 2: Still got the win. It was a close win.
- 1:44:09Speaker 1: But the Knicks play san Antonio next, man, I think
- 1:44:12Speaker 1: that game is gonna mean more to san Antonio, hint, hint.
- 1:44:16Speaker 1: But I think it is still a look ahead spot
- 1:44:19Speaker 1: for the Knicks because that's the rematch of the NBA
- 1:44:23Speaker 1: Cup Final. But of course san Antonio being the loser
- 1:44:25Speaker 1: of that game, it means more to them. But san
- 1:44:27Speaker 1: Antonio has been on fire man, so I could easily
- 1:44:30Speaker 1: see the Knicks just overlooking New Orleans. Here, New Orleans,
- 1:44:36Speaker 1: they're coming off another loss to Phoenix.
- 1:44:38Speaker 2: Here, they didn't zig zag. They're staying at home.
- 1:44:41Speaker 1: For me, I think they're gonna want to try to
- 1:44:43Speaker 1: get a game here in this three game home stand
- 1:44:45Speaker 1: that they're on. So yeah, for me, I still lean
- 1:44:48Speaker 1: to the Pelicans in this one. It would be Pelicans
- 1:44:50Speaker 1: are pass in that game. The Knicks are up to
- 1:44:52Speaker 1: an eight and a half point favorite, sixty seven percent
- 1:44:55Speaker 1: of the tickets on the Knicks, but fifty eight percent
- 1:44:57Speaker 1: of the cash taking the points of the Pelicans. Money
- 1:45:00Speaker 1: is in agreement with me on the Pelicans, and in
- 1:45:03Speaker 1: an agreement with sob as well. Yeah for me, Yeah,
- 1:45:07Speaker 1: lean to the Pelicans in that one a half a
- 1:45:12Speaker 1: half Corey game court game. What are we talking about here, Houston?
- 1:45:16Speaker 1: I mean, they like to play a little bit slower,
- 1:45:18Speaker 1: but you're asking Houston to cover his double digit favorites. Man,
- 1:45:21Speaker 1: So if Houston is gonna slow the game down, that's
- 1:45:25Speaker 1: not really conducive to winning by a huge margin. Actually, wait,
- 1:45:29Speaker 1: why did I say hint, hint SANATOI This Cleveland san
- 1:45:33Speaker 1: Antonio game is not the one that I actually like
- 1:45:36Speaker 1: Cleveland at San Antonio. Cleveland, they're coming off that loss
- 1:45:40Speaker 1: to Houston. Cleveland. I mean it was kind of an
- 1:45:43Speaker 1: expected bat like really tough spot for them because Cleveland
- 1:45:46Speaker 1: had the knicks on the ropes on the road on Christmas. Man,
- 1:45:50Speaker 1: the way that they imploded and they lost that game
- 1:45:52Speaker 1: and we're leading by seventeen in the fourth quarter, you
- 1:45:55Speaker 1: had to have you had to think they were gonna
- 1:45:57Speaker 1: be in a bad spot after that. Even though I
- 1:46:00Speaker 1: only they would show up for a game against a
- 1:46:01Speaker 1: good team like Houston, Houston was able to get the
- 1:46:04Speaker 1: easy win. Bad game for Cleveland. I expect Cleveland will
- 1:46:08Speaker 1: show up in this game against San Antonio. So I
- 1:46:11Speaker 1: think it is a spot where you want to you
- 1:46:12Speaker 1: do want to look towards Cleveland in this one for
- 1:46:15Speaker 1: san Antonio.
- 1:46:17Speaker 2: I would fade them.
- 1:46:18Speaker 1: But the problem is san Antonio just had an ugly
- 1:46:20Speaker 1: loss themselves against Utah at home san Antonio Los. I mean,
- 1:46:26Speaker 1: you kind of expected they were gonna lose, though, because
- 1:46:28Speaker 1: they swept Oklahoma City, including beating them on the road
- 1:46:32Speaker 1: on Christmas. Just another monumental win for san Antonio. It
- 1:46:36Speaker 1: was a bad spot. It was a sandwich spot. I
- 1:46:38Speaker 1: think the only reason I didn't give out Utah in
- 1:46:40Speaker 1: that game was because Utah was also in a bad spot.
- 1:46:44Speaker 1: But Utah showed up and san Antonio got caught ugly loss.
- 1:46:48Speaker 1: So you could argue that san Antonio will bounce back
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: from that, although I think the more likely situation is
- 1:46:53Speaker 1: that san Antonio will be hung over after losing a
- 1:46:57Speaker 1: win streak like that.
- 1:46:58Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be looking ahead.
- 1:46:59Speaker 1: I mean, that is a big time game against the Knicks,
- 1:47:02Speaker 1: man where that's a game where I think revenge does matter.
- 1:47:05Speaker 1: Where they lost to the Knicks in the final, which
- 1:47:08Speaker 1: was a win for us on the show, by the way,
- 1:47:10Speaker 1: the NBA Cup Final, not that the NBA Cup really
- 1:47:12Speaker 1: matters that much, but once you get to the final,
- 1:47:15Speaker 1: it kind of does matter. So I expect them to
- 1:47:16Speaker 1: be looking ahead to the Knicks year. Well, they really
- 1:47:19Speaker 1: overlook Cleveland though off velocity. Utah, that's what I worry about.
- 1:47:22Speaker 1: I'm just not entirely convinced that's gonna be the case,
- 1:47:27Speaker 1: so I'm staying away from it. But I would still
- 1:47:30Speaker 1: lean to the Calves and that one if I was
- 1:47:32Speaker 1: gonna play it. The Spurs are down from four and
- 1:47:34Speaker 1: a half to two and a half now sixty nine
- 1:47:36Speaker 1: percent of tickets on an eighty six percent of the
- 1:47:38Speaker 1: cash coming in on the Calves. It looks way too
- 1:47:40Speaker 1: easy to lay the points with the Spurs with as
- 1:47:42Speaker 1: good of a record as they have laying the two
- 1:47:44Speaker 1: and a half. And I don't know are their injuries,
- 1:47:46Speaker 1: Like why did the line drop like that? Let me see?
- 1:47:50Speaker 1: It looks like Fox is a game time decision enough
- 1:47:53Speaker 1: for the Spurs, So don't know if he's gonna play
- 1:47:55Speaker 1: or not. Maybe if he wasn't gonna play, that would
- 1:47:57Speaker 1: move the line like that. I'm not sure, but either way, yeah,
- 1:48:01Speaker 1: for me, it would be Calves or past the game
- 1:48:03Speaker 1: and that when the Calves are still not as bad
- 1:48:05Speaker 1: as the record looks at the very least. However, the
- 1:48:09Speaker 1: game that I'm get, I'm gonna give it a play
- 1:48:11Speaker 1: on process of elimination. Here, Dallas Mavericks is gonna be
- 1:48:16Speaker 1: the play. Oh yeah, I should have best bets, just
- 1:48:18Speaker 1: because it's the last one before I talk about football
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: where I do not have a best bet. We're gonna
- 1:48:25Speaker 1: play the Dallas Mavericks. And now I think you might
- 1:48:28Speaker 1: want to wait on this game because of the number
- 1:48:30Speaker 1: of players that might actually come back in this game.
- 1:48:32Speaker 2: For the Blazers.
- 1:48:34Speaker 1: But if you just look at the spot, I think
- 1:48:35Speaker 1: this is a spot to look towards Dallas. Here, Dallas
- 1:48:39Speaker 1: is coming up a pretty ugly loss to the Kings.
- 1:48:42Speaker 1: I told you that I leaned to the Kings in
- 1:48:44Speaker 1: that game because Dallas had beaten Denver and then they
- 1:48:46Speaker 1: played on Christmas. They played pretty close against Golden State,
- 1:48:50Speaker 1: a couple of big games, so I think they just
- 1:48:52Speaker 1: fell completely flat. They had a bad game against Sacramento.
- 1:48:56Speaker 1: I think now they're gonna be in a bounced back
- 1:48:58Speaker 1: spot after that. They're gonna try to sell game on
- 1:49:00Speaker 1: this road trip, not go own three on the road trip.
- 1:49:04Speaker 1: So I do think you're gonna get focus out of Dallas,
- 1:49:06Speaker 1: Dallas in this one. Whereas for Portland, I know Portland's
- 1:49:09Speaker 1: better at home. Dallas is not good on the road.
- 1:49:11Speaker 2: I get that.
- 1:49:12Speaker 1: But Portland's on a back to back and they beat
- 1:49:14Speaker 1: my boss in Celtics last night. And yes, it did
- 1:49:17Speaker 1: break a lost street for Portland, but that was a
- 1:49:20Speaker 1: big win man, beating the Celtics.
- 1:49:22Speaker 2: The Celtics are a solid team.
- 1:49:24Speaker 1: Huge win really for Portland would have been even bigger
- 1:49:26Speaker 1: if they had ex Celtic Drew Holiday in the lineup there,
- 1:49:30Speaker 1: which they didn't, But I'm gonna talk about him in
- 1:49:32Speaker 1: a second. Yes, that broke a law street from them,
- 1:49:35Speaker 1: but I think it's more likely that they get caught
- 1:49:37Speaker 1: in a let down here. Man.
- 1:49:38Speaker 2: Back to back and who do they play next?
- 1:49:40Speaker 1: Oh? Yeah, on Wednesday on NBA TV they played the
- 1:49:43Speaker 1: Oklahoma City thunder Man. That's gonna be a big game
- 1:49:46Speaker 1: for them against the thunder The thunder beat them by
- 1:49:49Speaker 1: margin the last time, after Portland actually beat them the
- 1:49:52Speaker 1: first time. But always a huge game you play the Thunder.
- 1:49:55Speaker 1: So I think this is a sandwich spot with no
- 1:49:58Speaker 1: rest here Dallas. I think is it kind of a
- 1:50:00Speaker 1: bounce back spot. Now we do gotta look, we do
- 1:50:03Speaker 1: have to look at the injury situation here. A lot
- 1:50:05Speaker 1: of guys on the injury report. Anthony Davis is up
- 1:50:09Speaker 1: in the air right now. I still like this whether
- 1:50:12Speaker 1: he plays or not, though, because I just don't know
- 1:50:13Speaker 1: how big of a piece he really is at this
- 1:50:16Speaker 1: point with his old age here. For Dallas, I'm fine
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: with it whether he plays or whether he doesn't play.
- 1:50:22Speaker 1: I believe he might have played in their last game too,
- 1:50:24Speaker 1: or maybe he missed one game, but they're kind of
- 1:50:26Speaker 1: just used to him being in and out of the
- 1:50:28Speaker 1: lineup anyway. Now, what you do have to look at
- 1:50:30Speaker 1: is the Portland Trailblazers might get back Robert Williams, the third,
- 1:50:34Speaker 1: Jeremy Grant, Andrew Holliday all in this game. So this
- 1:50:38Speaker 1: is something to really keep an eye on. And really
- 1:50:41Speaker 1: Holliday and Grant matter more than Williams. But if any
- 1:50:45Speaker 1: of the three guys come back, I think you're gonna
- 1:50:47Speaker 1: see it be a reverse injured player spot. And you
- 1:50:50Speaker 1: know I talk about this when guys like Halliday and Grant,
- 1:50:53Speaker 1: especially when they've been out for an extended period of
- 1:50:55Speaker 1: time and they're two of the like they're two of
- 1:50:58Speaker 1: the best three players on Portland, and if they come back,
- 1:51:01Speaker 1: or if either one of them comes back, you know
- 1:51:04Speaker 1: that player has to ramp back up to speed a
- 1:51:06Speaker 1: little bit. It's gonna take a little while. The team
- 1:51:08Speaker 1: has to get into their new roles again because they're
- 1:51:11Speaker 1: not used to those guys playing, you know what I mean.
- 1:51:13Speaker 2: So there's a chemistry shift.
- 1:51:15Speaker 1: So a lot of times the team doesn't do well
- 1:51:17Speaker 1: right away, especially when Portland has actually played fairly well
- 1:51:21Speaker 1: over the recent stretch. You know, it could be a
- 1:51:23Speaker 1: little bit disruptive for them, and maybe they even have
- 1:51:27Speaker 1: a tendency to take it a little bit easy if
- 1:51:29Speaker 1: if one of their star players comes back.
- 1:51:31Speaker 2: So I worry.
- 1:51:32Speaker 1: That's why I don't like it when injured players come back.
- 1:51:35Speaker 1: That first game where they come back, I don't like it.
- 1:51:37Speaker 1: But afterwards, of course, the team's gonna start getting adjusted
- 1:51:41Speaker 1: again and playing better, for sure, But that first game back,
- 1:51:44Speaker 1: it's a bit disruptive usually and you get line value
- 1:51:47Speaker 1: fading that team.
- 1:51:49Speaker 2: So that's what we're gonna do here.
- 1:51:50Speaker 1: That's again why I would maybe wait on this, because
- 1:51:53Speaker 1: if any of those guys are gonna come back, you
- 1:51:55Speaker 1: might get a better number here on Dallas. So I
- 1:51:58Speaker 1: would market watch a little bit here and see what
- 1:52:00Speaker 1: you're gonna get. I don't really think the line's gonna
- 1:52:03Speaker 1: drop at least that significantly, hopefully not, but we'll see
- 1:52:07Speaker 1: if you can get three, three and a half, maybe
- 1:52:09Speaker 1: something in that range, maybe a little bit more.
- 1:52:12Speaker 2: I would wait a little bit, and.
- 1:52:13Speaker 1: I would watch the injury reports, man, just see what's
- 1:52:15Speaker 1: going on. Though, of course the oddsmakers are gonna have
- 1:52:18Speaker 1: the information before you. Unfortunate, I mean, that's just the
- 1:52:21Speaker 1: way that it is. But in my opinion, I think
- 1:52:25Speaker 1: the only way this line could really go is gonna
- 1:52:28Speaker 1: be up unless all of those players are ruled out,
- 1:52:31Speaker 1: and then maybe the line will drop a little bit,
- 1:52:33Speaker 1: but hopefully it won't be that significant. So we're gonna
- 1:52:36Speaker 1: grab the MAVs. Just grab them as some sort of
- 1:52:38Speaker 1: underdog here. Hopefully you can get at least two two
- 1:52:40Speaker 1: and a half on it. You can probably get three
- 1:52:42Speaker 1: right now. I mean, if you want to play it
- 1:52:43Speaker 1: right now at three, I'm not gonna knock you for it.
- 1:52:46Speaker 1: Sixty seven percent of the tickets on the Boys or
- 1:52:48Speaker 1: sixty four percent of the cash on the MAVs, So
- 1:52:51Speaker 1: I like the MAVs in this one, and that is
- 1:52:53Speaker 1: my one NBA play, which SOB is intelligence gathering operation.
- 1:52:59Speaker 1: Did not tell him that, Okay, we have the bowl
- 1:53:04Speaker 1: game in the afternoon. Here the j LAB Birmingham Bowl
- 1:53:07Speaker 1: in Birmingham, Alabama. I don't know what j LAB is.
- 1:53:12Speaker 1: It worries me what j LAB is. I don't know
- 1:53:14Speaker 1: what what are they doing with They're doing something with
- 1:53:17Speaker 1: people's DNA or something man in that in that j LAB.
- 1:53:20Speaker 2: I don't I don't know. I don't like it.
- 1:53:23Speaker 1: But this is a Georgia Southern and app state and
- 1:53:26Speaker 1: this is a very very weird bowl matchup because these
- 1:53:29Speaker 1: teams are in the same conference, which is weird enough
- 1:53:34Speaker 1: for a bowl game like BOLLS. The intent of the
- 1:53:37Speaker 1: Bulls is.
- 1:53:38Speaker 2: For teams that never see each other to play each other.
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: Like that's the whole thing about the Bulls, Like it's
- 1:53:42Speaker 1: almost against the rules to have bowl teams playing each
- 1:53:45Speaker 1: other that are in the same conference.
- 1:53:46Speaker 2: And not only is that the case, but.
- 1:53:48Speaker 1: These teams actually played each other during the regular seamson,
- 1:53:51Speaker 1: which is an extremely rare situation for a ball because
- 1:53:54Speaker 1: you actually get a data point to look at. But
- 1:53:58Speaker 1: it might be a data point that you might need
- 1:54:00Speaker 1: to kind of throw out though, and we will talk
- 1:54:02Speaker 1: about it, but this game is really difficult to handicap
- 1:54:06Speaker 1: for me. Man, So what happened was at State they're
- 1:54:10Speaker 1: five and seven, so they're not Bowl eligible. But what
- 1:54:13Speaker 1: happened is, of course a bunch of teams dropped out
- 1:54:15Speaker 1: of bulls. And it wasn't just Notre Dame. It was
- 1:54:18Speaker 1: Kansas State, Iowa State, and I think there were some
- 1:54:20Speaker 1: other like smaller conference teams that just backed out of
- 1:54:23Speaker 1: the bowl games. Which it sucks, dude, because you want
- 1:54:26Speaker 1: the ball to be like the reward for your team.
- 1:54:27Speaker 1: But it's just a situation where now with transfers nil,
- 1:54:31Speaker 1: bowls are becoming really meaningless, man, And bowls used to
- 1:54:34Speaker 1: be fun, like they used to be kind of exciting, where, oh,
- 1:54:36Speaker 1: you're gonna get like these players they want to go
- 1:54:39Speaker 1: out with a bang, you know what I mean for them,
- 1:54:41Speaker 1: Like you would have teams that were disappointed and stuff,
- 1:54:43Speaker 1: and that was always the way you had to handicap
- 1:54:45Speaker 1: these But now it almost becomes impossible to handicap the
- 1:54:48Speaker 1: motivation in some of these games because of.
- 1:54:52Speaker 2: The opt outs and stuff. So you got to look
- 1:54:53Speaker 2: at all the opt outs.
- 1:54:54Speaker 1: So with Appstate, uh, basically, the NCAA called them and said, hey,
- 1:54:59Speaker 1: you're five and sevent team, we have a bull spot available,
- 1:55:02Speaker 1: do you want it? And they said yes. So usually
- 1:55:05Speaker 1: when you have a team like that that's five and
- 1:55:07Speaker 1: seven not Bowl eligible, and they say, yes, we want
- 1:55:10Speaker 1: to play in this bowl, that's all you need to know. Okay, yeah,
- 1:55:12Speaker 1: they want to play in this Bowl and they're five
- 1:55:14Speaker 1: and seven. Usually those teams show up with a lot
- 1:55:17Speaker 1: of motivation and the public doesn't want anything to do
- 1:55:19Speaker 1: with that team because they're five and seven, they're the
- 1:55:22Speaker 1: team with the worst record. Whatever. Nobody wants that team.
- 1:55:25Speaker 1: They're usually like the ugly duckling and they play well
- 1:55:28Speaker 1: in the bowl and they usually because they didn't even
- 1:55:30Speaker 1: expect to be in a bowl, they're like, Okay, we're
- 1:55:32Speaker 1: excited now to be here. The problem is app State
- 1:55:35Speaker 1: had already had a bunch of players opt out of
- 1:55:37Speaker 1: this bowl.
- 1:55:38Speaker 2: So if you look at it here, these.
- 1:55:40Speaker 1: Are all the So we see a few injuries on
- 1:55:42Speaker 1: Georgia Southern, but the Georgia Southern does not have any
- 1:55:46Speaker 1: players that are opting out of this game.
- 1:55:48Speaker 2: It doesn't look like so.
- 1:55:48Speaker 1: Georgia Southern is basically they're showing up for this game.
- 1:55:52Speaker 1: They're basically fielding their entire team, even though they've played
- 1:55:54Speaker 1: in a bunch of bolls recently. They're one of these,
- 1:55:57Speaker 1: you know, smaller conference teams. They like the they're showing
- 1:56:01Speaker 1: up for it. The problem Apple Achian State. Normally you
- 1:56:04Speaker 1: would think, yeah, they're gonna show up for a bowl
- 1:56:06Speaker 1: where they get to play in the bowl totally unexpectedly.
- 1:56:09Speaker 1: The problem is now so many of their players already
- 1:56:12Speaker 1: opted out, including their top two quarterbacks. Well one was Swan,
- 1:56:16Speaker 1: although Swan was so bad that he lost the job
- 1:56:20Speaker 1: to Cole. AJ Swan and JJ Cole. They're they're almost
- 1:56:24Speaker 1: like the Watt brothers. So Cole became the starting quarterback
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: and he's opting out as well. So Appleachen State is
- 1:56:32Speaker 1: basically down to a third string quarterback in this game,
- 1:56:35Speaker 1: so that's not good. One of their best defensive players,
- 1:56:40Speaker 1: starting safety Berks, he's traveling but he's opted out of
- 1:56:43Speaker 1: the game, so he's going to be there, but not
- 1:56:45Speaker 1: in uniform it looks like. And then they have a
- 1:56:47Speaker 1: bunch of other guys opting out to on both the
- 1:56:50Speaker 1: defense and offense. So this is a problem. Man so yeah,
- 1:56:56Speaker 1: app State, it looks like they're probably gonna go with, well,
- 1:57:00Speaker 1: we don't even know which quarterback they're gonna go with.
- 1:57:02Speaker 2: They have Gillan, who had thirty two pass.
- 1:57:05Speaker 1: Attempts on the year and wasn't very good at all,
- 1:57:08Speaker 1: and they have and he's a freshman though, so he
- 1:57:10Speaker 1: probably should improve at some point and they might play
- 1:57:12Speaker 1: him just to get him experience if they think he's
- 1:57:14Speaker 1: gonna be their quarterback next year. They could if they
- 1:57:17Speaker 1: if they really want to win this Bowl, they could
- 1:57:19Speaker 1: also go with Wiles, who's a more experienced quarterback, at
- 1:57:22Speaker 1: least a senior who was on Clemson ant Southern Miss.
- 1:57:27Speaker 1: We don't know what's gonna happen here though, And also
- 1:57:29Speaker 1: the head coach Logan's logins, Kenny Logins, what uh uh
- 1:57:36Speaker 1: Kenny low playing with the boys. That's Kenny Loggins, right, Yeah,
- 1:57:42Speaker 1: it's gonna it's gonna be a gay shirtless volleyball match
- 1:57:46Speaker 1: in this one, Logins. Frapp State did say that any
- 1:57:49Speaker 1: of his players that have entered the transfer portal because
- 1:57:52Speaker 1: they got you know, last minute, they got to go
- 1:57:55Speaker 1: into uh, they got to play in this Bowl. He
- 1:57:57Speaker 1: said that he's gonna allow any of the players in
- 1:57:59Speaker 1: the transfer port to play in this Bowl if they
- 1:58:01Speaker 1: want to. So he seems to be indicating that some
- 1:58:05Speaker 1: of these guys that have opted out are actually gonna
- 1:58:08Speaker 1: opt back into this game. But based on the market
- 1:58:11Speaker 1: in this game, it seems like that's not happening. So, like,
- 1:58:14Speaker 1: do you trust the coach just making this offhand comment,
- 1:58:17Speaker 1: or do you trust the market, which is where the
- 1:58:20Speaker 1: money actually is, like billions of dollars. It's well, not
- 1:58:23Speaker 1: billions of dollars at stake in this one game, but
- 1:58:25Speaker 1: you know, millions of dollars at stake, Like which one
- 1:58:27Speaker 1: do you trust more? You gotta trust the odds makers
- 1:58:30Speaker 1: and they're basically telling you that this coach is basically
- 1:58:34Speaker 1: talking out of his ass, Like these guys are probably
- 1:58:37Speaker 1: for the most part, not playing in this game. Now,
- 1:58:39Speaker 1: as far as Apple State's quarterbacks being out, I don't
- 1:58:42Speaker 1: think it matters that much for app State because they're
- 1:58:44Speaker 1: not really a passing heavy. They're just not a good
- 1:58:48Speaker 1: passing offense. So I don't know if it matters that much.
- 1:58:50Speaker 1: But it's a cluster, right with so many guys being
- 1:58:54Speaker 1: out for app State, it is a problem. But of
- 1:58:57Speaker 1: course the line might have overdjusted to how many guys
- 1:59:00Speaker 1: are out of this game, but it does look like
- 1:59:02Speaker 1: you're gonna get a very depleted app State team here
- 1:59:05Speaker 1: against a full Georgia Southern roster. So that is why
- 1:59:09Speaker 1: the line has gone from two to ten in this game,
- 1:59:12Speaker 1: with Georgia Southern being a massive favorite here fifty two
- 1:59:15Speaker 1: percent of the ticket seventy six percent of.
- 1:59:17Speaker 2: The cash on Georgia Southern.
- 1:59:18Speaker 1: So the money still looks like it's on the Georgia
- 1:59:20Speaker 1: Southern side, But at some point it is an overreaction.
- 1:59:24Speaker 1: Man Like at ten, I think you probably there's no
- 1:59:28Speaker 1: way that you can really lay it. At ten, I
- 1:59:29Speaker 1: wouldn't say, uh, Georgia Southern might just come in and
- 1:59:32Speaker 1: run away with the game, but there's no real line
- 1:59:35Speaker 1: value left in it. So again it's a really difficult
- 1:59:38Speaker 1: game to handicap. Of course, in my like bowl pick
- 1:59:40Speaker 1: comes and whatever, I'm gonna get a much softer line
- 1:59:43Speaker 1: on Georgia Southern, So I think I'm probably just gonna
- 1:59:45Speaker 1: have to pick Georgia Southern. But for the purposes of
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: this game, at ten, it might have gone a little
- 1:59:52Speaker 1: bit too far, and maybe there's some value and looking
- 1:59:54Speaker 1: towards app State.
- 1:59:55Speaker 2: But we'll see again.
- 1:59:57Speaker 1: I don't like how many players look like they're gonna
- 1:59:59Speaker 1: be out for app State fifty nine percent of tickets
- 2:00:02Speaker 1: on the under as well, for what it's worth, fifty
- 2:00:04Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on the over. The total
- 2:00:07Speaker 1: is pretty high. It's down to fifty eight. But with
- 2:00:10Speaker 1: all these guys opting up for APPS State, it affects
- 2:00:12Speaker 1: both sides of the ball, offense and defense. You know,
- 2:00:16Speaker 1: Georgia Southern is not exactly a defensive powerhouse though, so
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: you know, with a somewhat bad defense from them, in
- 2:00:23Speaker 1: a depleted defense for AP State, you know, maybe you
- 2:00:27Speaker 1: do see a bunch of scoring in this game, but
- 2:00:29Speaker 1: I just don't know exactly where the offense is gonna
- 2:00:31Speaker 1: come from for app State with these guys out. But
- 2:00:34Speaker 1: it looks like app State will have at least somewhat
- 2:00:36Speaker 1: of a rushing attack in this one. Then, of course,
- 2:00:38Speaker 1: the other thing you gotta look at is these teams
- 2:00:40Speaker 1: played this year, So what happened in that game? Well,
- 2:00:43Speaker 1: Georgia Southern won the game on the road at APP
- 2:00:46Speaker 1: State twenty five to twenty three. But app State was
- 2:00:49Speaker 1: actually a five point favorite in this game, So, like,
- 2:00:54Speaker 1: how do you like read this right. Like app State
- 2:00:56Speaker 1: was a five point favorite at home, so if they
- 2:00:59Speaker 1: were a full raw here, that would indicate they should
- 2:01:01Speaker 1: probably actually still be a favorite here on a neutral
- 2:01:04Speaker 1: site in Alabama. I don't think the location is that
- 2:01:09Speaker 1: much better for one team and the other. I guess
- 2:01:10Speaker 1: it's a little bit closer to Georgia Southern, so I
- 2:01:12Speaker 1: guess slight advantage in the location for Georgia Southern, I guess.
- 2:01:16Speaker 1: But if app State was a five point favorite, if
- 2:01:20Speaker 1: they were fielding their whole team, they were five and
- 2:01:22Speaker 1: a half, they were a five point favorite home, they
- 2:01:23Speaker 1: should probably be about a one one and a half
- 2:01:26Speaker 1: point favorite in this game. Then you have to take
- 2:01:29Speaker 1: into account the fact that a bunch of their team
- 2:01:31Speaker 1: is not playing. Is that worth shifting the line like
- 2:01:35Speaker 1: ten or eleven points? Probably not. I mean, the guys
- 2:01:39Speaker 1: who get to play probably at least be excited to
- 2:01:41Speaker 1: play in the game, so you know, I mean again,
- 2:01:45Speaker 1: it's just it's all about line value. That's just what
- 2:01:48Speaker 1: it comes down to. In this game. It becomes not
- 2:01:50Speaker 1: even really about predicting the game anymore.
- 2:01:52Speaker 2: It's all about do.
- 2:01:53Speaker 1: You want to grab what is probably line value in
- 2:01:55Speaker 1: app State or are you worried that app States depleted
- 2:01:58Speaker 1: roster will just have a hard time in this game?
- 2:02:01Speaker 1: Maybe that will be the case. A. Georgia Southern did
- 2:02:03Speaker 1: play pretty well in this game when they did play
- 2:02:05Speaker 1: against app State against app State's full roster. Georgia Southern
- 2:02:09Speaker 1: was winning twenty two to three in the third quarter
- 2:02:12Speaker 1: of this game, so they had the upper hand in
- 2:02:14Speaker 1: this game. And then app State came back a bit,
- 2:02:16Speaker 1: but it was too late. They were down two scores late,
- 2:02:19Speaker 1: and they did get one touchdown in the final two minutes,
- 2:02:22Speaker 1: but and that was still when Swan was the quarterback
- 2:02:25Speaker 1: by the way, for what it's worth, but yeah, it
- 2:02:28Speaker 1: was a game. Georgia Southern pretty much did handle app
- 2:02:32Speaker 1: State in this game, even though they were road underdogs year.
- 2:02:35Speaker 1: So Georgia Southern did look like the better team in
- 2:02:38Speaker 1: this game. They did outgain app State by whatever that is,
- 2:02:40Speaker 1: almost seventy yards. They had the upper hand in the possession,
- 2:02:44Speaker 1: time of possession, and first down, so.
- 2:02:46Speaker 2: It wasn't really a misleading result in that game.
- 2:02:48Speaker 1: Georgia Southern did outplay them in the game, so they
- 2:02:52Speaker 1: are you could argue that Georgia Southern is the better team,
- 2:02:55Speaker 1: but and that that line was kind of off when
- 2:02:58Speaker 1: app State was a five point favorite, But yeah, I mean,
- 2:03:01Speaker 1: I just don't really see any reason why they should
- 2:03:03Speaker 1: be this heavy of a favorite in this game. So
- 2:03:07Speaker 1: at that point you got a lean to it's probably
- 2:03:09Speaker 1: taking the points. But again, it wouldn't shock me if
- 2:03:11Speaker 1: Georgia Southern covers anyway, though, because again, they are the
- 2:03:14Speaker 1: team that's fielding a full roster, and a lot of
- 2:03:17Speaker 1: times you don't want to fade. A lot of times
- 2:03:19Speaker 1: you don't want to fade like a really inexperienced roster
- 2:03:22Speaker 1: because even if they are excited to be there, the inexperienced,
- 2:03:26Speaker 1: you know, might kind of get to them, you know
- 2:03:27Speaker 1: what I mean. So I do worry about it. So
- 2:03:29Speaker 1: obviously I want nothing to do with this game. But
- 2:03:32Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on the game for what it's worth.
- 2:03:36Speaker 1: Ten injured players spot well, yeah, I mean they're not
- 2:03:38Speaker 1: really injured. They're opting out and the coach seems to
- 2:03:41Speaker 1: be saying that maybe some of the guys will play.
- 2:03:43Speaker 2: But you know, I have seen it be the case
- 2:03:45Speaker 2: though where.
- 2:03:47Speaker 1: Right now, like the news is that they're not going
- 2:03:50Speaker 1: to play, But I've seen it happen where like in
- 2:03:52Speaker 1: these bowl games, it gets so crazy, Like this happened
- 2:03:54Speaker 1: with I think it was Kansas against UNLV like a
- 2:03:59Speaker 1: few years ago. Kansas looked like it was absolutely for
- 2:04:02Speaker 1: sure that the quarterback was opting out and not playing,
- 2:04:04Speaker 1: and then like an hour before game time, it was like,
- 2:04:07Speaker 1: oh no, he's actually playing and they played him. So
- 2:04:10Speaker 1: you see shit like that happen in Bulls too, So
- 2:04:13Speaker 1: it is possible. So if you do take app State,
- 2:04:15Speaker 1: there is the possibility that maybe some of these guys
- 2:04:18Speaker 1: that aren't expected to play announce that they're gonna play,
- 2:04:20Speaker 1: like within an hour to go, and then the line
- 2:04:22Speaker 1: actually drops a little bit. So there is that possibility
- 2:04:25Speaker 1: like this game could be total chaos here man. And
- 2:04:30Speaker 1: you could also argue that app State will make adjustments
- 2:04:33Speaker 1: to that first game where they didn't play that well
- 2:04:34Speaker 1: against Shortia Southern. But when it's a completely different team,
- 2:04:37Speaker 1: I mean, how do you say they're really gonna make
- 2:04:39Speaker 1: the adjustments? You know what I mean? If like all
- 2:04:42Speaker 1: the players are gonna be in the game are pretty
- 2:04:43Speaker 1: much different, So I don't know, we'll see what happens.
- 2:04:48Speaker 1: I'm just old enough to remember there being no inter
- 2:04:51Speaker 1: league playing baseball, and I remember when Interleague was. When
- 2:04:55Speaker 1: it first started, it was relegated to like you played
- 2:04:58Speaker 1: one specific division. The Red Sox always played solely the
- 2:05:02Speaker 1: NL East when it first started. And I remember I
- 2:05:06Speaker 1: remember going to a game at Fenway where it was
- 2:05:09Speaker 1: Red Sox against Expos and it was the the trade battle.
- 2:05:12Speaker 1: It was Pedro Martinez against Carl Pavano after the Red
- 2:05:16Speaker 1: Sox got that steal when the Expos were demolishing their
- 2:05:20Speaker 1: entire franchise. And of course the Red Sox won that
- 2:05:22Speaker 1: game with ease, with Pedro Martinez massively out pitching Carl
- 2:05:27Speaker 1: Pavano in that game. Got to see Pedro pitch numerous
- 2:05:30Speaker 1: times in my life. Got to see Shilling pitch in
- 2:05:33Speaker 1: person with the with the Red Sox, you know, fun times.
- 2:05:38Speaker 1: Back in the day, I was at John Lester's no
- 2:05:40Speaker 1: hitter and I got to see John Lester have a
- 2:05:42Speaker 1: duel against Roy Halliday as well. I think it was
- 2:05:45Speaker 1: John Lester duel Roy Halliday. I've seen some good games man.
- 2:05:48Speaker 1: At Fenway, I saw a really good pitching duel between
- 2:05:52Speaker 1: Tim Wakefield and I don't remember who the starter was
- 2:05:56Speaker 1: on the Mets. It was.
- 2:05:57Speaker 2: It was a really low scoring game.
- 2:05:59Speaker 1: Wakefield pitching for the Red Sox against You can probably
- 2:06:02Speaker 1: find the box score for it way back in the
- 2:06:04Speaker 1: day when again when the Injured League get just started
- 2:06:06Speaker 1: and they were just playing the NL East and we
- 2:06:10Speaker 1: were having to battle Mets fans in the grand stand
- 2:06:12Speaker 1: who were giving us shit for losing to them in
- 2:06:15Speaker 1: nineteen eighty six.
- 2:06:19Speaker 2: So, you know, on the Bill Buckner bullshit.
- 2:06:22Speaker 1: But you know whatever, Phillies and Red Sox or rivals,
- 2:06:27Speaker 1: you know, yeah, not really, I mean the Red Sox. No,
- 2:06:30Speaker 1: the Red Sox biggest rival in the National League is
- 2:06:33Speaker 1: the Braves because the Braves were the Boston Braves in
- 2:06:36Speaker 1: like the early nineteen hundreds. It's like, does anybody even
- 2:06:40Speaker 1: nobody remembers that, you know, the Braves were in Milwaukee
- 2:06:44Speaker 1: in the middle of the center and then they moved
- 2:06:45Speaker 1: to Atlanta. But the Braves are supposed to be the
- 2:06:48Speaker 1: Red Sox big NL East rival. But for me, it's
- 2:06:51Speaker 1: clearly the Mets because of the history, the more recent
- 2:06:55Speaker 1: history there to the nineteen eighty six World Series. You
- 2:06:58Speaker 1: know that shit, it's New York Boston. The Mets are
- 2:07:01Speaker 1: the biggest.
- 2:07:01Speaker 2: Rival of there.
- 2:07:02Speaker 1: Though of course I hate the Yankees way more than
- 2:07:05Speaker 1: I hate the Mets. Obviously, that's the way it has
- 2:07:07Speaker 1: to be, you know what I mean. But and I
- 2:07:11Speaker 1: was a baby when the eighty six World Series happened,
- 2:07:13Speaker 1: so I don't remember it obviously, but you know, but yeah,
- 2:07:18Speaker 1: the Mets are I mean, they're like they're fan based,
- 2:07:21Speaker 1: travels to fend Way for the games. They give the
- 2:07:23Speaker 1: Red Sox fans way more shit their asshole New Yorker, So.
- 2:07:27Speaker 2: You know, that's that's how it is.
- 2:07:29Speaker 1: So yeah, the biggest NL East rival for the Red
- 2:07:33Speaker 1: Sox is the Mets in my opinion. All right, let's
- 2:07:39Speaker 1: go to the Monday night NFL game and then I'll
- 2:07:43Speaker 1: close out the show here. The Dodgers are your ally waits, Kyle,
- 2:07:49Speaker 1: who's your team? You guys give the Dodgers every player. Yeah,
- 2:07:54Speaker 1: the Dodgers, dude, they have way too much money. They
- 2:07:57Speaker 1: just clean up, which is starting to piss me off
- 2:07:59Speaker 1: of But I'm I'm not a fan of the Dodgers obviously,
- 2:08:02Speaker 1: unless I'm giving them.
- 2:08:03Speaker 2: Out as a bet.
- 2:08:05Speaker 1: That's not correct. I was literally at the game. I'll
- 2:08:09Speaker 1: find it right now. Groc is a piece of shit, dude,
- 2:08:14Speaker 1: Groc is such a liar. I'm gonna find the game
- 2:08:17Speaker 1: right now for you. It was Uh, let me see,
- 2:08:29Speaker 1: I see some indicators that it was in nineteen ninety eight.
- 2:08:34Speaker 1: That sounds about right. Oh, it's it's hard to find this.
- 2:08:42Speaker 1: Let me see.
- 2:08:44Speaker 2: June sixth, nineteen eighty eight might have been it.
- 2:08:49Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm interested now, let me see. I'm
- 2:08:52Speaker 1: gonna find the boxer.
- 2:08:53Speaker 2: Yeah, this was it.
- 2:08:54Speaker 1: Met's won Red Sox nothing. Yeah, this was definitely the game.
- 2:08:58Speaker 1: It was uh Tim Wakefield against Bobby Jones.
- 2:09:04Speaker 2: Uh, that's crazy, dude.
- 2:09:06Speaker 1: Yeah, Bobby Jones actually was decent that year, by the way,
- 2:09:12Speaker 1: but yeah, it was a battle.
- 2:09:14Speaker 2: Both starting pitchers.
- 2:09:15Speaker 1: Win eight innings and yeah, that was It was a
- 2:09:18Speaker 1: it was a.
- 2:09:18Speaker 2: Pictures duel, man.
- 2:09:19Speaker 1: I remember I was in the right field grand stands
- 2:09:22Speaker 1: for close to the foul pole. Yeah, so, yeah, it
- 2:09:27Speaker 1: absolutely happened. I'm looking at the box score right now.
- 2:09:30Speaker 1: It was June sixth, nineteen ninety eight. I was there
- 2:09:33Speaker 1: with my dad and I believe my uncle, my dad's brother,
- 2:09:36Speaker 1: Mets Red Sox.
- 2:09:38Speaker 2: That was that game. I was at that game.
- 2:09:42Speaker 1: Yeah, oh, your team is the Red Sox as well.
- 2:09:45Speaker 1: Hell yeah, Kyle, Uh, we're we're both fans. There you go.
- 2:09:48Speaker 1: I got my Red Sox hat right now? Jeffrey gro Wait,
- 2:09:54Speaker 1: Groc and Elon are your boys not me?
- 2:09:56Speaker 2: I don't.
- 2:09:57Speaker 1: I don't trust either of them. They're they're pumping, they're
- 2:10:01Speaker 1: pumping the Israel agenda. Man, Okay, we got Rams Falcons?
- 2:10:06Speaker 1: Is the Monday night football game here. The rams have
- 2:10:09Speaker 1: dropped from eight to seven and a half here even money,
- 2:10:11Speaker 1: so the line is slipping a little bit towards seven.
- 2:10:14Speaker 1: So if you do like the Falcons, you can probably
- 2:10:17Speaker 1: still get seven and a half right now. You might
- 2:10:19Speaker 1: still get it around game time because the Rams are
- 2:10:21Speaker 1: so public.
- 2:10:22Speaker 2: If you like the Falcons, yeah, I.
- 2:10:23Speaker 1: Mean, if you don't see the seven and a half
- 2:10:25Speaker 1: right now, I assume you could wait and you might
- 2:10:27Speaker 1: find it. Eighty three percent of the tickets and eighty
- 2:10:31Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on the rams. The total
- 2:10:36Speaker 1: is not that high at forty nine seventy nine percent
- 2:10:38Speaker 1: of the tickets and eighty seven percent of the cash
- 2:10:40Speaker 1: on the over, though, but you could see this game
- 2:10:43Speaker 1: being an under.
- 2:10:45Speaker 2: I would not want the over in this game.
- 2:10:46Speaker 1: After the Rams are involved in that ridiculous shootout against Seattle.
- 2:10:51Speaker 1: You know, Seattle played an under game yesterday as well.
- 2:10:53Speaker 1: After that so I think the under makes more sense
- 2:10:56Speaker 1: in this game. Falcons. I mean, we don't even know
- 2:10:59Speaker 1: what the falcons Are offense is really gonna do in
- 2:11:01Speaker 1: this game, but I do lean to the Falcons plus
- 2:11:03Speaker 1: the points in this game as well. I just don't
- 2:11:05Speaker 1: love the spot for the Rams. The Rams, they're pretty
- 2:11:09Speaker 1: much not gonna win the division now. Man, it's going
- 2:11:11Speaker 1: to be the division is gonna come down to Seattle
- 2:11:14Speaker 1: versus San Francisco next week at this point. So the Rams, yeah,
- 2:11:17Speaker 1: they can pull back into a tie with the Niners,
- 2:11:19Speaker 1: but I believe the Niners have the tiebreaker over them.
- 2:11:22Speaker 1: So the Rams, I believe it's not even possible for
- 2:11:25Speaker 1: them to win the division anymore at this point. I'm
- 2:11:28Speaker 1: not entirely sure about that, but I think with San
- 2:11:30Speaker 1: Francisco's win last night, I think that might be the case.
- 2:11:34Speaker 1: Now the Rams are coming up that high scoring affair,
- 2:11:36Speaker 1: that crazy overtime game on Thursday, which I think probably
- 2:11:40Speaker 1: would take a lot out of both teams against Seattle. Now,
- 2:11:43Speaker 1: the Rams did play better than Seattle did in the game.
- 2:11:45Speaker 1: As I pointed out in that box score, the Rams
- 2:11:48Speaker 1: had almost six hundred yards of offense in that game.
- 2:11:51Speaker 1: They outgained Seattle by well over one hundred yards in
- 2:11:53Speaker 1: the game. I don't know how they lost that game.
- 2:11:56Speaker 1: They also won the turnover battle. Even though I liked
- 2:11:59Speaker 1: Seattle in the the Rams outplayed them and probably should
- 2:12:02Speaker 1: have won. The Rams had a sixteen point lead in
- 2:12:04Speaker 1: the fourth quarner and blew it, But that that was
- 2:12:06Speaker 1: still such a monumental game. Coming off that game and
- 2:12:09Speaker 1: playing a team like the Falcons, I just don't know
- 2:12:12Speaker 1: how much focus you're gonna see the Rams have here, man,
- 2:12:14Speaker 1: and the Rams are pretty much locked into a wildcard
- 2:12:17Speaker 1: spot now. I believe they've already clinched a playoff spot.
- 2:12:21Speaker 1: They're not gonna win the division, so they're almost locked
- 2:12:23Speaker 1: into one of the wildcard spots. So they really don't
- 2:12:25Speaker 1: have a ton to play for. I don't think at
- 2:12:28Speaker 1: this point you're asking him to lay a huge price
- 2:12:30Speaker 1: on the road. Don't love that they're also playing a
- 2:12:32Speaker 1: fourth game in five weeks on the road. And by
- 2:12:35Speaker 1: the way, the last time they went to the Eastern
- 2:12:36Speaker 1: time zone they lost out right to Carolina, so that's
- 2:12:40Speaker 1: not a great sign.
- 2:12:42Speaker 2: They did win.
- 2:12:42Speaker 1: At Baltimore the other time they One of the other
- 2:12:45Speaker 1: times they went to the Eastern time zone. But remember
- 2:12:47Speaker 1: that was Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. Just Baltimore was very
- 2:12:51Speaker 1: depleted at that point. And then the Rams did lose
- 2:12:54Speaker 1: at Philadelphia, But that was that block field go return
- 2:12:57Speaker 1: for touchdown where the Rams had that win man, they
- 2:13:00Speaker 1: had it in hand, and they obviously they should have covered.
- 2:13:02Speaker 1: They should have lost the game. They probably should have
- 2:13:04Speaker 1: won the game because that field goal was gonna win
- 2:13:07Speaker 1: them the game and it was a makeable field goal
- 2:13:09Speaker 1: after they were leading all games, and then it got
- 2:13:11Speaker 1: blocked and returned for its touchdown. You know, I was
- 2:13:13Speaker 1: pissed above that because I lost a pick. I think
- 2:13:15Speaker 1: I lost one of my contest picks on that one.
- 2:13:19Speaker 1: No way the Rams should have not covered, But that's
- 2:13:21Speaker 1: beside the point. Although the Rams only have one win,
- 2:13:24Speaker 1: the one and two going to the East Coast this
- 2:13:26Speaker 1: year straight up, so that's not great when you're asking
- 2:13:29Speaker 1: them to lay seven points here. They do finish at
- 2:13:31Speaker 1: home with a divisional game against Arizona. Not that that
- 2:13:34Speaker 1: game is gonna mean that much, but I think Atlanta's
- 2:13:37Speaker 1: gonna show up for this one. Man.
- 2:13:39Speaker 2: Atlanta, you know, as a dead.
- 2:13:40Speaker 1: Team, as I always talk about when you're a team
- 2:13:42Speaker 1: that is not gonna make the playoffs. You'll only get
- 2:13:45Speaker 1: up for certain games, and one of those types of
- 2:13:47Speaker 1: games is a primetime game, especially when it's gonna be
- 2:13:50Speaker 1: against a team that is gonna be in the playoffs,
- 2:13:52Speaker 1: like the Rams. Atlanta does have a chance to beat
- 2:13:55Speaker 1: the Rams in primetime, man, so I expect Atlanta will
- 2:13:58Speaker 1: show up for it, and has played well the last
- 2:14:01Speaker 1: couple of weeks. Kirk Cousins is, you know, kind of
- 2:14:03Speaker 1: getting back into the swing of things. He's gonna be
- 2:14:05Speaker 1: the the quarterback for the rest of the season, so
- 2:14:09Speaker 1: you know, I like to see that. I think the
- 2:14:11Speaker 1: team's gonna actually play hard for Cousins because he is,
- 2:14:14Speaker 1: you know, he's a veteran.
- 2:14:15Speaker 2: It's good to see him be back.
- 2:14:17Speaker 1: I don't think the team's gonna, you know, just quit
- 2:14:19Speaker 1: on Cousins because he's only played a few games here.
- 2:14:22Speaker 2: He's got a good career.
- 2:14:23Speaker 1: The players seem to like him, so I expect the
- 2:14:26Speaker 1: Falcons will show up for it. So I lean to
- 2:14:28Speaker 1: the Falcons in this one, and for me, a slight
- 2:14:32Speaker 1: leaning to the under in that game as well, just
- 2:14:34Speaker 1: because the Rams are in such a high scoring affair.
- 2:14:37Speaker 1: The Rams the time off that they've had could affect
- 2:14:39Speaker 1: their offense a little bit, you know what I mean,
- 2:14:41Speaker 1: Like the offense could.
- 2:14:41Speaker 2: Come out a little bit cold.
- 2:14:43Speaker 1: Plus the Rams do or they do play pretty well defensively,
- 2:14:46Speaker 1: so there is that. And for the Falcons, they're not
- 2:14:50Speaker 1: gonna necessarily want Kirk Cousins to shoulder the load here,
- 2:14:53Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So I expect the Falcons
- 2:14:54Speaker 1: to run the football a decent amount here. Plus as
- 2:14:57Speaker 1: an underdog, that's what you want to do to try
- 2:14:59Speaker 1: to keep the game close. You're gonna rely on your
- 2:15:02Speaker 1: best offensive weapon, which is Beijon Robinson. So I do
- 2:15:05Speaker 1: expect that, even though it looks like Drake London is
- 2:15:08Speaker 1: expected to go.
- 2:15:09Speaker 2: But by the way.
- 2:15:10Speaker 1: I'm trying to make the money in my main fantasy leaguer.
- 2:15:12Speaker 1: I'm in the third place game here, I'm winning by
- 2:15:15Speaker 1: seventeen points and my opponent has Drake London left and
- 2:15:18Speaker 1: that's it. So I have to dodge Drake London tonight.
- 2:15:23Speaker 1: He's questionable right now, but he's probably gonna play. So
- 2:15:26Speaker 1: I need Drake London to somehow not get to that
- 2:15:29Speaker 1: point total there. And to me, I mean, I'm a
- 2:15:32Speaker 1: slight favorite. Yeah, I think it's probably about sixty five percent.
- 2:15:38Speaker 1: I would say that I win it, but I don't
- 2:15:40Speaker 1: like I don't like those odds enough right now, man,
- 2:15:43Speaker 1: I need Drake London to just not even play, just
- 2:15:46Speaker 1: to just, you know, just help me out a little bit, man,
- 2:15:49Speaker 1: just announce that he's out. Help me out, guys. I
- 2:15:53Speaker 1: believe he is still questionable though we won't know if
- 2:15:56Speaker 1: he's gonna play until tonight, but I expect he will.
- 2:16:00Speaker 1: He's questionable right now. It is a PCL sprain which
- 2:16:03Speaker 1: is not that easy to overcome.
- 2:16:04Speaker 2: But he is supposed to probably be back in this game.
- 2:16:07Speaker 1: We will see, but maybe if his knee is bad,
- 2:16:10Speaker 1: maybe he won't be at one hundred percent. So I'm
- 2:16:13Speaker 1: hoping for that, man. But I do like the Falcons
- 2:16:15Speaker 1: to cover in this one.
- 2:16:16Speaker 2: So that's my opinion on that.
- 2:16:20Speaker 1: Red Sox be the Philliesia in nineteen fifteen in the
- 2:16:23Speaker 1: World Series. Everyone remembers that, of course, which was uh
- 2:16:28Speaker 1: that was when the Red Sox still had Babe Ruth.
- 2:16:30Speaker 1: I believe, yes, Oh yeah, obviously I'll admit when the
- 2:16:37Speaker 1: team sucks. I mean, what do you want? Yeah, that's
- 2:16:40Speaker 1: that's what we do in Boston. Man, This team is ass.
- 2:16:43Speaker 1: The Bruins, They're ass, you know. Yeah, I mean, that's
- 2:16:49Speaker 1: that's the way that it is. I've been a Patriot
- 2:16:53Speaker 1: hater for a long time though I hate Belichick and Brady,
- 2:16:56Speaker 1: especially Belichick, so I was a Patriot hater throughout that
- 2:17:00Speaker 1: entire era, although I am no longer a hater right
- 2:17:02Speaker 1: now because Belichick is shitting on Drake May and hating him.
- 2:17:06Speaker 1: So I'm like, fuck Bill Belichick. I'll just root for
- 2:17:09Speaker 1: the Patriots again. To some extent, I'm not like a
- 2:17:11Speaker 1: huge Patriot fan right now, but I'm not a hater
- 2:17:14Speaker 1: anymore right now either. Why did YouTube stop suppressing Nick Fuentez.
- 2:17:20Speaker 1: That is a question that needs to be asked. It
- 2:17:23Speaker 1: seems like Fuentes is going very soft on Israel and
- 2:17:26Speaker 1: changing his tune, and he blocked me for pointing some
- 2:17:29Speaker 1: of these things out his Groyper Army. They're basically a
- 2:17:32Speaker 1: cult have come after me. Now. Over the years, I've
- 2:17:36Speaker 1: agreed with the majority of things that Fuentez has said.
- 2:17:40Speaker 1: I'm a horrible right winger, but right now I just don't.
- 2:17:43Speaker 1: I don't trust him right now. Man. That's just that's
- 2:17:45Speaker 1: the way that it is. There are definitely some questions.
- 2:17:48Speaker 1: I don't know why his rhetoric is almost completely changed
- 2:17:52Speaker 1: on Israel, completely softened. Right now, I trust Canda Owns
- 2:17:56Speaker 1: more than Nick Fuentez. I don't think there's any question
- 2:17:58Speaker 1: about that. And I think I have a good gauge
- 2:18:00Speaker 1: on like who's more trustworthy than somebody else. And I
- 2:18:03Speaker 1: get a lot of shit for that, but I think
- 2:18:06Speaker 1: that's the way that it is. I mean, it pretty
- 2:18:09Speaker 1: much all comes down to who's like, who's falling in
- 2:18:12Speaker 1: line with the FBI narrative and who isn't. Like that's
- 2:18:15Speaker 1: really my gauge there, and if you're not, then I
- 2:18:18Speaker 1: trust you more, like just by instinct alone, you know
- 2:18:21Speaker 1: what I mean, my inst it's like my instinct for
- 2:18:25Speaker 1: sports betting. I don't know on my my human behavioral instinct,
- 2:18:29Speaker 1: because my betting has a lot to do with human behavior.
- 2:18:31Speaker 1: All Right, this has been a long show, guys. I
- 2:18:33Speaker 1: appreciate it. Thanks everybody for hanging out and all for
- 2:18:36Speaker 1: three plays today. I gotta eat some lunch as well,
- 2:18:39Speaker 1: and maybe I gotta take a drive in the rain
- 2:18:41Speaker 1: to get my natural car wash. I'll try to find
- 2:18:44Speaker 1: some bikini chicks to drive by in in you know,
- 2:18:48Speaker 1: thirty eight degree rain that we have here. Once again,
- 2:18:52Speaker 1: my plays are lipscum plus the points in college basketball
- 2:18:55Speaker 1: right staying on the money line, although right now it
- 2:18:57Speaker 1: looks like you probably have to lay about three three
- 2:18:59Speaker 1: and a half, so I will probably lay the spread
- 2:19:01Speaker 1: at this point, although unfortunately you're losing some value. These
- 2:19:04Speaker 1: lines move really quick. And then Dallas Maverick's plus the points.
- 2:19:08Speaker 2: I think you could probably.
- 2:19:09Speaker 1: Get at least three on it right now in the NBA.
- 2:19:11Speaker 1: Those are my plays today. That's gonna do it, man.
- 2:19:15Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Thanks everybody for hanging out. Learn to
- 2:19:17Speaker 1: Tone on Instagram, Learn It Towne on Twitter. You can
- 2:19:21Speaker 1: subscribe to me there. Jeffrey does, and I still have
- 2:19:24Speaker 1: not put out any subscription content, but I am planning
- 2:19:26Speaker 1: on doing some of that in the new year. It
- 2:19:29Speaker 1: will be ukulele focused most likely, kind of start doing that,
- 2:19:33Speaker 1: like subscribe to the show here. Obviously, give me a
- 2:19:35Speaker 1: good comments here, keep telling people about it. Yeah, boost
- 2:19:38Speaker 1: these numbers, baby, Hell yeah. I appreciate it as well.
- 2:19:43Speaker 1: I'm on the audio as well, Spotify, Apple, you can
- 2:19:45Speaker 1: give me a good review over there. It's monetized, so
- 2:19:48Speaker 1: the more listens I get, I get money.
- 2:19:50Speaker 2: It's ad revenue though.
- 2:19:51Speaker 1: So people have to listen to ads, So put it
- 2:19:53Speaker 1: on in the background while you're working or something like that. Whatever.
- 2:19:56Speaker 1: You can have my soothing voice for your background noise.
- 2:20:00Speaker 1: I got my ukulele channel, as I mentioned, covered in
- 2:20:02Speaker 1: Yuke on YouTube. I'm trying to be up to date
- 2:20:06Speaker 1: with that and put out my ukulele covers there. Not
- 2:20:08Speaker 1: up to date with my Patreon feed for a Patreon
- 2:20:11Speaker 1: dot com slash and learn to toadyuke content there. There's
- 2:20:14Speaker 1: a Spotify feed that's basically like a ukulele podcast. I
- 2:20:18Speaker 1: gotta get that up to date, though I know I'm
- 2:20:21Speaker 1: missing out on some of the Christmas stuff now I
- 2:20:23Speaker 1: haven't put up there yet and there you can request
- 2:20:27Speaker 1: stuff from me on there and I'll prioritize it, although
- 2:20:29Speaker 1: Charles has given me a number of requests that I
- 2:20:32Speaker 1: have to try to figure out and check out the
- 2:20:36Speaker 1: Loser Cast, which I assume we're gonna have another new
- 2:20:39Speaker 1: episode tomorrow. We're usually on Tuesday nights after Legion of Skanks.
- 2:20:42Speaker 1: As the Legion of Skanks after show, we're trying to
- 2:20:45Speaker 1: be offensive, we're trying to be funny. We can't repeat
- 2:20:49Speaker 1: Tower Gang though, Man, Tower Gang, it was a thing.
- 2:20:52Speaker 1: It was a phenomenon. I don't think we could really
- 2:20:55Speaker 1: you can never like replicate that, you know, the chemistry
- 2:20:58Speaker 1: that we had there.
- 2:20:59Speaker 2: Man. So I'm still sad about.
- 2:21:00Speaker 1: Tower Gang being defunct. But Loser Casts, you know, it's
- 2:21:04Speaker 1: a different thing. Don't expect it to be Tower Game,
- 2:21:06Speaker 1: but it's its own thing where we nominate losers every week,
- 2:21:09Speaker 1: so you can go check that out as well. Thank you, everybody,
- 2:21:13Speaker 1: Dirty Sock, thank you for showing up.
- 2:21:15Speaker 2: Man, Thank you, sir.
- 2:21:17Speaker 1: Yes, it was a decent it was a three and
- 2:21:20Speaker 1: two day. It was a winning day, I'll take it.
- 2:21:22Speaker 1: College basketball let me down and it was mostly just
- 2:21:26Speaker 1: bad shooting percentage of scrapant season those games. I'm not
- 2:21:29Speaker 1: happy about it, but I don't want to be in
- 2:21:31Speaker 1: a college of basketball slide here man. You know, those
- 2:21:34Speaker 1: things feel like they're really hard to get out of
- 2:21:37Speaker 1: because my volume in college basketball is higher than any
- 2:21:39Speaker 1: other sport just because the volume of it is higher
- 2:21:43Speaker 1: in general, like there's just more games. So we'll try
- 2:21:47Speaker 1: to get back on the right track. It's been a
- 2:21:48Speaker 1: really good season in general though, in college basketball so far,
- 2:21:51Speaker 1: and I'm usually better in conference play than otherwise. So
- 2:21:55Speaker 1: at least with the big conferences, hopefully we get back
- 2:21:57Speaker 1: to that. Maybe the smaller conferences in conference like get
- 2:22:00Speaker 1: a little bit dicey, but that's about to start. We'll
- 2:22:04Speaker 1: try to figure it out. Man, Jeffrey, you're a Penn
- 2:22:08Speaker 1: State fan. I thought you were a I don't know.
- 2:22:11Speaker 1: I thought you were a fan of one of the
- 2:22:12Speaker 1: Philadelphia area teams there whatever, what was it, Temple, Temple, Right,
- 2:22:17Speaker 1: you're a Temple guy.
- 2:22:18Speaker 2: I don't know. Doesn't that require you to not like
- 2:22:21Speaker 2: Penn State. I don't know.
- 2:22:22Speaker 1: They're over you know, in the middle of the state
- 2:22:25Speaker 1: or whatever not in eastern Pennsylvania, But I don't know.
- 2:22:28Speaker 1: All right, that's gonna do it. I appreciate it, guys.
- 2:22:30Speaker 1: I'm hungry, gotta get some lunch here. Oh you like both?
- 2:22:33Speaker 1: All right. I don't know if that's a conflict of
- 2:22:35Speaker 1: interest or not, but all right, shout out to shout
- 2:22:39Speaker 1: out to Penn State for you. Man.
- 2:22:40Speaker 2: The lines of Liberty Guys are cool.
- 2:22:44Speaker 1: You know Mark Clare who did leave the show a
- 2:22:46Speaker 1: while ago, but that was one of the shows that
- 2:22:47Speaker 1: I started listening to when I was listening to Libertariance.
- 2:22:50Speaker 1: Brian McWilliams, John oder Matt. I've met those two guys
- 2:22:53Speaker 1: in real life. I like those guys. They're cool. John
- 2:22:57Speaker 1: disagrees with me on some things recently, most the candazo
- 2:23:00Speaker 1: and stuff, But dude, I love those guys. They're good guys.
- 2:23:03Speaker 1: They're both really fucking tall as well. Oder Matt and
- 2:23:06Speaker 1: Brian McWilliams. They're both like six'. Four probably they're both.
- 2:23:11Speaker 1: Giants there's a picture of me somewhere that you could
- 2:23:13Speaker 1: probably find A twitter from when they were both at
- 2:23:15Speaker 1: Pork fest a couple of years, ago WHERE i was,
- 2:23:17Speaker 1: LIKE i got to get a picture of standing between
- 2:23:19Speaker 1: the two Of it's like The Twin, towers And i'm,
- 2:23:22Speaker 1: LIKE i look like a dwarf next to those guys
- 2:23:26Speaker 1: because they're almost a foot taller than.
- 2:23:28Speaker 2: Me but, yes.
- 2:23:31Speaker 1: No rivalry in. Football we're. Basketball, REALLY i don't. KNOW i,
- 2:23:34Speaker 1: mean maybe not a, rivalry BUT i think If temple
- 2:23:37Speaker 1: was gonna play Against Penn, state you got to think
- 2:23:39Speaker 1: they would still have that kind of little brother aspect
- 2:23:42Speaker 1: to it because it's an in state. Thing it just
- 2:23:44Speaker 1: kind of. Happens but but, yeah those lines Of liberty,
- 2:23:46Speaker 1: guys they all went To Penn, state which is why
- 2:23:48Speaker 1: they're the lines of, Liberty so shout out to. Them
- 2:23:53Speaker 1: And Mark clair more conspiratorial than the rest of them
- 2:23:56Speaker 1: at this, point SO i appreciate.
- 2:23:58Speaker 2: That and, yeah that's gonna do.
- 2:24:00Speaker 1: It all, right lunchtime for, me peace everybody until tomorrow.
- 2:24:05Speaker 1: Morning