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MLB Playoffs + NFL + NCAAF Best Bets Thursday 10/2/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
0:05
Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
0:08
Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm going
0:11
Speaker 1: to start off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
0:14
Speaker 1: I don't even know.
0:15
Speaker 2: What to tell you about that.
0:17
Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
0:19
Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
0:24
Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own
0:27
Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season. Man with
0:32
Speaker 1: wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
0:37
Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
0:41
Speaker 1: my browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
0:43
Speaker 1: on with the Bruins archape? Is that what it is?
0:46
Speaker 1: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
0:50
Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day it
0:52
Speaker 1: is anymore. I don't even know what data is anymore.
0:54
Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I.
0:58
Speaker 1: Could possibly have, back with a few as I always am.
1:02
Speaker 2: Until I die, at least oh and two.
1:05
Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
1:08
Speaker 1: Own five. The worst month that I've ever had in
1:11
Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
1:14
Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. To the Slump series,
1:17
Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
1:23
Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
1:25
Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
1:34
Speaker 1: towed back with you better off dead.
1:36
Speaker 2: Thursday, October second.
1:39
Speaker 1: We're definitely gonna be ending at all here because the
1:41
Speaker 1: fucking Red Sox are gonna be ending at all and
1:43
Speaker 1: the worst possible situation where they go up one nothing
1:46
Speaker 1: against the Yankees and they're gonna lose the fucking serious
1:49
Speaker 1: to the Yankees. The Red Sox are not gonna win tonight.
1:51
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you that right now. It's over. They're
1:54
Speaker 1: not gonna fucking win. I will probably be uh, I
1:59
Speaker 1: don't know, on this out of a bridge somewhere, not
2:03
Speaker 1: even paying attention to anything. I didn't want to even
2:05
Speaker 1: do anything last night. The Red Sox could have won
2:07
Speaker 1: it last night. That was the chance that they had
2:09
Speaker 1: to fucking win it eaten, I believe. On second, with
2:13
Speaker 1: nobody out in the eighth inning, two outs, they don't
2:16
Speaker 1: send him home like you what the fuck, he should
2:20
Speaker 1: just disobey the third base coach or whatever. Fucking run
2:23
Speaker 1: home like you're not gonna score another run there, fucking
2:26
Speaker 1: do it. Game could have been different. I mean, I
2:29
Speaker 1: know they gave up a run after that, but if
2:31
Speaker 1: even if they did, it would have at least gone
2:32
Speaker 1: to extra innings last night, or at least would have
2:35
Speaker 1: gone into the ninth inning. I would still a chance
2:37
Speaker 1: to win the game at that point. Absolutely ridiculous. You
2:41
Speaker 1: have to just run home at that point he probably
2:42
Speaker 1: would have scored, which at that point.
2:44
Speaker 2: Would have given the Red Sox a four to three lead.
2:48
Speaker 1: Red Sox never led in the game, but it was
2:50
Speaker 1: tied multiple points in the game, including in the eighth inning. Obviously. Interestingly,
2:58
Speaker 1: the Dodgers are the only team that had the two
3:00
Speaker 1: to zero sweep, as they won again easily yesterday, which
3:03
Speaker 1: I'm not surprised by. I do have them in the
3:06
Speaker 1: World Series in my bracket. But what is interesting is
3:10
Speaker 1: that since the fucking COVID bullshit where the league changed
3:14
Speaker 1: all the rules, they changed the playoffs structure during the
3:17
Speaker 1: COVID because obviously you need to have a different wildcard
3:21
Speaker 1: setup to avoid the virus man. That's what it is
3:25
Speaker 1: since then twelve of these wildcard series, only twice had
3:30
Speaker 1: the team that won the first game even lost the
3:33
Speaker 1: second game. So ten out of the twelve series before
3:36
Speaker 1: this season had not even gone to a third game,
3:41
Speaker 1: and no team that has lost the first game has
3:44
Speaker 1: come back to win. So only twice did the team
3:48
Speaker 1: the one game one even lose game two, and in
3:50
Speaker 1: those situations, both those teams still wound up winning the
3:53
Speaker 1: third game. I would have to go look to see
3:55
Speaker 1: if both those teams were indeed the home team. I'm
3:57
Speaker 1: guessing they probably were. But in this case, yeah, I
4:01
Speaker 1: think we're gonna have at least one team that lost
4:04
Speaker 1: Game one winning tonight, likely the Yankees. One of the
4:08
Speaker 1: other teams might as well. Nate, what's up man? Thanks
4:11
Speaker 1: for hanging out? What is that on? Ad Jasper toadin CrOx? Yeah,
4:17
Speaker 1: I'm a horror crous man, That's what it is. Which
4:21
Speaker 1: is the horror crux is when you get when you
4:25
Speaker 1: have to pay the prostitute. I'm pretty sure let's get
4:29
Speaker 1: into today. I'm not gonna yeah, I don't want this
4:33
Speaker 1: to be a long video. Man. We have three baseball
4:36
Speaker 1: games today. As we said, three of these series have
4:40
Speaker 1: made it to a game three. I'm gonna give out
4:42
Speaker 1: one playing baseball. There is one college football game. There
4:45
Speaker 1: is an NFL game with some really ridiculous shit going on. Jeffrey,
4:50
Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out baseball as usual.
4:54
Speaker 1: The first game up, although it's later at this time,
4:56
Speaker 1: at three zero eight pm Eastern, is gonna be Detroit
5:00
Speaker 1: in Cleveland, the deciding game from Cleveland, as Cleveland won yesterday,
5:04
Speaker 1: which was my only play. I forgot to mention that, Hey,
5:06
Speaker 1: we went one and zero on the show yesterday with Cleveland.
5:09
Speaker 1: Cleveland had a one to nothing lead for quite a while.
5:11
Speaker 1: Mys did better than I thought he would for Detroit,
5:15
Speaker 1: and then Cleveland took a two to one lead, and
5:17
Speaker 1: then they wound up winning six to one with an
5:19
Speaker 1: explosion late. But Cleveland was never losing in the game,
5:24
Speaker 1: so I'm pretty sure it was the right side whatever.
5:29
Speaker 1: We got the win there.
5:30
Speaker 2: Detroit Cleveland. Cleveland does have the better bultpend.
5:32
Speaker 1: But they used five relief pitches yesterday, so maybe a
5:35
Speaker 1: little bit of a concern there as Detroit only used four.
5:38
Speaker 1: So Detroit's bullpend debatably is in somewhat better shape coming
5:42
Speaker 1: into this one than Cleveland's both are decent bullpens. Starting
5:46
Speaker 1: pitching matchup, and of course Detroit does the better offense.
5:50
Speaker 1: I picked Detroit in my bracket to win this series
5:53
Speaker 1: and then lose to Seattle, so that may happen. I mean,
5:56
Speaker 1: I still think Cleveland is the public side here just
5:59
Speaker 1: because they're so hyped after how they finished the season,
6:01
Speaker 1: even though I think Detroit is still over all the
6:04
Speaker 1: better of the two teams because Cleveland really has a
6:07
Speaker 1: pathetic offense. But will Cleveland be able to win it
6:10
Speaker 1: here with this pitching matchup? They might.
6:14
Speaker 2: Jack Flaherty is pitching for Detroit.
6:16
Speaker 1: Not a great season for him four point six four ERA,
6:20
Speaker 1: one point two eight WHIP, although he's definitely a guy
6:23
Speaker 1: with playoff experience. If you think playoff experience matters, he
6:27
Speaker 1: has more of it than his counterpart in this game.
6:29
Speaker 1: Flaherty was on the Dodgers last year as well, so
6:32
Speaker 1: he won. He's a World Series winner last year he
6:35
Speaker 1: won with the Dodgers, I'm pretty sure, so he's definitely
6:39
Speaker 1: pitched in the postseason before. He's not as good on
6:42
Speaker 1: the road five point two seven ERA. He did just
6:46
Speaker 1: face Cleveland twice in a row to finish the season.
6:49
Speaker 1: He had an okay month of September three point eight
6:52
Speaker 1: six ra nineteen to seven strikeout walk ratio is not
6:55
Speaker 1: that good. He had four walks and the first of
6:58
Speaker 1: the two outings against Cleveland, which was at home, he
7:00
Speaker 1: held him to one and run though in five innings
7:02
Speaker 1: and then his last out and he didn't even make
7:04
Speaker 1: it five innings. Did have six strikeouts no walks in
7:07
Speaker 1: that game at Cleveland, so returning to the same scene here,
7:13
Speaker 1: his control was way better in that game, but he
7:15
Speaker 1: allowed three on runs, somewhat threw too many pitches, though
7:18
Speaker 1: they haven't really been overworking him or anything. But he's
7:20
Speaker 1: also a veteran, so I don't think that really matters
7:23
Speaker 1: that much. Generally, he actually does really well against Cleveland
7:26
Speaker 1: and one hundred and twelve at bats thirty two to nine,
7:29
Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio, two oh nine batting average allowed in
7:32
Speaker 1: six thirty one ohps, so he may be able to
7:35
Speaker 1: do well in this game. He's going up against Slay Chaconi,
7:38
Speaker 1: who is the lesser experience of the two or less experience,
7:43
Speaker 1: I should say. Chaconi has pitched in the postseason only
7:48
Speaker 1: in relief, I believe two years ago for Arizona. He
7:51
Speaker 1: came in to a couple of games for them, which
7:53
Speaker 1: I think was the year they made the World Series,
7:56
Speaker 1: I think, and lost to Texas, is that right? So
7:59
Speaker 1: he was on that he pitched a little bit, but
8:01
Speaker 1: I don't think he's made a postseason start in his career.
8:05
Speaker 1: He had a decent season four point three ERA one
8:08
Speaker 1: point one to nine whip. He wasn't as good at
8:11
Speaker 1: home though, four point seven to eight e RA. So
8:14
Speaker 1: both these pitchers are in the worst of their home
8:16
Speaker 1: road splits. He was decent in September twenty six to six,
8:20
Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio three point nine e RA. Not bad.
8:24
Speaker 1: He was kind of He was a little bit back
8:26
Speaker 1: and forth though, But he may have a little bit
8:28
Speaker 1: of an advantage because Detroit didn't see him. So you
8:31
Speaker 1: have Flaherty, who Cleveland faced twice in a row. This
8:36
Speaker 1: is gonna be his third start in a row against Cleveland,
8:38
Speaker 1: which could be a little bit of a disadvantage because
8:40
Speaker 1: they're just used to facing him. But as I just showed,
8:43
Speaker 1: you know, I mean, they faced Flaherty a ton, so
8:45
Speaker 1: I don't know that that really matters. But Chaconi has
8:48
Speaker 1: not been seen by Detroit since May. Yeah, May twenty
8:52
Speaker 1: third of this year. Chaconi did do well in that
8:54
Speaker 1: outing six innings. It was at Detroit too. He allowed
8:57
Speaker 1: one on and run, six strikeouts two against Detroit overall,
9:02
Speaker 1: thirty eight at bats eight to three strike a walk
9:04
Speaker 1: ratio two thirty seven average allowed, but seven to ninety
9:08
Speaker 1: three ops. That's a bit high. He's allowed three home
9:11
Speaker 1: runs to them, so they have hit him for a
9:13
Speaker 1: little bit of power. This is not gonna be a
9:16
Speaker 1: game I really want to get involved in. The money
9:18
Speaker 1: is coming in on Cleveland, even though they are public
9:20
Speaker 1: as well, sixty five percent of tickets. But it looks
9:22
Speaker 1: like legitimately the money is on the Cleveland side eighty
9:26
Speaker 1: percent of the cash. They're up for minus one ten
9:28
Speaker 1: to minus one twenty three here. I'm not quite sure
9:33
Speaker 1: that I that I see it. Man, looking at those
9:35
Speaker 1: numbers there, Flaherty does at least have the better matchup
9:38
Speaker 1: numbers and more experience. It's a low total again too,
9:41
Speaker 1: because it is the playoffs total of seven fifty nine
9:45
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the over eighty six percent of
9:48
Speaker 1: cash on the over. I mean, I might not disagree
9:51
Speaker 1: with it over because Cleveland the better of the two
9:53
Speaker 1: bullpens is pretty used up right now. Flaherty not good
9:58
Speaker 1: numbers on the road, Chaconi not good number at home.
10:00
Speaker 1: So I could see some arguments of this game might
10:03
Speaker 1: be a little bit higher scoring, but yeah, I don't
10:06
Speaker 1: want to touch it. The money is basically saying Cleveland
10:10
Speaker 1: and I guess the over, but yeah, I don't even
10:13
Speaker 1: know if I want to give it a leen on
10:14
Speaker 1: it to be honest. San Diego at the Cubs. Of course,
10:17
Speaker 1: this is a Game three as well, as these all are.
10:20
Speaker 1: Cubs won Game one. San Diego bounced back with a
10:23
Speaker 1: win yesterday three to nothing. San Diego has the better
10:26
Speaker 1: of the two bullpens. The Cubs have the better offense
10:30
Speaker 1: of the two. San Diego three relief pitchers. Yesterday Cubs
10:34
Speaker 1: used four, but kind of light usage, so some of
10:37
Speaker 1: those guys might be available again, especially Soroka was one
10:41
Speaker 1: of the guys they use, and he's been a starter,
10:43
Speaker 1: so he could certainly pitch again if they want him to.
10:46
Speaker 1: This pitching matchup is I think really hard to predict. You.
10:50
Speaker 2: Diarvicious, pitcher for San Diego.
10:53
Speaker 1: He did not.
10:54
Speaker 2: Pitch much this season, so he's at least.
10:56
Speaker 1: Somewhat fresh because he came back late after being injured
10:59
Speaker 1: for most of the season. He is a veteran. So
11:02
Speaker 1: both these pitchers are veterans. I mean they both have
11:04
Speaker 1: pitched in the postseason. I'm pretty sure, so they both
11:06
Speaker 1: they know what they're doing. They're not gonna be intimidated
11:09
Speaker 1: by this situation. Diarvish five point three to eighty RA
11:13
Speaker 1: this year not good, but one point one a whip
11:16
Speaker 1: is not that bad at all. He was not good
11:18
Speaker 1: on the road though, seven point twenty six Roady IRA
11:21
Speaker 1: this month mediocre. Four point eight one ERA September. I
11:25
Speaker 1: should say twenty six to four strike a walk ratio
11:28
Speaker 1: is good. So I always talk about this with Diarvish,
11:31
Speaker 1: Like this year, his command numbers have actually been better.
11:34
Speaker 1: Throughout his career. He's been kind of a guy that
11:36
Speaker 1: walks too many guys and doesn't allow that many hits.
11:39
Speaker 1: But it's kind of been the opposite. He's been too hittable,
11:42
Speaker 1: allowing six home runs in the month of September, but
11:46
Speaker 1: his command numbers have been good, so he's difficult to
11:49
Speaker 1: figure out right now. Man against the Cubs, he is
11:52
Speaker 1: pretty good. In ninety three at bats, twenty six at
11:54
Speaker 1: ten strike a walk. Raco is not good again, too
11:57
Speaker 1: many walks. That's what Darvish, That's what we're used to
12:01
Speaker 1: seeing out of Darvish. But he's held the Cubs to
12:03
Speaker 1: a one ninety four batting average and five point fifty
12:06
Speaker 1: one ohps in his career and I believe they've not
12:08
Speaker 1: faced him at all this year, so the Cubs are
12:11
Speaker 1: not recently familiar with him. He does too well against
12:14
Speaker 1: them generally, but he's not good on the road. Darvish
12:17
Speaker 1: is pretty old now, man. He's thirty nine or whatever
12:20
Speaker 1: it is, so he's definitely not in his prime at
12:23
Speaker 1: this point. He's going up against Jamison tye On, who
12:26
Speaker 1: is a bit younger, and he had a good season
12:28
Speaker 1: for the Cubs three point six eighty R one point
12:31
Speaker 1: oh six whip. He was injured for a little bit
12:34
Speaker 1: not too long ago, but he came back and pitched
12:35
Speaker 1: pretty well. He's been pitching pretty well since coming back.
12:38
Speaker 1: He's been good at home three point oh five ERA,
12:41
Speaker 1: so if you look at the home road splits, tie
12:44
Speaker 1: On has a big advantage there one point five four
12:47
Speaker 1: ERA in September. Like I said, he came back in
12:50
Speaker 1: August from injury and he's been really good since then.
12:52
Speaker 1: He's allowed two or fewer earned runs in every start
12:55
Speaker 1: since then, and the Cubs have won five of the
12:57
Speaker 1: six starts to six strike at walk ratio this month.
13:03
Speaker 1: Not great but decent. So yeah, I mean, ty On
13:06
Speaker 1: is pitching pretty well right now, though he faced mostly
13:09
Speaker 1: weak offenses over that entire stretch. The only really good
13:12
Speaker 1: offense he faced was Milwaukee, which was his first game
13:15
Speaker 1: back from the injury, though, and he pitched well in
13:16
Speaker 1: that one too. Against San Diego's numbers are mediocre and
13:21
Speaker 1: one hundred and ten at bats fourteen to four strike
13:23
Speaker 1: a walk ratio two seventy three average, seven to twenty
13:26
Speaker 1: six ops. I think ty On is the more trustworthy
13:30
Speaker 1: pitcher right now though, though, because he's I mean, he's
13:32
Speaker 1: in the better form right now. So I would lean
13:35
Speaker 1: to the Cubs in this game. Fifty nine per tickets,
13:37
Speaker 1: seventy four percent of cash on them. They did drop
13:39
Speaker 1: for minus one twenty one to minus one eleven, so
13:42
Speaker 1: you are getting a price that's not too bad on
13:44
Speaker 1: the Cubs. I might go first five innings. I don't know, man,
13:48
Speaker 1: because San Diego's bullpen is the better of the two.
13:50
Speaker 1: The usage is pretty similar between both teams a little
13:53
Speaker 1: bit heavier on San Diego, but I would probably go
13:56
Speaker 1: Cubs first five innings, but then once he get into
13:59
Speaker 1: the bullpen, Sandy might have a little bit of an
14:01
Speaker 1: edge there.
14:01
Speaker 2: So that would be my slight opinion in that one.
14:06
Speaker 1: It's not strong, Jordan, what's up, man, Thanks for coming back,
14:09
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. We got the regulars. Man. I'm
14:11
Speaker 1: trying to be crazier, maybe a little bit be more
14:15
Speaker 1: funny on the show. I don't know. Maybe my opening
14:17
Speaker 1: rants are gonna be better now because I get into
14:19
Speaker 1: the all the technical shit, especially during baseball season. Like
14:23
Speaker 1: I don't know, I can't. I'm trying to be funny
14:26
Speaker 1: and be autistic at the same time. I can't do it.
14:29
Speaker 1: I can't do it man. And then Red Sox Yankees.
14:32
Speaker 1: You know what, this is the best bet segment. That
14:35
Speaker 1: was the breakdown I.
14:36
Speaker 2: Didn't bring up to bring up the graphic this time.
14:38
Speaker 1: Of course, people are gonna dock me for using AI graphics.
14:42
Speaker 1: Here shows laziness on my prior. Let's go to the
14:45
Speaker 1: best bets. I have a best bet. The only bet
14:49
Speaker 1: of the day is gonna be on this game here Yankees,
14:52
Speaker 1: Red Sox, and it is gonna be under in the
14:55
Speaker 1: first five innings under four. I do not think the
14:58
Speaker 1: Red Sox are gonna win this game. Although the Yankees
15:01
Speaker 1: did drop for minus one fifty five to minus one
15:03
Speaker 1: fifty two, they were up in the minus one sixties earlier.
15:06
Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of tickets eighty six percent of the
15:09
Speaker 1: cash on the Yankees. Yankees are public, but I like
15:12
Speaker 1: the under in the first five man This is a
15:14
Speaker 1: starting pitching matchup that can get us there. Seventy one
15:17
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the over, fifty seven percent of
15:20
Speaker 1: cash on the under, so the money is coming in
15:22
Speaker 1: on the under. In the game total down from seven
15:26
Speaker 1: and a half to seven and a half, juice to
15:28
Speaker 1: the under. My problem with playing a full game is,
15:30
Speaker 1: of course, I don't trust the Yankees bullpen. The Yankees
15:34
Speaker 1: did use three relief pitchers yesterday, including their two closers
15:38
Speaker 1: if you want to call it that, Williams and Bednar.
15:42
Speaker 1: Red Sox closer is available Chapman, who pitched two days
15:45
Speaker 1: ago and didn't pitch yesterday. But the Red Sox did
15:48
Speaker 1: use a lot of relief pitchers, although Totally and Kelly
15:50
Speaker 1: are probably available again tonight. But they used four other
15:54
Speaker 1: relief pitchers, so that's not great. Red Socks is going
15:57
Speaker 1: to be going with a lot of inexperience in the
16:00
Speaker 1: pitching here today, which is the one drawback about playing
16:03
Speaker 1: the under here is we have two very inexperienced pitchers.
16:06
Speaker 1: It's a battle of rookie pitchers here. But I'm going
16:10
Speaker 1: with the unfamiliarity aspect of this man. So yes, they
16:14
Speaker 1: don't have a playoff experience. But the crazy thing is
16:17
Speaker 1: both of these pitchers have never faced these opposing lineups before,
16:22
Speaker 1: as crazy as that sounds, especially on the Yankees side.
16:25
Speaker 1: Because Schlittler has been around for a bit, you'd think
16:28
Speaker 1: that he would have faced the Red Sox man now,
16:29
Speaker 1: but I'm pretty sure he has not, So we'll get
16:32
Speaker 1: to that in a second. I'll correct myself if I'm wrong.
16:35
Speaker 1: Of course, the Red Sox fucking blew it last night.
16:39
Speaker 1: I mean, they never had the lead, but they had
16:41
Speaker 1: the chance to take the lead in the top of
16:43
Speaker 1: the eighth run around second nobody out. You gotta score
16:45
Speaker 1: that fucking run and then two outs. No excuse for
16:48
Speaker 1: not trying to come home on that eating again, he
16:51
Speaker 1: should have blown right past the signal the third base
16:54
Speaker 1: coach of the third base coaches Tunning to hold up.
16:56
Speaker 1: He should have flipped him off. No way, you're going home, man,
17:00
Speaker 1: And it's fucking ridiculous. You gotta this is the fucking
17:03
Speaker 1: Wildcard Series. You're the underdog around the road. You gotta
17:06
Speaker 1: fucking try to score that run. Put the pressure on
17:08
Speaker 1: the Yankees take the lead there, you know what I mean.
17:11
Speaker 1: It's just ridiculous. So the Red Sox, I don't think
17:14
Speaker 1: they're gonna win this game, like I said, but I
17:16
Speaker 1: think the better way to play it is the under
17:17
Speaker 1: first five. Obviously, Yankees have the better offense, we know that.
17:23
Speaker 1: As far as the starting pitching, Connolly Early pitching for
17:25
Speaker 1: the Red Sox. Young dude, man, he's actually older than
17:29
Speaker 1: Peyton totally. Though you look at the two. Peyton totally
17:33
Speaker 1: looks like his father. Peyton totally looks like he's forty
17:36
Speaker 1: years old, and conniey Early looks like he's twenty. But
17:38
Speaker 1: Connie Early is actually a few months older than Peyton Toley,
17:42
Speaker 1: which is ridiculous. Early was good this season, but he
17:45
Speaker 1: has a very limited amount of major league experience. Two
17:49
Speaker 1: point three to three ERA one point zero nine whip
17:52
Speaker 1: for him. Good numbers good on the road as well,
17:55
Speaker 1: with a two ERA on the road, which is a
17:57
Speaker 1: bit more impressive because this two road games are against
18:00
Speaker 1: the A's and Tampa, the two worst stadiums to pitch
18:04
Speaker 1: in in the majors, two temporary stadiums, a Triple A
18:08
Speaker 1: stadium and a spring training stand, which, by the way,
18:10
Speaker 1: the fact that he pitched at Tampa that might help
18:13
Speaker 1: prepare him for this because that's.
18:15
Speaker 2: Steinbrenner Field and the dimensions.
18:17
Speaker 1: Are the same as Yankee Stadium, basically similar to it,
18:20
Speaker 1: so that might help him. Although yes, that was his
18:22
Speaker 1: worst start. He went four innings, gave up two earned
18:26
Speaker 1: runs in that one, but overall he's been very good.
18:29
Speaker 1: I mean he's gone at least five innings and all
18:31
Speaker 1: the other three outings against good offenses to the A's
18:35
Speaker 1: and Detroit. There Detroit decent offense the very least. He's
18:39
Speaker 1: given up two or fewer runs and all four of
18:41
Speaker 1: us starts a really nice twenty nine to four strikeout
18:44
Speaker 1: walk ratio. His strikeout rate is quite high early. I
18:49
Speaker 1: mean he's kind of ramped his stuff up. Man. He's
18:51
Speaker 1: started to throw a little bit harder with his fastball
18:54
Speaker 1: where he can reach the upper nineties now with his fastball,
18:57
Speaker 1: has a nice mix of pitches. A couple of his
19:00
Speaker 1: off speed pitchers really are like huge strikeout potential pitches.
19:06
Speaker 1: And of course the Yankees have never faced him before,
19:08
Speaker 1: so I think that's gonna be an advantage to a
19:10
Speaker 1: talented pitcher like this. The only question is are the
19:12
Speaker 1: nerves gonna get to him? Man, That's what you gotta
19:15
Speaker 1: That's the worry in this game is are these pitchers
19:18
Speaker 1: gonna be nervous here on this stage where they've never
19:22
Speaker 1: pitched before. Hopefully not. Hopefully they can come out and
19:25
Speaker 1: do it, man, because I'm gonna weigh the fact that
19:27
Speaker 1: the pitchers are unfamiliar to the hitters. I'm gonna weigh
19:30
Speaker 1: that above everything else man, and the fact that both
19:33
Speaker 1: these pitchers are very talented. So I think we can
19:36
Speaker 1: get there with this under man playoff environment like this,
19:39
Speaker 1: everybody's focused. Most of these games tend to be lower scoring,
19:44
Speaker 1: so except for the Dodgers' games, I think every game
19:47
Speaker 1: in the Wildcard Series has been an under except for
19:50
Speaker 1: the Dodgers games. But yeah, I like this one of
19:53
Speaker 1: of course. Also, the you know, the public is only
19:56
Speaker 1: gonna be playing overs in games with Red Sox Yankees,
19:59
Speaker 1: even though both both games in the series have gone
20:01
Speaker 1: under on the full game like by a significant amount too.
20:05
Speaker 1: But yeah, the public seas Red Sox Yankees. They know
20:09
Speaker 1: both teams can hit, and they go over, but we're
20:11
Speaker 1: gonna go under here man. And then Cam Schlittler pitching
20:15
Speaker 1: for the Yankees. He has more experience than early because
20:20
Speaker 1: he was brought into the majors earlier this season than
20:23
Speaker 1: early was. Schlitzler pitched well two point nine to six ERA,
20:27
Speaker 1: one point two two whip, A little bit worse at
20:29
Speaker 1: home three point one two ERA, but still good. It's
20:32
Speaker 1: a hitter friendly park. The Yankees won his last four
20:35
Speaker 1: outings of the season. Granted the last three were against
20:38
Speaker 1: Minnesota and Baltimore, two bad teams, but he had a
20:41
Speaker 1: three point six five ERA in September thirty to eleven
20:45
Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio. He had one really bad start where
20:49
Speaker 1: he got lit up by Toronto, but other than that
20:51
Speaker 1: he's been good. He that was Toronto's second time facing him, too,
20:55
Speaker 1: so keep that in mind. His worst start was one
20:58
Speaker 1: where he didn't have the unfamiliarity edge and more because
21:01
Speaker 1: Toronto had just seen him. Although he did just face
21:03
Speaker 1: Baltimore twice in a row, and he actually did better
21:05
Speaker 1: the second start, So the unfamiliarity edge wasn't really a
21:11
Speaker 1: thing against Baltimore because they couldn't hit him either time.
21:14
Speaker 1: But he has it here against the Red Sox because
21:16
Speaker 1: even though Schlitler pitched a decent chunk of the season,
21:19
Speaker 1: he never faced the Red Sox. So the Red Sox
21:22
Speaker 1: are coming into this never having faced before. So she
21:24
Speaker 1: got two young talented pitchers that are probably gonna be
21:28
Speaker 1: part of these starting pitching rotations for a while in
21:33
Speaker 1: their first matchup in this rivalry against each other. I
21:36
Speaker 1: think it's an advantage to both pictures here. Man. Again,
21:39
Speaker 1: I always say these hitters takes them a little while
21:42
Speaker 1: to figure out these young pitchers that they haven't faced before.
21:45
Speaker 1: So I think it sets up for the under in
21:47
Speaker 1: the first five. Man, that's gonna be the play there,
21:52
Speaker 1: aside to dictateor yeah, Jave or aside. Man, he's probably
21:56
Speaker 1: gonna be coming out of the bullpen for the Cubs
21:59
Speaker 1: like he's I don't think he's in their starting rotation
22:01
Speaker 1: for the playoffs. I think he's in their bullpen, so
22:06
Speaker 1: he's gonna be kind of like a long relief type
22:08
Speaker 1: of guy from the most part rio. What's up, man, Yeah,
22:12
Speaker 1: I would be nervous about it. I am extremely nervous
22:15
Speaker 1: about it. I think Schlittler is the less likely to
22:19
Speaker 1: be the nerves. He's the less likely the two to
22:22
Speaker 1: have the nerves get to him here because even though
22:25
Speaker 1: neither of these pitchers have pitched in the postseason before,
22:27
Speaker 1: they're both rookies, Schlitler has pitched more games at this point.
22:33
Speaker 1: So yeah, that's what worries me. Although Early has been good,
22:37
Speaker 1: I think he will be Early is gonna be a
22:39
Speaker 1: good pitcher, man, But that's yeah, we gotta worry about this.
22:42
Speaker 1: This could be a Red Sox game where it's gonna
22:44
Speaker 1: be early and then totally. And I think the Yankees
22:46
Speaker 1: probably have only seen totally in his relief appearances so
22:49
Speaker 1: far too, So I don't know, but the Red Sox
22:52
Speaker 1: don't have many bullpen arms that they can use in
22:54
Speaker 1: this game. They can use Chapman though, So the Red
22:57
Speaker 1: Sox need to somehow, They need to say I'll have
23:00
Speaker 1: the lead in this game late and I don't know
23:02
Speaker 1: if they can do it. Man, I think they're gonna lose.
23:04
Speaker 1: Let's go to football. Whoops, my mistake as I removed
23:08
Speaker 1: the screen. There football. We got one college football game,
23:13
Speaker 1: which is basically as ugly as a gat. So we've
23:15
Speaker 1: got a Conference USA game between Sam Houston not just
23:20
Speaker 1: one man Sam Houston, one man who's been dead for centuries,
23:24
Speaker 1: Sam Houston State against New Mexico State. This game, if
23:28
Speaker 1: you look at this on the surface, it's like, what
23:31
Speaker 1: is this line? Because Sam Houston is the road team
23:33
Speaker 1: and they're own four. New Mexico State is at home
23:36
Speaker 1: and they're two and two. And then you look at
23:38
Speaker 1: the line in this game, uh, and Sam Houston's a favorite.
23:42
Speaker 1: They're up from minus one and a half to minus too.
23:44
Speaker 1: How can an own.
23:45
Speaker 2: Four team be a favorite on the road.
23:47
Speaker 1: Well, I mean obviously, you know I talk about this
23:49
Speaker 1: when something doesn't smell right, as far as like looking
23:53
Speaker 1: at the team's records and then you see what the
23:54
Speaker 1: odds are and the odds makers are telling you something
23:57
Speaker 1: completely different. You know, the odds makers are not throwing
24:00
Speaker 1: away here. So if I was going to play this game,
24:02
Speaker 1: I think I would play the Sam Houston side here.
24:05
Speaker 1: I mean, there's a reason why an owned four team
24:07
Speaker 1: is favored on the road. The odsbigers are telling you
24:09
Speaker 1: they are actually the better of these two teams. Seventy
24:12
Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets eighty seven percent of the cash
24:14
Speaker 1: on New Mexico State though, so the money is kind
24:18
Speaker 1: of coming into New Mexico State right now. There's no
24:20
Speaker 1: way that I would want to have money on this game,
24:22
Speaker 1: but I would lean to Sam Houston. And then I
24:24
Speaker 1: did hear some expert opinions on the over, but I'm
24:27
Speaker 1: not so sure about that. The total did go up
24:29
Speaker 1: a little bit to fifty three and a half juice
24:31
Speaker 1: to the over, sixty percent of tickets on the over,
24:34
Speaker 1: but only fifty three percent of cash on the over. Now,
24:37
Speaker 1: the reasoning that I heard for the over was basically
24:39
Speaker 1: that Sam Houston is a passing team, now, which I
24:42
Speaker 1: know I said earlier this season. I thought they were
24:45
Speaker 1: a running team because that's what they were last year.
24:47
Speaker 1: They still have their same quarterback from last year, Hunter Watson,
24:50
Speaker 1: whose dual threat quarterback Sam Houston. They went ten to
24:55
Speaker 1: three last year and they made a Bowl, but they
24:57
Speaker 1: overperformed in my opinion. I think they were pretty new
25:00
Speaker 1: to FBS too, and I think they might have petitioned
25:03
Speaker 1: the NCAA to get into a Bowl, and I think
25:05
Speaker 1: they might have won the ball too, so it would
25:08
Speaker 1: have been their first I think their first Bowl went
25:12
Speaker 1: in program history, big stuff. But I don't think Sam
25:15
Speaker 1: Houston is anywhere near as good as that. They have
25:17
Speaker 1: a new coach this year, though, so they're trying to
25:19
Speaker 1: like use some of the same personnel, although I think
25:22
Speaker 1: they had a lot of turnover too, and they're turning
25:24
Speaker 1: it into more pass heavy offense. But the reasoning I
25:28
Speaker 1: heard for the over was that Sam Houston throws the
25:30
Speaker 1: ball and New Mexico State has a really bad pass defense,
25:34
Speaker 1: so the what Sam Houston is trying to do on
25:37
Speaker 1: offense matches up against New Mexico State's defensive weakness. And
25:41
Speaker 1: then the same thing is the case on the other
25:43
Speaker 1: side New Mexico State. They basically all they do is
25:46
Speaker 1: throw the ball, and Sam Houston is not good at
25:48
Speaker 1: defending the pass either. So that was the reasoning I
25:51
Speaker 1: suffered the over. But my problem with that is that, yeah, okay,
25:54
Speaker 1: but that means both these offenses are one dimensional. Though,
25:58
Speaker 1: So if you know, if you're on defense and you
26:00
Speaker 1: know that your opponent is just gonna be throwing the
26:02
Speaker 1: ball even if.
26:03
Speaker 2: Your defense, even if that's your defensive weakness.
26:05
Speaker 1: If you can key on the ass because you know
26:08
Speaker 1: that's what the defense is gonna do, you can at
26:09
Speaker 1: least predict it a little bit more. You could potentially
26:14
Speaker 1: play better defense in that regard, right because you at
26:17
Speaker 1: least kind of know what to expect. Some might actually
26:19
Speaker 1: help your defense be a little bit better than it
26:21
Speaker 1: would be otherwise. So that's the issue I have with that.
26:24
Speaker 1: Although these are two shit teams, so it does kind
26:27
Speaker 1: of look like it's a situation where you look at
26:30
Speaker 1: these two teams and think these teams can't score. So
26:33
Speaker 1: like it seems like the public might kind of have
26:35
Speaker 1: a tendency to want to go under in this game,
26:37
Speaker 1: but they're not, as you can see, sixty percent of
26:39
Speaker 1: tickets at least are on the over. But again, I
26:42
Speaker 1: think the most misleading prior to this is the fact
26:44
Speaker 1: that you have an own to four road team being
26:47
Speaker 1: a favorite here. So I think Sam Houston is the
26:49
Speaker 1: way to go in this game if you play it
26:52
Speaker 1: Sam Houston. They're own four, but they faced a difficult schedule. Man,
26:55
Speaker 1: all their losses are to winning teams. I'm pretty sure
26:58
Speaker 1: they lost to Western Kentucky, who's already two to zero
27:01
Speaker 1: in this conference and FOREUR and one overall UNLV, even
27:05
Speaker 1: though UNLV had all that turnover Dan Mullin whatever, I
27:08
Speaker 1: don't think UNLV is that good. But there's still a
27:10
Speaker 1: winning team right now. I think they're four and one
27:13
Speaker 1: or something like that. So they're a winning team. And
27:15
Speaker 1: then Sam Houston had to go to Hawaii, which is
27:18
Speaker 1: a place that I don't think they'd ever played in
27:20
Speaker 1: why before, So that is just a weird trip to
27:23
Speaker 1: have to make. And they lost that game. That's understandable
27:26
Speaker 1: as well. And they lost to Texas last week. I mean,
27:30
Speaker 1: you're gonna blame them for that. I mean, I know
27:31
Speaker 1: they got killed fifty five to nothing, but nobody expected
27:35
Speaker 1: them to match up against Texas. I mean, that's just
27:37
Speaker 1: that's a total mismatch of a game. What can you
27:39
Speaker 1: do now? The one difficult thing for Sam Houston is
27:42
Speaker 1: this is a third straight road game and they had
27:44
Speaker 1: to go to Hawai for the first one. All they
27:47
Speaker 1: think they did have a buye in there. Let me
27:49
Speaker 1: just make sure of that. I'm pretty sure they had
27:50
Speaker 1: a bye. They did after they went to Hawaii. They
27:53
Speaker 1: had a buy which makes sense. So the schedule makers
27:56
Speaker 1: were kind to them in that regard, they could come
27:58
Speaker 1: back from Hawaii and get a bye to have that
28:02
Speaker 1: travel not hurt them as much, so that at least
28:05
Speaker 1: kind of breaks it up a little bit. But their
28:07
Speaker 1: schedule has not been easy at all. Man, they faced
28:10
Speaker 1: all winning teams and if this is gonna be their
28:13
Speaker 1: fourth road game in the first five games that they play,
28:17
Speaker 1: so yeah, I mean it is kind of a spot
28:19
Speaker 1: that I still wouldn't want to play them. But they're
28:22
Speaker 1: better than the record looks right now because they've faced
28:24
Speaker 1: a difficult schedule. New Mexico State has not faced a
28:27
Speaker 1: difficult schedule. They beat Brian who's an FCS team. They
28:30
Speaker 1: beat Tulsa barely, and we know Tulsa's not that good
28:33
Speaker 1: even though they beat Oklahoma State. I mean, Oklahoma State
28:36
Speaker 1: fired their coach, so that's how well Oklahoma State's doing
28:40
Speaker 1: on New Mexico. And I think Oklahoma State's winless too
28:43
Speaker 1: on New Mexico State. Then they lost pretty badly at
28:46
Speaker 1: Louisiana Tack, who I think is a decent team, and
28:49
Speaker 1: then they lost last week against their in state rival
28:52
Speaker 1: New Mexico, who I don't think it's really that good,
28:56
Speaker 1: So that's not really that great. That loss at New
28:59
Speaker 1: Mexicoo State. I don't think it's really particularly good, as
29:03
Speaker 1: the oddsmakers is telling you. Sam Houston is the better
29:05
Speaker 1: of the two teams, so that is the way that
29:07
Speaker 1: I would go there. And then we have an NFL
29:09
Speaker 1: game which is a pretty good divisional battle between the
29:12
Speaker 1: forty nine ers and the Rams, and then you look
29:14
Speaker 1: at this number, like, what the fuck? The Rams opened
29:18
Speaker 1: a three point favorite, anothery're a nine point favorite, which
29:21
Speaker 1: I think this line has gone way too far. It
29:24
Speaker 1: was like six and a half last night. I'm pretty
29:26
Speaker 1: sure I now it's nine. I mean, this is just
29:29
Speaker 1: the line has gotten so out of control, man, I mean,
29:31
Speaker 1: it's just absolutely outrageous. What's happening with this line? Seventy
29:34
Speaker 1: two percent of tickets and cash on the Rams. The
29:37
Speaker 1: Rams are public. Obviously. The reason why the Rams are
29:41
Speaker 1: favored by as much as they are is because of
29:43
Speaker 1: injuries to the forty nine ers.
29:45
Speaker 2: Brock Purdy is out again.
29:47
Speaker 1: He actually played last week, so I didn't realize that
29:50
Speaker 1: he was gonna play last week, although I still was
29:52
Speaker 1: correct on my lean to the Jaguars last week, but
29:55
Speaker 1: it wound up becoming a reverse injured player spot for
29:59
Speaker 1: the forty nine because you know, I talk about the
30:01
Speaker 1: injured player spot. When you have your quarterback go down,
30:03
Speaker 1: the team steps it up in the first game without him.
30:06
Speaker 1: Then when he comes back, the team, if they've been
30:08
Speaker 1: playing well at the forty nine ers they hadn't lost
30:10
Speaker 1: until last week, the team kind of takes their foot
30:13
Speaker 1: off the gas a little bit, thinking, well, we have
30:15
Speaker 1: our quarterback back, so we can kind of breathe a
30:18
Speaker 1: sigh of relief here. And I think that might be
30:20
Speaker 1: partially what happened in the forty nine ers last week.
30:23
Speaker 1: That and I think the Jaguars are actually better than
30:25
Speaker 1: people expected them to be because they were so bad
30:28
Speaker 1: last year. But with Trevor Lawrence back, even though he's
30:30
Speaker 1: not playing that well, that's still better than what they
30:34
Speaker 1: had without him, where they had Mac Jones by the way,
30:36
Speaker 1: who hilariously is the forty nine ers quarterback right now.
30:41
Speaker 1: But yeah, the Jaguars said they took them a little
30:43
Speaker 1: bit by surprise. It was a decent setup for the
30:45
Speaker 1: Jaguars last week, even though they had to go to
30:47
Speaker 1: San Francisco. Jags won the game, So the forty nine ers.
30:51
Speaker 1: I think the forty nine ers are also looking ahead
30:53
Speaker 1: to this game, man, because the forty nine ers they
30:56
Speaker 1: had their schedule packed with divisional matchups. Man. As you
31:00
Speaker 1: can see here, they won two divisional games in their
31:02
Speaker 1: first three games. They had to turn around off that
31:05
Speaker 1: close game against Arizona, play this out of conference Jacksonville team,
31:09
Speaker 1: and then they had to turn around and play the
31:11
Speaker 1: Rams on short rest on Thursday. So it was a
31:14
Speaker 1: bad spot for San Francisco. So I think that's why
31:17
Speaker 1: they lost that game. So you gotta think San Francisco
31:19
Speaker 1: is gonna show up in this game. They're in the
31:21
Speaker 1: injured players spot again because Mac Jones is going to
31:23
Speaker 1: be starting against That means you're gonna get more value
31:26
Speaker 1: on the forty nine ers. The line is moving because
31:30
Speaker 1: Brock Perdy is injured. But the forty nine Ers do
31:33
Speaker 1: have other injuries too. They got I think some offensive
31:35
Speaker 1: line injuries. They lost Bosa for the season. I think
31:38
Speaker 1: on defense, which is a huge problem. Their record is
31:41
Speaker 1: not as good without Bosa and on offense there they
31:45
Speaker 1: have a cluster injury situation at wide receiver right now,
31:48
Speaker 1: as they're down Piersoll, although least he didn't get shot
31:51
Speaker 1: again this time, and they're down Juwan Jennings as well,
31:54
Speaker 1: So the forty nine ers are depleted on offense pretty badly,
31:58
Speaker 1: although I think they do have Kidd I'm pretty sure
32:00
Speaker 1: at this point, and they have Christian McCaffrey is actually
32:04
Speaker 1: still there right now obviously. I mean not obviously because
32:07
Speaker 1: it seems like he's always hurt, but he is there
32:09
Speaker 1: right now. So the forty nine ers can still do
32:11
Speaker 1: things on offense, and they still have a good coach man.
32:14
Speaker 1: I mean, we know that Kyle Shanahan's been able to
32:17
Speaker 1: do a lot of good things with this team. So
32:19
Speaker 1: I think you're getting so many points of the forty
32:23
Speaker 1: nine ers here, man, it's basically just based off of
32:25
Speaker 1: what we saw last week, plus the injury situation.
32:28
Speaker 2: The only way that you could possibly play this.
32:30
Speaker 1: Game is to take the points of the forty nine ers, man,
32:32
Speaker 1: And you're getting a well coached team, a team that
32:35
Speaker 1: is usually a contending team year, and you're getting nine
32:39
Speaker 1: points with them in a divisional rivalry game. I think
32:43
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers are the way to look here,
32:44
Speaker 1: and it's a fairly low total. It's down to forty
32:46
Speaker 1: four and a half, which partially because of all the
32:49
Speaker 1: forty nine ers offensive injuries, sixty percent of tickets on
32:52
Speaker 1: the under, though fifty one percent of the cash on
32:54
Speaker 1: the over, so the public is thinking about playing the under. Here.
32:59
Speaker 1: I will also point out that the Rams have won
33:01
Speaker 1: four straight games against the forty nine ers, but remember
33:04
Speaker 1: last year, the forty nine ers, they just were a
33:07
Speaker 1: train wreck with all those injuries last year. That's part
33:10
Speaker 1: of the reason why they lost both games against the
33:12
Speaker 1: Rams last year. Although I know the forty nine ers
33:14
Speaker 1: are injured right now too, I don't know if it
33:17
Speaker 1: really trusts mac Jones, but it is the injured player
33:19
Speaker 1: spot again now where the forty nine ers, they know
33:23
Speaker 1: they're without Party against they're probably gonna step it up
33:25
Speaker 1: a little bit. And Mac Jones he actually has a
33:28
Speaker 1: better QBR this season than Brock Party does so far.
33:33
Speaker 1: Mac Jones has fewer interceptions so he only has one.
33:37
Speaker 1: And I know Mac Jones sucks, but he's actually played
33:39
Speaker 1: better than Party so far, so I'm not really sure
33:41
Speaker 1: there's a massive drop off. I mean, I'm not a
33:44
Speaker 1: huge Party fan. Really, I don't think he's that great,
33:47
Speaker 1: so I don't even know if it's really that big
33:49
Speaker 1: of a drop off to Jones. It is definitely a
33:51
Speaker 1: drop off, but I don't know how steep it is.
33:54
Speaker 1: And the Rams, of course, they're coming out of a
33:56
Speaker 1: game that they shouldn't have won, even though they did
33:58
Speaker 1: outgain the Colts. We don't want to talk about that
34:01
Speaker 1: game again because we had the Colts. We know what
34:03
Speaker 1: happened in that game. The Colts had one touchdown basically
34:06
Speaker 1: taken away because the receiver fumbled it into the end
34:09
Speaker 1: zone and the bullshit touchback rule. Then we had Jonathan
34:13
Speaker 1: Taylor getting what should have been a game win. He
34:15
Speaker 1: touchdown for Indy erased by that same receiver gonna call
34:18
Speaker 1: for a holden call, which seemed like it was total bullshit.
34:21
Speaker 1: I don't even think there was holding on that play.
34:23
Speaker 1: Then we're still gonna get the Colts play, right, because
34:27
Speaker 1: all you had to do was one minute left in
34:29
Speaker 1: the game. Basically, the Rams are going to try to
34:31
Speaker 1: get a field goal and win the game. And what happens,
34:33
Speaker 1: they score an eighty eight yard touchdown immediately. And by
34:36
Speaker 1: the way, something I didn't even realize, the Colts only
34:39
Speaker 1: had ten men on the field during that play too,
34:41
Speaker 1: So the Colts didn't field their entire defense on that
34:45
Speaker 1: play either, And that's part of the reason why that happened,
34:47
Speaker 1: it's I think it might be rigged. Man, it's just
34:50
Speaker 1: such bullshit. I think the books. I don't know if
34:52
Speaker 1: it's rigged, because I think the books did want Indy
34:55
Speaker 1: to cover that game because the public side was the
35:00
Speaker 1: Rams in that game. So I don't know. But the
35:01
Speaker 1: Rams are coming up of that game was a really
35:03
Speaker 1: crazy game, and San Francisco is coming off a much
35:07
Speaker 1: worse looking showing, right, So I think that's gonna put
35:12
Speaker 1: the public on the Rams side too, because the public
35:14
Speaker 1: just saw the Rams beat the Colts. The Colts were
35:16
Speaker 1: three and ozero, and the public saw the Rams played
35:18
Speaker 1: really well against the Eagles too. The Rams should have
35:21
Speaker 1: won that game against the Eagles, whereas the forty nine
35:25
Speaker 1: Ers lost to the Jaguars last week, So the public
35:28
Speaker 1: is not gonna want to be anywhere near the forty
35:31
Speaker 1: nine ers here. And yes, you could argue the forty
35:33
Speaker 1: nine Ers has faced a weak schedule so far though
35:36
Speaker 1: Seattle's three and one right now, but San Francisco faced
35:39
Speaker 1: them New Orleans and Arizona, and Arizona looks like they're
35:43
Speaker 1: not good again, So yes, the Rams have faced the
35:45
Speaker 1: more difficult schedule they faced Houston, Philadelphia and Indy Houston. I
35:50
Speaker 1: know they only have one win, but Houston.
35:52
Speaker 2: Is still a strong defensive team.
35:54
Speaker 1: So yes, the Rams have faced the more difficult schedule,
35:57
Speaker 1: but I think the spot that they're in is worse
35:59
Speaker 1: as well. And again, this is about line value. I mean,
36:02
Speaker 1: the line be nine on this game. I don't think
36:04
Speaker 1: I need to talk about this as in detail as
36:06
Speaker 1: I am really, but this line is just so insane. Yeah,
36:10
Speaker 1: the only way that you could do it, that's just
36:11
Speaker 1: taking the forty nine ers. I still don't want to
36:14
Speaker 1: do it, though, I still don't want to make it
36:15
Speaker 1: one of my plays. It's just this game is just
36:19
Speaker 1: there are a lot of unpredictable elements of this game,
36:21
Speaker 1: but the value is there for the forty nine ers,
36:24
Speaker 1: So there's no possible way you can lay the points
36:26
Speaker 1: with the Rams here. But I do have to decide
36:29
Speaker 1: if I want to use the Rams and survivor. That's
36:31
Speaker 1: the thing, man, because I already use the Cardinals in
36:33
Speaker 1: Week two, and the Cardinals are a pretty decent survivor
36:37
Speaker 1: play here because they're a shit team and they're playing
36:39
Speaker 1: an even shittier team, and it's Titans who might be
36:42
Speaker 1: the worst team in the NFL right now. Cardinals look
36:46
Speaker 1: like they are the best Survivor pick of the week,
36:47
Speaker 1: but I can't use them because I already use them.
36:49
Speaker 1: So I basically have to go with the Rams or
36:51
Speaker 1: the Colts. Basically I don't know what to do, and
36:53
Speaker 1: they both have other Survivor worthy matchups in the future too,
36:58
Speaker 1: so very difficult to figure out what I want to
37:00
Speaker 1: do here, man. With the survivor, I mean, those seem
37:03
Speaker 1: to be really the only options unless I want to
37:05
Speaker 1: burn the Bills or the Lions. So talking survivor a
37:08
Speaker 1: little bit here before I get out of here, because
37:10
Speaker 1: it could be the Rams tonight. I got to decide.
37:13
Speaker 1: But again, I still want to hold on to the
37:15
Speaker 1: Lions and the Yeah, the Lion plus the Lions are
37:20
Speaker 1: on the road. I don't know, it's a pretty iffy spot.
37:22
Speaker 1: I don't think I really want to do it. And
37:23
Speaker 1: then the Bills. I think the Bills are in a
37:26
Speaker 1: better spot than the Lions are, but I don't want
37:28
Speaker 1: to use the Bills yet either, so I want to
37:30
Speaker 1: keep those better teams available. The other thing I'm considering
37:34
Speaker 1: is using the Saints, which we're gonna talk about that
37:38
Speaker 1: on that's a little bit, a little bit of foreshadowing there.
37:42
Speaker 1: I know how insane that sounds, but I'm actually considering
37:45
Speaker 1: using the Saints in Survivor because there's never gonna be
37:49
Speaker 1: another spot where you're gonna use the Saints this year. Man.
37:52
Speaker 1: I mean, if you can use the Saints and get
37:55
Speaker 1: away with it and survive, that gives you a leg
37:58
Speaker 1: Like it's a wrist that has a ton of reward
38:01
Speaker 1: because like that, like that gives you so much leeway
38:05
Speaker 1: going forward if you use the Saints, because you're never
38:07
Speaker 1: gonna want to use them again. We're gonna go with
38:10
Speaker 1: the own four Saints and survive for potentially. Man. But
38:13
Speaker 1: you know that's gonna be one of my plays on Sunday,
38:16
Speaker 1: So just putting that out there again. You know, you
38:19
Speaker 1: know what my plays are like in the NFL, Man,
38:21
Speaker 1: We go with the ugliest plays possible. But I think
38:25
Speaker 1: it's a good spot for them. Why did Lamar get
38:28
Speaker 1: hurt your Ravens fan and you have them in fantasy?
38:33
Speaker 1: Oh man, that's not good. Man. I was up against
38:37
Speaker 1: Lamar in Fantasy, not this week, but the week before that,
38:41
Speaker 1: and I was able to dodge that and win anyway.
38:44
Speaker 1: I have Mahomes on my fantasy team. Mahomes has been
38:46
Speaker 1: doing pretty well for me. I mean, you get these
38:48
Speaker 1: quarterbacks that can use their legs and stuff to them,
38:51
Speaker 1: especially when the entire offense is basically revolving around that
38:54
Speaker 1: quarterback Mahomes.
38:56
Speaker 2: Even though the Chiefs offense isn't good, Mahomes is.
38:58
Speaker 1: A pretty strong fantasy quarterback still, so I'm rolling with him.
39:03
Speaker 1: But yeah, that sucks to Lamar Jackson is probably the
39:05
Speaker 1: top fantasy quarterback because you want fantasy quarterbacks if you're
39:09
Speaker 1: in the way that most fantasy leagues are scored. You
39:13
Speaker 1: only get four points for a passing touchdown because they
39:16
Speaker 1: happen so often, but you get six for rushing touchdowns.
39:19
Speaker 1: So if you get a quarterback that gets you rushing touchdowns,
39:21
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson hurts Mahomes. Those Josh Allen like, those guys
39:26
Speaker 1: have a lot of value, the guys that can use
39:29
Speaker 1: their feet to get things done. In bon Knicks as well,
39:32
Speaker 1: you actually have oh, you have bon Knicks is on
39:34
Speaker 1: a different fantasy team. Bon Knicks hasn't been that good.
39:37
Speaker 1: He seems like he's in the sophomore slump though. Man,
39:40
Speaker 1: I don't know what his fantasy numbers look like Lamar
39:42
Speaker 1: Jackson is probably the best fantasy quarterback. I mean he is,
39:46
Speaker 1: so losing him is brutal. Although I think quarterbacks are
39:50
Speaker 1: worth less than running backs and wide receivers in fantasy.
39:55
Speaker 1: That's how I see it, because the quarterbacks, I mean,
39:58
Speaker 1: you get less. You get fewer points for all the
40:01
Speaker 1: shit the quarterback does pretty much, because that's the way
40:03
Speaker 1: that it is, because you know, the quarterback is constantly
40:05
Speaker 1: involved in the offense, so that's the way that it
40:08
Speaker 1: gets scored. But yeah, oh, the Ravens will talk about
40:12
Speaker 1: what's gonna happen with that game comes Sunday. But yeah,
40:14
Speaker 1: the Ravens one in three right now in losing Lamar Jackson,
40:20
Speaker 1: oh boy, And the Ravens are might pick to win
40:23
Speaker 1: the fucking Super Bowl this year. Man, I think they're
40:25
Speaker 1: the best team in the NFL. Or I did. They
40:27
Speaker 1: have a really good offense, but now Lamar Jackson's hurt
40:29
Speaker 1: and their defenses. I thought their defense would at least
40:32
Speaker 1: be mediocre, like good enough this year, and their defense
40:35
Speaker 1: does not look good. So I don't know. I don't know, man,
40:40
Speaker 1: Bonnicks can scramble, yeah, throw it downfield.
40:43
Speaker 2: I think he's a little bit overrated though.
40:44
Speaker 1: To be honest, a lot of times these rookie quarterbacks,
40:48
Speaker 1: because the league hasn't figured them out yet. The rookie
40:50
Speaker 1: quarterbacks take the league by surprise, and then they take
40:52
Speaker 1: a step back the next year after the league kind
40:55
Speaker 1: of figures out what they do. Lamar hall of Fame.
40:59
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, he probably should be. He's gotta finish
41:03
Speaker 1: his career off. It would be nice to see him actually,
41:06
Speaker 1: you know, win more in the playoffs. But yeah, I
41:08
Speaker 1: think he's already headed for the Hall of Fame. Probably
41:10
Speaker 1: he's put up some really gaudy numbers. Has he won
41:13
Speaker 1: an MVP yet? He probably has, right, because the MVP
41:16
Speaker 1: just seems to be kind of rotating through Lamar, Josh Allen,
41:20
Speaker 1: and Maholmes. I don't. I don't know if any of
41:22
Speaker 1: them have not won one yet. It maybe is it
41:26
Speaker 1: Allen that hasn't won one yet. I forget. I think
41:28
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson won one it last year. I don't remember.
41:34
Speaker 1: Ravens takes it back. I mean, the Ravens are still
41:36
Speaker 1: a really really good team. They've had a difficult The
41:39
Speaker 1: Ravens have had a difficult dude. They've had to face
41:42
Speaker 1: the Bills, the Lines, and the Chiefs. So far, that
41:44
Speaker 1: is a really difficult schedule, and those are all their losses,
41:47
Speaker 1: so it's not like they're losing the bad teams here.
41:51
Speaker 1: So yeah, the Ravens, they're gonna start being bad. I
41:55
Speaker 1: think the Ravens will still win their division, like their
41:58
Speaker 1: division is not good. So I know the Steelers are
42:02
Speaker 1: gonna be competitive again because they always are for whatever reason.
42:06
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers Baby, But yeah, I don't know, all right,
42:10
Speaker 1: I gotta get out of here, though. Man, you think
42:13
Speaker 1: Lamar won it last year. I think that is accurate.
42:16
Speaker 1: He needs to come back. I don't think his injury
42:18
Speaker 1: is serious enough that he's gonna be out for that long.
42:22
Speaker 1: Ravens need to somehow win this week with like without him, though,
42:25
Speaker 1: The Ravens are gonna be desperate for a win, man,
42:27
Speaker 1: So that might give you a little hint as to
42:30
Speaker 1: the way that I'm looking in that game. That one's
42:32
Speaker 1: not gonna be a play for me. But yeah, I mean,
42:34
Speaker 1: I think it's an injured player spot for the Ravens
42:36
Speaker 1: and they're a desperate team at this point. The Steelers
42:41
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers Baby and Mike Dude Mike Tomlin. I don't
42:44
Speaker 1: know what it is, man. He gets shit on all
42:46
Speaker 1: the time because he loses in the playoffs. But look
42:48
Speaker 1: at the personnel that he's had over these past several years.
42:51
Speaker 1: He's had horrible personnel on that team, and he makes
42:54
Speaker 1: the playoffs every year. Basically he's still never had a
42:57
Speaker 1: losing year. I still think he is one of the
43:00
Speaker 1: best coaches in the NFL. It's yeah, I mean, it's ridiculous,
43:04
Speaker 1: all right, man, I gotta get out of here once again.
43:06
Speaker 1: The one play today is the Red Sox and Yankees
43:08
Speaker 1: in the night game first five innings. Under pray that
43:13
Speaker 1: the Red Sox eliminate the Yankees here, man, because that's
43:16
Speaker 1: what I want. I want the Yankees out, and more
43:18
Speaker 1: than I care about the Red I'm under no delusion
43:20
Speaker 1: to the Red Sox are gonna go anywhere. You saw
43:22
Speaker 1: my bracket. I picked the Yankees in my bracket to
43:24
Speaker 1: win this series and beat the Blue Jays, so you know,
43:31
Speaker 1: but yeah, that's gonna do it for me. Man. We
43:33
Speaker 1: can pray hopefully I'm still alive by the end of tonight.
43:38
Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks for hanging out, everybody. Peace, everybody.
43:41
Speaker 1: Jordan Nate Rio Jeffrey, thanks for hanging out this morning.
43:45
Speaker 1: Everybody learn it tone on Twitter and learn it tone
43:48
Speaker 1: on Instagram, like subscribe to the channel hero, I want
43:51
Speaker 1: to get more subscribers. Man, Hopefully we can blow this
43:53
Speaker 1: thing up somehow. I might need to change formats a
43:55
Speaker 1: little bit, be funnier. I don't know.
43:57
Speaker 2: Hopefully my rants are helping a little bit.
43:59
Speaker 1: At the beginning of the show. This long format that
44:02
Speaker 1: I do is kind of like, I don't know, some
44:03
Speaker 1: people are into it. It's kind of what I'm into
44:06
Speaker 1: because I'm autistic, but maybe people don't. I don't know.
44:09
Speaker 1: Review on iTunes and Spotify that helps us well, or
44:12
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, I should say, and Spotify and then covered
44:18
Speaker 1: in you because my yuke channel on YouTube and I
44:20
Speaker 1: have a Patreon, Patreon dot com slash and learn to
44:22
Speaker 1: toad with some bonus uke content there. We're gonna be
44:26
Speaker 1: doing some Halloween uke covers this month, which I mean
44:30
Speaker 1: I put out inn October related one yesterday. I gotta
44:32
Speaker 1: get it up on the YouTube channel and then I'm
44:34
Speaker 1: caught up on the YouTube Patreon them a few covers behind,
44:38
Speaker 1: so I gotta get that up as well.
44:40
Speaker 2: But I think that's about it.
44:41
Speaker 1: For now. Yeah, thanks guys, and I'll be back tomorrow
44:45
Speaker 1: and then we get into the football shows tomorrow night,
44:49
Speaker 1: and of course yeah the next two nights, Tomorrow night
44:52
Speaker 1: and Saturday night. You know, you know how I do it, man,
44:55
Speaker 1: College football NFL. I got a few ideas for both
44:58
Speaker 1: already for play that are probably gonna happen. Hopefully the
45:02
Speaker 1: lines are still there, because I give the lines out
45:04
Speaker 1: the night beforehand. Usually the lines are still okay, So
45:07
Speaker 1: hopefully we'll see. But I mean, if you want to know,
45:10
Speaker 1: like kind of what I'm looking at right now, I'm
45:12
Speaker 1: kind of looking at. I mean, I don't know, do
45:13
Speaker 1: you guys. I don't know if you guys want to
45:15
Speaker 1: be surprised at that point, because I don't think the
45:17
Speaker 1: NFL lines are gonna get out of control. On the
45:20
Speaker 1: two games that I think are definitely gonna be plays.
45:22
Speaker 1: You already know what one is because I just mentioned it.
45:24
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think I'll hold off, I guess, and
45:27
Speaker 1: then college football. I still have to kind of break
45:29
Speaker 1: it down. So I have a couple ideas, but I
45:32
Speaker 1: don't know if those are gonna be plays NFL. I
45:33
Speaker 1: think I have more certainty on and the two games
45:37
Speaker 1: that I like the most are not gonna move like
45:40
Speaker 1: onto or off of some key number. I don't think.
45:42
Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it. Man. Oh thank you, sir Jeffrey.
45:47
Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Man. That's gonna do it for now.
45:49
Speaker 1: Have a good Thursday, everybody. Thursday Thursday. Although I'm sober,
45:53
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be drinking a lot of water and a
45:55
Speaker 1: gate or light. Man, that's what I do. I have hydration.
45:59
Speaker 1: I need more hydration, man, I don't know. I feel
46:01
Speaker 1: like I'm constantly dehydrated from talking all the time. Probably peace, guys.
46:10
Speaker 1: Oh you want me to save it, all right, I'll
46:12
Speaker 1: save it. That'll be Saturday, Sunday, Friday and Saturday nights.
46:17
Speaker 1: Excuse me, alright, Peace for now,