Latest / Toadstool Sports / Monday MLB + WNBA Bets 6/30/25

Transcript

Monday MLB + WNBA Bets 6/30/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: And missy Rouse denn and he has power stop man.
0:04
Speaker 1: He throws regularly above one hundred miles. I believe he
0:08
Speaker 1: had like thirty or forty pitches that were at least.
0:11
Speaker 2: One hundred miles an hour when radar gun in his
0:13
Speaker 2: first start, which is more one hundred mile an hour
0:17
Speaker 2: fastball than he's a higher team is thrown all that
0:22
Speaker 2: one start.
0:23
Speaker 3: He goes base los his Bronnay and he's picking very well.
0:26
Speaker 1: They can get tacked off the Maxsan he has that
0:30
Speaker 1: name like he's gonna be a Hall of the Game.
0:33
Speaker 1: Think you can get attacked, but you're actually getting this one.
0:36
Speaker 1: Can't lay minus three?
0:37
Speaker 3: Can?
0:37
Speaker 1: They're a huge road favorite here. I mean, obviously the
0:41
Speaker 1: Dodgers will team bull Ben starting pisure, they have every advantage.
0:45
Speaker 3: He again lay the Dodgers.
0:49
Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's Toad back with you for Better
0:52
Speaker 1: Off Dead Monday, June thirtieth, starting the new week with
0:56
Speaker 1: an intro here with Toad with a banger song created
1:01
Speaker 1: by one of the listeners. I gotta remember who it
1:02
Speaker 1: is because I want to shout this guy out, and
1:04
Speaker 1: I can't remember who the hell it is.
1:06
Speaker 3: I apologize, guy, Thank you for the interim music.
1:10
Speaker 1: I just put together some clips from one of the
1:12
Speaker 1: days that I went four and oh last week, and
1:14
Speaker 1: that's all I did. It's a terrible intro. Maybe it's
1:17
Speaker 1: better than no intro, maybe it's not.
1:19
Speaker 3: Who knows.
1:20
Speaker 1: Yesterday it was a three and o day, so that
1:22
Speaker 1: was pretty good. WNBA hit on the Las Vegas Aces.
1:26
Speaker 3: That was a win. So outright win with an underdog.
1:29
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously you'll take that every time they're winning
1:32
Speaker 1: down the stretch. I was pretty much decided by the
1:35
Speaker 1: end of it, so you knew you were at least
1:37
Speaker 1: gonna get the cover on that. And of course, so
1:39
Speaker 1: we got the outright win on that. So that was
1:41
Speaker 1: a good one.
1:42
Speaker 3: We had Pittsburgh Pirates.
1:45
Speaker 1: They completed the sweep of the Mets, so that worked
1:48
Speaker 1: out well as well, with another easy win to I
1:50
Speaker 1: think they went twelve to one. Is that what it
1:53
Speaker 1: was something like that, whatever it was, was a blowout win.
1:56
Speaker 3: Again.
1:56
Speaker 1: They dominated that series and then something's not right with
1:59
Speaker 1: the Mets, and I think what it is is they
2:02
Speaker 1: overly celebrated Pride Day a couple of weeks back and
2:06
Speaker 1: they've been terrible since.
2:08
Speaker 3: So that's what you get.
2:09
Speaker 2: Man.
2:09
Speaker 3: The flood is coming back in.
2:11
Speaker 1: It's God telling you you shouldn't be doing that, and
2:13
Speaker 1: I'm gonna punish you now. Philadelphia Atlanta under also hit
2:18
Speaker 1: and that was an under all the way, first five
2:20
Speaker 1: inning under, full game under, any way you did it
2:23
Speaker 1: under was the winner there. I'm gonna have three unders today. Actually,
2:28
Speaker 1: even though it's a short baseball card, we're going all baseball.
2:31
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have two first five inning unders and a
2:33
Speaker 1: full game under. And hopefully I don't screw myself because
2:36
Speaker 1: I think in these cases we're actually getting some valume
2:39
Speaker 1: on some like underrated pictures.
2:41
Speaker 3: For the most part. So that's what I'm going with here.
2:45
Speaker 1: Let's get right into it, baby, starting with WNBA, because
2:49
Speaker 1: we do have one w NBA game today and I'm
2:50
Speaker 1: not gonna recommend to play on this, but it is
2:53
Speaker 1: interesting at least it's Indiana and Minnesota. But it's gonna
2:56
Speaker 1: be a little bit less interesting because Caitlyn Clark is
2:59
Speaker 1: still hurt. She's not coming back for this game. Minnesota
3:02
Speaker 1: obviously is the better team. They're up from five to
3:04
Speaker 1: five and a half. They're not an insurmountable favorite here,
3:08
Speaker 1: so osmakers are giving some respect to Indiana, especially given
3:11
Speaker 1: the fact that CAYLEB Clark is seemingly not playing. It
3:14
Speaker 1: seems like she's supposed to be out until tomorrow. But
3:17
Speaker 1: this line seems kind of short to me if Caylen
3:20
Speaker 1: Clark is not playing, so we're gonna have to see it.
3:23
Speaker 1: Maybe she is actually going to play, because I would
3:25
Speaker 1: think this line would be a little bit different, But
3:27
Speaker 1: we will see. Maybe some of it is because Minnesota
3:30
Speaker 1: played yesterday, so they are in a back to back,
3:32
Speaker 1: but they absolutely did not have to exert themselves as
3:35
Speaker 1: they demolished Connecticut, the worst team in the league, by
3:38
Speaker 1: thirty nine points, score it over one hundred. When you
3:42
Speaker 1: do something like that, you're gonna potentially be feeling a
3:44
Speaker 1: little bit high on yourselves though, So I don't know
3:46
Speaker 1: if I love the spot from Minnesota. Hear with no rest,
3:49
Speaker 1: but yet again, I mean, they didn't exert themselves yesterday,
3:52
Speaker 1: so it's not really a horrible back to back spot.
3:55
Speaker 1: It's about the easiest to back to back spot can get.
3:58
Speaker 3: Indiana. They're continuing a two game road trip here.
4:02
Speaker 1: They beat Dallas in the previous game, which I think
4:04
Speaker 1: would have been a bigger game if Clark was playing.
4:06
Speaker 1: Because it was going to be the big Clark Becker's
4:09
Speaker 1: rematch in Indiana won without Clark, so they're coming off
4:13
Speaker 1: a big game as well. But I think obviously they're
4:15
Speaker 1: going to pay attention to this game against Minnesota. I
4:18
Speaker 1: think it is going to be considered to be a
4:20
Speaker 1: big game for both teams. So it's very difficult to handicap.
4:24
Speaker 1: I don't even know if I want to give out
4:25
Speaker 1: a lean on that. And we have Major League Baseball.
4:28
Speaker 1: Obviously it's a Monday, so Major League Baseball. We have
4:30
Speaker 1: a short Major League Baseball card today. And one thing
4:34
Speaker 1: that I always preach is, you look at who played
4:36
Speaker 1: in the Sunday night game Minnesota Detroit. It was a big,
4:40
Speaker 1: you know, divisional Sunday night game. It was schooable night
4:42
Speaker 1: school ball, pitched well again. But then you look today,
4:45
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, neither of those teams are playing today. So
4:47
Speaker 1: unfortunately we do not get to fade either one of
4:50
Speaker 1: those teams today, but we're gonna find some angles here. Nonetheless,
4:54
Speaker 1: San Diego is at Philadelphia, as we have all evening
4:58
Speaker 1: games today on a Monday, new series is starting for
5:00
Speaker 1: every team that's playing today. Philadelphia is actually returning over
5:03
Speaker 1: from a road trip, and they were just in a
5:06
Speaker 1: pretty big divisional series against Atlanta and they won yesterday
5:09
Speaker 1: two to one, so a pretty big win. They're beating
5:12
Speaker 1: one of their divisional rivals, and now they're returning home
5:15
Speaker 1: two series road trip that's going to Houston and Atlanta.
5:18
Speaker 1: So I think they aren't a little bit of a
5:20
Speaker 1: letdown spot potentially, because when you have a team that's
5:23
Speaker 1: returning over from a road trip, like I always say,
5:25
Speaker 1: it gets to be a little bit of a distraction
5:27
Speaker 1: spot sometimes because players have to return back to family life,
5:30
Speaker 1: they have to get some stuff done. But in addition
5:32
Speaker 1: to that, coming off a series like that against the Braves,
5:35
Speaker 1: I think they could be in a little bit of
5:36
Speaker 1: a letdown spot. So I don't think it's the greatest
5:39
Speaker 1: spot for Philadelphia San Diego's or continuing a road trip,
5:43
Speaker 1: excuse me. And they were just in Cincinnati, so they
5:45
Speaker 1: are flying from Cincinnati into Philadelphia. But they lost the
5:48
Speaker 1: series at Cincinnati, so it might be good to just
5:51
Speaker 1: get out of there and try to refocus. So I
5:53
Speaker 1: think spot wise, it's a little bit better for San Diego.
5:56
Speaker 1: But for San Diego, Matt Walter and is pitching today,
6:01
Speaker 1: I don't know what we're gonna get out of Waldron Man.
6:02
Speaker 1: He has not pitched at all this season. He is
6:05
Speaker 1: a knuckleball pitcher, so he's a little bit all over
6:08
Speaker 1: the place. I mean, his career numbers go back to
6:10
Speaker 1: twenty twenty three and they're not horrible. Basically, it's very
6:15
Speaker 1: Tim Wakefield ask to be honest, four point seven to
6:17
Speaker 1: ninety IRA one point two six whip, so his numbers
6:20
Speaker 1: are not terrible, but it's like, how well he does
6:23
Speaker 1: really depends on how well the knuckleball is going and
6:25
Speaker 1: how like how much weird movement there is on it,
6:28
Speaker 1: and how much he can fool the opposing hitters, because
6:30
Speaker 1: that's pretty much what he does. He has not pitched
6:33
Speaker 1: yet this year, so it's questionable how like rusty he's
6:36
Speaker 1: gonna be and whatever. I think he wasn't even hurt.
6:40
Speaker 1: I don't think he was just in the minors for
6:41
Speaker 1: a while. So maybe he will be pumped to get
6:43
Speaker 1: another shot in the majors again. And he is facing
6:46
Speaker 1: at Philadelphia, his team with a good lineup, obviously, but
6:50
Speaker 1: Waldron or excuse me, Waldron yet has actually done pretty
6:53
Speaker 1: poorly against them in the past, and thirty seven at
6:55
Speaker 1: bats two ninety seven average allowed and eight thirty six
7:00
Speaker 1: not exactly expecting Waldron to come out and really shut
7:04
Speaker 1: down this good Philadelphia offense. So of course we do
7:07
Speaker 1: have to look at what happened with the bullpens yesterday.
7:10
Speaker 1: Phillies didn't use a whole lot of their bullpen yesterday.
7:13
Speaker 1: With Suarez going seven innings, Philly their bullpen's decently intact here.
7:18
Speaker 1: San Diego yesterday, with a close loss to the Reds,
7:22
Speaker 1: wound up using more of their bullpens. So even though
7:25
Speaker 1: San Diego has the better bullpen, but they did again
7:27
Speaker 1: have to overly use it, I think in this series.
7:30
Speaker 1: So I think the rest scenario kind of evens out
7:33
Speaker 1: the bullpen situation. And this is a brutal loss for
7:36
Speaker 1: San Diego by the way, as they're winning it's in
7:37
Speaker 1: the ninth inning and then lost giving up two runs
7:40
Speaker 1: in the ninth not good. So San Diego's bullpen a
7:43
Speaker 1: little bit questionable right now. And Philadelphia's got Zach Wheeler
7:47
Speaker 1: around the mount so you know, obviously Philadelphia is the
7:50
Speaker 1: better starter here with Wheeler being their ace. He's one
7:53
Speaker 1: of the top pitchers in baseball despite being thirty five
7:56
Speaker 1: years old.
7:56
Speaker 3: Two point four.
7:57
Speaker 1: To five erazo, point nine two whip home road splits,
8:02
Speaker 1: very insignificant, doesn't really matter. This month, he's been really
8:06
Speaker 1: good with a point seven to eight ERA thirty two
8:08
Speaker 1: to seven strike a walk ratio, striking out at least
8:11
Speaker 1: seven in all four starts. His team has won three
8:14
Speaker 1: of the four starts he's been on point. Man, He's
8:17
Speaker 1: allowed one or zero earned runs in every start this month,
8:21
Speaker 1: including facing the Cubs and the Mets, so he's facing
8:23
Speaker 1: some pretty decent lineup. So though I know the Mets
8:25
Speaker 1: are struggling right now, Wheeler definitely on point right now,
8:29
Speaker 1: and against San Diego he has pretty dominant numbers in
8:33
Speaker 1: ninety two at bats, so pretty significant sample size. He's
8:35
Speaker 1: an eighteen to two strike a walk ratio against him,
8:38
Speaker 1: and it's held into a one to sixty three average
8:40
Speaker 1: four to twenty ohps. So I'm not looking to fade
8:43
Speaker 1: Zach Wheeler in this game, man.
8:44
Speaker 3: Even though it is a.
8:45
Speaker 1: Bad spot for Philadelphia, I think they have a big
8:48
Speaker 1: starting pitching advantage here and the bullpen edge is kind
8:51
Speaker 1: of erased based on what San Diego's done with their
8:55
Speaker 1: bullpen recently.
8:56
Speaker 2: So.
8:57
Speaker 1: Probably you got to look to Philadelphia, or pass the
9:00
Speaker 1: game here. They're up for minus two to end to
9:02
Speaker 1: minus two twelve. Though so very expensive to play Philly
9:05
Speaker 1: here fifty six percent of tickets, eighty four percent of
9:08
Speaker 1: the cash coming in on them. Still don't want to
9:10
Speaker 1: do it because I don't like playing on teams in
9:12
Speaker 1: a return home spot like this. Perhaps the way that
9:16
Speaker 1: you want to do it maybe is to look Philadelphia
9:19
Speaker 1: team total to go over, and you'll have to probably
9:22
Speaker 1: get it like five five and a half, which is
9:24
Speaker 1: definitely asking a lot. But when a team turns over
9:26
Speaker 1: a road trip sometimes their bats will tend to suffer
9:29
Speaker 1: a little bit from that distraction as well. So I
9:31
Speaker 1: wouldn't necessarily recommend that either, but I could see them
9:35
Speaker 1: potentially getting to Waldron. Or if you want to go
9:37
Speaker 1: the other way with it and say, well, Wheeler's gonna
9:39
Speaker 1: have a good game, you could potentially go San Diego
9:42
Speaker 1: under their team total and expect Wheeler to actually stop them.
9:46
Speaker 1: So that could be the case there. And with Philadelphia
9:49
Speaker 1: at least their bullpen has actually been pitching a little
9:51
Speaker 1: bit better recently, so you can take that into account
9:54
Speaker 1: as well. Saint Louis is at Pittsburgh. Both these teams
9:57
Speaker 1: are coming off of sweeps. Pittsburgh sweep was much more satisfying,
10:01
Speaker 1: and they're just staying at home off of destroying the Mets.
10:05
Speaker 1: I mean, that was a pretty impressive performance for Pittsburgh,
10:09
Speaker 1: to be honest, and I believe they did that without
10:12
Speaker 1: Paul Skeen's pitching in the series too, because Skeens pitched
10:14
Speaker 1: the last game against Milwaukee. Thirty runs scored by Pittsburgh.
10:19
Speaker 1: They outscored the Mets thirty to four and a three
10:22
Speaker 1: game series. Honestly, I think the only way Pittsburgh could
10:25
Speaker 1: go from here is back down, man, because they are
10:27
Speaker 1: not a very good team.
10:30
Speaker 3: Yes, this is a divisional series.
10:31
Speaker 1: Yes, Pittsburgh probably would have a little bit more motivation
10:34
Speaker 1: against Saint Louis than Saint Louis would have against Pittsburgh.
10:38
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh way at the bottom of the division here, obviously,
10:41
Speaker 1: but again, I don't know how they sustained something like
10:44
Speaker 1: this coming off of a series like this, So I
10:46
Speaker 1: do think Pittsburgh could be in a little bit of
10:48
Speaker 1: a let down here. They didn't as much of their
10:50
Speaker 1: bullpen at all. Yes, say those burrows didn't really go
10:53
Speaker 1: that deep into the game, but they pretty much saved
10:55
Speaker 1: their whole bullpen and used blowed Zinsky for a lot
10:58
Speaker 1: of the rest of the game, and he did. Okay,
11:00
Speaker 1: I mean it was the game was out of hand
11:01
Speaker 1: at that point anyway, so it didn't really matter. Saint
11:04
Speaker 1: Louis Is also coming off of a sweep they swept
11:06
Speaker 1: Cleveland though, so a little bit of a less satisfying
11:10
Speaker 1: a sweep there for Saint Louis in an inter league
11:13
Speaker 1: series against the struggling Cleveland Indians team and they're just
11:17
Speaker 1: going from Cleveland to Pittsburgh, very short travel spot, so
11:20
Speaker 1: I think the spot does set up maybe a little
11:22
Speaker 1: bit better for Saint Louis here. They're coming off a
11:24
Speaker 1: series where they did shut Cleveland out in two of
11:27
Speaker 1: the three games though, so that was still pretty impressive
11:30
Speaker 1: as well for Saint Louis. Uh, Saint Louis does have
11:33
Speaker 1: the better of the two bullpends here, and it kind
11:35
Speaker 1: of comes down to you gotta look at usage. But
11:37
Speaker 1: of course they won seven and nothing yesterday, so not
11:39
Speaker 1: a lot of bullpen usage out of Saint Louis yesterday.
11:42
Speaker 1: They rested their more important relief pitchers yesterday as well.
11:46
Speaker 1: They have Eric Fetti on the mound Saint Louis does
11:49
Speaker 1: today not doing that great right now, four point one
11:52
Speaker 1: to one, and the scene is in one point three
11:54
Speaker 1: six whip on the road. He's been better though the
11:58
Speaker 1: three ERA, so this matchup might actually help him, although
12:01
Speaker 1: he's not a good form right now. At least he
12:03
Speaker 1: gave up seven runs to the Cubs last time out,
12:06
Speaker 1: and I gave out the Cubs on the show as
12:08
Speaker 1: a play in that one, so that was a nice
12:10
Speaker 1: easy win there. Now I see an argument that, well,
12:14
Speaker 1: maybe that's just a little bit of a blip, right
12:16
Speaker 1: because the Cubs have a really good offense. They statistically
12:20
Speaker 1: historically do pretty well against FEddi, so Fedti might bounce
12:23
Speaker 1: back from that.
12:23
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's true.
12:24
Speaker 1: Like the previous starts this month, he hadn't allow more
12:26
Speaker 1: than three or runs in any of them. He's stepping
12:29
Speaker 1: way down in class to face Pittsburgh, so that is true.
12:32
Speaker 1: But this month he does not only have a four
12:34
Speaker 1: point six to two ERA, which again is getting skewed
12:38
Speaker 1: by that Chicago start, but twelve to three excuse eighteen
12:41
Speaker 1: to twelve strike at walk ratio is not that good though,
12:44
Speaker 1: so his strikeout rate hasn't been that high. His walk
12:47
Speaker 1: rate has been too high this month, so he is
12:49
Speaker 1: struggling a little bit. But then again he's facing Pittsburgh
12:53
Speaker 1: stepping back down to class, so he may do well here.
12:56
Speaker 1: He does do better on the road. Seventy one at
12:58
Speaker 1: bats in his career against Pittsburg, he has held him
13:01
Speaker 1: to two eleven batting averaged six to twenty ohps. So Fetti,
13:05
Speaker 1: I mean he could bounce back potentially and have a
13:07
Speaker 1: better performance here. Pittsburgh not a very good offense, and
13:10
Speaker 1: you want to talk about a bad form, Andrew Heaney
13:14
Speaker 1: has been in worse for him than Eric Fetti. He's
13:16
Speaker 1: got a four point four to eighty r now in
13:18
Speaker 1: the season, one point two to five whip, and to
13:21
Speaker 1: start the month of June his ERA was three point
13:25
Speaker 1: one eight and since then, since the start of June,
13:29
Speaker 1: he's put up a seven point one ERA and it's
13:31
Speaker 1: skyrocketed his ERA to four point four to eight. He's
13:34
Speaker 1: given up seven runs a piece in his last two outings. Granted,
13:38
Speaker 1: yes they're both on the road against Detroit and Milwaukee,
13:41
Speaker 1: so two decent offenses, but he also has a five
13:45
Speaker 1: to six strike a walk ratio of those last two starts,
13:48
Speaker 1: which isn't good. Although twenty to six overall in the
13:51
Speaker 1: month of June, so he didn't walk anybody in June.
13:53
Speaker 3: Until those two starts.
13:55
Speaker 1: He's faced a bunch of tough offenses, man, really all
13:58
Speaker 1: tough offenses San Diego, phil Chicago, Cubs, Detroit, Milwaukee. So
14:02
Speaker 1: that's a gauntlet he's gone through this month. So maybe
14:05
Speaker 1: he will do a little bit better stepping back down
14:07
Speaker 1: in class to face a Saint Louis here. He does
14:10
Speaker 1: have good numbers against him historically thirty one at bats one,
14:13
Speaker 1: sixty one average for sixty one ohps. But I think
14:17
Speaker 1: he is a little bit less trustworthy than Fetti in
14:20
Speaker 1: the spot man, and the public is all over Pittsburgh
14:22
Speaker 1: right now, maybe just because of what they just did
14:24
Speaker 1: to the Mets. Everybody's kind of taken notice now, but
14:27
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's still a bad team, and I think Fetti is
14:30
Speaker 1: still the.
14:30
Speaker 3: Preferable of the two pitchers here.
14:32
Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of tickets, seventy one percent of the cash,
14:35
Speaker 1: so Pittsburgh's public with with less of the cash on them,
14:38
Speaker 1: even though they are a favorite. A minus won ten,
14:41
Speaker 1: having flipped from plus one oh four. I don't think
14:43
Speaker 1: that's a very significant move so I think the more
14:47
Speaker 1: the better way to read into this market here is
14:50
Speaker 1: to say that Pittsburgh's a public team and they're getting
14:52
Speaker 1: less of the money, so slightly into Saint Louis there.
14:57
Speaker 1: I don't know if I would do anything else with
14:58
Speaker 1: that game, but yeah, I mean I think he and
15:02
Speaker 1: because he's put up two bad starts in a row,
15:04
Speaker 1: I think it's more of an indicator that he's just
15:06
Speaker 1: coming out of form right now, where his fetti his
15:09
Speaker 1: last start could be a little bit of a blip.
15:11
Speaker 1: The Yankees are at Toronto. This is gonna be a
15:14
Speaker 1: big divisional series. Man, Toronto actually only three games back
15:17
Speaker 1: of the Yankees here. Toronto is coming off a big
15:20
Speaker 1: series where they just beat the Boston Red Sox though
15:23
Speaker 1: unfortunately for me, and they are returning home. But I
15:26
Speaker 1: don't think this is a very typical return home spot
15:28
Speaker 1: where you're gonna get like a lot of distractions coming
15:31
Speaker 1: into play here. Yes, they have to return to family life,
15:33
Speaker 1: Yes they're having to go through customs whatever, But you
15:36
Speaker 1: have the New York Yankees coming in, You're not gonna
15:38
Speaker 1: be unfocused. Man, Toronto has the better bullpen, at least
15:42
Speaker 1: over the Yankees. That is where we could start here
15:44
Speaker 1: at the handicap. Although Toronto did use a decent amount
15:48
Speaker 1: of their bullpen yesterday to save the game against the
15:50
Speaker 1: Red Sox yesterday, they did have to use some of
15:52
Speaker 1: their better relief pitchers yesterday, so that.
15:55
Speaker 3: Could kind of balance it out a little bit of that.
15:56
Speaker 1: I think the Yankees use a lot of their bullpen
15:59
Speaker 1: yesterday as well, though they beat the A's pretty soundly,
16:03
Speaker 1: but a lot of bullpen. A lot of relief pitchers
16:05
Speaker 1: had to come in for the Yankees yesterday, so not
16:07
Speaker 1: really their best relief pitchers, but they did have to
16:11
Speaker 1: use a bunch of relief pitchers yesterday, So the bullpen
16:14
Speaker 1: situation a little bit of a wash. But I think
16:18
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, because Stronta used some of their
16:20
Speaker 1: higher leverage relief pictures yesterday, but overall they do have
16:23
Speaker 1: the better bullpen of the two.
16:25
Speaker 3: So I don't know.
16:25
Speaker 1: It's tough to say, but I guess you could say
16:27
Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a wash. Yankees are sending
16:29
Speaker 1: Carlos Redon to the mound. He's having a good season
16:32
Speaker 1: two point nine to two ERA and a very impressive
16:35
Speaker 1: point nine to seven whip. He's been better on the
16:38
Speaker 1: road as well, with a two point five to seven
16:40
Speaker 1: road ERA away from a hitter friendly Yankee stadium. He's
16:44
Speaker 1: pitching well this month as well, three point seven to
16:46
Speaker 1: two ERA, twenty nine to eight strike a walk ratio,
16:49
Speaker 1: even though the Yankees have lost three of his five starts,
16:52
Speaker 1: two of them were to the Red Sox. He kind
16:55
Speaker 1: of was a hard luck loser last time out against Cincinnati,
16:58
Speaker 1: where he shut them out for six innings. That was
17:00
Speaker 1: the game where he went up against Chase Burns, who
17:03
Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about in this video in a
17:04
Speaker 1: minute as well. He pitched well, but his bullpend kind
17:08
Speaker 1: of let him down in that game. Redone continues to
17:11
Speaker 1: pitch well, though up against Toronto. His numbers are kind
17:14
Speaker 1: of mediocre and seventy nine at bats twenty two to
17:17
Speaker 1: seven strike a walk ratio is pretty good, but vlad
17:19
Speaker 1: Guerrero Junior absolutely annihilates him. He's eight for twelve, often
17:23
Speaker 1: with two doubles, a home run, four RBIs, three walks
17:27
Speaker 1: and no strikeouts. So if you want to look for
17:29
Speaker 1: some player prop potential there, I always recommend hits plus
17:32
Speaker 1: runs pass RBIs. Guerrero very good against Redon Overall, Redona
17:37
Speaker 1: is a lot of two sixty six average and seven
17:39
Speaker 1: to eighty one ops to Toronto's hitters, which pretty mediocre
17:44
Speaker 1: numbers there, mediocre with a somewhat bad OPS. But again,
17:47
Speaker 1: a lot of that damage has been done by Guerrero.
17:51
Speaker 1: I still think we probably trust Redona a little bit
17:53
Speaker 1: more than Max Schurzer right now because Schurezer is still
17:55
Speaker 1: trying to come back from injury and he is forty
17:58
Speaker 1: years old now to wait, I think it's kind of
18:01
Speaker 1: a wait and see with Shrezer here though, Uh, five
18:04
Speaker 1: point sixty three y one point five whit not very
18:06
Speaker 1: good numbers, Sothough we did see Verlander pitch pretty well yesterday. Shurezer,
18:11
Speaker 1: I mean, he's only made two starts this season. He
18:14
Speaker 1: made one really early in the season, only went three
18:16
Speaker 1: innings against Baltimore.
18:19
Speaker 3: He got injured and he came back recently.
18:22
Speaker 1: In his last start, which was five days ago, he
18:25
Speaker 1: went five innings against Cleveland, gave up three on runs.
18:27
Speaker 1: It wasn't terrible, but he did walk three guys and
18:30
Speaker 1: he had four strikeouts, so he had a little bit
18:33
Speaker 1: of wildness. But maybe you know, coming back from injury
18:36
Speaker 1: or trying to work your way back, maybe your stuff.
18:39
Speaker 1: You know, your control just isn't quite there yet, So
18:41
Speaker 1: we might see Schurzer get a little bit better as
18:43
Speaker 1: the season goes on.
18:44
Speaker 3: It's hard to tell.
18:45
Speaker 1: Man, he does historically have pretty good numbers against the Yankees,
18:48
Speaker 1: but again we're talking about future Hall of Fame pitcher
18:51
Speaker 1: has been really good in the past. Obviously, even in
18:54
Speaker 1: the recent past one hundred and forty seven at bats
18:56
Speaker 1: he has against the Yankees, he has a ridiculous sixty
18:59
Speaker 1: to nine strike a walk ratio against them, UH two
19:02
Speaker 1: twenty four average and six to seventy one ops.
19:05
Speaker 2: Uh.
19:05
Speaker 3: Stanton has hit him well, So lucky the Yankees.
19:09
Speaker 1: Lucky for the Yankees they have Stanton back because he's
19:11
Speaker 1: seven for twenty five off of the four home runs.
19:15
Speaker 1: My overall, Shurezer has done well against the Yankees, but
19:20
Speaker 1: I'm not sure that this is quite the right spot
19:22
Speaker 1: for Although the money does look like it's kind of
19:24
Speaker 1: coming in against the Yankees, though they're down for minus
19:27
Speaker 1: one forty eight to minus one thirty seven. Here fifty
19:29
Speaker 1: two tickets fifty three percent of cash on Toronto, I'm
19:32
Speaker 1: not sure that I buy that a higher ticket the
19:34
Speaker 1: ticket percentages on Toronto, Like, do you really think the
19:37
Speaker 1: public is not playing the Yankees here. I mean, I
19:40
Speaker 1: know they know Max Shurs are the name, but still
19:43
Speaker 1: I highly doubt it they're gonna look at him and say, oh,
19:45
Speaker 1: he's old, he's only made two starts, he has an
19:47
Speaker 1: era in the fives. I highly doubt that Toronto is
19:51
Speaker 1: the public side here. It does look like the money
19:53
Speaker 1: is kind of coming in on them, though, and maybe
19:55
Speaker 1: it's just professionals thinking, well, the Yankees probably just shouldn't
19:59
Speaker 1: be that much of a faith here if it's gonna
20:00
Speaker 1: be maybe a pitching duel. It looks like public on
20:04
Speaker 1: the over as well. Eighty percent of tickets but eighty
20:06
Speaker 1: five percent of the cash. It looks like some juice
20:09
Speaker 1: is coming on the over. That kind of surprises me
20:11
Speaker 1: a little bit. Although the bullpens could be in line
20:14
Speaker 1: to maybe give up some runs later in this game,
20:16
Speaker 1: but the starting pitching matchup kind of looks like it
20:19
Speaker 1: would be a little bit more conducive to an under
20:23
Speaker 1: than an over. But I don't want to deal with
20:24
Speaker 1: that game at all. Man, it's a very tough game
20:26
Speaker 1: to read. Andrew, what's up, man? You watched Angels Nats yesterday?
20:32
Speaker 1: I forget what happened. I don't even remember what happened
20:34
Speaker 1: at the end of that game. Man, you should be
20:37
Speaker 1: ashamed to be a Californian for a lot of reasons,
20:40
Speaker 1: not just because the Angels are bad. I'll bend to
20:43
Speaker 1: game out there by the way, I had fun. I
20:45
Speaker 1: went to an Angels game in probably twenty thirteen.
20:49
Speaker 3: I was out there.
20:49
Speaker 1: I was out there for a graphics conference with my
20:52
Speaker 1: previous company. I went out there with the graphics guy
20:56
Speaker 1: from my previous company, and he didn't want to go
20:58
Speaker 1: to the baseball game.
20:59
Speaker 3: He was not a sports guy. So I was like,
21:01
Speaker 3: all right, well, I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go to
21:03
Speaker 3: the game.
21:03
Speaker 1: Because the Angels were playing at home, and they do
21:06
Speaker 1: this thing at the Angels Stadium where the last hour
21:09
Speaker 1: before the game they sell half priced tickets because the
21:13
Speaker 1: games usually don't sell out, and this is a game
21:14
Speaker 1: against like the Twins, so nobody really wanted to go
21:18
Speaker 1: to that game.
21:19
Speaker 3: So I was like, hell, yeah, all right. So I
21:20
Speaker 3: got like a pretty decent ticket.
21:22
Speaker 1: I think I was like six rows back a bit
21:25
Speaker 1: like I was down like the right field line, a
21:27
Speaker 1: little bit like not too far, like past the infield,
21:30
Speaker 1: like decent seats.
21:31
Speaker 3: It was a nice night to watch a game.
21:34
Speaker 1: The game went extra innings too, so it's a pretty
21:36
Speaker 1: entertaining game with no ghost runners back in the day,
21:39
Speaker 1: so it went like twelve thirteen innings, kind of insane
21:42
Speaker 1: because I'm an East Coaster, so I think the game
21:44
Speaker 1: must have ended at like three am East Coast time,
21:47
Speaker 1: but it was like midnight out there on the Pacific Coast,
21:49
Speaker 1: and I was in a section that was like almost
21:52
Speaker 1: all Twins fans, which was kind of even more crazy.
21:55
Speaker 3: And the Twins won the game.
21:57
Speaker 1: And then this woman that I was talking to at
22:01
Speaker 1: the game, who was sitting with me and whatever, she
22:05
Speaker 1: offered me a ride back to my hotel and was like,
22:08
Speaker 1: you don't want to have to get a cab. You
22:09
Speaker 1: don't want to have to go through, like you know,
22:11
Speaker 1: these bad areas of Anaheim.
22:13
Speaker 3: Let me just drive you.
22:14
Speaker 1: I'm like, I mean, okay, look, you're you're putting your
22:18
Speaker 1: life in your hands there with all. Though she was
22:20
Speaker 1: kind of a large woman though, so I was like,
22:22
Speaker 1: I should have been more afraid than she than she
22:25
Speaker 1: would have been really to me, honest, yeah, I don't
22:29
Speaker 1: know if she was trying to make something happen there,
22:31
Speaker 1: but I was like, no, thanks, ma'am, thanks thanks for
22:35
Speaker 1: the ride.
22:35
Speaker 3: I'm just going to go back into my hotel now.
22:38
Speaker 1: And I met up with my roommate again, they're the
22:40
Speaker 1: graphics guy, and we hung out at the bar and
22:43
Speaker 1: we both kind of fought over the waitress that we
22:47
Speaker 1: had there and both of us failed, by the way,
22:50
Speaker 1: so that that was a fun night though nonetheless had
22:54
Speaker 1: a fun time at the the Angels game. There's that's
22:56
Speaker 1: another toad story. That's a and a side there. Let's
22:59
Speaker 1: get through these games. Cincinnati at the Boston Red Sox.
23:03
Speaker 1: My Boston Red Sox, not playing well, lost to Toronto yesterday.
23:07
Speaker 3: Walker Bueller should ship him out of town.
23:10
Speaker 1: As I said, it was a terrible offseason acquisition. Walker
23:14
Speaker 1: Bueller is never gonna be good again. Man, He's never
23:16
Speaker 1: gonna return back from injury. He's pathetic, just awful. So
23:22
Speaker 1: he pitched yesterday, did bad. The Red Sox had to
23:24
Speaker 1: use some of their bullpen. Yesterday's the Red Sox bullpen
23:27
Speaker 1: not exactly in great shape. Although it's probably better that
23:30
Speaker 1: Zach Kelly pitched yesterday because that means he's not available today,
23:34
Speaker 1: which is probably better for the Red Sox.
23:35
Speaker 3: Because Zach Kelly.
23:36
Speaker 1: That guy should have gone out of town a long
23:38
Speaker 1: time ago as well. Get rid of these guys, man,
23:41
Speaker 1: Zach Kelly sucks. Cincinnati is coming into town. They just
23:45
Speaker 1: beat San Diego. They had a pretty good series against
23:47
Speaker 1: San Diego. Cincinnati used a lot of their bullpen as well, though,
23:51
Speaker 1: So the bullpen situation, I hate to say it, but
23:54
Speaker 1: probably still is a little bit in favor of the
23:56
Speaker 1: Red Sox here. But we're not gonna I have a
23:59
Speaker 1: player in this game. Actually, we're not gonna take into
24:01
Speaker 1: account the bullpens here. We're going under in the first
24:04
Speaker 1: five innings in this game, and I've found it out
24:06
Speaker 1: there at under four at minus one twenty. You know me,
24:10
Speaker 1: I don't like going under the three and a half.
24:12
Speaker 1: I like having that extra half run in your pocket
24:14
Speaker 1: because if you have a two to two tie or
24:16
Speaker 1: whatever at the end of five innings, you don't want
24:19
Speaker 1: to lose that bet. You'd much rather push the bet.
24:21
Speaker 1: So I think it is worth it to pay up
24:22
Speaker 1: to minus one twenty to get it to four, because
24:25
Speaker 1: three and a half is just you're really really pushing it.
24:28
Speaker 1: But I like to starting pitching matchup here quite a bit. Man,
24:31
Speaker 1: I will take the bullpens out because I don't really
24:33
Speaker 1: think the bullpen's are gonna be great here. But you
24:36
Speaker 1: got Chase Burns pitching for Cincinnati, who I just reference.
24:39
Speaker 1: He's only making his second start ever. Hey, he's actually
24:43
Speaker 1: from Italy. I didn't realize that that's Burns. Is that
24:46
Speaker 1: an Italian name? I don't think so Bern eat Si
24:51
Speaker 1: Chase Burns. He made one start so far against the Yankees.
24:54
Speaker 1: Give up three runs in five innings, So five point
24:56
Speaker 1: four ERA one point two whip doesn't look that impressive.
25:00
Speaker 1: But if you look at what that start was, he's
25:02
Speaker 1: pitching a great American ballpark, which is a very difficult
25:05
Speaker 1: ballpark to pitch in. He did give up a home run,
25:07
Speaker 1: which kind of that's gonna hurt you a little bit.
25:10
Speaker 1: He had eight strikeouts and no walks against a really
25:13
Speaker 1: good Yankee lineup, so I would say that is pretty impressive.
25:16
Speaker 3: Man. So I like Chase Burns.
25:18
Speaker 1: As I pointed out when he was coming up, I
25:20
Speaker 1: kind of compared him to Mizierowski, although I don't know
25:22
Speaker 1: if he's gonna be as good as him. But Burns
25:25
Speaker 1: is a strikeout pitcher, He's a power pitcher. He throws
25:28
Speaker 1: really hard. He can he can hit one hundred miles
25:30
Speaker 1: an hour on the gun, I believe, just like Mizierowski
25:33
Speaker 1: as well. He has a really really sharp slider as well.
25:37
Speaker 1: Burns I think really only kind of has a three
25:39
Speaker 1: pitch arsenal, though Mizierowski more of like a four pitch arsenal.
25:42
Speaker 1: But Burns obviously has the ability to strike out guys
25:46
Speaker 1: in a major league level. I mean, you have a
25:47
Speaker 1: young guy with real talent like that up against an
25:51
Speaker 1: offense that's never seen it before. I think Burns is
25:54
Speaker 1: gonna have a little bit of an edge there early
25:56
Speaker 1: on with the Red Sox having to figure him out.
25:57
Speaker 1: In the Red Sox a lot of young hitters too
25:59
Speaker 1: there have to try to figure this guy out. I
26:01
Speaker 1: think Burns does have the advantage. And then on the
26:04
Speaker 1: other side of it, we have the only pitcher that
26:06
Speaker 1: I would really trust with an under for the Red Sox.
26:09
Speaker 1: Garrett Crochet is pitching two point oh six ERA one
26:13
Speaker 1: point oh two whip. He's been really good this month
26:15
Speaker 1: with a ridiculous forty six to seven strikeout walk ratio.
26:19
Speaker 1: I think he might be leading the major leagues as
26:21
Speaker 1: strikeouts with one hundred and thirty five. He's just been
26:25
Speaker 1: really good overall.
26:26
Speaker 3: Man.
26:26
Speaker 1: Red Sox have won four of his last five starts.
26:29
Speaker 1: Lost his last outing, even though he pitched seven shutout
26:32
Speaker 1: innings against Anaheim and struck out ten. Red Sox bullpen
26:35
Speaker 1: completely blew it for him. He has a two point
26:38
Speaker 1: one ERA this month. I mean, he deserves better than
26:41
Speaker 1: this Red Sox offense. Man, and this month he's allowed
26:44
Speaker 1: more than one earned run once, which was against the Yankees.
26:47
Speaker 1: One time he allowed five runs, but he still had
26:49
Speaker 1: a good outing in that one. Nine strikeouts, one walk.
26:53
Speaker 1: You have to go all the way back to April
26:55
Speaker 1: twenty fourth to find another start where he allowed more
26:57
Speaker 1: than two urned runs and he's only done that twice
27:01
Speaker 1: all season. I mean, we don't have to be labor this.
27:02
Speaker 1: We know Cruchet is good. The Reds have not seen
27:06
Speaker 1: a whole lot of only five hitters on the Reds
27:08
Speaker 1: have seen it before, and they're one for ten Offen.
27:11
Speaker 1: The one hit is a Spencer Steer three run double,
27:14
Speaker 1: it looks like. But other than that, he's got an
27:16
Speaker 1: eight to two strike on walk ratio. So he's recorded
27:21
Speaker 1: nine outs in his career against Cincinnati hitters, and eight
27:25
Speaker 1: of them have been by way of the strikeout. He's
27:27
Speaker 1: sell them to a one hundred average of four to
27:29
Speaker 1: fifty ops. So yeah, I like Crushet. Both pictures pretty
27:34
Speaker 1: unfamiliar to the opposing hitters, pretty unfamiliar.
27:36
Speaker 3: Are very unfamiliar.
27:38
Speaker 1: They both are really good strike up pictures. Yeah, I
27:41
Speaker 1: think it's a good situation to go under this total here.
27:44
Speaker 1: But again, take the bullpens out, go under first five
27:47
Speaker 1: innings here and hope you can get four on this
27:49
Speaker 1: because this total is dropping. The total has already gone
27:52
Speaker 1: down from eight juice to the over to seven and
27:54
Speaker 1: a half jute to the over, which is a pretty
27:56
Speaker 1: significant move. We see fifty six percent of tickets on
27:59
Speaker 1: the over, fifty four percent of the cash on the under,
28:01
Speaker 1: So the real money to me, looks like it is
28:03
Speaker 1: definitely coming in on the under. So I think you
28:06
Speaker 1: had to get this before the line gets a little
28:09
Speaker 1: bit too crazy. If you go full game under on this,
28:14
Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit riskier. I would not
28:16
Speaker 1: disagree with that, but I do think it's a little
28:18
Speaker 1: bit riskier. I think it's preferred to go first five
28:21
Speaker 1: innings under in that one. All right, a's Tampa Bay.
28:26
Speaker 1: Let's go with another first five under. How about that
28:28
Speaker 1: this one? I saw it under four, just straight up
28:30
Speaker 1: at minus one ten. I like the under in this
28:33
Speaker 1: one too, man, I think we're getting a little bit
28:36
Speaker 1: more value on this one. I think because Jacob Lopez,
28:39
Speaker 1: even though he has more of a history than Chase
28:40
Speaker 1: Burns does. Lopez, I've been talking about how he's really
28:43
Speaker 1: hard to handicap. But I'm basically about to lean towards
28:48
Speaker 1: Lopez is actually good and we are actually getting some
28:51
Speaker 1: value here looking towards Lopez. But in this case, I'm
28:54
Speaker 1: gonna recommend an under. We have Tampa Bay here returning
28:57
Speaker 1: home from a road trip. I think went to Kansas City,
29:00
Speaker 1: wet Kansas City, and then they lost too out of
29:01
Speaker 1: three against Baltimore. But again, whenever you turn return over
29:05
Speaker 1: from a road trip, man, I always talk about you
29:07
Speaker 1: gotta get back to family life.
29:09
Speaker 3: I can be a little bit difficult. It can be
29:10
Speaker 3: a little bit of a distraction.
29:12
Speaker 1: It's not exactly like the A's or a team that's
29:14
Speaker 1: really gonna draw your full attention. So I think we
29:17
Speaker 1: might see some distracted hitting out of Tampa here. And
29:21
Speaker 1: now I don't want to do anything with the bullpen's here.
29:24
Speaker 1: Tampa's bullpen is pretty good, but of course the A's
29:26
Speaker 1: bullpen is terrible, so I want nothing to do with them.
29:29
Speaker 3: Tampa's bullpen is good, though they didn't use much of.
29:31
Speaker 1: Their bullpend yesterday in a game that was like already
29:34
Speaker 1: a loss, so they just didn't bother with it.
29:36
Speaker 3: But I don't want anything to do with the A's bullpen.
29:38
Speaker 1: The A's are coming in off that series against the Yankees,
29:41
Speaker 1: and they're starting a third straight road series, and their
29:44
Speaker 1: bats might be a little bit tired as well, So
29:46
Speaker 1: I'm starting to definitely like the idea of this under here.
29:49
Speaker 1: Well obviously I do, because I'm giving it out as
29:51
Speaker 1: a play here. The A's used four relief pitchers yesterday,
29:54
Speaker 1: so again, not the greatest spot for their bullpen either,
29:57
Speaker 1: But we're not gonna worry about their bullpen. We're only
29:59
Speaker 1: gonna focused on Jacob Lopez. And if you look at
30:02
Speaker 1: what this guy is doing, man, he's a three point
30:05
Speaker 1: five sixty RA one point three whip, which I know,
30:08
Speaker 1: his whip a little bit too high as far as
30:11
Speaker 1: his splits, yeah, I mean he has a four point
30:13
Speaker 1: five ROADYRA, which is not good. Surprising He's pitching way
30:16
Speaker 1: better at home at that ridiculous home run park in Sacramento,
30:21
Speaker 1: but his roady IRA is going down. If you look
30:24
Speaker 1: at what he's been doing recently, he's been really, really good.
30:28
Speaker 1: The A's have won four straight games, including a road
30:30
Speaker 1: game against Detroit last time out where he shut them
30:33
Speaker 1: out at Detroit seven shutout inning, six strikeouts, one walk,
30:38
Speaker 1: three hits. And this guy's still not being lined like
30:41
Speaker 1: he's anything good. He has a thirty eight to eight
30:43
Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio this month, well over one strike
30:46
Speaker 1: up per inning, well below one hit per inning, hasn't
30:49
Speaker 1: a lot of home run in four straight starts, two
30:51
Speaker 1: of those being at home, as well, one point nine
30:54
Speaker 1: to eighty ra this month. I mean, he is in
30:56
Speaker 1: really good form right now. I was, dude, like Lopez.
31:00
Speaker 1: He came out and he had that crazy start against
31:02
Speaker 1: Philly where he struck out eight, and I was like,
31:05
Speaker 1: man like.
31:05
Speaker 3: How did that happen? Is this guy good?
31:07
Speaker 1: And then he got bombed by Toronto the last time out,
31:09
Speaker 1: and I'm like, oh, maybe he's not good. He did
31:11
Speaker 1: bad again the next time out against Minnesota, except that
31:14
Speaker 1: he struck out nine guys in that outing, and then
31:17
Speaker 1: since then, Like basically he's worked his way back in.
31:20
Speaker 1: He's been pretty much good since then. He's allowed zero
31:23
Speaker 1: earned runs in three of his last four starts and
31:25
Speaker 1: allowed one in the other. He's had at least six
31:30
Speaker 1: strikeouts in four of his last five starts, nine in
31:33
Speaker 1: three of the last five.
31:35
Speaker 3: So he is.
31:36
Speaker 1: Definitely pitching well right now. And the Rays have never
31:39
Speaker 1: seen him before. So Lopez obviously has good strikeout stuff.
31:43
Speaker 1: I don't know where he came from. I don't know
31:44
Speaker 1: how he's doing this, but he's doing it. He has
31:47
Speaker 1: good strikeout stuff. He's up against a mediocre offense that
31:50
Speaker 1: has never seen it before. I think Lopez does have
31:53
Speaker 1: a bit of an edge here, and he's up against
31:55
Speaker 1: the most trustworthy of Tampa's pitchers, Drew Rasmussen, who's putting
31:59
Speaker 1: together nice that's the season two point four to five
32:01
Speaker 1: ERA point nine to six whip. He's been better at
32:06
Speaker 1: home actually, even though this is I know this is
32:07
Speaker 1: a hitter friendly park, so you do have to worry
32:10
Speaker 1: a little bit.
32:10
Speaker 3: But it is a night game, so.
32:11
Speaker 1: At least like balls are gonna tend to sail out
32:15
Speaker 1: of this park more during the day. But Rasmussen and Lopez.
32:19
Speaker 1: I mean, Lopez is used to pitching in a home
32:21
Speaker 1: run friendly park, right, So that's another thing I like
32:23
Speaker 1: about this is that Lopez has actually been really good
32:26
Speaker 1: in that Sacramento park, even though it is home run friendly.
32:29
Speaker 3: So he's used to pitching in.
32:30
Speaker 1: Parks like this where balls tend to sail out. So
32:34
Speaker 1: even though I think Lopez is a fly ball pitcher,
32:36
Speaker 1: so that's a little bit of a concern, but go figure.
32:39
Speaker 1: And then, of course Rasmussen is used to pitching here
32:41
Speaker 1: because that's what he's been doing this season. He has
32:44
Speaker 1: not allowed many home runs this year. He's allowed five
32:47
Speaker 1: at home and three on the road, but that's still
32:49
Speaker 1: not that bad. And again at home, he's been even
32:52
Speaker 1: better with a two point one six ERA at Steinbrenner Field.
32:55
Speaker 1: Here Tampa has won seven of his last eight starts
33:03
Speaker 1: this month. He is a two point seven to three ERA.
33:05
Speaker 1: He's allowed only more than two earned runs once in
33:08
Speaker 1: these five starts this month, the twenty four to seven
33:10
Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio. The worst start that he had
33:13
Speaker 1: was against the Mets, and he's still gotta win in
33:15
Speaker 1: that one give up four earned runs. He's given up
33:19
Speaker 1: two and zero earned runs in the other starts, although
33:21
Speaker 1: granted they were against weaker offenses. The A's offense is
33:25
Speaker 1: just okay. And against the A's offense, they're zero for
33:29
Speaker 1: eight with four strikeouts career off Rasmussen with two walks.
33:33
Speaker 1: So Rasmussen uh is pretty unfamiliar to the As hitters
33:37
Speaker 1: and when they have faced him, they have not done well.
33:40
Speaker 1: So Under is gonna be the recommended player. But in
33:43
Speaker 1: the first five innings, because I don't want anything to
33:45
Speaker 1: do with Oakland's or the A's bullpen, would just see
33:49
Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash sixty eight percent of tickets
33:51
Speaker 1: on the over, which worries me a little bit. The
33:53
Speaker 1: total did drop a little bit from eight and a
33:55
Speaker 1: half juice to the under all the way down to eight,
33:58
Speaker 1: So I do think that's a legit move. I think
34:00
Speaker 1: Under is the right way to look at this man,
34:02
Speaker 1: at least in the early parts of the game, when
34:04
Speaker 1: you have the starters in there. Under in as Tampa.
34:09
Speaker 1: Baltimore is at Texas, so this is a quick rematch
34:12
Speaker 1: because Texas just won the series at Baltimore, so it
34:15
Speaker 1: is a little bit of a revenge type of situation
34:18
Speaker 1: for Baltimore. Here now is Texas went to Baltimore and
34:22
Speaker 1: beat them in the last two of the three games there.
34:24
Speaker 1: Texas coming off a divisional series as well. It was
34:27
Speaker 1: a tough series. They lost two out of three to Seattle.
34:31
Speaker 1: Texas didn't have to use that much of their bullpen
34:33
Speaker 1: yesterday because Jack Lighter actually did pretty well yesterday for them.
34:36
Speaker 1: So Texas bullpen is pretty good and it's in good
34:38
Speaker 1: shape here. Obviously, Texas has the better bullpen, so you
34:42
Speaker 1: got to keep that in mind. Baltimore is coming up
34:45
Speaker 1: a series where they did pretty well against Tampa, but
34:48
Speaker 1: they might carry that momentum out on the road even
34:50
Speaker 1: though that.
34:50
Speaker 3: Is a big divisional series.
34:52
Speaker 1: Baltimore is in last place, man, so I don't really
34:54
Speaker 1: know that they're gonna overlook anybody. They might still be
34:57
Speaker 1: focused going out on the road to start as years
35:00
Speaker 1: against Texas. Creamer actually did well for Baltimore yesterday and
35:04
Speaker 1: they actually pretty much saved their bullpen as well. So
35:07
Speaker 1: Baltimore's bullpen is bad, but maybe not in the worst
35:09
Speaker 1: shape here. Trevor Rodgers pitching for Baltimore. He's a guy
35:14
Speaker 1: who's kind of confused me.
35:15
Speaker 3: Man.
35:16
Speaker 1: One point six two ERA and point seven eight whips
35:19
Speaker 1: so far in the majors this season. I didn't expect
35:22
Speaker 1: him to do that much because his career numbers aren't
35:24
Speaker 1: that good. He wasn't doing that well in the minors
35:26
Speaker 1: this year, but he has been good so far out
35:30
Speaker 1: with three starts in the majors this year, he has
35:32
Speaker 1: a thirteen to three strike a walk ratio. He just
35:34
Speaker 1: shut out this very Texas team for eight innings. However,
35:38
Speaker 1: the issue with that is now that Texas has seen
35:41
Speaker 1: him once, that probably means that Texas is gonna be
35:44
Speaker 1: a little bit more familiar with him and they're gonna
35:45
Speaker 1: maybe be able to hit him better this time out.
35:48
Speaker 1: So I'm not expecting an eight and innings shutout this
35:50
Speaker 1: time out of Rodgers, although Texas offense is really not
35:54
Speaker 1: that good, so he may still do pretty well against
35:57
Speaker 1: him again. And in fifty eight career bats against him
35:59
Speaker 1: two seven average allowed five to sixty one ohps and
36:02
Speaker 1: eleven to two strike a walk ratio. Really just Garcia
36:06
Speaker 1: does well against the four for nine of the home
36:07
Speaker 1: run so Rogers may very well do well again here,
36:11
Speaker 1: although I don't expect him to do as well as
36:13
Speaker 1: last time. But starting pitching wise, I think he probably
36:17
Speaker 1: is the better of the two pitchers right now up
36:19
Speaker 1: against Patrick KORbin, because you know I don't like Patrick
36:22
Speaker 1: KORbin and his numbers are starting to get worse. That
36:25
Speaker 1: expected regression is starting to happen with him four point
36:28
Speaker 1: two four ERA, one point two eight whip. He hasn't
36:31
Speaker 1: better at home with a three point six six ERA,
36:33
Speaker 1: which is where he is here, but he's not in
36:36
Speaker 1: good form this month with five point four to eighty RA.
36:39
Speaker 3: That's not good.
36:39
Speaker 1: He's giving up at least four runs in his last
36:41
Speaker 1: two outings, only gone five innings in the last three.
36:44
Speaker 1: Texas has lost a lot of his recent starts. Actually
36:49
Speaker 1: seven of his last ten starts Texas has lost, although
36:52
Speaker 1: he doesn't get a lot of run support either. Eighteen
36:55
Speaker 1: to five straggle walk ratio this month isn't that bad,
36:58
Speaker 1: but he's allowed more than one hit per inning. He's
37:00
Speaker 1: allowed at least three or runs in his last three starts.
37:03
Speaker 1: He's not really pitching that well right now against Baltimore.
37:06
Speaker 1: He has not done well in his career. In fifty
37:08
Speaker 1: six at bats, has a good thirteen to one striking
37:11
Speaker 1: a walk ratio, but has allowed a three twenty one
37:13
Speaker 1: average and eight to fifty one ops. So Baltimore's hitters
37:18
Speaker 1: have done pretty well against Patrick Corbin, so I think
37:21
Speaker 1: Rogers probably has the upper hand of this pitching matchup.
37:24
Speaker 1: In the UH line has flipped from Baltimore plus one
37:28
Speaker 1: to four to minus one to eleven, fifty six percent
37:30
Speaker 1: of tickets fifty seven percent of the ash coming in
37:32
Speaker 1: a Baltimore.
37:35
Speaker 3: I probably agree with that overall.
37:37
Speaker 1: I mean, I think Baltimore still might have that little
37:39
Speaker 1: bit of quick revenge on their mind there, even though
37:42
Speaker 1: Rogers again did just see this Texas offense. Did Corbin
37:47
Speaker 1: face Baltimore, Well, yeah, so same thing actually for Corbyn.
37:50
Speaker 3: Corbyn just faced.
37:50
Speaker 1: Baltimore as well, So both pitchers are in that spot
37:53
Speaker 1: where the opposing offense just saw them. Corbin gave up
37:56
Speaker 1: five runs against Baltimore last time, way too many hits
37:59
Speaker 1: nine hits, although he had six strikeouts no walks, which
38:02
Speaker 1: is pretty good, but didn't really do too well in
38:06
Speaker 1: that outing. So I still think Rogers, along with the
38:10
Speaker 1: Baltimore revenge spot, makes more sense if you wanted to
38:13
Speaker 1: go first five innings with Baltimore instead, that's fine as well,
38:17
Speaker 1: just because Baltimore's bullpen is so bad, but Baltimore's bullpend
38:21
Speaker 1: is rested, So if you did want to go full game,
38:24
Speaker 1: I think that's still okay. Kansas City at Seattle. Let's
38:28
Speaker 1: try to finish this off here. Seattle's coming home from
38:30
Speaker 1: a long road trip. Man, they went to the Cubs,
38:33
Speaker 1: they went to Minnesota and then Texas. Now they're returning home.
38:37
Speaker 1: Seattle had to use a little bit of their bullpend yesterday. Man,
38:41
Speaker 1: they used a couple of their better relievers. Yesterday they
38:43
Speaker 1: used four relief pitchers. Seattle's bullpend pretty good, but maybe
38:47
Speaker 1: not in the greatest spot here, But I'm still gonna
38:51
Speaker 1: suck it up. But I'm gonna go under in the
38:53
Speaker 1: full game here at seven and a half. I mean,
38:54
Speaker 1: we're in a pitching friendly park here. I'm gonna talk
38:57
Speaker 1: about the starting pitching in a minute. I like the
38:58
Speaker 1: starting pitching matchup for the and I think Seattle's bullpen
39:01
Speaker 1: is still like decent enough and they're up against a
39:04
Speaker 1: very weak Kansas City offense. So I think it's okay
39:07
Speaker 1: still that we're gonna roll with full game here, because
39:09
Speaker 1: if you look at the numbers on this, if you
39:12
Speaker 1: want to go first five innings on this, you can,
39:14
Speaker 1: but you're I'm gonna go under three and a half
39:17
Speaker 1: on this one. I just really don't love that, Zach.
39:19
Speaker 1: What's up man? Yeah, Waka is pitching today. That is correct.
39:23
Speaker 1: Kansas City coming in off of a series against the Dodgers.
39:27
Speaker 1: It is a big series, so both teams are kind
39:30
Speaker 1: of in somewhat distracted spots because Seattle's returning home from
39:33
Speaker 1: that long road trip, so their hitters might be a
39:35
Speaker 1: bit distracted. Kansas City, their hitters aren't good anyway, and
39:39
Speaker 1: they might be a little bit distracted coming down from
39:41
Speaker 1: that series against LA. Although they do at least get
39:44
Speaker 1: to go on the road now, but they do have
39:46
Speaker 1: to fly to the Pacific coast, which can kind of
39:48
Speaker 1: affect your like biological clock, and it can kind of
39:51
Speaker 1: affect your timing.
39:52
Speaker 3: A little bit.
39:53
Speaker 1: So I think there are reasons to kind of think
39:55
Speaker 1: that both offenses might struggle a bit here.
39:58
Speaker 3: In addition to just looking at the pitch matchup here.
40:01
Speaker 1: Kansas City's bullpen is still a pretty good bullpend though,
40:05
Speaker 1: and usage wise yesterday, I don't think it was that extreme.
40:09
Speaker 1: I think they use four relievers. Yeah, they use four
40:12
Speaker 1: relief pitchers. Theydn't use like their best bullpen arms yesterday,
40:16
Speaker 1: so I think including the bullpens here, I think is
40:19
Speaker 1: still fine and hopefully we get the starting pitching gets
40:22
Speaker 1: us deep enough into this game. But we don't have
40:23
Speaker 1: to use the bullpens that much, or the teams don't.
40:26
Speaker 1: Michael walker pitching for the Royals, as Zach just said,
40:29
Speaker 1: three point three to three ERA, one point two to WHIP.
40:32
Speaker 3: He is a little bit worse on the road three.
40:34
Speaker 1: Point nine to eighty RA, but again still pretty good though,
40:38
Speaker 1: and he is pitching in a pitcher friendly park here.
40:40
Speaker 1: Waka has been good this month with a twenty four
40:42
Speaker 1: to six strike a walk ra issue even though he
40:44
Speaker 1: does have a four point six to three ERA, which
40:47
Speaker 1: isn't that good. He had one start where you give
40:49
Speaker 1: it five runs against the A's. Other than that, he's
40:51
Speaker 1: allowed three or one earned running, got six innings in
40:54
Speaker 1: the other three, even though his team lost three.
40:56
Speaker 3: To four of his starts this month.
40:59
Speaker 1: But he he's getting absolutely no run support, obviously, which
41:02
Speaker 1: we're going with an under here.
41:03
Speaker 3: The Royals cannot hit.
41:05
Speaker 1: But Walko has been pitching pretty well, man, I mean,
41:07
Speaker 1: he's pretty consistent. That five run performance the As put
41:12
Speaker 1: up against him, that was the only time he allowed
41:13
Speaker 1: more than four and runs all season up against Seattle,
41:17
Speaker 1: he does have good numbers and seventy six at bats,
41:20
Speaker 1: so even though they're familiar with him, they haven't hit
41:21
Speaker 1: him that well. Twenty three to six strike a walk
41:24
Speaker 1: ratio has on him to a one ninety seven batting
41:26
Speaker 1: average in that large sample size, although six ninety nine
41:30
Speaker 1: ohps a little bit high because he's allowed five home runs,
41:34
Speaker 1: but I'm not that worried about that because this is
41:37
Speaker 1: a park that isn't that home run conduce of George
41:41
Speaker 1: Kirby is pitching for Seattle and he's working his way
41:43
Speaker 1: back from injuries. Numbers don't look good, but I think
41:46
Speaker 1: because his ERA is bad five point four, I think
41:48
Speaker 1: we might be getting a little bit of value on
41:50
Speaker 1: the under here. One point two eight whips. So his
41:53
Speaker 1: numbers don't look good. He's been worse at home so
41:56
Speaker 1: far this year the sixth ERA, But if you look
41:58
Speaker 1: at his career numbers, most of these Seattle pitchers, including him,
42:01
Speaker 1: they're usually better at home. They're pretty good pictures in general,
42:06
Speaker 1: and if you look at his recent stats, he's been
42:08
Speaker 1: a lot better than his season stats would suggest. Since
42:12
Speaker 1: the last time he's come back from well, actually yeah,
42:15
Speaker 1: basically since the starts that he made in May, because
42:19
Speaker 1: he was injured to start the season basically, so he
42:22
Speaker 1: had a late start to the season, so I think
42:24
Speaker 1: he was just a little bit shaky trying to get
42:26
Speaker 1: back into form. And if you discount what he did
42:29
Speaker 1: in May is June has been good with a twenty
42:32
Speaker 1: eight to six strike a walk ratio three point five
42:35
Speaker 1: four ERA, even though his strikeout numbers went back down
42:38
Speaker 1: after a really crazy fourteen strike up performance. But his
42:41
Speaker 1: last two starts are on the road, one against the Cubs,
42:44
Speaker 1: who are a pretty good line. I'd give up four
42:46
Speaker 1: runs in that one, but limited the damage because he
42:49
Speaker 1: did give up to them runs in that one. That
42:50
Speaker 1: wasn't that bad considering that the Cubs are a good
42:54
Speaker 1: offensive team. And then he bounced back really nicely with
42:57
Speaker 1: a six inning, one run formans with three hits allowed,
43:01
Speaker 1: one walk, three strikeouts against Minnesota. They're not a very
43:04
Speaker 1: good offense, but Kansas City's probably an even worse offense,
43:08
Speaker 1: so he's facing a really weak offense here and up
43:11
Speaker 1: against Kansas City forty four career at bats, he has
43:15
Speaker 1: an eight zero strike a walk ratio against him, a
43:17
Speaker 1: one to eighty two average allowed in four to fifty
43:19
Speaker 1: one ohps. Kansas City has very weak numbers up against
43:23
Speaker 1: George Kirby, so under, I think is the right way
43:26
Speaker 1: to look at this. We have fifty one percent of
43:27
Speaker 1: tickets on the over, seventy seven percent of the cash
43:30
Speaker 1: coming in on the under, and we see more juice
43:32
Speaker 1: coming in in a total the total was already lying low,
43:35
Speaker 1: so that again the odds makers lining it at seven
43:37
Speaker 1: and a half to open with juice on the under. Already,
43:40
Speaker 1: that's the odds makers telling you they think it's gonna
43:42
Speaker 1: be a low scoring game.
43:43
Speaker 3: More juice is coming on the under. So I would
43:45
Speaker 3: get this.
43:47
Speaker 1: If you can get it under seven and a half,
43:49
Speaker 1: obviously that's the way to go under seven probably still fine.
43:52
Speaker 1: I would not want to go under six and a half, though,
43:55
Speaker 1: so do without what you will.
43:56
Speaker 3: But seven is a.
43:57
Speaker 1: Key number in baseball, man, because it is the number
44:00
Speaker 1: that breaks the three to three tie. Those are the
44:03
Speaker 1: three plays today, and then we do have San Francisco
44:05
Speaker 1: at Arizona to finish the baseball board off Arizona staying
44:09
Speaker 1: at home after getting swept by Miami and losing by
44:14
Speaker 1: one to one and two runs in those three games
44:16
Speaker 1: this Arizona man, their hitting has been fine, I mean
44:20
Speaker 1: they were able to score in that series, but they're
44:23
Speaker 1: pitching is awful. Their starting pitching has been bad. They're
44:26
Speaker 1: bullpen has been bad all season. Things are not looking
44:29
Speaker 1: good for Arizona hero although they might be a little
44:31
Speaker 1: bit pissed and they're probably gonna be focused with a
44:34
Speaker 1: team that's above them and their division coming into their place.
44:37
Speaker 1: So maybe Arizona's gonna show up here and be really
44:40
Speaker 1: angry San Francisco. The one thing you could say is
44:43
Speaker 1: at San Francisco, their offense is worse than Arizona's offense,
44:46
Speaker 1: so there's one advantage for Arizona's that their offense is better.
44:50
Speaker 1: San Francisco's coming out of an embarrassing couple of series.
44:53
Speaker 1: They got swept by Miami too at home, So both
44:56
Speaker 1: these teams just got swept by Miami and San Francisco
45:00
Speaker 1: when their last series lost to the White Sox, which
45:02
Speaker 1: is crazy. Now the return they're coming back from Chicago
45:07
Speaker 1: to Arizona for this, but both teams might be a
45:10
Speaker 1: little bit focused here because they're coming off.
45:11
Speaker 3: Such bad performances.
45:14
Speaker 1: Yesterday, Arizona used more of their bullpen yesterday, and their
45:16
Speaker 1: bullpen is terrible anyway, so obviously San Francisco does have
45:20
Speaker 1: the better bullpen.
45:21
Speaker 3: I mean, it's very simple here.
45:22
Speaker 1: San Francisco has the better pitching, including the starting pitching
45:26
Speaker 1: in this game, and Arizona has the better hitting, and
45:28
Speaker 1: the public usually likes hitting. I usually lean more towards
45:32
Speaker 1: the pitching, and that's probably.
45:34
Speaker 3: The way that I would lean here.
45:35
Speaker 1: I mean, you got Logan Web on the mound here.
45:37
Speaker 1: So he is the best of San Francisco starters two
45:40
Speaker 1: point five two ERA one point one to four whip.
45:43
Speaker 1: He is a little bit worse on the road though,
45:45
Speaker 1: the three point seven to five array, so he does
45:47
Speaker 1: become more hittable on the road. He's been really good
45:50
Speaker 1: this month and five starts, one point eight five ERA,
45:53
Speaker 1: thirty six to six strike out walk ratio, although and
45:57
Speaker 1: he didn't walk anybody in three of the five starts.
45:59
Speaker 1: Although his team only won three of the five starts
46:02
Speaker 1: because his team can't hit up against Arizona. He does
46:05
Speaker 1: have good numbers in a large one hundred and twenty
46:08
Speaker 1: six at bat sample size thirty two to five strang
46:11
Speaker 1: a walk ratio one ninety eight average five to twenty
46:14
Speaker 1: three ohps, so he is in a large sample size,
46:17
Speaker 1: he has done quite well against Arizona, so he has
46:20
Speaker 1: stifled Arizona's offense.
46:22
Speaker 3: That's what I'm saying.
46:22
Speaker 1: Even though Arizona they're gonna want to show up here,
46:26
Speaker 1: they're gonna be an embarrassed team, but their offense, that's
46:30
Speaker 1: the one edge they have here is their offense. And
46:32
Speaker 1: obviously they can be stifled by Webb because he's done
46:35
Speaker 1: it multiple times before. Arizona is Ryan Nelson pitching, and
46:40
Speaker 1: he's pitching well the season, but I'm not really a
46:42
Speaker 1: fan man. Webb is definitely the better pitcher, although Nelson,
46:45
Speaker 1: I mean, we do have to admit that he's pitching
46:47
Speaker 1: fairly well the season, three point seven to one ERA,
46:50
Speaker 1: one point zero five WHIP. He's actually been better at home,
46:52
Speaker 1: even though this is a pitcher from excuse a hitter
46:55
Speaker 1: friendly park and Chase Field. Ryan Nelson with a two
46:58
Speaker 1: point two five home y RA this month four point
47:01
Speaker 1: three four ERA not really that good though, seventeen to
47:05
Speaker 1: ten straggle walk ratio, so his strikeout walk ratio really
47:10
Speaker 1: not good this month. But in his last three outings,
47:12
Speaker 1: his team has won all three of them, and he's
47:14
Speaker 1: allowed one or zero ear runs at all, three of
47:17
Speaker 1: them against San Diego, who's pretty good, Toronto a decent offense,
47:21
Speaker 1: and then the White Sox a terrible offense. But he's
47:26
Speaker 1: kind of escaping, man, because he is still walking a
47:28
Speaker 1: lot of guys. I don't know how he's doing this,
47:31
Speaker 1: or actually, if you go all the way back through
47:35
Speaker 1: all the way back to like mid April, he's allowed
47:37
Speaker 1: more than a I guess, yeah.
47:39
Speaker 3: More than two hour in runs and only one start.
47:41
Speaker 1: But in a lot of these out or one outing,
47:43
Speaker 1: I guess, and a lot of these he was coming
47:45
Speaker 1: out of the bullpen for some of these outings, and
47:47
Speaker 1: a lot of these outings he didn't throw that many
47:48
Speaker 1: innings though, So I still don't think Nelson is that good,
47:53
Speaker 1: and the Giants have good numbers against him at fifty
47:55
Speaker 1: four at bats, eight four streke at walk ratio is
47:57
Speaker 1: not very good two ninety six average eight forty five ops.
48:01
Speaker 1: So I think the pitching matchup definitely in favor of
48:04
Speaker 1: Web and the Giants, and they still have the better defense,
48:08
Speaker 1: excuse me, the better pitching, and the public looks like
48:10
Speaker 1: they're all over Arizona. Seventy two percent of tickets and
48:13
Speaker 1: only sixty three percent of the cash.
48:15
Speaker 3: And when you see.
48:17
Speaker 1: A public home underdog like this, you almost always want
48:21
Speaker 1: to go with.
48:21
Speaker 3: The road favorite.
48:22
Speaker 1: Even though San Francisco is down for one forty eight
48:24
Speaker 1: to minus one thirty. I think it's San Francisco money
48:28
Speaker 1: line in this game or pass. A full game I
48:30
Speaker 1: think is fine, including the bullpens, because San Francisco does
48:33
Speaker 1: have a bullpen edge as well. I don't know why
48:36
Speaker 1: the money line dropped because it looks like the percentages
48:39
Speaker 1: are telling you something here.
48:40
Speaker 3: Man.
48:41
Speaker 1: Again, you very rarely see a team it's a public
48:43
Speaker 1: road underdog like this, and like I a public home underdog.
48:47
Speaker 1: Excuse me, Like I said, the public they like offense, man,
48:51
Speaker 1: so they're on Arizona. They probably see ow Nelson's era
48:54
Speaker 1: is good. We have the better offense. Let's go with
48:56
Speaker 1: Arizona here. Both teams have looked bad something. San Francisco
49:00
Speaker 1: has looked really bad in the public's eye because they
49:02
Speaker 1: can't hit. But I just don't think so. I think
49:05
Speaker 1: it's either San Francisco or pass on this game. It's
49:10
Speaker 1: not gonna rise the level of a play, but it
49:12
Speaker 1: is close.
49:12
Speaker 3: Man.
49:13
Speaker 1: Seeing a market read like this, it's very tempting to say, yeah,
49:16
Speaker 1: you should play San Francisco here and the pitching matchup,
49:19
Speaker 1: They're like, the numbers are really crazy with the starting
49:23
Speaker 1: pitching matchup.
49:24
Speaker 3: Man, So you know what I'm thinking about it.
49:27
Speaker 1: I'm very tempted to do it, to be honest, man.
49:33
Speaker 3: It's tough. Should I do it?
49:34
Speaker 1: Let me see what does Action Network have looking at
49:37
Speaker 1: their numbers here, because they're the numbers on the totals
49:40
Speaker 1: look pretty good. But am I really gonna give out
49:42
Speaker 1: four baseball plays.
49:44
Speaker 3: On a Monday? Am I really not gonna be able
49:45
Speaker 3: to control myself?
49:47
Speaker 1: Action Network seems to have the the money percentage coming
49:51
Speaker 1: in on the d Backs. I mean, both teams are
49:54
Speaker 1: definitely gonna want to bounce back here, but the d
49:55
Speaker 1: Backs are just awful. Dude, you know what I'm gonna
50:00
Speaker 1: do it? I can't resist. I think it's just the
50:02
Speaker 1: starting pitching matchup. I just think is too far in
50:05
Speaker 1: favor of San Francisco. Man, full game San Francisco minus
50:09
Speaker 1: one thirty So four plays today, whatever that's gonna do it? Man,
50:14
Speaker 1: it means my Instagram is gonna have more videos today.
50:17
Speaker 1: It's a very loaded card for a Monday, man. So again,
50:21
Speaker 1: under in the first five innings in Red's Red Sox
50:23
Speaker 1: the Battle of the Red Teams under first five innings
50:27
Speaker 1: as Tampa Bay under full game Royals, Mariners and San
50:35
Speaker 1: Francisco Giants, money line crazy four place today. That's gonna
50:39
Speaker 1: do it? Learn Toad on Twitter, Thanks guys for hanging out.
50:42
Speaker 1: Go check out Better Off Dead on Instagram for shorter,
50:46
Speaker 1: probably somewhat more funny videos where I give out the
50:50
Speaker 1: same plays that I do here, but in short forms
50:52
Speaker 1: so people maybe pay more attention to it, and maybe
50:55
Speaker 1: people will actually start following me more. But yeah, man,
50:59
Speaker 1: I mean some debscribe, subscribe and follow to everything Better
51:03
Speaker 1: Off Dead man, you know, like comment et cetera. Let's go,
51:06
Speaker 1: let's get get some more traction here, man. People are
51:09
Speaker 1: just too autistic for these long form videos.
51:11
Speaker 3: Man. Unfortunately, you can.
51:14
Speaker 1: Still support Tower Gang if you want patreon dot com
51:16
Speaker 1: slash Tower Gang.
51:18
Speaker 3: There may be a possibility then it comes back, but
51:20
Speaker 3: I don't really know.
51:21
Speaker 1: But you at least you still get to hang out
51:23
Speaker 1: with us in a telegram and you get all the
51:25
Speaker 1: bonus contents still if you do do that, and there
51:28
Speaker 1: probably is going to be a Toad Patreon pretty soon
51:30
Speaker 1: where it'll cover, you'll probably get some better off dead bonuses.
51:35
Speaker 1: Maybe you'll get in a telegram with me or something,
51:37
Speaker 1: and there's gonna be like a ukulele feed I think
51:41
Speaker 1: is what I'm gonna do, where you get my ukulele
51:43
Speaker 1: stuff on Spotify, even though it'll be like as a podcast,
51:47
Speaker 1: but you'll be able to get that that. I'm thinking
51:49
Speaker 1: that's what I'm gonna be doing, so or maybe it'll
51:52
Speaker 1: maybe if they have private playlist, maybe I can just
51:54
Speaker 1: do it.
51:54
Speaker 3: I don't know.
51:55
Speaker 1: I have to figure something out, but something like that,
51:58
Speaker 1: so I'm thinking about it. I will be announcing something
52:01
Speaker 1: about that probably, so stay tuned for that. Yeah, we'll
52:05
Speaker 1: figure it out because I want to start at least
52:08
Speaker 1: getting some income off of this man while I'm basically
52:11
Speaker 1: destitute and might have to move out of my house here.
52:13
Speaker 1: So thanks guys for hanging out. Let's start off the
52:16
Speaker 1: week right. Let's have a good Monday.
52:18
Speaker 3: Peace