Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 4 Recap

Transcript

NFL Week 4 Recap · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by DraftKings. I'm Stucky, joined
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: by nobody else. It's just me here today. Everyone else
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: is on vacation. Thought i'd rip a little solo pod
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: to recap the NFL day quick look at next week
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: in full transpancy. I've never done one of these, so
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: who knows how it will go. Hopefully it's not a disaster,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: but wild day of NFL results across the board as usual,
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: had a pretty good day. Betting could have been a
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: clean sweep if not for the Raiders. I guess we'll
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: start there because that game just ended. I haven't gone
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: through any of my game logging and all the advanced
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: stats yet, so this is just completely off the cuff.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: I've no notes, and I'll get into all the advanced
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: stuff during the week, but let's just recap what happened
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: in that game. Bears win twenty five twenty four. The
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: Raiders turned it over five times in their own territory,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: and the Bears still need a late last minute touchdown drive.
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: Credit to Caleb Williams for getting it done. And then
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: the Raiders, of course they can't. They can't punch it.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: And I knew the game was probably lights out when
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: they were first in goal and couldn't score a touchdown,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: and then their tackle gets hurt and they two runs
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: in a row, settle for a fifty three order and
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: the field goal gets blocked. Bears hold on to win
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: by one man. It's been frustrating season of NFL betting
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: for me, just as far as late games. I've lost
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: seven games in the last minute on last minute touchdown
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: drives have not won any I've lost two on missed
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: on blocked field goals which used diving. I feel like
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: used it never happened in the NFL, but I guess
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: now that's a thing. Felt like I was on the
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: right side there. But Bears backers get to the window.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: Bears win twenty five twenty four. Gino Smith was horrific.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: The Bears offense was horrific. Bears had fifty two yards
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: in their first twenty seven plays. Really they should have
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: been up by I don't know, three touchdowns. They got
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: four turnovers in their own territory to start the game.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: But credit to Caleb and that offense for getting it done.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: Lots of injuries worth noting that we'll talk about this
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: week on the Action Network. Podcast and the Favorites. If
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: you are new here, the Action Network podcast. I do
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: that with Chris Raybond that comes out on Thursdays. Creevey
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: the entire slate, the Favorites which you're listening to now,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: we'll have an episode on Tuesday and then Thursday again
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: locking in all of our final bets. So that was Bears, Raiders, Colts, Rams.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: Probably that this is the bad beat of the day.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: I meant, I felt very slighted by the Raiders, but
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: a lot of it was self inflicted wounds. I guess
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: you could say the same with the Colts. I have
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: to say the Colts, from what I watched today, they're real.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: Daniel Jones had two interceptions, could have had maybe one
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: or two more, but it is I have to say,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: it is a joy watch their defense now, because look,
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: Chris Bout should be in a prison somewhere for keeping
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: Gus Bradley around for as long as he did. But
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: the defense actually schematically is in a different stratosphere now.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: Ad Mitchell, what are you doing? When will these guys
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: learn it happened to your the same team last year
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor cost them the game in Denver, going in
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: for a long touchdown, loses control of the ball at
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: the one, fumbles it out of the end zone, and
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: then the Colts still recover break off a long beautiful
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: run by Jonathan Taylor gets called back for guess who
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: ad Mitchell holding and it's still twenty twenty and then
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: two two at Well gets hit for a how long
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: was that?
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: That was?
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: A eighty eight yard touchdown to get outside the number
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Colts in the game with an interception, Rams win twenty
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: seven twenty. The Colts suffer their first loss, both teams
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: three and one on the season. Also in the late Slate,
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Jags get a big win in San Francisco to improve
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: to three and one. They also hand the forty nine
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: ers their first loss of the year. Devin Lloyd monster
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: game for the Jaguars, And look this Jaguars. I've been
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: saying the offense is so well schemed, like Liam Cohen
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: has that offense, everyone is in the right place is now,
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: they don't always execute, and there's they're gonna need to
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: get to that point because while this defense is significantly improved,
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: similar to the Colts with the coordinator chains, they're actually
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: running stuff that fits their personnel on the back end.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: The front seven does have a ton of talent. Last year,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: this team only forced nine takeaways. On the entire season,
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: they had nine takeaways if thirteen thirteen through four games,
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: they have at least three in all four games. Happened
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: again today. They win the turnover battle four to nothing,
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: which obviously was huge. Uh you know San Francisco Surface
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: box score won it three eighty nine to three, twenty
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: five yardage six point two to five point two yards
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: per play, but the mistakes for Killer pretty had a
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: horrific interception that I think Lloyd grabbed over the middle
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: of the field, fumble late that I think Lloyd grabbed again.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: So big win for the Jags on the road. Both
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: teams now sitting at three and one. Patriots destroyed. Wow, actually,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: you know this game just went final. I'll finish off
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: the late slate my Ravens. Oh boy, what an absolute disaster.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: Lose thirty seven to twenty in Kansas City. Lamar Jackson
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: goes down with a hamstring injury. Not that that would
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: have mattered. The game is already in hand. But Marlon Humphrey,
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: brokeland Smith go out. Your defensive line is already in shambles.
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: Right now.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: They look like the worst defense in the league without
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: without all their personnel, with how the rookies that they
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: were going to count on are playing, this.
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: Is a sad, sad unit.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, to give up thirty seven to the Chiefs,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: that's like fifty eight against a normal offense. Total yardage
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: will look the same. I think both teams were around
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: three to seventy. Raven's average seven yards per play the
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: Chiefs five point five, doesn't I mean it was a
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: dominant effort by Kansas City, who did go four for
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: four and fourth down Bravens went one for four, which
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: made it a little more lopsided than it was. But
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: that game was all Kansas City, and it's all about
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: the Ravens defense. And then we'll see on Lamar Jackson's
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: injury at Cooper Rush coming in there. And you want
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: to talk about an offense that will look drastically different
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: from your starter to your backup, I don't think there's
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: a more drastic change than what would occur in Baltimore.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: Chiefs get it done thirty seven to twenty improved a
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: two and two Ravens inexplicably drop to one in three
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: on the season pretty much kissed the one seed goodbye.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: Good news if you're a Ravens fan. I don't know
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: if it's good news. But the only time they've ever
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: won the Super Bowl, they've had to do it the
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: hard way both times. Just going on the road looks
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: like they might have to do that again, at least
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: for the AFC Championship game. But that defense needs to
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: get healthy. They need to tign or trade for someone
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: on the interior. Lots of injuries to keep track of.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: They host the Texans next, and then the Rams and
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: the Bear so they have three straight home games before
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: going to Miami, so there is a little runway here
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: to get right. But how healthy is the roster? That's
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: all I'll have to look at moving forward.
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: All right, let's get.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: To some of the earlier games. We'll start in Dublin.
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: Steelers take care of the Vikings twenty four, twenty one.
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers. I thought played well. He was efficient.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: I mean everything was like short, dank dunk, dank dunk,
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: and then you hit the long one to DK Metcalf
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: which was short, but he took it all the way
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: for eighty yards. I thought Kenneth gainwell, played really well,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: six catches for thirty five yards, nineteen carries for ninety
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: nine yards. That was the difference. Steelers haven't really been
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: able to run the ball. Vikings have been vulnerable against
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: the run. Steelers were able to find their run game
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: wentz through for three point fifty, but there was a
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: lot of hollow yards in the end. Yeah, this the
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: end game of this. This was because the Steelers looked
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: like looked in control for most of the game and
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: then the end got really interesting. Mike Tomlin, one of
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: the most conservative coaches in NFL history. Fourth and goal
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: with a three four to go, hits up ten. Tomlin says,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: as he always would have done in the past, has
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: fuel Rogers says.
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: No, no, no, no, no, no, We're going for this as you should.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: You know, you want to make this a three possession
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: game with a touchdown and an extra point.
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: Rogers wins that battle.
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: They decided to go for it, and I'm sure Tomlin
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: is on the sidelines just hating life because this is
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: so against him, so against everything that he stands for.
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: And game over runs for one yard. Vikings takeover and somehow,
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: some way they get behind the defense. I still don't
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: know how this happened, wentz deep right to Jordan Addison
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: eighty one yards down to the one, a game saving
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: play by Peyton Wilson. Unbelievable play chases down Jordan Addison.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: Why was that so big? Minute of game time came
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: off the clock before Minnesota scored a touchdown? Okay, twenty
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: four to twenty one. They score before the two minute warning.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Minnesota looks to onside kick it. I disagreed with that.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: I don't think this stealers will have been able to
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: run eight seconds off. I was thinking in my head,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: like would I've run a double or like triple reverse,
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: because if you get it to the two minute warning,
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: the game's pretty much over. But they had one time out.
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: They the two minute warnings still and then the one
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: side kick. The on side kick is rowing now and
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: it's just trash. It's like five percent is the only
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: time you've ever had when you get a pure unicorn.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: So if you don't get the onside kick, you're just
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: gonna crush yourself in field position and have no timeouts
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: backed up, which is exactly what happened. But before then
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: it's fourth and inches and Tomlin said, no, no, no,
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: I saw what happened last time. We're punning. This takes
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: a delay of game punts it for a touchback net
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: of twenty yards. But the Steelers defense is able to
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: hold up and they hold on for the victory to
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: improve to three and one in first place in the
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: AFC North. Vikings drop the two and two, they'll stay overseas.
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: They'll get the Browns next. The Browns are in I
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: don't think I've ever seen a rougher scheduling stretch of
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: my life. They're in Detroit right now. They will go
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: overseas to play a team that's already overseas, which is
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: a huge advantage for them. And then they got to
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: come back home and play on the road again in Pittsburgh,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: who has a bye next week. Absolutely vicious three game
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: stretch for the Browns, who fall thirty four to ten
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: to the Lions. Thought the Browns defense held up well again,
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, both teams only had sixteen first downs. They
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: held the Lions under three hundred yards, under five yards
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: per play. It was just their offense have let them
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: down three turnovers and the damn finally broke broke open.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: It was what ten to seven late second quarter Flaco
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: intercepted and dj Re takes it back to the five
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: yard line, touchdown. Lions seventeen to seven the Browns. Once
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: you get to seventeen, the game is over against the Browns.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, this team can't score. That's what happened the Bengals.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: The Bengals won seventeen sixteen. I can't remember the last
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: time the brown scored seventeen points. That was pretty much
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: game over. A few goals linees out of field goal
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: before I have to go up twenty seven and then
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: win thirty four to ten. Huge game four. Not the
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: sun God, the touchdown God. I'm on Ross Saint Brown
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: who finished with seven or seventy and two touchdowns. Pretty
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: pedestrian day for Golf, who was obviously under a lot
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: more pressure this week than he was last week. Lines
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: only rushed for three point eight yards per carry, So
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: game effort again for the Browns defense, But there's only
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: so much you can do when your offense is that
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: in that Eagles, Bucks. Eagles win thirty one to twenty five.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Bucks almost dated again. Baker with the ball late down eight.
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: I thought he was going to pull another rabbit out
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: of his hat. It is conferred he's not using a
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: trick ball, because this guy could not throw an interception
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: no matter if he threw it right to the old defense.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: But he did finally throw an interception late. The Eagles
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: offense did not much of anything. It only had two
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: hundred yards three point four yards per play. I get
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: that they sat on it a lot in the second half,
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: which almost cost them by the way, and I get
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: there was a negative thirty yard safety at the end
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: to lock up the win. But pretty underwhelming effort by
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: the Eagles offense. Once again, I thought the Eagles defense
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: and special teams. The Eagles is going to get a
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: block special teams block return for a touchdown every week.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: Probably not going to lose too many games. Bucks are
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: handed their first loss. Eagles remain undefeated. Eagles upcoming schedule.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: Next week they will host the Broncos and then they're
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: at the New York Giants. The New York Football Giants
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: pop the champagne bottles. They are in the victory column
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: and they hand the Chargers their first loss of the season.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Jackson Dart now tied among all NFL quarterbacks in NFL
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: history for the best winning percentage. He's now want to
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: know as a starter. They're fun. The Giants are fun.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: I had the Giants here and they definitely caught the
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: Chargers a little off guard with some of the Reid
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: option stuff. I thought, Dart, I mean, only threw for
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: one hundred and eleven yards, but guess what, no interceptions,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: no key mistakes. Herbert, by the way, through two picks
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: in this game was under fire throughout. That was the
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: difference in the game. The Giants defensive line I think
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: controlled this game. Total yardage, Chargers three thirty eight to
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: two fifty. I mean the two picks to none, that
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: was the difference. I mean, if you look surface dats
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Chargers six yards per play, Giants three point six. But
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: Giants was just run run, rely on the defense and
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: that's what got him to the window. The killer news
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: here Molik Neighbors out for the year with what appears
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: to be a torn acl They were fun and like
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: I can, Dart, Neighbors, you got Andrew Thomas back at
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: left tackle.
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: I might still bet on them a bunch.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: But yeah, it's it is worth noting one of the
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: reas since the Giants defensive line dominated that game. Chargers
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: offensive line is a mess and they lost Joel to
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: an injury. I have not seen an update on that,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: but that is massive. They already lost Slater before the season,
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: moved all over the left tackle as a result. The
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: right tackles now a big question. Paul has been quitting
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: himself very nicely at left tackle now if you're down,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: But I mean, that's what you have to watch with
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: the Chargers Giants next at the Saints. Chargers next home
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: against the Commanders the Saints. I was on the Saints,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: oh man, I thought they were going to blow the
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: cover at the end of the way I've been running
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: in late game scenarios. Bill's hold on thirty one to nineteen,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: but it was not pretty closer game than that. Score
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: indicates a couple key sequences in this game. The Saints
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: almost had a touchdown to take the lead in the
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter, but it was ruling complete. Brandon Cooks, Yes,
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: that Brandon Cook's still around. I thought he had it,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: but it looked like it hit the ground. They reviewed
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: it and it was not a touchdown. Saints thoughts about
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: a fourth and three late. They only gained two yards,
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: but I thought they one of the keys to the
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: game at the end of the first half. Just a
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: very and this has happened a couple of times with
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: the Saints and Kellen Moore, which is worth noting this
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: is his first time as a head coach. They had
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: the ball, they were it was fourteen to ten. There's
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: their second in goal at the five with one thirty
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: left and the Bills have no timeouts. You're playing Josh Allen.
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: It's fourteen to ten. If you kick it off, like
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: say you even score and just kick it off, and
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: like say you score on a pass that play, the
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: chances are that Allan is going to at least get
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: a field goal, right, so then you know your what
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: net four points if you even score, which is certainly
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: not a given. So I would have ran it twice
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: and at the bare minimum, obviously he still want to
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: score a touchdown. But I would have ran it twice
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: because at the bare minimum you can take forty seconds off,
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: forty seconds off, and then if you wanted to try
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: and score a touchdown, fine on the last play, or
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: you kick the fuel goal, you're down fourteen to thirteen,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: you leave zero seconds for Allen. Instead, they throw it
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: to Shaheed. It was it that had a chance, but
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: wasn't the highest percentage pass and then they run the
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: Philly special and throw a pick. It was a nice
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: play by Cole Bishop, but oh that that play calling. Fortunately,
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: there was a personal foul in Buffalo, so I got
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: backed up to the one. Weren't able to do anything,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: but the Saints moved the ball. The injuries for the
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: Bills on defense were certainly noticeable. The Saints were moving
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: the ball on the ground. I mean thirty four carries
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: for one to eighty nine average five point six yards
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: per carry. I thought Rattler played well again. Their offense
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: hasn't been bad on a down to down this year.
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: I know he's been like the round league average if
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: you look at some of the success rate. He was
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: pretty poised. Alan threw a pick in this game, probably
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: should have had another one, but you know, Saints to
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: quitted themselves well three hundredards to total offense. Bill's finished
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: with three point fifty, just a couple plays here and there,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: which if you're the Saints going up against a team
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: that's much better than you on the road, you just
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: can't afford to give some of those points up and
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: leave some of those plays on the table. So Bill's
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: improved to four and now They're one of only two
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: remaining undefeated teams in the NFL, along with the Eagles.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: They will host the Patriots next. Patriots absolutely dominant victory
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: over the Panthers forty two to thirteen. It wasn't as
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: bad as that sounds, as crazy as that is, as
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: crazy as that might say, if like you didn't watch
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: this game. I mean, the Panthers out gained the Patriots
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: yards for play, Patriots six point four to five point oho,
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: So why was the score forty two to thirteen? Special
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: teams and then this game just got out of hand.
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: I mean Carolina seven play seventy six yard drive, touchdown
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: drive to open the game. They go up six to nothing.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: I have the Patriots. I'm like, oh, okay, maybe I
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: got this wrong. Then they missed the extra point. Patriots
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: go three and out, two yard drive, Panthers punt and
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: it gets returned eighty seven yards for a touchdown. Panthers
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: punt later in the game that gets returned for I
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: think seventy yards. Marcus Jones had had a day sixty
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: one yard return which set up another short field touchdown.
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: In between.
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: Then the Panthers missed a field goal, so they had
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: a missed field goal, missed extra point, and then basically
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: gave up fourteen points on punts in the first half
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: when you're like negative eighteen right there. And again they
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: lost by twenty nine and it just got out of
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: the hand from there. Patriots are up twenty eight to
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: six and cruise. Patriots improved a two and two. Panthers
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: dropped to one and three. As I mentioned before, Patriots
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: at the Bills. Next, Panthers will host the Dolphins.
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: Oh what a game.
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: Texans win twenty six nothing over the Titans. I mean
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: the Titans. I'm convinced at this point they're a front
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: for a point shaving operation. That's my only explanation. The
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: NFL is an efficient market. How is it one team
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: under one head coach Brian Callen three and eighteen against
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: the spread over a twenty one game stretch three and eighteen.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: I can't even begin to explain how unfathomable that is.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: Titans do not score a single point, get completely shut out.
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be screaming for every trend. Every bi low
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: fiber in my body is gonna be screaming about the
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: Titans next week. At the Cardinals, it felt like a
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: huge win for the Titans to not cover and me
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: not have any money on them, to be honest with you.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: But Titans fall to zero and four, Texans improved to
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: one and three. Its twenty six nothing, but it was
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: six nothing in the fourth quarter. So let's not get
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: a twist that it's not like the Texans offense. They
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: here's the thing with all the Titans defensive injuries, they
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: just wear down like it the damn breaks. It happened
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: against the Rams, It'll probably continue to happen. But it's
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: a point shaving operation. The kicker's name is Joey Sly.
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: If you're going to run a mob mob affiliated point
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: shaving operation as an NFL team, I mean the guy
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: to run it his name. If it's like a TV show,
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: his name would be Joey Sly all right. I think
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: he missed a couple kicks today. Disaster from the Titans.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Godspeed all those who who bet them today and had
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: to watch. Trust me, if there's anyone who knows how
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: that feels, it's me. Falcons big win over the Commanders.
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: All the teams that had lost by thirty plus and
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: everyone panicked over last week, they all won today and
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: covered all the teams that lost, I shouldn't say won.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: They all covered all the teams that won last week
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: by thirty plus and everyone was like, oh, well, they
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: none of them covered. That's the week the week nature
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: of the NFL. Historically, those are all like sixty sixty
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: one percent. Falcons get it done thirty four to twenty seven,
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: and it felt way more dominant than that. I mean,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: Washington out of a field goal eight before then they
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: got a fourth and three touchdown to the Deebo Samuel
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: on a two point conversion. But as someone who bet
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: the Falcons, I never felt that it was in doubt.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: Mariot only threw for one point fifty. You know, Rodriguez
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: had a long broken run. Other than that, they didn't
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: really do much. Everyone said, Pennix is done. He went
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: twenty at twenty six for three thirteen. Pretty good day
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: at the office with two touchdowns. He did have one
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: really bad interception. B John Robinson was the story of
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: the day. That monster Monster Day seventeen. Carries seventy five
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: yards in a touchdown, four catches one hundred and six
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: yards point eighty one from scrimmage. Falcons write the ship.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: Both teams two and two Falcons next host the Bills.
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: I believe after a bye week that'll be a good spot,
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: especially at the Bills still aren't healthy. Falcons should run
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: all over the Bills run defense right now is completely broken.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: Commanders next head to the Chargers. Interesting game. I have
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: to check on some of the a lot of the injuries. Obviously,
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: I believe Daniels will play almost niney nine percent sure
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: of that. McLaurin. Well, Commanders have a bunch of injuries.
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: Chargers the offensive line, that's what's worth noting there.
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: The Favorites is sponsored by DraftKings and in partnership with DraftKings,
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: we'd like to tell you the next great touchdown is
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: coming and you can bet on it right now. New
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: customers bet five dollars and get two hundred dollars in
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: bonus bets. That's right, New customers, turn five bucks into
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: two hundred if your bet wins paid instantly in bonus bets.
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: To get started, use the promo code Favorites when signing
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: up once more, that's Code Favorites at DraftKings. When signing
• 24:11
  Speaker 3: up to get on board, the crown is yours.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: Quick look time Monday Night Football. I like the Bengals
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: over a touchdown. Last year, these teams late in the year,
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: dominant Denver defense, Barrow was playing. Both teams wanted the win.
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: The Bengals have leaver three and a half point favorites
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: coin flip game Broncos this year dominant defense again, Bengals again,
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: disastrous defense. I mean, not much has changed other than
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: there's no Barrow. Last week talking, a couple of odds
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: makers were saying Barrow's only worth three and a half
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: four points. I disagree with that. I think it's closer
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: to five. But you know, throwing home field, I can't
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: get over a touchdown here, so I can't even get
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: two touchdown now. The Bengals defense is a disaster, and
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: they could and the Bengals offensive line is a disaster,
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: just like it was last year. So there's a chance
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: the Broncos defensive line just overwhelms Browning and then and
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: Bonix actually looks like a competent quarterback. But I just
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: can't get to this number. So and by the way,
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: the Bengals is a team again, no one wants to
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: bet them after last week and fits all what I
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: just mentioned. Team off of a thirty point loss, so
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: it could just go completely sideways. I did bet the
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Bengals over a touchdown Jets Dolphins, I actually leaned. I
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: hate the doll I actually lean Dolphins. Who wants to
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: bet that? Look, look, their offensive line is a disaster
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins, But so the Bucks last week had like
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: five backups and they couldn't hold them down. Jermaine Johnson
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: is out. This Jets defense is bad, man. I mean, like,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: just look at the results that they've had this year.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: They made the Steelers offense look like the two thousand
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: ninety nine Rams in Week one, the Bills did whatever
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: they wanted the Bucks with like five backup offensive linemen.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: So lean over and Dolphins there. I don't trust fields
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: and the Jets defense. It's just it's problematic, and they
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: don't have like the full set of receivers to fully
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: and fields to fully take advantage of this Dolphins secondary.
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: I don't love the over.
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: If I had a bet, that's where I would go,
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: I would actually prefer the Dolphins a bit more. I'm
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: close numbers wise, Jet square early. I think it's a
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: good spot to bet the Dolphins live all right? Looking
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: at next week Rams Niners Thursday Night Football, Rams three
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. I'd be inclined to look
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: at the I guess I should pull my numbers here. Now,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: these won't be updated for anything that happened today. I'll
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: try to eyeball it and tell you what I think
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: I'll adjust, but I really won't have any idea. You
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: got to remember, home field here is not almost nothing
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: like literally almost nothing travel divisional game crowd. Yeah, I'd
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: take the Niners barring injuries. Look in the injuries if
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: yours all get banged up. Agains Jennings was back and
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: looked good, but I'm I'm under a field goal there,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: so anything over a field goal on first look, I'd
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: look at the Niners. Texans at Ravens. No you no
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: note clue? Yeah, I mean are the Texans? Is the
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Texans offense gonna look competent? The state of this Ravens defense,
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: And then obviously it's all Lamar a hamstring. I mean
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: my number is meaningless right now with all of the injuries,
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: and I have to downgrade the Ravens significantly.
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: Again.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. Without without knowing Lamar's status, I can't.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: I can't even begin to guess, Like if it was
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: Cooper Rush, if it was Cooper Rush against this, the
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: state of this, the state of this Ravens team, I
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: don't know what is it a pick?
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: I really can't venture. I guess let's see what else
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: do we got Vikings against Browns. Is it going to
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: be McCarthy, Is it Wentz?
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: Maybe I should know, I don't know if they announce that.
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: I do think it's like McCarthy could get better, but
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: it's a disaster with McCarthy and against this that defense.
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: Vikings do have a big advantage here. They're already going
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: to be overseas. This game is in London, tough spot
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: for the Browns.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: First gut is under Like, what's what's Flacco gonna do
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: against his defense? That would be my first look. Giants
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: at Saints. I'm telling you the Saints are better than
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: people think. Like today, they were like toe to toe
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: with the Bills for most of that game. Last week
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: got way out of hand. They were toe to toe
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: with the Niners last week got weight of hand because
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: the special teams like they've they're better, Like Rattler is
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: playing decently, they have they have some nice weapons, a
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: lot of I had some bad drops today their defense.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: Granderson played really well to they. Kim Jordan doesn't age.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: I don't like what's going on there. I need some
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: of what he's drinking. First thought would be Saints. I
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: don't know what's what's What are the Saints going to be?
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: What's that gonna be a pick? I'd be interested in
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: the Saints.
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: First.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: First thought, Giants off that huge win. No neighbors you
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: got now they have on tape? What some of the
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: stuff they're going to do with Dart don't Saints are
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: a dog especially, I might look their way.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: What else we got?
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: Vikings looks like to look at a four and a
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: half thirty seven and a half. Oh that's low, but
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: I gotta run total stuff. But I actually would lean
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: under at first glance. Dolphins a Panther's You can't really
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: say much about this game until tomorrow night. Dolphins early
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: one and a half point favorites, total forty four and
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: a half. Talk about that later in the week. Cold
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites at home against the Raiders.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: The Raiders could have been a huge day. Raiders made
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: they put powers Johnson in on the offensive line and
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: that did some things that unlocked genty a bit. I
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: gotta figure out what's going on with Geno Smith. I
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: mean this is indoors against all backup d backs, and
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: you threw that many interceptions. Some of them were bad,
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: too bad. Total forty eight and a half there. Got
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: to dig in further there. Eagles four and a half
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: point favorite.
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: Let me pull up.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: It looks like the Saints are one and a half
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: point underdogs. Would lean that way initially at Draft Kings
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: Eagles five and a half point favorites. Total forty three
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: and a half got away for the Broncos to pull
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: a short week for Denver traveling across the country, but
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: gotta wait on injuries. I'll tell you I make that
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: and justin for a short week when I'm around five.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: So it looks about right.
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: Ooh, DraftKings Saints two and a half win underdogs. Good
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: teaser option if you have cheap teasers. Would love to
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: get a three there. Not sure if we'll see it.
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: Jets one and a half point home dogs against Dallas again.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: Gotta wait for them to play tomorrow and Dallas to
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: play tonight. Seahawks two and a half point favorites at
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: home against the Tampa Bay lux injuries for Tampa worth monitoring,
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: traveling across country, Seattle, extra rest at Seattle. Defense is
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: nasty that front. I mean, you have a team they
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: can get pressure without blitzing. McDonald's scheming up things in
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: the back end. Wouldn't be surprised if this is a
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: major Baker pick progression game. Arizona eight and a half
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: point favorites at home against Tennessee. I mean, can you
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: really lay eight and a half with Arizona? I mean,
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: I guess you could. We said that about the Texans
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: today and they won twenty six nothing. But this Arizona offense,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: maybe they finally figured some things out at the end
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: of that game on Thursday night. But the play calling,
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: the receiver Harrison, maybe he finally has confidence.
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: Bengals early line catching eight and a half at home
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: against Detroit. Got to see what the Bengals look like
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: tomorrow night. In injuries, Chargers three point favorites early against Washington.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: Already talked about that game. Bill's laying eight and a
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: half at home against New England. I might be interested
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: in New England, depending on Buffalo's injury situation, like it's
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: their defense right now as holes and you can move
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: the ball on them. And Drake May can certainly go
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: get you a back door if you need it. Monday
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: Night Football next week Chiefs minus three at Jacksonville. Jackson
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: will be my first look there. The Jags are much
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: better people like, people don't understand. Not everyone understands. It's
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: like an offense schematically a world's difference defense schematically the
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: world's difference. Like it is insane what this coaching staff
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: has done for this team. You're gonna get me three
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: with the home dog cheap three DraftKings three minus one
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: oh five. I think I'm in Today was I don't
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: think today was about Kansas City. Now, I will say
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: having Worthy back was huge. You saw that, and once
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: I get Rice back to be another layer and finally
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: make their offense a bit more dynamic. But today was
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: all about the Ravens and their issues and injuries right now.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: So definitely interested in the Jags. All right, that'll do it.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Tweet me at Stucky too, let me know how you
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: like this. It was the first ever sold a pod.
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: I just rambled, so I had no structure. I had
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: no notes, I had nothing, so hopefully enjoyed it. Hopefully
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: enjoyed just some nice NFL rambling on a Monday morning.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: But let me know how you liked it. Thanks for listening.
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: We'll be back Tuesdays and Thursdays. Action Hour podcast will
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: come out on Wednesday night, Big Bets on Campus. If
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: you're in the college football we do a Sunday recap
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: show and then we have episodes on Wednesday and Thursday
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: live show ten thirty eight Eastern on Saturdays. So thanks
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: to DraftKings, Thanks to our producer David for doing this
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: last second for me and putting this out there. Most importantly,
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: thanks to all of you for tuning in.
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: Make sure you.
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: Subscribe on subcrib subscribe new podcast here so if you
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: can leave a five star review or tell me your
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: thoughts there, that would be great.
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: Helps us out. But thanks for tuning in. Good luck
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: on all of your Monday night.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: Football bets, and I'll catch you all during the week.
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we can find some winners for next week.
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: Cheers than.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.
• 33:35
  Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight
• 33:41
  Speaker 3: hundred gambler