Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 3/11/26: Jake Tapper Crashes Out On Ryan, Americans Says War Is For Epstein & Israel, Bill Maher Praises Iran War
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.
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- 0:34Speaker 3: Controversy as ever is swirling around New York City Mayor
- 0:37Speaker 3: Zoron Mamdani and actually also a little bit around as
- 0:41Speaker 3: ever Ryan Grimm and the bugs over at drop site,
- 0:46Speaker 3: who are at the center of this controversy. Ryan Zora
- 0:51Speaker 3: Mamdani hosted mahmou Khalil. Zora Mamdani's wife is now having
- 0:57Speaker 3: an Instagram autopsy conduct did of her likes in CNN
- 1:03Speaker 3: is apparently fueling some of this are covering it seriously.
- 1:08Speaker 4: People are very upset.
- 1:09Speaker 5: At you, and people are always upset at me.
- 1:12Speaker 3: That's true, yeah, and not always without reason, mostly without reason,
- 1:16Speaker 3: not always without reason.
- 1:17Speaker 5: The haters are swirling.
- 1:19Speaker 6: The New York Times and CNN have yes absolutely completely
- 1:23Speaker 6: and totally lost their minds. My theory and what we're
- 1:26Speaker 6: going to talk about Why this I think matters because
- 1:28Speaker 6: it's reshaping the.
- 1:30Speaker 5: Way that the kind of news is delivered.
- 1:32Speaker 6: My theory on what's going on here is that Marco
- 1:34Speaker 6: Rubio I think drove some people completely insane when he
- 1:39Speaker 6: said out loud that the reason we attacked Iran right
- 1:42Speaker 6: now is because Israel was going to attack.
- 1:45Speaker 4: Yes, well, and Mike Johnson, and.
- 1:47Speaker 6: Mike Johnson said the same thing, and then Tom Cotton
- 1:49Speaker 6: went on and he said the same thing. So all
- 1:52Speaker 6: of these people have said that Israel is a reason
- 1:55Speaker 6: that we went to war when we did, and the
- 1:59Speaker 6: public is against this war by twenty plus point. Margins
- 2:04Speaker 6: doesn't understand, thinks it will make their lives worse, doesn't
- 2:07Speaker 6: understand why we're doing it, thinks it's in Israeli interest
- 2:10Speaker 6: and not ours, And so think you gotta gin up
- 2:15Speaker 6: a little bit of distractive hatred towards Muslims if you can,
- 2:20Speaker 6: and who better to go after than zoron Mom Donnie
- 2:26Speaker 6: all of so this this kicked off and if you
- 2:28Speaker 6: can throw in mood khalil, oh boy, So this kicked
- 2:31Speaker 6: off with a quiet story March sixth published and Jewish
- 2:35Speaker 6: Insider we can put up here. I follow their reporting
- 2:37Speaker 6: very closely because if you follow it, I'm sure you do,
- 2:40Speaker 6: you're gonna know what's coming in the days ahead. And
- 2:43Speaker 6: also their coverage of primary campaigns is very good too,
- 2:47Speaker 6: Like if when they start flagging a particular candidate as
- 2:50Speaker 6: a bad person.
- 2:51Speaker 5: Oh, interesting that is they always use the word alarmed.
- 2:56Speaker 6: It'll say like apact owners alarmed at so and so,
- 3:00Speaker 6: and then within weeks like there are fake APAX super
- 3:04Speaker 6: PACs spending money against this person. So it's like a
- 3:06Speaker 6: very it's an early warning sign about like where what's
- 3:10Speaker 6: going on? So this was an earlier warning sign like, oh,
- 3:12Speaker 6: for some reason, rama Duaci, Zoran mam Donnie's wife is
- 3:17Speaker 6: going to be the target of a campaign coming forward,
- 3:20Speaker 6: And sure enough was so their headline was Zoran Mam
- 3:24Speaker 6: Donnie's wife liked social media posts celebrating October seventh attacks.
- 3:28Speaker 6: And you squint and you're like wait a minute, because
- 3:32Speaker 6: you know, in this world we are. The algorithms are
- 3:35Speaker 6: constantly serving us very old stories, and you don't want
- 3:38Speaker 6: to be one of those unks that like share something
- 3:40Speaker 6: that's like a year and a half.
- 3:41Speaker 5: Hold right, yes, like that You're not enough, like unk,
- 3:47Speaker 5: this is stories eighteen months old? Why are you sharing this?
- 3:49Speaker 3: And you're like, oh god, one of those unks a
- 3:52Speaker 3: memoir by Ryan.
- 3:53Speaker 5: Such a boomer.
- 3:54Speaker 6: So you squint, You're like, oh no, yes, this is
- 3:57Speaker 6: about October twenty twenty three, but they are writing it
- 4:00Speaker 6: to day. It is like the date on this is
- 4:01Speaker 6: March sixth, twenty twenty six. And we can put some
- 4:05Speaker 6: of the actual Instagram posts up towards the end. But
- 4:09Speaker 6: they do this thing where they euphemistically or just kind
- 4:13Speaker 6: of generally describe them as anti Israel or anti Semitic even,
- 4:18Speaker 6: and you look at the actual posts and they're like
- 4:22Speaker 6: entirely defensible things that like the broad swaths of the
- 4:25Speaker 6: public would agree with that, like torture prisons, Like for instance,
- 4:31Speaker 6: like they talk about a torture camp, which was written
- 4:33Speaker 6: about by Betsalem, the Israeli human rights group, which you know,
- 4:39Speaker 6: they kind of referred to as like an Israeli version
- 4:43Speaker 6: of a concentration camp, and they call that Holocaust in version, Like,
- 4:48Speaker 6: how dare you use any of the language that is
- 4:53Speaker 6: derived from the Holocaust to describe what Israel is doing
- 4:55Speaker 6: to people inside Palestinians inside of Israel? Whereas when you
- 5:00Speaker 6: look at what they're actually doing, it's like, well, a
- 5:02Speaker 6: lot of people like think that torture, like routine daily
- 5:05Speaker 6: torture is bad.
- 5:06Speaker 3: There are a couple of these posts, I think are
- 5:09Speaker 3: we're talking about Instagram likes.
- 5:11Speaker 4: It's already but a couple of the posts.
- 5:13Speaker 3: There's one where you see a bulldozer breaking down the
- 5:16Speaker 3: wall on October seventh, and it says breaking the walls
- 5:19Speaker 3: of apartheid and military occupation October seven, twenty twenty three,
- 5:22Speaker 3: systemic change for collective liberation. There's another one where it's
- 5:26Speaker 3: like kids on an IDF vehicle and it says punished
- 5:32Speaker 3: for wanting it's referring to Palestinians. It says, punished for
- 5:35Speaker 3: wanting freedom from apartheid. I understand people might disagree with
- 5:39Speaker 3: me on this, and I think it's, you know, again,
- 5:40Speaker 3: we're talking about years old Instagram likes at this point.
- 5:43Speaker 3: The man was democratically elected the mayor of New York
- 5:46Speaker 3: City a.
- 5:47Speaker 4: Couple of them.
- 5:47Speaker 3: I think when you're on October set, like the one
- 5:50Speaker 3: of these Instagram posts was literally on October seventh. Two
- 5:53Speaker 3: of them, actually, the ones that I just mentioned were
- 5:55Speaker 3: on October seventh, I think that reflects some poor But
- 6:01Speaker 3: I you know that that's an argument that we could have.
- 6:04Speaker 5: Well.
- 6:05Speaker 6: Mom Donnie, in a statement to JEWSIH Insider, said, uh,
- 6:09Speaker 6: his spokespersion Mayor Mom Donnie has been clear and consistent.
- 6:11Speaker 5: Hamas is a terrorist organization.
- 6:13Speaker 6: October seventh was a horrific war crime, and he has
- 6:15Speaker 6: condemned that violence unequivocally. And and so to be clear,
- 6:19Speaker 6: like what she's doing is is different there.
- 6:22Speaker 5: What she's saying is that she sees.
- 6:24Speaker 6: This as a as resistance to occupation and to apartheid.
- 6:28Speaker 3: I just think, to me, it feels like it's very
- 6:31Speaker 3: close to celebrating violence, which I would not do if
- 6:33Speaker 3: it's the United States in Iran, right like or Israel in.
- 6:37Speaker 4: Iran, right.
- 6:38Speaker 5: But if you did, you would not be condemned like that.
- 6:40Speaker 4: You absolutely completely agree with it, right.
- 6:43Speaker 6: So anyway, so this is so let's even let's even say,
- 6:46Speaker 6: just for the sake of this argument, that these are
- 6:48Speaker 6: terrible problems posts. I don't necessarily think they are, but
- 6:51Speaker 6: let's let's just say the sake of this segment that
- 6:55Speaker 6: they are. So did so how how did How did
- 6:59Speaker 6: CNN in the New York Times kind of kind of
- 7:02Speaker 6: respond respond to this?
- 7:05Speaker 5: Well, you start seeing the free press pick up.
- 7:09Speaker 6: Olivia Reinhold starts doing she went through and I guess
- 7:13Speaker 6: found more Instagram likes that she found problematic. So Jake
- 7:20Speaker 6: Tapper then decides that he's going to do a segment
- 7:26Speaker 6: and he's going to bring on we now know Sam
- 7:29Speaker 6: Seedter talked about that it was going to be Olivia
- 7:30Speaker 6: Rainold and Sam Ceter discussing the mayor's wife's Instagram likes.
- 7:36Speaker 4: Now I would watch that segment.
- 7:38Speaker 6: I think that's good for YouTube. I think it's embarrassing
- 7:41Speaker 6: for news. So D three, here's Olivia talking about the
- 7:47Speaker 6: getting bumped and I think basically by Trump because he
- 7:50Speaker 6: talked he did like a long press conference kind of
- 7:52Speaker 6: preamp to the show.
- 7:53Speaker 5: Here's Olivia Reinhold.
- 7:54Speaker 4: I was supposed to.
- 7:55Speaker 7: Go on CNN tonight to debate my latest reporting on
- 7:58Speaker 7: the instagram likes. Ramaduaji, that is the wife of Mayor
- 8:02Speaker 7: z Or on mom Donnie. The debate got canceled, but
- 8:06Speaker 7: these are the points I was going to make.
- 8:08Speaker 4: One.
- 8:08Speaker 7: I wanted to just get into the extreme nature of
- 8:12Speaker 7: the posts that his wife was liking. These were not
- 8:15Speaker 7: your average pro Palestine posts. These were way more anti
- 8:19Speaker 7: Israel than they were pro Palestine. There was a post
- 8:22Speaker 7: celebrating October seventh, there was another one doubting whether women
- 8:27Speaker 7: had really been raped on October seventh, and there was
- 8:30Speaker 7: even one that showed Holocaust in version. The next thing
- 8:35Speaker 7: I wanted to address was mom Donnie's response that his
- 8:38Speaker 7: wife is a quote private person or private citizen, if
- 8:42Speaker 7: that is a standard. I've never heard of that before,
- 8:46Speaker 7: Because does anyone remember when Justice Alito's wife hung the
- 8:50Speaker 7: flag upside down and there were zillion articles about that.
- 8:54Speaker 7: What about Milania when she wore that jacket that said
- 8:57Speaker 7: I don't really care, do you?
- 8:59Speaker 4: That was right.
- 9:00Speaker 7: Who you decide to marry is one of the most
- 9:03Speaker 7: important decisions you can make. Your husband or your wife
- 9:07Speaker 7: is the first person that you see in the morning
- 9:09Speaker 7: and then the last person you see in the day.
- 9:12Speaker 7: So it's fair to say that it says a thing
- 9:14Speaker 7: or two about you. That is why this is a
- 9:16Speaker 7: story that is what makes the Instagram likes of Ramaduwaji
- 9:21Speaker 7: newsworthy is not because of her, It's because of who
- 9:25Speaker 7: she's married to. And so that was my main question
- 9:28Speaker 7: is just does the mayor agree with these sentiments? And
- 9:33Speaker 7: he still hasn't answered that.
- 9:36Speaker 6: Well, so who agreed with that? None other than Jake
- 9:38Speaker 6: Tapper at CNN. So even though his segment was canceled
- 9:42Speaker 6: between Olivia and Sam Cedar, he brought it back together
- 9:46Speaker 6: the next day, and so it seems like his justification
- 9:50Speaker 6: for it was the mayor invited Mahmud Khalil for nith
- 9:55Speaker 6: tard dinner and Gracie Manchin saying, Mackmoud Khalila, New Yorker.
- 10:00Speaker 6: He belongs to New York. Let's put a put on
- 10:03Speaker 6: an Instagram picture and you know this, it marked a
- 10:07Speaker 6: year since he'd been detained as the as the mediator
- 10:11Speaker 6: between He was the mediator between Columbia University and the
- 10:15Speaker 6: and the protesters and spent a long time in prison
- 10:18Speaker 6: Trump trying to deport him. In the photo was mom
- 10:22Speaker 6: Donnie's wife. It's like, aha, she she eats dinner at
- 10:26Speaker 6: the mansion. Right there, gotcha, Now we can do a
- 10:30Speaker 6: segment on you. So let's it was so, I have
- 10:34Speaker 6: no we should be surprised at the kind of basement
- 10:36Speaker 6: level expectations for CNN. I was shocked at this segment,
- 10:41Speaker 6: like genuinely appalled, Like wow, let's roll a little bit
- 10:47Speaker 6: of this.
- 10:48Speaker 5: Jake Tapper.
- 10:48Speaker 6: It's Jake Tapper, Jonah Goldberg, and Karen Finny because they
- 10:52Speaker 6: gave up on the idea of having somebody like Sam
- 10:55Speaker 6: Seeter come on and actually put put up the opposing side.
- 11:00Speaker 6: Just three of them, just trashing all the mayor, his
- 11:04Speaker 6: wife and mack Mud Khalil.
- 11:05Speaker 5: Let's roll a little bit of it with.
- 11:07Speaker 8: A high profile Palestinian activist detained and released by ICE.
- 11:10Speaker 8: The mayor writes, quote, we marked the one year anniversary
- 11:13Speaker 8: of detention.
- 11:14Speaker 5: Rama and I were honored.
- 11:15Speaker 8: To welcome Mackmood meaning Machmud Khalil, nor and their son
- 11:19Speaker 8: Dean to Gracie Manson to break our fast together. It
- 11:21Speaker 8: is Ramadan. Machmud is a New Yorker and he belongs
- 11:23Speaker 8: to New York City.
- 11:24Speaker 5: Unquote.
- 11:25Speaker 8: Now you might remember mach Mun Khalil as the anti
- 11:27Speaker 8: Israel protester from Columbia University.
- 11:30Speaker 9: To say the least, I get the talking point. Part
- 11:33Speaker 9: of my problem is that we live in a culture
- 11:35Speaker 9: now that the second you're discriminated against or the face
- 11:38Speaker 9: state action because you're doing because of your First Amendment
- 11:41Speaker 9: right exercise, it makes you a martyr, makes you kind
- 11:45Speaker 9: of a hero. This guy's not a hero, he's a Potts.
- 11:47Speaker 10: The organization that he was part of.
- 11:51Speaker 9: Just got into trouble at the beginning of this war
- 11:53Speaker 9: by tweeting out death to America. The organization was pro
- 11:57Speaker 9: hamas it was. He and theation defended the ten to
- 12:02Speaker 9: seven attacks in pretty explicit terms. And this comes on
- 12:07Speaker 9: the heel of this other controversy of Zoramandani's wife being
- 12:12Speaker 9: revealed to have liked a whole bunch of social media
- 12:14Speaker 9: posts saying that the mass rapes were all a hoax
- 12:17Speaker 9: and that Amasa was justified and all that kind of stuff.
- 12:19Speaker 9: The Klan marching and Skokie weren't heroes. We didn't treat
- 12:22Speaker 9: them as heroes for doing that.
- 12:24Speaker 4: You're right, your adn't disagree. We're there.
- 12:26Speaker 8: Mayor Mamdani is a very smart guy and he had
- 12:30Speaker 8: to have known that, having Mahmud khalil. Not because of
- 12:34Speaker 8: the First Amendment issue, which I think we all probably
- 12:37Speaker 8: agree with, like, you know, people have the First.
- 12:39Speaker 5: Amendment rights in this country.
- 12:40Speaker 8: But the other issue of what he and his group
- 12:42Speaker 8: did at Columbia University, what they stand for now, he
- 12:45Speaker 8: had to have known it would upset people.
- 12:47Speaker 3: Well, and I think that this is the other piece,
- 12:49Speaker 3: just speaking politically again, given that you're exactly right, and
- 12:53Speaker 3: it plays into the fears that people had before he
- 12:55Speaker 3: was elected.
- 12:57Speaker 5: And there you have it.
- 12:58Speaker 6: He had to have known it upset people, Like that
- 13:02Speaker 6: is Jake Tapper's objection here.
- 13:03Speaker 4: I mean, listen, that's what a protest is. At least
- 13:06Speaker 4: I was under that impression.
- 13:07Speaker 6: He invited macmou Khalil to dinner even though he knew
- 13:12Speaker 6: it would upset Jake Tapper that like also, so the
- 13:18Speaker 6: smears against macmu Khalil in there, he's like the sweetest,
- 13:22Speaker 6: most non violent guy. He's not affiliated with this group anymore.
- 13:26Speaker 6: And whatever affiliation he had this that he's saying, like
- 13:29Speaker 6: said death to America or whatever, he's not affiliated with
- 13:31Speaker 6: that group. The all they can do is like find
- 13:34Speaker 6: some group that's affiliated with a group that he was
- 13:37Speaker 6: affiliated with until one point said something on Instagram that
- 13:40Speaker 6: was like right, some leftists over the top thing.
- 13:43Speaker 4: Right.
- 13:43Speaker 5: That's all they've that's all they've gotten.
- 13:45Speaker 6: And the reason that he was chosen as the mediator
- 13:47Speaker 6: is that he's the kind of guy that everybody respects
- 13:51Speaker 6: and that there are a lot of people that are
- 13:53Speaker 6: much more further to his his left.
- 13:55Speaker 3: And the Trump administration was making a very different argument
- 13:58Speaker 3: from what Joanah Goldberg and Jake We're making in that segment.
- 14:01Speaker 3: The Trump administration was making the argument that he's not
- 14:04Speaker 3: a US citizen and if you have a visa to
- 14:06Speaker 3: study in the United States. They were making this argument,
- 14:09Speaker 3: you are undermined. I mean, it's a ridiculous argument, but
- 14:11Speaker 3: you're undermining US foreign policy as a non citizen by
- 14:16Speaker 3: agitating against in an academic setting, against US foreign policy.
- 14:20Speaker 3: They were making a more charitable version of that argument
- 14:23Speaker 3: as well, which would be if you're coming in the
- 14:25Speaker 3: US on a visa and what you're spending your time doing,
- 14:29Speaker 3: this is how Marco Rubia would describe it as protesting
- 14:31Speaker 3: against the United States.
- 14:33Speaker 4: Bad deported.
- 14:35Speaker 3: They're making a different argument, though, they're making an argument
- 14:37Speaker 3: that it's not just as though he must be deported
- 14:40Speaker 3: because he's undermining US foreign policy by being anti American
- 14:44Speaker 3: they're making this argument that Mamu Khalil is a hate figure,
- 14:49Speaker 3: and that's actually different from what the trumpet I mean.
- 14:51Speaker 4: Of course, there was at.
- 14:53Speaker 6: One point Jonah Goldberg called him an outright apologist for terrorism,
- 14:57Speaker 6: just like just not like, that is not true about
- 15:02Speaker 6: mac mu.
- 15:02Speaker 3: Khalid unless you have a very broad definition of what
- 15:05Speaker 3: counts as being an apologist for terrorism.
- 15:08Speaker 5: Right.
- 15:09Speaker 6: They keep getting mad at him because I think on
- 15:11Speaker 6: Ezra Klein, he said that, you know, something like October
- 15:15Speaker 6: seventh was bound to happen if you continue to oppress
- 15:18Speaker 6: people for many decades, and somehow that is like considered
- 15:21Speaker 6: to be a beyond a pale thing to say. It's like,
- 15:24Speaker 6: even though it's like just a basic statement about the
- 15:28Speaker 6: fundamental nature of humanity and the drive for liberation and
- 15:31Speaker 6: opposition to oppression, It's like that shouldn't be remotely surprising.
- 15:37Speaker 6: And so so they also so the New York Times,
- 15:41Speaker 6: of course, has to get in on this action. So
- 15:46Speaker 6: let's start with d six here actually, because this is
- 15:49Speaker 6: absolutely completely insane. So an article by Dana Rubinstein here,
- 15:54Speaker 6: who covers the mayor. She writes, this is the lead
- 15:57Speaker 6: of the article. In the days after a homemade bomb
- 16:01Speaker 6: laced with metal was hurled into a highly charged protest
- 16:05Speaker 6: near his official residence in Manhattan. Mayor Zoron Mamdani did
- 16:09Speaker 6: not turn to his typical means of communication. There were
- 16:13Speaker 6: no short form videos post to social media about the
- 16:17Speaker 6: attacks in front of Gracie Mansion, where mister Mamdani lives
- 16:21Speaker 6: with his wife, Rama Duwaji. There were no impassioned speeches.
- 16:26Speaker 6: Mister mam Donnie chose an alternative path two deliberate written statements.
- 16:30Speaker 6: So the criticism here, But is that Mam Donnie, after
- 16:37Speaker 6: people saw this news, after there was an ied thrown
- 16:40Speaker 6: in front of Gracie Mansion at a protest by two
- 16:45Speaker 6: like isis inspired terrorists, he did not do a TikTok
- 16:50Speaker 6: that He didn't do a short form flashy video like
- 16:53Speaker 6: he used to do for the campaign. Since he's become mayor,
- 16:56Speaker 6: I think he's done three of those videos total, because
- 17:00Speaker 6: he is a normal human being. When something tragic happens,
- 17:05Speaker 6: he's not going to do a flashy TikTok about it.
- 17:09Speaker 5: Now.
- 17:09Speaker 6: I had to read that a couple times before his response,
- 17:12Speaker 6: but it was, you know, should he have done a TikTok?
- 17:15Speaker 4: No, he shouldn't have done a TikTok, but I.
- 17:17Speaker 5: Had to read that a couple of times.
- 17:18Speaker 6: You notice you put it put it back up again
- 17:20Speaker 6: real quickly if you If you have it, notice that
- 17:22Speaker 6: in the second sentence, Notice who they mentioned here in
- 17:27Speaker 6: front of Gracie Mansion where mister mom Donnie lives with
- 17:30Speaker 6: his wife Rama Duagi. This is the New York Times
- 17:36Speaker 6: desperately wanting a piece of the story. We don't need
- 17:41Speaker 6: you to tell us that he lives with his wife.
- 17:45Speaker 6: We know he lives with his wife. Secondly, why what
- 17:49Speaker 6: does no matter what her name is? Even Let's let's
- 17:51Speaker 6: say that the normal New York Times reader is so
- 17:55Speaker 6: stupid that they don't know that a husband lives with
- 17:58Speaker 6: their wife, and the same thay, they don't know that,
- 18:00Speaker 6: and they need to be told that in the second
- 18:02Speaker 6: freaking sentence of the article. But they also need to
- 18:04Speaker 6: know what her name is. Clearly, what's happening here is
- 18:09Speaker 6: this is the New York Times. They want a piece
- 18:11Speaker 6: of this Instagram likes action, but they know it would
- 18:16Speaker 6: debase the paper too much to put Instagram likes in
- 18:21Speaker 6: a headline like Jewish Insider free press. They don't mind
- 18:24Speaker 6: putting the phrase Instagram likes in a headline breaking points,
- 18:28Speaker 6: we have no pride.
- 18:29Speaker 5: We'll do it.
- 18:30Speaker 6: But like the New York Times, they have some like
- 18:34Speaker 6: some version of self respect.
- 18:36Speaker 4: Well you know what this is.
- 18:37Speaker 3: I mean, here's inside baseball when you're I'm sure they
- 18:40Speaker 3: have some type of version of word press. That's the
- 18:42Speaker 3: is the New York Times back end, and it will
- 18:45Speaker 3: SEO optimize, like the AI will SEO optimize.
- 18:49Speaker 5: That's funny. Well that was it though.
- 18:51Speaker 3: I mean, because you guys use subsex, you probably don't
- 18:53Speaker 3: use WordPress. But it will automatically do it.
- 18:55Speaker 5: Like how do we hook this into the story?
- 18:57Speaker 4: There's like a red light, yellow light, green light.
- 18:59Speaker 3: And so if you know that people are googling Rama Duagi,
- 19:03Speaker 3: or even if you don't, the AI knows it, and
- 19:05Speaker 3: so you can keep adding keywords and stuff too. And
- 19:09Speaker 3: if you put her name in, you can get in
- 19:11Speaker 3: the SEO. When Google news is aggregating and people are
- 19:13Speaker 3: googling Rama Duagi because people are googling and seeing it
- 19:16Speaker 3: on Instagram, then they can click on the New York
- 19:18Speaker 3: Times story.
- 19:19Speaker 6: That's my conspiracy for sure. They clearly want to get
- 19:21Speaker 6: in that stream. Now you might might disagree about this,
- 19:26Speaker 6: but I'm curious, so we'll see.
- 19:29Speaker 5: So this same reporter.
- 19:32Speaker 6: Then shows up at a press conference and asks mom Donnie,
- 19:38Speaker 6: what his message is to potential ISIS terrorists.
- 19:42Speaker 5: Let's roll D five here.
- 19:44Speaker 4: Hi.
- 19:45Speaker 11: So, given that both of the alleged attackers at Gracie
- 19:49Speaker 11: were said they were inspired by ISIS, and given New
- 19:51Speaker 11: York City's sort of perennial status as a soft target,
- 19:55Speaker 11: I was wondering if you had any you know, words
- 19:57Speaker 11: of advice to any young people who might find themselves
- 20:00Speaker 11: being drawn to that particular ideology.
- 20:03Speaker 12: I think, first and foremost, just to make it clear
- 20:06Speaker 12: to everyone that extremism and hatred of any kind will
- 20:11Speaker 12: not be tolerated in our city. And that is regardless
- 20:19Speaker 12: of whatever ideology motivates any person to commit an act
- 20:22Speaker 12: of violence, there is no tolerance for it here. What
- 20:25Speaker 12: we want to deliver to New Yorkers is a city
- 20:27Speaker 12: that is safe, is a city that believes in the values,
- 20:31Speaker 12: where everyone who calls at home is considered to be
- 20:33Speaker 12: a part of it. There is no tolerance for any
- 20:35Speaker 12: kind of violence within that vision of our city or
- 20:38Speaker 12: the way in which we lead this city.
- 20:40Speaker 5: All right, Emily to me.
- 20:43Speaker 6: That New York Times same New York Times reporter that
- 20:45Speaker 6: did that piece saying why didn't he do a TikTok
- 20:47Speaker 6: implying that, like, I don't know what she's trying to imply, saying,
- 20:53Speaker 6: what are your words of advice for young young men
- 20:55Speaker 6: attracted isis? Like me, that's like, why, like you think
- 21:01Speaker 6: that a young man who is attracted to isis. I
- 21:06Speaker 6: don't know how to tell her this is not is
- 21:09Speaker 6: not listening to Mom Donnie at that point. They are
- 21:11Speaker 6: so far gone from that they think Mam Donnie is
- 21:15Speaker 6: heradic At that point of course, you have like the
- 21:21Speaker 6: only way you can, from my perspective, have that view
- 21:25Speaker 6: is that, oh, well, isis is Muslim?
- 21:28Speaker 5: Mam Donnie's Muslim. It's all basically the same.
- 21:31Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, No.
- 21:34Speaker 3: They do it with like I'm sure I would have
- 21:37Speaker 3: to go back and look, but they do it with
- 21:38Speaker 3: like right quote unquote white right wing like white nationalist, extremist,
- 21:42Speaker 3: Christian whatever all the time too. And it's the media
- 21:45Speaker 3: trying to shoehorn some type of story into like tying
- 21:51Speaker 3: someone together to the narrative big story of the day.
- 21:55Speaker 4: And no, I think it's stupid. It's completely like the
- 21:58Speaker 4: idea that those.
- 22:01Speaker 3: Radical apparently isis followers who are throwing explosive devices outside
- 22:06Speaker 3: Gracie Mansion at what seemed to be like fringe right
- 22:10Speaker 3: wing protesters.
- 22:11Speaker 4: We're doing it on behalf of Zara maam Dani is bizarre.
- 22:17Speaker 3: It's the predicate of the question is so weird and
- 22:20Speaker 3: I think you're right, reflects this very legacy media, corporate
- 22:25Speaker 3: media cartoonish understanding of how extremism works.
- 22:30Speaker 5: Yeah, no, I agree with you, and so Jake Tapper.
- 22:34Speaker 6: So there is a war on like the US and
- 22:38Speaker 6: Israel at war with Iran right now. So he dedicated
- 22:41Speaker 6: one segment to Macmodkhalil having dinner and the wife's Instagram posts.
- 22:49Speaker 6: He then did a separate segment. This is the same
- 22:52Speaker 6: day that he decided to call share a post calling
- 22:55Speaker 6: Drop site news propaganda and fake news. He invited on
- 23:00Speaker 6: and Israeli analyst who proudly talks about her links to
- 23:05Speaker 6: Israeli intelligence, to ask them, you know what, I don't want.
- 23:09Speaker 5: To spoil it for you here, Let's roll a little
- 23:12Speaker 5: bit of d eight here.
- 23:13Speaker 8: Emily, you've been talking to Iranians on the ground about
- 23:16Speaker 8: the strikes and about Iranian leadership going forward. How do
- 23:19Speaker 8: the Iranians you're talking to, how do they see the
- 23:22Speaker 8: future unfolding in Iran?
- 23:26Speaker 13: Of course, there's a lot of uncertainty, and there's a
- 23:28Speaker 13: lot of problems with the Internet still being shut off,
- 23:30Speaker 13: although there is some limited use with Starlink and limited
- 23:34Speaker 13: other options. But by and large, the responses from Iranians
- 23:37Speaker 13: that I've spoken to has been overwhelmingly in favor of
- 23:41Speaker 13: the United States and Israeli action on the ground. They're
- 23:45Speaker 13: very happy that regime targets, many of them the centers
- 23:48Speaker 13: of suppression of the Iranian people. Many of these besiege
- 23:52Speaker 13: IRGC bases and forces are in fact being targeted, so
- 23:56Speaker 13: they're happy about that. The main complaint that I'm hearing
- 23:59Speaker 13: right now on the grind is that they're witnessing personally
- 24:02Speaker 13: witnessing IERGC troops moving into schools and mosques. I've received
- 24:07Speaker 13: a plethora of photos from Iranians on the ground of
- 24:10Speaker 13: exactly that, moving both the force, the manpower and weapons
- 24:14Speaker 13: and equipment into school areas. So this is something very concerning.
- 24:18Speaker 13: It's not new, it is a tactic of the Islamic
- 24:21Speaker 13: regime and their proxy forces, but it's definitely concerning for
- 24:24Speaker 13: the future, and of course there is some questioning about
- 24:26Speaker 13: what President Trump does intend for the leadership the United
- 24:31Speaker 13: call from the Iranian people on the ground is that
- 24:33Speaker 13: they want the Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi to lead a
- 24:36Speaker 13: transition government. After that go to a national referendum. Well,
- 24:40Speaker 13: they will choose the system of government. But it's not
- 24:42Speaker 13: clear yet where Trump stands on that issue. And we
- 24:45Speaker 13: heard it in his press conference as well, he prefers
- 24:47Speaker 13: someone inside. The problem is it isn't Venezuela. It's not
- 24:51Speaker 13: the same system, and you have to deconstruct that system,
- 24:54Speaker 13: the IERGC, in order to have genuine change and stability.
- 24:58Speaker 6: Interesting stuff, So, Emily, can you imagine if Iranian State
- 25:03Speaker 6: TV brought on an Iranian analyst who said he had
- 25:10Speaker 6: ties to Iranian intelligence and they asked him, how are
- 25:15Speaker 6: the Israeli's feeling about the Iranian bombing campaign on Israel.
- 25:22Speaker 5: First of all, you'd.
- 25:23Speaker 6: Be like, Okay, this is this is amazing. I'm just
- 25:26Speaker 6: gonna watch to see what the guy says at this point.
- 25:28Speaker 6: And let's say the guy says, all the Israelis that
- 25:31Speaker 6: I'm talking to, they're so grateful for the Iranian bombing.
- 25:35Speaker 6: They hate and net in Yahoo they hate Lakud, They
- 25:40Speaker 6: look forward to liberation. And they have told us that
- 25:44Speaker 6: the IDF is now hiding in synagogues and in schools
- 25:49Speaker 6: and in hospitals. So if you start to see news
- 25:52Speaker 6: that the Iranians are bombing the civilian infrastructure, just know
- 25:56Speaker 6: that our sources in Israel have told us that the
- 25:58Speaker 6: IDF is hiding in the school and sittagogues and the hospitals.
- 26:02Speaker 6: And so because that's what they do, they hide among
- 26:05Speaker 6: the civilian population. They have their as we know, we
- 26:07Speaker 6: have their headquarters in Tel Aviv, well underground. Can you
- 26:10Speaker 6: imagine like a state like I don't I think Iranian
- 26:13Speaker 6: State TV.
- 26:16Speaker 5: Would not even think to run a segment like that.
- 26:19Speaker 6: I don't know, to have an Iranian spy say that
- 26:23Speaker 6: the Israelis love getting bombed. Maybe they would maybe creative,
- 26:28Speaker 6: Maybe maybe they would try.
- 26:29Speaker 4: That it is creative. You'd have to give them that.
- 26:32Speaker 6: So yeah, so according to this Israeli intel linked analysts, ah,
- 26:39Speaker 6: the Iranians are very happy.
- 26:41Speaker 3: It's crazy how the same playbook just gets reused over
- 26:48Speaker 3: and over again. I mean, we were don't like this
- 26:51Speaker 3: is what was happening in the lead up to the
- 26:52Speaker 3: Iraq War. It was over a longer period of time,
- 26:55Speaker 3: but it was like, yeah, and it has real consequences
- 27:00Speaker 3: because when you talk to people on the right now,
- 27:03Speaker 3: specifically in the right, how many times you hear people
- 27:06Speaker 3: citing information like that as one of the reasons that
- 27:08Speaker 3: makes them more.
- 27:09Speaker 4: Comfortable, right right, Like it's grateful for it.
- 27:12Speaker 3: Very real world, very real world consequences. And it's kind
- 27:15Speaker 3: of gross too, because in a sense, it's exploiting the
- 27:20Speaker 3: goodwill of a lot of Americans who, whatever you think of,
- 27:25Speaker 3: you know, the leader's decisions, the decisions leaders have made
- 27:29Speaker 3: over the last twenty or so years, there are a
- 27:31Speaker 3: lot of normal Americans who do want to be like
- 27:34Speaker 3: quote liberators, who have a good reason for wanting to
- 27:38Speaker 3: see people free whatever whatever. Again, you and I look
- 27:44Speaker 3: at that much more cynically than a lot of normal
- 27:47Speaker 3: people do, and do just want to see like people
- 27:50Speaker 3: around the world be free and happy and whatever. You
- 27:55Speaker 3: and I are cynical about that for good reasons. Many
- 27:57Speaker 3: people are cynical about that for good reasons. But it
- 28:00Speaker 3: makes it even grosser to me because it feels exploitive
- 28:03Speaker 3: of this like instinct among normal Americans to see people
- 28:08Speaker 3: be freed from oppression.
- 28:10Speaker 5: Yeah, it's gross.
- 28:12Speaker 10: Oh.
- 28:12Speaker 6: By the way, the New York Times responded when you
- 28:14Speaker 6: put up D seven speaking of debasing themselves or and
- 28:18Speaker 6: they were in my replies here on Twitter saying they said,
- 28:23Speaker 6: this is in response to the Dana Rubinstein article criticizing.
- 28:27Speaker 5: Mamdani for not doing a TikTok.
- 28:29Speaker 6: The Times report quote The Times reporting covered the mayor's
- 28:32Speaker 6: comments and their careful, measured nature fairly and accurately, including
- 28:37Speaker 6: the departure from his more direct and engaged messaging strategy
- 28:41Speaker 6: during his election campaign, to which and say like, Okay,
- 28:44Speaker 6: do you think that a election campaign and a terrorist
- 28:48Speaker 6: attack are the same thing? Do you think campaigning and
- 28:51Speaker 6: governing are the same thing? If you think that those
- 28:55Speaker 6: if you think campaigning and a terrorist attack are different things,
- 29:00Speaker 6: why would it be notable for a politician to have
- 29:04Speaker 6: different responses to different things. I think that Times is very,
- 29:09Speaker 6: very confused. So anyway, that's and this kind of all
- 29:15Speaker 6: kicked off and we don't need to really get into this.
- 29:19Speaker 6: Tapper was coming out after us because.
- 29:23Speaker 4: Tapper and lots of others and lots of it was
- 29:25Speaker 4: a pylon.
- 29:26Speaker 6: Yeah, saying over the October seventh sexual assault stuff, which
- 29:34Speaker 6: is starting to feel like kind of a lab league
- 29:38Speaker 6: moment in some quarters. And what I mean by that
- 29:40Speaker 6: is that the mainstream media has never basically acknowledged that
- 29:47Speaker 6: COVID came out.
- 29:48Speaker 5: Of the WUHANLU.
- 29:50Speaker 6: There have been some articles that have gotten kind of
- 29:52Speaker 6: close to it, but in general, the kind of mainstream
- 29:54Speaker 6: media is they've left it at It's probably the batsuit
- 30:01Speaker 6: that they were slinging in that wet market. Ye, the pangolins, Yeah,
- 30:06Speaker 6: well whatever, it was some kind of weird animals that
- 30:08Speaker 6: those you know, crazy hicks out in Muhan eat.
- 30:12Speaker 5: So yet if you do a survey, huge majorities say.
- 30:19Speaker 6: No, no, it came out of the Wuhan Coronavirus lab,
- 30:22Speaker 6: like we're not stupid, Like that's where we think it
- 30:24Speaker 6: came out of. I feel like this is becoming a
- 30:28Speaker 6: similar thing now. There are huge swaths of the public
- 30:32Speaker 6: that don't have that have not studied this question and
- 30:35Speaker 6: have not looked closely at it, and they're going to believe. Oh,
- 30:38Speaker 6: the Guardian and the New York Times have said there
- 30:43Speaker 6: was systemic sexual assault, So there was, But a massive
- 30:49Speaker 6: number of people have actually looked at it, have read
- 30:52Speaker 6: the actual reports, and have noticed that there are not
- 30:55Speaker 6: any like victims who have said.
- 31:00Speaker 5: That it happened to them.
- 31:02Speaker 6: That the all of the claims that there was forensic
- 31:05Speaker 6: evidence and video evidence and photographs that were made at
- 31:08Speaker 6: the beginning, those all uh, those all those never materialized,
- 31:14Speaker 6: like none of none of that actually has emerged.
- 31:19Speaker 10: Uh.
- 31:20Speaker 6: And and you're left with this United Nations, you know,
- 31:23Speaker 6: Permeila patent report that says that there is there are
- 31:25Speaker 6: quote reasonable grounds to believe that it happened, and that's true.
- 31:28Speaker 3: Which you've agreed with, of course, I've been here next
- 31:31Speaker 3: to you for years.
- 31:32Speaker 4: You've always agreed.
- 31:33Speaker 5: With that chaos and violence.
- 31:34Speaker 6: Of course, that that alone are is reasonable grounds to
- 31:38Speaker 6: believe that something may have happened. That is different than
- 31:41Speaker 6: saying this happened. Now what people will say as well,
- 31:45Speaker 6: it's it's conflict and like people, some people, some of
- 31:49Speaker 6: the victims were killed perhaps so they can't testify.
- 31:53Speaker 4: And Jewish burial customs and the like.
- 31:55Speaker 6: And so the point to that real challenge, which is
- 31:58Speaker 6: which conflicts with the earlier claims that they're was you know,
- 32:00Speaker 6: forensic evidence collected.
- 32:03Speaker 5: But if you if you look at all of the.
- 32:06Speaker 6: Other conflicts where there has been systemic sexual assault, whether
- 32:12Speaker 6: it's Rwanda or Mayan mar or Sudan, there are.
- 32:18Speaker 5: So many named victims and so much evidence.
- 32:25Speaker 6: This would be the first case of systemic sexual assault
- 32:30Speaker 6: carried out in a conflict zone that left.
- 32:33Speaker 5: No evidence to support it. I mean, I guess there can.
- 32:38Speaker 6: Always be a first, but this would be the only
- 32:40Speaker 6: time that's ever happened. Every time it has happened before,
- 32:44Speaker 6: there are there are people who credibly witnessed it, and
- 32:47Speaker 6: there are people who were survivors of it, who talk
- 32:51Speaker 6: about it, who's and whose names you know you can find,
- 32:56Speaker 6: and who speak to human rights groups, et cetera.
- 32:58Speaker 5: We we just we don't have that here.
- 33:00Speaker 6: And so they also point to this thing called the
- 33:02Speaker 6: Dina Project Report, which is jointly a UK.
- 33:05Speaker 5: And Israel project. Go look at the Dina Project Report.
- 33:09Speaker 6: It spends most of its time arguing that the previous
- 33:14Speaker 6: evidentiary standards that have been applied to these types of
- 33:19Speaker 6: situations should be thrown out in this case, and that
- 33:25Speaker 6: I witnessed testimony, forensic evidence, etc. Shouldn't be needed and instead,
- 33:33Speaker 6: I know this is hard to believe, but go read
- 33:35Speaker 6: the report because people link to it all the time.
- 33:37Speaker 6: Look at the Dina Project report. This makes our case.
- 33:40Speaker 6: Look at the actual Dena Project report. What they argue
- 33:42Speaker 6: is that you should be able to use deduction and
- 33:45Speaker 6: circumstantial evidence to make your case. So according to the
- 33:49Speaker 6: Dina Project report, which is the thing constantly being cited
- 33:54Speaker 6: by people to establish that it definitively happened, their base
- 34:00Speaker 6: their claims on deduction and circumstantial evidence. Maybe they're correct,
- 34:05Speaker 6: that is different than what they're claiming. So that's that's
- 34:09Speaker 6: the point.
- 34:11Speaker 4: People.
- 34:11Speaker 3: I mean, again, there's this giants straw man that's out there.
- 34:16Speaker 3: You are denying any possibility that any of this happened,
- 34:21Speaker 3: and it's just never been true at all. You've been
- 34:24Speaker 3: patiently going through the evidence as it was present.
- 34:27Speaker 5: Yeah, just want some evidence. Yeah, So and so the
- 34:31Speaker 5: public is not.
- 34:32Speaker 6: I think the public that has paid attention to this,
- 34:35Speaker 6: I think at this point gets it that massive claims
- 34:41Speaker 6: were made that were not supported at the time and
- 34:44Speaker 6: haven't been supported since, and those claims were used to
- 34:48Speaker 6: launch a campaign of violence that killed at least seventy
- 34:52Speaker 6: thousand people and has a miserated population two million in
- 34:57Speaker 6: pursuit of genocide and ethic closing like that.
- 35:00Speaker 5: That's what happened.
- 35:01Speaker 3: Well on this point about the public and what people believe,
- 35:05Speaker 3: how they've reacted the last several years. You all at
- 35:07Speaker 3: drop site and have partnered with Zatao to produce new
- 35:11Speaker 3: polling information that should give us some insight into how
- 35:14Speaker 3: people are reacting in the first couple of weeks of
- 35:17Speaker 3: this war and with Iran.
- 35:18Speaker 6: Yeah, this is really interesting. So yeah, let's get to
- 35:23Speaker 6: some of that polling. So drop Site and Zatao sponsored
- 35:27Speaker 6: a poll that was done for Data for Progress. So
- 35:30Speaker 6: it was out in the field from March sixth to
- 35:33Speaker 6: March eighth, and it interviewed more than one thousand, two
- 35:38Speaker 6: hundred likely voters, so, you know, just standard normal poll
- 35:42Speaker 6: that the mainstream media likes to conduct. The differences, we
- 35:45Speaker 6: ask some of the same questions that the mainstream media asks, like.
- 35:48Speaker 5: You know, do you support oppose the war in Iran?
- 35:51Speaker 6: But then we also kind of went deeper into how
- 35:56Speaker 6: people think about Trump's motivations for the war, what role
- 35:59Speaker 6: is real played, but also what role Epstein might have played.
- 36:03Speaker 6: So we asked So the question we asked was when
- 36:06Speaker 6: it comes to US military action against Iran, which of
- 36:09Speaker 6: the following statements regarding presidents Trump's personal motivations comes close
- 36:14Speaker 6: to your view, closer to your view if neither is right.
- 36:16Speaker 6: So let's put up E five and so basically, the
- 36:21Speaker 6: question is, was Trump motivated at least in part to
- 36:24Speaker 6: attack Iran to distract from the Jeffrey Epstein scandal. Overall,
- 36:31Speaker 6: by a fifty two to forty margin, the American people
- 36:35Speaker 6: said yes, Epstein was at least in part motivating Trump
- 36:42Speaker 6: to attack Iran.
- 36:44Speaker 5: Now, Independence mirrored that precisely.
- 36:46Speaker 4: There's a question nobody else is going to ask.
- 36:48Speaker 5: That's right, nobody else is gonna ask that question.
- 36:49Speaker 6: But it turns out a majority of the public agrees
- 36:53Speaker 6: with it, and posters would never have asked this if
- 36:55Speaker 6: we had to asked them to.
- 36:57Speaker 5: So Independence.
- 37:00Speaker 6: Completely mirrored the public by a fifty two to forty margin.
- 37:05Speaker 6: Independence who really swung the election for Trump? They believe
- 37:09Speaker 6: that Trump was motivated at least in part to attack
- 37:11Speaker 6: Iran to distract from Epstein. Now, Republicans, as you'll see
- 37:14Speaker 6: in this chart here, were the least likely to believe
- 37:17Speaker 6: that that's not surprising. But still a quarter of Republicans
- 37:22Speaker 6: said yeah, okay, I'll know that that's something with Epstein.
- 37:26Speaker 6: For Democrats, it's basically an article of faith. So yeah, well,
- 37:30Speaker 6: of course Democrats are eighty one percent to fourteen percent
- 37:34Speaker 6: believe that Epstein at least in part played a role
- 37:41Speaker 6: in driving his decision making for Emily. How would you
- 37:46Speaker 6: have answered that question and were you? Are you surprised
- 37:49Speaker 6: at a solid majority fifty two to forty That's we're
- 37:53Speaker 6: pretty divided country. That's there's there's still division there, but like,
- 37:57Speaker 6: at least among independents and Democrats, there's not.
- 38:00Speaker 5: Like people are like, yeah, it was Epstein played a role.
- 38:05Speaker 3: I'm not surprised at all, But I also would have
- 38:08Speaker 3: I'm like one of the few people that just doesn't
- 38:11Speaker 3: think this had anything to do with it, because I
- 38:13Speaker 3: think the administration really wanted to.
- 38:16Speaker 4: Attack a Ron. I think they really wanted to do it.
- 38:19Speaker 3: I think Israel gave them a kind of predicate or
- 38:23Speaker 3: a precipitating moment, like a kick, that allowed them to
- 38:27Speaker 3: do it. But yes, I think maybe not Jade Vanson,
- 38:30Speaker 3: Tulci Gabbert, but I do think Donald Trump, Marco Rubio
- 38:33Speaker 3: and others in the administration, you know, even though they
- 38:37Speaker 3: were getting counseled by Dan Kine, maybe not a good idea,
- 38:40Speaker 3: but there are people for whom this is a generational project,
- 38:43Speaker 3: and Israel saying they're going to make a move. I
- 38:48Speaker 3: just think that gave Republicans an easy excuse, and that's
- 38:52Speaker 3: what had everything to do with it. It's like the
- 38:54Speaker 3: culmination of a generational project since nineteen seventy nine to
- 38:59Speaker 3: get back ran m sohere, that's where I'm skeptical of it.
- 39:04Speaker 4: That said, it's possible that there.
- 39:06Speaker 3: Are layers of blackmail we won't learn about for decades
- 39:09Speaker 3: that had something to do with it. That actually Trump
- 39:12Speaker 3: really didn't want to do it. He knew that it
- 39:14Speaker 3: was against what he had said about not starting new wars.
- 39:17Speaker 3: Dan Kine was selling this bad idea, So it's possible.
- 39:20Speaker 3: It's possible there is some mystery to why it happened now,
- 39:23Speaker 3: but my strong inclination is that many people have wanted
- 39:25Speaker 3: to do this for a long long time and they
- 39:27Speaker 3: got an excuse bya Israel So that's how I would
- 39:29Speaker 3: have answered. But it's a great question.
- 39:31Speaker 5: I think the lack of any coherent rationale.
- 39:34Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I agree, I.
- 39:35Speaker 6: Think fuels people's willingness to believe anything else. Yeah, because like,
- 39:40Speaker 6: give me something and I'll believe it. But if you
- 39:43Speaker 6: don't give me anything, I'm going to go looking for answers.
- 39:45Speaker 6: I think you're probably right that absent Epstein, that this,
- 39:49Speaker 6: that Trump does this anyway.
- 39:50Speaker 5: Yeah, I also think that in.
- 39:52Speaker 6: His mind as he was thinking about whether or not
- 39:54Speaker 6: to do it or when to do it, I bet
- 39:56Speaker 6: part of it was like, well, it sure will be
- 39:59Speaker 6: nice to not have to think about Epstein anymore every
- 40:03Speaker 6: single day, all day long. Whether or not that drove
- 40:06Speaker 6: the decision making. So that's why I think like, at
- 40:09Speaker 6: least in part like, okay, at least in part. Now,
- 40:12Speaker 6: according to the Washington Post and the Anti Defamation League,
- 40:17Speaker 6: this is an anti Semitic view. We can put up
- 40:20Speaker 6: this first element, the first element of from this segment.
- 40:26Speaker 6: So it says that the conflict has also sparked a
- 40:28Speaker 6: sharp rise and anti Submitic content, according to researchers from
- 40:32Speaker 6: the ADL, a Jewish civil rights organization, some of it
- 40:35Speaker 6: seeking to link Epstein, who was Jewish, to the conflict,
- 40:38Speaker 6: reports the Washington Post. And then they quote or In Siegel,
- 40:42Speaker 6: who's the ADL's quote, senior vice president of Counter Extremism
- 40:46Speaker 6: and Intelligence, saying, quote, pretty quickly after the conflict began,
- 40:50Speaker 6: this conspiratorial rebranding of Operation Epic Fury into Operation Epstein
- 40:57Speaker 6: Fury started circulating on social media platforms. Max Blumenthal, by
- 41:01Speaker 6: the way, has said that he was the first to
- 41:03Speaker 6: float that I don't have any evidence to the contrary,
- 41:05Speaker 6: all right, and ADL and then the Washing Post writes
- 41:10Speaker 6: an ADL report found that the phrase quote Epstein Fury
- 41:15Speaker 6: was mentioned more than ninety thousand times by some sixty
- 41:19Speaker 6: thousand different accounts on x within the conflicts first three days.
- 41:25Speaker 6: The same Post article says that Iran has been pushing
- 41:29Speaker 6: this and that the people who believe this are kind
- 41:35Speaker 6: of victims of Iranian an Iranian miss or disinformation campaign.
- 41:40Speaker 6: I don't know which one it is. It's Iranian styop
- 41:44Speaker 6: if that's the case.
- 41:45Speaker 3: I mean, the Iranians have been intentionally in their propaganda
- 41:48Speaker 3: pushing this line over and over.
- 41:50Speaker 4: Again, that it's what is it Epstein class. Yeah.
- 41:53Speaker 3: And the iotol was talking about the island before he
- 41:56Speaker 3: was killed.
- 41:57Speaker 4: The isold was like, ah more will be exposed.
- 42:00Speaker 6: This disgusting island or a pedophile island or whatever you
- 42:02Speaker 6: called it.
- 42:03Speaker 3: And it is like a lot of the ebsain emails
- 42:06Speaker 3: that drop site has been reporting on we're likely linked
- 42:08Speaker 3: to an Iranian hacking operation. Is definitely part of the
- 42:11Speaker 3: Iranian propaganda strategy too.
- 42:15Speaker 4: And hey, we gave them that one on a silver platter.
- 42:18Speaker 5: Yep.
- 42:19Speaker 4: Yes, people of the United States.
- 42:21Speaker 6: Yes, the the hacker outfit Hondala, which is said to
- 42:26Speaker 6: be linked to Iran, we can't confirm it, but we
- 42:28Speaker 6: suspect that that's the case, is the one that released
- 42:31Speaker 6: a hudbarox emails which kicked off a lot of this stuff.
- 42:36Speaker 6: So that's that's an actual that's an actual thing. So
- 42:39Speaker 6: let's run through some some more of the of the
- 42:42Speaker 6: polling here.
- 42:44Speaker 5: So let's do E two.
- 42:45Speaker 6: Do you approve of the Trump administration's military action in Iran?
- 42:48Speaker 6: Disapproved Democrats shockingly not, you know, ninety two to six
- 42:52Speaker 6: against super divided Here Republicans seventy nine nineteen support independence
- 42:58Speaker 6: against it sixty to thirty six. So nineteen percent of Republicans,
- 43:06Speaker 6: I think, people hopeful for a kind of unified cross
- 43:13Speaker 6: party no opposition to war, are sad to see just
- 43:18Speaker 6: nineteen percent.
- 43:19Speaker 5: What do you make of What do you make of that?
- 43:21Speaker 4: Well, I'm glad that it's not less.
- 43:23Speaker 5: It's true. Nineteen is not nothing.
- 43:25Speaker 3: It's not less, right, but among independents that's a brutal
- 43:29Speaker 3: number for the administration, sixty percent disapproval and.
- 43:32Speaker 5: One of the beginning of the war too.
- 43:34Speaker 6: Yes, and one of this is when you're supposed to
- 43:35Speaker 6: be a riding high great point.
- 43:38Speaker 3: And one of the big questions is whether how much
- 43:45Speaker 3: people care? Right, this is something that animates people politically,
- 43:49Speaker 3: at least to go to the polls or to be
- 43:51Speaker 3: pissed at Trump. Is it something that they're like, hey,
- 43:53Speaker 3: I think this is pretty clearly the l like this
- 43:55Speaker 3: is something that people will care about.
- 43:57Speaker 4: Absolutely.
- 43:58Speaker 3: The other thing that jumps out to me is that
- 44:01Speaker 3: number of Democrats only six percent approval. I wish we
- 44:04Speaker 3: could do a poll of Senate Democrats.
- 44:08Speaker 4: I always wish we could.
- 44:09Speaker 5: Do that secoll.
- 44:10Speaker 3: Yes, anonymous, Yes, a secret pool of Senate Democrats. It's
- 44:14Speaker 3: the same thing with Senate Republicans in Ukraine, right, Like,
- 44:17Speaker 3: if you could pull Republican voters and then pull Republican senators,
- 44:21Speaker 3: if you could pull Democratic voters and then pull Democratic senators,
- 44:25Speaker 3: I would love to see the discrepancy.
- 44:26Speaker 6: Other than Spatterman. They won't admit it, right, but yes,
- 44:30Speaker 6: So let's do E three. This is the punishment that
- 44:33Speaker 6: candidates would take if they supported it. So are you
- 44:37Speaker 6: more or less likely to vote for a twenty twenty
- 44:39Speaker 6: eight presidential candidate who supports war with Iran if you're
- 44:42Speaker 6: a Democratic primary voter said eighty three percent less likely.
- 44:46Speaker 5: Independence said sixty one percent.
- 44:49Speaker 6: Less likely to vote for somebody who supports the war
- 44:51Speaker 6: with Iran, whereas Republicans fifty nine percent more likely. Now, Democrats,
- 44:59Speaker 6: there basically aren't to any that are other than Fetterman
- 45:01Speaker 6: and like four Gouton's over in the House who are
- 45:03Speaker 6: publicly supporting the war. But it's a spectrum. You know,
- 45:08Speaker 6: there's a lot of a lot of Democrats are like
- 45:11Speaker 6: they're leading with Iran can never have a nuclear program.
- 45:15Speaker 6: And then they're saying and we need hearings to be
- 45:18Speaker 6: to have the rationale like explained to us, and we
- 45:22Speaker 6: need to investigate all of these things.
- 45:24Speaker 5: It's like, well, wait a minute, let's end the war first.
- 45:27Speaker 6: Yeah, Like, there aren't a whole lot of Democrats who
- 45:30Speaker 6: are just like, it's time to end the war, Like immediately,
- 45:34Speaker 6: the war's bad, stop it.
- 45:36Speaker 5: We can do hearings and investigations later, that's great.
- 45:40Speaker 6: But for now, it is to stop the killing and
- 45:42Speaker 6: stop the disruption of the entire global economy.
- 45:47Speaker 5: How's that going to affect those Republican primaries.
- 45:49Speaker 3: Well, so that's a really good question to ask in
- 45:52Speaker 3: the poll because it does get to what we were
- 45:55Speaker 3: just talking about, how much does this matter?
- 45:58Speaker 10: Right?
- 45:58Speaker 3: Is it one of those things where it's like I
- 45:59Speaker 3: disagree with Trump, where I disagree with the Republican Party,
- 46:02Speaker 3: but I don't really it's not at the high high
- 46:05Speaker 3: end of my priority list, And I think this shows
- 46:08Speaker 3: that for a lot of people it does actually affect
- 46:10Speaker 3: voting patterns. Twenty percent for Republicans, so similar to the
- 46:13Speaker 3: nineteen percent in the prior question about disagreeing or disagreeing Trump,
- 46:18Speaker 3: what we've seen has record high levels of support from
- 46:21Speaker 3: Republican voters, but they're down from his previous records, so
- 46:25Speaker 3: hemorrhaging some like I think it is around ten percent.
- 46:28Speaker 3: Harrienton has gone through these numbers over the last year.
- 46:31Speaker 3: That's actually interesting because that's a question of whether the
- 46:34Speaker 3: MAGA core of strong, strong supporters, enthusiastic supporters are disappointed
- 46:40Speaker 3: by the president, and that gets to whether people are
- 46:43Speaker 3: in the county Republican office, phone banking, putting up signs,
- 46:49Speaker 3: small dollar donors, these types of things. So the twenty
- 46:52Speaker 3: percent number is it actually really isn't nothing. It's a
- 46:59Speaker 3: clear your majority, as is the case with most of
- 47:02Speaker 3: what Trump does. But it's not nothing in terms of
- 47:06Speaker 3: like the political ramifications. I bet if you asked that
- 47:08Speaker 3: question among Republicans about George W. Bush in April two
- 47:13Speaker 3: thousand and three, wherever this would have been higher support
- 47:18Speaker 3: among Republicans, I bet that number wouldn't have been twenty percent.
- 47:21Speaker 3: I bet it would have been like Democrats against four.
- 47:25Speaker 3: So not nothing, but a good gauge of how much
- 47:29Speaker 3: this matters for independence and Democrats.
- 47:32Speaker 6: Now E four is a very interesting question when it
- 47:39Speaker 6: comes to US military actions. Run which of the following
- 47:42Speaker 6: statements regarding President Trump's personal motivations comes closer to your
- 47:45Speaker 6: view even if another Neither is exactly right. So we asked,
- 47:50Speaker 6: is Trump pursuing this war more for American interests or
- 47:54Speaker 6: Israeli interests? I guess it looks like we don't have
- 47:58Speaker 6: the overall on there. But the overall was fifty percent
- 48:04Speaker 6: said American interests, forty one percent said Israeli interests, So
- 48:14Speaker 6: a majority will give them that. Now, among independents, fifty
- 48:18Speaker 6: percent said it was Israeli interests and just forty four
- 48:22Speaker 6: percent said American interests. So so two points of this,
- 48:25Speaker 6: We'll give them this. A majority of the public thinks
- 48:28Speaker 6: that Trump went to war for American interests, but just
- 48:31Speaker 6: fifty percent. There has never an American history been a
- 48:37Speaker 6: war of any size, let alone this size that a
- 48:40Speaker 6: president went into and forty one percent of the public
- 48:45Speaker 6: thinks he did it for a foreign country that has
- 48:48Speaker 6: never happened, like never, like not even close, like.
- 48:56Speaker 5: Iraq war.
- 48:59Speaker 6: People thought that was oil companies. Yeah, maybe you can
- 49:03Speaker 6: get forty percent saying.
- 49:04Speaker 3: Well, like five years in people or two years in
- 49:07Speaker 3: it is probably more accurate.
- 49:08Speaker 4: Right, it was becoming hot on.
- 49:09Speaker 6: Yeah, exactly, Vietnam, American interests rolling back Communist like for
- 49:15Speaker 6: against the war. You didn't think that we were doing
- 49:18Speaker 6: it for like Sri Lanka.
- 49:20Speaker 3: Now we were the country that was pushing proxies into
- 49:24Speaker 3: these types of wars. Yeah, and so which, by the way,
- 49:29Speaker 3: I just this is my position, Like I actually again
- 49:31Speaker 3: on this question, would have disagreed with the line that
- 49:35Speaker 3: it was primarily is really interest because my point is
- 49:39Speaker 3: there are a lot of people interests, yes, and there
- 49:41Speaker 3: are a lot of people in the American government who
- 49:43Speaker 3: are saying Israeli interests and American interests are absolutely intertwined.
- 49:47Speaker 3: It's the Lindsay Graham line, and the Lindsay Grahams won
- 49:50Speaker 3: this argument that Mike Huckabees won, this argument that the
- 49:54Speaker 3: American and Israeli interests are one and the same. And
- 49:58Speaker 3: or they'll say it's American interest visav China. And they
- 50:01Speaker 3: really convinced themselves, they really believe that at the end
- 50:04Speaker 3: of the day, they just wanted to bomb run That's
- 50:07Speaker 3: what they wanted to do.
- 50:08Speaker 5: So we can put up E five. This is a
- 50:11Speaker 5: related question.
- 50:12Speaker 6: I was curious how much people were hearing about the
- 50:16Speaker 6: attack on the Iran girls school that happened at the
- 50:21Speaker 6: very early hours of the war.
- 50:23Speaker 3: So the question here is have you read, seen, or
- 50:25Speaker 3: heard about the attacks on a girl school in Iran
- 50:27Speaker 3: last weekend? Democrats came in at seventy seven percent yes,
- 50:32Speaker 3: Republicans sixty percent yes, Independence sixty six percent yes. So
- 50:37Speaker 3: across the board, most people in those three cohorts have
- 50:42Speaker 3: heard about the attack on the girls school in Iran
- 50:45Speaker 3: last weekend only yeah, So only a quarter of Democrats hadn't.
- 50:50Speaker 3: Forty percent of Republicans thirty four percent of independence. This
- 50:53Speaker 3: was a super smart question to ask Ryan because it
- 50:55Speaker 3: gets to the media silos that people are in, and
- 50:58Speaker 3: no matter what media silo we were in, on average
- 51:01Speaker 3: you had heard about this. It probably gets to why
- 51:03Speaker 3: Senator John Kennedy on Fox News yesterday came out and
- 51:07Speaker 3: said it was horrible. And the right thing to do
- 51:10Speaker 3: is is if it was in the United States, say
- 51:12Speaker 3: it was horrible.
- 51:12Speaker 6: And I think that this Paul wrapped up on Sunday night.
- 51:16Speaker 6: So and there's been a lot more news yes Monday, Tuesday,
- 51:20Speaker 6: and Wednesday on this strike, so the number might go up.
- 51:23Speaker 6: But what thirty two percent did say they'd heard nothing
- 51:27Speaker 6: at all about it, So that's so at least one
- 51:29Speaker 6: in three people. And then if you combine nothing at
- 51:33Speaker 6: all or a little then that got you to fifty
- 51:36Speaker 6: five percent. So then they then we asked, and so
- 51:41Speaker 6: again this is through Sunday night for a lot of
- 51:43Speaker 6: the reporting emerged that has basically definitively concluded that it
- 51:47Speaker 6: was the United States that did this. We asked, if
- 51:51Speaker 6: you have heard about it, who do you think was
- 51:52Speaker 6: responsible for this? Either the US, the US and Israel
- 51:56Speaker 6: combined Israel or was it Iran?
- 52:00Speaker 5: And twenty four percent of people thought it was Iran.
- 52:06Speaker 6: The rest basically said it was either the US center
- 52:09Speaker 6: ISRAELI together or Israel or.
- 52:13Speaker 5: Or the United States by itself.
- 52:16Speaker 6: Republicans were the only ones kind of divided on this question.
- 52:20Speaker 6: So forty five percent of Republicans said it was Iran
- 52:24Speaker 6: that attacked its own girls school, which is an idea
- 52:27Speaker 6: that has been pushed kind without evidence, but at least
- 52:32Speaker 6: it When I see stuff like that, I'm like, well,
- 52:34Speaker 6: at least they're not defending attacking the girls school, or
- 52:38Speaker 6: at least saying somebody that it wasn't already fault. You know,
- 52:42Speaker 6: they're lying about it, but I think some people honestly
- 52:46Speaker 6: believe it. So forty five percent that it was Iran.
- 52:50Speaker 6: Another forty five percent said it was the US and
- 52:54Speaker 6: or Israel, and then ten percent of Republicans said they
- 52:56Speaker 6: didn't know. Everybody else by an overwhelm majority thinks it
- 53:01Speaker 6: was the US and or.
- 53:03Speaker 5: Israel.
- 53:04Speaker 6: And that's before we got footage of the Tomahawk missile
- 53:08Speaker 6: like hitting an hiergy see base next to it, and
- 53:12Speaker 6: you can see the school smoking. So like to see
- 53:15Speaker 6: that footage, you'd have to believe that Iran hit the
- 53:19Speaker 6: school and then moments later a US Tomahawk missiles hit
- 53:23Speaker 6: the base right next to it, and then the schools
- 53:26Speaker 6: hitting again, completely implausible. Also, if you look at the timeline,
- 53:33Speaker 6: this is immediately as the war started and Iran took
- 53:36Speaker 6: a little while to respond, so iron wasn't even shooting yet.
- 53:39Speaker 6: So just on a just logical basis, it's like that
- 53:42Speaker 6: who hit it, well, the people who were shooting.
- 53:45Speaker 3: It's a great question to ask. I mean, this is
- 53:47Speaker 3: why independent media is important. Polling is one of those
- 53:53Speaker 3: Pulling is one of the biggest I think places in
- 53:57Speaker 3: news gathering where just having this idea of neutrality that
- 54:04Speaker 3: is actually a bias in one direction or the other,
- 54:07Speaker 3: or having the pretense of neutrality creates conventional wisdom. Like
- 54:11Speaker 3: it's about the manufacturing of conventional wisdom. Pulling so often
- 54:15Speaker 3: just builds and builds in one direction. And if you
- 54:17Speaker 3: don't ask other questions, you don't get answers to those
- 54:21Speaker 3: types of questions. You don't test, you don't gauge the
- 54:23Speaker 3: public on conversations the public may be having that you're
- 54:27Speaker 3: not having in your newsroom, or that you think are
- 54:29Speaker 3: crazy and not worth asking about.
- 54:30Speaker 4: So this was a great, great poll.
- 54:32Speaker 6: And there's one other that we could talk about, because
- 54:35Speaker 6: this didn't all this wasn't all designed just to like
- 54:38Speaker 6: flatter my own preconceived notions.
- 54:42Speaker 5: We're genuinely curious about this stuff.
- 54:43Speaker 6: And so we asked a question about ballistic missiles because
- 54:45Speaker 6: ballistic Iron's ballistic missile stockpile has become like the new
- 54:51Speaker 6: rationale that the US and Israel are using for why
- 54:55Speaker 6: this war needs to be carried on.
- 54:59Speaker 5: I think I messed up the of this a little bit,
- 55:00Speaker 5: and I'll tell you why.
- 55:01Speaker 6: So they say, how important is it to you that
- 55:05Speaker 6: Iran be prevented from possessing ballistic missiles, which are long
- 55:08Speaker 6: range missiles capable of reaching countries like Israel. So that's
- 55:11Speaker 6: how we phrased the question. I think prevented was the
- 55:16Speaker 6: wrong word to use there. I should have said, how
- 55:20Speaker 6: important is it to you that the that the US
- 55:23Speaker 6: and Israel dismantle Iran's missile program. But because of the
- 55:28Speaker 6: way we were to you get just a kind of
- 55:30Speaker 6: neutral perspective from the American people about whether or not
- 55:34Speaker 6: they want.
- 55:36Speaker 5: Iran to be able to possess ballistic missiles.
- 55:39Speaker 6: And they absolutely do not, And so for fifty four
- 55:46Speaker 6: percent of all Americans, it's very important that Iran be
- 55:51Speaker 6: prevented from having ballistic missiles, which maybe if Trump, if
- 55:55Speaker 6: you're watching this, just say you blew up the ballistic
- 55:58Speaker 6: missile program and call it a day. Another twenty nine
- 56:01Speaker 6: percent say it's somewhat important. So that means by an
- 56:05Speaker 6: eighty three to thirteen margin, the American people think it's
- 56:09Speaker 6: important that Iran be prevented from possessing ballistic missiles. Now,
- 56:13Speaker 6: because I get to write the poll, I put in
- 56:16Speaker 6: a question that said Iran should be allowed to have
- 56:20Speaker 6: ballistic missiles because countries have a right to defend themselves.
- 56:23Speaker 5: Give people that option.
- 56:25Speaker 6: Only thirteen percent picked that this is so that's fourteen
- 56:30Speaker 6: percent said it's not a concern of the United States.
- 56:33Speaker 6: Two thirds in the separate question said they should be prevented.
- 56:36Speaker 3: That's really, really, really interesting because it shows consistency among
- 56:39Speaker 3: the people who responding to the questions, and it shows
- 56:42Speaker 3: that Trump had or should have some built in consistency
- 56:45Speaker 3: or built in sympathy here among the public if he
- 56:49Speaker 3: made a coherent, logical, honest case for war or for
- 56:55Speaker 3: a deal that disarmed Iran, I'm not saying that's possible,
- 56:58Speaker 3: but where you don't only have to disarm people of
- 57:01Speaker 3: their ballistic missiles through military action hypothetically, of course, I
- 57:05Speaker 3: think that would.
- 57:06Speaker 4: Probably be the case. For the run, you have to
- 57:09Speaker 4: do it by force.
- 57:10Speaker 3: That shows though Trump has friendly sentiments among a big
- 57:13Speaker 3: chunk of the public, that still overall is unhappy with
- 57:17Speaker 3: what's happened over the last ten days.
- 57:19Speaker 4: So that's a I.
- 57:20Speaker 3: Think it's a for the administration's purposes, for the political purposes,
- 57:24Speaker 3: and for the moral purposes of people making these decisions.
- 57:27Speaker 3: That's a very i think interesting contrast between the question
- 57:31Speaker 3: of people agreeing with what's happened and people wanting Iran
- 57:35Speaker 3: to have ballistic missiles.
- 57:36Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 57:37Speaker 6: One other interesting detail, when we added in net and Yahoo,
- 57:40Speaker 6: the numbers got even worse for Trump rather than just
- 57:44Speaker 6: saying Israel. So we said, when it comes to US
- 57:47Speaker 6: military action against Iran, which of the following statements regarding
- 57:49Speaker 6: Trump's personal motivations comes closer to your view? One Trump
- 57:54Speaker 6: is more responsive to the interests of the American people
- 57:57Speaker 6: than any foreign interests.
- 57:58Speaker 5: Like those of Israel.
- 58:00Speaker 6: Or Two, President Trump is more responsive to the interests
- 58:03Speaker 6: of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Yahoo than the interests of
- 58:06Speaker 6: the American people.
- 58:07Speaker 5: That completely split public. So whereas it was fifty forty.
- 58:11Speaker 6: One on the earlier one that we were talking about,
- 58:13Speaker 6: this was forty seven forty six. So forty six percent
- 58:17Speaker 6: of the public said Trump is more responsive to net
- 58:20Speaker 6: Yahoo than to the American people, whereas forty seven percent
- 58:25Speaker 6: said no, no, no, Trump is Trump's more America first
- 58:29Speaker 6: than he is Net and Yahoo. Seventeen percent of Republicans
- 58:33Speaker 6: said he's more responsive to net Yahoo Independence, who's fifty
- 58:39Speaker 6: forty four. So so among independents, which swung the election
- 58:46Speaker 6: for Trump, they feel like he's more responsive to net
- 58:48Speaker 6: Yahoo than he is to the American public.
- 58:50Speaker 4: Fascinating, it's crazy.
- 58:52Speaker 5: Yeah, get yourself together, guys.
- 58:54Speaker 3: Yeah, Oh my gosh, well, great pool. This is such
- 58:58Speaker 3: a good Yeah. Yes, and I love it when India
- 59:01Speaker 3: outlets do polling, and.
- 59:02Speaker 6: Breaking Point should do some of that if you want,
- 59:04Speaker 6: you know, become a premium primer.
- 59:06Speaker 5: So we got the money to do it.
- 59:07Speaker 4: Yeah, polling, shocking focus groups.
- 59:10Speaker 6: But we can put some these polls out in the
- 59:11Speaker 6: field too, BP three twenty six. Breakingpoints dot com is
- 59:16Speaker 6: the one month free if you want to support the show,
- 59:20Speaker 6: and so that we can put our own polls out there,
- 59:23Speaker 6: and also you can you can also then suggest questions
- 59:27Speaker 6: like if you have any questions that you should poll,
- 59:29Speaker 6: put them down in the comment section, and you know,
- 59:34Speaker 6: we're looking for ideas.
- 59:36Speaker 3: Let's move on to the focus group and meet in
- 59:40Speaker 3: podcast space or media space because of course Bill Maher
- 59:45Speaker 3: Joe Rogan have wade in.
- 59:47Speaker 4: So let's get to it.
- 59:48Speaker 3: Ryan, Let's start now with this clip of Joe Rogan
- 59:53Speaker 3: on a recent show. He was actually with Michael Schellenberger
- 59:57Speaker 3: in conversation this just dropped yesterday, react into the war
- 1:00:01Speaker 3: in Iran F one.
- 1:00:03Speaker 14: What just seems so insane based on what he ran on.
- 1:00:06Speaker 14: I mean, this is why a lot of people feel betrayed. Right,
- 1:00:08Speaker 14: He ran on no more wars and these stupid senseless wars,
- 1:00:12Speaker 14: and then we have one that we can't even really
- 1:00:15Speaker 14: clearly define why we did it.
- 1:00:18Speaker 15: Well, but he said he's against endless wars.
- 1:00:21Speaker 14: Well, endless, they're all endless. Well, if we heard Rumsfeld
- 1:00:25Speaker 14: talk about Iraq when it first happened, they were talking
- 1:00:29Speaker 14: about like six weeks.
- 1:00:30Speaker 15: Six weeks, oh yeah, six weeks, yeah, but they put
- 1:00:34Speaker 15: that was ground force and I know that they've not
- 1:00:37Speaker 15: ruled that out. For me, that would be they have
- 1:00:40Speaker 15: they have not.
- 1:00:42Speaker 4: I thought you said that, and now, yeah.
- 1:00:43Speaker 15: This guy is just acting. You know, he says he's
- 1:00:47Speaker 15: not getting where they want to get in the negotiations
- 1:00:49Speaker 15: with the Iranians, so he says, we have some leverage
- 1:00:51Speaker 15: over you, and we're going to use it.
- 1:00:53Speaker 14: So clearly Israel wanted this.
- 1:00:55Speaker 15: Israel has its own motivations, I think, yeah, but I
- 1:00:58Speaker 15: don't think I think it's not quite accurate to say that.
- 1:01:01Speaker 15: I just don't think. I think all the evidence shows
- 1:01:03Speaker 15: that Trump is his own man, and he is the president,
- 1:01:06Speaker 15: and like literally he couldn't even give back, he couldn't
- 1:01:08Speaker 15: even give elon the battery subsidy that he wanted.
- 1:01:10Speaker 10: You know.
- 1:01:11Speaker 14: Yeah, It's like I get that, I've never.
- 1:01:13Speaker 5: Seen a policy.
- 1:01:13Speaker 15: I mean, I've never seen a politician act that independently.
- 1:01:16Speaker 15: That's I mean, a president act that independently. So I'm
- 1:01:19Speaker 15: skeptical of I mean, I think that I think that
- 1:01:23Speaker 15: Rubio was sort of like, well, they were going to attack,
- 1:01:25Speaker 15: and so we had to. You know, there's some of that,
- 1:01:27Speaker 15: But I just think Trump's doing what he wants to do,
- 1:01:30Speaker 15: and we should.
- 1:01:31Speaker 14: You really think it's that simple. Trump's doing what he
- 1:01:33Speaker 14: wants to do. Yes, yes, you don't think people are
- 1:01:35Speaker 14: influencing him because there's a lot of warhawks around him, right,
- 1:01:38Speaker 14: there's a lot of people that want.
- 1:01:39Speaker 15: To I mean, who's in there, but then Tucker was
- 1:01:43Speaker 15: in there a bunch. But do you think in the
- 1:01:44Speaker 15: case against.
- 1:01:45Speaker 14: Tucker has the kind of influence that Net and Yahoo has.
- 1:01:48Speaker 15: Well, I mean, I guess if you just base it
- 1:01:50Speaker 15: on the outcome, then the answer is no.
- 1:01:51Speaker 14: No.
- 1:01:54Speaker 15: But that's what I'm saying. I just think he listens
- 1:01:56Speaker 15: to everybody. But I just don't think it's Russians aren't
- 1:01:59Speaker 15: behind him really, I mean, Trump is look what he's
- 1:02:01Speaker 15: been through.
- 1:02:02Speaker 3: For the record, Tucker has said in his conversations with Trump,
- 1:02:05Speaker 3: I think he said this in his recent episode with
- 1:02:07Speaker 3: Sager that he believes Trump did not want to do
- 1:02:10Speaker 3: this or I mean the.
- 1:02:12Speaker 4: Alternative to that.
- 1:02:13Speaker 3: Tucker knows Donald Trump much better than I do. But
- 1:02:16Speaker 3: it's possible Trump, when he's in conversations with people, is
- 1:02:20Speaker 3: one of those guys who's seeing it.
- 1:02:23Speaker 4: I mean, he's a business dude.
- 1:02:24Speaker 3: He's pragmatist more than he's an ideologue and he sort
- 1:02:28Speaker 3: of makes you feel like he agrees with you, So
- 1:02:31Speaker 3: there are different ways to.
- 1:02:32Speaker 5: That's not the impression I get.
- 1:02:34Speaker 4: I don't believe that.
- 1:02:35Speaker 3: I don't believe that Trump was worried about bombing iron
- 1:02:40Speaker 3: I mean, I believe that Tucker is accurately representing their
- 1:02:44Speaker 3: conversations that Trump was indicating he did not want to
- 1:02:47Speaker 3: be dragged into the war. But I don't know that
- 1:02:50Speaker 3: I necessarily agree that he was hesitant to.
- 1:02:54Speaker 6: Strike we as we talked about in the last segment,
- 1:02:58Speaker 6: the public disagrees with that that idea. The public thinks
- 1:03:02Speaker 6: that he is heavily influenced by Israel and particularly by
- 1:03:06Speaker 6: net Yaho. Maybe they're wrong. Maybe he's just doing whatever
- 1:03:09Speaker 6: he wants to do. Rogan correct me if I'm wrong,
- 1:03:13Speaker 6: because I don't follow this space just as closely as
- 1:03:16Speaker 6: some people do. He's kind of held on Trump a
- 1:03:19Speaker 6: little longer than the rest of the podcast, Bros.
- 1:03:21Speaker 5: Is that right or No?
- 1:03:22Speaker 4: I don't think so.
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: I feel like he was pretty early to but he's
- 1:03:25Speaker 3: friendly with Elon, so the dough stuff didn't dissuade him.
- 1:03:29Speaker 3: But around summertime, I think he was pretty openly starting
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: to question the immigration stuff.
- 1:03:35Speaker 5: Oh, that's right, yeah, because he was like, what, like
- 1:03:37Speaker 5: what this is not? This is not how I envisioned
- 1:03:41Speaker 5: this happening right right.
- 1:03:43Speaker 3: And he's friendly with Bobby Kennedy, so he's been I
- 1:03:46Speaker 3: think Kenny was just back on the show Elon was.
- 1:03:48Speaker 3: They've both been on the show in the last couple
- 1:03:49Speaker 3: of months, so I guess he's hung onto it in
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: that sense. I'm sure back in June he was critical
- 1:03:54Speaker 3: of what happened in Iran too, So I think he's
- 1:03:57Speaker 3: clung on maybe with some things, or he's hung on
- 1:03:59Speaker 3: some things for a while, but overall, he's definitely been
- 1:04:04Speaker 3: willing to be a bit critical from probably the I
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: don't know last summer starting on would be my guest,
- 1:04:12Speaker 3: but uh, you know he's gonna I'm sure he's going
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: to support Kennedy for the most part and some of
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: those other agenda items in the administration. Bill Maher is
- 1:04:24Speaker 3: a guy who's apparently on the left, not even like
- 1:04:28Speaker 3: in the podbro world.
- 1:04:30Speaker 4: He's all in.
- 1:04:32Speaker 3: That doesn't really surprise anyone, I bet, but let's roll
- 1:04:35Speaker 3: f to here.
- 1:04:35Speaker 10: Also this week war did you hear about that thing?
- 1:04:40Speaker 10: And we bombed around and it's going on now, have
- 1:04:44Speaker 10: you expected me to say I hate it. I don't. Sorry,
- 1:04:47Speaker 10: when he puts boots on the ground, yeah, that I'll
- 1:04:49Speaker 10: hate it. Now. I know too many happy Iranian Americans. Sorry,
- 1:04:54Speaker 10: h you cannot name one horrible thing that has happened
- 1:05:02Speaker 10: in the Middle East in the last fifty years and
- 1:05:04Speaker 10: not connected to this fascist theocracy. They're like six degrees
- 1:05:08Speaker 10: of they don't eat bacon, and it's popular. I mean,
- 1:05:11Speaker 10: Ahranians all over the world are doing the Trump dance.
- 1:05:14Speaker 10: Have you seen that? Though? I just want to read
- 1:05:16Speaker 10: at what I said in the monologue. I'm cautiously optimistic.
- 1:05:19Speaker 10: Unless he puts boots on the ground, then he's going
- 1:05:22Speaker 10: to lose me. We'll see for now. I just don't
- 1:05:26Speaker 10: get what liberals don't get about liberation. I see so
- 1:05:29Speaker 10: much happiness. I see it in Venezuela, I see it
- 1:05:33Speaker 10: here in Iran. Could we skip the part where we
- 1:05:36Speaker 10: talk about, Oh, they had so many different reasons for
- 1:05:39Speaker 10: going to war, regime change, and we got to get
- 1:05:41Speaker 10: rid of the nukes, and they were supporters of terrorism,
- 1:05:44Speaker 10: it's all of it. How about this, This was a
- 1:05:47Speaker 10: fascist theocracy and nothing in the Middle East was ever
- 1:05:50Speaker 10: going to get better. Well, they were still there fucking everything.
- 1:05:53Speaker 3: Up, the liberation from most of egg What do liberals
- 1:05:57Speaker 3: not get about that?
- 1:05:59Speaker 5: Bill Maher lose his show for criticizing the invasion.
- 1:06:03Speaker 3: Of Iraq politically correct. I thought, so, yeah, that's my impression.
- 1:06:09Speaker 5: So what did he not get about liberation? Then? Like,
- 1:06:12Speaker 5: what is what's going on with this guy?
- 1:06:14Speaker 4: Well, he's saying ground troops, I guess is his red line?
- 1:06:17Speaker 5: So okay, So what he was saying is George W.
- 1:06:20Speaker 6: Bush should have just done shocking off for months and
- 1:06:24Speaker 6: bombed the hell out of Iraq and then he would
- 1:06:26Speaker 6: have been fine with it. And then who's and then
- 1:06:29Speaker 6: like Oude Hussein or kuse Whusseining I guess whichever one
- 1:06:33Speaker 6: rises the top becomes president of Iraq and he's cool
- 1:06:36Speaker 6: with that.
- 1:06:36Speaker 4: You just keep mowing the lawn.
- 1:06:37Speaker 5: And then yeah, as they did in the nineties.
- 1:06:39Speaker 3: And as they're talking about maybe the strategy going forward
- 1:06:42Speaker 3: with Iran.
- 1:06:42Speaker 6: Now which guy clearly he I mean, the guy just
- 1:06:49Speaker 6: he hates religion. He hates Islam in particular, hates all
- 1:06:55Speaker 6: religion but Islam in particular, and he sees them as
- 1:06:58Speaker 6: the way to sees it. Going after Irn is like
- 1:07:00Speaker 6: fulfilling that itch that he's got.
- 1:07:03Speaker 4: So this was the mar comment.
- 1:07:05Speaker 3: This was in looks like September two thousand and six,
- 1:07:09Speaker 3: days after he said quote, we have been the cowards
- 1:07:12Speaker 3: lobbying cruise missiles. This was to Dnesta shoot Desuza lobbing
- 1:07:16Speaker 3: cruise missiles from two thousand miles away. That's cowardly staying
- 1:07:20Speaker 3: in the airplane when it hits the building.
- 1:07:22Speaker 4: Say what you want about it, it's not cowardly.
- 1:07:25Speaker 3: That is one of the most famous moments in Phil
- 1:07:27Speaker 3: Maher's career, as my memories.
- 1:07:29Speaker 5: That's what he got fired for. That's right.
- 1:07:30Speaker 3: Well, they it was canceled like months later, and he
- 1:07:33Speaker 3: assumed that it was pegged.
- 1:07:34Speaker 4: That incident, which probably I.
- 1:07:36Speaker 6: Remember that it was a it's hard to describe the
- 1:07:41Speaker 6: what the what the like feeling in the air was
- 1:07:44Speaker 6: at the time, at that time in two thousand, late
- 1:07:47Speaker 6: two thousand and one, early two thousand and two, that
- 1:07:49Speaker 6: you could you could not say anything like that, even
- 1:07:51Speaker 6: though you look back now you're like, well, just that's
- 1:07:53Speaker 6: just a that's just a normal that's a logical thing
- 1:07:56Speaker 6: to say, Like you can disagree with what they did,
- 1:08:02Speaker 6: but when it comes to physical courage, like well, uh,
- 1:08:06Speaker 6: obviously takes physical courage to carry out any physical attack.
- 1:08:11Speaker 4: Yeah, you can say that.
- 1:08:12Speaker 6: But you don't people have Yeah, and I think people
- 1:08:14Speaker 6: confuse the word courage with valor and morality. Yeah that
- 1:08:19Speaker 6: if you say something is courageous, that it's necessarily good,
- 1:08:23Speaker 6: but you can be courageous and terrible.
- 1:08:24Speaker 9: Yeah.
- 1:08:25Speaker 3: I think he would have gotten canceled no matter what.
- 1:08:26Speaker 3: But I don't think he necessarily needed to say that
- 1:08:28Speaker 3: the US was cowardly six days after nine to eleven.
- 1:08:31Speaker 4: That probably is not.
- 1:08:32Speaker 5: Uh, it's true.
- 1:08:34Speaker 3: You can say it's it's courageous for like terrorists physically
- 1:08:39Speaker 3: courageous to your point mind, but if you couple that
- 1:08:42Speaker 3: with the US is cowardly, that's six days after nine
- 1:08:46Speaker 3: to eleven, where there was an enormous amount of bravery.
- 1:08:49Speaker 6: Right, but he's talking about the people that cruise missiles
- 1:08:52Speaker 6: from two thousand miles away.
- 1:08:53Speaker 4: I know, but it's tonally that's different for people who
- 1:08:56Speaker 4: are a grieving that he wasn't reading the room, really
- 1:08:58Speaker 4: wasn't read the room.
- 1:09:00Speaker 5: The room was very very rough at that moment.
- 1:09:05Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:09:06Speaker 3: Yeah, and again, like we probably disagree on this, I
- 1:09:08Speaker 3: don't think that's necessarily unreasonable when you had American.
- 1:09:12Speaker 4: Bravery on full display.
- 1:09:15Speaker 3: Yeah, right, and American bravery and full display in New
- 1:09:18Speaker 3: York City, and you know the flight ninety three around
- 1:09:22Speaker 3: the country.
- 1:09:23Speaker 4: Yeah. So anyway, that's Bill Maher now.
- 1:09:25Speaker 3: Twenty twenty six, Bill Maher saying, I'm seeing too many
- 1:09:30Speaker 3: happierr onions feeling liberated, and I don't understand.
- 1:09:33Speaker 6: Why the left doesn't support Yeah, the shots of Sunset
- 1:09:35Speaker 6: are very excited.
- 1:09:36Speaker 4: Yes, we discussed this.
- 1:09:38Speaker 3: You haven't watched shots of Sunset years, nor have I,
- 1:09:41Speaker 3: but they are. I did see Reza from Shots of.
- 1:09:43Speaker 5: Sunset was excited at least shocking thing ever.
- 1:09:47Speaker 3: Yeah, that'll do it for us today's edition.
- 1:09:51Speaker 4: But of course we're ending on a Bravo note. I
- 1:09:52Speaker 4: don't know what else we would do.
- 1:09:53Speaker 3: Today's edition of Breaking Points remember this year last week
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- 1:10:37Speaker 4: Sounds good