Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 77 - 7/16/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 77 - 7/16/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:20
  Hello and welcome to episode 77 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:26
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:29
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:36
  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
• 0:38
  guys. Gamblers Vacation continues.
• 0:41
  The slowest week of the year when it comes to betting on
• 0:43
  sports. But luckily today we have a
• 0:45
  little bit more action than yesterday.
• 0:47
  We do have a loaded WNBA slate and I have two WNBA bets here
• 0:52
  for it today, guys. Both of which are market moves
• 0:54
  combined with some great rhythm edges with some AI back models
• 0:58
  and community models. I'm really hoping to help help
• 1:01
  us cash some tickets here in the WNBA.
• 1:03
  I love when the market's moving in the same direction as my
• 1:06
  rhythm system matches. But then also I buried the lead.
• 1:09
  We got more baseball tonight, the Midsummer Classic, the MLB
• 1:13
  All Star game, the NL versus the AL, and we have a very short
• 1:17
  number American League around -120 the total 7 1/2.
• 1:20
  But I'm going to give you guys some interesting stats, both in
• 1:23
  terms of historically what we've seen, because there's one
• 1:26
  situation where do you guys know AL versus NL?
• 1:29
  One has dominated the other for going on 20 years or more.
• 1:32
  And then when it comes to the total, is it the over?
• 1:35
  Is it the under? We've seen a huge edge toward
• 1:38
  One Direction there over the other.
• 1:40
  So we're going to hit on it all on episode 77 of the All Systems
• 1:43
  Go Pod powered by rhythm, A three pack of sweats.
• 1:46
  I got two WNBA bats as well as a Major League Baseball bet a play
• 1:50
  on the All Star game for tonight.
• 1:52
  Now looking back to her last night did not go our way.
• 1:55
  Took the over 270 1/2 homers last night and did not even come
• 2:00
  close. 225 was the final count so I think the odds makers may
• 2:05
  have said it too high. Obviously I owe you guys a beer
• 2:08
  because I completely botched that one.
• 2:11
  But I think looking back on it, I made a mistake by not paying
• 2:13
  attention or quite enough attention to the rules.
• 2:16
  Because the rules really had a big impact here in terms of the
• 2:19
  timing, how much time you have per round, as well as didn't
• 2:23
  have any swing offs. And then we had a couple guys
• 2:25
  who just didn't really do anything.
• 2:27
  I mean Pete Alonzo was the favorite.
• 2:29
  I think he hit eleven home runs in round one and got eliminated
• 2:32
  or maybe he had 12. Then Gunner Henderson, who was a
• 2:35
  kind of a Co favorite, only had 11 and really didn't have any
• 2:38
  guys go above 20 home runs per round.
• 2:40
  So really did not pan out the way I expected, but hey, we took
• 2:45
  a shot, didn't go our way. But again, I'll, I'll, I'll take
• 2:48
  the blame for that one because when you when you bet an over
• 2:51
  270 half and Lance 225, that tells me that not only do we
• 2:55
  pick the wrong side, but got no luck.
• 2:57
  And, and really, I think the oddsmakers probably set that
• 3:00
  thing way too high. There's a situation, I want to
• 3:02
  say I feel like it was a few years ago.
• 3:04
  Was it the WNBA All Star game or the NBA All Star game where the
• 3:08
  total was set like 50 points off the opener and it fell a ton.
• 3:12
  I forgot which game that was. You might you might recall the
• 3:14
  one I'm talking about. But anyway, This is why these
• 3:16
  things can be tricky. And again, one thing we did
• 3:19
  mention yesterday came through. Remember, he said, hey, let's
• 3:21
  not even bet on who's going to win because it's a crapshoot and
• 3:23
  you never know who's going to win.
• 3:24
  Well, the Oscar Hernandez won, I want to say he was plus 1200 or
• 3:27
  so. So if you play at Hernandez
• 3:29
  again, all the power to you. That was a great hit.
• 3:32
  But either way, guys took a shot last night, swung and missed.
• 3:35
  Let's see if we can get it back here for today.
• 3:37
  So I want to start with some WNBA and why am I starting with
• 3:40
  WNBA over the All Star game? Because one of these games that
• 3:43
  I have a play on is an afternoon sweat.
• 3:45
  So I want to mention this first, get the pot out quick.
• 3:47
  So if you guys want to follow and tail, you have the ability
• 3:50
  to and the timing too. So I'm going to look at a 3:30
• 3:53
  PM Eastern Time game. Afternoon sweat here.
• 3:56
  Don't get many of these in WNBA. The Storm visiting the Sparks.
• 4:00
  The Sparks, as we like to say in Boston, there's a new Duncan
• 4:03
  drink called the sparked energy drink.
• 4:05
  Anyway, Storm come in 16 and eight.
• 4:08
  They've been one of the better teams in WNBA this year versus
• 4:11
  the Sparks, who've had a bad season 6 and 17.
• 4:14
  Cameron Brink got hurt. They did, however, win their
• 4:17
  last game to beat Dallas 87 to 81.
• 4:20
  But you have the Storm coming in having one, three or four.
• 4:23
  You have the Sparks coming in, having lost three of their last
• 4:26
  five. Now looking at the spread here,
• 4:28
  looking at the side Lions move to the Storm, you would probably
• 4:32
  expect this. They're the far better team.
• 4:34
  They open -9 some shops are closer to -10 here.
• 4:37
  But I want to focus on the total because couple things jumped out
• 4:40
  to me with a total. First thing that jumped out to
• 4:42
  me as that is that it went up. It opened at 160 1/2.
• 4:47
  Now it's up to 162 1/2. So right off the bat we see this
• 4:50
  line creep up. You may even find a book at 162.
• 4:53
  Even better if you can play the over 162.
• 4:56
  But the most widely available number here is 162 1/2.
• 4:59
  Anyway, right off the bat the total went up again, WNBA niche
• 5:03
  market, not even close to the NFL market or some of these
• 5:06
  bigger sports here. So it tells me right off the bat
• 5:09
  that the bigger sharper wagers took the over went to the
• 5:12
  DraftKings bet splits saw 64% of bets but 72% of money on the
• 5:18
  over. So that's a pretty good bet
• 5:19
  split. Low bets, higher dollars, only
• 5:22
  about 2/3 of the tickets, but nearly three out of $4.00
• 5:24
  telling us the bigger sharper wagers going over here.
• 5:28
  Then look at some angles here that might hopefully lead us to
• 5:31
  a higher scoring game. The last time these teams
• 5:33
  played, they only played one game.
• 5:34
  Previously it was a 95 to 79 game, landed 174.
• 5:39
  So hopefully they have more offense here for today.
• 5:41
  Then digging into the Storm, they're #3 in the WNBA in points
• 5:45
  per game, 84.1. They're #2 in terms of pace,
• 5:49
  Pace is always good. Get up and down the court,
• 5:51
  you're fast. More possessions, more
• 5:52
  opportunities to score. The Storm are also #2 in terms
• 5:55
  of free throw percentage. So get to the line, make your
• 5:58
  free throws, 83.4%. Meanwhile, the Sparks, who are a
• 6:02
  big dog tonight, nearly a double digit dog, they're giving up the
• 6:05
  fourth most points in the WNBA, 85.2 points per game.
• 6:09
  Now mention the Sparks as a home dog getting, you know, 9 or 10
• 6:12
  points here. I kind of like that if you're
• 6:14
  going to play an over, at least the home team is the dog.
• 6:16
  When the road team is the dog, you're down by 20.
• 6:19
  You kind of pack it in and just want to get out of there.
• 6:22
  At home. If you're a dog, typically you
• 6:23
  fight to the end. You want at least, you know,
• 6:26
  make your home crowd cheer a little bit and maybe not make
• 6:29
  the score look as bad. So I do lean with over as a home
• 6:32
  dog over a road dog. But now is where it gets pretty
• 6:35
  good. We mentioned some some factors
• 6:37
  here, hopefully leading to a lot of points markets rising good
• 6:40
  bets split to the over. But here's what I really like
• 6:43
  one betting system match I hear is have here is called the overs
• 6:46
  that rise. So if the total rises at least a
• 6:49
  point take the over it's 34 and 22 this year, 61% with a 17%
• 6:55
  ROI. Then we get into our Rhythm AI
• 6:58
  backed models, my Rhythm, my personal Rhythm model, my Josh
• 7:03
  Rhythm model, which again, beauty rhythm is you can just do
• 7:05
  no work and follow the recommended models from Rhythm
• 7:08
  or you can create your own, which is kind of fun, but I
• 7:11
  created my own in my Josh Rhythm model, A is a predicted final
• 7:15
  score of 170.5 and my Rhythm AI model or not mine, it's from the
• 7:20
  team at Rhythm is 170.2. So both my model and the Rhythm
• 7:24
  model are predicting around a 170, which is good because we're
• 7:28
  going over 162 1/2. So we created an edge there.
• 7:31
  Also the community model which is basically pulling all the
• 7:34
  different people who have a rhythm account, they have a
• 7:38
  created a total model and it matches on this game.
• 7:40
  Is it going over under? Well, 95.1% of models are going
• 7:44
  over here. So I love the fact that we're
• 7:47
  seeing this line rise with the betting market move, good
• 7:50
  percentage split. We have a betting system match.
• 7:52
  We have rhythm AI backed predictions telling us to go
• 7:55
  over and we have a lot of community models also betting
• 7:57
  the over. So I'm going to sweat it over
• 7:59
  here. Maybe maybe get lucky and get an
• 8:01
  afternoon winner. That'll be nice to start our day
• 8:03
  with the winner. I'm going to go storm Sparks.
• 8:06
  Sparks over 162 1/2. You might be able to find a 162.
• 8:12
  Next one for you is a late game 10:00 PM Eastern Time Chicago
• 8:16
  Sky and the Las Vegas Aces. Now going into this one, we have
• 8:20
  the sky 9 and 14 Story of the Sky obviously is seeing what
• 8:25
  Angel Reese has been doing. I think her streak finally ended
• 8:28
  our double digit or her double double streak was at 1516.
• 8:32
  But she's actually, you know, competing in rookie of the year,
• 8:35
  although it looks like Caitlin Clark is going to win that
• 8:37
  thing. But Reese is making it
• 8:38
  interesting. Anyway, the Las Vegas Aces, they
• 8:41
  struggle to start the year. They're now playing great.
• 8:44
  They're sixteen and seven looking to to defend their
• 8:46
  title. They've won four straight.
• 8:48
  Sky have lost three of their last four.
• 8:50
  So what are we seeing across the market here?
• 8:53
  Well, in terms of the spread, the line is dipped a little bit
• 8:55
  away from the Aces toward the sky.
• 8:56
  The Aces opened as high as a 14 point favorite, 14 1/2.
• 9:01
  Now it's down to 13 1/2 or 13. So it looks like there was a
• 9:04
  bite at the apple with the sky in the points.
• 9:06
  But once again, I want to lean on my market analysis along with
• 9:10
  my a really good rhythm projection.
• 9:12
  So I'm going to go again. If an ain't broke, don't fix it.
• 9:15
  I'm going to go right back to another over so late night over
• 9:18
  sweat for you guys. First off, similar to the Storm
• 9:21
  Sparks game, this total is on the rise.
• 9:23
  It opened at around 169 1/2 or 170.
• 9:26
  Now you're seeing it up to 172 1/2.
• 9:29
  Some books are even 173. So if you're going to play this
• 9:31
  over, try to shop around and get that over 172 1/2 because as we
• 9:35
  know, we cashed an over. What was it last week that
• 9:38
  cashed only by 1/2 point? So these numbers are important,
• 9:42
  but what I really like about this total that's rising is it's
• 9:45
  fishy and it's got a great bet split with a bunch of good
• 9:47
  rhythm models. So why is it fishy?
• 9:50
  Well, it's fishy because the aces have gone under this number
• 9:53
  in three straight 897784708479. I mean, they're kind of going
• 10:00
  over under this number pretty easily.
• 10:02
  So you would think a 172 and a half 173 might as well go under,
• 10:06
  right? But no, it opened lower and it's
• 10:08
  risen. So maybe we're expecting more
• 10:10
  points in this one. Also, the bet split, only 41% of
• 10:14
  bets are going over in this one, but it takes into account 68% of
• 10:18
  the money. So that is what we call a
• 10:20
  contrarian over. Public tends to love betting
• 10:23
  overs because it's just fun to root for points.
• 10:25
  People want action. They don't want, you know, shot
• 10:27
  clock violations and bricks. However, even though you're
• 10:31
  getting, let's slip it the other way, 59% of bets are on the
• 10:34
  under if the total rose. So why is the total going up if
• 10:37
  the public's leaning under while contrarian overplay here again,
• 10:41
  41% bet, 68% money, a sharp contrarian great bet split
• 10:45
  there. A + 27% discrepancy would match
• 10:49
  the same system we just talked about.
• 10:50
  Overs that rise, 61% this season, 17% ROI.
• 10:55
  Now let's tack on our rhythm AI model.
• 10:59
  Our rhythm projection prediction here is 175.9.
• 11:04
  So we're going over 172 and a half, 173 rhythms got nearly a
• 11:08
  176 and my personal model is 178.6.
• 11:13
  So mines even higher here. I put a lot of stock in a pace
• 11:16
  in three-point in free throw shooting.
• 11:19
  So the fact that we have both rhythm models in the high one
• 11:21
  70s and we're getting kind of an over low 170 good, good angle
• 11:26
  there to take the over. Now the rhythm community models,
• 11:29
  61% of those are on the over. So it's not quite the 95% like
• 11:33
  the storm over, but still majority of sharp rhythm models
• 11:36
  are going over. Now the last time these teams
• 11:39
  played the Aces 195 to 83, that was a 178 final score.
• 11:43
  So hopefully you get more of that tonight.
• 11:45
  Both teams are pretty well rested.
• 11:47
  Sky haven't played since the 13th, Aces haven't played since
• 11:50
  the 14th. So if we got your legs tonight
• 11:53
  and making your shots, and then also really the Aces, they're
• 11:56
  fun to watch. This one tonight is on Prime
• 11:59
  Video, by the way. But the Aces are #1 in field
• 12:01
  goal percentage in the WNBA, 45.3%, their number one in free
• 12:06
  throw percentage, 84%, and their number one in points per game,
• 12:10
  88.9. So nearly 90 points per game.
• 12:14
  So again, it's fishy because the Aces have gone under this number
• 12:17
  in three straight. Yet this is rising contrarian
• 12:19
  over great rhythm, projected or predicted models, as well as a
• 12:24
  good rest opportunity with some good offense here from the Aces.
• 12:28
  So add it all up here, guys. I'm rooting for points once
• 12:31
  again. It's my second total of the day.
• 12:33
  I'm going to go sky Aces. Try to go over 172 1/2.
• 12:37
  If you can ideally shop around, get that 172 1/2 again, some
• 12:41
  books are at 173, so storm sparks over one 62162 1/2.
• 12:47
  Aces over 172 1/2 ideally or 173 now bearing the lead, but I
• 12:53
  wanted to talk to WNBA early because we do have an early game
• 12:56
  here for today. Now let's go to the All Star
• 12:59
  game. That's right, we're looking at
• 13:01
  the Midsummer classic American League versus the National
• 13:04
  League. Now couple things to keep in
• 13:06
  mind here. One, let's start with the side.
• 13:10
  If you didn't know the starting pitchers tonight, Paul Skeens
• 13:12
  set six and O 1.9 O ERA will be opposed by Corbin Burns, nine
• 13:17
  and four, 2.43 ERA. But starting with the side, I
• 13:21
  have a lean on the side. I didn't play it, but my lean
• 13:23
  would be the American League. Why?
• 13:25
  Couple things. One, the line has moved a little
• 13:27
  bit toward the American League. The American League open as a
• 13:29
  very short -115 home favorite. This game will be played, if you
• 13:34
  didn't watch it last night at the Texas Rangers Stadium in
• 13:37
  Arlington, TX. But the American League has seen
• 13:40
  some line movement. They open -115 they're up to
• 13:42
  -120 I see a couple shops maybe going to -125 S Lions going to
• 13:46
  the AL. They also have a really good bet
• 13:49
  split. Only 43% bets, but 46% money.
• 13:52
  So the public's actually saying, hey, we got two really good
• 13:55
  teams, might as well take, you know, plus one O 5 with the NL
• 13:58
  yet the Lions going further toward the American League.
• 14:00
  And here's where it gets interesting.
• 14:02
  Overall this is the 94th Midsummer classic.
• 14:05
  The American League holds a overall edge of 47 and 44 with
• 14:10
  that one tie which was the Bud sealigy.
• 14:12
  I remember I was in high school here at my buddy's house at his
• 14:15
  grand grandfather's house. He made us a bunch of pasta and
• 14:18
  we watched the All Star game together.
• 14:19
  I believe that was on Tori Hunter robbed Barry Bonds and
• 14:23
  Selig called the the tie if I'm correct.
• 14:25
  My memory serves me correct. Anyway.
• 14:29
  Overall American League slight lead, but over the last 10 All
• 14:32
  Star games, the American League is 9 and one.
• 14:34
  They were nine and O in the National League finally won a
• 14:37
  game last year. But if you go back since 1997,
• 14:41
  the American League is 21 four and one in the All Star game.
• 14:45
  So the American League dominates this game.
• 14:47
  Lions going to the American League.
• 14:49
  They're a contrarian bet split with a reverse line move.
• 14:51
  I lead American League here, but what I'm really going to do and
• 14:54
  root for is the under. Give me the under 7 1/2, guys.
• 14:58
  Now this total open at 8. Immediately got back bet down to
• 15:01
  seven and a half. And now all these seven and a
• 15:03
  halfs look like they may be getting down to seven because a
• 15:05
  lot of these seven and a halfs are 7 1/2 under -120 I see a
• 15:09
  couple books that are down to seven.
• 15:11
  Obviously, this half run is critical because if you're going
• 15:14
  to play the under, you know, four to three-game, five to two
• 15:17
  game, you got to get the hook so you can cash that under.
• 15:19
  So shop around, make sure you get under 7 1/2.
• 15:21
  You're probably going to pay -120 -, 125 with the juice.
• 15:26
  I got under 7 1/2 at -120 I like the bet split to the under.
• 15:30
  Only 49% bets but 66% money, so pretty good sharp contrarian bet
• 15:35
  split and the under four and O the last four All Star games,
• 15:39
  final scores three to two, three to two, 5:00 to 2:00 and 4:00 to
• 15:42
  3:00. And then over the last 17 All
• 15:45
  Star games, the under is 14-1 and two.
• 15:49
  So this has been a great trend here to the under.
• 15:51
  You got to ask yourself, why are the unders cashing?
• 15:53
  To me, my answer would be the pitching.
• 15:56
  The old adage, good pitching beats good hitting.
• 15:59
  But also you have all these great pitchers that basically
• 16:01
  have a new one every inning. So maybe schemes will go an
• 16:04
  inning. I don't know.
• 16:05
  Chris Sale might come next. But when you're constantly
• 16:07
  putting out a new pitcher, it's really hard for the batters
• 16:10
  because they don't get, you know, acclimated to that
• 16:12
  pitcher. Pitchers have an advantage over
• 16:14
  the hitter with the lack of familiarity.
• 16:16
  But once you see a pitcher second, third time through, then
• 16:19
  you kind of get better as a hitter.
• 16:20
  You know what to expect when you don't know what to expect.
• 16:23
  Again, it's a big benefit for the for the the pitching, for
• 16:26
  the defense. So I think that's why you've
• 16:28
  seen a lot of these lower scoring games here in the in the
• 16:30
  All Star game. And again, 14-1 and two to the
• 16:32
  under last 17. So adding it all up here guys,
• 16:36
  we got to lean to the American League, but all the movement,
• 16:40
  all the money is going under. The only last thing you got to
• 16:43
  search out for is the hook. You got to get under 7 1/2.
• 16:46
  Shop around because a lot of books again are falling down to
• 16:49
  seven, but that's my play tonight.
• 16:51
  We got the ALNL All Star Major League Baseball game under 7
• 16:55
  1/2. Now that about does it for
• 16:57
  episode 77 of the all systems go sports betting pod.
• 17:01
  I know it's kind of a weird week, a slow week, but we're
• 17:03
  making the most of it. Hopefully get some winners here
• 17:05
  for tonight. Can we eke out a two and one
• 17:08
  with a profitable day? That is the goal, but this is
• 17:11
  the part of the pod where I asked something of you, could
• 17:14
  you please do me a favor, help me grow this podcast
• 17:16
  organically? Could you give this podcast a 5
• 17:19
  star review? Whether you're listening on
• 17:21
  iTunes or Spotify or any other platform, if it gives you the
• 17:25
  option to rate it five stars, I would really, really appreciate
• 17:28
  that. That helps us grow and gain more
• 17:30
  credibility and grow organically.
• 17:32
  If you want to recommend the pod to a friend or click the follow
• 17:35
  button so when the pod comes out you get alerted to it, that'll
• 17:38
  be fantastic as well. I would very much appreciate
• 17:41
  that. Secondly, you heard me talk
• 17:43
  about rhythm earlier today on the pod.
• 17:45
  We were talking about our rhythm edges in the WNBA, but if you
• 17:48
  haven't done it yet, go sign up for Rhythm 7 day free trial.
• 17:52
  All you got to do is click the custom link located inside the
• 17:55
  bio description of this podcast. And once you do that, you're
• 17:58
  going to be able to test rhythm out for yourself so you can use
• 18:01
  it for golf. I think we have what the
• 18:03
  Scottish Open or there's a new there's a new Golf tournament
• 18:07
  coming up now, but great for predicted top five, top ten, top
• 18:10
  20s WNBA. It's a great time to to really
• 18:15
  take advantage of rhythm and get yourself acclimated so that when
• 18:17
  football comes back, we talked win totals yesterday.
• 18:20
  When NFL returns, you'll be ready to go and Rhythm will help
• 18:23
  you cash some tickets. So sign up with that custom link
• 18:25
  in the bio description of this podcast on Spotify or iTunes.
• 18:29
  Also, Juice Reel. Juice Reel is on a little bit of
• 18:31
  a vacation right now because there's not much going on, but
• 18:35
  Juice Reel is a great app to sign up for whether you're
• 18:38
  looking for arbitrage opportunities.
• 18:40
  The Robo Jackson AI best bet picks each day, the sharp mush
• 18:44
  opportunities and then syncing your sports books to to Juice
• 18:48
  Reel so you can get kind of a report card each day so you can
• 18:52
  learn more about yourself as a better and lean on what your
• 18:55
  strengths are, work on your weaknesses.
• 18:57
  So both Juice Reel and Rhythm data-driven, fantastic apps that
• 19:01
  you should go download right now and use that custom link to do
• 19:04
  so. Lastly, of course, if you enjoy
• 19:06
  the breakdowns on the pod and you want to learn more about how
• 19:09
  to be a sharp data-driven contrarian, better guess what?
• 19:12
  I wrote a book. Go buy that book.
• 19:14
  Just go to Amazon.com, type in the everything guide to sports
• 19:17
  betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
• 19:19
  friend. It's got everything I've learned
• 19:20
  in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
• 19:24
  to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to go
• 19:26
  contrarian, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
• 19:30
  for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
• 19:32
  It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
• 19:35
  Betting. So pick one up, bring it to the
• 19:37
  book. I'll sign it for you and I'll
• 19:39
  I'll buy you a beer. How about that?
• 19:40
  Or ginger ale if you don't drink, because that's fine too.
• 19:43
  That about does it everybody. Another pot here in the books,
• 19:46
  whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 19:49
  Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 19:52
  Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
• 19:55
  Park Casino or MGM Springfield, the my neck of the woods in
• 19:58
  Massachusetts or of course, out in the desert.
• 20:01
  But I don't even want to know how hot it is right now.
• 20:03
  This is this. Today should be our last day of
• 20:05
  the heat wave in Boston. It's been like 95 for like 2
• 20:08
  weeks straight. It's been a hot July.
• 20:09
  It's going to get down to like 85 starting tomorrow, so I can't
• 20:12
  wait for that. But I don't know how anyone can
• 20:14
  live in Vegas in the desert again.
• 20:15
  I love the bedding, I love the air conditioned rooms, the
• 20:18
  pools, but I I'd get into probably too much trouble there
• 20:21
  and I can't stand the heat. So anyway, if you're in Vegas,
• 20:24
  whether I see you at the South point where the true grinders
• 20:27
  get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners, where
• 20:29
  the lowest juice possible is found in Vegas, or of course at
• 20:33
  Circa Gamblers paradise there, whether you're jumping in the
• 20:36
  stadium swimming pool to stay cool or getting a victory burger
• 20:39
  at the end of the night, whatever the case may be, you're
• 20:41
  going to walk up to me. You're going to hopefully show
• 20:43
  me WNBA winner here for today, a low scoring All Star game.
• 20:48
  Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
• 20:50
  you. We're going to post about the
• 20:51
  book. Sweatshop Contrarian plays all
• 20:53
  night long. So wish you the best luck.
• 20:55
  Everyone have a fantastic Tuesday.
• 20:57
  I'm looking to tomorrow. Let's see, we got two WNBA games
• 21:01
  for tomorrow. There's nothing for baseball.
• 21:03
  Baseball comes back on Friday, so we'll talk to WNBA and then,
• 21:08
  I don't know, maybe we'll dabble into the futures market a little
• 21:10
  bit on tomorrow's pod. But either way, hope to see you
• 21:13
  guys there enjoy your Tuesday night.
• 21:16
  Lastly, of course, stay sharp, stay contrarian.
• 21:19
  Bet against the public, place yourself on the side of the
• 21:21
  house. Always be with the smart money,
• 21:23
  never against it. Will smart money win every time?
• 21:26
  Of course not. Nothing's locker or guarantee in
• 21:28
  sports betting. But here's the thing that we can
• 21:30
  consistently make smart bets with our head and not our heart
• 21:33
  and lean on the data. We can be against the public,
• 21:36
  with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get
• 21:39
  some CLV. If we can do that, we're going
• 21:41
  to be OK long term guys. So enjoy the All Star game.
• 21:45
  Let's have a low scoring game and of course, see if we can get
• 21:48
  at least one of these WNBA totals.
• 21:50
  That is the goal. But have a great Tuesday night
• 21:52
  guys. We back at it tomorrow for
• 21:54
  episode 78 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered
• 21:58
  by Rhythm. Have a great night everybody,
• 22:01
  Enjoy the Midsummer classic.