Latest / Rosters to Rings Podcast / Sho-Time to Showtime: MLB’s MVPs and the NBA’s Early MVP Favorites
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Welcome to Roster Syrings alongside Ryan McDonough, I am Thad Levine. Ryan,
- 0:10Speaker 1: We've got an action packed show today. We're going to
- 0:12Speaker 1: talk about the all too early assessment of the NBA
- 0:15Speaker 1: MVP race. We're going to break down what happened in
- 0:18Speaker 1: the American League MVP race in Major League Baseball, and
- 0:21Speaker 1: talk a little bit about free agency in baseball.
- 0:23Speaker 2: But just kick this off.
- 0:25Speaker 1: We've teased this in a few of the previous episodes
- 0:27Speaker 1: talking about the Memphis Grizzlies the twenty nineteen draft. But Ryan,
- 0:32Speaker 1: let's get into it now. Break down the twenty nineteen
- 0:34Speaker 1: draft in the NBA.
- 0:36Speaker 2: Yeah, that great to be with you. As always.
- 0:39Speaker 3: Twenty nineteen was a really interesting year in the NBA
- 0:42Speaker 3: draft because it was the first year the NBA had
- 0:45Speaker 3: flatter LODs odds DAT And what I mean by that
- 0:48Speaker 3: is previously the odds had been really slanted toward the
- 0:52Speaker 3: teams with the worst records at the top of the draft,
- 0:56Speaker 3: meaning if you had the worst record in the league
- 0:58Speaker 3: going into the lottery, you had a twenty five percent
- 1:00Speaker 3: chance to get the number one pick, and the lowest
- 1:02Speaker 3: you could fall Thad was the fourth pick, So if
- 1:04Speaker 3: you went to eighty two. You had a twenty five
- 1:06Speaker 3: percent chance picking one, and the worst you could pick
- 1:09Speaker 3: was fourth. In a loaded draft, there are a lot
- 1:12Speaker 3: of reasons to lean that way into you know, lean
- 1:14Speaker 3: into the tanking and load up on ping pong balls
- 1:16Speaker 3: and all that if your mathematically based organization kind of
- 1:20Speaker 3: strictly playing the numbers.
- 1:21Speaker 2: Twenty nineteen was different.
- 1:23Speaker 3: The NBA got tired of the tanking of teams leaning
- 1:26Speaker 3: into losing, so that it was the first year of
- 1:28Speaker 3: the flatter odds. In Memphis was slotted eighth coming into
- 1:32Speaker 3: the lottery, which means they moved up six slots when
- 1:35Speaker 3: the ping pong balls were drawn, and they ended up
- 1:37Speaker 3: with the second pick in the draft, which he only
- 1:40Speaker 3: had a six percent chance of doing. New Orleans did
- 1:43Speaker 3: even better. New Orleans was slotted seventh in the draft.
- 1:46Speaker 3: The Pelicans also moved up six slots. They picked first.
- 1:50Speaker 3: They had a six percent chance of doing that as well,
- 1:52Speaker 3: So you know, those teams really defied the odds that
- 1:55Speaker 3: ninety four percent that they were not going to be
- 1:57Speaker 3: on those pick slots. New Orleans ended up with the
- 1:59Speaker 3: first pick, Memphis ended up with the second pick, and
- 2:02Speaker 3: then with the third pick. The team that had the
- 2:04Speaker 3: worst record in the league the year before was the
- 2:06Speaker 3: New York Knicks. They were slotted first, that they dropped
- 2:09Speaker 3: two slots to pick third. They had a fourteen percent
- 2:12Speaker 3: chance of doing that, so I actually had a better
- 2:14Speaker 3: chance of that happening than either New Orleans or Memphis
- 2:17Speaker 3: moving up that here were the results the teams ended
- 2:21Speaker 3: up drafting. New Orleans ended up drafting superstar Zion Williamson
- 2:26Speaker 3: out of Duke had one of the best years in
- 2:28Speaker 3: college basketball history as a freshman. Memphis got a very
- 2:31Speaker 3: good player with the number two pick, John Morant, an
- 2:34Speaker 3: electric point guard out of Murray State, and then with
- 2:37Speaker 3: a third pick that was our j Barrett from Duke.
- 2:40Speaker 3: So really that teams do tiering in the draft, and
- 2:44Speaker 3: imagine you guys do this in Major League Baseball as well.
- 2:47Speaker 3: The gap between each player's ranking is not always even,
- 2:50Speaker 3: so what a lot of NBA teams will do is
- 2:52Speaker 3: put players in tiers. Well, in the twenty nineteen draft,
- 2:55Speaker 3: most of the teams I talked to had two players
- 2:57Speaker 3: in the top two tiers, Zion Williamson by himself in
- 3:00Speaker 3: Tier one, John Morant by himself in Tier two, and
- 3:04Speaker 3: then there was a gap to Tier three, which most
- 3:06Speaker 3: teams did have led by RJ.
- 3:07Speaker 2: Barrett.
- 3:08Speaker 3: So that's the way it ended up. That jubilation in
- 3:11Speaker 3: New Orleans and Memphis, heartbreak in New York. Things that
- 3:14Speaker 3: look very promising on paper for both the Pelicans and
- 3:17Speaker 3: the Grizzlies.
- 3:18Speaker 1: Ran a few questions I'd have just coming out of that.
- 3:20Speaker 1: How often is it that a player out of Murray
- 3:23Speaker 1: State would get that kind of recognition. How much does
- 3:26Speaker 1: strength a schedule factor into your evaluation of the college experience?
- 3:31Speaker 2: Yeah, good question.
- 3:32Speaker 3: It's relatively rare because I'd say of all the college sports,
- 3:36Speaker 3: basketball is the most heavily scouted in terms of these
- 3:41Speaker 3: kids on a national radar from twelve, thirteen, fourteen years
- 3:44Speaker 3: old and on. And so unless the guy's a very
- 3:47Speaker 3: late bloomer, which jam Moran I think would fit that description,
- 3:50Speaker 3: that the blue blood program. So name your college program
- 3:54Speaker 3: of choice, the Duke, North Carolina, Kansas, Kentucky, I could
- 3:57Speaker 3: go on. Usually they're all over these kids for a
- 3:59Speaker 3: young age. If you have a chance to be a
- 4:01Speaker 3: great player, never mind if you are, but if you
- 4:03Speaker 3: have a chance, they're recruiting these guys. Joe was a
- 4:05Speaker 3: little different, like I said he was a late bloomer.
- 4:08Speaker 3: I think Murray State showed a lot of initial interest
- 4:10Speaker 3: from what I remember, and then as he got better
- 4:12Speaker 3: toward the end of his high school career, I think
- 4:14Speaker 3: some of the big boys came calling Fad, but he
- 4:17Speaker 3: was a loyal guy. He's stuck with Murray State. But
- 4:19Speaker 3: yeah'd answer your question more directly. If you look at
- 4:21Speaker 3: the history of the draft, it is rare that a
- 4:23Speaker 3: player from a school like that amid to low major
- 4:26Speaker 3: ends up as one of the top two picks, especially
- 4:28Speaker 3: in what was considered at the time a very good
- 4:31Speaker 3: NBA draft class.
- 4:32Speaker 1: And it's the same in Major League Baseball. Our models
- 4:34Speaker 1: are driven in larger guard on off of strength to schedule,
- 4:37Speaker 1: so you see a lot of kids coming out of
- 4:39Speaker 1: the ACC the SEC programs. It's much more uncommon to
- 4:43Speaker 1: see somebody coming out of the Northeast where they just
- 4:45Speaker 1: don't get a chance to play as much baseball, and
- 4:47Speaker 1: certainly not against really high quality competition. But as you reference,
- 4:52Speaker 1: I think the NBA, the NFL, in Major League Baseball,
- 4:54Speaker 1: they're doing a great job with these draft lotteries to
- 4:56Speaker 1: dissuade teams from tanking. It's had the same impact baseball,
- 5:00Speaker 1: as some teams with very small odds to get to
- 5:02Speaker 1: the top of the draft have gotten there, and quite frankly,
- 5:05Speaker 1: ever since they've implemented the draft lottery and baseball, the
- 5:08Speaker 1: team with the highest odds has not selected first yet.
- 5:12Speaker 1: Ran A few questions I'd have about that draft is,
- 5:15Speaker 1: you know, baseball everyone makes such a big deal about
- 5:17Speaker 1: war as kind of this all in company set and
- 5:20Speaker 1: how we can evaluate players across different positions, pitchers against
- 5:23Speaker 1: position players and the like. I was looking up the
- 5:26Speaker 1: draft results from twenty nineteen and listing these guys by
- 5:29Speaker 1: wind share that they have garnered for their team since
- 5:32Speaker 1: being drafted, and there's an interesting group at the top
- 5:35Speaker 1: and their few guys nestled right above Zion and John
- 5:39Speaker 1: It was Daniel Gafford and Nick Klaxton, Darius Garland, Brandon Clark.
- 5:43Speaker 1: You know, kind of moving down the list, you see
- 5:45Speaker 1: some of these other guys that show up on this list,
- 5:48Speaker 1: Cam Johnson and Terrence Mann and Jackson Hayes and Tyler Herro.
- 5:51Speaker 1: How much does wind share factor in? Is that a
- 5:53Speaker 1: fair way to assess these guys? It seem like a
- 5:55Speaker 1: lot of guys who are clearing up the boards are
- 5:58Speaker 1: getting a lot of consideration the top of this list.
- 6:02Speaker 3: Yeah, I think wind shares can be somewhat valuable Thad.
- 6:05Speaker 3: But if I think you and I were to rank
- 6:08Speaker 3: the best players from the twenty nineteen draft, or if
- 6:10Speaker 3: we were starting a team today and picking guys from
- 6:12Speaker 3: the twenty nineteen draft, I don't think Daniel Glatt Gaffer
- 6:15Speaker 3: Nick Claxton would be the top two picks. And those
- 6:18Speaker 3: are the top two guys in wind shares. So it
- 6:20Speaker 3: can be slanted a little bit toward the guys who
- 6:22Speaker 3: rebound the ball well, as you pointed out, to the
- 6:25Speaker 3: guys who protect the rim well. With the shot blocking
- 6:28Speaker 3: metric and field goal percentage I think is heavily weighted,
- 6:31Speaker 3: and you think at the advantage for a rim running
- 6:34Speaker 3: dunking center, which Daniel Gafford and Nick Claxton both are,
- 6:38Speaker 3: they're not taking many, if any shots outside the restricted
- 6:41Speaker 3: area right around the basket, so your field goal percentage,
- 6:44Speaker 3: it's a lot easier to spike that if you're catching
- 6:46Speaker 3: and dunking, or catching and laying the ball in off
- 6:48Speaker 3: of a dribble penetration from a guard than it is
- 6:50Speaker 3: if you're the guard who actually has to dribble penetrate,
- 6:52Speaker 3: try to get to the basket against an NBA caliber defense.
- 6:55Speaker 3: So I think it can be a little bit misleading that,
- 6:59Speaker 3: you know, team look at it, but I would I
- 7:01Speaker 3: wouldn't say they overweight it. But yeah, I mean going
- 7:04Speaker 3: back to twenty nineteen on draft night, if you said
- 7:07Speaker 3: who are going to be the top two guys in
- 7:10Speaker 3: any metric? You know seven eight years later, so what's
- 7:13Speaker 3: going to be Zion and jaw in some order? You
- 7:16Speaker 3: know one or both of those guys, And unfortunately that
- 7:19Speaker 3: both of those guys have had significant injuries and off
- 7:22Speaker 3: court issues that have led to their lack of productivity
- 7:25Speaker 3: and lack of availability so far. And unfortunately for the
- 7:28Speaker 3: head coaches and some of the executives who worked for
- 7:30Speaker 3: those organizations, they both had a lot of churn, a
- 7:33Speaker 3: lot of turnover along the way. Frankly, the guys who
- 7:35Speaker 3: brought Zion and Jaw in, most of them are no
- 7:39Speaker 3: longer with those clubs just seven years later.
- 7:42Speaker 1: Well, Ryan, let's dive into that. We've teased that a
- 7:44Speaker 1: little bit. Let's dive in a little bit further. Obviously
- 7:47Speaker 1: they're not singularly responsible, but when you draft players of
- 7:50Speaker 1: this magnitude. They can have profound impacts on your job security,
- 7:54Speaker 1: whether you're a head coach or an executive. Willie Green
- 7:57Speaker 1: unfortunately loses his job this last week, probably the last
- 8:00Speaker 1: remnants of people who have been impacted by this. But
- 8:03Speaker 1: let's first go into the Pelicans, like, what is your
- 8:05Speaker 1: assessment of what's transpired there? Ever since Zion has been drafted.
- 8:10Speaker 3: So in twenty nineteen, the future was extremely bright in
- 8:12Speaker 3: New Orleans, at least on paper. They had a new
- 8:15Speaker 3: general manager in David Griffin, who had previously won the
- 8:18Speaker 3: championship as GM of the Cleveland Cavaliers with the lebron
- 8:21Speaker 3: James Kyrie Irving led team that beat the Mighty Warriors
- 8:24Speaker 3: in Golden State in Game seven at an epic NBA Finals.
- 8:28Speaker 3: They had an experienced, veteran NBA head coach in Alvin Gentry.
- 8:32Speaker 3: It's been around the block, been a successful head coach
- 8:35Speaker 3: and an assistant coach, one of the most popular and
- 8:37Speaker 3: likable guys in the league, known as a players coach.
- 8:40Speaker 3: Players tend to like Alvin, like playing for him wherever
- 8:43Speaker 3: he goes. And then that later that night New Orleans,
- 8:46Speaker 3: after picking Zion one, they also made a trade another trade.
- 8:50Speaker 3: They went out and got an athletics center, Jackson Hayes
- 8:54Speaker 3: out of Texas a youngster. So as I look at
- 8:56Speaker 3: the team on paper, their potential and the uticism were
- 9:00Speaker 3: really off the charts. I mean said, wow, Like Zion
- 9:02Speaker 3: Williamson and Jackson Hayes catching lobs with their elbows above
- 9:06Speaker 3: the rim and you know, it's really exciting, and then
- 9:08Speaker 3: defensively protecting the rim, flying around blocking shots. This is
- 9:12Speaker 3: going to be a big time athletic team and one
- 9:14Speaker 3: of the most exciting teams to watch. Zion in particular
- 9:17Speaker 3: at Duke I think set some viewership records when he
- 9:19Speaker 3: played that he was must see TV with the win
- 9:22Speaker 3: Mill dunks, and you know, he looked a lot like
- 9:24Speaker 3: a football player playing basketball, just with his strength and power.
- 9:27Speaker 3: You know, he'd lower his shoulder, Guys would bounce off
- 9:29Speaker 3: him in addition to his explosiveness. But that in reality,
- 9:34Speaker 3: it didn't work out that way. When the four year
- 9:36Speaker 3: contract that these guys sign as rookies ended, New Orleans
- 9:39Speaker 3: did not want back Jackson Hayes.
- 9:41Speaker 2: They let him go.
- 9:42Speaker 3: He's now a member of the LA Lakers, where he's
- 9:44Speaker 3: a backup or third string center, and Zion who was
- 9:48Speaker 3: supposed to be a prize a franchise player that you
- 9:50Speaker 3: could build around for a decade or so. That he's
- 9:53Speaker 3: missed at least twenty games in every NBA season except
- 9:56Speaker 3: for one. And keep in mind that he's now in
- 9:59Speaker 3: his seventh year in the league. He missed one season entirely.
- 10:02Speaker 3: That was in twenty twenty one, twenty twenty two.
- 10:05Speaker 2: So far this.
- 10:06Speaker 3: Year with New Orleans among the worst teams in the league,
- 10:08Speaker 3: and you just mentioned, they've already fired Willie Green, their
- 10:11Speaker 3: head coach, who's one of the most popular guys in
- 10:13Speaker 3: the league, a younger coach, you know, really popular with
- 10:16Speaker 3: the former and current players.
- 10:18Speaker 2: He's out of a job in New Orleans.
- 10:20Speaker 3: So that makes two head coaches now that in New Orleans,
- 10:23Speaker 3: Alvin Gentry and Willie Green, who have not been able
- 10:26Speaker 3: to get through it to Zion or you know, bring
- 10:28Speaker 3: the Pelicans the level of team success they had Hope
- 10:31Speaker 3: one general manager and David Griffin, who has since been replaced.
- 10:34Speaker 3: And so that's the reality of it. And you and
- 10:36Speaker 3: I know this is a tough business. It's not always fair,
- 10:39Speaker 3: but with the hype comes a lot of expectations, and
- 10:43Speaker 3: New Orleans, you know what they thought they were getting
- 10:45Speaker 3: with Zion seven years back and what has ended up happening.
- 10:49Speaker 3: Unfortunately for your Repelicans fans, they're kind of polar opposites
- 10:52Speaker 3: with the position they're franchise is in.
- 10:54Speaker 1: You know, I think all the models that we've built
- 10:56Speaker 1: to try to evaluate talent and help our selection process,
- 11:00Speaker 1: the one thing that is so difficult to put your
- 11:01Speaker 1: finger on is health. And you know, we talk about
- 11:04Speaker 1: like the number one ability is your availability, and the
- 11:08Speaker 1: challenge you have when you have a player who has
- 11:10Speaker 1: missed as many games as Zion has due to health
- 11:13Speaker 1: issues is you're forever feeling like you would be trading
- 11:16Speaker 1: low on the player you reinvest in him. And when
- 11:19Speaker 1: you have a high percentage of your payroll invest in
- 11:21Speaker 1: a player who's just simply not available as frequently as
- 11:24Speaker 1: other teams star players are, you're playing at such a disadvantage.
- 11:27Speaker 1: And it's this cycle that is really difficult, I think,
- 11:30Speaker 1: to get out of. As an executive. You don't want
- 11:32Speaker 1: to trade that player because you don't want that player
- 11:34Speaker 1: to go and find the fountain of youth and be
- 11:37Speaker 1: healthy somewhere else. Because when they're on the court, they
- 11:40Speaker 1: are probably Permitutent spent one of the better contributors in
- 11:43Speaker 1: the whole NBA. But the reality is they're available so infrequently.
- 11:47Speaker 1: We had this experience when I worked with Minnesota, Byron
- 11:50Speaker 1: Buxton was unequivocally our most talented player, wasn't available that much. Now,
- 11:55Speaker 1: all of a sudden, he's getting healthier as he's kind
- 11:57Speaker 1: of found his stride in the game, and he's now
- 12:00Speaker 1: availing himself as a silver slugg or a goal glove player.
- 12:04Speaker 1: Guy who's getting MVP can't votes. This is the reason
- 12:07Speaker 1: you hold on to these guys because if they can
- 12:09Speaker 1: find the ability to stay healthy, they're undeniably one of
- 12:13Speaker 1: the most talented players. But the challenges when they're not healthy,
- 12:16Speaker 1: it's really crippling to franchises.
- 12:19Speaker 3: And that's what keeps you up at night as an
- 12:20Speaker 3: executive that, as you know, we all want to buy
- 12:24Speaker 3: low sell high. If you trade Zion Williamson now are
- 12:28Speaker 3: the Pelicans you may be doing the opposite of that.
- 12:32Speaker 3: On the flip side, the same thing with the Grizzlies
- 12:35Speaker 3: with John Morant. That let's go into the history now
- 12:37Speaker 3: a little bit, because I think it's so interesting the
- 12:38Speaker 3: two parallels between the franchises with the top two picks
- 12:41Speaker 3: in the twenty nineteen draft. Memphis in twenty nineteen had
- 12:45Speaker 3: a new GM and head coach. They were both very young.
- 12:48Speaker 3: Zach Kleman was a general manager, Taylor Jenkins was a
- 12:51Speaker 3: head coach. In fact, this was the franchise that had
- 12:54Speaker 3: added a really promising big man the year before in
- 12:57Speaker 3: Jaron Jackson Junior played the one year at Michigan State,
- 13:00Speaker 3: and now appeared to have a franchise point guard and
- 13:02Speaker 3: a franchise big man potentially in Jaron Jackson Junior. And
- 13:06Speaker 3: the economics of this are really interesting too. That because
- 13:09Speaker 3: people coming into the draft. I hate that this is
- 13:11Speaker 3: part of the NBA discourse, but said, well, the Knicks
- 13:13Speaker 3: are awful. They're slot at number one. Of course they're
- 13:16Speaker 3: going to get either Zion or John Morant.
- 13:18Speaker 2: And they didn't. And I thought it was great.
- 13:20Speaker 3: And it parkens back to the late great David Stern,
- 13:23Speaker 3: who kind of built the NBA to what it is.
- 13:25Speaker 3: As commissioner said, yeah, I stacked a lottery odds. I
- 13:28Speaker 3: wanted the best players in South Texas with the San
- 13:30Speaker 3: Antonio Spurs. I'm paraphrasing, but that's that's the market we had,
- 13:34Speaker 3: you know, lined up to deliver the league to great heights.
- 13:37Speaker 3: But but I'm obviously kidding because you know, you have
- 13:39Speaker 3: New York up there, It's it's you know, it's the Mecca,
- 13:42Speaker 3: Madison Square Garden, the biggest media market all that, and
- 13:45Speaker 3: these two guys end up going down to the southeast
- 13:48Speaker 3: in New Orleans and Memphis and Zion Williamson and John Morant.
- 13:53Speaker 3: So it was really I thought, good for the league,
- 13:54Speaker 3: are potentially good for the league that as far as
- 13:56Speaker 3: parody and some of the things we've talked about balance,
- 13:59Speaker 3: you know, big versus small market, giving the smaller market
- 14:01Speaker 3: teams a chance to contend. But like Zion Williamson, unfortunately
- 14:06Speaker 3: John Morant has been injured a lot. Also, like Zion,
- 14:09Speaker 3: he's had a number of off court issues. Zions are
- 14:12Speaker 3: more weight related and conditioning related. Frankly, Fad you know,
- 14:16Speaker 3: Jah is just a lot of foolishness things things with
- 14:18Speaker 3: guns and threatening people and all kinds of immature nonsense.
- 14:23Speaker 3: I could, you know, go on a longer description of that,
- 14:25Speaker 3: but we'll leave it at that. But all that said,
- 14:28Speaker 3: the Memphis Grizzlies then went on and added a really
- 14:31Speaker 3: talented wing out of TCU, Desmond Baine, who was a
- 14:35Speaker 3: late round pick, an excellent pick, and you say, wow,
- 14:38Speaker 3: that's a good young big three. John Morant in the backcourt,
- 14:42Speaker 3: Desmond Bane on the wing, Jaron Jackson Junior in the
- 14:45Speaker 3: front court. They really might have something there that not
- 14:47Speaker 3: initially the short term, but for the next five or
- 14:49Speaker 3: ten years. You know, they could be the franchise Pillars. Well,
- 14:52Speaker 3: Moran's been in and out of lineup and suspended for
- 14:55Speaker 3: the aforementioned nonsense. Desmond Baine this offseason was traded to
- 14:59Speaker 3: the Orlando made a lot of that was financially related.
- 15:02Speaker 3: They just couldn't afford to pay three guys at or
- 15:04Speaker 3: near the MAX. And Jared Jackson Junior, I really like him,
- 15:08Speaker 3: but he's making franchise player type of money and I
- 15:11Speaker 3: think he's best described as a very good player. Unfortunately
- 15:15Speaker 3: on a below average team. That's that's what he is.
- 15:17Speaker 3: And situation Memphis is in so to recap that, Taylor Jenkins,
- 15:22Speaker 3: who became the winningest head coach in Grizzlies history, you know,
- 15:26Speaker 3: in large part due to the success or the productivity
- 15:28Speaker 3: those guys had when they played. And that's the tough part,
- 15:30Speaker 3: especially for Grizzlies fans. When Ja Morant, Jaron Jackson Junior,
- 15:34Speaker 3: and Desmond Bane all played, they were a very good team.
- 15:37Speaker 3: But Taylor Jenkins has now fired the guy who replaced
- 15:41Speaker 3: him as the interim head coach, Thomas Islow, one of
- 15:43Speaker 3: the first European born head coaches in NBA history. He
- 15:47Speaker 3: got the permanent job this year.
- 15:48Speaker 2: Thad.
- 15:49Speaker 3: He's already butted heads with John Morant, including some audio
- 15:52Speaker 3: we played on a recent Rosters to Rings where Jaw
- 15:55Speaker 3: was basically asking about his struggles and getting benched. He
- 15:58Speaker 3: kind of said, he ask the coaches, you know, essentially
- 15:59Speaker 3: that has nothing to do with me.
- 16:00Speaker 2: It's ask them.
- 16:01Speaker 3: They hate me, so they suspend a job once for
- 16:04Speaker 3: conduct detrimental the team.
- 16:06Speaker 2: And the reality of it.
- 16:08Speaker 3: Is New Orleans and Memphis now maybe looking at other rebuilds,
- 16:12Speaker 3: and they're in the position none of us want to
- 16:14Speaker 3: be in as an executive right where they have talent.
- 16:17Speaker 3: They do not want to trade the talent, but they
- 16:19Speaker 3: may have to trade the talent to move on. Knowing
- 16:21Speaker 3: that if Zion Williamson from New Orleans and if John
- 16:25Speaker 3: Moran from Memphis goes elsewhere and figures it out, they
- 16:27Speaker 3: could be coming back and kicking your ass for years.
- 16:30Speaker 3: And then you were the guy who just dealt low
- 16:31Speaker 3: because you got frustrated you weren't able to handle them
- 16:34Speaker 3: as an organization or as an executive. You moved on
- 16:36Speaker 3: from them thatad you sold low, and then the other team,
- 16:41Speaker 3: you know, reaped the benefits of it.
- 16:43Speaker 1: You know, we're not trying to build the team that
- 16:46Speaker 1: has the most choir boys on it. We're trying to
- 16:48Speaker 1: win championships. But when you have your star player who
- 16:51Speaker 1: has somewhat of a divisive force in an undercurrent, the
- 16:54Speaker 1: rest of the team has to be clicking in all cylinders.
- 16:57Speaker 1: And there was a time where I think Zach Leman
- 16:59Speaker 1: and Taylor Tankins were regarded as the class of the
- 17:02Speaker 1: game in terms of roster building and roster deployment. And
- 17:05Speaker 1: you know a few of the other guys that I
- 17:07Speaker 1: recall being on those teams, they did a great job
- 17:09Speaker 1: in those blue collar guys, the Brandon Clarks of the
- 17:11Speaker 1: world and Dylan Brooks, who is kind of a little
- 17:14Speaker 1: bit of an interesting enforcer on the court, and all
- 17:17Speaker 1: of that seem to work well together until it didn't,
- 17:20Speaker 1: And you know, it just makes you revere the teams
- 17:22Speaker 1: that are built around the star players who also are
- 17:25Speaker 1: elevating the level of play around them. You know the
- 17:28Speaker 1: guys who are you know, high caliber character and high
- 17:31Speaker 1: caliber talent. Those are the guys that you never want
- 17:33Speaker 1: to let go. But you have to make a decision
- 17:35Speaker 1: sometimes when you're building a championship team when you can't
- 17:39Speaker 1: get both. Would you rather have the guy who is
- 17:41Speaker 1: extremely well regarded but isn't as talented or the guy
- 17:44Speaker 1: who's more talented but isn't as well regarded. It's a
- 17:48Speaker 1: balancing act. Because we are in the business of trying
- 17:50Speaker 1: to win. We understand that the person who's the divisive
- 17:53Speaker 1: force probably is going to not lead to a dynasty,
- 17:56Speaker 1: so to speak, but they may end up helping you
- 17:58Speaker 1: win in the short term. Where's the guy who is
- 18:01Speaker 1: an extremely good human being but maybe not quite as talented.
- 18:04Speaker 1: Could help compliment a championship run, but they're probably not
- 18:07Speaker 1: driving you to a championship singularly.
- 18:11Speaker 2: Great points to that.
- 18:12Speaker 3: And if you say, well, why would you ever take
- 18:14Speaker 3: a chance on a talented guy with issues, Well that's
- 18:17Speaker 3: what the Dallas Mavericks did with Kyrie Irving, right.
- 18:20Speaker 2: They bought low. They bought very low.
- 18:21Speaker 3: Look at what they gave up to get Kyrie was
- 18:23Speaker 3: not a whole lot, and then they almost won a
- 18:25Speaker 3: championship with Kyrie irving as one of their two best
- 18:27Speaker 3: players alongside Luka Donsich. Obviously, a lot has gone wrong
- 18:31Speaker 3: in Dallas from the end of the twenty twenty four
- 18:33Speaker 3: NBA Finals till today. But that's why you cannot just
- 18:36Speaker 3: blanket say now we're not taking any guys with issues
- 18:38Speaker 3: or character. As you know that sometimes it'd be a
- 18:41Speaker 3: pretty short list of guys if you only took the
- 18:42Speaker 3: choir boys on your team. Sometimes you need to figure
- 18:45Speaker 3: out where to operate in the margins. But that one
- 18:47Speaker 3: of the things that I wanted to get into with
- 18:49Speaker 3: you is I know it's early, We're only a month
- 18:51Speaker 3: or so into the NBA season, but this is as
- 18:54Speaker 3: wide open an MVP race as I can remember early
- 18:58Speaker 3: on in the year. I know it's very early for this,
- 19:00Speaker 3: but that these are the guys who check all the boxes, right.
- 19:02Speaker 3: These are the guys that you and I dream about
- 19:04Speaker 3: because they have talent, they have character, they're generally healthy
- 19:08Speaker 3: and available. So for me, it's wide open. I want
- 19:12Speaker 3: to list off six guys who I think all would
- 19:14Speaker 3: have a shot at MVP today, get your reaction to it,
- 19:17Speaker 3: get your thoughts, and then I'll react to it as well.
- 19:19Speaker 3: But that as I wrote down potential MVP candidates, these
- 19:23Speaker 3: six guys stood out, and usually frankly, by now it's
- 19:26Speaker 3: maybe a two or three man race. Sometimes there's one
- 19:28Speaker 3: guy way ahead of the pack that I think you
- 19:31Speaker 3: can make an argument for any and all of these
- 19:33Speaker 3: guys to be holding the MVP trophy at the end
- 19:35Speaker 3: of the year. I'm looking at Shay Gilders, Alexander in okc,
- 19:39Speaker 3: Nikola Jokic in Denver, Jannis Addakumbo in Milwaukee, Luka Donsich
- 19:45Speaker 3: with the LA Lakers, Steph Curry with the Golden State Warriors,
- 19:49Speaker 3: and Victor Wemanyama with the San Antonio Spurs. Fad what
- 19:52Speaker 3: those guys are doing. They're all different, they're all special,
- 19:55Speaker 3: and to me, it really makes it fun because they're
- 19:57Speaker 3: all performing at an MVP caliber level.
- 20:00Speaker 1: You Know what jumps out to me, Ryan is how
- 20:02Speaker 1: healthy the NBA is right now and how ecstatic they
- 20:05Speaker 1: must be to have this talent pool right now in
- 20:08Speaker 1: the NBA. And because you're talking about guys from all
- 20:10Speaker 1: different generations, right I mean You've got some guys who
- 20:13Speaker 1: are kind of in the twilight of their career and
- 20:15Speaker 1: a guy like Steph Curry there, But then you have
- 20:17Speaker 1: so many guys who are young and up and coming
- 20:19Speaker 1: and who should be, you know, the kind of backbone
- 20:22Speaker 1: of the NBA for the next foreseeable future that maybe
- 20:25Speaker 1: a decade and something I'd love to pick your brain
- 20:28Speaker 1: about on a future episode. Is just the overall talent
- 20:31Speaker 1: in the NBA right now seems exceptional to me, and
- 20:34Speaker 1: I wonder if it's somewhat transcended. And you know, Adam
- 20:37Speaker 1: Silver's done such a great job of building out the
- 20:39Speaker 1: popularity of the NBA, But it's really the strength of
- 20:42Speaker 1: this talent pool that is in the NBA right now,
- 20:44Speaker 1: because I'm sure there are another ten guys that we
- 20:46Speaker 1: haven't listed here who are, you know, all time greats
- 20:50Speaker 1: and will be all time greats by the end of
- 20:52Speaker 1: their career. And my guess is, if we have this
- 20:54Speaker 1: conversation in two months, some of those guys will be
- 20:56Speaker 1: on this list as well. But is there anyone here
- 20:59Speaker 1: who is jumping out to you as you know you're
- 21:02Speaker 1: going to, you know, hang your hat on. Who are
- 21:03Speaker 1: the one or two guys, you're going to be following
- 21:05Speaker 1: for the rest of the season thinking these are the
- 21:07Speaker 1: odds on favorites to actually pull this off.
- 21:10Speaker 3: Well, a couple of things stand out. Nicole Okic's stats
- 21:13Speaker 3: are the best every year. In segment two, just here
- 21:16Speaker 3: in a minute, we're going to get into an American
- 21:18Speaker 3: League MVP debate between Aaron Judge and cal Raley.
- 21:21Speaker 2: I'm really interested to get your take on that.
- 21:23Speaker 3: But I bring it up because if it's a statistical argument,
- 21:27Speaker 3: Joker is gonna win just about every time.
- 21:29Speaker 2: He's won three out of last four m vps. You know,
- 21:32Speaker 2: I believe you know.
- 21:34Speaker 3: Joel Embiid beat him a couple of years ago and
- 21:36Speaker 3: are somewhat controversial, but Mbid had a terrific year. But
- 21:39Speaker 3: if you look at the numbers, what the stat heads
- 21:42Speaker 3: will tell you is that there's nobody better than Nicole Okic.
- 21:44Speaker 3: That not only is he the best player in the
- 21:46Speaker 3: NBA today, he's one of the best in the history
- 21:48Speaker 3: of the league, especially what he's done over the last
- 21:50Speaker 3: five or six years, sustained excellence and brilliant. So he
- 21:54Speaker 3: stands out. But then you can make a case for Shay.
- 21:56Speaker 3: It's Gilgus Alexander too. We saw what he did a
- 21:58Speaker 3: year ago. The best player on the best team that
- 22:01Speaker 3: and that's what Okac is again, he's the best player.
- 22:05Speaker 3: Okac is by far the best team. I believe they're
- 22:07Speaker 3: twelve and one at this point. I have historically dominant numbers.
- 22:11Speaker 3: And keep in mind that when you watch the Thunder play,
- 22:13Speaker 3: arguably their second best player, Jalen Williams, has not played yet.
- 22:16Speaker 3: He's been out here. So that's how good they are.
- 22:19Speaker 3: That's how loaded they are and how deep they are.
- 22:21Speaker 3: Imagine that team with their depth and their defense. Aj
- 22:24Speaker 3: Mitchell has really emerged as a talented perimeterive performer for them.
- 22:28Speaker 3: Another Draft Nights steal by Sam Presty, Rob Hennigan and
- 22:31Speaker 3: company in the OKC front office. So those two guys
- 22:34Speaker 3: stand out that the other guys, you know, Luca, Jannis Staff,
- 22:38Speaker 3: the usual suspect Steph at thirty seven years old. We're
- 22:41Speaker 3: not supposed to have favorites, but he is my favorite
- 22:42Speaker 3: player to watch that I think he's the most exciting
- 22:44Speaker 3: guy to watch in the league. And then the player
- 22:47Speaker 3: I'm saving my money that you know, it comes flowing
- 22:50Speaker 3: in here from doing these rosters. The ring shows I'm
- 22:52Speaker 3: saving that to go watch Victor, Wim and Yama in person.
- 22:55Speaker 2: Thad.
- 22:56Speaker 3: I've never seen him because I you know, he came
- 22:57Speaker 3: into the league just after I exited the NBA. I
- 23:01Speaker 3: think I'm gonna go watch Victor play this year because
- 23:03Speaker 3: it's just one of those things where I think on
- 23:05Speaker 3: TV it's one thing to see a guy who's seven
- 23:07Speaker 3: to five, maybe more than that, you know, going behind
- 23:10Speaker 3: the back, through the legs against pressure, throwing lobs off
- 23:13Speaker 3: the backboard to himself and dunking like you and I
- 23:15Speaker 3: do on our kids on a nerf hoop. He's doing
- 23:18Speaker 3: that on an NBA court. So I just want to
- 23:20Speaker 3: see that that because I know it's real, you know.
- 23:22Speaker 3: And others said, you won't believe this guy. He's worth
- 23:24Speaker 3: the price of admission. But to me, Victor Womanyow, I
- 23:27Speaker 3: don't think he's gonna win the MVP this year. I
- 23:28Speaker 3: don't think he's gonna be quite good enough individually, and
- 23:31Speaker 3: the Spurs are gonna be quite good enough as a team.
- 23:33Speaker 3: But that if he told me he wins five out
- 23:35Speaker 3: of the next ten MVP awards, I'm not sure if
- 23:38Speaker 3: I take the over under on that.
- 23:39Speaker 2: That's how good.
- 23:40Speaker 3: I think Victor Womenyow is gonna be He's gonna be
- 23:42Speaker 3: a dominant force on both ends of the court, offensively
- 23:44Speaker 3: and defensively. And if you're listening to the show and
- 23:46Speaker 3: you can afford to go, get a ticket and watch
- 23:48Speaker 3: him in the spurs when he comes to your area,
- 23:50Speaker 3: watch him. That's what I'm doing. This guy does things
- 23:53Speaker 3: in NBA court. I've never seen a player of that
- 23:55Speaker 3: size do before.
- 23:56Speaker 1: You know, Ryan, I would like to hear your winnings
- 23:58Speaker 1: when you lay the all eighteen dollars you've earned from
- 24:01Speaker 1: Ronsters to rings on when Bayama. A few things just
- 24:04Speaker 1: to echo what you said that just really are astounding
- 24:07Speaker 1: to me is looking at SGA's numbers last year to
- 24:10Speaker 1: this year. It's almost the exact same and he's got
- 24:12Speaker 1: a bulls eye in his back right. As you said,
- 24:14Speaker 1: they're the best team out there, he's the best player.
- 24:16Speaker 1: Everyone's trying to shut him down when they play against
- 24:18Speaker 1: those guys, especially with Williams not yet to play yet,
- 24:21Speaker 1: He's still putting up almost the exact same numbers. Just
- 24:24Speaker 1: the model of consistency in Lucas case, no Lebron there.
- 24:27Speaker 1: He was a little bit maligned last year coming out
- 24:30Speaker 1: of Dallas that maybe he wasn't in shape, and all
- 24:32Speaker 1: he's done is really put that team on his back
- 24:34Speaker 1: with Austin Reeves and done an exceptional job. I'm sure
- 24:37Speaker 1: the league is a little fearful of what is that
- 24:39Speaker 1: team going to be when Lebron gets added back to
- 24:41Speaker 1: the equation. And then, as you mentioned, Djokovic is such
- 24:44Speaker 1: a unique player. He's a bona fide center who is
- 24:47Speaker 1: leading the league in assists right now. He's averaging close
- 24:52Speaker 1: to a triple double, if not a triple double. But
- 24:54Speaker 1: the number that just jumped out to me was the
- 24:56Speaker 1: fact that he's averaging double digit assists per game as
- 24:59Speaker 1: a center. It's just incredible. And when Bayama is such
- 25:03Speaker 1: a freak of nature, his ability to handle the ball
- 25:06Speaker 1: at his height and hit three pointers is exceptionally. You
- 25:09Speaker 1: just hope somebody like that could stay healthy for the
- 25:11Speaker 1: entire of the Year'll be just fascinating to see what
- 25:14Speaker 1: numbers he can ultimately put up over the course of
- 25:16Speaker 1: a season. Stay with us through the break. On the
- 25:19Speaker 1: other side, we're going to start talking about the Major
- 25:21Speaker 1: League Baseball American League MVP. Did the writers get it right?
- 25:24Speaker 2: Ryan?
- 25:25Speaker 1: And I will debate that coming out of the break
- 25:27Speaker 1: here on Rosters to Rings.
- 25:38Speaker 3: Welcome back to Rosters to Rings everyone, Ryan McDonald joined
- 25:41Speaker 3: by Thad Levine. So that we just talked about the
- 25:44Speaker 3: NBA about a quarter of the way into the NBA season.
- 25:48Speaker 3: Now let's get into baseball. We're in the postseason now.
- 25:52Speaker 3: Fascinating Major League Baseball season, especially the World Series, which
- 25:55Speaker 3: for me was an al teimer between the Toronto Blue
- 25:58Speaker 3: Jays and the LA Dodgers. You know what app on.
- 26:00Speaker 3: The Dodgers won in seven games. The Most Valuable Player
- 26:03Speaker 3: awards were handed out that in both leagues recently, and
- 26:07Speaker 3: I want to get into that with you, Rander Herod
- 26:09Speaker 3: listeners that select members of the Baseball Writers Association of
- 26:13Speaker 3: America get to vote for the league MVPs. That we'll
- 26:16Speaker 3: talk about the American League here in a minute, because
- 26:18Speaker 3: that was a very spirited debate, but the National League
- 26:21Speaker 3: that was not a debate. It was an open and shutcase.
- 26:24Speaker 3: And in this case, all thirty people who voted voted
- 26:28Speaker 3: unanimously for LA Dodgers superstar hitter, slash, pitcher, slash, all
- 26:33Speaker 3: time great show Heytani to win the National.
- 26:36Speaker 1: League MVP and Ryan as you mentioned it. You have
- 26:39Speaker 1: thirty people voting, they get they get to submit their
- 26:41Speaker 1: top ten votes, and everybody put show hey Otani as
- 26:45Speaker 1: their number one choice, and as they should have. You know,
- 26:48Speaker 1: this is his fourth MVP award that he has won,
- 26:51Speaker 1: which is just spectacular, especially in light of the fact
- 26:54Speaker 1: that he spent most of the season as a DH,
- 26:56Speaker 1: which means that there's a drag on his overall performance
- 27:00Speaker 1: because he's actually getting negatively impacted by his supposed defensive
- 27:04Speaker 1: contribution to the team. He starts pitching at the end
- 27:06Speaker 1: of the year. He is going to be a prohibitive
- 27:09Speaker 1: favorite going into next year to win his fifth MVP
- 27:12Speaker 1: because not only will he be doing what he does
- 27:14Speaker 1: at the plate, but he also will be doing it
- 27:16Speaker 1: on the mound, And what we saw in the postseason
- 27:18Speaker 1: was just a spectacular showcase of somebody who was dominating
- 27:22Speaker 1: on the mound and also doing it at the plate.
- 27:25Speaker 1: I think there was always the thought that when he
- 27:26Speaker 1: was pitching, maybe his offense would struggle or vice versa.
- 27:29Speaker 1: He was dynamic on both sides of the ball and
- 27:32Speaker 1: exceptionally deserving unanimous choice and likely will be so again
- 27:37Speaker 1: next year. Will certainly be a prohibitive favorite going into
- 27:40Speaker 1: the season, Ran, What were some of your takes watching
- 27:42Speaker 1: Otani play both in the season and maybe more excitingly,
- 27:46Speaker 1: in the postseason.
- 27:47Speaker 3: This year, he's someone I have to get to go
- 27:50Speaker 3: watch in person, and I want to bring my son, Jack,
- 27:52Speaker 3: our six year old, has become a big baseball fan
- 27:54Speaker 3: just because he's a generational player, maybe a multi generational player.
- 27:58Speaker 3: Guys like that don't come along often. We hear the
- 28:01Speaker 3: Babe Ruth comparisons, and so I think there are a
- 28:04Speaker 3: lot of different ways to define value. That right, what
- 28:07Speaker 3: is value is a statistical is it value to the team?
- 28:10Speaker 3: But for me, O Tani makes it easy. He's the
- 28:12Speaker 3: most valuable because he does things nobody else does with
- 28:16Speaker 3: being an elite pitcher and an elite hitter, and those
- 28:20Speaker 3: contributions are so unique and so overwhelming that as long
- 28:23Speaker 3: as to me, as long as he has even a
- 28:25Speaker 3: decent year on the mount of the plate, he should
- 28:27Speaker 3: either win the MVP or be in the top grouping
- 28:29Speaker 3: every single year because nobody else does that. Right, he
- 28:30Speaker 3: does something that nobody else does in sports. He's a unicorn,
- 28:34Speaker 3: and you're right, he's thirty one years old. So I
- 28:36Speaker 3: hope our listeners get a chance to continue to watch
- 28:38Speaker 3: him and enjoy his prime because to me, he's must
- 28:41Speaker 3: see TV. I think it was really great for the
- 28:44Speaker 3: sport that the Dodgers were there, he was showcased and
- 28:46Speaker 3: showed up on the league's biggest stage. We remember that
- 28:49Speaker 3: epic three home run ten RBI game against the Brewers
- 28:52Speaker 3: to put the Dodgers into the World Series, and then
- 28:55Speaker 3: having him on the biggest stage in the World Series
- 28:58Speaker 3: and epic seven game series against Toronto. I thought that
- 29:00Speaker 3: was just great for the sports that And to me,
- 29:03Speaker 3: there are only a few athletes you say, whatever you're doing,
- 29:06Speaker 3: you stop and watch when he's on TV. For me, show, Hey,
- 29:09Speaker 3: Otani is one of those guys. Another one of those guys. Frankly,
- 29:13Speaker 3: I don't think he's quite at Otani's level, but maybe
- 29:16Speaker 3: Aaron Judge, you know, one of the great right handed
- 29:19Speaker 3: hitters of all time.
- 29:20Speaker 2: That.
- 29:20Speaker 3: But the AL voting for MVP was really interesting and
- 29:23Speaker 3: this one was very close.
- 29:24Speaker 2: So let me give you the numbers.
- 29:26Speaker 3: New York Yankees alt fielder, the aforementioned Aaron Judge received
- 29:30Speaker 3: seventeen first place votes. The other thirteen first place votes
- 29:35Speaker 3: that went to Cal Raleigh the votes. Raley did not
- 29:38Speaker 3: get for first, he got for second. So it is
- 29:40Speaker 3: that on all thirty ballots these guys were one in
- 29:42Speaker 3: two in some order. But it turns out the giant
- 29:46Speaker 3: outfielder for the New York Yankees, Aaron Judge, edges out
- 29:50Speaker 3: the catcher for the Seattle Mariners cal Raley, who had
- 29:53Speaker 3: a spectacular season.
- 29:54Speaker 1: Well, I think if you ever wondered why wasn't I
- 29:57Speaker 1: a professional athlete or certainly in majorleague based, look no
- 30:00Speaker 1: further than the bodies of Aaron Judge and sho Hey Otani.
- 30:03Speaker 1: These guys are superhuman. And another thing I think just
- 30:07Speaker 1: worth noting about both of those two guys in particular
- 30:10Speaker 1: is the fact that they literally have the most eyes
- 30:13Speaker 1: on them. I mean, Otani has all the eyes of
- 30:15Speaker 1: Japan and the United States on him. Judge is one
- 30:18Speaker 1: of the most popular players in the game. They're so
- 30:20Speaker 1: cool under pressure. They they're resting heartbeat is that of
- 30:24Speaker 1: a champion. They don't know. Moment is too big for
- 30:26Speaker 1: those guys. But what an exciting race this year between
- 30:29Speaker 1: cal Raley and Aaron Judge. And you know, it depends
- 30:32Speaker 1: on how you want to dice this up as your Reference.
- 30:35Speaker 1: They were one and two on everybody's ballot, and it
- 30:37Speaker 1: was relatively close, and it should have been on the
- 30:40Speaker 1: raw numbers, you know, kind of the more traditional numbers.
- 30:44Speaker 1: Raleigh led the American League and home runs and RBIs,
- 30:47Speaker 1: which obviously is very important. Judge led in runs, batting average,
- 30:51Speaker 1: on base and slugging percentage. And I don't know if
- 30:53Speaker 1: you like old school numbers or advanced numbers, but Judge
- 30:57Speaker 1: really had a huge edge when it came to some
- 31:00Speaker 1: of the advanced metrics. He led the American League in WAR,
- 31:03Speaker 1: in WRC plus and win probability added, in championship probability added.
- 31:09Speaker 2: He was just a.
- 31:10Speaker 1: Dynamic player this year, so exceptionally vital to the New
- 31:14Speaker 1: York Yankees. Raley was very high in those stats as well.
- 31:17Speaker 1: He was second in WAR, third in WRC plus, fourth
- 31:20Speaker 1: and win probability added, and second in championship probability added. So, Ryan,
- 31:24Speaker 1: I question I'd ask of you is, as you evaluate
- 31:27Speaker 1: whether it's NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and you're looking
- 31:30Speaker 1: at MVP candidates, how much do you weigh some of
- 31:33Speaker 1: those traditional numbers versus some of the more nuanced numbers
- 31:36Speaker 1: that we're using. Nowadays to try to evaluate the whole
- 31:39Speaker 1: value of players in one statistic.
- 31:43Speaker 3: Yeah, I think when it is this close to that,
- 31:44Speaker 3: you have to weigh all of that information along with
- 31:46Speaker 3: the eye test to be honest, Because we talked about
- 31:48Speaker 3: the National Lavy in an open and shutcase, thirty voters,
- 31:52Speaker 3: all thirty of them agreed was it was Otani. There
- 31:54Speaker 3: was nobody, you know, it was like a close second,
- 31:56Speaker 3: even really in the conversation. In my opinion, this one
- 31:59Speaker 3: was close. I lean a little bit toward Judge just
- 32:02Speaker 3: when I watch him play the eye tests. He's one
- 32:04Speaker 3: of the most feared right handed hitters I've ever seen.
- 32:07Speaker 3: He's a physically imposing figure, but he backs it up
- 32:10Speaker 3: obviously with the productivity that He's the kind of guy
- 32:13Speaker 3: that if I were on the mound, I'd be scared
- 32:14Speaker 3: to death, just given his size and control of the
- 32:16Speaker 3: strike zone and.
- 32:17Speaker 2: Power and all of it.
- 32:18Speaker 3: He's really a pretty complete hitter in my opinion. Now,
- 32:22Speaker 3: let me ask you this that when it's this close,
- 32:24Speaker 3: I think most Major League Baseball insiders would agree that defensively,
- 32:28Speaker 3: catchers a much more important position than right field. Do
- 32:31Speaker 3: you think that factor into the vote at all? Should
- 32:33Speaker 3: that have factored into the vote at all. And as
- 32:36Speaker 3: a second layer of that, that is the fact that
- 32:39Speaker 3: cal Raley plays in Seattle, you know, smaller market in
- 32:42Speaker 3: the Pacific Northwest, in their mid market, I should say.
- 32:45Speaker 3: And then Aaron Judge plays in New York, the biggest
- 32:47Speaker 3: market in the country, the famous you know Yankees, with
- 32:49Speaker 3: the history and all that.
- 32:51Speaker 2: Do you think that impacted this at all? Should that
- 32:53Speaker 2: impact this at all?
- 32:55Speaker 3: Along with the positional differences, I know I threw a
- 32:57Speaker 3: lot at you, but I think this one's very close,
- 32:59Speaker 3: and I like to hear you kind of take us
- 33:02Speaker 3: inside the weeds a little bit as far as your
- 33:03Speaker 3: thought process.
- 33:04Speaker 2: And how this vote went down.
- 33:06Speaker 1: Well well as somebody who has spanned both the traditional
- 33:08Speaker 1: view of this and the kind of more advanced new
- 33:11Speaker 1: progressive view of this.
- 33:12Speaker 2: I want to believe that.
- 33:13Speaker 1: The MVP voting matters more than just anyone singular statistic.
- 33:17Speaker 1: I think I agree with you entirely, Ryan. I think
- 33:19Speaker 1: Judge wins on the stats. I do think they're just
- 33:22Speaker 1: enough in his favor. He was a transcendent player in
- 33:25Speaker 1: the American League, and but for Otani, we would be
- 33:28Speaker 1: talking about him in some rarefied discussions but I think
- 33:31Speaker 1: the story does matter here. As you mentioned, we don't
- 33:35Speaker 1: really get a perfect justification from the voters as.
- 33:38Speaker 2: To why they voted the way they did.
- 33:39Speaker 1: We have a lot of writers out there who talk
- 33:41Speaker 1: about the people who are more analysts, but who didn't
- 33:43Speaker 1: actually vote for the award. So is there an East
- 33:46Speaker 1: Coast biased and a major market biased? Is there a
- 33:49Speaker 1: favoring of Judge because he's won the award before, so
- 33:52Speaker 1: he's kind of on people's minds, whereas Raleigh was somebody
- 33:55Speaker 1: who was not on their minds. But I'm going to
- 33:58Speaker 1: make an argument here for the story supporting cal Rally.
- 34:01Speaker 1: The stats I think support Judge. I think the story
- 34:03Speaker 1: supports cal Rally in the following ways. Judge effectively put
- 34:07Speaker 1: up a season that he's put up before. We've seen
- 34:09Speaker 1: this out of Judge. We've never seen anything like this
- 34:12Speaker 1: out of cal Rally. He hit sixty home runs, which
- 34:15Speaker 1: which matches you. He's setting records for catchers. The previous
- 34:19Speaker 1: high had been forty eight. He beat it by twelve.
- 34:22Speaker 1: He had beat his previous own high, which was thirty four,
- 34:25Speaker 1: by twenty six home runs. He was the home run
- 34:29Speaker 1: derby at the Ulcro game. He wins the home run
- 34:31Speaker 1: Derby as the first switch hitter ever to do it,
- 34:33Speaker 1: and he hit from both sides of the plate during
- 34:35Speaker 1: that event, which is just incredible. He set a record
- 34:38Speaker 1: in the major leagues where home runs by a switch
- 34:40Speaker 1: hitter previously held by Mickey Mantle, who's on kind of
- 34:44Speaker 1: the Mount Rushmore of Hall of Famers. He also, by
- 34:48Speaker 1: the way, led the American League in RBI while he
- 34:50Speaker 1: was doing it, and he caught one of the best
- 34:52Speaker 1: pitching staffs in the game and ultimately led them to
- 34:54Speaker 1: the ALCS. So I think for some of those reasons,
- 34:58Speaker 1: and as you mentioned, he plays the most grueling position
- 35:00Speaker 1: out there, which is that of a catcher, and so
- 35:03Speaker 1: I look at it and say, these both these guys
- 35:05Speaker 1: are exceptionally worthy the Certainly the voting would bear that out.
- 35:10Speaker 1: I think the numbers support Judge. I think kind of
- 35:13Speaker 1: the story and the folklore and how important it is
- 35:16Speaker 1: in the game that has been played for over a century.
- 35:18Speaker 1: When you set records and when you do things nobody
- 35:21Speaker 1: else has done before, I think you deserve some significant consideration.
- 35:25Speaker 1: I probably would have tipped a little bit in the
- 35:26Speaker 1: favor of Raleigh for those reasons. I certainly understand the
- 35:29Speaker 1: justification for voting for Judge. He was the superior player.
- 35:33Speaker 1: I think Raleigh had the superior story. I would have
- 35:36Speaker 1: gone in favor of him in this instance.
- 35:39Speaker 3: That's interesting because we've seen those kind of debates go
- 35:42Speaker 3: both ways, going back to Michael Jordan when he was
- 35:45Speaker 3: in his prime, Carl Malone and others. I think the
- 35:47Speaker 3: team Elijah on won MVPs in there, but the people
- 35:50Speaker 3: who played with Jordan and watched Jordan and that era,
- 35:52Speaker 3: we watched him as fans say, well, he was the
- 35:54Speaker 3: best player.
- 35:55Speaker 2: Every year. It's a joke that anybody else will win
- 35:57Speaker 2: the MVP. He was that good.
- 35:58Speaker 3: And obviously we know he won the sixteenampionship. So essentially
- 36:01Speaker 3: every year he played without the baseball break in the middle,
- 36:04Speaker 3: he was the best player and his team won the championship.
- 36:07Speaker 3: But on the flip side of the NBA, we saw
- 36:09Speaker 3: kind of the opposite with Joel Embiid that that was
- 36:11Speaker 3: more kind of this that right where the numbers in
- 36:14Speaker 3: this one slanted toward Aaron Judge, the number was in
- 36:17Speaker 3: that one slanted a little bit toward Nicole kic Uh.
- 36:20Speaker 3: Joel Embiid was excellent, you know in Philadelphia. He was
- 36:24Speaker 3: also a guy that, let's be honest, given his health history,
- 36:27Speaker 3: there were questions about how long he'd be able to
- 36:29Speaker 3: sustain this, would he ever be back there, And frankly,
- 36:31Speaker 3: a couple of years later, he has not gotten back
- 36:32Speaker 3: to that level. He's not consistently been healthy. Whereas Jokic,
- 36:36Speaker 3: he does the same thing just about every year. He's
- 36:38Speaker 3: historically dominant.
- 36:39Speaker 2: He was years ago.
- 36:40Speaker 3: That's why he has three m vps, and we just
- 36:42Speaker 3: discussed in the first segment where he has a very
- 36:44Speaker 3: good shot to win his fourth this year. He could
- 36:45Speaker 3: make an argument, you know, he might statistically probably should
- 36:48Speaker 3: have won the last six, including this year, So I.
- 36:51Speaker 2: Think you can make the debate either way.
- 36:54Speaker 3: I think it congratulates to both the guys that the
- 36:56Speaker 3: fantastic years cal Raley, you know, like you said, out
- 36:59Speaker 3: of nowhere expected this from Judge, We expected this from Otani,
- 37:03Speaker 3: We did not expect this from cal Raleigh. Sticking with
- 37:07Speaker 3: the Seattle Mariners team that I wanted to ask you
- 37:10Speaker 3: about a teammate of cal Rally's, and that is Josh
- 37:12Speaker 3: Naylor was aquired in season via trade with Arizona and
- 37:19Speaker 3: the baseball offseason. Is that I want to get your
- 37:20Speaker 3: take too, on not just the Josh Naylor signing. He
- 37:23Speaker 3: resigned with the Mariners on a five year, ninety five
- 37:26Speaker 3: million dollar deal. For those watching the video, see Jeff
- 37:29Speaker 3: passon breaking the news there a former guest on rosters
- 37:33Speaker 3: or rings that what do you think of the Naylor
- 37:35Speaker 3: signing individually? And is this the start of kind of
- 37:39Speaker 3: a run of signings well other guys you think, you know,
- 37:42Speaker 3: I know, I'm askew to project, but do you anticipate
- 37:44Speaker 3: other guys signing quickly going forward? Or is this you know,
- 37:47Speaker 3: each signing in Major League Baseball kind of on its
- 37:50Speaker 3: own and there are different ebbs and flows as the
- 37:52Speaker 3: offseason progresses.
- 37:54Speaker 2: Well.
- 37:54Speaker 1: Some important dates to consider here, Ryan is the fact
- 37:57Speaker 1: that the Major League Baseball had the Major League Baseball
- 38:00Speaker 1: General Managers Meetings this past week, and this is a
- 38:02Speaker 1: time where all thirty teams send their general managers and
- 38:05Speaker 1: some of their lead executives.
- 38:07Speaker 2: They meet.
- 38:07Speaker 1: They discussed rule changes for the upcoming year, but it's
- 38:10Speaker 1: also designed to be a time to discuss with other teams,
- 38:14Speaker 1: your needs, your surpluses, start the process of discussing trades.
- 38:18Speaker 1: You also meet with agents while you're out there, and
- 38:19Speaker 1: typically the back and forth that happens in Major League Baseball,
- 38:22Speaker 1: I'm not sure if this is the same in the NBA,
- 38:24Speaker 1: which is you go to the agents and talk about
- 38:27Speaker 1: the free agents and find out that the asking price
- 38:29Speaker 1: is astronomical. So then you go to the trade market
- 38:32Speaker 1: and you find out the prospect asked to improve your
- 38:34Speaker 1: team is offensive, and then you go right back to
- 38:36Speaker 1: the agents and you keep kind of pendulum swinging back
- 38:39Speaker 1: and forth until you find a deal that is palatable,
- 38:42Speaker 1: so that even if you're throwing up a little bit
- 38:44Speaker 1: in your mouth, you can spray a little banaka in
- 38:45Speaker 1: there and get a great player and move on. And
- 38:48Speaker 1: so I think it's pretty rare to see a player
- 38:50Speaker 1: of this magnitude signed this early in the process. And
- 38:53Speaker 1: so in advance of this episode, I got on the
- 38:56Speaker 1: phone with Mark Peeper, who is extremely well regarded agent.
- 39:00Speaker 1: He runs ies the president baseball operations for that agency
- 39:05Speaker 1: and he represents Josh Naylor, and I just asked him
- 39:07Speaker 1: for a little background that we could share with our folks,
- 39:09Speaker 1: and some of the things he shared on Josh were
- 39:12Speaker 1: pretty unique. Is that he's a quality of life type players.
- 39:16Speaker 1: So once he reached a certain threshold of financial security.
- 39:20Speaker 1: He was all about trying to be in a championship
- 39:23Speaker 1: organization and one that he thought had a sustained chance
- 39:25Speaker 1: to win and win for the entirety of this contract,
- 39:30Speaker 1: and he felt Seattle was just that he was extremely
- 39:33Speaker 1: impressed with his time there. He's also a player who
- 39:35Speaker 1: I think we've talked about these types of guys in
- 39:37Speaker 1: the past ryne which is you hope as a fan
- 39:40Speaker 1: every player wants to win as much as the next guy. Well,
- 39:42Speaker 1: this guy wants to win a little bit more. And
- 39:45Speaker 1: so Mark was very aware that he needed to put
- 39:47Speaker 1: him in a place where they were going to be
- 39:49Speaker 1: competitive year in and year out. Otherwise he just wasn't going
- 39:52Speaker 1: to be happy, and there was no amount of money
- 39:54Speaker 1: that he could be paid to be satisfied in a
- 39:56Speaker 1: less competitive environment. So I give a lot of credit
- 39:59Speaker 1: to Mark keep here for knowing his client as well
- 40:01Speaker 1: as he did. I give a ton of credit to
- 40:03Speaker 1: Josh Naylor for recognizing that he was willing to leave
- 40:07Speaker 1: a little on the floor. He didn't necessarily need to
- 40:09Speaker 1: shop this deal around. He felt that this was plenty
- 40:12Speaker 1: good enough, and he wanted to stay in an environment
- 40:14Speaker 1: where he knew he could be the best version of himself,
- 40:16Speaker 1: which is somebody who has a chance to be that
- 40:19Speaker 1: gritty competitor who really elevates the level of play of
- 40:21Speaker 1: everybody around him, and that this was a wonderful fit
- 40:25Speaker 1: for him, he was a wonderful fit for them. And
- 40:27Speaker 1: I think the other thing of note here is Jerry Depota,
- 40:30Speaker 1: the longtime president of baseball operations for Seattle. Heretofore had
- 40:33Speaker 1: never signed a player for more than five years, so
- 40:36Speaker 1: this matches the longest term and we'll see exactly what
- 40:41Speaker 1: the dollar amount comes in at, but it's been rumored
- 40:43Speaker 1: to be somewhere between ninety and one hundred million dollars,
- 40:46Speaker 1: So this will be one of the most significant investments
- 40:48Speaker 1: by the Seattle Mariners during Jerry's tenure, which I think
- 40:51Speaker 1: is noteworthy because what we saw at the trade deadline
- 40:53Speaker 1: was also a departure from his behaviors. He went out
- 40:56Speaker 1: and got in addition to josh Nan Nailor, he got
- 40:58Speaker 1: Aohenne Osuarez, two of the best offensive players in the market.
- 41:02Speaker 1: Those were moves that were more demonstrative than he had
- 41:04Speaker 1: done the past. At the trade deadline, ownership gave him
- 41:07Speaker 1: the green light to do it, he really improved. The
- 41:09Speaker 1: team took him all the way to Game seven of
- 41:11Speaker 1: the ALCS, a place they want to return to. Josh
- 41:14Speaker 1: Nailer will help a lot in that cause, and the
- 41:16Speaker 1: fact that they have the chance to get there was
- 41:18Speaker 1: a real driving factor for Josh's decision. Ultimately, here a.
- 41:23Speaker 3: Really good point because what is valuable to each player
- 41:26Speaker 3: or each person individually is different and can change at
- 41:29Speaker 3: different times. Right, Because in the course of my career,
- 41:32Speaker 3: I've seen guys who are young and single and have
- 41:34Speaker 3: not made a lot of money. They'll play wherever just
- 41:37Speaker 3: because they want to make as much money as possible
- 41:38Speaker 3: because they have not made it yet, and they want
- 41:40Speaker 3: to secure their financial future in the future of those
- 41:43Speaker 3: and others or future family, kids, extended family all that.
- 41:47Speaker 3: Some older guys, you know, which especially those who have
- 41:49Speaker 3: made money, prioritize comfort and don't want to move their
- 41:52Speaker 3: family around. And to your point that describing Josh Naylor,
- 41:55Speaker 3: really want to compete. It's important to them that the
- 41:57Speaker 3: team they're on has a chance to compete, a chance
- 42:00Speaker 3: to win, whereas everybody says they want to win. But
- 42:03Speaker 3: you know, some guys would take a little bit more
- 42:04Speaker 3: money to play a team that's not as competitive just
- 42:07Speaker 3: because they want to maximize earnings. And if you win, great,
- 42:09Speaker 3: but if not, that's okay too, if you're maximizing what
- 42:12Speaker 3: we are. So I think it's really interesting that that
- 42:14Speaker 3: people have different ways to look at things, and you
- 42:17Speaker 3: put yourself in the shoes of a youngster, you know,
- 42:19Speaker 3: player coming into Major League Baseball or the NBA and
- 42:23Speaker 3: late teams early twenties, how that may be different career
- 42:26Speaker 3: wise than an established guy, a man potentially married with
- 42:30Speaker 3: a family in his late twenties or thirties. Those are
- 42:33Speaker 3: different things. I think, you know, a lot of our
- 42:35Speaker 3: listeners trobably emphasize with that depending on where they are
- 42:37Speaker 3: in the life spectrum, and certainly that I think we
- 42:39Speaker 3: have to keep that mind when we look at players
- 42:41Speaker 3: the contracts they sign, Why did they re sign with
- 42:43Speaker 3: the team they resigned in. What was the most important
- 42:46Speaker 3: thing to them at that point. With Nailor, it seems
- 42:49Speaker 3: like security knowing the situation in the alley's got a
- 42:52Speaker 3: good thing going there and being comfortable with the direction
- 42:55Speaker 3: of the Mariners.
- 42:56Speaker 2: Franchise, you know.
- 42:57Speaker 1: And Ryan, one other thing to consider is why did
- 43:00Speaker 1: the Attle acts so quickly and I think there's two
- 43:02Speaker 1: primary reasons. One is Naylor is such a fascinating player.
- 43:06Speaker 1: He is such a versatile offensive player. So we talked
- 43:08Speaker 1: about wind shares, we talked about war. I'm not sure
- 43:11Speaker 1: there's one stat that really captures what he delivers. In
- 43:14Speaker 1: addition to the grid he provides in that standard of excellence,
- 43:17Speaker 1: he's at time is the most patient hitter in your lineup.
- 43:21Speaker 1: He can take a walk, he can work account. He's
- 43:23Speaker 1: a great contact hitter, so sometimes when his single is required,
- 43:27Speaker 1: he can hit a single. He can also hit for
- 43:29Speaker 1: power when it's needed. And then, much to everyone's surprise,
- 43:32Speaker 1: he ended up going thirty of thirty two in stolen
- 43:34Speaker 1: bases this year. So it's an exceptionally versatile player. I
- 43:37Speaker 1: think looking at him through the lens of anyone statistic
- 43:40Speaker 1: doesn't do him justice. What he's delivering in the clubhouse,
- 43:43Speaker 1: on the field, off the field is exceptional. But he's
- 43:46Speaker 1: also such a versatile player to add to that lineup,
- 43:48Speaker 1: which is pretty dynamic. In addition, and then lastly, one
- 43:52Speaker 1: of the things that Mark shared with me today too
- 43:54Speaker 1: was why he wanted to sign early was because he's
- 43:56Speaker 1: aspirational of what else the Sealo Meaners may be able
- 43:59Speaker 1: to account push this offseason. He knew by signing early
- 44:02Speaker 1: he was securing some of their offensive needs. It now
- 44:05Speaker 1: may allow them to go add at other places within
- 44:08Speaker 1: their team, and he wanted to give the team that clarity.
- 44:11Speaker 1: So I think this was a rare example where there
- 44:14Speaker 1: was true partnership in this negotiation between Mark Peeper representing
- 44:18Speaker 1: Josh Nayler in between Jerry Depoto representing the Seattle Mariners.
- 44:23Speaker 3: That as much as guys like us like to think
- 44:24Speaker 3: that the most important recruiters are an owner, a general manager,
- 44:29Speaker 3: head coach, your manager in Major League Baseball, from my experience,
- 44:31Speaker 3: the best recruiters usually are the players in your locker
- 44:34Speaker 3: room or dugout. If Josh Nayler is now out proactively
- 44:36Speaker 3: calling and texting guys on behalf of the Seattle Manors,
- 44:39Speaker 3: there's a lot of value in that too, given who
- 44:41Speaker 3: he is and they respect people have for him around
- 44:43Speaker 3: the league. So that's something that I think we can't
- 44:46Speaker 3: understate as well, that player to player bond.
- 44:49Speaker 2: In recruitment can be very strong.
- 44:51Speaker 3: That we're going to take a quick break right here,
- 44:53Speaker 3: coming back the star of our show, or at least
- 44:55Speaker 3: the guy who thinks he's the star of our show.
- 44:57Speaker 2: That is our producer Wyatt.
- 44:58Speaker 3: We'll see if you know, doing question answers from listeners
- 45:01Speaker 3: has gone to his head after two episodes, So we're
- 45:02Speaker 3: going to take a quick right here. Coming back after
- 45:05Speaker 3: the break stick with us on Rosters to Rings producer Wyatt.
- 45:08Speaker 3: We'll have your questions just after this. Welcome back to Roster.
- 45:19Speaker 1: To Rings alongside Ryan mcdonna. I am Thad Levine. After
- 45:23Speaker 1: a thorough buttering by Ryan, we're bringing back Wyatt, our
- 45:27Speaker 1: producer for listener questions. Wyatt kick it off.
- 45:31Speaker 4: Thank you that and appreciate the support from Ryan. This
- 45:35Speaker 4: first question is from Chris in DC, and we're gonna
- 45:38Speaker 4: have both of you guys touch on this. But Ryan
- 45:42Speaker 4: is the current Thunder roster one of the best constructed
- 45:45Speaker 4: teams you've seen in recent NBA history, And if so,
- 45:48Speaker 4: what other rosters come to mind as comparisons? And that
- 45:52Speaker 4: on the MLB side, what rosters, either ones you've worked
- 45:56Speaker 4: with or admired from AFAR stand out to you as
- 45:59Speaker 4: being built for both the met success and long term sustainability.
- 46:02Speaker 4: I can give you guys a little more context here
- 46:05Speaker 4: just on the Thunder's greatness so far the season. We
- 46:08Speaker 4: touched on it a little bit earlier in the show,
- 46:10Speaker 4: but they're thirteen to one right now, best point differential
- 46:13Speaker 4: in the NBA. They're winning each game by an average
- 46:15Speaker 4: of a little over fifteen points. And I believe they
- 46:19Speaker 4: have another first round pick from the Clippers in next
- 46:22Speaker 4: year's draft, So you know that, along with you know,
- 46:24Speaker 4: not having Jalen Williams to start this year, they're really
- 46:27Speaker 4: showing no signs of slowing down. But Ryan, do you
- 46:30Speaker 4: want to touch on this one first?
- 46:32Speaker 2: Yeah, all that is correct. Why.
- 46:35Speaker 3: I'd also add that the Clippers are off to a
- 46:36Speaker 3: very slow start with the injuries to Kawhi Leonard, James Harden,
- 46:40Speaker 3: and other there's a lot of pressure on that franchise.
- 46:43Speaker 3: Obviously the investigation into their owner Steve Baumer, Kawhi Leonard,
- 46:46Speaker 3: the aspiration scandal that we discussed here on this show.
- 46:49Speaker 3: That's a cloud overhanging the franchise as much as anything
- 46:52Speaker 3: that the Clippers just starret't defending as well. So I
- 46:55Speaker 3: bring that up relative to the Thunder because the Thunder
- 46:57Speaker 3: have their pick. Ironically, it's still from the Shake Hill
- 47:01Speaker 3: just Alexander Paul George Fay. We know Paul George is
- 47:04Speaker 3: coming gone, you know, to La leaving Clippers last off
- 47:08Speaker 3: season for the Philadelphia seventy six ers where he has
- 47:11Speaker 3: been injured, is about to return to the lineup as
- 47:14Speaker 3: a seventy six er. Yeah, okay See is historically well constructed.
- 47:18Speaker 3: I think what I would do today that if our
- 47:20Speaker 3: running NBA team is trying to find a pillar in
- 47:23Speaker 3: the back court, on the wing, and in the front court,
- 47:25Speaker 3: right kind of not necessarily a quote unquote big three
- 47:28Speaker 3: where you push a bunch of money at the best
- 47:32Speaker 3: three players you can find, but you know a guy
- 47:34Speaker 3: who can lead the team from the backcourt, a versatile wing,
- 47:38Speaker 3: and a big man. And that's what okay Se has
- 47:40Speaker 3: and the versatility in all those positions with Shake Gield
- 47:43Speaker 3: just Alexander the MVP on the ball in the back court.
- 47:46Speaker 3: That one of the remarkable things that we didn't talk
- 47:49Speaker 3: about earlier in the show when we did the NBA
- 47:51Speaker 3: MVP look early in the season is that Shake Guild
- 47:54Speaker 3: is Alexander is still I believe, the leading scorer in
- 47:57Speaker 3: the NBA if you take away the fourth quarter, because
- 47:59Speaker 3: usually case he's up by so much, he does not
- 48:01Speaker 3: play the fourth quarter, but if you take away the
- 48:04Speaker 3: fourth quarter, I think he still leads it to that
- 48:06Speaker 3: or maybe he's second. I know Tyres Max he's having
- 48:08Speaker 3: a terrific year as well, But that's how dominant he's been.
- 48:11Speaker 3: That's how dominant the Thunder have been. Jalen Williams has
- 48:13Speaker 3: not played, looks like he'll returned the lineup relatively soon.
- 48:17Speaker 2: And then cheded.
- 48:17Speaker 3: Holmgren's kind of the prototype modern big man. I can
- 48:20Speaker 3: play inside and outside, he can stretch the court, protect
- 48:23Speaker 3: the rim, you know all of that stuff. He's versatile,
- 48:26Speaker 3: high character, hard playing guy. So you combine that with
- 48:29Speaker 3: the depth they have aj Mitchell playing extremely well in
- 48:32Speaker 3: the backcourt, another gem mined by the Thunder scouting department,
- 48:36Speaker 3: and then all the versatility, all the optionality. So to
- 48:39Speaker 3: me that I think what's so exciting about the Thunder
- 48:42Speaker 3: and scary for the other twenty nine teams is how
- 48:44Speaker 3: good they are now, but also how well set up
- 48:46Speaker 3: they are. And that's where I'd give him the advantage
- 48:48Speaker 3: over historically great team like the Golden State Warriors had
- 48:52Speaker 3: eight to ten years ago when they had four Hall
- 48:54Speaker 3: of Famers Steph Curry, Klay Thompson Draymond Green. Then they
- 48:58Speaker 3: added Kevin Durant to that team. Well, that team was
- 49:01Speaker 3: historically great, and we know what they did, winning two
- 49:03Speaker 3: championships in three years, but we also knew that the
- 49:06Speaker 3: window was going to be relatively short, and it was.
- 49:10Speaker 3: And so I think, Okay, see, despite their greatness, their dominance,
- 49:13Speaker 3: their window is wide open. And that's why when the
- 49:16Speaker 3: Athletic did their survey recently of the best front offices
- 49:19Speaker 3: across sports, the number one across the four major sports
- 49:22Speaker 3: in this country was voted the OKAC thund.
- 49:24Speaker 1: And Sam Presty, their general manager, longtime general manager, has
- 49:28Speaker 1: rebuilt multiple champions there, which is just absolutely historically epic.
- 49:34Speaker 1: I'm sure he'll be a first ballot Hall of Famer
- 49:36Speaker 1: when his vogue comes up, a beacon for all of
- 49:39Speaker 1: us in sports. On the baseball side, two teams come
- 49:42Speaker 1: to mind. To address the listeners question. You just can't
- 49:46Speaker 1: look past the Los Angeles Dodgers, and I guess there's
- 49:50Speaker 1: some version of the Golden State Warriors that you just referenced.
- 49:53Speaker 1: They've got four number one starters at the top of
- 49:56Speaker 1: their rotation. They have three or four guys who will
- 49:59Speaker 1: be Hall of Famers. On the position player's standpoint, it's
- 50:03Speaker 1: just an exceptional team. And oh, by the way, they're
- 50:06Speaker 1: drafting extremely well. They're infrastructure to draft and develop players
- 50:10Speaker 1: is as good as anybody's in the league. They've produced
- 50:12Speaker 1: the fourth most war out of the draft for the
- 50:15Speaker 1: last fifteen years, so they're doing that in winning in
- 50:18Speaker 1: the free agent markets. They're spending, they're spending extremely wisely.
- 50:23Speaker 1: They've built out one of the most robust infrastructures. It's
- 50:26Speaker 1: an exceptionally daunting team to play on all facets, and
- 50:29Speaker 1: they should be good for years to come. On the
- 50:32Speaker 1: smaller market version of that. We've talked about this team before,
- 50:35Speaker 1: but I think the Milwaukee Brewers deserve a ton of
- 50:38Speaker 1: credit similar to what you just described Ryan as the
- 50:41Speaker 1: Oklahoma City Thunder. They have a star in Jackson Surio,
- 50:44Speaker 1: probably not quite as well known as SGA is yet,
- 50:47Speaker 1: but he's a guy who will become a household name
- 50:49Speaker 1: in the game. They have Christian Yelich, who's kind of
- 50:50Speaker 1: their veteran anchor on their team, a number one starter
- 50:53Speaker 1: in Freddie Peralta. But they've got an excellent front office.
- 50:57Speaker 1: They have an excellent manager who's won back to back
- 51:00Speaker 1: Managers of the Year Matt Arnold. Their GM won the
- 51:02Speaker 1: Executive of the Year this year. They've been exceptionally disciplined.
- 51:06Speaker 1: They make very prudent trades. They don't get married to
- 51:09Speaker 1: anyone player, but what they get married to is championship
- 51:11Speaker 1: style play. Their manager has done an excellent job Pat
- 51:15Speaker 1: Murphy in terms of mixing and matching. They platoon as
- 51:17Speaker 1: well as anybody out there, So they got a lot
- 51:20Speaker 1: of unsung heroes. There's some of their parts is just
- 51:22Speaker 1: so much more valuable than any individual. And the team
- 51:25Speaker 1: a very dynamic club modeled after a little bit what
- 51:28Speaker 1: we saw with the Toronto Blue Jays, but a lower
- 51:30Speaker 1: payroll version of that. So I'm going to stick with
- 51:32Speaker 1: the Dodgers and the Milwaukee Brewers has two versions built
- 51:36Speaker 1: very differently, but both championship organizations.
- 51:38Speaker 4: Great stuff, all right, Next question is from Dan and
- 51:41Speaker 4: Denver just kind of touched on this, but Thad, how
- 51:46Speaker 4: important is it for teams to get contracts done before
- 51:48Speaker 4: spring training starts and is there a real competitive disadvantage
- 51:52Speaker 4: if negotiations spill into camp?
- 51:56Speaker 1: So, you know, as is the case in a lot
- 51:58Speaker 1: of sports, deadlines, try decisions and one deadline which is
- 52:02Speaker 1: kind of artificial, But you see a lot of players
- 52:04Speaker 1: sign around is the holidays, Specifically around the Christmas and holidays,
- 52:09Speaker 1: you'll see a lot of players sign because I think
- 52:11Speaker 1: players don't want to go home and sit around the
- 52:13Speaker 1: table and you know, they're carving the turkey and the
- 52:15Speaker 1: ham and everyone's asking, well, where are you going to
- 52:17Speaker 1: play next year? And your wife wants to know where
- 52:19Speaker 1: the kid's going to go to school next year, and
- 52:20Speaker 1: do we need to get a home, and all those
- 52:22Speaker 1: sorts of things. They want to know those answers. So
- 52:24Speaker 1: you see a kind of a crush of players sign
- 52:26Speaker 1: around there. What has become a little bit of an
- 52:28Speaker 1: unfortunate trend in the game of baseball is a lot
- 52:31Speaker 1: of players are not only going into the beginning of
- 52:34Speaker 1: the year, but some of them are actually going into
- 52:36Speaker 1: spring training unsigned they're pursuing the best deal that they
- 52:40Speaker 1: can possibly get. They believe they're not going to get
- 52:42Speaker 1: it until teams have no other alternatives. But similarly, teams
- 52:45Speaker 1: are willing to wait and sometimes wait into spring training
- 52:48Speaker 1: to determine, Hey, this guy no longer has any other alternatives,
- 52:52Speaker 1: so now he'll sign in a below market deal. So
- 52:54Speaker 1: I think for those players who are hunting the last
- 52:57Speaker 1: dollar and for those executives who are hunting the app
- 53:00Speaker 1: best deal rather than the best player. These deals are
- 53:03Speaker 1: starting to trail into spring training. Unfortunately, the stastastics would
- 53:07Speaker 1: support that those guys tend to get off to slow
- 53:10Speaker 1: starts in the season. There is spring training and preseasons
- 53:13Speaker 1: and all these sports for a reason. You're getting into shape.
- 53:16Speaker 1: You're getting to know the players on your team. You're
- 53:18Speaker 1: getting to know the resources you have to excel. And
- 53:22Speaker 1: if you delay that process or materially delay it, oftentimes
- 53:26Speaker 1: you see those players faltering at the beginning of the season,
- 53:29Speaker 1: and so the team that waited to get that good
- 53:31Speaker 1: deal sometimes then gets a player who only delivers five
- 53:34Speaker 1: good months rather than six, and then all of a
- 53:36Speaker 1: sudden that deal doesn't look quite as good anymore.
- 53:39Speaker 4: Good stuff, all right. Next question is for both of
- 53:42Speaker 4: you from Anthony in Columbus, Ohio. Which fan base deserves
- 53:47Speaker 4: a title the most right now? MLB or NBA, And
- 53:51Speaker 4: I did some quick research the longest championship droughts. If
- 53:55Speaker 4: this plays into your guys answers at all. For the MLB,
- 53:59Speaker 4: We've got the Cleveland, we got Cleveland Milwaukee, San Diego, Seattle,
- 54:04Speaker 4: and Pittsburgh. And then in the NBA we've got the Kings,
- 54:09Speaker 4: the Suns, the Hawks, and the Knicks.
- 54:12Speaker 3: Well, for me, it's easy, I'm going to go with
- 54:13Speaker 3: the Phoenix Suns. I lived there for a decade, was
- 54:15Speaker 3: a GM for five and a half years. Unfortunately, didn't
- 54:18Speaker 3: get close to when I was there, although some of
- 54:20Speaker 3: the guys we left behind, almost one in twenty twenty one,
- 54:24Speaker 3: Devin Booker, mckail, bridges, DeAndre eight And it was a
- 54:26Speaker 3: joy watching those guys go to the finals.
- 54:28Speaker 2: And that's what's so hard.
- 54:29Speaker 3: That they were up two ozho in the finals that
- 54:32Speaker 3: looked like they were going to win the first championship
- 54:34Speaker 3: in franchise history, and then sitting there as a fan
- 54:37Speaker 3: watching the mighty Giannasi Didacombo lead the Milwaukee Bucks back
- 54:40Speaker 3: to four wins in a row, an all time great
- 54:43Speaker 3: finals performance. Giannis had fifty points in the clinching game six,
- 54:47Speaker 3: just an unstoppable force. And that's what's so hard. We
- 54:50Speaker 3: talked about it relative to the Blue Jays. It's easy
- 54:53Speaker 3: to say, well, we'll be back, but the reality is
- 54:55Speaker 3: in pro sports, you only get a chance to be
- 54:58Speaker 3: near the mountaintop so often it's very hard to climb there.
- 55:01Speaker 3: You need to play exceptionally well, you need a lot
- 55:04Speaker 3: of health and luck along the way. You need some
- 55:06Speaker 3: other teams maybe to get injured or underperformed to clear
- 55:08Speaker 3: the path. All those things happened for the Suns in
- 55:11Speaker 3: twenty twenty one. They weren't able to get over the hump.
- 55:13Speaker 3: So for me, I think that's an easy one. Yes,
- 55:16Speaker 3: I'm I'm biased, but I'd really love to see the
- 55:18Speaker 3: fans there win a championship. Unfortunately, I'll take I think
- 55:20Speaker 3: it'll take a little bit of time, but I've really
- 55:22Speaker 3: enjoyed watching the team play this year, that they've been
- 55:25Speaker 3: one of the surprise teams to me, and after fifty
- 55:27Speaker 3: plus years and three trips to the finals, no championships. Unfortunately,
- 55:32Speaker 3: I'm going to be real excited whenever they do win one.
- 55:35Speaker 3: I just hope they saved me a ticket that I'll
- 55:36Speaker 3: fly out there. I'll put on some SPF fifty so
- 55:39Speaker 3: I can go outside in Phoenix in June and join
- 55:41Speaker 3: in on the championship arrade.
- 55:44Speaker 1: That sounds wonderful. I think the easy answers whichever franchise
- 55:47Speaker 1: Ryan or I are working for would be would be
- 55:50Speaker 1: the one that we would hope would win. Second second
- 55:53Speaker 1: followed by whoever my son's rooting for just for the
- 55:56Speaker 1: health and well being of the household. But two franchises
- 55:59Speaker 1: jump out to me in Baseball. One you mentioned it,
- 56:02Speaker 1: Ryan and your I'm sorry why in your question, which
- 56:05Speaker 1: was the Seattle Riners have the only franchise in Major
- 56:08Speaker 1: League Baseball to never go to the World Series, let
- 56:10Speaker 1: alone win it. So for that franchise and that fan base,
- 56:14Speaker 1: they got so close this year. They got to Game seven,
- 56:17Speaker 1: they were up three to two going to Toronto. They
- 56:19Speaker 1: just needed to win one of those two games. They
- 56:21Speaker 1: played exceptionally well. They were so close. If they got
- 56:24Speaker 1: a chance to go to the World Series and then
- 56:25Speaker 1: ultimately get a chance to compete to win it, I
- 56:28Speaker 1: think that fan base deserves that opportunity. They've never had
- 56:31Speaker 1: it throughout the history of that franchise, it'd be wonderful.
- 56:34Speaker 1: And then two for me, I grew up a huge
- 56:36Speaker 1: Baltimore Orioles fan. They last wanted in nineteen eighty three,
- 56:40Speaker 1: and for them to get another chance, for the kid
- 56:44Speaker 1: in me, I would be rooting for the Baltimore Oriols
- 56:46Speaker 1: if they ended up getting back to the World Series.
- 56:49Speaker 4: Good stuff. And Ryan, I didn't really think about Arizona,
- 56:52Speaker 4: but you know they lost the Steelers in two thousand
- 56:55Speaker 4: and nine in the Super Bowl, they lost. The Diamondbacks
- 56:58Speaker 4: lost to the Rangers years ago. Right, so some tough,
- 57:02Speaker 4: tough close calls in Arizona.
- 57:05Speaker 3: Just the one championship, Wyatt, two thousand and one, They'll
- 57:08Speaker 3: never forget it. In Arizona, the Diamondbacks upset the Mighty
- 57:11Speaker 3: Yankees Mario and Or Rivera on the mound, Luis Gonzalez
- 57:14Speaker 3: with the kind of broken bat blooper up the middle
- 57:17Speaker 3: in all time great pitching staff led at the top
- 57:19Speaker 3: by Kurt Shilling and Randy Johnson. Yeah, that is the
- 57:22Speaker 3: one championship. As you mentioned, the Cardinals of suns have
- 57:25Speaker 3: been close but not gotten over the hump. And then yeah,
- 57:27Speaker 3: in twenty twenty three that the Diamondbacks right there lost
- 57:30Speaker 3: to the Texas Rangers a couple of years back.
- 57:32Speaker 4: All right, last question this is from me, producer Wyatt,
- 57:37Speaker 4: And since we're just almost through Week eleven in the
- 57:41Speaker 4: NFL season, who are your guys' picks to win the
- 57:44Speaker 4: AFC and the NFC and ultimately the Super Bowl?
- 57:48Speaker 2: Right?
- 57:49Speaker 1: Now, all right, So if I'm picking with my heart,
- 57:54Speaker 1: I'm going to support something that Tom Telesco said is
- 57:57Speaker 1: I'm still keeping my eye on the Baltimore Ravens come
- 58:00Speaker 1: out from the outside. But if I'm picking a little
- 58:02Speaker 1: bit more with my head, I'm going to go Denver Broncos. Here.
- 58:05Speaker 1: I think they've played exceptionally well. They've they've learned how
- 58:08Speaker 1: to win ugly, but they've also beaten both teams that
- 58:11Speaker 1: played in the Super Bowl last year, the Kansas City
- 58:14Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, which I think is pretty noteworthy.
- 58:17Speaker 1: I think they have probably what is going to be
- 58:19Speaker 1: a Hall of Fame coach at the helm. Their defense
- 58:21Speaker 1: has been exceptional, and I think they've got a kind
- 58:24Speaker 1: of cardiac albeit young, but a cardiac QB who just
- 58:28Speaker 1: seems to get better as the game goes along. Hasn't
- 58:30Speaker 1: put up gaudy stats, but his second half closing stats
- 58:33Speaker 1: have been exceptional. So I'm going to go with the
- 58:35Speaker 1: Broncos and with the Philadelphia Eagles. Watching what they did
- 58:39Speaker 1: last night. Our last two games really against Green Bay
- 58:42Speaker 1: and Detroit, two teams that have really really explosive, dynamic offenses,
- 58:47Speaker 1: their defense really just shut them down. Their offense hasn't
- 58:49Speaker 1: clicked on all cylinders, their defense seems to be dominant
- 58:52Speaker 1: right now, and we do know that they have a
- 58:54Speaker 1: lot of championship experience on that team. I think they've
- 58:57Speaker 1: got one of the best gms of all sports and
- 58:59Speaker 1: Howie Roseman Nick Yeary, and he's done a great job
- 59:02Speaker 1: at the helm there. I think they have what it
- 59:04Speaker 1: takes to get back. And I'm going to take those
- 59:05Speaker 1: two teams showing facing off in the Super Bowl this year.
- 59:10Speaker 3: So Thad we're in agreement on one of the two.
- 59:12Speaker 3: In the NFC, I'm going to go with the Philadelphia
- 59:14Speaker 3: Eagles as well. I know it's probably an obvious pick
- 59:16Speaker 3: given that they're defending Super Bowl champions and how they
- 59:19Speaker 3: played so far this year. You mentioned the two recent wins.
- 59:22Speaker 3: I also think that damn Tush push is so unstoppable.
- 59:25Speaker 3: I don't love watching it as a fan, but it
- 59:27Speaker 3: seems like anytime they get in a short yarded situation,
- 59:30Speaker 3: third down, fourth down, they line up in that thing
- 59:32Speaker 3: with the bruising quarterback in Jalen Hurts and just overpowered
- 59:34Speaker 3: the offense. It's almost like an automatic first down. So
- 59:37Speaker 3: I think that's a huge advantage for them, But you
- 59:40Speaker 3: mentioned the front office, the job they've done coaching, they're
- 59:42Speaker 3: really the whole package, probably the gold standard right now,
- 59:45Speaker 3: at least in the short term in the NFL, in
- 59:47Speaker 3: the AFC. That I'm going to go with what might
- 59:49Speaker 3: be a bit of a more emotional pick, but my
- 59:52Speaker 3: new England Patriots. You know, it's been a rocky ride
- 59:55Speaker 3: since Tom Brady left, Bill Belichick Robert Craft, the owner,
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: infamously kind of at each other's throats, sparring publicly. It
- 1:00:02Speaker 3: was a messy divorce there. Bringing Gerrod Mayo, the love
- 1:00:06Speaker 3: former player for a year, it does not work out well.
- 1:00:09Speaker 3: They let him go after a year, a lot of
- 1:00:10Speaker 3: controversy and that since then last year so probably less
- 1:00:14Speaker 3: than a calendar year, they hire Mike Rabel, who I
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: thought was one of the best coaches in the league
- 1:00:18Speaker 3: in Tennessee and then especially a quarterback at Drake may
- 1:00:22Speaker 3: amatarhel So I watched him play a lot at the
- 1:00:24Speaker 3: University of North Carolina. About what he's done that he's
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: right up there on the short list of nv HE
- 1:00:28Speaker 3: front runners. In a recent development which is pretty neat
- 1:00:31Speaker 3: to I'm sure college football fan, especially Ohio State fans
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: remember what Trayvon Henderson did. I wasn't playing as much
- 1:00:37Speaker 3: early in the year for the Patriots. I started to
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: get the ball a lot now that he looks like
- 1:00:40Speaker 3: the guy who was dominant at Ohio State.
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: So I'm going to go with the Eagles Patriots. You know, I'm.
- 1:00:47Speaker 3: Nervous with security at the event if that is the
- 1:00:49Speaker 3: super Bowl between those two fan bases, if it's my
- 1:00:52Speaker 3: maniac friends from Boston and the people from Philadelphia.
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: But I'm going to go Eagles Patriots.
- 1:00:56Speaker 3: I'll reserve the right to pick a winner later at
- 1:00:58Speaker 3: that but I think it's gonna be a Northeast heavy
- 1:01:00Speaker 3: super Bowl if the Patriots can continue their momentum.
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: You know, Ryan, just a quick thought is, if we
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: were asked this by Why four weeks ago, I think
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: you would have heard a lot of support for the
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Bills, maybe even the Ravens a little
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: bit before they went on their initial slide. It's amazing
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: how the times have changed. And we'll revisit this in
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: maybe three to four weeks. Our minds may have changed
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: at that point too, but the season has really taken
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: on a different complexion than anybody had projected it at
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: the outset of the season and.
- 1:01:33Speaker 3: I know what we're going to do Fad when we
- 1:01:35Speaker 3: see who's in the super Bowl. So yeah, we talked
- 1:01:37Speaker 3: about that in the previous episode. You can't find it anywhere.
- 1:01:39Speaker 3: You just have to take our word for it that
- 1:01:40Speaker 3: Ryan McDon and Thad Levine knew who the two super
- 1:01:43Speaker 3: Bowl finalists we're going to be for our producer, Wyatt
- 1:01:46Speaker 3: fur Thad Levine. Tune in next week, folks, we have
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: a very special episode. We got your feedback the listeners,
- 1:01:52Speaker 3: and we picked the best of the best on Rosters
- 1:01:54Speaker 3: to Rings, we have about thirty episodes are still recorded.
- 1:01:57Speaker 3: Now we're going to take out the very best segments,
- 1:02:00Speaker 3: edit them together our producer. Why it's not going to
- 1:02:02Speaker 3: eat Thanksgiving dinner or have any alcoholic beverages. You's gonna
- 1:02:05Speaker 3: be editing all day and night. Get these segments to
- 1:02:07Speaker 3: you the listeners. So tune in next week and every
- 1:02:09Speaker 3: week right here.
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: On Rosters to Rings.
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: Please join me host bad Levine, Ryan McDonough and other
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: general managers every week for Roster Syrings on Apple, Spotify,
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: or wherever you get your podcasts.