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The Favorites - NFL Week 12 Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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1:21
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
1:25
Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
1:30
Speaker 1: We are heading into week twelve. We are coming off
1:32
Speaker 1: a fantastic four and one winning week, winning across the board,
1:39
Speaker 1: making it back me and my bff, my companion, my
1:44
Speaker 1: compadre professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, saw him in Dad
1:52
Speaker 1: What a fun bounce back week, dad Man. We went
1:57
Speaker 1: four and one. That felt great. We felt really confident.
2:00
Speaker 1: There are a couple of things that I'm really proud
2:02
Speaker 1: of us for. And before we get to all that,
2:05
Speaker 1: let me do some housekeeping here. Today is Tuesday of
2:07
Speaker 1: Thanksgiving Week. As this tradition, we will not be posting
2:11
Speaker 1: a podcast on Thursday. It's the one day of the
2:13
Speaker 1: year we let Matt Mitchell out of the basement again
2:17
Speaker 1: for those of you listening live on AM, we appreciate it.
2:20
Speaker 1: So today we will do our foxhold. We will do
2:23
Speaker 1: our sign and says, we will do our exact decision.
2:25
Speaker 1: We will do our scoot roulette. We will do our
2:28
Speaker 1: big balls better the week we will do as much
2:30
Speaker 1: as we can of the money line round Robin. We
2:33
Speaker 1: ask for patients, We ask for understanding because it's Tuesday.
2:39
Speaker 1: As you guys know, one of the keys to this
2:41
Speaker 1: show is that we make decisions on Tuesday, that we
2:44
Speaker 1: reserve the right to change on Thursday and then reserve
2:46
Speaker 1: the right to change again on Sunday. As lines move,
2:49
Speaker 1: as lineups come out, as injuries happen, as as coaching,
2:53
Speaker 1: as player changes, QB changes happened. So take everything we're
2:56
Speaker 1: saying with the usual Tuesday grain of salt. They are
2:59
Speaker 1: lead means, they are indicators. They are meant to give
3:02
Speaker 1: you signals as to which way we think the money
3:04
Speaker 1: is going to go, and lines we might want to
3:06
Speaker 1: jump on now. Um, but no that between now and Sunday,
3:10
Speaker 1: the whole funkload can change. Assignment. Anything to add to that, Yeah,
3:15
Speaker 1: I would say this year we've done pretty well. Me
3:19
Speaker 1: and child will do this show. Our contest I believe
3:22
Speaker 1: opens midday Wednesday and Wednesday night I'll put I'll put
3:25
Speaker 1: our picks in from the Tuesday show. I feel like
3:28
Speaker 1: most weeks we only really change maybe one or two picks.
3:31
Speaker 1: So I feel like this year more than others Tuesday,
3:34
Speaker 1: are we pretty much locked in and we kind of
3:35
Speaker 1: know we like the only thing that really changes again,
3:38
Speaker 1: and we're getting injury updates like that's a big deal,
3:40
Speaker 1: especially if you get later into the season. So if
3:43
Speaker 1: anything we do change picks from Tuesday on Sunday, I
3:47
Speaker 1: would say nine percent of the time it's going to
3:49
Speaker 1: be injury related. I would say that I'm really proud
3:51
Speaker 1: of us because the Falcons on Sunday got down to
3:56
Speaker 1: two and a half in the contest. They were at
3:58
Speaker 1: three and a half. We love the Falcons at two
4:01
Speaker 1: and a half. You talked about her and convinced me.
4:04
Speaker 1: We betted at two and a half. We didn't like
4:06
Speaker 1: it at three and a half, but we didn't love
4:08
Speaker 1: the Bears enough at three and a half to make
4:09
Speaker 1: it a contest play. So we bet the Falcons two
4:13
Speaker 1: and a half or we did not make it a
4:15
Speaker 1: contest play at three and a half. And I was
4:17
Speaker 1: really proud of us for the conversation we had about
4:20
Speaker 1: it on Sunday morning. For you, that was probably one
4:23
Speaker 1: of your better weeks of picks. Like you were dead
4:25
Speaker 1: on the Bengals. You love that one. You were dead
4:29
Speaker 1: on with the forty nine Ers. Chargers, Yeah, Chargers, Uh,
4:34
Speaker 1: it just looks like the bad miss. Obviously it was
4:37
Speaker 1: Houston and like we both you know, we had our
4:39
Speaker 1: question marks about it, but it's just rough. We're like,
4:41
Speaker 1: you know a week that you know we went seven
4:44
Speaker 1: and two or eight and two on our picks. It
4:46
Speaker 1: was like, man, how do we let Houston sneak in there?
4:49
Speaker 1: Like we should have should have fought it off. But
4:51
Speaker 1: it was again, it was just a week where I
4:53
Speaker 1: felt like the professionals took a lot of sides. Again
4:56
Speaker 1: that that Dallas when you know that goes into that.
4:59
Speaker 1: I would say before midnight on Sunday, I started betting it.
5:02
Speaker 1: Basically my goal is that I'm taking a stand like that. Again,
5:05
Speaker 1: it's there's only a couple of big bets all year.
5:07
Speaker 1: Is to get as much money as I can down
5:09
Speaker 1: all week without bringing too much notice to either me
5:12
Speaker 1: or my runners. Start betting on Sunday, still betting it
5:16
Speaker 1: comes Sunday morning, so it's just a really large wager. Again,
5:19
Speaker 1: that's why I can get good information. I can give
5:21
Speaker 1: good inforation win back where you know, again, I'm not
5:24
Speaker 1: thinking huge bets like that every weekend, but there are
5:26
Speaker 1: certain weeks Like, immediately I saw that number, I knew
5:28
Speaker 1: it was gonna be one of those bets. Just waiting
5:29
Speaker 1: for the information and check out again. We talked about
5:31
Speaker 1: the D line first to OH line. That was a
5:34
Speaker 1: huge mismatch in that game. I just want to clarify that.
5:37
Speaker 1: People ask me like, hey, I would love to buy
5:38
Speaker 1: you a beer. I'm down to have a drink if
5:40
Speaker 1: you see me a sports book. I'm not there to
5:42
Speaker 1: get a drink. I'm literally there to either make money
5:45
Speaker 1: or drop off money and then get out. So I
5:47
Speaker 1: had a couple of questions about that. I love the
5:49
Speaker 1: fans again. Me and Chad met a bunch of fans.
5:51
Speaker 1: Good at been cooler dudes. Everyone's been so nice. So no,
5:55
Speaker 1: no negative experience for me with a fan yet. I'm
5:57
Speaker 1: glad you said all that. Speaking of learning, the other
6:01
Speaker 1: thing that I was really proud of us about on
6:03
Speaker 1: Sunday you mentioned Cincinnati. I love Cincinnati. This week took
6:07
Speaker 1: On took On, raybon un convinced me of the Steelers.
6:12
Speaker 1: I said, we got a bet off because I love
6:14
Speaker 1: the Bengals. It was it was everything. Normally the Steelers
6:18
Speaker 1: would be an automatic take three and a half Tomlin
6:22
Speaker 1: ra ra at Home Dog Divisional Dog. But it like situationally,
6:27
Speaker 1: I just felt like the Steelers they played their hand.
6:30
Speaker 1: They did it the week before. The Bengals are a
6:32
Speaker 1: better team. My favorite conversation of the season was Sunday,
6:37
Speaker 1: we're talking about the last team that we want to take.
6:40
Speaker 1: We're talking about the Bengals. We're talking about the Niners.
6:42
Speaker 1: You didn't love those they were big numbers. You didn't
6:44
Speaker 1: like being on the out side. The wise guys were
6:46
Speaker 1: on the other side. I love the Colts. You shed
6:50
Speaker 1: your biases, you let go of your emotion. You knew
6:54
Speaker 1: it was a big number, and we're like, let's put
6:56
Speaker 1: in the Colts, and I just so excited for us.
7:01
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, I mean again, that's one of those which
7:04
Speaker 1: trade information. Someone gave me that game and I was like,
7:07
Speaker 1: all right, I'll take your word for it. Like you
7:10
Speaker 1: like again, I had the numbers where I thought that
7:12
Speaker 1: was game was closer to six six and a half,
7:15
Speaker 1: So at the time I didn't think there was great value.
7:16
Speaker 1: Where someone came back and be like, no, this number
7:18
Speaker 1: should be three two and a half and I was like,
7:20
Speaker 1: holy shit, all right, you think there's three and a
7:22
Speaker 1: half points of value. So I think that was the
7:24
Speaker 1: first thing I said to you, and you were like, okay,
7:26
Speaker 1: Like I love that, let's let's put it in. Then
7:28
Speaker 1: you had two really good picks. I should have bought
7:30
Speaker 1: it on them and got rid of the Houston. But
7:32
Speaker 1: that's how it goes. It's tough to go five and
7:34
Speaker 1: oh as well as we see week in and week out.
7:36
Speaker 1: So back to seventy from the season. So feeling pretty
7:38
Speaker 1: good heading into week twelve with the bye week included.
7:42
Speaker 1: We got five weeks left, really five weeks left and
7:44
Speaker 1: making picks, so I gotta make him count, make him count.
7:47
Speaker 1: Let's get rolling. Thursday is coming up. It's Thanksgiving. It's
7:50
Speaker 1: three games, a lot of games on the board, a huge,
7:54
Speaker 1: huge here it comes, wait for it menu, Happy Thanksgiving gamblers.
8:02
Speaker 1: We're thankful for you. No bye weeks. Bills, Lions. The
8:09
Speaker 1: Bills are on the road. They are nine and a
8:13
Speaker 1: half point favorites. I think you like the Bills in
8:17
Speaker 1: this game, and to me, I love the lines at
8:21
Speaker 1: bet road favorites. Um, Thanksgiving, That's just what I do.
8:26
Speaker 1: Evan AMers is gonna put out the trend. I believe
8:27
Speaker 1: it's en a t S since two thousand three or
8:31
Speaker 1: two thousand four. Just Road Favorites Thanksgiving. They pay out
8:34
Speaker 1: every year. I do the same thing. I mean, people
8:36
Speaker 1: are gonna catch on if you listen to podcasts every year.
8:38
Speaker 1: I bet the Road Favorites and I fade the Cowboys.
8:41
Speaker 1: It's been very profitable. The Cowboys just lay eggs on Thanksgiving.
8:45
Speaker 1: I believe they are one in ten and they're last eleven.
8:47
Speaker 1: A t s, just a lot of trends. I like
8:50
Speaker 1: to ride, like going with the Bills here, I get
8:52
Speaker 1: where Chad's coming from. Right lines, feel like they spark something.
8:55
Speaker 1: Here is the three straight wins they have now three
8:57
Speaker 1: straight wins and Simon, guess what, guess talk to me.
9:01
Speaker 1: We were huge fans the Lions over five and a
9:06
Speaker 1: half or six and a half, got to six and
9:08
Speaker 1: a half, got up to six and a half. We
9:09
Speaker 1: were huge fans of that. Before the season began. There
9:14
Speaker 1: now at four wins for the year. We thought that
9:17
Speaker 1: was a lost cause, right so we thought it was over.
9:20
Speaker 1: I checked with Kerner Sean Kroner, I checked with Nick Giffen,
9:23
Speaker 1: I checked with Billy Ward. I checked with all the
9:26
Speaker 1: analytics geniuses at the Action Network team we've got a
9:30
Speaker 1: better than average shot of the Lions covering that six
9:34
Speaker 1: and a half wind total for the year. The three
9:37
Speaker 1: that we loved where we should tell people three we love,
9:40
Speaker 1: we love the Jets under five and a half. We're
9:41
Speaker 1: gonna lose that, although who knows our reasoning, though everyone
9:46
Speaker 1: can say they agree that we were just trying to
9:48
Speaker 1: fade Zach Wilson were Yeah, Zack Wilson, we love the
9:54
Speaker 1: Lions over and we love the Bears under. I think
9:56
Speaker 1: we got a good chance at cash and two of
9:58
Speaker 1: those three. Yeah, we'll again. It's a lot of games left,
10:02
Speaker 1: a lot of games anyways, your love for Detroit, I
10:06
Speaker 1: guess we won't have this one in there won't be
10:09
Speaker 1: in the contest. Look, I feel like it's a big number,
10:13
Speaker 1: it's a road number. It's a short week. The Bills
10:17
Speaker 1: traveled back and forth. Uh, they finally got right, but
10:20
Speaker 1: they did not look good in that game for most
10:23
Speaker 1: of the game. And um, the Lions at home are
10:29
Speaker 1: always a live dog, and you've got to be up
10:31
Speaker 1: by I think you have to be up by seventeen
10:35
Speaker 1: points with two minutes left and have the ball with
10:40
Speaker 1: the Lions having no time outs left for this for
10:43
Speaker 1: this side to be safe. That's what I can My
10:49
Speaker 1: mindly thing is it's like the Bills have had their
10:51
Speaker 1: stinker games and they still win them. They're due for
10:55
Speaker 1: just a dominant performance. I just expect Josh Allen in
10:58
Speaker 1: this primetime spot to kill team again. I thought it
11:01
Speaker 1: was really fishy. This line was nine and a half.
11:04
Speaker 1: I made this line seven. So historically, I think the
11:07
Speaker 1: value is on the lines. I'm no fool here. I
11:10
Speaker 1: know exactly what the sports perk to do, and they
11:12
Speaker 1: have the exact same trends we do. The favorites on
11:14
Speaker 1: the road are very profitable the teams. They're the only
11:17
Speaker 1: road favorite this week. So I just again have to
11:20
Speaker 1: take this number. It's it's one of those trends I
11:22
Speaker 1: like to ride. All right, Well, you and I gonna
11:25
Speaker 1: agree to disagree. We're on the bus getting ready to
11:28
Speaker 1: broadcast the traditional Thanksgiving Day game, and John, as you
11:32
Speaker 1: think about all the people around the country sitting down
11:34
Speaker 1: to enjoy Thanksgiving with their friends and their families, we
11:37
Speaker 1: indeed have a lot to be thankful for. To me,
11:39
Speaker 1: there's nothing better. There's just certain things that go together,
11:42
Speaker 1: you know, the turkey, the family, the tradition football, and
11:46
Speaker 1: we have it all today. The Giants on the road
11:50
Speaker 1: at the Cowboys. Cowboys nine point favorites in this game.
11:55
Speaker 1: It feels high. It feels really really high. That feels
11:59
Speaker 1: like I kind of want to fade the Cowboys off
12:03
Speaker 1: of that massive win which we all saw coming and
12:07
Speaker 1: take the Giants after finally sort of regressing a little
12:11
Speaker 1: bit against these Detroit Lions. Yeah, I think the Giants
12:15
Speaker 1: looked like what most people expected them to be this year,
12:18
Speaker 1: like Daniel Jones making stupid plays on third down, not
12:22
Speaker 1: taking the run when he should, forcing balls in there,
12:25
Speaker 1: Quan having no no running room because the offensive line
12:28
Speaker 1: can't get him any holes or space to break out. Again,
12:31
Speaker 1: it's a miracle that this team has performed as well
12:33
Speaker 1: as they have this year. The Giants, they're just regression.
12:37
Speaker 1: We called for it, We've been calling for it. We
12:39
Speaker 1: expected it. They tried giving that way that game away
12:42
Speaker 1: to the Texas. The Texans are just that bad. They
12:44
Speaker 1: couldn't take it. Detroit clearly is much better than we predicted. Again,
12:48
Speaker 1: all week, that line was at three. The public was
12:51
Speaker 1: all over the Giants, and clearly, you know, a quarter
12:54
Speaker 1: to that game, you're like Okay, this is gonna be
12:56
Speaker 1: all those games. The lines are just gonna dominate them.
12:58
Speaker 1: So in this position in year I I I agree
13:01
Speaker 1: with you, chat, I'm walking right into it with with
13:03
Speaker 1: the Giants. It's like, you know, divisional game, I always
13:06
Speaker 1: fade the Cowboys already knows me and the Giants. The
13:09
Speaker 1: fact that the Cowboys just had arguably their best win
13:13
Speaker 1: of the year. I mean they dominated on both sides
13:16
Speaker 1: of the ball and every way against that Vikings team.
13:18
Speaker 1: I think it's one of the worst losses the Vikings
13:20
Speaker 1: ever had. Um at home again, they could have found
13:26
Speaker 1: something here in Pollard, like he's He's produced now four
13:28
Speaker 1: straight games, incredible games, and they're just using them really smart.
13:32
Speaker 1: This Dallas offense, Like anytime Dac needs a big play,
13:35
Speaker 1: if it's not just a little dump off to him,
13:37
Speaker 1: it's a big handoff, it's a big deal. So I'm
13:41
Speaker 1: not gonna lie to you. Of all the three games,
13:43
Speaker 1: this is the one I had the least confidence in betting.
13:45
Speaker 1: But I feel like Chad just talked about, it's like situationally,
13:48
Speaker 1: we have to take it. Just the number feels like
13:50
Speaker 1: it's grossly big just because of what happened. But I
13:53
Speaker 1: do think, honestly, I do think the publicill end up
13:56
Speaker 1: being on this giant side. So um as we see
13:58
Speaker 1: here Tuesday, I bet this side it's not gonna be
14:00
Speaker 1: one of my bigger belts about the money, uh and
14:05
Speaker 1: the majority of the tickets are both on the Giants
14:08
Speaker 1: at this point. By the way, what's interesting is the
14:10
Speaker 1: Lions and uh, Lions tickets and money are just about
14:16
Speaker 1: evenly split Lions bills. Yeah, it sounds about right. I mean, well,
14:21
Speaker 1: we'll see how that game shapes shapes up. I kick off,
14:24
Speaker 1: But look at you and me, a couple of wise guys.
14:26
Speaker 1: We can't agree on it. We're on different sides of it.
14:29
Speaker 1: That's that's pretty much. We're reflective of the public and
14:32
Speaker 1: the and the wise guys. That's what we are. We
14:35
Speaker 1: reflect society. Simon. Patriots at the Vikings. This one's interesting.
14:40
Speaker 1: It's bouncing around plus three plus two and a half
14:43
Speaker 1: plus three plus two and a half money on the Patriots, Yep,
14:48
Speaker 1: tickets on the Vikings. Sharp call of the week. This
14:51
Speaker 1: is one of the really smart group. Reached out to
14:54
Speaker 1: a couple of different people telling them they're gonna be
14:56
Speaker 1: on this one on Sunday grabbed it through while you can.
15:00
Speaker 1: There's still threes out there, so again, they've moved the
15:02
Speaker 1: number in a couple of books, but you can still
15:04
Speaker 1: find a three out there if you shop around. So
15:05
Speaker 1: I'd grab that now. It's just gonna be a professional play.
15:09
Speaker 1: Like again, as soon as I saw this number, I
15:11
Speaker 1: liked it. Hearing the smart groups on it gave me
15:14
Speaker 1: more confidence. I kind of talked about chat earlier. It's
15:17
Speaker 1: it's a classic defensive line versus all offensive line mismatch,
15:20
Speaker 1: which we saw last week with this Vikings team. There's
15:23
Speaker 1: just too many injuries. Again, Kirk, that game was even
15:25
Speaker 1: on him last week. He had no time. Guys were
15:27
Speaker 1: just in his lap that entire game. I expect the
15:30
Speaker 1: exact same thing here. This New England team that I
15:33
Speaker 1: know people sleep on him. They have one of the
15:35
Speaker 1: better defenses of football, and they have the third highest
15:37
Speaker 1: graded the line in football right now in my opinion.
15:40
Speaker 1: So I'm looking at a team here that you know
15:43
Speaker 1: they played bad. Like, do you think Belichick is gonna
15:46
Speaker 1: let them get off that they won by a punt
15:48
Speaker 1: return last week? No, He's gonna treat that as if
15:50
Speaker 1: it's a loss. He's gonna be on their ass on
15:52
Speaker 1: a short week. I would love to take the Vikings
15:54
Speaker 1: in a bounce back spot. They just don't him an
15:56
Speaker 1: offensive line. Kirk's can have no time. Cook's gonna have
15:59
Speaker 1: no whole was to run through hate that matchup. Flip
16:03
Speaker 1: to the other side. What do we just see? We
16:06
Speaker 1: saw Dallas is running all over this Vikings team. What
16:08
Speaker 1: doesn't even want to do They want to run the
16:10
Speaker 1: ball with their two headed monster and that's how they're
16:12
Speaker 1: gonna do in this game. So no brainer. Grabbed the
16:15
Speaker 1: plus three. Um, hope I can convince Chad to take
16:18
Speaker 1: this one. I know he doesn't want to do it
16:19
Speaker 1: because it's the late night one, but I feel like
16:21
Speaker 1: he'll come around on it. Where it's just a smart play. Again,
16:24
Speaker 1: if you're down three offensive alignment and you already have
16:26
Speaker 1: a bad offensive line that which the Vikings did, right,
16:29
Speaker 1: that's a big deal. Again. I'm we're sitting here on Tuesday.
16:33
Speaker 1: We just have to go off in branch we have
16:34
Speaker 1: right now. This to me, that just feels like it's
16:36
Speaker 1: gonna go down to two and a half. I just
16:38
Speaker 1: feel like more people are gonna bet this on the
16:39
Speaker 1: Patriots side to split. There's only one three out there
16:42
Speaker 1: right now. Wow. So yeah, if you could get that,
16:45
Speaker 1: I would because again, I think it's gonna keep going
16:46
Speaker 1: because again it's it's just a smart smart spot to
16:50
Speaker 1: take this Patriots team where I agree with people the
16:53
Speaker 1: Vikings should bounce back. They gotta drop a couple of games. People,
16:57
Speaker 1: This is not a team that's gonna go twelve and
16:58
Speaker 1: five on the season. The Kings just aren't that good
17:01
Speaker 1: to me. They're a closer to a eleven and eleven
17:04
Speaker 1: and seven, ten and eight, ten and seven. I should
17:07
Speaker 1: say like team, they're just they're inflated because of their record.
17:12
Speaker 1: When you go through all those games, it was really
17:14
Speaker 1: Kirk putting that team on his back and getting them
17:16
Speaker 1: these bunch of wins they probably shouldn't have won. So
17:18
Speaker 1: they have a bunch of aggression coming up. This is
17:20
Speaker 1: one of those games I see them having aggression in. Um, yeah,
17:23
Speaker 1: don't need the Patriots to win, We just need them
17:25
Speaker 1: to cover two and a half, cover the three. So
17:26
Speaker 1: I would grab that now if I could. Uh, what
17:29
Speaker 1: did you think of? Earlier today? You and I were
17:31
Speaker 1: on Green Dot Daily at Action Network HQ follow it
17:34
Speaker 1: on Action Network YouTube. In the Action Network gap is
17:37
Speaker 1: where we talk about setting the betting agenda for the
17:40
Speaker 1: day every day at New and Eastern. I said, my
17:44
Speaker 1: favorite bet for Thanksgiving was the Vikings first quarter minus
17:48
Speaker 1: one and a half. It's fun. I mean, you gave
17:51
Speaker 1: out good reasons, right, Like the Patriots haven't scored in
17:53
Speaker 1: the first quarter. You expect Minnesota right to come out
17:56
Speaker 1: with a good game script, right, Ryan trying to put
17:58
Speaker 1: up points. So don't hate You're coming from only my
18:01
Speaker 1: only knock on to be that's minus one and a half,
18:03
Speaker 1: which is like you're kind of paying for the juice
18:05
Speaker 1: of what you just said. The Patriots have not performed
18:07
Speaker 1: well in the first quarter. You've been a bounce back
18:10
Speaker 1: spot here from Kirk. I just think full game, prime
18:13
Speaker 1: time Kirk. He's gonna put his team in trouble eventually.
18:16
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I will be playing the Patriots
18:18
Speaker 1: plus three. But I'm very much looking forward to just
18:22
Speaker 1: watching the first quarter and going to bed because in reality,
18:25
Speaker 1: in reality, like like I'm tired. By the end of
18:28
Speaker 1: the day, I will have had a full day with
18:31
Speaker 1: my dad, wife, my kids, my son home from college,
18:36
Speaker 1: my seven year old niece, my stepbrother is going to
18:38
Speaker 1: be in town. I love them. All, but it's gonna
18:42
Speaker 1: be a lot. We will have been together for thirty
18:43
Speaker 1: six hours by the time this game comes on the air,
18:47
Speaker 1: and like, I'll be ready for bed at nine o'clock.
18:50
Speaker 1: And it just feels like this will probably the only
18:51
Speaker 1: under I'll be on. I'll be on the other two overs. Um,
18:54
Speaker 1: this is just a classic. I'll just take this under
18:57
Speaker 1: and hold my nose. Uh, just to to offense? Is
19:00
Speaker 1: that seemed like they're going to struggle in in this matchup. Finally,
19:04
Speaker 1: the Ravens visiting the Jaguars. I know you love this game.
19:09
Speaker 1: Jacks with four point dogs at home percent of the
19:14
Speaker 1: early money on the Baltimore Ravens. Simon says, oh boy,
19:21
Speaker 1: oh boy, doing what people who mutat us so much goodness,
19:31
Speaker 1: but we have to do it. This is uninflated line
19:34
Speaker 1: the public. They have too much faith in this Ravens
19:37
Speaker 1: team that just has not been showing us that they
19:39
Speaker 1: deserve this much faith. Right, they've struggled these last couple
19:42
Speaker 1: of weeks, ever since their number one receiver went down.
19:46
Speaker 1: We've seen their issues with Mark Andrews, Right, he's just
19:48
Speaker 1: not looked right. He's been banged up his last couple
19:50
Speaker 1: of weeks. I just like the Jaguars. I feel like
19:52
Speaker 1: they're a team that's getting right. Come and have a
19:55
Speaker 1: bye week. This is a great spot for you know,
19:57
Speaker 1: Doug in a whole week with him. I mean again,
20:01
Speaker 1: who knows what they worked on. They he had an
20:03
Speaker 1: interview I saw two days ago where we talked about
20:05
Speaker 1: him and Lawrence got together. They worked on a lot
20:07
Speaker 1: of stuff. They talked about a bunch of stuff about
20:09
Speaker 1: what was good from the beginning of the year and
20:11
Speaker 1: what they can work on and what they get improved on.
20:14
Speaker 1: So again, to me, it feels like we're buying low
20:17
Speaker 1: on the Jaguars team that don't. Like you just said,
20:19
Speaker 1: the numbers, no one's gonna be betting them right. This
20:21
Speaker 1: is your classic pros verse. Joe's just like last week again,
20:27
Speaker 1: that Colts number made no sense to the public. They
20:29
Speaker 1: didn't get what was happening, why they were getting such
20:31
Speaker 1: a good deal and taking this Eagles team. That's the
20:34
Speaker 1: same thing here with this Ravens team. Seven and three,
20:37
Speaker 1: they've earned it. Like the three losses they've had this year,
20:40
Speaker 1: they were self inflicted, right, they had the bills, They
20:42
Speaker 1: gave that game away at the end there they had Miami.
20:45
Speaker 1: They gave that game away. They had a lot of
20:46
Speaker 1: self inflicted games. This just feels like got bad spot
20:49
Speaker 1: for this Ravens team. Like they're just going up against
20:52
Speaker 1: the team that matches up very well for them on defense.
20:54
Speaker 1: They want to take away they run. That's what the
20:56
Speaker 1: Jaguars excel at. Now you're forcing the Ravens. The past,
20:59
Speaker 1: we've seen how Ravens just the passing game just isn't
21:01
Speaker 1: there right now. So a big number at four, magging
21:05
Speaker 1: that my Simon says, I just do. I think this
21:07
Speaker 1: will go to three and a half three by Sunday
21:09
Speaker 1: kick off again. This is just gonna be a professional game.
21:12
Speaker 1: They'll take this number every time. So you can still
21:15
Speaker 1: grab the four now at fan do I'll grab it
21:17
Speaker 1: before it moves. I mean, what's interesting about this game,
21:20
Speaker 1: this team is we've believed in the Jaguars so much
21:26
Speaker 1: as much as we're in Atlanta Falcons podcast, we might
21:28
Speaker 1: be at Jacksonville Jaguars podcast, and they have led us
21:32
Speaker 1: down so many times this year. You know, we have
21:36
Speaker 1: told ourselves we're not betting the Jags anymore, and yet
21:41
Speaker 1: here we are, we see ourselves in a position of
21:44
Speaker 1: betting the Jaguars. I'm with you. I agree, it's just
21:51
Speaker 1: you know, it's the kind of thing that makes you
21:53
Speaker 1: puke after thanksgetting yeah, I feel like again that's my
21:58
Speaker 1: job to be a profession an a little better. It's
22:00
Speaker 1: just like, get over yourself, Like, it's not the Jaguars
22:04
Speaker 1: fault that I lost money. That's my own damn fault.
22:06
Speaker 1: I should have known better. This feels are a good
22:08
Speaker 1: spot to take him, So try not to blame the
22:09
Speaker 1: Jaguars for my shortcomings. Don't hate the player, hate the game.
22:15
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Speaker 1: dot net in West Virginia, UH Buccaneers on the road
24:21
Speaker 1: at the Browns. Buccaneers off by Browns getting blown out,
24:26
Speaker 1: although I will say they got blown out late like
24:30
Speaker 1: they were in that game, and that they played well
24:32
Speaker 1: in that game. Three and a half right now Browns, Yeah,
24:36
Speaker 1: so basically they're all pro center just got put on
24:39
Speaker 1: I R. So that's like a big deal for them,
24:42
Speaker 1: and they're run game. I want to take Cleveland, I
24:46
Speaker 1: really do. I feel like this is the right time
24:48
Speaker 1: to take them against a buck team that a little overvalued.
24:51
Speaker 1: Like in games they the games, the one against the Rams,
24:54
Speaker 1: the Rams kind of gave that game away to them,
24:56
Speaker 1: the game they want to get the Seahawks. That was
24:59
Speaker 1: kind of Geno revert and backed himself again. They were
25:02
Speaker 1: losing big in that game and Gino came all the
25:04
Speaker 1: way back. He put up a fight. He just couldn't
25:06
Speaker 1: get there right, you know enough times so to me,
25:09
Speaker 1: unless you have a huge, huge letdown spot from Brissett. Yeah,
25:14
Speaker 1: this could burn us again. He's not been good this year.
25:16
Speaker 1: Per set the Cleveland they have a bad record. They
25:18
Speaker 1: are a bad team. So if we had to pick
25:21
Speaker 1: between the two evils to put in one between the
25:24
Speaker 1: Jaguars and Cleveland, we'll pick one of them. There's no
25:26
Speaker 1: chance both these are going in the contest, so I
25:28
Speaker 1: can tell you that much. Yeah, it's gonna be one
25:30
Speaker 1: if you want to get. If you want to get
25:32
Speaker 1: the hook and you like the Browns, get it now.
25:34
Speaker 1: Because it's a three and a half. I think it's
25:36
Speaker 1: gonna keep going up though, honestly, because yeah, just because
25:39
Speaker 1: it's a big it's a big injury the offensive line
25:41
Speaker 1: like that, that's a big deal. Um, we know that
25:45
Speaker 1: team they needed they need to get the ball running
25:47
Speaker 1: to really get things going. So uh, yeah's interesting number.
25:52
Speaker 1: I'll be watching. But don't rush. You don't have the rusher.
25:54
Speaker 1: Got that three and a half? All right? Well I
25:59
Speaker 1: may have done that ready, Um, so bad on me.
26:04
Speaker 1: The Chicago Bears are visiting the New York Football Jets.
26:10
Speaker 1: We don't know a lot right now to me, like
26:13
Speaker 1: this is a wait and see, don't rush. Justin field
26:17
Speaker 1: dislocated left shoulder, non throwing shoulder, even if by some
26:21
Speaker 1: miracle he does play, and I would say, Bears, for
26:26
Speaker 1: God's sakes, he's proven how good he is. You've proven
26:30
Speaker 1: what you can do with him offensively. You know what
26:32
Speaker 1: the game plan should be next year. He's got a
26:35
Speaker 1: dislocated left shoulder that's gonna take six weeks to heal.
26:38
Speaker 1: Shut him the funk down, right, get as high a
26:42
Speaker 1: pick as you can get. Get that offensive lineman. You need,
26:46
Speaker 1: start thinking about what you need to support the defense, Like,
26:50
Speaker 1: let's not jeopardize the next decade to play the New
26:54
Speaker 1: York fucking Jets, who we don't even know who their
26:57
Speaker 1: quarterback is going to be. So I don't know why
26:59
Speaker 1: anyone's betting this game this point because people like me,
27:02
Speaker 1: like I'm all over the Jets love the Jets. Could
27:04
Speaker 1: give two ships through the Jets quarterback because he literally
27:07
Speaker 1: just playing the spot situationally, the Bears. What makes them work?
27:12
Speaker 1: Justin fields? Guess what's broken? Justin fields? It's that simple.
27:16
Speaker 1: It's like, Okay, I banged up justin fields. I love it.
27:20
Speaker 1: He's greaty, he's tough, he's gonna try to play. The
27:23
Speaker 1: Jets have one of the best defenses in football, Like
27:25
Speaker 1: they're gonna beat the ship up if he does play,
27:27
Speaker 1: I think pretty quick. I don't think he's gonna think
27:29
Speaker 1: it's gonna be worth it. Like I think he's gonna
27:31
Speaker 1: get banged up here if he tries to force himself
27:33
Speaker 1: into this game. So give me anyone but Zack Wilson.
27:37
Speaker 1: That would make my day if we found out again
27:39
Speaker 1: Flacco as much I love to bury the guy. He
27:43
Speaker 1: can run the system. He's got the balls to get
27:45
Speaker 1: the ball downfield. Zack looks scared. Like Zach. We all
27:48
Speaker 1: know he hasn't talent. It's all mental. We've seen the
27:50
Speaker 1: time and time again. That's what most of football is
27:53
Speaker 1: here in the quarterback position. Like these guys all talent,
27:56
Speaker 1: once they get broken mentally, that's it again. Baker Mayfield,
28:00
Speaker 1: you can you can throw on his film from his
28:02
Speaker 1: rookie year. He looks like a completely different quarterback. He
28:05
Speaker 1: had confidence, he had balls, he would go downfield. Now
28:08
Speaker 1: he's terrified. Anytime he does go downfield, it's a force
28:11
Speaker 1: into two guys. It's just bad reads. So, man, I
28:15
Speaker 1: get where you're coming from. Where It's like, this is
28:17
Speaker 1: just so gross. I don't want to touch it right now,
28:19
Speaker 1: and there's so much unknowns, but I'm just gonna grab
28:21
Speaker 1: it just in case it Fields is out, Like that's
28:24
Speaker 1: a big that's gonna move this number, like this could
28:26
Speaker 1: jump up to six. So I'll grab the four. I'll
28:28
Speaker 1: grab the four and a half now in the Jets
28:30
Speaker 1: and if if Justin plays, great, If not, that's okay too.
28:34
Speaker 1: To me, the big deal is where we want to
28:36
Speaker 1: see who the quarterback is for this Jets team, because
28:39
Speaker 1: I don't like the juji right now with that team.
28:40
Speaker 1: Like you can tell Zack Wilson a lot of X
28:44
Speaker 1: players talking about him, you know, in that conference not
28:47
Speaker 1: owning up to playing shitty and having a bad game.
28:49
Speaker 1: That's a bad look, like really bad look. So to me,
28:53
Speaker 1: that's a big deal. It's a really bad look. Yeah,
28:58
Speaker 1: I'm surprised that the reaction it's gott And there's been
29:00
Speaker 1: a lot of memes going around comparing Josh Allen to
29:04
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson. How Josh Allen will, like after a game
29:08
Speaker 1: when he plays badly, will sit there and just bad
29:11
Speaker 1: mouth himself like he is the worst person in the world.
29:16
Speaker 1: Where there's a story going around that Justin Fields in
29:19
Speaker 1: the locker room after the game against Atlanta, stood up
29:22
Speaker 1: and said to his defense, I apologize. This is on me.
29:25
Speaker 1: You gave us chances to win, we didn't take advantage
29:28
Speaker 1: of them. And then you've got Zack Wilson just being
29:30
Speaker 1: like yeah, good, yeah, such a such a bad look.
29:36
Speaker 1: Not do she You wouldn't be too if you look
29:38
Speaker 1: like him. I mean he has a good looking guy. Yeah.
29:41
Speaker 1: The Bengals are on the road at the Titans. I
29:46
Speaker 1: love the Bengals last week, even against the good Steelers defense.
29:51
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, you know, it's getting into the point where
29:54
Speaker 1: he's through the rust of not having played much during
29:57
Speaker 1: the early part during preseason um and not done much
30:00
Speaker 1: during the offseason. This team is just getting better. DJ
30:05
Speaker 1: Reader is back. I think that's a big deal. What
30:08
Speaker 1: scares me and I think I like the Bengals here.
30:12
Speaker 1: What scares me is that the Titans continue to cover
30:18
Speaker 1: for reasons that are unknown because they're not that good
30:21
Speaker 1: of a team. Big balls better the week, Cincinnati Bengals,
30:28
Speaker 1: So let me ask something. I agree, but why is
30:32
Speaker 1: that a big balls better the week? Like taking the
30:34
Speaker 1: big d The Titans haven't They've covered in like eight
30:38
Speaker 1: straight weeks. Ray Blow is an underdog. We all know
30:41
Speaker 1: the numbers this is. This is gonna be a spot chat.
30:44
Speaker 1: I feel like we're gonna be kind of loan on,
30:46
Speaker 1: like maybe a couple of pros will better with us,
30:48
Speaker 1: but Joe Public will be on the Titans. They'll tease
30:51
Speaker 1: the Titans up to eight or seven and a half,
30:53
Speaker 1: like they're they're gonna love this number this week. Um
30:56
Speaker 1: to me, the biggest advantages the Titans only weaknesses they
31:01
Speaker 1: can be passed on and lucky for us. I shouldn't
31:04
Speaker 1: say lucky, but it seems like Joe Mixon is gonna
31:06
Speaker 1: be out. So my pe grynds are receiving back. We
31:09
Speaker 1: saw it last week how Dominie was catching the ball
31:11
Speaker 1: in the backfield. That's what the Bangos at Danny will
31:13
Speaker 1: be against Tennessee. That's how they're gonna beat them. It's
31:16
Speaker 1: passing the ball moving through the air. So giving me
31:18
Speaker 1: this number under three, I honestly think it's a gift. Um. Again,
31:22
Speaker 1: we saw these two teams playing the playoffs last year.
31:25
Speaker 1: I think the Titans sacked him like ten times. I'm
31:27
Speaker 1: not even exaggerating, and they still lost that game. This
31:31
Speaker 1: Bengals O line is much improved. Um, this should be
31:34
Speaker 1: a good matchup for this Bangals team. So, just based
31:37
Speaker 1: off the regression we expect from Tennessee here, they should
31:40
Speaker 1: drop this game. But not only that, I think they're
31:43
Speaker 1: sucking the public in a little bit. So it's not
31:45
Speaker 1: surprising to see the money and the tickets coming in
31:47
Speaker 1: early on Tennessee. Um again, two and a half to
31:52
Speaker 1: one and a half. As long as you get under three,
31:53
Speaker 1: I would take this Bengals number. M hmm. I was
31:59
Speaker 1: leading to that as executive decision, and you just stepped
32:02
Speaker 1: on me. We'll do it. We all go with different
32:04
Speaker 1: big balls. No, I'll find an exact decision. I'm just
32:07
Speaker 1: trying to give the people winners chat. That's that's what
32:10
Speaker 1: I try to do. Yeah, like I did last week
32:12
Speaker 1: with Cincinnati as our big balls and the Chargers in
32:16
Speaker 1: my scoot roulette. Don't talk to me about winners. You're
32:22
Speaker 1: on a heater. Heater. Have you look in the app
32:25
Speaker 1: right now? For the last thirty days, I am fucking
32:28
Speaker 1: crushing it right, I found a fucking groove al right.
32:33
Speaker 1: The text is a thirteen point underdogs at Miami. I mean, look,
32:39
Speaker 1: we don't want to Yeah, we're not mad at us,
32:44
Speaker 1: but what can we do? We have to be? What
32:46
Speaker 1: are we supposed to do? I know I hate it?
32:49
Speaker 1: What are we supposed to do? I won't I will
32:52
Speaker 1: not I promise you will not hit up Chat on Sunday.
32:55
Speaker 1: I will not say we have to put this one in,
32:57
Speaker 1: but I will be bet in Houston. Um, it's it's bad.
33:03
Speaker 1: Houston is bad and everywhere they are bad. It's it
33:07
Speaker 1: is not fun again when we're down fourteen nothing in
33:10
Speaker 1: the first quarter. That's why I'll text Chat and say,
33:12
Speaker 1: thank God we didn't put this in our five because
33:14
Speaker 1: it's just God, They're just bad. So yeah, I'll bet
33:18
Speaker 1: it with the four other people. Um, it's miserable. Existence
33:22
Speaker 1: will be one of my smaller bets. It's definitely gonna
33:24
Speaker 1: win because no one's gonna bet, and then that's just
33:26
Speaker 1: how it goes. But Miami is good, like a move
33:29
Speaker 1: the ball. They're all healthy right now, to is healthy.
33:33
Speaker 1: I get it. If you want to take Miami is
33:35
Speaker 1: a big favorite here. Um, I just I feel like
33:37
Speaker 1: this line is by three points higher than it should be,
33:39
Speaker 1: so I'll just I'll take Houston. I would say nobody
33:44
Speaker 1: should take Miami. It's either a bet Houston, or don't
33:48
Speaker 1: bet it at all, but don't be the person who's
33:51
Speaker 1: betting Miami. That's what like Dann Ravel is gonna bet Miami,
33:55
Speaker 1: and I can't fault them though, like that Houston. I
33:57
Speaker 1: said it last week. I didn't get why the Pros
33:59
Speaker 1: were making this when they're bigger bets where Houston they're
34:01
Speaker 1: taking a risk. He's gonna be the worst team of football.
34:03
Speaker 1: Like they really are that bad where they could have
34:06
Speaker 1: quit on love you at this point. And again it's
34:10
Speaker 1: not that I think they've quit on love You. I
34:12
Speaker 1: think the league is just figured out Davis Mills. Like
34:15
Speaker 1: you watch him against these defenses now, he's forever uncomfortable.
34:19
Speaker 1: He doesn't like throwing to his left, so they just
34:20
Speaker 1: shade everything to his right and it makes him uncomfortable.
34:23
Speaker 1: So um, that might be the major issue here where
34:26
Speaker 1: he's just so bad and they have no other option.
34:29
Speaker 1: Good for them, right, they're gonna tank this year. They're
34:30
Speaker 1: gonna get a great quarterback in this draft. But for
34:33
Speaker 1: this year, man, it's hard putting money behind this kid
34:36
Speaker 1: at QB where he just he's regressed every week since
34:39
Speaker 1: that Week one game against the Colts. He just has
34:41
Speaker 1: not produced this year. Should we make this our fox off? Fuck? No, no,
34:46
Speaker 1: stay away. Tell me how you really feel about it? Again,
34:50
Speaker 1: I feel like we have to bet it. But people
34:52
Speaker 1: are like yelling at us about the Houston pick and
34:54
Speaker 1: I got it, Like that sucked, that was horrible. So
34:57
Speaker 1: I get where they're coming from. All right, well, uh,
35:03
Speaker 1: no one else is going to do it except for us,
35:05
Speaker 1: that by definition puts us in the Foxhole. That's true,
35:09
Speaker 1: just saying, and like I like, there's a lot of
35:12
Speaker 1: games coming up. I feel mediocre about most of them. Um,
35:16
Speaker 1: so it's tough on Tuesday. I'm not sure we'll find
35:20
Speaker 1: a game that is a more obvious Foxhole game in
35:24
Speaker 1: the Texans. In fact, I feel like we're doing a
35:26
Speaker 1: disservice to the definition and who we are as a
35:29
Speaker 1: podcast and who we are as better as if we
35:32
Speaker 1: don't make the Texans are foxholl I mean, Jesus Christ,
35:36
Speaker 1: you're taking that think of a stand. Yeah we can.
35:39
Speaker 1: We can make it our fox will if you feel
35:40
Speaker 1: that strongly. I feel strongly. Oh God, look, this is
35:46
Speaker 1: what we do. We're betting the Jags. You just said,
35:49
Speaker 1: Simon says, its Jags plus four. I mean come on,
35:55
Speaker 1: this is what we do. They've shown a little life
35:57
Speaker 1: when you poke them with a stick. Right now, we're
35:59
Speaker 1: poking he's of the stick and we get nothing. We
36:01
Speaker 1: bet Davis Mills, he's a back door, cover, almost cover,
36:06
Speaker 1: get close machine. He is the guy who tempts you
36:11
Speaker 1: late in the game, and we will be tempted when
36:14
Speaker 1: they're down twenty and there's no reason for Miami to
36:18
Speaker 1: play defense anymore. And Davis Mills keeps going falcons on
36:25
Speaker 1: the road at the Commanders. I'm seeing some four and
36:28
Speaker 1: a half's out there. Yeah, yeah, peak Commanders, this is
36:32
Speaker 1: the peak of the Commanders. They're getting four and a half.
36:36
Speaker 1: Maybe that's because Chase is coming back, right, that's a
36:38
Speaker 1: big upgrade of their d line. But man, this is
36:42
Speaker 1: crazy to think that. I mean, there's still in fourth
36:46
Speaker 1: place the NFC East. They've turned it around again. Heineke's comment,
36:49
Speaker 1: he's played well, he's made big throws. Their offenses clicking.
36:54
Speaker 1: Their defense has been playing well, right. Even in that
36:56
Speaker 1: Eagles game, they were giving up yards, but they're tough,
36:59
Speaker 1: fault hard yards and again they were going after the ball.
37:02
Speaker 1: They stripped the Eagles on three different plays. So to me,
37:06
Speaker 1: Washington might be stepping in front of the train right now.
37:09
Speaker 1: But I feel like Chad's gonna talk about like four
37:11
Speaker 1: and a half four. It's a lot of points for
37:14
Speaker 1: a Washington team that you know, they play teams close
37:17
Speaker 1: in Atlanta, loves close games. All year they've played close games.
37:21
Speaker 1: They give teams they are best shots. Especially with that
37:23
Speaker 1: run game. They just ball control, slow the game down.
37:26
Speaker 1: So e D and I don't mean the kind that
37:30
Speaker 1: needs viagra. Executive decision, the choice between the unthinkable and
37:38
Speaker 1: the impossible. Are you with ex executive decision? Come on?
37:45
Speaker 1: Are you telling me? Taylor Heineke should be a four
37:49
Speaker 1: or four and a half point favorite over anybody right now?
37:53
Speaker 1: Like he is a wild card, great backup team rallies.
38:00
Speaker 1: It's impressive what he's been doing. Beating the Eagles was impressive,
38:03
Speaker 1: a lot of luck. Beating the Texans was impressive. We
38:06
Speaker 1: thought the Texans would cover. But the Falcons are a
38:11
Speaker 1: great match for this Washington team. Strength on strength, Right,
38:16
Speaker 1: They're going to run the ball, and the Washington Commanders
38:21
Speaker 1: they're going to try to stop the run, and they're
38:23
Speaker 1: good at that. But this is about controlling the clock.
38:30
Speaker 1: It's about the Falcons being very good in close games.
38:34
Speaker 1: Eight of eleven games this year one score or less.
38:38
Speaker 1: Seven of those games four points or less. That's why
38:42
Speaker 1: the hook is so important here. There is a team
38:44
Speaker 1: that just plays close games, whether they win or they lose,
38:47
Speaker 1: they just play very close games. They don't make mistakes.
38:51
Speaker 1: That's what you're betting beyond anything else. You're betting the
38:55
Speaker 1: situation and you're betting the matchup. Couple people are gonna
39:01
Speaker 1: say that Atlanta struggled on the road this year, which
39:03
Speaker 1: is fair criticism they have. If you look at the
39:04
Speaker 1: data this year, they have definitely struggled on the road.
39:08
Speaker 1: There's no home field advantage here with Washington, so I
39:10
Speaker 1: kind of throw that one out in this position. Then
39:13
Speaker 1: for Broncos, oh god, they're two and a half point
39:17
Speaker 1: favorites of Carolina. That's how bad Carolina is that the
39:21
Speaker 1: Broncos are two and a half point favorites on the road,
39:25
Speaker 1: and this Broncos team is just dreadful. This is an
39:28
Speaker 1: auto play on the under for sure. Um, but what
39:33
Speaker 1: do we think of the side here? I immediately regretted
39:36
Speaker 1: spending any time on this game. Work in the number,
39:38
Speaker 1: you're trying to figure this game out. It was truly pointless,
39:40
Speaker 1: where it's like I don't know where I'm getting from
39:42
Speaker 1: either quarterback. I know exactly what I'm getting from both defenses.
39:46
Speaker 1: Chad just nailed it. I'll just take the under pass
39:48
Speaker 1: on this game, Like am I want to take Carolina
39:51
Speaker 1: because who the hell is Denverna be catching points right now?
39:53
Speaker 1: They got nothing working. Um, just an absolute train wreck
39:57
Speaker 1: of the season. It's real shame. Chad then listen to
40:00
Speaker 1: his co host All Summer talking about how bad Russell
40:04
Speaker 1: Wilson has that I ever imagined to be this bad. No,
40:07
Speaker 1: this is crazy. It is crazy how bad he is
40:10
Speaker 1: and the whole since the whole situation is so crazy,
40:12
Speaker 1: I just can't believe they gave him that contract. Um.
40:16
Speaker 1: Just feel so terrible with Denver fans. So, yeah, I'd
40:19
Speaker 1: love to take Panthers here. Maybe I will if it's
40:21
Speaker 1: same Donald at quarterback, but Baker Mayfield can't do it,
40:25
Speaker 1: can't do it, So I'll just take the under So. Um,
40:28
Speaker 1: we have a stat. Evan Abrams put it out. I
40:32
Speaker 1: believe our crack research lead. The total in this game
40:37
Speaker 1: is thirty five. Wow. I think it's one of the
40:40
Speaker 1: lowest totals in the past twenty years. I'd still play that.
40:45
Speaker 1: I'd still play the under. Yeah, I mean the lowest
40:48
Speaker 1: total in college football was I think it was the
40:51
Speaker 1: same thing. It was like thirty three or thirty four.
40:53
Speaker 1: It went under. So I mean clearly it's sometimes you
40:58
Speaker 1: really can't go low enough. Um. Yeah, it won't be
41:00
Speaker 1: fun taking this on there, but I just have no
41:03
Speaker 1: faiths in you know, these offenses where both defenses are
41:06
Speaker 1: just really supreme. The Raiders and the Broncos went to
41:10
Speaker 1: overtime tied at sixteen. Yeah, they just can't score Denver
41:17
Speaker 1: and they keep everyone from scoring. Speaking of the Raiders,
41:21
Speaker 1: they're on the road. They're three and a half point
41:22
Speaker 1: underdogs at Seattle. No brainer. Take Seattle here every time.
41:28
Speaker 1: Raiders coming off a big overtime divisional win, now going
41:31
Speaker 1: on the road, back to back road games. What a
41:34
Speaker 1: gift for the Seahawks, which we love. We love the
41:36
Speaker 1: Seahawks team. Great fun story, only fears Gina turning back
41:41
Speaker 1: and go Pumpkin. He's had a week now thinking about
41:43
Speaker 1: how great has started. The year has been a little scary.
41:46
Speaker 1: But I'll take this number every time. There are just
41:50
Speaker 1: one team's a bottom dweller. They've been bad all season,
41:52
Speaker 1: they had bad coaching. The other team has really again
41:56
Speaker 1: shown all of us how dead wrong we were coming
41:57
Speaker 1: to the season with the Seahawks team. Carol is a
42:00
Speaker 1: way better coach when we gave him credit for right.
42:02
Speaker 1: He's a great motivator of men, you know, has played
42:05
Speaker 1: outstanding lee the running game and working for the Seahawks
42:08
Speaker 1: right now, that's the raiders biggest weakness is they really
42:11
Speaker 1: cannot stop the runs. So in this position, we know
42:14
Speaker 1: exactly what the Seahawks are gonna do. Again, Raiders are desperate.
42:19
Speaker 1: I get where people are gonna say, like this game,
42:21
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a lot for them, because this
42:22
Speaker 1: really is their season. If they can somehow pull this
42:24
Speaker 1: one off, maybe get some more momentum, they can maybe
42:27
Speaker 1: make the playoffs. I just don't see it, Like they
42:29
Speaker 1: just seem like an immature team. That team has so
42:32
Speaker 1: many issues. Again, we heard all about all the fighting
42:34
Speaker 1: and everything like that great win, great win against Denver.
42:38
Speaker 1: This is a completely different breed here. Like the Seahawks
42:41
Speaker 1: have played well all season, they had one bad half
42:43
Speaker 1: against Tampa. I'm not gonna let them throw me off that.
42:45
Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep riding the Seahawks team. So I like
42:48
Speaker 1: this number and getting under four. I think it's important
42:50
Speaker 1: because that four is becoming more and more of a key. Uh.
42:55
Speaker 1: Speaking of four, it looks like the send the San
42:58
Speaker 1: Diego the Los Angeles charter is around the road visiting
43:01
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals as uh short road favorites. Every fiber
43:08
Speaker 1: in my body screaming you take Arizona here. I can't
43:13
Speaker 1: do it. I just cannot do it. That was embarrassing
43:16
Speaker 1: what they did in Mexico. Even if Kyler comes back,
43:19
Speaker 1: it feels like this team has lost. The locker room
43:22
Speaker 1: is lost. Bad, just bad, bad bad, And I just
43:26
Speaker 1: want to fade it because it's charges the favorite. Me
43:27
Speaker 1: and Chad, we love taking the Chargers the big dog
43:30
Speaker 1: because they always will lose by three. We hate taking
43:33
Speaker 1: them as big favorites. So again, this is one of
43:36
Speaker 1: those I wish we could talk about later in the week.
43:38
Speaker 1: I would have more information on this game, But sitting
43:41
Speaker 1: here Tuesday, I'll go chalk and I take it with
43:44
Speaker 1: the Chargers. But it's just doesn't feel great because it's
43:47
Speaker 1: just a bad position to be in. This is not
43:49
Speaker 1: a game that the Chargers as favorites it's a bad spot.
43:55
Speaker 1: The Cardinals off a huge loss in prime time, You're
43:59
Speaker 1: automatically getting a point and a half of value here.
44:02
Speaker 1: It's really about what is your tolerance for betting on
44:04
Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury, betting on Kyler Murray assuming that he's back.
44:09
Speaker 1: Will this team be that much better? They are a mess?
44:12
Speaker 1: So you've just got to really be comfortable playing a
44:16
Speaker 1: number because that's what you're doing here. Like, I wouldn't
44:18
Speaker 1: bet the Chargers in this spot, even though we kind
44:21
Speaker 1: of even though like it's disgusting, because the Cardinals are
44:26
Speaker 1: the team where the value is. Yeah, and again it's
44:29
Speaker 1: just luckily for us, there's fifteen other games this week,
44:32
Speaker 1: so it's just not one of those I'm gonna spend
44:34
Speaker 1: that much time on. No, there's only four games left
44:36
Speaker 1: to talk about. We have given away our foxhol are,
44:41
Speaker 1: which is the Texas plus thirteen. Our Simon says Jack's
44:44
Speaker 1: plus four our exact decision Atlanta plus four and alf
44:47
Speaker 1: four and a half big ball since he minus one
44:49
Speaker 1: and a half. The Rams are on the road as massive,
44:54
Speaker 1: massive underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs, two touchdown underdogs.
45:00
Speaker 1: What are we supposed to do here? I have no
45:01
Speaker 1: idea what Staffords are gonna be playing or not, So
45:03
Speaker 1: no Stafford, no Cup. I guess I'll go Chiefs. But
45:07
Speaker 1: me and you had to talk all the time. We
45:09
Speaker 1: usually like to fade. My home is a big favorite,
45:11
Speaker 1: so I know the pros will probably on the Rams,
45:13
Speaker 1: but we got on the Chalk. I'll go with since
45:16
Speaker 1: a year, but no real feel for this game. We're
45:19
Speaker 1: going with the Rams. We're not We're not putting in
45:21
Speaker 1: the contest, but if we're taking a stand right now,
45:25
Speaker 1: we're going with the Rams. I gotta say, I gotta
45:27
Speaker 1: The public does win though, Chad, you are aware of that,
45:29
Speaker 1: right yeah, but not as often as the wise guys
45:34
Speaker 1: st It feels like, alright, well, I'm just saying that
45:37
Speaker 1: the last two picks, we have been letting the perception
45:42
Speaker 1: of the bad team get in the way of making
45:47
Speaker 1: the right decision. I disagree. This is this is the
45:52
Speaker 1: problem with Chatty. But this guy gets a little bit
45:54
Speaker 1: of power, a little bit of winning, he turns into
45:56
Speaker 1: a fucking monster. This is why I have to keep
45:58
Speaker 1: him locked down, keep him home, because this is what happens.
46:03
Speaker 1: I've been saying the same thing since before you were
46:06
Speaker 1: fucking born young. Yeah that's so. Look, we don't have
46:16
Speaker 1: to put them in the contest. We don't have to
46:17
Speaker 1: make him one of our other bad chance. I'm not
46:19
Speaker 1: betting the Rams. I'm not putting I'm not asking people
46:22
Speaker 1: to put their good money on the Rams. Okay, well
46:25
Speaker 1: I will. I'm going to tell you I am not
46:28
Speaker 1: afraid of that. Uh. The Saints also massive underdogs visiting
46:34
Speaker 1: the Niners. I loved the Niners last night. I felt
46:38
Speaker 1: very strongly about it. I feel less strong now just
46:41
Speaker 1: because I think the delta, like the value was gone,
46:45
Speaker 1: you know, because of how well they played. I think
46:48
Speaker 1: we we we were riding the leading edge into the
46:52
Speaker 1: Niners and the Saints. You know, yeah, an they're bad again. Situationally,
47:01
Speaker 1: I feel like you'll agree, though, this is kind of
47:02
Speaker 1: where you take the Saints like, of course you do,
47:06
Speaker 1: is that was an incredible game. It's more about me
47:10
Speaker 1: looking at them and thinking, Okay, they're now going to
47:13
Speaker 1: be talked about all week, will be the most bet
47:15
Speaker 1: team for Super Bowl, no doubt all week. Like people
47:18
Speaker 1: are just gonna be putting money on them because the
47:19
Speaker 1: hype is real. Because again, Jimmy earned it, like that
47:22
Speaker 1: was his best game. Of the season, and again people
47:25
Speaker 1: were like, well, you said Jimmy has been playing bad
47:27
Speaker 1: this year, but the numbers bear out otherwise. It's I
47:29
Speaker 1: was more of out looking at their schedule, Um, look
47:33
Speaker 1: at who they played defensively, and then you add in
47:35
Speaker 1: that he has Debo kittle Auk and again before even
47:40
Speaker 1: the fact that McCaffrey got there, they were still a
47:42
Speaker 1: good running team. So that was my disappoint where it's like,
47:44
Speaker 1: this guy has all the talent around him, this team
47:47
Speaker 1: should be scoring more, they should be doing more when
47:49
Speaker 1: they really weren't. Again, that was the perfect game, like
47:52
Speaker 1: running the ball, passing, it was all clicking. We all
47:55
Speaker 1: know the NFL doesn't worked that way. It's so weak
47:57
Speaker 1: the week there's just highs and lows. It's all about
47:59
Speaker 1: the match as well. So for me, the Saints, you're
48:03
Speaker 1: expecting to get a little bit more healthy here and
48:05
Speaker 1: in the matchup where we already know the public is
48:08
Speaker 1: gonna come in really heavy on this four Niners team.
48:11
Speaker 1: They will be in every ten tea, I mean three
48:12
Speaker 1: team ten point parlay like that's that's gonna be the
48:16
Speaker 1: move this week. It is taking big favorites like this,
48:18
Speaker 1: So there's Ben a couple of upsets along the way,
48:20
Speaker 1: and this is one of these I have marked as
48:21
Speaker 1: an upset um Saints. Again, it's gonna take a lot
48:25
Speaker 1: from the win out right, But that's you expect in
48:27
Speaker 1: these kind of games where everything broke right these last
48:30
Speaker 1: couple of weeks for the four nineers, you expect things
48:32
Speaker 1: not that really work and be so smooth and this
48:35
Speaker 1: in these upcoming games. And this is one of those
48:36
Speaker 1: games where again the Saints, they've been bad this year,
48:40
Speaker 1: but we've seen Andy kind of figure it out. So
48:43
Speaker 1: it's not a prime time game. It is. I guess
48:46
Speaker 1: you could say it's a little bit of prime time.
48:47
Speaker 1: But as long as it's not a Thursday night, Monday
48:50
Speaker 1: night or Sunday night game, I'm gonna back any A
48:51
Speaker 1: Dalton uh And I like him in the spot. I
48:55
Speaker 1: would say, should we be thinking about this for Foxholme
48:58
Speaker 1: instead of Texas? There? You, uh, foxhel were the fox.
49:04
Speaker 1: Let's clide down into the Foxhole. I would much much
49:10
Speaker 1: much would appreciate that much more, all right, So let's
49:13
Speaker 1: do that. Let's do Saints plus nine and a half
49:15
Speaker 1: for the Foxhole. Because if you look at the like
49:17
Speaker 1: one of these things is not like the other If
49:19
Speaker 1: you're talking about the games that are double digit or
49:22
Speaker 1: near double digit favorites and dogs, the Saints are much
49:26
Speaker 1: better than the Texas. They're much better than the Rams. Yeah,
49:29
Speaker 1: and again with Houston, it feels like that's a bet
49:32
Speaker 1: mean you're making because we know we're getting value on
49:34
Speaker 1: the line, and we know that only five other people
49:35
Speaker 1: are betting that, and that tends to be good for
49:37
Speaker 1: the books. Where the Ram scares me because I feel
49:40
Speaker 1: like that's a huge number, Like I kind of want
49:42
Speaker 1: to take the Rams because what you just said, that's
49:43
Speaker 1: such a huge number. The Chiefs really don't blow with
49:46
Speaker 1: teams out like that, and that's gonna be a backdoor,
49:48
Speaker 1: open all game where the Saints here. It just because
49:51
Speaker 1: that we're getting two points of free value, just because
49:54
Speaker 1: of that last game, like that big blowout in the
49:57
Speaker 1: primetime game that was so dominant. We have to take
50:01
Speaker 1: the three points here. The Saints um hopefully gets to ten,
50:04
Speaker 1: like I've seen a couple of books get close. But
50:06
Speaker 1: then you look and there's couple of books at nine.
50:08
Speaker 1: So I grab the nine and a half just to
50:09
Speaker 1: be safe in case it does drop down to nine
50:12
Speaker 1: packers on the road at the Eagles seven point underdogs.
50:18
Speaker 1: Right now, I didn't really know what the much to
50:19
Speaker 1: do with this game. Like part of me wants to
50:21
Speaker 1: just take green Bay blindly because we know that green
50:24
Speaker 1: Bay wants to run the ball and we know the
50:25
Speaker 1: Eagles have struggled against the run. Um Eagles seemed like
50:28
Speaker 1: they're going through it right now because that injury to
50:30
Speaker 1: god Her that was a big deal. On offense, they
50:33
Speaker 1: had multiple times a tight ends either had drops or
50:35
Speaker 1: made bad penalties that slowed down that offense. We've seen
50:39
Speaker 1: it on defense, the Jordan Davis injury. They brought in
50:41
Speaker 1: two guys who actually played well at the d tackle position.
50:45
Speaker 1: But man, that that's that's a lot to ask picking
50:48
Speaker 1: two guys off the street now to come and stop
50:50
Speaker 1: Aaron jones Um and a J. Dillon Again, that's that's
50:53
Speaker 1: what green Bay wants to do. So as an Egos fan,
50:56
Speaker 1: I'm hoping they're cooked, like green Bay has just done
50:59
Speaker 1: for this season. They're gonna quit on the season now
51:01
Speaker 1: that they're they're they'll kind of give up here. But
51:04
Speaker 1: I just can't see this green Bay team. They stick
51:07
Speaker 1: in most of these games, and the reason they've been
51:09
Speaker 1: bad the public is they've been favorite most weeks. We've
51:12
Speaker 1: kind of been taking them here every now and then
51:14
Speaker 1: as a dog, and it's been working out for us. Chad.
51:16
Speaker 1: So in the back of my mind, I'm looking at
51:19
Speaker 1: this number, I'm saying, okay, seven, that's a fair number.
51:23
Speaker 1: But I leaned towards the Green Bay in this position
51:25
Speaker 1: just because again, I think the Eagles got issues right
51:28
Speaker 1: now with the injuries on offense and defense. Yeah, I
51:32
Speaker 1: think they were a little bit better against the Colts.
51:34
Speaker 1: They found a way. Obviously, they added the two defensive linemen.
51:38
Speaker 1: I think the defensive lineman, with another week of practice,
51:42
Speaker 1: get a little more comfortable that a little more effective.
51:44
Speaker 1: Peckers are not a great running team, so uh, it
51:48
Speaker 1: matches up well for them because the Eagles defensive backfield
51:52
Speaker 1: is really good, and so I like the matchup here.
51:56
Speaker 1: I don't have a lean because I think it's priced
51:58
Speaker 1: about right. Yeah, it's not a it's not a contest
52:01
Speaker 1: play for me. It just seems like what the number
52:04
Speaker 1: should be for a prime time game. Like I already
52:06
Speaker 1: know the public end of the night, they'll either have
52:08
Speaker 1: the Eagles moneyline, I have him in a teaser. They'll
52:10
Speaker 1: just take the seven, so to me that that seems
52:13
Speaker 1: like a fair number for this game. Last game on
52:15
Speaker 1: the board, the Steelers on the road at the Colts
52:18
Speaker 1: Monday Night Football, Jeff Saturday getting interviewed by all those
52:22
Speaker 1: old colleagues at ESPN as a two and a half
52:26
Speaker 1: point home favorite against the Pittsburgh Steelers in that great defense.
52:33
Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion. I think I probably
52:36
Speaker 1: lean Steelers, but not Steelers in a contest kind of way,
52:41
Speaker 1: just sort of coaching matchup defense matchup. Yeah, another prime
52:48
Speaker 1: time under a game. I'll just probably just take the
52:50
Speaker 1: under let it, let it, let it play out the
52:52
Speaker 1: way will But I don't know, just a funky number,
52:55
Speaker 1: like I wanted to take Pittsburgh at plus three. The
52:58
Speaker 1: fact now that it's down to two and a half
53:00
Speaker 1: is no surprise. Like the Sharps came in they took
53:02
Speaker 1: the three as well. Um, but now is the value
53:06
Speaker 1: shifted to the Colts, Like should we backing the Colts
53:08
Speaker 1: team that clearly they played better at home. Again, they
53:11
Speaker 1: took the Eagles the whole game to beat him. They
53:13
Speaker 1: took the Chiefs down all the way. So again, mat
53:17
Speaker 1: Ryan's clearly a different, different player for this team, like,
53:20
Speaker 1: so we had to throw out those couple of games
53:22
Speaker 1: that he didn't start that might be factored into this
53:24
Speaker 1: line here, like this game probably should be closer to
53:27
Speaker 1: three minus three and a half, where the Colts are
53:30
Speaker 1: most likely the better team, but just hard to get
53:33
Speaker 1: behind them. Um at three, but at two and a half,
53:37
Speaker 1: it makes me want to take the Colts. But if
53:38
Speaker 1: you can still find three, I go Pittsburgh. Right, you
53:40
Speaker 1: got j j W back, got Fitzpatrick back at defense,
53:44
Speaker 1: embarrassing loss at home. You expect Tom gonna get the
53:48
Speaker 1: boys right, get them bounced back in this pisition where
53:51
Speaker 1: I don't know how Saturday, I don't know how Satura
53:52
Speaker 1: is gonna do the loss. Right, this is the first
53:54
Speaker 1: time he's lost as head coach. I know exactly how
53:57
Speaker 1: Tomlin responds after losses. So, just knowing the history and
54:00
Speaker 1: exactly I'm gonna get from the Pittsburgh team, I'll just
54:03
Speaker 1: take the three. If I can't get the three, I
54:05
Speaker 1: guess I'll just pass on it and go with you under.
54:08
Speaker 1: I think that's the right call. Sim And I think
54:09
Speaker 1: he talked yourself into making good, good decision there. Um,
54:14
Speaker 1: all right, we've gone through every game our foxhold is
54:17
Speaker 1: Saints plus nine and a half. Simon says Jacks plus four,
54:21
Speaker 1: exact decision, Atlanta plus four and a half, Big Balls
54:25
Speaker 1: since minus one and a half. The leans we have
54:29
Speaker 1: right now, Simon, tell me if I forget anything. Jack's
54:33
Speaker 1: plus four, Jets minus four and a half since minus
54:37
Speaker 1: one and a half, Atlanta plus four and a half,
54:41
Speaker 1: Seattle minus three and a half, Saints plus nine and
54:45
Speaker 1: a half. Those are the leans for our contest. If
54:49
Speaker 1: we decide not to take a bye, so far, we
54:53
Speaker 1: reserve the right to change it. Reminder, Simon and I
54:57
Speaker 1: do the show. Convinced me send mornings at eleven am
55:01
Speaker 1: at Action Network HQ watching the Action Network GAP watch
55:05
Speaker 1: it on YouTube. After the show was over, I called Simon.
55:10
Speaker 1: We talked about what we've learned from the previous few
55:13
Speaker 1: days and decided what games we're going to put in
55:15
Speaker 1: for the contest. So this is where we lean things
55:18
Speaker 1: could change. We owe a scoot Roulette, we own a
55:22
Speaker 1: money line round robin. When all hope is lost, all
55:26
Speaker 1: that's left is relief. Let's play roulette. Scootroulette. We both
55:34
Speaker 1: won last week, so you wont and I one, so
55:36
Speaker 1: you'd be up to um eight wins and I'm up
55:39
Speaker 1: to nine ones, so go first. And oh yeah, by
55:43
Speaker 1: the way, I guess it was like our social media
55:45
Speaker 1: team tagged us and uh stuckies, Uh like six pack show,
55:50
Speaker 1: like we have like good weeks. So I didn't know
55:52
Speaker 1: you would go through and your right little comments when
55:54
Speaker 1: you put our fives in there. Yeah, what's cracked me up?
55:58
Speaker 1: Just here in Chad's view of like, I don't know,
56:00
Speaker 1: you just put things in there that I just wouldn't
56:02
Speaker 1: put Like it just cracks me up. But you're the
56:05
Speaker 1: best chat I like to relay our conversation. Yeah, you
56:08
Speaker 1: just feel like something like Simon's a fan of the Eagles,
56:11
Speaker 1: so this is a hard pick for him to make
56:12
Speaker 1: on the culture. It's like, couldn't be further from the truth.
56:15
Speaker 1: I could care less, But that's what you said. That
56:18
Speaker 1: was our conversation. I just yeah, I said, as an
56:21
Speaker 1: Eagles fan, I hate that to do this, But that
56:23
Speaker 1: doesn't really matter. Like I never don't make a bet
56:25
Speaker 1: because of the Eagles. Just don't. People don't freak out
56:27
Speaker 1: about that. Me and Chad, we're just talking nothing nothing
56:31
Speaker 1: too serious there. Uh, We're just we're just a couple.
56:34
Speaker 1: Of guys. Scutal funk man, this is tough to do
56:38
Speaker 1: on Tuesday, my favorite bet. It's fucking brutal. I can't
56:42
Speaker 1: do the Jaguars because I can't let them do that
56:45
Speaker 1: to me. Oh God, I want too so bad? Like
56:48
Speaker 1: give me, um? Can I get plus three on the Patriots? Sure?
56:53
Speaker 1: All right? Give me Patriots? All right? Plus three? I'm
56:59
Speaker 1: tap in um. Oh god, this is tough. I'm taking
57:05
Speaker 1: Uh Jesus Christ, I can't believe it's coming down to
57:09
Speaker 1: me for Since or the Saints. I'm taking Since minus
57:16
Speaker 1: one and a half ship fucking terrible, right, that's terrible
57:23
Speaker 1: for the round robin money line, round robin, sucking awful.
57:31
Speaker 1: M yeah, all right, buck money line, around robin. Start
57:38
Speaker 1: off with the Patriots. Do you get a little Thursday
57:41
Speaker 1: night beginner? Oh man? Because I like these teams on
57:47
Speaker 1: the spread, bets hard seeing them when, but we gotta
57:49
Speaker 1: do it. Jaguars number two, our favorite big dog of
57:55
Speaker 1: the week. Give us the Saints money line. I'll take
57:59
Speaker 1: some of the they'll he'll help bump the number up.
58:03
Speaker 1: I mean, Chad's right. Like again, it's it's a kind
58:05
Speaker 1: of game where it's tough to pick it. Because we
58:08
Speaker 1: don't know who the quarterback is going to be. But
58:10
Speaker 1: the Chargers are just one of those teams that they
58:12
Speaker 1: just seem like they can't win these games. So if
58:15
Speaker 1: Chad's b are, that would take Arizona. Um, how are
58:19
Speaker 1: we not taking Atlanta? Atlanta is a good one. I
58:22
Speaker 1: was gonna. I was in between them or Pittsburgh. As
58:24
Speaker 1: I sit here, you like that more than picture? Well?
58:27
Speaker 1: I like Atlantic because it'll just boost the boost the
58:29
Speaker 1: number a little bit. All right, let's throw out. Let's
58:31
Speaker 1: throw out them? Should we throw out? Let's throw at Arizona.
58:37
Speaker 1: The throw at Arizona, We'll put planning for you. I'll
58:41
Speaker 1: throw Pittsburgh in from me, all right, all right, Pats, Jags, Saints, Pittsburgh, Atlanta.
58:50
Speaker 1: That is our money line round robin parlay. Last week
58:54
Speaker 1: we were right about the Lions and the Chargers. All right,
59:00
Speaker 1: Think we've done all we can do here? Right? If
59:01
Speaker 1: I missed it a long, long one, well listen, we
59:04
Speaker 1: got It's basically two shows and one. So what I
59:07
Speaker 1: would say is, thanks to everyone who listened on AMP.
59:10
Speaker 1: Thank you to Matt Mitchell, our producer extraordinaire, uh our
59:16
Speaker 1: favorite fives one more time all right, I wanna, I
59:18
Speaker 1: wanna reminder. He's telling us to remind everybody on our
59:21
Speaker 1: fave five leads. Jack's plus four, Jets minus four and
59:27
Speaker 1: a half, Since minus one and a half, Atlanta plus
59:31
Speaker 1: four and a half, Seattle minus three and a half,
59:35
Speaker 1: Saints plus nine and a half. All right for Matt Mitchell,
59:42
Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter. I am Chad Millman. This has been
59:45
Speaker 1: the favorite podcast from the Volume podcast Network. Download from Apple, podcast,
59:49
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. We are so
59:52
Speaker 1: thankful for our listeners. We are thankful for the people
59:55
Speaker 1: who are listening on app. We are thankful for the
59:57
Speaker 1: people who are downloading the podcast. We are thankful for
1:00:01
Speaker 1: our partners at the Volume. We are thankful for Matt Mitchell.
1:00:05
Speaker 1: I am thankful for Simon. Simon is thankful for me.
1:00:08
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell is thankful for both of us. Until next time,
1:00:12
Speaker 1: I love you, m