Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Tax Plan Likely to Spur More M&A: Evercore's Schlosstein
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm pim Fox.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day we
- 0:11Speaker 1: bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for
- 0:15Speaker 1: you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store
- 0:17Speaker 1: or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L
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- 0:35Speaker 1: I am so excited about our upcoming guest, Ralph Schlastein,
- 0:39Speaker 1: President and chief executive officer of ever Core, because he
- 0:43Speaker 1: has such broad perspective on everything that's going on right
- 0:47Speaker 1: now with respect to tax changes and how it affects
- 0:50Speaker 1: CEOs and their companies. He joins us now. Ever Court
- 0:55Speaker 1: was the number one boutique investment bank in mergers and
- 0:58Speaker 1: acquisitions last year. Ralph also Mr schlast and it was
- 1:02Speaker 1: also the co founder of black Rock. Thank you so
- 1:07Speaker 1: much for joining us. I wanted to start with getting
- 1:11Speaker 1: your sense of what the tax bill that is about
- 1:14Speaker 1: to be passed by the Congress, what effect it will
- 1:17Speaker 1: have on mergers and acquisitions activity. Well, I think as
- 1:22Speaker 1: a general matter, there are a number of effects. First
- 1:25Speaker 1: of all, the passage of the bill itself h takes
- 1:30Speaker 1: away a major uncertainty about UH taxation and organizations of businesses,
- 1:38Speaker 1: so things, you know, transactions that made strategic sense, but
- 1:45Speaker 1: we're held up by uh, you know, deep uncertainty about
- 1:51Speaker 1: how the world in eighteen would look versus UH. That
- 1:56Speaker 1: issue has been resolved, and uncertainty as always the enemy
- 2:00Speaker 1: of M and A activity. UH. The second thing that
- 2:05Speaker 1: will happen is UH, with the repatriation of you know,
- 2:11Speaker 1: two plus trillion dollars of cash that's held off shore
- 2:15Speaker 1: right now by US companies. UH, some amount of that
- 2:19Speaker 1: unquestionably will go into uh you know, strategic investments UH,
- 2:25Speaker 1: you know, which you know will be done through M
- 2:28Speaker 1: and A activity. The third thing that also I believe
- 2:35Speaker 1: will happen is uh, you know, the strategic repositioning of
- 2:41Speaker 1: business portfolios at large and particularly diversified companies. So in
- 2:47Speaker 1: the seventeen world, UH, if a company wanted to sell
- 2:52Speaker 1: a division that they had a very low tax basis in,
- 2:56Speaker 1: they had, you know, uh to pay thirty five percent
- 3:01Speaker 1: of the proceeds plus whatever the state tax was. UH.
- 3:05Speaker 1: And you know, the hurdle for disposing of businesses, particularly
- 3:09Speaker 1: low basis businesses, UH is you know a lot lower
- 3:14Speaker 1: today and then finally the effect on uh you know,
- 3:17Speaker 1: the general M and A environment. M and A thrives
- 3:21Speaker 1: when we have uh strong equity evaluations, readily available credit,
- 3:28Speaker 1: uh you know, good visibility as to the direction of
- 3:30Speaker 1: the economy. UH and CEO confidence and uh you know,
- 3:36Speaker 1: the first uh three have been present, and I think
- 3:41Speaker 1: this bill reinforces CEO confidence and makes you know, it's
- 3:49Speaker 1: somewhat more probable that M and A activity will continue.
- 3:54Speaker 1: Mr Slawson, could next year be a record year for
- 3:56Speaker 1: M and A. Uh you know, it's it's possible to
- 4:00Speaker 1: predict uh, you know, the level of activity you know,
- 4:05Speaker 1: in the next quarter, much less the next year. Uh.
- 4:09Speaker 1: He's certainly true that all of the conditions are in place,
- 4:14Speaker 1: uh for a very strong year in M and A activity,
- 4:18Speaker 1: but was an extremely strong year four point two trillion
- 4:25Speaker 1: dollars of announced transactions last year was about three point
- 4:29Speaker 1: five This year. It looks to be tracking around that. Uh. So,
- 4:34Speaker 1: you know, do I think it could possibly uh be
- 4:37Speaker 1: positive versus the last two years? I would say yes, Uh,
- 4:42Speaker 1: you know, is it going to go back to the
- 4:43Speaker 1: level of uh you know, I'm not smart enough to
- 4:47Speaker 1: really know that. Dan Donovan, who is a Republican congressman
- 4:52Speaker 1: serving uh Staten Island and Brooklyn some areas of Brooklyn,
- 4:56Speaker 1: said that he's worried about quote mobility of taxpayers in
- 4:59Speaker 1: the hop income brackets. He says losing even a small
- 5:03Speaker 1: percentage of those households will decimate the state and city
- 5:06Speaker 1: tax base. Do you agree with him? I think the
- 5:11Speaker 1: biggest risk to New York City and New York State
- 5:17Speaker 1: is precisely that, uh, you know, I honestly don't believe
- 5:22Speaker 1: uh that you know, this bill will have that much
- 5:26Speaker 1: of an effect on uh New York being the financial
- 5:31Speaker 1: capital of the world. Uh. The only competitor to us,
- 5:35Speaker 1: you know, of real concentration is London, and they have
- 5:40Speaker 1: a heck of a lot more uncertainty than we do.
- 5:44Speaker 1: And you know, financial businesses will aggregate and agglomerate in
- 5:51Speaker 1: places where there are other financial businesses and where they
- 5:54Speaker 1: can attract uh, you know, super talented young people, and
- 6:00Speaker 1: the most talented young people are you know, opting with
- 6:04Speaker 1: their feet to be in the places like New York
- 6:07Speaker 1: City and this bill because they tend to be you know,
- 6:12Speaker 1: entry level workers who aren't affected by the size of
- 6:16Speaker 1: the state and local deduction or the mortgage interest deduction.
- 6:20Speaker 1: Uh you know, they you know, they will continue to
- 6:23Speaker 1: come in in in droves, I believe to New York City.
- 6:26Speaker 1: What I do worry about, uh is people who are
- 6:29Speaker 1: not uh attached by employment, uh you know, to the city.
- 6:36Speaker 1: So those who are well off uh and you know,
- 6:41Speaker 1: have significant net worths and incomes, but are uh you
- 6:47Speaker 1: know long no longer working full time or retired. And
- 6:52Speaker 1: you know, for those people, uh, this is a quite
- 6:56Speaker 1: substantial tax increase and uh you know, they have complete
- 7:02Speaker 1: discretion as to where they live. And you know, I
- 7:06Speaker 1: think somewhere on the order of the tax receipts of
- 7:11Speaker 1: New York State and New York City come from one
- 7:15Speaker 1: of the population, which is overwhelmingly concentrated in New York
- 7:20Speaker 1: and the surrounding uh suburbs. So uh, you know, it
- 7:25Speaker 1: remains to be seen the effect that this will have
- 7:29Speaker 1: on you know, what is already a you know, somewhat
- 7:33Speaker 1: of a movement of you know, people who have you know,
- 7:38Speaker 1: real discretion as to where they live, uh, you know,
- 7:42Speaker 1: away from high tech states to lower no tech states.
- 7:47Speaker 1: Thank you very much for being with us. Ralph slow Stein,
- 8:07Speaker 1: all right, I want to bring in Shira every Day,
- 8:09Speaker 1: Bloomberg Gadfly columnist. When it comes to technology and the
- 8:13Speaker 1: topic today happens to be Uber, and they lost, didn't they?
- 8:17Speaker 1: They lost their fight in the European Union. Tell us
- 8:20Speaker 1: what this loss means for Uber and what it means
- 8:23Speaker 1: for the taxi and transport companies that have been fighting
- 8:26Speaker 1: this up start. So there's a there was a case
- 8:29Speaker 1: pending before the European Court of Justice and the legal
- 8:33Speaker 1: question was basically is Uber a digital company, a tech
- 8:37Speaker 1: company or is it a transportation company? And the court
- 8:41Speaker 1: ruled that that Uber is basically a transportation company and
- 8:45Speaker 1: it's a matter of law. Practically speaking, not much is
- 8:50Speaker 1: going to change for Uber. So the way that Uber
- 8:52Speaker 1: operates in most countries in Europe already complies with the
- 8:57Speaker 1: idea that they are a transportation company, which means that
- 9:00Speaker 1: their drivers need to be licensed UM in a way
- 9:03Speaker 1: that similar to how taxi drivers are licensed. So practically speaking,
- 9:08Speaker 1: not much changes. The interesting thing for me is kind
- 9:11Speaker 1: of thinking beyond today's court ruling, UH two broader questions
- 9:15Speaker 1: about Uber, which is one um will this have implications
- 9:20Speaker 1: for the idea that Uber drivers are not employees, which
- 9:25Speaker 1: is another legal matter that's pending in a separate court
- 9:29Speaker 1: case in Europe. And two, does this mean that local
- 9:32Speaker 1: transportation regulators will feel more empowered to kind of metal
- 9:36Speaker 1: in Uber Uber's business in every conceivable country, which, to
- 9:41Speaker 1: be honest, they've been doing everything they can to do
- 9:44Speaker 1: that because the Uber drivers are paid a lot less
- 9:46Speaker 1: than they make, they charge much lower rates, and they
- 9:49Speaker 1: have gained a lot of market share very quickly. I'm
- 9:53Speaker 1: just wondering how much cross border influence does this have.
- 9:56Speaker 1: In other words, are US regulators looking at to what
- 9:59Speaker 1: the European Union is doing and thinking of doing something similar.
- 10:02Speaker 1: That's a good question. I I doubt it, at least
- 10:05Speaker 1: in the US, because you know, the US does not
- 10:09Speaker 1: really have this kind of the national transportation regulator regulation
- 10:13Speaker 1: that's much more on a city by city basis. So
- 10:17Speaker 1: while this ruling in Europe maybe it will empower some
- 10:20Speaker 1: local transportation regulators in you know, New York or Seattle,
- 10:24Speaker 1: I don't know that it will have kind of broad
- 10:27Speaker 1: national implications in the US. So we'll see. I mean,
- 10:30Speaker 1: it's it's fair to say that in every market in
- 10:33Speaker 1: which Uber operates, it is already under intense um regulatory scrutiny.
- 10:39Speaker 1: So it's hard to imagine that it will get any worse.
- 10:44Speaker 1: They've got a new chief operating officer, Barty Hartford. Right
- 10:48Speaker 1: here is the former chief executive officer of Orbits, that's right.
- 10:53Speaker 1: And notably, the new number two at Uber used to
- 10:57Speaker 1: work with Uber's new CEO who came from Expedia. So um,
- 11:03Speaker 1: the two presumably know each other and like each other,
- 11:06Speaker 1: otherwise they wouldn't agree to work together. And look, this
- 11:08Speaker 1: is an important higher because Uper Uber's leadership bench has
- 11:12Speaker 1: been decimated over the last year. So they lost their
- 11:15Speaker 1: previous number two chief executive in March who left under
- 11:20Speaker 1: unamicable conditions. Um, they lost chief legal officers now been replaced.
- 11:26Speaker 1: They're looking for a new board chairman. They lost the
- 11:29Speaker 1: one and a half billion dollars in the third quarter
- 11:31Speaker 1: of the year. Yes, they have financial losses as well
- 11:34Speaker 1: as leadership losses. So it's it's clearly been important to
- 11:37Speaker 1: the new CEO at Uber to restock the leadership bench
- 11:41Speaker 1: and preferably restock the leadership bench with people he knows
- 11:45Speaker 1: or trusts well. Talking about trust, Uber has had some
- 11:49Speaker 1: issues on that front as certainly with regulators and lawmakers,
- 11:54Speaker 1: and part of Uber's reputation has been that they do
- 11:58Speaker 1: kind of, I don't know, test the edges a little bit.
- 12:01Speaker 1: And how much does the new leadership try to demonstrate
- 12:04Speaker 1: that it's turning a page with a cultural shift. Look,
- 12:08Speaker 1: I think that has been Job one for Uber's new
- 12:11Speaker 1: CEO is basically to change Uber's reputation. He said something,
- 12:15Speaker 1: Uber got this unfavorable ruling in London that may, at
- 12:20Speaker 1: least in the future, prohibit Uber from operating in London,
- 12:24Speaker 1: which is one of the company's largest markets. And the
- 12:28Speaker 1: Uber CEO basically said, look, this is a sign that
- 12:30Speaker 1: there is a high cost to a bad reputation. And
- 12:34Speaker 1: that's what Uber has in almost every market in which
- 12:38Speaker 1: it operates, at least with regulators and and including with
- 12:42Speaker 1: drivers too in many cases. And the new CEO's job
- 12:46Speaker 1: is to basically repair those relationships with regulators, with drivers,
- 12:51Speaker 1: with customers in some cases, with with you know, writers.
- 12:55Speaker 1: Sure just quickly Harvard coming in, He's going to oversee
- 12:58Speaker 1: the regional general managers along with the gentleman who heads
- 13:03Speaker 1: the food delivery business at Uber. Are they going to
- 13:06Speaker 1: change the way the companies actually run? Are they going
- 13:09Speaker 1: to keep the stream structure? I mean, I think it
- 13:12Speaker 1: remains to be seen that it was interesting that when
- 13:14Speaker 1: Uber's CEO came in, initially didn't think he needed a
- 13:17Speaker 1: number two, and then once probably he saw how much
- 13:20Speaker 1: repair work he was going to have to do with regulators,
- 13:22Speaker 1: changed his mind and lift. Meanwhile, I was gaining share,
- 13:26Speaker 1: so let me still see with that right. Shara Ovid,
- 13:29Speaker 1: technology columnist with Bloomberg gad Fly, thank you so much
- 13:33Speaker 1: for joining us. She joins us here in our eleven
- 13:36Speaker 1: three oh studios. It's important to get some perspective on
- 13:57Speaker 1: bitcoin and get a sense of just how many accounts
- 14:00Speaker 1: are involved, just how much real money, and just how
- 14:03Speaker 1: much more institutional interest we have seen as the futures
- 14:08Speaker 1: contracts start trading. Here to join us and give us
- 14:11Speaker 1: that insight is Bobby Show, who is head of trading
- 14:13Speaker 1: at Cumberland in Chicago. Cumberland is DRW Holdings Digital Currency
- 14:19Speaker 1: unit is one of the world's largest bitcoin trading desks
- 14:22Speaker 1: and liquidity providers in cryptocurrencies. Bobby, thank you so much
- 14:26Speaker 1: for joining us. I want to start with just how
- 14:30Speaker 1: much more money are you seeing come into this market?
- 14:34Speaker 1: Are you seeing a lot of new accounts being created,
- 14:37Speaker 1: an institution starting to come in thanks for having me um. So, yeah,
- 14:41Speaker 1: I mean, well, we've kind of experienced over the last
- 14:44Speaker 1: let's call it twelve to sixteen months, really a shift
- 14:47Speaker 1: of the profile of the counterparty that we face here
- 14:50Speaker 1: at Cumberland. So, as you mentioned, Cumberland is one of
- 14:52Speaker 1: the largest institutional size liquidity providers in the space. So
- 14:55Speaker 1: we make markets for uh an array of different folks
- 14:59Speaker 1: in the industry. We're looking to get exposure to different cryptocurrencies.
- 15:02Speaker 1: Um you know, heavily dominated in bitcoin and ethereum. So
- 15:08Speaker 1: what we've seen when we started the business in was
- 15:12Speaker 1: we were catering to many folks who were very specific
- 15:15Speaker 1: to the crypto space, payment processors, minors and and other
- 15:18Speaker 1: individuals that were early adopters. Well, that shifted dramatically again
- 15:22Speaker 1: in the last year or a year and a half,
- 15:24Speaker 1: where you saw a number of cryptocurrency funds starting to
- 15:28Speaker 1: pop up, a number of other institutional investors coming into
- 15:32Speaker 1: the market. And really what that signals to me is
- 15:34Speaker 1: that there was a lot of money and still is
- 15:36Speaker 1: a lot of money sitting on the sidelines waiting to
- 15:38Speaker 1: get exposure to this asset class. Right, So this class
- 15:41Speaker 1: currently is sits around six billion dollars and that's obviously
- 15:45Speaker 1: grown tremendously over the last few years. Bubby, when you
- 15:49Speaker 1: talk about the hedge funds or funds that are specifically
- 15:53Speaker 1: focused on cryptocurrencies, that triggered my interest because I saw
- 15:56Speaker 1: that hedge Hedge Fund Research put out an end X
- 16:00Speaker 1: of cryptocurrency hedge fund returns, and I'm trying to get
- 16:03Speaker 1: a sense. Do you have a sense of the a
- 16:04Speaker 1: U M under cryptocurrency specific funds? You know, Uh, what
- 16:10Speaker 1: we've seen is the number of cryptocurrency funds has continued
- 16:14Speaker 1: to increase month over month. So to give you some perspective,
- 16:17Speaker 1: right in August that number was right around eighty cryptocurrency funds.
- 16:21Speaker 1: This is globally um that number probably sits somewhere around
- 16:23Speaker 1: a hundred and fifty. And we don't see that number
- 16:25Speaker 1: stopping um or slowing down anytime soon. Mainly because of this,
- 16:30Speaker 1: this ability to access the market continues to be limited,
- 16:34Speaker 1: and so what people are doing if if they are
- 16:36Speaker 1: looking to get access into these market is they're looking
- 16:38Speaker 1: to actually invest in kind of traditional um fund structures
- 16:41Speaker 1: or vehicles like those that that we mentioned, crypto funds
- 16:45Speaker 1: or hedge funds. Bobby, can you just tell us a
- 16:47Speaker 1: little bit about Cumberland, how many people are working on this,
- 16:50Speaker 1: and maybe just tell us where you got the original
- 16:53Speaker 1: inventory of bitcoin. Sure so, so Cumberland, as you mentioned,
- 16:57Speaker 1: we're one of the largest liquidity providers in the world,
- 17:00Speaker 1: um in terms of just our team and our desk,
- 17:02Speaker 1: so we are global. Um. So, Cumberland's headquarters is here
- 17:06Speaker 1: in Chicago, we have an office in London and we
- 17:08Speaker 1: actually just opened up Singapore a few weeks ago, and
- 17:11Speaker 1: so that allows us to kind of service our counterparties
- 17:13Speaker 1: on the basis we are looking to open up in
- 17:17Speaker 1: the near term um. And so basically, uh, we're we're
- 17:23Speaker 1: great in the fifteen now, mainly just because the expansion
- 17:26Speaker 1: and we see that number only growing over the next
- 17:28Speaker 1: few months. UM. And so in terms of I guess
- 17:31Speaker 1: inventory and things like that, when we had gotten started
- 17:35Speaker 1: in the idea really came about in twenty twelve, give
- 17:39Speaker 1: or take, when obviously through the walls of d r
- 17:42Speaker 1: W and some of the folks here just trying to
- 17:44Speaker 1: conceptualize what bitcoin is, how bitcoin is going to change
- 17:48Speaker 1: the world, and and fundamentally, how we're gonna look at
- 17:50Speaker 1: this thing in the future. But hang on, I understand
- 17:53Speaker 1: that you actually, or at least Cumberland bought a lot
- 17:57Speaker 1: of the bitcoins from ross Albrick. That's the founder of
- 18:00Speaker 1: Silk Road who's now serving a life sentence right for
- 18:03Speaker 1: narcotics trafficking. You bought seventy thousand bitcoins that were auctioned
- 18:08Speaker 1: by US and overseas authorities. Is that correct? So we
- 18:12Speaker 1: had bought seventy thousand bitcoins from the U. S. Marshal's
- 18:15Speaker 1: office at auction. Okay, that's correct, yes, And do you
- 18:19Speaker 1: still have those seventy thousand bitcoins or what what form
- 18:23Speaker 1: did they currently take? So we still manage a large
- 18:27Speaker 1: portfolio of cryptocurrencies, and that really allows us to do
- 18:30Speaker 1: what one of our main kind of responsibility here is
- 18:33Speaker 1: and and services that we provide is providing over the
- 18:37Speaker 1: counter trading for large institutional sized positions. So when someone
- 18:40Speaker 1: comes in and says, hey, I'd like to buy fifty
- 18:42Speaker 1: million dollars a bitcoin, well, we have a portfolio that
- 18:45Speaker 1: we managed to be able to supply that from our
- 18:47Speaker 1: own inventory and so, um, we still manage a large
- 18:50Speaker 1: portfolio of cryptocurrencies and and that obviously helps to support
- 18:54Speaker 1: our business in making markets over the counter. Bobby how
- 18:57Speaker 1: do you hedge against any downs it swings in your portfolio.
- 19:02Speaker 1: So that's obviously something that is UM super important to
- 19:05Speaker 1: us because as much as trading UH that we do
- 19:08Speaker 1: during the day, from my perspective, we really take a
- 19:11Speaker 1: lens of risk management. That's kind of the first thing
- 19:13Speaker 1: that we look at um and so if we try
- 19:16Speaker 1: to be aware of everything that's kind of happening in
- 19:17Speaker 1: the market, Obviously it's very difficult to do so, mainly
- 19:21Speaker 1: because this is a product that's traded seven around the
- 19:24Speaker 1: world and can be accessed by a number of different
- 19:28Speaker 1: types of folks in the market. And so with the
- 19:31Speaker 1: advent of futures out there in the market, that kind
- 19:34Speaker 1: of helps in terms of being able to hedge exposure.
- 19:36Speaker 1: Although we'll kind of see what how much traction games
- 19:39Speaker 1: in the futures market, but we are just trying to
- 19:41Speaker 1: prepare and be aware of kind of everything that's out there.
- 19:44Speaker 1: Thanks very much for joining us. Bobby Chow is head
- 19:46Speaker 1: of trading for Cumberland and that's d r W holding
- 19:50Speaker 1: digital currency unit. He's a joining us from Chicago and
- 19:55Speaker 1: much appreciated for giving us a little bit of a
- 19:56Speaker 1: window into the world of trading bitcoin. And other cryptocurrencies.
- 20:16Speaker 1: It almost sounds like a joke or a story. The
- 20:19Speaker 1: couple that went on a vacation, stayed in a particular location,
- 20:23Speaker 1: liked it so much they decided to stay there permanently.
- 20:27Speaker 1: Man Deep Singers are technology industry analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence
- 20:31Speaker 1: and he's here to tell us about Airbnb launching their
- 20:34Speaker 1: own apartment complexes. Man Deep tell us the story of Airbnb,
- 20:39Speaker 1: I guess leveraging their brand and their expertise into a
- 20:42Speaker 1: new market. Sure, so when you think about you know,
- 20:46Speaker 1: online travel or online logistics, it's really about scale and
- 20:50Speaker 1: network effects. These are the two most important things that
- 20:54Speaker 1: any company that operates in this space has to have,
- 20:57Speaker 1: and airbnbi had the first more vantage in vacation rentals.
- 21:02Speaker 1: That space is getting crowded now with price sign and
- 21:05Speaker 1: Expedia also expanding inventory. So what Airbnb is trying to
- 21:09Speaker 1: do is essentially kind of grow their scale by getting
- 21:13Speaker 1: into this new segment of you know, owning their apartments
- 21:16Speaker 1: and really they're trying to offer you know, uh accommodations
- 21:21Speaker 1: for business travelers. So that's a new segment they want
- 21:24Speaker 1: to cater to. So we're talking about this in part
- 21:27Speaker 1: because Brookfields, the big developer, just agreed to invest as
- 21:31Speaker 1: much as two hundred million dollars in a joint venture
- 21:34Speaker 1: with Needo. It's a multi family development partner of airbnbs,
- 21:39Speaker 1: and this would go toward building a few apartment complexes
- 21:43Speaker 1: I believe in Florida. Right. Uh, that would allow residents
- 21:47Speaker 1: and owners to rent out their properties through the Airbnb
- 21:52Speaker 1: website for up to half the year. Is that correct?
- 21:56Speaker 1: Is this a first time type of thing or is
- 21:58Speaker 1: there a model for this? So Airbnb is really the
- 22:01Speaker 1: disruptor in this space, and they have helped, you know,
- 22:04Speaker 1: for people to share their homes and you know kind
- 22:07Speaker 1: of uh basically draw like inventory where it wasn't available before,
- 22:13Speaker 1: especially in urban cities or even for that matter, you
- 22:16Speaker 1: know in holiday locations. And and the way they're able
- 22:19Speaker 1: to do it is provided technology platform that's Airbnb strength. Well,
- 22:24Speaker 1: but what's the advantage to somebody who's buying one of
- 22:28Speaker 1: these homes? I mean, what what would what would it takes?
- 22:31Speaker 1: It's up to a half a year, so it's not
- 22:33Speaker 1: more than that. So is this for basically snowbirds that
- 22:37Speaker 1: want to make some income on the property while they're
- 22:39Speaker 1: not there? Exactly? Yeah, and and a lot of these
- 22:42Speaker 1: times these properties were vekend. So by allowing these owners
- 22:47Speaker 1: to actually you know, put their properties on Airbnb's platform,
- 22:51Speaker 1: it's free income and Airbnb knows how to manage these properties,
- 22:55Speaker 1: so it's a win win for both of them, you know, man, Deep,
- 22:58Speaker 1: I want to go back to something you said earlier,
- 23:00Speaker 1: which is the business traveler and how this might be
- 23:03Speaker 1: a real game changer when it comes to business travel.
- 23:06Speaker 1: Rather than checking into a hotel where you're overcharged for
- 23:08Speaker 1: everything from the coffee to the use of the business
- 23:13Speaker 1: center if there is one, and paying for WiFi if
- 23:15Speaker 1: you have to. They're going to architecturally design these new
- 23:19Speaker 1: properties in order to cater specifically to these kinds of
- 23:24Speaker 1: potential customers, isn't that right? Correct? And and they want
- 23:27Speaker 1: to move up markets so till now their core customer
- 23:31Speaker 1: base airbnbs core customer base for price conscious customers who
- 23:35Speaker 1: are looking for the cheapest price on you know, urban
- 23:38Speaker 1: dwellings and and really looking for a price that was
- 23:42Speaker 1: cheaper than a hotel. Now, I think the fact that
- 23:45Speaker 1: they have scaled, they the fact that they have created
- 23:47Speaker 1: a brand name, they want to cater to all the
- 23:51Speaker 1: segments and they want to have you know, separate uh,
- 23:54Speaker 1: you know entities which serve these segments. So business travel
- 23:58Speaker 1: is a big market it in itself, and are just
- 24:01Speaker 1: going to add that they don't necessarily then have all
- 24:03Speaker 1: of that inventory that they have to rent out all
- 24:07Speaker 1: the time, just as a hotel group would, because that's
- 24:11Speaker 1: stagnant inventory unless you know, you occupy it. Yeah, So
- 24:14Speaker 1: the benefit of Airbnb is they are so good with
- 24:18Speaker 1: crunching data that's available on their platform, and that's really
- 24:21Speaker 1: their advantage that they're able to, you know, assess the
- 24:24Speaker 1: supply demand equation much better than a hotel or you know,
- 24:29Speaker 1: some of the smaller hotels will be able to do themselves,
- 24:32Speaker 1: so they really have a good stock of what the
- 24:35Speaker 1: current supply demand dynamics are. You know. I'm struck by
- 24:38Speaker 1: the fact that Uber right now, which will talk about
- 24:41Speaker 1: later in the show, is facing some increased regulatory pressure
- 24:46Speaker 1: in Europe in part because they are designating them a
- 24:49Speaker 1: taxi company, not necessarily a gig company. The way they
- 24:54Speaker 1: attach company, the way that they sort of build themselves
- 24:56Speaker 1: to investors. I wonder at what point this type of
- 24:59Speaker 1: thing it's Airbnb and they start getting treated more like
- 25:02Speaker 1: a hotel company than a tech upstart. I mean, that's
- 25:08Speaker 1: very much of a risk. And when I look at
- 25:10Speaker 1: all the new sharing economy companies like Uber, like Airbnb,
- 25:14Speaker 1: they started off as a technology platform, they picked an
- 25:18Speaker 1: area to focus on, and they really you know, leverage
- 25:22Speaker 1: technology to mass scale. There is a risk that there's
- 25:25Speaker 1: a cost side of the equation that obviously could get
- 25:28Speaker 1: affected once you become regulated. So once you know, Uber
- 25:32Speaker 1: gets regulated or n B Airbnb gets regulated, it's gonna
- 25:37Speaker 1: have an impact on the cost side, and that's always
- 25:40Speaker 1: a risk. But having this investment from Brookfield, that's got
- 25:43Speaker 1: to be a stamp of approval, or at least that
- 25:47Speaker 1: conditional stamp of approval. Absolutely, and no one is doubting
- 25:51Speaker 1: that Airbnb is a viable business. It's there for the
- 25:54Speaker 1: long term just because they have the scale, they have
- 25:57Speaker 1: the network effects, and in this business that's what matter.
- 26:00Speaker 1: So it's not going over anytime soon. It's just that
- 26:03Speaker 1: the margin dynamics may change depending on whether they are
- 26:06Speaker 1: regulated entity or not. Thank you so much for joining us.
- 26:09Speaker 1: Definitely something that we will watch to see who wants
- 26:12Speaker 1: to buy these, how often they rent them out, and
- 26:14Speaker 1: what is airpnths regulatory fate Man Deep saying thank you
- 26:18Speaker 1: so much, tech industry analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, joining us
- 26:22Speaker 1: here in our eleven three studios. Thanks for listening to
- 26:28Speaker 1: the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe and
- 26:31Speaker 1: listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast
- 26:35Speaker 1: platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at
- 26:39Speaker 1: pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one
- 26:42Speaker 1: before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide on
- 26:45Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio