Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / France vs Spain, MLB All Star Game, NBA Summer League & More!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: All right, welcome in a very happy Tuesday, a five
- 0:02Speaker 1: dollars Tuesday over at wager talk dot com. To be exact,
- 0:07Speaker 1: it's the best betting show ever.
- 0:09Speaker 2: And wow, we had a home run derby last night.
- 0:11Speaker 1: We got an All Star game here tonight, we got
- 0:14Speaker 1: World Cup action, we got all another major coming on
- 0:18Speaker 1: the PGA tour this week. So baseball will be back
- 0:23Speaker 1: summer League in full of play, but a little some
- 0:26Speaker 1: for everybody.
- 0:27Speaker 2: And we have the crew for you here today.
- 0:30Speaker 1: Look at us Art Caesar back in the saddle again,
- 0:33Speaker 1: mister plus eight hundred on his leg of the parlay
- 0:39Speaker 1: of the Day which we cashed again yesterday. In fact,
- 0:44Speaker 1: there Carmine Bianco in the house here, gentlemen, Happy a
- 0:49Speaker 1: Tuesday in arts. Let's start with how the books did
- 0:53Speaker 1: here over the weekend. We were talking yesterday, not a
- 0:57Speaker 1: lot of surprises on who the final four teams are
- 1:00Speaker 1: are in the World Cup, and how did the books
- 1:02Speaker 1: do we are? Do you make any money besides on Connor,
- 1:06Speaker 1: you know McGregor bowing out after he picked his ass
- 1:09Speaker 1: and fell over.
- 1:11Speaker 3: Well, obviously we got to go back to that UFC,
- 1:13Speaker 3: which was a huge card. We said on Friday we
- 1:16Speaker 3: would see a lot of action on the card, and
- 1:18Speaker 3: we did. We booked to Need really three sides heavily.
- 1:21Speaker 3: We booked to Need Patty, We booked to Need Leave
- 1:25Speaker 3: her name was wog Chang something like that, and then
- 1:29Speaker 3: we really needed Max Holloway. Max Holloway was the big
- 1:32Speaker 3: one that we booked to Need. Obviously that happened and
- 1:35Speaker 3: Connor goes out in ten seconds. So all the parlays
- 1:39Speaker 3: that did have Max in it, which we're gonna hit,
- 1:42Speaker 3: it's fine because we took so much overwhelming money with
- 1:45Speaker 3: Connor at those plus prices. We tried to be the
- 1:47Speaker 3: highest on the market with Max Holloway all night, so
- 1:51Speaker 3: it ended up working out for us. It was a
- 1:52Speaker 3: really good weekend for the books. And then listen, we
- 1:55Speaker 3: come into this week where normally Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday
- 1:58Speaker 3: of Alstar Week is a terrible in the sportsbook. But
- 2:01Speaker 3: this year we have the World Cup, We have a
- 2:03Speaker 3: game today, in a game tomorrow, We have the British
- 2:05Speaker 3: Open coming this week obviously WNBA and Summer League, so
- 2:09Speaker 3: not as bad as in recent years.
- 2:11Speaker 1: Yeah, no, thank goodness for the for the World Cup.
- 2:14Speaker 1: They're kind of captivated us here over the last month.
- 2:18Speaker 1: But well that'll be over on Sunday, but don't worry,
- 2:21Speaker 1: just a couple of weeks before football on full tiltier.
- 2:25Speaker 2: And I gotta tell you.
- 2:27Speaker 1: Art, You know, Carmine and I were talking yesterday. Interesting
- 2:32Speaker 1: prices here today we're going to get to in these
- 2:34Speaker 1: World Cup matches in the semis. But talk to me here,
- 2:39Speaker 1: what kind of sharp bets are we looking at across
- 2:42Speaker 1: the board? You mentioned w NBA Summer League. Here we
- 2:46Speaker 1: got going on, which I have a bone to pick
- 2:48Speaker 1: with the Summer League.
- 2:49Speaker 2: We'll do that in a minute.
- 2:50Speaker 1: Here also the Major League Baseball All Star Game. Don't
- 2:55Speaker 1: know if you're dabbling in that at all, but what
- 2:58Speaker 1: are the sharp bets here that you've seen?
- 3:00Speaker 3: Sharp bets of the WNBA. They laid one with the Sun,
- 3:03Speaker 3: it's now up to two and a half overnight. Same
- 3:06Speaker 3: thing with the Mystics. They took over one seventy one overnight,
- 3:09Speaker 3: it's now one seventy two and a half. In the
- 3:11Speaker 3: All Star Game, not necessarily sharp action, but we've seen
- 3:14Speaker 3: probably sixty to forty percent more money on the AL
- 3:18Speaker 3: at the plus price than the NL and our total
- 3:21Speaker 3: went up from seven and a half over twenty to
- 3:23Speaker 3: now eight flat, so we did go up from seven
- 3:26Speaker 3: and a half to eight on the total. Like I said,
- 3:28Speaker 3: really nothing sharp as far as that goes in the
- 3:31Speaker 3: All Star Game. The World Cup's interesting obviously. These matches
- 3:35Speaker 3: with these four nations are attracting betting on both sides
- 3:39Speaker 3: of the teams, both sides of the over unders, the
- 3:41Speaker 3: advance prices.
- 3:43Speaker 2: So it's actually really good.
- 3:44Speaker 3: For us booking wise. It's gonna be one of those
- 3:46Speaker 3: where we'll see really good handle on these games, and
- 3:49Speaker 3: really the results probably won't matter unless we come in,
- 3:52Speaker 3: you know, and get hit late with some big money.
- 3:54Speaker 3: Because I've mentioned it before, we're very well set up
- 3:56Speaker 3: on the future books. So we're really just gonna sit
- 3:59Speaker 3: back and book these games.
- 4:00Speaker 2: And I'm fun with it and I have a good
- 4:02Speaker 2: time with it. That's it.
- 4:03Speaker 1: That's all you can do there, So a little something
- 4:06Speaker 1: for everyone here though. I think the first game back
- 4:09Speaker 1: will be on Thursday in Major League Baseball and it's
- 4:12Speaker 1: the Mets that we're going to lose to the Phillies.
- 4:14Speaker 2: We already know that.
- 4:16Speaker 1: Then back in action on Friday, so we're good there.
- 4:20Speaker 1: And then of course we got some we got a
- 4:23Speaker 1: lot more going on here. In the next couple of weeks,
- 4:27Speaker 1: we're all going to dive into a little bit of
- 4:29Speaker 1: football win totals and all of that. You guys have
- 4:32Speaker 1: been collecting a lot of that, a lot of those
- 4:34Speaker 1: bets at the window over the last month or so.
- 4:37Speaker 1: It'll be here before we know. It's Carmine. I gotta
- 4:41Speaker 1: tell you, yesterday, carm you did it the home run
- 4:44Speaker 1: derby parlay of the day. You crushed it. Man, you
- 4:48Speaker 1: were the only one that pulled out. I did a
- 4:51Speaker 1: lot of shows yesterday, you were the only one that
- 4:54Speaker 1: talked about Walker at It could have been even higher
- 4:58Speaker 1: price than what we were actually giving up out here
- 5:00Speaker 1: on the show.
- 5:01Speaker 2: But that was a two team of heart that we nailed.
- 5:03Speaker 1: You know. I had the Hawks in the Summer League.
- 5:05Speaker 1: Carmine had the Walker to win it. Very profitable two
- 5:10Speaker 1: teama there. But today is a different animal. So arts
- 5:16Speaker 1: a lot to choose from here. But if you were
- 5:18Speaker 1: going to choose something, where would you be looking.
- 5:21Speaker 3: I mean, it's minus one fifty minus one fifty five.
- 5:23Speaker 3: But I'm taking France to advance. They're going to make
- 5:25Speaker 3: the finals. It should be a wonderful game against Spain.
- 5:28Speaker 3: But France has been the best team and I expect
- 5:31Speaker 3: them to make the final.
- 5:33Speaker 2: Arm What got a nut? Are? You're running out here
- 5:36Speaker 2: for twelve plus twelve hundred here today? What do you do? No?
- 5:40Speaker 4: No, no, this this actually gets correlated with his possibly.
- 5:46Speaker 4: So I'm going to take because you know, young talent,
- 5:49Speaker 4: and I think he's going to be He's going to
- 5:51Speaker 4: win the Young Player of the Tournament award. Desire a
- 5:54Speaker 4: do a plus four hundred anytime goal is in ninety minutes.
- 6:01Speaker 4: If you're worried about this game going to extra time,
- 6:05Speaker 4: you can take They have an extra timeline of plus
- 6:08Speaker 4: three forty. But I would take the plus four hundred
- 6:12Speaker 4: because if he starts the game, which he should be starting,
- 6:14Speaker 4: he'd like to be out by the time the ninetieth
- 6:17Speaker 4: minute rolls into extra time. So I'll take the value
- 6:20Speaker 4: in the plus four hundred. On doesre do eight score
- 6:23Speaker 4: a goal?
- 6:24Speaker 2: All right? Desert do it is Gore goal? All right?
- 6:26Speaker 1: I'm not gonna overthink this and I wouldn't go crazy.
- 6:30Speaker 1: But there is no way you can bet the American
- 6:33Speaker 1: League in this game here tonight.
- 6:35Speaker 2: Zero reason. Just look at the rosters, guys, look at
- 6:38Speaker 2: the lineups. It's not even remotely close.
- 6:41Speaker 1: Uh. And again I usually tend to look at unders
- 6:45Speaker 1: as well art in these all star games, but without schemes,
- 6:50Speaker 1: without Schlittler, without school ball, I mean, go down the
- 6:53Speaker 1: list of guys that ain't no miser I mean the
- 6:57Speaker 1: guys that I would be like forget runs on all side. Yeah, no,
- 7:01Speaker 1: we don't have that. And the lineups are not even close.
- 7:04Speaker 1: The national league lineup alone is absurd. So at minus
- 7:09Speaker 1: one thirty, right, give me the National League here tonight
- 7:13Speaker 1: to get it done in a national league part And
- 7:16Speaker 1: that is our three team parlay of the day.
- 7:20Speaker 2: All right, we're.
- 7:20Speaker 1: Gonna talk about these the remaining World Cup semis here,
- 7:24Speaker 1: but we're gonna have some predictive markets that we want
- 7:26Speaker 1: to go over first, and namely here. Let's face it,
- 7:30Speaker 1: we use these markets as a way to hedge our bets.
- 7:34Speaker 1: There are if we're holding any future tickets. And I
- 7:38Speaker 1: love this market because we talked about it. Right, we
- 7:40Speaker 1: got the final four, which was a little chalky, and
- 7:43Speaker 1: nobody is shocked. But now how are they gonna finish?
- 7:47Speaker 2: Is my question? Now?
- 7:49Speaker 1: Obviously, France being a top is the best prices that
- 7:54Speaker 1: you can get for yes, right, some combination of France
- 7:57Speaker 1: winning and then England our Gina, whatever you want to
- 8:01Speaker 1: get there beyond that. But the best we're looking at
- 8:05Speaker 1: there is fifteen cents and that's France, England, Spain and
- 8:09Speaker 1: then Argentina. So calm when you look at a market
- 8:14Speaker 1: like this, let's start it back right, number three and four,
- 8:18Speaker 1: here are going. That's going to be the consolation match.
- 8:21Speaker 1: It's going to be here in Miami. It's going to
- 8:24Speaker 1: be hot as ass, and some guys might not play
- 8:28Speaker 1: in that, like you were mentioning yesterday.
- 8:32Speaker 4: Yeah, I honestly believe that. Let's say, let's go with
- 8:36Speaker 4: the hypotheticals that France wins and England wins theirs. As
- 8:40Speaker 4: far as Spain goes in that third place game, I
- 8:44Speaker 4: don't think someone like La Mina mel will play in
- 8:48Speaker 4: that game because essentially it is a meaningless game for them,
- 8:52Speaker 4: as it would be for Argentina number one. But for Spain.
- 8:59Speaker 4: The Lamel thing is is the fact that you mean, like,
- 9:02Speaker 4: I think he's been nursing something the whole tournament. That's
- 9:04Speaker 4: why I wanted to go against him winning the Young
- 9:07Speaker 4: Player of the Award Young Player of the Tournament Award
- 9:11Speaker 4: he's only got like one goal in this thus far,
- 9:13Speaker 4: and if he doesn't get anything out of today's I
- 9:17Speaker 4: don't think he plays all in that third place game.
- 9:20Speaker 4: Whereas you mentioned, it'll be a pro Argentina crowd in Miami,
- 9:28Speaker 4: and it'll likely be the very last time Lionel Messi
- 9:33Speaker 4: dresses up in an Argentina uniform for them, even in
- 9:37Speaker 4: a third place game, if that was to happen, if
- 9:40Speaker 4: they lose to England, I'm saying you'll see Lionel Messi
- 9:44Speaker 4: in that game in some capacity, whether it's the opening
- 9:47Speaker 4: forty five minutes or sixty minutes, and then they let
- 9:51Speaker 4: him go off to the applause and almost like the
- 9:56Speaker 4: what's that called, not the coat of armor where they
- 10:00Speaker 4: line up and watch and walk off the field through
- 10:02Speaker 4: the through both teams. I'm not sure what it's called.
- 10:08Speaker 4: I'll figure it out. They do it in the Premier
- 10:11Speaker 4: League every year as well too. But with that said,
- 10:15Speaker 4: I would take Argentina to finish third. If you're going
- 10:19Speaker 4: with England France, England France, Argentina, Spain is how I
- 10:22Speaker 4: would look at it.
- 10:23Speaker 2: What do you think in art?
- 10:25Speaker 1: I mean, it feels like the prices on this list
- 10:30Speaker 1: are the winner is coming out of, or at least
- 10:33Speaker 1: the best prices seem to be coming from France or Spain.
- 10:38Speaker 1: Like so the winner of the France Spain is basically
- 10:41Speaker 1: what sets off the rest here. Although I gotta tell
- 10:44Speaker 1: you there is some Argentina love. Look at that Argentina, Spain,
- 10:48Speaker 1: France and England. I mean that's the real contrarian luk right,
- 10:52Speaker 1: going opposite of what most people think.
- 10:54Speaker 2: That's the ninth sense.
- 10:56Speaker 1: But everything else, I mean, the best prices or the
- 10:59Speaker 1: highest price is France being the winner, and then you
- 11:04Speaker 1: start going down. I mean, some people believe England, France,
- 11:07Speaker 1: Spain and Argentina seven cents. How would you approach this?
- 11:12Speaker 1: What do you think we're gonna we're gonna land with here?
- 11:15Speaker 3: I would go France, Argentina, England, Spain. Oh, I like
- 11:22Speaker 3: that would be that would be my order. I think
- 11:26Speaker 3: they're gonna get messy into the final and I think
- 11:28Speaker 3: France will beat them. Yes, that would be my That
- 11:31Speaker 3: would be my order.
- 11:32Speaker 1: Is there any world guys in which Argentina wins this car?
- 11:40Speaker 4: Yeah? One one of who wants one of which people
- 11:46Speaker 4: wants them to win. Today Today's Official Today's Official is
- 11:52Speaker 4: uh Salvadorian official, and I just want to say this.
- 11:58Speaker 4: The last time he officiated a France game was in
- 12:01Speaker 4: the Olympics, where he gave them multiple red cards and
- 12:05Speaker 4: they lost the Japan four nil. But with that said,
- 12:09Speaker 4: he was the official who gave El Moron a red
- 12:13Speaker 4: card in the group stages for putting his hand over
- 12:16Speaker 4: his mouth the first time that rule was enacted. He's
- 12:19Speaker 4: a Conca Calf referee official, as is tomorrow's official from
- 12:26Speaker 4: the US who is doing the Argentina and Argentina and
- 12:31Speaker 4: England game. So we have a couple of Conca Calf
- 12:35Speaker 4: officials appointed by FIFA in the semi finals. I don't
- 12:39Speaker 4: get it. I think it should be a better crew.
- 12:42Speaker 4: No disrespect to these guys, but the guy from today
- 12:45Speaker 4: has given eleven yellow cards in the tournament thus far
- 12:49Speaker 4: so and the red card. So we'll see how this
- 12:52Speaker 4: one goes today.
- 12:54Speaker 1: While this should be interesting there but again a lot
- 12:57Speaker 1: of different ways to be able to approach these markets.
- 13:01Speaker 2: Guys, and and kind of a lot of.
- 13:03Speaker 1: If you think frances is beating Spain and eventually as
- 13:08Speaker 1: you're likely champion, those are some pretty good prices, guys.
- 13:12Speaker 2: Call me Gracey.
- 13:12Speaker 1: But those are some pretty good prices and they will
- 13:15Speaker 1: absolutely you know, you got to be in the final
- 13:19Speaker 1: is half the battle, so right now you jump in
- 13:23Speaker 1: on some of these. To me, I think the scariest
- 13:26Speaker 1: thing is going to be that third place game because
- 13:28Speaker 1: the Car's point, I don't know is when if Argentina
- 13:32Speaker 1: loses to England, we might not see any of the
- 13:37Speaker 1: guys that we think we might see in that game.
- 13:39Speaker 2: So I don't know.
- 13:41Speaker 1: I think France and Spain are easy choices up at
- 13:44Speaker 1: the top, but I don't know that that means to
- 13:47Speaker 1: get to the final, But I don't know that that
- 13:49Speaker 1: means they're actually going to They're gonna pull it off.
- 13:53Speaker 2: Here, you got one final one, Car.
- 13:56Speaker 4: I can add one more thing, Joe. So because you
- 14:00Speaker 4: get sometimes you get the people in the comments section
- 14:02Speaker 4: later on and they're like, oh, you guys are like
- 14:04Speaker 4: so anti Argentina and so anti you know, Messi. In
- 14:09Speaker 4: this year's World Cup, when you look at the quarterfinal teams,
- 14:13Speaker 4: the eight teams in the quarterfinals of all the var interventions,
- 14:19Speaker 4: Argentina were plus six point seven in favorable calls or
- 14:26Speaker 4: calls in their favor. They had no calls go against them.
- 14:30Speaker 4: So they're the number one of eight teams in the
- 14:33Speaker 4: World Cup as a whole, forty eight teams every all
- 14:38Speaker 4: forty eight teams had VAR go to the or the
- 14:42Speaker 4: official go to the VAR monitor screen. Forty seven of
- 14:46Speaker 4: the forty eight teams had VAR rule against them. Would
- 14:51Speaker 4: you like the guests who the one team that never
- 14:53Speaker 4: had VAR rule against them.
- 14:57Speaker 2: That shocker series? Yeah? Zero. Yes.
- 15:02Speaker 1: So you're saying it might already be determined. Yep, yeah,
- 15:06Speaker 1: I don't think it is all coincidence, Car, No, no, no,
- 15:15Speaker 1: stop it.
- 15:17Speaker 2: You think there's money involved, stop it? Not at all. Here.
- 15:22Speaker 1: Let me look here, just a quick update, Car. We'll
- 15:25Speaker 1: see if we can get this year as well the
- 15:28Speaker 1: Golden Ball winner once again. Now let's take a look here, guys.
- 15:32Speaker 1: Of course, the Golden ball is the player that's recognized
- 15:36Speaker 1: as the best overall player in the tournament.
- 15:39Speaker 2: And BAP and MESSI are your two guys.
- 15:42Speaker 1: But you made a point yesterday with Bellingham and even
- 15:46Speaker 1: Kane now.
- 15:47Speaker 2: At six cents twenty three cents.
- 15:51Speaker 1: Again, I think the no market art it's got some
- 15:55Speaker 1: value here because they all can't win it. And what
- 15:59Speaker 1: happened if Freeance doesn't beat Spain is he still the best.
- 16:03Speaker 1: Is he still considered the MVP.
- 16:05Speaker 3: RT that that I mean, that's a tough one. And
- 16:09Speaker 3: you're right, it's probably the England guys with the value.
- 16:12Speaker 3: I mean they are a small favorite over Argentina, right yeah, yeah,
- 16:15Speaker 3: I mean so if if you think that they're going
- 16:18Speaker 3: to make the final, and you would think those guys,
- 16:21Speaker 3: whether it's Kane or you know, Jude, are going to
- 16:23Speaker 3: have a big hand in that, and then they're gonna
- 16:25Speaker 3: have a real shot in the final, whether it's France
- 16:27Speaker 3: or Spain. Yeah, I mean it's got to be those guys.
- 16:30Speaker 1: Yeah, big time. I love it, absolutely love it. Car
- 16:34Speaker 1: What do you think.
- 16:36Speaker 4: The surprising one is the fact that Harry Kane is
- 16:39Speaker 4: five percent and Jude Bellingham is twenty one only because
- 16:44Speaker 4: if you look and this is for the uh, the
- 16:47Speaker 4: golden ball, right, the tournament MVP. So the top goal
- 16:51Speaker 4: scorer Cain and Bellingham both have six goals in one assist.
- 16:56Speaker 4: So the old.
- 16:58Speaker 2: Ball is the I believe it is the overall MVP. Right.
- 17:03Speaker 2: Are you sure that's what Mark is saying?
- 17:07Speaker 4: The golden bar Golden ball, not golden boots.
- 17:09Speaker 2: Sorry, yes, boots points, yes, yes, Okay, So what.
- 17:15Speaker 1: Was the MVP, right Car, So I mean but that
- 17:17Speaker 1: but your point is correct, really, I mean i'd say,
- 17:20Speaker 1: what fifteen cent difference between Kane.
- 17:24Speaker 2: They're not here if it's not for Harry Kane, right well,
- 17:28Speaker 2: that's just it.
- 17:29Speaker 4: And he is the penalty taker on the team as
- 17:31Speaker 4: well too, so if there is if if var actually
- 17:34Speaker 4: did award anything against against Argentina tomorrow with yes, we
- 17:38Speaker 4: shall see, it would be Kane taking the penalty and
- 17:41Speaker 4: not Jude Bellingham. The one favorable thing if you wanted
- 17:45Speaker 4: to make a case for Harry Kane is the fact
- 17:47Speaker 4: that Joe like in just looking at the game, which
- 17:51Speaker 4: can justify making a play on this price is there
- 17:55Speaker 4: are some mismatches in this game, and I'll just go
- 17:58Speaker 4: with them really quick.
- 18:01Speaker 2: England.
- 18:01Speaker 4: England's wingers, which will be Gordon and likely Sakka or
- 18:05Speaker 4: Meduque on the other side, up against Montiel or Molina
- 18:09Speaker 4: on one side and up against Taliafico on the other.
- 18:13Speaker 4: The advantage lies with with with England in this one. Uh,
- 18:19Speaker 4: They'll be able to get by these guys and get
- 18:21Speaker 4: balls into the box. When you get balls crossed into
- 18:25Speaker 4: the box, who is the guy that they're always looking
- 18:27Speaker 4: for to get aheader on the ball, kind of like
- 18:29Speaker 4: Earleing Holland it is always Harry Kane. I actually think
- 18:34Speaker 4: it could be a very good game for Harry Kane
- 18:37Speaker 4: on on Wednesday if if these advantages are taking take
- 18:42Speaker 4: if they take advantage of these mismatches on the wings.
- 18:47Speaker 4: So at five percent, it's worth a shot.
- 18:52Speaker 1: Call me crazy here, but what happens art because I'm
- 18:55Speaker 1: looking over here right, let me let's pull this line
- 18:58Speaker 1: up here? What I'm If Spain beats France, what is there?
- 19:03Speaker 1: Not anybody considered calm to be the MVP of the tournament?
- 19:07Speaker 1: I mean, Jamal is there?
- 19:08Speaker 2: But is that it is?
- 19:09Speaker 4: It is?
- 19:10Speaker 2: I don't know what has anybody really stood out to
- 19:13Speaker 2: you on Spain side.
- 19:15Speaker 4: No, No, the Jamal hasn't had a good tournament. I
- 19:19Speaker 4: don't understand why he's even at two percent. Michel well
- 19:25Speaker 4: Yazaboo has had a better tournament. I think he has
- 19:28Speaker 4: like what four goals maybe five? But it's the player
- 19:34Speaker 4: of the tournament likely comes down to who wins tomorrow's game.
- 19:38Speaker 4: If Spain beat France in this one, it comes down
- 19:41Speaker 4: to tomorrow's. If Argentina wins, we know it's going to
- 19:43Speaker 4: be Lionel Messi.
- 19:45Speaker 2: That's what I'm saying, that should be loss. Should that
- 19:49Speaker 2: not be the bet one way or the other?
- 19:51Speaker 1: Like, should we not just take at twenty nine cents
- 19:54Speaker 1: hop on Messi now, because if he's in the final
- 19:59Speaker 1: and Spain be it's all, what is that price gonna be?
- 20:02Speaker 1: You think, art Lionel Messi, Argentina advances in the final,
- 20:07Speaker 1: Spain advances, what do you think it goes from twenty
- 20:09Speaker 1: nine to what eighty nine? Yeah?
- 20:12Speaker 3: And it's one of those markets where or one of
- 20:15Speaker 3: those awards where Spain could beat Argentina and Messi would still.
- 20:19Speaker 2: Win and still win parm is that. I don't know
- 20:21Speaker 2: if that's ever happened before. What it makes elliotts?
- 20:25Speaker 4: Oh yeah, yeah, And we've seen it to a smaller
- 20:28Speaker 4: degree in different sports obviously Coonomy David against Florida, you
- 20:32Speaker 4: know what I mean, So you see it. But but
- 20:36Speaker 4: the fact that Messi has like eight goals in this tournament,
- 20:40Speaker 4: which is almost more than the Spain team total at
- 20:42Speaker 4: this point, I just don't see how how you you
- 20:46Speaker 4: wouldn't award it to them win or lose. Should they
- 20:49Speaker 4: beat England and make it to the final against Spain.
- 20:52Speaker 4: So Jamie, maybe all we've really done here is talked
- 20:57Speaker 4: for six weeks about tournament and it's the same two
- 21:01Speaker 4: finalists as it was in twenty twenty two, France and Argentina.
- 21:06Speaker 1: And it's crazy because I'm telling you, if you think
- 21:08Speaker 1: Spain has a chance at all at twenty nine cents,
- 21:11Speaker 1: this would be the steal of the of the tournament,
- 21:15Speaker 1: the absolute still in the tournament, because to me, it's
- 21:19Speaker 1: over if that's the combination that happens. And judging by
- 21:22Speaker 1: the odds here guys, and let's dive in here to
- 21:25Speaker 1: these World Cup semi games coming up. But I mean,
- 21:28Speaker 1: are looking at these are I mean, these are some
- 21:30Speaker 1: of the best odds that we are getting on these
- 21:32Speaker 1: four teams the entire tournament. So the big question, and
- 21:38Speaker 1: maybe I'm crazy, are you seeing a lot of love
- 21:40Speaker 1: in the tie market, because nothing would shock me more
- 21:44Speaker 1: both these games go to extra time.
- 21:48Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, listen, this has been a tournament where
- 21:50Speaker 3: they bet the draw throughout. Obviously there were a lot
- 21:52Speaker 3: of draws early and that really stoked the fires for
- 21:55Speaker 3: people to want to bet the draws. You know, obviously
- 21:58Speaker 3: in the group stage you saw a lot of that
- 22:00Speaker 3: so you know, I've said it before, and we'll probably
- 22:03Speaker 3: fight the two teamers. You know, between today and tomorrow's game.
- 22:06Speaker 3: With both of the games being draws, people will want
- 22:09Speaker 3: to come in. You'll get a nice juicy price on
- 22:12Speaker 3: a two teamer when you bet both of them with
- 22:13Speaker 3: the draws, with the nice plus price on that. So yeah,
- 22:17Speaker 3: I mean I could see that. And then you also
- 22:18Speaker 3: see a lot of people wanting to bet all favorites
- 22:21Speaker 3: to advance. That's a big popular two teamer. So there's
- 22:24Speaker 3: plenty of ways people are attacking this.
- 22:26Speaker 1: What do you think in car means to me, just
- 22:30Speaker 1: give me the draw and eat. I think one of
- 22:32Speaker 1: them is at least going to extra time.
- 22:34Speaker 4: No, yeah, you have to believe. So we've you know,
- 22:39Speaker 4: we look at the quarterfinals and we saw something some
- 22:43Speaker 4: draws in there, and we saw them in the opening
- 22:45Speaker 4: rounds as well too.
- 22:48Speaker 2: Does an extra time that's it? Apparently they do look
- 22:54Speaker 2: at it.
- 22:55Speaker 4: They were very close to making it three straight games,
- 22:58Speaker 4: the one against Egypt where they scored three goals in
- 23:00Speaker 4: the last fifteen minutes. Yeah, you know, the last one
- 23:03Speaker 4: coming late that could have easily been to too. If
- 23:06Speaker 4: varhead In intervened in that third goal, but they didn't.
- 23:11Speaker 4: Then it's too two and it's going extra time and
- 23:13Speaker 4: they cape Verde three to two. It would have been
- 23:16Speaker 4: three to two eventually in the in that game, and
- 23:20Speaker 4: then the three to one game against Switzerland where you know,
- 23:23Speaker 4: the red card pretty much mushed any chance Switzerland had
- 23:28Speaker 4: of winning that game. As you can tell him, still
- 23:30Speaker 4: sour about that one and the Swiss.
- 23:33Speaker 1: But well, let me ask you this art, because both
- 23:37Speaker 1: of these teams, Argentina and England, ironically enough, the travel
- 23:43Speaker 1: and the playing outdoors has been absolutely brutal both of
- 23:47Speaker 1: these teams.
- 23:48Speaker 2: To me, is fatigue an issue here?
- 23:52Speaker 1: Are that? I'll ask you car because something tells me
- 23:56Speaker 1: if I think both these teams maybe a little slaw
- 23:58Speaker 1: and both by the way, looked a little bit slow
- 24:02Speaker 1: through portions of the game. Goals coming here art in
- 24:06Speaker 1: this one, because I gotta believe these two teams have
- 24:08Speaker 1: been through it so far in this World Cup. Wouldn't
- 24:12Speaker 1: shock me if we get a lot of goals or
- 24:13Speaker 1: at least both team scoring art.
- 24:16Speaker 3: Yeah, and I mean you look at the totals of
- 24:17Speaker 3: the game Spain and Francis two and a half. We
- 24:19Speaker 3: have that flat and then you have the Argentine England
- 24:22Speaker 3: game where we're booking it at two minus to the over,
- 24:25Speaker 3: So we're booking a two in that game. Obviously we're
- 24:28Speaker 3: not at a two and a half. So yeah, I mean,
- 24:32Speaker 3: you know, Argentina and England could be set up for
- 24:34Speaker 3: one to one. I mean, you know, could be set
- 24:37Speaker 3: up for one to one, headed to extras, headed to pks.
- 24:40Speaker 3: I mean, why can't that happen?
- 24:41Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, Carl, we talked about it.
- 24:43Speaker 1: England played in the altitude in Mexico right in a
- 24:47Speaker 1: crazy game against Mexico and did something almost nobody's ever done,
- 24:52Speaker 1: which was beat them there. Then they had to go
- 24:55Speaker 1: and play in the humidity in Miami HiT's Norway and
- 24:58Speaker 1: they were just Now, I don't know, you're talking about
- 25:02Speaker 1: two extra time matches in a knockout stage, that ridiculous
- 25:06Speaker 1: finish against Egypt. Both these teams could be dragging ask arm.
- 25:10Speaker 2: Now, Yeah, you know, I think the.
- 25:15Speaker 4: Thing that helps as far as this game goes is
- 25:17Speaker 4: this one's being played at Mercedes Benz Arena, obviously climbing
- 25:21Speaker 4: control because they have a retractable roof there, so at
- 25:24Speaker 4: least heat won't be a factor in this one. Like
- 25:28Speaker 4: obviously England, the travel and the conditions for them haven't
- 25:33Speaker 4: been the greatest obviously, but at the same time, maybe
- 25:37Speaker 4: that is offset by the fact that Argentina have not
- 25:40Speaker 4: had a breather in any of their three knockout stage
- 25:44Speaker 4: games and two of them have gone two of them
- 25:47Speaker 4: gone to extra time, so they have they've had to
- 25:50Speaker 4: play an extra sixty minutes as well in there, so
- 25:54Speaker 4: you know, the total is the total is almost an
- 25:58Speaker 4: indication of it's not based on how Argentina's playing defensively,
- 26:01Speaker 4: because they aren't playing well defensively in this tournament, and
- 26:05Speaker 4: it's because they're they're an attack minded team and the
- 26:08Speaker 4: back line does play a little higher up, so they
- 26:10Speaker 4: can get caught some times on the back end and
- 26:13Speaker 4: they see on countertacks than they do. But the totals
- 26:16Speaker 4: at too Joe, and that has more to do with
- 26:18Speaker 4: how England is playing more so than how Argentina's playing.
- 26:23Speaker 4: And to arts point of one one one one is
- 26:27Speaker 4: the lowest price for the exact score market in this
- 26:30Speaker 4: game at plus four fifty interesting and then it is
- 26:35Speaker 4: the one nils I believe for either side or about
- 26:38Speaker 4: bout plus seven hundred and plus six hundred on the
- 26:41Speaker 4: nil nil score line, so all of those fall within
- 26:45Speaker 4: that total of two.
- 26:48Speaker 2: Gonna be interesting here, guys.
- 26:50Speaker 1: That game coming up a little later today, that would
- 26:53Speaker 1: be Spain in France. That's gonna be a three o'clock
- 26:56Speaker 1: Eastern time. Then, of course we've got tomorrow's big one
- 27:00Speaker 1: there with Argentina and England.
- 27:02Speaker 2: And speaking of those, before we dive.
- 27:05Speaker 1: Into the All Star game here in a little NBA
- 27:08Speaker 1: Summer League talk to me here, calm, you have a
- 27:13Speaker 1: five percent pat I know up you mentioned yesterday, but
- 27:16Speaker 1: you also have today's play for five bucks over at
- 27:20Speaker 1: your page at wager talk.
- 27:22Speaker 4: Yeah, both are available over at wager talk to fight
- 27:25Speaker 4: allar play has been up since the weekend, so hopefully
- 27:29Speaker 4: you guys took advantage of it. You know, sorry, I
- 27:35Speaker 4: see President. It just blows my line. You should afford
- 27:40Speaker 4: that the World Poker you really should have. Maybe next
- 27:44Speaker 4: year we make them where that's the World Series of Poker.
- 27:47Speaker 4: Wouldn't you look great walking in with that? A couple
- 27:51Speaker 4: of girls with the puffy hair from the seventies. But
- 27:54Speaker 4: with that said, yeah, it's been an exceptional World Cup
- 27:58Speaker 4: for US. Number one at wager Talk sixty eight point
- 28:00Speaker 4: sixty eight units of profits sixty four percent across eighty
- 28:05Speaker 4: plays in the World Cup, and all my bets are
- 28:09Speaker 4: normally sides totals, and some of the future bets were
- 28:15Speaker 4: which were group winners or teams to advance. So not
- 28:19Speaker 4: a lot of huge plus money prices as far as
- 28:22Speaker 4: that goes, I keep it to what people want. People
- 28:25Speaker 4: want size and totals and uh and that's what you
- 28:28Speaker 4: give them uh in these tournaments. So it's been a
- 28:31Speaker 4: great tournament thus far. We'll look to close it out
- 28:34Speaker 4: three and one this month with five percent plays in
- 28:36Speaker 4: the World Cup. We'll see if we can add a
- 28:38Speaker 4: fourth in on on Wednesday and then today's game. So
- 28:44Speaker 4: that's pretty much it, Joe, as far as it goes
- 28:46Speaker 4: for me.
- 28:47Speaker 1: All right, I love it there, carm I'm I'm gonna
- 28:51Speaker 1: rant here in the Summer League in a minute, but
- 28:53Speaker 1: we do have a five dollars Summer League top play
- 28:56Speaker 1: up and available there on my page at wager talk
- 28:59Speaker 1: dot com.
- 29:00Speaker 2: I'm also gonna be dropping and we'll talk about this tomorrow. Art.
- 29:05Speaker 1: There are some revamped Major League Baseball totals now that
- 29:09Speaker 1: always get reposted this time of year for after the
- 29:13Speaker 1: All star break and I two jumped right out at
- 29:17Speaker 1: me too that I'm gonna be putting up this week
- 29:19Speaker 1: as well. So and you don't have to wait forever,
- 29:22Speaker 1: because well those are gonna come to fruition sooner rather
- 29:27Speaker 1: than later.
- 29:27Speaker 2: We'll have those up for you. But the Summer League
- 29:31Speaker 2: coming up today.
- 29:33Speaker 1: Definitely like this one for five bucks of my page
- 29:36Speaker 1: at wager talk dot com. All right, guys, the All
- 29:40Speaker 1: Star Game is coming up here tonight. You know, my
- 29:44Speaker 1: feelings aret very difficult for me to look at this
- 29:47Speaker 1: American League team and think they're gonna do anything except
- 29:51Speaker 1: maybe hit a couple of singles, and you know, and
- 29:55Speaker 1: Bobby wit Junior is gonna double and then they're gonna
- 29:58Speaker 1: leave them on third base and so live. So what
- 30:01Speaker 1: are you thinking about this game here tonight?
- 30:04Speaker 3: Yeah, you're right. I mean, obviously it's so many American
- 30:07Speaker 3: League players or Toronto Blue Jays as well. They haven't
- 30:12Speaker 3: had the greatest year, so you know that that's.
- 30:16Speaker 2: Part of it too. I'm with you.
- 30:17Speaker 3: I normally in all these All Star games look for unders.
- 30:20Speaker 3: I love first five unders in All Star Games. But
- 30:23Speaker 3: this year we mentioned all the big pitchers that aren't
- 30:26Speaker 3: pitching and they're normally pitching in that first five, and
- 30:29Speaker 3: now you're looking at a first five of four over twenty.
- 30:32Speaker 2: So it's starting to make me.
- 30:34Speaker 3: Yeah, it's starting to make me think that maybe you're
- 30:36Speaker 3: going to see an over in this game, maybe a
- 30:38Speaker 3: first five over whereas normally in normal circumstance that's probably
- 30:42Speaker 3: a three and a half under minus one twenty if
- 30:45Speaker 3: you have the big boy pitchers pitching and probably a
- 30:47Speaker 3: total of seven and a half. You know, you can
- 30:50Speaker 3: always look in the MVP market too. Maybe a Philly
- 30:53Speaker 3: gets it, maybe Schwarber gets it. Obviously you're taking shots
- 30:56Speaker 3: like Karen did yesterday. We've been taking big prices, you know,
- 30:58Speaker 3: for someone to win the MVP, but probably someone out
- 31:01Speaker 3: of the National League will be the MVP of the game.
- 31:04Speaker 3: So maybe bet two or three guys that you like
- 31:06Speaker 3: and you come out with a winner.
- 31:08Speaker 1: Ah, Car, you know what, Car, I'm gonna pav I'm
- 31:10Speaker 1: gonna call a audible here. We might as well get
- 31:13Speaker 1: back used to football terms because it'll be here before
- 31:16Speaker 1: we know it. Uh, let's make a all star game,
- 31:21Speaker 1: same game parlay, shall we?
- 31:23Speaker 2: What what do you think here? Guys? Should we should
- 31:25Speaker 2: all dive in with what I figured from Karm, So
- 31:30Speaker 2: give me one here, Dylan c You know, Dylan.
- 31:33Speaker 4: Ce says, you know, Dylan sees the man from Toronto
- 31:37Speaker 4: is starting, So I'm gonna go over one over half
- 31:41Speaker 4: a run in the first inning plus one point fifteen.
- 31:44Speaker 2: I love Karm, I absolutely love him.
- 31:47Speaker 1: He's throwing his not to mention, do you guys do
- 31:50Speaker 1: anything besides just like stuffed ballot boxes when you go
- 31:55Speaker 1: to a Blue Jays game? Because how has this team
- 31:58Speaker 1: who's five games under five it is even remotely represented
- 32:02Speaker 1: like they are?
- 32:03Speaker 2: Is hysterical. But I love the fat Arma. Dylan cees,
- 32:07Speaker 2: how about you Art.
- 32:10Speaker 3: I'm gonna go Schwarber anytime home run?
- 32:12Speaker 2: Oh my word?
- 32:15Speaker 1: All right, well I already told you I like the
- 32:17Speaker 1: National League, so instead I am gonna go American League
- 32:21Speaker 1: team total under three and a half under three and
- 32:26Speaker 1: a half because I don't trust them as far as
- 32:28Speaker 1: I can throw them. But I thought for sure Karen
- 32:31Speaker 1: was gonna go Walker anytime home run as well, which
- 32:33Speaker 1: would have been just as good.
- 32:35Speaker 4: But no, Schwarber hits a home run off of season
- 32:38Speaker 4: the first and then we just sweat out your your
- 32:43Speaker 4: love it.
- 32:43Speaker 2: Yea love it.
- 32:44Speaker 1: I love it American League gets stifled here today. That's
- 32:48Speaker 1: the way it should be there, all right, NBA Summer
- 32:51Speaker 1: League here, let me just say this here, guys, if
- 32:54Speaker 1: you if you've watched congrats, you're probably the only ones
- 32:58Speaker 1: that actually have. But you'll notice something very interesting that
- 33:03Speaker 1: has kind of thrown all of the handicapping of this
- 33:07Speaker 1: out the window, certainly from years prior. Have you noticed
- 33:12Speaker 1: art what they do with free throws in the summer League?
- 33:14Speaker 3: Now, you know someone, and I'm not a huge Summer
- 33:17Speaker 3: league guy, even though it is in town and there's
- 33:20Speaker 3: a little bit of buzz when it comes to town. Now,
- 33:22Speaker 3: someone was mentioning to me the other day and I
- 33:25Speaker 3: like blue, I was, what, wait, they're doing that? Yeah,
- 33:29Speaker 3: that's a big difference when you're handicapping now and Joe
- 33:32Speaker 3: explain it to them, because honestly, I still don't even
- 33:35Speaker 3: understand it.
- 33:35Speaker 1: Yeah, you have a new summer league this year, by
- 33:39Speaker 1: the way, they just started doing this. So basically what
- 33:43Speaker 1: happens is they're experimenting. You're ready for this car one
- 33:47Speaker 1: free throw rule. Now, they've tried this in the G
- 33:51Speaker 1: League and some other spots, so they're trying to bring
- 33:54Speaker 1: this into the Summer League now because they think it
- 33:57Speaker 1: speeds the game up. So instead of traditional where you
- 34:02Speaker 1: get hey, two free throws, right, if if you get
- 34:05Speaker 1: fouled making a shot, oh no, no, no, no no,
- 34:07Speaker 1: you get just one free throw, but it counts as
- 34:11Speaker 1: two points, so you don't have to take the second
- 34:14Speaker 1: free throw if you want.
- 34:16Speaker 2: So that's exactly and the only.
- 34:19Speaker 1: Time it goes out the window, I think is in
- 34:21Speaker 1: the final two minutes of the fourth quarter. So if
- 34:23Speaker 1: you're fouled on a two point shot, you get one
- 34:27Speaker 1: free throw that counts for two points. If you're fouled
- 34:30Speaker 1: on a three point shot, you make one free throw
- 34:33Speaker 1: and you get three points.
- 34:35Speaker 2: So guys that are going zero for six from the.
- 34:38Speaker 1: Free throw line are leaving ridiculous amounts of points out
- 34:42Speaker 1: on there, and it really does swing whether teams can
- 34:46Speaker 1: get back into it or not. Not to mention, you
- 34:49Speaker 1: can foul ten times before you can actually get thrown
- 34:54Speaker 1: out of a game. It's they completely made it half
- 34:57Speaker 1: the time unwatchable and it's very hard for teams to
- 35:01Speaker 1: be able to come back from anything when you got
- 35:04Speaker 1: a single free throw like that's that's how does that
- 35:08Speaker 1: represent the NBA at all?
- 35:09Speaker 2: Hard? Is my question.
- 35:12Speaker 3: It's not I guess I'm gonna give them credit for
- 35:14Speaker 3: trying stuff, but brilliant, it's a little goofy. I'm not
- 35:18Speaker 3: gonna lie.
- 35:19Speaker 2: Yeah yeah.
- 35:20Speaker 1: So basically, you get one shot. If you don't make them,
- 35:24Speaker 1: you've left two or three points out on the on
- 35:26Speaker 1: the board there, which makes totals and trying to get
- 35:29Speaker 1: numbers covered just absolutely absurd here, So when.
- 35:34Speaker 2: Do you gonna end it? And I start up a card?
- 35:37Speaker 2: It's just could you imagine like the same thing? Could
- 35:40Speaker 2: you imagine?
- 35:41Speaker 1: Like gotta tell you, guys, you got a penalty shot
- 35:46Speaker 1: coming up here, but if you make it, since it
- 35:49Speaker 1: was in the act of shooting, you should probably get
- 35:51Speaker 1: two points.
- 35:52Speaker 2: Like what what what are we doing here? We're just
- 35:55Speaker 2: adding points to one free throwing guys don't have to
- 35:59Speaker 2: earn it. I don't get it. So what do you want?
- 36:02Speaker 3: Man?
- 36:02Speaker 4: It's like, pretty soon I can see new rules.
- 36:05Speaker 1: If your team is down about the game being too
- 36:09Speaker 1: slow in the Summer League, I'm sorry, art. Was there
- 36:12Speaker 1: a big rush of people that the Summer League games
- 36:16Speaker 1: were too long?
- 36:17Speaker 2: Absolutely absurd?
- 36:19Speaker 4: I think your team is down twenty points, you get
- 36:21Speaker 4: to choose one of their players and he's got to
- 36:22Speaker 4: play the rest of the game with a night patch.
- 36:24Speaker 1: I can't even foul anybody out card because you get
- 36:26Speaker 1: ten odd damn fouls. I mean, it's like ridiculous, unbelievable.
- 36:31Speaker 2: There.
- 36:32Speaker 1: Well that's my that's my rant there. In the meantime,
- 36:35Speaker 1: Arm's got a five dollars World Cup play up. I've
- 36:38Speaker 1: got a five dollars NBA Summer League play up. Art
- 36:43Speaker 1: will be back again tomorrow. Art will dive in to
- 36:46Speaker 1: some of these dare I say, NFL win totals that
- 36:50Speaker 1: are coming our way here, we'll do some.
- 36:53Speaker 3: Win totals tomorrow. I got four on deck that we
- 36:56Speaker 3: can talk about, and then I'm gonna give you as
- 36:58Speaker 3: much of the Open Championship information as I can. With
- 37:02Speaker 3: that obviously teeming off early on Thursday. I got a
- 37:05Speaker 3: lot of stuff, whether it's going to be you know,
- 37:07Speaker 3: group matchups, first round matchups, all that type of stuff,
- 37:11Speaker 3: winning score. So I'm gonna put together a nice little
- 37:14Speaker 3: list and we'll talk about.
- 37:15Speaker 2: Some of that tomorrow. Love love, love it, Calm, that's it.
- 37:20Speaker 2: We got to do this again.
- 37:21Speaker 1: Well, no, exactly half of the final right come tomorrow show,
- 37:26Speaker 1: So we'll be able to revisit some of these predictive
- 37:29Speaker 1: markets here and see what the market actually did. I
- 37:33Speaker 1: will Embobe score today?
- 37:35Speaker 2: Will he not cush? You should?
- 37:36Speaker 1: Everyone just bet that and forget about anything else. Embobbe
- 37:40Speaker 1: to scored today? Car what is even the number? What
- 37:44Speaker 1: is Imbobe to score? It's got to be ridiculous.
- 37:47Speaker 4: No, no, it's not only because the game is so
- 37:52Speaker 4: close and the numbers are so close. So if you
- 37:54Speaker 4: look at goalscorer in this game for Mbope and in
- 37:59Speaker 4: regulation time any and Boppy is plus one oh five anytime.
- 38:04Speaker 2: Goalscord, that's crazy to me.
- 38:07Speaker 4: And after that is Michael Oyazabo at plus one nine.
- 38:13Speaker 1: Wow, that's just okay. Well there you got it here, guys.
- 38:18Speaker 1: We got ourselves a we got ourselves in any time goal.
- 38:21Speaker 1: We'll see if any of that cash is But don't
- 38:23Speaker 1: forget Carmine's five dollars play as well as his five
- 38:27Speaker 1: percent play art. Carmine, We'll see you again tomorrow. We
- 38:30Speaker 1: get to do it all over again.
- 38:32Speaker 2: Guys. Enjoy the games.
- 38:34Speaker 1: We'll see again tomorrow for another edition of the Best
- 38:36Speaker 1: Betting Show Ever.