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Ole Miss Source DROPS Good NEWS before Rebels vs Texas Longhorns! · SEC Football Addiction

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  Speaker 1: All right, welcome back to SEC Football Addiction. Stephen Willis
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  Speaker 1: locked on Ole Miss with us. Ole Miss at Texas
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  Speaker 1: this weekend. We are presented by PrizePix. We're all new
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  Speaker 1: users who play a $ 5 lineup and win. Get 150
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  Speaker 1: in lineups instantly if they use code HMA. Stephen, it's
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  Speaker 1: been a wild week in the last seven days for
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  Speaker 1: the SEC. And, man, I'll just cut to the chase.
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  Speaker 1: I think Ole Miss is playing better football right now
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  Speaker 1: than Texas. I think everybody in the country would agree
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  Speaker 1: with that. You know, what worries me the most in
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  Speaker 1: this game is the circle of chaos, the circle of suck,
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  Speaker 1: whatever you call it in the SEC of you're not
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  Speaker 1: allowed to play good games back to back. Like you
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  Speaker 1: have to.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah.
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  Speaker 1: And so, yeah, Texas is not supposed to win this game.
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  Speaker 1: Ole Miss is supposed to win this game based on
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  Speaker 1: the way they're playing. But that's not how football works.
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  Speaker 1: So I am really intrigued that like, again, nothing we're
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  Speaker 1: going to break down just like does the SEC keep
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  Speaker 1: being chaotic?
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's one of those weird things.
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  Speaker 3: Remember, this Texas team, they might be the most talented
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  Speaker 3: team in the entire conference if you look at the
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  Speaker 3: preseason accolades and all of that. So it wouldn't surprise
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  Speaker 3: anybody if Texas rose up and just popped you because
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  Speaker 3: if they rise up, I think their best would be
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  Speaker 3: just about everybody else's best. And so if that happens,
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  Speaker 3: you're in trouble. But you're dealing with a team right
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  Speaker 3: now that's in a crisis of confidence, a real thing.
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  Speaker 3: If you can get an early start with Trinidad Chambliss
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  Speaker 3: and get that offense going and all of that. You
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  Speaker 3: get up by two scores on this Texas team. What
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  Speaker 3: does that look like? What does DKR look like? Now
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  Speaker 3: it's going to be a big game on ABC that
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  Speaker 3: night and all of that, but this wouldn't be a
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  Speaker 3: situation to where like Florida against South Carolina, where you
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  Speaker 3: just didn't see it coming. This is going to be
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  Speaker 3: a very difficult task for Ole Miss. They're underdogs in
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  Speaker 3: this game. The talent, if they come up and get you,
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  Speaker 3: they can absolutely bite you. But there have to be
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  Speaker 3: ways to mitigate this. And we'll see what Pete Golding's
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  Speaker 3: ideas on that are.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm very intrigued to see if that Ole Miss
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  Speaker 1: defense can replicate some of the things they did really,
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  Speaker 1: really well against Missouri, who was a trendy upset pick,
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  Speaker 1: to maybe go into Oxford and win. They did anything
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  Speaker 1: but that. Ole Miss absolutely dominated that game, shut down
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  Speaker 1: the running game. And I do think that that will
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  Speaker 1: be a big, big piece of this, is can Ole
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  Speaker 1: Miss limit Texas' running game, which has not... which has
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  Speaker 1: not been lighting the world on fire by any means,
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  Speaker 1: and then put all that pressure on a quarterback position
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  Speaker 1: that has really struggled this year.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, if you do that, what is it, Pete Golding said,
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  Speaker 3: if you stop the run, you get to have a
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  Speaker 3: little fun. And the fun with that would be Will
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  Speaker 3: Echols on that Texas offensive line. They've given up like
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  Speaker 3: 17 sacks this season as an offensive line. This could
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  Speaker 3: be a chance for this Ole Miss defensive front to
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  Speaker 3: get after Arch, but they have to stop the run
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  Speaker 3: to do that.
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  Speaker 2: Now, I don't know.
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  Speaker 3: who we need to send the thank you card to
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  Speaker 3: but somebody at the University of Florida we do need
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  Speaker 3: to say thank you to because that bye week was
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  Speaker 3: spent listen the Tuesday after the Florida game the defense
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  Speaker 3: went out there and they didn't call one defense it
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  Speaker 3: was all about being physical going after the football everything
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  Speaker 3: that you can imagine and what you've seen is a
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  Speaker 3: mind shift set shift in Ole Miss on the defensive
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  Speaker 3: side of the ball against the run, they've given up
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  Speaker 3: an average of 72 yards per game since that Florida game.
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  Speaker 3: And if they can replicate that against Texas because stopping
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  Speaker 3: the run, believe it or not, is the most important
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  Speaker 3: thing when you play Texas because when Sark outrushes you,
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  Speaker 3: I think he's undefeated at Texas. So you have to
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  Speaker 3: stop the run. You have to run the football. What's
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  Speaker 3: the old saying? You're going on the road, you have
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  Speaker 3: to pack your run game, you have to pack your defense.
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  Speaker 3: If you do that, Ole Miss is going to be
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  Speaker 3: absolutely fine. But again, you're dealing with elite football players.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, and I do agree with you. If they can
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  Speaker 1: slow down the run, it puts a lot of pressure
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  Speaker 1: on Arch Manning, which then, or if there is a
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  Speaker 1: quarterback switch, we'll see, but I think it'll be Arch.
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  Speaker 1: I would then pivot to, okay, he has struggled throwing
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  Speaker 1: the ball. But there is all that talent with Wingo
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  Speaker 1: and Coleman and injury. Like they've got good weapons. And
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  Speaker 1: so Ole Miss cannot be the team that lets Texas's
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  Speaker 1: passing game finally look like the Texas passing game that
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  Speaker 1: we thought it would be in this off season with
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  Speaker 1: all those weapons.
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  Speaker 2: Right.
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  Speaker 1: So it's like you, you limit the run, you put
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  Speaker 1: the game on Archer's shoulders. All right. Now don't let
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  Speaker 1: him go out there and beat you. Now, certainly in
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  Speaker 1: a Trinidad versus Arch game, head-to-head right now, even though
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  Speaker 1: they're never on the field at the same time. I
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  Speaker 1: like Trinidad and would probably take him over any quarterback
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  Speaker 1: in this country. But at the same time, you're on
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  Speaker 1: the road, you're playing in a potentially hostile environment. This
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  Speaker 1: can't be the game that Arch gets right if you're
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  Speaker 1: Ole Miss.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the whole thing.
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  Speaker 3: It's like you figure Texas is going to eventually figure
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  Speaker 3: it out.
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  Speaker 2: I think they're the second youngest team in the.
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  Speaker 3: Power Four or something like that. Young players usually eventually
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  Speaker 3: figure it out. You just hope it's next week. You
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  Speaker 3: don't want them to get right on you because there's
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  Speaker 3: a lot of Ole Miss fans that have PTSD about
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  Speaker 3: teams that get right just.
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  Speaker 2: In time for the game against Ole Miss.
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  Speaker 3: I'm sure every fan base can think of moments like
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  Speaker 3: that as well. But if it happens, when Arch throws
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  Speaker 3: you the ball, catch it. I mean, it's going to happen.
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  Speaker 3: He's going to give you a couple opportunities during the game.
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  Speaker 2: You have to do that. If you don't, if you
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  Speaker 2: give them.
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  Speaker 3: An extra down, all those super athletes can actually bite you.
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  Speaker 3: So the defense stopping the run, catching the ball when
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  Speaker 3: Arch throws it, and do not let, what's his name,
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  Speaker 3: Ryan Niblett get loose in special teams.
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  Speaker 2: If that happens, I think you'll be all right.
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  Speaker 1: The Ole Miss offense obviously got a ton of confidence
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  Speaker 1: in Trinidad. They've got good weapons. I am a little intrigued.
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  Speaker 1: Simmons is the big the big piece there for Texas.
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  Speaker 1: And if he's not going, then you certainly are thankful
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  Speaker 1: for that from the Ole Miss side. Uh, but they
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  Speaker 1: still have guys that I think will be very elite
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  Speaker 1: NFL prospects up, up, up front. Um, so he, I
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  Speaker 1: think he counts accounts for half their sacks total. So
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  Speaker 1: that's a huge piece if it's not there to, for
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  Speaker 1: Texas to try and find a way to, to, um,
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  Speaker 1: fill that gap. Hey, I'll get right back to chatting
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  Speaker 1: with Steven. But first, do me a quick favor. Make
• 6:33
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• 6:37
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• 6:47
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  Speaker 1: your support. Now back to the interview. But the Ole
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  Speaker 1: Miss offense going up against the Texas defense that quite
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  Speaker 1: frankly was not good enough last week against Florida. Um,
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  Speaker 1: I'm interested to see how Texas's defense responds here and
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  Speaker 1: what Ole Miss is able to do, because I do
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  Speaker 1: think they're, you know, look, they're a better, they're a
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  Speaker 1: better offense than Florida has or had been playing for
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  Speaker 1: the last few weeks. And Florida's offense, I didn't think
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  Speaker 1: did anything super spectacular. They ran the ball a little
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  Speaker 1: bit more like we're accustomed to seeing them do. Um,
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  Speaker 1: but that gives Ole Miss an opportunity to one run
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  Speaker 1: the ball too, for Trinidad to have some, uh, some
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  Speaker 1: big moments on the road.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah. One of the, um, Kiwan Lacy's childhood team growing
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  Speaker 3: up was the Texas Longhorns and they did not recruit
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  Speaker 3: him at all. So I am curious to see what
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  Speaker 3: a motivated Kiwan Lacy looks like going back to Austin.
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  Speaker 2: I want to see what that looks like. But this
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  Speaker 2: is a big deal.
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  Speaker 3: Colin Simmons not potentially playing in this game because when
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  Speaker 3: he was playing, that's a game plan alterer. You have
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  Speaker 3: to keep a tight end to block. You have to
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  Speaker 3: chip with running backs. You have to plan for that
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  Speaker 3: player because he's such a game wrecker. If you don't
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  Speaker 3: do it, he'll end up like he did in Knoxville
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  Speaker 3: and have five and a half sacks or.
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  Speaker 2: Something like that.
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  Speaker 3: So him being out of the game means that you
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  Speaker 3: can kind of play offense on your own terms. You
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  Speaker 3: have basically the same thing as LSU and Missouri and
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  Speaker 3: all of that. No elite game wrecker player. So Trinidad
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  Speaker 3: should be able to have time. Ole Miss has given
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  Speaker 3: up less than a sack a game. They've given up
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  Speaker 3: five over the course of six games. The offensive line
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  Speaker 3: has played very well. This lack of addition of Colin
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  Speaker 3: Simmons in this game, I don't think we know how
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  Speaker 3: big that is at the moment because while they're elite players,
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  Speaker 3: while they're good players, nobody on that Texas team has
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  Speaker 3: had multiple sacks in a ballgame but Colin Simmons.
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  Speaker 2: And I think that matters a little bit.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah. What's the biggest thing? Is it just the talent?
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  Speaker 1: Is that what worries you the most, or is there
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  Speaker 1: a matchup that you don't like in this game for
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  Speaker 1: Ole Miss that worries.
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  Speaker 2: You the most? Yeah, it's the talent.
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  Speaker 3: It's one of those things that if they click, if
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  Speaker 3: they have their day, there's just not a lot that
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  Speaker 3: you can do.
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  Speaker 2: They're that team.
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  Speaker 3: Now, Think about the, now I'm going to go back
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  Speaker 3: in time a little bit, and this might be before
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  Speaker 3: your time, the 1990 Michigan Wolverines.
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  Speaker 1: I was born in 90, so yeah, you got me
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  Speaker 1: by a few there.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, that team went to the Gator Bowl, had Desmond Howard.
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  Speaker 3: It was the year before he won the Heisman Trophy.
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  Speaker 3: They lost on the last second two times during the season,
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  Speaker 3: I think ended up going 9-2.
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  Speaker 2: So they were out of the bowl.
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  Speaker 3: Game, out of the national championship picture, but that was
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  Speaker 3: Elvis Gerbach and all those guys.
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  Speaker 2: Up at Michigan.
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  Speaker 3: Ole Miss played them in the Gator Bowl. And in
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  Speaker 3: the Gator Bowl, Michigan got right. They figured it out.
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  Speaker 2: And it was 35-3, and I don't think it was
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  Speaker 2: that close. It was one of those things.
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  Speaker 3: And it was just an elite talent team that was
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  Speaker 3: a little bit down on their luck that kind of
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  Speaker 3: figured it out on one day and was able to roll.
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  Speaker 3: and you worry about that with the when you deal
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  Speaker 3: with this texas team and you just hope to prolong
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  Speaker 3: it you need to score early you need a good
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  Speaker 3: stop start you need um to not turn the ball
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  Speaker 3: over you need to avoid momentum shifting plays if that
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  Speaker 3: can happen the longer it can take in the game
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  Speaker 3: you're going to be in good shape but if you
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  Speaker 3: allow everything to flip if that switch flips you.
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  Speaker 1: Could be in a lot of trouble where's the place
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  Speaker 1: you feel like Ole Miss can take advantage of Texas
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  Speaker 1: the most.
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  Speaker 3: Um I think Caleb Odom and Caleb Cunningham the the
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  Speaker 3: tight end hybrid guy and the big play wide receiver
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  Speaker 3: I think Ole Miss can win matchups and one-on-ones because
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  Speaker 3: not everybody is paying attention that six foot six 240
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  Speaker 3: pounds of tight end and can run like a deer,
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  Speaker 3: like a wide receiver. That's going to be a matchup
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  Speaker 3: problem for the linebackers and for the safeties.
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  Speaker 2: I think with Trinidad's ability.
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  Speaker 3: To basically not be afraid of small windows, because that's
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  Speaker 3: one of Trinidad's biggest gifts is he's not afraid of
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  Speaker 3: small windows. You're going to have tight windows in this game.
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  Speaker 3: And if you can catch the ball, use your mismatches,
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  Speaker 3: you have a chance to go.
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  Speaker 1: I would say that just by virtue of having the
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  Speaker 1: second sec loss, Texas is, is probably the more desperate
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  Speaker 1: team here, but I will also point to the fact
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  Speaker 1: that Ole Miss has games against Texas and Georgia left
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  Speaker 1: on the schedule. And so as important as this is
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  Speaker 1: for Texas and Sark's future and Archer's legacy, everything else,
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  Speaker 1: like this is vitally important for Ole Miss too. We've
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  Speaker 1: seen what the sec can be. And just like we're
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  Speaker 1: talking about with Texas and, having two losses in October. Well,
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  Speaker 1: if Ole Miss loses on Saturday, then they've got two
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  Speaker 1: SEC losses in October. So it is of vital importance.
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  Speaker 1: It's the most crucial SEC game of the weekend, without
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  Speaker 1: a doubt.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, and look at it like this. This is a
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  Speaker 3: great opportunity to make it to where that Georgia game
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  Speaker 3: isn't do or die.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah.
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  Speaker 3: And if you beat Texas in Austin, all of a
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  Speaker 3: sudden the national championship is an option. The SEC championship
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  Speaker 3: is the option. All of the goals that you had
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  Speaker 3: ahead of the season come October 25th are still on
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  Speaker 3: the table. And you have Auburn. That's a game, honestly,
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  Speaker 3: they're good. They can beat you, but you should win.
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  Speaker 3: You have Oklahoma.
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  Speaker 2: We've seen what Oklahoma has. You have Mississippi State. We've
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  Speaker 2: seen Mississippi State and Wofford.
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  Speaker 3: It becomes a Texas-Georgia season, potentially, for Ole Miss to
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  Speaker 3: accomplish all of their goals.
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  Speaker 2: And they have the talent to do it.
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  Speaker 3: One crazy, emotionally draining game against LSU and then going
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  Speaker 3: on the road to Gainesville– If that was the hiccup,
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  Speaker 3: if that was the wake-up call for this football team
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  Speaker 3: moving forward, like I said, we need to send a
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  Speaker 3: thank-you card to John Summerall.
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  Speaker 1: Somebody asked me this week who the team I trust
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  Speaker 1: the most in the SEC is. And I said, you know,
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  Speaker 1: I just think with Kirby being who he is, I
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  Speaker 1: guess it's still Georgia, even with the Auburn loss. Like,
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  Speaker 1: you get one hiccup, but I was like, man, if
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  Speaker 1: they win this weekend, it might be Ole Miss. That
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  Speaker 1: might be the team that I truly do trust the
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  Speaker 1: most in the sec. And admittedly, yes, Kirby's legacy. You'd
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  Speaker 1: make a fine argument for them. The problem is I
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  Speaker 1: don't know that there is a good answer right now
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  Speaker 1: because of how chaotic the sec has been. That's a
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  Speaker 1: product of obviously an IL on the portal and just
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  Speaker 1: the chaos that we've seen through the first seven weeks
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  Speaker 1: of this season. But, um, if it's not Georgia, it
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  Speaker 1: is Ole Miss, right? And maybe Ole Miss is your 2A,
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  Speaker 1: if that's the case, or your 1A.
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  Speaker 2: 1B with UGA.
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  Speaker 1: But I do think that Ole Miss can really, they
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  Speaker 1: can establish themselves as one of the teams to beat
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  Speaker 1: in this sport this weekend. I know I just talked
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  Speaker 1: about the importance, but they can also go the other way.
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  Speaker 1: And if they lose this game, then we might be
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  Speaker 1: having the conversations of, all right, well, the SEC really
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  Speaker 1: is just a hodgepodge of 9-3 to 10-2 teams, and
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  Speaker 1: we'll see who comes out on top. But I think
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  Speaker 1: they really could make a statement this week of saying, yeah, man,
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  Speaker 1: we're one of the better teams in this conference. Not
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  Speaker 1: that they aren't already, but maybe solidify that a little
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  Speaker 1: bit more.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, the funny thing is, and I like to laugh
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  Speaker 3: at this from time to time, is there are fans
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  Speaker 3: and pundits and all that that are trying to talk
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  Speaker 3: about what is happening now in college football like it's 2014-2015.
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  Speaker 2: And there's just not an elite team. I'll put it
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  Speaker 2: like this.
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  Speaker 3: If it was even 2017 and this Miami team was
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  Speaker 3: on the field, and I think Miami is the best
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  Speaker 3: team in college football right now, and I don't know
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  Speaker 3: that it's particularly close at the moment, but they might
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  Speaker 3: lose by two touchdowns to those Alabama and Ohio State
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  Speaker 3: and LSU teams from last decade. The elite team doesn't
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  Speaker 3: exist anymore. So you have to have a good quarterback.
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  Speaker 3: You have to win in the margins. You have to
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  Speaker 3: figure out where you can get an advantage from because
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  Speaker 3: you're not as separated as you once were.
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  Speaker 2: It's one of those things. I think the average margin
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  Speaker 2: of victory last year.
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  Speaker 3: In the SEC was like 10 points when it was
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  Speaker 3: 20 points like 10 years before.
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  Speaker 2: It's just a different animal right now.
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  Speaker 3: I like where Ole Miss sits and where they are,
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  Speaker 3: but that's only just because they're winning games. It's not
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  Speaker 3: because I think they're an elite team. I just think
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  Speaker 3: they have a shot against everybody they're playing, but they
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  Speaker 3: can also lose to everybody they're playing.
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  Speaker 2: It would not.
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  Speaker 3: Surprise me at all if Ole Miss beat Texas and
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  Speaker 3: then before the Georgia game lost to Auburn or something
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  Speaker 3: like that because that would just be college football essentially. But, yeah,
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  Speaker 3: it's one of those things to where parity is happening
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  Speaker 3: and the gap and start talking conferences back and forth,
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  Speaker 3: that's a silly argument. because I don't think people that
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: are making that argument are actually looking at what's happening.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah.
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  Speaker 1: I don't have the specific stat. I'm trying to pull
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: it up real quick, but I don't think I'm going to,
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'm going to find it fast enough
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: and don't want to take time to edit this, but
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: I did see, yeah, no, I did find it. How
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: much is talent spread around college football now that there
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: are three or four teams can't hoard at all? This week,
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: 92% of all games have a Vegas line of two
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: scores or less. That's all college football games, not just
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: the SEC. A decade ago, the same week, that number
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: was 65%. So we went from 92% of college football
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: being mostly blowouts. Like you could go grab eight Moneyline
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: parlays and put them all together and say, yeah, I
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: feel pretty good about that. Now it's down to 65%.
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: You're just a shade over 50% or right at two-thirds
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: of the sport. Huge jump in the last decade. And
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: the parity is off the charts. It makes it really
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: fun for neutrals. It makes it a lot harder when
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: it's your team playing and you've got those hard palpitations
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: every day.
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: And that number lets me know, like the 2014 playoff
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: that everybody is performatively against, it is definitely the Blue
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: Bloods that are the most against that because anything that
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: provides for more parity, more teams to be interested, more
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: teams to be involved, that is a problem to those
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: 10 programs that used to be the face of college football.
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: That already isn't the way it is, and it's just
• 17:21
  Speaker 3: going to get I'm not going to say worse, but
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: worse for them because with the 2014 playoff, you're going
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: to have 35 teams now that are really invested in
• 17:31
  Speaker 3: football as opposed to right now 20 teams. And when
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: it was a 14 playoff, seven teams. No.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: Steven, going back to the Texas game, I think Ole
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: Miss is playing better. I think they probably should win
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: this game from a matchup perspective. I also think college
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: football is just dumb right now and dumb is not
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: the right, you know, just like the results are dumb
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: and don't make sense. So I think it's gonna be
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: really tough. I do think it's a fun competitive game,
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: but what's your pick in this one?
• 18:00
  Speaker 3: I think it's going to be, well, um, 31 ish
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: to 27.
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: I think it's going to be a tight game.
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: I think it's, it's going to be the, one way
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: or another, like I said, it wouldn't surprise me if
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: Texas's talent got it. And, um, was able to outdo
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: Ole Miss on that. But I'm going to go with
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: the Rebels. I'm going to go with Trinidad Chambliss. And
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: like Nick Saban said, you don't bet against six when
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: the ball's in his hands.
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: Where can people follow you? What do you have coming
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: for them this week? And where can they get all
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: your stuff?
• 18:31
  Speaker 3: Locked on Ole Miss. We're on YouTube and wherever you
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: get your podcasts. You can also go to OleMissHub.com. We
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: do some stuff there as well. We'll have a reaction
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: show about 30 minutes after the game.
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: We'll react again on Sunday.
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: And college football as a whole will be reacting Sunday night.
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: All the reactions on Locked On Ole Miss and the
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: Locked On Network.
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Appreciate you, Stephen. We appreciate our friends over at PrizePix. Again,
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: all new users who play $ 5 and win get 150
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: in lineups if they use code HMA. We will see
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: you next time, man. Good luck in Austin.
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: Appreciate it. Take care.