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Episode 525 - 6/4/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome to episode 520.
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  Five of the all systems go sports betting podcast powered
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  by. Rhythm, I am your.
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  Host Josh. Applebaum What's going on,
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  everyone? Happy.
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  Thirsty. Thursday, another day here.
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  In the arena, guys, we got a small.
• 0:35
  Slate of MLB. On tap there's only 9 games.
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  Overall, but I did find 2 games that fit our model. 1 is a.
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  Larger favorite? 1 is a.
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  Smaller favorite. And one is an.
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  Early Game 1 is a late game so. I will talk some MLB.
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  For it today, try to get at least one.
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  Would be nice if we can get both of them here.
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  For a big thirsty Thursday. And then I want to talk a
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  little. Bit of.
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  World Cup survivor. Because if.
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  You've been living under a rock. That's.
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  OK, but you may. Or may not know.
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  That I'm hosting a world. Cup Survivor contest.
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  And I tell you what guys, even. Though, and I've mentioned this
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  before, I'm. Not a big soccer fan?
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  I don't really bet. Soccer.
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  But every four years. Twist my arm.
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  I want. To I want to get in on the
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  action, I would. I would be what I call.
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  A novice a. Square soccer better or
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  football? Better, but I'm still.
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  Going to use analytics. I'm not going to bet based on
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  gut instinct or. Bias because I really don't know
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  much about any of these World Cup teams.
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  But. We can still use.
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  Analytics to our favor. And I want to kind of walk.
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  Through today, how to? Approach the 1st.
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  Round of survivors so. I.
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  Just want to thank. Everyone at the outset.
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  For joining the survivor. Contest and remember.
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  We have the. World Cup starting June 11th.
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  So we are now one. Week away, one week from today.
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  The World Cup starts. And the survivor?
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  Contest that I'm. Hosting with Splash Sports.
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  You may have. Done a N.
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  FL survivor or. A.
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  March Madness survivor. NFL playoff survivor.
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  But this is the next iteration, a World Cup Survivor contest.
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  So. The entry fee is $25.
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  You can. Deposit right on.
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  The splash. Sports website, it's very.
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  Easy. Then you join the.
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  Applebaum World Cup survivor. Contest and then.
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  You're good to go. Winner here last.
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  Man or woman standing? Could win up to. 20 grand, so
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  wouldn't that be nice little sweetener to kick?
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  Off your your summer. Help you.
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  Pay for that big. Summer vacation, you might be
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  thinking. About, but I wanted to talk
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  about before. We get into our our baseball
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  plays for today. How to approach this little bit?
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  Because obviously this. Isn't like NFL survivor to me.
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  NFL. Survivor, it's the absolute.
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  Best It's one team per week. We all know the.
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  NFL. We always think about, you know,
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  the circa. Survivor.
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  Contest which one day I do want to.
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  Enter me and my buddies we're. Going to have to fly out there.
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  Get a you. Know get a proxy and get that
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  going. That's.
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  Always been a dream of mine, but it's and you know.
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  When we were younger, it's like. You know, can each.
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  It's 1000. Dollar entry at Circa.
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  You know, can you find 3 buddies each put in 250 you couldn't do?
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  It when you're in college now that we're.
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  Nearly 40 years old, I think that's a doable thing.
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  But this contest? Only 25 bucks and again I've
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  been mentioning it. Before but like this.
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  Is going to sweep the world. It's going to sweep the nation.
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  Everyone's going to be talking about it.
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  You going? To any bar.
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  You know, people are going to be waving different flags.
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  You're going to be going. Nuts for these games.
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  So why not throw your hat in the ring?
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  We're all sports. Betters.
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  Let's see if we can. Make some money.
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  But I. Want to talk?
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  About the first round. Because unlike the NFL.
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  Survivor where it's one. Team per week.
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  The first group. Stage is.
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  You have to pick. Four teams to advance now.
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  The group stage begins June 11th.
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  The round of 30. Two, which would be the next
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  round that begins June 28th. So we have about two weeks.
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  Of this group stage. Then you get the round of 16,
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  quarterfinals, semi finals. Championship.
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  So there are one. 234. 5-6 rounds.
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  In rounds. 234. Five and six, you're just.
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  Picking one team, but in the group stage you.
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  Got to pick 4. Teams.
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  Now might be thinking, OK, that's kind.
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  Of hard to do. Right, picking four teams.
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  But here's the thing. There are 12 groups overall.
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  And there are 4. Teams or four countries?
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  Per group. So the idea here is you got to
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  start off with a group stage your first entries.
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  You got to pick four of them. And what I'm looking at is.
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  I'm trying to pick a team that will advance out of the group.
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  Stage, but then. Will not win it.
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  All will not make. It super.
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  Far, but they'll get out of that group stage.
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  So the top 2. Teams from each group
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  automatically advance. Along with the 8th.
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  Best third place finishers. So you might not even might come
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  in. 3rd. But you could still.
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  Find a way to. To advance so.
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  I'm going to give. You a couple examples.
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  Of. Ways maybe to approach?
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  This basically. What you're thinking is.
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  And again. I'm I'm.
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  I'm. Kind of going over this and.
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  Have a little. Bit of fun of it, fun with it,
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  but this is what jumped out to me.
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  I'm looking at. On the.
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  Splash Sports page. Where you go to group stage, you
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  got to make your picks. They're giving you a percentage.
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  For each team to advance the advance probability.
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  So look at these. Probabilities.
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  Let me find. One that's.
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  Like got no chance. OK, I don't.
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  Want to pick on you, but poor Haiti.
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  Haiti is in Group C. They have a 12% chance to.
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  Advance out of Group C. Scotland 75%, Brazil's 98%
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  Brazil. If you look.
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  At the the odds. To win it all on Poly.
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  Market, they have one. 234. Five the six best odds overall,
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  and Morocco is at 89%. So.
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  I'm looking at Morocco. Maybe to advance?
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  But not to win it all. Because.
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  Morocco. Has an 89% chance to advance.
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  Out of the Group C. Group stage.
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  But they have the let's see, 1234. 5678. 9/10/11 Twelve 13th
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  best odds. To win it all.
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  So is Morocco an example? Of a team that. 89% will get
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  out. Of the group but.
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  Again, 13th overall probably. Unlikely to win it.
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  All OK, Maybe Morocco. Is a team that.
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  That I'm looking at there as one of my 4.
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  Teams, let's give another. Example here Team USA if you
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  look. At Team USA.
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  They have a. 79%. Chance to advance out of the
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  group stage you want to make. A patriotic, patriotic pick.
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  They actually have the best odds of group.
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  D. Group D there with.
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  Turkey 78%, Australia 43%. Paraguay or Paraguay?
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  62% so USA. Has the best.
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  Odds to advance out of group. D 79%.
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  But then if you look at their. Chances to win it?
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  All they are the 15th. Best.
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  Odds to win it all. They have a. 1% chance on
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  polymarket. Morocco had a 2%.
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  Chance. So maybe you want to be?
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  A patriotic American have AUSA. Advance, but know that.
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  Yeah, they're very unlikely. To win it all.
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  Let's see who else we can look at here.
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  I'm trying to think of other teams based on these
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  probabilities that. Might be a smart pick.
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  Let's see. Looking for teams that are most
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  likely to advance but probably won't win it all.
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  Let's see who else keep on cruising.
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  Let's see, how about Austria? You look at Austria.
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  They're in Group J Argentina is 98% and you probably.
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  Don't want to use Argentina because they're 9% to win it
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  all. 123. For the 5th best.
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  Odds, but then. You have Algeria. 58% Jordan 16.
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  Percent Austria 81% So Austria is. 81% to advance.
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  But if you look at their their odds.
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  To win it all. They are. 1516171819. 2020
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  second odds. To win it all. 1% chance so.
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  We've now picked three teams. Let's.
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  See if we can. Just finish.
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  Up this little exercise. And and pick one.
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  More. Let's see.
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  Let's see if. I can find another one.
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  OK, Croatia, you'll get. Group L.
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  Croatia is with England. 97% chance.
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  England, by the way, has the. Second or third best?
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  Odds to win it. All 11%.
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  At Polymarket Croatia is. 75%, Ghana 57%, Panama 26%.
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  So Croatia at 75% has the second.
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  Best odds to. Advance out of.
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  Group L. But if you look at their let.
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  Me just find them in the. Polymarket angle.
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  They're 1%. So they are. 161718, Nineteen
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  20th. So.
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  Again, we just spent, I don't know, 5 minutes talking about
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  it. But I've gotten a lot of.
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  DMS questions about OK? The group stage.
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  What does that mean? I got to pick four teams.
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  That's the thought process. That I'm going on, I'm looking
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  at. And again, not even compared to
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  the betting market. I'm looking at the overall
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  winner, but you know different sports folks are going to give
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  you odds to advance out of the group.
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  We just isolated. Four teams that probably will
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  advance. Again, anything could happen.
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  Don't remind me I'm a Patriots fan.
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  Patriots were what? Were they a 14 point dog?
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  Against the greatest. Show on Turf when I was. 13
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  years old. Watching my first super.
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  Bowl with my dad. They shocked the Rams.
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  They were like. 14 point favorites.
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  Or 12 point favorites. Against the Giants, then David
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  Tyree and they lost so. Anything can happen but.
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  This is kind of how I'm approaching it.
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  You know, paying. Attention to these percentages
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  at Polymarket. As well as the.
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  Percentage advance. Probabilities on the splash.
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  Sports and again. You can't think to the
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  Championship like you're. Probably going to want to save
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  France or Spain or England or Portugal, Argentina, Brazil.
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  I mean Germany even. Those are the best odds to win
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  it all. So you don't want to use those
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  those countries or teams up early, but maybe you can look at
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  some of these teams that have a. High percentage to advance.
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  But a low percentage to win it all, so boom.
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  That's how I'll be. Approaching it and I.
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  Highly. Recommend you join in.
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  Have some fun. Even again, even if you don't.
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  Love soccer? You don't love betting on it.
• 9:46
  It will be it'll. Be fun to just participate.
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  In 25 bucks. Again 25.
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  Bucks you can burn on. I don't know going.
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  To Five Guys getting a burger and fries.
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  Nowadays. Or you know.
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  Playing a scratchy. Whatever the case may be now,
• 9:59
  you can hopefully use it to your advantage and when you go, when
• 10:01
  you go to the BA. With all your friends.
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  And. People are waving flags,
• 10:05
  watching. Games, at least you'll.
• 10:06
  Have some money on the line, hopefully you can win it.
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  All. So come on down, join the
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  Applebaum Splash Sports Survivor Contest.
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  You have one week to do it. But the more the merrier.
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  So so come join. Now that being said, looking
• 10:18
  toward last night guys. Annoying 1 and 2. -1.1 units.
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  Had a great hit. With the Cardinals.
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  Coming through against the Rangers, remember that was our
• 10:26
  system. To avoid the sweep that came
• 10:28
  through. 5 to 3 winner. But then both the.
• 10:30
  Brewers and the Cubs. Let us.
• 10:32
  Down. The Brewers lost.
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  One nothing to the Giants. Tip my cap to bring.
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  To Logan Webb. He was awesome.
• 10:39
  But if you watch that game. Bottom of the ninth.
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  Milwaukee's down 1. Nothing.
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  They get a lead. Off double.
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  From Christian Yelich. They get him over to 3rd with
• 10:47
  one out so all you need. Is to get.
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  That run home. Tie the game, maybe?
• 10:52
  Win it in the 9th or maybe you go to extras and win it.
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  And it was all set up. Nicely for Bryce terrain.
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  Was a great player, but Bryce Terrain struck.
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  Out. So me on third one out.
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  You. Got to get that.
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  Guy home. You know, hit a SAC, fly ground,
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  ground it to. Right, couldn't do.
• 11:07
  Either of it. Milwaukee loses 1 nothing.
• 11:09
  So that was annoying, but then we had a chance still to go 2.
• 11:12
  And one he got a winning night. But the Cubs bullpen.
• 11:15
  Boy, did they implode and let us.
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  Down, the Cubs LED. Four to two in the eighth
• 11:19
  inning, you got to win that game.
• 11:21
  They give up two runs to to tie the game and.
• 11:25
  Then they go to. Extras the A score.
• 11:27
  One to have a 5 to. Four lead and then same thing.
• 11:30
  There was a man on 3rd. With one out.
• 11:32
  And Pete? Crowe Armstrong was up.
• 11:34
  Again, great player, big. Fan of Pete Crowe Armstrong.
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  All he's got to do is hit a ground ball to right, hit a SAC
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  fly. What does he do?
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  He strikes out so. Bryce, Turing and Crow.
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  Armstrong all they had. To do was SAC fly for us, ground
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  ball to right, both struck out. Both let us down.
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  So we're going to see if we can bounce back.
• 11:53
  And try to go at least one and one.
• 11:55
  Try to go 2 and O, that'll be even.
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  Better on a. Kind of a sleepy.
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  Rare, quiet Thursday here. So first but.
• 12:01
  On the board for me. Reason why I want to get this
• 12:03
  pot. Out a little bit early is I
• 12:04
  have. A day sweat for you if you're
• 12:06
  looking to sweat a day game. Let's go right back.
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  To Old Milwaukee, where the Brew Crew are hosting the San.
• 12:12
  Francisco Giants. At 2:10 PM Eastern Time.
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  Today, so setting the stage for this one, this is the.
• 12:18
  Final game of A. Four-game set the.
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  Brewers who are 30. 7 and 22. They won the first two games of
• 12:23
  the series. They won the.
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  Opener 16 to 2. As a -, 165 home.
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  Favorite. Then they won again.
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  Eight to three in the second. Game as a big -270 home.
• 12:32
  Favorite then of? Course, unfortunately, the
• 12:35
  Giants, who are 24. And 38, they bounce back where?
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  They won nothing. When yesterday came through.
• 12:40
  As a + 1. 15 Road Dog. Annoying because again.
• 12:43
  Had Milwaukee in that. Spot now.
• 12:45
  For this afternoon series finale, the Giants are hitting
• 12:48
  the ball. To the righty Adrian Hauser.
• 12:50
  He's 2 and. Five with A5. .59.
• 12:53
  ERA Brewers, meanwhile, going to go.
• 12:55
  With the ready Coleman crow, he's O&O with a 3.14 ERA so.
• 12:59
  What have you seen across the market?
• 13:01
  Well, nothing but steam in favor of the beer.
• 13:04
  Makers, I'm going Milwaukee guys they.
• 13:05
  Open this game. Around -1. 60 San Fran was.
• 13:09
  Around a + 1. 40 row dog. And we've seen a huge steam move
• 13:13
  toward Milwaukee. They went from -160 now up to
• 13:16
  around -190. I'm seeing some shops even
• 13:19
  creep. Toward -200.
• 13:21
  Really good splits 1. Way in favor.
• 13:23
  Of Milwaukee over at. Draft Kings.
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  Over 80% of. Money line bets and.
• 13:27
  Dollars are going Milwaukee. Over at Circa.
• 13:30
  In Vegas, over 90. Percent of money line bets and.
• 13:33
  Dollars are going Milwaukee. We also have the Brew Crew with
• 13:37
  a betting system. Value play.
• 13:38
  As a non division favorite, so lack of.
• 13:40
  Familiarity historically. Benefiting the quote UN quote.
• 13:43
  Better team who's expected to win?
• 13:45
  Going to bank? On the.
• 13:46
  Bats of the. Brewers to wake up?
• 13:47
  Today, again, couldn't do anything.
• 13:48
  Yesterday for us. But they do have the better bats
• 13:51
  overall. They have a 330. 4 on base
• 13:53
  percentage. They've scored. 292 runs.
• 13:56
  Giants have a three. 100 on base percentage they've only scored.
• 13:59
  238 runs. Now Milwaukee in the.
• 14:02
  Spot, even though he let us down yesterday.
• 14:04
  As a chalk favorite, they are 26 and 13 as a favorite.
• 14:08
  This year. That is a 60. 7% win rate.
• 14:10
  With a 12. Percent ROI, That's the second
• 14:13
  best. Chalk team in baseball, only the
• 14:15
  I believe the Atlanta. Braves are better.
• 14:17
  You look at. Crow again.
• 14:18
  I have. Don't know much about.
• 14:19
  This guy, Cameron Crowe. But.
• 14:22
  He is a rookie. He's only made three starts this
• 14:24
  year. He's been pretty good, knock on.
• 14:26
  Wood in all. Three of those starts he's given
• 14:28
  up to. Earn runs or less.
• 14:30
  And. Milwaukee is a perfect three and
• 14:31
  O in. Those games.
• 14:32
  Meanwhile, you're going up against Hauser.
• 14:34
  Who's got an ERA of nearly 6? Milwaukee again, 21 and 12 at
• 14:38
  home, even though they lost. Yesterday they've been a Really.
• 14:40
  Good home team. Overall, San Fran. 12 and 22 on
• 14:43
  the road. Yeah, they won.
• 14:44
  Yesterday, but they've been bad on the road.
• 14:47
  Lastly, aside from the. Big steam move in favor of
• 14:50
  Milwaukee. One Way Pro and Joe Bet.
• 14:52
  Split system matches. Better bats, good chalk,
• 14:54
  favorite crow, hopefully greater.
• 14:56
  Than Hauser noticed. A1.
• 15:00
  Rhythm recommendation lighting. Up here on Milwaukee.
• 15:03
  So first. But on the board, let's see if
• 15:04
  we get some revenge. Guys, I got the.
• 15:06
  Brewers -177. At the score, definitely shop
• 15:11
  around because I'm seeing. A lot of books.
• 15:12
  Now -184 I believe that FanDuel. And then you have some books.
• 15:16
  Even closer to -190. So as always, just want to
• 15:19
  mention if you're new to the pod.
• 15:20
  This is always bet. To risk first bet.
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  To win, so if you're getting Brewers. -190.
• 15:26
  You're not betting to win a unit which would be.
• 15:28
  Risking 1.9. Units.
• 15:29
  To a one unit you're just risking.
• 15:31
  Your one unit. Trying to get a little more than
• 15:33
  1/2 unit back because if. Milwaukee lets us down.
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  And loses you. Don't want to ever.
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  Lose. But you only want to lose 1
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  unit. You don't want to lose 1.9.
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  First bet for me. Brewers.
• 15:43
  Got a -177 at the. Score a lot of.
• 15:46
  Books now closer. To -190.
• 15:49
  Last bit. Of the night again.
• 15:50
  Only two plays. Didn't want to force the third
• 15:53
  even though I love our 3 packs. But I got a late game for you or
• 15:57
  relatively late game. 8:10 PM Eastern.
• 15:59
  Time first pitch. The Pittsburgh Pirates.
• 16:02
  Visiting the Houston Astros. Now this.
• 16:05
  Is the rubber. Match of a three.
• 16:06
  Game interleague series. The Pirates.
• 16:08
  Who are 30? 3 and 29 they won the opener.
• 16:10
  5:50. Came through as a -, 105.
• 16:13
  Row dog, then the. Strohs, who are 28 and 35, they
• 16:16
  bounced back with. An 11 to 9 win yesterday.
• 16:19
  Came through as a. Plus 120 home dog.
• 16:21
  Condolences to anyone who had. Pittsburgh Last.
• 16:23
  Night I had no action in this game but I.
• 16:24
  Think they're up like 8 to 3 in the 8th inning. 8th inning.
• 16:27
  And completely imploded. Or I guess you know, Congrats
• 16:30
  to. People who had Houston.
• 16:32
  Imagine took them on the live. Line there anyway.
• 16:35
  And tonight's series finale, the Pirates are going to go with.
• 16:37
  The ready Jared Jones. He was injured.
• 16:40
  He is O&O 10.38. ERA just came back.
• 16:44
  After a big injury, the Astros, meanwhile, going with the.
• 16:46
  Righty, Kai. Wei Teng he is.
• 16:49
  Three and three with. A 2.57 ERA so.
• 16:52
  What do you see across the market this game?
• 16:54
  Opened at basically a pick em. It was around. -110.
• 16:57
  Both sides here. And public doesn't really know.
• 17:00
  What to do? 5050.
• 17:01
  Split at at. DraftKings again, they see.
• 17:03
  Two teams that yeah. Pittsburgh's got the.
• 17:05
  Better record, but Houston's been a.
• 17:07
  A good pedigree, good franchise, even though they're.
• 17:09
  Struggling this year, they're at home.
• 17:10
  It's a pick em. So public doesn't know what to
• 17:13
  do, but what do we always talk about?
• 17:15
  Even though. You might have tickets.
• 17:16
  That are 5050. Do you see a line move?
• 17:18
  Because in a vacuum, you really shouldn't see a line move if the
• 17:21
  bets are. Even you would assume odds
• 17:23
  makers have balanced action. No need to adjust.
• 17:25
  The price, however? If you see a line, move.
• 17:28
  That tells you that. Smart money is.
• 17:30
  Taking a position. So it looks like smart money.
• 17:32
  Very. Quietly on Houston tonight,
• 17:34
  because Houston. 'S gone from.
• 17:36
  A -. 110 home pick em. To now up to. -115.
• 17:40
  So it's not a huge move, but again, shouldn't move it all
• 17:42
  5050 yet you've seen the line go to the Stroh.
• 17:45
  'S a little bit. I like the.
• 17:46
  Stroh's in the. Spot so.
• 17:48
  DraftKings only 50%. Bets but. 79% dollars.
• 17:53
  On the money line on Houston, circa only. 33.
• 17:56
  Percent money line bets. But 74?
• 17:58
  Percent money line dollars. So we are aligning little bit of
• 18:02
  line movement toward Houston with good low bets, higher
• 18:04
  dollar splits at both DK. And circa in their.
• 18:07
  Favor couple system matches. Home favorites minus. 140 or
• 18:11
  less. Facing an opponent.
• 18:12
  Who missed the playoffs? The previous year.
• 18:14
  Astros would match in this spot. Those teams.
• 18:17
  Are one O 7 and 72. That is a 60.
• 18:20
  Percent. Win rate 8%.
• 18:21
  ROI this year. Interleague home favorites off a
• 18:24
  win. With a line move.
• 18:25
  In their favor that are priced -150 or less.
• 18:29
  Those teams are 73 and 36. This year or sorry?
• 18:32
  Since 2000. And 2567% win rate. 19% ROI.
• 18:38
  Teng. Has posted A2. .42.
• 18:40
  ERA and six May. Appearances.
• 18:42
  So he's pitched well recently, only giving up. 6 earned runs.
• 18:45
  And 20. 2.1 innings pitched. Meanwhile, Jones.
• 18:48
  He's making a second start. I mentioned that earlier, but in
• 18:51
  his. First start, I believe.
• 18:53
  Pittsburgh won that. Game six to five.
• 18:55
  But he went 4.1 innings pitched. Gave up five burn.
• 18:58
  Runs, so not great. So at all up here guys 50. 50 at
• 19:02
  the line has moved toward Houston.
• 19:04
  Good. Splits Good.
• 19:05
  System matches also noticed a 25% sharp mush edge from our
• 19:10
  friends at. Juice Reel tells.
• 19:11
  Me a lot of pros at Juice Reel also like the Stro's here.
• 19:14
  And then this is a big. Rhythm play all three.
• 19:18
  Signals are on Houston. All three are green stars and.
• 19:22
  Two of those. Three are green stars and smart
• 19:25
  signals, so the AI model. From rhythm seems to.
• 19:28
  Really like Houston. Tonight, which backs up.
• 19:30
  Kind of what the market? Is saying so second play for
• 19:33
  tonight guys I. Was able to find Houston minus
• 19:36
  one O 8 at FanDuel again Shop. Around because most books.
• 19:39
  Now up to around -115. So that about does.
• 19:43
  It for episode. 525 of the all. Systems go sports betting.
• 19:47
  Podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 19:50
  where. We wrap things up.
• 19:51
  And we always start first by saying.
• 19:53
  Thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
• 19:55
  you for tuning in, thank you for grinding in the arena.
• 19:58
  With me. Every single day.
• 19:59
  Through the UPS and the downs, the good and the bad, the hot.
• 20:01
  Streaks. The cold streaks, the great.
• 20:03
  Losses come back from come from behind the terrible bullpen
• 20:06
  implosions. Like the Cubs last.
• 20:08
  Night. But either way, guys, we we wake
• 20:11
  up each day. With with a.
• 20:14
  Quiet confidence, trying to embrace the challenge.
• 20:17
  Of posting a winning. Day in sports.
• 20:19
  Betting in a tough. Market that's hard to.
• 20:21
  Beat so if you enjoy this pod. Do me a quick.
• 20:24
  Favor please give this podcast a.
• 20:26
  Five star review on Spotify or iTunes goes a long way.
• 20:30
  To helping us grow the pod. If you.
• 20:31
  Want to rate and review and leave a comment?
• 20:33
  Or maybe you want to click the? Follow button or retweet the pod
• 20:36
  when I put. It out on Twitter.
• 20:37
  Each day or recommend the pod to a friend that would all be.
• 20:40
  Very much appreciated. Next, if you enjoy this style
• 20:43
  of. Sports betting data.
• 20:45
  Driven sharp contrarian betting. And you want to.
• 20:47
  Learn more. About data-driven betting.
• 20:49
  Or maybe you have. Dad out there who's looking for
• 20:52
  a? Father's Day gift.
• 20:54
  Or maybe you just. Want to support the team?
• 20:56
  Well, I'd love. For you.
• 20:57
  To go to. Amazon.com.
• 20:59
  And type in the. Everything guide to sports
• 21:01
  betting. Or the.
• 21:02
  NFL sharp betting playbook. Pick up a copy for you or.
• 21:05
  For a friend. It would mean a lot to me if.
• 21:08
  You also want to. Bring it to the sports book,
• 21:09
  I'll sign it for you. I'll buy you a beer.
• 21:12
  Or ginger ale or some Cracker Jacks and we'll.
• 21:14
  Sweat some baseball today. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
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  and Juice Reel yet? My 2.
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  Favorite sports betting apps? They help me win.
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  They're going to help you win. Because they're just another
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  data-driven box you can check off as you're.
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  Handicapping a game. Rhythm is great for their AI
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  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
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  Rhythm now has world. Cup in the app.
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  Which is pretty cool as. Well, and then also Juice Reel.
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  So many great features of Juice Reel.
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  You can get the robo. Jackson best bet picks the sharp
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  mush indicators the arbitrage plays.
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  You can sync up your sports books.
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  Got a running report card of your action?
• 21:46
  But then also. If you are feeling generous.
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  And you? Enjoy the pod Which?
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  Is free. And you want to.
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  Tip your podcast host I would love.
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  For you to sign up to get a week or more.
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  Of all systems go. Best bet picks exclusively.
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  On the Juice Reel app. All you got to do is download.
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  Juice Reel bottom right corner. Click Buy, Sell.
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  This little search box. Type in ASG and you can get.
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  A week's worth of best bets. For $9.99.
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  That is equivalent of a dollar. 42 a day.
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  You can get a month's worth. Of bets of best.
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  Bets for 24. Dollars and $0.99 that's the.
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  Equivalent of 80. $0.03 a day. And if you really want to be a
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  hero? You can get a.
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  Full year of. ASG best bet picks for. $199.99
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  That's the equivalent of $0.55 a day.
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  I would thank you to. Everyone who?
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  Has signed up. And again, shameless plug you.
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  Would have gotten the alert for Brewers -177 earlier.
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  If you got. Those best.
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  Bets now they're -185 -, 190. But download Rhythm, download
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  juice trail, give them both a 5 star.
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  Review in the app. Store.
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  Next you have a live odds page. Well, if you don't have one.
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  You really do need one. It's the great tool that all
• 22:51
  sports. Betters lean on.
• 22:53
  Because you got to. Know.
• 22:54
  What the market is? Doing how it's moving, how it's
• 22:56
  evolving. What are the line open at?
• 22:58
  Got the open column. That's static, never changes.
• 23:00
  Then you got the current odds to the.
• 23:01
  Right, you can quickly. Determine OK which direction has
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  the line moved. Pull up the line.
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  History Shop for the best price. Get the live in game.
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  Wagering odds you can. Get it all with.
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  Odds logic. They're the best live odds page.
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  Around. And if.
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  You use this special link. Odds logic dot.
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  Com slash Josh 123. That's going to give you a.
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  Seven day. Free trial and 50.
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  Percent off your first month of service.
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  Again, that's odds logic.com. Slash Josh. 123 Then, of course,
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  another. Reminder the Applebaum splash.
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  Sports. World Cup, Survivor contest. 25
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  bucks. Could win you 20K.
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  You talked about it. Earlier got to pick.
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  Four teams to advance. And then?
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  One team per knockout round. Wouldn't it be nice to to win
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  20? Grand to kick off your summer.
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  You can download. Or you can you.
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  Can get that link to sign up. For the survivor.
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  Contest right from my. Twitter page at Josh.
• 23:55
  Under score insight. Send me a direct message.
• 23:57
  Or you can get get the link in the bio.
• 23:59
  Description of the podcast. So that about does it for
• 24:02
  episode. 525 of the ASG. Pod as always guys.
• 24:06
  Two final thoughts, one. Whether I see?
• 24:07
  You at the Borgata? In Atlantic City Twin.
• 24:10
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
• 24:11
  Foxwoods or Mohegan? Sun down in Connecticut at the
• 24:14
  Encore in Boston. Plain Ridge Park Casino MGM.
• 24:17
  Springfield or the Nash? And my.
• 24:18
  Neck of the woods on. The border of Massachusetts and
• 24:21
  New Hampshire are out in the. Desert where the.
• 24:23
  True grinders get. Down where Billy Walter sends
• 24:25
  his. Number runners where the lowest
• 24:26
  true as. Possible is found at the South
• 24:28
  point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
• 24:30
  plays. Jumping in the stadium swimming
• 24:32
  pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 24:33
  Circa wherever. It may be you're.
• 24:35
  Going to walk. Up to me show me a nice.
• 24:37
  Cardinals ticket or. Whatever you do.
• 24:38
  Milwaukee and the Cubs. The Cubs were a killer man.
• 24:41
  Really. Even.
• 24:42
  Milwaukee let us down 1 Nothing. Hey, it's going to happen
• 24:45
  sometimes. But Cubs with a?
• 24:46
  4-2 lead in the eighth. You hang on, we go 2 and one
• 24:49
  winning night they blow it for us.
• 24:51
  So that was a frustrating. One, But what are you going to
• 24:54
  do that That's baseball. I'll be either.
• 24:56
  Way guys, first one. 'S on me next.
• 24:57
  One's on you, we'll sweat some. MLB and hopefully get back in
• 25:00
  the green tonight. So as always guys coming off a 1
• 25:03
  and 2. Or a two in one and O and two or
• 25:06
  one and two or A2 in one and. O and three or a.
• 25:08
  Three and OA winning. Night A.
• 25:09
  Losing Night A great week A. Terrible week.
• 25:11
  A hot streak. A cold streak.
• 25:13
  We just can't get too high or too low.
• 25:14
  I know it's. Cliche, but it's true.
• 25:16
  Just got to stick. With it, keep grinding.
• 25:18
  Discipline with our bankroll management, protect our units
• 25:21
  only get down. When we.
• 25:22
  Can identify an edge and find the games that fit our model
• 25:25
  against the. Public with the house with the
• 25:27
  pros Flat bet avoid. Parlays and get that CLV.
• 25:30
  If we can do that, we're going to be.
• 25:32
  Successful sports bettors. So I hope everyone has a.
• 25:35
  Great. Thirsty Thursday, I'll be.
• 25:38
  Right back at. It tomorrow to.
• 25:39
  Finish off the week. With episode 526.
• 25:42
  Of the all systems. Go sports betting podcast.
• 25:45
  Power by rhythm. Good luck everybody and enjoy
• 25:47
  your Thursday night.